Get started

Fundamental Analysis

COOLING PCE – GOLD REBOUNDS ON EXPECTATIONS OF FED POLICY EASINGIf the upcoming PCE report shows that inflation continues to cool or comes in below expectations (e.g., core PCE under 0.2% m/m), this could reinforce market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may have room to begin cutting interest rates sooner—potentially as early as September instead of year-end. This would weaken the US dollar and push down Treasury yields, both of which typically support gold prices, as the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold decreases. Short-term forecast: Gold may rebound to the $3,330 – $3,340/oz range. A breakout above the psychological resistance level of $3,345 could signal a medium-term uptrend. Trading volume is likely to rise as ETF funds begin accumulating positions again. Suggested strategy: Buy XAUUSD around the 3310 – 3313 area Stoploss: 3300 Take Profit 1: 3325 Take Profit 2: 3335 Take Profit 3: 3345
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
XAU/USD Chart Analysis: Gold Price Stabilises Around $3,300XAU/USD Chart Analysis: Gold Price Stabilises Around $3,300 Throughout May, a turbulent news backdrop — involving both international trade tariffs and armed conflicts — led to the formation of a peak around $3,430 and a low near $3,130 on the XAU/USD chart. As of today, the price per ounce stands around $3,300 — roughly the same level as at the beginning of the month. This suggests that supply and demand forces are largely balanced, keeping the price contained between these extremes. The XAU/USD chart provides further confirmation, emphasising the significance of the $3,300 level. Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart From a bearish perspective: The A→B→C→D→E sequence forms lower highs and lower lows — a clear sign of a downtrend. This trajectory is marked in red, with the upper line acting as resistance. From a bullish perspective: Since the beginning of 2025, the gold price has been moving in an uptrend,indicated by a blue channel, with its lower boundary serving as key support (highlighted with arrows). Notably, these support and resistance lines are converging, forming a narrowing triangle — an indication that supply and demand are balancing, finding consensus around the $3,300 level, where the axis of the triangle lies. Given this, it is reasonable to assume that in June, the gold price on the XAU/USD chart may continue to fluctuate within this triangle — unless an extraordinary event causes a significant shift in the current balance. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
Gold awaits tariff volatility！ 📌 Driving Events Gold rebounded from a weekly low near $3,245 and broke through the $3,300 mark on Thursday, boosted by optimism following a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report and a U.S. court ruling halting President Trump's proposed tariffs. Gold fell on Friday as the dollar rose slightly, while investors await a U.S. inflation report that could provide further insights into the Fed's policy trajectory. 📊 Commentary Analysis The market continued to fall for an hour, fluctuating back and forth, lacking continuity - it rose yesterday and fell today. Gold rebounded above $3,320 in early trading before retreating. On the weekly and daily charts, the trend is still dominated by range fluctuations rather than unilateral gains or losses. I think shorting gold should be considered today, with support below at $3,280-3,270-3,260. However, prices may struggle to make new lows. As today is the monthly close, large fluctuations suggest that we should avoid chasing ups and downs. 💰Strategy plan XAUUSD Sell: 3330-3320-3310 tp: 3300-3290-3280
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Gold Drops $30 in Asia as Month-End Profit Taking Hits Hard XAUUSD PLAN – Gold Drops $30 in Asia as Month-End Profit Taking Hits Hard After a sharp rebound candle yesterday, gold unexpectedly reversed in the Asian session, plunging over $30 as market participants rushed to exit positions ahead of the monthly close. The move reflects strong technical rejection and potential macro pressure. 🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK – US-CHINA TRADE TENSIONS BACK IN FOCUS Trade negotiations between the US and China are showing renewed signs of strain, especially around tariff policies. The uncertainty has not triggered safe-haven flows into gold—a sign of waning momentum. Dollar Index (DXY) remains range-bound, offering no clear direction. Broad market sentiment indicates institutional cash-out behavior ahead of the weekly and monthly candle closes. 📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – BEARISH STRUCTURE STILL INTACT Gold is respecting a downward sloping channel on the H1 timeframe. Price failed to hold above EMA 200, reinforcing bearish bias. EMA 13 – 34 – 89 – 200 are in bearish alignment, showing continued downside momentum. Support at 3274 – 3276 is a key reaction zone for potential scalping opportunities. 🔑 KEY PRICE LEVELS TO WATCH 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3322 – 3324 Stop-Loss: 3328 Take-Profit: 3318 → 3314 → 3310 → 3306 → 3300 → 3295 → 3290 → 3280 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3266 – 3264 Stop-Loss: 3260 Take-Profit: 3270 → 3274 → 3278 → 3282 → 3286 → 3290 → 3300 ⚡ BONUS SCALP SETUPS Support Zone 3274 – 3276 → Look for bullish rejection for a quick BUY SCALP (Target: 50 pips / SL: 50 pips) Resistance Zones 3302 – 3304 and 3310 → Watch for early rejection to enter SELL SCALP, with extended downside targets. 📌 STRATEGY NOTES Priority: Short-term sell bias unless price reclaims 3310 with momentum. Avoid trading in the mid-range; wait for price to reach key reaction zones. Today’s structure favors liquidity sweeps, so patience and disciplined entries are crucial—especially during London and NY overlap.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
BTCUSD Breakdown from Pennant – MMC Structure Analysis + Target🧠 Introduction: Why This Chart Matters Bitcoin recently provided a textbook example of market manipulation, where the price action formed a bullish-looking pattern (Pennant), trapped traders with a fake breakout, and then reversed strongly to the downside. By using Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), we can clearly see the logic behind this move—how the market mirrored a previous pattern and fulfilled a predictable target zone. This analysis breaks it all down, step-by-step, for both educational and practical trading purposes. 🔍 Detailed Chart Breakdown: 1️⃣ The Illusion – Bullish Pennant Formation Initially, BTC/USD formed what looked like a bullish pennant—a common continuation pattern in technical analysis. The pattern appeared after a sharp upward move, followed by converging trendlines suggesting consolidation. Retail traders often anticipate a breakout above the pennant as a sign of bullish continuation. This is where the trap begins. Why It’s a Trap: The pattern looked clean and reliable—but the context told another story. This move was designed to lure breakout traders into long positions right before a reversal. 2️⃣ The Fakeout – Liquidity Grab Above the Pattern Shortly after the pennant formed, price pushed above the upper trendline, triggering breakout entries and stop losses of short-sellers. But instead of continuing up: The price reversed sharply. This aggressive move confirmed the fakeout. This is a classic example of a liquidity hunt, where the market moves briefly in one direction to gather orders before executing the real move. 📌 MMC Insight: This behavior mirrors a prior setup—price previously faked upward, then dropped to a key demand zone. The mirror pattern gives a clue that the same outcome might repeat. 3️⃣ CHoCH – Change of Character Confirmed After the fakeout, BTC broke below a key internal support and trendline structure, signaling a CHoCH (Change of Character)—a shift from bullish to bearish market control. This moment is crucial: It confirms the smart money’s intention. It signals that the previous bullish move was just a setup. Sellers now have control. 💡 Pro Tip: CHoCH is one of the earliest and most reliable signs of a reversal when combined with liquidity patterns. 4️⃣ Trendline Break & Structural Sell-Off The break of the trendline following CHoCH solidified the bearish direction. This was the best confirmation-based entry point, as the structure flipped and began forming lower highs and lower lows. 5️⃣ Target Fulfilled – Previous Demand Zone Hit The price then continued down aggressively and hit the marked MMC target zone. This area coincided with: A previous demand zone (where buyers stepped in before). A Mirror Market reversal point, seen earlier in the chart. This fulfillment of the MMC target validates the entire analysis—from trap to reversal to target. 🎯 Key Zones: Fakeout High: $69,600 area (liquidity sweep) CHoCH Break Level: Around $69,100 Trendline Break Confirmation: $69,000 Final Target Zone: $68,500–$68,700 📈 Trading Strategy Recap: Entry Idea: Enter short after CHoCH and trendline break Stop Loss: Above fakeout high ($69,600+) Take Profit: MMC demand zone ($68,500–$68,700) This trade offered excellent risk-to-reward and confluence using multiple tools (MMC, CHoCH, structure, liquidity sweep). 🧠 What You Can Learn from This Setup: Patterns Can Lie: A pattern like a pennant isn’t enough—context is key. Liquidity Is King: Understand where the market needs to go to collect orders. Mirror Market Concepts Work: Historical behavior often repeats in reverse. Use MMC to forecast likely outcomes. CHoCH is Powerful: It's your early alert system for trend changes. 🔎 Final Thoughts: This BTC/USD chart is a powerful example of how smart money operates—with manipulation, pattern traps, and mirrored market behavior. If you’re a price action trader or use MMC, this breakdown is a must-study. Don't just trade patterns—trade context. Look for traps. Use MMC. Watch CHoCH. And always have a mapped target based on structure.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 30, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) attracted strong follow-through buying for the second consecutive day on Friday and continued to recover from a two-week low reached the previous day against the US dollar. Global risk sentiment deteriorated after a federal appeals court on Thursday suspended a recent ruling blocking US President Donald Trump's radical tariffs. This is evident from the general weakening of sentiment in the stock markets and is contributing to a recovery in demand for traditional safe-haven assets, including the JPY. Meanwhile, optimistic macroeconomic data from Japan released today, including strong consumer inflation figures in Tokyo, confirm the need for further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (JPY) and provide additional support for the JPY. On the other hand, the US dollar (USD) is consolidating after a sharp reversal yesterday amid concerns about the deterioration of the US financial situation and bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will stick to its easing policy. This further contributes to the continued decline of the USD/JPY pair. Trading recommendation: SELL 143.800, SL 144.200, TP 142.900
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Monthly closing bet. Opening a falling gap?Information summary: At 8:30 a.m. on Friday, U.S. time, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index for April. As the most favored inflation indicator of the Federal Reserve, the year-on-year change in the core PCE price index has a greater impact on policymakers. If the data is released, the core PCE price index in April rises faster than expected, and the direct reaction of the market may lead investors to prefer the policy rate to remain unchanged in July. In this case, the U.S. dollar may gather strength, causing gold prices to fall before the weekend. Market analysis: Gold prices rose as high as 3322 in the early Asian session, and then fell without a dollar line. As of now, the lowest price has retreated to the 3290 U.S. dollar line. At present, it is not ruled out that gold will fluctuate widely; but the trend view is still biased towards the short side. The strength of the current rebound still depends on the strength of the European session. In the European session, the operation will focus on the vicinity of 3310 U.S. dollars first, and the pressure will still look down to 3280 U.S. dollars. However, if the European session falls directly below $3,285, there is still room for decline, and the support is around 3,250. In addition, today is the last day of the monthly line closing, and the range of fluctuations has not yet left, so you can continue the short strategy. Operation strategy: Short around $3,310, stop loss at $3,320, and profit range around $3,250.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
XAU/USD – Gold Analysis Using MMC & Structural Mapping + Target🔎 Market Narrative: Today’s GOLD analysis is crafted through the lens of Mirror Market Concepts (MMC)—a powerful strategy where historical price behavior is mirrored in the current chart structure. This is combined with traditional structural analysis, offering a clear view of current price behavior, key breakouts, and target levels. We’re currently seeing an interesting scenario unfold where the market structure is shifting from bearish to bullish, aligning with mirrored reactions from previous key zones. 🧠 MMC Breakdown & Price Psychology: 🔄 Mirror Reaction: Notice how the market mirrored a previous aggressive sell-off with a similar bullish recovery. This “reflection” is a hallmark of MMC—where market sentiment repeats itself, but in opposite directions. The "Previous Targets" zone acted as a key SR Interchange (support-turned-resistance / resistance-turned-support). Price dropped into this zone and bounced with strong bullish momentum, signaling smart money accumulation or potential liquidity grab before reversal. 🧱 Structural Analysis: 🔹 Trendline Observation: A key trendline (drawn from the recent swing highs) was clearly broken, confirming that the bearish structure has shifted into a bullish one. The breakout was followed by a retest, further strengthening the validity of this move. 🔹 Support/Resistance Flip (SR Interchange Zone): The Blue Ray zone marked on the chart is critical. This area held as support in the past and again acted as a launchpad for the recent upside move. 🔹 Previous Targets Reclaimed: After hitting the previous support zone, price reversed sharply—another MMC principle in play. These zones often serve as liquidity magnets and reaction zones, where institutional traders are active. 📍 Key Levels To Watch: ✅ Current Support: $3,289–$3,295 (Previously broken resistance, now acting as support) 🎯 Immediate Target Zone: $3,310–$3,320 (This is where the price is expected to face short-term resistance. If broken, the next mirror move could extend further.) 🔻 Trendline Confirmation Level: $3,296 (Holding above this confirms bullish bias short-term) 🛠️ Trading Plan / Bias: Bias: Bullish Entry Idea: Look for bullish continuation above $3,296 after minor consolidation or retest Risk Management: Place stop-loss just below $3,289 (previous demand zone) Take-Profit: $3,310 – $3,320 zone initially ⚠️ Risk Consideration: Gold can be volatile, especially during news events. Always assess macroeconomic factors (like Fed policy, NFP, CPI, etc.) and manage your trades with solid risk-to-reward ratios. 🧠 Final Thoughts: This chart is a great example of how Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) can work hand-in-hand with price action and structure to provide clean, repeatable setups. By understanding the psychology behind price mirroring, we can better anticipate turning points and entry zones—especially when the structure confirms it. Whether you’re a day trader or swing trader, this concept adds a layer of confluence to your technical analysis toolkit.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold Technical Analysis - Bearish Reversal Confirmed?Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,270 area, exhibiting a bearish trend influenced by technical breakdowns and macroeconomic factors. Gold is currently under pressure, with technical and fundamental factors aligning to suggest potential for further declines. Traders should monitor key support levels and upcoming economic data releases for signs of a reversal or continuation of the bearish trend. 📉 Technical Analysis Gold has declined from recent highs near $3,370 , indicating a loss of bullish momentum. The price has broken below the $3,280–$3,295 support zone, now acting as resistance, suggesting potential for further downside. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: $3,280–$3,295: Immediate resistance zone. $3,300–$3,310: Critical resistance area; a breakout above could indicate a bullish reversal. Support: $3,240–$3,245: Current support zone; a drop below may lead to further declines. $3,200: Psychological support level; breaching this could accelerate bearish momentum. 🌐 Fundamental Factors The U.S. dollar has strengthened due to the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on rate cuts, making gold less attractive as a non-yielding asset. Economic Data: Upcoming U.S. GDP and PCE data releases are anticipated to influence gold prices, with strong data potentially exerting further downward pressure. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
Gold Price Analysis May 30Candle D shows strong buying power on Thursday, most likely today Asia and Europe will decrease and the US session will return to the uptrend. The bearish wave structure is heading towards 3280. This zone can be bought in Asia and Europe. In the US session, wait for the price reaction to break this zone, limit buying until the bottom of 3254. Break 3254 confirms the downtrend and heads towards the two support zones 3238 and 3211 When the support zones bounce up, a nice bullish wave is formed and do not SELL Scalp until the 3320 zone. If you break, keep the BUY order up to 3343.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
DJIA — Setting Up for Breakout and New ImpulseThe Dow Jones Index is approaching a critical resistance zone. After a deep V-shaped recovery and clear bullish structure, price is preparing for a breakout. Chart shows a clean long entry with a stop below the recent consolidation. A break and hold above 45,000 could lead to a move toward 46,000, and if momentum holds — up to 49,300. Partial profit-taking levels: — Target 1: 45,225 — Target 2: 49,380 Fundamentally, US equity markets remain strong, and DJIA may play catch-up after lagging during the last correction.
OSE:DJIA1!Long
by InvestWorld_777
GOLD eases, fundamental support and technical momentumOANDA:XAUUSD fell in early Asian trading on May 30 after Thursday's gains, although it still had room to rise as weak US initial jobless claims data weighed on the US dollar and Trump's tariffs faced more uncertainty. Gold recovered from a weekly low of $3,245 an ounce on Thursday to break above the $3,300 an ounce mark as weak US initial jobless claims data weighed on the US dollar. As of press time, gold had fallen below the full price of $3,300, down $23 on the day and around 0.69% . The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose more than expected last week, adding to pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates. Data released on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose last week, exceeding market expectations. The data showed initial jobless claims in the United States rose by 14,000 to 240,000 in the week ended May 24, compared with estimates of 230,000. According to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's May 6-7 meeting, policymakers acknowledged that they could face "difficult trade-offs" in the coming months, as both inflation and unemployment rise, raising the risk of a recession. Since gold does not yield interest, it typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments. Trump Tariff Ruling Overturned A U.S. trade court ruled on Wednesday that the president lacked the authority to impose tariffs, blocking most of Trump's tariffs, but on Thursday a federal appeals court agreed to the Trump administration's request to suspend the court's ruling. The U.S. government's request for an immediate administrative stay was granted, and the rulings and permanent injunctions issued by the U.S. Court of International Trade in these cases will be temporarily suspended until further notice while the court reviews the relevant motion documents, the Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit said in its ruling. Investors will focus on the US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, on Friday. Gold is seen as a hedge against inflation during times of economic uncertainty, and higher-than-expected PCE data would benefit the US dollar and reduce the appeal of gold, leading to a possible decline in prices. The opposite effect would be seen if PCE data were lower than expected, which would increase the likelihood of an early rate cut by the Fed, leading to a depreciation of the dollar and gold benefiting from expectations of a low-interest rate environment. Technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is down but currently the downside momentum has been limited by the initial support area which is the confluence of EMA21 with Fibonacci retracement 0.382%, this support area has been noted by readers in the publications since the beginning of this trading week. Temporarily, gold does not have enough technical conditions to be able to increase in price in the short term, because it is still under pressure from the price channel. However, in terms of the overall and long-term trend, gold still has a main trend of increasing price, a trend noted by the price channel. In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still holding above 50, with the current RSI position at 50 being considered as the nearest support in terms of momentum. A sustained price action above the 3,300ISD price point would be considered a positive signal, while a break above the channel would qualify the bulls for a short-term target of 3,371USD. For the day, the technical outlook for gold is bullish and the key points to watch are listed below. Support: 3,292USD – 3,250USD Resistance: 3,371USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3342 - 3340⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3346 →Take Profit 1 3334 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3328 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3203 - 3205⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3199 →Take Profit 1 3211 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3217
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
TMGH's Current Peak ZoneTMG Holding trend has reached its peak zone at the resistance line 55.661. Historically, it is expected to rebound to the support line at 55.2, then the support line at 54.987 and 54.916. In conclusion, it increased by 0.09% due to TMGH signing a memorandum of understanding to develop a new large-scale mixed-use project on a 14 million sqm plot, as part of its regional expansion strategy focused on replicating its integrated city model in Middle Eastern markets, as per a disclosure, regarding negotiations with local Iraqi authorities, is expected to include approximately 46,000 mixed-use units. It will focus on high-quality housing, smart infrastructure, and sustainability.
EGX:TMGH
by RowaynaAhmed
EVAX – AI Cancer Vaccine Momentum Flag | Moonshot SetupWe're watching NASDAQ:EVAX for a potential moonshot breakout following strong momentum, low float dynamics, and fundamental catalysts tied to their AI-powered cancer vaccine program. Setup Summary: Sector: Biotech / AI immunotherapy Market Cap: ~$15M (micro float) News Catalyst: Q1 earnings beat + EVX-01 Phase 2 dosing Analyst Target: $13 avg → +450% potential Technical Picture (Daily + 15m): Breakout over $2.20 zone with clean base RSI breakout from 65 → 80 MACD crossover + rising volume EMA9 & EMA20 support structure Pre-market highs: $2.37 (watch for breakout + hold) Trade Levels: Entry Trigger: Above $2.40 with confirmation TP1: $2.80 TP2: $3.30 SL: $2.15 (flag low) Optional Fibo Re-Entry: $2.25–$2.30 zone Notes: Float under pressure = high squeeze potential Fundamentals align with technicals → this is what we hunt for Small size advised – this is a moonshot, not a base trade “We don’t chase hype – we ride structure.”
NASDAQ:EVAXLong
by DaddyDjole
1
ATAI – Mental Health Biotech Flag | Momentum SetupWe’re watching NASDAQ:ATAI for a momentum breakout after reclaiming key levels with strong volume and clean structure. ATAI is a biotech player focused on psychedelic-assisted therapies, backed by institutional investors and a growing news cycle. Setup Summary: Sector: Biotech / Mental Health / Psychedelics Market Cap: ~$440M News Catalyst: Positive R&D outlook + analyst re-ratings Analyst Target: $5.00 (→ +100 % from current levels) Technical Picture (1D + 15min) RSI breakout > 65, steady climb with no divergence MACD crossover + histogram expansion Flag/base forming between $2.15–$2.30 Holding above EMA9 & EMA20, with rising volume Last high: $2.35 → breakout watch Trade Levels: Trigger Type Price Entry Trigger $2.35+ with volume confirmation TP1 $2.70 TP2 $3.00–$3.15 SL $2.10 Re-Entry $2.20–$2.23 (if pullback into flag zone) Notes: Float is manageable → breakout can scale Not a news popper – pure technical + smart money structure This one favors swing traders: hold 2–4 days if breakout holds “Not every moonshot needs hype – some need structure and silence.”
NASDAQ:ATAILong
by DaddyDjole