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Fundamental Analysis

Gold is trading sideways. Has it reached a high point?On the first trading day of this week, after hitting 3247 in the early Asian session, it quickly rebounded to around 3295, and then fell back slightly. It is currently maintained at around 3285. From the hourly chart, the Fibonacci 0.618 position of this trend from 3247 to 3297 is at 3278. The price has always been above 3278, but it has only fallen below this position in a very short time. If the retracement does not break through the 0.618 position, there is a high probability that there will be a high point in the subsequent trend. Next, we should focus on the area around 3280. If the price always closes above 3280, then today's high point of 3297 will most likely be refreshed. If the upward trend is opened again, it is very likely to touch around 3310. 3310 is also the current 0.618 position. And it is also the top position of this hourly chart range. Therefore, we should be cautious when shorting gold above 3280, as there is a high probability that it will reach above 3300. Aggressive trading can rely on entering the market and going long near 3280, and the profit range is between 3300-3310. For short strategy trading, Quaid recommends that it is safer to short when the price rebounds near 3310.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
$ORCL Beats Earnings – Flat Base Breakout?There is a lot to like about NYSE:ORCL both on the chart and fundamentals. Not only did they beat earnings and now get an upgrade (see below), but the stock has also now formed a flat base after earnings. What that means to me is that buyers have pushed the stock up and there are not enough sellers to bring it back down. I have an alert set at 215.01. If that triggers, I plan to open a full-sized position with a stop just under the most recent low (202.54). That is a 6% risk. Although, if it does not perform well right off the bat, I may close it on whatever day I open if it falls below the day low. All TBD. If you like this idea, please make it your own and follow your trading plan. Remember, it is your money at risk. Oracle rises as Stifel upgrades to 'buy' ** Stifel upgrades stock to "buy" from "hold", citing strong momentum in its Cloud business and disciplined cost management ** Increases PT to $250 from $180, implying an 18.91% upside to stock's last close ** "We believe Oracle is well positioned to accelerate total Application Cloud growth to the low teens range in FY26" - brokerage Oracle Beat Expectations Wednesday, June 11, 2025 at 4:05 PM ET Oracle (ORCL) reported earnings of $1.69 per share on revenue of $15.90 billion for the fiscal fourth quarter ended May 2025. The consensus earnings estimate was $1.64 per share on revenue of $15.54 billion. The Earnings Whisper number was $1.66 per share. The company beat expectations by 1.81% while revenue grew 11.31% on a year-over-year basis.
NYSE:ORCLLong
by jaxdog
Seize the opportunity to short gold!Last week, we mentioned that if gold continues to fall, it will go to around 3245-3250. This position is 618 of the retracement from 3120 to 3450, and it is also the previous rising point. After the opening, it tested this position as expected and rebounded. If it continues to break down, it will gradually go to around 3225 and 3204. Last Friday, it opened weak and eventually fell to 3255. Although it rebounded at the end of the session, it was not enough to change the weak pattern. Today, we will focus on the rebound strength. The pressure is at 3291 and 3301. Short according to the rebound strength, and look at the 3245 support below. If it does not break, consider going long. Gold operation suggestion: short around 3291-3001, target 3370-3360.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Hit a New ATH?!Bitcoin is trading above the 50- and 200-EMAs on the four-hour time frame and is within its short-term descending channel. Bitcoin can be bought from the demand zone indicated. A break of the channel ceiling would pave the way for Bitcoin to rise to a new ATH. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. In recent days, Bitcoin has been trading in a range of around $107,000, and the market is going through a consolidation phase with complex but deeply fundamental characteristics. What matters at this point is not just the current price, but the precise mix of capital flows, the behavior of major players, on-chain data, and macroeconomic ratios that shape Bitcoin’s short- and medium-term trajectory. Overall, although Bitcoin’s rapid growth after the halving has stopped, internal market signals point to a continuation of the upward trajectory in a more stable framework. The first important component is the significant influx of institutional capital into the market via ETFs. In the past week, according to CoinShares, more than $1.24 billion in new capital entered crypto products, with Bitcoin accounting for more than $1.1 billion. This marks the 10th consecutive week of capital inflows into the market, bringing the total inflows for 2025 to over $15 billion. Prominent ETFs such as BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC are attracting hundreds of Bitcoins per day, indicating steady institutional demand that has weathered the momentary volatility and is more focused on long-term asset building. Alongside this capital inflow, the Onchain data also paints a mixed but highly interpretable picture. While the average active address rate has declined slightly and the MVRV (market value to realized value) has fallen from 2.29 to 2.20, these changes are more indicative of profit-taking by investors than selling pressure! In fact, rather than fear of a correction or crash, the market is witnessing a “gentle shift of ownership” between short-term and long-term holders. UTXO data also shows a roughly 5% increase in Bitcoin held for over 8 years, a strong sign of long-term accumulation and a decrease in the willingness to sell at current prices! This can be seen as a period of supply and demand equilibrium; a period in which large investors have entered, but on the other hand, some older players are taking reasonable profits. This has led to a kind of price consolidation, which in June showed itself with only 2% growth—the weakest monthly growth since July last year. However, CoinDesk and Glassnode analysts rightly emphasize that this consolidation is not a sign of market weakness, but rather evidence of the maturity of Bitcoin’s price behavior. The price is reacting to data rather than becoming emotional. From a macroeconomic perspective, Bitcoin remains highly sensitive to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, the value of the dollar, and interest rates. While the market is still waiting for interest rate cuts in the second half of the year, Bitcoin will remain in a quasi-expectant state until then, reacting to macro data, short-term and reactive. However, given that most ETFs follow long-term accumulation models, any stabilization in interest rates or easing geopolitical pressures could trigger a new wave of upside. Common analyst scenarios predict a range of $120,000-$130,000 for Bitcoin by the end of the summer if current conditions are maintained and capital inflows continue. In summary, Bitcoin is now at a stage where the dynamic combination of institutional accumulation, supply and demand balance, and on-chain data has transformed it from a purely risky asset into a strategic investment vehicle. The market has moved beyond the emotional phase and entered a phase of stability and maturity. This is a promising sign for long-term investors, provided that risk management is maintained and sensitivity to macro events is maintained. Bitcoin is preparing for the next stage of its rally—but unlike in the past, this time it is standing on the shoulders of fundamentals that are much stronger than at any time in the asset’s history. ETFs with the most volume traded on Friday Total: $501M BlackRock: $153M Fidelity: $165M Grayscale: $0M
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
NAS100 - The stock market is breaking the ceiling!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term channels. If it does not increase and corrects towards different zone, it is possible to buy the index near the reward. Following a strong rally in U.S.equities, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices both achieved new all-time highs on Friday. It marks the first time since February that the S&P 500 has surpassed its previous peak, while the Nasdaq entered fresh price territory for the first time since December. Despite ongoing market focus on economic data and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy path, the simultaneous surge in both indices reflects a renewed appetite for risk in the stock market—an appetite that has been accelerating since mid-April, especially in tech stocks. In contrast, the Russell 2000 index, which tracks small-cap U.S. companies, still remains significantly below its prior high. To return to its October levels, it would need to rise over 13.5%. However, Friday’s 1.7% gain suggests capital is beginning to flow more broadly into underrepresented sectors. Analysts argue that a strong breakout in the Russell 2000 could signal a broader rotation toward increased risk-taking—possibly driven by optimism over future rate cuts, easing inflation, and improved business conditions in the second half of the year. Now that the S&P 500 has reached new highs and the Nasdaq has joined in, attention turns to the Russell 2000. If it begins to accelerate upward, markets could enter a new phase of sustained bullish momentum. Following a week focused on gauging U.S. consumer spending strength, the upcoming holiday-shortened week (due to Independence Day) will shift attention to key employment and economic activity data. On Tuesday, markets await the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the JOLTS job openings report. Wednesday will spotlight the ADP private employment report, and Thursday—one day earlier than usual due to the holiday—will see the release of several crucial figures, including the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), weekly jobless claims, and the ISM Services Index. Currently, investor reaction to Donald Trump’s tariff commentary has been minimal. Market participants largely believe that any new tariffs would have limited inflationary effects and that significant retaliation from trade partners is unlikely. Friday’s PCE report painted a complex picture of the U.S. economy. On one hand, inflation remains above ideal levels; on the other, household spending is showing signs of fatigue—a combination that presents challenges for policymakers. Inflation-adjusted personal consumption fell by 0.3%, marking the first decline since the start of the year and indicating a gradual erosion of domestic demand. While wages continue to rise, their impact has been offset by declining overall income and reduced government support. To maintain their lifestyle, households have dipped into their savings, driving the personal savings rate down to 4.5%—its lowest level this year. On the inflation front, the core PCE price index—the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—rose 2.7% year-over-year, slightly above expectations. Monthly inflation also increased by 0.2%. Although these figures appear somewhat restrained, they remain above the Fed’s 2% target, with persistent price pressures in services—particularly non-housing services—still evident. Altogether, the data suggest the U.S. economy faces a troubling divergence: weakening household income and consumption could slow growth, while sticky inflation in the services sector—especially under a potential Trump tariff scenario—could limit the Federal Reserve’s ability to cut interest rates.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
Weekly Outlook. Dollar Strength🗓 Economic Outlook – 2025-06-30 💹 RSI Divergence and Dollar Strength 🟢 Summary A bearish divergence in the RSI combined with strong U.S. fundamentals suggests continued upward pressure on the Dollar Index (DXY). This trend may persist, particularly if upcoming economic data supports current expectations. 📊 Technical Insight RSI Divergence Observed On the DXY chart, we observe a hidden bullish divergence in the RSI, where price makes a higher low while RSI makes a lower low. This pattern suggests potential continuation of the uptrend despite short-term corrections. 🧮 Fundamental Overview ADP Employment Report (Wednesday) Expected stronger results could support the dollar’s bullish trend through next week. Watch for surprise upside in employment numbers. NFP Index Currently above 100, indicating a healthy U.S. economy. Even if it reaches 120 as expected, the impact may be muted due to prior pricing-in by the market. "I try to share an overview of the data a day in advance to give you a general perspective." 🔴Remember, the long-term outlook for the dollar is bearish.🔴
TVC:DXY
by mehrshad31
Market Analysis: Gold Drops — Traders Eye Macro TriggersMarket Analysis: Gold Drops — Traders Eye Macro Triggers Gold price started a fresh decline below $3,320. Important Takeaways for Gold Oil Price Analysis Today - Gold price climbed higher toward the $3,400 zone before there was a sharp decline against the US Dollar. - A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $3,300 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen. Technical Analysis of Gold Price On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price climbed above the $3,320 resistance. The price even spiked above $3,350 before the bears appeared. A high was formed near $3,395 before there was a fresh decline. There was a move below the $3,350 support level. The bears even pushed the price below the $3,300 support and the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the $3,245 zone. A low is formed near $3,247 and the price is now showing bearish signs. There was a minor recovery wave toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,393 swing high to the $3,247 low. However, the bears are active below $3,300. Immediate resistance is near $3,280. The next major resistance is near the $3,300 zone. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $3,300. The main resistance could be $3,320 or the 50% Fib retracement level, above which the price could test the $3,350 resistance. The next major resistance is $3,395. An upside break above the $3,395 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,420. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,450 level. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,245 level. The first major support is near the $3,220 level. If there is a downside break below the $3,220 support, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $3,200 support. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
Who will win? Crypto or Dollar?How Stablecoin Payments Can Hurt Visa & Mastercard Bypassing the Interchange System -Stablecoins allow peer-to-peer or business-to-consumer payments without using credit/debit card rails. -Visa & Mastercard earn billions from interchange fees (0.1%–3% per transaction). If people pay directly via a stablecoin wallet (e.g. USDC, USDT), these fees vanish. Faster, Cheaper Cross-Border Payments -Traditional card transactions (especially international) can be slow and expensive. -Stablecoins on blockchains like Solana or Ethereum L2s allow near-instant settlement with near-zero fees, reducing the demand for VisaNet and Mastercard systems. Merchant Preference -Merchants often pay 1–3% in processing fees to card networks. -Accepting stablecoins directly = zero or minimal fees, increasing merchant pressure to move away from cards. Fintech Adoption -Companies like Stripe, PayPal, Shopify, and Square are integrating stablecoins. -If these platforms offer cheaper stablecoin settlement options, users and merchants may shift away from traditional card use. How Visa & Mastercard Could Defend or Adapt Partner with Stablecoin Networks -Both companies are already testing stablecoin payments: -Visa is piloting USDC settlements on Solana and Ethereum. -Mastercard partnered with Paxos and others to test blockchain-based settlements. These moves show they're not ignoring the shift, but trying to build rails for stablecoins too. Act as On-/Off-Ramps -They can remain dominant as the entry and exit point between fiat and crypto (e.g. buying crypto with cards, or topping up crypto wallets). -This maintains transaction volume even if some purchases happen in stablecoin. Expand to B2B and API Infrastructure -Visa and Mastercard are expanding into B2B transactions, open banking, and embedded finance APIs (e.g. Visa Direct, Mastercard Send). -This diversifies revenue beyond retail card swipes. Leverage Network Trust -Stablecoins may lack consumer protection (fraud protection, chargebacks). -Visa and Mastercard can market themselves as the trusted rails for consumers and businesses — especially in fraud-prone areas. -Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
NYSE:MAShort
by bossout10
1
GOLD: Nothing Changed, Still BearishGOLD: Nothing Changed, Still Bearish At the moment, gold is following developments in the Middle East. The geopolitical situation seems to have improved, thus creating a short-term release of liquidity in long gold positions. It could be a short-term gain, but there could also be a larger wave that could follow these moves. No one knows what could happen with gold movements in general. With the current data, gold remains bearish and is still following our old scenarios. Today, ARRI tested the 3300 structure area, showing that we have some sellers pushing the price down from that area. If gold holds this area strong, then it could fall as shown in the chart; Key target areas: 3262; 3247.5; 3218; 3192 and 3160 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
FX:XAUUSDShort
by KlejdiCuni
29
30/06/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $108,531.02 Last weeks low: $99,592.69 Midpoint: $104,061.86 Overall a positive week for BTC in isolation as price moves steadily all week reclaiming the losses made in the week from the 16th-23rd June. This comes after a $2.2B BTC ETF weekly inflow, the 3rd consecutive week of net inflows. Having now hit the key S/R level of $108,500 it will be interesting to see where BTC goes from here. Jumping up above the level will require a lot from the bulls as ATH is within touching distance and so buying into major resistance is a tough ask. We also have Geo-political uncertainties to add to the situation, one bad tweet is all it takes sometimes to do a lot of damage. On the other hand the SNP500 hits new ATH in the same conditions and so BTC is more than capable of doing the same. So far in the first hours of this weeks trading we do have a SFP of the weekly high setup, not ideal for the bulls in any way and so from here the a retest of the range quarters, midpoint being the key area would make sense, invalidation would be a clean break above weekly high with acceptance and strong volume on the move to break the rangebound/choppy environment. There is also the "window dressing" element to the months &quarter end today. History shows a de-risking going into these events and more money flowing back into risk-on assets in the days following monthly/ quarterly end. For that reason a bullish move (if there were to be one) would come later in the week IMO. Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 30, 2025 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is attracting some sellers towards 143.85 during the Asian session on Monday. The U.S. dollar (USD) is weakening against the Japanese yen (JPY) amid rising bets for a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut. The United States (US) and China are close to a deal on tariffs. However, U.S. President Donald Trump abruptly ended trade talks with Canada, adding uncertainty to the market's positive outlook. In addition, traders are betting that the U.S. central bank will cut rates more frequently and possibly sooner than previously expected. Markets estimate the probability of a quarter-point Fed rate cut at nearly 92.4%, up from 70% a week earlier. On the data side, the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index rose 2.3% in May, up from 2.2% in April (revised from 2.1%), the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Friday. This value matched market expectations. Meanwhile, the core PCE price index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 2.7% in May, following a 2.6% increase (revised from 2.5%) seen in April. On the other hand, the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) cautious stance on interest rate hikes could put pressure on the yen and create a tailwind for the pair. Trade recommendation: SELL 143.50, SL 144.30, TP 142.40
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Catalonia Drives Away Residential Real Estate CapitalBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Rental market regulations in Catalonia are triggering a real capital flight among major international funds. Following Patrizia’s moves, Blackstone and Azora have also begun divesting from the region’s rental housing market, prioritizing unit-by-unit property sales amid growing legal uncertainty. From Investors to Sellers Blackstone (NYSE: BX) has started informing tenants that lease agreements will not be renewed upon expiration, choosing instead to gradually sell off its properties. This strategy, executed through subsidiaries such as Testa and Fidere, is a response to the negative effects of government intervention: rental price caps, increased tax burdens, and a widespread sense of regulatory unpredictability. German firm Patrizia (XETRA: PTZ) had already initiated the individual sale of over 540 apartments in the Barcelona metro area, coordinated by JLL. Azora, meanwhile, has taken a similar path, offloading part of its residential portfolio through direct sales to individuals. Regulatory Blow to Real Estate: Supply Drops, Prices Surge According to data from the Rental Observatory, the Housing Law and other regional measures have led to a 16% reduction in supply in just two years—more than 120,000 units disappearing from the market. At the same time, demand has surged 202%, pushing the number of rental applications per unit from 37 to 112 in just ten days and driving average rent prices up from €906 to €1,146 per month. This imbalance affects not only institutional funds but also the 95% of the market held by private landlords, many of whom are now shifting their properties to vacation rentals, direct sales, or simply keeping them vacant. Fundamentals: Profitability, Dividends, and Outlook Blackstone (BX), with a market cap of over $160 billion, is the world’s largest alternative asset manager, overseeing more than $1 trillion in AUM. Its annualized dividend exceeds 3.3%, supported by a strong structure of performance and management fees. The current P/E ratio is around 46x, pricing in future earnings growth as real estate operations and deal flow resume. In contrast, Patrizia SE, managing around €56.4 billion in AUM, trades at more conservative multiples: a P/B ratio of 0.67x and a dividend yield close to 4%. While its revenues fell 15% in 2024, the company managed to grow EBITDA and maintain a rising dividend policy—a notable achievement amid Europe’s real estate slowdown. Both companies are transitioning toward infrastructure, digitalization, and ESG solutions, diversifying away from traditional real estate exposure. Technical Analysis: What Do the Charts Say? Blackstone (BX) is currently trading near $152, having rebounded from May lows (~$115). The stock displays a sideways-upward structure, with key support at $133.25 and resistance around $157.95. The current range sits between $133.25 and $152. RSI is in overbought territory at 68.17%, with a positive bias if volume breaks above the current resistance. The point of control is around the consolidation zone at $140.49. The 50-day moving average has crossed above the 100-day average; the 200-day cross is still pending to confirm a sustained uptrend. Patrizia SE (PAT.DE) is trading around €8.26 in early hours, rebounding technically from yearly lows around €6.15. Its current range fluctuates between €6.85 and the €9.20 highs. It recently broke short-term resistance at €7.80, now a key support. RSI shows slight overbought at 54.23%. The point of control lies near €7.82, and the moving averages are forming a bullish golden cross, suggesting short-term consolidation before a potential push toward €9.20 or even €9.40. Which Is the Stronger Bet for 2025? Blackstone, with global exposure, financial strength, and the ability to capture structural trends (AI, infrastructure, tech REITs), represents a more aggressive sector outlook. Patrizia, on the other hand, offers a more defensive, Europe-focused opportunity—ideal for investors seeking stable yield and real assets with minimal leverage. Both are valid plays, but investor risk profile is key: BX moves with the market cycle, while PAT may offer shelter amid volatility. Madrid, Valencia, and Málaga Step In As Catalonia loses its appeal for residential investment, Madrid has emerged as the new capital magnet, quadrupling Barcelona’s investment levels since 2023. Valencia and Málaga are also gaining ground on institutional radar, offering more stable legal environments for portfolio development. Rental regulation in Catalonia has further strained an already fragile market. With major funds like Blackstone, Azora, and Patrizia pulling out—and pressure mounting on supply—the Catalan model faces a critical crossroads between tenant protection and investment sustainability. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
NYSE:BXLong
by ActivTrades
EUR/USD – Weak Expectations, Neutral German CPI📉 EUR/USD – Weak Expectations, Neutral German CPI, and Bearish Momentum Ahead Bias: Short / Sell Setup EUR/USD recently surged toward the 1.0750 zone sooner than expected, driven more by market optimism and speculative flows than solid fundamentals. Now, that optimism is starting to fade as data fails to back it up. Meanwhile, the potential U.S. tax reform proposal (Trump) and signs of renewed trade negotiations are helping shift sentiment back toward the U.S. dollar in the coming 10 days. --- 🇩🇪 German CPI – Neutral Print, But Bearish Implications Today's regional inflation figures across German states were mixed: States like Saxony and Baden-Württemberg showed slightly rising prices Others like Bavaria and North Rhine-Westphalia showed declining YoY inflation Final national CPI due later today is unlikely to beat expectations meaningfully 🎯 Summary: A Neutral CPI Print No upside surprise → No support for EUR No major downside → No panic either --- 🧠 Why "Neutral" Data Can Still Be Bearish for EUR The market was hoping for a strong CPI to signal that ECB may pause rate cuts Neutral inflation = ECB may still lean dovish EUR rose on hope — but data offered no confirmation In financial markets, failed expectations often trigger stronger corrections than bad news. --- 🔍 Technical Overview: Price approaching strong supply zone near 1.0740 – 1.0760 RSI showing divergence on lower timeframes (H1) Structure on M15 suggests potential for lower highs Price stalling under resistance, with no bullish momentum follow-through --- 🎯 Trade Plan: Bias: Short Entry Zone: 1.0730 – 1.0755 Stop Loss: Above 1.0775 Take Profit 1: 1.0630 Take Profit 2: 1.0600 Trigger: Break of M15 bearish structure or supply reaction --- 📌 Markets punish over-optimism more than fear. EUR/USD may correct lower as hopes of a strong CPI fade and macro flows tilt toward the USD.
Short
by mehrshad31
GOLD +2500 pips setup — Trendline Holds , Fed Pressure Builds !📊 GOLD XAU/USD Daily Analysis ✅ Technical View: Gold continues to respect a strong bullish trendline, holding above key demand zones (3220 – 3290). A solid retest of the trendline and the blue demand area supports the bullish continuation. Upside targets are: 3385 (first target) 3433 – 3500 (next resistances) 3553 (extended target if momentum holds). ✅ Fundamental Insight: Ongoing market pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates is boosting gold’s safe-haven appeal. Lower US yields and increased uncertainty strengthen the bullish bias for gold in the mid-term. 🎯 Key Levels: ✅ Supports: 3220 – 3290 (main) | 2785 (long-term) ✅ Resistances: 3385 – 3433 – 3500 – 3553 📢 If you like strong, clear setups: Don’t forget to Like 👍 – Comment 💬 – Share 📤 – and Follow 🔔 me here on TradingView for more powerful ideas every week!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Aser_Hosary
Parcl - PRCL-USD - 30 Million Market Cap (100x Potential)www.tradingview.com CHATGPT Research Summary: Parcl: Unlocking Real Estate Exposure on the Blockchain Introduction:Parcl is a groundbreaking decentralized platform that enables traders and investors to speculate on real estate market price movements much like they trade crypto or equities. By combining real-time housing data with blockchain technology, Parcl offers around-the-clock, borderless, and highly liquid exposure to global residential real estate markets. In this comprehensive blog post, we’ll explore what Parcl is, how it works, what it means to own the EGX:PRCL token, the unique opportunities it provides for investors (including AI-driven strategies), its core strengths, and the risks and challenges it faces. The tone is professional, investment-focused, and designed for the TradingView audience. What is Parcl and How Does It Work? Parcl allows users to trade real estate price indices for global cities without ever owning or transacting physical property. Each index represents the aggregated median price per square foot/meter for residential properties in a specific city. Users can go long or short on these indices using perpetual contracts with up to 10x leverage, entirely on-chain and settled in USDC. Built on Solana, Parcl leverages the blockchain's high speed and low fees to offer a seamless and cost-efficient trading experience. Users only need a Solana-compatible wallet (e.g., Phantom) to deposit USDC, select a city index, and place a trade. There are no barriers such as down payments, brokers, or escrow delays — just rapid, decentralized access to global housing markets. Data integrity is ensured through Parcl Labs, which aggregates millions of housing data points daily to generate real-time city indices. These feeds are streamed on-chain via oracles like Pyth Network, ensuring transparency and reliability. What Does It Mean to Own EGX:PRCL ? The EGX:PRCL token is the governance and utility token of the Parcl ecosystem. Holders of PRCL can: Participate in protocol governance by voting on changes to platform parameters, fee structures, and market expansions. Access premium real estate data and analytics through Parcl Labs. Receive airdrops, rewards, or staking incentives as part of community growth and loyalty initiatives. While PRCL doesn’t currently offer revenue sharing, it grants holders influence over protocol decisions and potential future economic alignment as the ecosystem matures. A New Asset Class for Investors and AI Agents Parcl opens up a completely new asset class: blockchain-native, synthetic real estate exposure. This has major implications: For retail investors, it democratizes access to real estate, which was previously limited by geography, capital requirements, and illiquidity. For sophisticated traders, it enables granular bets (e.g., short New York, long Miami) and high-frequency strategies previously impossible in traditional real estate. For AI agents and algorithmic investors, Parcl provides composable, on-chain access to a diversified asset class that can be rebalanced and traded programmatically. In short, Parcl makes real estate a liquid, programmable, and globally accessible financial primitive. Core Strengths: Why Parcl Stands Out Solana-native speed & cost-efficiency: Enables fast execution and micro-investments ($1+), ideal for retail users and automated agents. Unique data infrastructure: Parcl Labs’ real-time indices provide unparalleled accuracy and granularity. Sophisticated perpetual AMM model: Handles liquidity and market balancing with dynamic funding rates and cross-margining. Growing community and product-market fit: With 80,000+ users and over $1.3B in cumulative volume, Parcl is becoming the most liquid real estate trading venue in the world. Risks and Threats to Consider Regulatory uncertainty: Synthetic real estate products may eventually face classification as securities or derivatives in some jurisdictions. Liquidity dependencies: The AMM model depends on sufficient USDC liquidity pools; low liquidity could cause slippage or insolvency risk. Smart contract vulnerabilities: As with all DeFi platforms, there is non-zero risk of exploits or oracle manipulation. Platform dependency: Parcl is tightly coupled to Solana — if the chain experiences downtime or congestion, the protocol may be impacted. Investors should also be aware of token unlocks and potential dilution from early backers and treasury allocations. Future Outlook and 100x Potential With a current market cap near $30 million, Parcl represents a high-upside, early-stage bet on tokenized real estate. If the project gains traction and achieves broader adoption, it’s feasible to imagine a future market cap of $2.5 to $3 billion, representing a 100x potential from current levels. Factors that could drive this include: Expansion to more global cities Increased PRCL utility and staking incentives Growing demand for real-world assets (RWAs) on-chain Enhanced support for automated and AI-driven strategies Final Thoughts Parcl is redefining what it means to invest in real estate. By transforming local, illiquid property markets into a global, composable, and liquid asset class, Parcl enables both human and AI investors to access and trade the housing market like never before. Whether you’re a trader looking for uncorrelated exposure, a long-term investor seeking innovation, or a technologist building AI agents — Parcl offers a compelling opportunity. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and make investment decisions based on your individual risk profile.
COINBASE:PRCLUSDLong
by Mr_Anonymous_Investor
CTSI About to Detonate? Yello Paradisers! Are you ready before CTSI makes its next explosive move? Because this setup is flashing signals that most traders will only realize when it's already too late. 💎#CTSI/USDT has been trading within a clearly defined descending channel, consistently respecting both the resistance and support trendlines. What's important now is how the price has reacted after dipping into the lower boundary. After breaking slightly below the descending support, the price immediately rebounded from the key horizontal support area at $0.0552 a region that has repeatedly proven its strength over the last few weeks. 💎This recent price action confirms strong buyer interest at the current levels, and as long as the $0.0550–$0.0570 zone holds, #CTSI remains in a potential accumulation phase. The reaction here suggests that smart money might be stepping in early, preparing for a breakout move that could take retail traders by surprise. 💎If momentum begins to build and the structure breaks above the descending resistance line, the first technical obstacle will be around $0.0700 a moderate resistance that has capped price action before. A sustained move through this level would confirm the breakout, with the next key target sitting at the strong resistance zone near $0.0850. This would represent a solid bullish extension for those positioned early inside the channel. 💎However, the invalidation point is also very clear. A breakdown below the $0.0500 region, where the final demand sits, would invalidate the bullish setup and open the door to deeper downside. For now, though, the structure is favoring a potential reversal, and the market is giving us a clean range to work with. Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
6
Is MSTR overvalued?Pros of Investing in MSTR Massive Bitcoin Reserves -Owns ~582,000 BTC (~2–3% of total supply), making it a levered proxy to Bitcoin. Any BTC rally strongly benefits MSTR. Aggressive Treasury Strategy -The company continuously issues equity, preferreds, and convertible bonds to buy more Bitcoin. This "flywheel" can compound Bitcoin exposure rapidly. Strong Momentum & Index Inclusion -Added to Nasdaq‑100, which boosts trading volumes and visibility. Momentum is supported by Bitcoin's surge. High Analyst Targets -Some bullish forecasts set ambitious targets—median around ~$550, with upside to $1,000+ if Bitcoin soars. Cons & Risks Extreme Volatility Tied to Bitcoin -MSTR isn’t a business stock—it’s highly leveraged to Bitcoin’s price moves, showing wild price swings. Leverage & Debt Repayment Risk -Reliance on convertible bonds and preferred stock introduces liquidity risk if BTC price falls, potentially triggering a “death spiral”. Accounting & Tax Exposure -New FASB rules may force MSTR to pay corporate alternative minimum tax on unrealized gains, potentially running into billions by 2026. Minimal Software Business -MSTR’s original BI software arm is now overshadowed by Bitcoin holdings. The market values it mainly as a crypto vehicle—not a tech company. High Valuation Premium -Market cap is ~2× its BTC holdings, a steep premium relying on perpetual BTC appreciation and investor sentiment. -Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by bossout10
3
US 10Y TREASURY: jobs data aheadThe Fed's favorite inflation gauge was posted during the previous week, which impacted some higher volatility in the U.S. Treasury yields. The Personal Consumption Expenditure index ended May by 0,1% higher from the previous month, bringing the index to the level of 2,3% on a yearly basis. The core PCE remained a bit elevated with 0,2% in May and 2,7% for the year. Still, both figures were in line with market expectations, which was the main reason for 10Y U.S. Treasury benchmark yields drop to the level of 4,25% at the end of the week, from 4,40% where the week started. A drop in inflation figures are increasing market expectations that the Fed might cut interest rates in September. However, a week ahead might bring again some higher volatility in the U.S. Treasury yields as the major jobs data will be posted. For the week ahead the JOLTs Job Openings, the Non-farm Payrolls and the June unemployment will be posted. Considering Fed's dual mandate, bonds market participants will be closely watching these data.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
Gold: eased on tariffs dealAs geopolitical and economic tensions are slowly settling down, the price of gold eased its road toward the higher grounds. During the previous week, gold was traded with a bearish sentiment, dropping from the level of $3.395 down to $3.262. The main causes behind the drop in the price of gold are related to decreased tensions in the Middle East, as well as, settlement of the trade tariffs deal between the U.S. and China. Although the details of this deal was not disclosed publicly, still, the market reacted positively to the news. Investors moved funds from safe-haven assets toward the equity and the crypto market, as riskier ones in a quest for higher returns. The RSI took the down path, ending the week at the level of 41. The indicator is currently clearly on the road toward the oversold market side. The price of gold breached the MA50 line during the previous week, which was acting like a support line for the price of gold during the previous period. The MA200 continued with an uptrend, following the MA 50 line. There is a high distance between two lines, so the potential cross is still not in the store for the price of gold. Charts are pointing that the gold is on the easing road currently, with a potential for further correction in the coming period. The RSI is indicating that the oversold market side might be reached in the coming period, which means that the price could further ease. The bottom of the current correction might be $3.180, which was the highest level in mid April this year. Still, some short reversals are quite expected on this road, in which sense, Monday might start with a short attempt for higher grounds. In this sense, the $3,3K level might be tested.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
SPX: new ATH, despite allEconomy, geopolitics, trade tariffs, inflation, Fed moves. It seems that the market got tired of all news during the previous period, and decided to take the optimistic side, despite all. The S&P 500 reached a fresh, new all-time highest level on Friday's trading session, at 6.185. With the latest move, the S&P 500 managed to erase all losses from April this year, when the index tumbled around 20% after the implementation of trade tariffs. The weekly trade tariffs news brought a termination of talks between the U.S. and Canada. However, what moved the market the most was the news that the US Administration settled a deal on trade tariffs with China. Although details of the deal were not publicly disclosed, still the market reacted very optimistic about it. At the same time, the latest macro figures for the US are showing that the tariffs are slowly starting to reflect in the U.S. economy. The Fed's favorite inflation gauge, the PCE index increased by 0,1% in May, which was expected. However, the Personal Income and Personal Spending in May missed heavily market estimates. The Personal Income dropped by -0,4% for the month, while Personal Spending dropped by -0,1%. Analysts are pointing that these figures are showing that the US consumers are spending less due to increased prices of goods, after implementation of tariffs. At the same time, there was a slowdown in the U.S. GDP growth rate, final for Q1 was negative for the quarter, at the level of -0,5%. Tech companies continued to be in the focus of investors' interest. APPL closed the week at $210,08, with a modest weekly gain of 0,24%. MSFT gained 3,87% for the week, closing it at $495,94. Market favourite NVDA surged by 9,74% within a week, closing at $157,75. AMZN also had a good week with a surge of 6,33%. Despite higher volatility, TSLA ended the week at 0,33% higher, underperforming other tech companies included in the index.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX