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Fundamental Analysis

Xauusd Expecting Selling movement Gold XAU/USD on the 15-minute chart shows a clear rejection from a key resistance zone near $3332 $3335 marked by the blue rectangle Price initially spiked into this zone but quickly reversed forming a bearish engulfing pattern highlighted with a red circle indicating strong selling pressure Following this rejection the market structure shifted to lower highs and lower lows suggesting the beginning of a bearish continuation pattern A temporary pullback occurred but failed to break above the previous swing high reinforcing bearish sentiment Projected Move Price is currently forming a descending pattern and is expected to break lower Target 1 $3312 a key support and previous consolidation level. Target 2: $3295 a stronger support zone highlighted by the black box likely the final bearish target if momentum continues Conclusion As long as the price remains below the resistance zone bearish momentum is favored. A clean break below $3312 could accelerate the drop toward the second target Watch for confirmation with bearish candlesticks and volume near support levels
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GOLD_FORCAST_PROVIDER
GBPAUD – Swing Trade OpportunityGBPAUD has confirmed another bounce from long-term trendline support, combining technical signals with a supportive macro backdrop to set up a bullish swing opportunity. Technical Highlights: 🔹Trendline support holding with multiple rejections, reinforcing bullish structure. 🔹Stochastic RSI has crossed up from oversold, signaling bullish momentum building. 🔹RSI recovering above 45, showing improving sentiment. 📰 Fundamental Backdrop: The Bank of England remains hawkish on inflation, keeping GBP supported. Australian Dollar under pressure as China growth concerns weigh on commodity demand. Broader risk-on environment limits AUD’s safe-haven appeal compared to GBP. 🎯 Bullish Targets: ✔️ TP1: 2.0727 – First key resistance zone for partial take profit. ✔️ TP2: 2.0874 – Major resistance and next swing target. ✔️ TP3: 2.1000+ – Full potential if momentum extends. 🔒 Stop-Loss: Below 2.0461 – Clear invalidation if support fails. 📝 This setup provides a healthy Risk/Reward ratio with defined invalidation and multi-target upside. Manage actively as the trade develops.
Long
by FinanceProSignals
XAU/USD remains subdued beneath 3352, with downward pressure perXAU/USD Below Pivot, Eyes on 3352 for Bullish Clarity Gold remains pressured under the 3347 pivot and the 3352 resistance, aligning with the 1h–2h supply zone. Despite brief upside attempts, price action still struggles to gain bullish momentum. A clear 4H close above 3352 is essential to confirm any bullish shift toward 3365. Until then, the sentiment stays bearish, especially with repeated rejections from the pivot and supply zone. Failure to reclaim 3352-3365 could trigger further downside towards 3320 and 3295, with the support line sitting at 3295. ⸻ Key Levels Resistance: 3352 · 3365 · 3400 Support: 3320 · 3295 · 3264 Pivot: 3347
OANDA:XAUUSD
by THEOGFX
RSKD - breakout confirmed, now waiting for retestRiskified (RSKD) shows a textbook breakout setup: daily triangle plus 4H bullish flag. Price already broke out and is now retesting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $5.21, which also matches the flag resistance flip and EMA cluster. This is a clean buy zone with strong technical alignment. Volume spiked during the breakout, trend structure remains intact, and moving averages are converging — usually a precursor to strong moves. The current pullback is orderly, and if buyers show strength on this retest, the price could target $6.00, then $6.54, and potentially $7.25 (1.618 extension). Fundamentally, Riskified offers fraud prevention tech for e-commerce. The business is benefiting from global growth in online transactions and improved margin control. While still unprofitable, recent quarters showed progress toward positive operating leverage and strong client acquisition. Tactical plan: — Entry on confirmation from $5.21 retest — TP1: $6.00 — TP2: $6.54 — TP3: $7.25 — SL: below $4.90 or $4.43 support zone You’ve been watching this one. The triangle broke. The pullback is clean. Maybe it’s time to stop watching and start participating.
NYSE:RSKDLong
by TotoshkaTrades
2
Skeptic | SUI Breakdown: Precision Triggers for Spot & FuturesWelcome, traders, its Skeptic! 😎 Ready to unlock SUI’s next big move? I’m delivering a pro-level breakdown of SUI, the #12 crypto with a $10.4B market cap.This Analysis dives into recent performance, ecosystem growth, and technical triggers for spot and futures trading, all rooted in cycle-based strategies. Trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason , Let’s conquer SUI! 🚖 Recent Performance & Key Events SUI , trading at $ 2.98 with a $ 10.4 billion market cap, ranks as the # 12 cryptocurrency globally. A Layer-1 blockchain using the Move programming language, it boasts parallel transaction processing with over 160,000 TPS. In July 2025, SUI showed strong momentum, surging 10% in 24 hours and 12% weekly after bottoming in the $2.30–$2.40 range. However, a 44 million token unlock ($122M) on July 1 introduces potential selling pressure. 📊 Technical & Market Position SUI’s Total Value Locked ( TVL ) reached $ 2.1 billion in early 2025, ranking it the 8th largest blockchain by TVL. Its DeFi ecosystem is exploding, with stablecoin volume jumping from $ 400M to $ 1.2B . Bitcoin integration and a Microsoft partnership bolster institutional adoption, signaling strong fundamentals despite volatility. Technical Analysis Daily Timeframe The Daily (HWC) is in an uptrend, holding above the upward trendline (marked in blue). The major trend remains bullish unless this trendline breaks. However, the MWC is bearish, with declining volume during recent price rises suggesting a secondary corrective trend rather than a primary bullish trend. As Mark Andrew Lim notes in The Handbook of Technical Analysis, rising prices need increasing volume to confirm trader conviction and bullish momentum. Low volume indicates trend weakness, typical of corrective moves. Spot Trigger (Long): Break of the downward corrective trendline with consolidation above resistance at $ 3.0408 . The last series breaking this trendline saw 85 % growth, but don’t rush in. Confirm with: Falling BTC.D (Bitcoin dominance). Total 3 long triggers (market-wide altcoin signals). SUI/BTC uptrend, with an initial trigger on breaking its downward trendline and a primary trigger at 0.00003998 resistance. Key Insight: Volume confirmation is critical. Without a volume surge on breakout, the risk of fakeouts is high. 4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers) On the 4-hour chart, if price reacts again at resistance $ 3.0890 , you can go long on a breakout, confirmed by RSI entering oversold. If it rejects sharply, the next long trigger is a break of $3.1606. For shorts, a break below support at $2.6593 is a strong trigger, especially with volume confirmation. Pro Tip: Volume is king for all triggers. Without a volume spike on breakout, fakeout risk is high. Always apply capital management—1%–2% risk per trade to stay safe. Final Vibe Check This SUI Analysis equips you with precise triggers for spot ($3.0408) and futures ($3.0890/$3.1606 long, $2.6593 short) trading, leveraging cycle-based strategies. Want more cycle setups or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this analysis sharpened your edge, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️ 💬 Let’s Talk! Which SUI trigger are you eyeing? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
by SkepticWise
1
7/3/25 - $meta - Still a buy sub $1k/shr7/3/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:META Still a buy sub $1k/shr - reality is, why would you bet against zuck - his platforms are hitting on all strides. he is willing to internally build the best AI when he's falling behind by hiring the best talent and it is a LOT cheaper to hire for collectively $500 mm than say pay billions for a developed product and internalize it. great move Zuck! - and their ad tools are second to none and don't suffer as much from "Google search" narrative as the ecosystem is one of those that's incrementally chipping away from Google. - at mid 20s + PE, the stock is not "cheap" but it's actually quite affordable for the environment we're in - some market POV: I think we've seen the "garden variety" pullback already. believe it or not... when you look at the individual names from recent highs, we've seen a lil 3 to 10% shuffle and not all on the same day (take for instance the TSLA dip the other day, large, and not on a day where nasdaq or other Mag7's were red). - i continue to see small caps failing on large cap peers - i see more money still floating lager caps higher at the expense of small caps, even tho it might look the opposite in the immediate term (this is a story as old as time... newbs chase quick thrills, get squashed and can afford less of the assets they should be buying to begin with). so word to the wise: if you've made some nice tendies lately on slightly more degen plays... buying stuff like Mag7's or even indices at highs is not necessarily a "bad" buy. - anyway i like NASDAQ:META at sub $1k and sub 35x PE into the print - would like to own more, so would be buying dips - but think this is a winner in 2H V
NASDAQ:METALong
by VROCKSTAR
1
ServiceNow Is Up Some 55% Since April. What Might Happen Next?ServiceNow NYSE:NOW has risen nearly 55% in the past three months as the AI-focused business-management firm and member of the S&P 500 SP:SPX gained ground ahead of and following its well-received Q1 earnings. With Q2 earnings due out later this month, what does the stock's fundamental and technical analysis say now? Let's take a look: ServiceNow's Fundamental Analysis For those unfamiliar with NOW, the company sells an AI-powered platform that links clients' workers and devices to a firm's work processes and data. This helps increase productivity, improve efficiency and maximize business outcomes. ServiceNow's cloud-based platform helps businesses digitize workflows, manage client relationships and reimagine customer experience. The company said on Wednesday that it will report Q2 results on July 23, which could be a key date for the stock. After all, NOW rose 15.5% on heavy volume the day after management released Q1 earnings on April 23 after the bell. As for Q2, the Street is looking for NOW to post $3.57 of adjusted earnings per share on $3.12 billion of revenue. That would compare well to the $3.13 in adjusted EPS and $2.6 billion of revenue that ServiceNow reported in the same quarter last year. Perhaps most importantly, NOW had $10.3 billion of performance obligations as of Q1's end. That was good for 22% year-over-year growth, which bodes well for the company's future. That said, 24 of the 35 sell-side analysts that I found who cover NOW have lowered their Q2 earnings estimates since the quarter began, while only 11 have raised their outlooks. That's typically bearish. ServiceNow's Technical Analysis Now let's check out NOW's chart going back to January and running through earlier this week: image]https://www.tradingview.com/x/T9PMI1X8/ Readers will see that ServiceNow hit an $1,198.09 all-time intraday high in late January, then went into what appears to be a fairly standard "cup-with-handle" pattern from there. That's generally considered a bullish set-up. Another bullish consideration is the so-called "golden cross" that the stock saw in late June. That's when ServiceNow's 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line) crossed above the stock's 200-day SMA (denoted with a red line) at the chart's right. Lastly, the bulls might point to a still-unfilled gap that NOW has from late January. Stocks don't always fill in such gaps, but historically, most eventually do. However, let's now look at the other side of the coin -- the potentially bearish signals that the above chart is showing. First, the "handle" part of NOW's "cup-with-handle" pattern has flattened out somewhat and really is rather shallow. Some technicians feel that the deeper the handle, the stronger the rally that follows. So, some might see ServiceNow's shallower handle in this pattern as not especially bullish. Meanwhile, NOW's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is neutral, but appears to be weakening. Similarly, the stock's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) looks slightly bearish here. The histogram of the ServiceNow's 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted by blue field) is below zero and has been since late May. This can typically be seen as bearish. On top of that, the stock's 12-day EMA (the black line) and its 26-day EMA (the gold line) appear to be wrestling for the upper hand, although they both remain in positive territory. The bulls will be rooting for the 12-day EMA to win out, while the bears will be cheering for the 26-day EMA. Add it all up and ServiceNow looks like it's well-positioned to go ... somewhere. The question is where. The stock's upside pivot stands at $1,046 in the chart above, having been created by the cup-with-handle pattern. That's somewhat below the $1,052.77 that ServiceNow was trading at intraday Thursday, but the stock hasn't yet held that level. NOW's downside pivot would be its 200-day SMA (around $969 in the chart above). Losing that support line would likely force portfolio managers who are invested in the name to reduce their long-side exposure. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in NOW at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
NYSE:NOW
by moomoo
1
7/3/25 - $sym - Crackhead central7/3/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:SYM Crackhead central - it's almost laughable that i'm hedging my "risky" BTC, NXT, GAMB and OSCR/HIMS positions with - the most crackheaded stocks, QUBT, now SYM, CVNA - i'm really not sure if the chart bros will win this one - but given the risk/ reward merits stepping up a position here in an effort to offset any change in mkt beta... where the magnification is likely 5-10x to 1... consider me interested - for those of you who are interested in the "fundamentals" i think the only one that's driving this stock is softbank's involvement - kind of like a PE shop - but worse - so enjoy it while it lasts - but this stock is ultimately going to sub $10. you can bet on it. in the meanwhile... who knows. 50% 100% 1000% higher? i'm not the one to ask. ask one of these high fiving chart "investors" - i'm just here playing the long game - and just warning you... the real robotics company worth owning is NASDAQ:TSLA , even if it's worth a heck of a lot more (for a reason) V
NASDAQ:SYMShort
by VROCKSTAR
Safe Entry Zone BTCBTC Current Movement Ranging. P.High's (Previous Highs) acts as good Support and resistance level. 4hh & 1D Green Zone Is Buying Zone. 4h Red Zone is Selling Zone. If No Buying Power showed at 4h Zone BTC will target 1D is safest Entry Zone. if price went above Red Zone BTC Movement will change to Up-Movement and Vice Versa Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M/1h TF when Marubozu/Doji Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5/1h Fibo Level of the Marubozu/Doji Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Faisalzor
NewtekOne | NEWT | Long at $10.92NewtekOne NASDAQ:NEWT is a financial holding company providing business and financial solutions to small- and medium-sized businesses across the U.S. Services include Newtek Bank, business lending, SBA loans, electronic payment processing, payroll and benefits, insurance, and technology solutions. While the stock has taken a major hit recently, insiders have scooped up over $1 million in shares with an average price of $11.70. Currently trading at a P/E of 5.6x, forward P/E of 6.6x, and near book value, the stock may be poised for a move up soon with the anticipation of interest rates dropping. Revenue is up 24.93% from $271.15M (2023) to $338.73M (2024) and earnings are forecast to grow 11.63% per year, but the company does have a high debt-to-equity ratio (over 5x). Tariffs could indirectly impact NASDAQ:NEWT by increasing costs for its small- and medium-sized business clients, particularly in industries reliant on imports (e.g., manufacturing, retail). Higher costs may reduce client profitability, increasing loan default risks or reducing demand for Newtek’s lending and payment processing services. But an interest rate reversal may greatly limit the impact (longer-term). So, at $10.92, NASDAQ:NEWT is in a personal buy zone. Targets into 2027: $12.00 (+9.9%) $14.00 (+28.2%)
NASDAQ:NEWTLong
by WorthlessViews
BTCUSD Breaks and Holds Above Key Resistance, Poised for New AllBTCUSD Breaks and Holds Above Key Resistance, Poised for New All-Time High BTC price has held above the descending resistance line after breaking out yesterday, indicating a confirmed breakout. This suggests that bitcoin's price may continue its upward trend sustainably. The BTC price is currently testing the prior high at 110500. A decisive close above this level would provide further bullish confirmation signal, following its earlier formation of a Higher Low. A break above the all-time high at 112000 would significantly ignite bullish momentum. From an Elliott wave perspective, Bitcoin has recently completed a simple corrective wave consolidation, characterized by its three sub-waves. This completion strongly indicates that the price is now moving in an impulsive uptrend. In terms of on-chain analysis, the supply held by LTH is at an all-time high of approximately 14 million bitcoins, indicating coin accumulation. This market characteristic represents an accumulation phase, which is typically the beginning of a bullish trend before prices accelerate during the distribution phase in the market cycle analysis. Furthermore, the Balance on Exchange has fallen to its lowest level in four and a half years, at approximately 3 million bitcoins. This shows a trend of coins being withdrawn from exchanges for storage in personal wallets or custodians for long-term holding purposes, further reducing the circulating supply in the market. Fundamentally, the market's growing acceptance of this asset class is clear. More regulators are embracing it, and rules are continuously easing at both state and country levels. This suggests it's increasingly viewed as a conventional investment rather than a speculative tool. The Fed's rate cut cycle is not yet over. As the central bank potentially eases further, risky assets like Bitcoin also have room to grow. Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by KrisadaYoonaisil
🇺🇸 Today's U.S. Data: Tariffs Starting to Bite?U.S. Data Journal – July 3, 2025 Today's U.S. economic releases showed a stronger-than-expected labor market, with Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) surprising to the upside, alongside increases in factory orders and a solid ISM Services PMI print. The combination of these indicators points to persistent demand strength across both goods and services. Moreover, the upward trend in factory orders and service sector activity suggests that tariffs are beginning to feed into cost structures, adding inflationary pressure from the supply side. While the labor market remains resilient, the risk is that sticky input costs—partly tariff-driven—may complicate the disinflation narrative and potentially delay any dovish policy shift from the Fed.
TVC:DXY
by mehrshad31
DXY Quite IndecisivePrice on TVC:DXY after having broken below the Swing Low on June 12th @ 97.602 has created a lot of Indecision! Starting with a 5 Day Long Consolidation period as a Rectangle Pattern Then after the Bearish Breakout on June 30th due to the Federal Reserve mentioning possibly leaning towards Interest Rate Cuts, we see the TVC:DXY form a Expanding Range Now at the Swing Low and above all the Consolidation or Indecision, we see a Volume Imbalance in the 97.5 - 97.6 area. Fundamentally, USD has been mostly beating expectations with: - Manufacturing and Services PMI's showing Expansion - Job Openings higher then expected - Unemployment Claims Low - Unemployment Rate dropping ( 4.1% ) - Factory Orders Rising Non-Farm Employment however hurt USD with -33K instead of the 99K forecasted With all the Tariff uncertainties and how they will affect Inflation continues to worry markets with only a few deals having been ironed out, like the 20% Tariff on Vietnam ( down from 46% ) before the July 9th Deadline. www.tradingview.com Now with good Employment News out with numbers showing Strong Job Reports, this eases labor fears and could help remove some of the expectations of the amount of Interest Rate cuts this year. www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com
TVC:DXY
by Novi_Fibonacci
Safe Entry Zone IONQStock Movement Up. 1H Green Zone is Safe Entry Zone. Blue Lines Are Previous Highs Consider As Good Resistances. Red Zone is Strongest Resistance. Watch out for any selling pressure and reversal candles at these Resistances to Secure Profit Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 1H TF when Marubozu/PinBar Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
NYSE:IONQ
by Faisalzor
Is Bitcoin Still a Hedge? What the Iran Israel Conflict RevealsAs geopolitical tension between Iran and Israel escalates, markets are once again gripped by fear. Oil prices have surged, gold has rallied, and investors are rebalancing portfolios in anticipation of further instability. Amidst this backdrop, Bitcoin's behavior is raising fresh questions about its role as a geopolitical hedge. Bitcoin’s Initial Reaction: A Spike and a Slip When the first reports of conflict broke, Bitcoin spiked alongside gold. Many hailed this as proof that BTC was becoming a reliable safe haven. However, just days later, prices retraced by roughly 6 to 7 percent as volatility intensified. As usual, Bitcoin is still highly sentiment driven. While gold held its gains, BTC mirrored risk on assets with intraday volatility, undermining its hedge narrative. BTC vs. Traditional Safe Havens Let’s compare Bitcoin’s performance to: • Gold: Continued upward trend, record ETF inflows • Oil: Strong rally due to supply shock fears • USD: Moderate gains as a traditional reserve asset Bitcoin’s pullback during peak uncertainty suggests that in times of extreme stress, traditional assets still dominate flight to safety behavior. What the On Chain Data Shows Interestingly, on chain activity also hints at caution. Exchange inflows increased slightly after the conflict news, suggesting profit taking or reduced conviction among holders. Moreover, stablecoin volume spiked in Middle Eastern regions — a signal that users may prefer capital preservation over speculation during geopolitical risk. The Takeaway: Not There Yet Bitcoin is maturing, and its response to global events is evolving. But this conflict reveals it is not yet a full fledged hedge like gold or the dollar. For investors, the lesson is clear: BTC can act as a partial hedge in medium term macro trends, but during sharp geopolitical escalations, traditional assets still lead. What Do You Think? Is Bitcoin still on track to become a true safe haven asset? Or will it remain a risk sensitive speculative instrument?
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by Farzadvajihi
1
$AAL – Turbulence Over? Prepping for Altitude Reclaim (13.76+ Ta✈️ 📅 Date: July 3, 2025 | 🧠 Source: VolanX Hybrid Predictor + SMC Confluence 📍 WaverVanir International LLC 🧭 Macro Backdrop Fed on Pause, Dollar Cooling → Creates tailwinds for airlines by lowering hedging costs and boosting consumer demand. Jet Fuel Prices Stable → Crude hovering under $85 keeps operating costs from spiking. Summer Travel Boom → TSA throughput at 2024 highs, with international and premium segments driving demand. Domestic may lag, but offset by credit card spend rev share. 🧾 Fundamentals ✅ Q1 2025 Net Income Beat: $1.7B FCF, strong card-linked revenue via Barclays/Citi partnerships. 🔁 Deleveraging Story: Reduced net debt, capital discipline post-2023 downcycle. 🧮 P/E Compression Reversal: At 4.9x forward earnings, upside mean reversion likely. 📊 Credit Upgrade Watch: S&P hinted at revision if cash flow stabilizes above 3 quarters. 💬 Sentiment + VolanX Model 🤖 LSTM-GRU Hybrid Predictor: Signals an accelerating uptrend toward $13.70+ by early August. 📈 Model Stats: 50 Epochs | Batch 16 | 100 LSTM / 80 GRU Units | Dropout 0.3 🧠 Sentiment Score: +0.10 → Reflects mildly bullish tone from media & institutional coverage. 🧮 SMC + Fibonacci Confluence 📉 Breakout Confirmed above descending trendline & prior CHoCH zone at $11.70–11.86. 🔥 Liquidity Sweep Complete below $10.30 – smart money accumulation evident. 🎯 Next Zones: Fibo 1.0 → $12.45 Fibo 1.236 → $13.27 🔱 Equilibrium Zone → $13.76 (main target) Fibo 1.382 → $13.78 = institutional exit likely 🎯 Trade Plan – Probabilistic Setup Element Value Entry Zone $11.75–11.90 SL Below $11.10 (2.5% risk) TP1 $12.45 TP2 $13.27 TP3 $13.76 (equilibrium) RR Ratio ~3.8R (high-conviction) Confidence 🔵 76% short-term uptrend probability (VolanX LSTM) 🛡️ Risk Management Size for 0.5–1% capital risk if SL triggered. Avoid overleveraging due to geopolitical/airline sensitivity. Reduce exposure if $12.05 rejects on volume. 📌 Summary AAL is breaking out of a multi-month compression with fuel prices in check, debt reduced, and passenger volume growing. VolanX AI expects a move to $13.76 with high probability—if confirmed, this trade offers strong asymmetric upside into late July / early August. 📉 Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Educational use only. 🏛 WaverVanir International LLC | AI-Driven Institutional Strategy 🔗 Follow for SMC + AI-backed trading intelligence.
NASDAQ:AALLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Gold Ready to Explode Ahead of NFP and Trump’s “Super Bill”?Gold Ready to Explode Ahead of NFP and Trump’s “Super Bill”? | Global Macro Focus 🌍 MACRO UPDATE – What the World is Watching: Gold continues its bullish trajectory as the USD weakens sharply following last night’s disappointing ADP jobs report (-33K vs expected +99K). This soft labour data has fueled further speculation that the Fed could begin rate cuts as early as September, with a 90% probability now being priced in. In the political arena, Donald Trump’s recent statement that House Republicans are aligned to push forward a so-called “Super Bill” has triggered fresh uncertainty around US fiscal policy. This could elevate safe-haven demand for gold, especially if it leads to increased tensions over debt ceilings or government spending. With the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) due later today and the UK and US markets heading into a long weekend, traders should brace for heightened volatility and liquidity gaps. 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – What the Charts Are Saying: Overall Trend: Bullish structure remains intact as gold breaks and holds above 3365. EMA Setup: Price trades above EMA 13/34/89/200 – signaling strong upside momentum. Fair Value Gap (FVG): 3374 – 3388 area remains an unfilled FVG zone; possible magnet for short-term price action. Key Resistance Levels: 3365, 3374, 3380, 3388, 3393 Key Support Levels: 3343, 3335, 3325, 3316, 3304 Trendline & Structure: The ascending trendline from 3316 remains unbroken, providing a potential bounce point if price corrects. 🎯 TRADE SETUPS – Strategic Zones to Watch: 🔵 Buy (Short-Term Scalp): Entry: 3335 – 3333 SL: 3329 TP: 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 🟢 Buy Zone (Swing Perspective): Entry: 3316 – 3314 SL: 3310 TP: 3320 → 3336 → 3350 → 3360 🔴 Sell Scalp (Reversal Zone) Entry: 3374 – 3376 SL: 3380 TP: 3370 → 3360 → 3350 ⚠️ Sell Zone (High-Risk Rejection): Entry: 3388 – 3390 SL: 3394 TP: 3380 → 3370 → 3360 🔎 NOTE FOR GLOBAL TRADERS: With UK markets partially closed and US session shortened ahead of the Independence Day holiday, liquidity may be thin and volatility could spike unexpectedly. Always place stop-loss and avoid emotional entries near key resistance. 💬 Do you believe gold can break and close above the FVG zone (3388) before the weekend volatility hits full throttle? Let’s discuss.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
7/3: Focus on Short Positions, Watch Support Near 3320Good morning, everyone! Yesterday, gold tested support near 3328 but failed to break below it effectively. The price then rebounded toward the 3350 level. At today’s open, gold briefly extended to around 3365 before pulling back. Technically: On the daily (1D) chart, the price remains capped by the MA20, with no confirmed breakout yet. Support levels below are relatively dense, and moving averages are increasingly converging, suggesting a breakout in either direction is approaching. Key intraday support lies in the 3321–3316 zone. On the 2-hour chart, we are seeing the first signs of a bearish divergence, indicating a need for technical correction. Much like Tuesday’s setup, there are two possible scenarios: If 3342–3334 holds, the price may extend slightly higher, intensifying divergence before pulling back; If 3337 breaks, we could see a drop toward 3320, where correction would occur through a direct decline. From a fundamental perspective, several high-impact U.S. data releases are scheduled for the New York session, which may increase volatility and make trading more challenging. Trading suggestion: For most traders, the safest approach is to wait for data to be released, then look for oversold rebounds or overbought corrections following sharp market reactions. This style requires patience and strong risk control—avoid being overly aggressive or greedy, as such behavior can easily lead to trapped positions or even liquidation.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Forecast USDJPY Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, and I do not encourage anyone to follow my analysis blindly. I’m simply sharing my personal market view based on my strategy, experience, and interpretation of the data. Everyone is responsible for their own decisions. The USD/JPY market has likely just exited its accumulation phase after several weeks of quiet consolidation. What we’re seeing now is a clear buy-side manipulation orchestrated by major players. Despite weak fundamentals for the dollar — disappointing NFP, rising unemployment, and a slowdown in services — price exploded to the upside, trapping early sellers and drawing in retail buyers through a false breakout. Technically, the market is overbought on H1 and H4, with a hidden bearish divergence extending all the way from the historical highs of 1971, combined with a confirmed bearish reversal divergence on the weekly chart. On top of that, institutional speculators (COT data) are heavily short USD/JPY, reinforcing the idea that this rally is not genuine but engineered for liquidity grabs. I’m not rushing in. I’m waiting for 146.00, a key psychological and structural level where this manipulation could reach its peak. That zone would likely mark the end of the fake bullish move and the beginning of a real distribution phase. All signals — technical, macro, and behavioral — are aligned. This could be one of the best short opportunities on USD/JPY in months.
Short
by Kanounsyphax