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Fundamental Analysis

Politics vs Profits | The US elections & Crypto Harris, Trump, or Crypto ? Only One Goes Brrrr ! 1/ The crypto market typically dips ahead of US elections In 2016, there was a 10% dip, in 2020, a 6% decline, and so far in 2024, a 6% decrease. However, these drops aren't unusual; they can happen without clear triggers on any given day or week. So attributing extra significance to the current dip due to election is overblown it’s just business as usual in crypto 2/ The election results will trigger either a market boom or bust Markets crave certainty over specific candidates. Once the election is over, investors can look ahead and allocate accordingly. In the grand scheme, Bitcoin and the wider crypto market don’t care who sits in the Oval Office. Whether it’s a red, blue, or mixed government, historically, crypto trends upward over time. 3/ Trump/Harris will be terrible for the economy While Republicans and Democrats have vast differences (more so now than ever), unity isn’t our forte. How can we bring the nation together? Maybe start with a common interest and go from there One thing’s certain, both parties have an affinity for money printing , While it’s a headache for the US’s debt situation, it benefits crypto.Why? Because a share of that newly minted money typically flows into crypto assets, which have limited or predictable inflation. In essence, money printing devalues the US dollar but bolsters the value of scarce assets (like crypto) over time.Regardless of who wins, the money printer is expected to stay active. While election may provide market clarity, it’s not a sure thing. Close elections can take days to finalize. So, if you feel like panicking, just remember this: Zoom out → stay calm → remember…In the long run, crypto tends to prevail. November is off to a roaring start with several significant market events – and that’s just in the first week! But before we look ahead, let’s review October to see where we stand: 1/ October Recap Expectations were high for ‘Moontober,’ and it delivered (though gains were modest). October saw: - $ BTC up 11%, with the broader crypto market up 10% - US Bitcoin ETFs purchased 5.83 times more CRYPTOCAP:BTC than was mined in October. This demand and limited supply helped push the total crypto market cap out of an 8 month descending trend, signaling a potential reversal. 2/ Macro Outlook Now, on to November. This week features two major macro events: - US Elections – Tuesday, Nov 5th - Rate Cuts – Thursday, Nov 7th Markets expect a 0.25% rate cut. Though smaller than September’s 0.50% cut, it could ease market pressure.Lower borrowing costs reduce debt servicing expenses, freeing up cash for spending and potentially boosting both the economy and crypto markets. The bonus? Historically, Bitcoin’s average return in November is +43% If this trend holds, we could see CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit $100k by month’s end! Cross your fingers, toes, and eyes! 3/ Token Unlocks October had $5.4B worth of token unlocks, creating potential sell pressure. Thankfully, November’s unlocks are lighter at $2.6B, which may limit that pressure. 4/ Earnings Reports This week brings earnings from: - Franklin Templeton (managers of the AMEX:EZBC Bitcoin ETF) - Arm (semiconductor architecture designers) - Qualcomm (wireless tech products) - Sony (self-explanatory) But November 20th is the main event, with Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) – the AI powerhouse – reporting earnings.That’s November in a nutshell. We’ll be here daily with updates as events unfold
Long
by moonypto
4
Trump is another name for #bitcoin's parabolic movements!🟢#Trump’s influence, especially in 2016, created a huge shift in the political arena, and this increased people’s interest in alternative financial systems like #Bitcoin. 🟢2016 was a time when Bitcoin started to be noticed by the wider public. 🟢Now, with Trump’s return, there will be a similar wave of excitement in CRYPTOCAP:BTC and the crypto markets. 🟢Interest in assets like #BTC will increase, especially when there is a lack of trust in traditional economic systems or a search for alternative solutions.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by EtherNasyonaL
Russell 2000 Rejects Demand Zone: Is It Time for Bullish Season?The Russell 2000 Index, a benchmark for small-cap stocks, is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal after testing a previous demand area. While many retail traders are still positioned for further downside, current market conditions suggest a possible contrarian opportunity for a long position. Demand Area Rejection and Retail Sentiment The Russell 2000 has recently encountered a strong demand zone that has historically acted as a reliable support area. The index's initial rejection from this level indicates potential buying interest, which could pave the way for an upward move. However, retail traders remain predominantly bearish, anticipating a continuation of the downtrend. This positioning often suggests that the majority expects more selling pressure, which could lead to a squeeze in the event of a reversal. Why the Long Setup? Contrarian Approach: When the majority of retail traders lean toward one side of the market, it often creates an opportunity to take a contrarian stance. With retail sentiment heavily skewed towards further downside, a long setup becomes increasingly appealing. Historical Seasonality: Historical data over the past decade suggests a pattern of upward price movement for the Russell 2000 during this time of the year. The index has experienced notable gains in the fourth quarter in nine of the last ten years. This seasonal trend aligns well with the current technical setup, providing further confidence in a potential bullish move. The Technical Picture From a technical perspective, the Russell 2000 has shown resilience at the current demand zone, suggesting that buyers are stepping in. For a confirmed long setup, traders should watch for bullish candlestick patterns, such as an engulfing or hammer formation, on the lower timeframes or even the daily chart. This would provide confirmation that the reversal is underway. Let’s see how the index performs over the next few sessions. Keep an eye on key levels, and feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
CME_MINI:RTY1!Long
by FOREXN1
1
GOLD → The SMAs are hinting that it's about time ... News!FX:XAUUSD is forming a phase of correction, the reason for which is the change of fundamental background. The pressure from sellers is increasing, and the market is forming a key support at this time... Disappointing NFP data was offset by hot wage inflation data. The U.S. labor market report failed to deter dollar buyers as it had limited impact on market pricing in Fed meeting expectations. Which had a negative impact on the price of gold... All eyes are now on the US presidential election on November 5, and the outcome of the Fed meeting on Thursday. Markets believe that Trump's policy will put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the dollar, while if Harris wins, the dovish policy will continue. Technically, traders are taking a wait-and-see approach. The price is forming a range, and most likely gold will trade inside this channel in the near term Resistance levels: 2745, 0.5 and 0.7 Fibo, 2758 Support levels: 2731, 2724, 2713 SMAs are tending towards each other, which could be a mixed reaction from traders. Markets are prioritizing a Republican victory, in fact, this could intensify gold's correction. But the denouement of the presidential race is tomorrow! For now, the focus is on the flat boundaries! Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
29
APEUSDT → Is the dump still in progress? Emphasis on resistanceBINANCE:APEUSDT in the dump phase updates lows. Consolidation and a slight pullback is forming before important news from the US. There is a storm ahead! The coin pump is most likely a manipulation of fundamental facts related to the launch of Level 3 blockchain. But based on the overall situation, traders do not believe in further growth ... Technically, the coin is in the channel 0.963 (deeper 1.032) -0.900, accordingly, at the time of writing, prices are diving after bitcoin as markets are betting on Trump's victory, which puts a favorable wind on this market. But the outcome could be 50/50 as the politicians in the race go toe-to-toe... I emphasize the range boundaries to form a short and medium term strategy for APE. Resistance levels: 0.963, 1.032 Support levels: 0.900, 0.875 Technically, the primary target is resistance. Further we should consider a false breakdown with a possible decline to support, which may lead to a breakout and further decline to the zone of interest 0.733 - 0.695 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:APEUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
GBPUSD → The bearish nature of the market is confirmed. News?FX:GBPUSD behavior on H4-H1 confirms the fact of a characteristic bear market. The price is updating the local minimum and testing a strong liquidity zone before strong news NFP, Unemployment Rate, ISM PMI are published today. The range of expected data is quite wide. Analysts are expecting an aggressive decline in NFP to 106K from the previous 254K. Do you feel the manipulation before the Fed rate meeting, as well as before the U.S. presidential election? It is difficult to prematurely assess the fundamental environment due to the challenging economic environment. Theoretically, the dollar may continue to feel the support in the market, while GBPUSD is sliding downwards on the background of the UK policy. Technically, the price is testing a strong support zone and a counter-trend correction is forming after capturing some liquidity. Emphasis on 1.300 - 1.305 Resistance levels: 1.298, 1.300, 1.305, 1.310 Support levels: 1.284, 1.281 The news can have quite a wide impact on the market and it all depends on the actual data. I expect to see a continuation of the fall from 1.298-1.30-1.305 as a priority. But! Unpredictable data can turn the situation around. If the currency breaks 1.305 and consolidates above this area, the trend may stagger... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
NZDUSD → Speculators waiting for news.... FX:NZDUSD is moving into consolidation after a strong and progressive fall amid a halt in the dollar index. Markets are waiting for news related to the US presidential election.... The currency pair amid strong bullish DXY is not practicing attempts to update local highs with the aim of changing the trend to a bullish one. Buyers are not ready yet, and are waiting for November 5... If Trump is elected, the dollar, supported by a pro-inflationary president, may continue to recover, which, accordingly, will manifest itself in the form of negative dynamics in the currency pair. But, most likely, with the election of a politician from the Democratic Party, the regulators are likely to continue to hold the dovish rate, in which case the NZDUSD will have a chance to change the trend. Resistance levels: 0.6031, 0.6066 Support levels: 0.5953, 0.5915 Technically, bears continue to hold the dominant position. The area 0.5915, 0.585 is a zone of interest in terms of liquidity formation, thus, there is a high probability of reaching these areas... Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
Windlas Biotech LtdIt may retest 525 - buy in 2 parts now and on retest zone SL - as per your appetite FUNDAMENTALS Market Cap ₹ 1,149 Cr. Current Price ₹ 552 High / Low ₹ 591 / 221 Stock P/E 21.8 Book Value ₹ 200 Dividend Yield 0.74 % ROCE 14.1 % ROE 10.5 % Face Value ₹ 5.00 Price to book value 2.76 Intrinsic Value ₹ 356 PEG Ratio 0.72 Price to Sales 1.91 Debt ₹ 6.31 Cr. Debt to equity 0.02 Int Coverage 69.8 Reserves ₹ 406 Cr. Promoter holding 62.8 % Pledged percentage 0.00 % EPS last year ₹ 20.0 Net CF ₹ 3.12 Cr. Price to Cash Flow 18.8 Free Cash Flow ₹ -9.01 Cr. OPM last year 11.7 % Return on assets 8.23 % Industry PE 30.7 Sales growth 21.4 %
NSE:WINDLASLong
by madhu2811
XAUUSD:5/11 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2800, support below 2716 Four-hour resistance 2800, support below 2730-16 Gold operation suggestions: Gold was flat in volatile trading yesterday. The price of Asian and European sessions was under pressure at the 2744 mark and gradually weakened. The European session fell back and stabilized at the 2732 mark and rebounded. The US session broke through the 2748 line for the second time and was under pressure and weakened. It finally closed at around 2736. The overall gold price was further under pressure at the 2750 mark and ushered in a suppressed volatile adjustment. From the current technical level of the daily line, the upper resistance is near the 2800 integer mark, and the lower short-term support is around 2716. With the advent of the US election risk event, the market is relatively stalemate. For the time being, it is still mainly short-term fast in and out. The upper pressure is 2750. The rebound below 2750 is still maintained during the day. Continue to pay attention to the gains and losses of 2730. The rapid rebound after the Asian session pierced proves that there is still a certain amount of bargain hunting buying below. We need to be cautious today. Note that 2730 has been tested for 6 times in a row. The support is gradually weakening. If it approaches 2730 again, it is also likely to accelerate the decline. In the face of the US election in the near future, the market volatility may be relatively fast. Investors are requested to pay attention to risk control, stay vigilant and pay close attention to the latest news changes. BUY:2717near SL:2714 BUY:2727near SL:2724 SELL:2750near SL:2754 The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ
1
BABY DOGE COIN more gain expectedHello and greetings to all my valued followers and crypto enthusiasts. In this IDEA, I aim to provide some points and overview of the BABYDOGEUSDT’s position. 🙌🐋 As we can observe, in recent days, there has been a remarkable surge in volume for this coin, indicating heightened interest and activity in the market. This significant increase bodes well for a bullish trend, as it suggests that more traders and investors are becoming engaged, leading to an optimistic outlook characterized by green candles moving upward on the chart. 📚✔ In addition to this promising volume, I've taken the liberty of marking key points on the technical chart for your convenience. This analysis reveals two new resistance levels that are set at a higher position compared to the previous four resistance points we identified earlier. These new levels indicate a potential shift in market dynamics and further support the notion that the price of this coin may be on the verge of a substantial increase. 🎇📚 With these developments, it’s crucial to monitor the market closely, as the combination of increased volume and the establishment of higher resistance points often signals a strong upward momentum. As traders, we should remain vigilant and ready to act, as this could be an exciting opportunity for profit in the near future. 📚💡 🧨🧨🧨 Our team's main opinion is Recent volume for this coin has surged, indicating increased interest and a bullish trend. I've identified two new resistance levels higher than before, suggesting a potential price increase. Traders should stay alert for profit opportunities. 🧨🧨🧨 Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
Long
by MadWhale
3
SHIB some educational point for investors (educational)Hello and greetings to all my valued followers and crypto enthusiasts. In this IDEA, I aim to provide some educational points and overview of the SHIBUSDT’s position. 🙌🐋 The SHIB token is one of the loudest tokens in the crypto market over the past few years, especially during the peak of the crypto market. It was a time when many investors flooded into the market, and this token experienced a significant explosive price increase. It had a large community and a very powerful tool known as media, which resulted in a massive influx of capital over a few months. Buyers at various levels and stages were purchasing this token, and their wallets saw beautiful positive green numbers, realizing substantial profits. However, before they could withdraw these profits, just like what happens to most of these upward explosions, they fell into doubt and uncertainty. This capital, like layers of sedimentary rocks formed at the bottom of the sea, became trapped and stagnant in the same purchased assets. As I mentioned, contrary to the potential this token has, it has fallen into a deep sleep, and to emerge from this slumber, a new influx of capital is needed. Nevertheless, it still holds great potential for growth. The point I want to emphasize today, or rather share from my personal experience, is to sometimes embrace the events that occur in life and give a new color to your path with this acceptance. Financial markets, much like life, embed the psychology of human beings in every layer. If you encounter failure or loss, stopping your losses at any moment is a golden win for you. I’ll keep my words short to have a deeper impact on you; just think carefully about my words and don’t repeat my past experiences. Now, I’ll provide a brief summary of the upcoming trend for the SHIB token: the price of this token is currently experiencing a range and calm cycle similar to most market trends, and with a new influx of capital, we can expect a good price increase. Summary: learn to accept your mistakes and cut the loss as soon as possible, don't steak to your pleasant moment happened in the past and respect this as well in crypto market too. Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
Education
by MadWhale
4
Bitcoin is FAILING! Why is Bitcoin the worst investment.Bitcoin is the worst investment. Where is the lambo? The price of Bitcoin in 2017 was $20,000 and the current price is $68,000 in 2024, so after 7 years, the profit is very poor - only +240%. So where is the lambo and where is the moon all the influencers are talking about? Clearly, you have been scammed. And I am not talking about altcoins, because the majority are down by 95% from their peak and will continue to 99% or to zero (rug pull). Crypto technology is not new and nothing special. This technology was brought to earth by alien entities. Crypto technology is already used on thousands of different planets in the galaxy. In fact, crypto is another version of the fiat money printing system. Where is the moon for Bitcoin? Clearly no where because the moon is a hologram and humans never landed on it. It's a hugs scam by NASA. The landing on the moon was recorded on Earth. It's not possible to physically leave Earth with current technology because the Van Allen radiation belt would burn your body. It's possible with advanced spaceships, but this technology is hidden and intentionally not available. It's also possible to leave Earth after you die or during sleep/meditation in non-physical form. So is Bitcoin bad? Bitcoin is just another form of fiat money. If you like high inflation and money printing, then you can support Bitcoin. Bitcoin is a computer program, and as any program in existence, it can be modified or rewritten. There is no such thing as a fixed supply; they can increase the supply without any issues. Why was Bitcoin brought to earth? It's part of the total control program. First bring electricity to earth, then microchips (computers), then the internet, then blockchain and AI. This technology is completely incompatible with the human body and causes major issues, which you can see around you - almost everyone is ill or has some kind of sickness. Maybe you didn't know that 100 years ago, there was no cancer, no diabetes, no anxiety, no common cold, almost nothing. Why are those alien entities? You probably heard about Greys, Reptilians, Draconians, Mantis, and Insectoids. When you look at them, you will notice their ugly appearance. They are very ugly by nature. Their intelligence is extremely low compared to humans, and they take instructions mostly from the AI. That means they lost control over themselves. You may say that their technology is advanced, but this is a deception. Their technology is based on unsuccessful design and architecture. In core, they are outdated and actually very stupid. What they do is drain your life energy during sleep and use it to feed their AI machines. They also manipulate your dreams, causing nightmares at night, manipulating your thoughts, and causing sleep paralysis. For each like, one alien dies! Hit the like/boost button now. Thanks that you help humanity! Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response.
Short
by Xanrox
161
THE LEGEND: CANDLE SKEW ART TRADING “Every 5 candles reveal a directional shift—either up or down. The red skew label, starting at ‘1,’ marked the initial phases 1 and 2 wave crashes. My candle skew model projected a 5-candle downtrend starting from that first label. Observe how each downtrend phase aligned with significant price drops. On the upside, each green skew signals a 5-candle uptrend, starting from the green label. The latest green sequence shows a powerful 5-candle rally, set to close on July 24, 2025. Notice the most recent green skew label with a long lower wick—a bullish signal and clear sign of rising momentum. There’s no red skew in sight, and with 1 day and 8 hours left, the next bullish candle is primed to bring a massive price wave. If a skew color misaligns, it’s a reminder that no single signal operates alone. Price action, among other codes, is crucial for confirming trends. Each candle’s context must be meticulously analyzed to get the full picture. What I’m showing here isn’t just the details—it’s a view of the larger market forces at work, pointing to what lies ahead.”
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
12
Hidden Bullish Divergence: History in the MakingWe’re looking at a hidden divergence here, but what does it mean-bearish or bullish? Let’s analyze. In this case, we see the candlestick pattern showing a low followed by a higher low, while the RSI shows a low followed by an even lower low. This setup indicates strength beneath the surface, pointing to a hidden bullish divergence. Essentially, while price action suggests a slight downtrend, the RSI reveals underlying buying pressure, hinting at a potential bullish move ahead. “There are two volatility contractions, each nearly aligned with two dark pool signals, forming a similar pattern.”
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
37
Don't trade emotionallyAt the moment, all instruments are showing significant movements. This often leads to rushed and emotional decisions. If you've decided not to trade during news events, wait for things to settle down and then look for the right opportunity. If you do choose to trade at these times, strictly follow your risk management rules. Today, there may be many surprises and misleading movements. Don’t try to achieve everything in a single day; focus on long-term success!
by ForexTrendline
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 6, 2024 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 16:00 EET. EUR - ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks EURUSD: The EUR/USD exchange rate is declining in Asian trading on Wednesday. The US dollar is gaining ground as voters favour former US President Donald Trump in the upcoming US presidential election. The polls are now closing in 15 states, including Arizona, Michigan and Wisconsin. Mr. Trump is currently outperforming Mr. Biden in rural areas, while Ms. Harris is outperforming him in suburban areas. The strengthening of Trump's trade position is providing further support to the US dollar (USD) against the euro (EUR). Steve Englander, head of G10 global currency research and North American macro strategy at Standard Chartered Bank in New York, commented, "At present, the outlook appears to favour Trump." Mr. Englander further noted that throughout October and early November, the Trump trade had favored a stronger dollar and higher yields. The outcome of the US presidential election will be a key factor influencing the dollar's momentum this week. However, investors will be monitoring the Federal Reserve's (the Fed) monetary policy decision, which is scheduled for announcement on Thursday. In Europe, positive Eurozone GDP data prompted traders to reduce their bets on a larger-than-usual interest rate cut at the December meeting. The market anticipates that the ECB will cut the deposit rate by the usual 25 basis points (bps) in December. nvestors will be keeping an eye on ECB President Christine Lagarde's speech on Wednesday. Trading recommendation: Trading mainly by Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Bitcoin 6-12 months analysisBitcoin experienced a large price increase in the past few months, as you had analyzed the price of Bitcoin from $20,000 in the past, this time I will also analyze the path of Bitcoin from the price of $64,000, Bitcoin experienced a total increase up to $80,000. but in two different cases, Bitcoin can decrease to the price limit of $50,000 and move from this price to $80,000, or in the same price and range that it is at this moment, directly to 80. $000 moves and reaches this price, I consider targets for traders which are $70,000, $75,000 and $80,000 respectively for this analysis. In addition to this increase, consider that all digital currencies react positively to this increase because all digital currencies have a positive correlation with Bitcoin, only the percentage of correlation between them is different. Sasha Charkhchian
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by sashacharkhchian
1