Get started

Fundamental Analysis

XAUUSD 1H Bullish Head and Shoulders Reversal with $3400 target.This 1-hour chart of Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) illustrates a classic bullish inverse head and shoulders reversal pattern. The pattern, comprising a distinct left shoulder, head, and right shoulder, signals a potential shift from downtrend to uptrend. The chart includes 20-period and 50-period Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) and projects an upside price target of approximately $3400, representing a potential gain of over 2% from the pattern's neckline. This setup suggests a strong probability of upward price movement for gold in the near term.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Muhammad_001
TSLA Honey Ticking Bull Trap!TSLA has a beautiful big ars bear flag! While it should have broken down to trigger a short trade, it decided to Honey Tick people right into a Trap! It formed a perfect MEGAPHONE in wave 3 up that has now CRACKED! This is a much juicer short setup with the potential of collapsing from here and taking out the entire bear flag and MORE!! First, we need a lower low and then a lower high and off we GO BABY!!! Don't Get HONEY TICKED! As I always say, never EVER!! Invest in toxic people like Elona. They always blow themselves up in the end. It's in their nature! Click boost and follow, let's get to 5,000 followers. ;)
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by RealMacro
24
MKR 1W🔍1. Overall Trend: In the long term, we can see that MKR was in a downtrend, as evidenced by the falling trendline (orange dashed line). The last candles show that the price has broken this downtrend line - this could indicate a potential trend reversal or at least an attempted upside correction. 📊Support and resistance levels (horizontal chart): Strong support (red) and resistance (green) levels are marked: ✅ Resistances: ~3,770 USDT – local top, very strong resistance. ~3,079 USDT – previous support, now acting as resistance. ~2,002 USDT – current growth barrier, price is currently struggling with this level. 🔻 Supports: ~1,574 USDT – current local support. ~1,248 USDT – next support, previously tested. ~800 USDT and ~400 USDT – historical accumulation zones, deep support levels. Oscillators (bottom of the chart): Stochastic RSI – currently in the upper zone, which may suggest that the market is approaching overbought. Possible correction. RSI (classic) – oscillates around 50, i.e. neutral, but with a slight upward slope. There is no overbought signal yet. 🧠 Conclusions: ➕ Bullish signals (pro-growth): Break of the downtrend line (may be the first signal of a trend change). Formation of a higher low. Oscillators are not yet in the extreme zone. ➖ Bearish signals (pro-fall): The price has not yet managed to break the resistance at 2,002 USDT. Stochastic RSI indicator close to the overbought zone - possible short correction. 📌 Scenarios: 1. Upside scenario: If the price breaks through the 2,002 USDT level and stays above it, the next target will be the 3,079 USDT level. Confirmation will be the rising RSI and staying above the trend line. 2. Downside scenario: If the price fails to break through the 2,002 USDT level and falls below the 1,574 USDT level, a possible test of the 1,248 USDT level or even lower (800 USDT).
by cryptodailyuk
Upcoming Monthly/Weekly Analysis!FA Analysis: 1- Recent macro-economic data were good. But they do not reflect the Tariffs impacts. 2- All expected data (i.e., inflation, consumer sentiment) were inline with the projected tariff impacts. 3- Uncertainty is in the driver seat as long as Trump flip flop with his tariffs. 4- The 90-day tariff pause ends by July 4th!!! Surprise...surprise... the liberation day! Definitely, Trump will announce the 2nd Liberation day! 5- From this week and moving forward, data will reflect tariffs impacts. 6- This week, we have many relevant data and probably many Trump tweets. =) All the above has structural negative impacts on US economy; hence negative impacts on US Stocks and equities. TA Analysis: Monthly TF: NQ monthly close was bullish. From this TF, we should expect a continuation up seeking a new ATH. But I strongly doubt it. The Monthly close was below 21457. If price will be unable to close at least above this level, price should revisit 17236. In this thread, we do not trade Monthly TF, but it gives us a macro perspective. Weekly TF: The weekly close was bearish, even with a green candle. From this TF, we should expect a south move. In my view, Wave 3 has started last week. Daily TF: The chart shows all levels of Wave 3 into 5 mini-waves. The target of this mini-wave 3.1 is the low of May (19594). Price already broke TL and closed below it. Price from now on it should continue south/down. Price must close inside the tariff on & off candle (yellow box). (Note: The chart shows only three waves of 3.1 representing the Initial move, retrace move and impulsive move. But every single move/wave should have 5 waves. I do not represent them to avoid making the chart complex which it's already!). Hourly TF: Price might complete the retrace up to 21468-21590. Then resume the down movement as per the chart. Data will give the ebb and flow to be inline with TA analysis. That's all for this week/month. Wish you GL and plenty of green trades.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by OTM-Fadhl
Case for Monero ContinuesTL;DR: Monero is used as a currency giving it a relatively stable value during all seasons There has been and will continue to be large transfers of Bitcoin to Monero creating supply shocks and XMRUSD RIPs I have been heavily focused on sharing my bull case for Monero for over two years now. That made for a very disturbing morning on February 4th, 2024 when I woke up to see KRAKEN:XMRUSD down more than -30%. My first thought was, "oh no... someone cracked its privacy!" Then I read the details; it had been delisted from Binance for "being impossible for government to track and therefor banned in many countries." So... Monero was actually "working as intended." Buy! There are only 3-4 cryptocurrencies that matters to me: Bitcoin, Monero, and which wins between Ethereum/Solana. These cryptocurrencies represent the established use cases thus far respectively in Store of Value, Currency, and Smart Contracts. I have been writing about Monero for several years now relating my observations about its uses, price performance, and future predictions. Recent events have proven my thesis to be accurate and I am confident will continue to be. Performance versus Bitcoin: One criticism of observing recent or past outperformance of BITFINEX:XMRBTC is "zoom out bro" where the full decade plus price trend it noted. This is undeniable. However, one should remember the investing adage: "past performance is not indicative of future results." One should also not be ignorant of the facts leading to extended periods of outperformance and what they mean for future market conditions. During the crypto winter of 2022 Monero outperformed Bitcoin as a product of Monero holding its value, presumably because of its continued use as a medium of exchange (currency), while Bitcoin fell precipitously. The same outperformance happened again when Bitcoin had a less dramatic decline in value during 2024. Again, Monero maintained a relatively stable valuation. Year to Date as a product of Monero's prior stability and the catalyst event (I will talk about later) have driven a period of outperformance yet again. Store of Value Bitcoin's use case as a Store of Value is well established. Prior to the last Halvening event Bitcoin was actually MORE inflationary than Monero. Now the inflation rate for Bitcoin and Monero is 0.83% and 1.7% respectively. Monero has an inflation rate known as a "tail emission." The inflation rate actually declines over time as the amount of new Monero being added (432,000 annually) is fixed. There will actually be a point where they are close again around late 2027 when the rates will be 0.83% and 0.82% respectively. As Bitcoin rewards continue to decrease there will never be a point where Monero's inflation is less than Bitcoin's. However, being inflationary or deflationary alone does not grant or guarantee value. Bitcoin will always hold the title of "most deflationary" between the two. Having limited supply and being scarce is not enough to give something value. Intrinsic value is derived from many potential factors and one that is common between both of them is: use as a medium of exchange. Monero is actually proving to be more used as a medium of exchange. "Monero is what people think Bitcoin is." I have been observing over the last two years a shift on the Darknet markets that there are two primary currencies: Bitcoin and Monero. What is interesting is that some Darknet markets have ceased transacting in Bitcoin entirely and rely exclusively on Monero. This is one of the reasons that Monero has maintained its value over this time. The reason is Monero's primary use case: private money. Monero is built upon privacy by default. This is originally what Bitcoin was perceived to be. Now, the public nature of Bitcoin is seen as a value proposition for state and corporate adoption to the benefit of NGU (Number Go Up) but it provides no security for those that value privacy. "What about Zcash?" There are other privacy coins, sure. Often times when I talk about Monero these competing coins are brought up in the context of "interesting technology." Tech matters less to use. You can have amazing tech that is worthless if no one uses it. This is analogous to the platform war between Betamax and VHS. Betamax arguably had better technology but the consumer market chose VHS and that became the standard. As long as Monero "has privacy" then any other cryptocurrency that "has privacy" has only equal use case. What matters then is the market; the consumer. And the market and consumers have already decided to use Monero. The network effect has already taken over. It will be incredibly unlikely that any other privacy coin can reach the same network effect and supplant Monero. Bitcoin is worthless without state approval In 2023 and 2024 hackers that had somehow broken into the Darknet market of Silk Road and the Cryptocurrency exchange Bitfinex were captured, prosecuted, deprived of freedom, and forced to surrender their Bitcoin many years after their crimes were committed. We are talking billions of USD worth of Bitcoin that were rendered worthless to their ill gotten owners. What should have been realized then was that all Bitcoin, despite being permissionless, is worthless to its owner without full state approval. You can hold it, send it, and trade it but if government does not approve it will find you and take your freedom. That is, of course, unless you hand it over to them and they might give you some of that freedom back. So it became rather obvious that should a hacker acquire copious amounts of Bitcoin they would invariable seek to privatize these gains. Just such an event happened in April. Allegedly, a hacker gained access to a very old Bitcoin private key containing nearly $330 million worth of Bitcoin and then proceeded to convert it to Monero irrespective of transaction costs and liquidity. This created an acute supply shock leading to a huge RIP. Many smaller exchanges "ran out" of Monero exacerbating the supply shock and leading to further appreciation. This is a catalyst that is founded upon rational actions albeit not ethical. We can presume that such catalysts will continue to happen into the future. Technical Analysis Monero has been very hard to trade using my standard methods. Because of its normal stability of value it lacks clear and robust trends to play pullbacks. However, there is a definite recent trend to look at now. I am very interested to see where and if Monero establishes a new trading range because then I can look at the lows of this range to accumulate more. The potential 50% Retracement level of the present price action is 292. Conclusion During all seasons both bullish and bearish Monero will continue to be used as a medium of exchange and maintain its Store of Value. Monero has already reached adoption level in the use case of privacy which establishes a moat of competitive advantage versus any other privacy coins. As long as humans use cryptocurrency they will value the privacy advantage of Monero versus Bitcoin and periodically and unexpectedly convert between the two leading to huge supply and price shocks.
KRAKEN:XMRUSDLong
by norok
The volatility is an illusion, and gold is brewing major changesGold fluctuated downward in the Asian session on Friday, while it remained in the range of 3287-3303 in the European session. Although it tried to break through the short-term pressure level of 3300-3306 many times, it has never been able to stand firmly. I arranged to go long at 3288-3289 in advance, notified to enter the market at the point, and finally reached the target of 3303 perfectly, earning 15 points of profit! Quick, accurate and ruthless, with the right idea, profit-taking is as easy as drinking water! Therefore, it is recommended that we continue to pay attention to the short-term support of 3290-3285 below. If the price fails to break through the support range like in the early trading, you can consider trying to enter the long position. Given that today is Friday, the market volatility may be "demon-like", so you need to be extra cautious in operation and pay close attention to the changes in the market. At the same time, you must keep in mind the principle of "taking profits for safety"-lock in profits in time when you can see them, and don't easily bet on trends that you don't understand. If your current gold operation effect is not ideal, I hope my analysis can help you avoid some detours. Welcome to communicate at any time! Today, the monthly, weekly and daily lines closed simultaneously. At the same time, the PCE data will be released during the US trading session, and the market volatility may intensify. From a technical point of view, 3285 is also the key to long and short today. If gold does not break 3285 today, the strength of gold bulls is expected to continue, and there is still room for gold to move upward. If gold continues to fall and falls below 3285, then gold may begin to fluctuate in a large range. The upper resistance is in the 3320-3330 area, and the focus is on the 3335-3340 line of suppression. Pay attention to the 3290-3285 line of support below, and the key position below is in the 3280 area. If it breaks below the 3280 area during the day, the market is expected to fall again to the 3265-3250-3240 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
The dollar is strong, will gold break through the consolidation?At the beginning of this week, the US dollar index fell to a one-month low due to Trump's sudden change in the direction of the EU policy. Subsequently, due to the contest between Trump and the US Trade Court ruling, the prices of gold and the US dollar fluctuated greatly. I think the US dollar will start to rise next week with the help of non-farm payrolls data. I am afraid that a new round of price fluctuations is coming. If the US dollar is to have a new upward trend in June, gold will also be affected. Judging from the current daily line of gold, the overall trend is also to be adjusted downward. The high point of gold in May was 3438, and the low point was 3120. I also drew the Fibonacci dividing line in the figure. The most critical position is 3317 at the 0.382 position and 3280 at the 0.5 position. Gold is still maintaining a consolidation of 3317-3280. Although there have been breakthroughs above and below, they are all within the daily range. Next week, as long as gold can close below 3280 on the daily line, it will start a correction trend step by step. The first target below is around 3250, and the second is 3180-3200. As long as the daily line of gold can close below 3180, then we will usher in a big bearish trend at the daily level. On the contrary, the daily line of gold cannot close above 3317 again. In a better situation, it may touch around 3340 again and then retreat again. The bad result is that it directly breaks through the pressure level and stands above the 3340 trend line. If this happens, the price of gold may move towards a new high.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
GBPUSDGBP/USD Interest Rate, Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–June 2025) 1. Current Interest Rates (Policy Rates) Bank of England (BoE) Rate: 4.25% (cut by 25bps on May 7, 2025) . Federal Reserve Rate: 4.25–4.50% (target range maintained as of May 29, 2025) . Interest Rate Differential: 4.25% (BoE)−4.25–4.50% (Fed)=−0.25% to 0% The Fed holds a slight advantage, but the differential is nearly neutral. 2. 10-Year Bond Yields UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: 4.77% (May 21, 2025), near a one-month high due to sticky inflation . US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.51% (May 29, 2025) . Yield Spread: 4.77% (UK)−4.51% (US)=+0.26% The UK’s higher bond yield offers a modest carry trade advantage. 3. Dollar Index (DXY) Context Current DXY Level: ~98.4 (testing key support as of May 2025, per prior analysis). Drivers: Fed’s steady rates and resilient US economic data support USD. BoE’s dovish pivot (rate cuts) and UK inflation risks (April CPI at 3.5% YoY) weigh on GBP . 4. Carry Trade Directional Bias GBP/USD Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, driven by the +0.26% bond yield spread favoring GBP. Mechanics: Investors borrow USD (lower policy rate) to invest in higher-yielding UK gilts, supporting GBP demand. Risks: BoE Dovishness: Further rate cuts could narrow the yield spread. Fed Policy: Prolonged rate holds or hawkish signals may strengthen USD. Inflation Dynamics: UK’s elevated CPI (3.5% YoY) vs. US disinflation could delay BoE easing. Key Data and Events US: Nonfarm payrolls (June 6), Fed speakers, and inflation updates. Summary Table Metric United Kingdom (GBP) United States (USD) Policy Rate 4.25% 4.25–4.50% 10-Year Bond Yield 4.77% 4.51% Yield Spread +0.26% (GBP over USD) — Inflation (YoY) 3.5% (April 2025) ~2.6–3.0% (est.) DXY Level — ~98.4 (testing support) Conclusion Interest Rate Differential: Neutral policy rates but a +0.26% UK bond yield advantage supports GBP/USD. Carry Trade: Modest bullish bias for GBP due to higher gilt yields, though BoE dovishness and USD resilience cap gains. DXY Outlook: USD strength may persist if Fed maintains rates, but GBP could benefit from sticky inflation delaying further BoE cuts. Monitor UK inflation data and Fed rhetoric for directional catalysts. GBPUSD is neutral on economic data approach,the next fed monetary policy decision will define the direction of trade . stay cautious #GBPUSD #DOLLAR #GBP
by Shavyfxhub
#EURUSD: Nothing to expect from DXY| View Changed Swing Trading|Hey there! So, we were previously thinking EURUSD was going to be bearish, but things have turned around and it’s looking bullish for now. The extreme bearish pressure on USD has caused all the major USD pairs to be in a range. As the week goes on and we get the NFP data, the market will probably focus more on these economic indicators. So, it’s not surprising to see some market ranges during this time. We’ll keep a close eye on the market, as there might be some manipulation going on this week. We recommend waiting until Monday’s daily candle closes to see if the bullish trend is strong enough. Then, based on the price momentum, you can make your decisions. We hope you have a great week and safe trading! If you like our work and analysis, please consider liking, commenting, and sharing our content. Cheers, Team Setupsfx ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
14
GBPUSDGBP/USD Interest Rate, Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–June 2025) 1. Current Interest Rates (Policy Rates) Bank of England (BoE) Rate: 4.25% (cut by 25bps on May 7, 2025) . Federal Reserve Rate: 4.25–4.50% (target range maintained as of May 29, 2025) . Interest Rate Differential: 4.25% (BoE)−4.25–4.50% (Fed)=−0.25% to 0% The Fed holds a slight advantage, but the differential is nearly neutral. 2. 10-Year Bond Yields UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: 4.77% (May 21, 2025), near a one-month high due to sticky inflation . US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.51% (May 29, 2025) . Yield Spread: 4.77% (UK)−4.51% (US)=+0.26% The UK’s higher bond yield offers a modest carry trade advantage. 3. Dollar Index (DXY) Context Current DXY Level: ~98.4 (testing key support as of May 2025, per prior analysis). Drivers: Fed’s steady rates and resilient US economic data support USD. BoE’s dovish pivot (rate cuts) and UK inflation risks (April CPI at 3.5% YoY) weigh on GBP . 4. Carry Trade Directional Bias GBP/USD Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, driven by the +0.26% bond yield spread favoring GBP. Mechanics: Investors borrow USD (lower policy rate) to invest in higher-yielding UK gilts, supporting GBP demand. Risks: BoE Dovishness: Further rate cuts could narrow the yield spread. Fed Policy: Prolonged rate holds or hawkish signals may strengthen USD. Inflation Dynamics: UK’s elevated CPI (3.5% YoY) vs. US disinflation could delay BoE easing. Key Data and Events US: Nonfarm payrolls (June 6), Fed speakers, and inflation updates. Summary Table Metric United Kingdom (GBP) United States (USD) Policy Rate 4.25% 4.25–4.50% 10-Year Bond Yield 4.77% 4.51% Yield Spread +0.26% (GBP over USD) — Inflation (YoY) 3.5% (April 2025) ~2.6–3.0% (est.) DXY Level — ~98.4 (testing support) Conclusion Interest Rate Differential: Neutral policy rates but a +0.26% UK bond yield advantage supports GBP/USD. Carry Trade: Modest bullish bias for GBP due to higher gilt yields, though BoE dovishness and USD resilience cap gains. DXY Outlook: USD strength may persist if Fed maintains rates, but GBP could benefit from sticky inflation delaying further BoE cuts. Monitor UK inflation data and Fed rhetoric for directional catalysts. GBPUSD is neutral on economic data approach,the next fed monetary policy decision will define the direction of trade . stay cautious #GBPUSD #DOLLAR #GBP
by Shavyfxhub
AAVE ANALYSIS🔮 #AAVE Analysis 💰💰 📊 #AAVE is making perfect and huge rounding bottom pattern in daily time frame, indicating a potential bullish move. If #AAVE retests little bit and breakout the pattern with high volume then we will get a bullish move📈 🔖 Current Price: $248 ⏳ Target Price:   $348 ⁉️ What to do? - We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸 #AAVE  #Cryptocurrency  #Pump  #DYOR
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
Weekly ASI Performance AnalysisWeekly Close Market had a weekly close above level 3, the last horizontal resistance before testing all time high again. Incidentally market reached the target of the pattern, of which breakout happened on April 24th, 2025. What Next: We continue to remain bullish on the ASI/CSE and believe we may record a new all-time high in 2025. 1. CBSL gave an unexpected rate cut in May 2025, indicating low-interest rate regime will continue further well into next year. Inflows into CSE will increase further as yield of fixed income instruments are becoming more & more unattractive. 2. Companies have delivered solid earnings for the just concluded FY 2024/25. 3. Market valuations are still low compared to previous bull markets during 2009-2012 and 2020-2022. 4. Opportunities arising from vehicle importations are yet to materialize for the respective sectors. 5. Probability of IMF releasing the next tranche is very high during next few weeks. 6. Government is strongly committed to the IMF program. Be watchful 1. Developments on US/SL trade talks 2. IMF actions and commentary
CSELK:ASILong
by HR2302