EURUSD - Room to grow?After election moves, I still like adding longs under 1.08. Target is lower now - 1.09 Target for my troubles. Good bounce from below 1.07 yesterday shows decent support for the pair. Pullbacks could create good opportunities around FOMC. Don’t get stuck pre-announcement by oversizing.
Fundamental Analysis
Lyft | LYFT | Long at $9.75First, from a technical analysis perspective, NASDAQ:LYFT has not "officially" found a bottom yet. No one can confidently state it has - their guess is as good as yours. This analysis is full of caution simply around the fact this stock could absolutely dip to below $5.00 in the future.
With that said, NASDAQ:LYFT is currently the #3 travel app in the Apple store (#1 is Uber, #2 is Airbnb). It has a 4.9 (Apple) and 4.7 (Google) star rating and tens of millions of downloads. Car prices, insurance rates, parking fees, gas/electric rates, etc. are pushing more people into the rideshare environment. With a recession knocking on the US's door, the fee-for-service model will make more sense than actually owning for many. But, a recession is a recession and the market hates them... Lyft is currently the only true competitor to Uber and its earnings are likely to grow as the travel environment "modernizes" in the future.
At $9.75, the stock closed all previous lower gaps on the daily chart. Currently, open price gaps (which are often good predictors of future price movement) are all above its current price. A bottom *may* be in, but see intro... I view the current price as a personal buy zone with room for additional shares if the price dips to near $5 (and fundamentals don't change).
A high-growth potential stock in an ever-changing travel environment.
Target #1 = $15.00
Target #2 = $22.00
Target #3 = $30.00
Target #4 = $75.00+ (long-term view...)
GBPNZD - Post-ECBGenerally I like commodity assets after the election - which can be viewed as contrary to consensus - but GBPNZD should get some help lower after BOE rate cut. I am already in profit and added a second bullet taken this morning. Red lines are entries areas and green and yellow are targets 1 and 2. Trade small and handle drawdowns with proper techniques. See links for trading academy.
Humana | HUM | Long at $220.00Humana NYSE:HUM took a nosedive to "crash" levels (based on my selected simple moving averages (SMA)) this morning after a lower-performance rating for a widely used Medicare insurance plan is expected to hurt enrollments for 2025 (and will potentially hit the health insurer's revenue and bonus payments in 2026). However, I view this massive drop as an opportunity for an initial long entry for a great value stock. The company is strong, highly rated among patients, and solid fundamentals despite the anticipated earnings drop. From a technical analysis perspective, it touched my "crash" SMA, but may dip further after a dead cat bounce to the $190s in the coming days or weeks. But, predicting true bottom is a fool's game, so at $220.00, NYSE:HUM is in a personal buy zone for an initial long entry.
Target #1 = $250.00
Target #2 = $275.00
Target #3 = $314.00
Target #4 = $340.00
Bitcoin hits new all-time high amid U.S. elections!Yesterday, November 6, 2024, the U.S. presidential election results were announced, and the race was won by Donald Trump, a strong advocate for cryptocurrency! During his campaign, on September 18, 2024, the current U.S. leader made a bold move toward the digital asset community by treating supporters to burgers at PubKey in New York, paid for in Bitcoin. During the voting and after the results were announced, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) demonstrated a rapid surge.
Starting around $68,000, Bitcoin broke past $76,000, hitting a historical peak and posting an impressive 12% gain within just 24 hours!
In addition to the support from the leader of one of the world’s top nations, cryptocurrency has plenty more cards up its sleeve. Key growth factors and expert insights:
Institutional investor interest: Major corporations and institutional investors continue to increase their Bitcoin investments, supporting high demand and limited supply in the market. For example, well-known company MicroStrategy (#MSTR) acquired 5,445 BTC for $150 million from August through late September!
Rising demand amid economic uncertainty: With inflation on the rise, geopolitical instability, and volatility in traditional markets, investors are seeking more stable assets. Bitcoin, alongside gold (XAUUSD), is becoming a preferred choice for capital preservation.
Expectations of U.S. Fed policy easing: With potential interest rate cuts on the horizon, interest in cryptocurrencies as alternative assets is increasing. Experts estimate an 87% probability of a rate cut at the next meeting, creating additional incentives for investing in BTC and other crypto assets.
Positive analyst forecasts: The projected minimum Bitcoin price in January 2025 is $71,468, with an average of $78,168 and a maximum of $80,402. By December, these figures are expected to rise to $106,235, $109,213, and $124,937, respectively. Growth is anticipated to remain steady, without declines or corrections, throughout the year.
On September 19, 2024, FreshForex analysts highlighted the undeniable growth drivers for the entire crypto sector. With Trump at the helm of the U.S., crypto growth is practically inevitable! Don’t miss your chance!
ARTYFACT - Best ALT Coin to Buy After Trump Win
Trump's victory send a clear bullish signal to the entire crypto universe.
Bitcoin updated the all-time high even before the official victory was declared.
The alt season is coming soon, as the crypto investors will start calibrating their crypto portfolios, buying alts on BTC profits.
Checking hundreds of different long-term buying opportunities, the one that provides the best reward potential is of course ARTYFACT.
Being stuck on historic lows, the market already demonstrates a strong bullish sentiment.
A recent Change of Character on a daily gives a strong technical analysis confirmation and indicates that more growth is coming.
The price may easily continue growing and reach 0.55 level this week already. That gives 20%+ net gain if you just buy from current prices.
With a mid-term realistic target being 1.0 level, you can easily double the invested amount before the end of the month.
From a fundamental standpoint, the ARTYFACT team is preparing a lot of interesting projects.
Its confirmed presence in Epic Games, XBOX and PlayStation stores promises the attraction of a wider audience and inflow of larger capitals.
While the sleepy ones are still thinking to buy bitcoin from current prices, be smart and start investing in altcoin. Let ARTY be the perfect pick for your porfolio.
NFP (1M_Journey) Entry ( .1740 +.1670 ) Stop ( 0.1561 )BINANCE:NFPUSDT
1 Million Journey.
It is a long journey with NO FOMO & NO RUSH.
In those trades i will try to make 1 million USD from 1000 USD.
*********************************************************************************
(6)
Risk is (7-8%), Reward (40%)
First Entry (.1740 ) 750$
Second Entry (.1670 ) 490$
Target ( .239)
Stop ( 0.1561 )
*********************************************************************************
General information
************************
1. throw this challenge i will try to make 1 million USD from 1000 USD
2. It will be very long journey not fixed by time with NO FOMO & NO RUSH.
3. I will take this challenge by my personal money and my personal decisions so please if you need to follow ( do your own plan).
4. May be i can achieve that target and may be not.
5. I think it will be educational challenge.
6. May be a lot of challenges Throw the journey, i will try to correct the path every fall.
6. I do not need 1000X in one coin but i need small profit with a lot of successful trades depend on the following formula for 10% Profit
NST= ( IN(FV/C) ) / ( IN (1+P) )
NST = Number of successful trades (NST)
FV = Final value
C = Capital
P = Profit percentage
IN = Natural logarithms ( IN from calculator)
NST = ( IN ( 1000 000 / 1000 ) / ( IN ( 1 + 10% ) ) = 6.908 /.09531 = 73.5 Successful trade. with no loses.
Risk management
**********************
1. Entry by 50% or 75% depend on the market situation.
2. Maximum 5% loses per trade.
3. Maximum 1 lose per day.
4. Maximum 2 loses per week.
5. Maximum 2 trades per day.
6. Minimum rewards has to be 5% and the maximum depends the coin targets & market situation.
Trading rules
****************
1. Figuring the best entry point.
2. After achieving more than 5% profit moving stop loss to secure 5% profit .
3. Trading available opportunities in the market ( everyday - every week - every month)
4. Trading will be spot only.
5. Trading will be with trusted & high liquidity platform ( Binance coins).
6. (Monitoring coins - low liquidity coins) will not be traded .
7. (High rewards -low risks - fast trades - lower time frames ) will be traded.
Notes
********
1. these rules can be changed due to the market situations and new challenges.
2. You can check the journey tags in the below links....
www.tradingview.com
www.tradingview.com
*************************************************************************
Remember always.....
NO FORMO - NO RUSH, It is a long journey.
Thank you for reading,
@Crypto_alphabit
*****************************
FinNifty Support and Resistance Levels For 8th Nov 2024I’ve created a chart highlighting the key support and resistance levels for #FinNifty, designed to help traders make informed decisions.
These levels provide critical insights for understanding potential price movements, enabling traders to identify ideal entry and exit points.
Use these levels to gain a clearer perspective on Sensex trends and optimize your trades with greater confidence.
Remember, these levels serve as guidance, so always combine them with your own analysis and risk management.
Nifty Support and Resistance Levels For 8th Nov 2024I’ve created a chart highlighting the key support and resistance levels for #Nifty, designed to help traders make informed decisions.
These levels provide critical insights for understanding potential price movements, enabling traders to identify ideal entry and exit points.
Use these levels to gain a clearer perspective on Sensex trends and optimize your trades with greater confidence.
Remember, these levels serve as guidance, so always combine them with your own analysis and risk management.
BankNifty Support and Resistance Levels For 8th Nov 2024I’ve created a chart highlighting the key support and resistance levels for #Banknifty, designed to help traders make informed decisions.
These levels provide critical insights for understanding potential price movements, enabling traders to identify ideal entry and exit points.
Use these levels to gain a clearer perspective on Sensex trends and optimize your trades with greater confidence.
Remember, these levels serve as guidance, so always combine them with your own analysis and risk management.
Growth + Float = Delta money gameSET:DELTA is the best performing large-cap stock since Covid time - the stock is the thiry-bagger from end of 2019 to today (7 Nov 24) - generating massive return to its shareholders and executives.
>> Not a new kid on the block :
Pre-covid, Delta had decent financial performance. The company consistently achieved revenue and earnings growth and was profitable through cycles. It's also a reliable dividend payer - deliver 3%+ yield to its shareholders.
Single-digit growth and contistent dividend payout were Delta's characterictics back in the old days. As such, DELTA P/E had been in the mid-teens.
>> I want it all
In 2018, Delta announced the voluntary tender offer deltathailand.com at the price of 71 Baht/share (Bt 10 par). The company said the tender offer aimed to strengthen Delta's manufacturing capabilities and sales support in Southeast Asia.
Tender process concluded in mid 2019, reducing the free float from 37% to 22% .
ETH eyes $4000 as Ethereum Foundation debuts Mekong testnet for The Ethereum Foundation has launched the short-lived 'Mekong' testnet ahead of the upcoming Pectra upgrade. The testnet includes several Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIPs), such as EIP-7702 for UX updates, EIP-7251 for staking improvements, and EIPs for changes to deposit and exit mechanisms. It aims to engage wallet developers and stakers before the full Pectra upgrade. As the testnet goes live during DevCon Week (Nov 9-17), analysts predict a potential breakout for ETH, with Ethereum's price targeting $4000. The recent bullish sentiment surrounding the upgrade and Ethereum’s price momentum has driven ETH to a 3-month high of $2,800.
BTC POST HALVING History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes...
We're now in the post-halving part of the Bullrun, and we can look back into Bitcoins history to help predict what might happen next.
Typically A bull cycle lasts 1065 days from the low to the high with the halving event in the middle. If we use that same timeframe and apply it to this Bullrun we can expect the peak for BTC to come in early October of 2025.
Now we know that once BTC has had it's top, altcoins regain some of the market dominance in an "Alt season" which is often a manic period of profits from BTC being poured into increasingly risky projects until the whole thing comes crumbling down, which then leads too...
The bear market which historically lasts for a full year from top to bottom. The bear market comes when most people least expect it as they are so used to price going up, complacency and greed can cost you all of the gains made in the last 3+ years. It's also important to note that BTC routinely goes through 25-30% corrections on the way up, and this is where many fall down. Knowing the difference between a correction and a top is the difference between making it and roundtripping everything. Have an exit strategy, take profit at key areas, don't let greed win.
The Fibonacci levels can be very useful when a project goes into price discovery as well as big even levels, your 100, 150, 200's etc. When Fib levels line up with these big evens you can expect resistance and therefor look to protect your capital.
Bitcoin is very close to a breakout from the '21 ATH level, we've been above SWB:69K before but swing failed to hit $56K, I am still a little worried about the GETTEX:52K +VE Orderblock as shown in green, it would make sense to revisit that area at some point however it does depend on this current SWB:69K S/R level.
Why We Think Ryde Group Ltd. (NYSE: RYDE) is InterestingSingapore's mobility is now en-route for multi decade growth, and this company, Ryde Group Limited (NYSE: RYDE) could be a multi bagger gem.
Here's why:
As Singapore’s population grows, reaching over 6 million in 2024, the demand for smarter, greener, and more efficient mobility solutions has never been greater.
Singapore is on a mission to become a ‘45-minute city’ by 2030, where everyone can reach key destinations within 45 minutes. This ambition drives innovation in public transportation, shared mobility, and electric vehicle adoption.
Enter Ryde Group Limited, a leader in carpooling, private hire, taxi services, and even delivery. As demand for flexible transport options grows, Ryde stands poised to benefit. With Singapore’s focus on sustainable transit, Ryde’s services align perfectly with the city’s vision for reduced emissions and more
With a diverse suite of offerings, Ryde meets the needs of commuters looking to save time, cut costs, and reduce their carbon footprint—all while enhancing convenience in Singapore’s fast-paced environment.”
Listed on the New York Stock Exchange, Ryde is ready to be a game-changer, bringing Singapore’s vision of seamless mobility closer to reality.
#RYDE #NYSE #FINANCE #INVESTMENT #STOCKS
Avg lvls for SPY:600, SPX:6000Continuing with the recent brief analysis on TLT:
The US stock market will inevitably face challenges when the clashes between populism and reality come to the forefront. Over the next 3 years, I expect SPY average price to maintain around the 600 level and for SPX it is 6,000.
11/7/24 - $olpx - EPS not great, waiting room mid $1's11/7/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:OLPX
EPS not great, waiting room mid $1's
- whenever the CEO opens up a quarterly report with words like "This year has been dedicated to the transformation"... say no more.
- I think Amanda has a good product (I use it actually!) and is the right person for the task at hand, but this turnaround won't be easy and probably more of a '25 event before we really see it producing fruit
- if we imagine FCF could be probably more like 125 mm (i can't give credit for 150 mm next year) and a 15% discount rate (what i think the market will return! so it should be more, but i'm already erring on more conservative FCF guess), that's simplistically 125/.15 = ~$850. i could get to 1 bn if you want to put some growth in etc, etc, but i have my reasons (if you want me to expound i'll write you a valuation tome in the comments - and making that offer - i will). anyway stock is still 1.3 bn valuation EV (small net debt of ~150 mm).
- the names that have any debt and aren't ripping the ball off the cover aren't doing well as yields spike.
- while NASDAQ:OLPX defn makes $$ (thank goodness), the risk reward for a stock now off it's highs and losing some momentum on this print i think... means lower.
- where do i start fishing? minimally $1.60's, but given we're entering a funky season of the year and i'd like to keep the book in high conviction beat/raise types with good '25 visibility (hello $nxt! hello CRYPTOCAP:BTC hello NYSE:TSM and NASDAQ:META )... it's tough for me to get involved right now.
- lmk if you see it differently.
- i'd like to own it again, but now i need a better reason... mainly lower price.
V
BTC/USDT.P update - Post ElectionThere are two potential scenarios currently. One is that we continue to push into price discovery and the bull run officially starts, or we will have a decent pull back that traps all the easy retail loans at the top before the actual bull starts....
I think both are likely and I'm not here to predict, but I am going to prepare for both situations.
I've marked in yellow circle indicating where the pull back is likely to land if we do see one. If we don't, I am already packed with previous accumulations and I'm happy to ride this bull with some left over sideline capital.
It's never a good idea to spend all your resources at any given time, that is like "show hand", you can play it where you always have left over resource to do something and put yourself in an advantage. It is my opinion of course, but it's been working out great for me so far. Trade safely guys, no matter what, something is about to get down LOL. @Nate Alert
11/7/24 - $bird - More interested $7-8/shr11/7/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: $ IDX:BIRD
More interested $7-8/shr
- mgmt is operating on their own time
- beyond M&A, it's hard to see how stock really moves higher in the 3-6 month timeframe, unless it catches some momentum in this whacky environment where rando-stuff-moon. but i'd not bet my dog's tennis ball on it
- basically mgmt "taking right" actions still e.g. store closing, gearing up for some interesting product launches/ marketing but it sounds like we get to see this all playing out in 2H25. that's an eternity to wait for a result that wasn't really a beat (inside guidance) and where guidance for 4Q/FY was taken lower. ewww, that doesn't work in this environment.
- while balance sheet remains net cash and we can decide how to handle leases (maybe i say it's not $50 but $25 mm of "debt") that still say puts us in a $50 mm net cash position. at the same time we burn 10-15 mm a quarter until someone buys the company or results start to inflect. rough. essentially by 4Q, we'll either be raising with a good story, or stock will have started to work a bit as FCF inflects positive (probably a '26 event at the earliest given my experience operating in reality)
- so what's the brand worth? 1x gross profit? 0.5x gross profit?
- really hard to say. i think you need to assume someone like NYSE:BIRK , NASDAQ:CROX , NYSE:ONON (even NASDAQ:LULU ) could buy these guys and cut a lot of the SG&A out on their bigger platform. this is why i think multiple of gross profit makes the most sense.
- at most i'd say 1x gross profit which if/when you assume buyers would want to see the new lineup in the market (bc the current portfolio is still not growing... so why complicate things for yourself), and take out all the net cash bc we burned it getting there, that's the stock as of y'day call it $10-11/shr or ~90 mm market cap.
- but if we need to wait, what's the right discount rate for something like this 25-30%? private equity style? so you're now at probably $7-8/shr today and it waffles up or down depending on how well these marketing/ launches go next year
TL;DR... the company's best option is to sell today at some modest premium. i think they've made it quite hard to do so in delaying this decision for years. now they need to swim. and the stock is on it's back heading into tax sell off season and where the ticker is too small cap for (real) institutions to get involved and what would an activist really accomplish in a founder-led situation like this on fire? unfortunately i think this thing is going lower and/or i'm uninterested unless we start entering the mid single digits, call it $7-8, minimally.
talk then. stay well.
V
BTC new ATH what's next?BTC reaches new ATH, but the level around $76,600 is a key place in the four-year cycles lasting for BTC, because from its low in each cycle, it grows less by 5.3 times than in the previous cycle. However, the situation may change with the introduction of ETFs to the market, which changed price movements. If we manage to break out of the $76,600 level, we can see a move towards $83,800, and then the important level is at $89,000. When the price starts to recover, the first important thing for us is the support zone from $73,700 to $70,000, when this zone is broken, the price can quickly return to the level of $66,000, and then the important support is at the price of $59,300. We have also identified a visible upward trend line on which we can currently base critical points in the event of a correction.
Mixed Stocks: Trump, Chinese Stimulus and German CrisisGlobal stock markets presented a volatile day on Thursday, with mixed trends in both Asia and Europe. Several factors have influenced this behavior, from Donald Trump's recent victory in the United States to the possible economic stimulus measures in China and the growing political instability in Germany.
Asian Markets: Caution After Trump Euphoria
In Asia today, Thursday, the initial momentum from Trump's victory, which had driven Wall Street indexes to record highs, began to lose steam. While Japanese stocks managed to rise slightly, benefiting from the depreciation of the yen that boosted exporters such as Toyota, Chinese stock markets showed less dynamism. The FTSE A50 index (Ticker AT:CHINAA50) closed up +3.69% while Hong Kong's Hang Seng (Ticker AT: HKIND) managed a 3.58% rally. However, fears of harsher U.S. tariffs towards China, promised by Trump, are keeping a cautious mood in the region.
Attention is now on China's National People's Congress, where stimulus measures to sustain the economy are expected to be announced. Beijing has already congratulated Trump on his victory and maintains an open dialogue with the US, although concerns about bilateral trade persist.
Europe: Political Uncertainty in Germany and a Drop in Air France-KLM
In Europe, indices started the session with mixed results amid growing political instability in Germany and mixed quarterly reports in the corporate sector. Germany's DAX advanced 0.7%, while the UK's FTSE 100 (Ticker AT: UK100)rose 0.2%, and France's CAC 40 (Ticker AT:FRA40) fell 0.1%.
German politics have been a focus of concern after Chancellor Olaf Scholz fired Finance Minister Christian Lindner, leading to the collapse of the coalition government and the calling of a confidence motion in January. This situation has raised expectations of early elections and could affect economic stability in Europe's largest economy.
On the other hand, Air France-KLM (Ticker AT: AF.FR) shares suffered a 10% drop after presenting a lower than expected operating performance, affected by the costs derived from the upcoming Olympic Games in Paris and higher unit costs. The situation has added pressure to the markets, while other sectors, such as home delivery with Delivery Hero (DHER.GE), showed solid revenue results, slightly boosting its shares.
Oil and Dollar on Investors' Radar
Oil prices stabilized following the recent rise in the dollar and the unexpected increase in U.S. crude inventories. As investors consider the potential impact of a Trump administration on crude supplies from Iran and Venezuela, Hurricane Rafael in the Gulf of Mexico is also disrupting oil production in the region, adding volatility to the commodity market.
On the technical side, Brent crude oil (Ticker AT: BRENT) started the European session continuing the downward pressure of the Asian session. It is currently trading at $75.56 a barrel. The value of the checkpoint is currently in the $75 zone, so the RSI confirms with 44.30% that the price is under some downward pressure. It is very likely that the value of both WTI (Ticker AT: LCRUDE) and Brent will remain in a sideways range and seek to test with its current bullish continuation pattern the $76.06 resistance throughout this and next week, as well as for WTI in the $72.43 zone.
In this context, the Fed's monetary policy and Chinese stimulus will be key to define the direction of global markets in the coming weeks, while European policy remains an element of uncertainty. In a context of limited crude oil production, it is possible that the stock could regain its shine in the direction of $80.
Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.