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Fundamental-analysis

Sell GBPUSD Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a triangle pattern. Key Points: Triangle Breakout: The price has been trading within a triangle pattern, characterized by converging trendlines. This pattern can be interpreted as a continuation of the prior trend or a potential reversal depending on the breakout direction. The recent break below the lower trendline signifies a potential confirmation of a downtrend continuation. Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2662, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the following levels @ 1.2585 and 1.2552 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken resistance line of the triangle, ideally around 1.2695. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
11
Getting Paid? With the USD/TRY Carry Trade?The USD/TRY has one of the highest Roll Over Interest out there should you choose to take on this highly volatile pair. It isn't so much that it is volatile, it has to do more with price just moves one direction, and that is up. The way we want to go is down (short) or at least sideways (ranging). Why is this interesting? It is because the Rollover Interest for going short stands at a whopping annualized rate of 28.94%. With 1:4 Margin Requirement for trading a standard lot on the TRY (based off the broker I use), $25,000 could earn me $28,940 yearly, which would be a staggering 115% return at the end of the year. Compounded, I would be a multimillionaire in no time, Buying up yachts, private jets, gourmet food, luxury cars, a pony that shoots lasers, Space X Starship, and countless other items. But hold up, is there a downside or something that makes this too good to be true? Yes, there is price movement as well as changes in interest rates as well as capital in the account. Having only $25,000 in the account, going full throttle and placing one huge position is sure to activate a margin call within seconds (as price can move thousands of pips against you quickly) and/or cause you to lose more than you put in. Now, we don't want that. You would need to have at least double the amount in the account in order to allow for price movement. The return would be halved, but making over 50% yearly isn't too bad either, is it? With price movement, the USD/TRY (I just call it the TRY), price moved higher over 57,000 pips in 2022, and over 100,000 pips in 2023; that is $18,240 and $32,000 respectively. Interest have just reached 45%, so things definitely would not have been good. Now, with funds in your account, not to many of us have $25,000 lying around to utilize in the markets, nor do we want to just tie up $25,000 into something really risky. Yet if used correctly and price does stabilize, then the TRY carry trade could payout (similar to the EUR/HUF). What could be done to reduce the risk? For starters, position sizing. Don't use the full force of your account and go "YOLO." Manage expectations. With a $25,000 account size, only getting into a position at around $3,750 (which is about 15% of the account used and a 15k position), would be around $3,650 return, which would be about a 14.6% return (still not bad. How many people can do this). If things go sour and price does move up at the end the year by 100,000 pips against you ($0.05 move per pip), that would be -$5,000 reduced to $1,350 because of the gained rollover interest (which would be only a 5% hit to your account instead of 20%). Putting some hedges in could also reduce some of the risk. Additionally, research and analysis, this could push you to make a more informative speculation on if getting into the pair is a good idea. Furthermore, to really ensure you don't lose any money, is to not get into the pair at all. For myself, I am utilizing around 41% of my Forex account in this pair, about 14% of my overall accounts. There are hedges in place to reduce the impact of price moving against me as well as my position being small enough to not cause any traumatic moves, even if price moves 100,000 pips against me (of course don't want that to happen). The decision is also made to stay in this pair for the long term or until there is some major changes. There is additional funds in reserves if needed, if things don't go well, in order to put another plan into play to get out of my positions in an orderly fashion. You all have some great trading out there.
Education
by DollarSaenz
2
Will TRY Continue to Fly or Will it Hold the 30 and Say GoodbyePrice has been pushing higher and higher and climbed thousands and thousands of PIPs since 2021. But with the increased interest rates (42.5%), will this be enough to prevent price from higher? Potentially. There needs to be more confidence in the Lira, which could be happening. Pimco and Vanguard (US Investment Companies), are investing in Turkey, which could be a good sign. If companies are starting to invest in Turkey, this could help their currency issues. What could also help and maybe is helping currently, is the TRY is a good carry trade, especially if there is a halt to the rapid depreciation in the Lira. The CBRT will likely hold rates at his high lvls for a while as they work to break the upward trajectory. Additionally, if analyst, traders, and investors are correct, and the FED reduces rates, this will assist price on pushing lower. Furthermore, when economic data is released, if inflation starts taking a hit to the downside (currently above 61%), this could bring in that confidence that is needed also and start pushing the TRY lower. If all these factors do improve the Lira, I am thinking price might even be able to hit the 27 lvl. For now, I got a small position on this pair, collecting a decent amount of positive rollover. I will build up as price pushes higher. I am able to sustain if price pushes 10,000 pips against me. Price is currently over 7,000 pips against me, with a manageable floating loss, and I am still looking to build a larger position. Manage your risk and do your own due diligence before placing any trades.
Short
by DollarSaenz
2
DOT/USDT 1DInterval Chart ReviewI invite you to review the DOT chart, taking into account the interval of one day. We will start by identifying the downward trend line from which the price came out on top and created a local uptrend channel, in which it is currently struggling to stay inside the channel. Further, after unfolding the trend based fib extension grid, you can see the first significant support at the level of $6.79, then the second support at the level of $5.93, and then the third very strong one at the price of $5.31. Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the resistance areas that the price must face. And here we see that currently the price has been rejected by the resistance at the level of $8.05, it still has to face the resistance zone from $8.95 to $9.40 so that it can grow further towards the level of $10.74. Please look at the RSI indicator, because, like the STOCH indicator, there is a visible recovery and both indicators show room for a deeper correction.
by cryptodailyuk
Sell EURJPY Channel Breakout The EUR/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a bullish channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming minutes or hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 162.85, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the previous support levels within the channel, now acting as potential resistance zones: 162.04 and 161.54. Further downside targets could be determined using other technical analysis methods like Fibonacci retracements or extensions. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken channel support line at 163.35. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
Manufacturing Data turns Manic 👹Welcome back traders to another Top-Down Analysis for Eur/Usd. We can observe an increase on EU that began on Tuesday of this week. As the week has progressed we have slowly climbed up to the next Daily Level 1.088. Better than expected numbers for EURO manufacturing data has provided a nice boost of bullish momenutm and continuation for the Eurusd to the upside. However, we've now filled the clean traffic range on the 1hr/4hr timeframes that extended from 1.080. In the coming session I am anticipating a selloff away from the Daily level 1.088. We may retest the high that we've created at 1.087 but things are looking a bit manic. Either way we must remain flexible with our bias when executing Intra-day.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Buy XAUUSD Channel FormationThe XAU/USD pair (spot gold) on the M30 timeframe displays a potential buying opportunity due to the presence of a bullish channel pattern. This pattern suggests ongoing buying pressure and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming minutes or hours. Key Points: Bullish Channel: The price has been trading within an upward-sloping channel, characterized by two converging lines: a rising support line and a rising resistance line. This ongoing uptrend signals continued buying pressure. Recent Price Action: The recent price action shows the price holding above the support line of the channel, indicating continued bullish momentum. Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position around the current price of 2026, positioned near the support line. This offers an entry point close to potential buying pressure. Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the previous resistance level within the channel, now acting as potential support: 2046. Further upside targets could be determined using other technical analysis methods like Fibonacci retracements or extensions. If Price Breaks the Channel, its Starts Bearish like, Channel Breakout Pattern. Thank you
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
Sell GBPNZD Bearish ChannelThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This pattern suggests ongoing selling pressure and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming minutes or hours. Key Points: Bearish Channel: The price has been trading within a descending channel characterized by two falling lines: a falling resistance line and a falling support line. This ongoing downtrend signals continued selling pressure. Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2.0420, positioned close to the channel resistance. This offers an entry point near a potential reversal zone. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 2.0335 and 2.0285, marking previous support zones within the channel. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken channel resistance line at 2.0480 This helps limit potential losses if the trend unexpectedly reverses.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1
EURUSD H4 channel continuous or breakout ?A chart of the EUR/USD currency pair on a 4-hour timeframe. The chart displays a bearish channel pattern. Bearish channel: The price has been trading within a downward-sloping channel for some time, characterized by a resistance line at the top and a support line at the bottom. The price is currently trading at Top of channel pattern, if Breaks the Upside then it start Bullish Sign. However, it is still early to say whether this is a genuine breakout or a false signal. Overall, the chart suggests a potential breakout from a bearish channel, which could be a bullish signal for the EUR/USD pair. Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
21
(G(Gold fundamental forecast📊📈⤵oHello traders what do you think about Gold) ast Gold fundamental analysis forec 📈📉🧾📊 (technical analysis forecast) OANDA:XAUUSD 📌🔍 (Gold price my last idea 💡gold pullback short 2037 pullback short 2004 hitting target 🎯 gold same pullback reset taste resistance 2014down trand short 1986) Gold fundamental forecast 🖊📝 ✅Fundamental analysis of gold involves assessing various factors that influence its price. Here are some key aspects to consider:🪶 Supply and Demand: Gold's price is influenced by supply and demand dynamics. Factors such as mine production, central bank holdings, jewelry demand, industrial demand, and investment demand (including ETFs and central bank purchases) play a role in determining the balance between supply and demand. Inflation and Economic✅ Stability: Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation and economic instability. During times of economic uncertainty or when inflation expectations rise, investors may flock to gold as a safe-haven asset, which can drive up its price. Interest Rates and Monetary Policy: Gold typically performs inversely to interest rates. When interest rates are low, the opportunity cost of holding gold (which doesn't provide a yield) decreases, making gold more attractive. Additionally, central bank policies, such as quantitative easing or tightening, can impact gold prices. ♻Currency Strength: Since gold is priced in US dollars, movements in the value of the dollar can influence the price of gold. A weaker dollar usually leads to higher gold prices, as it becomes cheaper for holders of other currencies. Geopolitical Events and Market Sentiment: Geopolitical tensions, such as conflicts or trade disputes, can increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Market sentiment and investor speculation also play a role in short-term price movements. 🥇Gold Production Costs: The cost of producing gold can impact its price. If production costs rise significantly, it may limit supply and support higher prices. Technological and Industrial Demand: While investment demand is significant, gold also has industrial uses in electronics, dentistry, and other sectors. Changes in technology or industrial demand can affect the overall demand for gold. Analyzing these factors along with broader economic trends and market sentiment can help in understanding the fundamental drivers of gold prices) Safe trade 🙏 plaes like ❤ and comment's don't forget next analysis follow me
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
2
Sell GBP/USD Bearish Channel The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe displays a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This pattern suggests ongoing selling pressure and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming hours. Key Points: Bearish Channel: The price has been trading within a descending channel characterized by two falling lines: a falling resistance line and a falling support line. This ongoing downtrend signals continued selling pressure. Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2590, positioned close to the channel resistance. This offers an entry point near a potential reversal zone. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 1.2502 and 1.2454, marking previous support zones within the channel. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken channel resistance line at 1.2635. This helps limit potential losses if the trend unexpectedly reverses. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
10
FTM/USDT 1DInterval ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the FTM chart on a one-day interval. As we can see, the price has broken the downward trend line, above which the price movement is currently maintained. When we look at the EMA Cross 10 and 30 indicator, we can see that the red EMA Cross 10 line has crossed the green EMA Cross 30 line from below, which indicates a local return to the uptrend. Looking at the current price increases, it is worth moving on to determining the resistance that we should take into account. And here there is a strong resistance zone from $0.56 to $0.66, only when the price overcomes it and then tests positively should we see an upward movement to the level of approximately $0.97. In the second direction, you can see how the price stays above the newly formed support at $0.42, then you can see support at $0.32, and then you can see how $0.25, which previously maintained a move in one and the other direction. The RSI indicator shows an upward movement with room for the price to go a little higher, but caution should be exercised because the STOCH indicator reflects at the upper limit, which may limit the growth.
by cryptodailyuk
Investments in the Communication Technology RevolutionTwilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) , a leading software developer for communications, presents an attractive investment opportunity amidst digital transformation. The company offers cloud communication solutions that enable enterprises to integrate voice calls, text messages, and other forms of communication directly into their applications and services. This unique platform makes Twilio an indispensable tool for businesses in the era of mobility and the Internet of Things. Analysts highly value Twilio's potential, considering the growing demand for integrated communication solutions. In a context where companies aim to improve customer interaction and optimize their services, Twilio offers powerful and flexible tools to achieve these goals. It's also worth noting that Twilio is actively expanding its product portfolio and geographic presence, providing the company with new markets and revenue sources. Acquisitions, such as SendGrid, have strengthened Twilio's position in the email segment, complementing its communication coverage. Furthermore, the innovative approach to the development and implementation of new technologies supports Twilio's long-term growth and competitiveness in the market. Given the continuous increase in data volumes and the need for their processing, Twilio has significant potential for further expansion in the cloud communications field. In conclusion, Twilio offers investors a unique opportunity to invest in a company at the forefront of communication technology innovations. Its products and services have broad applications across various sectors, from financial services to healthcare and retail, making TWLO shares an attractive choice for diversifying the investment portfolio and participating in the growth of the digital technology sector.
NYSE:TWLOLong
by olimchik
2
KASPA (KAS/USDT) Soars to New HeightsTechnical Analysis: KASPA (KAS/USDT) has emerged as a remarkable player in the cryptocurrency landscape, exhibiting sustained growth and resilience. The recent patterns observed in its charts underscore both its potential and the keen interest of investors. 1. Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Price Rebound: KASPA's journey through the market has recently brought it to an important Fair Value Gap (FVG) area. This FVG, often seen as a critical juncture in price action, was met with a robust response as the price rebounded from it. This rebound is not just a random fluctuation but a strong indicator of underlying market confidence and investor interest. 2. Daily Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Cross: Coinciding with the rebound from the FVG, a daily EMA cross has been confirmed. This is a significant technical event, as Daily EMA crosses are often used to identify potential trend reversals or confirmations. In KASPA's case, this Daily EMA cross suggests a strengthening of the bullish trend, adding more credibility to the ongoing upward movement. 3. Breaching the All-Time High (ATH): Adding to the bullish sentiment, KASPA has, for the first time, broken past its All-Time High (ATH). This breach is not just a milestone but also a testament to the growing trust and optimism among investors regarding KASPA's future. Fibonacci Extension Targets: Utilizing the Fibonacci extension tool, we can project potential future price targets for KASPA. The calculated targets are as follows: First Target @1.618 Fibonacci Level: 0.324933 Second Target @2.618 Fibonacci Level: 0.467368 Third Target @3.618 Fibonacci Level: 0.612101 Fourth Target @4.236 Fibonacci Level: 0.699502 These targets provide a roadmap for where KASPA's price could head next, assuming the continuation of the current trend and market dynamics. Fundamentals Analysis: In the last 30 days, KASPA has not only made waves in the technical charts but also strengthened its fundamental position. Recent Developments and Partnerships: KASPA has recently announced several key partnerships, further integrating its technology into broader applications. These partnerships, focusing on areas like decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), are crucial for expanding KASPA's ecosystem and increasing its utility. Community and Developer Engagement: The project has seen a surge in community involvement and developer activity. The introduction of new tools and platforms for developers, along with community-driven initiatives, has fostered a more robust and active ecosystem. This increase in engagement is a positive sign, indicating a growing and dedicated user base. Regulatory Compliance and Security Measures: KASPA has also been proactive in ensuring regulatory compliance, a key factor in sustaining long-term growth. The team has taken steps to adhere to evolving global regulations, enhancing investor confidence. Additionally, security measures have been strengthened to protect against potential threats and vulnerabilities. Market Sentiment and Investor Interest: The overall market sentiment towards KASPA remains positive. Increasing investor interest, as evidenced by social media activity and cryptocurrency forums, suggests a bullish outlook. This sentiment is bolstered by KASPA's consistent performance and strategic initiatives aimed at long-term growth. In conclusion, KASPA's technical and fundamental analysis paints a picture of a cryptocurrency with strong potential, backed by a robust ecosystem and growing investor confidence. The synergy of technical strengths and solid fundamentals positions KASPA favorably for future growth. However, as with any investment, market dynamics and external factors could influence its trajectory.
Long
by Market-Pip-Factory
2
Investment Opportunity in Innovative Food TechnologyPapa Murphy's Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:FRSH) , known for its unique "take-and-bake" pizza concept, presents an attractive investment opportunity in the fast-food sector. While many companies in this industry face challenges related to changing consumer preferences and operational costs, Papa Murphy's stands out with its innovative business model. Analysts note that Papa Murphy's offers a unique product that aligns with current trends in healthy eating and consumer preferences for home cooking. This differentiates the company from traditional fast-food chains and gives it a competitive edge. Furthermore, the company demonstrates strong financial performance and effective cost management, making its shares attractive in terms of value. The growth in sales and expansion of the store network indicate a robust business model and potential for further expansion. Papa Murphy's is also actively investing in digital integration and online ordering, enhancing its presence in the digital economy sector and increasing convenience for customers. This positions the company to attract a new generation of consumers who prefer convenience and personalized food options. In conclusion, FRSH offers a unique investment opportunity in the restaurant sector. Its innovative model, strong financial performance, and strategic focus on digitalization and healthy eating make it attractive to investors seeking growth and stability in the food industry.
NASDAQ:FRSHLong
by olimchik
NGD: New Horizons for New Gold Inc in the Gold Mining SectorNew Gold Inc. (ARCA:NGD) , a company engaged in gold mining, offers investors a unique opportunity to invest in the precious metals sector. With the latest earnings report showing C$0.04 per share for the quarter and total revenues of C$270.07 million, the company demonstrates stability in its operations, despite a negative net margin of 7.20% and a negative return on equity of 5.66%. With a current market capitalization of C$1.15 billion and a price range over the last year from C$1.13 to C$2.12, NGD shares are of interest to both short-term and long-term investors exploring opportunities in the gold mining sector. The company continues to explore and develop its main assets in Canada and Mexico, highlighting the potential for future growth and expansion. Significant insider activity, including the sale of a substantial number of shares by management, may indicate an internal view of the current stock value. Such sales, including transactions worth more than C$830,000 in the last quarter, underline the importance for investors to closely analyze insider movements and their potential impact on market value. The future outlook for NGD is full of both opportunities and challenges. When evaluating the investment potential of the company, factors such as fluctuations in gold prices, changes in the regulatory environment, and the company's ability to efficiently manage its operational expenses and debt obligations should be considered. For investors interested in the gold mining sector, New Gold Inc. offers the opportunity to invest in a company with a stable portfolio of operations and potential for growth in a climate of increased demand for precious metals. However, as with any investment, it is important to conduct thorough analysis and risk assessment. NOT TRADING ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH.
AMEX:NGDLong
by olimchik
Buy CADJPY Bullish channelThe CAD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a well-defined bullish channel pattern. This pattern suggests ongoing buying pressure and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming minutes or hours. Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position around the current price of 111.19, positioned close to the channel support. This offers an entry point near a potential continuation of the upward move. Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the resistance levels of 111.60 and 111.84, marking previous resistance zones within the channel. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the support line of the channel at 110.90. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back down. Thank you
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1
ETC/USDT 1D Long-Term CHartI invite you to review the ETC chart in pair with USDT, on a one-day time frame. First, we will use the yellow line to determine the main upward trend line. However, using blue lines locally, it is worth marking the local upward trend channel in which the price is currently located. Moving on, we can move on to marking the resistance points. And here, after unfolding the Fib Retracement tool, there is significant resistance at the level of $28.39, and then the price must face a strong resistance zone from $30.17 to $32.44. Looking the other way, we can see that there is support at the level of $23.68, then there is support at the level of $21.33, and further there is support around the level of $18.33. When we look at the RSI indicator, we can see that we remain in the upper part of the range, but with room for price increases, while on the STOCH indicator, we are bouncing off the upper limit, which could potentially provide a rebound, but the current BTC increases keep the market in the growth phase.
by cryptodailyuk