Quarter Ends, Setup Begins: Long from DAX Support ZoneDAX returned to its major support zone around 22,000 after an extended decline through March. I’ve been triggered into a long position as we step into a fresh month and quarter. We’re sitting at strong historical demand with multiple macro events lined up this week—I’ll take what the market gives and manage it accordingly. No ego here, just flow with the setup. Let’s see where this one heads as NFP and PMI data come in.
Technicals
• Timeframe: 1H
• Entry Zone: Strong support retest at 22,000
• Setup: Long triggered on reaction from major support
• Target: Zone around 22,950
• SL: Below the support zone (~21,800)
• Fibcloud: Still trending below, watching for reclaim
• End-of-month rebalancing and Quarter close may add volatility.
Fundamentals
• DAX dropped nearly 2% on Monday, hitting its lowest levels since Feb 10, in line with global market weakness.
• US trade tariff uncertainty under Trump’s “reciprocal” rhetoric weighs on sentiment.
• Germany’s CPI eased to 2.2%, the lowest since Nov 2024, aligning with market expectations.
• Q1 performance remains strong overall, up nearly 11%, supported by Germany’s spending plan.
• Eyes on this week’s NFP and PMI data which could drive further price action.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Fundamental Analysis
Crude oil-----buy near 68.90, target 69.90-72.00Crude oil market analysis:
Yesterday's crude oil daily line showed continuous tombstones, which was suppressed near 72.00. Today's idea is to continue to look at the rebound in the short term and pay attention to the support near 68.70. This position is a buy rebound. We will wait for opportunities in the Asian session. Crude oil has begun to move on a weekly trend. We need to pay attention to this week's closing to determine whether it will start a weekly trend in the future.
Fundamental analysis:
Trump's midnight tariffs caused the market to tremble again. In addition, ADP rose sharply, with a result of 155,000 people, 80,000 people in advance, and 115,000 people expected. The bulls still pulled up under such a big negative situation.
Operation suggestions:
Crude oil-----buy near 68.90, target 69.90-72.00
$SAUD,Al Baraka Bank Egypt S.A.E. (EGX: SAUD) Al Baraka Bank Egypt S.A.E. (EGX: SAUD) is an Egyptian bank providing corporate and retail banking services domestically and internationally.
Financial Overview:
• Market Capitalization: Approximately EGP 8.81 billion.
• Revenue (2024): EGP 6.46 billion, a 37.59% increase from the previous year.
• Net Profit (2024): EGP 2.59 billion, up 36.74% from the prior year.
• Earnings Per Share (EPS): EGP 3.56.
Dividend Information:
The bank announced an annual dividend of EGP 0.85 per share for the 2024 earnings, with a yield of 7.02%. The ex-dividend date is April 14, 2025, and the payment date is April 16, 2025.
Valuation Estimates:
1) Book Value Per Share ( EGP 17.26 per share.)
2) Cairo Capital Securities: Fair value estimate of EGP 23.8 per share.
3) Ostoul Securities Brokerage: Fair value estimate of EGP 15.17 per share, based on the sector's P/E ratio.
Financial Ratios:
• Return on Equity (ROE): 26.97%.
• Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: 3.41.
• Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: 0.69.
Technical Analysis:
• The current Stock Price is below Book Value Per Share and close to 200-day EMA.
• 52-Week Range: EGP 9.97 to EGP 14.80
o Wyckoff Theory: The stock has been in an accumulation phase since May 2024, indicating potential for upward movement.
o Elliot Wave Analysis: Currently in wave 5, with a target price (TP) of EGP 18.30.
o Gann Analysis: Projects a TP of EGP 26.60 by June 2025.
Price Targets:
• TP1 (Point of Control): EGP 14.00
• TP2 (Elliot Wave Analysis): EGP 18.30
• TP3 (Gann Analysis): EGP 26.60 by June 2025.
Please note that financial markets are subject to volatility. It's advisable to consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish SetupOverview
Gold (XAU/USD) has been in a strong uptrend, making consistent higher highs and higher lows. However, the price action has formed a Rising Wedge Pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that the bullish momentum is weakening, and a potential sell-off could follow.
The recent breakdown of the wedge structure confirms the bearish bias, and sellers are now in control. Based on price action analysis, we can anticipate further downside movement toward key support levels.
📊 Technical Analysis – Rising Wedge Breakdown
1️⃣ Understanding the Rising Wedge Pattern
The Rising Wedge is a bearish pattern that occurs when the price consolidates within an upward-sloping channel but shows signs of exhaustion. Here’s how it developed:
Higher Highs & Higher Lows: The price consistently formed higher peaks and troughs, indicating an uptrend.
Declining Bullish Momentum: As the wedge progressed, price action became increasingly squeezed, showing reduced bullish strength.
Breakout Confirmation: Once the lower trendline of the wedge was breached, it confirmed that buyers were losing control and that sellers had stepped in.
2️⃣ Key Levels & Market Structure
🔵 Resistance Level: The upper boundary of the wedge around $3,150 - $3,163 acted as a supply zone, where sellers pushed prices lower.
🟠 Support Level: The lower boundary of the wedge, around $3,100 - $3,120, initially provided demand but eventually failed to hold.
🔻 Breakdown Confirmation: The price broke below the wedge, which is a strong bearish signal.
🎯 Trade Setup & Strategy
3️⃣ Bearish Trading Plan
Given the breakdown of the wedge pattern, the setup favors a short (sell) trade. Here’s how to approach it:
📉 Sell Entry:
The ideal short position is initiated after a confirmed break of the wedge’s support level.
📍 Stop Loss (SL):
A tight stop-loss is placed above the previous resistance at $3,163.67, ensuring risk is controlled if the trade goes against the bias.
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP 1: $3,080.66 – First major support level, where buyers might step in temporarily.
TP 2: $3,057.33 – Extended downside target, offering a greater risk-to-reward ratio.
4️⃣ Additional Price Expectations
Retest of the Wedge Breakdown: The price may pull back to the broken wedge support before continuing downward.
Stronger Bearish Momentum: If selling pressure remains strong, price could fall even lower, breaking TP 2.
Invalidation Level: If price climbs above $3,163, the wedge breakdown would be invalidated, signaling that bulls have regained control.
📌 Conclusion & Market Sentiment
🔹 Rising Wedge Breakdown Signals Further Downside – The market structure suggests that sellers are gaining control.
🔹 Sell Setup with Risk-Managed Approach – With a defined stop-loss and two profit targets, this trade offers a favorable risk-to-reward setup.
🔹 Gold’s Short-Term Bearish Outlook – The chart confirms a potential correction, and price may drop towards $3,080 and $3,057 if the bearish momentum continues.
📊 Final Thought:
This is a high-probability short trade based on classic technical analysis. Traders should monitor for confirmation retests and manage risk accordingly. ✅
Would you like any refinements or additional insights? 🚀
EURJPY Double Top - Bearish Reversal Ahead Toward Target!🔍 Chart Analysis: Identifying the Double Top Pattern
The EURJPY (Euro/Japanese Yen) 1-hour chart shows a classic Double Top pattern, which is a strong bearish reversal formation. This pattern occurs when the price reaches a significant resistance level twice but fails to break above it, indicating a potential shift from bullish momentum to bearish control.
1️⃣ Top 1: The first peak formed as buyers pushed the price higher, but strong resistance forced a pullback.
2️⃣ Top 2: The price attempted to break the same resistance level again but failed, forming a second peak at approximately 164.165, confirming that sellers are overpowering buyers.
3️⃣ Neckline (Support Level): The critical support level around 160.000 acted as a trigger for the bearish move. Once this level broke, the double top pattern was confirmed.
📌 Key Levels and Market Structure
🔹 Resistance (164.165): The highest level where sellers dominated, preventing further upward movement.
🔹 Support/Neckline (160.000): This level acted as a crucial pivot. Once broken, it signaled a trend reversal.
🔹 Take Profit Levels:
TP1 – 159.036: This serves as the first profit target, aligning with a prior demand zone.
TP2 – 157.200: The full projected downside move based on the double top pattern.
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Above 164.165, ensuring a risk-managed approach in case of trend invalidation.
📉 Trading Strategy: How to Trade This Setup?
1️⃣ Entry Confirmation:
The ideal entry was after the price broke the neckline at 160.000 and retested it as resistance.
A breakdown candle with high volume confirmed seller dominance.
2️⃣ Stop-Loss Placement:
A stop-loss above 164.165 provides room for price fluctuations while protecting against false breakouts.
3️⃣ Profit Targets:
TP1: 159.036, securing partial profits.
TP2: 157.200, completing the double top measured move.
📊 Market Psychology & Price Action Insights
The double top pattern reflects a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
The repeated rejection at 164.165 signals a lack of buying strength, increasing the probability of a downward move.
The breakdown of the 160.000 neckline confirms that sellers have taken control.
The price action also shows a lower-high formation, reinforcing bearish momentum.
✅ Conclusion: Bearish Bias Until 157.200
This setup strongly favors short positions, as long as the price stays below 162.500.
A break above 164.165 invalidates the bearish setup, signaling a potential reversal.
Until then, the market remains bearish, with TP1 & TP2 as achievable downside targets.
💬 What’s your outlook on EURJPY? Drop your analysis below! 👇
The Collaborative Edge: Pfizer's Innovation Secret? Pfizer's success in the biopharmaceutical industry hinges on its internal capabilities and a strategic embrace of external collaboration. This proactive approach, spanning diverse technological frontiers, fuels innovation across its operations. From partnering with QuantumBasel and D-Wave to optimize production planning using quantum annealing, to collaborating with XtalPi to revolutionize drug discovery through AI-powered crystal structure prediction, Pfizer demonstrates the tangible benefits of cross-industry partnerships. These initiatives showcase a commitment to exploring cutting-edge technologies to enhance efficiency and accelerate the identification of promising drug candidates, ultimately improving patient outcomes and strengthening Pfizer's competitive position.
The article highlights specific examples of Pfizer's collaborative endeavors. The Pfizer Healthcare Hub in Freiburg acts as a catalyst, connecting internal needs with external innovation. The successful proof of technology in production planning using quantum annealing resulted in significant time and resource savings. Furthermore, the partnership with XtalPi has dramatically reduced the timeframe for determining the 3-D structure of potential drug molecules, enabling faster and more efficient drug screening. These collaborations exemplify Pfizer's strategic focus on leveraging specialized expertise and advanced technologies from external partners to overcome complex challenges in the pharmaceutical value chain.
Beyond these specific projects, Pfizer actively engages with the broader quantum computing landscape, recognizing its transformative potential for drug design, clinical studies, and personalized medicine. Collaborations with technology giants like IBM and fellow pharmaceutical companies underscore the industry-wide interest in harnessing the power of quantum computing. While the technology is still in its early stages, Pfizer's proactive participation in this collaborative ecosystem positions it at the forefront of future healthcare breakthroughs. This commitment to synergy, from basic research to market research, underscores a fundamental belief in the power of working together to drive meaningful advancements in the pharmaceutical industry.
BTC Bullish Breakout Alert!🔹 Harmonic Pattern Formation on the 1H time frame
🔹 Resistance Breakout with strong bullish divergence
🔹 All signals align for a bullish trend confirmation!
Trade Idea: Enter a long position at CMP with proper risk management.
Targets: 87600 - 88500
Stop-Loss: 82000
Are you riding this move? Let me know in the comments!
#BTC #CryptoTrading #Bitcoin #PriceAction #HarmonicPatterns #BullishTrend
THIs Is MY ENTIRE PLAYBOOK RIGHT HERE... The only Thing that Wor So Yeah
... because the theory is " THE HIGHER THE TIME
FRA ME , the S STRONGER the TIMEFRAME"
So... Here's the entire Step by Step process
O. IDENTIFY a HIGHER TIMEFRAME FVG ( ex. WEEK FVG )
1. Wait for price to be at LOWER TIMERAME FVG (ex. DAY FVG )
2. Wait For Price to have a Strong SWEEP ( abnormally long Wicks are preferred ) and CHOCH on 4HR-1HR-15MIN WHILE INSIDE THE DAY FVG.
3. After the CHOCH swing leg has completed, plot FIB, FVG, FRVP and establish your Context Area.
4. ENTER @ Context Area, or validate the context area first. Then enter.
These look like SWING SETUPS ( it is ), so how do I make sure I have at least one trade per day?
Scan the charts and put alarms on DAY FVGS with opposing WEEK FVGS.
Trade only the ones triggering the alarms.
Wait, I think I understand the context area now and its purpose. You don't enter inside the context area ... Here is where you " Sandbox and validate " your hypothesis that "price will pump after hitting the FVG" by making sure that price behaves the way you expect it to behave FIRST ( 1. FVG Sweep 2. CHOCH+ FVG 3. OTE ZONE TAP and RUN ), before You start looking for an entry .
It's easier to understand in programming logic .
IF WEEK FVG < - > DAY FVG EXISTS , THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 10%
IF PRICE STINGS DAY FVG , THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 20%
IF PRICE CREATES CONTEXT AREA, THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 40%
IF PRICE RESPECTS CONTEXT AREA, THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 60%
This is the point Where You go to 15min - 5m - 1min and cook up an entry.
OR, Simply enter after a 15min FVG in line with Target / Bias. Just put your SL below Sting point.
You are targeting a weekly FVG, so it's a Swing trade at this point.
WTI Crude Oil (XTIUSD) – H4 SELL SetupWTI Crude Oil (XTIUSD) – H4 SELL Setup
Price has reacted from a key H4 supply zone after taking out previous highs. A clean bearish shift suggests continuation to the downside.
🔹 Entry: At supply zone
🔹 SL: Above mitigation zone
🔹 TPs:
First support
Equal lows
Extended swing low
Bias: Bearish
Reasoning: Liquidity sweep + market structure shift + imbalance
ENA About to Collapse or One Last Rally Before the Fall?Yello, Paradisers! Is ENA about to crash hard, or is a sneaky rally waiting to trap late bulls? Read this before making your next move!
💎#ENAUSDT has recently formed a Change of Character (CHOCH) while leaving behind a supply zone and an imbalance. Currently, we expect an upside correction toward $0.4333 and $0.4507, but this move is likely to be short lived. If the price taps these levels and faces strong resistance expect a sharp rejection, especially with the descending trendline and EMA 50 acting as barriers to bullish momentum. This setup suggests ENA is in a prime position for further downside unless it breaks above the supply zone.
💎If #ENAUSD fails to break the supply zone, a rapid sell-off toward the $0.34 support zone is highly likely. A visible gap imbalance further increases the probability of the price filling the gap before any potential reversal. Volume analysis also shows a clear surge in bearish activity, confirming strong selling pressure in the market.
💎The $0.34 level remains the most crucial support where buyers may attempt to step in. However, if this fails to hold, the next major demand zone sits around $0.30, where a deeper correction could unfold. Until a significant bullish breakout occurs, the risk of further downside remains high.
💎If the price manages to break above the supply zone, it would invalidate the bearish setup and could fuel a stronger rally. However, as long as the descending trendline and EMA 50 continue to hold back bullish momentum, the bearish outlook remains intact.
💎Will ENA hold support or break down further? Drop your thoughts in the comments! Are you positioning yourself for a move, or are you waiting for confirmation? Let’s discuss!
Stay sharp, Paradisers! The market rewards patience, discipline, and strategic thinking. Trade smart.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
CTK/USDT in Danger? Key Levels That Will Decide the Next MoveYello, Paradisers! Is CTK/USDT on the verge of a major breakdown, or will bulls make a comeback? Let’s dive in!
💎#CTKUSDT has broken below its ascending channel, signaling a potential trend shift. Right now, the $0.41 - $0.42 level, which previously acted as strong support, has turned into resistance. This is a critical area if buyers fail to reclaim it, the selling pressure will likely continue. Adding to the bearish outlook, price is trading below both the EMA 50 and EMA 200, further confirming that sellers remain in control.
💎A fair value gap (FVG) near $0.41 could act as a magnet for a short-term bounce, but unless price reclaims this level with strength, the downtrend remains intact. If the rejection plays out, the next target to the downside is $0.3484, with a deeper drop potentially reaching the major support zone at $0.3091.
💎On the flip side, a break above the major supply zone at $0.4631 would completely invalidate the bearish setup and open the door for another strong rally. However, as it stands, the market structure favors further downside, and a rejection at resistance could accelerate the decline.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical & Fundamental AnalysisTechnical Analysis
Liquidity Zones:
Major Resistance: $3,150+ (where price recently formed a weak high).
Support Zones:
$3,135.69 (Near-term support).
$3,059.69 (Stronger support zone).
Current Trend Analysis:
Price reached a weak high and is now retracing downwards.
Expecting a retest of $3,135 - $3,120 before a possible move further down.
The dashed purple line ($3,139.50) seems to be a critical level for intraday traders.
Potential Trade Setups:
Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below $3,135, expect further downside towards $3,120.
A break below $3,120 could push gold towards $3,060.
Bullish Scenario:
If price holds at $3,135 and reverses with bullish confirmation, it could retest $3,150+ again.
Fundamental Analysis (Gold - XAU/USD)
Dollar Strength (DXY) & Interest Rates:
The US Dollar Index (DXY) influences gold prices.
If the USD strengthens, gold prices may decline.
Recent Fed statements on rate hikes could put pressure on gold.
Inflation & Safe-Haven Demand:
If inflation remains high, gold could see buying pressure as an inflation hedge.
Recent geopolitical risks and banking concerns could increase gold's safe-haven demand.
Upcoming Events to Watch:
US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Report – Can impact USD and gold.
Federal Reserve Speeches – Hawkish or dovish tones will guide gold’s movement.
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 3, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD saw a bullish spike on Wednesday after the Trump administration announced tariffs that were less severe than many investors expected given President Donald Trump's flurry of tariff threats over the past 72 days. While the specific tariff proposals are unclear, U.S. consumers should prepare for flat 10 percent tariffs on all imports, significant 25 percent tariffs on all automobiles and auto parts, and “reciprocal” tariffs imposed at different rates depending on the country.
In addition, Trump has reiterated his intention to impose additional tariffs on goods such as copper, microchips, and other important imported consumer goods that are vital to the U.S. economy. As these tariffs are likely to drive up consumer prices in the coming months and there is no obvious alternative in the market to obtain foreign goods without incurring high import duties, inflationary pressures are expected to rise soon and persist longer than desired. According to Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, the uncertainty of the Trump administration's trade policy is likely to keep interest rates elevated for an extended period beyond previous expectations.
European economic indicators are likely to remain moderately light for the rest of the trading week. Meanwhile, new US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is expected this Friday. The NFP report could have a significant impact on the markets as the US economy moves into a post-tariff phase, and the March labor statistics will be a key indicator of the impact of the Trump administration's tariff strategy.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.09100, SL 1.08400, TP 1.10300
Major Breakdown Confirmed! Is a Bigger Dump Incoming? Yello, Paradisers! Did you catch this critical shift in price action? A major breakdown has occurred, flipping previous support into resistance and confirming a trend reversal from bullish to bearish. This shift has reinforced selling pressure, with price now trading below both the 50 & 200 EMA, signaling a strong bearish trend.
💎The market is currently testing resistance at $0.619. If this level holds, the probability of a significant drop increases. A Fair Value Gap (FVG) has also formed, indicating price inefficiency that may get filled before the next leg downward. If selling pressure remains dominant, a zig-zag decline toward lower support levels is likely. The key downside targets to watch are $0.0528, followed by $0.0489, with a major support zone resting at $0.0402.
💎Recent price action further supports the bearish bias. The last five candles have upper wicks, indicating strong rejection at higher levels. Volume is gradually declining, suggesting short-term consolidation before the next significant move. A bearish engulfing pattern has also emerged, reinforcing the likelihood of further downside.
💎To invalidate the bearish setup, price must close above the $0.0695 - $0.0715 range. A decisive breakout above this level would signal a possible trend reversal. Until that happens, the bias remains bearish, with expectations of continued downward momentum unless resistance is broken convincingly.
Stay patient, stay disciplined, and always wait for the highest probability setups. Those who follow the plan and avoid emotional decisions will be the ones who come out on top. Be a PRO!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
USD/JPY Stands Firm, But Volatility ExpectedVolatility has receded with less than 20-hours to go until Trump's tariffs are officially implemented, with traders now clearly in watch-and-wait mode. So while headline risks around tariffs remain in place, moves could remain limited unless traders are treated to any last-minute negotiations.
Typically, risk has benefitted when it has been expected that tariffs have been watered down. If that turns out to be the case by Trump's speech at 4pm ET Wednesday, indices could rise alongside the US dollar and the yen weaken.
Bit of course, the opposite is true. And that could weigh on USD/JPY. Rightly or wrongly, I'm feeling optimistic and now seeing a bounce on USD/JPY.
Two bullish pinbars found support and close above the 20-day SMA and monthly pivot point. The bias remains bullish while prices remain above Monday's low, and a break above 150 brings the 200-day SMA, February VPOPC and 152 handle into focus.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Gold Price Analysis April 2The D1 candle has a red candle and the selling pressure has started to take profit of Gold but it is still unclear.
The most recent H4 candle cluster shows 2 important price zones 3135 and 3108. Breaking this boundary will form a new trend.
Trading plan: Gold pushes to 3108 and does not break this zone in the European session, then BUY GOLD to 3124. At the end of the European session, if it breaks 3124, then keep the order to 3135 and 3164 in the US session if it breaks the resistance. If it breaks 3108, do not buy anymore but wait for Sell Break out 3108, target day 3084, pay attention to the price reaction at 3100 (resistance of last night's session). If 3100 is broken, then SELL DCA, not BUY at 3100. Scenario 2: Price does not return to 3108 first but to 3124 in the European session. If it is not broken, then SELL 3124 to 3108 and breaks the 3108 area in the US session, then the TP scenario is the same as scenario 1. If 3124 is broken, then 3135 waits for a breakout when it breaks, it will be better to SELL down today. (Note the SELL scalp point around 3142)
VISUAL INVESTOR: An Investing Tutorial for EveryoneToday is a wonderful day! I am overwhelmed with positive emotions, like a racer who has crossed the finish line. My first book, The Visual Investor, is out on TradingView. It's written for everyone, from those just starting out in the stock market to experienced investors. You could say you're holding it in your hands now.
The idea for this book came to me a long time ago, thanks to the influence of one person, as well as my invisible teachers: Benjamin Graham, Warren Buffett, Charles Munger, Peter Lynch and Mohnish Pabrai. Day after day, I worked on the content of chapters, charts, tables, and drawings to take you from theoretical foundations to applied knowledge that allows you to answer the key questions of any investor: What? When? And how much?
My motivators, namely you, dear subscribers and the TradingView editorial team, also made an invaluable contribution to the creation of this book. Every kind word, constructive criticism and award in the form of “Editors’ Picks” made me happier and helped me to create further.
Why “Visual Investor”? This is my reverence for the technologies we have come to now. The modern investor has incredible opportunities compared to our colleagues, even from the beginning of the 21st century. Access to companies' financial data has become an order of magnitude easier, and their visualization allows for fundamental analysis to be done much faster than before.
Global financial centers are now much closer to investors from different countries, thanks to the development of local regulation, active work of financial institutions and services. All this has expanded the range of investment instruments and formed a new way of life for our savings.
A modern person may not be a passive observer of fluctuations in the purchasing power of his own capital. On the contrary, he can independently make decisions to increase this capacity, using technology and a systematic approach. Unfortunately, unmanaged savings will suffer the unenviable fate of the hundred dollar bill from the beginning of the last century.
This chart shows how the $100 bill has depreciated since 1914 due to inflation. By the beginning of the First World War, the monthly salary of a highly skilled worker or employee could reach exactly this amount. If your super-rich great-great-grandfather buried a chest of these bills, and you found it, you'd probably be furious with him. Because $100 now is like $2 then. “Dear Grandpa, why didn’t you buy something from that list ?” you might say in your heart.
However, we must give credit to our hero, as the propensity to save is a skill that any investor should start with, and something I talk about in the early chapters of my book. As Charles Munger said, “I was a cautious little squirrel who hoarded more nuts than I needed and didn’t climb into my own pile of nuts.”
The book is divided into three parts, allowing you to start with any of them, depending on your current level of knowledge.
Part One
This part will be interesting to anyone who wants to understand why we need investments, what a joint-stock company and a stock exchange are, how the price and its schedule are formed. Duration of study: 3 hours 15 minutes.
Part two
This part will be of interest to anyone who already knows the basics of stock trading but wants to understand the fundamental analysis of a company's business. Duration of study: 5 hours.
Part three
This part will be of interest to anyone who understands the financial statements of companies and wants to build a decision-making system on the stock market based on this knowledge. Duration of study: 11 hours.
I recommend reading the book “Visual Investor” thoughtfully, with pauses to understand each chapter. It is precisely with this measured pace in mind that the estimated duration of study for each block and each article has been calculated. You can move faster if you like. If you devote 1 hour a day to the book, then after 20 days you will be able to master the entire theory. Don't rush to apply the knowledge immediately you've gained in real life. TradingView has great tools for hands-on research, such as the Market Simulator and Paper Trading, that will help you solidify your knowledge without risking your capital. Similarly, civil aviation pilots train on a flight simulator before their first flight. Remember that your knowledge, systematic approach, persistence and a pinch of luck can transform everything around you. But if you still need my support, I'm here. Yours, Capy.
Part One
1. Investing is the ability to say "no" so that you can say "yes"
The reader will learn that investing is a conscious skill of foregoing immediate spending in favor of greater value in the future, based on strategy, patience, and an understanding of the difference between investing and speculation. Duration of study: 15 minutes.
2. Raising initial capital: 4 approaches, of which one is not good
The reader will learn about four ways to form start-up capital for investments, and why borrowed money is the least sensible of them. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
3. The lifestyle of your savings, and why Big Mac?
The reader will learn that investing is a conscious way to preserve and increase the purchasing power of savings, in which the level of potential profit is always proportional to the risk taken. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
4. What is a stock? Let me tell you a story
Using the example of a shoe workshop owner, the reader will learn how companies issue shares to raise capital and expand their business. Duration of study: 15 minutes.
5. Stock Company. Selling something that no one will buy piecemeal
Using the same example, the reader is explained the process of transforming a company into a joint-stock company and conducting an IPO to attract investment. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
6. I dream of entering the stock market. The question is: What for?
The reader learns that going public is a way for a company to make its shares available to a wider range of investors, increase liquidity, and simplify the process of raising capital. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
7. How is the share price formed on the stock exchange? We do it
The reader will learn how the price of a stock is formed on the stock exchange through the mechanism of bids from buyers and sellers, reflecting the balance of supply and demand. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
8. Bid/Offer: The Yin and Yang of Stock Prices
The reader will learn how buy (bid) and sell (offer) orders from the order book on the exchange, determining the mechanism for concluding transactions and the formation of the market price. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
9. Market order or the hunger games of stock trading
The reader will learn that market orders allow shares to be bought or sold immediately without specifying a price, satisfying the current demand or offer at prices available in the order book. Duration of study: 15 minutes.
10. The birth of the chart. The evolution of the tape
The reader will learn how price movement charts are formed from the stock exchange quotes feed and will see historical examples of the evolution of methods for displaying market data. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
11. Japanese Candlesticks: Game of Body and Shadows
The reader will learn how Japanese candlesticks are constructed, including determining the opening, closing, high, and low prices for a selected time interval, as well as the importance of the candlestick body and shadows in analyzing price movements. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
12. A little bit about volumes and the master of all averages
The reader will learn how to analyze trading volumes and use a 252-day moving average to evaluate stock price movements. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
13. My Three Comrades: the Chart, the Screener, and the Watchlist
The reader will learn step-by-step how to use the TradingView platform's chart, screener, and watchlist features to find and track stocks even if he doesn't know the company's ticker. Duration of study: 15 minutes.
14. Two captains of the same ship
The reader will learn how to use fundamental analysis to assess a company's financial strength by adding financial indicators to a chart in TradingView, and why the author prefers this method over technical analysis. Duration of study: 15 minutes.
Part two
15. My crazy partner is Mr. Market!
The reader will learn about the concept of "Mr. Market" introduced by Benjamin Graham, which illustrates the irrationality of market behavior and emphasizes the importance of fundamental analysis in making sound investment decisions. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
16. Picking rules - the Lynch method
The reader will learn about Peter Lynch's investment principles, including the benefits of private investors, the importance of a financial safety net, the need to understand a company's performance before investing, and the importance of analyzing its earnings. Duration of study: 15 minutes.
17. A pill for missed opportunities
The reader will learn how to set up alerts in TradingView to react promptly to changes in stock prices, thereby avoiding missing profitable opportunities to buy or sell. Duration of study: 15 minutes.
18. Man on the shoulders of giants
The reader learns the story of an Indian engineer who, after starting to invest in his 30s, achieved significant success, emphasizing the importance of self-education and inspiration from eminent investors. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
19. Price is what you pay, but value is what you get
The reader will learn about Warren Buffett's approach to investing based on the difference between price and the intrinsic value of a company, and the importance of fundamental analysis in making investment decisions. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
20. Balance sheet: taking the first steps
The reader will learn about the structure of the balance sheet, including the concepts of assets, liabilities, and equity. Duration of study: 30 minutes.
21. Assets I prioritize
The reader will learn which balance sheet items are most important for assessing a company's sales performance, and why the author focuses on cash, accounts receivable, and inventory when analyzing current assets. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
22. A sense of debt
The reader will learn about the structure of liabilities and shareholders' equity on a company's balance sheet, including the differences between short-term and long-term debt, and will understand how to analyze debt burden when assessing a company's financial health. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
23. At the beginning was the Equity
The reader will learn about a company's capital structure, including the concepts of retained earnings and return on investment, and will understand how these items are reflected in the balance sheet. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
24. The income statement: the place where profit lives
The reader will learn about the structure of a company's income statement, including key indicators: revenue, cost, gross and operating profit, as well as the importance of these metrics for assessing the financial condition of the enterprise and their impact on the dynamics of stock prices. Duration of study: 30 minutes.
25. My precious-s-s-s EPS
The reader learns that earnings per share (EPS) is calculated as net income available to common shareholders divided by the number of common shares outstanding, and that diluted EPS considers potential increases in the share count due to employee options and other factors that affect earnings distributions. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
26. What should I look at in the Income statement?
The reader will learn which key income statement metrics — such as revenue, gross profit, operating expenses, debt service expense, net income, and diluted earnings per share (EPS Diluted) — the author believes are most important for assessing a company's financial health. Duration of study: 10 minutes.
27. Cash flow statement or Three great rivers
The reader will learn about the structure of the cash flow statement, which includes three main flows: operating, financial and investing, and will understand how these cash flows affect the financial condition of the company. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
28. Cash flow vibrations
The reader will learn how to analyze a company's operating, investment, and financial cash flows to assess its sustainability, strategy, and ability to effectively manage resources. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
29. Financial ratios: digesting them together
The reader will learn that financial ratios are relations between various financial reporting indicators that allow an objective assessment of the financial condition and value of a company, and will understand how to use key multiples to analyze the investment attractiveness of a business. Duration of study: 25 minutes.
30. What can financial ratios tell us?
The reader will learn about key financial ratios such as Diluted EPS, Price/Earnings Ratio (P/E), Gross Margin, Operating Expense Ratio, Return on Equity (ROE), Days Payable and Days Sales Outstanding, and Inventory to Revenue Ratio, and will understand how to use these metrics to assess a company's financial health and investment attractiveness. Duration of study: 30 minutes.
Part three
31. Price / Earnings: Interpretation #1
The reader will learn how the P/E (price to earnings) ratio helps assess the value of a company by determining how many dollars an investor pays for each dollar of earnings, and will understand why a lower P/E may indicate that a company is undervalued. Duration of study: 25 minutes.
32. Price/Earnings: amazing interpretation #2
The reader will learn an alternative approach to interpreting the P/E ratio by viewing it as the number of years it takes to break even on an investment, assuming the company's earnings are stable. Duration of study: 30 minutes.
33. How to apply an indicator that is only available upon request?
The reader will learn how scripts written in Pine Script work on the TradingView platform and what levels of access there are to them: from completely open to requiring an invitation from the author. The article explains how to request access to an indicator if it is restricted, and what steps to take to add it to a chart once permission is granted. Duration of study: 15 minutes.
34. How to assess the fundamental strength of the company?
The reader will learn about the approach to assessing the financial stability of a company through the aggregation of key financial indicators and multipliers, allowing a visual and quantitative assessment of the dynamics and current state of the business. Duration of study: 30 minutes.
35. How to evaluate the work of company management?
The reader will learn about the approach to assessing the effectiveness of a company's management through the prism of the concept described by Eliyahu Goldratt in his book "The Goal", which focuses on three key indicators: throughput, inventory and operational expenses, and will understand how these indicators affect the financial results of the enterprise. Duration of study: 30 minutes.
36. How to evaluate the state of a company's cash flows?
The reader will learn about the importance of cash flow analysis in assessing a company's financial health, including the interpretation of operating, investing, and financing flows. Duration of study: 25 minutes.
37. How to catch the rainbow by the tail?
The reader will learn how to determine optimal price ranges for buying stocks based on the principles of fundamental analysis and the idea of investing with a margin of safety. Duration of study: 40 minutes.
38. How to convert craziness into results?
The reader will learn how to navigate market volatility, make smart stock selling decisions, and use a fundamental approach to turn emotional market swings into rational investment actions. Duration of study: 35 minutes.
39. How to use Replay to study indicators?
The reader will learn how to use the Market Simulator feature on the TradingView platform to analyze historical data and test indicators, including step-by-step instructions for activating the simulator, selecting the start date, adjusting the playback speed, and interpreting the results when analyzing NVIDIA Corporation stock. Duration of study: 30 minutes.
40. How to explain my decision-making system?
The reader will learn about the author's approach to choosing stocks for investment, which includes an analysis of the fundamental strength of the company, cash flow dynamics, news, P/E multiple and other aspects of the decision-making system. Duration of study: 35 minutes.
41. The most subjective facet of my decision-making system
The reader will learn how news, although difficult to formalize, influences the investment decision-making process and why its interpretation is the most subjective aspect in stock evaluation. Duration of study: 35 minutes.
42. Full instructions for studying the fundamental strength of a company
The reader will learn how to use applied tools to evaluate a company's financial results, visually track their dynamics over time, and analyze the movement of key cash flows, which accelerates the process of selecting companies with strong fundamental indicators. Duration of study: 90 minutes.
43. Full instructions for determining price ranges for opening and closing positions
The reader will learn how to determine optimal price ranges and trade sizes when investing in stocks, based on the principles of value investing and Benjamin Graham's "margin of safety" concept. Duration of study: 120 minutes.
44. 10 tricks for developing discipline or here was Warren
The reader will learn ten practical methods to help investors develop discipline, including using alerts, keeping a trading journal, and developing good habits, and will understand how discipline affects the achievement of investment goals. Duration of study: 40 minutes.
45. The Inside Out Investor
The reader will learn how emotional states such as fear, excitement, and fear of missing out (FOMO) influence investment decisions and will understand how awareness of these emotions helps an investor stick to their chosen strategy and make informed decisions. Duration of study: 20 minutes.
46. Effective inefficiency
The reader will learn about the different approaches to using Stop Losses in investment strategies, their impact on the profit/loss ratio, as well as the concept of market efficiency and strategies in it. Duration of study: 30 minutes.
47. Institute of Intermediation and 24 Coffee Lovers
The reader will learn about the factors that create market inefficiencies, such as delays in the dissemination of information, high volatility, the actions of large players and participant errors, as well as the role of intermediaries - brokers and exchanges - in ensuring the efficiency and convenience of trading in financial markets. Duration of study: 25 minutes.
48. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
The reader will learn about the life of Charles Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, his investment philosophy based on common sense and discipline, as well as his views on the importance of personal relationships and moderation in achieving success. Duration of study: 5 minutes.
The tariff hammer helps bulls rise stronglyTechnical analysis of gold: Affected by fundamentals, gold rose sharply again. The daily line finally closed in the positive zone and maintained a strong high at the opening. Pay attention to the upper and lower support of 3148 during the day. If it holds, it will have the momentum to continue to rise. The 4H cycle will strongly break through the upper Bollinger Band. , moving higher around the moving average support, there is no doubt that it is strongly bullish. At the same time, the middle rail has recovered, and the middle rail is still a key watershed. The lower support is around 3148 and 3138. We will go long according to the strength of the decline during the day, and then gradually look at 3170 and 3200!
Operation suggestion: Gold is long near 3138-40, stop loss at 3130, and look at 3150 and 3170!
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions. Operate according to your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. The market is changing rapidly. There is no general who always wins in this market. Therefore, it is important for us to make corresponding adjustments according to market changes. We must do a good job of protection. There will always be some ups and downs in the market, but there will be a rainbow after the rain. We must not forget our original intention and forge ahead.
Gold reverses sharply after Trump's tax announcementThe world gold price has reversed sharply because the global market has just received information last night (Hanoi time) that US President Donald Trump has just signed an executive order to impose taxes on all goods imported into the US, many countries will have to pay high taxes of up to tens of percent.
Specifically, the UK, Brazil, Singapore will be subject to a 10% tax. The European Union, Malaysia, Japan, South Korea, and India will be subject to 20-26%. China, Thailand, and Vietnam are among the countries subject to the highest tax rates, at 34%, 36%, and 46%, respectively. The highest is Cambodia, which will be subject to a tax rate of up to 49%. This tax rate will be applied from April 9. In addition, Mr. Trump said that a 10% import tax will be applied to all goods imported into the US from April 5.
Mr. Trump said that every year the US loses 1,200 billion USD due to the trade deficit due to 3,000 billion USD of imported goods.
After this information, the global financial market was shaken, in which the US stock market had a strong decline, losing from more than 1% to more than 2%. On the contrary, gold - an asset that ensures capital safety in case of risk - has benefited from a strong increase in price.
Many experts commented that the Trump government's tariff policy has increased global trade tensions. Previously, the US imposed tariffs on some goods from Canada, Europe and China, aluminum and steel. These countries have responded to the tariffs on the US.