SMR approaching DCA opprtunityNYSE:SMR is approaching a potential entry point for the start of a DCA strategy for a long term hold.
SUMMARY
Wait to see where the price moves. Using a combination of RSI reaching 30 and the price falling to (with a 3 day filter) around $4 or if the price continues to fall then around $2 (another 3 day filter at this level too), begin entry with a DCA strategy. Alternatively, if the price rises above $6, after a 3 day filter, begin DCA. If the price starts forming a flag between $5 and $5.80, enter once RSI has reached 30 (for those with a higher risk appetite can just use the RSI as an indicator) or await a range breakout/down to either enter at the $4 or $2 or $6 level as described above with or without a three day filter.
The price was seeing exponential growth in the leadup to the latest quarterly earnings report and popped a few days after. However, the price has subsequently fallen back down and now seems to be forming a pattern.
It is unknown really what caused the price to jump. And there has not been any significant insider trading on the day (or lead up to the day) where the price recently peaked.
The company itself has a healthy balance sheet and debt/equity ratio. It is still in the growth phase as they build somewhat emerging tech (nuclear power is established but their approach to providing customers modular smaller power stations is unique) and a large part of their customer base is still a maturing market (power hungry data centres wanting their own onsite nuclear power source, particularly those now being setup for providing AI). The company's income statement reflects this as net income over the recent years remains negative and is also not showing an upwards trajectory.
With this in mind this would be a stock for a long term hold with a DCA investment strategy until, whichever comes first, either a total dollar figure invested is reached or the company becomes long term profitable (i.e. exits the growth phase).
With the recent price fluctuations it is crucial to not enter too early as due to the immature nature of the industry and company, the price also has a high likelihood of remaining at a low level for quite some time. However, a DCA entry opportunity is also forming based on one of the 3 of the more likely price trend scenarios described in the chart. Details on these are as follows.
Scenarios 1 and 2:
Wait to see which way the price begins to move and see if it falls to one of the two support levels identified, make use of the RSI to identify the optimum entry point. If the price falls to $4, add in a 3 day filter to see if the price doesn't fall further and likewise add in a 3 day filter if the price continues to fall from $4 to $2. If the RSI has reached 30, and the 3 day filter has shown that $4 or $2 were a support level begin DCA. If the price continues to fall below 2, halt the DCA to see where the price becomes stable and then restart once the RSI starts trending upwards again.
Scenario 3:
If the price begins ranging between $5.30 and $5.80, depending on risk appetite, begin DCA once the RSI reaches 30 or starts trending upwards. If the price breaks out above $6, then add in a 3 day filter to ensure the breakout wasn't a false dawn, and start the DCA investment independent of where the RSI is.
Fundamental-analysis
EURUSD - LONG - MARCH 28, 2024EURUSD has broken structure on the 1hr timeframe which will cause a pullback. But then, the supply zone which it has tap into could make it pullback to a potential demand zone. This demand zone at 1.09000 seems to be that it will attract price to it cause of the liquidity that is resting below it. At this point lets keep our fingers crossed and follow price action.
Whats EURUSD Next Target?📣Hello Mates!
Yesterday, we observed significant growth in the market, with the euro climbing to 1.08650. Following that peak, the market began to decline and has been steadily falling since then.
We believe that the downward trend will continue, potentially reaching our targets of 1.08000 or 1.07765.
🔑 Remember, money management is crucial. Before employing our analysis, please conduct your own research and refrain from investing more than 2% of your portfolio.
📈 Our resistance levels are spotted at:
- 1.08380
- 1.08900
📉 And our support levels are set at:
- 1.08200
- 1.07650
Stay tuned for further updates and trade smartly! 📊
Whats GBPUSD Next Target? See Our AnalysisWe have observed that since GBPUSD broke from 1.28000, it has been continuously declining. According to our prediction, GBPUSD may continue to decrease further, with our target set at 1.25380, 1.25000.
If GBPUSD breaks the 1.26380 resistance level again, its target would be 1.26800
🔑 Remember, money management is crucial. Before employing our analysis, please conduct your own research and refrain from investing more than 2% of your portfolio.
📈 Our resistance levels are spotted at:
- 1.26780
- 1.27800
📉 And our support levels are set at:
- 1.25770
- 1.25380
Stay tuned for further updates and trade smartly! 📊
Whats Gold Next Target? See Our Analysis📣Hello Mates!
We have observed that since gold broke from $2200, it has been continuously declining. According to our prediction, gold may continue to decrease further, with our target set at $2150 or $2146.
If gold breaks the 2180 resistance level again, its target would be 2200 & 2213.
🔑 Remember, money management is crucial. Before employing our analysis, please conduct your own research and refrain from investing more than 2% of your portfolio.
📈 Our resistance levels are spotted at:
- 2180
- 2200
📉 And our support levels are set at:
- 2146
- 2135
Stay tuned for further updates and trade smartly! 📊
Buy EURUSD News BasedThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potentially ambiguous situation with an expanding triangle pattern. While this pattern can signal a breakout in either direction, some caution is advised before entering a long (buy) position.
Potential Long Trade :
Entry around: 1.0823 (current price)
Target Levels:
1.0880: This represents the upper trendline of the triangle, which could act as the initial upside target upon a confirmed breakout.
1.0900: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on the recent price movement.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss order below the lower trendline of the triangle, ideally around 1.0807. This helps limit potential losses if the price breaks down from the triangle pattern.
Thank you.
AUDNZD-4H-POTENTIAL REVERSALI am re-entring again in this trade, technical and fundamentals are also supporting this setup
cot index of AXY Index is at the top and ZXY comes from the top so AXY is neutral and ZXY is reversing with commercial flip data
technical pointer and bias is also bullish
I am re-entering this trade with a doubling my risk
The next BTC target is 51000? Please check analysis📣 Hello Mates!
We observed BTC going bullish continuously for the last several months, but suddenly it dropped from 73000 and retraced back to 60000.
As we mentioned in the previous chart, the market would rebound from 72000 or 73000, which is now acting as our resistance. Indeed, the market bounced back from there, fulfilling both of our target markets. For instance, it could rise from 66000 to 68000 or even 70000, after which it is expected to retrace again, reaching around 60000 to 61000. Following this, there might be a slight bullish movement, and then our last target would be 51000.
While we have a very strong support at 60000 or 61000, if the market breaks this support, then the next target would be 56000. If it further breaks 56000, then our final target is 51000.
Now our buy targets are 66000, 68000, and 70000, and our sell zone targets are 61000, 56000, and 51000 respectively.
Stay tuned for further updates and trade smartly! 📊
Sell GBPUSD Bearish FlagThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to the presence of a well-defined bearish flag pattern. This pattern often indicates a continuation of a downtrend following a brief period of consolidation.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) around the current price of 1.2618, positioned near the resistance line of the flag. This offers an entry point close to the perceived continuation of the downtrend.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the following levels:
1.2556: This represents the height of the flag, measured from the top trendline to the bottom trendline, projected downwards from the breakout point.
1.2524: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the previous price movement before the flag formation.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance line of the flag, ideally around 1.2665. This helps limit potential losses if the price breaks above the flag pattern.
Thank you.
Sell NZDJPY Bearish FlagThe NZD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to the presence of a well-defined bearish flag pattern. This pattern often indicates a continuation of a downtrend following a brief period of consolidation.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) around the current price of 90.85, positioned near the resistance line of the flag. This offers an entry point close to the perceived continuation of the downtrend.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the following levels:
90.30: This represents the height of the flag, measured from the top trendline to the bottom trendline, projected downwards from the breakout point.
89.92: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the flagpole (the initial downtrend before the flag formation).
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance line of the flag, ideally around 91.30. This helps limit potential losses if the price breaks above the flag pattern.
Thank you.
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 26, 2024 EURUSDEUR/USD is unable to capitalize on a good bounce from 1.08000, a three-week low, and has been fluctuating in a narrow range during Tuesday's Asian session. Spot prices are currently trading around 1.08400, almost unchanged for the day, and remain at the mercy of US Dollar (USD) price action.
Last week, the US central bank said that it still intends to cut interest rates by 75 bps this year. That said, several Fed officials expressed concerns over stagnant inflation and stronger than expected US macroeconomic data. This, in turn, kept traders from placing new directional bets on the US Dollar and led to a subdued/limited price scenario for the Euro-Dollar pair.
On the other hand, the common currency is undermined by expectations for a June rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB). In fact, Bank of Italy Governor Fabio Panetta said on Monday that the ECB is moving towards an interest rate cut as inflation is falling rapidly and approaching the 2% target. Separately, ECB chief economist Philip Lane said the central bank may consider changing interest rates once it becomes more confident that wage growth is slowing and inflation is returning to the 2% target as forecast. This contributes to limiting the EURUSD's upside.
Trading recommendation: Trade in the channel 1.0800-1.0870 on a bounce from the levels.
What's Gold's Next Target? See Our Analysis.📣Hello Mates!
We have observed that since gold broke from $2211, it has been continuously declining. According to our prediction, gold may continue to decrease further, with our target set at $2150 or $2146.
🔑 Remember, money management is crucial. Before employing our analysis, please conduct your own research and refrain from investing more than 2% of your portfolio.
📈 Our resistance levels are spotted at:
- 2180
- 2175
📉 And our support levels are set at:
- 2146
- 2135
Stay tuned for further updates and trade smartly! 📊
SONAE: Fundamental figures too good to overlook. Time to buy?Fundamental Analysis
EBITDA: +7.2% YoY (to €990M in 2023)
Margin: 11.8% (-0.2 points YoY)
Net Income Group Share = 357 (+6.3% YoY)
PER: 1680 / 357 = 4.71 (heavily undervalued considering below data and historical PERs)
Net Gearing (Net Debt To Equity Ratio, ): 526/3462 = 0.15 (15%, Prudent)
Total Debt To Equity Ratio: 5383 / 3462 = 1.55 (around 1 to 1.5 is healthy according to British Business Bank's article "Debt to equity ratios for healthy businesses")
Current ratio: 2010/2502= 0.80 (not healthy and almost unchanged with respect to 2022, see next line. According to Wall Street Prep, 1.5 to 3.0 is healthy)
Net Debt to Ebitda = 526 / 990 = 0.53
Working Capital = -1220M€, keeps being negative. Very interesting article from eFinanceManagement explains the Advantages of Negative Working Capital for a cash-rich company whose operating cycle is fast (it may mean that they can bargain very well with their suppliers who provide the funds and the flexible time limit to pay).
Prev Current ratio (2022): 1938/2465 = 0.79
Proposed dividend for 2023: 0.05639€
EPS = 357M€ / 2000M = 0.18€/share (ATH?)
Current dividend yield = 6.19%
Dividend Payout Ratio = x 100 = 31%
Free cash flow Dividend payout ratio = x 100 = 60%
Technical Analysis
There was a disjoint channel happening since July 2022 on the Daily Graph in which the share price dropped out in the lower end in December 2023. Since the company has very good fundamentals, the possibility of an inverse H&S could be around the corner, having an interesting point of entry at 0.78-0.81. However, the share price is already heavily undervalued considering the fundamental analysis previously done. The daily RSI (14) bounced back in March 2023 from below 30 directly to the upper band at 70 indicating the possibility of a continuation of share price upward movement up to +20%. Therefore, it is up to the investor to decide whether at current prices (0.85-0.88€) is already worth the risk (if the 0.78€ ever gets touched and then bounces back up, the drawdown risk would be -11.4%).
Finally, it is expected that on May the company will pay the dividend. Therefore, the share price may re-adjust its value upwards in April before the dividend is paid and the share price is subsequently slashed down again.
Have a great week ahead.
This week is critical for ISPHThis week is critical for ISPH
Multi timeframe analysis weekly to 5 minutes
Analysis is based on Ichimoku, and Elliot waves. Confirmation is done by other indicators such as MACD, stochastic RSI, OBV, and RedK Everex.
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Disclaimer:
The Content is for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.
There are risks associated with investing in stocks, and might involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Investors should note that past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. The investment value may be affected by market fluctuations.
The stocks mentioned here are not equivalent to, nor should it be treated as a substitute for, time deposit or any other form of saving deposits.
Investment in the securities of smaller companies can involve greater risk than is generally associated with investment in larger, more established companies that can result in significant capital losses.
Next Gold Target? check Forecast 📣Hello Mates!
Yesterday, at the time of the news, gold was trading at 2158.
Since then, gold has been steadily rising and has reached 2222.
We anticipate that gold will pull back slightly further, possibly reaching 2193 or 2187, before resuming its upward trend towards its target of 2213 or 2220.
🔑 Remember, money management is crucial. Before employing our analysis, please conduct your own research and refrain from investing more than 2% of your portfolio.
📈 Our resistance levels are spotted at:
- 2213
- 2222
📉 And our support levels are set at:
- 2193
- 2187
Stay tuned for further updates and trade smartly! 📊
EUR/USD Analysis Summary:Price & Pattern: EUR/USD at 1.08397. 4H chart shows double top rejection, followed by resistance breakout—bearish indication.
Technical Implications: Pattern suggests potential bearish reversal, favoring sellers.
Demand Zone: Approaching demand zone, but bearish bias persists.
FOMC Impact: Pending FOMC news could strengthen USD (DXY index)—further downside pressure on EUR/USD likely.
Anticipated Movement: Downside risk prevails, especially post-FOMC, aiming for bearish targets.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for March 21, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) is gaining positive momentum during the Asian session on Thursday and is recovering from its lowest level since November 2023 reached the previous day. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is reportedly considering another rate hike in July, although an October hike is seen as one of the most likely scenarios. This, along with favorable economic data from Japan, is putting good pressure on the Yen amid speculation that Japanese authorities may intervene to stop further weakening of the currency.
The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, is adding to overnight losses influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) stance, which in turn is seen as another factor putting downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan said earlier this week that financial conditions will remain accommodative and offered no guidance on future steps or pace of policy normalization. This could deter JPY bulls from aggressive bets and help limit further losses for the currency pair.
Trading Recommendation: Watch 151.000, on a rebound take Sell positions
Buy XAUUSD Triangle BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair (spot gold) on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout from a triangle pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) around the current price of 2159, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the following levels:
2174: This represents the height of the triangle, measured from the apex (highest or lowest point) to the base (opposite trendline), projected upwards from the breakout point.
2182: This is achieved by adding the height of the triangle to the breakout point.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the triangle, ideally around 2153. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Thank you
Buy XAUUSD Channel BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair (spot gold) on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout from a well-defined bullish channel pattern. This suggests ongoing buying pressure and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) around the current price of 2161. This offers an entry point close to the breakout level, where buying pressure might be intensifying.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the following levels:
2174: This represents the height of the channel, measured from the channel bottom (support line) to the top (resistance line), projected upwards from the breakout point.
2182: This is achieved by adding the height of the channel to the breakout point. These targets act as potential resistance zones that could see buying interest.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the channel, ideally around 2153. This helps limit potential losses if the trend unexpectedly reverses.
Thank you
Buy AUDJPY Bullish ChannelThe AUD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to the presence of a well-defined bullish channel pattern. This pattern suggests ongoing buying pressure and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) around the current price of 97.77, positioned near the channel support. This offers an entry point close to potential buying pressure.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the previous resistance levels within the channel, now acting as potential support zones: 98.21 and 98.44. Further upside targets could be determined using other technical analysis methods like Fibonacci retracements or extensions.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken support line of the channel, ideally around 97.60. This helps limit potential losses if the price breaks down and invalidates the bullish pattern.
Thank you
Today's gold targets? Please see the analysis📣Hello Mates!
We can observe the market running sideways without a clear trend. Therefore, we can hope that the market will buy from the $2148 or $2137 area, with our final target being $2172.
🔑 Remember, money management is crucial. Before employing our analysis, please conduct your own research and refrain from investing more than 2% of your portfolio.
📈 Our resistance levels are spotted at:
- 2175
- 2185
📉 And our support levels are set at:
- 2146
- 2136
Stay tuned for further updates and trade smartly! 📊
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 20, 2024 EURUSDThe Euro-dollar pair is trading flat above the mid-1.0800s at the start of the Asian session on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is consolidating its gains near three-week highs of 103.80. Traders are expecting the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting later in the day and will be more focused on Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference and economic forecasts after the meeting. The major pair is currently trading at 1.0865, unchanged for the day.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to leave the key federal funds interest rate unchanged in the 5.25%-5.5% range and maintain its macroeconomic outlook at its March meeting on Wednesday. Analysts expect Powell to reiterate that the central bank wants to see evidence of inflation-fighting data before cutting rates. Financial markets are expecting a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in July and an overall cut of 100 bps this year. The US Dollar (USD) has attracted some buying in recent sessions as market expectations for a rate cut have been lowered.
Trading recommendation: Trade in the range of 1.0835-1.0900 on the rebound from the levels
What is GBPUSD next target: 1.2660 or 1.29500?📣 Hello Mates!
Our prediction is that GBPUSD will sell from the 1.27750 or 1.28000 area. After that, our sell targets are 1.27000 and 1.26650
🔑 Remember, money management is crucial. Before employing our analysis, please conduct your own research and refrain from investing more than 2% of your portfolio.
📈 Our Resistance Levels are spotted at:
- 1.28000
- 1.28500
📉 And our Support Levels are set at:
- 1.27000
- 1.26600
Stay tuned for further updates and trade smartly! 📊