SRPT LongSarepta Therapeutics
Focused on the development of precision genetic medicines to treat rare neuromuscular
and central nervous system diseases
investorrelations.sarepta.com
Major leader in treatment
- Duchenne muscular dystrophy (Duchenne) and limb-girdle muscular dystrophies (LGMDs)
- Explore perespective produts in Gene therapy and editing
Fundamentals:
- Growing Revenue and EPS
- Trading at historical low PE
- Far below market consensus $148
Technicals
- Near low 200VWAP extension 30% discount
Fundamental Analysis
Eyes on the Trap: Will Gold Explode or Collapse from Here👋 Hey gold warriors — Tuesday’s battlefield is fully loaded.
After a strong NY push, Gold is now deep in premium, pressing into key H1/H4 supply. Liquidity is building above, and the market is hunting late buyers. With Powell’s speech on the radar, structure will decide everything.
Will we explode through 3400... or collapse back into discount?
Let’s lock in the zones that matter 👇
🔻 SELL ZONES – Premium Reversal Hotspots
Zone Key Levels What to Watch
🔺 Main Rejection Zone 3384–3398 Final imbalance + H1/H4 supply. Rejection here with M15/M30 CHoCH = high-probability short.
🔺 Breakout Trap Zone 3368–3375 Already broken weak high — could act as a pivot if price fails to hold above. Watch for bearish reaction.
🔺 Sweep Extension Zone 3405–3412 Only valid on impulsive break above 3398. Look for wick trap or quick rejection.
🔺 Extreme Premium Zone 3440–3458 Deep liquidity + fib extension. If reached, this is the ultimate sniper sell zone — watch for divergence and exhaustion.
🔹 BUY ZONES – Demand Reload Triggers
Zone Key Levels What to Watch
🔹 M30 Demand Rebound 3332–3342 Short-term OB + FVG. Scalps only. Must see HL confirmation on M15.
🔹 H1 Demand Cluster 3305–3315 Strong BOS origin + FVG. Clean area to build long if price pulls back.
🔹 Intermediate Reaction Zone 3270–3284 Minor FVG + past reaction. Not a major OB, but could bounce. Confirmation needed!
🔹 Deep Discount Demand 3244–3255 H4 OB + macro structure support. If market flushes here, expect powerful rejection setup.
🧠 Strategic Scenarios
📉 Sell Setup A → Spike into 3384–3398 → M15 shift → short to 3332, then 3305
📉 Sell Setup B → Breakout to 3405–3412 → trap wick → short with target back to 3342
📉 Sell Setup C → Full sweep into 3440–3458 → divergence + reversal → high-prob swing short
📈 Buy Setup A → Pullback into 3315 → HL confirmed → long toward 3375
📈 Buy Setup B → Clean bounce from 3270–3284 with CHoCH → scalp to 3332
📈 Buy Setup C → Washout into 3255 → bullish engulfing or M15 BOS → long setup toward 3305+
⚙️ EMAs & Momentum
✅ EMA 5/21/50 = bullish lock across TFs
⚠️ RSI showing divergence in premium → risk of exhaustion above 3400
🔁 Price now extended — wait for clear reaction before taking action
💬 Final Word from GoldFxMinds
We’re in the zone — literally.
This is not the time to chase green candles or short early.
🧠 Let the structure shift. Let liquidity clear.
Then enter with confidence, not emotion.
💛 If you appreciate this sniper-grade breakdown:
👍 Smash that LIKE
💬 Comment your thoughts below
📍 And follow GoldFxMinds for real-time intraday updates and battle-tested plans.
Let’s trade like tacticians, not gamblers.
— GoldFxMinds
Here's a weekly buy-side analysis🟢 Bias: Bullish (Buy)
Gold remains in a long-term uptrend, with fundamental and technical factors supporting continued upside.
50 & 100 EMA: Price is well above both EMAs, confirming bullish momentum.
RSI: Around 60–70 on the weekly; no bearish divergence yet.
MACD: Histogram ticking upward with bullish crossover in play.⚠️ Risk Factors
Sudden USD strength due to surprise Fed hawkishness.
Strong U.S. labor or inflation data that pushes bond yields higher.
Gold profit-taking near ATH could cause sharp but temporary pullbacks.
XAUUSD: Still Bullish with improved entry zones! Gold experienced a sudden drop today, falling to 3335 after briefly reaching 3391. This unexpected decline was not anticipated given the bullish price momentum. However, it has provided clarity for buyers, particularly swing traders. The price could drop to 3340 once more before reversing and hitting our first target, followed by a second target later.
Another possible scenario arises if the price continues to drop further. In this case, the second entry scenario becomes more secure, as Asian session volatility could cause the price to go sideways.
Please use accurate risk management and consider liking and commenting on this idea.
Good luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx_
EURUSD → False breakout of resistance. Correction?FX:EURUSD is strengthening amid a decline in the dollar, but the currency pair is encountering strong resistance and forming a false breakout, which could trigger a correction.
EURUSD is testing the resistance range as part of a distribution and forming a false breakout. The market structure is bullish, with the price breaking through local resistance and updating its high. The inability to continue growth and price consolidation below 1.1418 may trigger a correction. The dollar is also hitting support and may form a small correction, which will put pressure on EURUSD
Resistance levels: 1.14246, 1.1418
Support levels: 1.1384, 1.1343
If the currency pair fails to consolidate above 1.14246 during the resistance retest in order to continue its growth, then we can expect price consolidation below this level to open a short position. The correction may reach the specified support zones before continuing its growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Decision Day: Flip or Fail?” — XAUUSD Sniper Battlefield Plan👋 Hello gold tacticians — we’ve entered a key battlefield.
Price is hovering in a critical flip zone after a sweep of 3395, and with ADP Non-Farm + ISM Services PMI coming up, the market won’t stay neutral for long.
This is not a time for random trades. Let’s lock in real zones and prepare for both traps and confirmations. 🎯
🟡 Neutral Bias
Price is in a flip zone (3345–3352) → Not clearly bullish or bearish.
We’ve seen both buying pressure from 3320s and strong rejection from 3395.
Market is ranging between premium and discount — no confirmed trend.
⚠️ Bearish Weight (Slight Tilt)
3384–3395 sweep confirms liquidity trap.
RSI divergence + price rejected from premium supply.
FVG gap under price (3303–3289) remains unfilled — likely draw.
Big news (ADP + ISM) may trigger stop hunts — downside has better structure for continuation.
✅ Conclusion:
We are neutral, but leaning bearish unless price confirms a clean break and hold above 3395.
You should follow structure shifts on M15/H1 after ADP before committing fully to either side.
🟡 Neutral Decision Zone – The Flip Battlefield
3345 – 3352
→ Previously acted as resistance — now tested as support
→ This is neutral ground — confirmation will decide if we bounce or dump
→ Use only with clear M15 PA
🧠 Wait here — bulls and bears will fight it out.
🔻 SELL ZONES – Premium Traps
Zone Key Levels Why it Matters
🔺 Main Rejection Block 3384 – 3395 Sweep + FVG + OB cluster — price was rejected here. If tapped again → watch for M15 bearish shift.
🔺 Flip Trap Extension 3368 – 3375 Previous broken high. If price fails to stay above → good place for fakeout sell.
🔺 Ultimate Premium Trap 3412 – 3422 Extreme liquidity grab if market spikes after ADP. Use only if FOMO buyers get trapped.
🟢 BUY ZONES – Smart Demand Levels
Zone Key Levels Why it Matters
🟢 Active Rebound Zone 3330 – 3320 OB + FVG + current HL reaction. Great sniper long if price holds.
🟢 Reload Buy Pocket 3303 – 3289 Fresh NY FVG + EMA confluence + liquidity. If ADP gives downside wick, this is the reload zone.
🟢 Final Demand Block 3265 – 3278 Deep sweep zone from H4. If hit → expect strong reaction. HL or M15 BOS confirms.
🔍 Strategy Scenarios
📉 Sell Plan A → Spike into 3384–3395 → M15/M30 bearish shift → short to 3352 → then 3320
📉 Sell Plan B → Flip rejection from 3368–3375 → short scalp to 3330
📉 Sell Plan C → FOMO sweep into 3412+ → wait for reversal wick → high-RR short
📈 Buy Plan A → Bounce from 3330–3320 → confirm HL → long toward 3368
📈 Buy Plan B → Flush into 3303–3289 → watch for OB reaction + PA → long scalp toward 3345
📈 Buy Plan C → Extreme dip to 3265 → reversal PA → long to 3300+
⚙️ Market Context
EMA 5/21/50 bullish but stretched
Price is compressing under a sweep — not trending
ADP + ISM = volatility trap window
RSI showing bearish divergence in premium
💬 Final Words from GoldFxMinds
Gold is standing in the middle of a flip battlefield. It doesn’t matter if you’re bullish or bearish — what matters is structure and reaction. Let the market reveal its hand.
🎯 Stay out of noise. Wait for the trigger. Act with clarity.
If this breakdown helped you today:
❤️ Drop a LIKE
🧠 Leave a COMMENT on what you’re watching
📌 And FOLLOW GoldFxMinds for clean, structured daily plans
Let’s dominate June with patience and precision.
— GoldFxMinds
GOLD surges to hit $3,371 target, continues to aim for $3,400OANDA:XAUUSD rose nearly 3% as US President Trump's tariff threats ratcheted up trade tensions, spurring investor demand for safe-haven assets and sending the dollar sharply lower.
US President Trump said on Friday he would raise tariffs on steel and aluminium imports from the US to 50% from the current 25% starting June 4. This has once again disrupted international trade, Reuters reported.
A European Commission spokesperson expressed deep regret over the US announcement that it would raise tariffs and said the EU was ready to take countermeasures.
Gold prices surged on Monday to a more than four-week high and continued to rise early this morning (Tuesday, June 3) as geopolitical risks from the conflict between Russia and Ukraine escalated as US President Donald Trump continued to threaten tariffs. Trump doubled tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 50%, effective June 4, adding to jitters in global markets.
Ukraine launched its biggest drone attack since the war against Ukraine on Sunday, targeting a wide swath of Russian air bases on the eve of a second round of direct talks between the two countries. The drones, hidden in trucks, penetrated deep into Russia and hit strategic airfields as far away as eastern Siberia. At the same time, Moscow launched one of its longest drone and missile strikes on Kiev.
In key US data on Monday, the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for May showed a contraction in business activity. The ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May came in at 48.5, down from 48.7 in April, the lowest reading since November.
Investors will also be closely watching comments from Federal Reserve policymakers this week for clues on the path of U.S. interest rates. Gold tends to benefit in low-interest-rate environments and times of geopolitical tension.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After reaching the target increase at 3,371 USD, gold temporarily decreased slightly but overall it has enough conditions to continue to increase in price towards the next target at 3,400 USD in the coming time.
In the short term, gold also formed an upward price channel, which is noted by the price channel, describing the short-term technical trend. Meanwhile, in terms of momentum, RSI is operating above 50, still quite far from the overbought area, showing that there is still a lot of room for growth ahead.
For the day, the main outlook for gold is bullish, any pullbacks that fail to break below the confluence of the EMA21 with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement should be considered only as a short-term correction, or a fresh buying opportunity.
Finally, the short-term bullish trend for gold will be focused again on the following positions.
Support: 3,326 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,435 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3412 - 3410⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3416
→Take Profit 1 3404
↨
→Take Profit 2 3398
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3324 - 3326⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3320
→Take Profit 1 3332
↨
→Take Profit 2 3338
XAUUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my XAUUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Natural Gas: Supported by Geopolitical Tensions and Trade WarNatural Gas: Bullish Momentum Fueled by Geopolitical Tensions and The Trade War
Natural gas has completed a bullish harmonic pattern, finding strong support near 3.45 before rebounding aggressively.
This upward movement suggests the potential for further expansion into a larger pattern.
The bullish sentiment is reinforced by escalating geopolitical tensions and renewed tariff discussions between the US and China over the weekend.
These factors could continue to support upside momentum.
Key resistance levels to watch are 3.67, 3.75, and 3.80.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Gold is taking a break, the next wave will be even stronger.Gold opened at 3382 today and rebounded to 3392 for a technical decline adjustment. So far, gold has hit a low of 3351. Currently, gold continues to fluctuate around 3360. We will pay attention to the support situation at 3345-50 below. If it does not break through, we will look for opportunities to go long.
Judging from the current trend of gold prices, the overall bullish trend remains, and there is still the possibility of further upward movement in the short term. The support below focuses on the 3345-3350 area, which is an important defensive position for short-term bulls. If it falls back to this area and stabilizes during the day, you can continue to rely on this position to arrange long orders, and the bullish thinking remains unchanged. Pay attention to the 3395-3400 first-line pressure above. If this range is effectively broken, the gold price is expected to hit the previous high and further open up the upward space. From the daily level, the market is still in the "low-long" rhythm of the trend, and it is expected to maintain a volatile upward trend in the short term. The recent market fluctuations are large. In terms of operation, it is necessary to strictly control the position and pay attention to risk prevention.
Gold operation strategy recommendation: Go long when gold falls back to 3345-3355, target: 3380-3390.
EURUSD on the rise Yesterday, EURUSD continued its bullish move and reached the first target at 1,1427.
Now, watch how it reacts around the support levels.
If it bounces, we could see new buying opportunities.
The main target remains a break above the previous high and a move toward 1,1563.
Don't forget about the upcoming news at the end of the week - manage your risk accordingly!
Currency Risks in International Stock InvestmentCurrency Risks in International Stock Investment
In the realm of international stock investment, understanding and managing currency risks is pivotal. This risk can substantially influence the returns on global investments, making it essential for investors to grasp its nuances and develop strategies to mitigate its impact. Today, we’ll delve into different types of currency risks, factors influencing these risks, and effective ways to manage them.
Understanding Currency Risks
Currency risks, sometimes known as foreign currency exchange risks, are inherent in international stock investment. This currency exposure risk arises when the value of a foreign currency fluctuates, affecting the position’s value when converted back to the domestic currency.
To use an example of currency risk, consider an American investor who buys stocks in a European company. If the euro weakens against the US dollar, the value of these stocks in USD decreases, even if the stock's price in euros remains unchanged.
It's crucial for investors to understand these risks, as they can significantly impact the returns on global investments. Effectively managing this exposure may help in protecting and potentially enhancing returns in a globally connected market.
Types of Currency Risks
Currency exposure in the context of global investments encompasses various types, each impacting assets differently. Understanding these is crucial for investors engaged in international trade or stock markets.
Transaction Risk
This arises from the fluctuation in exchange rates between the time a deal is made and when it's settled. For instance, a US investor purchasing shares in a Japanese company faces transaction risk if the Japanese yen strengthens against the US dollar before the trade is completed. The investor would have to spend more dollars to buy the same amount of yen, illustrating currency exchange rate risk.
Translation Risk
This is relevant for investors holding foreign assets or stocks. It occurs when the value of these assets changes due to market fluctuations, affecting the domestic value of these assets. For example, a British investor holding stocks in a Canadian company will face translation risk if the Canadian dollar weakens against the British pound. Such a devaluation would reduce the value of the Canadian shares when converted back to pounds.
Economic Risk
This broader risk involves changes in currency value driven by macroeconomic shifts in a foreign market. A German company investing in Brazil may face economic risk if Brazil’s downturn leads to a devaluation in the Brazilian real. This would lower the returns on the position when converted back to euros.
These aspects collectively define the currency risk in international trade and investment, highlighting the importance of managing exposure.
Factors Influencing Risks
Several factors contribute to risks in global investments, each playing a significant role in fluctuating prices.
Exchange Rate Fluctuations
Prices are primarily influenced by supply and demand dynamics in the foreign exchange market. Factors like trade balances, economic strength, and investor sentiment often cause exchange rates to vary, impacting investments denominated in that currency.
Interest Rates
Central banks' monetary policies, particularly interest rate adjustments, are a key driver. Higher interest rates in a country typically strengthen its currency by attracting foreign capital, seeking higher returns.
Inflation Rates
Generally, a country with lower inflation sees its currency appreciate as its purchasing power increases relative to other currencies, affecting the return on investments in countries with differing inflation rates.
Political Stability and Economic Performance
Political events, government policies, and the overall economic environment of a country influence investor confidence. For instance, political instability or economic downturns may lead to a currency devaluation.
Geopolitical Events
Global events, such as conflicts, trade agreements, or sanctions, might create uncertainty in the market, leading to volatile market movements.
Managing Currency Risks
Effectively managing risks is crucial for investors involved in global markets. By understanding and employing various strategies, one can mitigate currency risk and protect potential returns from adverse price movements.
Hedging Strategies
- Forward Contracts: These are agreements to buy or sell a currency pair at a future date at a predetermined price. By locking in exchange rates and hedging foreign currency risk, investors can protect against potential unfavourable shifts in prices. For example, an investor fearing a devaluation of the euro against the dollar in the coming months may enter a forward contract to sell euros at today's value, mitigating the exposure to future devaluation.
- Hedging through Inversely Correlated Assets: Investing in assets or securities that have an inverse relationship with the currency can also be a strategy. For instance, holding stocks that are likely to appreciate when the local currency depreciates might serve as a natural hedge.
Diversification
- Diversifying a portfolio across different currencies and geographic regions can dilute the impact of fluctuations. Holding a global mix of equities, bonds, and other assets may balance out losses in one region with gains in another.
- Investing in multinational corporations that operate and generate revenue in multiple currencies can also be a form of diversification, as these companies are often less affected by price volatility in any single market.
By employing these strategies, investors can mitigate the overall impact of price fluctuations on their international investments. However, it's important to note that while these methods might reduce exposure, they can also limit potential gains.
The Bottom Line
In conclusion, astutely managing these risks is fundamental for success in global stock investment. By understanding the types, factors, and strategies to mitigate this exposure, investors can navigate global markets more effectively.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Long XAUUSD 15m – Long Trade Plan After Liquidity Grab📊 XAUUSD 15m – Long Trade Plan After Liquidity Grab
OANDA:XAUUSD
Hello Traders! 👋
Spotted a clean setup on Gold (XAUUSD) on the 15-minute chart, and I wanted to break it down for everyone looking to learn and grow with smart money concepts and liquidity-driven trading.
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🔍 Trade Breakdown:
After a sharp bearish move, price aggressively broke below the Old High structure and formed a New Breakdown Low. This move likely triggered stop-losses and induced sellers — a classic liquidity grab scenario.
What followed is key:
Price tapped into a demand zone and showed clear rejection wicks.
It then consolidated just below the old structure — potentially accumulating orders for a reversal.
This gave me confidence to look for a long opportunity as part of my "Smart Money Reversal Strategy".
---
📌 Trade Plan Details:
Entry Zone: Around 3,358 – 3,360
Stop Loss: Below the recent low (~3,350)
Target 1: Previous structure resistance near 3,366 – 3,370
Target 2: Full range fill toward 3,389 – 3,390+
If price breaks and holds above the red supply zone, I’ll look for additional confirmation for scaling in or trailing.
---
🧠 Why This Matters:
This setup highlights the importance of:
Trading after liquidity sweeps, not during.
Recognizing how market makers trap early sellers before reversing.
Using structure and zones — not just indicators — to guide entries.
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📘 Note for Members:
This trade is shared for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and never blindly follow — plan your trades, then trade your plan!
Let me know your thoughts or how you'd approach this differently.
— Happy Trading! 💰
#XAUUSD #SmartMoney #LiquidityGrab #Forex #GoldAnalysis #TradingView
BITCOIN chart updated Bitcoin Buy Signal Triggered ₿🚀
BTC showing strong bullish momentum after holding key support.
Entered long position on breakout above short-term resistance with volume confirmation.
Higher lows forming a solid base — structure favors continued upside.
Targeting the next resistance zone around , with stop loss below recent swing low.
Watching closely for follow-through and potential scaling opportunities.
Market sentiment improving — let's see if the bulls can take control.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #BuyTheDip #BreakoutTrade #CryptoSetup #BullishBias #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis"**
GBPJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPJPY is currently respecting a clean ascending triangle formation on the 4H chart, with the 193.00 area acting as a strong support zone and higher lows continuing to form. This structure signals bullish pressure building up, and a breakout above the key resistance near 196.50 could trigger the next impulsive leg toward the 198.00 target. Price action is compressing along a clear trendline, and bulls are steadily stepping in on each dip—showing a textbook bullish continuation setup.
From a macro perspective, the yen remains fundamentally weak as the Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-loose monetary stance despite global tightening cycles. In contrast, the British pound is drawing strength from resilient UK economic data and expectations of at least one more rate hike from the Bank of England due to sticky core inflation. The widening yield differential between UK gilts and Japanese bonds continues to support GBPJPY upside, which is also visible in the broader risk-on market sentiment as equities hold firm globally.
Technically, GBPJPY has consistently respected trendline support and is coiling tightly under a known resistance zone, signaling that momentum is building for a significant move. Once the pair clears the 196.50 liquidity area, price is likely to surge quickly toward 198.00 as buy stops get activated. The 191.70–192.00 region remains the key invalidation level for this bullish outlook, and as long as that support holds, this setup remains highly favorable for bulls.
This pair is showing strong confluence of technical structure and fundamental drivers. A breakout above the triangle’s upper boundary could present a high-probability long opportunity with minimal drawdown. With momentum aligning and market sentiment supporting GBP strength, this could be a prime move to capture in the coming sessions.
BTCUSD Analysis Using MMC – Bearish Rejection & Target🔷 Introduction:
Bitcoin is showing classic Market Maker manipulation at work—volume compression, false breakouts, support-resistance flips, and a fading rally under a well-defined descending curve.
This post offers a deep dive into the true intentions of smart money behind recent price actions, helping traders avoid traps and align with institutional moves.
🔎 Detailed Breakdown of Chart Structure:
🧱 1. Volume Contraction Zone – The Calm Before the Storm
📅 Period: May 13–18
Price consolidates within a symmetrical triangle pattern.
Volume steadily decreases as price tightens – a sign that market makers are accumulating positions while keeping volatility low.
This low-volume phase creates uncertainty for retail traders, shaking out weak hands and building a base for a deceptive breakout.
🔍 MMC Insight: Market Makers reduce volatility to absorb liquidity without alerting the market to their accumulation. This builds energy for a manipulated move.
📌 2. False Breakout to Previous Target Zone (~$110,000)
📅 May 20–23
A sudden bullish impulse takes price to the previous target zone, marked as a key area of historical liquidity.
Retail traders enter late long positions at this stage, anticipating further breakout.
🎯 But instead:
Price swiftly rejects from this level, forming long upper wicks and bearish engulfing candles.
This move is a liquidity sweep, where smart money offloads positions to late buyers.
🔍 MMC Insight: Institutions engineer a breakout to bait traders, only to dump into the momentum they create.
🔁 3. SR Interchange (Support Flips to Resistance)
📅 May 27–June 2
Former support around $104,000 – $105,000 is broken and then retested from below.
Price attempts to reclaim it, but fails—each touch results in rejection.
This confirms the area has flipped to resistance, aligning with MMC’s SR Interchange Rule.
📉 Significance: This zone now acts as a control point where market makers defend short positions.
🚫 4. Candle Rejection Area – Curved Trendline Resistance
A visually defined curved resistance line caps each rally, suggesting consistent seller presence.
Recent candles show clear rejection wicks and small-bodied candles at this level—classic distribution behavior.
Market is compressing under this trendline, hinting at an imminent breakdown.
🔍 MMC Insight: Curved trendlines show passive sell pressure where institutions repeatedly cap price in preparation for a drive lower.
📉 5. Next Target & Volume Burst Area: $101,000 – $102,000
This zone is crucial due to:
Presence of imbalance (inefficiency) left from previous bullish moves.
Likely stop loss clusters from retail long traders.
Historical high-volume node suggesting pending revisit for order rebalancing.
🟨 Yellow Zone = Volume Burst Area: Expected to act as a magnet for price due to liquidity concentration.
🧠 Psychology of the Trap:
📈 Retail Bias: “Bullish triangle breakout means more upside.”
🧠 Institutional Plan: “Use that belief to create exit liquidity, then reverse.”
This is textbook MMC manipulation:
Contract volume to build positions.
Break out to bait liquidity.
Reverse at supply.
Sell into rejection zones.
Trap traders at SR flips.
Drive price to reclaim liquidity at lower targets.
📊 Strategy Plan:
🔻 Bearish Bias Setup:
Entry Zone: $105,200 – $106,000 (candle rejection area)
SL: Above $106,800 (above supply curve)
TP1: $103,000
TP2: $101,000
TP3 (optional): $99,000 for deeper flush
🔁 Flip Bullish if:
Price reclaims $107,000 with momentum and closes above the curve.
Watch for volume confirmation and bullish SMC patterns (e.g., BOS + FVG fill).
⚠️ Risk Management & Notes:
Trade with 1–2% max risk per position.
Let confirmations play out (don't preempt rejection).
Watch U.S. data releases this week (highlighted on chart) – potential volatility triggers.
📌 Conclusion:
Bitcoin’s current behavior is a masterclass in market structure manipulation. Understanding MMC lets us:
Avoid false breakouts
Align with institutional intentions
Trade with probability, not emotion
Expect lower prices unless $106,800 is cleanly broken. The path of least resistance currently points downward toward liquidity zones.
Japanese Yield Surged to Record High 3.2% - Nikkei OutlookAre Japanese markets still a buy after rising 170% since the pandemic, surpassing their roaring 1980s levels?
The reason why Japanese stocks have become some of the best-performing equities in Asia is largely due to the falling yen — a depreciation of around 60%. A weaker yen boosts Japan’s major exporters (like Toyota, Sony, and Panasonic), as their overseas earnings convert into higher yen profits.
But what’s the downside? - Inflation
Yes, they wanted inflation, below 2% yoy will be ideal, but not at this rate of growth at 3.5%.
Another key reason for the stock rally starting in 2020 was that, just like the U.S., the Bank of Japan (BOJ) unleashed massive monetary stimulus, flooding markets with liquidity during the pandemic.
Although the yen has fallen sharply, it seems to have stalled since 2024, that was when the BOJ started raising interest rates from –0.1% to the current +0.5%.
With inflation continuing to rise, the BOJ will likely maintain a hawkish stance on interest rates.
This could cause the yen to strengthen or push USD/JPY lower.
I am also observing a potential head and shoulders formation on the USD/JPY. And if the yen strengthens, this may cause the Japanese stocks to meet its road block.
Nikkei 225 performance since the post WWII to its roaring 80s, to its collapsed, and now rebounded.
Even though prices have breached the 80s level in 2023, it could represent a false breakout, as prices continue to fall back below that historic resistance the last 2 years.
My assessment: The Japanese stocks are still testing their 80s high — a major psychological level.
With money printing, the yen weakened; and a weaker currency fueled inflation.
With inflation, yields and interest rates rise, borrowing costs are increasing across the different tenures — and that’s not good news for stocks.
The 30-year yield is now at around 3% — a level surpassing the deflationary years and that’s something most Japanese would not have imagined just a few years ago.
With a raising interest rate and a stronger yen, let’s see how this will impact the Nikkei 225.
Since the BOJ began raising interest rates at the beginning of 2024, the market has literally stalled within a wide 10,000-point range.
And there is a key support level at 30,000, we can see it was a resistance in the past.
Currently, the BOJ is trying their best in managing the yen and inflation very carefully, to maintain financial system stability. Based on this sentiment, I believe the market will likely continue moving within this wide range — though it may gradually narrow over time.
Make sure to keep monitoring the direction of the Japanese yen, yields, and inflation.
If the yen strengthens too quickly, or if yields and inflation rise too sharply, it could push the market to break below this range and start trending downward.
And if it is all well, market will likely to continue its upward momentum.
Another key factor I am watching closely is tariffs.
The direction of the Japanese stock markets will also be influence by the tariff agreements ultimately with US, and as well as how quickly they can forge potential trading partnerships and alliances — just like other nations, they are racing against time.
Micro Nikkei Futures
Ticker: MNI
Minimum fluctuation:
5.00 index points = ¥250
Disclaimer:
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ETHUSD short-term🔍1. Technical situation
ETH/USD is in a consolidation phase — the price is moving in a rather narrow range, without a clear upward or downward trend.
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The upper limit of this consolidation is the resistance zone of USD 2,664–2,717 (green rectangle on the chart).
The lower limit is the support zone of USD 2,495–2,446 (red rectangle).
2. Potential formation
A potential double bottom formation can be seen on the chart, which is a classic trend reversal formation to an upward one.
The lows occurred around May 25–31 and at the end of May.
Confirmation of the formation would be a breakout of the resistance zone of USD 2,664–2,717.
3. Technical indicators
RSI:
Currently, the RSI has rebounded from zone 40 and is heading up. Exceeding the 50 level may be a signal of buyers' strength and support for the bullish scenario.
On the chart: "Potential rebound signal - watch break above 50"
MACD:
MACD is close to generating a momentum change signal (potential intersection of the MACD and signal lines).
On the chart: "MACD near signal - watch for momentum shift"
4. Scenarios for the coming hours/days
Bullish scenario (up):
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If the price breaks above USD 2,717 (exit from consolidation upwards), a dynamic move towards USD 2,800 can be expected.
Support for this scenario will be signals from RSI and MACD.
Bearish scenario (down):
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If the price rejects the resistance zone and returns below USD 2,446, the risk of going down to the next support in the area of USD 2,300 increases.
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Summary
Key Levels:
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Support: $2,495-$2,446
Resistance: $2,664-$2,717
Currently, the market is in consolidation with an attempt to break out to the top.
Watch for: Resistance breakout (potential bullish signal) and support reactions (potential bearish).
Pattern: Potential double bottom - needs confirmation.