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Fundamental Analysis

AUSSIE STRENGTH OVER THE CANADIANS?Commodity Prices: Both Australia and Canada are major exporters of commodities, particularly metals and energy. If there has been a rise in commodity prices (such as iron ore, oil, or copper), it can benefit the Australian Dollar (AUD) if these prices are moving in Australia's favor. For example, if oil prices (which directly affect the Canadian economy) have dropped, it could hurt the CAD, making the AUD relatively stronger. Economic Data: Positive economic data from Australia (like strong GDP growth, employment figures, or retail sales) can boost the AUD. Conversely, weaker-than-expected economic data from Canada (such as lower-than-forecasted GDP growth, inflation figures, or trade balances) could make the CAD weaker and lead to a stronger AUD/CAD.
Long
by MarshallJay
The Bull market ContinuesBull market is back in full swing with a strong upwards momentuem following the last couple of weeks, Volume has been accumulating within the 55-65k zones Any retracement Would lead us to 68-73k becoming Soft supports and the 55-65k zones becoming medium to hard Supports The Total depth of the buy orders are now looking alot more bullish as the continuation of the bullish market has Dissolved most some of the bearish sell zones, Playing for retracement can be tricky in scenarios of world events such as trump winning It would be high Risk to Short the market at the current state,for the next couple of week i would suggest holding.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Glo1235122
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 7, 2024 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today: 21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Rate Decision USDJPY: The Japanese Yen (JPY) is experiencing difficulty in registering a notable recovery against its US counterpart and is currently trading at a level approaching its lowest point since 30 July. The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) limited ability to raise interest rates and the prevailing risk-on environment continue to undermine the safe-haven yen. Furthermore, the rise in US Treasury bond yields, driven by the return of Republican Donald Trump as the 47th President of the United States (US), has contributed to the downward pressure on the low-yielding yen. Meanwhile, the overnight decline prompted a verbal intervention from Japanese authorities, which may provide some support to the yen and help limit losses. The US dollar (USD) is currently trading just below the four-month high reached on Wednesday, amid optimism over growth and inflation. This could limit the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to cut interest rates. This could provide further encouragement for the USD/JPY pair ahead of the highly anticipated Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision this Thursday. Trade recommendation: Trading mainly by Sell orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XAUUSD TRADED IDEAHi all There are two movements, buy and sell. If the price respects the trendline, it is likely that the price will continue to drop to TP 1. However, if there is a breakout at the trendline and it makes a new high, it is likely that the price will change direction to a buy and target an all-new time high of 2874 **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support
FX:XAUUSDLong
by mytw0cents
Post-Election and FOMC Impact— EURUSDEURUSD Breakdown Analysis Date : November 7, 2024 Current Level : 1.0740 Forecasted Targets : 1.0800 (Resistance) and 1.0660 (Downside Target) --- Overview: EURUSD saw a significant drop yesterday, largely due to market reactions to the U.S. election uncertainty. Investors flocked to the dollar as a safe haven, strengthening it and putting EURUSD under downward pressure. The next focal point for the market is today’s FOMC decision, which could set the tone for the pair in the days ahead. --- Election Impact on EURUSD: The initial dip in EURUSD following the election highlights its sensitivity to U.S. political events. Market sentiment was cautious as investors digested updates, pushing the dollar up and sending EURUSD lower. This movement suggests continued dollar strength unless political clarity reduces the appeal of safe-haven assets. --- Focus on Today’s FOMC Decision: With the FOMC’s interest rate announcement imminent, we may see additional volatility. While rates are likely to remain unchanged, hawkish commentary or projections for future hikes could support further dollar gains, pushing EURUSD lower. Conversely, a dovish statement could trigger a dollar pullback, allowing EURUSD to approach the anticipated resistance level at 1.0800. --- Technical Analysis and Forecast: Currently trading at 1.0740, EURUSD is positioned near a key support zone. Short-term technical indicators point to potential resistance around 1.0800, which aligns with critical Fibonacci levels and a prior trendline. The pair may briefly reach this level before a likely reversal due to strengthening dollar fundamentals. Once EURUSD tests 1.0800, we anticipate a decline toward our downside target of 1.0660, a support level with historical significance. --- Conclusion: Today’s FOMC statement, paired with the ongoing effects of the U.S. election, positions EURUSD for a brief rally toward 1.0800, followed by a downturn targeting 1.0660. This range provides both resistance and support benchmarks, offering potential entry and exit points.
Short
by forexorbit
Starting the next bull run (Grab your bowl - hopium incoming)1. The following is for entertainment purposes only. 2. Do not trade on this information. You will lose your money. 3. Yes I have positions and yes I am basing my decisions off of long term analysis like this *History doesn't repeat but it often rhymes* Two thoughts: 1. In February 2019, 5 months after the ichimoku long term and short term trend lines crossed in 2018 on the month scale, we started to see a relief rally in the bitcoin price It's now 5 months after the trend lines have crossed bearish again. Will we see a repeat? The ichimoku cloud seems to align with this. 2. 45 months after the 2017 peak we got the 2021 peak. If we create a trend line between those points and then project out another 45 months, we would see a peak of ~$123k. Conservative sure, but more realistic imo than all these million dollar projections.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by dotnetrussell
5
Market Outlook: Nifty 50 - Navigating Geopolitical TensionsCurrent Technical Analysis: As of the latest market open, the Nifty 50 index has started at 24,320, and we are expecting a potential downward correction to the 24,220 level. If this initial support level holds, we could see a retracement to higher levels. However, should the market fail to reverse from this point, there is a risk of further downside pressure, which may push the index below 24,000. The critical resistance for the Nifty lies near the 24,500 zone. A break above this level could pave the way for a potential rally towards the 25,000 mark. The market's reaction to these key levels will be crucial in determining the next medium-term direction. Key Technical Levels: Support: 24,220 (Short-term support) Immediate Resistance: 24,500 Key Resistance for Bullish Momentum: 25,000 Bearish Target if Downtrend Resumes: Below 24,000 Geopolitical Factors: Global geopolitical tensions, particularly in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, have the potential to impact risk sentiment in emerging markets like India. Rising energy prices, supply chain disruptions, and investor risk-off sentiment could continue to put downward pressure on equities. In the Indian context, ongoing political developments, especially regarding the Maharashtra state elections, could also add volatility to the local market. Any surprises or shifts in state-level governance could have a ripple effect on investor confidence, potentially influencing market sentiment in the short term. Indian State Elections (Maharashtra): Electoral Outcomes: The Maharashtra state elections will be a key event, with results likely to influence market sentiment, particularly in the political and economic outlook. If the ruling party maintains control, the market could react positively due to continuity in policies. However, a shift in power could lead to uncertainty, especially in policy decisions around state-level economic initiatives, infrastructure spending, and governance. Investor Sentiment: Political stability is a significant driver for local markets, and any uncertainty could dampen investor confidence in the short term, particularly in sectors like real estate, construction, and infrastructure, which are sensitive to regional political outcomes. Fed Rate Cut Policy: The Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates will continue to be a pivotal factor in global equity markets. If the Fed proceeds with further rate cuts, it may create a risk-on environment globally, which could spill over into emerging markets, including India. A rate cut would reduce the cost of borrowing, encouraging investment flows into equities, potentially providing a cushion for the Indian market. However, inflationary concerns and economic slowdown risks in major economies could complicate the Fed's rate policy. Any signs of economic weakness in the U.S. could lead to reduced investor confidence globally, putting pressure on equity markets. Inflation and Global Growth Concerns: U.S. Inflation: Despite the potential for rate cuts, inflation in the U.S. remains a key risk. If inflation proves more persistent than anticipated, the Fed may pause its rate cuts or even increase rates again, which could dampen global risk sentiment. China's Economic Slowdown: Additionally, China's ongoing economic challenges, including slowdown in industrial growth and real estate sector issues, could have a spillover effect on global markets, particularly in Asia. Outlook for Indian Markets: Short-term Bearish View: If the Nifty fails to hold above 24,220 and shows further weakness, the index may test the psychological level of 24,000. In this scenario, investors may prefer defensive sectors like consumer staples, pharma, and IT to weather potential volatility. Bullish Reversal Scenario: If the Nifty breaks above the 24,500 mark, there is potential for the index to reach towards 25,000, driven by positive sentiment from global policy action (e.g., a Fed rate cut). Indian sectors such as banking, automobile, and capital goods could outperform in such a scenario. Conclusion: The current market is at a crossroads, with key technical levels to watch for direction. Geopolitical uncertainties, particularly in the context of the Maharashtra elections, and global economic policy shifts (like a potential Fed rate cut) will significantly influence sentiment in the coming weeks. As always, investors should remain cautious and monitor both the local and global macroeconomic landscape closely. ------galeleo bull.......
NSE:NIFTY
by privatesparrowbs
Nasdaq and S&P500 before the electionHello, traders! I mostly post cryptos here but I also trade indices so I wanted to share my ideas. Markets are showing steady and calm movements as the election approaches and I think now might be a good time to watch over the indices. I often check the indices because I trade them regularly - my idea behind the trades is simple. "It will rise if it gets too low." Of course I wouldn't do the same for cryptos but I feel much more confident with the indices. Looking at my charts, I noticed the indices are now pretty close to my entry points which are bottom (support) lines of the regression channel and the pitchfork. With the election and possible rate cut ahead this week, there's a great possibility the markets will move upwards - even regardless of the result. This is due to the excitement for the new government. I'll keep watching.
NASDAQ:IXICLong
by QJEEE
ETH/USDT Short SetupEthereum is showing signs of reaching a local resistance level after a strong upward push. Given the market structure and recent rejection near the resistance zone, a potential short opportunity is developing. Entry: Around the current resistance at 2,700 USDT Stop Loss: Set slightly above the recent highs at 2,800 USDT to minimize risk Take Profit Zone: Looking for a pullback to the trendline support around 2,500 USDT Analysis: ETH has faced challenges in breaking above this level consistently, indicating a possible temporary top in this range. The recent volatility suggests that a correction could be on the horizon as traders lock in profits. The broader trend still holds bullish potential, so this is a cautious short position for a quick gain rather than a long-term reversal bet. Remember, this market moves quickly, so stay alert for any rapid changes. Manage your risk, and trade wisely! DYOR as always.
Short
by HedonistTrade
11/6/24 - $yeti - i'm a buyer into print. good value at ~10% fcf11/6/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:YETI i'm a buyer into print. good value at ~10% fcf yield - keeping it simple - tariffs matter for a number of consumer names on trump win - "okay". but you see NASDAQ:MCFT 's results? boats and beers are strong, consumer spending, yeti demo has more $ than the five below bros (no disrespect, i love the candy selection there) - but anyway 10% fcf yield and good stock comp control PLUS big short interest in this has me taking a LT position here - let's see what results bring and we react accordingly - but i like the R/R here while the mkt is probably working thru some more flows-related hedges, baskets for hedgies etc. etc. - what do u think? - oh. long NYSE:ELF too... but that's a diff story and i'm not gonna write it up. and while i'm at it, took a small bite of NASDAQ:CROX even tho i'd still like to see it lower. V
NYSE:YETILong
by VROCKSTAR
AMLX - Pre Catalyst Run up Play with massive GAP!Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc is a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company working on developing a novel therapeutic for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis and other neurodegenerative diseases. It has one operating segment which is the business of researching and developing therapeutics for neurodegenerative disorder. Shares float: 61.87M Topline Data 16/10/2024 ET Phase 2 topline data to be presented at ISPAD October 16-19, 2024. Phase 2 first patient dosed April 13, 2023. Phase 2 enrollment completed, noted February 8, 2024. Phase 2 data demonstrated improvements in pancreatic function and glycemic control, as measured by C-peptide and other markers of glucose metabolism, rather than worsening typically expected with disease progression, noted April 10, 2024. 2 more catalysts end of August 2025 and end of December 2025 Huge down gap from $18.00 to $4.50 Breakout and Entry Zone above: $2.60 Action: If the stock breaks above this area with strong volume, it might signal a continuation of the upward trend. Overall Market Sentiment: Currently, the market seems to be in a correction phase. It’s crucial to consider this sentiment when making trading decisions. Resistance Points: $3.00 $3.90 $4.50 $6.50 $8.50 $10.00 $11.50 $13.00 $15.50 Surpassing these levels could signal a positive trend. Consider taking profits at these stages to realize gains. Trading Strategy: Take Profit (TP): Set a target at $6.50 (pre catalyst run up) and if we see a full gap fill set a second one at $18.00 (highly speculative and could take time) Stop Loss (SL): Set at under $1.70 to mitigate potential losses. Chart Analysis: Please refer to the attached chart for detailed analysis of price trends and movements. Trading Advisory: Exercise caution and consider market conditions and your own risk tolerance when trading. It's advisable to conduct comprehensive research or consult with a financial advisor before engaging in trading activities. Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:AMLXLong
by meitshels_smell_trades
BTC USD UpdateAfter months and months of anticipation, the long-awaited ATH has finally been broken through. So, what's next? We're now waiting to see if the weekly and daily candles close with bodies above the ATH. Until then, we'll continue scalping with a bullish bias, but we'll also hold our swing trade runners with stop-losses below the previous week's low. Overall, we've set clear goals and remained steadfast through all the pullbacks. We're glad our strategy has paid off. Let's see what the market makers do next. We'll keep you updated
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by themarketknight
BTC USD UpdateAfter months and months of anticipation, the long-awaited ATH has finally been broken through. So, what's next? We're now waiting to see if the weekly and daily candles close with bodies above the ATH. Until then, we'll continue scalping with a bullish bias, but we'll also hold our swing trade runners with stop-losses below the previous week's low. Overall, we've set clear goals and remained steadfast through all the pullbacks. We're glad our strategy has paid off. Let's see what the market makers do next. We'll keep you updated
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by themarketknight