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Regional shocks, friends holding positions should pay attention!Technical analysis of gold: Gold first rose and then fell, but the subsequent rebound was indeed quite strong, exceeding our expectations. Gold fell into a large range of fluctuations, which added a certain degree of difficulty to the operation. Although gold rebounded beyond expectations, it still did not break through today's high point, so it is still under pressure in the range of the head and shoulders top pattern. At most, it is still a shock, and there is no need to think about whether it will rise sharply. The 1-hour moving average of gold has gradually begun to show signs of turning, and the 1-hour gold is also a head and shoulders top pattern. Even if it is pulled back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a large range. There are more data in the second half of this week, and there are also important events. So gold still needs to wait for news or data to let gold go out of a new round of direction. If gold does not break through the intraday high, we will continue to focus on high altitude. Retracement is supplemented by long positions. Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to 3130-3035, stop loss at 3140, target 3120-3110; long gold when it falls back to 3110-3100, target 3120-3130. Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs. 2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform us in time if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
NXU & Lynx: Could we see a merge/acquisition in the future?Nxu's Strategic Partnership with Lynx Motors Nxu, Inc. (NASDAQ: NXU), a company specializing in innovative EV charging and energy storage solutions, has announced a strategic partnership and investment in Lynx Motors. This partnership is outlined in a letter of intent (LOI) and represents a significant step in Nxu's commitment to electrification and the future of electric vehicles (EVs). Key Details of the Partnership Strategic Investment: Nxu's investment in Lynx Motors is structured as a share exchange, with $3 million in Nxu shares being exchanged for $3 million in Lynx shares. This investment will be reflected as an asset on Nxu's balance sheet. Board Representation: As part of the transaction, Nxu will receive a seat on Lynx's Board of Directors, indicating a deep level of involvement and influence in Lynx's strategic direction. Collaborative Development: Nxu aims to assist Lynx in leveraging its vehicle and charging technology to expedite the development of electrified products. Lynx Motors is known for reimagining classic vehicles with modern amenities and powertrains, blending tradition with innovation. Financial Support: Lynx will issue an interest-free promissory note of $250,000 to Nxu in exchange for a $250,000 bridge loan, further solidifying the financial collaboration between the two companies. Professional Analysis Complementary Strengths: This partnership leverages Nxu's expertise in EV charging and energy storage with Lynx's focus on electrifying classic vehicles. It's a strategic alignment that combines technological innovation with a unique market niche. Market Positioning: Lynx's approach to electrifying popular classic cars, coupled with its robust reservation list, suggests strong market demand. Nxu's involvement could accelerate Lynx's path to significant revenue and profitability. Impact on Nxu's Market Compliance: The partnership is a step towards Nxu's compliance with Nasdaq's listing standards, potentially increasing shareholder equity and market confidence. Future Prospects: The collaboration between Nxu and Lynx, especially in the realm of EVs, aligns with the broader trend towards electrification in the automotive industry. This partnership could position both companies favorably in a rapidly evolving market. Conclusion The strategic partnership between Nxu and Lynx Motors represents a synergistic collaboration that could enhance both companies' positions in the EV market. By combining Nxu's charging technology with Lynx's innovative approach to vehicle electrification, this partnership holds the potential for significant advancements in the EV sector, offering promising prospects for both companies and their stakeholders.
NASDAQ:NXULong
by Terrapins
3
Can Gold Continue Higher? Last month, I pointed out that Large Speculators started to close out their net-long positions in Gold futures, betting on the possibility of a reversal as they attempted to time the market turn at all-time highs. This behavior continued for several weeks, yet Gold’s price continued its upward rally, leaving many traders scratching their heads. What’s particularly puzzling is the lack of chasing in this rally, especially considering the massive price movement since then. This is particularly surprising because Large Speculators, for the most part, are trend-followers — and right now, the trend in Gold is unmistakably bullish. When comparing positioning in Gold to Silver, there’s a distinct difference. While Large Speculators initially followed the rally in Silver, continuing to buy as Silver lagged behind Gold, this strategy was much more reactive. Silver’s underperformance relative to Gold made sense, given that Silver is more crowded than Gold — meaning there’s less demand and fewer buyers. The key takeaway from this analysis is that the Commitment of Traders (COT) report can offer valuable insights into which market presents the better risk/reward trade. In this case, the COT report highlighted Gold as the superior trend to follow, especially for traders looking to capitalize on precious metals amidst all the tariff news and rising market uncertainty. By using the COT, traders can refine their strategies to focus on trends with more significant potential, rather than getting distracted by more volatile, crowded trades.
COMEX:GC1!
by Crowded_Market_Report
EUR/GBP: Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Towards TargetChart Overview Asset: Euro / British Pound (EUR/GBP) Timeframe: 1-hour (1H) Date and Time: Published on April 2, 2025, at 19:21 UTC Publisher: GoldMasterTraders on TradingView Current Price (at the time of the chart): Open: 0.83668 High: 0.83670 Low: 0.83260 Close: 0.83635 Change: -0.00035 (-0.04%) Price on the Right Axis: The price scale ranges from approximately 0.83100 to 0.84447, with the current price around 0.83642 (ask) and 0.83635 (bid). Chart Elements and Technical Analysis 1. Candlestick Price Action The chart displays a 1-hour candlestick representation of EUR/GBP, showing price movements from mid-March to early April 2025. Trend Context: Prior to the formation of the pattern, the price experienced a downtrend, declining from around 0.84200 (March 12) to a low of 0.83260 (March 25). This indicates a bearish trend leading into the pattern formation. Following this decline, the price began to consolidate, forming the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which suggests a potential reversal from bearish to bullish. Recent Price Action: On April 2, the price appears to have broken out above the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, closing above the resistance level with a bullish candle. The current price of 0.83642 is above the breakout level, supporting the bullish thesis. 2. Chart Pattern: Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern Identification: The chart highlights an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, a bullish reversal pattern that typically forms after a downtrend. It consists of three troughs: Left Shoulder: A low around 0.83400 (March 20), followed by a bounce. Head: A deeper low at 0.83260 (March 25), marking the lowest point of the pattern. Right Shoulder: A higher low around 0.83400 (March 30), indicating diminishing selling pressure. The neckline is drawn by connecting the highs between the shoulders (around 0.83600–0.83700), sloping slightly downward in this case. Pattern Dynamics: The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern signals a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. The left shoulder and head represent selling pressure, while the higher right shoulder indicates buyers stepping in at a higher level, showing increased demand. The breakout occurs when the price closes above the neckline, confirming the reversal. In this chart, the breakout is confirmed around April 2, with the price closing above the neckline at approximately 0.83600–0.83700. Breakout Confirmation: The price broke above the neckline on April 2, with a strong bullish candle closing at 0.83635. The current price of 0.83642 is holding above the breakout level, which is a positive sign for bulls. The breakout level aligns with the resistance zone, making the move significant as it also clears this key barrier. 3. Key Support and Resistance Levels Support Level: A horizontal support zone is marked around 0.83425 (approximately 0.8340–0.8345). This level corresponds to the lows of the left and right shoulders, where buyers stepped in to defend the price. It also aligns with the lower boundary of the pattern, reinforcing its importance. Resistance Level: A resistance zone is marked around 0.83700 (approximately 0.8365–0.8375). This level corresponds to the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern and a previous high from March 19. It acted as a barrier during the pattern formation but has now been broken, turning it into potential support on a retest. Target Level: The target for the breakout is projected at 0.84447. This target is calculated using the standard method for Head and Shoulders patterns: measuring the height of the pattern (from the head at 0.83260 to the neckline at 0.83700, which is 0.00440) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point (0.83700 + 0.00440 = 0.84140). The target of 0.84447 is slightly higher, possibly adjusted for the next significant resistance. The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00627 (0.75%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (0.83700) to the target (0.84447). 4. Stop Loss and Risk Management Stop Loss: The stop loss is suggested below the support level at 0.83425. Placing the stop loss below this level ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back below the neckline and the right shoulder, the trade is exited with a controlled loss. The distance from the breakout level (0.83700) to the stop loss (0.83425) is 0.00275, representing the risk on the trade. Risk-Reward Ratio: The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00627 (0.75%) to the target. The risk is 0.00275 (from 0.83700 to 0.83425), and the reward is 0.00627 (from 0.83700 to 0.84447), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 2.28:1 (0.00627 / 0.00275). This is a favorable ratio for a trading setup. 5. Additional Annotations Pattern Components: The chart labels the Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder, clearly identifying the structure of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. A blue arrow labeled “Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern” points to the formation, making it easy to recognize. Arrows and Labels: A green arrow labeled “Support Level” points to the 0.83425 zone, indicating where buyers have defended the price. A red arrow labeled “Resistance Level” points to the 0.83700 zone, highlighting the neckline and the breakout area. A blue arrow labeled “Target” points to 0.84447, showing the projected price objective. A blue arrow labeled “Stop Loss” points to 0.83425, indicating the risk management level. Price Labels on the Right Axis: The right axis shows key price levels, with the current ask price at 0.83642 (red) and bid price at 0.83635 (black), reflecting the live market spread. Trading Setup Breakdown Based on the chart, here’s the detailed trading setup: Entry: Position: Long (buy) EUR/GBP. Entry Point: The setup suggests entering after the price breaks out above the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which occurred around April 2, 2025, at approximately 0.83700. Confirmation: The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the neckline, with the current price at 0.83642, slightly below the high of 0.83670 but still above the breakout level. Traders might wait for a retest of the neckline (now acting as support) for a safer entry, though this isn’t explicitly suggested in the chart. Stop Loss: Level: Place the stop loss below the support level at 0.83425. Rationale: This placement protects against a false breakout. If the price falls back below the neckline and breaches the right shoulder, the bullish thesis is invalidated, and the trade should be exited. Risk: The distance from the entry (0.83700) to the stop loss (0.83425) is 0.00275, or approximately 0.33% of the entry price. Take Profit/Target: Level: The target is set at 0.84447. Rationale: This target is derived from the height of the pattern projected upward from the breakout point. It also aligns with a logical extension toward the next significant resistance. Reward: The distance from the entry (0.83700) to the target (0.84447) is 0.00627, or approximately 0.75% of the entry price. Risk-Reward Ratio: The risk-reward ratio is approximately 2.28:1, which is attractive for a trading setup. For every unit of risk (0.00275), the potential reward is over 2 units (0.00627). Trade Management: Trailing Stop: Once the price approaches the target at 0.84447, traders might consider trailing the stop loss to lock in profits, especially if the price shows signs of stalling. Partial Profit Taking: Some traders might take partial profits at a minor resistance level (e.g., 0.84000) and let the remaining position run toward the target. Broader Market Context Trend Analysis: The broader trend before the pattern was bearish, as evidenced by the decline from 0.84200 to 0.83260. The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern suggests a potential reversal to the upside, with the breakout confirming this shift. The price action after the breakout will be critical. A strong move toward 0.84000 with high volume would confirm the bullish momentum. Volume and Momentum: The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of an Inverse Head and Shoulders breakout includes: Volume: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest. Momentum: A bullish signal from indicators like RSI (e.g., moving above 50) or MACD (e.g., a bullish crossover). Traders should check these indicators to validate the breakout’s strength. Market Factors: EUR/GBP is influenced by factors like Eurozone and UK economic data, interest rate differentials, and Brexit-related developments. On April 2, 2025, traders should consider: Economic Data: Key releases like UK GDP, Eurozone inflation, or central bank statements around this time could impact the pair. Geopolitical Events: Any developments related to UK-EU relations or global risk sentiment could drive volatility in EUR/GBP. Potential Risks and Considerations False Breakout: If the price fails to hold above the neckline (0.83700) and falls back below the right shoulder, the setup is invalidated. The stop loss at 0.83425 mitigates this risk. Resistance at 0.84000: The price may encounter resistance around 0.84000, a psychological level and a previous high. Traders should watch for bearish price action (e.g., a shooting star or bearish engulfing candle) near this level. Market Volatility: EUR/GBP can be volatile on a 1-hour timeframe, especially around economic data releases. Unexpected news could lead to sharp price swings, potentially triggering the stop loss prematurely. Timeframe Limitations: This is a short-term setup on a 1-hour chart, so the target might be reached within hours to a couple of days. However, intraday noise could lead to choppy price action, requiring active trade management. Conclusion The TradingView chart by GoldMasterTraders presents a well-structured bullish trading setup for EUR/GBP based on an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. The price has broken out above the neckline on April 2, 2025, signaling a potential move toward the target of 0.84447. Key levels include support at 0.83425 (where the stop loss is placed) and the neckline resistance at 0.83700, which the price must hold above to maintain the bullish thesis. The setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio of 2.28:1, making it an attractive trade for short-term traders. However, traders should confirm the breakout with additional indicators (e.g., volume, RSI) and monitor broader market conditions, as this chart is a snapshot from April 2, 2025, and market dynamics may have evolved since then. If you’d like to search for more recent data on EUR/GBP or check the outcome of this setup, I can assist with that!
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
LYFT stock is a grower and undervalued, future 10x ?LYFT stock is trading a low pe and has a potential smooth 25% annual growth rate to EPS for next years. PE price /earnings is low at around 11. More cash than debt on the balance sheet, making them a little cheaper. easily should be worth 20-25 PE for a fair price. Growth rate should make LYFT even trade a potential premium. Im in for the value, but if retail gets behind LYFT, could be more exciting even. Cheers, be safe. #LYFT #LYFTstock #uber #Ev #AV #tesla #rivian #autonomousvehigles
NASDAQ:LYFTLong
by ValuePig
2
GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
EUR/USD: Bullish Falling Wedge Breakout Towards TargetLet’s analyze the 1-hour candlestick chart of EUR/USD (Euro / U.S. Dollar) on TradingView, published by GoldMasterTraders on April 2, 2025, at 19:04 UTC. The chart highlights a trading setup based on a Falling Wedge pattern, indicating a potential bullish breakout. I’ll describe the chart pattern and the trading setup in detail. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge Pattern Description Type: The chart identifies a Falling Wedge pattern, which is a bullish chart pattern that typically signals a reversal or continuation of an uptrend. A Falling Wedge forms when the price consolidates between two downward-sloping trendlines that converge over time, with the upper trendline (resistance) sloping more steeply than the lower trendline (support). Appearance on the Chart: The Falling Wedge is clearly marked with two converging trendlines: Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward. Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the lower lows, also sloping downward but at a less steep angle. The pattern began forming around March 19, after a sharp decline from 1.9400 to 1.8700, and continued until the breakout on April 2, 2025. Breakout Direction: Falling Wedges are typically bullish, meaning the price is expected to break out to the upside. The chart shows the price breaking above the upper trendline of the wedge around April 2, 2025, with a strong bullish candle, confirming the breakout. The breakout level is around 1.90840, and the price has moved slightly above this level, closing at 1.90864 at the time of the chart. Key Levels and Trading Setup 1. Support Level A horizontal support zone is marked around 1.90730 (approximately 1.9070–1.9080). This level acted as a base during the wedge formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 23 and March 30). The support level aligns with the lower boundary of the wedge, reinforcing its significance as a key area of buying interest. 2. Resistance Level A resistance zone is marked around 1.92000 (approximately 1.9190–1.9210). This level corresponds to a previous high reached on March 19, before the wedge formation began. It represents a significant barrier where selling pressure previously emerged. After the breakout, the price is expected to test this resistance as part of the bullish move. 3. Target The target for the breakout is projected at 1.92110. This target is likely calculated by measuring the height of the wedge at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point. The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00435 (0.40%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (around 1.90840) to the target (1.92110). 4. Stop Loss A stop loss is suggested below the support level at 1.90730. This placement ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back into the wedge, the trade is exited with a manageable loss. The stop loss is just below the breakout level (1.90840), with a distance of approximately 0.00110, representing the risk on the trade. Trading Setup Summary Entry: The setup suggests entering a long (buy) position after the price breaks out above the upper trendline of the Falling Wedge, which occurred around April 2, 2025. The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the trendline at approximately 1.90840. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the support level at 1.90730 to protect against a false breakout or reversal. The distance from the breakout level (1.90840) to the stop loss (1.90730) is 0.00110, or about 0.06% of the entry price. Take Profit/Target: Aim for the target at 1.92110, which is near the next significant resistance level. The distance from the breakout level to the target is 0.01270, or a 0.40% move. Risk-Reward Ratio: The risk is 0.00110 (from 1.90840 to 1.90730), and the reward is 0.01270 (from 1.90840 to 1.92110), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 11.55:1 (0.01270 / 0.00110). This is an exceptionally high risk-reward ratio, making the setup very attractive, though traders should ensure the breakout is well-confirmed due to the tight stop loss. Additional Observations Price Action Context: Before the wedge formed, the price experienced a sharp decline from 1.9400 (March 13) to 1.8700 (March 19), indicating a strong bearish trend. The Falling Wedge represents a consolidation phase within this downtrend, and the upside breakout suggests a potential reversal or at least a corrective move higher. Volume and Momentum: The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a Falling Wedge breakout would include: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest. Bullish momentum signals, such as an RSI above 50 or a bullish MACD crossover. Traders might want to check these indicators for additional confirmation of the breakout’s strength. Timeframe: This is a 1-hour chart, so the setup is intended for short-term trading, with the target potentially being reached within a few hours to a day. Market Context: EUR/USD is influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, Eurozone economic data, and interest rate differentials. A bullish move in EUR/USD could be driven by a weaker dollar (e.g., due to dovish U.S. economic data) or positive Eurozone developments. Conclusion The TradingView idea presents a bullish setup for EUR/USD based on a Falling Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart. The price has broken above the wedge’s upper trendline, confirming a bullish move with a target of 1.92110. The setup includes a stop loss at 1.90730 to manage risk, offering an impressive risk-reward ratio of 11.55:1. Key levels to watch include the support at 1.90730 and the resistance at 1.92000. Traders should consider additional confirmation from volume and momentum indicators, as well as broader market conditions, before executing the trade. Since this chart is from April 2, 2025, market conditions may have evolved, and I can assist with searching for more recent data if needed!
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
SOL - Breakout Retest & FVG Target This 4-hour SOL/USDT chart shows a breakout retest at a key support level, with a potential move toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG). Key Observations: 🔹 Breakout & Retest: Price has broken below the trendline and is now stabilizing near support. 🔹 FVG Target: A bullish reaction from this level could send SOL toward the FVG before further continuation. 🔹 Potential Bullish Structure: A strong bounce could lead to higher highs, while failure to hold may invalidate the setup. Will SOL confirm this bullish scenario? Let’s watch how it reacts! 📈🔥
Long
by wdstrades
3
XAUUSD sell Again, this is a “parental advisory” just ahead of the main event for this Wednesday. With the primary tailwind for the Goldrush set to be officially announced, the “buy the rumour, sell the fact” rule of thumb should be considered. The risk could be that once the reciprocal tariffs take effect on Wednesday, only easing due to profit-taking in Gold could occur once separate trade agreements and partial unwinds take place. XAUUSD sell 3133 Support 3121 Support 3116 Support 3107 Resistance 3150
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stiven088
JPY/USD: Bearish Triangle Pattern Breakout Towards TargetChart Pattern: Triangle Pattern Pattern Description Type: The chart identifies a Triangle Pattern, which is a type of consolidation pattern that can act as either a continuation or reversal pattern depending on the preceding trend and the breakout direction. Triangles are characterized by converging trendlines, indicating a period of indecision in the market as the price range narrows. Specific Type: This appears to be a Symmetrical Triangle, as the upper and lower trendlines converge at a similar angle, suggesting neither buyers nor sellers have clear control during the consolidation phase. Appearance on the Chart: The Triangle Pattern is marked with two converging trendlines: Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward. Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the higher lows, sloping upward. The pattern began forming around March 27, after a sharp downtrend, and continued until the breakout on April 2, 2025. Breakout Direction: Symmetrical Triangles can break out in either direction, but they often continue the preceding trend. In this case, the preceding trend was bearish (a sharp decline from 0.006720 to 0.006640), and the breakout is to the downside, confirming a bearish continuation. The chart shows the price breaking below the lower trendline of the triangle around April 2, 2025, with a strong bearish candle, indicating a confirmed bearish breakout. Key Levels and Trading Setup 1. Support Level A horizontal support zone is marked around 0.006640 (approximately 0.00664–0.00665). This level acted as a base during the triangle formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 28 and March 31). The price has now broken below this support, turning it into a resistance level on any potential retest. 2. Resistance Level A resistance zone is marked around 0.006705 (approximately 0.00670–0.00671). This level corresponds to a previous high within the triangle and aligns with the upper boundary of the triangle at the time of the breakout. After the breakout, this resistance level is where the stop loss is placed, as a move back above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. 3. Target The target for the breakout is projected at 0.006599 (approximately 0.00660). This target is likely calculated by measuring the height of the triangle at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance downward from the breakout point. The chart indicates a potential move of -0.000604 (-0.96%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (around 0.006654) to the target (0.006599). 4. Stop Loss A stop loss is suggested above the resistance level at 0.006705. This placement ensures that if the breakout fails and the price moves back above the triangle’s lower trendline (now acting as resistance), the trade is exited with a manageable loss. Trading Setup Summary Entry: The setup suggests entering a short (sell) position after the price breaks below the lower trendline of the Triangle Pattern, which occurred around April 2, 2025. The breakout is confirmed by a strong bearish candle closing below the trendline at approximately 0.006654. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the resistance level at 0.006705 to protect against a false breakout or reversal. The distance from the breakout level (0.006654) to the stop loss (0.006705) is 0.000051, representing the risk on the trade. Take Profit/Target: Aim for the target at 0.006599, which is the projected price objective based on the triangle’s height. The distance from the breakout level to the target is 0.000055, or a 0.96% move. Risk-Reward Ratio: The risk is 0.000051 (from 0.006654 to 0.006705), and the reward is 0.000055 (from 0.006654 to 0.006599), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.08 (0.000055 / 0.000051). While this ratio is slightly above 1:1, it’s on the lower side for a typical trading setup, so traders should ensure high confidence in the breakout. Additional Observations Price Action Context: Before the triangle formed, the price experienced a sharp decline from 0.006720 (March 23) to 0.006640 (March 27), indicating a strong bearish trend. The triangle represents a consolidation phase within this downtrend, and the downside breakout suggests a continuation of the bearish momentum. Volume and Momentum: The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a triangle breakout would include: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong selling pressure. Bearish momentum signals, such as an RSI below 50 or a bearish MACD crossover. Traders might want to check these indicators for additional confirmation of the breakout’s strength. Timeframe: This is a 1-hour chart, so the setup is intended for short-term trading, with the target potentially being reached within a few hours to a day. Market Context: USD/JPY is influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, Japanese yen safe-haven demand, and interest rate differentials. A bearish move in USD/JPY could be driven by a stronger yen (e.g., due to risk-off sentiment) or a weaker dollar (e.g., due to dovish U.S. economic data). Conclusion The TradingView idea presents a bearish setup for USD/JPY based on a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on the 1-hour chart. The price has broken below the triangle’s lower trendline, confirming a bearish continuation with a target of 0.006599. The setup includes a stop loss at 0.006705 to manage risk, offering a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.08. Key levels to watch include the former support (now resistance) at 0.006640 and the resistance at 0.006705. Traders should consider additional confirmation from volume and momentum indicators, as well as broader market conditions, before executing the trade. Since this chart is from April 2, 2025, market conditions may have evolved, and I can assist with searching for more recent data if needed!
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Crude oil meets resistance at high levels, it is time to go shorAlthough we have used the daily line to re-count the waves, and explained that the current rising market is in the 2nd wave rebound of the daily line, which is the sub-wave c of wave 2, the market is still in a bearish trend in the daily line. After the market has completed this wave of 2nd wave rebound and adjustment, it will continue to fall by 3 waves. In the 4-hour market, the current market has not risen above 72.90 US dollars. We can still regard it as a rebound of 3-2 waves, or a rebound of the main wave 4. The main decline wave 1 of 4 hours fell from 76.57 US dollars to 69.80 US dollars, a drop of 6.77 US dollars, and the current 4-hour main decline wave 3 fell from 72.90 US dollars to 64. .85 dollars fell to 8.05 dollars. Why can it be either 3-2 waves or 4 waves? Because the current 8.05 dollars is larger than the decline of the main decline wave 1, it can be regarded as 3 waves, and the current rebound is very strong, so it can be regarded as 4 waves, but I think from the perspective of the main decline wave 3 in 4 hours, the decline should be more than that, it should be greater than 10 US dollars, so it can also be regarded as a rebound of 3-2 waves. The key is whether this wave of rise will break 72.90 US dollars. If it breaks, it will be a sub-wave of the main decline wave 1 in 4 hours. Therefore, our trading ideas today do not have a main direction. The market will make orders when the strategy reaches that first. Today's crude oil recommendations: 1. Short at 72.65 US dollars, stop loss 30 points, and take profit 70.60 US dollars.
TVC:USOILShort
by TP_Daniel
Buy BitcoinThe idea that Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) tend to go up around 70 days after global liquidity (M2) increases is based on how liquidity drives risk asset prices—especially in speculative markets like crypto. Here's a breakdown of why this happens, particularly with the 70-day lag: 🔍 What is M2 Global Liquidity? M2 includes: Cash Checking deposits Savings accounts Other near-money assets When global M2 increases, it usually means central banks are easing (e.g., lowering rates, injecting liquidity), which tends to: Increase money supply Lower the cost of capital Make riskier assets more attractive 💸 Why Does BTC/ETH React to M2? Crypto = High-Beta Asset Class BTC and ETH are risk-on assets, meaning they thrive when: Investors are optimistic There's more disposable capital floating around Liquidity Flows Down the Risk Curve When liquidity enters the system: It first boosts safe assets (e.g., bonds, large-cap stocks) Then mid-cap equities Finally flows into speculative plays like crypto Crypto’s Reaction is Delayed (~70 Days) This 70-day lag happens because: Institutions take time to reallocate capital Retail follows after they see initial market strength It takes time for M2 to affect sentiment, demand, and actual buying 📊 Empirical Backing Analysts like Arthur Hayes, Macro Alf, and others have noted: BTC price often correlates with global M2, with a lag of 60–90 days Crypto tends to front-run rate cuts, but lags money supply changes ⏱️ Summary: Why the 70-Day Lag? Cause Effect Global M2 rises Money becomes more available Institutions adjust portfolios Risk-on flows begin Investors re-enter crypto Demand for BTC/ETH increases ~70 days later BTC/ETH prices begin to climb
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by rossjohnson47
Buy EthereumThe idea that Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) tend to go up around 70 days after global liquidity (M2) increases is based on how liquidity drives risk asset prices—especially in speculative markets like crypto. Here's a breakdown of why this happens, particularly with the 70-day lag: 🔍 What is M2 Global Liquidity? M2 includes: Cash Checking deposits Savings accounts Other near-money assets When global M2 increases, it usually means central banks are easing (e.g., lowering rates, injecting liquidity), which tends to: Increase money supply Lower the cost of capital Make riskier assets more attractive 💸 Why Does BTC/ETH React to M2? Crypto = High-Beta Asset Class BTC and ETH are risk-on assets, meaning they thrive when: Investors are optimistic There's more disposable capital floating around Liquidity Flows Down the Risk Curve When liquidity enters the system: It first boosts safe assets (e.g., bonds, large-cap stocks) Then mid-cap equities Finally flows into speculative plays like crypto Crypto’s Reaction is Delayed (~70 Days) This 70-day lag happens because: Institutions take time to reallocate capital Retail follows after they see initial market strength It takes time for M2 to affect sentiment, demand, and actual buying 📊 Empirical Backing Analysts like Arthur Hayes, Macro Alf, and others have noted: BTC price often correlates with global M2, with a lag of 60–90 days Crypto tends to front-run rate cuts, but lags money supply changes ⏱️ Summary: Why the 70-Day Lag? Cause Effect Global M2 rises Money becomes more available Institutions adjust portfolios Risk-on flows begin Investors re-enter crypto Demand for BTC/ETH increases ~70 days later BTC/ETH prices begin to climb
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by rossjohnson47
XAG/USD Bullish Setup - Falling Wedge Breakout Towards TargetChart Overview Asset: Silver / U.S. Dollar (XAG/USD) Timeframe: 1-hour (1H) Date and Time: Published on April 2, 2025, at 11:17 UTC Publisher: GoldMasterTraders on TradingView Current Price (at the time of the chart): Open: 33.82300 High: 33.89005 Low: 33.79435 Close: 33.88880 Change: -0.05780 (-0.20%) Price on the Right Axis: The price scale ranges from approximately 32.80000 to 35.25000, with the current price around 33.88880. Chart Elements and Technical Analysis 1. Candlestick Price Action The chart displays a 1-hour candlestick representation of XAG/USD, showing price movements from late March to early April 2025. Trend Context: Prior to the formation of the pattern, the price experienced a sharp rally from around 32.80000 (March 21) to a high near 34.60000 (March 27). This indicates a strong bullish trend. Following this rally, the price entered a consolidation phase, forming lower highs and lower lows, which is characteristic of the Falling Wedge pattern. Recent Price Action: On April 2, the price appears to have broken out of the wedge pattern, closing above the upper trendline with a strong bullish candle. The current price of 33.88880 is above the breakout level, suggesting a potential continuation of the uptrend. 2. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge Pattern Identification: The chart highlights a Falling Wedge pattern, a bullish chart pattern that can act as either a reversal or continuation pattern. In this case, given the preceding uptrend, it’s likely a continuation pattern. A Falling Wedge is characterized by two converging trendlines: Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward. Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the lower lows, also sloping downward but at a less steep angle than the upper trendline. The wedge started forming around March 27, after the price peaked near 34.60000, and continued until the breakout on April 2. Pattern Dynamics: The narrowing range between the trendlines indicates decreasing selling pressure and a potential buildup of buying interest. Falling Wedges typically resolve with a breakout to the upside, as the price breaks above the upper trendline, signaling a resumption of the prior trend (bullish in this case). Breakout Confirmation: The price broke above the upper trendline of the wedge on April 2, with a strong bullish candle closing at 33.88880. This breakout is a key signal for a potential upward move. The breakout level appears to be around 33.85000–33.90000, and the price is currently holding above this level, which is a positive sign for bulls. 3. Key Support and Resistance Levels Support Level: A horizontal support zone is marked around 33.58553 (approximately 33.58–33.60). This level acted as a significant support during the wedge formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 28 and March 31). The support level aligns with the lower boundary of the wedge, reinforcing its importance as a key area of buying interest. Resistance Level: A resistance zone is marked around 34.60000 (approximately 34.60–34.80). This level corresponds to the high reached on March 27, before the wedge formation began. It represents a significant barrier where selling pressure previously emerged. After the breakout, the price is expected to test this resistance as part of the bullish move. Target Level: The target for the breakout is projected at 34.82470 (approximately 34.82). This target is likely calculated using the standard method for wedge patterns: measuring the height of the wedge at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point. The target of 34.82470 is just above the resistance zone, suggesting that a break above 34.60000 could lead to further upside toward this level. 4. Stop Loss and Risk Management Stop Loss: The stop loss is suggested below the support level at 33.58553. Placing the stop loss below this level ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back into the wedge, the trade is exited with a controlled loss. The distance from the breakout level (around 33.90000) to the stop loss (33.58553) is approximately 0.31447, which represents the risk on the trade. Risk-Reward Ratio: The chart indicates a risk-reward ratio of 0.9467 (2.80% / 9,469.7). The potential reward is the distance from the breakout level (33.90000) to the target (34.82470), which is approximately 0.92470, or a 2.80% gain. The risk is the distance to the stop loss (0.31447), making the risk-reward ratio approximately 2.94:1 (0.92470 / 0.31447), which is favorable for a trading setup. 5. Additional Annotations Arrows and Labels: A blue arrow labeled “Falling Wedge” points to the pattern, clearly identifying it for viewers. A green arrow labeled “Support Level” points to the 33.58553 zone, indicating where buyers have stepped in. A red arrow labeled “Resistance Level” points to the 34.60000 zone, highlighting the next significant barrier. A blue arrow labeled “Target” points to 34.82470, showing the projected price objective. A blue arrow labeled “Stop Loss” points to 33.58553, indicating the risk management level. Price Labels on the Right Axis: The right axis shows key price levels, with the current ask price at 33.89900 (red) and bid price at 33.88558 (black), reflecting the live market spread. Trading Setup Breakdown Based on the chart, here’s the detailed trading setup: Entry: Position: Long (buy) XAG/USD. Entry Point: The setup suggests entering after the price breaks out above the upper trendline of the Falling Wedge, which occurred around 33.85000–33.90000 on April 2. Confirmation: The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the trendline, with the current price at 33.88880, slightly below the high of 33.89005 but still above the breakout level. Traders might wait for a retest of the breakout level (now acting as support) for a safer entry, though this isn’t explicitly suggested in the chart. Stop Loss: Level: Place the stop loss below the support level at 33.58553. Rationale: This placement protects against a false breakout. If the price falls back below the wedge’s upper trendline and breaches the support, the bullish thesis is invalidated, and the trade should be exited. Risk: The distance from the entry (33.90000) to the stop loss (33.58553) is 0.31447, or approximately 0.93% of the entry price. Take Profit/Target: Level: The target is set at 34.82470. Rationale: This target is derived from the height of the wedge projected upward from the breakout point. It also aligns with a logical extension beyond the resistance at 34.60000. Reward: The distance from the entry (33.90000) to the target (34.82470) is 0.92470, or approximately 2.80% of the entry price. Risk-Reward Ratio: The risk-reward ratio is approximately 2.94:1, which is attractive for a trading setup. For every unit of risk (0.31447), the potential reward is nearly 3 units (0.92470). Trade Management: Trailing Stop: Once the price approaches the resistance at 34.60000, traders might consider trailing the stop loss to lock in profits, especially if the price shows signs of stalling. Partial Profit Taking: Some traders might take partial profits at the resistance level (34.60000) and let the remaining position run toward the target. Broader Market Context Trend Analysis: The broader trend before the wedge was bullish, as evidenced by the rally from 32.80000 to 34.60000. The Falling Wedge, therefore, acts as a consolidation within this uptrend, and the breakout suggests a continuation of the bullish trend. The price action after the breakout will be critical. A strong move toward 34.60000 with high volume would confirm the bullish momentum. Volume and Momentum: The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a Falling Wedge breakout includes: Volume: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest. Momentum: A bullish signal from indicators like RSI (e.g., moving above 50 or 70) or MACD (e.g., a bullish crossover). Traders should check these indicators to validate the breakout’s strength. Market Factors: Silver prices are influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, interest rates, inflation expectations, and geopolitical events. On April 2, 2025, traders should consider: U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): A weakening dollar typically supports higher silver prices. Economic Data: Key releases like U.S. non-farm payrolls, inflation data, or Federal Reserve statements around this time could impact silver. Geopolitical Events: Any risk-off sentiment (e.g., due to global tensions) could drive safe-haven demand for silver. Potential Risks and Considerations False Breakout: If the price fails to hold above the breakout level (33.85000–33.90000) and falls back into the wedge, the setup is invalidated. The stop loss at 33.58553 mitigates this risk. Resistance at 34.60000: The resistance level has previously capped the price, and there’s a risk of rejection at this level. Traders should watch for bearish price action (e.g., a shooting star or bearish engulfing candle) near 34.60000. Market Volatility: Silver can be volatile, especially on a 1-hour timeframe. Unexpected news or economic data could lead to sharp price swings, potentially triggering the stop loss prematurely. Timeframe Limitations: This is a short-term setup on a 1-hour chart, so the target might be reached within hours to a couple of days. However, intraday noise could lead to choppy price action, requiring active trade management. Conclusion The TradingView chart by GoldMasterTraders presents a well-structured bullish trading setup for XAG/USD based on a Falling Wedge pattern. The price has broken out above the wedge’s upper trendline on April 2, 2025, signaling a potential move toward the target of 34.82470. Key levels include support at 33.58553 (where the stop loss is placed) and resistance at 34.60000, which the price must overcome to reach the target. The setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio of approximately 2.94:1, making it an attractive trade for short-term traders. However, traders should confirm the breakout with additional indicators (e.g., volume, RSI) and monitor broader market conditions, as this chart is a snapshot from April 2, 2025, and market dynamics may have evolved since then. If you’d like to search for more recent data on XAG/USD or check the outcome of this setup, I can assist with that!
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
USDCAD Analysis: Tariff Impact & Technical Outlook Looking at the USDCAD chart, we've seen interesting price action that I believe presents a trading opportunity. The significant breakout on February 3rd pushed price above the 1.44 level with strong momentum. This wasn't random - it coincided with increasing tariff speculation, as trade policy uncertainty typically impacts the USD-CAD relationship substantially given their close economic ties. Currently trading around 1.43, USDCAD has pulled back from recent highs but remains in a solid uptrend, as confirmed by the ascending trendline EMA200 (pink). I'm watching for a potential bounce from current levels, as any new tariff announcements could reignite USD strength. The COT data shows institutional positioning has decreased recently, but remains net long overall. This suggests big players haven't abandoned their bullish USD outlook despite the recent consolidation. Key levels I'm monitoring: Support 1.42 zone Resistance: Previous high near 1.44-1.45 VRVP shows significant interest around the 1.43-1.44 area I believe if upcoming tariff news triggers volatility, we could see a retest of range highs with potential for further upside. The fundamentals support continued USD strength in this environment, especially if global uncertainty increases.
Long
by youbicode
BTC/USD Bullish Breakout from Rectangle PatternOverview: The chart represents Bitcoin's price action against the US Dollar on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a Rectangle Pattern Breakout with a well-structured trade setup. This analysis will break down the pattern, key levels, and possible trading scenarios. 1️⃣ Chart Pattern Breakdown – Rectangle Consolidation The price has been moving within a rectangle pattern (range-bound movement), where Bitcoin found support at lower levels and faced resistance at the upper boundary. Rectangle Pattern: A continuation/consolidation pattern where price fluctuates between horizontal resistance and support before breaking out. Curve Formation: The price action within the rectangle also forms a rounding bottom, indicating a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. Breakout Confirmation: BTC has broken out from the rectangle, suggesting bullish momentum. 2️⃣ Key Technical Levels 🔹 Support Level ($84,110) This zone has acted as a strong demand area, preventing the price from falling further. Buyers consistently stepped in at this level, making it a significant psychological floor for Bitcoin. 🔹 Resistance Level ($86,850 - $87,000 Zone) This level had previously rejected upward movements, leading to multiple price pullbacks. After the breakout, this area is expected to act as a new support level upon a retest. 🔹 Target Price ($89,931 – Next Resistance Zone) If the breakout sustains, the next key target for bulls is around $89,931, based on prior resistance zones and technical projections. 🔹 Stop Loss ($84,110 – Below Support Zone) A stop loss below the support zone ensures risk management in case of a false breakout. 3️⃣ Trading Strategy & Execution 📌 Entry Point – After price confirms the breakout above the rectangle’s resistance. Traders should wait for: A pullback and retest of the broken resistance, which should now act as support. A strong bullish candle confirming continuation. 📌 Take Profit (TP) – $89,931, based on historical resistance levels and price projection from the rectangle range. 📌 Stop Loss (SL) – Placed at $84,110, below the rectangle’s previous support zone to minimize downside risk. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) – The setup offers a favorable RRR, meaning potential profits outweigh the risks. 4️⃣ Market Sentiment & Additional Factors ✔ Bullish Outlook – The breakout signals strong buying interest and potential upside continuation. ✔ Volume Confirmation – Traders should monitor volume spikes during the breakout to confirm institutional participation. ✔ Economic Events & News – External factors like macroeconomic data or Bitcoin-related news can impact price action. Conclusion – BTC/USD Trading Setup Pattern Identified: Rectangle Pattern Breakout Current Trend: Bullish breakout from consolidation Trade Type: Long position (Buy setup) Key Levels: ✅ Support: $84,110 ✅ Resistance: $86,850 - $87,000 ✅ Target: $89,931 ✅ Stop Loss: $84,110 🔥 Final Thought : Bitcoin has broken out of a key consolidation range, signaling a bullish move towards $89,931. Traders should wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly! 🚀📈
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD Head & Shoulders Breakdown – Bearish Target Ahead?This chart represents a detailed technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe with a structured trade setup based on a Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern. Below is an in-depth explanation of the chart components, price action, and trade strategy. 1️⃣ Key Chart Patterns and Analysis A. Head and Shoulders Pattern (Bearish Reversal) This is a well-known bearish reversal pattern that signals a potential trend change from bullish to bearish. It consists of three peaks: Left Shoulder: A rise followed by a temporary pullback. Head: The highest peak in the pattern, showing strong buying pressure before reversal. Right Shoulder: A smaller rise compared to the head, indicating weakening bullish momentum. B. Neckline (Support Level) and Breakdown Confirmation The neckline (horizontal support level) is drawn across the lowest points between the shoulders. A break below the neckline confirms the reversal, triggering a bearish move. The chart suggests price is at the neckline zone, preparing for a breakdown. 2️⃣ Trendline and Support/Resistance Analysis A. Uptrend Trendline Break The price was following a strong ascending trendline (dotted black line). A trendline breakout has occurred, indicating potential trend reversal. This supports the bearish bias further. B. Resistance and Support Levels Resistance Level: Marked at the top of the Head region, which aligns with previous price rejection zones. Support Levels: First support (TP1 - 3,053.269): This is the first potential take profit level. Second support (TP2 - 3,030.556): The next target if price continues downward. 3️⃣ Trade Setup & Risk Management A. Entry Point (Short Position) Sell (Short) after the neckline breakout, ensuring bearish momentum is confirmed. B. Take Profit (TP) Targets TP1: 3,053.269 (Initial support target). TP2: 3,030.556 (Stronger support zone, deeper profit target). C. Stop Loss Placement Stop Loss: 3,150.726 (Above the resistance zone). This is a logical stop-loss placement, allowing price fluctuations without prematurely stopping the trade. 4️⃣ Overall Market Sentiment & Trade Bias Bearish Bias: Due to the formation of the Head and Shoulders pattern, trendline breakout, and weakening bullish momentum. Confirmation Needed: A strong bearish close below the neckline increases probability of downward continuation. 5️⃣ Final Thought – A High-Probability Trade Setup If neckline breaks, the trade is valid with potential for a 3%+ downside move. If price holds above the neckline, the pattern may fail, leading to reconsidering trade execution. This structured risk-managed approach ensures a strategic entry, controlled risk, and maximized profit potential. 📉🔥 Let me know if you need further refinements! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades