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Fundamental Analysis

USDMXN - Trump Sleeper Trade (100k+ Trade) With Trump projected to claim the White House after preliminary votes are in, all eyes turn to Mexico. Trump has been an outspoken opponent of the "Border Crisis" and the loss of jobs to nearshored workers. Trump has threatened Mexico with tariffs on both fronts and is projected to have the House and Senate's support when proposing ballots. Expect many Republican States to issue strong punitive measures AGAINST Mexico. I expect the Peso to weaken to historic lows during this presidency. Target is 32, but could be more or less. This is made BEFORE Trump has taken office or made any decisions, however, Mexican Peso will still weaken until clarity is provided on why it shouldn't. FOREXCOM:USDMXN Potential rate cut on 11/7, but this should be a minor event in comparison to the implications of a Trump Presidency.
Long
by dsmall
1
XAUUSD Trade LogTrade Setup (2/11/2024) - XAUUSD Long in Daily FVG 1. Setup: Enter a long position within the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), identifying it as a support zone for a potential bullish move. 2. Entry strategy: - Target: 1:4 RRR. - Risk: 1% of account. - Entry confirmation: Wait for the price to enter the daily FVG and show signs of bullish support, such as a reversal candlestick pattern or rejection wick. 3. Stop-loss and take-profit: - Place stop-loss below the lower boundary of the daily FVG to manage downside risk. - Set take-profit at five times the stop-loss distance to achieve a 1:4 RRR. 4. Additional considerations: - Be aware of any major economic data releases or geopolitical developments that could influence gold prices. - Confirm that price action within the FVG shows clear signs of bullish momentum to validate the entry.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fondera-Trading
USD/JPY Buyers Target Three-Month High as Yen WeakensTrump's familiar rhetoric on trade tariffs has led to renewed concern for Japanese exporters, particularly at a time when Japan's economic stability relies heavily on external support to maintain growth momentum. These concerns, coupled with increased risk aversion, have weakened the yen against the U.S. dollar. As a result, USD/JPY managed to erase losses from the previous week, signaling renewed strength for the dollar. Technical Analysis From a technical standpoint, USD/JPY has approached a critical level on the daily chart, with buyers testing the resistance at 153.875. This price level represents a key inflection point, as it marks the upper limit of the pair's rally that commenced on September 16. A decisive break above this resistance would open the door for further gains, targeting subsequent levels at 154.582, 155.481, 156.473, and eventually 157.180. On the other hand, a failure to break through the 153.875 resistance level would embolden sellers, putting the focus back on the support levels at 152.883 and 151.277. Key Events to Monitor The minutes of the Bank of Japan's latest meeting indicated that policymakers remain cautiously optimistic about Japan's economic recovery and see opportunities for future rate hikes. This news has already prompted a reaction in U.S. Treasury yields, with the focus now turning to the upcoming 30-year Treasury bond auction on Wednesday. The outcome of this auction, along with ongoing U.S. election developments, could significantly impact the direction of U.S. yields, thereby affecting USD/JPY price action.
Long
by Errante
XAUUSD - Stops Swept - Trump Win They are so crafty all this is rigged to get fuel to head higher. Larger stop the better. 1:1 perfect if u wana sleep at night. Looks like Trump Gona Win Simple Question to GTP "Oy what is likey hood Gold Bullish or Weaker after Trump Win." If Donald Trump were to win the election, several of his policies could potentially influence the price of gold. Here’s a breakdown of how those policies might impact gold’s direction: Economic Uncertainty: Trump's policies, especially regarding trade, taxes, and deregulation, often create volatility in the markets. Gold, seen as a safe-haven asset, tends to benefit from periods of economic uncertainty or market instability, which could push prices higher. Dollar Strength: Trump has previously advocated for a weaker dollar to boost U.S. exports. A weaker dollar generally supports gold prices, as it makes gold cheaper for international buyers. Inflation Expectations: Trump's focus on economic growth, including potential infrastructure spending, could lead to increased inflationary pressures. Higher inflation tends to increase demand for gold as a hedge. Interest Rate Impact: If Trump's policies lead to economic growth without aggressive rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, gold could benefit. Low interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. In summary, if Trump’s policies focus on economic growth with lower interest rates and a weaker dollar, it would likely support a bullish outlook for gold. However, any shift in policies or unexpected geopolitical developments could change the scenario. Inflation never stops.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NZ_Shareman
XAGUSD Trade Log Trade Setup (2/11/2024) - XAGUSD Long in Daily FVG 1. Setup: Enter a long position at the market open within the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), as price is currently deep within this potential support zone. 2. Entry strategy: - Target: 1:2 RRR. - Risk: 1% of account. - Entry confirmation: If already in the FVG, look for price stability or reversal signals (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns or rejection wicks) to confirm the entry. 3. Stop-loss and take-profit: - Place stop-loss below the lower boundary of the daily FVG to manage downside risk. - Set take-profit at twice the stop-loss distance to achieve a 1:2 RRR. 4. Additional considerations: - Monitor for any relevant economic or geopolitical news that could affect silver's volatility. - Ensure that the price action continues to support the long bias before committing fully to the trade.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Fondera-Trading
Stock indices soar on Trump's decisive winUS stock index futures soared overnight as it became clear that Donald Trump was on course for a decisive win in the Presidential Election. It also looks as if Republicans could get a clean sweep by winning majorities in both the Senate and House of Representatives. The Dow was up well over 1,000 (2.9%) points for the first time since November 2022. Ahead of the vote, the major concern was that the result would be drawn out and disputed. This led to a jump in volatility and a sell-off across risk assets. As it happens, there has been no uncertainty. Donald Trump looked like the clear winner within a few hours of the polls closing. US stock indices had already posted a strongly positive session on Tuesday, making back most of the losses from the end of last week. It appeared that many traders were convinced that the polls were understating the positive momentum which showed up in Trump’s numbers over the last fortnight. But it’s worth pondering whether the strength of the stock market rally is due to Trump winning, or relief that there’s a clear and uncontested result. In truth, it’s probably a bit of both. The small-cap, domestically-focused Russell 2000 has outperformed, gaining over 6% this morning compared to 2% for the S&P 500. This is taken as a positive reaction to the Trump win, as he is seen as considerably more friendly to small US companies than Harris, due to his promise to cut taxes and tear up regulations. But Trump has also promised to increase tariffs in both scope and size. Again, this is probably more of a boost for domestically-focused corporations, although many economists argue that it will become a headwind for the US economy overall. In another sign that traders are reacting to a Trump win, Tesla soared 15% thanks to CEO Elon Musk’s endorsement and closeness to Trump. Banks have also reacted positively, as have US car manufacturers. The US dollar flew higher, while bond prices slumped. The yield on the key 10-year Treasury Note rose over 15 basis points to 4.44%, its highest level since early July. Policies announced by both Trump and Harris meant adding significantly to the US national debt, although Trump’s plans are potentially more damaging. This means a larger fiscal deficit and the risk that inflation takes off to the upside. Neither candidate made any mention of debt being on an unsustainable trajectory, so it looks like it will be down to the ‘bond vigilantes’ to curb fiscal excesses by driving up Treasury yields to painful levels. This may not be a major concern right now. But it is likely to be critical before the end of President Trump’s second term.
TRADENATIONSB:US2000
by TradeNation
SBI Cards Stock AnalysisAnalysis of SBI Cards Stock Idea Current Price: ₹697.40 Technical Overview: * Double Bottom pattern with breakout. Target Levels: * ₹850 (initial) * ₹1,000 (extended) * ₹1,100 (ultimate) * Strong support around ₹650-₹700 from breakout zone. Fundamentals: * Leading credit card issuer in India with strong revenue and profit growth. * Positioned to benefit from growing digital payment adoption in India. * Key risks include exposure to credit defaults, but SBI backing mitigates risk. This could be a solid opportunity if the trend holds. Join Now: buff.ly
NSE:SBICARDLong
by TheWealthyInvestorbyDSAB
WHAT'S FLOWING (TRADE & TRAVEL): TRUMP IS PRESIDENT / STOCKS UP USDCHF (Buy): Strong buy signal; we see accumulation near key support levels, potentially indicating upward momentum. EXY (Sell) : Bearish sentiment as the chart suggests downward pressure, possibly moving toward recent lows. USDILS (Sell): Selling signal; volume profile hints at continued selling as the asset moves lower. GBPUSD (Sell): Selling pressure is present here as well, with potential for further downside. XAUUSD (Sell): Gold is showing bearish activity, possibly due to stronger USD, with indicators suggesting further declines. Brent Crude (Sell): Oil is also under pressure, with signs pointing toward a downward move, likely influenced by recent supply data. US2000 (Bull): Bullish outlook on this index, signaling potential upward moves as support levels hold. HK50 (Sell): Strong selling sentiment on Hong Kong’s index, with steep drops in price action, indicating a risk-off sentiment in Asian markets.
by moneymagnateash
Will #FETUSDT Finally Break Out? Yello, Paradisers! Are you prepared for a breakout that could shake up the market? Here’s the latest on #FETUSDT and what it means for your next moves. 💎Currently, #FETUSDT is moving along a descending channel, sitting close to a potential breakout zone that could fuel a strong upward surge. Right now, #FET is testing the channel’s upper resistance, creating a high probability of a breakout. But don’t rush—let’s get confirmation first. 💎For this breakout to signal a real bullish move, #FETCH.AI needs to decisively break past the minor resistance at $1.5953. This breakout only gains significance if it’s backed by solid bullish indicators, such as clear engulfing candles and strong buying volume. Seasoned traders know the importance of waiting for confirmation, not jumping in at the first sign of a breakout. Remember, patience and discipline over emotional reactions. 💎But what if the momentum weakens? If #FET fails to surpass the $1.5953 mark, it will hint at waning bullish strength, creating an opening for sellers. In this case, the next key level to watch is the lower demand zone at $0.9842. This area has historically held as a strong defense for buyers, so a rebound here could sustain the bullish outlook. However, if #FET breaks below $0.9842, this setup could lose its validity and open the path to a deeper decline, signaling a potential bearish shift. Stay sharp, stay strategic, and always keep the bigger picture in mind. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise_Simon
2
ACC Ltd (NSE: ACC) Weekly Chart Analysis🔹 Channel Support and Resistance The stock has been moving within an ascending channel since early 2022, creating a structured uptrend. Currently, it’s trading near the channel’s lower boundary, around ₹2,357. This zone has historically acted as a key support level, making it an area to watch closely for potential buying interest. 🔹 Descending Wedge Breakout Recently, ACC broke out of a descending wedge pattern, a generally bullish formation, which suggests the potential for an upward move. The breakout is still in its early stages, so continued momentum will be critical in confirming the trend reversal. 🔹 Price Targets First Resistance: ₹2,592.75 – If momentum sustains, this level aligns with a prior high and could act as a short-term target. Channel Resistance: If the stock gains further strength, the upper boundary of the channel could offer the next significant resistance level. 🔹 Cement Industry Tailwinds According to brokerages, Indian cement firms, including ACC, have seen successful price hikes in September, and there are plans for further hikes in October. This is generally positive for margins, adding fundamental support to the current technical picture. 🔹 RSI The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows an oversold condition that’s starting to turn upwards, suggesting possible accumulation at these levels. 📈 Conclusion: Watch for sustained support around ₹2,357 and an upward move towards ₹2,592. A close above ₹2,592 could indicate renewed bullish strength, especially with ongoing industry tailwinds from price hikes.
NSE:ACC
by AngshumanSaikia
Pepe Coin Price Eyes 1,850% Gains Amid Massive Whale AccumulatioPepe Coin price targets 1,850% gains as whale accumulation surges after Trump’s election win. Rising interest fuel hope for a PEPE breakout. Pepe Coin Price Eyes 1,850% Gains Amid Massive Whale Accumulation Highlights Pepe Coin price eyes 1800% gains after whale accumulation ramps up. PEPE experienced the largest exchange outflows in the past two months. Derivative traders are gearing up to enter long positions on PEPE. Following the victory of Donald Trump in the U.S. election, Pepe Coin price spiked as whales began a massive accumulation spree, signaling a potential PEPE price surge. The price of PEPE soared by 13% over the last 24 hours, hitting a high of $0.000096 before retracing to settle around $0.0000923 at 06:10 a.m. ET.
Long
by bullanceprime
ETHUSD Trade LogTrade Setup (2/11/2024) - ETH Short in 4H FVG 1. Setup: Enter a short position within the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), using this area as a potential resistance zone for a bearish move. 2. Entry strategy: - Target: 1:2 RRR. - Risk: 1% of account. - Entry confirmation: Wait for the price to move into the 4H FVG and show bearish signals, such as a reversal pattern or rejection wick, before entering. 3. Stop-loss and take-profit: - Place stop-loss above the upper boundary of the 4H FVG to protect against an unexpected breakout. - Set take-profit at twice the stop-loss distance to achieve a 1:2 RRR. 4. Additional considerations: - Monitor for market events or news that could impact ETH volatility. - Ensure that price action aligns with bearish signals within the FVG for a higher probability of success.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Fondera-Trading
BTCUSD Trade LogTrade Setup (2/11/2024) - BTC Short in 4H FVG 1. Setup: Enter a short position at the 0.5 level within the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), identifying this as a potential resistance area for a bearish move. 2. Entry strategy: - Target: 1:3 RRR. - Risk: 1% of account. - Entry confirmation: Wait for the price to reach the 0.5 level of the 4H FVG and observe bearish signals, such as a reversal candle or rejection wick, before entering. 3. Stop-loss and take-profit: - Place stop-loss above the upper boundary of the 4H FVG to limit risk. - Set take-profit at three times the stop-loss distance to maintain a 1:3 RRR. 4. Additional considerations: - Be aware of any upcoming macroeconomic news or events that could affect BTC's price movement and increase volatility. - Ensure that price action confirms your bias within the FVG to avoid premature entry.
Short
by Fondera-Trading
ETHUSD Trade LogTrade Setup (2/11/2024) - ETH Short in 4H FVG 1. Setup: Enter a short position within the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), using this area as a potential resistance zone for a bearish move. 2. Entry strategy: - Target: 1:2 RRR. - Risk: 1% of account. - Entry confirmation: Wait for the price to move into the 4H FVG and show bearish signals, such as a reversal pattern or rejection wick, before entering. 3. Stop-loss and take-profit: - Place stop-loss above the upper boundary of the 4H FVG to protect against an unexpected breakout. - Set take-profit at twice the stop-loss distance to achieve a 1:2 RRR. 4. Additional considerations: - Monitor for market events or news that could impact ETH volatility. - Ensure that price action aligns with bearish signals within the FVG for a higher probability of success.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Fondera-Trading
POPCAT/USDT Price Analysis: Potential Rally Setup if Key SupportThis chart for the POPCAT/USDT trading pair on the 1-hour timeframe illustrates a potential bullish setup if the price undergoes a correction to a critical support level. Following a recent upward movement, the price is now in a retracement phase. The green demand zone, located around the $1.41-$1.43 range, suggests a strong support area where buyers may step in, potentially reversing the current downtrend. The level marked at $1.4158 acts as a key price point to watch for a bounce, aligning with a potential buy zone. The chart's path projection shows that if the price respects this demand zone and holds above $1.4158, it could signal the start of a new upward trend. The next major resistance level is near $1.60, with an extended target around $1.6111, where sellers may exert pressure again. The moving average is also sloping downwards, indicating that the price needs to establish a base above the demand zone to confirm the start of an uptrend. Traders might consider waiting for bullish confirmation, such as a strong reversal candle or increased volume, around the support zone. A successful bounce from this zone could lead to significant gains, making this an area of interest for both short-term and long-term traders aiming to capitalize on the next rally.
Long
by bullanceprime
ALGO/USDT Prime Buy Opportunity Strong Rebound PotentialThe cryptocurrency pair ALGO/USDT has shown significant signs of potential upward momentum, making it an intriguing opportunity for buyers in the medium term. Currently priced at 0.11975, ALGO appears to be forming a strong support level at this price range after a series of corrective moves. Several technical indicators signal a promising scenario for a price rebound. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering in the oversold territory, suggesting that selling pressure may be diminishing, which often precedes a reversal or a bounce-back in price. Furthermore, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has shown signs of bullish divergence on the daily chart, with the MACD line nearing a crossover above the signal line. This movement hints at a potential change in momentum from bearish to bullish. In addition, ALGO's price is nearing the lower Bollinger Band, which typically acts as a support level, indicating that it could be undervalued at the current price. Volume analysis further strengthens this outlook; there has been a gradual increase in buying volume, suggesting that traders are beginning to accumulate positions at these low levels. This could lead to an upward move as the market digests this accumulation phase. Given these indicators, the current pullback may be a compelling entry point for long-term buyers looking to capitalize on a medium-term upward trend. Investors might consider this price level a buying opportunity, with expectations for a strong bullish movement as ALGO/USDT gains momentum.
Long
by SafeCryptoSignals