6/26/25 - $gme - Pwn the BTC treasury game6/26/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:GME
Pwn the BTC treasury game
- everyone is focused on the wanna be Strategy try-co's
- but there is only one BTC and there is only one Strategy
- GME just issues 2 bn+ of 0% convert paper (the secret sauce to MSTR) and nobody blinks?
- You think Pomp can easily do this?
- You think Metaplanet can easily do this?
- GME is basically 90% cash and running the HARD part... raising debt. THIS IS WHAT CREATES BITCOIN YIELD, NOT EQUITY MNAV ALCHEMY. (more on this later if you guys need it)
- So here we have a situation that goes like this:
- Company is the consumer-version of Strategy... and probably the most UNDER hyped BTC treasury co. These are new buyers to the GME story
- And then as this thing runs... you think the old crew has totally lost faith? Price is the product.
- The company isn't loss making (and their collectibles biz is actually some great mgn). Have you been into a gamestop recently anon?
Let's go. Game on. Leveraged a few ITM expiries. Will size up.
Better than cash :)
V
Fundamental Analysis
With new wars appearing, is THALES a good buy?Pros:
Massive scale & diversified contract base
-€18 billion in annual revenue, 50+ years in defense—among Europe’s largest contractors .
Secured key recent contracts:
-NATO NCOP/BMD Phase 3 missile-defense and awareness system (ongoing since 2012, renewed in early 2025) .
-NATO NCIA IT modernization contract (~€100 million+, six years) awarded via Proximus consortium .
-Portuguese “ForceShield” VSHORAD air-defense system via NSPA .
These show active involvement and political support in large, multiyear NATO/U.S.–backed defense programs.
Exposure to rising defense budgets
-With the new 5% NATO defense-spending pledge, countries are stepping up military expenditures—boosting demand for Thales’ radar, missile, and communication systems .
-Positioned to capture billions more as defense budgets grow across Europe.
Cons & Risks
Size limits rapid gains
-Large-cap stocks like Thales require major updates to move—tens or hundreds of millions in net new orders… a small contract won't cut it.
-Expect slower reactions than mid-caps like Hensoldt or THEON.
Valuation sensitivity
-With high valuation levels, share price can dip on a valuation reset, even with decent results.
-A disappointing earnings quarter or negative macroeconomic news could chip away at gains.
Execution & political headwinds
-Big contracts, like NATO BMD, are subject to delays or cost overruns, affecting profitability.
-Geopolitical sensitivities (e.g., with Russia, Turkey, internal EU politics) can jeopardize projects or license approval.
D) Mixed analyst sentiment
-Although consensus leans positive, there are also Hold and Sell recommendations—some analysts worry about long product cycles and execution risks .
-Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
APU Spot Entry — Following Smart Money, Eyeing Meme Rotation✅ Entry based on smart money signal, positive meme sentiment
✅ Strong support at 0.0001548–0.0001553
✅ Upside targets: 0.00052, 0.00112, main at 0.00122
Active Plan:
Hold spot as long as 0.0001548 holds and meme rotation remains strong
Watch for reaction at support to add or manage risk
Monitor meme sector for continued momentum
Profit Targets:
Partial profit: 0.00052 / 0.00112
Main target: 0.00122
🚨 Risk Warning:
Close spot if support at 0.0001548 fails or meme trend weakens
Avoid averaging down below key support
ARKK: when a breakout isn’t just a breakout-it’s a runway to $91On the weekly chart, ARKK has broken out of a long-standing ascending channel, ending a year-long consolidation phase. The breakout above $71.40, with a confident close and rising volume, signals a transition from accumulation to expansion. The move came right after a golden cross (MA50 crossing MA200), further confirming institutional interest. Price has already cleared the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracements — and the 1.618 extension points to $91.40 as the next technical target.
Momentum indicators like MACD and stochastic remain bullish with room to run. Volume profile shows low supply above $75, which could fuel an acceleration toward the target zone.
Fundamentally, ARKK remains a high-beta, high-risk vehicle — but one with focus. The ETF is positioned around next-gen tech: AI, robotics, biotech, and automation. Assets under management now exceed $9.3B with +$1.1B net inflow in 2025. YTD return stands at 37%, and its top holdings (TSLA, NVDA, COIN) are back in favor. This isn’t just a bet on innovation — it’s diversified exposure to a full-blown tech rally.
Tactical setup:
— Entry: market $69.50 or on retest
— Target: $80.21 (1.272), $91.40 (1.618 Fibo)
Sometimes a breakout is just technical. But when there’s volume, a golden cross, and billions backing it — it’s a signal to buckle up.
SPY soars to new all time highsThere has been a lot of speculation about where SPY is going next. I believe a significant correction will happen in the near future. However, today SPY is creeping back into the strong uptrend it once had. Looking at chart patterns, SPY is building momentum once more and will be hitting another yet another all time high.
BTC STEADIES ON CEASEFIRE AND CORPORATE DEMANDBitcoin held steady on Thursday, supported by improving risk sentiment as the Middle East ceasefire continued to hold, calming broader market fears. Despite the stability, BTC remained confined within its recent trading range, reflecting a cautious tone among traders. In the previous session, Bitcoin rose 0.44% to $108,328, fueled by renewed institutional interest, with reports suggesting a growing number of corporate entities were accumulating BTC as part of their asset diversification strategies.
Adding to the sentiment, U.S. mortgage giants Fannie Mae (OTC:FNMA) and Freddie Mac (OTC:FMCC) are reportedly exploring the recognition of cryptocurrency as a valid asset in mortgage applications. While still in early stages, this development hinted at growing mainstream acceptance, offering some limited upside support for Bitcoin.
However, as of 04:47 GMT+4, Bitcoin had given up most of its earlier gains, trading down 0.54% at $107,309, as traders remained hesitant to push prices higher without a strong breakout catalyst and profit taking.
PRICE LEVELS TO WATCH
On the 4-hour chart, the initial overall trend was bearish until price broke above the previous lower high, signaling a Break of Structure (BOS). However, as BTC catches its breath with price action and RSI signaling more room to the downside, sellers are eyeing support at $106,263. A break below this level could open the path toward the next potential target around $104,820. On the flip side, if bulls regain control, a break above $108,328 would likely trigger a move toward $109,011, with a potential extension to $110,442. Analysts note that breakouts in either direction remain on the table, given current market volatility.
Oil volatility expected to remain on Middle East tensions.Fundamental
Oil prices remain under pressure. Volatility is expected to remain elevated as traders digest inventory data, watch for geopolitical shifts, and anticipate the upcoming OPEC+ meeting on July 6, where supply policy could change.
Technical
Technical indicators remain strongly bearish with RSI favouring further downside below pivot level 65.53 toward support levels at 63.76 and 60.00. A break above 65.53 sees a move towards resistance levels at 66.50 and 69.00 subsequently
GOLD → Within range. Retest resistance at 3347FX:XAUUSD continues to correct after a false breakdown of support at 3300. Due to uncertainty, the price may remain in the range of 3300-3340 for some time.
Gold is fluctuating amid a weak dollar and uncertainty over Fed rates. Gold is struggling to hold on after rebounding from weekly lows, despite the US dollar falling to multi-year lows. Pressure on the dollar has intensified due to Trump's criticism of the Fed and rumors of a possible replacement for Powell. However, gold is limited in its growth due to a pause in geopolitical tensions and hawkish signals from the Fed chair. Investors are awaiting key macro data from the US (e 12:30 GMT Durable goods orders, GDP, Initial Jobless Claims) and especially the PCE inflation report on Friday.
Technically, the focus is on key areas of interest: 3300, 3306, 3340, 3347. Until strong news emerges, an intraday trading strategy should be considered.
Resistance levels: 3347, 3357
Support levels: 3320, 3307, 3300
Technically, a false breakout of resistance at 3347 and a retest of the local liquidity zone at 3320-3307 are possible before growth continues for the reasons mentioned above. Targets could be 3347, 3364, 3372, and 3396.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Pre-breakout consolidation. One step away from a rallyFX:GBPUSD is trading in consolidation. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar index, the currency pair is testing resistance at 1.3632 but is not yet ready to bounce down.
Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline due to fundamental reasons, the GBPUSD currency pair is strengthening. Technically, this could lead to the price breaking out of consolidation upwards. A pre-breakout base is forming relative to the upper boundary of consolidation. The price is compressing towards the level, volatility is decreasing, which in general could lead to a breakout of resistance - trigger 1.3632. The exit from consolidation may be accompanied by distribution. The liquidity zone with W1 can be considered as a target.
Resistance levels: 1.3632, 1.3743
Support levels: 1.3593, 1.3508
The global and local trends are bullish. After growth, consolidation is forming. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, GBPUSD is testing resistance. The reaction to the false breakout of resistance is weak. The chances of a breakout are quite high.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Alibaba (BABA) – Bearish Setup FormingNYSE:BABA
A descending triangle is forming on the chart, with strong resistance around $118 and horizontal support near $102. The structure suggests a potential breakdown, targeting a move of ~−9.8%.
Key observations:
• Price rejected from the descending trendline multiple times
• Stochastic turning down from the overbought zone
• RSI below 50 – room for further downside
• Bollinger Bands show compression, possibly preceding a breakout
📉 Business context:
Alibaba is facing ongoing challenges in its core business. Competition in the e-commerce and cloud sectors has intensified, import/export tariffs are putting pressure on margins, and regulatory oversight from Chinese authorities remains strict. These headwinds may weigh on investor sentiment and stock performance.
My short scenario:
If the price breaks below the $111–$110 zone with volume confirmation, I expect a move toward $102–$100.
“GER30 Bull Vault Heist: The Ultimate Loot Plan”💎“The Bull Vault Job: GER30 Heist Blueprint”💎
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Welcome fellow Chart Raiders & Market Hackers 🧠💰—your next mission is here.
We’re pulling off a precision breakout plan on GER30 / DE30 "Germany30" — a market vault bursting with bullish loot. This isn’t just trading... this is Thief Trading Style™ — where smart analysis meets slick execution. 👨💻💎📊
💼 The Heist Plan:
📈 Entry: Market shows a wide open vault. Ideal long setups near the last swing low (15–30m for sniper entries). Don’t chase—wait for the retrace.
🛑 Stop Loss: Guard your getaway! Use recent swing lows on 4H (e.g. 24170). Customize based on your risk profile & lot sizes.
🎯 Target: Aim for 24720 or EXIT before the cops (a.k.a. reversal zones) show up. Always secure your gains.
📌 Scalpers’ Signal: Stay LONG-only. Follow swing traders if low on ammo (capital). Use trailing SLs like tripwires to protect your profits.
📊 Market Heat Check: The DE30 is radiating bullish pressure 💥—fueled by fundamentals, macro trends, COT positions, sentiment indicators, and intermarket clues. We read between the lines. You just follow the blueprint. 🧠
🚨 Pro Tips:
Avoid entering trades during high-impact news.
Manage risk like a vault door—solid, tested, and ready.
💖 Smash that Boost Button 💖 if you believe in the Art of Legal Market Extraction™ — it supports the plan, strengthens the crew, and keeps this hustle alive!
🎭 More blueprints & breakdowns coming soon. Stay locked in...
Until the next market hit, trade sharp, trade smart. 🐱👤📈💰
GOLD 30M ANALYSIS (LONG)In this analysis we're focusing on 30Min time frame. If we look in this 30Min chart, we have supply area and demand area. And we have also a minor resistance level. Now what I'm looking for that price move impulsively upside after sweeping all SSL. I'm expecting that price will come back and retest (3310 - 3305) area at least. So keep an eye on these level, confirmation is key.
Second Condition:
If price break above 3332 and close above 3332 with strong momentum than we will plan a buy trade on retracement.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#XAUUSD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Anatomy of a Breakout: How to Spot It Before It Fakes You OutFew things in trading are as appealing as a breakout. The chart tightens, volume starts to stir, headlines align, your alerts start going off , and suddenly — boom! Price explodes above resistance. Your adrenaline spikes and you pop open that long.
But just as often, that breakout turns out to be nothing more than an expensive head fake. Price stalls. Sellers swoop in. Your stop gets clipped. And now you’re sitting there, blinking at your screen, “Welp… that was quick.”
Welcome to the bittersweet world of breakouts — where opportunity and deception dance like partners at a high-stakes poker table.
📢 What Is a Breakout, Really?
Let’s get the basics out of the way: A breakout happens when price pushes beyond a key support or resistance level that’s been holding for a while.
That level could be a previous high, a consolidation range, a trendline, or a psychological number that traders obsess over because humans love round numbers (did someone say Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD at $120,000 ?).
The logic is simple: Once price clears a well-watched level, trapped shorts have to cover, new longs pile in, and momentum feeds on itself. That’s the dream scenario.
But markets aren’t always that generous. For every clean breakout, there are a few fakeouts lurking — luring in overeager traders with the promise of easy money before slamming the door shut.
⚠️ Why Breakouts May Fail
If breakouts were easy, we’d all be rich. The problem is that breakouts attract a special kind of crowd: late-to-the-party momentum chasers, breakout algorithm bots, and retail traders who read one blog post about technical analysis.
The moment price nudges above resistance, FOMO kicks in. Volume surges. But if the move isn’t backed by genuine institutional buying (you need lots of billions to move the needle nowadays), it quickly becomes what seasoned traders call a “liquidity vacuum” — thin air where the only participants are you, a few equally optimistic Reddit threads, and market makers more than happy to take the other side.
Sometimes breakouts fail because:
The move lacked volume confirmation.
Macro headlines shifted mid-breakout.
A key level was front-run, and the real buyers have already taken profit.
It was a deliberate trap set by larger players to hunt stops before reversing.
Or — more often — the market just needed an excuse to shake out weak hands before resuming the actual move later.
🍸 Volume: The Truth Serum
Let’s be very clear: Breakouts without volume are like dating profiles without photos — you should be suspicious.
When real breakouts occur, you’ll usually see strong accompanying volume. That’s your proof that big players — funds, institutions, serious money — are committing to the move. No volume? Maybe the summer vibes are already here .
Smart traders wait for confirmation:
Is volume above average relative to recent sessions?
Is price holding above the breakout level after the initial pop?
Are follow-through candles printing convincingly?
Are we seeing continuation across related sectors or instruments?
Without these signs, that breakout candle may just be a cruel joke.
🤯 Breakout Psychology
Breakouts prey on two of the most dangerous emotions in trading: greed and urgency. The market whispers, “If you don’t get in now, you’ll miss it.”
This is where breakout psychology becomes more dangerous than the chart itself. Once a breakout happens, most traders are no longer analyzing — they’re reacting. They buy late, set tight stops below the breakout level, and become easy prey for stop-hunting algorithms.
✨ Types of Breakouts
Not all breakouts are created equal. Here’s the lineup you should be watching for:
Clean Breakouts:
The rarest and most beautiful. Strong move, high volume, sustained momentum. You’ll know it when you see it — or after you’ve hesitated and missed it.
Fakeouts (a.k.a. False Breakouts):
Price nudges just past resistance, triggers breakout orders, then swiftly reverses. Designed to shake out breakout traders before resuming the original trend.
Break-and-Retest Setups:
Often the highest-probability trades. Price breaks out, then pulls back to retest the former resistance (now support). If buyers defend this retest, you’ve got confirmation.
News-Driven Breakouts:
Triggered by earnings, economic data, or political events. Volatile, fast, and often unsustainable unless backed by real fundamental shifts.
📈 The “Pre-Breakout Tell”: Reading the Tape
Good breakout traders aren’t just watching levels — they’re watching how price behaves near those levels in advance.
Tight consolidation? Lower volatility into resistance? Declining volume as price grinds higher? That often signals an impending breakout as supply dries up.
Conversely, choppy action with large wicks and erratic volume often signals indecision — ripe conditions for failed breakouts and fakeouts.
Tape-reading matters. The cleaner the structure before the breakout, the better your odds.
💰 Breakout Traders Need Thick Skin
Even with perfect analysis, breakout trading requires accepting that many will fail. That’s the game. Your job isn’t to nail every breakout — it’s to size your positions properly , keep losses small when faked out, and let the clean breakouts run when you catch one.
Stop-loss discipline is everything. Breakouts are binary events: you’re either right quickly, or you’re cutting the trade quickly. There’s no room for “maybe it’ll come back.”
The most painful breakouts are the ones that fake out, stop you, then continue in your original direction. Every breakout trader has lived that nightmare. Accept it. Build it into your risk plan.
👉 Takeaway: Prepare the Setup, Anticipate the Fakeout
Breakouts will always be part of every trader’s playbook. But they require discipline, experience, and an iron stomach. The market loves to tempt you with early signals — your job is to separate signal from noise.
Pro tip: Start your day by checking the Economic calendar and browsing the latest news — staying informed (and witty) helps you build better context for smarter decisions.
So before you chase that next breakout candle, ask yourself:
Is volume there?
Is the broader market supportive?
Have I managed my risk before clicking buy?
Because in trading, the only thing worse than missing a breakout… is getting faked out and blowing up your account chasing it.
Now over to you : Are you a breakout trader or a fakeout victim? Share your best (or worst) breakout stories — we’ve all been there.
It’s the right time to short goldThe daily gold line presents a three-top gathering pattern. The historical trend shows that the 3290-3280 area has triggered technical pullbacks many times, all of which rebounded to around 3350. The current 4-hour chart trend line suppression level coincides with the Fibonacci 0.618 pullback resistance from the previous high of 3450 to 3300 in the 3350-3360 range. This area constitutes the core pressure zone. If the price fails to effectively break through and stand above 3360 when it probes this area again, it is highly likely to replicate the previous two resistance and fall patterns. At that time, short orders will be arranged based on the 3350 first-line resistance area, with the goal of breaking the key support of 3300 and further looking down at the 3280 and 3260 levels. The overall bearish tendency is maintained, and the resistance to rebound is a signal to enter the market and sell short.
Gold recommendation: Gold is short around 3345-3352, target 3330-3320
AAPL: Update - Key Levels to Watch for Price DevelopmentAAPL: Update - Key Levels to Watch for Price Development
Overall nothing changed and AAPL remains a valuable and strong structure
Apple's stock (AAPL) has been range-bound between $193 and $212.50 for the past two months, repeatedly testing support near $193 on three occasions.
Each time, the price has rebounded strongly, pushing back toward $212.50—the upper boundary of this trading range.
Given this pattern, the likelihood of another move toward $212.50 remains high.
If AAPL successfully breaches $212.50, it could signal a larger bullish breakout, with upside targets at $224.50 and $240, as highlighted in the chart.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
XAU/USD Bearish Bomb Ready to Explode? (Entry Levels Inside)🏦💰 GOLD HEIST ALERT: XAU/USD Bearish Raid in Progress! (Short Setup Inside) 💰🏦
🚨 Cops Waiting at Resistance? Here's How to Steal Pips & Escape Safely! 🚨
🦹♂️ ATTENTION ALL MARKET BANDITS!
To the Profit Pirates & Risk-Takers! 🌍💣
Using our 🔥Thief Trading Tactics🔥 (a lethal mix of liquidity grabs + institutional order flow + macro traps), we're executing a bearish gold heist on XAU/USD—this is not advice, just a strategic robbery plan for traders who play by their own rules.
📉 THE GOLD VAULT RAID (SHORT ENTRY PLAN)
🎯 Loot Zone: 3280.00 (or escape earlier if bulls fight back)
💣 High-Stakes Play: Neutral trend turning bearish - trap for late buyers
👮♂️ Cop Trap: Where bullish traders get arrested by resistance
🔪 ENTRY RULES:
"Heist Activated!" – Strike when price breaks 3340.00
Sell Stop Orders above MA OR Sell Limit on pullbacks (15-30min TF)
Aggressive? Enter at market but use tighter stops
📌 SET ALERTS! Don't miss the breakdown
🚨 STOP LOSS (Escape Plan):
Thief SL at 3390.00 (4H swing high)
⚠️ Warning: "Ignore this SL? Enjoy your margin call."
🎯 TARGETS:
Main Take-Profit: 3280.00
Scalpers: Ride the bear waves only
🔍 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works)
Before raiding, check:
✅ COT Data (Are big players dumping gold?)
✅ Real Yields (TIPS vs Gold correlation)
✅ Geopolitical Heat (Safe-haven flows drying up?)
✅ DXY Strength (Dollar crushing commodities?)
🚨 NEWS RISK WARNING
Avoid NFP/CPI/FOMC periods (unless you like volatility torture)
Trailing stops = your get-out-of-jail-free card
💎 BOOST THIS HEIST!
👍 Smash Like to fund our next raid!
🔁 Share to recruit more trading outlaws!
🤑 See you at the target, rebels!
⚖️ DISCLAIMER: For entertainment only. Trade at your own peril.
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #TradingView #LiquidityGrab #ThiefTrading
💬 COMMENT: "Short already—or waiting for confirmation?" 👇🔥
Nas100 ShortWe've seen Nasdaq consolidating to the upside for today we do have jobless claims and GDP coming up.
From a fundamental view there is some speculation that the GDP will come out significantly lower and therefore could possibly draw price down.
From a price action point of view we should see price drop to test our recent swing low.
Trade with caution and please do subscribe for more Setups
A Week Ahead: 23.06.2025 – 29.06.2025 | Key Events to WatchMonday, June 23
EU PMI Index – key for EUR
US PMI Index – key for USD
Tuesday, June 24
Canada CPI – important for CAD
Fed Chair Powell Testimony – high-impact event for USD and US stock markets
Wednesday, June 25
Fed Chair Powell Testimony continues – markets will look for monetary policy clues
Thursday, June 26
US GDP Q1 – key for USD
Friday, June 27
UK GDP Q1 – important for GBP
Japan Retail Sales, Unemployment, CPI – important for JPY
Canada GDP – important for CAD
US Personal Income and Spending – key for USD and US stock market
Summary: This week is packed with macroeconomic data and Powell’s testimony, which could shake the USD, CAD, JPY, GBP, and US stocks.
Euro's Surge on USD Weakness – Is 1.20 the Next Stop?EURUSD: Euro's Surge on USD Weakness – Is 1.20 the Next Stop?
Hello TradingView Community!
The EURUSD pair is currently commanding significant attention with its strong upward momentum.
🌍 Fundamental Highlights: Euro's Tailwinds & USD's Headwinds
The Euro has demonstrated notable strength, recently breaching the 1.17 mark to hit its highest level in over 3.5 years. According to ING, if this momentum holds, the next target could be 1.20, contingent on continued USD weakness.
The US Dollar faces considerable pressure following news that President Trump intends to name a successor to Fed Chair Powell soon, sparking concerns about the Fed's independence. Such speculation often leads to expectations of a more 'dovish' monetary policy, weakening the USD.
Adding to the Euro's support are the NATO agreement to increase defense spending targets to 5% and President Trump's seemingly "less aggressive" stance towards the EU.
In summary: Should USD depreciation persist, not only the Euro but other asset classes might also attract capital inflows, particularly given the ongoing uncertainties surrounding inflation risks and monetary policy.
📊 EURUSD Technical Outlook (H4/M30 Chart):
Our technical analysis of the EURUSD chart (image_b73298.png) confirms a clear and robust uptrend, characterized by successive higher highs and higher lows. The EMAs are in a bullish alignment, reinforcing this upward trajectory.
Upside Targets (Potential BUY Zones):
1.17807: The initial potential target if the bullish momentum continues.
1.18458: A higher target representing the next potential resistance zone.
Key Support Levels (Potential BUY Zones for pullbacks):
1.16070: A strong support level where demand could emerge after a correction.
An implied intermediate support around 1.166xx (visually suggested by price action between current levels and 1.16070) could also offer buying opportunities after minor pullbacks.
🎯 EURUSD Trading Plan:
BUY Zone 1 (Intermediate Pullback):
Entry: 1.16600 - 1.16700
SL: 1.16450
TP: 1.16800 - 1.17000 - 1.17200 - 1.17500 - 1.17807 - 1.18000 - 1.18300 - 1.18458
BUY Zone 2 (Strong Support):
Entry: 1.16070
SL: 1.15900
TP: 1.16200 - 1.16400 - 1.16600 - 1.16800 - 1.17000 - 1.17300 - 1.17600 - 1.17807 - 1.18458
SELL Zone (Consider only at upside targets with clear reversal signals):
Entry: 1.18458 (This is an upside target, but also a potential resistance for selling if strong reversal signals appear).
SL: 1.18600
TP: 1.18300 - 1.18000 - 1.17807 - 1.17500 - 1.17200 - 1.17000 - 1.16800
⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor:
Fed Leadership News: Any official announcements regarding the Fed Chair succession will trigger significant USD volatility.
Eurozone Economic Data: Upcoming inflation, GDP, and employment reports.
ECB Statements: The European Central Bank's stance on monetary policy.
Geopolitical Developments: Major tensions or agreements can influence market sentiment.
Trade smart and always manage your risk effectively! Wishing everyone a profitable trading day!
Riding the Wave or Facing a Pullback? Key Levels to WatchGBPUSD: Riding the Wave or Facing a Pullback? Key Levels to Watch!
Hello TradingView Community!
The GBPUSD pair is currently under the spotlight, experiencing significant movements driven by a mix of market sentiment and economic indicators.
🌍 Fundamental Snapshot: GBP's Lift vs. Underlying Pressures
The British Pound has seen a notable surge, climbing near 1.3765 against the US Dollar. This uplift is primarily fueled by market hopes for an imminent announcement of Fed Chair Powell's successor by President Trump, hinting at potential future dovish shifts in Fed policy. Such speculation could dampen USD's strength, benefiting GBPUSD.
However, the outlook isn't entirely clear-cut for the Pound. Fed Chair Powell has cautioned that tariff-induced inflation might prove persistent, adding a layer of complexity to the broader USD sentiment. Domestically, UK employers are reportedly planning workforce reductions to offset rising social security contributions, which could weigh on the GBP.
In essence, GBPUSD is benefiting from potential USD weakness linked to Fed policy expectations, but traders should remain vigilant about internal economic pressures within the UK.
📊 GBPUSD Technical Analysis (H4/M30 Chart):
Our technical analysis of the GBPUSD chart (image_b6d4de.png) reveals a clear uptrend, marked by consistent higher highs and higher lows. The EMAs are also in a bullish alignment, reinforcing this upward momentum.
Key Resistance (Potential Sell Zone): We identify significant resistance at 1.38366. This level could attract selling pressure, suggesting a potential price reversal or consolidation after hitting this mark.
Key Support Levels (Potential Buy Zones):
Initial support lies at 1.36648.
A stronger support area is at 1.36158. These levels could act as bounce points after any corrective moves.
🎯 GBPUSD Trading Plan:
BUY Zone 1 (Near Current Support):
Entry: Consider entries around 1.36648.
SL: 1.36500 (just below support).
TP: Target incremental gains towards 1.36800, 1.37000, 1.37200, 1.37400, 1.37600, 1.37800, 1.38000, and potentially 1.38300 (just shy of major resistance).
BUY Zone 2 (Stronger Support):
Entry: Look for entries around 1.36158.
SL: 1.36000 (below strong support).
TP: Target incremental gains towards 1.36300, 1.36500, 1.36700, 1.37000, 1.37300, 1.37600, 1.38000, and 1.38300.
SELL Zone (At Resistance):
Entry: Consider short entries around 1.38366.
SL: 1.38500 (just above resistance).
TP: Target incremental declines towards 1.38200, 1.38000, 1.37800, 1.37500, 1.37200, 1.37000, 1.36800, and 1.36648 (targeting support).
⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor:
Fed Leadership News: Any official announcement regarding the Fed Chair succession will trigger significant USD volatility.
UK Economic Data: Upcoming reports on employment, inflation, and GDP will directly impact the Pound.
BoE Statements: Monetary policy stances from the Bank of England.
US Inflation/Employment Data: Continues to influence overall USD strength.
Trade wisely and always prioritize robust risk management! Wishing everyone a successful trading day!