Fundamental Analysis
Verizon has stepped onto the launch-pad! Let's GO!I posted about this setup last week, and so far it has played out exactly as I described. I wanted to give a little update based on todays price action. I will keep this short as I have provided the key points on the chart. But this is the 5-minute chart from todays session.
The stock appears to have stepped right onto the launch-pad and has put some major Option Strikes within striking distance before the week is out.
Tech stocks appear to be stepping back a bit (they were on average very overbought), and TLT (20 year treasury ETF) has staged a quiet rally in recent weeks.
I think there is some major strength appearing in the bond market, despite the US tax bill, I think yields will ultimately trend down, and defensives (especially VZ) will perform well. I have upgraded my 2025 target from $47.50 to $53 after digging through the numbers a bit more, and after considering more potential rate cuts later this year.
This will be VZ's 2nd test of the long-term bull-flag resistance, and it appears a breakout may be imminent. If the daily chart shows high volume and closes above that level this week, I think we're off to the races. Ignore this setup at your own peril :) I think it's a great opportunity, and regardless of what happens, this is a great stock to hold long-term. Currently paying a whopping 6.1%+ dividend.
A great addition for any dividend portfolio even at $53 (some analysts project higher, but I personally believe it may not go beyond that point until 2026 unless markets deteriorate or there is some other black swan event in 2025).
Good luck! Let me know if you have any questions. Cheers!
7/1/25 - $oscr - Dip buying AH at mid 17s7/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:OSCR
Dip buying AH at mid 17s
- stock running for good reason
- NYSE:HIMS of insurance type
- NYSE:CNC is pee'ing in the narrative, but NYSE:OSCR guide unaffected
- I'd expect to pick up a MSD gain here
- I have limits into the 16's tn where i'd rather own more
V
MVST - Bearish Head & Shoulders Breakdown Targeting $2.25–$2.75A classic Head and Shoulders pattern has formed on MVST's daily chart, with a clear neckline break to the downside. This technical setup suggests bearish momentum in the short term, with a likely price target between $2.25 and $2.75.
This zone also aligns with a prior consolidation area and dynamic support. I expect the stock to potentially find a bottom in this area. If MVST can deliver strong Q2 earnings in August, a bullish reversal from that demand zone could follow.
How I screen for long term investmentsIn this video, I’ll show you the exact stock screener I use to find long-term investment opportunities — the kind of stocks you can buy and hold for years.
I’ll walk you through the key metrics to look for, how to use free tools like TradingView screener, and what red flags to avoid. This strategy is perfect for beginner and experienced investors who want to build long-term wealth, not chase hype.
Whether you're looking for undervalued stocks, consistent compounders, or just trying to build your long-term portfolio, this screener can help.
Hope you enjoy!!
Bitcoin - An Epic Move Awaits!Bitcoin gained 13% in H1 2025, outperforming Ethereum and Solana, which dropped ~25% and ~17% respectively—highlighting BTC's strength in turbulent market conditions.
Institutional wedge: spot-BTC ETFs saw huge inflows—BlackRock’s took in $336M, and total crypto product inflows approached $45B+ this year.
AI models foresee BTC holding $105K+ by end-June, with ChatGPT pointing to $118K and Grok forecasting $108K, based on momentum and ETF flows.
We see BTC holding the 20 MA and spiking to new all time highs.
XRP/USD – Technical Analysis (1D)📊 XRP/USD – Technical Analysis (1D)
Current Price:
• Buy: 2.1554 USD
• Sell: 2.1553 USD
⸻
🧭 Trend & Structure
• Price is moving within a rising channel (orange lines).
• It’s currently trading closer to the lower trendline, suggesting potential support.
Resistance Levels (green lines):
• 2.3197
• 2.4404
• 2.5570
• 2.7300 (channel top)
Support Levels (red lines):
• 2.1467
• 2.0461
• 1.8772
• 1.7444 (key support)
⸻
📈 Indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
• Hovering around the 50 level → neutral momentum.
• No strong divergence observed – RSI is moving with price.
Stochastic Oscillator
• %K has crossed %D upward → short-term bullish signal.
• Nearing the overbought zone (above 80) → a pullback could occur soon.
⸻
📌 Interpretation
• Price is testing the 2.15–2.16 zone, which has acted as both support and resistance in the past.
• A break above 2.32 could open the door toward 2.44 and 2.55 USD.
• A drop below 2.04 USD could lead to retesting 1.87 or even 1.74 USD.
• Overall trend: neutral to bullish, supported by the rising channel.
🎯 Trading Ideas
• Long Entry: Break and close above 2.32 USD with volume → targets: 2.44 / 2.55
• Short Entry: Breakdown below 2.04 USD → targets: 1.87 / 1.74
The Yield Curve Just Turned Bullish, So Did $RAI’s Future🚀 The Yield Curve Just Turned Bullish — So Did $RAI’s Future
Why This AI Token Could Be the Biggest Beneficiary of the Bull Steepening Cycle
"When the curve steepens, capital doesn’t trickle — it floods into risk. And $RAI is perfectly positioned."
📈 Macro Setup: Bull Steepening Means Risk-On
The story starts with rates. Here's the shift:
Where we were: Bear steepening — long-end rates spiked on inflation fears while short-end stayed high. Liquidity was scarce. Risk was punished.
Where we are now: Bull steepening — short-end rates are falling faster than long-end rates rise. This signals reflation and the beginning of a capital rotation into growth and risk.
Historically, this phase fuels massive runs in:
Small caps (Russell 2000)
Narrative-driven tech
Crypto
And especially AI-powered, low-float tokens like $RAI
🤖 Why Reploy AI ($RAI)?
$RAI isn’t just an AI meme coin — it’s an infrastructure layer for decentralized AI inference. With only 10M tokens, it’s one of the most scarce, utility-based plays in Web3 AI.
And now, macro tailwinds + chart setup + capital rotation = asymmetric upside.
🎯 Updated Upside Targets
✅ Mini-Top: $10.61 by July 18
This target aligns with:
The top of the current regression band.
Mid-summer capital rotation.
Historical pre-breakout behavior from 2020/2021 AI-coins like NYSE:FET and $OCEAN.
🧮 From today’s ~$0.69: That’s a 15x move in ~3 weeks.
💥 Blow-Off Top: $114 to $1,012 by Dec 21
This is the big one — and your chart now reflects the most important extension:
A 5-week window from Nov 18 to Dec 21, aligning with prior cycle tops.
Price range between $114 and $1,012.
Implies a market cap of $1.14B to $10.12B (fully diluted) — still modest compared to likely peers if AI mania peaks.
Think BIST:LINK in 2021 or CRYPTOCAP:SOL in late 2020. $RAI has the same structure — now layered with macro rocket fuel.
🧠 Why It Matters
In bull steepening cycles, capital chases asymmetry. The whole framework flips:
Safe → Speculative
Yield → Growth
Real → Narrative
AI + Web3 sits at the intersection of the two hottest macro themes. $RAI is the leading microcap expression of both.
If you're looking to allocate based on macro structure + narrative rotation + price action, this chart is screaming.
📣 Summary for Readers:
We're in the early innings of a reflationary, risk-on regime shift. If the blow-off top hits by December as expected, tokens like $RAI could become the top performers of the entire cycle.
With a $0.69 entry price, the risk-to-reward is wildly asymmetric.
📈 Don’t just follow the trend. Front-run it.
💡 $RAI is where narrative, structure, and scarcity converge.
Crypto breakouts: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana lead the surgeJune brought a wave of positive sentiment to digital assets. Despite global uncertainty, major cryptocurrencies continued their upward movement. Investors are once again turning to decentralized assets amid expectations of a Fed rate cut and an increasingly fragile macro backdrop.
Key moves this month :
• Bitcoin (#BTCUSD) +4.6% — Strengthened by a weaker dollar and renewed institutional interest. JPMorgan projects $150,000 by 2025.
• Ethereum (#ETHUSD) +3.8% — Gains on ETF optimism and rising DeFi activity.
• Solana (#SOLUSD) +6.1% — In the spotlight due to network scalability and new Web3 partnerships.
• Ripple (#XRPUSD) +2.4% — Rebounding after positive developments in the SEC case and potential global alliances.
• Dogecoin (#DOGUSD) +5.2% — Community-driven momentum and fresh public support from Elon Musk.
Underperformers:
• Litecoin (#LTCUSD) –1.8%, Cardano (#ADAUSD) –2.2% — Profit-taking and lack of new drivers weighed on prices.
• Polkadot (#DOTUSD) –3.1% — Weak on-chain metrics and fading interest in cross-chain solutions added pressure.
According to FreshForex analysts, the crypto market is entering a recovery phase. Signals from the Fed hint at upcoming rate cuts, while interest in decentralized projects and crypto ETFs is rising. Market leadership by #BTC and #ETH reflects growing confidence, while altcoins continue to follow the broader upward trend.
7/1/25 - $sbet - How I'm trading this7/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:SBET
How I'm trading this
- tl;dr, this is the first *larger* eth "treasury" attempts
- while the world is focused on AMEX:BMNR today at 10x NAV, this sits quietly at 1.5x nav
- there are two ways shareholders who would buy, say, at today's price would make an "eth yield"
- 1/ co raises debt, converts, prefs etc. any flavor and uses this to buy ETH and ETH appreciates in excess of this yield. my sense is this is more difficult "today" given the institutional view of BTC remains *hard enough* (even tho, really, it's not). but with stable coins becoming more in focus, this gives important life to eth narrative in coming cycle (more on this below)
- 2/ the mNAV is allowed to expand. if i raise at say 1.5x MNAV and then the stock appreciates toward say 3x MNAV and i raise there again to buy eth... the original holders essentially got a pro-rata distribution in excess of their initial stake. where the logic, here, fails... is that if this is your *only* way to raise $... eventually you collapse back to mnav, essentially... the inverse is also true. if you buy at 3x mnav and stock goes to 2x mnav, uh oh. it requires ever-increasing mnav. we know from BTC treasuries this might be up to 5x (mstr) and up to 10x (metaplanet) and really just depends on your story, size, mgmt, ability to raise outside of just equity etc. etc.
- now with this all being said... we look at something like AMEX:BMNR today and there are two main outcomes
- 1/ 10x mnav is too high and likely they're advantaged to raise here and dilute current shareholders to buy ETH and in essence it's tough to imagine much more mnav acceleration (but we *are* in that whacky tape and people are just trading price -- i know this from some comment i read today). fair. if this is the case, flows to NASDAQ:SBET should be very positive
- 2/ mnav from AMEX:BMNR start to collapse toward say 5x and this affects sentiment for other "eth treasury" co's, namely NASDAQ:SBET and this thing goes to 1.2x mnav vs. say 1.5x today... no bueno
-3/ there are others (two others), but above is 80% I think of pie
so why eth? aren't you a BTC only guy V?
- mm yeah BTC is the only commodity
- but i also trade stocks, tech etc. and that's just want these other things are Eth, Sol etc.
- with NASDAQ:HOOD launching their L2 on LSE:ARB the other day, tokenizing stocks, with the realization that banks will want to float and distribute their own stables across crypto rails sooner vs. later (and legislation that's allowing for it... more stables = stronger dollar and USD dominance globally)... CRYPTOCAP:ETH will earn the lionshare of the upside here.
- of course flows will eventually find their way into $sol... CRYPTOCAP:SUI , NYSE:SEI , etc. etc. but for now CRYPTOCAP:ETH is probably the lowest-risk way to play this
- I'm not ruling out that our garden variety pullback sends BTC back to $90k and you know what happens when BTC sneezes... everyone else catches a flu. So that could really hamper CRYPTOCAP:ETH action short term.
- But I like the idea of playing not only CRYPTOCAP:ETH at a *reasonable* valuation here (you do pay 50% more! keep that in mind), but there seems to be a willingness to overpay (as AMEX:BMNR shows). so i'm content to neck out here to capture a 50-100% move. but small enough to either size up, look elsewhere and/or close with a loss without any flesh wounds.
tl;dr... if u like $bmnr... u should like NASDAQ:SBET more.
V
Trade Idea: TXRH (Texas Roadhouse) - Position Trading Setup📈 Direction: Long (Swing to Position Trade)
🎯 Entry Zone: $190.00 - $191.07 (Ideal entry near $191.07)
⛔ Stop Loss: $181.57 (-5% risk)
🎯 Take Profit: $211.00 (+10.4% upside)
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2+
🔍 Why TXRH?
📊 Technical Analysis
✅ Trend: Strong weekly uptrend (higher highs & higher lows)
✅ Moving Averages: Price above SMA 50 ($182.50) & SMA 200 ($175.00) → Bullish structure
✅ MACD Weekly: Positive momentum, no signs of reversal
✅ RSI (Daily): 58 (neutral, room to run before overbought)
✅ Key Levels:
Support: $187.50 (recent swing low)
Breakout Level: $190.00 (confirmation of continuation)
Target: $211.00 (next major resistance)
📉 Fundamental Backing
✔ Revenue Growth: Strong sales & earnings growth (fundamentals support bullish bias)
✔ Debt-Free: Zero debt (financial flexibility)
✔ Valuation: P/E 28.97 (slightly high but justified by growth)
🎯 Trade Execution Plan
🔹 Entry: Wait for confirmation above $190.00 (break & retest ideal)
🔹 Stop Loss: Tighten to $185.00 if price moves favorably
🔹 Take Profit:
TP1: $200.00 (partial profit)
TP2: $211.00 (full exit)
⚠️ Risk Considerations
Market-wide pullback could trigger stop loss
High P/E makes it sensitive to sector rotations
Monitor earnings dates for volatility
📌 Final Thought: TXRH is a high-quality stock with strong fundamentals and technicals. A break above $190 opens path to $211 with solid R/R.
👍 Like & Follow if you found this useful! Drop your thoughts below. 👇
#TradingView #PositionTrading #Stocks #TXRH #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing
7/1/25 - $wolf - Some ppl r not worth saving7/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:WOLF
Some ppl r not worth saving
- go read the last comment
- here we are again... people are somehow allowing the bag holders to exit at more than zero for the thrill of playing a losing game
- not only has the company told you the stock is going to zero, they've made this clear a number of times
- only reason to monitor these things is to get a pulse on "liquidity" and willingness to play dumb games and win dumb prizes
- good luck! avoid
V
7/1/25 - $arbk - "restructure" 1017/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ARBK
"restructure" 101
- when a company goes to "restructure" that's a euphemism for sending your shares to donut heaven
- sign of the times. sometimes it's hard to imagine what goes thru ppl's minds or if they do literally even 30 seconds of "work" before buying things
- just recently this happened with $wolf... which i was flamed for pointing out. i think that's also ... *checks notes* also up 125% as of my writing this.
- as comedian ron white used to say "can't fix stupid"
- sometimes the best move is no move at all. put it in the big stack of "ignore".
V
BTC 1D Analysis📊 BTC 1D Analysis
Price is respecting the channel and currently holding the 21 EMA as dynamic support.
If we see a strong daily close above the descending resistance, it may trigger a breakout toward the $110,000–$112,000 zone.
Key levels:
🔹 Support: $105,980
🔹 Resistance: $110,800
Bias: Bullish if breakout confirms
Watch the next 1–2 candles for confirmation.
🔔 Set alerts – don’t chase!
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoSignals #DYOR
Short-term opportunities are imminent.Gold prices have continued to rebound recently and have reached around 3358, but there is a lack of effective retracement during the rise, and the risk of short-term chasing has increased significantly. From a technical perspective, the US dollar index has a demand for a corrective rebound after a rapid decline, and it is expected to form a significant suppression on gold in the short term, limiting the rebound space of gold prices. From a capital perspective, the previous high-level long chips have gradually been untied and started to leave the market with profits, and selling pressure has gradually emerged; short positions may be re-arranged after completing concentrated stop losses, and the market structure is quietly changing.
Based on the above factors, it is recommended that traders remain patient and continue to hold short positions, focusing on the support of the 3335-3325 area. Be sure to control your position during the operation, strictly set stop losses, and avoid the high risks brought by chasing the rise. The core of trading is to follow the trend, respect the market rhythm, and wait for the adjustment to be confirmed before intervening.
Steady trading can only make long-term profits. Welcome everyone to share and communicate to improve the operation level together.
Gold falls back, is a bottom structure emerging?In terms of one-hour structure, this round of phased adjustment started from 3450 has not ended yet, but it will soon, especially the rapid rebound after the bottom of 3260 on Monday. This rebound has strong momentum. After bottoming out and rebounding, it is currently fluctuating around 3340, with a large overall span. This also shows that after the price has risen, the amplitude of the correction has increased, which means that the upward space is limited. This adjustment is likely to be over soon, but there is no definite bottom structure yet, so we need to wait for some time.
Before going out of the definite bottom structure, based on the principle of following the trend, you can try to short with a light position. At present, in terms of the one-hour pattern, the key point is here at 3355, and it is currently falling back from this position to 3340. If it falls back to the 3320 area today and stabilizes above it, you can operate a long strategy. On the whole, Quaid suggests that the short-term operation strategy for gold today should be mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds.
Operation strategy:
Short at 3345, stop loss at 3355, profit range 3330-3325.
Long at 3320, stop loss at 3310, profit range 3340-3345.
Symmetrical Triangle in EURCHF —Fundamental & Technical AnalysisToday, I want to examine the EURCHF ( FX:EURCHF ) Short position opportunity from both a Fundamental and Technical perspective.
First, let’s examine the EURCHF pair from a fundamental perspective:
The ECB’s dovish policy stance and weakening Eurozone data contrast sharply with the Swiss Franc’s safe-haven appeal and economic stability. With geopolitical tensions in the background, EURCHF may continue to slide lower, supporting short positions.
In terms of technical analysis , EURCHF is moving near a Heavy Resistance zone(0.967 CHF-0.940 CHF) .
In terms of Classical Technical Analysis , EURCHF is moving inside a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern . The point to note about this example is that every time EURCHF approaches the upper lines of the symmetrical triangle , it starts to decline with a lot of momentum . And considering the previous movement of EURCHF, which was bearish, it is better to look for short positions from inside the symmetrical triangle.
Based on the above explanation , I expect EURCHF to move back towards the lower lines of the symmetrical triangle pattern .
Note: Stop Loss(SL): 0.94120 CHF
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/Swiss Franc Analyze (EURCHF), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NiKE annual continuation of the trendNike, a globally recognized, enduring brand, feels almost "too big to fail." I've been monitoring the $70 price level as a potential entry point for a wick fill trade in the near future, aiming for a 100% to 200%+ ROI over 6 months to 2 years. The stock shows signs of downside exhaustion and oversold conditions. Despite recent revenue declines, market cycles and Nike’s nearly 50-year brand resilience suggest a potential rebound.
6/30/25 - $osol - $SOL is tokening stonks6/30/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: OTC:OSOL
CRYPTOCAP:SOL is tokening stonks
- so OTC:OSOL is osprey's SOL closed end fund
- similar to OTC:OBTC that i talk about, the chart you see below is vs. the NAV e.g. this is currently at 17% discount to spot
- and we know SOL will have an ETF this month
- we see stocks being now tokenized on chain and SOL is the chain that will see the most volume
- so if you like stable coins... you should like tokenized stocks even better
- closed end funds trade funny
V