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Fundamental Analysis

Is the USD strength back or just a pullback??All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
Short
by Simply-Forex
$SUI has nearly completed its correction — get ready!🚀 CRYPTOCAP:SUI has nearly completed its correction — get ready for a potential breakout in 4 weeks! After an explosive push upward, a massive bearish divergence has formed — but the next leg could be just around the corner. 📊 Key signals: MACD (1W) is about to flip bullish — a crossover expected in ~4 weeks. RSI is near its previous bottom, signaling potential for a rebound. Volume is matching levels seen during the last major rally. 📅 All signs point to May 19, 2025. This could be the turning point. CRYPTOCAP:SUI is in my buy zone at the moment (the green rectangle). I project a new all time high. 📌 Stay sharp. Be prepared. 🧠 DYOR (Do Your Own Research) #SUI #Altcoins #CryptoSignals #MACD #RSI #CryptoUpdate #May2025 #SUIUSDT #BullishSetup #DYOR
Long
by CryptoNikkoid
Altseason? Not yet — but the real move is coming... soon.As shown in the chart, the weekly MACD reset isn’t complete yet. A similar setup happened in September 2024 — we got a fake pump that fooled many, while the real breakout started in December 2024. 🔍 Why does this happen? Impatient whales — often close to the “crypto president” — start buying early. Using influencers and media hype, they push the "New ATH" narrative and lure in retail. But this early FOMO creates a massive bearish divergence — the RSI hasn’t reset yet, and the market isn't ready. 📉 The result? A painful 6-month correction that punishes impatience. The market always reverts to math — and math doesn’t lie. You can’t fake momentum forever — no matter how much money you throw at it. 💡 My forecast remains unchanged: Once the MACD weekly crossover happens, the real pump begins — no ETF, no Saylor needed. The market moves on its own, as it always has. 📊 Check the chart. Read the signals. Trust the data. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #CryptoWhales #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishDivergence #Altseason #DYOR
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by CryptoNikkoid
2
Haven play: Long yen back in focusAmid growing uncertainty surrounding U.S. equities and the US dollar, investors could be returning to a traditional defensive strategy: going long on the Japanese yen. While some analysts believe the recent yen rally is not yet overstretched, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has noted that Japan’s central bank is likely to push back the timing of further interest rate hikes, a factor that could limit the yen's potential to strengthen further. As such, we are looking at the support level of 140.00 and the bearish-yen sentiment seen today, and the potential resistance at 144.80. Up next: a scheduled meeting between Japan’s Finance Minister Kato and U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent later this week.
by BlackBull_Markets
The Graveyard Of Hope!The Graveyard of Hope is littered with "Buy The Dippers." How many times can "Buy The Dippers" lick the stove before they finally learn their lesson not to believe anything Trumpchenko says? The Elona MAGA algorithm goes like this Over promise Under deliver Lie Declare victory Leave or Victim Blame Meanwhile, the economy falls into an economic recession/depression abyss! I am A political. I call it as I see it. My religion is Economics, Charts, and money. They don't lie! Click Boost, follow, and subscribe. Let's get to 5,000 followers so I can help more people navigate these crazy markets. Don't smoke the hopium crackpipe. It will financially ruin you.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by RealMacro
4
Boeing (BA, 1W) Falling Wedge + H-Projection TargetOn the weekly chart, Boeing has formed a classic falling wedge — a bullish reversal pattern that typically signals the end of a correction phase. After a sharp decline from $267.97 to $138, price action began to compress within a wedge, forming lower highs and higher lows on declining volume — a textbook setup for a breakout. The structure remains active: a confirmed breakout above the upper wedge boundary, with a retest near $181.60 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement), would validate the pattern and trigger the next upward phase. The projected move (H) equals the height of the previous impulse — $130.02. Adding this to the base of the wedge (~$138) yields a technical target of $268.00, aligning with the previous high and completing the structural recovery. Technical summary: – Multiple confirmations of wedge support – Volume declining into the apex (bullish) – Entry zone: breakout + retest at $181.60 – Mid-level resistance: $198.09 (0.5 Fibo) – Final target: $267.97–$268.00 (H-projection complete) Fundamentals: Despite operational setbacks, Boeing remains structurally positioned for recovery as demand for commercial aircraft rebounds. Additional support could come from improving supply chains, increased defense contracts, and a more dovish outlook from the Federal Reserve heading into 2025. A breakout above $181.60 and sustained momentum would confirm the falling wedge pattern and activate the H-measured move toward $268. This is a structurally and fundamentally supported mid-term recovery setup
NYSE:BALong
by TotoshkaTrades
Gold Drops $200 in Hours – Panic or Opportunity? 📌 Gold Plunges $200 – Volatility Surges Amid Fed Signals and Market Panic 🔥📉 📰 What Just Happened? Yesterday, gold (XAU/USD) experienced one of its sharpest intraday drops in recent months, tumbling from the all-time high around $3,500 to as low as $3,318, losing nearly $200 in just a few hours. This marked a significant correction following an extended bullish trend. 🔍 Key Drivers Behind the Crash Fed-related commentary spurred aggressive profit-taking across the market. The USD staged a technical rebound, exerting downward pressure on gold. Rapid sentiment shifts triggered panic selling and liquidation flows. 🧭 What’s Next for Gold? The $3,300–3,320 zone is now a crucial support — if this level holds, a technical recovery could unfold. However, a break below $3,300 may expose gold to deeper downside targets near $3,250. ⚠️ Strategic Considerations This is a high-volatility environment — flexibility and strict risk management are key. Current sentiment is fragile. Unpredictable political headlines and mixed Fed signals are adding to the uncertainty. In the latest development, Trump clarified he has no intention to fire the Fed Chair and hinted that China’s tariffs could be eased slightly — but not eliminated. These mixed messages continue to create sharp swings in price. 📊 Trade Plan 🔻 SELL ZONE #1: Entry: 3,378 – 3,380 Stop Loss: 3,384 Take Profits: 3,374 → 3,370 → 3,366 → 3,362 → 3,358 → 3,350 🔻 SELL ZONE #2: Entry: 3,408 – 3,410 Stop Loss: 3,414 Take Profits: 3,404 → 3,400 → 3,396 → 3,392 → 3,386 → 3,380 🟢 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3,292 – 3,290 Stop Loss: 3,286 Take Profits: 3,296 → 3,300 → 3,304 → 3,308 → 3,312 → 3,316 → 3,320 The priority remains to sell into rallies near resistance while the downtrend unfolds. All trades should be protected with tight stop-losses, given the current unpredictability. 🧠 Key Takeaways This is not a market for guessing — wait for price confirmation at key zones. Focus on reaction zones, not forecasts. Stay light, stay nimble, and manage risk carefully — news-driven volatility is at its peak. 💬 How are you positioning in this volatile gold market? Waiting for the bounce or selling the rallies? Let us know below! 👇👇👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
6
GBPJPY BEARISH REVERSAL SIGNAL ANALYSIS | CHECK THE CAPTIONGBP/JPY TRADE SIGNAL ANALYSIS BIAS: BEARISH TIMEFRAME: 1H Entry Zone: Around 189.65 - 189.75 Current Price: 189.65 Stop Loss: 190.14 (above resistance zone) Take Profit Targets: • Target 1: 189.27 • Target 2: 188.90 • Target 3: 188.10 Analysis: Price is currently rejected a resistance zone after a bullish push. The setup suggests a possible rbearish reversal from this area, with three clear bearish targets identified on the chart. A bearish structure is anticipated with potential pullbacks before further drops. Good for short and intraday trading. NOTE: Do proper risk management and trade at your risk.
Short
by AlexParker_trader
Is Meta The Most Undervalued Stock In The Magnificent 7?In a recent post on key investment trends for the next decade, we highlighted the addictiveness and pervasiveness of social media as a critical long-term shift. Today, we're buying Meta Platforms NASDAQ:META which we believe represents an exceptional investment opportunity. The Financials META's recent financial performance has been stellar. The company has maintained 20%+ year-over-year revenue growth for most of the last two years – impressive for a business generating nearly $50 billion quarterly. Even more compelling is bottom-line growth, with net income increasing approximately 50% year-over-year. This growth is underpinned by META's robust margin profile, which has strengthened considerably since 2022. We attribute this performance to the company's powerful network effects across Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger – platforms that effectively capture user attention and provide advertisers with compelling ROI. The Valuation What makes META particularly attractive right NOW is the valuation. We consider it the most competitively priced among the Magnificent 7 stocks. With the exception of Google, META offers the most favorable metrics on P/E, EV/EBITDA, and P/S ratios. When factoring in growth expectations, META's PEG ratio actually comes in below Google's. Historically, META is trading at or below its long-term average multiples – with its P/E ratio currently in the lower standard deviation band. Overall, we believe META's combination of robust growth, significant margins, and attractive multiple make it the most undervalued Magnificent 7 stock. In a choppy market, we rate the stock a "Strong Buy".
NASDAQ:META
by PropNotes
17
3 Reasons We've Been Buying Up Shares Of e.l.f. BeautyAs generalist investors, we go where the opportunities are. While we've typically avoided fashion and beauty stocks due to constantly changing consumer trends, e.l.f. Beauty NYSE:ELF has recently captured our attention and investment dollars. Three Key Reasons We're Buying: 1. Impressive Growth We've been impressed by ELF's revenue expansion from $266 million in 2020 to over $1.3 billion today. Their 23 consecutive quarters of increasing sales and market share demonstrates the kind of product-market fit we look for, and with 5.6 million loyalty program members and a widely-downloaded app, their digital strategy is clearly working. We're particularly encouraged by their omnichannel success, achieving #1 status at Target and climbing to #2 at Walmart. 2. Strong Margins We place high value on ELF's 71%+ gross margins, which have steadily improved since 2022. This margin expansion signals operational efficiency and scale benefits we love to see. Their gross profits have more than tripled to $925 million in just three years – no mean feat in a highly competitive environment. 3. Attractive Valuation Finally, after the recent selloff, we believe ELF offers compelling value. At 26x forward P/E for a company with 40%+ YoY growth and robust margins, we see this as an attractive entry point despite near-term headwinds. Risks we're monitoring include potential sales deceleration, shifting consumer preferences, recent bottom-line concerns, and their reliance on social media platforms for marketing momentum. Tariffs could also impact things, although we'll see how those shake out. Overall, ELF's combination of growth, margins, and the current valuation presents an opportunity too good to pass up. We're buyers at these levels.
NYSE:ELFLong
by PropNotes
2
Canadian Dollar vs. US Dollar. The Spring Is Compressing.In previous posts, we have already begun to look at the key drivers of the US outperformance over the past decade. The US market dominance has been largely driven by the rapid rise of tech giants (such as Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet), which have benefited from strong profit growth, global market reach and significant investor inflows. Unsatisfactory International Performance Markets outside the US have faced headwinds including multiple stifling sanctions and tariffs, slowing economic growth, political uncertainty (especially in Europe), a stronger US dollar and the declining influence of high-growth tech sectors. The Valuation Gap By 2025, US equities will be considered relatively expensive compared to their international peers, which may offer more attractive valuations in the future. Recent Shifts (2025 Trend) Since early 2025, international equities have begun to outperform the S&P 500, and European and Asian equities have regained investor interest. Global market currencies are also widely dominated by the US dollar. Factors include optimism around the following three big themes. DE-DOLLARIZATION. DE-AMERICANIZATION. DIVERSIFICATION. De-dollarization is the process by which countries reduce their reliance on the US dollar (USD) as the world's dominant reserve currency, medium of exchange, and unit of account in international trade and finance. This trend implies a shift away from the central role of the US dollar in global economic transactions to alternative currencies, assets, or financial systems. Historical context and significance of the US dollar The US dollar became the world's primary reserve currency after World War II, as enshrined in the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1944. This system pegged other currencies to the dollar, which was convertible into gold, making the dollar the backbone of international finance. The United States became the world's leading economic power, and the dollar replaced the British pound sterling as the dominant currency for global trade and reserves. The dollar has been the most widely held reserve currency for decades. As of the end of 2024, it still accounts for about 57% of global foreign exchange reserves, far more than the euro (20%) and the Japanese yen (6%). However, this share has fallen from over 70% in 2001, signaling a gradual shift and prompting discussions about de-dollarization. How De-Dollarization Works Countries looking to reduce their reliance on the dollar are pursuing several strategies: Diversifying reserves: Central banks are holding fewer U.S. dollars and increasing their holdings of other currencies, such as the euro, yen, British pound, or new alternatives such as the Chinese yuan. While the yuan's share remains small (about 2.2%), it has grown, especially among countries like Russia. Using alternative currencies in trade: Countries are entering into bilateral or regional agreements to conduct trade in their own currencies rather than using the dollar as an intermediary. For example, China has introduced yuan-denominated oil futures (the "petroyuan") to challenge the petrodollar system. Increasing gold reserves: Many countries, including China, Russia and India, have significantly increased their purchases of gold as a safer reserve asset, reducing their dollar holdings. Developing alternative financial systems: Some countries and blocs, such as BRICS, are working to develop alternatives to the US-dominated SWIFT payment system to avoid the risk of sanctions and gain true economic and political independence. Reasons for de-dollarization The move towards de-dollarization is driven by geopolitical and economic factors: Backlash against US economic hegemony: The US often uses dollar dominance to impose sanctions and exert political pressure, encouraging countries to seek financial sovereignty. Rise of new economic powers: Emerging economies like China and groups like the BRICS are seeking to reduce their vulnerability to U.S. influence and promote regional integration and alternative financial infrastructures. Geopolitical tensions: Conflicts like the war in Ukraine have intensified efforts by countries like Russia to remove the dollar from their reserves to avoid sanctions. Implications and outlook While the dollar remains dominant, a more de-dollarized world is already changing global economic power. The U.S. may lose some advantages, such as lower borrowing costs and geopolitical influence. For the U.S. economy, de-dollarization could lead to a weaker currency, higher interest rates, and reduced foreign investment, although some effects, such as inflation from a weaker dollar, could belimited . For other countries, de-dollarization could mean greater economic independence and less exposure to U.S. policy risks. However, no currency currently matches the dollar’s ​​liquidity, stability, and global recognition, so a full transition is unlikely in the near future . Summary De-dollarization is a complex, ongoing process that reflects a gradual shift away from the global dominance of the U.S. dollar. It involves diversifying reserves, using alternative currencies and assets, and creating new financial systems to reduce dependence on the dollar. Driven by geopolitical tensions and the rise of emerging economic powers, de-dollarization challenges the entrenched role of the dollar but is unlikely to completely replace it anytime soon. Instead, it is leading to a more multipolar monetary system in international finance, increasing demand for alternative investments to the U.S. Technical task The main technical chart is presented in a quarterly breakdown, reflecting the dynamics of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar FX_IDC:CADUSD in the long term. With the continued positive momentum of the relative strength indicator RSI(14), flat support near the level of 0.70 and a decreasing resistance level (descending top/ flat bottom) in case of a breakout represent the possibility of price growth to 0.80, with the prospect of parity in the currency pair and strengthening of the Canadian dollar to all-time highs, in the horizon of the next five years. -- Best wishes, Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
by PandorraResearch
EUR/USD Explosion or Trap?EUR Futures Asset Managers: Strongly net long and continuously increasing since December 2024 → a clear sign of institutional confidence in the euro. Leveraged Money: Also rising, moving from net short to net long → sentiment reversal even from speculators. ✅ Interpretation: Both institutional categories are bullish on the euro, suggesting potential upward support for EUR/USD. USD Index Futures Asset Managers: Decreasing since the end of February → reducing long exposure on the dollar. Leveraged Money: Recovering from net short, but still uncertain → mixed sentiment. ⚠️ Interpretation: The dollar is structurally weakening. This reinforces the bullish bias on EUR/USD. 🧠 Technical Analysis – EUR/USD Weekly Chart Current price: 1.13150, right in the middle of a weekly/monthly supply zone, marked by upper wicks → clear seller presence. Price has made a strong rally from 1.03600, breaking through all intermediate supply zones. RSI: Slightly declining after previously reaching overbought territory. 📌 Key levels: Major support: 1.1000–1.1080 Structural resistance: 1.1350–1.1450 (current zone) 🧠 Technical Scenario: If price holds above 1.1250, we could see an extension toward 1.1500. If it breaks below 1.1200, a pullback toward 1.1080–1.1000 is likely. ✅ Trade Summary: COT bias: Bullish EUR/USD → strong EUR, weakening USD Technical: Watch price behavior in the 1.1350 zone → if rejection continues, expect a technical retracement before potential continuation. 🎯 Potential Setups: Long on pullback toward 1.1080 Breakout long above 1.1450 → targeting 1.1600 Short-term short if bearish price action appears in the current zone
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
XAUUSD Market Update – April 23, 2025“Bulls Are Alive, But Not Rushing – Gold Builds in Discount Trenches 🏗️🟢” 🔍 Macro + Context HTF Bias: Still bullish. Daily candle shows strong rejection wick from below 3280 → bulls defending structure. LTF Flow: Bearish → Clean CHoCH + BOS chain (H1–M15) from 3455 ATH zone → currently building base. Current Price: ~3294 RSI: Starting to climb from oversold on M15–M30 → first hints of a potential shift. 📈 Confirmed Structural Updates 🔻 Sell Zones (Premium) Zone Range Type Confluences 🔴 3450–3455 ATH Supply HTF OB + 1.618 Fibo Liquidity + Rejection Block 🔴 3414–3422 NY Session OB Retest Zone M30 OB + Last Reaction High 🟠 3380–3395 Flip Zone H1–M30 Rejection Block EMA Lock + FVG + CHoCH 🟢 Buy Zones (Discount) Zone Range Type Confluences 🟢 3280–3288 LTF Demand Reentry Zone M5-M15 OB + Recent Wick Defense 💚 3220–3235 HTF Demand Stronger Demand Zone H4 OB + D1 EQ zone + Weekly Pivot 🔵 3170–3190 Extreme Discount Long-Term Zone Untapped FVG + D1 OB ⚙️ Current Price Action 📍Price rejected perfectly from the 3260s → defended with strong wick, now reclaiming M15 internal CHoCH. 🟣 M5 showing micro BOS + reclaim of 9EMA → potential for bullish continuation toward 3320–3333. ⚠️ Flip Zone at 3380–3395 remains a major short-term decision level. If price breaks above it, we’ll be in recovery mode toward 3415. 🎯 Session Outlook Buyers in control short-term if price holds above 3280. Next key reaction expected at 3320–3333 minor resistance → if broken, bulls might retest 3385+. Sellers may reengage hard at 3380–3395 or above (3422, 3455). 🧠 Smart Money Snapshot 🟢 Liquidity swept below 3280 = engineered low 🟠 Internal CHoCH on M5 confirmed → LTF bullish short-term 🔴 Next sell interest likely around 3385 or 3415 unless HTF flips bullish again XAUUSD – News & Risk Preview for April 24, 2025 Claims & Chaos?🧨📉📈 🔍 What’s Coming: 🧾 Unemployment Claims (USD) – 14:30 UTC+2 ➤ Expected spike in volatility. Watch for algo-driven whipsaws if numbers surprise (especially under 200k or above 250k). ➤ Low claims = strong USD = potential XAU drop. 🧠 Tactical Advice for Thursday: Avoid full-size entries→ spikes can violate structure briefly before returning. Focus on reaction-based trades: let price show direction after the event, then join. Best plan: pre-mark levels now, react later. 🗣️ Final Note This market update reflects structure-only precision, no emotional bias. If bulls want back in, 3280–3290 is the launchpad. If not, sellers are watching 3385+ like hawks. 🦅
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Upcoming Saia Earnings Announcement Draws Investor Attention Saia Inc. (NASDAQ:SAIA) is expected to release its first-quarter earnings soon, drawing investor attention amid recent downward revisions in analyst estimates. Wall Street forecasts earnings of $2.77 per share, marking an 18.1% decline from the same quarter last year. Revenue is projected to increase by 7.3% year-over-year to $810.08 million. Over the past month, consensus EPS estimates have been revised down by 7.6%, reflecting a shift in analyst sentiment. These estimate changes are often used as signals to predict short-term stock movement. Beyond the top and bottom lines, analysts have modeled key metrics to provide deeper insight into the company's performance. The operating ratio, a critical efficiency indicator in the transportation sector, is projected to rise to 87.6% from 84.4% a year earlier. A higher ratio suggests an increase in operating costs relative to revenue. Analysts also expect Saia’s Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) revenue per hundredweight to drop to $24.75 from last year’s $26.51, signaling potential pricing pressure. Saia stock has declined 14.4% over the past month, underperforming the S&P 500’s 8.9% drop. The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), suggesting performance in line with the broader market. Technical Analysis Saia’s share price has broken below a key support level at $360, continuing a bearish trend. The next support lies near $258. All major moving averages are above the current price and sloping downward—50-day at $447, 100-day at $458, and 200-day at $404—confirming the downward momentum.
NASDAQ:SAIAShort
by DEXWireNews
EUR/USD: To buy or not to buy(sorry Shakespeare)To be, or not to be, that is the question: Whether 'tis nobler in the mind to suffer The slings and arrows of outrageous fortune, Or to take arms against a sea of troubles Hello traders Straight from the Bart's mouth. Should we continue to duck and dive through this chaos and continue trading? Or will we drown in this sea of troubles? Well, I shorted EUR/USD last night at 1.1535 with an eye towards 1.1413 as a purely technical play after the tirade to fire Powell which we all know is so much baloney because he is just the mouthpiece of the FOMC, not the ultimate decision maker. The pop higher over the weekend was illiquid because of the Easter weekend. I closed my short at 1.1420 and was planning on shorting again at 1.1480 but the live on TV announcement that he has no intention to fire Powell upended that apple cart. I have initiated a short position at 1.1405 after the retracement from the 1.1308 low with an eye towards 1.1000 but who knows? He has now softened his stance on the Chinese tariffs but once again, don't hold your breath. The only certainty we can count on is that there will be continuous uncertainty. Gold has a shooting star on the 2D chart and DXY has a long tailed Doji on the downside. Long story short, keep swimming. We chose this career voluntarily and while we will never outsmart the market, we can definitely switch from free style swimming to back stroke to Esther Williams water ballet BUT don't just give up. Good luck all.
Short
by jvrfxalerts
1
Analysts Revise Alaska Air Group Forecasts Ahead of EarningsAlaska Air Group Inc. (NYSE:ALK) is scheduled to report its first-quarter earnings results after markets close on Wednesday, April 23. Analysts expect the airline to post a loss of $0.77 per share. This compares to a loss of $0.92 per share during the same period last year. Revenue is projected to come in at $3.16 billion, up from $2.23 billion a year earlier, according to Benzinga Pro. The company last reported earnings on January 22, posting better-than-expected results for both revenue and earnings per share. As anticipation builds for the upcoming earnings call, several top analysts have adjusted their outlooks. Barclays analyst Brandon Oglenski maintained an "Overweight" rating on April 8 but lowered the price target from $80 to $62. Susquehanna’s Christopher Stathoulopoulos, with a 74% accuracy rate, kept a "Positive" rating but cut the price target from $95 to $55 on April 7. UBS's Thomas Wadewitz downgraded the stock to "Neutral" from "Buy" and dropped the target from $75 to $54. On March 18, Citigroup analyst Stephen Trent reaffirmed a "Buy" rating and slightly trimmed the price target from $83 to $81. JP Morgan’s Jamie Baker raised the target from $85 to $89 while maintaining an "Overweight" rating on March 3. On Tuesday, Alaska Air shares rose 2.93% to close at $44.94. Technical Analysis The stock found support near the $44 level, forming a potential base. If this support holds, ALK may target the $50 range or higher. However, a break below support could push the price down toward $40. All major moving averages are trending lower. The 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages stand at $57, $61, and $51, respectively, signaling ongoing bearish momentum.
NYSE:ALKLong
by DEXWireNews