aily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 27th March 2024)Bias: No Bias
USD News(Red Folder):
-Final GDP q/q
-Unemployment Claims
Analysis:
-Consolidation in 4hr time frame
-Looking for price to respect the high & low on the 4hr structure before the GDP news
-Potential BUY/SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3000,3040
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Fundamental Analysis
Gold Outlook – Steady Range Before Key Data Hits🟡 Market Context:
Gold has been trading in a steady range since the start of the week, with no significant breakout or momentum shift observed.
Today’s session is expected to remain quiet, as there are no major economic events scheduled.
All eyes are on the Thursday GDP release and Friday’s PCE inflation data from the US — both of which are likely to determine the direction for gold into the end of the month and quarter.
📆 Key Data to Watch:
Thursday: US Quarterly GDP
Friday: US PCE Price Index (Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge)
These events are considered high-impact catalysts that may trigger sharp moves in gold, especially if surprises occur.
🔍 Technical Structure:
Price continues to respect key support and resistance zones identified earlier this week.
There is no confirmed breakout yet, so the strategy remains range-based:
➡️ Trade the levels. Watch for reaction signals at extremes.
➡️ Wait for clearer momentum following the macro releases.
🧭 Key Price Levels:
🔺 Resistance: 3,010 – 3,036 – 3,046 – 3,057
🔻 Support: 3,010 – 3,001 – 2,988
🎯 Trade Plan – 26/03
BUY ZONE: 2988 – 2986
SL: 2982
TP: 2992 – 2996 – 3000 – 3004 – 3008 – 3015
SELL ZONE: 3045 – 3047
SL: 3051
TP: 3042 – 3038 – 3034 – 3030 – 3026 – 3020
🧠 Final Notes:
The market remains in accumulation mode ahead of key US data.
No need to rush — protect your capital, wait for clean setups, and let the market reveal its hand.
— AD | Money Market Flow
1 Year "OLD" accumulated SOL VS "NEW" Pre 04.NOV.2024 OnwardsNEW SOL Move?
Sweet spot to be for long term investor - depending how long plan is to "park". 6 Months - OK?
If No pandemics, wars etc, "good" usual Q4 - great place to be while checking on situation in Moonvember / December 2025. Ideal time to harvest.
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for 2 Weeks - Easy MoneyNAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for 2 Weeks, it could drop a little forsure but with my back testing of this strategy, its good long now, manage your position accordingly.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
ADOBE buy BiasWith the current bearish move on the NASDAQ - we can expect Adobe to move towards that weekly/daily Demand zone and fill a Long position to the upside.
Vaulation and seasonality align with stocks and indices - we should find a bottom to this drop on all indices Mid-End of April 2025.
Trade safe!
EUR/USD Buy Zone: Potential Reversal Above Key Support### **EUR/USD: Bearish Momentum Persists Amid Macro Uncertainty**
Key Technical Levels
- Support: 1.07400
- Resistance: 1.085
Market Drivers
📉 Weak Eurozone Fundamentals – France-Germany yield spreads continue to widen, signaling further downside risks for the Euro.
🏦 ECB Policy Outlook Chief Economist Philip Lane suggests potential monetary easing reinforcing a dovish stance.
🌍 Geopolitical Risks – Uncertainty around potential tariff hikes from the U.S. could drive market volatility.
📊 **Strategic Approach:** Monitor key levels closely and align with market momentum.
Huge Buy for Gold XAUUSD (Trump announces tariffs of up to 25%)How Trump’s 25% Auto Tariffs Could Be a Huge Buy Signal for Gold
The proposed 25% tariffs on automobile imports to the U.S. by former President Donald Trump could have significant economic consequences, many of which could drive gold prices higher. Here’s why:
1. Trade War Fears and Market Uncertainty
A new wave of tariffs could escalate tensions with key trading partners, particularly the European Union, Japan, and South Korea, leading to retaliatory tariffs and a potential global trade war.
Uncertainty in global trade historically increases demand for gold as investors seek a safe haven from market volatility.
2. Higher Inflation and Rising Costs
Tariffs would increase the price of imported cars, leading to higher inflation in the U.S.
Rising inflation typically weakens consumer purchasing power and drives investors toward gold, a traditional inflation hedge.
3. Economic Slowdown and Risk of Recession
Automakers and suppliers may cut jobs or reduce production, impacting economic growth.
A slowing economy could trigger rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which would lower bond yields and make gold even more attractive as a non-yielding asset.
4. Pressure on the U.S. Dollar
Trade conflicts can destabilize the U.S. dollar, especially if major economies reduce reliance on U.S. exports or retaliate with their own tariffs.
A weaker dollar increases the price of gold, as gold becomes cheaper for foreign investors.
5. Central Bank Demand and Gold Accumulation
If economic uncertainty rises, central banks may increase gold reserves, further boosting demand.
We’ve already seen major central banks accumulating gold at record levels, and new trade disruptions could accelerate this trend.
Conclusion: A Strong Bull Case for Gold
If Trump’s 25% auto tariffs take effect, they could trigger inflation, market volatility, and economic slowdown, all of which are bullish for gold. With central banks buying aggressively and rate cuts likely on the horizon, this could be a major buying opportunity for gold traders.
Would you buy gold in this scenario? Let me know in the comments! 🚀
BNB before correction?Hello everyone, let's look at the 1D BNB to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price came out of the downtrend line, however, here it is worth observing the EMA Cross 50 and 200 indicator, which shows a fight to maintain the uptrend. Please take into account the STOCH indicator, which shows a longer movement at the upper limit of the range, which may confirm the current rebound and give a deeper correction, however, here it is important for the price to stay above the level of the last low.
Let's start by defining the goals for the near future, which the price must face:
T1 = 646 USD
T2 = 684 USD
Т3 = 732 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 612 USD
SL2 = 595 USD
SL3 = 560 USD
SL4 = 534 USD
Upward trend may continueComprehensive Market and Investment Analysis of BTCUSD - March 2025
The Bitcoin is currently trading at $86,988, representing a 0.54% decrease from the previous day's closing price. Over the past year, its price has ranged from $49,121 to $109,115. Currently, it is trading below the 50-day moving average but above the 200-day moving average. Analysts predict that by the end of 2025, the price could reach between $145,000 and $249,000 based on CryptoQuant's forecasts. Following the current sideways trend, a significant move is anticipated, which will determine future investment opportunities.
Market Situation and Fundamental Factors
The Bitcoin's current price is $86,988, marking a 0.54% decline from the previous day's close. The daily trading range was between $85,929 and $88,254, indicating relatively low volatility of 2.7%. The total market capitalization is $1.72 trillion, highlighting Bitcoin's significant market presence.
Fundamental factors include the presence of institutional investors and global macroeconomic conditions. According to CryptoQuant's analysis, the growth in realized capitalization and changes in market multiples are key indicators. Bitcoin's value continues to be heavily influenced by investor confidence, as evidenced by the January Net Realized Profit and Loss (NRPL) metric, which showed strong market confidence at higher price levels.
Daily trading volume is around $28.55 billion, lower than the average daily volume of $45.34 billion. This reduced liquidity could lead to larger price movements in the near future, especially if significant market events occur.
Price Stability and Institutional Presence
Bitcoin has remained relatively stable over the past 24 hours, with a slight downward trend. It traded above $88,000 in the morning before gradually declining to around $86,000 in the afternoon. This movement may indicate a temporary correction phase in the previous upward trend.
In evaluating Bitcoin's fundamentals, institutional adoption is becoming increasingly important and could significantly increase in 2025 if there is a pro-crypto U.S. government. Strong capital inflows are expected primarily from professional investors, which could further stabilize prices at higher levels.
Technical Analysis
The price is currently below the 50-day exponential moving average ($89,996.66) but above the 200-day moving average ($85,217.02). This reflects a mix of medium-term weakness and long-term strength from a technical perspective.
Chart Patterns and Indicators
A symmetrical triangle formation identified in previous analyses suggested a sideways trend, which was reinforced by the maximum volume profile visible range (VPVR). This formation often precedes a significant breakout, which could occur in either direction.
On the daily chart, the recent break above the 10-day EMA has so far resulted in sideways movement. This consolidation phase often precedes the continuation or reversal of a trend, making it crucial to monitor closely.
The price movement over the past few days has been within a relatively narrow range, indicating decreasing volatility. This is often a precursor to a larger breakout, especially under current market conditions when significant expectations surround Bitcoin's future performance.
Investment Outlook
According to scenarios outlined by CryptoQuant in January, Bitcoin's price could reach three different levels by the end of 2025:
Optimistic Scenario: $249,000 - This assumes strong institutional adoption and a pro-crypto regulatory environment, with a sixfold market multiple.
Moderate Scenario: $197,000 - This reflects a moderately bullish market climate.
Conservative Scenario: $145,000 - This assumes Bitcoin's resilience and sustained investor interest despite macroeconomic challenges.
Risks and Opportunities
Risks associated with investing in Bitcoin include regulatory uncertainties, market volatility, and the pace of technological developments. However, opportunities include growing institutional acceptance, its role as an inflation hedge, and broader adoption as a digital currency.
The current price ($86,988) and the most conservative CryptoQuant forecast ($145,000) suggest a potential increase of about 67%, while the optimistic scenario could represent a 186% increase by the end of the year.
Sectoral Analysis
Bitcoin continues to play a dominant role in the cryptocurrency sector with a market capitalization of $1.72 trillion. This dominance reflects institutional investors' interest, who often choose Bitcoin as their first cryptocurrency investment due to its liquidity and market acceptance.
Bitcoin's Position in the Crypto Ecosystem
Bitcoin's role as "digital gold" remains pivotal and is expected to strengthen further in 2025. Market developments, such as the impact of halving events and the growing popularity of ETFs, could increase demand for Bitcoin.
The annual price range ($49,121 to $109,115) shows that Bitcoin still exhibits significant volatility. However, trading above the moving averages indicates long-term strengthening, which could reinforce its sectoral position.
Conclusion and Future Outlook
Bitcoin's current market situation indicates a consolidation phase, after which a significant price movement is expected. Technical patterns, particularly the symmetrical triangle formation and the position of moving averages, suggest that the market is preparing for a breakout.
Fundamental factors, including institutional adoption and regulatory developments, play a crucial role in future price appreciation potential. According to CryptoQuant's forecasts, by the end of 2025, prices could range from $145,000 to $249,000, offering significant investment opportunities from current levels.
From an investment perspective, Bitcoin remains an attractive asset class for investors with higher risk appetites, especially in longer-term strategies. The current price consolidation offers an opportunity to build or expand positions, considering both technical and fundamental factors.
UC UpdateBoth the USD and CHF are safe-haven currencies, but their behavior depends on global conditions. If uncertainties (e.g., trade issues or economic slowdowns) rise, demand for the CHF could increase, lowering the pair. On the flip side, strong U.S. economic data could lift the USD and the pair
For now let's wait for data to be released
Soft US data stokes recession fears | FX ResearchA round of discouraging survey data out of the US on Tuesday has fueled more selling of the US dollar as the market prices in increased odds for recession. Philly Fed services and consumer confidence polls plunged to post-pandemic lows, while consumer expectations faltered on worry over personal finances. US equities, on the other hand, remained in demand—perhaps feeling good about the implication of the softer data in that it will invite an even more dovish, investor-friendly Fed reaction.
Of course, investors are also still worrying about the state of US tariffs and trade, though we have also seen tensions alleviated somewhat on this front in recent days on the news that tariffs will be more targeted.
Key standouts on Wednesday's calendar come from UK inflation data, Canada wholesale sales, US durable goods, the Bank of Canada summary of deliberations, and some ECB speak.
How to break the position of gold as it narrows in shock?Technical analysis of gold: Gold has slightly risen and fallen during the day, and the overall trend remains in a volatile trend. Gold is currently maintaining a narrow range of fluctuations on the daily trend, but the short-term moving average has gradually diverged downward, and there are signs of weakening in the short term on the daily line. The 4-hour level trend is temporarily maintained in a volatile state, and the price is temporarily compressed between 3010-3030. The short-term moving average continues to maintain a state close to adhesion and flattening, tending to maintain a volatile trend in the short term. It is necessary to pay attention to the continued downward trend after a small break in the 4-hour level trend. In the small-level cycle trend, after touching the previous support band, there are signs of stabilization again. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment.
From the overall situation, gold is definitely in the bull market stage. At present, there is strong buying defense at the 3000 mark, and the "W" double bottom Zou shape has appeared below. If it successfully breaks through the 3035 watershed, it is expected to test the pressure near 3045 and the historical high of 3057. Now the low point of the callback begins to move up slowly, showing a small upward trend. First, we will overestimate and undervalue in the 3030-3010 range. We can see that the current gold trend is also narrowing. There is no problem with short-term shock operations, but pay attention to the breakout after continuous shocks. The daily cycle hovers around the angle of the short-term moving average. There is a choice of direction at any time. Follow the breakout. Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is mainly long on callbacks, and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3030-3036, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3010-3012. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Gold operation strategy reference: short gold rebounds near 3030-3034, with a target of 3020-3015, and long gold callbacks near 3010-3014, with a target of 3020-3025.
If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. The information I recently shared about the gold market has received a lot of feedback, and everyone said it was very helpful! If you don’t know when to enter the market, you can follow me 🌐, I will release specific signals in real time, remember to pay attention to the bottom 🌐 signal in time.
Significant risk23andMe Holding Corp. (ME) Financial and Investment Analysis
23andMe Holding Corp. is currently in a critical financial situation, having filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in March 2025, and its CEO, Anne Wojcicki, has stepped down. The biotechnology company once had a market capitalization of $6 billion, but by 2024, its value had plummeted to just 2% of that, highlighting the company's severe financial difficulties. 23andMe was a leader in the direct-to-consumer genetic testing market, but it has struggled with persistent financial losses and a lack of recurring revenue due to the one-time nature of genetic testing. The following analysis provides a detailed examination of the company's current situation, outlook, and investment evaluation.
Overview of the Company's Financial Situation
Current Market Data and Valuation Metrics
As of the latest data, 23andMe's stock price is approximately $0.32, with a 52-week range of $0.29 to $1.04. The company's market capitalization is $161.01 million, reflecting a significant loss in value since its IPO in 2021. Notable valuation metrics include a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.77, which is low compared to industry averages, and a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.12. The company does not pay dividends, which is unsurprising given its substantial losses.
In terms of liquidity, the quick ratio is 1.29, and the current ratio is 1.52, indicating that it can barely meet its short-term obligations, a situation that could rapidly deteriorate. Profitability metrics are extremely unfavorable: the return on assets (ROA) is -33.64%, the return on equity (ROE) is -50.95%, and the return on invested capital (ROIC) is -44.67%. These figures suggest that the company is using its resources very inefficiently.
Financial Performance and Trends
In the 2024 fiscal year, 23andMe reported $192 million in revenue but incurred an operating loss of $681 million and a net loss of $666 million. The company's total assets were $395 million, with shareholder equity of $189 million at the end of the fiscal year. These figures highlight the company's severe financial challenges, particularly that its operating loss is more than three times its annual revenue.
The company's third-quarter earnings report, released in January 2025, expressed significant liquidity concerns and indicated that it was exploring various options to address operational and financial challenges. This announcement foreshadowed the subsequent bankruptcy filing in March. One of the main causes of the company's financial problems is the one-time nature of genetic testing services, which does not provide recurring revenue from retail customers.
Technical Analysis and Price Forecasts
Current Technical Picture and Indicators
The technical picture for 23andMe's stock is extremely weak, with the price trading near the lower end of its 52-week range. Since its IPO in 2021, the stock has been in a steep downtrend with occasional brief corrections. The trading volume is low (about 2 million shares daily compared to an average of 3.3 million), indicating reduced market interest.
Technical indicators suggest that the stock is oversold, which could theoretically lead to a short-term correction. However, given the fundamental problems and bankruptcy proceedings, any correction is likely to be limited. The lack of clear catalysts or future prospects further reinforces the technical weakness, as investors lack a clear reason to support a long-term price increase.
Price Forecasts
The average price target for 23andMe's stock in 2025 is $1.6458, with high and low estimates of $2.3972 and $0.8944, respectively. This represents a potential increase from the current price, but given the bankruptcy proceedings, these forecasts are likely no longer relevant. Monthly forecasts had suggested an average price of $2.5272 by April 2025 (a 41.18% increase), but by June, this was revised down to $1.0737 (a 40.02% decrease).
Long-term forecasts suggest the stock could rise to $2.7538 by 2030, $34.24 by 2040, and $49.17 by 2050. However, these forecasts are highly speculative, especially in light of the current bankruptcy proceedings, which could fundamentally alter the company's ownership structure and value.
Investment Evaluation and Risks
Investment Thesis
23andMe is currently a highly speculative investment that should only be considered by investors with the highest risk tolerance. The company is undergoing bankruptcy proceedings, which typically result in significant value loss for shareholders, often rendering existing shares worthless. The company has never been profitable and has failed to develop a sustainable revenue model due to the one-time nature of genetic testing.
Anne Wojcicki's attempt to take the company private in February 2024 at $2.53 per share, followed by a July 2024 offer of 40 cents per share, which was rejected by the special committee, adds to the valuation uncertainty. This uncertainty further increases the investment risk, as investors must prepare for the possibility of losing a significant portion or all of their investment.
Key Risks and Opportunities
The most significant risk is the ongoing bankruptcy proceedings, which could completely restructure the company's capital and dilute or render existing shareholder positions worthless. Additional risks include the company's persistent losses and market saturation in genetic testing. Concerns over user data privacy are also growing, with many users attempting to delete their genetic data from the company's database, posing further reputational risk.
As an opportunity, the company's extensive genetic database could be valuable for drug development and research collaborations. The partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (which ended in July 2023) highlights this potential. In January 2025, the company launched the Discover23 platform to facilitate large-scale genetic research in pharmaceutical collaborations. The acquisition of telehealth company Lemonaid Health in 2021 for $400 million also presented an opportunity to diversify the business model, although its success is questionable.
Sector Analysis and Competitive Position
Overview of the Genomics and Biotechnology Sector
23andMe operates in the diagnostics and research segment of the healthcare sector. The genomics and biotechnology sector has significant growth potential in personalized medicine and genetic-based drug development. The sector's most valuable companies include Thermo Fisher Scientific, Danaher Corp., IQVIA Holdings, Agilent Technologies, and IDEXX Laboratories, all with market capitalizations far exceeding that of 23andMe.
The sector is characterized by high R&D costs, long product development cycles, and a stringent regulatory environment. For genomic companies, developing a viable business model that provides sustainable revenue beyond initial genetic testing services is crucial. In this regard, 23andMe has failed to establish a successful strategy, leading to its current financial difficulties.
23andMe's Market Position and Competitive Advantages
23andMe was among the first in the direct-to-consumer genetic testing market and built a significant database, which could have been a competitive advantage. The company has genetic data from over 5 million customers, providing a valuable foundation for research and development activities and pharmaceutical collaborations. The company has continuously expanded its genetic reports, recently introducing homocysteine (MTHFR-related) and osteoporosis genetic reports.
However, the company's competitive disadvantage is its inability to establish a sustainable business model. The one-time nature of genetic testing means there is no recurring revenue stream from retail customers. Additionally, 23andMe has faced regulatory issues with the FDA regarding its health-related genetic tests, although it has been allowed to sell modified health components in the U.S. since October 2015.
Conclusion and Investment Strategy
23andMe Holding Corp.'s current situation is extremely unstable, with the company having filed for bankruptcy protection in March 2025 and facing severe liquidity issues. Financial metrics indicate unsustainable operations with significant losses, and the company has failed to develop a business model that ensures long-term profitability. The technical analysis shows a strong, persistent downtrend, and while short-term corrections may occur, the fundamental problems make long-term prospects highly uncertain.
Investing in 23andMe's stock at this time is more speculative than a well-founded investment. Investors should be prepared for the possibility of losing their entire investment due to the bankruptcy proceedings. For those interested in the genomics and biotechnology sector, it may be more prudent to consider more financially stable companies like Thermo Fisher Scientific or Illumina. For risk-tolerant investors, 23andMe might only be considered in a very small portfolio allocation with strict risk management strategies, if at all.
My NQ Long Idea 26/03/2025There is a big technical area that has taken the spotlight in NQ and it is around the 50% fib level with a gap opening.
US economy has seen some strengthening recently with the FED looking neutral-dovish. A price correction may not even occur here it can keep going up continuously the moment we have a conclusive risk-on environment.
Inflation has cooled down from 3.0 to 2.8 and interest rate was held at 4.50 from 4.50.
We are expecting a rate cut of 0.25 bps by Q2 so the market is looking forward to price that in.
I see a potential "buy the rumor" then "sell the news" scenario here. So during the next fomc meeting we may get a small sell off for a price correction then NQ will continue its up momentum.
Technical setup looks good I expect a turbulent price action which will fill the opening gap at the 50% a consolidation here can be healthy for price action before we get a Wyckoff spring.
We have recently exited a bearish channel and entered a new bullish channel which is still in progress but must pay attention to it as we could start trending in that direction.
I may take a short position (for the short term) since I anticipate a correction to the gap at the 50%.
3.27 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsOn Thursday (March 27) in the Asian weekly session, the gold price (XAU/USD) was still consolidating around the $3,020 level, and the overall market sentiment was cautious.
Fundamental analysis:
US economy and Fed trends
Geopolitical and tariff uncertainties
Technical analysis:
Gold prices continued to consolidate at high levels after breaking through $3,000, and are still above the short-term moving average, with an overall bullish trend.
Moving average and trend: The moving average is in a bullish arrangement, indicating that the short-term and medium-term upward momentum has not been destroyed. The price fluctuates repeatedly between MA14 (3021) and MA200 (3017). If the market can stay above these two moving averages in the future, the upward momentum is expected to continue.
Key resistance and Fibonacci retracement: Fibonacci retracement 0.236 corresponds to around $3038, which also coincides with the high point formed in the previous period. If the price falls below the Fibonacci 0.618 position (about $3,000), we need to be alert to the risk of technical adjustments to find $3,000 or even deeper support.
Trump to unveil auto tariffs at 4 p.m.President Trump will announce new tariffs on auto imports during a press conference in the Oval Office at 4 p.m. ET, according to White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt.
The headlines have weighed heavily on EUR/USD, pushing the pair to multi-week lows (now below 1.0750). However, it is hard to find sources that indicate that the tariffs announced today will apply to autos coming from Europe.
Regardless of today’s announcement, Trump has promoted next week’s April 2 as D-Day for imposing reciprocal tariffs on all countries that maintain import duties on U.S. goods. So, the market might just be getting ahead of itself for good reason.
Baidu Inc. (BIDU) 1WTechnical Analysis 1W
A breakout from the "falling wedge" could signal potential upside.
Key levels:
-Support: 94.26 | 77.24
-Resistance: 107.61 | 116.99 | 156.75
Fundamental Analysis
-AI Leadership: Baidu continues expanding in AI, cloud computing, and autonomous driving.
-Financials: Solid revenue growth but faces regulatory risks in China.
-Competition: Strong rivalry with Alibaba and Tencent in AI and cloud services.
-Risks: U.S.-China tensions and economic slowdown may impact performance.
A breakout above $116.99 could confirm further upside.
Reddit (RDDT) Bullish Opportunity – Oversold Bounce + Long-Term Reddit (RDDT) has plunged 54.40% in under 40 days, with the price now testing key technical levels. While the broader market is red today, this setup might offer a unique entry opportunity — whether to lower your average or build a long-term position.
Technicals are signaling early signs of reversal, supported by an uptick in momentum indicators.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
✅ Sharp bounce from recent lows (~$106)
✅ MACD bullish cross forming — momentum flipping
✅ RSI climbing from oversold territory
✅ First bullish daily Heikin Ashi candles post-selloff
✅ Price attempting to reclaim the 9 EMA
✅ Defined risk with tight stop just below recent support
📈 Trade Setup:
🟢 Entry Zone: $119-121 (current range)
🔴 Stop Loss: Below $104 (under recent swing low)
✅ TP1: $139 – psychological level & short-term resistance
✅ TP2: $166 – key breakdown zone
✅ TP3: $221 – Below the All Time High & major resistance
📊 Fundamental Tailwinds:
🔹 User Growth: Daily Active Users up 39% YoY to 101.7M
🔹 Ad Revenue Boom: +60% YoY in Q4, reaching $395M
🔹 Analyst Consensus: 20 analysts → 12 Buy, 6 Hold, 2 Sell
🔹 Average Price Target: $195.37 (➕ +56.37% Upside from current levels)
🔹 Strategic Moves: Partnership with Intercontinental Exchange for monetizing data
🔹 IPO Buzz & Momentum: Despite short-term weakness, Reddit remains one of the most followed and speculated post-IPO names
📌 Personally, I’m looking at this from a long-term perspective, but for those trading with leverage, the technical setup allows for tight risk management and structured take-profit levels.
Volatility creates opportunity — this might be one of them. Let’s see how it plays out. 💼🚀
US Cash Market Goes 'Flippant'. Understanding Revenge in TradingFirst of all, revenge trading is a destructive pattern of behavior in trading where individuals make impulsive and emotionally-driven decisions in an attempt to recoup previous losses. This practice is not limited to novice traders; even experienced traders can fall prey to it. The primary emotions driving revenge trading include anger, frustration, greed, fear, and shame, which cloud judgment and lead to irrational decision-making.
Causes of Revenge Trading
Emotional Response: Traders often react emotionally to significant losses, feeling compelled to immediately recover their losses without adequate analysis or strategy.
Lack of Discipline: Deviating from established trading plans and risk management principles is common in revenge trading.
Psychological Triggers: Feelings of injustice, anger, or a desire for vengeance against the market can trigger revenge trading.
Consequences of Revenge Trading
Financial Losses: Revenge trading often results in larger losses due to riskier trades and poor timing.
Emotional Burnout: The stress and frustration from repeated losses can lead to emotional exhaustion and decreased trading performance.
Career Impact: Persistent revenge trading can erode confidence and lead to a trader questioning their abilities.
Real-Life Examples of Revenge Trading
Increasing Position Size: A trader experiences a significant loss and decides to double or triple their position size in the next trade, hoping to quickly recover their losses. This action disregards risk management principles and often leads to even greater losses.
Ignoring Stop-Loss Orders: After a loss, a trader might hold onto a losing position longer than planned, hoping it will turn around. This behavior ignores established stop-loss orders and can result in further financial damage.
Chasing Trades: A trader feels compelled to enter trades without proper analysis, driven by the urge to recoup losses quickly. This impulsive behavior can lead to a series of poor trading decisions.
Market Reversal Scenario: A trader suffers a loss due to a sudden market reversal. In an attempt to recover, they enter a trade in the opposite direction without thorough analysis, which can exacerbate their losses.
Wish more examples? Watch recent one below 👇👇
How to Avoid Revenge Trading
To avoid revenge trading, traders should focus on maintaining discipline and adhering to their trading strategies. This includes:
Taking Breaks: After a loss, taking time to reassess the market and calm emotions can help prevent impulsive decisions.
Sticking to Plans: Adhering to established trading plans and risk management principles is crucial.
Emotional Awareness: Recognizing emotional triggers and taking steps to manage them can help prevent revenge trading.
In conclusion, revenge trading is a HARMFUL AND DANGEROUS practice that can lead to significant financial and emotional consequences. Understanding its causes and recognizing its signs are essential steps in avoiding this behavior and maintaining a successful trading career.
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Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎