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Berkshire Hathaway | No More Apple Pie & Bank Bread!No More Apple Pie and Bank Bread | Buffett’s Recipe for Market Caution Berkshire Hathaway has recently disclosed its earnings amid fluctuating around a $1 trillion valuation. A notable update is its continued reduction of stakes in overvalued assets, including a 20% decrease in holdings of Apple and Bank of America, boosting its cash reserves to $325 billion Although Warren Buffett himself isn't favoring share buybacks at present, Berkshire Hathaway stands as a compelling investment option Why Berkshire Hathaway's $325 Billion Cash Pile Signals Market Caution The company's net earnings remain subject to significant fluctuations due to rules requiring valuation changes of investment holdings. However, there was a slight decline in operating earnings, mainly driven by lower insurance underwriting income. Despite this, that segment is historically volatile, and year over year aka YoY, the company has maintained strong performance. Yea2date aka YTD, operating earnings have risen over 10%, totaling just under $33 billion compared to just below $29 billion last year. This points to an annualized earnings estimate of approximately $44 billion, implying a price2earnings aka P/E ratio of about 22, without factoring in over $320 billion in cash and significant investment holdings. Excluding cash and investments, the adjusted P/E ratio is closer to single digits. Share buybacks have paused, reflected in a ~1% decrease in the outstanding shares YoY, signaling Berkshire's assessment of current market valuations. Segment Highlights The various business units within Berkshire Hathaway showcase its robust asset base and earning capacity. Insurance underwriting income saw a sharp YoY drop, but other business areas performed strongly. Income from insurance investments remained solid, and BNSF, its railroad subsidiary, also showed strong results despite a double digit YoY decline. Berkshire Hathaway Energy continues its growth, cementing its position in the utility sector with significant renewable energy ventures. For context, NextEra Energy (NEE), with a market capitalization of $160 billion, posted quarterly earnings around 10% higher. Berkshire's other controlled and non-controlled businesses contribute over $13 billion annually, underpinning its diversification and consistent earnings performance. This strength across segments underscores its formidable financial health. Market Context Currently, market valuations are elevated by historical standards. Excluding periods of earnings dips, market enthusiasm is exceptionally high, with the S&P 500 P/E ratio nearing 30x, approaching levels last seen in 1999. Buffett and Berkshire appear to view a 3% yield from such a P/E as unattractive, especially when bonds offer higher returns. The 2008 Playbook Berkshire's track record of effectively utilizing its cash reserves is notable. Excluding its insurance float, the company still holds $150 billion in cash. During the 2008 financial crisis, Berkshire leveraged its liquidity for strategic investments in companies like General Electric, Swiss Re, Dow Chemical, and Bank of America, as well as finalizing the full acquisition of BNSF in 2010. This proactive use of capital proved advantageous. The current strategic sale of assets suggests Berkshire is preparing for potential market downturns. Given high S&P 500 valuations, reallocating part of an S&P 500 position into Berkshire Hathaway could be wise, ensuring exposure to a cash-rich portfolio capable of seizing future opportunities. Meanwhile, Berkshire’s earnings are valued lower than the broader market, potentially minimizing major downturn risks. Investment Risks A key risk is that timing the market is inherently challenging, with the adage "time in the market beats timing the market" serving as a caution. If Berkshire's market outlook is incorrect, its $300+ billion in cash could underperform while broader markets remain strong, which would diminish its appeal as an investment. Final Thoughts Berkshire Hathaway has taken the bold step of liquidating some of its most significant and priciest holdings, opting to incur capital gains taxes to increase liquidity. This move has bolstered its cash position to $325 billion, $150 billion above its float level. Meanwhile, its strong operational businesses continue generating healthy cash flow. Drawing on its successful strategies during the 2008 crisis, Berkshire appears to be positioning itself for another downturn amid current high market valuations. We advise investors to consider shifting part of their S&P 500 exposure into Berkshire Hathaway for enhanced diversification and potential benefits in a market correction, long story short Berkshire Hathaway remains a robust investment opportunity but wont make millionaire! What do you think moonypto fam?
NYSE:BRK.A
by moonypto
Tariffs, Stagflation, and Yen Strength Set the Stage for a CleanAlright degenerates, here’s your clean macro breakdown. Pair with strongest directional bias right now: USD/JPY Bias: SHORT USD/JPY (Bearish USD / Bullish JPY) WHY? Because the U.S. just tripped over its own tariffs and dragged the dollar with it. 1. U.S. melting down: • Trump went full trade-war goblin: 10% base tariffs on everything, up to 100% on certain countries. • Fed now cornered — inflation UP, growth DOWN = stagflation vibes. • Powell already out here looking like he wants to cut rates yesterday. • S&P nuked -4.9%, $2.5 trillion gone in a day. This is not a drill. 2. Japan not looking great, but better than the U.S.: • BOJ possibly delaying hikes, but inflation’s been above 2% for 3 years. • Tokyo CPI still hot. • Plus: classic safe-haven flow kicking in thanks to all the macro chaos. • Yen doing what yen does—acting like gold in a suit. 3. Geopolitical backdrop: • EU & Japan both throwing shade at U.S. tariffs. • Retaliation incoming? Risk-off vibes continue. • Markets shifting to JPY like it’s 2020 all over again. 4. Central Bank energy: • Fed: Shaky, reactive, duck-and-cover mode. • BOJ: Holding back, but not out. Inflation gives them ammo. ⸻ TL;DR: • USD is getting wrecked by its own government. • JPY benefiting from safe-haven flows + stable inflation. • Every major factor (macro, policy, geopolitics, sentiment) leans one way. • USD/JPY short looks clean AF from a fundamental standpoint. Not financial advice. I don’t care what you do. Just don’t long this trash. Now go slap some fibs and RSI on this thing and pretend you knew it all along.
Short
by GreenhillFin
US30/DJI "Dow Jones" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Day or Swing)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the US30/DJI "Dow Jones" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (42200) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (41400) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 43100 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. US30/DJI "Dow Jones" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
TRADENATION:US30Long
by Thief_Trader
BCH/USD "Bitcoin Cash vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 ⚔Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BCH/USD "Bitcoin Cash vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (320) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or Swing high or low level should be in retest. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (360) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 270 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. BCH/USD "Bitcoin Cash vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend to Bearish., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Seasonal Factors, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Future trend predict. Before start the heist plan read it.👉👉👉 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
GEMINI:BCHUSDShort
by Thief_Trader
USDCNY trump tariffs impactImpact of Trump's tariffs on CNY and Asia FX So far, since the beginning of recent Trump trade on mid-September, CNY and other Asian currencies only depreciated mildly, with CNY and the Asia Dollar index depreciating 1.88% and 1.3% respectively against the Dollar. We believe that such levels of depreciation against the Dollar reflect that market has not yet priced in a potential large size of US tariffs on China and else, especially considering that such depreciations happened amid a 4.1% strengthening of the US Dollar and the rising US bond yields. Impact on CNY: a 60% tariff would REQUIRE a 10%-12% depreciation of CNY against the Dollar to offset the negative impact of tariffs, keeping everything else unchanged. A potential less strong Dollar in medium term compared with 2018-2019 trade war time, makes the required 10%-12% CNY depreciation much more significant than it appears. During the US-China trade war period (March 2018-September 2019), CNY depreciated about 12% against the US Dollar, however that 12% CNY depreciation happened amid a 10% US Dollar’s appreciation, CNY’s depreciation wasn’t entirely driven by the tariffs. It may not be realistic for PBOC to let CNY to free fall, and they may intervene as well. Economic performance is never static. Potential tariff retaliation could worsen the situation and there is risk of other countries raising tariffs on China products too. China’s economy is at weak condition, with on-going property sector stress, weak domestic demand, local-government debts and etc. Abrupt large CNY depreciation could de-stabilize the financial system. Fiscal support can offset the negative impact brought by the high tariffs, which in turn reduces the need for much CNY depreciation. Some estimates that it takes a fiscal stimulus of RMB 2.5 to 3 trillion to offset the 60% US tariff’s drag on China GDP, everything else being equal. Should this happen, CNY may not depreciate much. If US uses the tariff as a negotiation tool, then CNY’s depreciation is more likely to happen during an extended period of time when negotiation is happening, like what we saw in Trump’s first trade war in 2018-2019. Near term, the anticipation for a potential tariff could pressure the CNY weaker, to 7.3 probably by the end of this year, before more material depreciation in 2025, if there lacks sufficient fiscal support to offset the tariff’s drag on overall economy.
Long
by Pipstarr
1
AUD/CHF "Aussie vs Swissy" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗AUD/CHF "Aussie vs Swissy" ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗ Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! profits await!" however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or swing low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (0.56500) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 0.53500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. AUD/CHF "Aussie vs Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term, driven by several key factors.📰🗞️Read the Fundamental analysis, Macro Economics, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Positioning and future trend. ☀⭐☀Fundamental Analysis Interest Rates: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has maintained an interest rate of 3.35%, while the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has kept its rate at -0.75%. GDP Growth: Australia's GDP growth rate is 2.3%, while Switzerland's GDP growth rate is 1.4%. Inflation Rate: Australia's inflation rate is 6.8%, while Switzerland's inflation rate is 2.2%. Employment Rate: Australia's unemployment rate is 3.7%, while Switzerland's unemployment rate is 2.2%. ☀⭐☀Macroeconomic Factors Trade Balance: Australia's trade balance is AUD 13.3 billion, while Switzerland's trade balance is CHF 2.4 billion. Current Account Balance: Australia's current account balance is AUD -2.3 billion, while Switzerland's current account balance is CHF 21.1 billion. Government Debt: Australia's government debt is 45.1% of GDP, while Switzerland's government debt is 41.1% of GDP. ☀⭐☀Global Market Analysis Risk Appetite: Global risk appetite is currently neutral, with investors cautiously optimistic about the global economy. Commodity Prices: Commodity prices, particularly iron ore and coal, have been volatile, impacting the Australian economy. Global Economic Growth: Global economic growth is expected to slow down, with the IMF forecasting 3.2% growth in 2025. ☀⭐☀COT Data Net Positioning: As of March 11, 2025, the net positioning of AUD/CHF is -10,000 contracts, indicating bearish sentiment. Long/Short Ratio: The long/short ratio is 0.75, indicating that short positions outnumber long positions. Open Interest: Open interest is 35,000 contracts, indicating moderate market participation. ☀⭐☀Intermarket Analysis Correlation with Other Currencies: AUD/CHF is positively correlated with AUD/USD and negatively correlated with USD/CHF. Commodity Prices: AUD/CHF is positively correlated with iron ore and coal prices. Yield Spreads: The yield spread between Australian and Swiss government bonds is 1.25%, indicating a moderate advantage for the Australian dollar. ☀⭐☀Quantitative Analysis Trend Analysis: The AUD/CHF is currently in a neutral trend, with a 50-day moving average of 0.5520. Momentum Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 50.2, indicating neutral momentum. Volatility: The Average True Range (ATR) is 0.0065, indicating moderate volatility. ☀⭐☀Market Sentiment Analysis Bullish/Bearish Sentiment: Market sentiment is currently bearish, with 55% of traders expecting a decline in the AUD/CHF. Positioning: The majority of traders are short AUD/CHF, with a short/long ratio of 1.2. ☀⭐☀Positioning and Next Trend Move Based on the analysis, the AUD/CHF is expected to move lower in the short term, targeting 0.5450. However, a break above 0.5620 could indicate a reversal of the trend. Short-Term Bullish Scenario: A break above 0.5620 could indicate a reversal of the trend, targeting 0.5700. Bearish Scenario: A break below 0.5480 could indicate a continuation of the downtrend, targeting 0.5400. Positioning: Traders are currently short AUD/CHF, with a short/long ratio of 1.2. Medium-Term Bullish Scenario: A sustained break above 0.5700 could indicate a medium-term uptrend, targeting 0.5900. Bearish Scenario: A sustained break below 0.5400 could indicate a medium-term downtrend, targeting 0.5200. Positioning: Traders are currently short AUD/CHF, with a short/long ratio of 1.2. Long-Term Bullish Scenario: A sustained break above 0.5900 could indicate a long-term uptrend, targeting 0.6200. Bearish Scenario: A sustained break below 0.5200 could indicate a long-term downtrend, targeting 0.5000. Positioning: Traders are currently short AUD/CHF, with a short/long ratio of 1.2. ☀⭐☀Overall Summary Outlook The AUD/CHF is expected to remain under pressure in the short term, driven by bearish sentiment and a neutral trend. However, a reversal of the trend could occur if the Australian dollar strengthens against the US dollar or if commodity prices rise. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Short
by Thief_Trader
Gold Market Outlook Post Tariff Response & Pre-NFP VolatilityGold Market Outlook Post Tariff Response & Pre-NFP Volatility Overview: Last week, gold experienced a major shift as it broke from its recent bullish structure and sold off sharply. This was largely triggered by renewed geopolitical tensions stemming from former U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff remarks and China's reactive stance. These developments rattled risk sentiment and sparked volatility, with gold traditionally a safe-haven asset becoming a battlefield of both fundamental and technical influences. While long-term fundamentals continue to support gold's bullish case due to global economic uncertainty, short-term volatility has introduced room for corrective movement. Notably, the size of recent price moves (1000+ pips in a single day) indicates high liquidity grabs and institutional rebalancing. Technical Breakdown: Weekly Chart: Gold closed the week with a bearish hammer, signaling potential for deeper retracement after failing to sustain its move above the key 3057 level. The rejection came after briefly breaking resistance at 2955. This structure opens the door for further liquidity grabs and a healthy correction within the macro uptrend. Daily Chart: The daily time frame maintains a bullish structure seen by the daily trend line. Price respected the 3018 demand zone, creating a potential short-term base for a retest of the 3057 area of interest. This level also aligns with a 1-hour wickless candle, likely to be filled in future price action. Intraday & 1-Hour Chart: A visible trendline rejection capped the upside for now, with the 15-min engulfing candle and the 3128 resistance kicking off Friday’s massive 1000-pip sell-off. That we took in the group. 4-Hour Chart & Fibonacci Analysis: Measuring the most recent impulse leg, price has retraced to the 0.88 Fibonacci level, suggesting a corrective phase could be nearing completion. A move towards the golden zone (3072–3090) is expected, which also aligns with the 50 EMA. Key Support for Re-Entry: Should further downside occur, the 2988 zone stands out as a high-probability area for long re-entries. This level is confluence-rich: Retest of the daily trendline 1-Hour demand zone 4-Hour trendline retest Strong support/resistance flip Key Fundamentals to Watch: Quarter-End Portfolio Rebalancing & Earnings Season With stock market participants repositioning, gold may be used for hedging or liquidation depending on sentiment. Geopolitical Risk (Trump, China, Tariffs) Ongoing discussions and political headlines could reignite fear-based buying. Be ready for sharp intraday reactions. Federal Reserve Speeches & FOMC Minutes Traders will look for clues on potential interest rate cuts or pauses. Hawkish rhetoric could weigh on gold short term. CPI Data (U.S. Inflation) – Wednesday, April 10th Critical for rate path expectations. Sticky inflation may keep the Fed hawkish, increasing gold volatility. A surprise miss would benefit gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by samstoobad
2
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
1
GOLD BREAKS SHARPLY — BUT THE MOVE WAS WRITTEN IN THE STRUCTURE🟡 GOLD BREAKS SHARPLY — BUT THE MOVE WAS WRITTEN IN THE STRUCTURE A steep drop in gold just rattled the markets — but if you’ve been following the macro and technical setup closely, this was not only expected, but anticipated. From the first week of April, we’ve been tracking signals of potential exhaustion in XAUUSD: 🕯️ Candlestick wicks on higher timeframes 📈 Overextended structure 🧠 Macro divergence Now, all signs have converged — and we’re finally seeing the correction play out. 🔍 Why This Isn’t Just About Gold What we’re seeing is a broader shift in global market sentiment: U.S., European, and Asian equities are all under pressure Crypto has stagnated with little to no fresh capital inflow Gold — after months of aggressive buying — is now facing wave after wave of profit-taking This is classic risk-off behaviour. Investors are choosing cash, sitting tight, and waiting for clarity — not only in the charts but in the headlines too. 📉 DXY Building a Case for Recovery The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been heavily sold in recent months — but is now holding at a multi-year structural support zone that’s been tested multiple times since 2021. With Trump returning to the spotlight and triggering a fresh round of global tariff negotiations, the USD is regaining narrative strength. Trump’s stance has already prompted discussions among major economies, putting the U.S. in a dominant position — and the market is beginning to price that in. 🤔 What’s Holding the Fed Back? Despite rising trade tensions, the Federal Reserve has remained cautious — choosing not to act until the dust settles from geopolitical and policy developments. This creates a window of opportunity: If the Fed holds rates while global central banks soften And if the USD holds this major support → We could see strong dollar flows return in Q2. 🔮 Gold Outlook – Where Next? In the short term: Expect continued volatility Potential for gold to slide further toward 308x – 305x range Any bounce is likely to be technical rather than fundamental In the medium term: Once political noise fades, gold may find support again Especially if inflation expectations persist or the Fed pivots dovish later in Q2 💡 Takeaways for UK Traders ✅ Don't trade the news — trade the reaction ✅ Macro structure matters more than the daily headlines ✅ Capital preservation beats chasing euphoria We’re not guessing. We’re reading the story and planning with structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
WTI , road map on high time frame "Hello traders, focusing on WTI on high time frames, this analysis is based on the liquidity concept. Observing the chart, the price has surpassed the $69 level, which was significant for institutional orders. Consequently, I anticipate a decline towards lower prices. In my view, the next potential level could be around $64." If you have any specific questions or require further assistance with your message, feel free to let me know!
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by somayehbasiri
Summary of this week! Looking forward to the new week!Gold has been on a "roller coaster" this week. Spot gold continued to rise from Monday to Thursday, and hit a record high of $3,167.57/ounce on Thursday (April 3). However, it plunged more than $76 on Friday (April 4), a drop of 2.47%, and finally closed at $3,037/ounce, narrowing the weekly gain to 1.2%. This sharp fluctuation stems from two key events: Trump's tariff policy has caused global concerns to rise, and Fed Powell's unexpected turn to hawkish monetary policy. The market liquidity crisis has caused investors to sell gold to make up for stock market losses, and the US dollar index has strengthened by 0.9%, further suppressing gold prices. On Friday, global stock markets fell for the second consecutive day. The US stock market suffered an "epic" plunge. The three major US stock indexes all fell by more than 5.5%, all of which were the largest single-day declines since 2000. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged more than 2,000 points into the correction zone, and the Nasdaq fell into a bear market. Gold is often seen as a liquid asset that can be used for margin requirements on other assets, so it is not uncommon for gold to be sold off after such a risk event. "Gold's performance is consistent with historical trends." Powell's hawkish remarks pushed the dollar index up 0.9% on Friday. When the dollar appreciates, gold naturally becomes more expensive for buyers holding foreign currencies. I think the better-than-expected non-farm payrolls report released by the United States on Friday is another reason to hit gold prices. The U.S. Department of Labor reported that non-farm payrolls in March were 228,000 after seasonal adjustment, an increase higher than the market's expectation of 135,000. Non-farm payrolls data helped the Federal Reserve delay rate cuts. Gold usually performs well in a low-interest environment. Gold is still up 15.3% this year, relying on strong central bank buying and playing the role of a safe haven for funds amid economic and geopolitical uncertainties. Although gold prices fluctuate, it is still a safe haven for many investors. Analysis of gold market trends next Monday: Gold technical analysis: This week's Thursday and Friday gold market can be described as thrilling, with a rise and fall of more than 100 points in two days! The gold market suddenly changed, and there was an extremely violent sweep. First, it rose rapidly to 3136 without any signs, and then fell back quickly at lightning speed, and fell below the intraday low. After a series of large negative declines, gold is currently in a short-term trend. The daily line has a large negative downward trend, breaking the short-term moving average and piercing the middle track, leaving a lower shadow below. The pattern shows a negative engulfing positive engulfing bearish signal. In the short term, it may rely on the middle track support to confirm the 10ma resistance and fall again. The 4-hour Bollinger band opens downward, and the K-line continues to fall. The trend is already bearish and downward. The callback space is larger than the rising space. Falling below the previous day's starting low of 3054 is a short-term empty point, and the lowest retracement is around 3015. The daily line is in a partial adjustment in the short term. Combined with the falling wave space of the 4-hour chart. The 3000 integer mark is the support position of the golden section point 0.5. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands open downward, and the K-line continues to decline. The downward trend is obvious. The focus below is on the break of the 3000 mark. As long as the 3000 mark is held, the short-term bullish structure will not change. The market will continue to rise to new highs. If the 3000 mark is broken, the market will form a large-level adjustment structure. The short-term operation is mainly to buy on dips above 3000, supplemented by high shorts. The upper resistance is around 3054-3057-3072, and the lower support is 3015-3000. On the whole, the short-term operation of gold next Monday is mainly to buy on rebounds, supplemented by buying on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3054-3057 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3000-3015 support line. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Reference for gold operation strategy next Monday: 1: Short (sell) gold rebounds to 3053-3055, target 3030-3015. 2: Long (buy) gold pullbacks to 3000-3003, target 3030-3040.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EdithTout
How to Identify Double Top Formation - A Long-Haul Bear?How to identify double top formation? Is the US market still forming this double top formation, or has the pattern already completed, signaling a deeper correction to come? In this discussion, we will focus on the latter question: whether this bear is going to be a long-haul bear. 3 parts of today tutorial: 1. How to Identify Double Top Formation is completed technically? 2. How to cross reference to its related markets? 3. How do the fundamental developments confirm these technical studies? E-mini Dow Jones Index Futures & Options Ticker: YM Minimum fluctuation: 1.00 index point = $5.00 Micro E-mini Dow Jones Index Futures Ticker: MYM Minimum fluctuation: 1.0 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by konhow
EURUSD on high time frame "When considering EUR/USD, the price has decisively broken the structure on the daily time frame. Currently, it is undergoing a pullback towards the origin of the move. In my analysis, once this pullback is complete, it presents a favorable buying opportunity. My target for this trade is 1.120. Depending on your strategy, you may opt to wait for the completion of the pullback and the formation of a (FVG) candle on the 1-hour chart before taking action." If you need further assistance or have any specific questions, feel free to ask!
Long
by somayehbasiri
Vinamilk: VNM (Fair value & slow growth)● Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company (VNM) was established in 1976. The Company has its main business in processing, production, trade, import and export of dairy products and other nutritious ones, under the model of a joint stock company since 2003. VNM is the biggest dairy company with a market share of over 50% in Vietnam dairy industry. VNM's products are exported to 57 countries. ● Milk consumption per capita in Vietnam was only 28 liters in 2021, lower than Thailand (35 liters) and Singapore (45 liters). VS each person in Vietnam consumes around 42.5 liters of beer annually. ● I believe every VNM investor should hold a glass of vinamilk instead glass of beer or soft drink to have a better life. Sun 10/03/2024
HOSE:VNMLong
by MIchaelTran
3
SPX 1D 200 EMA Retest? As the 9&21W EMAs cross and a new local low printing after a SFP top, could the S&P500 be getting its first major correction since Jan 2022? From a TA standpoint this kind of setup looks to be high probability with good R:R for the bears. Targeting the 1W 200 EMA is the most logical area as it remains major support and whenever tested holds strong. From a bulls standpoint this is worrying but could be rectified with a reclaim of the 9&21 EMAs preventing a "death cross" from there acceptance above the high would be the next step to maintain the rally. Fundamentals play a major role and the geopolitical world shows no signs of slowing down, perhaps the tariffs angle is introducing uncertainty in American companies? Or the index is just exhausted from 2.5 years of climbing? Either way the chart is an interesting one to monitor for now.
SP:SPX
by ProR35
6