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Fundamental Analysis

Canadian Dollar Futures (6C1!) Nears Key Monthly SupplyThe Canadian Dollar Futures (6C1!) remain in a downtrend, now testing a critical monthly supply zone after an initial rejection. With Commercials heavily short, Smart Money flat, and Retail traders still bullish, this setup favors another potential downside move. Traders should watch for a retest or breakout spike for optimal short entries. COT Report: Who’s Betting on the Loonie? Commercials (Big Players): Increasing short positions, signaling expectations of further downside. Non-Commercials (Smart Money): Flat, showing hesitation—no strong conviction in either direction. Retail Traders: Still net long, often a contrarian indicator at key turning points. This alignment suggests that while momentum may see short-term bounces, the broader trend remains bearish. ✅ Please share your thoughts about 6C1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME:6C1!Short
by FOREXN1
1
ILSUSD: Confirmation of Downtrend ReversalDisclaimer: This post is made only as an analysis of this currency pair, with no intent to express any opinion or commentary on the ongoing conflict. The Israeli Shekel has been the strongest performing currency in the world so far in 2024, even gaining against the US Dollar. And this is happening even as Israel is a country facing enormous uncertainty and challenges on multiple fronts. Prior to the Hamas attacks on October 7, 2023, there was already political turmoil around Netanyahu's judicial reform. He faced accusations of corruption that divided the country and hampered functions of government. Protests filled the streets. There was repeated gridlock in electing a government, and there were negative social and economic impacts. Rightfully so, the Israeli Shekel was in a prolonged downtrend against the US Dollar for years. Since the attacks, Israel has entered a brutal war with enormous costs to civilian life, as well as Israel's global reputation, security and economy. So why has the Shekel rebounded so quickly after the attacks, broken out of a multi-year downtrend, and actually been the strongest performing currency in 2024 so far? Two reasons: 1) The Bank of Israel has stated an intention to maintain higher interest rates, while the US Federal Reserve has indicated an intention to lower rates in 2024. 2) Israel has been selling off foreign currency reserves in order to stabilize the Shekel. How long can Israel continue selling foreign currency reserves? I didn't find the answer, but if you know or have a way to find out, please comment. There may be other factors at play, such as covert assistance from the United States to boost the Shekel as part of financially supporting the conflict. We don't know for sure yet. Technically, the chart points to Shekel strength ahead. The downtrend has now been broken to the upside and confirmed a retest. It's riskier due to the conflict, but the Shekel actually looks like a good play right now.
Long
by funtimes
7/1/25 - $bmnr - $45/shr pre mkt - if you like paying $30k/ETH7/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: AMEX:BMNR $45/shr pre mkt - if you like paying $30k/ETH - about $4/shr of eth... lets pay $45/shr pre market 'cuz - listen, these guys could raise (debt) and get all creative and get you some "yield" to justify paying maybe $10... $15... (holds nose) $20... but $40? momo train wreck - congrats if you've played this but just know what you're participating in - after HOOD announced their L2 on arbitrum y day, and a few others have done similar (tokenizing stonks)... ETH is going no where - many stables providers will likely own ETH out of obligation and the nexus of consensus will likely *need* to be in USSA - so the buying pressure will be ETH from BTC - and i'd not be surprised to see $10-15k/ETH this cycle at some pt - i'd prefer to play thru other vehicles, will get into that another day - but this one is too much at pre-mkt $45 lol V
AMEX:BMNRShort
by VROCKSTAR
Is there an Incoming Short Squeeze on GOPRO?Is a Short Squeeze Coming? -GoPro carries a high short interest—around 10–11% of its float, with about 3.8 days to cover. -Such metrics suggest potential for a short squeeze—especially if a positive catalyst appears (earnings beat, new product, etc.) . -That said, no guaranteed squeeze is imminent. Many stocks carry high short interest without the price explosion typical of meme-stock squeezes. Pros of Investing in GoPro Strong Brand & Community -Iconic in action cameras, with a dedicated user base and powerful user-generated marketing. Turnaround Momentum -The CEO recently waived his salary, aiming to cut operating costs and signal commitment; the company has also taken steps to reduce expenses and workforce. Diversifying Revenue Streams -Beyond hardware, GoPro has a subscription model (cloud storage and editing), and is exploring media/content avenues. Cons & Risks of GoPro High Volatility & Declining Fundamentals -Lost ~20% of revenue in 2024 with a €432 million net loss; stock down about 90% from its highs. -The consumer electronics industry is challenging—smartphones often cannibalize its market. Intense Competition -Companies like Sony, DJI, Garmin and mobile devices erode GoPro’s competitive moat. High Beta & Speculative -Shares have a beta ~1.98 (nearly double the market), making it highly sensitive to broader market swings. -Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
NASDAQ:GPROLong
by bossout10
1
Gold Rebounds on Dollar Weakness Eyes Key Resistance Gold has recouped 70% of its prior week's losses, driven by dollar weakness ahead of key events: Powell's speech, PMI data, and JOLTs job openings. Breaking out of its average daily range (ADR), gold trades above the $3,350 liquidity zone. Investors await fundamental data for direction. If the data favors the dollar or Powell's tone remains hawkish, gold may dip to $3,334-$3,300. Conversely, a favorable outcome could propel gold towards $3,380-$3,400 resistance levels with minimal pullback.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by KINGSLIGHTFX
NVIDIA to $228If Nvidia were truly done for, why is it impossible to find their latest 5000 series GPUs? Even if someone wanted to buy one, they simply can't. The reason lies in Nvidia's commitment to fulfilling the soaring demand from AI data centers, which has left them unable to produce enough H100 and H200 models. This situation also allows Nvidia to increase their profit margins significantly, capitalizing on the disparity between demand and the media frenzy surrounding them. DeepSeek serves as a prime example of how out of touch mainstream media can be. All DeepSeek did was replicate Chat GPT. Training models requires substantial computing power. The panic surrounding Nvidia and other semiconductor companies is quite amusing; the demand for computing power is skyrocketing! The gap between the reality of the AI mega-trend and the narrow focus of mainstream media is staggering! It's astonishingly out of touch! Just as out of touch as Cramer was when he declared META was done at $100, or when he thought Chat GPT would obliterate Google at $88. Stock prices fluctuate between being overvalued and undervalued. While we have metrics like EGF and PE ratios to assess valuation, indicating that Nvidia is currently inexpensive, this doesn't guarantee it won't drop further. However, it is generally wiser to buy stocks when they are cheap rather than when they are costly. The greater the deviation from the high then the greater the BUYING OPPORTUNITY being presented for the very best leading companies. The key takeaway is that the deeper Nvidia falls during its corrections, the more advantageous it could be. Those who are experiencing anxiety during these declines may find themselves selling at a loss, or for a marginal profit possibly around previous highs, while the stock has the potential to rise to $228 and beyond. The potential for growth is significant; the $228 Fibonacci extension may not represent the peak. Attempting to predict a top for Nvidia could be misguided. Once it reaches $228, Nvidia might maintain a valuation similar to its current $130 level.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by BallaJi
3
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 1, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 01.07 16:30 EET. USD - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Speaks 01.07 16:30 EET. EUR - ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks 01.07 17:00 EET. USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI EUR/USD is trading in negative territory near 1.1790 in the early European session on Tuesday. The US dollar (USD) is weakening against the euro (EUR) amid growing budget concerns and uncertainty surrounding trade deals. Four people familiar with the negotiations said US President Donald Trump's administration is seeking to phase in deals with the most involved countries as they rush to reach an agreement by the July 9 deadline. Uncertainty over trade agreements continued to weigh on sentiment and sell the US dollar. Investors are concerned about the US Senate's attempts to pass Trump's tax and spending cuts bill, which faces intra-party disagreement over a projected $3.3 trillion increase in the national debt. Fiscal concerns have dampened optimism and contributed to the decline in the US dollar. This, in turn, serves as a tailwind for the major pair. German inflation, as measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), eased to 2.0% y/y in June from 2.1% in the previous reading. The figure was below expectations of 2.2%. On a month-on-month basis, HICP rose 0.1% in June vs. 0.2% previously, below the market consensus forecast of 0.3%. Softer-than-expected German inflation data may limit near-term growth. Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1795, SL 1.1725, TP 1.1880
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XAUUSD Analysis – 01/07: Gold Sees a Rebound Amid USD WeaknessXAUUSD Analysis – 01/07: Gold Sees a Rebound Amid USD Weakness – Is a Recovery on the Cards? As we enter the new month, gold prices are showing signs of recovery after a significant drop, primarily driven by the weakening of the US Dollar. However, despite some positive momentum, the path to sustained growth remains uncertain. 💵 USD Weakness Fuels Gold's Potential Rebound Recent US economic data shows a slight decrease in consumer spending, which has led to speculation that the Federal Reserve may ease interest rate hikes in the near future. This, in turn, has contributed to a weaker USD, providing an opportunity for gold to recover slightly. ⚖️ The Federal Reserve's Role Remains Critical The markets are awaiting further clues on the Federal Reserve's next moves, especially with the ongoing debate about the potential direction of interest rates. While the recent economic data isn't weak enough to force a policy reversal, it hasn't been strong enough to give the Fed the confidence to continue its hawkish stance either. 🧠 What Does This Mean for Traders? Gold is responding to macroeconomic factors but still lacks a clear, strong trend. Volatility remains high, with sharp price fluctuations occurring after key economic and political announcements. This uncertainty suggests gold might not yet have the momentum for a definitive break-out or trend reversal. 🔶 Summary: Gold is starting to recover after a tough month but the outlook remains cautious. Buyers are hoping for a Fed rate cut, while sellers are banking on the USD's strength. Traders should stay vigilant, waiting for clear confirmation before making major moves. 📊 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Levels: 3358 – 3360 – 3364 – 3375 – 3380 Support Levels: 3300 – 3290 – 3280 – 3275 🎯 Trading Strategy: 🔵 Buy Zone: Entry: 3310 – 3315 SL: 3300 TP: 3320 – 3330 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 🔴 Sell Zone: Entry: 3370 – 3375 SL: 3380 TP: 3360 – 3350 – 3340 – 3325 ⚠️ Final Thoughts: With USD weakness persisting, gold may continue its rebound, but the market remains uncertain. Keep an eye on macroeconomic data and geopolitical events, as they will likely shape gold's next move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Report - 1 jully, 2025Global Macro & Currencies: The US dollar has experienced a historic slide in 2025, falling about 10% year to date — its worst first half since 1973. This dramatic weakness has been driven by a combination of political and economic factors: mounting concerns over the fiscal path under President Trump, ballooning debt loads fueled by aggressive tax cuts, and worries about the independence of the Federal Reserve as markets increasingly price in multiple rate cuts. Additionally, erratic tariff policies and renewed trade tensions have further undermined the dollar’s role as a global safe haven. While many expected the dollar to strengthen as the US economy outperformed and global risks rose, the opposite has occurred. Instead, European currencies have surged: the euro has climbed nearly 10% against the dollar this year, and sterling has gained almost 9%. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen has remained under pressure, but there are signs that safe-haven flows may soon stabilize it, given rising geopolitical tensions and global volatility. From a practical investment perspective, the weaker dollar provides a strong tailwind for US multinational corporations with significant overseas revenues. It also supports commodity prices broadly, as seen in gold trading near record highs at around $3,289 per ounce. Investors should consider increasing allocations to hedged international equities or adding European equity exposure, where currency gains can further enhance returns. Moreover, actively hedging USD exposure in global portfolios becomes increasingly important to protect against continued weakness and further policy surprises. Equities & Sector Rotation Analysis: US equities have staged a strong comeback in Q2, with the S&P 500 rising 10% in the quarter and hitting record highs. This recovery is largely driven by expectations of lower interest rates, robust corporate earnings, and renewed enthusiasm for technology and AI-focused stocks. Companies like Nvidia continue to lead, with massive gains fueled by AI infrastructure spending and optimism around future growth. Interestingly, this rebound has narrowed the performance gap with European markets. Earlier in the year, investors rotated into European equities on hopes of fiscal stimulus and infrastructure spending, particularly Germany’s €1tn “whatever it takes” plan. While European stocks still slightly outperform on a year-to-date basis (+7% vs. +5% for the S&P 500), the momentum has clearly shifted back to the US as growth data and earnings resilience support valuations. Sector-wise, leadership has again become narrow, with technology, communications, and financials outperforming while defensive sectors such as utilities and real estate lag. This suggests a renewed preference for growth and cyclicals over defensive positioning, at least in the short term. Small-cap stocks continue to underperform, reflecting persistent macro uncertainties and a flight to quality. For investors, this implies a tactical tilt toward large-cap US growth and tech names could still deliver relative strength, but caution is warranted as valuations stretch and volatility could resurface with upcoming tariff decisions and geopolitical risks. European exposure remains attractive for diversification, especially if fiscal initiatives translate into stronger earnings growth, but conviction in execution is needed. Fixed Income & Yield Curve Dynamics: In fixed income markets, US Treasury yields have moved lower across the curve, with the 10-year yield dropping to 4.20% after peaking above 4.8% earlier this year. This decline reflects growing market conviction that the Federal Reserve will start cutting rates in September, with futures pricing in as many as five quarter-point cuts through 2025. The recent dovish pivot by the Fed has significantly improved risk sentiment, driving demand for longer-duration assets. We see strong gains in 20+ year Treasuries (+1.0% on the day), while intermediate and short-term Treasuries have also rallied. The overall move has flattened parts of the curve, suggesting that while markets anticipate lower rates, growth concerns remain, especially as fiscal worries and debt sustainability questions persist. Globally, yields are following a similar downward trajectory. UK gilts and German bunds have eased, as investors bet on further easing amid weaker economic data and a more cautious ECB stance. In Europe, inflation has cooled below the 2% target, supporting expectations of one more ECB cut before year-end, even as policymakers remain wary of structural inflation risks (like AI-driven wage pressures and supply chain fragmentation). Credit spreads in US corporate bonds have remained tight, indicating strong appetite for risk despite macro uncertainties. High-yield and investment-grade bonds have both benefited from this supportive backdrop. Meanwhile, emerging market debt has rallied, helped by the weaker dollar and lower global rates, attracting inflows into local currency debt. For investors, extending duration looks tactically appealing as rate cuts approach, but we remain cautious about heavy exposure to the long end given potential volatility from fiscal developments and geopolitical shocks. Credit remains attractive selectively, with opportunities in high-yield and EM debt, especially for investors looking to capture carry in a lower-rate environment. Currencies & Dollar Dynamics: The US dollar has experienced its worst start to a year since 1973, dropping over 10% year-to-date. The dollar index, which tracks it against a basket of major currencies (including the euro, yen, and pound), has fallen sharply as global investors reassess their exposure to the greenback amid Trump’s erratic trade policy, a ballooning fiscal deficit, and concerns over Fed independence. The immediate trigger has been the combination of rising fiscal risks from Trump's proposed tax bill — expected to add $3.2 trillion to debt over the next decade — and expectations for aggressive Fed rate cuts. The perception that US economic exceptionalism might wane has undermined dollar demand as a safe haven. The euro has benefited the most, climbing more than 13% to over $1.17 — defying earlier forecasts of a decline to parity. Meanwhile, the pound has gained nearly 9%, supported by relative political stability and a resilient labor market. The Japanese yen has strengthened as well (+12.6% YTD), despite traditionally dovish Bank of Japan policies, with investors treating it as a safe haven amid global trade uncertainty. In emerging markets, a weaker dollar has lifted currencies and supported local debt. Brazil’s real, Mexico’s peso, and South Korea’s won have all rallied, reflecting strong investor appetite for higher-yielding assets. However, caution is warranted: with the dollar’s sharp decline becoming a crowded trade, some technical consolidation is likely in coming weeks. We believe the dollar’s longer-term trend remains bearish but anticipate near-term volatility as markets recalibrate positions and digest fiscal developments in the US. Investors should continue hedging dollar exposures and consider selectively increasing allocations to EM currencies and euro-denominated assets, which stand to benefit from continued dollar softness and potential European growth stabilization.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
Buy IOC short term target 155, 165 & Medium Term tgt 185, 250 Indian Oil Corporation does business in the entire hydrocarbon value chain - from Refining, Pipeline transportation and marketing of Petroleum products to R&D, Exploration & production, marketing of natural gas and petrochemicals. It has the leadership position in the Oil refining & petroleum marketing sector of India. The company aims to strengthen EV mobility infrastructure by setting up charging points and battery-swapping facilities at its fuel stations. It has also signed a binding term sheet with Panasonic Group to form a JV for manufacturing cells in India. The company’s R&D is focused on emerging fields such as nanotechnology, Solar, Bioenergy, Hydrogen, etc. It has an effective patent portfolio of 1636. It spent Rs 946 Cr in FY24 on R&D. The company’s R&D is focused on emerging fields such as nanotechnology, Solar, Bioenergy, Hydrogen, etc. It has an effective patent portfolio of 1636. It spent Rs 946 Cr in FY24 on R&D. Market Cap ₹ 2,07,370 Cr. Annual Sales - ₹ 758,106 Cr Dividend Yield - 8.20 % Stock P/E - 17.0 Industry PE - 29.2 Debt to equity - 0.82 ROCE - 7.37 % EPS - ₹ 9.63 Fundamentally, this big company is trading at a very low valuation. The Crude Oil price is expected this year to be on lowest, so we can expect good profit margin and this company is into green energy business so it should have PE multiple of that business as well. We Expect growth in EPS by 30% to 12.5 And re-rating of PE multiple to 20 so that give the share price to ₹ 250 which gives return of 70.88% from current price level of 146.30. Technically, this is very bullish on weekly, daily timeframe. Price is trading above all short term, medium term averages. It has formed a bullish candlestick pattern on daily and weekly chart, so we expect immediate strong upside to 155, 165 and eventually 185 level and investment target of 250 levels.
NSE:IOCLong
by PrashantDahale
Blackstone Leads the Revival of IPOs in Spain Blackstone Leads the Revival of IPOs in Spain with Cirsa and HIP Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Blackstone, the world’s largest investment fund, has strongly reactivated the IPO market in Spain with two of its most prominent portfolio companies: Cirsa, a gaming industry giant, and Hotel Investment Partners (HIP), a leader in vacation resorts in Southern Europe. Both companies are in advanced stages of an initial public offering process, following a dual-track strategy that simultaneously explores a market listing or a direct sale to the highest bidder. This strategy offers flexibility to maximize value based on investor demand and market conditions. This dual-track model involves preparing two strategic alternatives: An IPO (Initial Public Offering): listing the company’s shares on a regulated market to raise capital or enable shareholders to sell their stakes. A direct sale (trade sale): selling the company to another fund, institutional investor, or industry player. This approach allows Blackstone to remain flexible and choose the most profitable or stable option, depending on investor appetite and market timing. It is a common model among major private equity firms looking to maximize returns when exiting mature or high-potential assets. In Cirsa’s case, the traditional IPO route has been selected, involving the issuance of new shares and an overallotment option. For HIP, the final decision between an IPO or a trade sale is still under evaluation. Cirsa: First to Market Cirsa aims to raise €400 million in its stock market debut, with a total estimated valuation of €2.52 billion, according to documents seen by Reuters. The company, which operates in Spain, Italy, Morocco, Latin America, and more recently in Portugal and Puerto Rico, will issue new shares at an initial price of €15, with an additional €68 million overallotment option. The transaction, led by BBVA, Jefferies, Mediobanca, Société Générale, and UBS, would mark the first IPO in Spain since HBX Group's offering in February. It could help revitalize the national capital markets, particularly in leisure and tourism sectors. HIP: On the Road to the Stock Market Simultaneously, HIP has completed its transformation into a public limited company—an essential step toward going public. The firm manages 73 hotels with over 22,000 rooms across Spain, Italy, Portugal, and Greece, and is valued at around €6.5 billion. In December 2023, Singapore's sovereign wealth fund GIC acquired a 35% stake, strengthening HIP’s institutional appeal. HIP’s IPO process is being managed by Citi and Morgan Stanley, with legal advisory from Uría Menéndez. The remaining financial advisors are expected to be announced shortly. Strategic Rotation Amid a New Real Estate Cycle In parallel with these IPOs, Blackstone has been carrying out a strategic rotation of its real estate portfolio in Spain, particularly in Catalonia, where both the residential and logistics markets have shown signs of cooling after years of expansion. Regulatory pressure, rental restrictions, and political uncertainty have compressed margins in the residential sector. In response, the fund has redirected its focus toward the hotel sector, which has proven more dynamic and profitable in the post-pandemic context—marked by record occupancy rates, rising prices per room, and strong international investor appetite. HIP has become its flagship vehicle for this bet, and the upcoming IPO strengthens its long-term commitment to high-quality tourism in Southern Europe. At the same time, Blackstone has rotated toward the gaming and entertainment sector with its investment in Cirsa; into logistics and industrial assets via platforms like Mileway or Logicor; and has explored infrastructure and energy opportunities, such as renewables, distribution networks, or treatment plants—though at a lower scale than in hospitality. In short, Blackstone has shifted its attention to more institutionalized sectors tied to tourism or structural consumption, where it can apply its model of active asset revaluation. Spain Back on the Radar of Global Investors Blackstone’s simultaneous push for these two IPOs could mark a turning point for the Spanish market, which has seen limited IPO activity in recent years. The success of these listings could open the door to new deals, at a time when demand for European assets is rebounding, fueled by macroeconomic stability and Southern Europe’s appeal in tourism and leisure. Through these moves, Blackstone not only optimizes its portfolio in Spain but also positions the country as a key destination for major IPOs in Europe. ******************************************************************************************* La información facilitada no constituye un análisis de inversiones. El material no se ha elaborado de conformidad con los requisitos legales destinados a promover la independencia de los informes de inversiones y, como tal, debe considerarse una comunicación comercial. Toda la información ha sido preparada por ActivTrades ("AT"). La información no contiene un registro de los precios de AT, o una oferta o solicitud de una transacción en cualquier instrumento financiero. Ninguna representación o garantía se da en cuanto a la exactitud o integridad de esta información. Cualquier material proporcionado no tiene en cuenta el objetivo específico de inversión y la situación financiera de cualquier persona que pueda recibirlo. La rentabilidad pasada no es un indicador fiable de la rentabilidad futura. AT presta un servicio exclusivamente de ejecución. En consecuencia, toda persona que actúe sobre la base de la información facilitada lo hace por su cuenta y riesgo.
NYSE:BXLong
by ActivTrades
7/1 Gold Analysis and PMI Data Trading StrategyGood afternoon, everyone! Gold has now entered a resistance zone, and on the 30-minute chart, a technical correction appears likely. This correction typically takes one of two forms: A direct pullback from current levels; A minor upward push before the pullback, intensifying the need for correction. In most cases, the second scenario doesn’t result in a large move—unless it’s accompanied by strong news. Given this setup, today’s trading idea is to: Start with a small short position near current resistance; Add to the position if price pushes slightly higher, and patiently wait for a pullback. This strategy has shown over 80% historical success rate. Key support levels to watch: If the price rises before pulling back: 3321–3316 If the price drops directly: 3313–3306 On the 4-hour chart, the rebound is not yet complete, so if the pullback finds solid support, there’s still room for buy-side setups in line with the short-term trend. ⚠️ Important: U.S. PMI data will be released during the New York session. Strategy depends on pre-release price positioning: If price remains below 3312, and the data is bullish → look for long setups. If price is above 3323, wait for a post-data rally to sell into. If the data is bearish → consider selling immediately. Stay flexible, manage your positions wisely, and trade with discipline ahead of the U.S. session.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
"Gold at a Crossroads! Bullish or Bearish? (Trade Plan)"🦹‍♂️💰 "Gold Heist Alert: XAU/USD Bullish Raid or Bearish Ambush?" 💰🦹‍♂️ 🌍 Greetings, Market Pirates & Profit Raiders! 🌍 (Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!) Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Method🔥, here’s our strategic heist plan for XAU/USD (Gold vs. Dollar). Follow the chart markings for high-probability loot zones—whether you're a bullish bandit or a bearish burglar! 🏴‍☠️💸 🎯 Entry Strategy (Where to Strike) "The treasure is ripe for taking! Breakout = GO TIME!" ✅ Long Entry (Bullish Raid): Jump in at current levels if the uptrend holds. ✅ Short Entry (Bearish Ambush): Wait for a break & close below 3280.00 (confirms downtrend). 🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route) 🚨 For Bulls: Bail out if price hits 3240.00 (SL tightens if trend strengthens). 🚨 For Bears: Retreat if price surges past 3360.00 (only activate SL post-breakout!). 🎯 Take Profit (Loot & Scoot!) 💰 Bullish Thieves: Aim for 3600.00 (or exit early if momentum fades). 💰 Bearish Bandits: Target 3125.00 (or escape before the cops—err, reversal—arrives). 📡 Market Intel (Why This Heist?) Gold’s in a neutral zone (but bulls have the edge! 🐂📈). Key factors: Macroeconomic shifts COT data clues Sentiment & seasonal trends (Full breakdown in the chart notes—klick the 🔗! 🔍🌐) ⚠️ Danger Zones (News & Risk Control) 🚨 High-Impact News = NO NEW TRADES! 🚨 Protect open positions: Use trailing stops to lock in profits. 🚨 Adjust SLs if volatility spikes! 💥 Boost the Heist! 💥 Like & Share to fuel our next market robbery! 🚀💰 Follow for more lucrative trade setups—coming soon! 👀🔥 🎯 Trade Smart, Steal Smarter! 🦹‍♂️💎
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by Thief_Trader
This is the reason why gold suddenly "changed its face"! 📣 Gold News Spot gold closed up $28.59, or 0.87%, at $3,302.71 per ounce on Monday. Gold prices fell to around $3,246 per ounce in early Asian trading, the lowest level since May 29. At 21:30 Beijing time on Tuesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, European Central Bank President Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Bailey, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, and Bank of Korea Governor Lee Chang-yong will hold a group meeting. Last Tuesday and Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell attended a congressional hearing and said that the Fed needs more time to observe whether tariffs make inflation rise higher before considering cutting interest rates. Powell said in his congressional testimony that he and most Fed officials expect inflation to start to pick up soon, and the Fed is not in a hurry to cut interest rates before that. Powell said: "At present, we have good conditions to wait and further understand the possible development path of the economy before considering whether to adjust the policy stance." Yesterday, gold opened at $3381.6 and quickly fell back, reaching a low of $3248.8, then rebounded, rebounded in the early trading and touched $3270 and fell again, gold fell back, reaching a low of $3259.4, then gold did not continue to fall, and rebounded. Gold continued to rebound in the European and American markets, with the highest rebound in the US market reaching $3309.4, and finally closed at $3002.9 in the late trading. The monthly line closed with a long upper shadow line and a shooting star pattern. After such a pattern ended, today's gold rebounded high, and the upper resistance focused on the $3326 line. The rebound relied on the resistance below here to short, and the lower side looked at the $3295 line.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
GBP/USD – Macro Outlook & Why It’s a Top Pick This WeekMacro Fundamentals (ENDO): The UK macro backdrop remains inflationary, with solid growth data and resilient employment figures, supporting further GBP strength. Conversely, the US shows increasing deflationary signals and a softer macro pulse. COT Positioning: Institutional positioning is highly supportive, with a 74% long bias and strong “flip percentile.” This shows that “smart money” is increasingly positioned for further GBP/USD upside. Z-Score (Positioning Extremes): There are no extreme positioning imbalances in Z-Score for GBP or USD, suggesting the trend can continue without risk of a mean-reversion squeeze. EXO Signals (Risk/Reward, Bias, Interest Rate Outlook): Risk/reward metrics and bias signals favor the long side. The current risk-on sentiment in global markets also acts as a tailwind for GBP. FX Sentiment: The broader sentiment is risk-on, supporting currencies like GBP that tend to outperform in such environments. Summary & Trading Plan: Bias: Long GBP/USD Conviction: High (9.5/10, all key signals aligned) Ideal Holding Period: 1–3 weeks, as long as risk-on sentiment persists. Exit immediately if risk-off conditions emerge. Why This Pair? Because GBP/USD is the rare case where macro, institutional positioning, and market sentiment all support the same direction. This reduces “crosswinds” and increases the probability of a clean swing move. Watch for sustained risk-on flows and monitor for any macro or sentiment shifts.
Long
by Idealadvantage
HELE | Historic Support Reclaim – Falling Wedge Breakout +113% 📍 Ticker: NASDAQ:HELE (Helen of Troy Ltd.) 📆 Timeframe: 1W (Weekly) 📉 Price: $28.10 📈 Pattern: Falling wedge + long-term horizontal support 🔍 Technical Setup: NASDAQ:HELE is rebounding from a major horizontal support zone that's been in place since 1998, and just broke above a multi-year falling wedge. This marks the start of what could be a powerful bullish reversal. 🔻 Breakdown structure from 2022 now being tested from below 🟡 Long-term horizontal support: ~$26.00–27.00 📈 Breakout potential with plenty of headroom into prior supply zones 🧠 Trade Plan & Return on Invested Capital (ROIC): 📥 Entry Zone: $27.50–$28.50 ⛔ Stop-Loss: Weekly close below $25.00 (structure invalidation) 🎯 Target 1: $47.99 → 🔼 ROIC: +70.8% 🎯 Target 2: $60.06 → 🔼 ROIC: +113.8% ⚠️ Key Observations: Large-volume bottoming zone, breakout confirmed above falling trendline Price targets align with key prior support → resistance flip zones Multi-year trend reversal possible if price sustains above $31–32 Strong candidate for mid/long-term swing trades or LEAP call positioning 💬 Will Helen of Troy return to its former strength with a clean wedge breakout? Add HELE to your watchlist for 2025–2026 recovery potential. #HELE #FallingWedge #BreakoutTrade #LongTermSetup #ReversalPattern #TargetTraders
NASDAQ:HELELong
by TargetTraders