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Fundamental-analysis

Possible gold Out lookAs in my previous anylisis i have told that Gold can rally upwards and it has broken its 4H channel and made a rally above Gold has performed like an Ubriddeled horse yesterday but it seems like the buyers have got exhausted as price has began to drop after taking resistance over 2780 level of physiological resistance also the confluence for predicting a big drop is price has made a rising wedge pattern which can be a possibility to drop the price of Gold in todays trading session on the other hand if price goes More Upwards it can stall over 2800 price level which is also a physiological resistance level also we have a fair value Gap and an order block of 4H on 2740 price level so technically i am waiting to buy gold from above 2740 level of support
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Wakeel_Saab
Sell CHF/JPY Wedge BreakoutThe CHF/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 176.60, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 175.90 2nd Support – 175.30 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 177.30 This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
4
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 29, 2024 USDJPYThe Dollar-Yen pair is losing ground to the 152.950 level during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The pair is declining as the U.S. dollar (USD) retreats from the nearly three-month high reached in the previous session. However, the pair's decline may be limited amid uncertainty surrounding the composition of the next government and the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) rate hike plan. The loss of Japan's ruling coalition in the elections increases political and monetary policy uncertainty and could put pressure on the Japanese yen (JPY). “The ruling LDP and its coalition partner lost their majority in the lower house of parliament, raising concerns about the shape and direction of the next government's policies. Markets have also slightly reduced expectations of Bank of Japan policy tightening (which has helped local equities),” said Scotiabank chief currency strategist Sean Osborne. The Bank of Japan's interest rate decision will take center stage on Thursday. Nearly 86% of economists polled by Reuters expect Japan's central bank to leave rates unchanged at its October meeting on Thursday. On Tuesday, Japan's Statistics Bureau released data that the country's unemployment rate fell to 2.4% in September, down from the previous reading and the market consensus forecast of 2.5% Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
AAPL SHORT TRADE OUTLOOK ON EARNINGS REPORT DAY OCT.31, 2024NASDAQ:AAPL SHORT TRADE IDEA: WEEKLY FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS: >P/E Ratio (Quarterly Lookback): Apple's P/E is currently at 35.6, signaling overvaluation (typically anything above 25 is considered overvalued). >Correlation: Both Apple's P/E ratio and value compared to Treasury bonds are flashing overvalued signals. DAILY OUTLOOK: >Short-term and long-term value correlations vs T-bonds and P/E ratios suggest the stock may remain overbought until the upcoming earnings report, which could act as a catalyst. >Election Year Seasonality is strongly bearish as well. TECHNICAL INSIGHT: >AAPL may pull back to fill a previous price gap before slowing down. Stay sharp, traders! 🎯 #AAPL #ShortTrade #MarketAnalysis #Investing Disclaimer: This post is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It reflects general market fundamentals and personal speculation. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Trade at your own risk.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by TradersPod
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 28, 2024 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair started the new week on a weaker note and is trading around 1.29600-1.29550. Spot prices, however, remain within striking distance of the lowest level since August 16, near 1.29000 reached last week, and appear vulnerable to an extension of the month-long downtrend amid a bullish US Dollar (USD). On Friday, the U.S. Census Bureau reported that U.S. Durable Goods Orders fell 0.8% in September, which was slightly better than expectations of a 1% decline. Additional details of the report showed that new orders excluding transportation costs rose 0.4% in the reporting month. In addition, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index hit a six-month high of 70.5 in October, which was better than both the preliminary result and the previous month's reading. This data supports the view that the Fed will continue to moderate rate cuts throughout the year, which in turn triggers a new rise in US Treasury yields and continues to support the dollar. The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, is weakened by rising bets on further interest rate cuts by the Bank of England (BoE) in November and December, backed by a drop in the UK Consumer Price Index to its lowest level since April 2021 and below the central bank's 2% target. The aforementioned fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for the GBP/USD pair lies to the downside. Even from a technical perspective, recent repeated failures near the psychological 1.30000 mark support the prospects of a continued decline from the 1.34350 area, or the highest level since February 2022, reached last month. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Buy EUR/JPY Bullish FlagThe EUR/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 164.33, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 165.42 2nd Support – 166.05 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 163.70. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
8
Sell XAU/USD (Gold) Triangle BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2722 Target Levels: 1st Support – 2702 2nd Support – 2687 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2744. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
Sell EUR/CAD Bearish ChannelThe EUR/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.4908, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.4866 2nd Support – 1.4834 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.4940. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
3
Buy USD/CAD Bullish Flag in H1The USD/CAD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.3825, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3860 2nd Support – 1.3875 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.3807. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
Sell USD/CAD BoC Interest RateThe USD/CAD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to channel. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.3818, This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3778 2nd Support – 1.3750 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.3845. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 22, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) appreciated against its US counterpart during Tuesday's Asian session, partially recovering from the previous day's decline to its lowest level since late July. The recent verbal intervention from the Japanese authorities, coupled with a slight deterioration in global risk sentiment, have been instrumental in providing support to the safe-haven yen. However, the potential for gains for the yen is constrained by uncertainty surrounding the timing and pace of further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Meanwhile, concerns over the possibility of a widening budget deficit following the US presidential election on 5 November and bets on a less aggressive easing policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have pushed US Treasury yields to their highest levels in almost three months. This could result in significant appreciation of the Japanese Yen being contained. In addition, the underlying bullish tone on the US Dollar (USD) supports the prospects of some dip-buying in the USD/JPY pair. Trade recommendation: Trading predominantly Buy orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Sell BTC/USDT Wedge BreakoutThe BTC/USDT pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge Pattern pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 67600, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 64756 2nd Support – 63264 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 69940. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
3
Gold reaches historic high – $2700!Gold prices (XAUUSD) have reached a new all-time high, surpassing $2700 per ounce for the first time in history! The yellow metal, which has been rising for nine consecutive months, received fresh momentum in September from the Fed’s rate cut. Silver (XAGUSD) hasn’t been left behind either, and is currently trading at highs not seen since 2012. Prices are now around $32.30 per ounce, with silver’s growth this year increasing to 35%! On November 21, 2023, we first alerted traders to the immense potential of precious metals. Less than a year has passed, and the returns since our forecast have reached 36%! After reaching yet another historical high, gold shows no signs of slowing down. Factors driving precious metal price growth and expert opinions: Major purchases by central banks: Gold prices are rising due to significant metal purchases by central banks, increasing its value. Geopolitical instability: Escalating geopolitical instability, particularly in the Middle East, is driving demand for metals as safe-haven assets. Ongoing conflicts in various regions also contribute to rising gold and silver prices. Expectations of a Fed rate cut: Investors are anticipating a possible interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve, making metals more attractive as investment tools. According to CME data, the probability of a rate cut at the upcoming Fed meeting on November 7 stands at 92.3%, increasing the appeal of precious metals as investments. Growth forecasts: Analysts predict that gold prices could reach $2850 per ounce by the end of the year and $3100 in the long term. Projections by major financial institutions: ING and other financial organizations expect gold prices to peak in the fourth quarter of this year, with potential prices reaching up to $2900 per ounce by mid-2025. Read quality analytics and profit with us!
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 18, 2024 EURUSDEUR/USD broke its four-day losing streak, trading near 1.0840 during the Asian session on Friday. However, the US dollar (USD) received support and hit a two-month high of 103.87 on Thursday, helped by a good US retail sales report, which fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may go for a nominal rate cut. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 90.8% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in November and a 74.0% chance of another cut in December. U.S. retail sales rose 0.4% month-over-month in September, exceeding both August's 0.1% increase and market expectations for a 0.3% increase. Initial jobless claims in the U.S. fell by 19,000 in the week ended October 11, the largest decline in three months. Total claims fell to 241,000, well below the 260,000 expected. However, the euro faced downward pressure following Thursday's decision by the European Central Bank (ECB). The ECB cut its main refinancing operations rate and deposit rate by 25 basis points to 3.40% and 3.25%, respectively. Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 1.0860, when fixing above consider Buy positions, when rebounding consider Sell positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Buy GBP/NZD BreakoutThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2.1480 Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 2.1600 2nd Resistance – 2.1675 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2.1385. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
Audjpy signalAfter the release of strong employment data from Australia, the AUD/JPY currency pair increased by more than 100 dollars. Considering the interest rate differential between the two countries and the lack of further rate hikes in Japan, the likelihood of the first scenario is higher. The second scenario is more likely if the market becomes risk off, leading to the rise of safe-haven currencies like the Japanese yen. In that case, we would expect to see a decline in the AUD/JPY pair down to the bottom of the triangle pattern. Target for the first scenario (long trade): 101.425 Target for the second scenario (short trade): 99.705
Long
by Market-Analyzer
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 17, 2024 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is down to 149.400 despite the US Dollar (USD) strengthening during Asian trading on Thursday. Later on Thursday, US retail sales data will come to the fore, which is estimated to rise to 0.3% in September from 0.1% in the previous reading. The US economic data showed a resilient economy, with inflation rising slightly more than expected in September. This, in turn, could boost the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen (JPY). LSEG calculations put the probability of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in November at nearly 100%, while the probability of the Fed pausing and keeping the federal funds rate in the target range of 4.75-5.0% is just 0.2%. Nevertheless, ongoing geopolitical risks and uncertainty surrounding the U.S. election could strengthen safe-haven flows, which would favor the yen. A plan for Israel's response to an Iranian attack this month is ready, CNN reported. U.S. officials expect it to happen before the U.S. presidential election. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said separately that Israel opposes a “unilateral ceasefire” in the war with Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon. On Friday, investors await national consumer price index (CPI) data for September for a fresh boost. The CPI excluding fresh food is expected to fall to 2.3% in September from 2.8% in August. Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 150.000, when fixing above consider Buy positions, when rebounding consider Sell positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Sell ETH/USDT Channel BreakoutThe ETH/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2620, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2488 2nd Support – 2410 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2700. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1
IFN Analysis 10/16/24DISCLOSURE: As of 10/16 I have no open positions in NYSE: IFN I am not a licensed investment advisor and I am not a tax advisor, nothing in this article is to be taken as financial advice. India Fund, Inc. (The) India Fund, Inc. (The) is a non-diversified closed end fund focused on the Indian market. The fund is currently trading at a discount of 7.5% to the net asset value with a 9% dividend yield. The fund holds a basket of Indian equities, primary large cap companies with stable track records. With the fund launched in 2003 it has since under performed the Nifty 50 index which has had a historic run in recent years. So why would an investor consider IFN? First of all IFN is trading at a discount to NAV meaning you are essentially buying the basket of stocks at a discount. It is also my personal belief that the equities held in IFN are better but valuation and fundamentally from the holdings in the Nifty 50 index. Macro: India is one of the fastest growing countries in the world in terms of both population and economically. However with several major drawbacks including the massive trade deficit, lack of efficiency in government operations, and less developed architecture to some of the competitor emerging markets. That being said India is a country of smart, hard working people, and I believe their economic environment will continue to improve. Tax Considerations: IFN is a closed end fund, meaning that it may have special tax considerations for some investors. From the perspective of a USA based investor I choose to hold all closed end funds in a Roth IRA retirement account. Please consult with a tax advisor before making any decisions.
NYSE:IFNLong
by sihen999