Weekly Outlook. Dollar Strength🗓 Economic Outlook – 2025-06-30 💹 RSI Divergence and Dollar Strength 🟢 Summary
A bearish divergence in the RSI combined with strong U.S. fundamentals suggests continued upward pressure on the Dollar Index (DXY). This trend may persist, particularly if upcoming economic data supports current expectations. 📊 Technical Insight
RSI Divergence Observed
On the DXY chart, we observe a hidden bullish divergence in the RSI, where price makes a higher low while RSI makes a lower low.
This pattern suggests potential continuation of the uptrend despite short-term corrections.
🧮 Fundamental Overview
ADP Employment Report (Wednesday)
Expected stronger results could support the dollar’s bullish trend through next week.
Watch for surprise upside in employment numbers.
NFP Index
Currently above 100, indicating a healthy U.S. economy.
Even if it reaches 120 as expected, the impact may be muted due to prior pricing-in by the market.
"I try to share an overview of the data a day in advance to give you a general perspective."
🔴Remember, the long-term outlook for the dollar is bearish.🔴
Fundamental Analysis
S&P 500 Sets New All-Time High, Surges Above 6200S&P 500 Sets New All-Time High, Surges Above 6200
The S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) started the week by reaching a fresh all-time high. As shown on the chart, the index hit 6,210 points earlier this morning.
In addition to a reduced risk of US involvement in a large-scale war in the Middle East, market optimism has been fuelled by:
→ Tariff-related news. Last week, the US President announced the signing of a trade deal with China, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed hope that the US would conclude trade negotiations with over a dozen countries by early September.
→ Strong corporate performance. On Friday, Nike (NKE) shares led the stock market, rising by more than 15% following an earnings report that exceeded analysts’ expectations. This could be boosting investor sentiment ahead of the upcoming earnings season.
Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart
Evaluating the 4-hour chart of the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) in the context of June’s price movements reveals key reference points (marked on the chart) that outline an ascending channel. A consolidation zone, marked with an arrow, highlights a temporary equilibrium between supply and demand—after which buyers gained the upper hand, pushing the price upward.
It is possible that the ongoing bullish momentum could carry the price toward the upper boundary of the channel. However, attention should be paid to the RSI indicator, which suggests the market is heavily overbought; in fact, Friday’s reading marked the highest level of the year. In such conditions, a price correction cannot be ruled out—potentially back toward the local ascending trendline (shown in orange).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAU/USD Chart Analysis: Price Retreats to Monthly LowXAU/USD Chart Analysis: Price Retreats to Monthly Low
In mid-June 2025, demand for gold surged following reports of exchanged strikes between Israel and Iran, along with US bombings of Iran's nuclear facilities. As a so-called safe-haven asset, gold prices climbed towards $3,430.
However, by the final day of June, the XAU/USD chart shows that gold had retreated to around $3,250, marking the lowest level in a month.
Why Is the Gold Price Falling?
On one hand, this reflects easing tensions in the Middle East, as a ceasefire—albeit fragile—between Israel and Iran remains in place.
On the other hand, the risk of trade wars is also diminishing. According to media reports:
→ President Donald Trump announced last week that the United States had signed a trade agreement with China and hinted that a “very major” deal with India would follow soon.
→ The US is also close to concluding agreements with Mexico and Vietnam, while negotiations with Japan and many other countries are ongoing.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
Looking at the broader picture, it is worth noting that gold prices in 2025 continue to move within a long-term upward channel (shown in blue), with the following key observations:
→ The channel’s median line acted as resistance (indicated by arrow 1);
→ The line dividing the lower half of the channel in half also showed signs of resistance (indicated by arrow 2).
Now, gold is trading near the lower boundary of the channel – a key support level within the multi-month uptrend. Demand may begin to strengthen here, with long lower wicks on candles on the lower timeframes supporting this view.
A rebound from the lower boundary is possible in early July, but how strong might it be? Note that bears have taken control of the $3,345 level (which has now flipped from support to resistance), and there are signs of a triple top pattern (A-B-C) forming near the $3,430 resistance. This raises the risk of a bearish breakout from the ascending channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: Oil Slides — Traders Eye Macro TriggersMarket Analysis: Oil Slides — Traders Eye Macro Triggers
WTI Crude oil is down over 15% and remains at risk of more losses.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil extended losses below the $68.00 support zone.
- A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $65.60 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
Technical Analysis of WTI Crude Oil Price
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price struggled to continue higher above $77.00 against the US Dollar. The price formed a short-term top and started a fresh decline below $72.00.
There was a steady decline below the $70.00 pivot level. The bears even pushed the price below $68.00 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the price tested the $63.70 zone. The recent swing low was formed near $63.69, and the price is now consolidating losses.
On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $65.60 zone. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $65.60. The next resistance is near the $66.80 level or the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $76.93 swing high to the $63.69 low.
The main resistance is $70.30 and the 50% Fib retracement level. A clear move above the $70.30 zone could send the price toward $71.90.
The next key resistance is near $76.90. If the price climbs further higher, it could face resistance near $78.00. Any more gains might send the price toward the $80.00 level.
Immediate support is near the $63.70 level. The next major support on the WTI Crude Oil chart is near $62.00. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $60.00. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $55.00 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: Gold Drops — Traders Eye Macro TriggersMarket Analysis: Gold Drops — Traders Eye Macro Triggers
Gold price started a fresh decline below $3,320.
Important Takeaways for Gold Oil Price Analysis Today
- Gold price climbed higher toward the $3,400 zone before there was a sharp decline against the US Dollar.
- A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $3,300 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Technical Analysis of Gold Price
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price climbed above the $3,320 resistance. The price even spiked above $3,350 before the bears appeared.
A high was formed near $3,395 before there was a fresh decline. There was a move below the $3,350 support level. The bears even pushed the price below the $3,300 support and the 50-hour simple moving average.
It tested the $3,245 zone. A low is formed near $3,247 and the price is now showing bearish signs. There was a minor recovery wave toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,393 swing high to the $3,247 low.
However, the bears are active below $3,300. Immediate resistance is near $3,280. The next major resistance is near the $3,300 zone. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $3,300.
The main resistance could be $3,320 or the 50% Fib retracement level, above which the price could test the $3,350 resistance. The next major resistance is $3,395.
An upside break above the $3,395 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,420. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,450 level.
Initial support on the downside is near the $3,245 level. The first major support is near the $3,220 level. If there is a downside break below the $3,220 support, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $3,200 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Who will win? Crypto or Dollar?How Stablecoin Payments Can Hurt Visa & Mastercard
Bypassing the Interchange System
-Stablecoins allow peer-to-peer or business-to-consumer payments without using credit/debit card rails.
-Visa & Mastercard earn billions from interchange fees (0.1%–3% per transaction). If people pay directly via a stablecoin wallet (e.g. USDC, USDT), these fees vanish.
Faster, Cheaper Cross-Border Payments
-Traditional card transactions (especially international) can be slow and expensive.
-Stablecoins on blockchains like Solana or Ethereum L2s allow near-instant settlement with near-zero fees, reducing the demand for VisaNet and Mastercard systems.
Merchant Preference
-Merchants often pay 1–3% in processing fees to card networks.
-Accepting stablecoins directly = zero or minimal fees, increasing merchant pressure to move away from cards.
Fintech Adoption
-Companies like Stripe, PayPal, Shopify, and Square are integrating stablecoins.
-If these platforms offer cheaper stablecoin settlement options, users and merchants may shift away from traditional card use.
How Visa & Mastercard Could Defend or Adapt
Partner with Stablecoin Networks
-Both companies are already testing stablecoin payments:
-Visa is piloting USDC settlements on Solana and Ethereum.
-Mastercard partnered with Paxos and others to test blockchain-based settlements.
These moves show they're not ignoring the shift, but trying to build rails for stablecoins too.
Act as On-/Off-Ramps
-They can remain dominant as the entry and exit point between fiat and crypto (e.g. buying crypto with cards, or topping up crypto wallets).
-This maintains transaction volume even if some purchases happen in stablecoin.
Expand to B2B and API Infrastructure
-Visa and Mastercard are expanding into B2B transactions, open banking, and embedded finance APIs (e.g. Visa Direct, Mastercard Send).
-This diversifies revenue beyond retail card swipes.
Leverage Network Trust
-Stablecoins may lack consumer protection (fraud protection, chargebacks).
-Visa and Mastercard can market themselves as the trusted rails for consumers and businesses — especially in fraud-prone areas.
-Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
GOLD: Nothing Changed, Still BearishGOLD: Nothing Changed, Still Bearish
At the moment, gold is following developments in the Middle East. The geopolitical situation seems to have improved, thus creating a short-term release of liquidity in long gold positions.
It could be a short-term gain, but there could also be a larger wave that could follow these moves. No one knows what could happen with gold movements in general.
With the current data, gold remains bearish and is still following our old scenarios.
Today, ARRI tested the 3300 structure area, showing that we have some sellers pushing the price down from that area.
If gold holds this area strong, then it could fall as shown in the chart;
Key target areas: 3262; 3247.5; 3218; 3192 and 3160
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
30/06/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $108,531.02
Last weeks low: $99,592.69
Midpoint: $104,061.86
Overall a positive week for BTC in isolation as price moves steadily all week reclaiming the losses made in the week from the 16th-23rd June. This comes after a $2.2B BTC ETF weekly inflow, the 3rd consecutive week of net inflows.
Having now hit the key S/R level of $108,500 it will be interesting to see where BTC goes from here. Jumping up above the level will require a lot from the bulls as ATH is within touching distance and so buying into major resistance is a tough ask. We also have Geo-political uncertainties to add to the situation, one bad tweet is all it takes sometimes to do a lot of damage.
On the other hand the SNP500 hits new ATH in the same conditions and so BTC is more than capable of doing the same.
So far in the first hours of this weeks trading we do have a SFP of the weekly high setup, not ideal for the bulls in any way and so from here the a retest of the range quarters, midpoint being the key area would make sense, invalidation would be a clean break above weekly high with acceptance and strong volume on the move to break the rangebound/choppy environment.
There is also the "window dressing" element to the months &quarter end today. History shows a de-risking going into these events and more money flowing back into risk-on assets in the days following monthly/ quarterly end. For that reason a bullish move (if there were to be one) would come later in the week IMO.
Good luck this week everybody!
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 30, 2025 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is attracting some sellers towards 143.85 during the Asian session on Monday. The U.S. dollar (USD) is weakening against the Japanese yen (JPY) amid rising bets for a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut.
The United States (US) and China are close to a deal on tariffs. However, U.S. President Donald Trump abruptly ended trade talks with Canada, adding uncertainty to the market's positive outlook.
In addition, traders are betting that the U.S. central bank will cut rates more frequently and possibly sooner than previously expected. Markets estimate the probability of a quarter-point Fed rate cut at nearly 92.4%, up from 70% a week earlier.
On the data side, the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index rose 2.3% in May, up from 2.2% in April (revised from 2.1%), the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Friday. This value matched market expectations. Meanwhile, the core PCE price index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 2.7% in May, following a 2.6% increase (revised from 2.5%) seen in April.
On the other hand, the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) cautious stance on interest rate hikes could put pressure on the yen and create a tailwind for the pair.
Trade recommendation: SELL 143.50, SL 144.30, TP 142.40
Expecting Gold Selling movement The bearish setup is reinforced by
Rejection at the key resistance zone
Clear lower high and lower low structures
Bearish target marked at $3,254 a strong support level from recent price action
The red zone above represents the stop-loss area suggesting a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for short positions If price breaks above $3,308 the bearish scenario may be invalidated
Catalonia Drives Away Residential Real Estate CapitalBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Rental market regulations in Catalonia are triggering a real capital flight among major international funds. Following Patrizia’s moves, Blackstone and Azora have also begun divesting from the region’s rental housing market, prioritizing unit-by-unit property sales amid growing legal uncertainty.
From Investors to Sellers
Blackstone (NYSE: BX) has started informing tenants that lease agreements will not be renewed upon expiration, choosing instead to gradually sell off its properties. This strategy, executed through subsidiaries such as Testa and Fidere, is a response to the negative effects of government intervention: rental price caps, increased tax burdens, and a widespread sense of regulatory unpredictability. German firm Patrizia (XETRA: PTZ) had already initiated the individual sale of over 540 apartments in the Barcelona metro area, coordinated by JLL. Azora, meanwhile, has taken a similar path, offloading part of its residential portfolio through direct sales to individuals.
Regulatory Blow to Real Estate: Supply Drops, Prices Surge
According to data from the Rental Observatory, the Housing Law and other regional measures have led to a 16% reduction in supply in just two years—more than 120,000 units disappearing from the market. At the same time, demand has surged 202%, pushing the number of rental applications per unit from 37 to 112 in just ten days and driving average rent prices up from €906 to €1,146 per month. This imbalance affects not only institutional funds but also the 95% of the market held by private landlords, many of whom are now shifting their properties to vacation rentals, direct sales, or simply keeping them vacant.
Fundamentals: Profitability, Dividends, and Outlook
Blackstone (BX), with a market cap of over $160 billion, is the world’s largest alternative asset manager, overseeing more than $1 trillion in AUM. Its annualized dividend exceeds 3.3%, supported by a strong structure of performance and management fees. The current P/E ratio is around 46x, pricing in future earnings growth as real estate operations and deal flow resume.
In contrast, Patrizia SE, managing around €56.4 billion in AUM, trades at more conservative multiples: a P/B ratio of 0.67x and a dividend yield close to 4%. While its revenues fell 15% in 2024, the company managed to grow EBITDA and maintain a rising dividend policy—a notable achievement amid Europe’s real estate slowdown.
Both companies are transitioning toward infrastructure, digitalization, and ESG solutions, diversifying away from traditional real estate exposure.
Technical Analysis: What Do the Charts Say?
Blackstone (BX) is currently trading near $152, having rebounded from May lows (~$115). The stock displays a sideways-upward structure, with key support at $133.25 and resistance around $157.95. The current range sits between $133.25 and $152. RSI is in overbought territory at 68.17%, with a positive bias if volume breaks above the current resistance. The point of control is around the consolidation zone at $140.49. The 50-day moving average has crossed above the 100-day average; the 200-day cross is still pending to confirm a sustained uptrend.
Patrizia SE (PAT.DE) is trading around €8.26 in early hours, rebounding technically from yearly lows around €6.15. Its current range fluctuates between €6.85 and the €9.20 highs. It recently broke short-term resistance at €7.80, now a key support. RSI shows slight overbought at 54.23%. The point of control lies near €7.82, and the moving averages are forming a bullish golden cross, suggesting short-term consolidation before a potential push toward €9.20 or even €9.40.
Which Is the Stronger Bet for 2025?
Blackstone, with global exposure, financial strength, and the ability to capture structural trends (AI, infrastructure, tech REITs), represents a more aggressive sector outlook. Patrizia, on the other hand, offers a more defensive, Europe-focused opportunity—ideal for investors seeking stable yield and real assets with minimal leverage.
Both are valid plays, but investor risk profile is key: BX moves with the market cycle, while PAT may offer shelter amid volatility.
Madrid, Valencia, and Málaga Step In
As Catalonia loses its appeal for residential investment, Madrid has emerged as the new capital magnet, quadrupling Barcelona’s investment levels since 2023. Valencia and Málaga are also gaining ground on institutional radar, offering more stable legal environments for portfolio development. Rental regulation in Catalonia has further strained an already fragile market. With major funds like Blackstone, Azora, and Patrizia pulling out—and pressure mounting on supply—the Catalan model faces a critical crossroads between tenant protection and investment sustainability.
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
EUR/USD – Weak Expectations, Neutral German CPI📉 EUR/USD – Weak Expectations, Neutral German CPI, and Bearish Momentum Ahead
Bias: Short / Sell Setup
EUR/USD recently surged toward the 1.0750 zone sooner than expected, driven more by market optimism and speculative flows than solid fundamentals.
Now, that optimism is starting to fade as data fails to back it up.
Meanwhile, the potential U.S. tax reform proposal (Trump) and signs of renewed trade negotiations are helping shift sentiment back toward the U.S. dollar in the coming 10 days.
---
🇩🇪 German CPI – Neutral Print, But Bearish Implications
Today's regional inflation figures across German states were mixed:
States like Saxony and Baden-Württemberg showed slightly rising prices
Others like Bavaria and North Rhine-Westphalia showed declining YoY inflation
Final national CPI due later today is unlikely to beat expectations meaningfully
🎯 Summary: A Neutral CPI Print
No upside surprise → No support for EUR
No major downside → No panic either
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🧠 Why "Neutral" Data Can Still Be Bearish for EUR
The market was hoping for a strong CPI to signal that ECB may pause rate cuts
Neutral inflation = ECB may still lean dovish
EUR rose on hope — but data offered no confirmation
In financial markets, failed expectations often trigger stronger corrections than bad news.
---
🔍 Technical Overview:
Price approaching strong supply zone near 1.0740 – 1.0760
RSI showing divergence on lower timeframes (H1)
Structure on M15 suggests potential for lower highs
Price stalling under resistance, with no bullish momentum follow-through
---
🎯 Trade Plan:
Bias: Short
Entry Zone: 1.0730 – 1.0755
Stop Loss: Above 1.0775
Take Profit 1: 1.0630
Take Profit 2: 1.0600
Trigger: Break of M15 bearish structure or supply reaction
---
📌 Markets punish over-optimism more than fear.
EUR/USD may correct lower as hopes of a strong CPI fade and macro flows tilt toward the USD.
GOLD +2500 pips setup — Trendline Holds , Fed Pressure Builds !📊 GOLD XAU/USD Daily Analysis
✅ Technical View:
Gold continues to respect a strong bullish trendline, holding above key demand zones (3220 – 3290).
A solid retest of the trendline and the blue demand area supports the bullish continuation.
Upside targets are:
3385 (first target)
3433 – 3500 (next resistances)
3553 (extended target if momentum holds).
✅ Fundamental Insight:
Ongoing market pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates is boosting gold’s safe-haven appeal.
Lower US yields and increased uncertainty strengthen the bullish bias for gold in the mid-term.
🎯 Key Levels:
✅ Supports: 3220 – 3290 (main) | 2785 (long-term)
✅ Resistances: 3385 – 3433 – 3500 – 3553
📢 If you like strong, clear setups:
Don’t forget to Like 👍 – Comment 💬 – Share 📤 – and Follow 🔔 me here on TradingView for more powerful ideas every week!
Parcl - PRCL-USD - 30 Million Market Cap (100x Potential)www.tradingview.com
CHATGPT Research Summary:
Parcl: Unlocking Real Estate Exposure on the Blockchain
Introduction:Parcl is a groundbreaking decentralized platform that enables traders and investors to speculate on real estate market price movements much like they trade crypto or equities. By combining real-time housing data with blockchain technology, Parcl offers around-the-clock, borderless, and highly liquid exposure to global residential real estate markets. In this comprehensive blog post, we’ll explore what Parcl is, how it works, what it means to own the EGX:PRCL token, the unique opportunities it provides for investors (including AI-driven strategies), its core strengths, and the risks and challenges it faces. The tone is professional, investment-focused, and designed for the TradingView audience.
What is Parcl and How Does It Work?
Parcl allows users to trade real estate price indices for global cities without ever owning or transacting physical property. Each index represents the aggregated median price per square foot/meter for residential properties in a specific city. Users can go long or short on these indices using perpetual contracts with up to 10x leverage, entirely on-chain and settled in USDC.
Built on Solana, Parcl leverages the blockchain's high speed and low fees to offer a seamless and cost-efficient trading experience. Users only need a Solana-compatible wallet (e.g., Phantom) to deposit USDC, select a city index, and place a trade. There are no barriers such as down payments, brokers, or escrow delays — just rapid, decentralized access to global housing markets.
Data integrity is ensured through Parcl Labs, which aggregates millions of housing data points daily to generate real-time city indices. These feeds are streamed on-chain via oracles like Pyth Network, ensuring transparency and reliability.
What Does It Mean to Own EGX:PRCL ?
The EGX:PRCL token is the governance and utility token of the Parcl ecosystem. Holders of PRCL can:
Participate in protocol governance by voting on changes to platform parameters, fee structures, and market expansions.
Access premium real estate data and analytics through Parcl Labs.
Receive airdrops, rewards, or staking incentives as part of community growth and loyalty initiatives.
While PRCL doesn’t currently offer revenue sharing, it grants holders influence over protocol decisions and potential future economic alignment as the ecosystem matures.
A New Asset Class for Investors and AI Agents
Parcl opens up a completely new asset class: blockchain-native, synthetic real estate exposure. This has major implications:
For retail investors, it democratizes access to real estate, which was previously limited by geography, capital requirements, and illiquidity.
For sophisticated traders, it enables granular bets (e.g., short New York, long Miami) and high-frequency strategies previously impossible in traditional real estate.
For AI agents and algorithmic investors, Parcl provides composable, on-chain access to a diversified asset class that can be rebalanced and traded programmatically.
In short, Parcl makes real estate a liquid, programmable, and globally accessible financial primitive.
Core Strengths: Why Parcl Stands Out
Solana-native speed & cost-efficiency: Enables fast execution and micro-investments ($1+), ideal for retail users and automated agents.
Unique data infrastructure: Parcl Labs’ real-time indices provide unparalleled accuracy and granularity.
Sophisticated perpetual AMM model: Handles liquidity and market balancing with dynamic funding rates and cross-margining.
Growing community and product-market fit: With 80,000+ users and over $1.3B in cumulative volume, Parcl is becoming the most liquid real estate trading venue in the world.
Risks and Threats to Consider
Regulatory uncertainty: Synthetic real estate products may eventually face classification as securities or derivatives in some jurisdictions.
Liquidity dependencies: The AMM model depends on sufficient USDC liquidity pools; low liquidity could cause slippage or insolvency risk.
Smart contract vulnerabilities: As with all DeFi platforms, there is non-zero risk of exploits or oracle manipulation.
Platform dependency: Parcl is tightly coupled to Solana — if the chain experiences downtime or congestion, the protocol may be impacted.
Investors should also be aware of token unlocks and potential dilution from early backers and treasury allocations.
Future Outlook and 100x Potential
With a current market cap near $30 million, Parcl represents a high-upside, early-stage bet on tokenized real estate. If the project gains traction and achieves broader adoption, it’s feasible to imagine a future market cap of $2.5 to $3 billion, representing a 100x potential from current levels.
Factors that could drive this include:
Expansion to more global cities
Increased PRCL utility and staking incentives
Growing demand for real-world assets (RWAs) on-chain
Enhanced support for automated and AI-driven strategies
Final Thoughts
Parcl is redefining what it means to invest in real estate. By transforming local, illiquid property markets into a global, composable, and liquid asset class, Parcl enables both human and AI investors to access and trade the housing market like never before.
Whether you’re a trader looking for uncorrelated exposure, a long-term investor seeking innovation, or a technologist building AI agents — Parcl offers a compelling opportunity.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and make investment decisions based on your individual risk profile.
Gold on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on gold, the price recently swept liquidity around $3,250 and displayed strong signals indicating a potential upward movement. The next target could be around $3,400."
If you need further clarification or have more details to discuss, feel free to share!
CTSI About to Detonate? Yello Paradisers! Are you ready before CTSI makes its next explosive move? Because this setup is flashing signals that most traders will only realize when it's already too late.
💎#CTSI/USDT has been trading within a clearly defined descending channel, consistently respecting both the resistance and support trendlines. What's important now is how the price has reacted after dipping into the lower boundary. After breaking slightly below the descending support, the price immediately rebounded from the key horizontal support area at $0.0552 a region that has repeatedly proven its strength over the last few weeks.
💎This recent price action confirms strong buyer interest at the current levels, and as long as the $0.0550–$0.0570 zone holds, #CTSI remains in a potential accumulation phase. The reaction here suggests that smart money might be stepping in early, preparing for a breakout move that could take retail traders by surprise.
💎If momentum begins to build and the structure breaks above the descending resistance line, the first technical obstacle will be around $0.0700 a moderate resistance that has capped price action before. A sustained move through this level would confirm the breakout, with the next key target sitting at the strong resistance zone near $0.0850. This would represent a solid bullish extension for those positioned early inside the channel.
💎However, the invalidation point is also very clear. A breakdown below the $0.0500 region, where the final demand sits, would invalidate the bullish setup and open the door to deeper downside. For now, though, the structure is favoring a potential reversal, and the market is giving us a clean range to work with.
Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Is MSTR overvalued?Pros of Investing in MSTR
Massive Bitcoin Reserves
-Owns ~582,000 BTC (~2–3% of total supply), making it a levered proxy to Bitcoin. Any BTC rally strongly benefits MSTR.
Aggressive Treasury Strategy
-The company continuously issues equity, preferreds, and convertible bonds to buy more Bitcoin. This "flywheel" can compound Bitcoin exposure rapidly.
Strong Momentum & Index Inclusion
-Added to Nasdaq‑100, which boosts trading volumes and visibility. Momentum is supported by Bitcoin's surge.
High Analyst Targets
-Some bullish forecasts set ambitious targets—median around ~$550, with upside to $1,000+ if Bitcoin soars.
Cons & Risks
Extreme Volatility Tied to Bitcoin
-MSTR isn’t a business stock—it’s highly leveraged to Bitcoin’s price moves, showing wild price swings.
Leverage & Debt Repayment Risk
-Reliance on convertible bonds and preferred stock introduces liquidity risk if BTC price falls, potentially triggering a “death spiral”.
Accounting & Tax Exposure
-New FASB rules may force MSTR to pay corporate alternative minimum tax on unrealized gains, potentially running into billions by 2026.
Minimal Software Business
-MSTR’s original BI software arm is now overshadowed by Bitcoin holdings. The market values it mainly as a crypto vehicle—not a tech company.
High Valuation Premium
-Market cap is ~2× its BTC holdings, a steep premium relying on perpetual BTC appreciation and investor sentiment.
-Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
US 10Y TREASURY: jobs data aheadThe Fed's favorite inflation gauge was posted during the previous week, which impacted some higher volatility in the U.S. Treasury yields. The Personal Consumption Expenditure index ended May by 0,1% higher from the previous month, bringing the index to the level of 2,3% on a yearly basis. The core PCE remained a bit elevated with 0,2% in May and 2,7% for the year. Still, both figures were in line with market expectations, which was the main reason for 10Y U.S. Treasury benchmark yields drop to the level of 4,25% at the end of the week, from 4,40% where the week started.
A drop in inflation figures are increasing market expectations that the Fed might cut interest rates in September. However, a week ahead might bring again some higher volatility in the U.S. Treasury yields as the major jobs data will be posted. For the week ahead the JOLTs Job Openings, the Non-farm Payrolls and the June unemployment will be posted. Considering Fed's dual mandate, bonds market participants will be closely watching these data.
Gold: eased on tariffs dealAs geopolitical and economic tensions are slowly settling down, the price of gold eased its road toward the higher grounds. During the previous week, gold was traded with a bearish sentiment, dropping from the level of $3.395 down to $3.262. The main causes behind the drop in the price of gold are related to decreased tensions in the Middle East, as well as, settlement of the trade tariffs deal between the U.S. and China. Although the details of this deal was not disclosed publicly, still, the market reacted positively to the news. Investors moved funds from safe-haven assets toward the equity and the crypto market, as riskier ones in a quest for higher returns.
The RSI took the down path, ending the week at the level of 41. The indicator is currently clearly on the road toward the oversold market side. The price of gold breached the MA50 line during the previous week, which was acting like a support line for the price of gold during the previous period. The MA200 continued with an uptrend, following the MA 50 line. There is a high distance between two lines, so the potential cross is still not in the store for the price of gold.
Charts are pointing that the gold is on the easing road currently, with a potential for further correction in the coming period. The RSI is indicating that the oversold market side might be reached in the coming period, which means that the price could further ease. The bottom of the current correction might be $3.180, which was the highest level in mid April this year. Still, some short reversals are quite expected on this road, in which sense, Monday might start with a short attempt for higher grounds. In this sense, the $3,3K level might be tested.
SPX: new ATH, despite allEconomy, geopolitics, trade tariffs, inflation, Fed moves. It seems that the market got tired of all news during the previous period, and decided to take the optimistic side, despite all. The S&P 500 reached a fresh, new all-time highest level on Friday's trading session, at 6.185. With the latest move, the S&P 500 managed to erase all losses from April this year, when the index tumbled around 20% after the implementation of trade tariffs.
The weekly trade tariffs news brought a termination of talks between the U.S. and Canada. However, what moved the market the most was the news that the US Administration settled a deal on trade tariffs with China. Although details of the deal were not publicly disclosed, still the market reacted very optimistic about it.
At the same time, the latest macro figures for the US are showing that the tariffs are slowly starting to reflect in the U.S. economy. The Fed's favorite inflation gauge, the PCE index increased by 0,1% in May, which was expected. However, the Personal Income and Personal Spending in May missed heavily market estimates. The Personal Income dropped by -0,4% for the month, while Personal Spending dropped by -0,1%. Analysts are pointing that these figures are showing that the US consumers are spending less due to increased prices of goods, after implementation of tariffs. At the same time, there was a slowdown in the U.S. GDP growth rate, final for Q1 was negative for the quarter, at the level of -0,5%.
Tech companies continued to be in the focus of investors' interest. APPL closed the week at $210,08, with a modest weekly gain of 0,24%. MSFT gained 3,87% for the week, closing it at $495,94. Market favourite NVDA surged by 9,74% within a week, closing at $157,75. AMZN also had a good week with a surge of 6,33%. Despite higher volatility, TSLA ended the week at 0,33% higher, underperforming other tech companies included in the index.
EURUSD: focus on jobs dataThe major macro data for this week, the PCE indicator, was posted on Friday. The Personal Consumption Expenditure index, Feds favorite inflation gauge, increased by 0,1% in May, bringing the index to the level of 2,3% on a yearly basis. Both figures were in line with market expectations. The core PCE was a bit higher than anticipated, at the level of 0,2% for the month and 2,7% for the year. A bit surprising figures came from Personal Income in May, which dropped by -0,4%, while the Personal Spending was down by -0,1% in May. Analysts are noting that implemented trade tariffs are slowly beginning to reflect in the personal spending of the US citizens. Also, this sort of potential development was noted by the Fed during the last two FOMC meetings.
The rest of posted macro data for the US included the Existing Home Sales in May reached 4,03M, which was an increase of 0,8% on a monthly basis. This was significantly above the market estimate of -1,3%. The Durable Goods Orders in May were higher by 16,4%, surpassing the market estimate of 8,5%. The GDP Growth Rate final for Q1was standing in a negative territory of -0,5% for the quarter, and was higher from market expectation of -0,2%. The end of the week brought University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment figures final for June, which was standing at 60,7 and was in line with estimates. The Inflation Expectations were a bit higher from the previous estimate, ending the June with expected 5% inflation, while the market was expecting to see 5,1%.
The HCOB Manufacturing PMI flash for June in Germany was standing at the level of 49, while the same index for the Euro Zone reached 49,4. Both indicators were in line with market expectations. The Ifo Business Climate in Germany in June reached 88,4, in line with market estimates. The GfK Consumer Confidence in July was at the level of -20,3, a bit higher from estimated -19,3.
The eurusd was traded with a bullish sentiment during the previous week. The currency pair started the week around the level of 1,1460 and continued toward the upside for the rest of the week. The highest weekly level at 1,1741 was reached in Friday's trading session. The RSI reached the clear overbought market side as of the end of the week, at the level of 71. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication that the potential cross is near.
The market favored the euro during the last two weeks. It comes as a result of insecurity when it comes to potential negative impact of implemented trade tariffs, which are slowly revealing in the US economy. The week ahead brings more jobs data, including JOLTs, NFP and unemployment rate, which will shape the investors sentiment. Some increased volatility might be ahead. The resistance level at 1,17 has been clearly tested during the previous week, and it will mark the beginning of the week ahead. The RSI is pointing to a higher probability of a short term reversal in the coming period, which might occur in the week ahead, impacted, most probably, by jobs data. In case of a reversal, the level of 1,1620 might easily be the next target. On the opposite side, there is a lower probability of a further move above the 1,17 level, however, the market might spend some time here, before a decision to make further move.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Retail Sales in May in Germany, Inflation Rate preliminary in June for both Germany and the Euro Zone, Unemployment Rate in June in Germany,
USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI in June, JOLTs Job Openings in May, Non-farm Payrolls in June, Unemployment rate in June, Average Hourly Earnings and Spending, ISM Services PMI in June
Bitcoin: a decision week Previous week brought some relief among market participants, when it was announced that the U.S. Administration and China completed the deal regarding trade tariffs. Details of this deal have not been publicly disclosed, however, the markets reacted positively to it. The U.S. equity market gained significantly, while the crypto market managed to hold higher grounds. BTC started the week with a break of $105K toward the upside, testing the resistance at $108K. The majority of trades occurred between $106K and $107K.
The RSI continued to move above the 50 level, indicating that the market is still not ready to seek the oversold market side. The indicator is ending the week at the 56, bringing some probability for the overbought market side in the coming period. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication that the cross might come anytime soon.
Charts are showing that the BTC is currently on the cross road. There are equal probabilities that the coin might be traded toward both sides in the week ahead. On one hand, trades from the last week showed enough buying orders, which were holding the coin at the higher grounds, continuously seeking the break of the $108K level. However, if this market strength does not manage to support the BTC in the week ahead, then the reversal will be inevitable. In this case, the $105K will be the first stop.
MARKETS week ahead: June 30 – July 7 Last week in the news
The news regarding a deal settlement on trade tariffs between the U.S. and China, brought some relief on financial markets during the previous week. The most significant weekly gainer was the US equity market, where the S&P 500 reached a fresh, new all time highest level at 6.185. On the same grounds, the price of gold turned into a correction, with a weekly drop of 2%, reaching the level of $3.273. A further easing of inflation in the U.S. impacted 10Y Treasury yields to ease down to the level of 4,27%. The crypto market managed to sustain upper grounds during the week, with BTC holding above the $107K.
The information which occupied the market's attention during the previous week, was that the US Administration and China managed to settle a trade tariffs deal. Although the details of a deal have not been publicly disclosed, still, the market reacted in a positive manner, bringing the US equity market to higher grounds. The posted macro data showed further ease in the US inflation. Fed's favourite inflation gauge, the PCE index reached 0,1% in May, bringing it to the level of 2,3% on a yearly basis. The core PCE remains elevated, with 0,2% in May and 2,7% for the year. Still, all figures were in the line with market expectations, increasing odds that the Fed might cut interest rates in September.
Weekly tariffs news include the discontinuation of trade negotiations with Canada. As the U.S. President posted on social media, the termination of negotiation is immediate, and the US will decide on the level of tariffs within the next five days. Such a decision came after Canada decided to impose a digital services tax on US tech companies.
CNBC is reporting that Coinbase is the best performing stock in June, with a surge of 43% only during this month. As the reason for such a strong price movement analysts are noting several combined reasons, like its inclusion into S&P 500 index, the GENIUS Act which was passed in the Senate and a strong performance of Circle.
Fed Chair Powell was for one more time a topic of the US President answering the journalists questions. The US President commented that he will put as the head of the Fed anyone who will support the rate cuts. He also noted that there are several candidates for this place, not explicitly mentioning names.
There has been a discussion among analysts whether stablecoins represent a threat to payment card business, concretely to Visa and Mastercard. The one alternative for these companies to sustain the market game is to issue their own stable coins which could function on a prepaid basis. However, a few services which are currently not provided by stablecoins, like buy now - pay later are still advantageous to card issuers.
CRYPTO MARKET
It was a week of ups and downs on the crypto market, however, the week ended in a positive territory. The US-China deal on trade tariffs brought some relaxation among investors, which was also reflected in a crypto market. Total crypto market capitalization gained 4% during the week, where major crypto coins are participating with 70% in total funds inflow of $130B. Daily trading volumes were slightly decreased to the level of $146B on a daily basis from $187B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization from the beginning of this year currently stands at 1%, with a total funds inflow of $26B.
The major coins on the market were the ones which mostly supported an increase in a weekly capitalization of the crypto market. BTC managed to add $87B to its market cap, increasing it by more than 4% on a weekly basis. Second place took Solana this week, with an inflow of $7,2B, where its market cap surged by almost 10%. XRP had a strong funds inflow of $5,8B, or 4,7%, while ETH collected $5B which was an increase of 1,8% for this coin. BNB was moving within a modest territory, with a weekly surge of 2% adding almost $2B to its market cap.
It was an active week also when it comes to coins in circulation. This week both Solana and Polkadot had an increase of the number of coins on the market of 0,6%. At the same time IOTA increased its number of coins by 0,8%. Although it is a stablecoin, it is worth mentioning that Tether is continuously increasing the number of its coins, which surged by 1% last week. This could be treated as an indicator of increasing popularity of stablecoins during the recent period.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market ended the week in alignment with the spot market developments. BTC futures were closed above 3% higher from the end of the previous week. Futures maturing in December this year were closed at $110.680, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $117.270. On a positive side is that the long term futures are slowly nearing the historically highest level of $124K reached in January this year.
ETH futures were traded relatively flat compared to the week before. Futures maturing in December 2025 closed the week at $2.514, and those maturing in December 2026 achieved the last price at $2.703.