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Fundamental Analysis

Get Ready for More Gain: NOTCOIN Hits 0.0097 Fast!Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for NOTCOIN, 📚💡 NOTCOIN has recently broken through its downward trend and daily resistance levels, signaling a potential market shift. This breakout from its triangle pattern, combined with a surge in trading volume, suggests a growing bullish momentum. I anticipate further upward movement, targeting higher price levels as shown on the chart. 📚🎇 While a 47% short-term gain is expected, minor pullbacks or consolidation phases are possible, which are normal market behaviors during trend development. These fluctuations should be seen as part of the overall positive trend. 📚💡 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 NOTCOIN has broken its downward trend and resistance levels, signaling potential bullish momentum with a 47% short-term gain. While upward movement is expected, minor pullbacks or consolidation phases may occur as part of the trend development. Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Long
by MadWhale
1
12/2/24 - $nu - Bot $12, load closer to $10 if/when (LONG)12/2/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:NU Bot $12, load closer to $10 if/when - is one of the three stonks in latam that i've commented in the past is worth keeping a v close eye on b/c of the growth rates and tremendous product. the others are NASDAQ:MELI and NASDAQ:DLO (the latter of which worked out nicely and we made a good exit earlier this year from the lows, but it took a minute). - back to Nubank: 1/ brazil in earlier innings of economic funeral, but what's new this happens every so often and those battle tested growers tend to come out of these events eating massive share, Nu will be one of these 2/ timing is always the tricky thing. you want to take calculated risk, but unlike the US stonks, you have clear geo/ FX and therefore adverse flows risk to consider. invest in emerging mkts and you need to have a tolerance/ knowledge of currency risk, minimally. i'm not going to downplay that here, but only to flag this needs to be something you consider if/when considering a stake in $nu. the counter point is they're growing bananas outside of Brazil as well and likely take over pretty much over every other latam country similar to Meli. IMO, there's no competition for the growth engine they can export into latam. 3/ let's math and use two approaches... PE and ROE -> book value a1. PE: let's imagine the 62c next year (in USD) is 50c - only a 15% growth. the reason you'd look at this is b/c most investors r going to be focused here, so you stand the chance of risk-evaluating what others see and making a call (similar to support and resistance vs. some esoteric TA you've developed). in this vein, what would you pay for a 15% EPS grower (ignoring all other factors of what this biz is and only considering it's a bank in Latam)? maybe 10-12x? def sub 1x PEG. b/c it's brazil, brazil is currently fukt. so you put a "depressed multiple" on a depressed EPS. at call it 50c and 10x - you're at $5 bucks. sick downside from the $12 it closed at today. so that's probably *worst* case, from today's POV. let's call that -60%. diddy slip and slide party pain. a.2: PE: but this isn't some "new kid on the block". a lot of Nu investors are smart int'l types that are going to look beyond trough '25, even today, including papi warren B. so if we assume we pick up from 15% toward 20% the following year and go 50c -> 60c, you'd probably start to consider at that point at least a PEG of 1x given growth would extend to the following yrs as well. at 20x on 60c you're at $12 for year-end '26. and let's give it a 15% discount (Ke brazil finger in air - but likely in the ballpark) and you get to $10 and change for the 12M view e.g. YE25, which is the bogey we're all looking at today given we're already done w/ '24. so that's 20% downside. combining a.1 and a.2 above... i'd likely weight a.2 as being perhaps a 70% and a.1 as 30% given the logic described, investor base and this isn't some going concern issue. also i'm being mega conservative w/ my EPS estimates as well. if you haven't noticed, they keep ripping the cover off the ball on EPS. so combined that's -60%*30% + -20%*70% = 33% downside more or less or a $8 stonk. b: ROE thinking. 25% ROEs (probably expanding) and growing book at probably ~$1/shr for the next 2 yrs combined gets you to a book of $5. when you consider this likely continues to grow nearly 15-20% a year... and we could be conservative and say it's 10% a year (cut it more than in half)... at a 15% Ke you get: Price = BookVal * (ROE - g)/(Ke - g) then discount 2 yrs by 15%. this is Price = $5 * (25 - 10)/(15 - 10)/1.15/1.15 = $11+ today. tying this all together... fair value is probably between 10 and 11 today. so buying $12 is defn being a bit opportunistic and playing a reversion move on BRL related assets. i'd not be surprised to see this thing move back toward $13/14 into year end, and equally i'd not be surprised to see it test the big green dilly from Aug 5 this year that ripped thru $10. So, it's not an obvious trade for those who don't know this asset or haven't been following that closely. perhaps easier to wait for better entry even if that means some chop here/ there and you get a bit of fomo if first move is up. The way i'm personally playing it are $10 and $11 strike 2027 leaps. allows me to amp my exposure without necking out too hard on a notional cash-in basis. offers about 3-1 leverage, so a 1.5-2% options position gets me a gross effective of about 5-6%. that's comfy for now. i'd like to get this position closer to 10-15% if/when we hit the $10s area or below (and it will be one to manage b/c *WHY* we go there will matter a lot - not just a rote plan, these things always evolve and perhaps there are other better deals out there too esp in the US or my favs NASDAQ:NXT , NYSE:TSM , NASDAQ:META ). anyway. wanted to flag. should be on your radar. this is a quality LT compounder that's gotten cheap b/c of geography, but is a neo-bank virus to the existing dino's in latam. LMK what u think or esp if u see it differently. have a good week my friends V
NYSE:NULong
by VROCKSTAR
$AMD BuyThe chart of NASDAQ:AMD , combined with its latest fundamental research, provides a detailed overview of the stock’s current position and outlook. Technical Analysis: NASDAQ:AMD is currently in a corrective phase, testing critical support levels. The price is approaching significant support around **$120**, corresponding to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, with deeper support near **$92**, aligning with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement and a long-term moving average. These levels are historically strong areas where buyers could re-enter the market. Momentum indicators such as **RSI** and **Stochastic Oscillator** are showing oversold conditions, signaling a potential reversal upward. The **MACD** remains bearish but hints at a possible shift in momentum. The long-term trend remains upward, with the current price action indicating the stock is near a potential turning point. Fundamental Analysis: Recent financial performance highlights NASDAQ:AMD 's strength. In Q3 2024, revenue grew by **17.82% year-over-year**, driven by strong demand across its product lines. Net income increased by **157.86%**, reflecting improved profitability and operational efficiency. Despite these positives, NASDAQ:AMD faces challenges. It is trailing Nvidia in the AI GPU market, limiting its ability to capture a significant share of this high-growth sector. Additionally, a potential slowdown in the PC market could pressure revenue growth. However, NASDAQ:AMD continues to benefit from Intel’s struggles, while growth opportunities in the data center and custom chip markets remain strong. Synthesis: The current correction in NASDAQ:AMD 's price reflects market concerns over its competitive position in the AI sector and potential softness in PC demand. However, the company’s robust financial performance and opportunities in high-growth areas like data centers suggest that this correction may be temporary. Key support levels at **$120 and $92** are critical to monitor for potential long-term entry points. Conclusion: While NASDAQ:AMD faces near-term challenges, its strong financials, market positioning, and growth potential in high-performance computing present a positive long-term outlook. If the stock holds the current support levels, it could regain momentum, with significant upside potential in the coming years.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by FairValueBuffet
XAUUSD/GOLD Here Falling Levels XAUUSD GOLD with Potential Price levels. Here are Breakdown Of the Zones You've mentioned. Resistance Zone In This Range price level 2595/2600 This Ranges Suggest to move these levels the might be Strong level. Support Zone This is the level we will Expected gold is find some support. 2580 /2570 if the Gold starts falling and hits that's zone. Your expectation is that gold might not see an upward movement Tommorw last of Market we Expect Bearish Trend. Rate Share Your Idea What's Going On Thanks.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FxJennefir
Bitcoin Poised for a Potential Drop: Will BTC Test the 95K SuppoPrice Action: The chart shows a sharp decline from recent highs, with the price currently around the 100,259 level. Support and Resistance: There is strong resistance highlighted in the red zone above the price, which previously rejected the price upward. Below the current level, there is green support near the 95,000 mark. Trendline Break: The orange upward trendline has been breached or is very close to being breached, signaling potential bearish movement. Projection: The white arrows illustrate a potential pattern where the price may bounce slightly after breaking the trendline but could ultimately fall toward the 95,000 level. The chart shows a projected drop of ~11.57%, which aligns with a fall to 95,000. Conclusion: The chart suggests a bearish scenario where Bitcoin (BTC) may fall to touch the 95,000 support level after breaking the upward trendline. If BTC fails to hold this trendline and support area, further downside movement is likely.
Short
by bullanceprime
BTC CRASH ALERT UPDATEKey Levels and Observations Previous All-Time High (ATH): Clearly marked and seems to have acted as both resistance and psychological reference point. Price briefly tested this level before consolidating below. Resistance Zones: Highlighted in Red: These zones indicate where selling pressure is concentrated. The recent move upwards has struggled near the $106,000 zone (1.618 Fibonacci extension) and the resistance cluster below $108,000. Red Circle near ATH: Indicates a critical rejection zone where bears might be stepping in to control the price. Support Zones: Fibonacci levels from $91,000 to $99,500 (0.618, 0.5, and 0.382 retracement levels) show clear support zones where buyers may accumulate. The green lines below $92,000 show additional support extensions for deeper corrections. Black Swan Warning ("Dump Incoming"): Suggests the possibility of a sudden, sharp decline. This may be speculative but worth noting for risk management. Red zone above $108,000 highlights extreme caution. Trend Lines: Dashed upward trendline indicates the broader uptrend still intact, but a breach below would signal a possible reversal. Market Sentiment: "BTC CRASH ALERT" emphasizes bearish caution. "The Bears are out watchout" adds to the bearish sentiment as Bitcoin approaches resistance zones. Fibonacci Analysis Key Fibonacci Retracement Levels: 0.236 ($99,417): Currently holding as weak support. 0.382 ($100,793): Significant midpoint level currently in play. 0.5 ($101,905) and 0.618 ($103,017): Critical retracement levels to watch for continuation or reversal. 1.618 Extension ($106,436): Serves as an immediate resistance target. Deep Retracement Zone: 0.618 ($95,308) to 1.0 ($92,918) retracement range indicates the strongest support for a larger correction. Scenarios to Watch Bullish Scenario (Breakout): Price breaks and holds above $106,000 (1.618 Fibonacci). Retests and holds $108,000, targeting new highs. Bearish Scenario (Fakeout or Dump): Price fails to sustain $104,000 or falls below $101,000 (0.382 retracement). A sharp correction could target deeper support levels at $95,000–$92,000. Neutral/Consolidation: Price remains range-bound between $101,000 and $106,000, building momentum for a directional move. Actionable Points Shorting Resistance Zones: Monitor for price rejections near $106,000 and $108,000. Bearish candlestick patterns here could confirm a short trade. Buying Support Levels: Look for bullish signals around $95,000–$92,000 or key Fibonacci levels. Breakout Entries: If Bitcoin closes decisively above $106,000, a breakout trade could target $110,000 or higher. Stop-Loss Management: For longs: Place below $95,000. For shorts: Place above $108,000.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by ProWolfTrader_89
Gold price analysis December 19⭐️Fundamental Analysis Gold prices fell sharply due to the impact of the Fed's less dovish outlook. Fed Chairman Powell emphasized cautious policy in the context of ongoing high inflation risks. The Fed forecasts inflation target to reach 2% in the next 1-2 years, indicating slow progress. The latest dot chart shows few interest rate cuts until 2026, stabilizing the Fed funds rate at 3.4%. ⭐️Technical Analysis Gold prices fell to the 2685 area and were accepted by buyers to push prices up around 2610 in the Asian session. If the European session fails to break 2613, Gold will continue to fall in the European session and the destination is relatively far away at 2585-2558. In case the resistance zone at 2613 is broken, the direction is towards 2633, which is the first corrective wave SELL zone and the second corrective wave SELL zone around 2663
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Quick Rally For 3030 Has Fallen to a High volume trading area reaching the point of control that could act as a strong support, added There's also a strong Hidden Bullish Divergence on the RSI that gives great indication that we could see a rally up from this daily support lvl (42,300) back to the "trend line" break & previous structure low,(Filling the sell side imbalance -FVG) Confluences on This Trade - Rejecting Daily support lvl 42,266 - Rejecting Demand zone - @ 38.2 Fib Retracement - Hidden Bullish Divergence (RSI) - Buy Side imbalance fill - Daily Volume Support Lock in with your LTF Bullish Entry Signal, WAIT FOR YOUR CONFIRMATION AND **RISK ACCORDINGLY Intro to the next possible move: After this bullish move - price could reject the Trend line and previous structure low, then continue down. **This bullish to bearish move would give price action a "Head and shoulders ish" Pattern on a HTF. Caution on the Bearish Sell- we have high volume right below the 41,000 bank lvl that could act as a support. with all of that being said the one thing that gives me great hesitation on the 2nd part of this move The "Bearish Sell" is the fact that this current pull back only brought price down to the 38.2 Fib lvl, so this could just be a minor pull back for a big Bullish continuation move.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by brianfj
4
11/7/24 - $bird - More interested $7-8/shr11/7/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: $ IDX:BIRD More interested $7-8/shr - mgmt is operating on their own time - beyond M&A, it's hard to see how stock really moves higher in the 3-6 month timeframe, unless it catches some momentum in this whacky environment where rando-stuff-moon. but i'd not bet my dog's tennis ball on it - basically mgmt "taking right" actions still e.g. store closing, gearing up for some interesting product launches/ marketing but it sounds like we get to see this all playing out in 2H25. that's an eternity to wait for a result that wasn't really a beat (inside guidance) and where guidance for 4Q/FY was taken lower. ewww, that doesn't work in this environment. - while balance sheet remains net cash and we can decide how to handle leases (maybe i say it's not $50 but $25 mm of "debt") that still say puts us in a $50 mm net cash position. at the same time we burn 10-15 mm a quarter until someone buys the company or results start to inflect. rough. essentially by 4Q, we'll either be raising with a good story, or stock will have started to work a bit as FCF inflects positive (probably a '26 event at the earliest given my experience operating in reality) - so what's the brand worth? 1x gross profit? 0.5x gross profit? - really hard to say. i think you need to assume someone like NYSE:BIRK , NASDAQ:CROX , NYSE:ONON (even NASDAQ:LULU ) could buy these guys and cut a lot of the SG&A out on their bigger platform. this is why i think multiple of gross profit makes the most sense. - at most i'd say 1x gross profit which if/when you assume buyers would want to see the new lineup in the market (bc the current portfolio is still not growing... so why complicate things for yourself), and take out all the net cash bc we burned it getting there, that's the stock as of y'day call it $10-11/shr or ~90 mm market cap. - but if we need to wait, what's the right discount rate for something like this 25-30%? private equity style? so you're now at probably $7-8/shr today and it waffles up or down depending on how well these marketing/ launches go next year TL;DR... the company's best option is to sell today at some modest premium. i think they've made it quite hard to do so in delaying this decision for years. now they need to swim. and the stock is on it's back heading into tax sell off season and where the ticker is too small cap for (real) institutions to get involved and what would an activist really accomplish in a founder-led situation like this on fire? unfortunately i think this thing is going lower and/or i'm uninterested unless we start entering the mid single digits, call it $7-8, minimally. talk then. stay well. V
NASDAQ:BIRD
by VROCKSTAR
Is NVIDIA Ready to Break Out or Break Down?Good morning, trading family! How’s everyone feeling today? Got your coffee? Charts ready? It’s time to dive in and see what the market has in store for us. Here’s the vibe: NVIDIA’s setting up for something big—are we aiming for $142 or sliding to $119? It’s like a game of tug-of-war, and the market’s holding the rope. Quick Tip: Remember, trading is about patience and discipline. If you’re feeling stuck, step away, take a breath, and come back with a clear head. The market’s not going anywhere. If you want a closer look at these setups or other ideas I’m watching, feel free to check out my profile or send me a DM—I’m always happy to share insights or answer questions. Let’s make it a great day! Kris /Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading