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Fundamental-analysis

NFP Feb 25 - US30 NFP Trading Plan Feb 2025. Weaker NFP data with higher UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Bullish) Higher NFP data with Lower UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Bearish) Weaker NFP data with Neutral UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Choppy) NFP - Forecast 169K vs Previous 256K Unemployment Claims - Forecast 4.1% vs Previous 4.1% Here's the tricky Part. If data comes out as expected (NFP 169K - UEC 4.1%) thats Bullish, but a choppy market up & down until market finds a valid support/trend. Plan Of Action. Wait 5 - 15 min after data release. Identify the S&R zones. Wait for Break or Retest. Wait for confirmation (Candle close/Volume Break/Retest). Execute with Proper Risk Management. STICK TO PLAN OF ACTION!!! Support & Resistence Resistence - 44725 - 44750 Support - 44525 -44500 Technicals Monitor DXY for a weaker Dollar. Currently on the 4hr DXY chart we got a H&S Pattern with MA20 downside cross MA50 and RSI in sell area below 50. US30 we inverted H&S Pattern with MA20 trading close to MA50 for upside cross and RSI in Buy area above 50.
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by THE_US30FX
GBP/NZD Channel Breakout (5.2.2025)The GBP/NZD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2.1862 2nd Support – 2.1765 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 6, 2025 EURUSDThe euro is trying to consolidate after breaking a six-day losing streak, with EUR/USD still holding at 1.0400. US employment change data from ADP showed stronger-than-expected results for January, with a net increase in the number of people employed coming in at 183k, beating the expected decline to 150k from December's revised 176k. While the ADP jobs data unreliably predicts the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data expected later in the week, the increase bolsters investor confidence that the US economy remains on solid ground. Early Thursday will see the release of pan-European retail sales data for December. Median forecasts expect the figure to rise to 1.9% y/y, up from 1.2% in the previous period. However, the month-on-month figure is expected to fall to -0.1% from 0.1%. The most important release this week will be the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday. Investors expect the January NFP to fall to 170k from December's 256k. Traders will also be watching for revisions to previous months' data. Those expecting a rate cut are becoming increasingly frustrated with the sustained strength of the US economy as labour statistics are often revised upwards. Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 1.0370, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
BTC/USDT -H1- Bearish Channel (06.02.2025)The BTC/USDT Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 90412 2nd Support – 87124 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
11
EUR/NZD Triangle Breakout (5.2.2025)The EUR/NZD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.8220 2nd Support – 1.8140 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 5, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) is attracting fresh buyers after data released during Wednesday's Asian session showed a rise in real wages in Japan, confirming bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates again. This is significantly at odds with expectations that the Federal Reserve (BoJ) will cut borrowing costs twice before the end of this year. As a result, the narrowing rate differential between Japan and the U.S. will support yen yields. In addition, the weakening U.S. dollar (USD) led the USD/JPY pair to fall to mid 153.0, or the lowest level since December 18, in the last hour. Meanwhile, investors remain concerned that Japan could also be targeted by US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs. This, along with a risk-on sentiment, could deter traders from making new bullish bets on the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop supports the outlook for further yen strength. The Japanese yen hit a one-month high against the US dollar amid expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike. Expectations of further narrowing of the rate differential between Japan and the US also support the yen. Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Alphabet (GOOGL) Analysis – Potential Downside RisksAlphabet is currently trading at $205. While it could still move higher, several factors might drive the price lower soon: Extended Distance from 55 EMA: The stock hasn’t touched the 55-day EMA for 147 days. While this doesn’t mean a pullback will happen immediately, a sharper downside move is possible. Bearish Divergence: The RSI has formed a lower high, while the price has made a higher high, signaling a potential bearish divergence. Fundamental Risks – AI & Earnings: Earnings Report on Tuesday: Alphabet will report its earnings, and investors will focus on its high AI-related expenditures. Revenue Growth Concerns: The company may have experienced slower revenue growth in Q4 due to weakness in advertising and cloud services. Competitive Pressure in AI: Chinese startup DeepSeek recently launched low-cost AI models, raising concerns over a potential AI price war, which could impact Alphabet’s profitability. While Alphabet remains strong, combining technical weakness and fundamental risks (earnings pressure, AI spending, and increased competition) could lead to a correction. If a pullback occurs, the 55 EMA could act as a key support level. 92% of positions are long. We all know the old saying—most people lose in trading. So if 92% of the market is long, we should at least be short for the moment. This extreme bullish positioning suggests a potential contrarian opportunity, as overly crowded trades often lead to sharp reversals.
NASDAQ:GOOGLShort
by BOT721
EUR/USD Poised for Reversal from Key Demand Zone – Smart Money A📊 Market Outlook: Bullish Reversal from Demand Zone EUR/USD is approaching a critical daily demand zone (highlighted in yellow), where we anticipate a potential trend reversal. The technical and fundamental data suggest that a buying opportunity is emerging. 🔹 Why Am I Bullish on EUR? ✅ Retail Traders Overloaded on Shorts – The retail crowd is excessively short, which often leads to short squeezes when smart money steps in. ✅ Non-Commercial Traders are Overly Short – CFTC data reveals that large speculative traders hold extreme short positions, signaling a potential contrarian move. ✅ Commercial Traders Accumulating Longs – The smart money (hedgers & institutions) are heavily long on EUR, suggesting value buying at these levels. ✅ Key Demand Zone in Play – Price is approaching a major liquidity pocket, historically acting as strong support and a reversal zone. 🔹 Technical Levels to Watch 📍 Support Zone: Yellow Area On Chart 📈 My Trade Bias: Waiting for confirmation signs in the demand zone. Looking for bullish structure shifts & momentum buyers stepping in. 🚀 What do you think? Will EUR/USD bounce from here or break lower? Comment below! 👇📩 #EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #OrderFlow #Liquidity #PriceAction #CFTCData #ForexTrading #FXAnalysis
CME:6E1!Long
by Inevitable_Trader
StarkNet– The Bottom, or Are We Heading Into the Scam Coin Zone?StarkNet (STRK): The Bottom or Still Has Potential? 🔥 Hello everyone, this is Ronin! After the massive market crash that we analyzed in the Ethereum article, another important question arises: what should we do with StarkNet (STRK)? 📉 STRK has entered a price zone it has never seen before, making this a critical moment to understand its future trajectory. Will this asset recover, or is it doomed to the fate of a scam coin and gradual devaluation? Only time will tell, but for now, let’s break down the key factors influencing the situation and possible scenarios for STRK’s future. How Ethereum’s Drop Pulled StarkNet Down If you’ve read my Ethereum breakdown, you know that ETH’s collapse from $3600 to $2000 wasn’t due to fundamental reasons but rather market manipulation. Since StarkNet is a Layer-2 solution built on Ethereum, it’s logical that its price is strongly correlated with ETH’s movement. 📌 What does this mean? When Ethereum drops, all projects built on it also lose market value. STRK reached historically low levels where it had never traded before. Big players took advantage of this situation to liquidate long positions in StarkNet, just as they did with ETH. But does this mean STRK is doomed? Let’s analyze further. Fundamental Factors: StarkNet Remains a Strong L2 Solution 💡 The key question: Is this project worth believing in? StarkNet isn’t just another altcoin—it’s a Layer-2 protocol solving Ethereum’s scalability issues. 🔹 Why is it important? ✅ Uses ZK-Rollups technology, significantly improving transaction speed and cost. ✅ Developers are actively working on updates and improvements. ✅ The project is backed by major investment funds, including StarkWare. However… STRK’s market cap is still low, which makes it vulnerable to manipulation. Technical Analysis: Pain Zones and Potential Reversal Points 📊 Is StarkNet at its bottom, or could it drop even further? 🔹 Right now, STRK is trading in uncharted territory. There are no historical support levels to rely on. 🔹 The main demand zone is between $0.40 – $0.50. If STRK holds these levels, a gradual rebound is possible. 🔹 However, if selling pressure continues, STRK could drop even further, especially if the overall market remains under the influence of manipulation by market makers. Should You Buy StarkNet Now? 💡 If you already own STRK Selling at a loss without a clear understanding of the situation is a mistake. Panic selling at the bottom is exactly what big players want. If you have the patience to endure the drawdown, the project still has potential. 💡 If you don’t own STRK but are considering buying Buying near absolute lows is risky, but also offers the potential for X5-X10 returns. If you’re not prepared for further drawdowns, it’s better to wait. The best strategy is to spread out your purchases and buy near support levels. Manipulation or Market Reality? If you’ve seen what happened with Ethereum, you understand how market makers operate. 📌 Crypto exchanges profit from liquidations. 📌 Big players create artificial panic sell-offs to accumulate cheap assets. 📌 After major crashes, sharp rebounds often occur—but only if an asset has real fundamental value. StarkNet has yet to prove its resilience during major market corrections, but its technology remains promising. Conclusion: Is StarkNet at the Bottom or a Buying Opportunity? 📌 It’s the bottom if the project continues developing and the market starts recovering. 📌 It’s not the bottom if the bear market lasts longer and demand for StarkNet disappears. 🎯 My position: I held onto my STRK positions and didn’t sell in panic. More than that, I bought more because the price is currently in an anomaly zone. 🚀 Could STRK gain X5-X10 from these levels? Absolutely, and it wouldn’t even be an all-time high. If you’re interested in tracking my trades and updates, follow along—we’ll analyze the situation together. Let’s discuss in the comments—what do you think about this asset? 🔥 This is Ronin—stay sharp, watch the market, and don’t fall for manipulations! 🚀
Long
by StarTradePro
Fundamental Market Analysis for february 3, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD was subjected to heavy selling on Monday and fell towards 1.0200 early in the Asian session. Spot prices have returned to more than two-year lows reached in January and look set to continue their multi-month downtrend. The US Dollar (USD) is rising across the board in response to US President Donald Trump's decision over the weekend to impose 25 per cent duties against Canada and Mexico, as well as an additional 10 per cent against China. This marks the start of a new global trade war and has curbed investor appetite for risky assets. The flow of anti-risk sentiment is putting good pressure on the safe-haven quid, which is becoming a key factor putting downward pressure on EUR/USD. Meanwhile, on Friday evening, Trump announced that he will impose tariffs on goods from the European Union. This comes amid the European Central Bank's (ECB) stance, which continues to undermine the common currency. As expected, the ECB cut borrowing costs by 25 basis points (bps) last Thursday and left the door open for further rate cuts before the end of this year. This is a significant divergence from the Federal Reserve's (Fed) pause, which favours dollar bulls and supports the prospects for further EUR/USD declines. Meanwhile, the recent sharp pullback in US Treasury yields acts as a headwind for the quid and may provide some support to spot prices. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the downside. Trade recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBP/USD - H1 Chart - Triangle Breakout (31.01.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2342 2nd Support – 1.2295 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
45
TradeCityPro | Deep Search: In-Depth Of SUI👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! In this analysis, I want to perform a Deepsearch on the SUI coin and let's dive into this project and examine all its details. 📣Introduction: ▪️Sui is a Layer 1 decentralized smart contract platform optimized for low-latency asset management. It is designed to offer high-speed transactions, scalability, and security while leveraging the Move programming language to define assets as objects. This unique model enables faster execution, parallel processing, and improved efficiency compared to traditional blockchain architectures. 🗝 Key Features of Sui: ▪️Object-Centric Model: Unlike account-based blockchains, Sui defines assets as objects, allowing for more efficient transactions and asset management. Move Programming Language: This secure and flexible language ensures customizable rules for asset creation, transfer, and mutation. ▪️Optimized Consensus Mechanism: Sui uses Byzantine Consistent Broadcast for most transactions, reducing the reliance on Byzantine Agreement, leading to lower latency and better scalability. ▪️Parallel Execution: Smart contract execution is naturally parallelized, allowing the system to process multiple transactions simultaneously, unlike traditional blockchains that rely on sequential processing. ▪️Trust-Minimized Bridges: Sui supports trust-minimized cross-chain interactions, enhancing interoperability with other blockchain ecosystems. ▪️Governance & Checkpointing: These operations are conducted off the critical latency path, further improving efficiency. Sui Blockchain Ecosystem Validators & Full Nodes: Sui relies on a decentralized set of validators for transaction verification and Full Nodes for auditing and data integrity. ▪️Mainnet & Network Architecture: Since its Mainnet launch in May 2023, Sui has seen rapid growth, supporting an expanding ecosystem of developers, decentralized applications (dApps), and enterprises. Tokenomics: The native token SUI is used for staking, transaction fees, governance, and economic incentives within the network. ⁉️Why Sui Matters⁉️ ▪️Sui is not just another blockchain—it is a highly scalable, developer-friendly, and efficient platform designed to support billions of users. Its horizontal scaling approach, coupled with its innovative transaction processing, makes it a strong contender in the evolving blockchain landscape. With enhanced speed, security, and interoperability, Sui aims to redefine the future of decentralized applications and Web3. 💵 Funding raising : $85.67 M (some of Investors : YZI Labs (Prev.Binance Labs), SamsungNext, Kucoin, Coinbase Venture ✅Certik Score: 87.42 📌SUI Contract: 0x2::sui::SUI 🔓Major Upcoming Token Unlocks : 01 May 2025 (1.07% Max supply) 📊Sui Token Sale & Economics: ▪️Total Supply: 10 billion SUI tokens ▪️Initial Circulating Supply: 500 million SUI ▪️Token Sale Price (Public Sale): 0.1 USDT per SUI ▪️Spotlight Allocation: 225 million SUI ▪️Spotlight Hard Cap: $22.5 million ▪️Individual Allocation Limit: 10,000 SUI (1,000 USDT per person) ▪️Supported Purchase Token: USDT ▪️Token Distribution: April 24 - April 26, 2023 ▪️Vesting Schedule: 1/13 unlocked at Token Generation Event (TGE). After 30 days, an additional 1/13 is released monthly until full distribution within 12 months. 👁‍🗨 SUI Token Utility & Role in the Ecosystem: ▪️SUI is the native token of the Sui blockchain, serving as both a utility and governance asset within the network. Its primary functions include: 1️⃣ Proof-of-Stake (PoS) Participation: ▫️Sui operates on a delegated proof-of-stake mechanism. ▫️Validators are selected and rewarded based on staked SUI tokens. ▫️Token holders can delegate SUI to validators for staking rewards. 2️⃣Gas Fee Payments: ▫️SUI is used to pay gas fees for executing smart contracts, transactions, and on-chain storage. 3️⃣ Ecosystem Utility & Liquidity: ▫️SUI powers various decentralized applications (dApps) on the Sui network. ▫️It is used in decentralized exchanges (DEXs), lending/borrowing platforms, gaming applications, and NFT marketplaces. 4️⃣ Governance & Decision-Making: ▫️SUI holders will participate in governance, influencing protocol upgrades, economic changes, and ecosystem decisions through on-chain voting. 5️⃣ Sui Storage Fund: ▫️Long-term sustainability is ensured through a storage fund that compensates future validators for maintaining on-chain data storage. ▫️This fund allows users to store data indefinitely, securing the blockchain's long-term viability. 👤Sui Founding Team: ▪️Evan Cheng – Co-Founder & CEO: Over 24 years of experience in platform development. Led developer-facing technology teams at Apple and Facebook (Meta). Focuses on scalability, infrastructure, and blockchain adoption. ▪️Sam Blackshear – Co-Founder & CTO: Creator of the Move programming language, used for smart contracts on Sui. Expert in programming language design, program verification, and developer tools. ▪️Adeniyi Abiodun – Co-Founder & CPO: Led engineering and product teams at Oracle, VMware, and Facebook. Over 10 years of experience in blockchain product development. ▪️George Danezis – Co-Founder & Chief Scientist: Professor of Security and Privacy Engineering at University College London (UCL). Specializes in peer-to-peer system security and privacy with 20+ years of experience. ▪️Kostas Chalkias – Co-Founder & Chief Cryptographer: Lead cryptographer with over a decade of experience in major tech firms like Meta and R3. Focuses on cryptographic security and privacy solutions for blockchain networks. 📉SUI's TVL: ▪️From January 1, 2025, to February 2, 2025, the Total Value Locked (TVL) in Sui increased from 398.48M SUI to 436.53M SUI. This represents a growth trend in TVL, indicating an increase in asset deposits and user engagement in Sui's DeFi ecosystem during this period. 📈Bridged TVL Trend in Sui: ▪️From January 2025 to February 2025, the Bridged Total Value Locked (TVL) in Sui increased from 1.28B SUI to 1.55B SUI. This significant growth suggests a higher inflow of assets from external blockchain networks into the Sui ecosystem, highlighting rising cross-chain activity and increased user trust in Sui's DeFi protocols. 💡What is Bridged TVL? ▪️Bridged TVL refers to the total value of assets transferred from other blockchains to Sui via cross-chain bridges. These bridges enable users to move assets like stablecoins, native tokens, or wrapped assets between Sui and other Layer 1 or Layer 2 networks 👝Some of SUI wallets: ▪️Sui Wallet ▪️Surf Wallet ▪️Suiet ▪️Ethos Wallet ▪️Nightly ◽️Sui Liquidity Pools: ▪️Suiscan ▪️Bluemove ▪️Cetus (This platform has DCA) ▪️Suiswap ▪️Bluefin ▪️Turbos ▪️Kriya ▪️Flameswap 📌Sui Staking: ▪️Sui wallet ▪️Suiscan ▪️Daic Some top projects in the Sui community in 2024: ▪️Walrus: Walrus is a decentralized storage protocol built on the Sui blockchain, designed to efficiently handle large binary files, such as videos and images. It employs advanced erasure coding techniques to ensure high availability and robustness, allowing data recovery even if up to two-thirds of storage nodes fail or become compromised. ▪️Sui Name Service: SuiNS is a naming service on the Sui blockchain that allows users to have unique identifiers such as alice.sui linked to their Sui accounts, simplifying transactions and enhancing user experience. SuiNS names are stored as NFTs in users' wallets, ensuring permanent ownership and high security ▪️Deepbook: Sui's first native liquidity layer, DeepBook, launched in 2023 as a means of supporting the DeFi ecosystem. ▪️Navi: One of Sui's early DeFi protocols, Navi combines a decentralized exchange (DEX) aggregator with liquid staking and lending. Boasting total value locked (TVL) of $714 million and over 800,000 users, NAVI continually innovates, deploying new features to maximize its user potential. ▪️Aftermath Finance: DeFi protocol Aftermath serves as a meta-aggregator for swaps on Sui. When users enter a swap, its technology analyzes the rates offered by other aggregators then finds a route to achieve the best result. 🔗Sui On-Chain Activity ▪️By analyzing Sui addresses over the past 7 days, we observe an increase in the number of active addresses, particularly new addresses (those conducting transactions for the first time). This indicates a relative improvement in on-chain activity and reflects growing interest in the Sui blockchain. ▪️Additionally, the number of transactions has experienced a slight increase, further supporting the trend of rising engagement with the network. 🐳 Top Accounts by SUI: 1️⃣60.1M SUI ($218.17M): 0x15610fa7ee546b96cb580be4060fae1c4bb15eca87f9a0aa931512bad445fc76 2️⃣ 53.37M SUI ($193.72M): 0x7ab9a6a7109dcb9cb357a109f32dfcc78a7aa2d6029084eb924d95133fc71cec 3️⃣ 21.63M SUI ($78.53M): 0x5fdfcc18e0791862c107c49ea13a5bcf4965f00ac057f56ea04034ebb5ea45ad 4️⃣ 20.56M SUI ($74.82M): 0xb4f42571101827758f55a9b998a1251892402fbd4dce90da3373625298091627 5️⃣ 16.46M SUI ($59.92M): 0xac989493a6c203244705bcb62123b96df4e5d79cf29fa9b1277dc0f1751a7539 6️⃣ 15.15M SUI ($55.14M): 0x6605abfdbfbf98c09c7bc072abb0781103231a2a8dff28c33a5faaed5aaf081e 7️⃣ 14.84M SUI ( GETTEX:54M ): 0xcd57cb92c4380df9284d730bc7fa8810ddb784045b91299c3ae59556ed38374c Over the past week, Sui (SUI) has experienced notable activity among large investors, commonly referred to as "whales." On January 28, 2025, reports indicated that SUI's price had declined by 25% over five days, reaching a demand zone around $3.50. Despite this downturn, there was a significant surge in trading volume, increasing by 185% to $1.7 billion. This uptick in volume was attributed to heightened whale activity, as large investors capitalized on the lower prices to accumulate SUI tokens.Earlier in the week, on January 21, 2025, it was observed that crypto whales were actively purchasing discounted tokens, leading to increased on-chain activity across emerging projects, including Sui. This behavior contributed to a substantial rise in both market capitalization and user adoption for SUI. The activity of whales continues amid the price decline, with the majority of selling pressure coming from retail traders and weaker hands. ✨ Let's move on to the technical analysis of this coin to see how it has been able to move technically. 📅 Weekly Timeframe: In the weekly timeframe, we are observing an ascending trend that started from the low of 0.3938 and reached 1.7504 in its first leg. However, it then underwent a significant correction down to the support level of 0.5737. In its second ascending leg, the price rebounded from 0.5737 and, with the breaking of the 50 level on the RSI, entered a strong upward momentum, taking it back to its previous ATH at 1.7504. But the journey for SUI did not stop there; after breaking and retesting 1.7504, the price continued with high momentum and reached a target of $5.2 as the RSI entered Overbuy territory. The volume has well supported the price along this path, showing alignment with the upward trend. Currently, it seems that the price is in a corrective phase and has corrected to the 0.236 Fibonacci level. To better see this correction, it would be better to move to lower timeframes, but other significant levels can still include the 0.382 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. Additionally, the dynamic support of SMA25 seems promising as a strong potential support area. Since the price broke this average in 2024, it has consistently remained above this level, potentially acting as a strong area during pullbacks. For purchasing SUI, if it breaks $5.2003, you might consider entering a buy position or buying on spot. As for targets, it is currently difficult to determine from Fibonacci levels until we see where the correction concludes. ⏳ Daily Timeframe: In the daily timeframe, we can see more details about the price's corrective movement. As mentioned, the price showed significant trend weakness towards the end of its upward trajectory, with volume decreasing and RSI divergence, and managed to climb to the area of 5.2882 with the help of an upward trend line. Currently, the price has broken this trend line and even settled below the 4.0846 area, retesting it. The SMA99 has also been broken after a long time, and the price is closing below the 3.6413 area. Should the price break through 3.6413 and consolidate below this area, we could see a correction extending to the Fibonacci range between 0.5 and 0.618, which is a very strong demand zone and could form the next price floor. If this level breaks, the main support will be at 1.7504. An important note on this downward movement is that volume is still declining overall, and typically, green candles have outnumbered red ones, suggesting buyers are still present in the market. Thus, if the price reconsolidates above the 4.0846 area and this downward move is deemed a fakeout, breaking the downward trend line could be a good trigger for entering a long position or even buying on spot. The target for this position isn't very large and would be the ceiling of the box. The main trigger for a long would be the break of 1.2502, which is an excellent trigger and could potentially start a new upward leg if the price can establish above this area. 👑 SUI/BTC Pair This chart is undergoing a similar correction phase, showing a steeper decline after breaking its bullish trendline. The next significant level to watch is 0.00003420; breaking below could lead to a drop towards 0.00002516, with RSI entering the oversold region aiding the downward movement. Conversely, a break above 0.00004002 would confirm a bullish reversal, especially if it coincides with a break above $4.0846 in the USDT pair, opening up an excellent long position opportunity. The primary resistance on this chart is currently at 0.00005439. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
34
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 31, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) underwent heavy selling during the Asian session on Tuesday and pulled back from the six-week high reached the previous day against its US counterpart. Investors remain concerned about the potential economic fallout from US President Donald Trump's trade policies, which in turn undermines the Japanese yen. In addition, a good rebound in US Treasury bond yields was another factor pushing flows away from the low-yielding yen. The recovery of the US dollar is adding to the pressure on the yen, reducing its attractiveness. Nevertheless, a significant decline in the yen seems unlikely amid bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates. On the contrary, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to cut interest rates twice this year, which in turn could serve as a headwind for US bond yields, the dollar and the currency pair. Investors continue to monitor developments, including upcoming speeches by Fed and BoJ officials, as well as the publication of key economic indicators that could affect the future dynamics of USD/JPY. Trade recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XAU/USD (Gold) Triangle Breakout (30.01.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 2785 2nd Resistance – 2794 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
33
GBP/JPY Triangle Breakout (29.1.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 191.77 2nd Support – 191.00 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
38
GBP/USD Wedge Breakout (30.1.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.2519 2nd Resistance – 1.2571 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
13
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 30, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is trading slightly higher around 1.24450 in the early hours of European trading on Thursday. The moderate decline in the US dollar is providing some support to the major pair. Investors will be keeping a close eye on the preliminary US gross domestic product (GDP) data for the fourth quarter (Q4), due for release later today. GBP/USD spun in a tight circle on Wednesday, briefly dipping into the 1.24000 area after the Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates unchanged. Interest rate futures markets generally predicted no movement on interest rates as the Fed sees little reason to rush into further rate cuts. The second half of the trading week will see the release of key U.S. data to see if the Fed did the right thing. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve (Fed) left rates unchanged as futures markets had predicted, with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reiterating that the Fed takes a data-dependent approach when adjusting rates. Fed Chairman Powell noted that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is closely watching what policies US President Donald Trump will pursue, but denied that the newly elected US President has been in direct contact with the Fed. Fed Chairman Powell said that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is closely monitoring what policies US President Donald Trump will pursue, but denied that the newly elected US president has had direct contact with the Fed. As an independent federal agency, the White House has little influence over policy recommendations made by the Federal Reserve. Fed Chairman Powell also noted that while inflation is still trending toward the medium target level, the current economic landscape, as well as some concerns about the sweeping trade policies pursued by US President Trump, mean that the Fed is in no hurry to adjust the restrictive nature of rates. Betting markets have lowered their bets on a Fed rate cut in 2025. According to CME's FedWatch tool, rate futures markets are pricing in no change in the federal funds rate until June at the earliest. Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.24500, when fixing above it consider Buy positions, when rebounding consider Sell positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR RALLY ON ECB MEETING?Trading Plan for ECB Rate Decision 1. BASELINE 📊 - Market Expectations for Interest Rates: The market is anticipating a rate cut by the ECB, with a forecasted main refinancing rate of **2.90%** down from **3.15%**. The STIR markets have priced in a 50 bps cut, suggesting strong expectations for a reduction. - Upcoming Event Predictions: Consensus is that the ECB will cut rates by either 25 bps or 50 bps to stimulate the economy due to lower inflation and weaker-than-expected growth. - Trend Analysis: The ECB has been lowering rates since last year in response to economic challenges. This trend is likely to continue. - Pre-positioning Observation: The flat movement in the proprietary euro index suggests cautious pre-positioning, indicating that significant moves might occur post-announcement. 2. SURPRISE⚡ : - 25 bps Cut: If the ECB cuts rates by **25 bps**, it could lead to an upside in the euro due to repricing, as the market has priced in a 50 bps cut. - 50 bps Cut: If the ECB cuts rates by **50 bps**, it might be seen as expected, leading to a less significant market reaction. 3. BIGGER PICTURE 🌐 - Short-term Play: If the ECB cuts rates by **25 bps**, initiate a short-term intraday trade on the predictable directional volatility, taking advantage of the potential upside in the euro due to repricing. - Long-term Play: The broader expectations for future interest rates remain unchanged, suggesting that neither scenario will alter the bigger picture significantly.
Long
by Midas_Macro
NVIDIA is DONE? Or it is a good entry point? NVIDIA: Analyzing the Recent Price Drop and Long-Term Prospects Greetings, this is Ronin. Today, we’ll dive into what happened yesterday with NVIDIA’s stock and why market panic is no reason to surrender. Let’s break down the situation step by step to understand the real drivers behind this decline. What Happened? Yesterday, the market was shaken by news from China: the development of a new artificial intelligence (AI) system that is cheaper to build and requires fewer computational resources. In response, NVIDIA’s stock plummeted, triggering concern among investors. The key issue fueling the sell-off was fear of an AI sector revaluation. After NVIDIA’s meteoric rise of +200–300% over the past two years, even the slightest doubt can cause significant price fluctuations. However, let’s not view the market through a lens of panic. Drops like this are temporary corrections, and here’s why NVIDIA remains a powerhouse in its industry. Market Volatility: A Natural Phenomenon Imagine a river encountering a sudden boulder. The current becomes turbulent, water splashes and roars, but eventually, the river finds its way forward. Similarly, in the market, fundamental news about technological breakthroughs can stir things up, but capital always flows back to strong, stable assets. Looking at NVIDIA’s chart, we can identify several local support levels where prices have repeatedly rebounded during past periods of market turbulence. These levels indicate that the current panic is not a collapse but rather a pullback within a long-term trend. Why NVIDIA Remains Strong Beyond Artificial Intelligence NVIDIA’s products are not limited to AI development; they are integral to numerous high-tech sectors: GPUs that are the gold standard in the gaming industry. Solutions for data centers, automotive industries, and cloud computing. Trump’s AI Investments Former President Donald Trump recently announced a $500 billion investment in the U.S. AI sector. This substantial funding will bolster domestic demand for NVIDIA’s products. Technological Leadership NVIDIA produces processors unmatched in performance. Even if Chinese AI outperforms in certain areas, no country will completely dethrone NVIDIA. Competition? Yes. Dominance? Unlikely. Long-Term Forecast Short-term pullbacks are a natural part of market cycles. When news sparks panic, assets that previously showed enormous growth inevitably experience corrections. However, this does not negate long-term potential. Key Figures: 2-Year Growth: +200–300%. Current Correction: -12% in a day. Long-Term Growth Outlook: NVIDIA’s annual revenue growth is still expected at 30–40%, according to analysts. NVIDIA’s stock drop is a temporary event driven by short-term revaluation. Once liquidity returns and the panic subsides, the stock is poised to resume its upward trajectory. Conclusion The market has always been a stage for emotions to play out. But a true trader knows: when everyone is panicking, it’s time to act. Chinese AI? It’s just another player entering the vast technological field. NVIDIA, on the other hand, remains a titan that sets the standard. Panic comes and goes, but trends endure. With NVIDIA, we’ll witness many more peaks. This is Ronin. See you at the top of the charts! 📈💎
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by StarTradePro
China strikes NVIDIA: The company loses nearly $500 billionThe stock price of #NVIDIA fell by 13.93%, closing at $118 on January 27 , following the success of Chinese startup DeepSeek in artificial intelligence. The plunge in NVIDIA’s shares was triggered by the rising prominence of DeepSeek, whose AI model R1 surpassed OpenAI in key metrics, raising concerns over the U.S.’s leadership in IT technologies. The market capitalization of companies like NVIDIA dropped by over $1 trillion. Last week, DeepSeek unveiled an updated model capable of providing reasoning-based answers, while its development costs remain significantly lower than those of competitors. This has raised doubts about the necessity of high investments in AI accelerators. Satya Nadella of Microsoft highlighted the importance of carefully analyzing developments from China. DeepSeek’s advancements have disrupted the AI market, leading to a sell-off of U.S. tech stocks. Futures on the NASDAQ-100 (#NQ100) fell by 4%, while shares of European and Japanese semiconductor and tech companies also declined. NVIDIA is facing significant market challenges, which are already impacting its future prospects. However, the demand for innovation may open new avenues for growth.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 28, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) weakened during the Asian session on Tuesday, moving away from the six-week high recorded earlier against the US dollar (USD). The weakening was driven by investor concerns over the impact of US President Donald Trump's trade policy. Tougher rhetoric on trade tariffs, in particular statements about new duties, undermined the yen's position as a defensive asset. An additional pressure factor was the rise in US Treasury bond yields, which attracted capital flows into dollar assets. Amid the recovery of the US dollar, which reached the lowest level since 18 December, the USD/JPY pair approached 155.00. Despite the current weakness of the yen, analysts believe that its significant decline is unlikely. This is due to expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates, supporting the national currency. On the other hand, the US Federal Reserve (Fed), according to forecasts, may cut interest rates twice in 2025, which will put pressure on the dollar. A rate cut could reduce the attractiveness of US assets and hamper further growth of the USD/JPY pair. Investors will closely follow macroeconomic data and speeches of central bankers. USD/JPY is expected to remain in the range of 154.50-155.50, but any change of rhetoric from the Fed or BoJ can significantly affect the market dynamics. Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 155.00, trading mainly with Sell orders
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XAG/USD Channel Breakout (28.1.2025)The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 29.26 2nd Support – 28.88 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1