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Fundamental Analysis

Litecoin big fall commenced to $49 thanks to RumpThe operational costs are rising sky high for Litecoin which is becoming very expensive to mine. And based on the Crypto Depression, it seems like there is more downside to come for the alt coin due to some of the following: 📉 Weak On-Chain Activity Fewer active wallets and transactions lately—shows low interest. 🔻 Bearish Price Action LTC just broke key support levels on the chart—bad sign for bulls. 💼 Lack of Big Investor Moves No major whale activity—institutions are sitting this one out. 📉 ETF Hype Fading Talk of a Litecoin ETF has cooled off—momentum’s dying down. Technicals also look bad including: Inv Cup and Handle Price<20 and 200 Target $49.60 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:LTCUSDShort
by Timonrosso
Futures electronic hoursFutures electronic hours 💡 This idea focuses on trading futures during the electronic trading hours — the periods outside the regular cash session, where unique price behavior often occurs due to lower liquidity and algorithmic dominance. 📊 Core Strategy: During electronic hours (typically post-market/pre-market), futures like ES, NQ, or CL often show sharp moves driven by global macro news, low-volume liquidity zones, or overnight positioning. These moves can offer high-probability setups when combined with key levels from the regular session. 🧠 How to use it: 1. Mark key support/resistance levels from the previous regular session. 2. During electronic hours (e.g., 6 PM – 9 AM ET), monitor price interaction with these levels. 3. Look for rejection, breakout, or fakeout signals, ideally with volume spikes. 4. Use tight risk management due to increased volatility and spreads. ⏱️ Electronic hours are often overlooked but can offer clean technical setups for experienced traders, especially in quiet news environments or after major macro releases. 📌 Works well with futures contracts like ES, NQ, CL, and GC. Can also be adapted for FX and crypto markets which trade 24/7.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by elukonina
Long EURNZD – Seasonal, Fundamentals & Technical ConfluenceWe are entering a long position on EURNZD, capitalizing on a powerful confluence of: Seasonal EUR strength + NZD weakness (April 10 – May 15) A clear bullish market structure (CHoCH, HH/HL) A clean Fibonacci retracement entry at 0.5 Strong macro divergence, with NZD exogenous conditions deteriorating Macro & Seasonal Context EUR enters a strong seasonal uptrend from April 10 to end of month NZD shows seasonal weakness from April 15 onward NZD’s exogenous model score worsened to -12 in April While NZD LEI and endo improved, it remains structurally weak Timing Best execution: on pullback to 1.9373 zone, ideally between April 10–15, aligned with seasonal entry window.
Long
by wajahatarif
Cardano the next big Crypto fall to 0.37Cardano is another Crypto that is falling flat due to the tariff implementation. And we can expect it to do so as long as price remains below 20 and 200MA> Here are some reasons why we can expect a continued downside. Escalating Trade Tensions: President Donald Trump's recent tariff announcements have intensified global trade disputes, leading to a broader market sell-off affecting cryptocurrencies like ADA. ​ Investor Shift to Bitcoin: Amid market volatility, investors are gravitating towards Bitcoin, perceived as a 'blue-chip' crypto, resulting in decreased demand for altcoins such as Cardano. ​ Whale Sell-Offs: Large holders have sold approximately 120 million ADA tokens recently, exerting additional downward pressure on the price. ​ And in technical news, the charts agree with major downside to come. MAJOR M Formation Price<20 and 200 Target $0.37 Let's see if Crypto is going to endure this Crypto Depression. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:ADAUSDShort
by Timonrosso
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 9, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Meeting Minutes GBPUSD: On Tuesday, the GBP/USD pair broke a two-day losing streak, finding a technical bounce off the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) just north of the 1.2700 mark. Price action remains in a state of uncertainty ahead of the planned imposition of tariffs in the US, with investors maintaining a subdued outlook in anticipation of key US inflation and sentiment data due for release later this week. Overall, the week has been relatively quiet on the UK economic data front, with Tuesday providing a welcome respite from the usual deluge of geopolitical and trade headlines that have become the norm for the Trump administration in recent weeks. Nevertheless, several key policymakers from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have provided insights, cautioning that uncertainty and unintended inflationary consequences from US tariffs could complicate, rather than facilitate, the Fed's rate-cutting efforts. However, traders continue to bet that the Fed will be forced to cut rates before the end of the year, as the negative economic fallout from the same tariffs could lead the U.S. into recession. According to the CME's FedWatch tool, rate swap traders are beginning to raise hopes that the first quarter-point rate cut could come as early as May. However, most betting market participants still see a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut in July as more likely, and 100 bps or more by the end of the year. On Thursday, US consumer price index (CPI) data will be released, followed on Friday by the producer price index (PPI) and the University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment survey. This will be the latest in a series of key US inflation and sentiment data relating to the 'pre-tariff' period of 2025, which will be a key indicator for the remainder of the calendar year. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.28600, SL 1.27800, TP 1.29600
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
South Africa Top 40 Index (SA40) Overview and Market OutlookHello, The South Africa Top 40 Index (SA40), also known as the JSE Top 40 Index, is a capitalization-weighted index that tracks the performance of the 40 largest companies listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE)—Africa’s largest stock exchange. Despite covering a relatively small number of companies, the index represents over 80% of the total market capitalization of JSE-listed firms, making it a strong indicator of the overall performance of the South African stock market. Market Update & Outlook While the SA40 remains a key benchmark, it has faced recent price struggles as investors react to global economic developments. Market uncertainty has been fueled by concerns over U.S. trade policy, particularly expectations surrounding President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariff plans. Investors fear these tariffs could slow economic growth in the world's largest economy. However, Trump recently suggested a softer approach, stating that not all threatened tariffs would be imposed immediately and that some countries may receive exemptions. Investment Strategy Given the current uncertainty, we anticipate a further correction in the SA40. Investors considering exposure to this asset may opt for a small short position in the near term or wait for the correction to play out before entering a long-term buy position. Careful risk management and market monitoring remain crucial in navigating this evolving landscape. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:SA40
by thesharkke
Will gold go to 2933 or 2740? Or maybe the other way around?Using wave counting, we are at the end of a non-corrective wave. And most likely to go very low from 3049 or 3052 to 2933 or possibly even lower. If the bulls gain strength with the news in favor of gold, it will probably go towards 3130 and 3200. But for now, let's think about going short.Using wave counting, we are at the end of the non-corrective wave. And probably very low prices from 3049 or 3052 to prices of 2933, possibly even lower. If the bulls gain strength with the release of news in favor of gold, it will probably go to 3130 and 3200. But for now let's think about shorting. Of course, in the four-hour timeframe, a QM ego can also be seen. This is not a signal, this is my mind sharing the chart.
TVC:GOLD
by king_1970
Gold is Currently Exhibiting A Strong Bullish Momentum!Gold is currently exhibiting a strong bullish momentum , with a high likelihood of targeting the previous day's highs to sweep liquidity. This move is driven by the pending high liquidity run, which is a key factor influencing the market's dynamics. Notably, the previous day's low liquidity areas have been cleared, paving the way for the market to focus on the next level of liquidity. Currently, we're observing a minor rejection from the 4H FVG zone, which is a crucial level to watch. If the market breaks above this zone, it could potentially propel gold prices further upside, driven by the underlying bullish sentiment. As such, it's essential to monitor the market closely, keeping a keen eye on the price action and any potential developments that could impact the market's trajectory. By staying informed and adapting to the changing market conditions, we can better navigate the complexities of the gold market and make more informed trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Aiden_Fury
Gold's Resilience Amid Market Uncertainty.Greetings.. Since November 2024, gold prices have been consolidating within a rising wedge pattern. Amidst market uncertainties, prices declined but found robust support around the $2,960 level, underscoring gold's role as a safe-haven asset. Following this support, prices have begun to align with underlying fundamentals. With the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release scheduled for tomorrow, there is anticipation that gold prices may retest the $3,165 resistance level.​ Recent analyses indicate that gold has surged to record levels, surpassing $3,000 per ounce and reaching $3,167.57, driven by mounting geopolitical and economic uncertainties. Additionally, HSBC has revised its gold price forecasts upward, now projecting average prices of $3,015 per ounce in 2025, citing increased geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties. These factors contribute to the expectation of gold approaching the $3,165 level once more. ​Following President Trump's inauguration, gold prices experienced a notable surge, underscoring its status as a safe-haven asset amid market uncertainties. The implementation of substantial tariffs and escalating geopolitical tensions have introduced significant uncertainty, adversely affecting various markets, including cryptocurrencies, equities, and currencies. Despite this widespread market volatility, gold has maintained its appeal as a refuge for investors during periods of uncertainty and fear. Given the current climate, there is an anticipation that gold may reach new all-time highs. Follow and hit a like for more:)
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by wickywicks
Bitcoin and 50 SMA on a WEEKLY chart - UPDATE Following on from the sharp drop in the beginning of the week, where PA dropped Below the 50 SMA ( RED) , PA has recovered and, as you can see, the candle Body is currently sitting ON the 50 SMA We may need to remain in this area to bring back the Bullish Sentiment and then move higher. It can be said that a bullish sentiment remains with Bitcoin as its did NOT crash as sharply as Stock Markets. We are also now waiting on the MACD to fully enter the "Bounce Zone" The Weeks candle on the histogram has returned to RED and so some caution is required here, while we wait. It is the next few days that are crucial now. The "Tariff" dust us settling and countries are reacting to Trumps Tariff impositions. My Gut feeling is VERY positive right now. But that is just me, Watch that candle on the 50 SMA like a Hawk. If we loose that again and the week closes below, THEN we need to think carefully
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Is China cooking USA trough selling GOV.BONDS and the Dollar? Markets Roiled by New U.S. Tariffs: 28-Hour Recap In the past 28 hours, global financial markets have reacted sharply to the U.S. implementation of sweeping reciprocal tariffs, targeting over 60 countries with adjusted rates ranging from 11% to 50%. The move, aimed at correcting persistent U.S. goods trade deficits, has rattled investor confidence and sparked fears of a global trade slowdown. Key Highlights: U.S. Stocks Dip: The S&P 500 fell 1.9%, while the Dow Jones lost over 600 points amid fears of retaliatory tariffs and rising import costs for U.S. firms. Tech Hit Hard: Tech giants with supply chains linked to Asia, particularly China (now subject to a 34% tariff), saw sharp losses. Apple and NVIDIA shares dropped 3.2% and 4.5%, respectively. Dollar Mixed: The U.S. dollar strengthened against emerging market currencies but weakened against safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen and Swiss franc, both countries also affected (24% and 31% tariffs, respectively). Commodities Volatile: Oil prices slid 2.4% on concerns over reduced global demand, while gold surged past $2,130 as investors sought shelter from market instability. EU Response: The European Union, facing a 20% U.S. tariff, announced it is "evaluating proportional measures." European stock indexes fell by an average of 1.5%. Asian Markets Plunge: Major indexes like the Nikkei and Hang Seng dropped 2.1% and 3.3%, respectively, reflecting panic over trade disruptions. Euro behaving diferently than its usual. It has many reason behind of it but I try to focus to one biggger reason: Why euro is getting stronger once we see Indexes GER30, SP500 etc getting sold ? China is dumping US Treasuries and selling the USD proceeds daily? How we can verify this? - We have a few tools altough its not realtime data but can confirm our suspition 1. Track China’s Holdings of US Treasuries Source: U.S. Treasury’s Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities report Link: home.treasury.gov → Data → Reports → TIC Data Frequency: Monthly Note: A significant drop month-over-month can indicate "dumping." 2. Monitor U.S. Dollar Flows and FX Activity Sources: SWIFT reports (used in interbank transfers) IMF’s COFER database (Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves) Bloomberg Terminal or Reuters (for real-time data) 3. Watch USD/CNY Exchange Rate Movements If China is selling off USD, this might put downward pressure on the dollar. Use platforms like TradingView, Investing.com, or Bloomberg to monitor this daily. 4. Observe China’s Balance of Payments and Reserves Source: People’s Bank of China (PBOC) Significant reductions in foreign exchange reserves or changes in asset composition may suggest reallocation from USD assets. 5. Check Daily Treasury Auctions and Secondary Market Data Platforms like the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or MarketWatch can provide insight into demand for Treasuries. Large sales or weak demand can sometimes reflect foreign selling.
by ElGatoTrade
1
Gold Intraday Idea 09/04/2025XAUUSD Analysis – 4H Outlook Gold briefly broke below 2988.00 following tariff headlines but quickly snapped back above the psychological 3000 level ahead of London open. The 4H candle just closed above 3013 — a strong resistance that’s held firm all week — indicating bullish pressure. A break of the previous 4H high opens up a move toward 3041 (+176 pips). Continued momentum above 3052 would confirm longer-term buys in line with the bullish trend. 🟩 Bias: Bullish, supported by tariff news and key level reactions.
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Thetraderscollective
GBPUSD(20250409)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The U.S. Customs and Border Protection Agency reiterated that the specific tax rates for each country will be announced at 12:01 a.m. on April 9. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.2764 Support and resistance levels: 1.2862 1.2825 1.2802 1.2726 1.2702 1.2666 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.2802, consider buying, the first target price is 1.2825 If the price breaks through 1.2764, consider selling, the first target price is 1.2726
by BraveTigercat
Trade Idea : US30 Short ( SELL STOP )Technical Analysis Summary: Daily Chart: • Trend: Strong bearish breakdown; significant drop below support. • MACD: Deeply negative, suggesting strong bearish momentum. • RSI: Oversold at 18.48, indicating exhaustion but not yet reversal. 15-Minute Chart: • Trend: Clear downtrend continuation. • MACD: Bearish crossover sustained. • RSI: Approaching oversold (29.81), but still trending down. 3-Minute Chart: • Trend: Momentum is slowing down but still bearish. • MACD: Negative, bearish crossover. • RSI: Around 33, indicating potential short-term bounce, but no bullish divergence. ⸻ Fundamental Insight: • The broader US30 index has reacted to strong macroeconomic headwinds (possibly higher-for-longer interest rates, weak earnings, or geopolitical tensions). • No signs of dovish reversal or major catalyst for a sharp recovery. ⸻ Trade Idea: SHORT POSITION Entry: 37070 (current price zone—ideal entry on slight retracement) Stop Loss (SL): 37320 (above minor resistance and recent local high) Take Profit (TP): 36350 (strong daily support area and psychological level) Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): • Risk: ~270 points • Reward: ~700 points FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Short
by KeN-WeNzEl
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Wednesday, 9th April 2024)Bias: No Bias USD News(Red Folder): -None Analysis: -Price closed bearish below daily structure -Looking for retest on 0.5 fib level or sell & retest on 0.618 fib level for buy -Potential BUY/SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe -Pivot point: 3020, 2940 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by HM_fxtrading
DJT Rollercoaster TheoryHello friends. DJT is Trump's stock. It has sold off recently due to falling interest from retail traders and the recent tariff shitshow. But Trump is still the president and is a very good attention whore like Elon Musk, which brings value to shareholders in his otherwise worthless company. We are expecting that a low will come in at around $14.50, and then an echo bubble narrative will emerge as Republicans decide it's a good investment and become the next wave of exit liquidity. For this stock, a stop loss is important as it cannot be considered a long term investment. So I have stops around the lows.
NASDAQ:DJTLong
by bowtrix
Apparatchik Trump Says 'No.. More Pain' Ahead of Amazon EarningsPresident Trump's new tariffs have had a significant negative impact on Amazon's stock performance, revenue, and earnings, primarily due to increased costs and supply chain disruptions. Here below is a detailed analysis of these effects. Impact on Amazon's Stock Performance Amazon's stock has seen substantial declines following the announcement of Trump's tariff plan. The company's shares dropped nearly 7% within two days of the announcement and are down nearly 21% year-to-date. These tariffs have exacerbated existing challenges for Amazon, which was already struggling in early 2025 with a 13% decline in stock value during the first quarter. The broader market also suffered, with technology stocks experiencing sharp declines as investors reacted to fears of higher costs and inflation. Revenue Challenges Amazon's reliance on Chinese suppliers for merchandise has made it particularly vulnerable to the newly imposed tariffs. Over 50% of Amazon's top third-party sellers are based in China, and many of their products are subject to hefty import taxes, including a 34% tariff on Chinese goods. These tariffs increase landed costs for a significant portion of Amazon's inventory, forcing sellers to either absorb the additional expenses or pass them on to consumers through higher prices. This could lead to reduced consumer demand, as higher prices may deter shoppers from purchasing goods on Amazon's platform. Additionally, the elimination of duty exemptions on minor imports—previously advantageous for discount platforms such as Temu and Shein—has disrupted Amazon's competitive pricing strategy. While this change may level the playing field among e-commerce platforms, it also raises operational costs for Amazon's marketplace vendors who had relied on these exemptions. Earnings Pressure The tariffs are projected to slash Amazon's annual operating profits by $5 billion to $10 billion due to increased merchandise costs. Goldman Sachs estimates that these costs could rise by 15% to 20%, further straining profitability. While Amazon has historically maintained lower prices compared to competitors, absorbing these increased expenses without raising prices significantly may be unsustainable in the long term. Moreover, fears of inflation resurgence due to Trump's trade policies could further dampen consumer purchasing power. This would likely lead to lower sales volumes and additional pressure on profit margins across Amazon's retail operations. Potential Mitigation Strategies To counteract these challenges, Amazon may implement several measures: Vendor Negotiations. The company could negotiate with suppliers to share the burden of increased input costs rather than bearing them entirely. Price Adjustments. Selective price increases on certain products may help offset rising costs without alienating customers entirely. Supply Chain Diversification. Shifting sourcing away from heavily tariffed regions like China or focusing more on domestic suppliers could reduce exposure to trade disruptions. Focus on Services. Amazon’s cloud division, AWS, contributes significantly to its operating income (58% in Q4 2024) and remains largely unaffected by tariffs. Increased emphasis on AWS could help mitigate losses from retail operations. Technical challenge The main technical graph indicates on Bearish market in development, with nearly 30% potential to further decline, down to major 10-year average support. Conclusion Trump’s tariffs have created substantial headwinds for Amazon by driving up costs and disrupting its supply chain. These challenges have led to stock declines, reduced revenue potential, and significant earnings pressure. While Amazon is exploring mitigation strategies such as vendor negotiations and diversification, the long-term impact will depend on how effectively the company adapts its operations amidst ongoing trade tensions. -- Best 'Apparatchik' wishes, PandorraResearch Team 😎
NASDAQ:AMZN
by PandorraResearch