USDJPY - LongThe tariffs (if they are maintained) are going to destroy Japans economy, which is heavily reliant on car exports to the US. As their trade balance goes red, and their domestic economy goes into recession, the yen will crater as the underlying debt crisis percolating in the background exasperates the issue.
Fundamental Analysis
XAUUSD Market Recap – “Sniper Entry + NFP Chaos = Full TP Party”📊 XAUUSD Market Recap – “Sniper Entry + NFP Chaos = Full TP Party” 🎯💣
✅ Sniper Sell @ 3135 – Textbook Execution
The daily plan's sell scenario from 3135–3145 played out perfectly:
Premium zone + valid OB
FVG rejection + bearish PA (M5/M15 CHoCH)
Three take-profits hit: 3120 → 3086 → 3054
Structure respected, price never looked back 🔫
🔥 Post-NFP Breakdown – April 5, 2025
📉 NFP (Actual): 228K vs. 140K Expected
📈 Strong surprise to the upside – job creation smashed expectations
📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (vs 4.1%)
📉 Slight increase – softens the impact of strong jobs number
💬 Market Reaction?
Gold dumped hard post-data, as strong NFP spooked the market
Algorithmic move: sweep → push down → bounce on deep FVG
Market front-ran deeper demand (below 3054), tagging 3036 briefly
🔁 What Got Mitigated:
✅ Premium supply zone @ 3135–3145
✅ 3086–3100 OB demand fully tapped
✅ 3054–3040 imbalance filled
✅ Final reaction wick @ 3036–3038 bounced right off deeper imbalance
🧲 Still in Play / Unmitigated:
🟦 3029–2985 = untouched D1 imbalance
🟡 Small rejection gap @ 3081–3085 (may act as intraday retest zone)
🔴 Possible liquidity below 3000 still untouched
🧠 Summary:
✅ Plan respected
✅ NFP added fuel
✅ Gold respected PA structure to the pip
🎯 Sniper sell from 3135 = perfect execution
Could the Euro Be on the Verge of a Lasting Upward Climb? Europe is embarking on an ambitious chapter of economic revitalization, marked by expansive fiscal measures and a renewed sense of unity in policymaking. Against this backdrop, the Euro seems well positioned to embark on a sustained upward journey, potentially reversing years of lackluster performance and ushering in a prolonged bullish phase.
One of the strongest pillars supporting this outlook is the growing anticipation that the ECB may soon hit the brakes on its monetary loosening. With the current policy described as having shed much of its restrictive bite, ECB leadership might opt for a strategic pause perhaps as early as spring 2025. This shift would allow time to gauge the effects of shifting trade landscapes, bold budgetary commitments and the unpredictable currents of global politics. A steadier monetary stance could serve as a springboard for the Euro’s ascent, offering stability amid a flurry of change.
However, this optimistic scenario is not without its shadows. Rising friction in trade relations, particularly with the United States, looms as a significant wildcard. Equally critical is Europe’s capacity to translate its grand fiscal vision into tangible results. The coming months will act as a proving ground, revealing whether this pivotal moment can ignite a durable economic spark or if internal missteps and external storms dim the Euro’s shine.
On the technical front, the pair’s recent vigor paints an encouraging picture. The drop from its 2023 high of 1.1274 now looks like a completed correction, having bottomed out at 1.0176 after a three phase decline. Should the pair decisively reclaim that 1.1274 level, it could reignite the upward momentum that kicked off from the 2022 trough of 0.9534. Analysts might then eye a target near 1.1916 a level derived by projecting the full rally from 0.9534 to 1.1274 upward from 1.0176 marking a notable milestone in the Euro’s recovery.
Even more compelling is the possibility that such a surge could shatter a descending trend line that has capped the Euro’s ambitions for over twenty years( Pink Line). Breaking free of this long standing barrier would signal more than just a fleeting rally...it could herald a fundamental shift, positioning the Euro for a multi year bullish era.
In essence, the Euro stands at a crossroads, buoyed by promising monetary recalibration, aggressive fiscal plans, and technical tailwinds. Yet.....its journey to a lasting bull run hinges on navigating a gauntlet of risks—from trade disputes to execution challenges. As Europe strides toward this defining moment, the Euro’s trajectory remains a tantalizing blend of potential and peril, with the next chapter still unwritten. Let's find out which one it is. Cheers
XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactio🔍 Daily Bias: Neutral with Bearish Intraday Tilt
Price is reacting to a previously unmitigated zone and potentially retesting a premium area, suggesting sell-side interest may return before any bullish continuation.
🧠 Key Context from Your Marked Chart
✅ Marked Sell/Retest Zone @ 3135–3145:
Clearly defined premium zone with imbalance and prior bearish reaction — confluence with OB + FVG, potential sniper entry for shorts.
✅ Unmitigated OB @ 3086–3095:
Valid demand zone where price bounced aggressively — still active liquidity + FVG.
✅ Major Imbalance Below @ 3054–3040 & 3040–3029:
Heavy drawdown target area. If price breaks 3086, expect it to fill imbalance and potentially bounce at 3040 or deeper around 3029.
🔽 Sell Scenarios
🟥 Sell #1 — Retest of Supply Sniper Entry
Entry Zone: 3135–3145
Confluences: Valid OB, FVG, Premium, Bearish PA from last touch
Target: 3086, then 3054–3040 imbalance zone
RSI: Check for overbought on M15–H1
🎯 "Classic sniper setup — get in, get out. No overthinking required."
🟥 Sell #2 — Break and Retest Below 3086
Trigger: Bearish close below 3086 + BOS on M15
Retest Entry: 3086 zone from below
Target: 3054 (first FVG), then 3029
EMAs: 5/21/50 flip short on M15 for confirmation
🟩 Buy Scenarios
🟩 Buy #1 — Bounce from 3086–3095 (Unmitigated OB)
Entry: Clean reaction + bullish PA in zone
Target: 3135 retest, partials at 3114
Sniper Confluence: BOS on M5/M15 + RSI divergence
🟩 Buy #2 — Deep Bounce from 3040 or 3029 Imbalance Zone
Entry: Only on strong PA confirmation (no early knives)
Target: 3086 first, 3135 secondary
RSI + EMA: Look for EMA 100–200 confluence, bullish divergence on RSI M15/M30
🧾 Technical Confluences Summary
✅ SMC: BOS + CHoCH present across M15–H1
✅ FVG: 3135–3145 (upper), 3054–3040 (lower)
✅ GAPS: Visible in 3054–3029 zone
✅ LIQUIDITY: Above 3145 + below 3029
✅ OB VALID: 3086–3095 still unmitigated
✅ RSI: Overbought earlier, neutral now. Watch intraday shifts.
✅ EMA Clusters:
EMA 5/21 flat after rebound
EMA 50/100 just below 3100
EMA 200 near 3050–3040 (high confluence for bounce)
⚠️ News & Fundamentals
Trump conference added USD volatility, but gold didn’t rally — watch for Fed speakers & JOLTS data tomorrow.
If dollar strengthens intraday again → watch sell setups more closely.
🧨 TradingView Title Suggestion:
“🎯 XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactions!”
BULLISH RSI DIVERGENCE ON NINTENDO? SWITCH 2 RELEASE DATE BELOW!Nintendo (NTDOY), the Kyoto based home entertainment company known for games like Mario, recently announced the release date of its new video game console: the Nintendo Switch 2. According to Nintendo they hope to have the system released by June 5th 2025 for customers. A bullish divergence has formed on the 1 hour chart. Will this provide investors with a bullish opportunity, or will Trump Tariff's keep this stock's costs from rising?
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #LONG #SWING #Analysis #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #LONG #SWING #Analysis #Eddy
BTCUSDT.P Swing Long Analysis With Entry Point
This is my first possible scenario and analysis of Bitcoin's future trend.
This Analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume,ict & Price Action Classic. (( Head & Shoulder Pattern ))
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this Swing long to enter the trade.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
Entry point already touched : 🟢 79285.50
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management.
🗒 Note: The price can go much higher than the first target, and there is a possibility of a 500% pump on this currency. By observing risk and capital management, obtaining the necessary approvals, and saving profits in the targets, you can keep it for the pump.
Spot Investing : ((long 'buy' position)) :
🟢 Entry 1 : 79285.50
🟢 Entry 2 : 61845.77 (( This Entry is for secound scenario ))
First entry point calculations :
⚪️ SL : Behind the last shadow created.
⚫️ TP1 : 250000 ((215.32%))
⚫️ TP2 : 500000 ((530.63%))
⚫️ TP3 : 999000 ((1160.00%))
‼️ Futures Trading Suggested Leverages : 3-5-7
The World Let it be Remembered...
Dr. #Eddy Sunshine
4/4/2025
Be successful and profitable.
Do you remember my first Bitcoin swing long signal entry & targets?
My first swing long signal was provided on BTC, which was spot pumped by more than 150% and was profitable :
Call me crazy...but I'm scaling into DELL 2027 Calls💡Call me crazy… but I’m scaling into DELL 2027 calls.
Strike: $85
Cost: ~$20
Expiration: December 2027
Chart target? North of $230.
(Yes. You read that right.)
The market just served up a gift — and I’m grabbing it with both hands. Dell just dropped nearly 20% on tariff fears and algorithmic panic. But the long-term AI/data center megatrend is still intact.
This is not your grandma’s PC company anymore.
Sometimes you gotta step into the fire when no one else will.
> Risk? Defined.
> Reward? 5x+ potential.
> Time? Plenty of it.
If this thing even comes close to previous growth cycles…
we’ll be glad we were “crazy.”
#DELL #OptionsStrategy #LongTermConviction #TheAccidentalRetiree #BuyFear #SmartMoneyPlays #AI #TechStocks
BTC Dominance + Stables approaching key resistance BTC Dominance + Stables approaching key resistance (72–76%) — historically a top signal before altseason rotations.
1️⃣ Dominance nearing peak
The BTC dominance index (including stables) is pushing into the historically critical zone.
Past peaks in this area have often marked local BTC tops followed by altcoin rallies.
2️⃣ Why it matters
When BTC.D + stables stalls at the top, it often signals that capital is ready to rotate into altcoins.
A final BTC push without alt response = classic trap before liquidity flows into riskier assets.
3️⃣ What’s the plan?
🎯 If BTC.D spikes into 75–76%, we’ll begin aggressively accumulating altcoins.
Key confirmation = BTC stalling & dominance reversal.
Until then: observe and let the market come to you.
Final thought:
Altseason doesn’t start with hype — it starts with rotations.
Watch the dominance chart closely. The setup is forming.
Tesla Stock Drops 9%+ After Q1 Deliveries Drop to Three-Year LowTesla (Nasdaq: NASDAQ:TSLA ) is trading at $242.52 as of 1:04 PM EDT on April 4th, down 9.26%. The stock fell $24.76 after reporting weak Q1 2025 results. This came two days after Tesla closed its worst quarter since 2022, shedding 36% in market value. The company delivered 336,681 vehicles in Q1, missing analysts’ expectations of 360,000 to 377,590. This marked a 13% drop compared to Q1 2024, when it delivered 386,810 units. Production also fell to 362,615 vehicles from 433,371 in the prior year.
Tesla produced 345,454 units of its Model 3 and Model Y. Deliveries for those models stood at 323,800. Other models, including the Cybertruck, accounted for 12,881 deliveries. The quarter saw partial factory shutdowns to upgrade lines for a redesigned Model Y.
CEO Elon Musk said this model could again be the world’s best-selling car in 2025. But now the question is, will it?
Looking at it, Tesla faces several challenges, including increased EV competition and reputational damage tied to Musk’s political involvement. Of late, the CEO’s position in Trump’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has drawn backlash.
Protests, boycotts and vandalism against Tesla facilities and vehicles spread across the U.S and Europe. In Germany, Tesla’s EV market share dropped from 16% to 4%. Across 15 European countries, market share fell to 9.3% from 17.9%.
China also posed challenges. Tesla sold 78,828 EVs in March, an 11.5% year-on-year decline as domestic competitors like BYD increased their market presence. In Canada, Tesla claimed 8,653 EV sales during a January weekend to qualify for subsidies. The transportation ministry froze the payments and launched a probe into the claim.
Technical Analysis: Price Approaches Key Support Zone
Tesla’s price has declined sharply since hitting an all-time high of $488 in late December 2024. Since January, the stock has been in a downtrend, respecting a descending trendline. In early February, it broke a key support level at $290 and retested the level in late March before continuing downward.
Currently, the stock is approaching support at $190, a critical level for short-term price action. If it holds, the stock could attempt to break the descending trendline and move toward the $290 resistance.
If Tesla's bearish bias persists and breaks below $190, the next support sits at $140. This aligns with the head of a previously completed head-and-shoulder pattern. Breaking this level could trigger further losses.
The next few weeks will determine if it rebounds or slides deeper, with earnings report expected on Apr 22nd, 2025.
Dollar index scenario Nfp day 04/04/2025English : According to our analysis, we anticipate THIS bullish scenario with an negative result of NFP .
Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse reda Nfp aykherj Négative dakchi 3lach anchofo dollar bullish besabab Nfp ila kherj negative hadi sign positive 3la interest rate.
ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
Solana - The Bullrun Is Not Over Yet!Solana ( CRYPTO:SOLUSD ) might create another move higher:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
As we are speaking Solana is sitting at the exact same level as it was about 3.5 years ago in the end of 2021. In the meantime we saw a lot of volatility and Solana is now once again retesting a major previous support level. Despite the harsh recent drop, the bullrun remains valid to this day.
Levels to watch: $120, $250
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Ethereum - The Perfect Crypto Trade!Ethereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) is retesting massive support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past four years, Ethereum has overall been trading sideways with significant swings towards the upside and downside. As we are speaking, Ethereum is retesting a significant confluence of support and if the bullrun actually continues, Ethereum will rally parabolically.
Levels to watch: $2.000, $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
SVIX....not pretty, but she's got potentialThe VIX has been a wild one today and a little unpredictable to say the least. Fortunately, what goes up must come down. I'm talking about the VIX! SVIX is the inverse ETF of VIX. When the VIX falls, SVIX spikes. We can see that happening multiple times over the last few weeks. This is a very nice opportunity to get in. The probability of the VIX staying at these levels is extremely low as it would have already be priced in so volatility will drop.
This is an early Xmas gift in an awful environment. I'm wrong about 20% of the time, but this looks like a nice set-up and hopefully people can benefit from this easy trade.
Best of luck!
Nice value gap....MSTUI want everyone to benefit on this! BTC has shown resilience in a horrible market and it's picking up. We can see the double bottom and nice formation on the upside. My humble opinion is that people are moving their crappy stocks and moving it to BTC in the hope that it goes back to 88k like it did a few days ago, which would mean a 20-30% upside for MSTU easily. I always watch my trades and have stop loss, but early next week looks very interesting esp if globally people start buying over the weekend (post dip).
Always do your own due diligence and safe trading! Reward favors the brave and those who take calculated risks. Trade your rice and beans for a nice steak :)
EURUSD: A big move in making, make sure you are in right trackDear Traders,
Hope you are doing great, we have an excellent selling opportunities from two zones, the first entry has potential of swing sell but we are doubtful and that is why we have a second entry area zone where if the price is liquidated then we can target the second entry.
good luck.
TSLA still bearish like I said. Why you should sue the board.This chart uses an unpublished modified turtle trader indicator / strategy combined with the unpublished TVMV framework using MFT candle sticks (published as separate indicator) and Bollinger bands. The max monthly position size is determined by seasonal probabilities, while the individual trade position sizes are determined by the turtle style volatility sizing based off the former's capital.
Nothing has changed about TSLA.
It has a work from home CEO who is who disconnected from reality and accountability that the stock will not recover. No amount of government contracts can over come the damage this man has done to the brand.
Sales and deliveries are down in every market and the car owners are afraid to drive their cars.
This recent pump had no basis. It lacked both fundamental value and technical value.
TSLA will break below 222 and may go as far as 109 by EOY if the board of directors does not fulfill their fiduciary obligations to share holder to remove Musk permanently .
Shareholders should seriously consider filing a class action law suit against the board of directors in collaboration with NY .
ONLY UP FROM HEReEvery time the RSI reached extreme levels on the Put Call Ratio,We reached the call or put extreme.In this case,the RSI reached the overbought level,which only happened on 2 occasions during the last 15years,means majority of participants are already short.Since equities prices are always on the hunt for liquidity,the only way from here is up.Technical analysis will be a good tool to time your entries.
Gold Price Action Alert: Bearish Breakdown AheadGold is consolidating within a Triangle Pattern on the 30-minute timeframe, signaling potential volatility. A confirmed breakdown below the support level could trigger a strong bearish move toward the $2,990 target.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $3,110 - $3,147
Support: $3,098 - $3,055
Target: $2,994
Watch for a decisive breakout and volume confirmation before entering a trade. Stay cautious and manage risk accordingly!
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