Safe Entry Zone ORCLAfter Sudden Contract Deal.
Better to not follow the Stock and wait for re-trace.
P.High(Previous High) act As good support level to wait for Strong Buyers to Step-in.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Fundamental Analysis
TOTAL Q3 As Q2 closes, Q3 begins...
The 2nd quarter of 2025 made up for a lot of the losses of Q1 peaking at $3.5T in the middle of the quarter. Since the peak a steady downtrend channel has formed and continues to be the case going into Q3.
What can we expect to see in the next 3 months in the crypto market? For me there are two different scenarios that are bullish, and one that is bearish IMO:
Bullish scenario 1 - The most likely scenario I think is a breakout above the downtrend channel and a move towards the range top. My reasoning for this comes from what we know about the driving forces in the market. Just last week BTC ETFs had a $2.2B net inflow, MSTR bought another 4,980BTC for $531.9m, various ETFs on the way for other majors such as SOL. Crucially the M2 money supply is at a record ATH. What that means is huge demand and the means to purchase with a what feels like a deadline closing in.
Bullish scenario 2 - We see a trend continuation until the range midpoint which has provided support before. It would coincide with the bottom of the trend channel and therefor I believe would provide a good launchpad for long positions.
Bearish scenario - For me this is the least likely situation but one that must be prepared for, a loss of the range midpoint would be a major setback, one that would mean a potential revisit of the range low in a symmetrical move down mirroring Q2s move up. The reason I believe this is the least likely is there is just too much in favor of risk on assets like crypto currently, I've mentioned the fuel that is the M2 money supply piling up to be deployed. A US interest rate cut all but confirmed for September and the institutional race for acquiring these assets before it is too late.
In conclusion just keeping it simple on the chart, a breakout above the trend channel is a great long opportunity to target the highs.
If BTC continues the grind down a great place for it to turn bullish is the range midpoint as has happened previously.
In the event BTC loses the midpoint a retest of the weekly low would make sense to me.
Safe Entry Zone QBTSCurrent Stock Targeting Previous Major Resistance which act as Major Support level.
at 13.40$ Price level.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
GoldFxMinds XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – July 1🌅 Good morning, gold hunters!
The start of a new month is here, and price action is as wild as ever! Yesterday’s liquidity raids swept both sides, leaving most traders guessing – but structure never lies. Let’s break down exactly where the real money sits for July 1, so you never get caught on the wrong side of gold.
🌎 Macro, News & Geopolitics
Macro: US data is in focus (ISM PMI, JOLTS, Powell speech), keeping volatility high and liquidity pools exposed.
Geopolitics: Tensions persist globally but no fresh headlines – market is pure price-driven.
Sentiment: Bulls got trapped high, sellers are hungry for a deeper sweep. Don’t trust easy breakouts!
🏛️ HTF Bias Recap
Weekly: Bullish structure, but overextended. Pullback zones active, buyers get best deals only at true discount.
Daily: Strong wick rejections at supply, sellers showing teeth. Watch for lower highs and failed breakouts.
H4: Range between 3332 and 3258, liquidity building at both edges. Smart money will hunt stops before any trend is real!
🔑 H4 Key Structural Levels
Premium Supply: 3320–3332 (main unmitigated supply block)
Mid Range Decision: 3296–3306 (watch for PA shift, don’t force entries here)
Discount Demand: 3272–3258 (clean OB/imbalance confluence)
Deep Discount Demand: 3232–3218 (ultimate liquidity pocket)
🎯 Sniper Zones (M30/M15 Refined)
SELL Zones:
3320–3332:
The untouched supply – only sell if PA prints a reversal after a NY liquidity grab. Don’t jump in early!
3345–3360:
Extreme extension zone. If price overreaches, look for signs of exhaustion. This is the bear’s last stand!
BUY Zones:
3272–3258:
True discount! Wait for a stop run below 3275, then catch the bounce ONLY if you see confirmation (engulfing, CHoCH, RSI support).
3232–3218:
No hope trades here. Only for flash crash or panic sell-offs with obvious absorption! Wait for a real PA reversal.
Decision Zone:
3296–3306
If price is stuck here, sit on your hands! Let the market show its hand first.
🚦 Quick Recap
Avoid already-mitigated zones – only hunt where liquidity is fresh!
NY session wicks and fake breakouts are the biggest traps. Be patient, let the stop hunt finish before you engage.
Confirmation over prediction. Discipline is your edge, not drawing boxes.
🎁 Bonus Tip
"Missing a sniper entry? The best traders never chase. Let gold come to you. There’s always a second chance for those with patience!"
📣 Like what you see?
Smash that like🚀🚀🚀 , drop your thoughts in the comments , and don’t forget to follow GoldFxMinds for more high-precision gold plans!
Analysis powered by Trade Nation chart feed – built for the sharpest minds in gold.
The idea is clear, gold falls as expected!The gold market is just as I predicted. I have repeatedly warned everyone not to chase the 3350-3355 line. The technical side needs to step back. Now, it just proves the idea I gave. After gold hit the highest line of 3358, it stepped back to the 3337 line and started to fluctuate. Our 3355 short order plan successfully touched 3340 to stop profit and exit. From the current gold trend, it should fluctuate like this before closing. After the opening, we will step back and go long as planned. Focus on the 3330-3335 line below. If it does not break, we can consider going long.
From the current gold trend analysis, pay attention to the 3360-3370 line of pressure on the top, and the short-term support on the bottom is around 3330-3335. Focus on the key support at 3315-3325. Relying on this range as a whole, maintain the main tone of low-long participation unchanged, wait for the pullback to confirm the support and then intervene when the opportunity arises. In the middle position, keep watching and do less, chase orders cautiously, and wait for the entry opportunity after the key points are in place.
Gold operation suggestion: go long around 3315-3325, target 3340-3350.
MUSK on TRUMP's Bill | "outrageous, disgusting abomination"Elon Musk’s sided against the latest Trump-backed tax-and-spending package, in a plot twist between the recent partners turned enemies.
Musk called the legislation a “massive, outrageous, pork-filled Congressional spending bill” and a “disgusting abomination,” publicly shaming senators and representatives who backed it.
With such a strong opinion against it one may wonder, is this going to negatively affect Tesla?
Together with this strong reaction, the price has already been trading lower for the past few days.
The administration has defended it as the “One Big Beautiful Bill,” insisting it will stimulate growth, even though Elon Musk warned the bill would swell the U.S. budget deficit by roughly $2.3–2.5 trillion over the next decade, calling the added debt “crushingly unsustainable”.
When I first read this, it made me think of Tesla's long generated “green credits”, which in 2024 alone, brought in roughly $2.76 billion. “green credits” (officially, zero-emission or regulatory credits) work by building more clean vehicles than required and selling the excess allowances to other automakers that need them to comply with emissions mandates.
Now I'm no expert on US policy, and so I roped in GPT to help me explain how this new bill implicates TESLA's profit:
Under the Senate’s “big, beautiful” tax-and-spending bill, Tesla’s regulatory-credit business faces two assaults:
❗ Repeal of CAFE- and ZEV-mandates
The bill would eliminate penalties for automakers missing Corporate Average Fuel Economy targets and roll back zero-emission vehicle mandates that currently force legacy manufacturers to buy credits if they fall short. Remove those penalties and mandates, and there’s no structural need for credits—undercutting the very market that funds Tesla’s $2–3 billion-a-year credit-sales business
❗ End of consumer EV tax incentives
By phasing out the $7,500 new-EV credit (and the $4,000 used-EV credit) within months of enactment, the bill dampens U.S. EV demand overall. A smaller EV market means fewer opportunities for Tesla to leverage fleet-wide ZEV regulations against higher-emitting rivals—further squeezing credit prices and volume
Bottom line: Without CAFE/ZEV obligations and with EV purchase subsidies gone, Tesla’s “green-credit” line—a major profit driver in recent quarters—would likely collapse, removing a key buffer against manufacturing and pricing pressures.
This could be the beginning of a bear market for Tesla lasting throughout the rest of the Trump administration.
________________________
NASDAQ:TSLA
Compounders: 5 Simple Rules to Build Long-Term WealthImagine this:
…it’s 18 years ago. The very first iPhone has just hit the market.
Meanwhile, Nokia’s legendary “Snake” game, once the height of mobile fun, was starting to feel… dated.
⚡ And you can sense it: something big is coming. You don’t know exactly what, but something is about to shake the system.
So, you invest €1,000 into Apple stock. No fancy moves, no day trading. You don’t check the price every morning, you don’t sell at the first dip. You just hold and go about your life, using their products as always.
----------------------------------
Fast forward to today: the iPhone has evolved quite a bit, and so has your bank account, “a bit”.
That modest €1,000 investment would now be worth roughly €70,000. For context, if you had simply invested in the S&P 500 instead, your total profit would be €3,300.
This is what happens when you hold a real compounder. Apple: +6,942%. S&P 500: +334%. Time doesn’t just pass, it compounds!
Big difference, right?
And the craziest part? You didn’t need a crystal ball. Looking back, everything makes perfect sense.
The real question is:
Can you spot the next one before it becomes obvious?
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📈 Compounders: The slow, steady, and surprisingly effective path to wealth
A compounder is a company that steadily grows your investment over time, powered by a strong business model and consistent value creation.
These stocks don’t need to chase headlines. They don’t create drama, and they certainly don’t swing wildly every week on the stock exchange. They simply keep building value.
Strong financials, good products, and a clear direction—like a snowball quietly rolling downhill, gathering momentum with every meter.
As Warren Buffett once said:
That’s exactly what compounders allow you to do. While you rest, they keep working.
It’s definitely not a get-rich-quick strategy. It’s more like a slow, somewhat boring, and failry a “safer” route. But in return, it might just give you something far more valuable than fast gains: financial peace of mind, and perhaps even financial freedom.
🔍 So how do you spot one?
Now, let’s be clear: compounders are not bulletproof. Market crashes, disruptive competitors, and economic shocks can still shake them.But when the foundation is solid, these companies tend to stand strong, even in a storm.
Here are five key traits that define a true compounder. From consistent growth to an unshakable competitive edge.
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📈 1. Steady Growth
What you want to see is a steady upward trend in both revenue and earnings per share (EPS). Not a rollercoaster. A clean, reliable trend.
A strong compounder doesn’t explode one year and crash the next. It grows year after year. It grows calmly, consistently, and predictably…
Microsoft EPS Q Source: TradingView
That’s usually a sign of solid management and sticky customer demand.
Let’s look at a key metric here:
EPS CAGR (5-year) – the compound annual growth rate of earnings per share.
5% = solid → reliable and steady progress
10% = good → suggests a strong business model and real market demand
15%+ = great → this is where the snowball effect really kicks in, fast and orderly
📌 The higher the CAGR, the faster your investment compounds. But it’s not just about speed, it’s about repeatability. If that growth is not random but repeatable and sustainable, you don’t just have a growth stock → you’ve got a true compounder.
⚠️ Always consider the sector: A 15% CAGR might be normal in tech, but in a consumer brand or industrial company, that’s an exceptionally strong result.
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💡 2. Efficient Capital Allocation
A good compounder doesn’t just grow a lot—it grows wisely.
That means every dollar the company reinvests into its business generates more than a dollar in return.
Think of it like a business where every $1 invested turns into $1.20 or more in profit. The more efficiently it can put capital to work, the faster it compounds over time.
🎯 ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) tells you how effectively a company is using all its invested capital—including both equity and debt.
ROIC shows how much profit the company earns after taxes and costs for every dollar it has invested, regardless of where that money came from.It’s broader than ROE, which only considers shareholder equity.
>10% = solid
>15% = good
>20% = great
🎯 ROE (Return on Equity) measures how well the company generates returns specifically on shareholder money:
>15% = solid
>20% = good
>25% = great
📌 In most cases, ROIC is more important than ROE , since it doesn’t get distorted by how much debt the company is using. But when both numbers are high, you’ve got something that creates a lot of value - a true compounding engine.
Just imagine you give a chef $10 to make a dish. If they can turn that into a $15 meal, their ROIC is 50%. That’s the kind of capital efficiency we want to see in companies too, where every dollar invested pulls serious weight.
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💰 3. High Profit Margins
Selling stuff isn’t hard. Any company can sell something, even at a loss.
A true compounder doesn’t just generate revenue, it earns real profit from it.
That’s where operating margins come into play. They show how much money is actually left over after covering everything: salaries, logistics, rent, office coffee, stolen toilet paper, and all the other lovely overhead costs.
⚙️ Operating Margin – the percentage of revenue that turns into operating profit:
10% = solid → stable profitability, usually driven by volume or efficiency
20%+ = great → often signals strong pricing power, lean cost structure, or a dominant brand
📌 Why does this matter?
Because the more profit a company retains after expenses, the more it can:
- reinvest in new products or markets
- pay dividends to shareholders
- or buy back shares (which automatically increases your ownership per share)
All of these create real, recurring value for you as an investor—not just once, but year after year.
⚠️ One important note: What qualifies as a “high” margin depends on the industry. A software company might easily run at 30% margins, while a retail chain or car manufacturer might be thrilled with 5%.
So don’t judge the number in isolation. Always consider the type of business—in some sectors, profits come from volume, not margin.
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🧱 4. Debt Matters
Even if a company is growing fast and making money, it still doesn’t qualify as a true compounder if it’s drowning in debt.
A real compounder moves forward mostly(!) under its own power, not thanks to borrowed money.
Financially strong companies have a healthy buffer, so they’re not in trouble the moment the economy slows down or credit tightens.
📉 Debt-to-Equity (D/E) – how much of the company is financed with debt versus equity:
Under 1 = solid → reasonable leverage
Under 0.5 = great → very strong and conservative balance sheet
📈 Interest Coverage Ratio – how easily the company can pay its interest expenses:
5× = solid
10×+ = great → very safe, meaning debt costs won’t threaten profitability
📌 The lower the debt and the higher the buffer, the lower the risk.A company with a strong balance sheet doesn’t need to refinance debt in a panic or rely on costly tricks to survive downturns.
Think of it like the foundation of a house. Without it, even the most beautiful structure can collapse.
⚠️ Some industries (like real estate or utilities) naturally operate with higher debt levels. But even in those cases, you want to see a business that controls its debt, rather than living “one day at a time.”
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🏰 5. Durable Competitive Advantage (a.k.a. Moat)
Back in the Middle Ages, a moat was a water-filled trench that protected a castle.Today, in investing, a “moat” is what protects great businesses from competition.
It’s a business that others can’t easily reach or replicate.
💪 When a company has a wide moat, it can:
- Defend its market share even when others try to attack
- Command higher prices—because customers stay loyal
- And if a competitor starts gaining ground, it often has enough capital to... just buy them out
Here are some classic moat types with examples:
- Brand Loyalty – People pay more for something familiarExample: Coca-Cola. There are hundreds of alternatives, but the taste, logo, and brand feel... irreplaceable.
- Network Effects – Every new user strengthens the product or platformExample: Visa, Mastercard. The more they’re used, the harder it is for any new player to break in.
- Technological Edge – The company is simply too far aheadExample: Nvidia, ASML. You can throw money at the problem, but patents and experience aren’t things you copy overnight.
- Ecosystem Lock-in / Habitual Consumption – Customers get “stuck,” and switching feels like a hassleExample: Apple. Once you have the iPhone, AirPods, and MacBook… switching to Android just sounds like a lot of work.Or take Procter & Gamble. If your baby’s used to Pampers, you’re not going back to cloth diapers anytime soon. (To be fair—Huggies might actually be better 😄 That’s Kimberly-Clark, ticker KMB.)
📌 A strong moat allows a company to maintain both profitability and growth for the next 10+ years—because no one else can get close enough to steal it.It’s not fighting tooth and nail for every dollar. It rules its niche quietly and efficiently.
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Now that we’ve covered what makes a business a compounder, the next question naturally follows:
“Okay, but if it’s such a great company... is it still a great price?”
That’s where valuation comes in.P/E ratio: how to know whether you’re paying a fair price or just a premium for the brand.
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👉 In my April article, I clearly broke down P/E along with eight other key fundamental metrics: straightforward, real-world explanations designed to help you actually use them…
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💵 P/E (Price-to-Earnings Ratio)
The P/E ratio tells you how much you’re paying for every $1 of a company’s earnings.
Think of it like this: are you buying solid value for $20… or paying $70 just because the brand sounds familiar?
Now, for compounders, a high P/E (say, 25–40) can actually be fine, IF(!) the company is growing fast and has a strong moat.
Here’s a quick cheat sheet:
* Under 15 → generally cheap (might be a bargain… or a trap)
* 15–25 → fair price for a traditional business
* 25–35 → reasonable if the company is growing consistently
* 35–45 → starting to look expensive, must be justified by fundamentals
* 45+ → expensive, and the market expects big things. One slip-up and the stock could drop fast.
⚠️ A P/E over 40–45 means the market expects strong, sustainable growth.If that growth doesn’t show up, the stock won’t just stumble—it could crash.
But here’s the key: P/E doesn’t work well in isolation. Context is everything.
Before judging the number, always ask:
- What sector is this company in?
- What’s the sector average?
- How fast is the company growing?
- Are the profits stable and sustainable?
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Real-World Examples:
✅ Visa – P/E around 37The average for financial stocks? Usually 10–15.But Visa grows quickly, is highly profitable, and has an ironclad moat.Is it expensive? Yes. But in this case, justifiably so.
✅ Microsoft – P/E around 35Tech-sector average tends to sit between 25–35.Microsoft has consistent growth, high margins, and clear market leadership.A P/E of 35 is absolutely reasonable—as long as the growth story continues.
🤔 But what if Microsoft trades at P/E 50+?
Then you have to ask:Is earnings growth truly supporting that price?Or are you just paying for the brand... and a bit of FOMO?
-----------------
Leave a comment:
What’s the highest P/E you’ve ever paid, and was it worth it?
-----------------
📘 Compounder Cheat Sheet
Don’t just stare at absolute numbers. Always compare within the sector, consider the company’s growth pace and business model. Ask yourself:
“How much am I paying today for what this company will earn tomorrow?”
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🧩 Summary
Compounders are like good wine, they get better with time.
Find companies that grow steadily, generate profits, keep debt low, and dominate their niche. Hold tight. Stay patient. Let the snowball roll.
Thanks for reading!
If this article was helpful or resonated with you, feel free to like, comment, or share it with a friend! It motivates me more than you’d think. 🙏
And if you’re new here:
🍷 Like good wine, this channel only gets better with time. Follow and let the ideas compound slowly, steadily, and deliciously.
Cheers
Vaido
ALGO: Surprise Rally Ahead?Yello Paradisers, did you spot that breakout from the descending channel in time or are you still waiting for confirmation that already happened?
💎#ALGO/USDT has officially broken out of its multi-week descending channel after a textbook Break of Structure (BoS). Price action gave us a beautiful retrace into the demand zone, and from there boom momentum began shifting. This move is now showing early signs of bullish continuation, but as always, the majority will only realize it once the big move is already done.
💎#ALGO had been trading within a clearly defined descending channel, with price reacting precisely between the descending resistance and descending support lines. The breakout occurred after a strong candle pierced the descending resistance, and more importantly, we got a BoS followed by a clean retest of the demand zone around $0.165–$0.175. That reaction was sharp and decisive, indicating strong interest from buyers stepping in.
💎As of now, it is trading near $0.186 and forming higher lows, which supports the idea of an ongoing trend reversal. The structure has changed, and bulls are slowly regaining control. If price sustains above $0.190, the doors open for further upside. The first key level that could slow momentum is minor resistance near $0.210. If that level breaks with volume, moderate resistance around $0.230 becomes the next critical zone. Above that, the major target sits at $0.260, a strong resistance area where a lot of liquidity could be triggered.
💎On the flip side, the strong support zone between $0.145 and $0.155 remains our invalidation area. If price drops below this range, the bullish setup collapses, and we reassess the entire structure. But unless that happens, the bias remains cautiously bullish.
Trade Smart. Stay Patient. Be Consistent.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Critical moment! Where will gold go?After rebounding for two consecutive days, gold prices consolidated in a narrow range in the Asian market on Wednesday, hovering below a one-week high. Although the US dollar rebounded slightly and the market's improved risk appetite suppressed safe-haven demand, the Fed's interest rate cut expectations and trade uncertainties limited the downside of gold prices. The market is waiting for the upcoming ADP and non-farm data to determine the timing of the Fed's interest rate cut. The key technical resistance is $3,358.
Gold received a positive cross in June. At present, the monthly line has an upper shadow for three consecutive trading months, and the shadow is long, indicating that the upper selling pressure is relatively large; in this way, for the future market, we are more optimistic about the highs and falls. In the recent stage, gold is not interested in US data, but Trump frequently calls for the Fed to cut interest rates, which we still need to pay attention to. The sharp rise in gold in the past two days is not unrelated to the Fed's expectation of a rate cut. On the other hand, it is also related to the market rumor that the US President Trump's tariff deadline on July 9 is also related. If the US dollar index bottoms out and rebounds, ushering in a phased upward trend; then, it is bound to suppress gold.
Short-term resistance is yesterday's high point 3350-3360 area. If it breaks above, it is expected to hit 3375-80, and further 3400 mark; before breaking above 3400 area, there is still a large sweep range. If it goes up, the bulls will have a wave of acceleration, and the upper 3425 and 3450 may even hit the historical high. For the day, the 5-day moving average 3315 area will form a strong support after breaking through. If it rebounds and rushes higher, it cannot break below. Once it breaks below, the market will continue to fall, further 3300~3295, and then 3275 and 3255~45 areas; that is, the rise on Monday and Tuesday means the end of the bulls. Therefore, in terms of operation, the short-term relies on the 3315-3325 area to support low longs, and if it rises, it will continue to short with reference to the resistance area.
What is Inflation Climate and Weather? Copper is NextThe key driver of most markets — and a major influence on their trends — is inflation.
Once we understand the difference between short-term inflation weather and long-term inflation climate, we can better recognize where risk meets opportunity.
On this half yearly chart. We can see as the close on 30th June, copper settled firmly, closed above its $4.44 resistance that has been tested for years.
This study indicates that copper could be at the beginning of an uptrend. I will be looking out for buying-on-dips opportunities whenever they arise.
Mirco Copper Futures
Ticker: MHG
Minimum fluctuation:
0.0005 per pound = $1.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
www.cmegroup.com
How I screen for long term investmentsIn this video, I’ll show you the exact stock screener I use to find long-term investment opportunities — the kind of stocks you can buy and hold for years.
I’ll walk you through the key metrics to look for, how to use free tools like TradingView screener, and what red flags to avoid. This strategy is perfect for beginner and experienced investors who want to build long-term wealth, not chase hype.
Whether you're looking for undervalued stocks, consistent compounders, or just trying to build your long-term portfolio, this screener can help.
Hope you enjoy!!
Verizon to the Moon? - Click my Post on the 15-minute Chart!TradingView doesn't show a link to my 15-minute chart analysis from today on the daily timeframe, but you can find a comprehensive analysis in my profile.
I just wanted to add an idea here so people would be able to find it on this time-frame.
Either switch to 15-minute, or check my profile to get the full scoop!
Cheers!
Verizon has stepped onto the launch-pad! Let's GO!I posted about this setup last week, and so far it has played out exactly as I described. I wanted to give a little update based on todays price action. I will keep this short as I have provided the key points on the chart. But this is the 5-minute chart from todays session.
The stock appears to have stepped right onto the launch-pad and has put some major Option Strikes within striking distance before the week is out.
Tech stocks appear to be stepping back a bit (they were on average very overbought), and TLT (20 year treasury ETF) has staged a quiet rally in recent weeks.
I think there is some major strength appearing in the bond market, despite the US tax bill, I think yields will ultimately trend down, and defensives (especially VZ) will perform well. I have upgraded my 2025 target from $47.50 to $53 after digging through the numbers a bit more, and after considering more potential rate cuts later this year.
This will be VZ's 2nd test of the long-term bull-flag resistance, and it appears a breakout may be imminent. If the daily chart shows high volume and closes above that level this week, I think we're off to the races. Ignore this setup at your own peril :) I think it's a great opportunity, and regardless of what happens, this is a great stock to hold long-term. Currently paying a whopping 6.1%+ dividend.
A great addition for any dividend portfolio even at $53 (some analysts project higher, but I personally believe it may not go beyond that point until 2026 unless markets deteriorate or there is some other black swan event in 2025).
Good luck! Let me know if you have any questions. Cheers!
Short-term opportunities are imminent.Gold prices have continued to rebound recently and have reached around 3358, but there is a lack of effective retracement during the rise, and the risk of short-term chasing has increased significantly. From a technical perspective, the US dollar index has a demand for a corrective rebound after a rapid decline, and it is expected to form a significant suppression on gold in the short term, limiting the rebound space of gold prices. From a capital perspective, the previous high-level long chips have gradually been untied and started to leave the market with profits, and selling pressure has gradually emerged; short positions may be re-arranged after completing concentrated stop losses, and the market structure is quietly changing.
Based on the above factors, it is recommended that traders remain patient and continue to hold short positions, focusing on the support of the 3335-3325 area. Be sure to control your position during the operation, strictly set stop losses, and avoid the high risks brought by chasing the rise. The core of trading is to follow the trend, respect the market rhythm, and wait for the adjustment to be confirmed before intervening.
Steady trading can only make long-term profits. Welcome everyone to share and communicate to improve the operation level together.
Nas100With speculation about no rate cuts we can expect to see Nas100 plumet with Fed Powells upcoming speech.
If we look at the technical side we can see that Nas has been somewhat consolidating over the past 2 days creating a fair amount of Sell side liquidity. We can expect Powell to speak about rat cuts today in his upcoming speech and we will use this to our advantage waiting for early buyers to push up the market triggering our setup.
We can look for a plus minus 100 pip move before Nas turns around, we will however closely monitor the movement of Nas now until the speech so that we can execute a trade with the least amount of risk.
Remember to like and subscribe for more A+ setups.
GME CRACK?Unfortunately, I keep getting forced to create new posts for the same Isea bc TV forces me to "target reached" on updates. Here is my previous post.
We have yet another bearish formation setting up in GME. Rising bearish wedge.
Wait for the CRACK!
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Gold Expecting bearish trend pattern Current market price: 3340
Based on my analysis, I expect the market to move towards the Sell side once it reaches the 3360–3375 zone, which I believe will act as a strong resistance area.
🟠 Sell Zone: 3360–3375
🎯 Target 1: 3325
🎯 Target 2: 3310
This setup is based on price action and key resistance levels. I’ll be watching closely for confirmation signals within the sell zone before entering the trade. Risk management is key—always trade with a stop loss
EUR/USD - Bullish Continuation | Post FED & Job data ReactionEUR/USD remains in a strong short-term uptrend, consistently respecting a rising trendline from June lows. After briefly reacting to a local ChoCh (Change of Character) near 1.1830, the pair pulled back modestly—but held support along the trendline, keeping the bullish structure intact.
Today’s U.S. macro events played a critical role:
• 🗣️ Fed Chair Powell’s speech at the Sintra Forum reaffirmed a cautious, data-driven path toward rate cuts. While not committing to immediate easing, Powell acknowledged inflation uncertainty and emphasized patience.
• 👷♂️ U.S. jobs data pointed to a cooling labor market (slower job growth, 3.9% wage inflation), reinforcing market expectations for a Fed rate cut by September.
• 📉 The U.S. dollar weakened across the board, supporting EUR/USD’s upside momentum.
Technical Highlights:
• Price is trading above a well-defined ascending trendline (support zone ~1.1775–1.1790)
• Resistance remains at 1.1815–1.1830, the previous local top
• Breakout above 1.1830 could extend the rally toward 1.1900 and beyond
Trading Plan:
• Buy Zone: 1.1775–1.1790 (near trendline)
• Stop Loss: Below 1.1740 (trendline break/invalidation)
• Take Profit 1: 1.1830
• Take Profit 2: 1.1900 (next swing target)
As long as the trendline support holds, EUR/USD remains bullish. A breakout above the current resistance zone will likely trigger the next leg up. Keep an eye on follow-through from U.S. macro data and ECB signals for confirmation.