Fundamental Analysis
USDJPY On The Verge Of A CollapseA simple trade setup with good risk/reward but with huge economic implications should this structure CRACK!
With all H&S patterns, the risk is that it head tests before breaking down.
We've seen this play out recently in NFLX
That is why it is important to wait for the CRACK! And not front-run the trade.
GOOGL | Long | Strong Fundamentals | (April 2025)GOOGL | Long | Strong Fundamentals + Technical Support | (April 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
Google (GOOGL) is showing strong fundamental performance with healthy earnings, a growing outlook, and a technically supportive zone. It’s currently sitting at $159, and based on both macro trends and chart structure, there’s potential for a move higher.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Around $159
Stop Loss: $140
TP1: $160 ✅ (light partial)
TP2: $200 ✅ (major target)
Ultimate Target: $250 🏁
Partial Exits: 25% at each target level to manage risk and lock in gains.
3️⃣ Key Notes:
🔹 Fundamentals are solid: Google has a net income of $100B and EPS around $8, with a growing outlook.
🔹 Dividend yield is modest at 0.51%, but it's backed by $28B in debt and strong cash flow.
🔹 Technically, GOOGL is trading in a supportive zone and could revisit previous highs around $200+.
🔹 Market cap sits at $2T, showing investor confidence.
🔹 Watch the broader market (e.g., SPX, NQ) for sentiment shifts that could impact tech stocks.
4️⃣ Follow-up:
Will review this trade setup and update if price approaches $200 or reacts at key levels.
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Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
The Ghost of 1986-1987 Stock Market Overlay onto $IWMThe 1986-1987 stock market advance was 48% as measured by the S&P500 Index SP:SPX from the low in late 1986 which peaked in August 1987 and crashed into October 19th's spectacular 20% decline in one day.
The advance in the Russell 2000 Index from the low in 2023 to the high in 2024 was 51%, topping the 48% gain in the SP:SPX and the meltdown wasn't as spectacular, but it was similar.
There were similar patterns in fears of trade wars, US dollar declines, new tax laws going into effect back then and tax laws sunsetting this time. Those you can go into by reviewing my other charts I have published over the years here.
I stretched the 1987 pattern to fit the low to the high, so it isn't "exactly" the same time day-to-day for this pattern.
I found it interesting because the chart of AMEX:IWM all by itself had the same "look" to me as the 1987 bull market and crash so I decided to put it together for you all here to see.
I would expect a choppy market from here on as people adjust to the new uncertainties. Sellers of this decline will be shy to reinvest anytime soon and buyers are likely afraid to step up and get aggressive with so much uncertainty.
Sentiment as measured by AAII shows an extremely fearful and reluctant investor class, which is typical to see at major market bottoms.
Wishing everyone peace and prosperity!
Tim West
11:17AM EST April 24, 2025
Meme Camera CrazeThe meme stock phenomenon has erupted several times in recent years: in the 2021 wave, the share prices of GameStop (GME), AMC Entertainment, and other small-cap companies nearly exploded almost unexpectedly due to the coordinated buying by the Reddit / r/WallStreetBets communities. A March 2025 analysis finds that the essence of meme stocks is that retail investors’ “viral” popularity on social media drives sudden surges in trading volume and explosive price spikes—often independently of the companies’ fundamental metrics. One hallmark of these firms is extreme volatility: dramatic price swings over short periods, driven more by social-media sentiment and coordinated buying pressure than by classic financial analysis.
GoPro (GPRO)—known for its action cameras—has exhibited large price swings without any fundamental corporate events. Analysts note that GoPro has become a “Robinhood favorite” and is increasingly treated as a new “play” on Reddit forums. This study examines GoPro from four angles: the impact of social media on its stock movement, its price volatility and speculative waves, the role of high short interest, and the activity of retail-investor forums (e.g., Reddit WSB).
Social Media Impact on Stock Movement
Social media and online forums are critical for meme stocks: TradingSim highlights that these stocks’ prices and volumes are strongly shaped by retail-investor social-media activity, resulting in highly volatile, sudden price jumps. GoPro is no exception. A Nasdaq/Motley Fool analysis reports that in the first week of March 2021, GoPro shares rose 13%, then jumped another 10.3% in a single day—even though no material company-specific news was released. This spike was attributed to high (~10.5%) short interest and WallStreetBets attention.
Retail day traders are thus hunting new names, and GoPro often tops their lists: “retail investors are on the lookout for fresh picks, and GoPro seems to fit the bill,” one WSB comment noted. A MarketBeat/Entrepreneur article emphasizes that meme stocks are frequently discovered through social-media buzz, triggering swift volume surges and price explosions regardless of fundamentals. Clearly, GoPro’s price can be moved at any time by unexpected social-media waves.
Price Volatility and Speculative Waves
GoPro’s share price shows sharp swings—“roller-coaster” moves with double-digit daily gains and pullbacks. For example, the Nasdaq article above notes the stock climbed 13% within a week and jumped another double digit in one day. This is typical of meme stocks: one day, FOMO drives the price up; the next, profit-taking or short selling unleashes a crash. TradingSim also points out that meme-stock volatility often detaches from traditional factors and instead hinges on social-media sentiment.
Furthermore, GoPro’s fundamentals rarely explain short-term moves. In March 2021 there was no significant operational news, yet a major rally occurred. On the other hand, the long-term trend has been weak: in 2024 the stock fell nearly 65% by year-end, reflecting broader market headwinds and underscoring that speculative waves alone can’t sustain growth. (Worth noting, some analysts expect improved sales in 2025.) Overall, GoPro’s short-term price action mirrors retail-investor sentiment swings more than corporate performance.
High Short Interest and Its Role
Meme stocks typically feature notably high short interest, amplifying speculative risk and setting the stage for short squeezes. TradingSim explains that high short interest in such names often primes them for squeezes if buying momentum builds. GoPro carried around a 10–14% short float in early 2021—comparable to Bed Bath & Beyond at the time—and as of spring 2025 still sits at roughly 8.1% short float, which is high (many blue-chip stocks run only 1–3%).
These figures imply that sudden retail buying can force shorts to cover, generating further upward pressure. Nasdaq’s analysis underlines that GoPro’s 10.5%+ short float in March 2021 likely fueled its rally as shorts rushed to close positions. SEC reports caution that high short-interest stocks are prime targets for coordinated retail actions aiming for squeezes. Thus, GoPro’s relatively high short interest joins it to the classic meme-stock hallmarks.
Retail Investor Community Activity (Reddit, WallStreetBets)
Online retail-investor forums remain central to GoPro’s hype. Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets community regularly seeks new “meme plays,” and GoPro often surfaces in their discussions. Analyses find that these groups can mobilize rapidly, generating massive buying pressure that produces market-disrupting moves, including repeated short squeezes. Experts argue that successful meme-stock trading almost requires active monitoring of Reddit/WSB and similar channels.
GoPro’s coverage on these forums—through posts and user-generated analyses—keeps it in retail traders’ sights. While the tone is often ironic and slang-laden (“hold,” “ape,” etc.), their impact is real: TradeSim notes that social-media sentiment drives meme markets more than financial fundamentals. Whether the GoPro hype continues is uncertain, but retail attention remains high and the potential for coordinated actions endures.
Conclusions
Our analysis shows that GoPro exhibits multiple characteristics of famous meme stocks like GameStop and AMC:
Social Media Impact: GoPro’s price often reacts sharply to retail communities’ buzz. It features as a Robinhood favorite and is increasingly discussed on Reddit, meaning a single WSB post or media mention can trigger broad buying waves.
High Volatility: GoPro shares can swing 10–15% in a single day, despite stable corporate metrics—mirroring the dramatic moves typical of meme stocks.
Elevated Short Interest: With past floats above 10% and current levels near 8%, GoPro’s short interest is high enough to enable potential short squeezes—one of the core traits identified during the GameStop–AMC saga.
Active Retail Forums: Beyond WSB, other investor groups actively discuss GoPro. Research shows that following Reddit and similar channels is crucial for participating in meme-stock rallies, and GoPro remains a popular target for these coordinated efforts.
In sum, GoPro’s price behavior aligns closely with the speculative patterns of top meme stocks: it is highly susceptible to social-media hype, shows extreme volatility, carries high short interest, and enjoys active retail-investor coordination. Investors attracted to GoPro for its meme-stock profile should be aware that they are betting on sentiment-driven swings, which can yield rapid gains or steep losses. Nonetheless, by these metrics, GoPro can justifiably be regarded as a meme stock in its own right.
Sources Used:
This study draws on key analyses showing that meme stocks’ prices and volumes are driven by social-media activity. GoPro’s specific examples are supported by financial reports from Nasdaq, Motley Fool, and other outlets.
AT&T I Tipping Point : Short Opportunity with Head & ShouldersHey traders after a previous trade trade on the hood hitting targets of 16.4%. Today I bring you NYSE:T
Technical + Fundamental View
Pro Tip
- Breakdown below the Entry Line will be considered at Trade Initiation. (Risky Traders)
R:R= 5.4
- Rest can follow entry at day close post breakdown SL above Entry Candle.
- The Breakdown Below the Entry Line will confirm the head and shoulder pattern
Entry Line - 26.93
Stoploss - 27.53
Target 1 - 25.59 (Neckline of head and shoulder)
Target 2 - 24.74
Target 3 - 23.68
Technical View
- Head And Shoulder on Daily Time frame
- On the hourly timeframe, the chart looks weak, showing a potential double top pattern where the second peak is lower than the first, indicating growing investor fear.
Fundamental View
- High Debt: Over $140 billion in debt limits investment capacity and consumes significant cash flow.
- Network Issues: Poor service quality and outages risk losing customers to competitors.
- Strong Competition : T-Mobile and Verizon offer better plans, making customer retention harder.
- Market Saturation: The U.S. wireless market is nearly saturated, limiting new customer growth.
- Execution Risks: Growth and debt reduction depend on flawless asset sales and network upgrades; delays could harm finances and stock performance.
Additional Considerations
- AT&T’s valuation is higher than some peers, potentially capping upside.
- Telecom market competitiveness means growth hinges on successful 5G and fiber rollouts.
- Dividend yield (~3.9%) is attractive but lower than some rivals, which may impact income investors.
OFSS Weekly | Bullish Harmonic Reversal & RSI Breakout | Short-T📈 Swing Trade Recommendation (Short-Term):
Buy Zone: ₹8,600–₹8,750 (on dips or on strength)
Target 1: ₹9,300 (initial resistance and round number)
Target 2: ₹10,200–₹10,500 (next harmonic resistance zone)
Stoploss: ₹8,050 (below recent swing low)
🔍 Technical Highlights:
Bullish Harmonic Structure forming with strong reversal from "C" to "D".
Volume breakout supports the current leg of momentum.
RSI bullish divergence and breakout confirms potential trend reversal.
For Education purpose only
BNBUSDT: A Short-Term Bullish ScenarioBNBUSDT: A Short-Term Bullish Scenario
This analysis of BNBUSDT on the 4-hour timeframe highlights key price movements and potential trading opportunities.
Key Dates: February 3, 2025, and March 11, 2025, marking significant price levels where the price stopped several times near the support zones 522.26 and 504.20
Target Levels: 587.26, 617.05, and 639.17, indicating potential upward movements.
BNBUSDT is at a critical juncture where traders might look for buying opportunities. The current support zone is very strong and given that the current market movements didn't push BNB down more than this zone then the chances are rising that BNB could rise again during the coming days.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TRUMP price analysis✊ At the end of March, we last wrote about #Trump and “looked like water” predicting a price drop to $7-7.20 if the “great and brilliant leader” did not stop doing stupid things.... but then came the April sanctions...
We can comment and discuss it for a long time, but it's no use - you can't get the rust out of the metal or out of your head...
It was interesting on 19.04 - when a large unlock of 40 million #Trump coins took place and participants expected the price dump to continue.... but no...
and already on 23.04 - the news comes out that #Trump will have dinner with the largest holders of his token and, oh, miracle = 75% of the OKX:TRUMPUSDT price pump
There are already jokes on Twitter that the TOP-5 holders will be able to choose to who will be the next to set or remove abnormal taxes during dinner)
But seriously, there is every chance that the #TRUMUSDC price pump will continue and God grant us patience to keep and hold this small amount of #Trump coins to $24-$32 or maybe to $40...
_____________________
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MRVL at turning point; rapid growth; stock price set to doubleMarvell Technology Inc. (MRVL) has recently shown signs of an upward trend, buoyed by positive analyst sentiment and strategic advancements in AI and cloud computing. Despite a challenging start to 2025, with shares down approximately 50% year-to-date (markets.businessinsider.com), analysts maintain a bullish outlook. The average 12-month price target stands at $116.40, suggesting significant potential upside from current levels (StockAnalysis).
Marvell's focus on custom AI silicon and data center solutions is driving optimism. The company's Structera CXL devices have achieved interoperability with AMD and Intel platforms, enhancing performance in next-generation cloud data centers (Benzinga). Additionally, Marvell's AI business now constitutes over half of its revenue, with expectations of 60% year-over-year revenue growth driven by AI and cloud segments (Seeking Alpha).
While short-term volatility persists, these developments position Marvell as a strong contender in the semiconductor sector, with potential for sustained growth as AI and cloud computing demand accelerates.
WTI crude about to resume lower?WTI formed a large bearish engulfing candle on its daily chart yesterday near the key $65 resistance level. Was that an indication that prices have ended their corrective bounce? Time will tell, but today's oil prices have bounced back. With the trade uncertainty in the background, demand concerns remain high.
So, I wouldn't be surprised if prices were to resume lower from here. The trend is clearly bearish with the moving averages all pointing lower, not to mention the lower highs and lower lows.
If the selling resumes, watch for possible bounces at the next key round handles like $62, $61 and $60. But there is always the possibility of a sweep below this month's earlier lows if macro concerns intensify.
Meanwhile, the bullish idea is off the table for me for now until we see some progress in US-China trade talks at least, or if prices show a major bullish reversal signal.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
April 24, 2025 - Not getting fired (yet)Hello everyone, it’s April 24, 2025, welcome back to another wild episode of “Trumponomics: The Market Edition.” For the second day in a row, global markets are on the rise, and yes, it’s all thanks to the Trump playbook: slap tariffs everywhere, terrify the market, escalate tensions, then toss out a gesture of peace and voilà — rally mode engaged.
The key word this morning? Relief. Relief that Trump might chill out on China, and Powell isn’t getting fired (yet). But let’s not pop the champagne too soon — anyone betting against a weekend plot twist from Trump hasn’t been paying attention.
In the US, the Fed’s Beige Book (a.k.a. the economy’s mood diary) painted a picture that’s… let’s say “limp but not lifeless.” Only 5 of the 12 Fed districts saw growth, and even that was more “walker with tennis balls” than Olympic sprint. Inflation? Creeping in slowly, with companies sharpening their price-hike pencils just in case Trump cranks up the tariff heat again. Employment? Not awful, but nothing to brag about. And uncertainty? It was mentioned 80 times in the report. That’s not a joke.
Meanwhile, auto sales are up — not because the economy’s booming, but because Americans are panic-buying ahead of expected price surges from more tariffs. Business travel is tanking, and tourism’s taking a nosedive. Welcome to the “Not-quite-a-crisis-but-definitely-not-fine” States of America.
As for OANDA:XAUUSD , after a brief flirtation with $3,500, it’s cooled down to $3,337. BLACKBULL:WTI is holding at $62.86. And INDEX:BTCUSD ? It’s back in the spotlight at $92,000 and climbing — yes, people are talking about it again, which should tell you something about the vibe out there.
On the politics front, Trump hinted that the tariff moratorium could be revoked for some countries, and he’s back to pestering Powell to cut rates. Classic. Meanwhile, Wall Street is just trying not to get whiplash. NYSE:BA numbers came in better than feared, and NASDAQ:NVDA supply chain via INX looks solid despite wild swings.
Today’s economic calendar includes durable goods data and jobless claims in the CME_MINI:ES1! are down 0.2% — looks like investors are just bracing for the next Trump curveball.
TL;DR: Markets are riding the Trump-coaster, gold cooled off, crypto’s surging, and America’s economy is wobbling but still upright — for now. Keep your helmets on.
Trade Idea: US30 Short (SELL STOP)1. Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
• Trend: Still overall bullish long-term, but in a short-term pullback phase after peaking.
• MACD: Bearish crossover with widening histogram — indicating continued downside momentum.
• RSI: At 45.05 — neutral-bearish, room to fall to oversold.
• Price: Strong reaction at ~37675.05 area, bounced back to ~39562, forming a potential lower high.
15-Min Chart
• MACD: Recently crossed bearish after a sharp rally.
• Price Action: Approaching resistance zone (~39562), failed to make a new high.
• RSI: 44.78 — leaning bearish, but not oversold yet.
3-Min Chart
• MACD: Just flipped bullish but weak — suggesting possible micro pullback before continuation.
• RSI: 48.82 — very neutral, no extreme condition.
⸻
2. Fundamental Context (as of April 2025)
• Recent sharp pullback from all-time highs hints at risk-off sentiment returning.
• Likely driven by Fed rate uncertainty, inflationary stickiness, or geopolitical jitters.
• Earnings season volatility could also play a role.
• No strong bullish macro catalyst to support a fresh rally continuation yet.
⸻
3. Trade Setup: SHORT Position
Bias: SHORT
Reason: Price hit resistance at 39562, confirmed by 15M MACD cross and RSI weakness. Daily still bearish momentum. No major bullish catalyst.
⸻
ENTRY:
39550 (near current resistance, confirmed failure to break higher)
STOP LOSS (SL):
39800 (above recent minor high, above 15M key level)
TAKE PROFIT (TP):
38900 — Minor support zone, clean level from 15M + previous consolidation area
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
XAUUSD Sniper Plan – April 24, 2025🟡 XAUUSD Sniper Plan – April 24, 2025
Post-Claims Setup | No Bounce Nonsense. Just Zones That Hit.
🔻 SELL ZONES – Premium Rejections Only
SELL #1 – 3384–3392
📌 HTF Flip Zone + FVG + EMA100
SL: 3400 | TP1: 3355 | TP2: 3320 | TP3: 3288
SELL #2 – 3408–3416
📌 Imbalance Gap 3411 + OB + NY Spike
SL: 3425 | TP1: 3375 | TP2: 3345 | TP3: 3315
SELL #3 – 3448–3455
📌 HTF OB + Fibo Extension + Trap Risk
SL: 3465 | TP1: 3415 | TP2: 3380 | TP3: 3340
🟢 BUY ZONES – Real Demand Only
BUY #1 – 3310–3316
📌 CHoCH + M30 OB + RSI Divergence
SL: 3300 | TP1: 3340 | TP2: 3370 | TP3: 3390
BUY #2 – 3275–3285
📌 HTF Demand Base + Oversold RSI
SL: 3260 | TP1: 3310 | TP2: 3340 | TP3: 3370
🧠 STRUCTURE & BIAS
• HTF Bias: Bullish
• LTF Flow: Bearish until 3384–3392 breaks
• ⚠️ 3408–3416 = key for mitigation before any real breakout
• Target rejections first, not dreams
🎯 Plan ready. Zones set. Now it’s your turn, sniper.
🟡 If this breakdown helped clear the noise, hit that Like
💬 Got a bias or reentry zone of your own? Drop it below
📲 And don’t forget to Follow – we’re building gold logic, not fairy tales
Let’s dominate the session. One sniper entry at a time 💛
Gold surged and then fell back to fluctuate. How to profit?
Trump said he was ready to significantly reduce the broad tariffs on Chinese goods. On the same day, Trump also said he had no intention of firing Fed Chairman Powell, who had previously asked the Fed to cut interest rates immediately. This move shocked the market and triggered warnings from business leaders.
Short-term trading of gold and US dollars on April 24: US market focuses on 3350-66 to suppress shorts, stop loss 3375, take profit 3317/3300
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold still has the risk of adjustment in the short termAnalysis of gold market trend:
From the daily level, gold rose strongly during the trading session on Tuesday, touched the key price of 3500, then fell under pressure and finally closed with a negative line. This trend of rising and falling shows that the selling pressure from above is heavy, and the bulls are strongly blocked by the bears at high levels. Then, gold continued to fall on Wednesday and closed with a negative line again, forming a technical pattern of two consecutive negative lines. This continuous decline further confirms that the short-term bears are dominant.
From the 4-hour gold chart, the gold price has maintained a fluctuating decline since it was under pressure at the 3500 line. The current price has fallen back to the 3260 line at its lowest, and the short-term decline has reached 240 US dollars. Although there has been a rebound during the day, the upward trend has been destroyed. The MACD indicator double line has issued a dead cross change signal, suggesting that the callback trend may have started. Pay attention to the pressure effect of the 3368 line during the day. For the current market, the rebound is just a flash in the pan, and it rebounded sharply again, reaching the highest point near 3367 and then retreated. It is currently maintained near 3330. In fact, the market is actually at a loss for long and short positions, and is simply unable to withstand its huge shocks. For the Asian session's highs and falls, we support it according to the shock retracement. For example, if the European session rebounds again near 3358-60, we will continue to try to short, with the target at 3320-10, and a loss of 3370. The market amplitude is so drastic that I need to strictly implement good operating habits, try with a light position, strictly stop loss, and don't have a fluke mentality! On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to rebound and short, supplemented by callbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3368-3370, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3260-3285. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Daily Analysis: 24‑04‑2025After touching the 3500 level earlier this week and setting a new all‑time high, spot gold underwent profit‑taking as optimism grew over a potential U.S.–China trade deal. A more conciliatory tone from President Trump toward Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell also helped calm markets. While Trump’s comments about easing tariffs on China boosted risk appetite, Treasury Secretary Bissennte’s remark that negotiations could drag on tempered excessive optimism.
Geopolitical developments are being watched closely, and gold is trading about 0.5 % higher this morning.
Technically, as long as the price does not break the 3365 resistance, short‑term downward pressure remains. A clear move above 3365 would open the way toward 3410. On the downside, the price may target support at 3310, followed by 3270.