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Fundamental-analysis

GBP/JPY Bearish Channel (20.01.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. FX:GBPJPY Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 188.64 2nd Support – 188.00 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
21
XAUUSD 1hr chart showing selling opportunity must read caption XAUUSD is showing clear signs of a potential selling opportunity, with market conditions and technical indicators pointing towards a possible bearish movement in gold prices. Traders are advised to closely monitor key levels and patterns that reinforce this trend, as the current setup suggests a favorable environment for initiating sell positions. With global economic factors and technical analysis aligning to support this outlook, now might be an ideal time to prepare for a well-timed sell trade in gold, maximizing the potential for profit as the market unfolds.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SadarExplore
1
Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis Hello Dear traders! Must Support Me And Share Your Thoughts in comment section Date/20/Jan/2015 Current Price $1,01,500 Technical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) against the US Dollar (USD) on an hourly timeframe. The price action is currently moving within an ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend. After a recent correction that tested the support area around $97,550, there is potential for a rebound towards the resistance area, with target points at $104,000Tp1) and $107,000 (Tp2). The highlighted support and resistance areas provide key levels for traders to watch as potential entry exit points. This setup suggests a continuation of the uptrend unless a breakdown below the lower support level occurs. NOTE: This Ananlysis For educational purposes only
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by NicolusFrank
(XAU/USD) Gold AnalysisHello Dear traders! Must Support Me And Share Your Thoughts in comment section (XAU/USD) price movement on a 4-hour timeframe, showing an ascending channel pattern. From a technical analysis perspective, the price is moving within this upward channel, indicating a bullish trend. The suggestion here is to target potential profit levels at TP 2717 and TP 2760. The stop loss is set below the current level to manage risk if the market moves against expectations. From a fundamental analysis standpoint, factors such as macroeconomic indicators, interest rates, geopolitical events and currency fluctuations can influence gold prices. Investors may consider these elements alongside technical signals to make informed trading decisionsOverall, traders are encouraged to take a position on gold within this technical setup while considering fundamental influences that may impact future price movements. NOTE: This Ananlysis For educational purposes only not a trading advice
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by NicolusFrank
Bitcoin: Don't be blind to the world (Trump inauguration)Regular readers will know that we avoid fundamental analysis In these reports - we stick to the price. But that doesn’t mean being blind to the world around us. On Monday January 20, Donald Trump will be inaugurated as US President. I’m sure many of you have your political views about Trump - but just keep those away from your trade ideas! The crypto market - and Bitcoin especially - has been on a huge rally since Trump spoke at a Bitcoin conference in favour of cryptocurrencies last year. There’s a chance President Trump could mention Bitcoin in his inaugural speech but even if he doesn’t, the prospect of favourable regulation is broadly positive for Bitcoin - or if we’re more honest - the idea of better regulation could be enough justification to keep the crypto bull run going for now. Bitcoin On the weekly chart, we can see Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has been trading sideways around the $100,000 level - with roughly $90,000 as support. But bigger picture it’s a huge uptrend and we want to trade in line with the trend (as always) Importantly - it just closed the week back over the critical $100K mark - and it did so with a bullish engulfing candlestick that engulfed the previous 3 weeks. As a reminder - where the week closed is more important than the high or low of the week - and a weekly close is more significant than a daily close. You can think of the closing price as the price that everybody agreed was the right price for that period. The final missing piece to the bullish breakout is a weekly close at a new record high. On the daily chart we are watching the broken trendline as well as the $100k level as support that needs to hold if the breakout is going to happen soon. But while the price trendline is not especially reliable with only two ‘touches’ or swing points the broken RSI trendline is much more significant and shows a big pickup in momentum that will be needed if the price is to break out. If the breakout does happen, the first barrier that needs to break is $110,000 but after that $120k then even $130k could come quite quickly given Trump’s inauguration this week. But - as always - that’s just how my team and I are seeing things, what do you think? Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request! Send us an email or message us on social media. cheers! Jasper
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by jasperlawler
1
USDILS - At Clear Support Zone. Towards 3.61000?FOREXCOM:USDILS is at a support zone that has consistently acted as a reversal point for bearish trends. The current market structure suggests that this support zone could once again provide a potential buying opportunity—provided that there is clear bullish confirmation. If buyers confirm their presence with signals like long lower wicks or bullish engulfing patterns, we could see a move toward 3.61000. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish scenario and signal potential for further declines. Key Levels to Watch: Bullish Target: 3.61000 Stop Loss: Below the support zone Patience is crucial—wait for clear bullish confirmation before entering long positions. What’s your view on this setup? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by TrendDiva
1
XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) Analysis Hello Guy's Must Support Me And Share Your Thoughts In Comments Section Thanks Trade Safely XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD), Bullish trend moving within an ascending channel. Key elements of the analysis include: 1. Support and Resistance Zones: Strong support is marked near the $2,665 - $2,657 range, indicating buying interest. Resistance zones are around $2,710 - $2,735, aligning with the projected take-profit (TP) target. 2. Trend Channel: The price is consistently moving within a bullish channel, suggesting upward momentum. A breakout above the immediate resistance level could accelerate the bullish move. 3. Technical Pattern: The chart hints at a consolidation phase near resistance, potentially forming a breakout pattern. 4. Projected Target: The target price (TP) is set at $2,710, implying further bullish potential if resistance levels are breached. Outlook: If the price holds above the immediate support and breaks the resistance, the uptrend toward $2,710 is highly likely. However, failure to maintain the channel could lead to a correction. NOTE: This Analysis For Educational Purposes Only Not A Trading Advice
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by David_Josh_Trader
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent Formation of a well-defined Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the Channel. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2709 2nd Support – 2729 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
56
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 16, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is holding near 1.0295 in the early Asian session on Thursday. Lower than expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December raises the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates twice this year, putting pressure on the US Dollar. However, growing concerns over Eurozone economic growth could limit the major pair's gains. The US Dollar (USD) declined after weaker than expected US core CPI data, fuelling expectations that the Fed's easing cycle is not yet over. Markets now expect the US central bank to cut rates by 40 basis points (bps) before the end of the year, compared to around 31 bps before the inflation data was released. Across the ocean, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut rates four times last year and traders expect three or four changes this year due to concerns about the Eurozone's weak economic outlook. Rising bets on further ECB interest rate cuts could undermine the euro (EUR) against the U.S. dollar in the near term. Later on Thursday, investors will be watching Germany's Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for December and the ECB monetary policy meeting report. In the US, the main events will be retail sales data for December and weekly initial jobless claims. Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 1.0260, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/CHF Wedge BreakoutThe USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.9094 2nd Support – 0.9063 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
27
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 15, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) is struggling to gain significant strength and is languishing near multi-month lows against its US counterpart amid doubts over the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) rate hike plans. Signs of intensifying inflationary pressures in Japan leave the door open for a BoJ rate hike in January or March. In addition, BoJ Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino signaled on Tuesday that a rate hike remains a real possibility at the upcoming meeting. However, there was no direct indication in Himino's comments about the possibility of a rate hike in January. Moreover, some investors believe that the BOJ may wait until the spring talks before pulling the trigger. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkishness in December was a key factor behind the recent rise in U.S. Treasury yields. This has widened the yield differential between the US and Japan, which in turn is seen as another factor undermining the low-yielding Japanese yen. In addition, risk-on sentiment is deterring traders from placing bullish bets on the safe-haven yen. At the same time, weak US Dollar (USD) price action acts as a headwind for the USD/JPY pair ahead of the release of the latest US consumer inflation data. The crucial Consumer Price Index (CPI) report may influence the Fed's policy course and stimulate demand for the USD. Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 14, 2025 GBPUSDGBP/USD faltered as markets changed their expectations for interest rates before the end of the year, sending the pair to fresh 15-month lows and breaking through 1.2100, but then ended trading near the 1.2230 starting point. It has been a quiet start to the week, but more inflation data from both the US and the UK will give traders plenty of material to ponder as they try to determine the first quarter rate differential forecast. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to keep interest rates steady for the first half of the year, while the Bank of England (BoE) will have to choose between keeping interest rates stable in a still-high inflation environment and risking an inflationary spike to support the floundering UK economy with further rate cuts. Tuesday's significant data of the week will start with the US Producer Price Index (PPI), which is expected to rise to 3.7% y/y in December from the previous reading of 3.4%. Wednesday will see the release of UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation, which is also expected to accelerate in the near term, with a rise to 0.4% m/m versus the previous reading of 0.1%. US CPI inflation, also out on Wednesday, is forecast to rise to 2.8% from 2.7%, US retail sales data is expected on Thursday and UK retail sales round out the list of important data this week. Trading recommendation: Watching the level of 1.2150, trading mainly with Sell orders
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBP/USD Channel BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2365 2nd Support – 1.2460 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
14
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 13, 2025 EURUSDData from the US Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) released on Friday reported that non-farm payroll employment (NFP) rose by 256k in December, exceeding market expectations of 160k and beating the revised November figure of 212k (previously reported at 227k). The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in December from 4.2% in November. Annual wage inflation, as measured by the change in average hourly earnings, fell slightly to 3.9% from 4%. US labour market data for December is likely to reinforce the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) stance on keeping interest rates unchanged in January, which will support the dollar against other currencies. Markets expect the Fed to keep the benchmark overnight interest rate in the range of 4.25%-4.50% at its 28-29 January meeting. In addition, traders expect four interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB), which are expected to occur at each meeting through the summer. ECB policymakers seem to be comfortable with these expectations as inflationary pressures in the Eurozone remain largely under control. The head of the ECB and the Bank of France said that interest rates will continue to move towards a neutral rate ‘without slowing down by the summer’ if upcoming data confirm that ‘the pullback in price pressures does not remain in place’. Trade recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
NVO LongNovo Nordisk, a global leader in diabetes and obesity treatments, has traditionally maintained a solid financial standing with strong revenue growth, impressive profitability, and a robust pipeline of new treatments. However, the company has recently faced a significant dip in its stock price, largely due to market concerns related to its obesity treatment segment. While these concerns may reflect short-term volatility or market uncertainty, it’s important to recognize that the company's underlying fundamentals remain strong. When evaluating the company through the lens of intrinsic value indicators—such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratios, and projected growth rates—Novo Nordisk appears to be trading at a favorable price relative to its long-term growth potential. This suggests that, despite the recent drop in stock price, the company’s shares may be undervalued, offering a potentially attractive entry point for investors who are willing to take a long-term view. In the long run, the obesity treatment market is expected to grow, and Novo Nordisk’s leadership in this space, along with its diversified portfolio and innovation-driven strategy, could well position it to benefit from future market developments. Therefore, the current stock price may present a buying opportunity for those who believe in the company’s continued strength and market leadership. #DYOR
NYSE:NVOLong
by zdmre
EURUSD D1 BEARISH, RETURN TO PARITY ?Lot of confluence factors indicate that EUR is going to give way to USD COT Delta = black line dropping hard, Institutions are heavily short YIELD Differential = green/red line, nosedive lower LIQUIDITY Differential = orange line = FED more restrictive than ECB ? GAPS = Next Weekly gap is 150 pips lower @ 1.01 = Yearly S1 PIVOTS = Price below Yearly PP, heading for Yearly S1 @ 1.0050 = GAP Low FUNDAMENTALS = USD beats EUR on pretty much all metrics ECONOMICS = Germany, the EU-powerhouse, in multi-year recession POLITICS = Trust is fading, most EU-countries (will) vote for change Looking for a drop in price to 1.01, probably return to parity before spring
Short
by xtrader1
EUR/USD Bearish PennantThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Pennant pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0242 2nd Support – 1.0205 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
27
Gas panic in Europe: reserves depleting at record paceEurope is facing unprecedented depletion of gas reserves due to cold weather and technical challenges. According to EU gas storage data, storage levels have fallen to 70%, significantly lower than last year’s 86%. Analysts note that this situation is unique in the last seven years. Adding to the strain, Norway’s Hammerfest plant, which supplies liquefied natural gas (LNG), has halted operations due to compressor issues. This suspension intensifies pressure on the gas market, especially in light of the cessation of Russian gas transit through Ukraine. The European gas market is set for potential price increases in the coming months. Current storage challenges and reduced supply volumes heighten the likelihood of price hikes, particularly if the cold weather persists. Additionally, the reduction in Russian gas supplies forces the EU to compete more aggressively for LNG on the global market. Advantages of investing in #GAS in 2025: Rising energy demand: Increased gas consumption during the winter and limited supply create conditions for sustained price growth. Investing in #GAS could yield high returns during the current energy crisis. Global LNG competition: Europe and Asia are actively competing for access to LNG. This boosts market liquidity and enhances its appeal to traders and investors. Inflation hedge: Energy resources, including gas, are a traditional way to protect investments from inflation risks. Transition to LNG: As part of supply diversification, Europe is increasing the share of LNG in its energy mix, supporting demand for gas futures. High volatility: Significant price fluctuations present possibilities for short-term profits, particularly amidst geopolitical instability and weather anomalies. Analysts at FreshForex believe that 2025 is the ideal time to invest in #GAS! Limited reserves, high demand, and volatility create perfect conditions for substantial profits. Don’t miss the chance to capitalize on the year’s leading energy resource!
FXOPEN:XNGUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 10, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen is weakened by doubts over the likely timing of the next BoJ rate hike. The US Dollar holds near a two-year high and supports USD/JPY ahead of the US NFP report. The Japanese Yen (JPY) is rising in response to comments from Japan's Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa during the Asian session on Friday, although it lacks bullish confidence amid uncertainty over the Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike. Data released today showed that real household spending in Japan fell for a fourth month in November, indicating that the economy is fragile. This gives the BoJ another reason to be cautious about further interest rate hikes, which could continue to undermine the yen. In addition, the yield differential between US and Japanese bond yields has widened significantly over the past month amid the Federal Reserve's (Fed) tightening bias. This could help push down Japanese Yen yields and serve as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair amid a bullish trend for the US Dollar (USD). Meanwhile, traders may prefer to stay on the sidelines and wait for the release of the important US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report before making aggressive directional bets on the currency pair. Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 158.60, trading mainly with Buy orders
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/CHF Bearish PennantThe EUR/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Pennant pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.9360 2nd Support – 0.9337 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
4
AMD: Ready to Break Out – Confluence Supports and Bullish PatterI’ve already written a weekly analysis on NASDAQ:AMD , which you should read before this one, as it explains the broader technical and fundamental support in the bigger picture. Looking at the 4-hour chart, we can see the more granular movement of the stock over the last few months. The fact that we held the trendline, which has been in place since 2023, is a good sign that overarching algorithms still have an interest in the stock. The trendline also corresponds to a so-called "confluence support," where multiple support levels overlap. 1. Trendline Trendlines alone are not reliable price action structures, as they are often broken during consolidations without affecting the overall trend. However, since this trendline is older, has been tested multiple times, and now coincides with other support levels, it serves as one of several building blocks. 2. Fibonacci Retracement We hit the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (horizontal yellow line) exactly and bounced upward from there. The 61.8% Fib is always a good reversal point during pronounced consolidations, as we’ve seen here. AMD has been consolidating since March 2024, over nine months now. 3. Horizontal Support In addition to the Fibonacci retracement, the price range between $117 and $121 was already a support area. This zone has been a support and resistance level since September 2021 and has consistently prompted strong price reactions. 4. Descending Wedge The current leg down is forming a descending wedge, which breaks upward in more than two-thirds of cases, making it a bullish pattern. The target for a breakout is typically the highest point of the wedge, which currently means a target around $170. However, a conservative trader always plans more cautiously, so we’ve combined our target with the last gap close. 5. Gaps While not a proper support level, the still-open daily gaps at $137 and $158 act as magnets for higher prices. These gaps lie along the path upward and make good spots to place take-profit levels. Fundamental Reasons AMD's Position: With the launch of the MI300 series, AMD has taken a significant step toward competing with NVIDIA in the AI GPU market. These chips are optimized for high-performance computing and generative AI. Potential: In Q3 2024, AMD generated $1.5 billion in revenue from the data center segment, a 42% year-over-year growth. This growth is expected to accelerate further in 2025 due to AI applications. Market share: AMD has consistently gained market share from Intel in the CPU market, especially in the server segment. According to Mercury Research, AMD’s server CPU market share rose from 23.4% in Q3 2023 to 26.5% in Q3 2024. Forecast : With the planned launch of Zen 5 processors in H2 2025, AMD is expected to gain even more market share, driven by improved performance and energy efficiency. EV Market: Additionally, the electric vehicle market, after weaker years in 2023 and 2024, is expected to regain momentum. This will significantly impact the semiconductor market as a whole.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by LGNDRY-Capital
3