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Fundamental Analysis

Trade Recaps: EURUSD - SHORT, GBPJPY - SHORT, 05/11/2024EU Bias Analysis: Although Price is deeply discounted on the HTF's and the 4H has started trending higher, A shift of 1H structure from a 4H Bearish Order Block presented an opportunity for short positions as price corrected into IRL. Grade: High Risk GJ Bias Analysis: Price is trading at a weekly premium and is establishing a 4H bearish trend after a break to the downside and correction higher, pending a continuation lower. Short entries aligned with the current 1H bearish range and entry confirmation was received after a TBL sweep and 15M distribution lower. Grade: Low Risk
Short
by The_Modern_Day_Trader
Possible 200+ Pips On ContinuationIn this setup, we're targeting a continuation of the swing sell, awaiting a clear signal of bearish momentum. Our entry confirmation will come once price breaks and closes below the 1.6442 level. After this confirmation, we’ll look for a retracement into the premium level of the intra-trend bearish rally, specifically within the 1.6540-1.6400 range. From this level, we aim to enter a sell position, targeting the second and third support levels. This setup projects a minimum of 150 pips with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 1:4. For a more detailed breakdown, check out the video analysis. Previous Call:
Short
by Ieios
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Analysis
Adobe - Triangle Textbook Long Setup!Adobe ( NASDAQ:ADBE ) is breaking out soon: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After creating a rally of +2.000% over the past decade, Adobe created its all time high back in the end of 2021. The consolidation ever since has been quite expected, especially looking at market structure. But if Adobe breaks out of the current triangle, we will see new all time highs. Levels to watch: $440, $560 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:ADBELong
by basictradingtv
6
BITCOIN Is this my first one I'm not sure Here in this video, we take a look at the monthly, The Weekly, accidentally the 1 hour, and The Daily, any way here is my analysis of the chart. You can go back on your own in your own chart and look at it and see if you see something different if you do let me know. Monthly and Weekly, we see a cup and handle forming. On a Daily a Bearish Rising Wedge. As you can see where this goes is depending on how tomorrow goes, If Kamala wins everyone is selling because they are going to have to pay the taxes that she will raise, If Trump wins everyone is Buying cause of the Taxes that he is going to cut
COINBASE:AVAXUSD
by Christian_J_Cruz
The Weekend: Prepping to Trade & Travel w/AIRAIn preparation for a trip to show my daughter more of Thailand, I've switched to a fully mobile setup. I’m running everything with just two laptops and a monitor for each, getting my mind ready for this new workflow. I’m excited for this change because our usual work routine felt like it was limiting her experiences at such a crucial time in her life. This upcoming week is a big one, but nothing is more important than her growth and development. So, I hope you enjoy this test video. Rest assured, What's Flowing videos will keep flowing, and my algorithms will stay busy spread trading across various markets.
TVC:DXYEducation
by moneymagnateash
Natural Gas Goldmine: Are You Ready to Take the Red Pill?Unlocking the Natural Gas Goldmine: Are You Ready to Take the Red Pill? In the ever-shifting sands of the financial markets, the truth often lies buried beneath layers of noise and confusion. Today, we delve into the Commitment of Traders (COT) data, a powerful tool that reveals a compelling opportunity in the natural gas market. What if I told you that the signs are aligning for a potential rally? But heed this warning: This does not mean to blindly dive into long positions. Instead, we stand poised, awaiting the moment of a confirmed trend change on the daily timeframe—a moment that transforms potential into profit. The Market Signals: A Gathering Storm The data speaks volumes. Commercial traders, the real players in this game, are currently positioned at a major extreme in long holdings—the highest they’ve been in over three years. This is not mere coincidence; it’s a clear indication that something significant is brewing beneath the surface. As we analyze the net open interest, we observe a phenomenon I like to call the “Bubble Up.” This surge occurs when Commercials outpace Large Speculators, and such dynamics often foreshadow market turning points. The whispers of a shift in power are growing louder, and it’s time to listen closely. Furthermore, we cannot overlook the increasing open interest during this multi-week decline. But we must ask ourselves: Who is driving this increase? The answer is clear—commercial traders are loading up on long positions. This is a bullish sign, indicating confidence in a market reversal. The Premium Charge: An Ominous Signal of Change Adding another layer to our bullish thesis is the current premium charge in the market. We observe that the front months, extending out to April, are trading at a premium compared to later delivery months. This indicates a strong demand for immediate delivery—a sign that the market expects an uptick in prices. But let us not forget the supplementary indicators that further bolster our long stance: the Price Oscillator Indicator Value (POIV), %R, and the Ultimate Oscillator are all aligning in favor of the bulls. They whisper of impending change, urging us to prepare. The Seasonal Anomaly: A Moment of Reflection Yet, as we pursue this truth, we encounter an obstacle. The traditional seasonal patterns suggest a decline until February, but the extreme positioning of commercial long traders casts doubt on this warning. Sometimes, the path to enlightenment requires us to look beyond conventional wisdom. In this moment, we find ourselves at a crossroads. The insights we’ve gathered are akin to a revelation, a glimpse into the potential future of natural gas. The Choice is Yours Will you take the red pill and see how deep the rabbit hole goes? Embrace the knowledge, or remain in the shadows. The markets are waiting, and so is your potential. Welcome to your awakening.
NYMEX:NGF2025Long
by Tradius_Trades
Take the Red Pill: The EURO COT Long Play RevealedTake the Red Pill: The EURO Long Play Revealed "Let me tell you why you're here. You're here because you know something. What you know, you can't explain, but you feel it." – Morpheus Most traders move blindly through the markets, buying and selling on impulse, on what they think they know. But for those who understand how to read deeper signals, patterns begin to emerge—patterns that separate the merely active from the truly informed. Right now, if you're willing to look, Commitment of Traders (COT) data is showing us something intriguing about the EURO. This is your red pill: a glimpse into how those in the know see beyond the chart. The Setup: A Commercial Long Play Behind the scenes, commercials—the ones who have true skin in the game—have loaded up on longs, reaching a 26-week extreme in positioning. Not only that, but they're holding their longest exposure in three years, a sign that those with the best intel in the market believe in a coming shift. Meanwhile, the "small specs," often driven by emotion rather than insight, have gone nearly max-short. Historically, this group isn't just wrong; they’re almost predictably wrong. The result? A textbook setup. But if you’re looking to take advantage, know this: jumping in without discipline is how people get burned. We wait for a confirmed trend change on the daily timeframe. Nothing less. Because only the disciplined get to see beyond the shadows and reap the rewards. The Undervaluation: Gold, Treasuries, and the EURO’s True Position If you look at the EURO in comparison to gold and treasuries, something stands out—it’s undervalued. This doesn’t show up in headlines or make for easy soundbites, but for those who know how to look, it’s a flashing signal. And there’s a seasonal edge, too: the EURO’s tendency to rally through mid-December. It’s another puzzle piece that, when added up with positioning extremes and market sentiment, paints a picture that only a few will truly grasp. Supplementary Signals: Layers of Confirmation For those still seeking confirmation, additional indicators are lining up: %R, Stochastic, and even bullish momentum divergence are signaling alignment. But understand this—the market doesn’t reward the impatient. We wait, observe, and move only when the trend change is confirmed on the daily chart. The Truth Beneath the Surface This is no ordinary trade idea. It’s a blueprint to help you see the hidden dynamics that move the market. Those who look only at surface price action may be blindsided by the moves yet to come. But for those willing to see beyond—those ready to know what the COT data, the fundamentals, and the seasonal tendencies are saying—this is a rare opportunity. Now, if you’re ready to see what the rest don’t, follow Tradius Trades. You’ll be one of the few with eyes open, equipped to move with purpose. --- > "I didn’t say it would be easy, Neo. I just said it would be the truth."
CME:6EZ2024Long
by Tradius_Trades
COT Red Pill: Canadian Dollar Primed for a Long The Red Pill of Trading: Illuminating the Canadian Dollar's Long Potential In the vast and enigmatic expanse of the financial matrix, truths often lay hidden, obscured by layers of complexity and uncertainty. Today, I offer you an opportunity—an invitation to take the red pill and awaken to the profound insights that the market has to reveal. We turn our gaze to the Canadian Dollar (CAD), a currency poised for potential transformation, waiting for the discerning trader to recognize its worth. The Commercials Let us begin with the Commitment of Traders (COT) data, a powerful tool that unveils the positioning of the market's key players. The commercials—those seasoned entities whose knowledge and resources run deep—are currently positioned significantly long. Their holdings approach levels last seen in August 2024, a time of significance with extreme long positioning that heralded a remarkable four-week upswing in prices. This is no mere coincidence; it is a bullish signal, a whisper from the market that should not be ignored. However, wisdom demands patience. To embark on this journey, we must first wait for a confirmed trend change entry trigger on the daily timeframe. The fundamentals are ripe for a rally, yet we must ensure our actions are grounded in calculated strategy rather than impulsive enthusiasm. Open Interest: A Window into Market Dynamics As we delve deeper into the market's secrets, we uncover the insights offered by open interest analysis. During the recent multi-week downtrend, we have witnessed a spike in open interest—a phenomenon that warrants our attention. Here, we must pose a critical question: who is driving this increase? in this case it is the commercials, accumulating long positions and enhancing their stake, we find ourselves looking at a robust bullish indicator. The increase in open interest driven by those with intimate market knowledge signifies a potential shift in the market’s direction. This insight is a crucial key to unlocking the doors of opportunity. The Contrarian’s Edge But the revelations do not end there. Investment advisor sentiment has plummeted to bearish extremes, a classic contrarian signal that savvy traders know to watch. As the masses succumb to pessimism, history has shown us time and again that opportunity often lies in the shadows of despair. The WillVal indicator further illuminates our path, revealing that the Canadian Dollar is currently undervalued compared to Gold and Treasuries. This mispricing signals an impending revaluation—a chance for the discerning trader to seize the moment. Seasonal trends indicate that we should anticipate price movements upward as we approach January, and the positioning of small speculators(the usually wrong public)—excessively short—presents yet another contrarian opportunity, one that the wise trader can capitalize on. The Choice Before You You now stand at a significant juncture, a crossroads where knowledge and opportunity intersect. The insights I have shared are akin to taking the red pill—a revelation that exposes the true nature of the market, laying bare the possibilities that await those willing to see. As you contemplate your next move, remember that successful trading is not about surrendering to the whims of the crowd but about embracing the hidden truths that lie beneath the surface. Join me on this journey into the unknown. Follow Tradius Trades, where we dissect the intricate patterns of the market and equip you with the insights necessary to navigate this complex landscape. The truth is out there, and together, we can unveil the secrets of trading with clarity and conviction. Choose wisely, for the matrix of opportunity awaits your command.
CME:6CZ2024Long
by Tradius_Trades
2
Amazon - The +150% All Time High Breakout!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) is hugging the previous all time high: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Amazon has been moving sideways for almost four years, consolidating between support and the previous all time high. After retesting the resistance over and over again, it is just a matter of time until Amazon will break the previous all time high and start its next major bullish cycle. Levels to watch: $190, $500 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by basictradingtv
8
Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: 28 October - 1 NovemberWeekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: NASDAQ 100, US Dollar, GOOGLE, MSFT Shares Price Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights - NASDAQ 100 CONSOLIDATES AHEAD OF MAJOR MARKET LEADER EARNINGS REPORT - DOLLAR CONTINUES AGGRESSIVE RISE AHEAD OF U.S. ELECTIONS - ALPHABET INC. (GOOGL) SHARES RISE TO $180 FOLLOWING EARNINGS REPORT - MICROSOFT (MSFT) SHARES DECLINE DESPITE STRONG EARNINGS REPORT 🌐 FXOpen official website: www.fxopen.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by FXOpen
1
Market Analysis 11/1/24Hello everyone, welcome back to our daily market analysis. Today, we examined our fundamental data from yesterday and today. While reviewing, please bear in mind that today marks the commencement of the month. Consequently, we anticipate the emergence of concerning news for several currencies. However, we will primarily focus on the United States Dollar (USD). The USD’s NFP data warrants our attention due to its potential to induce volatility. As traders, it is imperative to consider these factors: the month’s inception and the possibility of a drop in NFP information, which could further amplify volatility. Today’s fundamental data indicates a favorable position for CHF, EUR, and JPY, while AUD, CAD, GBP, NZD, and USD exhibit a weaker trend.
by milesjohnson778
Live Market Update- Welcome to Crypto 🤖🚀 Bitcoin’s Bullish Correction: What’s Next on the Chart? 💡📈 Hey everyone! Time to check in on Bitcoin’s latest move. Yesterday, while U.S. markets stumbled, Bitcoin gave us a corrective dip, but in a bullish context! Here’s what I’m seeing in the charts: Bitcoin Analysis Support Reclaimed: Bitcoin dipped to revisit its previous breakout levels, securing support at $69,579. Next Target: If BTC can hold steady or push up from here, I’m watching $72,000 as the next test. If momentum carries it further, my projection is $79,000 for a potential new high. Key Levels: Current support at $69,600, with a fallback to $65,670 if the trend doesn’t hold. Overall, my stance remains bullish, but remember fundamentals—U.S. elections, Middle East tensions, and today’s NFP data—can add volatility. Bitcoin Dominance BTC dominance is nearing a significant resistance point, and I’m 90% confident it could retrace from here. It didn’t quite trigger my alert, but with the NFP data release, we might see a quick spike before rejection. Ethereum & Solana Ethereum: Testing the waters at 0.058 BTC with a strong structure forming. I see room for a breakout toward $3,634, with support solid at $2,398. Solana: At all-time highs but primed for a pullback, especially with the new competitor SUI entering the market. SUI’s levels are worth watching around $1.80 for a long, with psychological markers at $2 and $3. Final Thoughts Patience is key—these levels are guiding us, but the market may retest support before new highs emerge. Stick to the plan and keep a cool head in these moves! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by FX_Professor
1
Celsius ($CELH) is FINALLY BOTTOMING. NOW IS THE TIME TO BUY! NASDAQ:CELH is FINALLY BOTTOMING?! NOW IS THE TIME TO BUY! 5 REASONS WHY: 1⃣ We have DIVERGENCE on the Weekly Chart 2⃣ It's a "High Five Setup" 3⃣ It's a BUY according to my Valuation Metric Tool (4/6 score) 4⃣ Growth Beast! Beaten down over 40% this year 5⃣ Find out by watching. 👇 Video analysis 5/5. Stay tuned for more!🔔 Like ❤️ Follow 🤳 Share 🔂 Will Celsius finally get back on track with their growth or be defeated by the Goliath Monster?! Sorry for the pauses in the middle of the video; my dog came in and was about to start howling 🐶🤣 Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by RonnieV29
4
Amd - Break, Retest And New All Time Highs!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is about to start another +100% rally: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Amd just retested and rejected a major previous horizontal structure and is starting the next major bullish wave towards the upside. Looking at previous cycles and the rising channel pattern, it is quite likely that Amd will follow Nvidia and create new all time highs soon. Levels to watch: $130, $270 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by basictradingtv
4