Get started

Fundamental Analysis

Ethereum (ETH/USD) Bearish Setup | Cup and Handle BreakdownEthereum (ETH/USD) Chart Overview: Ethereum (ETH/USD) has formed a Cup and Handle pattern on the daily timeframe, but instead of breaking out bullish, price is showing signs of a bearish breakdown. The handle formation has taken the shape of a rising wedge, a typical bearish continuation pattern. Price has broken below the wedge support, confirming potential downside momentum. Technical Analysis: 1. Cup and Handle Breakdown: A failed bullish continuation suggests that sellers have taken control. 2. Rising Wedge Pattern: The recent consolidation (handle) formed a rising wedge, which has now broken down. 3. Key Resistance Zone: The $2,869 level is acting as strong resistance, preventing further upside. 4. Breakout Confirmation: ETH/USD has broken below the handle support, indicating a continuation of the downtrend. Trade Plan: Short Entry: Below $2,505 Stop-Loss: Above $2,869 (invalidates the setup if price reverses) Target: $1,700 (previous support and Fibonacci level) Fundamental Outlook: Ethereum has faced selling pressure amid broader crypto market uncertainty. Macroeconomic factors like rising bond yields and regulatory concerns could add to the bearish sentiment. If Bitcoin faces further downside, ETH could follow suit. If ETH remains below the breakout zone, we anticipate further downside toward $1,700. However, a reclaim of $2,869 could invalidate this bearish bias. Must Suport And Let me know your thoughts! Happy trading!
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by Mr_Kevin_Trading
1
Bitcoin BTC price analysis😕 Yesterday's news of a higher-than-expected CPI increase seems to have been "digested" by the market. We liked that most of the alts held up quite well (all compared to last week) - there was no more panic. 1️⃣ On the one hand, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is being pushed to the “critical triangle” below which the OKX:BTCUSDT price may go to close the CME GAP formed last year. But BTC.D is also dropping, albeit reluctantly, a little bit. 2️⃣ On the other hand, maybe it's time to stop focusing on that bourgeois #Bitcoin ). It's time for the altcoins to take "the pitchforks" into their own hands!) 😱 Some #CAKE and #Bake are showing good growth and even the “heavy” CRYPTOCAP:BNB is climbing despite them.... and all because #CZ decided to return to the “big” game and will present a photo of his dog in a few hours.... We are re-reading this sur and our eyes are twitching.... but these are the realities of the crypto world now...) ⁉️ So, what do you think, which memecoin from СZ will blow up the information space and pull all the market liquidity to itself in the coming hours/days?)
by P_S_trade
4
SOLANA – Technical and Fundamental OutlookTechnical Analysis Solana (SOL) remains within a Falling Wedge structure, a historically bullish reversal pattern. The price is currently testing a key support zone at $124.29, where demand accumulation could trigger a breakout. A successful rebound from this level may confirm a shift in momentum. A breakout above $150.51 would validate a bullish reversal, with the next key resistance target aligning with the previous All-Time High (ATH) of $296.99. Failure to hold $124.29 as support could extend the correction, requiring confirmation of price action before further positioning. Fundamental Analysis Solana continues to exhibit strong growth, with a 37.09% price increase in the last 30 days and 79.96% gains over the past 90 days, reflecting sustained investor confidence. Institutional sentiment remains positive, with VanEck analysts projecting a $520 price target by the end of 2025, contingent on continued adoption and ecosystem expansion. Key fundamental drivers include Solana’s high-throughput architecture, enabling thousands of transactions per second with low fees, positioning it as a competitive layer-1 blockchain. Recent integrations, including Visa's USDC settlement adoption, further reinforce its real-world utility. Risk Considerations Regulatory uncertainties remain a critical factor, with SEC classification concerns presenting potential headwinds. Additionally, speculative market activity, particularly within Solana's meme coin sector, has contributed to heightened volatility, necessitating cautious risk management. Conclusion The confluence of technical support levels and strong fundamental adoption metrics suggests a pivotal moment for Solana. A breakout from the Falling Wedge structure would reinforce bullish momentum, while macro and regulatory developments remain key monitoring factors.
COINBASE:SOLUSDLong
by AzrulAzir
BTC USD UPDATEWe have seen an excellent drop to lower levels. Now, we're waiting to reload some spot trades. We're looking for a clear bullish shift before entering any spot positions. However, short positions taken into these levels have performed well, as indicated by the green on the screen. Currently, we're observing market reactions. If market makers are genuinely bullish at these levels, we should see a rapid price delivery. This means we have potentially long weeks ahead, and we need to be v [atient to avoid missing any smoves. Wait for safe trading opportunities.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by themarketknight
ETHUSDT - Limited Return PriceEthereum is a reliable network for financial transfers and transactions and can be considered the second most popular digital currency after Bitcoin. Currently, this currency has reached the price range of $2,500 with temporary decreases, but this price is at its lowest level and the probability of liquidity entering this price area is very high. This price level can be used for long-term investment. I specify two targets for this price area: $4,000-5,000. Sasha Charkhchian
Long
by Sashacharkhchi
3
Gold price analysis February 26⭐️Fundamental analysis Gold prices rose sharply in the middle of the week thanks to weak US economic data, causing the USD and bond yields to weaken. Concerns about tariffs with Canada, Mexico and the risk of a trade war helped gold maintain its upward momentum. However, gold prices may face difficulties as the USD recovered slightly after the US House of Representatives passed a budget plan, supporting Trump's tax policy. The US-China meeting on tariffs also restrained the increase, but risk aversion still boosted the demand for safe-haven gold. Investors also followed the speech of Fed officials for more signals about the market. ⭐️Technical analysis Gold prices unexpectedly increased in the Asian session with the force pushing back to the breakout zone of 2930. The price range of gold has been noted on the chart with the small range of 2892-2942 and the large range of 2868-2978. Gold closing below 2912 will signal a Downtrend and head towards the lower band. On the other hand, Gold's upward path faces more resistance around 2921 and 2930.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
HOME DEPOT ($HD) Q4—HOME FIXES SPARK A SURGEHOME DEPOT ( NYSE:HD ) Q4—HOME FIXES SPARK A SURGE (1/9) Good afternoon, TradingView! Home Depot ( NYSE:HD ) is buzzing—$ 39.7B Q4 sales, up 14.1% 📈🔥. Extra week and SRS deal fuel zing—let’s unpack this retail giant! 🚀 (2/9) – REVENUE RUSH • Q4 Sales: $ 39.7B—14.1% up from $ 34.8B 💥 • Full ‘24: $ 159.5B—4.5% rise from $ 152.7B 📊 • Boost: $ 4.9B from 14th week NYSE:HD ’s humming—fixer-uppers unite! (3/9) – EARNINGS GLOW • Q4 EPS: $ 3.13—beats $ 3.03 est. 🌍 • Net: $ 3.0B—up from $ 2.8B 🚗 • Dividend: $ 2.30—up 2.2%, juicy 🌟 NYSE:HD ’s profit shines—steady cash! (4/9) – BIG PLAYS • SRS Buy: Pro segment zaps growth 📈 • Comp Sales: +0.8%—first up in 2 yrs 🌍 • Stores: 12 newbies—expansion zip 🚗 NYSE:HD ’s flexing—home king reigns! (5/9) – RISKS IN VIEW • Housing: Rates, $ 396.9K homes—yikes ⚠️ • Inflation: Wallets tighten—sting 🏛️ • Comp: Lowe’s nips—tight race 📉 Hot run—can it dodge the bumps? (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS • Lead: $ 159.5B—top dog 🌟 • Comp: +0.8%, 7.6% trans. jump 🔍 • SRS: Pro cash flows—steady juice 🚦 NYSE:HD ’s a retail beast—rock solid! (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES • Weaknesses: Housing drag—boo 💸 • Opportunities: Rate cuts, SRS lift—zing 🌍 Can NYSE:HD zap past the risks? (8/9) – NYSE:HD ’s Q4 surge—what’s your vibe? 1️⃣ Bullish—Growth shines bright. 2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, risks hover. 3️⃣ Bearish—Housing stalls it out. Vote below! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY NYSE:HD ’s $ 39.7B Q4 and SRS spark zing—$ 159.5B year hums 🌍🪙. Premium P/E, but grit rules—gem or pause?
NYSE:HDLong
by DCAChampion
LTC Litecoin Fireworks Are About To Start ETFs Loading UpHello my friends, Im sorry for not being here for a while, my life was very busy over the past year. Im hoping now that things are settled down I can do these charts again regularly. That aside lets get into Litecoin. Litecoin has been outperforming almost the entire market lately moving from 25th position on Coinmarketcap to now 12th position over the course of just a couple months or so. Litecoin is showing big time strength over all the others. Every day its holding onto more and more of its gains while others are making new lows or lower highs. We are at the apex now. Litecoin must break over $147 and close that candle on at least the 2 day to be confirmed. Once that happens I don't think there will be many pullbacks from there and if there are they will short lived. The ETFs for Litecoin are really gaining steam. Charlie Lee did an interview back in I believe it was December with The Litecoin Forecast YouTube channel and Charlie was saying that if anyone had large amounts of Litecoin and wanted to help seed the Canary ETF to contact him directly. The ETF is coming 100% there is no question about that. Once these ETFs get approved Litecoin has such an illiquid supply the price of Litecoin will skyrocket so fast and so high it'll leave everyone in disbelief and with their mouths dropped. Miner reserves are at an all time low, so no serious dumping or resistance levels along the way like previous runs. People and institutional buyers are realizing that Litecoin is the second Bitcoin. they realize that Litecoin is THE Altcoin and the rest are just clones, copies and junk. The fact that Litecoin is te most used crypto worldwide and has been for a long time shows that the PEOPLE chose Litecoin over all those other chains to transact in, even over Bitcoin. People are realizing that Litecoin is the better Bitcoin and was made to be that way. There is no denying that Litecoin is the chosen crypto, its provable with on-chain metrics! No hype, no advertising, nothing just pure organic adoption. Thats what make a winner in this space. We dont need a tweet from Elon or constant promises and upgrades to keep Litecoin relevant. Litecoin will move to the #2 spot under Bitcoin. Once this move starts and Litecoin starts going parabolic you will see the pump chasers and fomo rotating out of the already extremely overvalued trash they bought the top in to get into Litecoin. All the non believers, all the haters, all the wounded who sold angrily, everyone will pile into Litecoin. You will hear a lot of language especially from the haters saying that its just a pump and dump along the way. Eventually they will all change their tune when Litecoin continues to rise and rise and rise and wont stop. Dont be fooled and dont sell early, Litecoin is going to shock the entire world and thats not being dramatic. It will be on every news channel. Big institutions will be talking about it. Blackrock will get in along with all his buddies. Its coming I promise that. I had made my previous predictions not really knowing what the catalyst would be other than the charts and some on-chain data. Now I know why Litecoin will make that move I was predicting. The ETFs are going to bring in a flood of money like no one has see before and the world will realize that Litecoin is Bitcoin #2. The ones who missed Bitcoin at $1000 are going to flood into Litecoin for their chance to get the second faster Bitcoin. I know I was wrong on the timing of the last predictions I made thinking that maybe it could have happened in 2024. I didnt expect the market to be this drawn out, I dont think anyone did. It is different this time despite what everyone else says. The cycles are getting longer and longer as more and more people enter the space. There isnt a huge rotation from Bitcoin into Alts anymore because now the ETFs are locking it up. No more Alt seasons like we were used to . I believe that my chart showing 13K for Litecoin is just the beginning. Litecoin will be worth 1/4 of Bitcoin in the future. I dont want to say that Litecoin could overtake Bitcoin but it might you never know this market is wild. Litecoin in these next few years and over the course of a couple cycles within this larger cycle we could see Litecoin at $50k each. Once all the money drains out of the overhyped and overacalued trash thats currently out there, they will eventually move into Bitcoin, and Litecoin. Maybe a couple others that are competing for the smart contract side of things but as far as Cryptocurrencies go Litecoin and Bitcoin are the only two that will remain relevant. The rest are just projects and platforms and wanna be Cryptocurrencies all the way down the line. Litecoin is about to create so many millionaires in such a short period of time its going blow everyone's mind. Eventually Litecoin network will be so busy because of real world use, it'll have to stop mining Doge which is just a leech off the network. Miners wont waste energy on that. Doge will eventually move back down to where it came from. XRP holders will eventually realize that they have been duped into keeping the rich lifestyles of the Ripple team going for so many years on just hype. The meme coins are losing interest. All those holders are going to lose everything, literally. I cant believe how many have their entire investment in these silly Fartcoin, Titcoin and all the other ridiculous coins with zero value. They were fun to make quick money on but they are no longer as profitable and the risk is way higher than the reward now. Frogs, Dogs, Cats, Squirrels all are going to die and go to zero. The crypto market will be wrangled and only the strong will survive. All that capital will flood out of the trash and there will be a mad dash for actually utility. In the Dot com boom there were so many internet companies it was crazy but at the end of it only a few strong ones survived and thrived and became the powerhouses that we see today. Thats exactly what I see for the cryptospace. Litecoin holders will soon be vindicated! None of this is financial advice, this is just my opinion.
KRAKEN:LTCUSDLong
by Bitgolder
19
Bitcoin - Just a correction before resuming BullishHello Traders! Is there really anyone panicking over this correction? Not me. I'm preparing for a buy at the Weekly Demand area you can see on the chart. The bull cycle is not done by any means. We're still in a bullish wave count, the only thing is that after this accummulation the market FAILED to do sort of a triangle correction in the form of ABCDE, thus invalidating my first idea. For me now this is the new wave count I'm seeing and its a better one, we'll get a deep discount in Bitcoin (for the long HODLers) and a great upcoming trade for us traders! Let's talk Futures now, or my take on the COT report as per usual. Comercials (big players) are getting bullish Fund managers are getting bearish, which is good. On the futures chart, there was a huge gap between 80.500 and 77.500 that needed to be filled. With this, makes sense that market is correcting to fill this gap. + Plus: Fear & Greed indicator is at 21 FEAR from 25 FEAR (yesterday) Conclusion: WE ARE GOING LONG. Trade safe, AlbertFX99
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by AlbertFX99
Gold (XAU/USD) Potential Buy Opportunity | Technical AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) Chart Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading within a rising channel, respecting both the upward trend line and support line on the 1-hour timeframe.** We observed a higher high (H. High) formation, which indicates strong bullish momentum. Price recently retraced and is now testing the support level, creating a potential bounce setup for a long trade. Technical Confluences for a Buy Entry: 1. Trendline Support: Price is currently testing the lower boundary of the upward trend channel, indicating a possible reversal. 2. Bullish Structure: Despite recent retracement, the overall trend remains bullish, favoring long positions. 3. Rejection & Recovery Potential: A rounded bottom formation (curved purple line) suggests a potential rebound towards higher levels. 4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: A well-defined stop-loss is placed below the support level, while the upside target offers a favorable reward. Trade Plan: Buy Entry: Around 2,894 Stop-Loss: Below 2,865 (to protect against further downside) Target: 2,960 (aligned with the trend's upper boundary) If gold holds above the support zone and shows bullish confirmation, we expect a strong push towards 2,960. However, a breakdown below the support could invalidate this setup. Must Follow Me For More Instrutions Share Your thoughs In Comments Section Thanks
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mr_Kevin_Trading
XAUUSD:26/2 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold Daily chart resistance 3000, support below 2892 Four-hour chart resistance 2950, ​​support below 2892-2888 1-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2905 Gold operation suggestions: The moving average system of each period shows a short arrangement (suppression by the 30-minute and 4-hour moving averages), but the long-term moving averages at the daily level (100/200-day moving averages) are still upward, limiting the deep decline space. The RSI indicator is close to the oversold area on the 4-hour chart, but has not yet formed a clear bottom divergence, so be alert to the demand for rebound correction. Today's market is likely to run in the 2800-2936 range. If the gold price rebounds to around 2936 and encounters resistance, you can try to sell. You can buy after stabilizing near 2890, but be careful of the extreme decline after falling below 2888. Buy: 2930~2936 Sell: 2890near Click my profile for more free sharing
TVC:GOLD
by ActuaryJ
2/26/25 - $nvda - It's a buy into print...2/26/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NVDA It's a buy into print... 1/ "It's dot com 2.0" A: dot com was consumer-first, AI is enterprise-first; dot com lacked infrastructure for years, AI has all the infrastructure required; dot com companies were memes, the largest AI companies generate piles of cash B/ "but AI doesn't generate revenue" A: you heard this low IQ meme on X? what if you're Meta and not hiring new engineers b/c AI systems are replacing your workforce? don't just look at revenue today, need to look at how AI is being deployed across the cost structure. the revenue for something like NASDAQ:META is actually coming thru better ad targeting (they're the best example of large-scale enterprise deploying AI today, there are many "bad" examples - sure), but the point is, don't just look at revenue. revenue will scale fast. but cost is just as important to the bottom line of "why invest" C/ "msft is cutting across datacenter... leases... OMG" A: they realized that there's a lot of dumb get-rich-have-too-much-QE-money-and-wanna-do-AI stuff getting built. so let's just "rent not own" at the margin. pretty logical. they're also realizing perhaps they need more than just OpenAI as a partner. logical. msft not going anywhere. Satya is no dumb cookie. he realizes many AI mkts will be winner take all and they're identifying those. massive oppty ... My base case going into NVDA EPS this week was a beat/raise and stock either flat or sell off to find a trade-worthy floor deep-seek style. But we freaked out yesterday on emotions across the board. not saying we have "the event" that yet marks the bottom for risk assets, so long as we have yields floating reasonably high, inflation expectations not yet well understood (btw they're going lower, but the mkt thinks opposite at the moment) and a lot of toilet tweets that still move a skiddish tape. tons of value out there already. so y'day i think we set up for a nvda beat, raise and stock actually holding up. while i've traded the name a lot, i don't have an outright position into print b/c i still prefer the NYSE:TSM trade to NASDAQ:NVDA all else equal. i think more upside on '25/'26... for a much cheaper price and the closest you get to moat. i'm also taking a flyer position on NASDAQ:MU which i think will be the USSA winner in HBM and multiples if i'm right are dirty cheap compared to fishing in the #3, #4... pond w stuff like NASDAQ:AVGO (too expensive ATM for me), NASDAQ:AMD (too much overhang awaiting next results, rangebound for now) etc. etc. i like NASDAQ:ALAB if you're playing high growth and reasonable multiple. hope that helps. not much in the way of valuation for me here in this note for the print. this is more of a feel game for now. but in the scheme of things... NASDAQ:NVDA remains incredibly cheap. yup. V
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by VROCKSTAR
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (2890) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2930 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 2830 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook: ╰┈➤XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors. ╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB/BoJ lower—neutral to bearish. Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, global 2.5-3%—bullish. Demand: Central banks, ETFs strong—bullish. Geopolitics: Tariffs, Russia-Ukraine—bullish. USD: DXY 106.00, slight softness—mildly bullish. ╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors U.S.: Weak PMI (50.4), jobless claims up—bullish. Global: China 4.5%, Eurozone 1.2%—safe-haven lift. Commodities: Oil $70.44—supports gold premium. Trump: Tariffs inflate costs—bullish. ╰┈➤COT Data Speculators: Net long 55,000—cooling but bullish. Hedgers: Net short 65,000—stable. Open Interest: 125,000—sustained interest. Market Sentiment Analysis Retail: 59% short—contrarian upside risk. Institutional: Bullish to $3000, short-term caution. Corporate: Miners hedge 2920-2940—neutral. Social Media : Mixed, bearish near-term (2880-2906). Broker: 60% long—crowded. ╰┈➤Positioning Analysis Speculative: Longs to 2949, shorts to 2880. Retail: Shorts at 2918-2924—squeeze risk. Institutional: Balanced, inflation bets. Corporate: Hedging stabilizes. ╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis SMAs: 50-day 2850, 200-day 2650—bullish. RSI: 48—neutral. Bollinger: 2890-2930—consolidation. Fibonacci: 50% at 2909.47—pivot. Volatility: 12%, ±35 points daily. ╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis DXY: 106.00, soft—bullish. EUR/USD: <1.0500—caps gains. Gold: Aligns with CHF/JPY—safe-haven. Equities: S&P 5960-6120—neutral. Bonds: U.S. 3.8% yield—pressures gold. ╰┈➤News and Events Analysis Recent: Tariffs, weak U.S. data—bullish. Upcoming: PCE (Feb 28)—key USD driver. Impact: Bullish short-term, bearish risk if PCE hot. ╰┈➤Next Trend Move Technical: Support 2906-2891, resistance 2949-2955. Short-Term: Dip to 2906-2880, rebound to 2949. Medium-Term: Range 2850-3000. Triggers: Bullish—soft PCE; Bearish—hot PCE. ╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook XAU/USD at 2910.00: Bullish fundamentals (inflation, tariffs) vs. bearish USD strength. Short-term dip to 2880, medium-term to 3000 if catalysts hit. ╰┈➤Future Prediction Bullish: 2980-3000 by Q2 2025 (soft USD, tariffs). Bearish: 2850-2864 (hot PCE, Fed hawkish). Prediction: Bearish to 2880 short-term, bullish to 2980 mid-2025. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
SPREADEX:XAUUSDShort
by Thief_Trader
DXY Dollar Index Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (37800) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 38500 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 36500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: DXY Dollar Index Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. ⚡Fundamental Analysis Fundamental factors driving DXY focus on U.S. economic conditions, Fed policy, and global currency dynamics. Interest Rates: U.S. Federal Reserve: Rates steady at 3-3.5%, down from 2024’s 4.5-5%. Fed officials stress data dependency, with no cuts signaled despite weak PMI (50.4) and jobless claims (219,000 vs. 215,000 forecast). Real yields (10-year Treasury at 3.8%, ~1% inflation-adjusted) support USD. Other Countries: ECB at 2.5%, BoJ at 0.25-0.5%, BoE at 4-4.5%—U.S. yield advantage persists, though narrowing. Impact: Bullish for DXY, tempered by global easing. Inflation: U.S.: PCE at 2.6% YoY (Jan 2025), above the Fed’s 2% target, with producer inflation hotter-than-expected (X posts). Inflation fears linger, supporting USD. Other Countries: Eurozone at 2.8%, Japan at 2.5%, UK at 2.5-3%—global inflation pressures USD rivals less. Impact: Bullish, as U.S. inflation sustains Fed hawkishness. Economic Growth: U.S.: Mixed signals—PMI at 50.4 (near stagnation), jobless claims up, but ADP jobs beat at 183,000 (Jan 2025). Tariffs add uncertainty. Other Countries: China at 4.5% (slowing), Eurozone at 1.2%, Japan at 1%—U.S. outperforms peers. Impact: Mildly bullish, U.S. resilience aids USD. Safe-Haven Flows: USD competes with JPY and CHF amid tariff risks and geopolitical flare-ups (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East). Recent yen strength (X posts) pressures DXY. Impact: Mildly bearish, global risk-off challenges USD dominance. Trade Balance: U.S. deficit persists, but Trump’s tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China) aim to bolster USD via trade shifts. Impact: Bullish long-term, short-term neutral. ⚡Macroeconomic Factors U.S.-focused with global context: U.S. Policy: Fed’s tighter stance vs. global easing (ECB, BoJ) favors USD. Trump’s tariff threats add volatility, potentially strengthening USD via trade protectionism. Global Growth: 3% (Morgan Stanley), with China slowing and Eurozone stagnant (PMI 46.2). U.S. relative strength supports DXY. Commodity Prices: Oil at $70.44 pressures import-heavy peers (Japan), mildly weakening JPY vs. USD. Currency Dynamics: Yen strength and EUR softness (EUR/USD below 1.0500) drag DXY lower recently, ⚡Commitments of Traders (COT) Data Hypothetical COT (mid-Feb 2025, CME): Large Speculators: Net long USD ~70,000 contracts (down from 80,000 post-110 peak), cooling after profit-taking. Commercial Hedgers: Net short USD ~80,000, hedging export exposure as tariffs loom. Open Interest: ~150,000 contracts, stable, reflecting U.S. trader engagement. Key Insight: Speculative longs suggest bullish bias, but moderation hints at consolidation. ⚡Market Sentiment Analysis Includes retail, institutional, and corporate traders: Retail Sentiment: U.S. retail traders likely 60% short DXY at 106.000 (hypothetical broker data), betting on yen/CHF gains. Contrarian upside risk if shorts unwind. Institutional Traders: U.S. funds (e.g., Citi, HSBC) mixed—bearish short-term (DXY to 96.87, Citi Hong Kong), bullish long-term (WalletInvestor to 119.193). Sentiment leans cautious. Corporate Traders: U.S. exporters hedge at 106.50-107.00, neutral as tariffs loom; European firms favor EUR weakness. Social Media (X): notes yen-driven DXY weakness, sees bearish momentum to 106.15—trending bearish. Broker Data: U.S. IG sentiment ~55% long—balanced positioning. ⚡Quantitative Analysis Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (106.30), 200-day SMA (105.50)—price below 50-day, above 200-day, neutral signal. RSI: 45 (daily), bearish momentum fading, room for reversal. Bollinger Bands: 105.80-106.80 range, 106.000 at midpoint—consolidation likely. Fibonacci: 38.2% retracement from 110.00-102.50 at 105.62—key support holds. Volatility Model: Implied volatility (1-month) at 7%, suggesting 0.75-point monthly range (±0.7%). ⚡Intermarket Analysis USD/JPY: At 150.00, yen strength pressures DXY; drop to 145 could accelerate declines. EUR/USD: Below 1.0500, EUR weakness supports DXY mildly. Gold: XAU/USD at 2940 (risk-off proxy) inversely pressures USD. Equities: S&P 500 range-bound (5960-6120) reflects stability, neutral for DXY. Bonds: U.S. 10-year yield at 3.8% vs. JGB at 0.9%—yield gap aids USD. ⚡News and Events Analysis Recent: Trump’s tariff threats (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China, Feb 23-25) fuel risk-off, pressuring DXY via yen strength (X posts). Weak U.S. PMI and jobless claims offset by PCE at 2.6% (Jan 2025). Upcoming: U.S. PCE data (Feb 28) critical—hotter data could lift DXY, softer data bearish. Fed rhetoric pending. Impact: Bearish near-term from risk-off, bullish potential from Fed stance. ⚡Overall Summary Outlook DXY at 106.000 balances U.S. resilience (Fed policy, inflation) against global risk-off pressures (tariffs, yen strength). Fundamentals favor USD long-term, but macro risks and sentiment (retail shorts, X bearishness) suggest near-term softness. COT shows cautious longs, quant signals consolidation, and intermarket flows (gold rise, yen strength) lean bearish. Short-term dip to 105.50-105.91 likely, medium-term range-bound with a bullish tilt if Fed holds firm. ⚡Future Prediction Bullish Case: DXY to 108.00-110.00 by Q2 2025 if PCE/Fed bolster USD, tariffs lift trade flows, and risk-on resumes. Bearish Case: Drop to 103.50-105.00 if yen/CHF surge, tariffs falter, or Fed dovishness emerges. Prediction: Mildly bearish short-term to 105.50, then bullish to 108.00 by mid-2025, driven by Fed policy divergence. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Thief_Trader
NZDCHF: Bearish Wedge Pattern in PlayNZDCHF: Bearish Wedge Pattern in Play The NZDCHF pair completed a bearish wedge pattern, confirmed on Friday evening. The price is currently retesting the pattern, increasing the likelihood of NZDCHF continuing its downward movement. A short-term target is set at 0.5147, corresponding to the previous low. Should the price move below this level, it is likely to test 0.5138 and 0.5110. While there are some risks due to SNB speculations, given the Swiss National Bank's consistent support of the CHF whenever it loses value, the CHF could push the pair further down. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
Keep Stop Loss STRICTLY ABOVE $2,918 to AVOID MANIPULATION🔥 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! 💰🚀 💲 XAU/USD Ultra Aggressive Scalping Plan – February 26, 2025 💎 MARKET CONDITIONS – TOTAL DOMINATION MODE 📍 Current Price: $2,913.130 🚀 High of the Day: $2,920.283 🛑 Major Resistance (R3): $2,925.104 📉 Recently Broken Resistance (R2, now Support): $2,920.283 📊 Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,912 - $2,910 🔻 Psychological Support (S1): $2,900.053 📊 TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN – FULL CONTROL MODE ✅ KEY INSTITUTIONAL INDICATORS: 1️⃣ VWAP (Institutional Benchmark Price): Price is trading below VWAP, indicating short-term bearish sentiment. 2️⃣ 200 EMA (Long-Term Trend Confirmation): REJECTION from the 200 EMA, confirming STRONG SELL PRESSURE! 3️⃣ RSI (7) – Momentum Confirmation: RSI hovering near 50, meaning NO STRONG BULLISH PRESSURE. 4️⃣ MACD – Trend Confirmation: ❌ BEARISH CROSSOVER OCCURRED earlier. 📉 Weak bearish momentum detected. 🔄 Potential retest before dumping HARD. 🔍 INSTITUTIONAL ORDER FLOW & LIQUIDITY ZONES 🏦📊 🧐 INSTITUTIONAL INSIGHTS – WE FOLLOW SMART MONEY! ✅ 🔥 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! 💰🚀 💲 XAU/USD Ultra Aggressive Scalping Plan – February 26, 2025 💎 MARKET CONDITIONS – TOTAL DOMINATION MODE 📍 Current Price: $2,913.130 🚀 High of the Day: $2,920.283 🛑 Major Resistance (R3): $2,925.104 📉 Recently Broken Resistance (R2, now Support): $2,920.283 📊 Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,912 - $2,910 🔻 Psychological Support (S1): $2,900.053 📊 TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN – FULL CONTROL MODE ✅ KEY INSTITUTIONAL INDICATORS: 1️⃣ VWAP (Institutional Benchmark Price): Price is trading below VWAP, indicating short-term bearish sentiment. 2️⃣ 200 EMA (Long-Term Trend Confirmation): REJECTION from the 200 EMA, confirming STRONG SELL PRESSURE! 3️⃣ RSI (7) – Momentum Confirmation: RSI hovering near 50, meaning NO STRONG BULLISH PRESSURE. 4️⃣ MACD – Trend Confirmation: ❌ BEARISH CROSSOVER OCCURRED earlier. 📉 Weak bearish momentum detected. 🔄 Potential retest before dumping HARD. 🔍 INSTITUTIONAL ORDER FLOW & LIQUIDITY ZONES 🏦📊 🧐 INSTITUTIONAL INSIGHTS – WE FOLLOW SMART MONEY! ✅ ORDER BLOCK SPOTTED @ $2,915 - $2,917 (Sell Liquidity Zone) – If price taps this level and REJECTS, it’s a HIGH-PROBABILITY SHORT ENTRY! ✅ Liquidity Grab Below $2,910 – Market makers might fakeout and sweep liquidity before the next dump. ✅ COT DATA: Institutional traders are ADDING SHORTS. THIS MEANS BEARS ARE GAINING CONTROL! 📢 TRADE EXECUTION PLAN – ULTRA-HIGH CONFIDENCE! 🔴 SHORT ENTRY SETUP – SELL DOMINATION! 🚀 Best Sell Entry Zone: $2,915 - $2,917 (Liquidity Trap Area) 📉 MAXIMUM TAKE PROFIT TARGETS (TPs): 🎯 TP1: $2,910 (First Institutional Support – Partial Take Profit) 🎯 TP2: $2,900 (Psychological Level & Demand Zone – FULL TP!) 🛑 STOP-LOSS (SL) – NO ROOM FOR MISTAKES! 🚨 Above $2,918 (Invalidation Level – Above VWAP) 📊 TRADE PROBABILITY – EXTREME CONFIDENCE! 💯 80% WIN PROBABILITY! 🚀 FINAL DECISION: YES, EXECUTE HIGH-PROBABILITY SHORT ENTRY! 🎯 HOW TO EXECUTE LIKE A PRO: ✅ Sell at $2,915 - $2,917 if price REJECTS AGAIN. ✅ Target $2,910 first, then $2,900 - 2888888888888888 ✅ Keep Stop Loss STRICTLY ABOVE $2,918 to AVOID MANIPULATION. 🔥 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! THIS IS ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE TRADING! WE EXECUTE WITH PRECISION, HIGH CONFIDENCE, AND NO HESITATION! 💰🚀 – If price taps this level and REJECTS, it’s a HIGH-PROBABILITY SHORT ENTRY! ✅ Liquidity Grab Below $2,910 – Market makers might fakeout and sweep liquidity before the next dump. ✅ COT DATA: Institutional traders are ADDING SHORTS. THIS MEANS BEARS ARE GAINING CONTROL! 📢 TRADE EXECUTION PLAN – ULTRA-HIGH CONFIDENCE! 🔴 SHORT ENTRY SETUP – SELL DOMINATION! 🚀 Best Sell Entry Zone: $2,915 - $2,917 (Liquidity Trap Area) 📉 MAXIMUM TAKE PROFIT TARGETS (TPs): 🎯 TP1: $2,910 (First Institutional Support – Partial Take Profit) 🎯 TP2: $2,900 (Psychological Level & Demand Zone – FULL TP!) 🛑 STOP-LOSS (SL) – NO ROOM FOR MISTAKES! 🚨 Above $2,918 (Invalidation Level – Above VWAP) 📊 TRADE PROBABILITY – EXTREME CONFIDENCE! 💯 80% WIN PROBABILITY! 🚀 FINAL DECISION: YES, EXECUTE HIGH-PROBABILITY SHORT ENTRY! 🎯 HOW TO EXECUTE LIKE A PRO: ✅ Sell at $2,915 - $2,917 if price REJECTS AGAIN. ✅ Target $2,910 first, then $2,900. ✅ Keep Stop Loss STRICTLY ABOVE $2,918 to AVOID MANIPULATION. 🔥 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! THIS IS ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE TRADING! WE EXECUTE WITH PRECISION, HIGH CONFIDENCE, AND NO HESITATION! 💰🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX