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Fundamental Analysis

The downtrend dominates, the focus needs attentionGeneral crude oil market and WTI crude oil technical chart TVC:USOIL Still in a downward trend. Trump revoked Chevron's license to operate in Venezuela, which has fueled supply-side market concerns and supported a recovery in oil prices, but they are still on a downtrend and trade policy uncertainty has limited a recovery in demand expectations. The focus of the crude oil market will still need to pay attention to changes in the geopolitical situation, the US Dollar index, and the Trump administration's trade policy. Notable technical levels are as follows. Support: 68.52USD Resistance: 70 - 71.43USD
TVC:USOILShort
by Xayah_trading
XAG/USD Bearish Flag (27.2.25)The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 31.06 2nd Support – 30.66 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
FX:XAGUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
12
Bitcoin Threat - Last chance is now! Or crash to 40k! (-63%)Bitcoin crashed by 12% in the past few days to 86,800, exactly to the last available support of the whole bull market! This is the last support; otherwise, the bull cycle is over, and we will have a tremendous crash to 40K in 2025/2026. So why is this the last support? First, we need to look at the price action because bitcoin has been going sideways since November. We can clearly see an expanding triangle on the daily timeframe. Expanding triangles are very uncomfortable patterns for traders, as the whales take liquidity on both sides (buyers and sellers). And this is exactly what happened recently: Bitcoin crashed to 86.800 below the previous swing low and took all stop-loss orders from traders while remaining in the expanding triangle continuation pattern. Bitcoin really cannot afford another crash; otherwise, the bears will break the expanding triangle, and the bull market will end. Bitcoin must go up right now! I am bullish until the end, and I still see that Bitcoin is in an uptrend. But if the price falls below 86,800, expect 40k later in 2025/2026, so this is the last chance! What is also bullish? The price is still above the main green trendline. We want to see this trendline hold until the end of the bull market. From the Elliott Wave perspective, the price is starting last wave (5) to finish an impulse wave of higher degree. 125k is a significant resistance because of the 0.618 FIB extension. So, the threat is big for Bitcoin - 125k or 40k? Let me know in the comment section! (write 125k or 40k). Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Long
by Xanrox
150
XAUUSD Analysis & Trading Plan 🔹 Market Sentiment: Gold appears bearish today, but key technical signals indicate a potential reversal. 🔹 Technical Outlook: 📊 RSI (14): Oversold, forming a bullish divergence, signaling possible buying interest. 📉 Support Zone: $2853 – $2845 (Potential bearish continuation level). 📈 Resistance Levels: $2865 / $2878 (If bullish momentum builds). 🔍 Price Action: Monitoring for reversal confirmation via candlestick patterns (bullish engulfing, pin bars). 📌 Trading Plan: ✅ Wait for bullish confirmation near $2845–$2853. ✅ If price holds support, consider long positions targeting $2865–$2878. ✅ If breakdown occurs, next support to watch: $2830. ✅ Always manage risk with stop-loss placement & position sizing. 🔔 Stay Alert! High-impact news can shift momentum quickly. 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Trade_with_Ray
Starbucks (SBUX) AnalysisCompany Overview: Starbucks NASDAQ:SBUX is executing a strategic turnaround, focusing on barista wages, store renovations, and menu optimization to enhance efficiency and customer experience. Key Catalysts: Loyalty & Digital Engagement 📊 34.6M U.S. Rewards members now drive 57% of total sales. Personalized offers and data-driven engagement are boosting customer retention and spending. China Expansion & Growth Potential 🌏 Despite a 4% decline in same-store sales, Starbucks opened 169 new stores, reinforcing its long-term commitment to China. The region remains a key growth driver, with opportunities for premiumization and digital adoption. Financial Strength & Shareholder Returns 💰 SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B in share buybacks could increase EPS by 3-4% annually. A SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B sustainability bond aligns with ESG-focused institutional investors. Investment Outlook: Bullish Case: We are bullish on SBUX above $97.00-$98.00, driven by loyalty growth, operational improvements, and capital efficiency. Upside Potential: Our price target is $160.00-$165.00, reflecting strong turnaround execution and long-term expansion. 📢 Starbucks—Brewing Growth with Digital Innovation, Expansion, and Shareholder Returns. #SBUX #StockMarket #LoyaltyEconomy
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by Richtv_official
Market Update & Crypto OutlookMarket Update & Crypto Outlook Tariffs & Economic Impact Trump is leveraging tariffs as a negotiation tactic to pressure adversaries into deals. While Europe is reluctant to concede outright, they have little choice. These tariffs are shaking the markets, and we all know how sensitive elites are about their portfolios. By hitting them where it hurts—their wallets—Trump is forcing them to the table. In my opinion, this strategy will work. Over time, Europe, Ukraine, and even China will likely agree to compromises. As these agreements unfold, market uncertainty (FUD) will ease, restoring investor confidence. Inflation & Market Sentiment Markets are pricing in expected quantitative tightening , meaning no interest rate cuts for at least two years. However, I don’t believe tariffs will fuel inflation as much as feared. Reduced government spending and a stronger USD could offset price increases, maintaining purchasing power without printing money. Until markets realize this, we’ll see uncertainty, but inflation numbers may not be as catastrophic as expected , helping stabilize sentiment. Crypto & Market Cycle The bull market isn’t over, but Bitcoin finally experienced real consolidation —without heavy ETF purchases propping it up. The ETF FOMO is over , and that’s actually a good thing. Now, Bitcoin can continue its rally naturally , setting up for its final, most parabolic leg. Altcoins & The Spark for Altseason As I mentioned before, a strong dollar combined with the upcoming $5,000 stimulus checks will ignite true altseason . This influx of cash will likely fuel a major altcoin rally later this year , after the new administration distributes the payments. Conclusion Yes, it’s been painful—altcoins are bleeding, portfolios are down, and sentiment is low. But capitulation marks the bottom . Expect a bumpy March , but April and especially May* could be parabolic , making today’s struggles a distant memory. 🚀 (Everything is on the chart, check the arrows)
by CryptoNikkoid
4
Will Ethereum drop 25%, or is a rebound to $3K next?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Ethereum, 📚🎇 Ethereum has recently displayed a distinctive candlestick pattern, repeatedly forming a parallel price channel before making sharp moves up or down and re-establishing the same structure. I anticipate at least a 25% decline, targeting $1,800, though temporary rebounds and a potential rally toward $3,000 remain possible. A key support zone, identified based on historical price action, has been marked at the channel’s lower boundary for better clarity.📚💡 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 Ethereum's pattern suggests a 25% drop to $1,800, but a rebound toward $3,000 remains possible, with key support at the channel's lower boundary. 📚🎇 Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Short
by MadWhale
11
ICP and Others 1D RSILet me be clear, alt’s are not doing anything they’re suppose to be doing as per past cycles for a lot of reasons. I think these include there’s just to damn many of them, there is not going to be a parabolic phase this cycle, and many retailers got lost in the shit for brains meme market. Unless you bought alts months/years ago the hold option is not an option. You have to play the alts as a swing trader at best, getting in for weeks/months and getting out, take your profit and run. How do you do that? One method I suggest is buy at the RSI daily low when a bullish divergence shows and sell at the RSI daily top range when a bearish divergence shows. Simple eh. So in this post I’m looking at 1D timeframe RSI which I’m a big fan of always using RSI with my forks, cycles and Elliot ta. Remember, presently, alts are going to do nothing until BTC finishes its sideways downward pa (see my previous posts about BTC) and, market cap starts upward trend again. Having said that… Looking at ICP, you can see RSI bottomed 06Feb25 (just a few days after that wicked wick on the 3rd. Since then pa has fallen yet RSI has risen and indicates a definite bearish divergence. PA could even drop some more, which I think it will because BTC’s not finished yet, and I believe the RSI will still be above the bottom of 06Fed continuing the bearish divergence. A good possible candidate for when things start an upward trend. Other alt’s that I’m seeing the same RSI divergence action are PHA, ILV, SUPER, CRV, GALA, WIF, AVAX, ALG, HBAR, AVAX, BEAM FIL, IMX, ADA, RENDER, MUBI, MAVIA, MYRIA, VRA, ORAI, AIOZ and PYR. Surprisingly, I don’t see this on BTC, ETH or SOL. Anyway, although as I said, I don’t think we’re going to see an alt rally as in the past, these alts might be ones to watch for some decent action “when” BTC gets it’s shit together and runs. My thoughts, not financial advice Oklah. Cheers
Long
by wildboar8
NZD/CAD -H1 Chart - Wedge Breakout (27.02.2025)The NZD/CAD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.8101 2nd Support – 0.8068 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
11
2/27/25: Nat Gas Report day/weekend set up:The video goes over my reasoning for the cold back half of March and front of April. The models do not see it, but I do!!! I show a good graphic of price vs storage (natgasweather.com). And as we shall soon see, it going to be all about storage in about six weeks!!! Today’s report was in line with industry experts and their projections for a larger than average withdrawal of 261 BCF of NG, bringing total storage to 1840 BCF. This more than 400 Bcf below last year’s bottom of 2,259 Bcf. They are also below the five-year average for end-of-winter storage of 1,870 Bcf. Storage inventories at 1,840 Bcf have already been drawn down by nearly 2,100 Bcf since the start of winter. That is more than 600 Bcf faster than last winter’s drawdown during the same period. As shown, the inverse relation between storage and pricing should keep prices elevated through the shoulder season. The increase in heating demand, electric power load, and historic LNG exports are eating into exiting supplies, as producers continue to show restraint and discipline. Last week EQT released their quarterly guidance stating that they do not plan to increase rig activity and will continue to throttle output on a day to day basis to meet spot demand. They are following a program of “tactical restraint”. EQT Corp. is not looking to invest in natural gas production growth in 2025 as it expects demand to eventually outpace supply and push prices higher in the coming years. The strategy differs from the one Expand Energy Corp. stated today. That it plans to add 600 MMcf/d of natural gas production by the end of the first quarter as part of a broader strategy to grow output and extend the reach of its marketing as fundamentals improve. After curbing output and delaying turning wells to sales last year in response to stagnant natural gas prices, the company plans to bring online 90 wells by the end of March as demand has strengthened. Most of this gas is headed to the Gulf coast to feed LNG facilities. Unlike EQT, who serves North East US and Mid-West US demand centers. Who are under supplied and have a lack of pipeline infrastructure. So mid and long-range pricing look positive for NG, but it is the short term where our bets are made. So, in the short term the weather will play a dominant role in the price structure. I expect a delay in the cold coming for later March and April, but my belief is still there, below average cold. My previous target for entry was $3.65 to renter my long position. Although earlier this week I had waivered after the weather models started to print a colder period for March 11-15, and was looking to enter a bit higher to $3.80-$3.85 level, but has since backed down. It is looking that the Tropical forcing is going to delay the SSW event talked about here by a week or so. It is still showing up in the long range, but the shorter range is starting to print warmer. I am now of the thinking that the original idea at the $3.65 level is the place to enter my longs. Once the models pick up the SSW event influenced cold around day 13,14, and 15. I’m back in long again! I entered four $3.85 puts Monday night after exiting my March puts and have held onto them after seeing the models run warmer for the next 15 days. I will decide tomorrow if I will exit them or hold them over the weekend. I entered at the $4.30 level and know when to walk away with money in the hand, but I will still wait until tonight’s and tomorrow’s mid-day runs to assess. If I do decide to hold over the weekend I will let it be known. Happy trading and good fortune Keep it Burning!
NYMEX:NGJ2025
by NrG_Trader
7
Gold Analysis February 27⭐️Fundamental Analysis The US dollar (USD) gained positive traction for the second consecutive day amid a slight rise in US Treasury yields and a further move away from the lowest level since December 10. This, coupled with the generally positive risk sentiment, turned out to be a major factor exerting downward pressure on the precious metal. However, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's tariff plans and trade war fears could continue to act as a bullish driver for Gold prices. Additionally, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates further amid signs of a cooling US economy and growth concerns could limit losses for the non-yielding bullion. Traders may also opt to wait for the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index due on Friday. ⭐️Technical Analysis Gold price is pushed below 2900 by the sellers. The current notable border zone is 2890 and 2905 when the candle closes above or below this border, it confirms the next trend and we can fomo when breaking out. Gold in the European session does not close above 2898, there is a high possibility of continuing to fall until the US session enters the market. The 2872 zone is considered an important support zone that can push gold prices from a long slide. Resistance when breaking the border is noted at 2920-2943.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
2
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Short ( SELL LIMIT )Technical Analysis: 1. Daily Chart: • Trend: Uptrend but showing signs of exhaustion. • MACD: Still bullish but momentum is weakening. • RSI: 53.11, indicating neutral momentum, with a possible shift to downside pressure. 2. 15-Min Chart: • Trend: Clear downtrend forming. • MACD: Bearish momentum is strengthening. • RSI: 42.74, nearing oversold but with room for further decline. 3. 3-Min Chart: • Trend: Short-term consolidation after a sell-off. • MACD: Slight bullish divergence but still negative. • RSI: 44.71, meaning there is no immediate reversal signal yet. Fundamental Analysis: • US Dollar Strength: If there is upcoming economic data supporting a stronger USD (such as rising bond yields or hawkish Fed comments), gold could decline further. • Recent Price Action: Gold has been in a long-term uptrend, but the recent pullback suggests a correction is in play. Trade Setup: • Entry: 2878 • Stop Loss (SL): 2892 (14 pips above entry) • Take Profit (TP): 2850 (28 pips below entry) • Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1 FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by KeN-WeNzEl