Fundamental Analysis
Delta Airlines - Long Term FlyerHey, all. Pretty intense idea here, but I am a buyer of NYSE:DAL at these levels. Obviously, the chart looks awful from a recent performance perspective. However, if you take a long term view, we could actually be rebalancing after an initial range expansion to the upside. Just like NASDAQ:RIVN , airlines are/have been a pretty brutal investment. I guess I have a thing for pain. Ha.
I am certainly a believer that airlines are undervalued here and can reverse back to the upside. Of course, it goes against the current narrative that the economy is showing signs of weakness. But I am just willing to take the risk on this one. I believe the consumer and culture shift in the US to have more experiences in life will continue to hold.
Are we going to come in for a hard landing, or take off to cruising altitude? We'll see what kind of lift the market will give us. Right now the turbulence is pretty intense.
GOLD surges above $3,100 as April 2 approachesThe international OANDA:XAUUSD has jumped above 3,100 USD for the first time in this trading day, as concerns about US President Donald Trump's tariff policy and its possible economic consequences, along with geopolitical uncertainties, have prompted a new round of safe-haven investment.
As of press time, spot OANDA:XAUUSD was up 0.86% at $3,111/oz, having earlier hit an all-time high of $3,111.55, surpassing the all-time high set last Friday.
Trump signed a proclamation last week imposing a 25% tariff on imported cars, and markets are bracing for so-called “reciprocal tariffs” that the White House is expected to announce on Wednesday.
Gold has hit a record high and is up more than 18% this year, cementing its status as a hedge against economic and geopolitical uncertainty.
Earlier this month, gold prices broke through the psychological $3,000 mark for the first time, a milestone that reflects growing market concerns about economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and inflation that will continue to drive gold higher.
Since taking office, Trump has pushed through a series of new tariffs to protect U.S. industry and reduce the trade deficit, including a 25% tariff on imported cars and parts and an additional 10% tariff on all imports from China. He plans to announce a new round of reciprocal tariffs on April 2.
In addition to trade tensions, strong central bank demand for gold and inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) will continue to support the incredible rally in gold prices this year.
In short, until there is a resolution to this back-and-forth tariff war, the tariff issue will continue to push prices higher in the near term.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has achieved a key bullish target at the confluence of the 0.50% Fibonacci extension with the upper edge of the price channel. Once gold breaks this level (3,113 USD), it will be eligible for further upside with the next target around 3,139 USD in the short term, which is the price point of the 0.618% Fibonacci extension.
In the meantime, the steep RSI remains active in the 80-100 area but shows no signs of weakening or correction, so in terms of momentum, the bullish momentum remains very strong.
As long as gold remains within the channel, it has a medium-term bullish outlook, otherwise the channel will become a short-term bullish trend channel.
During the day, the bullish outlook for gold will be highlighted by the following technical levels.
Support: 3,086 – 3,057 – 3,113 USD
Resistance: 3,139 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3140 - 3138⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3144
→Take Profit 1 3132
↨
→Take Profit 2 3126
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3085 - 3087⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3081
→Take Profit 1 3093
↨
→Take Profit 2 3099
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 31 - April 04]This week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD increased sharply from 3,003 USD/oz to 3,087 USD/oz and closed this week at 3,085 USD/oz.
The reason for the sharp increase in gold prices is that US President Donald Trump decided to impose a 25% tax on imported cars into the US. This seems to go against Mr. Trump's previous statement about "easing" tariffs, causing investors to worry that US partner countries will retaliate, making the global trade war more intense.
Some countries, such as the UK and Japan, have taken some steps to appease and actively negotiate to avoid US tariffs, while many other countries have announced their readiness to retaliate against US tariffs. Therefore, many experts believe that the tariff policy announced by Mr. Trump on April 2 will be very unpredictable.
If Mr. Trump still decides to impose tariffs on many countries, the gold price next week may continue to increase sharply, far exceeding 3,100 USD/oz. However, if Mr. Trump narrows the scale of tariffs as announced and does not impose additional industry-specific tariffs on lumber, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals, the gold price next week is at risk of facing strong profit-taking pressure, especially when the gold price is already deep in the overbought zone.
In addition to the Trump administration's tax policy, investors also need to pay close attention to the US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report to be released next weekend, because this index will directly impact the Fed's interest rate policy.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
The most notable economic news in the coming week will be the US implementation of global trade tariffs on Wednesday, along with the March non-farm payrolls report due Friday morning. Experts warn that both events could increase the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset. In addition, a number of other important US economic data will be released, including the ISM manufacturing PMI and JOLTS job vacancies on Tuesday, the ADP employment report on Wednesday, along with the ISM services PMI and weekly jobless claims on Thursday.
📌Technically, short-term perspective on the H1 chart, gold price next week may continue to surpass the 3100 round resistance level, approaching the Fibonacci 261.8 level around the price of 3,123 USD/oz. The current support level is established around the 3057 level, if next week gold price trades below this level, gold price is at risk of falling to around the 3,000 USD/oz round resistance level.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,057 – 3,051USD
Resistance: 3,100 – 3,113USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3133 - 3131⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3137
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2999 - 3001⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2995
Gold Price Analysis March 31Fundamental Analysis
Gold price attracts safe-haven flows for the third straight day amid rising trade tensions.
Fed rate cut bets weigh on the USD and also lend support to the non-yielding yellow metal.
Overbought conditions on the daily chart now warrant some caution for bullish traders.
Technical Analysis
Gold continues to hit ATH levels and is very difficult to trade with a large amount of Fomo BUY. The important point to retest the BUY signal today is at 3100-3098. And 3145 is the target level for the ATH peak of Gold today.
What do you think of the above analysis? Please leave your comments.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 1st April 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-ISM Manufacturing PMI
-JOLTS Job Openings
Analysis:
-Strong bullish closure on daily
-Looking for continuation to the upside after 4hr structure retest
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3100
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Gold Price Breakout Prediction - 15-Minute ChartThis chart shows the 15-minute price movement of Gold (XAU/USD) with a symmetrical triangle pattern forming. A potential breakout is expected, targeting 3,133
Explanation:
The price has been moving within a triangle pattern.
If the price breaks above the resistance level, it may rise to 3,133.
The shaded purple box marks a key support zone where the price previously bounced.
Traders might wait for confirmation before entering a buy trade toward the 3,133 target.
ES1 2025-03-31 SPOOZ 15minOBHello everyone, I hope you won, stayed out, or learned something form the market today 😂.
Today was a easy grab.
Drawdown: 17. Tics
TP: 111. Tics Grabbed (out of 438)
Spooz Open Manipulation,
Broke near high,
Retraced to 15min Order Block,
TP Hit at 3 equal Highs (volume).
If you found this inciteful, join our group discussion! (link in bio)
TATACHEM FORECAST FY24-FY26 HOT DZAMN :THE COMEBACK KIDI cant believe i missed a 500%'er like this really insoires you to research more
Just saw the discount advert (business news report cnbc) revenue looking messy negatives qq on qq on qq yuck if u know u know but its a industry problem
downgraded ratings by Morgan Stanley worst thing to have done to you but also you need to understand how to take the news
but honestly lotta potential for the future so ill watch as they sink it a lil you know discount and then i will pick up somewhere nice each upward trajectory on my zig zag is a point id consider but my last point is the time to buy
there is hope because the whole industry is taking a hit but it will overcome for sure
specialty chemicals with the help of a.i will be a force not reckoned with
monthly and 2week @255.43 i doubt MicroStrategy will be able to hang on when all other crypto and stocks are breaking structure. the yellow trendline is the most touches i could get. all trendlines are on daily.
just broke below 100ema today. look where 200ema is. ???
since its going2b that kinda party, imma gonna stick my dikc in the mashpotatos~
The Altcoin Supercycle: Double Bottom Formation Signals Massive
This chart exposes the most overlooked opportunity in crypto right now - the total market cap excluding Top 10 coins (the true altcoin index).
What we're witnessing is a textbook double bottom formation at historical support, with Bottom 1 (2023) and Bottom 2 (early 2025) creating the perfect springboard for explosive growth.
Technical Confirmation Signals:
- Clear double bottom structure completed
- Currently at 8.31% dominance (historical low range)
- Perfect symmetry between bottoms
- 10.07% SMA providing dynamic support
- Breaking above the yellow resistance band
The Roadmap Ahead:
The projected path shows a decisive breakout from the multi-year consolidation range, targeting the previous high near 19.54% - representing a 135% increase from current levels.
Why This Matters:
When Bitcoin dominance falls (as your previous chart indicated), this index explodes. The last time this pattern formed in 2020, it preceded a 300%+ move in altcoin market share.
Market Implications:
We're standing at the exact inflection point where smart capital begins rotating from Bitcoin into altcoins. The asymmetric opportunity lies in positioning before this rotation becomes obvious to the masses.
The multi-year channel (blue shaded area) has contained price perfectly since 2019, and we're now at the decisive moment - consolidation complete, coil wound tight, ready for the inevitable expansion phase.
History doesn't repeat, but it rhymes. This chart is singing.
Fundamental Weakness in a Strong Uptrend – Reversal Ahead
🍁 USDCAD has experienced a strong bullish trend, with an aggressive push to higher prices. However, key fundamental indicators are signaling weakness:
- **Inflation** – Negative
- **Employment Change** – Negative
- **Unemployment Rate** – Negative
Despite the current uptrend, these bearish fundamental factors suggest that momentum could shift. At the very least, a strong pullback is likely, and a full trend reversal remains a possibility. Monitoring price action at key levels will be crucial in the coming sessions.
I placed my SL on Key LvL clusters
A must-read for those who accurately hit TP and get liquidated!3.31: Three orders were made, short at 3121, close at 3113 and long at 3103, close at 3116. BTC82000 long at 83000 close. If you are losing money or your account is liquidated, please check my homepage and contact me. I will never let you down if you trust me. I have many years of market experience.
The spot gold price broke through the $3120 per ounce mark, rising nearly $40 at one point, reaching a record high of $3128. This amazing rise was mainly driven by market concerns about the Trump administration's upcoming tariff policy, and investors flocked to gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, to seek shelter. The cumulative increase in March has exceeded 9%, and is expected to record the largest monthly increase in nearly a year.
On Monday, the international gold price continued to rise, with the spot gold price breaking through the $3120 per ounce mark, rising nearly $40 at one point, reaching a record high of $3128, an increase of about 1.3%. This amazing rise was mainly driven by market concerns about the Trump administration's upcoming tariff policy, and investors flocked to gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, to seek shelter. The cumulative increase in March has exceeded 10%, and is expected to record the largest monthly increase in nearly a year.
Technical indicators show that $3,000 has become a new support level. I predict that gold prices may hit $3,180 in the short term, and the target will be raised to $3,300 by the end of the year.
The market is paying attention to the US reciprocal tariff plan on April 2 and Friday's non-agricultural data. Goldman Sachs warned that tariff escalation may cause US core PCE inflation to rise to 3.5% and GDP growth to slow to 1%. Analysts are generally bullish on gold, and 85% of institutions predict that the rise will continue. Under the resonance of risk aversion and inflationary pressure, gold may remain strong in the short term, but it is necessary to be vigilant about the possible technical correction to the 3040-3090 range in mid-April.
Geopolitical tensions have further exacerbated market uneasiness. US President Trump's latest statement on Sunday said that if he believes that Moscow is hindering his efforts to end the war in Ukraine, he will impose a secondary tariff of 25% to 50% on all Russian oil. This tough stance has heightened market concerns about the deteriorating global trade environment, providing additional impetus for gold prices to rise.
From a macroeconomic perspective, rising inflation expectations have also supported gold's gains. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly's latest statement shows that recent inflation data has shaken her confidence in two rate cuts this year. This statement reinforces the market's expectations that the Fed may maintain a high interest rate policy for a longer period of time, and the value of gold as a traditional anti-inflation asset has been highlighted. So far this year, gold prices have risen by more than 18%, showing strong safe-haven appeal.
Despite the record highs in gold prices, analysts warned that the market may face the risk of short-term adjustments. If the tariffs announced this week are not as severe as people fear, then gold prices may start to fall as profit-taking at high levels may be triggered. "Market participants are waiting with bated breath for the final details of the Trump administration's tariff policy, which will determine the sustainability of gold's current rally.
In the current environment, gold has demonstrated its unique value as the "ultimate safe-haven asset". As geopolitical risks, trade tensions and inflation uncertainties persist, gold prices may continue to fluctuate at high levels. However, investors also need to be wary of possible profit-taking pressure after policy clarification, as well as the potential impact of the Fed's monetary policy direction on the gold market. The subsequent development of this gold feast dominated by risk aversion will still depend on the game results of multiple factors.
VNQ/SPY Stagflation trade?Surprised to see reits continue their underperformance against the S&P, I understand how most market participants view reits as a long term rate play (yields down reits up etc) however I think the market is not taking into account that reits should perform "relatively" well in a stagflationary environment. In other words reits might get a stagflationary bid.
Global stock sell-off uh oh!This analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research.
The stock market doesn’t really give a damn about what you think. It’s unemotional. DIS or META does not care about your feelings about them, believe it or not. You should be excited that stocks are on sale. If they are on sale even more, you should be even more excited.
You should see it as a form of extreme couponing.
And you know how excited extreme couponers get!
Everyone talks about buying when others are fearful but not many people do it. But extreme couponers, you know, they’re excited every day. Let’s try and be more like extreme couponers.
GOOG 16x earnings, NVO 17x fwd earnings, you know the drill…
BTC - 1H Clean Liquidity Hunt & Bearish Continuation BINANCE:BTCUSDT - 1H Update
Bitcoin remains in a bearish trend on the 4H and daily timeframes. After hunting the liquidity above the resistance zone, price began to drop exactly from our shared short entry at 83,700—and it's now on the move toward deeper targets.
🔹 Key Insights:
BTC grabbed liquidity just above resistance before reversing.
Price is now likely heading toward the liquidation zone below the support, aligning with the broader downtrend.
This setup offered a perfect short opportunity from $83,700, with clearly defined targets and risk.
🎯 Last Target: 80,200
💡 Congrats to all who followed our signal! The move is unfolding as expected.
📊 Stay locked in for the next big setups—follow for precise, real-time trade ideas! 🔔
Swing Long For WalmartNow that a proper correction was been made, price has made a strong rebound off this major zone of support, as the 200 Moving Average and the bottom ascending channel both have indicated. There is a good chance that price will surge upwards from here, continuing the long-term uptrend. My price target is 120's area by summer.
What to do if crude oil rises? The latest layout strategyCrude oil futures showed volatility during the day on Monday. Prices rose sharply in early European trading, breaking through the 70.00 integer mark and then falling back, but still fluctuating at a relatively high level. Oil prices rose slightly after countries importing Russian oil imposed tariffs of 25% to 50%. Brent crude oil futures climbed and WTI also rose. However, gains were limited as traders questioned the seriousness of the proposal. ING Group pointed out that the market was "fatigued" by Washington's tariff rhetoric, indicating that the crude oil market was unlikely to react strongly without concrete actions.
Crude oil plan: Crude oil is recommended to retreat to 70.0-69.5, with a target of 71.0-72.0 and a stop loss of 0.5 US dollars.
If oil prices break below $69.0/barrel, this will stop the expected bullish trend and push oil prices to regain the main trend of volatility.
It is expected that today's oil prices will trade between the support level of $69.0/barrel and the resistance level of $72.0/barrel.