The euro will rise!EUR/USD steadied slightly in Asia on Thursday (Nov 7), currently trading around 1.0723. The euro fell 1.8 percent the previous day, hitting as low as $1.0683, its lowest level since June 27, as the dollar index surged 1.7 percent and U.S. Treasury yields rose sharply.
Preliminary resistance is seen at 1.0820/44 along with this week's high at 1.0937. Preliminary support sits at Wednesday's low of 1.0682 and the June low of 1.0666.
Fundamental Analysis
Cake updateDex is a narrative of the bullrun and we haven’t seen it actually or at least it’s intensity so we’re gonna stick to the cakes we accumulated, we have the green box which is the most amazing price if we ever touch again tho it’s unlikely and the tps which the last one is somewhere close to 20 which is my highest guess tho I can’t tell if we go higher or not but i keep you updated in the path .
Stay safe
Altseason is closeLast one before sleep, we’re going into an altseason in only 2-3% dominance change . It wont be very big but it deffo helps alts to breath again and live . In the last ta i gave you two scenarios which the second one took place and here we are at 60% and I’m kinda sure about hitting resistance and pulling back for a while .
Will keep you updated .
Tesla - New All Time Highs With Trump!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) just broke above the last resistance level:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
With Trump winning the election and Elon Musk being a supporter of Trump, Tesla is rallying significantly. But looking at market structure, this rally was also expected, considering that Tesla just broke out of a triangle pattern. Now Tesla will soon create new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $275, $410
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 08, 2024 EURUSDEvents to pay attention to today:
17:00 EET. USD - UoM Consumer Sentiment
18:00 EET. USD - FOMC Member Michelle W. Bowman Speaks
EURUSD:
The EUR/USD exchange rate is declining towards 1.07800 due to increased demand for the US dollar during Asian trading hours on Friday. Furthermore, the prospect of increased tariffs under the Trump administration is exerting downward pressure on the euro relative to the US dollar. Analysts anticipate further market movements based on the release of the expanded Michigan consumer sentiment data for November, as well as a speech by Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Michelle Bowman on Friday.
As anticipated, the US Federal Reserve reduced its key interest rate by 25 basis points at its November meeting on Thursday. The US central bank is keen to avoid any further weakening of the labour market and still anticipates a gradual decline in inflation towards the Fed's 2% target. It is anticipated that the Fed will continue to reduce interest rates at forthcoming meetings, although the precise timing remains unclear. The Fed will continue to assess data in order to determine the appropriate pace and direction of interest rate cuts.
Mr. Trump has pledged to impose a 10% tariff on imports from all countries, which has exerted downward pressure on the euro. The European Union has the second-largest trade deficit with the United States in the world and is the largest exporter to the United States, according to JPMorgan.
Furthermore, the European Central Bank (ECB) is reducing interest rates at a faster pace than the Federal Reserve. This may result in a depreciation of the euro against the US dollar. The ECB has already reduced rates three times this year due to declining inflation risks in the Eurozone. Growing expectations of another rate cut are contributing to the euro's decline in the near term.
Trading recommendation: We follow the level of 1.08000, when fixing above it we consider Buy positions, when rebounding we consider Sell positions.
GOLD established a falling structure after a sharp declineOANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery is basically stable after yesterday's plunge. The current gold price is about 2,660 USD/ounce. Previously on Wednesday (November 6), after Trump was elected President of the United States, investors rushed to buy US Dollar, OANDA:XAUUSD plummeted to its lowest level in 3 weeks.
As sent to readers in many articles about the election of Trump, a shock decline in gold is inevitable because Trump's "steering wheel" will support the Dollar from general economic policies.
Trump's victory will boost the dollar as he is expected to propose new tariffs that could cause a spike in inflation and cause the Federal Reserve to pause its easing cycle.
Fed decision upcoming
After cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September, the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this time.
The US economic calendar today (Thursday) will focus on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision. The Fed is expected to reduce borrowing costs by 25 basis points to a range of 4.50%-4.75%.
Trump and the Fed
Trump's economic policy proposes imposing taxes, increasing the fiscal deficit, and reducing taxes. His economic advice conflicts with the Fed's anti-inflation policy. Therefore, the Fed will be forced to take a very cautious approach when loosening monetary policy.
The risk of rising inflation after Trump introduced new taxes could slow the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. This is very important because Trump and the Fed are becoming opposing, it is likely that Trump will destroy all previous efforts of the Fed to curb inflation.
For more than 70 years, the Federal Reserve has operated as an independent government agency in the United States, but this tradition may soon be overturned. After declaring victory on Wednesday (November 6), Donald Trump is preparing to talk about "interest rates" after taking office in January 2025, insisting his intuition is better than the Chairman of the Reserve Federal Powell.
For more than 70 years, the US central bank has operated as an independent government agency. When officials meet to decide interest rates, they will not need to consult with the president and other elected officials. That's because, as the former Fed chairman famously said, “The job of the central bank is to get rid of the drinking bowl just as the party is getting started.”
In other words, they have to make unpopular decisions that ultimately seek to bring long-term benefits to the economy. However, once President-elect Trump returns to the White House, the independence the Fed has maintained for many years could be compromised.
Trump's statement was posted on CNN: “I think the president should at least have a say. I feel very strongly,” Trump said about the Fed's interest rate decision at a press conference in August.
Trump added: “I make a lot of money, I'm very successful and I think in many situations I have better abilities than the people at the Fed or the president.”
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
After yesterday's strong price drop, gold has all the technical conditions to decrease in price through the price channel. The fact that gold was sold below the price channel and the 21-day moving average (EMA21) caused the bullish price structure to be completely broken.
Currently, gold is recovering slightly after receiving support from the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, and once this level is further broken below, gold tends to continue to decline with a subsequent target level of around 2,600 USD around the 0.786% Fibonacci retracement area.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index continues to point downward after breaking the 50 level, which should be considered a negative signal for gold as the RSI's next target is 25. Showing that the downward momentum remains quite wide in the front.
In the near future, technically, gold has the potential to decrease in price with the price channel being the short-term trend.
As long as gold remains in the price channel and below the EMA21 level, the bearish outlook will still be prioritized, and the notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,640 – 2,645USD
Resistance: 2,668 – 2,684 – 2,697USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2708 - 2706⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2711
→Take Profit 1 2701
↨
→Take Profit 2 2696
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2637 - 2639⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2633
→Take Profit 1 2644
↨
→Take Profit 2 2649
Buy GBP/JPY Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 197.44
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 199.20
2nd Resistance – 200.20
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below Support Zone. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
XRP Will Jump in Market Cap and Looks Bullish /Targets and PlansBINANCE:XRPUSDT
COINBASE:XRPUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 2x-3x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
According to the price trend in the previous alt rally, you can see that XRP and DOGE are at their lowest market value compared to the previous rally.
In the coming days, whenever the price of BTC is increasing or consolidating, while BTC.D starts a downward trend, we can expect the market's top tokens, especially XRP, to start jumping to ATH levels.
The price falling below the yellow area cancels the bullish scenario.
Potential price targets for the levels will be $0.88 and $1.2.
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone:
⚡️TP:
0.65
0.88
1.20
1.64
🔴SL:
00.2950
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilize against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
USD pullback, GBP bullish expectations strengthenedThe dollar briefly hit a high as expectations for the stimulus effects of President Trump's policies rose again after his re-election. However, on the eve of the US and UK central bank resolutions, the dollar pulled back. Mr. Trump's economic plans could boost demand in the short term, analysts say, but the risks of deficits and inflation that come with them could make the dollar volatile in the future.
After hitting a high of 105.25, the dollar index (DXY) retreated and is currently down 0.27% at 104.88, mainly as markets start to re-digest the Fed's path of response to inflationary pressures. With last week's weaker-than-expected non-farm payrolls data and a less clear inflation outlook, the market sees a 67% chance that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points tonight and raise rates in December.
The pullback comes as the euro and sterling rally against the greenback. The euro was up 0.3 percent against the dollar at 1.0758, having not been significantly dragged down despite the political crisis in Germany. Sterling rose 0.19% to 1.2902 against the dollar, with the Bank of England widely expected to cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points tonight, taking it to 4.75%. Some of the pound's strength stems from expectations that the U.K. government will continue to push through stimulus policies to support demand in the domestic economy, though that also means there will be considerable pressure on the pound's strength over the longer term.
Bitcoin to 100k this year?Hey guyys!
So Trump won the election and we have new BTC ATH!
And I think we all wondering where we can go now?
Let's check the chart and daily we have bullish MA cross, huge volume on this election day.
But, another day volume is not pretty nice and looks like more manipulative movement.
So I think if we will stay long at the ATH level without moving up with descending volumes, we could potentially see some correction.
If we stay above 69k, most likely after this short correction we can go up, if we're not holding this level we can go to 59-63k level.
Cause real rally for me, will happen in 2025.
What's your ideas, guys? Let's discuss in the comments? Are we going to 100k this year or only in 2025?
Pay no attention to the wavy line...Added this nonsense as filler- you know what to do though: we wait till the red resistance zones populate, so we can mentally throw out support zones that don't match the support/resistance channel.
What do you think: is this the channel that holds till Jan 1st 2025?
Because if it is, then we're darn close to >100k in the new year, and possibly reaching MAJOR correction by the inauguration.
BONK: $0.000 00 14 | a Steve Jobs Moment meme is a way to expedite adoption
think DOGE where Elon peddled Tesla and now his SpaceX ipo and Open Ai
BONK is a means to awareness to rock the Mobile Phone space
maybe something to sexy is about to unfold approaching Dubai Blockchains this Feb Sep usual exercise
DOGE: Big Moves Ahead? Here's What to WatchDOGE is hanging at a key level. If we break $0.187, the next stop could be $0.20 or even $0.236 if the momentum is strong. If it dips instead, keep an eye on $0.178 for a possible bounce. Stay patient, keep it simple, and let the waves guide you.
Mindbloome Trading / Kris
Trade What You See
Send me a DM if you like, boost, or found this helpful
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Avg lvls for SPY:600, SPX:6000Continuing with the recent brief analysis on TLT:
The US stock market will inevitably face challenges when the clashes between populism and reality come to the forefront. Over the next 3 years, I expect SPY average price to maintain around the 600 level and for SPX it is 6,000.
11/7/24 - $asts - Y'all ready to ball? Bot it!11/7/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ASTS
Y'all ready to ball? Bot it!
- honestly i'm still pretty cash heavy, so i'm playing ITM calls (and have started taking profits today as well... still hold NASDAQ:META , NYSE:TSM , NYSE:UBER as well as added on the top to my long-dated NASDAQ:NXT 's and hold a nice bag of OTC:BITW too).
- but that being said, with solar re-popping. i "get" that NASDAQ:ASTS "isn't" space X... and elon has his opinions. he's a competitor. he's an edge lord. his job is to do this - duh.
- for a stock that has such high interest, cool application... i'd expect IV to jump around earnings next week, or even more generally if risk remains bid. can't say i'm in for a lot - but i have some $20 C's for next week. seems like an interesting bet. and if the stock actually sells off i can decide to take a larger shares, or longer-date ITM calls position like i did my other core names above.
- what do you think. shall we ball, brawl or bawl?
TO THE MOON ;)
V
EUR/USD started to rally this weekEUR/USD finds support around 1.0765/1.0780 and tries to gain additional upside momentum. No major economic reports are scheduled to be released in Europe today, so traders will continue to monitor general market sentiment.
If EUR/USD can get back above 1.0800, it will move towards the 50 moving average of 1.0826. A break above the 50 moving average will open the way for testing resistance at 1.0900-1.0915.
The Case for MinersBTC is now entering its final form. As I see it, the period beginning now and progressing over the coming months is likely to be the most rapid and vicious ascent of this entire market cycle beginning from the post-FTX lows. This cycle shall also culminate in Bitcoin's long-awaited rise to its greatest potential: accumulation on a global sovereign scale.
Thus, the time to pay attention and allocate to BTC beta, especially miners, has reached its apex. I'm a bit late to this post as I have already positioned in several miners, namely CLSK and WULF, but plan to finish accumulating shares and long calls rapidly. The best entries tend to be on daily closes above previous monthly or quarterly highs, especially when the previous monthly candle was a doji or hammer, indicating accumulation and downtrend exhaustion. This is precisely what we just saw with the candle of the month of September 2024, and I entered on the first daily close above its $10.47 high.
This post is generally for made for posterity and on the eve of a possible daily close confirming a textbook H&S bottom. While the measured move of this patter coincides with the yearly POC around ~$16-17, and it may well see some trouble accepting there, I plan to hold the majority of my longs into the 1st fib extension at $35, and, depending on conditions, will leave some to run to the 2nd extension around $52. RSI indicates that we haven't even entered the bull market phase of this run. Have fun and good luck to all - exciting times lie ahead!