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Fundamental-analysis

AUD/USD Triangle Breakout (19.2.25)The AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.6391 2nd Resistance – 0.6404 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
14
XAU/USD (Gold) Trendline Breakout (21.02.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2904 2nd Support – 2880 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
GBP/JPY Triangle Pattern (14.2.25)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 189.83 2nd Support – 188.42 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
15
NZD/JPY - H1 Chart - Trendline Breakout (18.02.2025)The NZD/JPY Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 86.00 2nd Support – 85.60 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
5
EUR/USD Wedge Breakout (17.2.25)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0413 2nd Support – 1.0375 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 21, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair declined after hitting a two-month high of 1.26740 on Friday and was trading near 1.26700 at the time of writing during the Asian session. However, the pair strengthened as the US Dollar (USD) struggled amid weak jobless claims data and mixed signals from the Federal Reserve (Fed). Initial jobless claims in the US rose to 219,000 in the week ended February 14, above the expected 215,000. Jobless claims also rose slightly to 1.869 million, just below the forecast of 1.87 million. Additionally, GBP/USD rose amid improving market sentiment after US President Donald Trump signaled potential progress in trade talks with China, easing market fears over tariffs. On Thursday, Fed chief Adriana Kugler said U.S. inflation still has “some way to go” before it reaches its 2% target, acknowledging uncertainty in the future, Reuters reported. Meanwhile, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem emphasized the potential risks of stagflation and rising inflation expectations. Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic left open the possibility of two rate cuts this year depending on economic conditions. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.26700, SL 1.27300, TP 1.25600
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
CHFJPY at Key Support Level - Potential Buy SetupOANDA:CHFJPY is at a significant demand zone that has consistently triggered bullish reversals in the past. This zone has previously acted as a strong support level and now as price tests this area again, it creates a potential opportunity for buyers to regain control. I expect the price to move toward 168.60. On the other hand, a break below this support could signal further downside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Long
by TrendDiva
1
EURNZD - Buy Setup at key ZoneOANDA:EURNZD is currently in a significant support zone, which has times before been a turning point for bullish moves. The recent bearish pressure brings the price into this critical area once again, creating a potential buying opportunity. If bullish signals emerge, such as strong buying volume or bullish candlestick patterns, I expect the price to move toward 1,83700. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Long
by TrendDiva
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 19, 2025 EURUSDU.S. President Donald Trump said late Tuesday that he would likely impose tariffs on imports of cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals of about 25%, with an announcement to follow as early as 2 April. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said a peace deal could not yet be concluded. He postponed his visit to Saudi Arabia, scheduled for Wednesday, until 10 March to avoid giving ‘legitimacy’ to the US-Russia talks. This uncertainty could lift the US dollar and serve as a tailwind for the pair. Investors are awaiting the release of the minutes of the January FOMC meeting, which are due to be released later on Wednesday. This report could provide some clues as to how policymakers assess the risk of a global trade war. On the other side of the pond, the ZEW Eurozone Economic Sentiment Index came in at 24.2 in February versus 18.0 previously, missing expectations. Rising bets that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates three more times this year could put pressure on the Euro (EUR). Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0450, SL 1.0500, TP 1.0350
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GOLD - Potential Selling Opportunity to 2,912?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently at a clear resistance level that has acted as a zone for bullish momentum. This could signal a potential selling opportunity. If bearish signals, such as rejection wicks or bearish candlestick patterns, emerge, I expect a move toward 2,912 . On the other hand, a breakout above this resistance could weaken the bearish outlook. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by TrendDiva
7
EURNZD - Buy Setup at Clear ZoneOANDA:EURNZD is approaching a clear support zone, marked by prior bullish reactions and buyer interest. This zone has consistently reversed bearish trends in the past, making it an interesting area to watch. If buyers step in and confirm the support with bullish price action, such as long lower wicks or bullish engulfing patterns, I anticipate a move upward toward 1,83500. But if a break below this zone occurs, it could signal increased selling pressure and invalidate the bullish outlook. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Long
by TrendDiva
4
Tesla I Tipping Point: Short Opportunity with Head & Shoulders Short opportunity on Tesla Based on Technical + Fundamental View -market structure -Head and shoulder pattern -Double top -Currently trading at supply zone which was a recent support and now an ideal place for a reversal to create the right shoulder of the bigger head and shoulder pattern - Daily time frame -Product Development Delays -Margin Pressure -Decreased average selling price - Increased Competition - Flat /Declining Sales - Leadership Concerns: Elon Musk's polarizing political activities and his divided attention between Tesla and other ventures (such as his involvement with OpenAI) have raised concerns among investors. Some analysts suggest that Musk's public perception may negatively impact consumer sentiment towards Tesla, leading to decreased sales and loyalty among customers. Technical view Double top Unlike the classic double top, where the second peak reaches or exceeds the height of the first peak, the Type III double top fails to reach the previous high. This failure signifies a significant shift in market sentiment and an increase in selling pressure than usal. Head and shoulder pattern - Pretty visible. Right shoulder is yet to be formed, Which makes an ideal place to SELL with a Risk Reward ratio. (Approx 1:6.4) Pro Tip Wait for a bearish candle stick pattern to execute trades on end of the day keeping stop loss somewhere above the supply zone. Target 1 - 307$ Target 2 - 271$ Target 3 - 237$ Stop Loss - 380.21$ Fundamental View Valuation Concerns: Tesla's stock is currently viewed as significantly overvalued, with a fair value estimate of $210 per share according to multiple analysts, including Morningstar and Firstrade. This valuation reflects a substantial premium over its current trading price, indicating potential downside risk for investors. Earnings Performance: Tesla's Q4 2024 earnings are anticipated to show continued improvement, with expectations of gross profit margins exceeding 20%. Analysts believe that the automotive segment's performance has stabilized after a challenging first half of the year, driven by increased deliveries and lower production costs. Market Dynamics: Despite strong demand for Tesla's vehicles, the company faces pressures from declining average selling prices due to price cuts implemented in 2023. This trend is expected to continue as competition intensifies in the electric vehicle (EV) market. Product Development: Tesla is set to launch new models, including an affordable SUV (Model Q) aimed at increasing market share in the lower-priced vehicle segment. Additionally, advancements in autonomous driving technology are critical for future growth, with plans to roll out Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in select states and regions. Analyst Ratings: The consensus among analysts remains mixed, with a combination of "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings. The average price target reflects a cautious outlook, suggesting that while there is potential for upside, significant risks remain due to valuation concerns and competitive pressures. Not an investment Advise
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by REUBEN_EUSTACE
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 18, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) attracted some sellers during Tuesday's Asian session, which, along with a slight rise in the US dollar (USD), helped the USD/JPY pair to stage a modest recovery from the 151.250 area or more than a one-week low. Investors welcomed US President Donald Trump's delay in imposing retaliatory tariffs. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor undermining the safe-haven yen. However, a significant Yen depreciation still seems unlikely amid rising bets for an interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), helped by the release of robust Q4 Japanese GDP data on Monday. Meanwhile, the BoJ's hawkish expectations have led to a significant rise in Japanese government bond yields to multi-year highs. In addition, the recent decline in U.S. Treasury yields, supported by expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), has narrowed the differential between U.S. and Japanese rates. This may further deter traders from aggressive bearish bets on the lower-yielding yen. Thus, it would be prudent to wait for strong buying before confirming that the USD/JPY pair has bottomed and positioning for further recovery. Trading recommendation: BUY 152.000, SL 151.300, TP 153.100
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURSEK at Key Support Level - Will Price Rebound to 11,364?OANDA:EURSEK is in a significant support zone, which has been a turning point for bullish moves. The recent bearish pressure brings the price into this critical area, creating a potential buying opportunity. If bullish signals appear, such as strong buying volume or bullish candlestick patterns, I expect the price to move toward 11,364, . However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further downside. Traders should be patient and wait for confirmation of bullish strength before entering long positions. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management, Best of luck , TrendDiva
Long
by TrendDiva
1
PLATINUM - Sell Setup at Key Resistance ZoneOANDA:XPTUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, an area where sellers have previously stepped in to drive prices lower. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, making it a level to watch for potential rejection. If price struggles to break above and we see bearish confirmation, I anticipate a pullback toward the $1,021 level. However, a strong breakout and hold above resistance could invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially leading to further upside. This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation before jumping in. I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments. Best of luck , TrendDiva
OANDA:XPTUSDShort
by TrendDiva
4
XRP | BIG NEWS | How XRP Gets to $10A few weeks ago I made an update about rumors of Bank of America using XRP for its internal transactions. The United States is the world’s largest economy, with a GDP of about $27 trillion. If a major like Bank of America were to adopt the use of XRP, consider how it processes trillions of dollars every day. Imagine what this can do for the market cap. Currently, these transactions are run through traditional payment systems like SWIFT and FedWire. But if Ripple can come in with a real cost saving advantage, it's very likely that other banks may follow. Apart from internal transactions. these banks play a key role in global financial transactions, which means that any shift towards the XRP could lead to massive liquidity inflows and increased daily trading volume for the currency. In case of limited adoption within US banks, the price may rise to $2-5 in the medium term. In the event of widespread adoption within the United States, if XRP becomes a core part of the operations of major banks, the price could reach $10-20, but this would require fundamental changes in the financial infrastructure. In the event of global adoption led by the United States, the price could range between $20 and $50, but this requires years of development and legal regulation. __________________________ BINANCE:XRPUSDT
Long
by CryptoCheck-
5
GBP/NZD Trendline Breakout (10.2.25)The GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 2.2053 2nd Resistance – 2.2141 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
13
Bitcoin below $96K – Miners trigger a sell-offThe price of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has dropped more than 3% in the past 24 hours, closing around $96,000 amid aggressive selling by miners. Over 2,000 BTC have been transferred to centralized exchanges since Bitcoin’s recovery to GETTEX:98K , intensifying downward pressure on the market. This price decline is driven by miners’ efforts to reduce their reserves in response to market instability. At the same time, Bitcoin mining difficulty has increased by 5.6%, signaling new challenges for the industry and adding pressure on the cryptocurrency’s value. Typically, asset transfers to centralized exchanges indicate a readiness to sell, whereas transfers to custodial wallets suggest long-term holding. Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin has repeatedly dropped below the $100K mark, influenced by uncertain U.S. trade policies and negative macroeconomic signals from the Labor Department report. A brief recovery failed to sustain bullish momentum, leading to large-scale sell-offs and further price declines, keeping altcoins under constant pressure. As a significant part of institutional Bitcoin demand, miners continue to shape market dynamics. However, over the past seven days, selling activity has slowed as investors anticipate a potential price rebound. FreshForex analysts forecast that BTCUSD retains the potential for recovery and even new all-time highs, while Standard Chartered suggests Bitcoin could reach $500K by 2028.
SAXO:BTCUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 12.02.25)Overall Trend & Context: The pair is in an overall downtrend on the higher time frames and we are now waiting for the lower time frames to shift in accordance with the narrative. Technical Findings: Price is at a daily level of supply (as well as refined zones down to the 15m & 5m) LTF oversold conditions. We could still see further upward movement so will wait for either a break at 1.03650 or for our OANDA:GBPUSD trade to run into profits (or both). Potential Scenarios: For now I will only be considering shorts. Risk accordingly and be safe for CPI today.
Short
by Apexfx_Alpha
XAU/USD (Gold) - H1 Chart - Channel Breakout (12.02.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2835 2nd Support – 2797 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
13
DOT/USDT Triangle Breakout (9.02.25)The DOT/USDT pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 5.03 2nd Resistance – 5.18 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
9
XAU/USD (Gold) Triangle Breakout (07.02.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 2890 2nd Resistance – 2904 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
37
Understanding Market Activity in CryptoMarket activity measures the level of trading intensity in a market. It includes transaction volume, price fluctuations, supply and demand, and how different participants interact. In crypto, this is reflected in metrics like trading volume, liquidity, and order book depth. Example: Bitcoin ( BTC ) trading volume spikes when major news (e.g., ETF approvals) or macroeconomic events occur. This increased activity shows how market sentiment drives price movement. Who Are the Market Participants? Market participants are anyone buying or selling an asset. In crypto, this includes: - Retail traders (individuals buying BTC, ETH, etc.) - Institutional investors (hedge funds, large companies) - Market makers (liquidity providers ensuring smooth order flow) - Miners & validators (securing the network and earning rewards) The more participants in a market, the more liquid it becomes, making price movements smoother and reducing volatility. Example: Bigger CEX have a deeper liquidity than a small DEX, meaning orders execute faster with less slippage. Price + Time = Value (Crypto Perspective) One fundamental rule in markets is: ➡️ Price + Time = Value This means that an asset’s value is determined not just by its price but also by how long people are willing to hold or trade it. Example: A long-term BTC holder who bought at $1,000 and held for 5 years sees a much different "value" than a day trader who flips BTC in minutes. Additionally, crypto markets always have price levels that attract buyers and sellers (support and resistance levels). Example: Bitcoin's $20,000 level in past cycles acted as both strong support and resistance, attracting buyers when the price dipped and sellers when it surged. Market Analysis & Price Patterns (Normal Distribution in Crypto) To analyze market activity, traders break price movements into time segments. One useful tool is the normal distribution curve, which shows where most trades happen. Example: In on-chain analysis, if most Bitcoin transactions happen between $40,000–$45,000, this becomes the value area where market participants agree on price. Crypto analogy: Think of a whale buying BTC in chunks over days, forming a distribution pattern. If they stop buying, price trends shift. Supply & Demand in Crypto (Using a Bakery Analogy) Markets function based on supply and demand. Imagine a bakery: In the morning, fresh bread (high demand, low supply) = higher prices By evening, leftover bread (low demand, excess supply) = discounted prices The same happens in crypto: New altcoin launch: Limited supply, high hype = price pumps Token unlocks: More supply enters the market = price dumps Example: When a project like Aptos (APT) unlocks millions of tokens, supply increases, and the price often drops due to selling pressure. Short-Term vs. Long-Term Market Trends Markets move in different timeframes—hourly, daily, weekly, and even yearly trends. Short-term example: Ethereum’s price swings daily based on trader speculation. Long-term example: Bitcoin halving cycles create multi-year trends that drive overall growth. Example: In 2020, BTC was under $10K, but by 2021, it reached $69K due to long-term macro factors. Crypto Market Makers (Real-World Examples) Bitcoin Miners: Similar to a car company adjusting production, Bitcoin miners decide whether to sell mined BTC or hold it for higher prices. 2️⃣Whales & Institutions: Like property developers adjusting prices, whales accumulate crypto at low prices and distribute at highs. 3️⃣Liquidity Pools in DeFi: Like restaurants pricing meals based on demand, liquidity providers adjust fees and slippage in Uniswap pools. Example: Alameda Research (before FTX collapsed) was a key market maker, providing liquidity across major crypto exchanges. Long-Term Disruptions (Crypto Example: Ethereum vs. Bitcoin) Long-term players reshape entire markets over time. Example: Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) was the first mover, dominating the crypto market for years. Ethereum (ETH) introduced smart contracts, shifting activity from BTC to DeFi, NFTs, and Web3. Now, new chains like Solana challenge ETH, forcing changes in network fees and scalability. This mirrors how Japanese car companies disrupted the U.S. market, forcing competitors to evolve. How to Spot Fair Prices in Crypto? Markets always seek equilibrium—a price where buyers and sellers agree. Example: If a new altcoin doubles in price, but trading volume drops, it signals overvaluation. If on-chain data shows steady BTC accumulation, it suggests a fair price floor forming. ➡️ Traders watch repeated transactions to gauge market sentiment. Consumer Awareness in Crypto As investors, we naturally understand how price and time impact value. However, we also need to watch long-term market participants like: Whales (Smart Money): Who is accumulating? On-Chain Data: Are large wallets buying or selling? Institutional Trends: Are hedge funds moving into crypto? 📌 Example: When Tesla bought #bitcoin in 2021, it signaled institutional confidence, but when they sold, market sentiment shifted. Final Thoughts Crypto markets follow the same supply and demand principles as traditional markets but with 24/7 trading, higher volatility, and unique tokenomics. Understanding market activity helps traders anticipate moves and make better investment decisions. 🚀 Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Education
by Crypto4light