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Fundamental Analysis

HTF SOLETH bullish thesis has strengthened. Flippening possibleWe previously made a medium time frame analysis on SOLETH and predicted a reversal of SOL v ETH we have successfully reached those targets and now have reassessed. Based on the metrics, technicals, not even mentioning a variety of onchain indicators and whale accumulation we believe SOL is going to continue on its upward movement against ETH. Charts don't lie. We used to be very bullish and supportive of ETH and charts looked promising (see prior analyses), but ETH is now definitely in weak bullish mode at best or neutral mode at worst, while SOL is in a strong bullish mode. Based on fib and some other indicators we can expect SOL to outperform ETH by 2.5-3x this cycle. We are now convinced that the flippening long-awaited by the Ethereum community is bound to happen this cycle. However, not the way they wanted. Instead of ETH flipping BTC, it seems ETH will be flipped by SOL. Position yourself accordingly.
Long
by Goldsworth
Classic Tuesday #5**Trading Journal Entry** **Market Session:** London Session **Trade Analysis:** - **Setup:** Missed recognizing the 15-minute Order Block (OB) immediately. - **Market Behavior:** The market nearly completed the 5 Average Daily Range (ADR). - **Action Taken:** Decided not to revisit the trade, even though it would have filled and captured significant pips. **Reflection:** I prioritized discipline over impulsiveness by adhering to my trading rules. While I didn’t capitalize on this trade, my analysis was incredibly precise, especially regarding Tuesday’s price action. I feel a growing confidence in my ability to understand market behavior, particularly within the London session. **Emotions:** Despite being right in my market analysis, I’m reminded that trading isn’t solely about being right; it’s about following a plan. My accurate read of Tuesday’s price action highlights that I’m truly starting to understand how price moves. This fuels my belief that I’m ready to take my understanding of the London session even further. **Lessons Learned:** 1. Spotting key levels like 15-minute OBs earlier can improve my entries. 2. Maintaining discipline is more valuable than chasing potential profits. 3. The market often rewards preparation and consistency over impulsiveness. **Action Plan:** 1. Study 15-minute OB setups and their significance in the London session. 2. Review past trades to identify patterns and improve recognition speed. 3. Continue building a disciplined trading mindset to ensure longevity and success. **Next Steps:** - Spend time analyzing previous London session movements. - Focus on identifying high-probability setups based on my rules. - Keep journaling each trade to track progress and growth.
Short
by Bufalodorato
EURUSD Potential Yearly Swing (Bearish Momentum) Here’s my outlook for EURUSD in the following few months: We are likely to see some bullish movement toward the Bearish Order Block between 1.13000-1.13500, which aligns with the top of a descending channel from 2003. However, given the ongoing economic challenges in Europe, I anticipate a bearish trend for the euro over the next year, resembling the pattern we saw during 2021-2022. The euro is showing multiple signs of weakness, so let’s remain patient and focus on capitalizing on smaller trades. For those aiming to catch the longer-term swing trade that could extend for years, patience is key, it's approaching soon.
Short
by RobertTMFX
7
US30 Key Event,Technical & Structures,Trading Scenario'sKey Events to Monitor WEF Annual Meetings (Jan 20–24 Whole Week) ⦁Any unexpected global economic policy announcements could impact market sentiment and cause sudden volatility. Unemployment Claims - Jan 23 (High Impact) Previous: 217K | Forecast: 220K ⦁A lower-than-expected value may signal economic strength, likely pushing US30 higher. A higher-than-expected value could lead to a downside move. Crude Oil Inventories Previous: 2.0m ⦁Impacts energy and manufacturing sectors. A significant deviation from forecasts may cause volatility, indirectly affecting US30. Flash Manufacturing PMI (Forecast: 49.4) Friday, Jan 24 (High Impact) ⦁Below 50 signals contraction, which could pressure US30 lower. Flash Services PMI (Forecast: 56.8) ⦁A strong reading here can offset manufacturing weakness, supporting bullish sentiment. Existing Home Sales ⦁Measures consumer confidence and spending; a significant miss may lead to bearish moves. Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment (Previous: 73.2) ⦁Strong consumer sentiment is bullish for US30. Tips for Events and Levels Interaction ⦁During Unemployment Claims and PMIs, watch for false breakouts around key levels like 43,375 and 43,700. ⦁Pay attention to consumer sentiment data: Strong data could cause a surge to resistance; weak data might lead to sell-offs. ⦁Adjust stop-losses wider during high-impact news to avoid being stopped out by volatility. Technical Analysis: Levels and Structure Resistance Zones 43,250 – 43,700 (Scalping/Day trading Resistance Levels) ⦁Price faced rejection at this resistance Level 43,250 after the Break above, forming a key short-term supply area. ⦁IF its holds above, More buys to next resistance @ 43700. 44,025 – 44350 (Swing Resistance Levels) ⦁A breakout above 43,700 would likely aim for this region as the next target. Support Zones 43,250 - 43200 ⦁Immediate minor support. A break below could see a test of lower levels. 43025 -42980 ⦁Stronger support region where buyers might step in. 42815 - 42775 ⦁Critical support to watch if selling pressure intensifies. Trend and Indicators ⦁Short-Term Trend: Bullish after breaking out of the downtrend line, but price now shows consolidation near resistance. ⦁RSI: Approaching overbought territory, indicating potential short-term pullbacks. Moving Averages ⦁20 & 40 MA: Positioned bullishly, signaling continued upside momentum unless the price falls below 43,015. Trading Scenario's Bullish Scenario 1. If price Rejects Above 43300 - 43250 - (Current Resistance that broke) Look for bullish reversal signals. Entry: 43315 - 43325. StopLoss: 43200. Targets: 43700 and then 44025. 2. If price pull back to 43025 - 42980 and reject above. Entry: 43015 - 43025. StopLoss: 42900. Target: 43325 and then 43700. Bearish Scenario 1. If price breaks below 43325 - 43250 and reject below.(Current Support after break out) Entry: 43250 - 43225. StopLoss: 43325. Target: 43025 and then 42775 2. If price Price breaks 42815 - 42775 with and reject below. Entry: 42775 - 42750 StopLoss: 42815. Target: 42600 and then 42450 (Supply Zone).
ICMARKETS:US30
by THE_US30FX
Wheat- In a Clean Resistance Zone, can it reach 542.00?Wheat is already within a critical resistance zone that has times before led to bearish reversals. In any case this area, marked by previous price rejections, could once again attract selling pressure. If bearish confirmation occurs—through rejection wicks, bearish engulfing candles, or a decrease in buying volume—we could see a decline toward the 542,00 level. However, a breakout above this resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook and suggest potential for further upward movement. So keep an eye on that. Wait for clear signs of rejection before considering short positions.
PEPPERSTONE:WHEATShort
by TrendDiva
3
Tempus AI: Analyzing Tempus AI, Inc. (NASDAQ: TEM): Is It a Buy Industry Position and Growth Potential · Market Trends: The AI in healthcare market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 45.1% from 2023 to 2030, driven by demand for personalized medicine and advancements in AI technology. · Competitive Landscape: Tempus AI competes with companies like IBM Watson Health and Google Health. However, Tempus's data-driven approach and partnerships with academic and research institutions provide differentiation. Financial Performance · Revenue Growth: Tempus AI has shown revenue growth, with a projected increase of 30% year-over-year for Q4 2024. The company's revenue for FY2024 is expected to reach $705.74 million. · Profitability Metrics: · Gross Margin: Improving gross margins indicate better cost management and operational efficiency. · Operating Margin: The company is progressing towards profitability, as suggested by narrowing operating losses. · Net Income: Recent trends towards profitability signal positive long-term prospects. · Balance Sheet Health: · Debt-to-Equity Ratio: Maintaining a low debt-to-equity ratio supports financial stability. Tempus AI manages its debt levels prudently. · Cash Reserves: Adequate cash reserves enable investment in R&D and help navigate market uncertainties. Innovation and Research · R&D Investments: Substantial investment in R&D reflects Tempus AI's commitment to innovation. Ongoing development of algorithms and technologies positions the company well in the AI healthcare market. · Intellectual Property: Patents and proprietary technologies protect Tempus AI's innovations and provide a competitive edge. Management and Governance · Leadership Team: A management team with experience in healthcare and technology is crucial. Tempus AI's leadership has a track record in driving growth and innovation. · Corporate Governance: Transparent practices and policies that prioritize shareholder interests enhance investor confidence. Market Sentiment and Analyst Opinions · Analyst Ratings: Analysts generally give a "Buy" rating, reflecting positive expectations for Tempus AI's future performance. The average price target of $57.20 suggests a potential upside of 20.07%. · Investor Confidence: Institutional investments and insider buying can indicate confidence in the company's prospects. Is Tempus AI a Buy or Sell? Based on the expanded analysis: Pros: · High-growth industry with substantial market potential. · Technological capabilities and strong data assets. · Positive revenue growth and progress towards profitability. · Strategic partnerships and collaborations enhance market position. Cons: · Competition from other AI healthcare technology firms. · Regulatory challenges specific to the healthcare sector. · Financial risks if profitability is not achieved as expected. Rating: For investors with a higher risk tolerance and a long-term investment horizon, Tempus AI could be considered a "Buy". Personal due diligence is essential, along with consideration of individual financial goals. Strategy - Utilizing Call Options Buying call options can leverage Tempus AI's potential stock appreciation. Benefits of Call Options: · Leverage: Options allow control of more shares with less capital compared to directly purchasing stock. · Risk Management: The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid for the option, providing defined risk. · Flexibility: Options with 1 to 12-month expiries align with specific company milestones or market events. Example Strategy: · 1-Month Expiry Call: Suited for short-term strategies, such as upcoming earnings reports or product launches. · 6-Month to 12-Month Expiry Call: Ideal for longer-term strategies, allowing benefit from anticipated growth or industry developments. Risks and Considerations · Time Decay (Theta): Options lose value as expiration approaches, particularly if the stock price does not move favorably. · Volatility (Vega): High volatility can increase option premiums but also introduces higher risk. · Market Risk: Unpredictable market conditions can affect stock prices regardless of the company's performance. · Liquidity Risk: Options with low trading volume may be harder to sell at a desired price. Risk Management · Diversification: Avoid allocating all investment capital to a single company or strategy. · Position Sizing: Only risk a small percentage of your portfolio on options trades. · Stay Informed: Keep up with news about Tempus AI, industry trends, and market conditions. · Set Clear Goals: Define entry and exit points. Consider using stop-loss orders to manage potential losses. Trading Is Risky Trading, especially with derivatives like options, involves significant risk and may not be suitable for everyone. Potential for high returns comes with the possibility of substantial losses. · Understand Before You Invest: Ensure full understanding of how options work and the risks involved. · Seek Professional Advice: Consult with a financial advisor for personalized guidance based on your financial situation and investment goals. Conclusion Tempus AI, Inc. presents an opportunity in the evolving AI healthcare sector. The company's innovative approach, revenue growth, and strategic partnerships make it a compelling investment prospect. It's crucial to weigh risks and consider personal risk tolerance before making decisions. Risk Warning Trading stocks and options is a risky activity and can result in losses. You should only trade if you understand the risks involved and are comfortable with the potential for losses. Rating: Buy Risk Disclaimer! The article and the data is for general information use only, not advice! Risk Disclaimer! General Risk Warning: Trading on the Financial Markets, Stock Exchange and all its asset derivatives is highly speculative and may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose and ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. It is important that you understand how Trading and Investing on the stock exchange works and that you consider whether you can afford the high risk of loss.
NASDAQ:TEMLong
by TheTrade_Academ
Ethereum - We Will See This Breakout!Ethereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) is ready to catch up: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For the past couple of months, Ethereum has been retesting the previous all time high resistance and was actually not able to break it. However, following the rising channel pattern, the bullish break and retest and price action, the breakout is about to happen. Levels to watch: $4.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by basictradingtv
23
Natural Gas on the Move! Is the Next Big Breakout Coming? 📈 Bullish Analysis: Natural Gas (Spot) 1️⃣ Uptrend Support Holding Firm: The price is respecting the uptrend support line, which has acted as a strong foundation for bullish momentum. Multiple bounces off this level signal that buyers are stepping in to defend the trend. 2️⃣ Supply Zone in Focus: The supply zone between 4.4 and 4.48 represents a key resistance area. A break and close above this zone would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. 3️⃣ RSI Rebound: The RSI is bouncing off oversold levels and turning upward, indicating renewed bullish momentum. This aligns with the trendline support, suggesting the potential for further upside. 4️⃣ Key Insights: Natural Gas has formed a clean technical setup, with the trendline support, supply zone, and RSI alignment all pointing toward a bullish reversal. If the price holds above 3.88 and momentum continues, buyers could push toward the supply zone targets. 🎯 Strategy: Entry: Current levels near 3.88–3.92. TP1: 4.00 (First Resistance) TP2: 4.18 (Midpoint). TP3: 4.40 (Beginning of Supply Zone).
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by ValchevFinance
2
HBAR/USDTHBAR/USDT Trade Idea Should price not start increasing from the current FVG this is what could happen. Trade Type: Long (Buy) Potential Entry Zone: $0.30 Rationale: This trade is based on a simple price action analysis, with potential support forming $0.29- $0.31 level. Key Notes: The trade idea does not rely on indicators, focusing solely on price levels and supporting market data. Risk management will be critical, and traders should adjust stop-loss and position size according to their strategy. Risk Management: Define a clear stop-loss level based on your risk tolerance and adjust take-profit levels based on evolving price action.
by Follow_Blxcksheepfx
Why You Should Consider Buying ARKK ETF: A Gateway to InnovationOverview of ARKK ARKK is the ticker symbol for the ARK Innovation ETF, managed by the investment firm ARK Invest, led by Cathie Wood. The ETF is renowned for its focus on high-growth, innovative companies across various sectors such as technology, healthcare, artificial intelligence, and renewable energy. Key Features Focus on Disruptive Innovation: ARKK invests in companies at the forefront of transformative technologies, including: Genomic research and biotechnology. Robotics and automation. Artificial intelligence (AI). Blockchain technology. Electric vehicles (EVs). Active Management: Cathie Wood, the fund's visionary manager, is known for her bold and aggressive investment strategies, targeting high-risk, high-reward opportunities in emerging industries. Portfolio Composition: ARKK's holdings include trailblazing companies such asTesla, **Roku, Zoom Video Communications, CRISPR Therapeutics, and Block (formerly Square). The portfolio is actively managed and adjusted based on ARK Invest's extensive research. Risk-Reward Profile: As a high-risk ETF, ARKK is characterized by significant price volatility. It appeals to long-term investors willing to weather short-term fluctuations in pursuit of substantial growth potential. Performance: Boom in 2020: ARKK experienced remarkable growth during the pandemic, fueled by a surge in tech stocks. Challenges in 2022: The fund faced a steep decline due to corrections in the tech sector, rising interest rates, and economic uncertainties. Expense Ratio: ARKK has an annual management fee of approximately 0.75%, higher than the average for ETFs, reflecting its active management approach. Target Audience: ARKK is ideal for investors who believe in the long-term potential of disruptive innovation and are comfortable with short-term losses for the prospect of future gains. Risks to Consider Sensitivity to macroeconomic factors (e.g., interest rate hikes). Vulnerability to downturns in the technology sector. Heavy exposure to companies with low or negative earnings. Why Buy ARKK? Investing in ARKK provides exposure to groundbreaking technologies and industries poised for exponential growth. While it carries higher risks, it offers the potential for substantial long-term rewards. Whether you’re an experienced investor or a believer in the future of innovation, ARKK is a compelling addition to a forward-thinking portfolio.
AMEX:ARKKLong
by ForexCompany
GOLD → bulls are aiming for ATH. The odds are high...FX:XAUUSD is in a rally phase aiming for ATH. Based on geopolitical data, we have a pretty good chance. The focus is on 2750. From this point the northbound train can continue its journey. Trump's policies are putting quite a bit of pressure on geopolitics due to creating trade problems for major nations like China, EU, Canada, BRICS countries. Chinese Vice Premier Ding Xuexian has warned of the negative effects of a trade war, which has further increased demand for safe havens like gold and the US dollar. Gold is also facing pressure because of the Fed, but the dollar correction is becoming another driver for the metal. Technically, the price is trying to consolidate above a rather important level. 2749. If the bulls manage to keep the defense above 2750, the metal may continue its growth in the short and medium term Resistance levels: 2759 Support levels: 2750, 2737, 2732 Emphasis on 2750. If the bulls keep this area under their control, the gold will go higher. But, I do not exclude a retest of 0.5 Fibo liquidity zone or 2732 before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
1/22/25 - $fslr - r/r merits a punt long <$1751/22/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:FSLR r/r merits a punt long <$175 - my fav solar name remains NASDAQ:NXT , don't get it twisted - but if say NASDAQ:NXT is my $tsm.... NASDAQ:FSLR is my $nvda. it's a bit higher octane, bigger cap. more headline grabby etc. - double the mgns of NASDAQ:NXT , but big capex (why i like NASDAQ:NXT is it's much capital-lighter) - but don't forget agent orange has elon on the team and guess who remains +ve solar. yuh yuh credits this credits that. look... if we r going to "drill drill drill" - and don't say i didn't write about this event - the best scenario is a balance generation profile and we export a lot of oil. - does it take time? is this the low V? no clue fam. - but the sell off looks like a quick buck/ punt sub $175. so i've done some S calls to size up gross without touching my notional. just flagging in case you're inclined to opine, troll me or otherwise just follow along. V
NASDAQ:FSLRLong
by VROCKSTAR
TARS demonstrates strong technical perfomanceTechnical Analysis TARS demonstrates strong technical performance, indicating significant investor interest and upward momentum. Recent Price Performance Current Price: $47.81 52-Week Price Change: +99.06% The stock has consistently outperformed, suggesting robust demand. Key Technical Indicators Relative Strength Index (RSI): 75.51 Indicates the stock is in overbought territory, potentially signaling a price correction in the near term. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): 2.64 Supports the overbought status but also reflects bullish momentum. Moving Averages: 50-Day Moving Average: Price remains significantly above this level. 200-Day Moving Average: Similarly, the price trend is well above, indicating sustained long-term growth. Market Sentiment Analysts maintain a bullish outlook based on the technical setup. However, the overbought indicators suggest caution for short-term investors. Fundamental Analysis Fundamentally, Tarsus Pharmaceuticals offers a mixed profile with promising growth potential but notable financial risks. Financial Performance Revenue (Last 12 Months): $129.62 million Net Loss: $134.34 million Earnings Per Share (EPS): - $3.70 Reflects a loss-making position, but this is not uncommon for a biopharmaceutical company investing heavily in research and development. Growth Potential The company operates in a niche pharmaceutical market, focusing on unmet medical needs. Pipeline drugs and upcoming FDA approvals could drive future growth. Valuation and Analyst Sentiment Analyst Consensus: Strong Buy Average Price Target: $55.60 (implying a potential upside of approximately 17%). However, fundamental valuation tools, such as those from Validea, score TARS at 55%, suggesting moderate fundamental strength. Strengths and Risks Strengths: Strong technical momentum with a clear upward trend. Positive analyst outlook with significant upside potential. Promising drug pipeline and growth opportunities in niche markets. Risks: Overbought technical indicators suggest potential near-term price corrections. Ongoing net losses may limit financial flexibility. Dependence on successful clinical trials and regulatory approvals. Conclusion Tarsus Pharmaceuticals is a stock with strong technical appeal and considerable growth potential in the biopharmaceutical sector. However, its current overbought status and financial risks should prompt investors to approach with caution. Long-term investors who believe in the company’s pipeline may find this an attractive opportunity, while short-term traders should be mindful of potential price volatility.
NASDAQ:TARS
by swingstocktraders
1
CHFJPY - Short after filling the imbalance !!Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on CHFJPY. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I want price to go a little bit higher to fulfill the imbalance and then to reject from bearish OB + institutional big figure 173.000. Fundamental news: On Friday (GMT+2) we will see results of Interest Rate in Japan, news with high impact on currency. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Short
by Snick3rSD
OM: Real Utility Beyond the HypeAfter $TRUMP coin went up 600% in just a few days, it's clear the memecoin hype is real. But honestly, it's time to focus on the fundamentals. There’s been too much market manipulation lately. NASDAQ:OM is different. It’s not about hype—it’s about real-world adoption and serious infrastructure. With partnerships like @DAMACOfficial and @googlecloud, @MANTRA_Chain is building something that actually matters. With all that going on, NASDAQ:OM is ultra-bullish! LFG! #Crypto #Blockchain #OM #MANTRA
Long
by Patcummins09
AIXBT by Virtuals | Coinbase & Binance AIXBT is like the Sherlock Holmes of the crypto world an AI agent designed to give token holders a strategic edge in the ever changing crypto circus. Using some next-level tech, it deciphers market trends and dishes out insights like your personal crypto psychic. It pulls in data from everywhere, ensuring you're not left out of the loop when making decisions in the chaotic crypto jungle. Right now, AIXBT by Virtuals is hanging at $0.79, taking a bit of a nosedive with a -8.61% drop in the last 24 hours. But hey, it’s crypto, it could be up next time you blink! The lowest price paid for AIXBT is $0.023, which was recorded on Nov 19, 2024 (about 2 months). Comparatively, the current price is 3,240% higher than the alltime low price!, it's got a circulating supply of 855.61 million tokens, and a max supply of 1 billion, so it’s got plenty of tokens to spread around. In the past 24 hours, AIXBT’s trading volume has been a hefty $448 million, and it’s on 39 exchanges, with Binance being the party host. Its market cap is sitting at $682.36 million, claiming a modest 0.02% of the whole crypto market share. Oh, and just when you thought things couldn’t get spicier, After Binance, Coinbase International has decided to list AIXBT, PNUT, and VET altcoins. Coinbase is diving deep into the futures market, aiming to steal some of the thunder from the big crypto exchanges. Now, let’s talk whales. AIXBT hit a new ATH recently, and it’s mostly thanks to some big fish in the sea. “0x001,” aka the whale with deep pockets, scooped up 3.8 million AIXBT tokens (worth $2.7 million) just before the price shot up by 30%. This made them the proud owner of 8.31 million tokens, or 0.83% of the entire supply, with an average price of $ 0.62. Over the past four days, they’ve dropped about $5 million on AIXBT, and now they’re chilling with a 30% unrealized profit long story short, Big whales, big moves, and AIXBT is riding high… for now, why pullback? btc pumpin so memes dumpin and some whales sell the nws wait you are new in crypto world ? Now’s the time to invest in your most valuable asset, knowledge. Crypto trading isn’t just for tech geeks anymore, it’s a skill everyone can learn. Start today, and watch your expertise and portfolio grow
Long
by moonypto
3