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Gold Awaits Breakout: Will the 3345–3370 Range Explode? XAUUSD 04/06 – Gold Awaits Breakout: Will the 3345–3370 Range Explode? Gold is currently consolidating within a critical range between 3345–3370, following a wave 4 correction. After a sharp retracement to the 335x area, traders are closely watching for the next move — either a continuation of the correction or a breakout toward new highs. 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT Trump–Xi Call Incoming: A high-level diplomatic call is expected in the coming days. Market participants are anticipating potential shifts in global trade sentiment. US 10-Year Yields remain elevated, keeping pressure on gold in the short term. However, geopolitical risks and macro uncertainty still support demand for safe-haven assets. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of weakness after recent strength, which may give gold room for recovery. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H1 / H4 Timeframe Gold is in a wave 4 structure within a 5-wave Elliott pattern. A break above 3370 could signal the beginning of wave 5, targeting 3400. A breakdown below 3345 would imply deeper correction toward the 332x liquidity zone, completing wave 4 before a bullish continuation. EMAs 13 and 34 remain above EMA200 on H1, indicating the broader uptrend is still intact. 🔑 STRATEGIC PRICE LEVELS 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3317 – 3315 Stop Loss: 3310 Take Profit: 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3345 → 3350 → 3360 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3372 – 3374 Stop Loss: 3378 Take Profit: 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3356 → 3350 → 3345 ⚠️ STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION Respect the 3345–3370 range until a breakout is confirmed. Avoid chasing trades in the middle of the range. Wait for strong rejections or clear breakout confirmations. Be cautious with unexpected news from the Trump–Xi call, which may trigger sudden market volatility. 📌 FINAL THOUGHT “Gold is at a turning point. Break above 3370 and we may see wave 5 unfold toward 3400. But a breakdown below 3345 could drag price lower before the next bullish leg begins. Focus on the key zones — volatility is just getting started.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Analysis – Potential Breakout Play🟡 Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Analysis – Potential Breakout Play 📈 🔎 Key Levels and Zones Resistance Zone: Around $3,410 – $3,430. Midpoint/Key Resistance-Turned-Support: Around $3,360 – $3,370. Support Zone: Around $3,270 – $3,290. 🔀 Chart Structure & Momentum The price is in a short-term bullish recovery after finding strong support at the $3,270 – $3,290 level. The breakout above the midpoint around $3,360 is a significant bullish trigger, suggesting that bulls are taking charge. 📊 Scenario Analysis Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias) 🟢: If the price holds above the midpoint ($3,360), we expect a push towards the resistance zone ($3,410 – $3,430). This aligns with the “resistance-flip-support” concept, where the previous resistance becomes a new support base. Bearish Scenario (Alternate Bias) 🔴: If the price fails to hold above $3,360, a re-test of the support zone ($3,270 – $3,290) is likely. From there, bulls will likely try to defend the area and launch another attempt upwards. 📌 Conclusion The path of least resistance currently favors the bulls while the $3,360 level holds. Watch for consolidation near $3,360 – $3,370 as a healthy retest before potential continuation to the upside target zone ($3,410 – $3,430). 📅 Near-Term Bias Remain cautiously bullish while above $3,360. A confirmed breakout above $3,410 opens room for further bullish momentum, while a breakdown below $3,360 can re-test the key support at $3,270.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VikingFx-Community
GBPUSD – Is the Recovery Losing Steam? GBPUSD – Is the Recovery Losing Steam? Watch for Technical Pullback Ahead of NFP The GBPUSD pair has recently rebounded impressively from the 1.3427 key support zone, reflecting short-term USD weakness and growing speculation of rate cuts by the Fed. However, after the strong bullish move, the market is now showing signs of exhaustion and potential profit-taking—especially with high-impact US employment data just around the corner. 🔍 Macro & Fundamental Overview: United States: All eyes are on this week’s JOLTS and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) reports. Weak jobs data could strengthen the case for rate cuts by the Fed in Q3, weighing on the US Dollar. On the flip side, a solid print would revive “higher for longer” rate expectations and likely support USD strength. United Kingdom: Although inflation remains above the Bank of England’s 2% target, political uncertainty ahead of July’s general election may keep GBP on the defensive, especially if BoE signals a dovish turn. Bond Yield Spread (UK vs US): A widening spread in favor of the USD is exerting downward pressure on GBPUSD in the medium term. 📈 Technical Outlook (H1 Chart): Structure: Price has formed a double-top pattern at 1.35598 and 1.35322, with multiple rejections—signaling a weakening bullish momentum after a sustained rally. EMA 13 – 34 – 89 – 200 Setup: Price is currently testing the EMA89 zone (~1.34854). A clean break below this moving average could accelerate the downside correction. FVG Zone (Liquidity Pool): The 1.3427 – 1.3457 area offers a potential liquidity sweep and may serve as a springboard for the next bullish leg. 📊 Trade Scenarios: 🔻 Short-Term SELL SCALP: Entry: 1.3532 – 1.3545 Stop Loss: 1.3565 Take Profit: 1.3485 → 1.3457 → 1.3427 → Ideal if price fails to hold above recent highs and forms bearish rejection candles. 🔵 BUY ZONE Setup: Entry: 1.3427 – 1.3440 Stop Loss: 1.3400 Take Profit: 1.3475 → 1.3505 → 1.3535 → 1.3555 → High-probability entry if price reacts positively to the FVG zone and maintains bullish structure. 📌 Final Thoughts: GBPUSD is currently in a delicate zone where both technical and macro forces are converging. While the broader trend remains bullish, momentum is slowing. With critical US jobs data due, traders should stay cautious and rely on clear confirmations around key price levels. Maintain strict risk management and look for liquidity-driven moves around FVG zones.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
EURUSD – Retracement Expected Before Further UpsideEURUSD – Retracement Expected Before Further Upside The EURUSD pair has seen strong bullish momentum over the past two days, mainly driven by the weakening U.S. dollar. Last week’s softer-than-expected U.S. Core PCE and PMI data fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve may hold rates steady for longer, weighing on USD sentiment. However, with upcoming speeches from FOMC members and the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data due later this week, traders may look to take profit or step aside, leading to a short-term retracement before any continuation of the bullish trend. 🔍 Macro & Fundamental Overview: USD remains under pressure amid declining inflation signals and weakening economic data. ECB is expected to cut rates, but at a slower pace than the Fed, creating a divergence that supports the Euro in the near term. Political uncertainties in the EU, including upcoming elections, are worth monitoring. 📉 Technical Analysis: The medium-term trend remains bullish with EMA 13–34–89–200 aligned to the upside. Price is currently reacting at the 0.0 FIBO level (1.1420), suggesting a potential pullback. Key support lies between 1.1345 – 1.1317. If this zone holds, it could serve as a solid base for a bullish continuation. 🧭 Suggested Trade Scenarios: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.1317 – 1.1345 SL: 1.1285 TP: 1.1370 → 1.1400 → 1.1420 → 1.1450+ 🔻 SELL ZONE (Short-term counter-trade): 1.1418 – 1.1425 SL: 1.1450 TP: 1.1385 → 1.1350 → 1.1320
Short
by MMFlowTrading
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 3, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair attracted sellers during Tuesday's Asian session and broke part of a strong overnight move up towards the 1.3560 area, or multi-day peak. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against a basket of currencies, rebounded from a six-week low reached on Monday and proved to be a key factor putting downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair. In addition, concerns over the deteriorating US fiscal situation and renewed trade tensions between the US and China should help limit USD gains. The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, may continue to receive support from expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will take a pause at its next meeting on June 18 and will not rush to cut interest rates further. Traders may also prefer to wait for the hearing of the Bank of England's monetary policy report in Parliament. Investors will be closely watching comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and other members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) for information on the policy outlook, which in turn will influence the GBP exchange rate. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3495, SL 1.3595, TP 1.3295
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
WAVE 3 PEAK OR SETUP FOR A NEW RALLY? XAUUSD PLAN – JUNE 3RD | WAVE 3 PEAK OR SETUP FOR A NEW RALLY? After a massive $100 rally at the start of the week, gold has begun to pull back — dropping over $30 during the Asia session today. This is likely the end of Wave 3 (the strongest impulse in a 5-wave Elliott structure), as investors lock in profits and await key macro events. 🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT A high-stakes call between Trump and Xi Jinping is expected this week, which could reshape short-term trade sentiment. Investors are moving into cash positions, taking profits after Monday’s surge, and waiting for direction from the upcoming US-China negotiations. Macro themes remain supportive for volatility: tariff risks, inflation worries, and geopolitical uncertainty. 📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – H2 / H4 / D1 On the higher timeframes (H4 and D1), gold maintains a bullish structure, with EMAs aligned for upside continuation. On intraday charts (M30–H1), we’re seeing a clean correction, likely to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone below. The key BUY zone at 3320–3310 will decide direction: If it holds: strong long setups. If it breaks: possible structure shift and deeper downside. 🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3320 – 3318 SL: 3314 TP: 3324 → 3328 → 3332 → 3336 → 3340 → 3344 → 3350 → 3360 → ??? 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3388 – 3390 SL: 3394 TP: 3384 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370 → 3366 → 3360 → 3350 📌 FINAL THOUGHTS “Gold is in a healthy correction after a massive surge. The 3310–3320 zone is crucial. Hold it, and bulls may take over again — break it, and we may see a deeper pullback." ⚠️ Stay cautious ahead of political headlines. Any remarks from the Trump–Xi call could spark aggressive price action.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
AUD/USD - Triangle Breakout (02.06.2025)The AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.6490 2nd Resistance – 0.6512 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
67
XAUUSD | 1h BearishGold (XAUUSD) 1H Analysis Currently, gold is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal from a key supply zone. Price tapped into the previous high and reacted with strong rejection, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. This area aligns with a clear zone of interest, where sellers previously stepped in, adding confluence to our bearish bias. The structure has been respected so far, and price has now broken below the minor trendline support, which previously acted as dynamic support for this bullish leg. A pullback to retest this broken structure or the imbalance zone just above could provide an optimal entry for further downside. The trade idea is built on a potential shift in market structure: A double top internal structure formation is visible at the recent high, indicating exhaustion in the uptrend. Price is expected to push lower, targeting TP1, which sits at the previous strong support zone and aligns with the internal structure break. Further continuation to the downside could take price toward the 0.5 FIB retracement level and PDL (Previous Day Low)—both strong liquidity areas. We are anticipating a reaction from these lower zones. If bullish momentum reappears there, it may offer a chance to reposition for long setups later. For now, the bias remains bearish while price holds below the supply zone and structure confirms.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by awaisulabdeen
Will the Dollar’s Drop Fuel More Gold Upside After Weak PCE DXY OUTLOOK – Will the Dollar’s Drop Fuel More Gold Upside After Weak PCE and Trade Tensions? 📉 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE – DXY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN The US Dollar Index (DXY) has failed to hold the 99.20–99.30 support zone and continues to respect its bearish structure on the H2 chart. The sharp sell-off at the end of May was a direct response to weaker-than-expected PCE inflation data, combined with growing political uncertainty surrounding US–China and US–EU trade negotiations. 🔻 Key Resistance Levels: 99.234 – 99.618 🔻 Key Support Zone: 98.030 – A clean break below this may open the door toward 97.50 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT – USD UNDER PRESSURE ON MULTIPLE FRONTS Trump’s tariff decisions remain unclear. While some deadlines were delayed (e.g., steel tariffs on the EU), no substantial agreements have been reached. Core PCE inflation – the Fed’s preferred gauge – continues to ease, reducing expectations of further rate hikes in the short term. Institutional flows are shifting toward safe havens like gold, especially as uncertainty clouds the outlook for both US fiscal and trade policy. 📊 IMPACT ON XAUUSD – DOLLAR DROP GIVES GOLD ROOM TO RALLY Gold remains supported by: A weakening DXY trend A bullish structure on H1 with EMA 13–34–89–200 alignment in favor of upside Strong safe-haven demand heading into a new month with fresh capital inflows If DXY breaks below 98.70 and slides toward 98.030, gold could extend its rally toward key resistance zones at 3348 – 3361. 🎯 TRADING STRATEGY (Based on DXY Bearish Continuation): Prioritize buy setups on XAUUSD if DXY fails to reclaim the 99.23 resistance Watch for a potential DXY pullback to resistance – if rejected, this would confirm momentum for gold to climb further 📌 NOTE: Traders should stay alert to any major news from the Fed or new developments in US–China–EU trade talks. While the current DXY structure favors continued downside, short-term pullbacks can provide gold with consolidation before another leg higher.
TVC:DXYShort
by MMFlowTrading
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 2, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is recovering its recent losses recorded during the previous session, trading around 1.13700 on Monday during Asian hours. The pair is strengthening amid a weakening US dollar (USD) after the US Court of Appeals ruled on Thursday to allow US President Donald Trump's tariffs to take effect. On Wednesday, a panel of three judges at the International Trade Court in Manhattan said Trump had exceeded his authority by imposing broad import tariffs and ruled the orders issued on April 2 illegal. On Friday, President Trump said at a rally in Pennsylvania that he plans to double import tariffs on steel and aluminum to increase pressure on global steel producers and escalate the trade war. “We are going to impose a 25 percent increase. We are going to raise tariffs on steel imported into the United States from 25 percent to 50 percent, which will further strengthen the steel industry in the United States,” he said, according to Reuters. On Saturday, the European Commission (EC) warned that Europe is ready to respond to President Trump's plan to double tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, which would escalate the trade war between the world's two largest economic powers. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.13600, SL 1.13200, TP 1.14200
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
MKR 1W🔍1. Overall Trend: In the long term, we can see that MKR was in a downtrend, as evidenced by the falling trendline (orange dashed line). The last candles show that the price has broken this downtrend line - this could indicate a potential trend reversal or at least an attempted upside correction. 📊Support and resistance levels (horizontal chart): Strong support (red) and resistance (green) levels are marked: ✅ Resistances: ~3,770 USDT – local top, very strong resistance. ~3,079 USDT – previous support, now acting as resistance. ~2,002 USDT – current growth barrier, price is currently struggling with this level. 🔻 Supports: ~1,574 USDT – current local support. ~1,248 USDT – next support, previously tested. ~800 USDT and ~400 USDT – historical accumulation zones, deep support levels. Oscillators (bottom of the chart): Stochastic RSI – currently in the upper zone, which may suggest that the market is approaching overbought. Possible correction. RSI (classic) – oscillates around 50, i.e. neutral, but with a slight upward slope. There is no overbought signal yet. 🧠 Conclusions: ➕ Bullish signals (pro-growth): Break of the downtrend line (may be the first signal of a trend change). Formation of a higher low. Oscillators are not yet in the extreme zone. ➖ Bearish signals (pro-fall): The price has not yet managed to break the resistance at 2,002 USDT. Stochastic RSI indicator close to the overbought zone - possible short correction. 📌 Scenarios: 1. Upside scenario: If the price breaks through the 2,002 USDT level and stays above it, the next target will be the 3,079 USDT level. Confirmation will be the rising RSI and staying above the trend line. 2. Downside scenario: If the price fails to break through the 2,002 USDT level and falls below the 1,574 USDT level, a possible test of the 1,248 USDT level or even lower (800 USDT).
by cryptodailyuk
Professional Analysis: XAU/USD – GOLD Price Forecast : 📈 Professional Analysis: XAU/USD – GOLD Price Forecast 🟡 🗓️ Date: May 28–29, 2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: Intraday (Hourly) 🔍 Instrument: Gold vs. USD (XAU/USD) 📊 Technical Chart Summary 🟥 Resistance Zone: 📌 Level: $3,350 – $3,365 🛑 Price has rejected this zone multiple times, marking it as a strong supply area. 📉 Each test of resistance led to a pullback — showing seller strength 💪. 🟩 Support Zone: 📌 Level: $3,280 – $3,295 🛡 Multiple higher low bounces suggest this zone is being defended by buyers. 🔁 Price has formed 3 reaction lows, indicating accumulation 📥. 🔄 Structure & Pattern Recognition 🔺 Descending followed by Ascending Swings ⛳ Market shows a reversal attempt after forming a potential double bottom / triple test at support. 📈 Bullish structure forming with the latest swing creating a higher low. 📉 Past wave = Bearish Correction 📈 Current projection = Potential bullish impulse if the support holds. 📐 Projection & Price Action Forecast 📍 Current Price: $3,297.175 📈 Expected Move: Bounce off support → climb toward $3,330–$3,350 🔼 🧠 Rationale: Price testing support again Market respecting horizontal range No clean breakdown yet 📊 Bullish Scenario (Primary) 🔁 Rebound off support 🎯 Target: Resistance zone ($3,350) ✅ Entry: Above $3,300 with bullish candle close 🛑 SL: Below $3,280 📉 Bearish Breakdown (Alternate) ❌ Break below $3,280 🎯 Target: $3,260 or lower ⚠️ Wait for confirmation candle 🔚 Conclusion 🟡 Gold (XAU/USD) is trading within a well-defined range with buyers stepping in near $3,290 and sellers near $3,355. 📌 Based on current technicals, there’s a higher probability of an upward move, unless support breaks decisively. 🛠️ Pro Tip: 💡 Use RSI + Volume to confirm momentum on breakout. Look for bullish divergence or volume surge near the bounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZareeFxTradingAac
2
Gold Drops $30 in Asia as Month-End Profit Taking Hits Hard XAUUSD PLAN – Gold Drops $30 in Asia as Month-End Profit Taking Hits Hard After a sharp rebound candle yesterday, gold unexpectedly reversed in the Asian session, plunging over $30 as market participants rushed to exit positions ahead of the monthly close. The move reflects strong technical rejection and potential macro pressure. 🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK – US-CHINA TRADE TENSIONS BACK IN FOCUS Trade negotiations between the US and China are showing renewed signs of strain, especially around tariff policies. The uncertainty has not triggered safe-haven flows into gold—a sign of waning momentum. Dollar Index (DXY) remains range-bound, offering no clear direction. Broad market sentiment indicates institutional cash-out behavior ahead of the weekly and monthly candle closes. 📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – BEARISH STRUCTURE STILL INTACT Gold is respecting a downward sloping channel on the H1 timeframe. Price failed to hold above EMA 200, reinforcing bearish bias. EMA 13 – 34 – 89 – 200 are in bearish alignment, showing continued downside momentum. Support at 3274 – 3276 is a key reaction zone for potential scalping opportunities. 🔑 KEY PRICE LEVELS TO WATCH 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3322 – 3324 Stop-Loss: 3328 Take-Profit: 3318 → 3314 → 3310 → 3306 → 3300 → 3295 → 3290 → 3280 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3266 – 3264 Stop-Loss: 3260 Take-Profit: 3270 → 3274 → 3278 → 3282 → 3286 → 3290 → 3300 ⚡ BONUS SCALP SETUPS Support Zone 3274 – 3276 → Look for bullish rejection for a quick BUY SCALP (Target: 50 pips / SL: 50 pips) Resistance Zones 3302 – 3304 and 3310 → Watch for early rejection to enter SELL SCALP, with extended downside targets. 📌 STRATEGY NOTES Priority: Short-term sell bias unless price reclaims 3310 with momentum. Avoid trading in the mid-range; wait for price to reach key reaction zones. Today’s structure favors liquidity sweeps, so patience and disciplined entries are crucial—especially during London and NY overlap.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 30, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) attracted strong follow-through buying for the second consecutive day on Friday and continued to recover from a two-week low reached the previous day against the US dollar. Global risk sentiment deteriorated after a federal appeals court on Thursday suspended a recent ruling blocking US President Donald Trump's radical tariffs. This is evident from the general weakening of sentiment in the stock markets and is contributing to a recovery in demand for traditional safe-haven assets, including the JPY. Meanwhile, optimistic macroeconomic data from Japan released today, including strong consumer inflation figures in Tokyo, confirm the need for further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (JPY) and provide additional support for the JPY. On the other hand, the US dollar (USD) is consolidating after a sharp reversal yesterday amid concerns about the deterioration of the US financial situation and bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will stick to its easing policy. This further contributes to the continued decline of the USD/JPY pair. Trading recommendation: SELL 143.800, SL 144.200, TP 142.900
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This WeekNZDUSD – Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This Week 🌐 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW After the FOMC’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, the US Dollar has shown signs of recovery driven by expectations that core inflation remains persistent — especially ahead of the upcoming US Core PCE Price Index release this Friday. On the New Zealand side, the Kiwi remains under pressure due to recent weak economic data and negative sentiment from China — its largest trading partner. The RBNZ continues to maintain a neutral stance, offering little support for the currency in the near term. Market sentiment remains cautious as investors await the PCE data to determine inflation trends and potential Fed policy shifts. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1–H2 TIMEFRAME) NZDUSD is forming a technical rebound after a strong bearish leg from the 0.60300 region. Current price is trading around the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5964–0.5976), struggling to break above EMA89 and EMA200 resistance. Overall structure: Bearish bias remains intact with lower highs. EMA alignment: EMA13, EMA34, and EMA89 are in bearish formation. Key support zone: 0.5926–0.5940, trendline confluence + consolidation base. 🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH Resistance: 0.5976 – Fibonacci 0.5 retracement + previous rejection zone 0.5990 – Structural resistance of the week 0.6007 – 78.6% Fib + liquidity sweep potential Support: 0.5940 – Trendline retest + short-term structure 0.5926 – Key demand zone with previous fake breakout 🎯 TRADE IDEAS SELL SETUP – Fade the pullback into resistance: Entry: 0.5976 – 0.5990 Stop Loss: 0.6010 Take Profit: 0.5940 → 0.5926 BUY SCALP – On strong bullish rejection from support: Entry: 0.5926 – 0.5930 Stop Loss: 0.5900 Take Profit: 0.5960 → 0.5976 Note: Confirm with bullish candlestick and volume spike before entry. ⚠️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK NZDUSD remains in a corrective phase. This week’s PCE inflation data will be critical. A hotter-than-expected reading could strengthen the USD and push NZDUSD below 0.5926, resuming the medium-term downtrend. Avoid chasing mid-range price action. Focus on price reactions near the key resistance and support levels.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Post-FOMC Trading Plan | Key Resistance: 3308 – 3310XAUUSD – Post-FOMC Trading Plan | Key Resistance: 3308 – 3310 📊 MACRO UPDATE – After the FOMC Decision: The Fed kept interest rates unchanged as expected, but the tone remained hawkish. Chairman Powell reiterated that inflation remains too high and ruled out any near-term rate cuts, signaling prolonged restrictive policy. This led to a swift rebound in the US Dollar and Treasury yields, weighing on gold. However, XAUUSD bounced back late in the session, suggesting the market is re-evaluating key technical zones post-announcement. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H1/H4 Chart Structure: Gold remains in a corrective descending structure but is now reacting around key Fibonacci levels. The 13–34–89 EMAs provide dynamic support and resistance, and a potential double bottom has formed near the 3245–3247 zone. 🧠 Two key levels to watch: 3308–3310: major resistance with trendline + FVG confluence 3245–3247: strong horizontal support + Fib 0.618 retracement 🎯 TRADE SETUPS: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3247 – 3245 Stop-Loss: 3241 Take-Profit: 3251 → 3255 → 3260 → 3264 → 3270 → 3275 → 3280 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3263 – 3261 Stop-Loss: 3257 Take-Profit: 3266 → 3270 → 3275 → 3280 → 3290 → 3300 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3294 – 3296 Stop-Loss: 3300 Take-Profit: 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3278 → 3274 → 3270 → 3260 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3308 – 3310 Stop-Loss: 3314 Take-Profit: 3304 → 3300 → 3296 → 3292 → 3288 → 3280 📌 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK: Unless price breaks above 3310 with strong momentum, sellers are still in control short term. Any rejection from the resistance zone could offer clean short entries. A breakout, however, would shift sentiment and expose 3340–3360 next. Patience is key — let price react before committing to entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 29, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention today: 15:30 EET. USD - Initial jobless claims 22:00 EET. USD - Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will deliver a speech. GBPUSD: GBP/USD pared further gains on Wednesday, stumbling for the second session in a row and falling below 1.3500 after failing to regain 1.3600 earlier this week. Sterling markets are retreating from the upper limit of the bullish trend that lifted GBPUSD to multi-year highs, but the momentum remains favourable for sterling buyers. The latest minutes of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate meeting held on 6-7 May showed that the Fed's wait-and-see stance has deep roots. At the last Fed meeting, policymakers noted that the US dollar's (USD) status as a safe haven has suffered recently. They warned that a more ‘durable change’ in the dollar's status could have long-term consequences for the US economy. Almost all FOMC members at the May rate meeting agreed that inflation risks could prove to be more ‘persistent than expected.’ Fed officials directly pointed to tariffs as a key factor in the FOMC's downgrade of its outlook for the US economy, and the FOMC blamed the Trump administration and its inconsistent tariff policy for the deterioration in the US economic situation and uncertain outlook for inflation and growth. The rest of the trading week remains tense for the US. On Thursday, US gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the first quarter will be released. On Friday, the trading week will end with the release of US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation data for April. Markets are hoping for a continued easing of key inflation indicators before the effects of the Trump administration's tariff policy begin to be reflected in the core data. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3450, SL 1.3430, TP 1.3540
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBP/USD Breakout (28.05.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3424 2nd Support – 1.3380 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
75
USDJPY PLAN – Will FOMC Be the Next Big Catalyst?USDJPY PLAN – Will FOMC Be the Next Big Catalyst? 💬 After several sessions of sideways movement, USDJPY is showing signs of a potential breakout, supported by both technical signals and macro fundamentals. As the FOMC meeting approaches, the market is poised for a major shift — making this the perfect time to prepare actionable trade plans. 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Primary Trend: Short-term bullish retracement within a broader downtrend – currently testing the 200 EMA on H2. EMAs in use: EMA13 (black), EMA34 (orange), EMA89 (red) – effective dynamic support/resistance indicators. Key Resistance Levels: 145.35: Major confluence zone with 0.618 Fibonacci and trendline resistance. 146.11 – 147.20: Previous highs and Fibonacci extension targets. Key Support Zones: 144.61: EMA200 acting as immediate pressure point. 143.43 – 143.02: Crucial demand zone with strong reaction expected on pullback. 🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS FOMC Outlook: With recent CPI data softening and labor numbers moderating, markets anticipate a hold on rates. However, any hawkish tone from Chair Powell could trigger a sharp bullish move on USDJPY. BOJ’s Dovish Stance: The Bank of Japan remains accommodative, showing no clear intent to hike rates. This weakens the Yen and supports mid-term upward momentum for USDJPY. Interest Rate Differentials & Carry Trade Flows continue to drive volatility and directional bias in this pair. 🎯 TRADE SETUP SUGGESTION If price breaks and sustains above 144.61 (EMA200): look to BUY on pullback toward 144.15–144.20, targeting 145.35 and 146.11. If price gets rejected at 145.35: consider a short-term SELL toward 144.00 – 143.43 for a corrective leg. ⚠️ STRATEGY NOTE: Avoid entering right at the time of the FOMC release. Wait for post-event confirmation. Prioritize strong breakouts or rejections, and manage risk carefully under volatile conditions.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
USD/JPY Poised for Upside: Momentum Building Toward Key TargetsBy examining the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 144. Given the momentum, I expect this pair to rise soon. The potential bullish targets are 145.5, 147.35, and 148.65 respectively. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
6
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 28, 2025 EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair retreated below 1.1400 for the second consecutive day, helped by a recovery in the US Dollar (USD) following the release of a positive consumer confidence report. Risk appetite increased as market participants digested the news that US President Donald Trump said that trade talks between the United States (US) and the European Union (EU) have gained momentum following his threats to impose 50 percent tariffs last Friday. Although he backtracked on his words, allowing some room for negotiations, it remains to be seen if the two sides will reach an agreement before July 9. The convincing US consumer confidence data for May released by the Conference Board (CB) put pressure on EUR/USD. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the value of the US currency against the other six currencies, rose more than 0.62% to 99.54. The ECB's Gediminas Simkus said he sees scope for an “interest rate cut in June”. Robert Holzmann, a member of Austria's central bank and a member of the ECB, told the Financial Times (FT) that he sees no reason to cut rates at the June and July policy meetings. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1265, SL 1.1365, TP 1.1065
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Dive into the oil storm of 2025!In 2025, oil prices declined due to rising output from OPEC+ countries, growing inventories in the U.S., weakening global demand, a stronger dollar, and ongoing trade tensions between major economies. Further pressure came from OPEC+’s plan to boost production by 411,000 barrels per day — three times more than previously scheduled. A final decision is expected at the May 31 meeting. This move aims to strengthen the Alliance’s market position, particularly against U.S. shale producers, but it has deepened the supply-demand imbalance, pushing prices to their lowest levels in four years . Despite current challenges, several factors could support a recovery in oil prices : 1. Rising demand in emerging markets : Developing economies are expected to continue increasing energy consumption as they grow, boosting oil demand. 2. Limited investment in production : Lower investment in exploration and drilling — especially in a low-price environment — may lead to tighter future supply, which can support prices. 3. Geopolitical risks : Conflicts and instability in oil-producing regions can disrupt supply chains, traditionally driving prices higher. 4. Slower non-OPEC+ output growth : While non-OPEC+ production is expected to rise in 2025, the U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts slower growth in 2026, easing pressure on prices. 5. Possible OPEC+ output cuts : If the current production increase fails to deliver the desired results, OPEC+ may reverse course and reduce output to stabilize the market. In 2025, the oil market is under strain due to surging OPEC+ output, inventory surpluses, weak global demand, and economic uncertainty. Yet, despite prices plunging to four-year lows, there’s still room for recovery. Future price trends will hinge on OPEC+ decisions, emerging market demand, geopolitical events, and investment patterns in the energy sector. The upcoming OPEC+ meeting could be a turning point for the entire market.
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
DXY OUTLOOK BEFORE FOMC | Will the Dollar Break Trend DXY OUTLOOK BEFORE FOMC | Will the Dollar Break Trend or Just Retrace? The US Dollar Index (DXY) has rebounded after weeks of relentless selling pressure, but this bounce is now approaching key decision zones just ahead of two critical events: the April PCE report and the next FOMC meeting. With macro data and sentiment diverging, traders should closely monitor how the dollar reacts to upcoming catalysts. 🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT Core PCE Price Index (Apr) – due Friday – is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. A higher-than-expected print may reinforce the “higher for longer” stance on rates. FOMC Minutes revealed a growing divide within the committee: some members remain open to further tightening if inflation stalls. Bond market stress is emerging again, as 10Y yields hover near 4.5%. Fiscal concerns and treasury auctions are weighing on investor sentiment. Political noise – particularly from former President Trump’s shifting tariff threats – adds short-term volatility to USD expectations. 🧠 Bottom line: While the dollar has regained ground, macro risks remain asymmetric. A hot PCE may spark short-term demand for USD, but structural credibility risks are still on the table. 📊 TECHNICAL INSIGHT – H1 STRUCTURE Price Channel: DXY broke slightly above a well-respected descending channel that started mid-May. EMA Confluence: EMA 13, 34, and 89 are beginning to align upward but haven’t fully confirmed a bullish trend yet. Key Retest Zone: 99.08 is a critical zone — a Fibonacci 38.2% level of the recent breakout. A hold here may support another test higher. 🔑 KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS Immediate Support: 99.08 (Fib 38.2% + channel retest) Mid Resistance: 100.02 (round number + previous structure high + near 200 EMA) Major Target Zone: 100.48 (Fib 61.8% + multi-day pivot) 📈 POTENTIAL PRICE SCENARIOS If DXY respects 99.08, a continuation toward 100.02 and even 100.48 is plausible as a technical correction. If DXY fails to hold 99.08, the breakout above the trend channel may turn into a false break, opening the door for a re-test of lower channel support near 98.30. Watch for price behavior around 100.02 — aggressive sellers may re-enter at this level, especially if macro data disappoints. ⚠️ STRATEGIC REMINDER Avoid chasing mid-range price action. Let the market reveal its hand post-PCE. Volatility is expected to spike — be patient and let key levels define directional conviction.
TVC:DXYLong
by MMFlowTrading