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Fundamental Analysis

Prices exploded. Beware of falling support.Information summary: Russia and Ukraine held a second round of peace talks on Monday. The two sides only agreed on the exchange of prisoners. No breakthroughs have been made on the proposed ceasefire agreement that Ukraine, its European allies and Washington have called on Russia to accept. Umerov said Ukraine proposed more talks before the end of June, but believed that only a direct meeting between Zelensky and Putin could resolve the differences between the two sides on several key issues. Secondly, Trump's tariff issue has escalated global trade tensions, and the intensification of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has also caused geopolitical risks to rise rapidly. Market analysis: Gold has stretched directly from 3290 at the beginning of the week to a high of 3391, a $100 increase. From the perspective of the daily gold line, it is indeed in a bullish trend, breaking through several important pressure levels. But I think all traders need to be wary of chasing more at high levels. The daily trend of gold started from 3120. 3120-3365 is the a wave, 3365-3242 is the retracement of the b wave. So the current trend from 3242 is the rise of the c wave. After breaking through 3340 on Monday, gold has reached 3396 near the 618 position. At present, if gold cannot stand above 3400, it is very likely to maintain the consolidation in the 3396-3340 range. Especially before the release of non-agricultural data this week, such a large fluctuation range. Be sure to be alert to the possibility of continuing to fall back to the support of 3340-3330. Operation strategy: If the price falls back to around 3340-3350, go long, stop loss at 3330, and profit range at 3370-3380. Of course, if you prefer aggressive trading, you can choose a short strategy at 3370-3380, stop loss at 3390, and profit range at 3340-3330.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold: Two Clear Trading OpportunitiesGold surged to around 3390 after today’s open, but has since started to pull back. The current price is nearing the 30M chart MA60 support zone (around 3352), where a minor rebound may occur. 🔍 Short-Term Focus: Resistance to watch: MA10 area at 3369–3378 Trading bias: Primarily short from higher levels 🌐 Main Considerations: There's a large gap left open between 3289–3300, which poses a hidden downside risk. Resistance remains dense above 3400, and the rally left behind potential to form a double top (M shape) or head-and-shoulders pattern. Be cautious of bull traps and manage your positions wisely. 📌 Clear Trade Opportunities: ✅ Short above 3400 ✅ Look for long entries below 3320 The current structure offers identifiable opportunities. Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and trade with confidence.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Arthur3017
Trade Idea: Long XAUUSD (BUY STOP) Bias: Long Order Type: Buy Stop Entry: 3392.60 (above current swing high & clean momentum continuation) Stop Loss: 3379.00 (below local support & M15 20/50 SMA) Take Profit: 3430.00 Risk-Reward: ~2.7R ⸻ 📈 Multi-Timeframe Breakdown: H4: • Structure remains bullish. • Price is breaking out of a range with a clean reclaim of both SMAs. • Momentum increasing, MACD histogram turning up, signaling trend continuation. M15: • Strong impulsive rally from ~3290s to ~3390. • Higher highs and higher lows cleanly respected. • Price consolidating at the highs—ideal for breakout continuation setups. M3: • Momentum is persistent with shallow pullbacks. • Small flag forming near 3390 = ideal for a stop entry just above. • RSI cooling off but still in bullish structure—no divergence yet. ⸻ 🧠 Trade Logic: This is a momentum continuation play after a clean intraday impulse. The market has shown strong upside commitment across all timeframes and is now pausing in a flag/pennant above the breakout zone. A buy stop avoids chasing and only gets triggered if the market confirms with new demand. ⸻ 🛡️ Risk Management & Execution: • Invalidation Window (SL-to-BE Zone): Move SL to breakeven once price closes above 3401 on M3 with bullish structure. → This marks a clear micro higher high and exit from the current consolidation range. • SL Placement Justification: 3379 is just below the M15 demand zone and SMA confluence—if price breaks below, momentum has failed. • Entry Execution: If the flag structure gets invalidated before entry (e.g., price dips sharply), cancel the buy stop. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
Risk, Rates, and Reversals: What’s Next for USD/JPY?CMCMARKETS:USDJPY FX:USDJPY USD/JPY rebounded slightly to 143.10 but remains under pressure after slipping from the 144.50 on BoJ-Fed divergence and rising geopolitical tensions. While the BoJ appears cautious about accelerating its balance sheet tapering beyond FY2026, it still signals further rate hikes amid persistent domestic inflation, offering the yen structural support. Technically, price is reacting off the lower trendline TL2, aligned with the 142.30–142.40 significant support zone. This area has held multiple times in the past and may offer a bullish pullback toward the 143.80 or even 146.15 resistance zones. However, failure to break above these levels could expose USD/JPY to renewed downside toward the 140.89 demand base. Short-term recovery depends on Friday’s NFP and risk sentiment around trade tensions. A break below 142.30 would invalidate the bullish rebound and open downside to support near 140.89. Resistance : 143.87 , 146.14 Support : 142.36 , 140.89
Short
by ATFX_Global
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 3rd June 2024)Asian + London Session Bias: Bullish USD News(Red Folder): - JOLTS Job Openings Notes: - Price closed above 0.618 fib level - Looking for pullback and form bullish structure - Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe - Pivot point: 3317 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by HM_fxtrading
100% run up into earningsChance to get hot with semis if SPX can claim above 5950 High $8 for buying until we lose the 50MA. Break above 12 with strength/volume will be key for continuation to 20. Price-To-Earnings ratio (12.6x) is below the US market (17.8x) * Revenue is forecast to grow 17.78% per year * Earnings grew by 47.8% over the past year * Short Interest 6.94M Short Previous Month 7.16M Short % of Shares Out 23.30% Short % of Float 26.13% Short Ratio (days to cover) 17.67 they will have tariff issues, so guidance is likely to bring uncertainties
NASDAQ:AEHRLong
by WSMS199
META Breakout – Handle Cleared, Mega-Cap Strength in PlayMeta ( NASDAQ:META ) broke out of a handle today, closing at the top of its daily range—clear signs of strength and institutional accumulation. Volume expanded, and relative strength is in a firm uptrend, confirming leadership status. Meta is a mega-cap AI play at the heart of the market’s current innovation cycle. It’s also above all key moving averages (10, 21, 50, 200), showing technical health across timeframes. The breakout occurs within a strong earnings backdrop and aligns with broader market trends favoring growth and AI narratives. Trade Setup: 📈 Entry: 664 – 695 🛑 Stop: 630 – 617 🎯 Target: 796 – 826 This is a textbook breakout of a bullish handle pattern, and we’ll watch for tight consolidation or a clean retest for possible add-on entries if the trend continues.
NASDAQ:METALong
by StratusGrowthTrading
Win:win:win You can make money while doing goodCheck this one out! They just announced yesterday that they had a test that detected 100% of early-stage, min, and late-stage ovarian cancers in a study on 500 individuals. No missed cases. less than 23% false positives and 0% false negatives. There is currently no screening technology for ovarian cancer. This makes it likely that large companies will be clamouring to bid on the tech. Which is a great thing. Early detection isn't common, but early detection can increase survival rates from 50% to 90%+ after 5 years. That is a very meaningful and tangible delta in terms of lives that will be saved once this is rolled-out world-wide. I didn't have time to research them in-depth before buying in. But I will learn more about them if I have funds available to increase the position. Small-cap highly likely to attract buyers. Excellent work coming out of Australia! They have other tech in development, including a multi-cancer screening test. If the tech on that is as good as the tech announced yesterday, this could seriously improve the early-detection, treatment, and survival rates for a wide-swath of cancers. Could you find a more positive story to invest in?
ASX:IIQLong
by flyinkiwi10
Textbook Correction, Explosive Setup!- The acceleration in growth momentum and the notable increase in orders are highly satisfying. Despite this, there is no indication of overvaluation based on valuation multiples. - The sector addresses one of the major energy challenges of the future, and the company's position within it is very strong. From a management perspective, no significant issues are expected — in fact, the current crisis presents a potential opportunity. - Price momentum is very strong, and the stock appears to be completing its A-B-C correction phase in textbook fashion. - If two consecutive green Heikin Ashi candles appear on the daily chart, the position should be increased. Otherwise, current levels still represent an excellent entry point.
NASDAQ:EOSELong
by Tolgaun6
Nine's ready to explode — big move coming!Based on the historical behaviour of this stock, it’s currently reaching the lowest price in its entire history. The last time it dropped to this level was in March 2020, during the COVID crash and after two consecutive heavy losses. However, the current financial structure isn’t nearly as weak as it was then, even though the price has fallen to a similar level. This is considered a very high-risk trade — but the potential return could be at least 300% in the coming months.
NYSE:NINELong
by aliahmadieng1362
POST NEWS TRADING (EUR USD) - MAY 2025this is the back test result of post news trading of may 2025 . . . strategy summary: after high impact news (find at economic calendar) we wait for first 15 min candle to be closed then we put buy stop and sell stop at high and low of the candle . one order cancels other as soon as one is hit. sl would be one hour atr and tp 1.5 times that, exceptions: we don't trade if there is another news within an hour ... . . . cautions : although there is a promising result but its not the holy grail and it can have different out comes based on the pair and the month , every month the market can change and show different attitude .. . . . 📊 Statistical Summary: Number of trades: 12 Winning trades: 9 Losing trades: 3 Win rate: 75% Total pips: 246 pips Average pips per trade: 20.5 pips Max gain: 60 pips Max loss: -18 pips
by alisardari
Sazgar - Waiting for BudgetSazgar produced excillent performance in both 3rd quarter and 9MFY2025 with PAT of 104% and 186% YoY, respectively. Technically its looks down at 1144 - 1150 support level. Budget is the main obstacle. The government is planning to increase the age limit for importing used vehicles from 3 years to 5 years. If implemented, this could negatively impact volumes of local automobile anufacturers. The FBR has proposed an increase in withholding tax (WHT) on vehicles with engine capacities above 1,300cc. This would be negative for the local players. Fundamentally, the light vehicles' manufacturers may face difficulties after budget, being the above, materalized. Sazgar is excillent company but those external factors are not permitting the buy call. I am still bullish and will buy more purely on technical basis to recover my losses.
PSX:SAZEW
by hameedops