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XAUUSD Market Recap – April 21, 2025 | NY Close Review🟨 XAUUSD Market Recap – April 21, 2025 | NY Close Review 🔹 Price Action: Gold made another aggressive high into ATH 3430, reaching full premium territory with strong upside momentum through London into NY. But the reaction near 3430 was sharp — indicating potential short-term exhaustion. 🔍 What Worked Today ✅ Liquidity sweep complete – Price ran clean through the previous weak high and liquidity above 3425, grabbing the top before rejecting. ✅ Bullish BOS confirmed – Structure remained bullish on all timeframes, with no valid CHoCH break on H1 or H4. ✅ Sniper bias confirmed – Directional buys played perfectly from lower OBs (especially the ones marked pre-Asia and pre-London). 🔍 What Didn’t Happen ❌ No mitigation of lower H1/H4 FVGs – Zones between 3361 and 3387 remain completely untouched. ❌ The 3305–3315 OB area wasn’t retested – Meaning any breakout traders looking for retests were left hanging. ❌ No real signs of reversal structure – Despite the reaction off ATH, we’ve yet to see a proper CHoCH + BOS sequence on H1 or H4. ⚠️ Unmitigated Key Zones 🟦 H1 FVG – 3361 🟦 H4 FVG – 3285.00–3300.00 🟧 H4 OB block – 3224 (untouched, still a strong magnet if sell momentum kicks in) These levels remain high interest for any future discount buy setups if price starts pulling back. 📉 What Was Rejected Today 🔼 3430 – New ATH. Price wicked into this level and rejected instantly with visible CHoCH on M15 and M5, leaving a clear bearish reaction. 🔼 M15 OB – The supply zone around 3425–3430 acted as short-term resistance with an intraday bearish sequence into NY close. 🧠 Market Sentiment 🔸 Still bullish on HTF, but intraday shows clear profit-taking behavior. 🔸 Dollar weakness and geopolitical premium still holding gold up — but overextension risk is real above 3425. 📍 Summary Gold remains in a strong uptrend but may be showing short-term exhaustion after hitting ATH 3430. With unmitigated OBs and FVGs below, any deeper pullback will be liquidity-driven, not structural bearishness… yet. We'll prep the sniper plan separately soon — stay ready. 🧠⚔️
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
USDCAD Ready to Collapse? COT Signals a Bearish Storm!🔎 1. COT Context – Canadian Dollar (CAD) Asset Managers: Consistently net short for most of the period, but since January 2025, there's been a strong recovery—net positions have become progressively less negative. By mid-April, they’re still short, but significantly less so. Leveraged Money: Also heavily short in December 2024, but showing a clear bullish reversal starting in early 2025, with net positions turning increasingly positive on CAD. ✅ Interpretation: There's been a clear sentiment shift from bearish to bullish on CAD starting late 2024. This adds downward pressure on USDCAD. 💵 2. COT Context – US Dollar Index (USD) Asset Managers: Consistently long, but reducing their net exposure since late March 2025. Leveraged Money: Opposite of CAD – heavily short in December 2024, now recovering, though without strong momentum. Positions are hovering around neutral. ⚠️ Interpretation: While CAD grows stronger, USD shows signs of indecision or profit-taking. This amplifies the bearish bias on USDCAD. 📉 3. Technical Analysis – USDCAD Current Price: 1.38369, right near a strong demand zone between 1.3700 – 1.3830, which has already been tested multiple times. The current weekly candle is forming a doji or pin bar, hinting at a potential technical bounce. Key Resistance: 1.45215 (monthly high). Key Support: 1.3700. A breakdown below this could trigger a move toward 1.3480. RSI: Neutral to slightly bearish, no major divergences observed. 🧠 Technical Outlook: If the 1.3700–1.3830 zone holds, we might see a corrective bounce toward 1.4000–1.4100. If that zone breaks, expect a bearish continuation toward 1.3580–1.3480. 📊 Trade Summary Fundamental Bias (COT): Bearish USDCAD → Strong CAD, weakening USD. Technical Bias: Neutral to bearish, potential for short-term bounce before continuation. 🧭 Trade Plan 🎯 Short on pullback toward 1.4000–1.4100 with stop above 1.4150, targeting 1.3600–1.3500. 🎯 Breakout trade below 1.3700 → Enter on daily close confirmation, target 1.3480.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
ES: DO OR DIE!The SP500 had quite the negative intraday price action today, up until we had a strong volume supported bounce at the Value Area Low of the current range, in confluence with the swing failure pattern of the previous wick low, as well as the 618 fibonacci level from the low to the high of the trump pump. I am watching this do or die zone as the key area where the news fundamentally changed when Trump enacted a 90 day pause. Should we start getting acceptance into this zone, I would view that as extremely bearish for the reason that the market is reclaiming lower levels despite positive Trump news. Lets see how it plays out!
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by afurs1
EURUSD CRACK!I first turned bullish on the EUR back in November 2024 after the disastrous election results. I have always felt the 105 area was a good area to go long, fundamentally going back all the way to 2017. Here is an example. After 17 years of data, we can all agree that the 105 area was a great value to get long the EUR. Now we see a major CRACK! in the chart with the fundamentals to back it up. Again, I remind you I am a MACRO Trader. So my trades hold for a long, long time unless the facts change. I don't do 3 pips and i am out crap! Let this be a WARNING! To the dollar bulls! Click Boost, follow, subscribe! Let's get to 5,000 followers so I can help them navigate these crazy markets, too. ))
Long
by RealMacro
1
Yen surges to five-month high as US dollar under pressureThe Japanese yen came flying out of the gates on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 141.00, down 0.79%. Earlier the yen strengthened to 140.47, its strongest level since Sep. 2024. The US dollar has posted losses against the major currencies on Monday, including against the yen. Investors gave the US dollar a thumbs down after President Trump's top economic advisor said that Trump was considering the dismissal of Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Trump has been increasingly critical of Powell for not lowering interest rates and said last week that "Powell's termination cannot come fast enough". Trump fired his latest salvo after Powell said that US tariffs would raise inflation and that the Fed could find itself having to balance keeping a lid on inflation and supporting economic growth. Powell added that tariffs are "likely to move us further away from our goals". Powell has insisted that he isn't going anywhere and will serve until the end of his term in May 2026. Can Trump legally fire Powell? That is a complicated legal question, but the markets aren't waiting for an answer and the US dollar has retreated. Trump's attacks on Powell threaten the independence of the US central bank and is eroding confidence in the US dollar. The dollar is also under pressure from Trump's tariff policy, which has dampened the confidence of foreign investors. USD/JPY has pushed below support at 141.16. Below, there is support at 140.14. There is resistance at 142.62 and 143.64
by OANDA
USOIL CAUTION! BREAK - TEST - GO!This is my new updated chart of Oil. Trump's "Drill baby Drill" interfering with the free market is the absolute worst thing he could do. His ridiculous tariffs will put us in an economic depression! Oil prices are driven by demand! As I have mentioned here on TV so many times before! Increasing supply while heading into a recession is the dumbest thing possible! You never want to consume your own oil when you can consume others first! Simultaneously, F your own nation's oil company's profit margins and gov tax revenue! This is why we shouldn't put toddlers as POTUS! Anyway!!! This is a break test go! setup! If you haven't seen it before, here is an example I recently posted with AAPL. Click Boost, follow, subscribe! Let's get to 5,000 followers so I can help them navigate these crazy markets too. ))
TVC:USOILShort
by RealMacro
1
Will BTC emerge from the local downtrend channel on top?Hello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a downtrend channel in which we can currently observe an attempt to exit on the top. In such a situation, it must be borne in mind that often exiting the channel gives energy for growth close to the height of the channel itself, which in this situation could give a valuation in the region of $ 100,000 for 1 BTC. However, before this happens, the price must positively exit the channel and break the first resistance line at $ 88,800, and then a significant level at $ 94,200. Looking the other way, when the price bounces off the upper boundary of the channel and starts to fall again, we have a visible support zone from $ 85,150 to $ 83,000, and then a second very strong zone from $ 77,200 to $ 74,100.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
2
USDCAD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCAD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
1
JETS 7 Year ResistanceThis is a very simple chart to read. Airlines hitting a 7-year resistance trendline. Airlines are very capital-intensive and would greatly benefit from rate cuts. Despite inflation pricing power has not risen sufficiently even nominally. Oil has not helped their situation. We have seen many airlines go bankrupt, close shop, and reduce capacity. This indirectly helps the major airlines as the industry cleanses. A lot of talk of mergers and buyouts. For example, Frontier wants to merge with Spirit, Jetblue & United, and Southwest Pilot union seeking merger attorneys. Streamlining is always a good thing which is why JETS has risen as much as it has. However, this may be it according to the chart. The next move could be down from here. Airlines are very economically sensitive and a recession would hit them hard.
AMEX:JETS
by RealMacro
1
XAUUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my XAUUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
3
Europe Vs US Break Out!This chart suggests huge long-term implications after breaking for the 2nd time this 16-year downtrend. EU since Trump took office has outperformed the US by 23%! More than half of that has occurred since the ambush on Zeleneskyy in the Oval Office. While no new high has been made yet to confirm, it is noteworthy that money may be flowing toward the EU more than the US for a decade or more. EU has a much lower debt to GDO at 80% than the US at 125%. Stock valuations are much more attractive than in the US. So much so that I labeled the EU as a value trap. Not anymore! The biggest obstacle right now is how much would a US recession impact the EU. Even if it does, I expect the EU to perform much better than the US. As such this chart should continue to outperform. I have another post up you may want to follow.
AMEX:VGKLong
by RealMacro
3
EUR/USD – Pullback Entry After Weekly Breakout🧠 Macro View LEI rising steadily: 71.5 → 81.15 Endogenous strength improving each month Exo+LEI composite score: 498.65 → one of the strongest major FX models USD: Fundamentally weak with dovish Fed, neutral COT 📅 Seasonality 📈 EUR Index bullish throughout April 📉 USD Index bearish all month 🔥 EUR/USD seasonality = strong long bias into April 30 📈 Technical Setup (4H Chart) Price has broken weekly resistance → now acting as turncoat support Expecting pullback to 0.382 Fib level (~1.1462) before continuation Structure + macro + seasonality aligned for high-conviction long 📥 Entry: 1.1462 (Fib 0.382 retracement zone) ⛔ Stop Loss: Below (1.12424) 🎯 Take Profit: Retest high or 1.1583 and beyond (extension optional) 🧮 R:R ≈ 1:2.2+
Long
by wajahatarif
#SOLUSDT: Price to turn extreme bullish! Get ReadyHey there everyone! 👋 I’ve got some updates on the BINANCE:SOLUSDT price. It’s been testing a crucial level, and it’s showing some really strong bullish signs and patterns. But here’s the thing, we’re starting to think there might be a possible reversal coming up in the next few days. If we’re right, the price could hit all three targets we’ve been tracking. Remember, though, that this is just our analysis, and it’s always a good idea to use accurate risk management when you’re trading. Thanks for your support! 😊 If you want to help us out, here are a few things you can do: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
11
Gold at the $3394-3392 level citing the presence of an engulfingGold Buying Opportunity Analysis Considering buying gold at the $3394-3392 level, citing the presence of an engulfing buy filter zone that indicates pending buying orders. This technical setup suggests potential support at this level, which could lead to a price bounce. Potential Upside: - Conservative estimate: 40-70 pips - Optimistic scenario: up to 100 pips or more, depending on market conditions and momentum Key Factors to Consider: 1. Engulfing buy filter zone: This technical indicator suggests buying interest at this level. 2. Pending buying orders: These orders could contribute to a price increase if executed. 3. Market sentiment: Overall market conditions, news, and trends will influence gold's price movement. Important Reminder: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It's essential to conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult with a financial advisor if needed. Trading carries risks, and it's crucial to manage your positions responsibly. Next Steps: You'll be waiting for the market to reach the specified level. If it does, carefully evaluate the market conditions and make an informed decision based on your trading strategy and risk tolerance. How do you plan to manage your trade, and what are your risk management strategies?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
The relentless growth of goldDescription Given the strong breakout of last week's high and the conversion of the resistance zone into support, the price is expected to continue towards 3450-3460 after a pullback to 3358. Of course, with this strong trend, a pullback may not occur. Unfortunately, my trade(BUY POSITION) entry point did not occur in the previous position and gold performed much stronger than I had anticipated at the beginning of the week. Possible positions this week A:Suitable prices for BUY positions 1)3358-3347 B:Suitable prices for SELL positions 1)3398~3408 ( This high-risk trade is still active ) This is just an analysis and everyone is responsible for their own work. Hoping for a good and profitable week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AliAsghariii
XAUUSD sell signal In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, XAU/USD has room to extend its advance. Technical indicators eased modestly from their recent highs but lack any bearish momentum. Particularly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator hovers at around 81 with no signs of giving back. Finally, the 20 SMA accelerated north above the longer ones, while offering dynamic support in the $3,320 region. Support levels:3,400.00 3,386.40 3,375.50 Resistance levels: 3,430.40 3,445.00 3,460.0 XAUUSD sell signal 3414 Support 3387 Support 3345
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stiven088