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Fundamental Analysis

Public strategy all correctSo far, everyone has made a profit by following the trading plan. We arranged short orders at 3032 and 3052 for gold, but the short-term trend was strong, so we all left the market at 3038! We collected another 80 points of profit! The operation idea is very clear. News analysis: Why is 3026 so critical? Looking back at the rebound of gold prices in the past few days, it is not difficult to find that many previous rebounds have retreated near 3026. At the same time, this point is also the first time that gold prices have bottomed out and rebounded from 3056 before this round. After breaking through, it rebounded many times but failed to pass. This is a typical watershed between longs and shorts. In fact, yesterday's gold price had already meant to break upward, but the market tension was limited yesterday. The first wave of impact to 3038 this morning has already sounded the horn of the bulls' charge. Unfortunately, it was not sure whether 3026 could be held at that time. If the high position is near 3030, the defense should be placed below 3020, which is a little big. There is no reverse follow-up to keep up with the rhythm of this wave of rebound. Technical analysis of gold: The current idea of ​​the end of the trading day is very clear. We chose to take short positions below the previous historical high of 3055-57 for the second time. The short positions of 3050-52 have now retreated to around 3038. Since there has been a high-level decline, it shows that the bulls are not that strong. There has been no breakout in one go. The probability of breaking 3055 tonight is gradually decreasing. The end of the trading day will most likely remain in the 3030-50 range for consolidation, and the focus will be on tonight's closing point. If the high-level close is above 45, the gold price may set a new high tomorrow; if the closing line is below 35, it will maintain a high level of volatility tomorrow, Friday. Operation strategy: If gold falls back to around 3030-35, you can take long positions. Gold can still be shorted around 3055-58 Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions. Operate according to our operation plan. The information in the market is complicated. Blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs. 2. All short-selling profit-taking areas 3050-3045 are closed. 3. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes. Once there is a change, we will inform you in time and strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines to move forward steadily in a volatile market and achieve steady appreciation of assets.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
XAUUSD – H4 Trading Plan📍 Structure ✅ Market structure: Bullish 🔼 Recent BOS confirms continuation 📈 Price is pushing into resistance zone @ 3065 ⚠️ No CHoCH yet = no shift, but signs of potential slowing momentum 🧩 Zones of Interest 🔵 3065–3090 → Supply / Premium zone – Major liquidity draw – Inside weekly imbalance → potential reversal zone 🔵 2955 → Prior range high + FVG – Ideal first mitigation target 🔵 2790–2800 → OB zone + consolidation base – Swing target if breakdown continues 🎯 Trade Scenarios 🔼 Bullish Breakout Break & retest of 3065 (clean H4 close above) LTF entry (M15–H1) on pullback 🎯 Target: ATH sweep (3100+) 🛡️ SL: Below HL or valid OB 🔽 Bearish Rejection Strong reaction from 3065–3090 zone Wait for H4 CHoCH → then Lower High 🎯 TP1: 2955 🎯 TP2: 2800 🛡️ SL: Above rejection wick 📌 Notes ✋ No short without H4 CHoCH confirmation 🧠 Structure is king – reaction first, entry second Premium zone = decision zone → be reactive, not predictive
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Rivian Kicking Off Potential UptrendHey, all. I'll get down to it. Obviously NASDAQ:RIVN has been an incredibly tough stock to own. Fake out after fake out. It has been brutal - unless you have been nimble enough to buy the dips and sell the rips. I would like to posit, however, that NASDAQ:RIVN is going to start marching back higher here over time. In the signal system I have been taught via the T@M strategy, Rivian is putting in a range expansion to the upside on the weekly time frame. If you take the range of the past monthly consolidation period, attach it to the "mode" (or central zone of the consolidation range), it gives you a target of $25 over the next few months. Now, whether this is another fake out just to reverse on us... again... remains to be seen of course. It is early in the idea. But potentially offers a decent risk/reward position here. I just do not see Rivian really going away at all and, if they can keep refining their business, they could see some success going forward. Anyway, hope you enjoy this idea! As always, position carefully as the market is risky business. Including the Daily Chart below for your reference as well.
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by redykhouse
XAU/USD Analysis–Bearish Continuation Within Descending Channel📉 Gold (XAU/USD) H1 Analysis – March 26, 2025 🔻 Descending Channel Formation: The price remains confined within a downward-sloping channel, signaling continued bearish pressure. Lower highs and lower lows confirm the short-term downtrend. 📍 Key Levels & Structure: Current Price: $3,019 Resistance Zone: Around $3,025 - $3,030 (upper boundary of the channel) Support Zone: $3,000 psychological level and potential lower boundary near $2,985 📌 Market Imbalance (MB) Not Filled: A minor liquidity gap remains unfilled above, indicating a possible short-term retest before continuation. 📉 Bearish Expectation: If price fails to break above the resistance trendline, we could see a drop toward $3,000 or even lower. Watch for rejection signals at the upper boundary for short opportunities. 🔎 Trade Considerations: Bearish Bias: Short entries from resistance with targets at $3,010 - $3,000. Invalidation: A breakout above $3,030 could signal bullish strength.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
XAUUSD – Daily (D1) Analysis🧱 Market Structure The D1 structure is clearly bullish – price is printing HHs and HLs consistently. Current push is a continuation from previous consolidation, breaking structure upwards. No CHoCH or BOS bearish yet – buyers still in control. 🔵 Key Zones (marked on your chart) 1. Near-term Liquidity / Resistance Price is approaching a marked supply zone / premium area at the top (same one from W1). This is likely to act as a reaction point – either: Sweep liquidity and reverse Break through and continue higher 2. Imbalances / Mitigation Zones Below Price These zones are clean mitigation targets if price rejects from the top: Zone Level Description 2955 Fair value gap / inefficiency (imbalance) 2790–2800 Strong structure zone + FVG + OB 2740–2750 Potential OB + previous consolidation 2495 Deep retracement level – less likely short-term 🧩 Order Flow Observation Very little sign of exhaustion in candles right now. The only reason to expect reversal is if: Price hits the extreme premium zone We see a strong daily rejection or Lower timeframes shift (CHoCH / BOS) 📉 EMA Perspective (implied) Assuming EMA 21/50/200: Price is well above EMA 21 & 50, indicating strong short-term bullish trend. A return to EMA 21 (probably around ~2950–2970) would be a healthy pullback. 📌 Bias – Daily Term Bias Reason Daily ✅ Bullish Clean bullish structure, no shift Short-term ⚠️ Watchful If price hits supply zone with reaction Ideal setup Rejection from premium + CHoCH on H4/H1 🧠 Trade Ideas (based on D1) 🔼 Bullish Scenario Price holds above 3060 and breaks 3090+ Entry on breakout + retest of minor OB on H1 Target: ATH sweep and continuation SL: Below minor HL / reaction low 🔽 Bearish Scenario Price enters supply zone → forms bearish D1 candle (engulfing / pinbar) Look for CHoCH on H4/H1 to enter short Target levels: 2950 ➝ 2800 ➝ 2750 SL: Above daily high or OB
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
NQ: End of day analysis!We got another bearish day, but NO change in the structure! Price is making a HL. As long as there is no LL, we can expect anytime a move up to create a new HH. Tariffs noises are weighing a lot and restraining the move up to 50%. Tomorrow we have Core PCE. 1- An overshoot, cancel the 50% and price go south; 2- Inline and undershoot, the 50% is reachable and price goes north. Monday is end of Month and Quarter. Rebalancing portfolios large hands and corporations is in play. Good evening/night!
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by OTM-Fadhl
STRATEGIC OUTLOOK — March 28, 2025TODAYS RECAP — March 27 Was a Classic Shakeout Day. A textbook shakeout in XAU/USD, driven by market maker manipulation, volume distribution, and liquidity engineering. STRATEGIC OUTLOOK — March 28, 2025 Triple Threat Day: End of Week, End of Month, End of Q1. Institutions will shape the Q1 close intentionally. 1. Book Rebalancing in Play • Expect: • Q1 profit locking • Loss hiding • Positioning games likely, especially into NY close. 2. Deceptive Order Flow • Breakouts at highs/lows likely fake. • Watch for: • “Break and reverse” moves • False drops into demand / false rallies into supply III. SCENARIO PROJECTIONS — March 28 Scenario A: Bullish Continuation (Primary Bias) Reasons: • Daily structure remains bullish • Shakeout held support • Macro still supports gold (safe haven bid) Confirmation Checklist: • VWAP Mid ($3056) reclaimed and held • Volume above $3060–$3074 • Asia or London delivers structure Target Path: • TP1: $3074.70 (DynaR RES 2) • TP2: $3090.00 (Fib ext 1.618) • TP3: $3105.00 (Q1 high magnet) Scenario B: Distribution & Drop (Contingency Bias) Reasons: • If today was an institutional sell trap • RSI divergence lingers • DXY strength could trigger selling Bearish Confirmation: • Price fails to hold $3050 on open • Red candles with increasing volume • No VWAP reclaim during London Target Path: • TP1: $3034.48 (DynaR SUP 2) • TP2: $3012.00 (FVG Fill + 21 SMA) • TP3: $2995.00 (Deep VAL flush) IV. SESSION PLAYBOOK — Cairo Local Time V. EXECUTION GAME PLAN Pre-Asia Preparation: • No early entries • Mark VWAP, POC, VAL/VAH from March 27 • Anticipate: • Sweep under $3034 • Fake breakout above $3066 Execution Triggers: • Volume + VWAP alignment • Key zones: Hold/reject VWAP, POC, SUP/RES • RSI divergence = no chasing Risk Management: • Tighten stops after NY open • Don’t hold trades past 6PM Cairo unless trailing • Lock in partials aggressively during spikes VI. SCENARIOS RECAP TABLE Final Note: Institutional Psychology Over Signals “Tomorrow isn’t a technical day. It’s a story day. Institutions will use gold to close the quarter with purpose. Be reactive, not predictive. Trade what they show you — not what you want to see.”
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
1
BTC Daily Chart Update: Potential Fair Value Gaps and Key LevelsHey traders! 👋 Taking a look at the daily chart of BTC, we can see two significant Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) still waiting to be filled. 🧐 1️⃣ The First FVG is located at a crucial level right around the Golden Pocket. This is a strong support zone that could be a game-changer. If BTC manages to fill this gap and rebound on the support, the next question is: What happens next? 🤔 2️⃣ The Second FVG is just above the 0.786 Fibonacci level, which could provide additional support or resistance depending on how price reacts. So, what do you think? Will BTC fill these gaps and push higher, or are we going to see a rejection at these key levels? 🚀 Let me know your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments below! 🔥 Don't forget to follow for more updates and trading insights. Happy trading, everyone! 💰📈
by GetSparx
3-MONTH THE SQUID GAME II 'JUBILEE'. WHAT IS NOW & WHAT IS NEXTIt's gone three months or so... (Duh..? WTF.. 3 months, really? 😸😸😸) since "The Squid Game" Season II has been released on December 26, 2024. Nearly month later comrade Trump entered The White House (again). Still, everyone was on a rush, chatting endless "Blah-Blah-Blah", "I-crypto-czar", "crypto-capital-of-the-world", "we-robot", "mambo-jumbo", "super-duper", AI, VR and so on hyped bullsh#t. Here's a short educational breakdown, what we think about all of that, at our beloved @PandorraResearch Team. Trading can easily resemble gambling when approached without discipline, strategy, or proper risk management. Here are key reasons to avoid gambling-like trading behaviors, supported by real-world examples: 1. Lack of Strategy and Emotional Decision-Making Trading becomes gambling when decisions are based on emotions, intuition, or market hype rather than thorough analysis. For instance, Geraldine lost £15,000 on a spread-betting platform after attending a workshop that taught ineffective strategies. She believed the platform profited from her losses, highlighting how impulsive, uneducated decisions can lead to significant financial harm. Similarly, traders who overtrade or ignore risk management often experience devastating losses, as they rely on luck rather than a structured plan. 2. Overleveraging and One-Sided Bets Overleveraging—opening excessively large positions—is a common gambling behavior in trading. This approach increases stress and the likelihood of substantial losses. A trader who lost $400,000 on a single Robinhood bet exemplifies this. He overinvested in a call option, hoping for a quick profit, but the trade turned against him, wiping out nearly all his capital. Opening one-sided bets or adding to losing positions further compounds risks, as traders attempt to recover losses through increasingly risky moves. 3. Ignoring Stop Losses and Risk Management Failing to set stop losses or refusing to exit losing trades is another form of gambling. Traders who cling to their biases and avoid cutting losses often face irreversible damage to their portfolios. For example, many traders refuse to take stop losses, leading to catastrophic losses that erode their confidence and capital. This behavior mirrors the destructive cycle of gambling addiction, where individuals chase losses in hopes of a turnaround. 4. Psychological and Financial Consequences Gambling-like trading can lead to severe psychological and financial consequences. Harry, a trader with a gambling addiction, repeatedly lost money despite asking his trading platform to restrict his account. His inability to control his trading behavior highlights the addictive nature of high-risk trading and its potential to ruin lives. Similarly, excessive gambling has been linked to increased debt, bankruptcy, and mental health issues, such as anxiety and depression. 5. Long-Term Sustainability Smart trading focuses on steady gains and minimal losses, whereas gambling relies on luck and high-risk bets. Traders who chase big wins often lose their profits in subsequent trades, perpetuating a cycle of losses. Studies show that frequent trading, driven by overconfidence or problem gambling, reduces investment returns and increases financial instability. In conclusion, avoiding gambling-like trading requires discipline, education, and a well-defined strategy. Real-world examples demonstrate the dangers of emotional decision-making, overleveraging, and ignoring risk management. By adopting a structured approach and prioritizing long-term sustainability, traders can mitigate risks and avoid the pitfalls of gambling. -- Best 'squid' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
SP:SPX
by PandorraResearch
3/27/25 - $nvo - obvious at $70... 10% size3/27/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:NVO obvious at $70... 10% size - at btc conf in miami so have been hoping for a quiet week. well. whatever. another day in trumptopia. but alas, we can't tell the market what we want. so the game today is just don't make big mistakes and try and find interesting asymmetric oppties. - i literally flipped my NVO after last post two days in and as it proceeded to rip into $80s thought "well shoot, at least i made $, which is the goal... but i paper hands that one" - but we're back. even lower. $70. - wegovey vs. ozempic... these 18x PE multiples r hitting that penjamin like it's going outta style. - when i look at LLY, which is ostensibly the mkt's "favorite" in the GLP/weight loss category it's hard to ignore the fact that financials MORE OR LESS are similar and multiples are 2x higher. - so while idk if tariffs, the euros who trade a bit more scared, greenland stuffs, GLP "share" question marks etc. etc. are affecting the day to day. - but at nearly 4% fcf yield, ROICs akin to the biggest tech moats, orthogonal to US/chips correlation (nevermind the geo), drugs like this being secular winners (and these guys do have pole positions)... it's pretty obvious again. - have started to play some of the 2027 ITM expires leveraged anywhere from 2 to 3-1 so i don't need to neck out. ideally we get one more flush to the mid 60s and i can really size this up. but honestly, this is a pretty obvious LT buy zone and i'll adjust the strike accordingly based on the ST day to day. - what chu think anon? wegovey and chill? V
NYSE:NVOLong
by VROCKSTAR
$DELL Ready for a Dumpster Dive?NYSE:DELL I got long on this one Feb 14th and I was stopped out just a few days later. I am looking at it again because they are a big supplier for AI hardware needs, and I think they are over sold. (Just because I think that does not make it so.) Here is what I am looking at. Today’s candle is a clear rejection of heading lower (at least for today). If we can get a follow through candle tomorrow, I will look to take this long with a clearly defined risk just below today’s candle. Which if it follows through would be a nice higher low. If you like this idea, please make it your own and make sure it fits your trading plan.
NYSE:DELLLong
by jaxdog
Banxico Cuts Rates Aggressively In line with market expectations, the Bank of Mexico unanimously decided to implement another consecutive rate cut during its March 2025 monetary policy meeting. The 50-basis-point reduction brought the policy rate down to 9.00%, marking a forceful continuation of the monetary normalization cycle, one that remains behind its regional Latin American peers. The central bank’s decision mainly reflects a relatively contained inflationary environment and growing concerns about downside economic risks, including the possibility of a technical recession following a visibly weak first quarter. Headline inflation stood at 3.67% in the first half of March, providing Banxico with the necessary room to ease its monetary stance without significantly compromising its 3% inflation target. The Mexican economic outlook remains clouded by uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy. The recent tariff threats from the Trump administration, particularly those targeting imported vehicles and auto parts, could exacerbate Mexico’s economic fragility, given its high dependency on bilateral trade with the U.S. These tariffs, set to take effect in early April, pose a significant threat to the country's economic and monetary stability. Previously, the foreign exchange market has responded favorably to reversals of initial U.S. tariff announcements, but the persistence and materialization of these threats would place further pressure on the Mexican peso. The automotive sector, a pillar of Mexico’s export structure, is already facing serious challenges, with a significant drop in exports in February, underscoring the country’s vulnerability to external trade restrictions. Despite these internal and external pressures, Banxico has managed to strike a relative balance, cutting rates to help stimulate economic activity while maintaining a sufficiently tight monetary stance to guard against potential inflation risks. According to the Governing Board, this approach is consistent with the trajectory needed to ensure an orderly and sustained convergence of inflation toward the 3% target by the third quarter of 2026. For now, one notion circulating in the markets is that the Mexican central bank may keep rates above the neutral level as a safeguard against tariff-related uncertainty and other potential external shocks. This reflects a strategic caution, aiming to balance economic stimulus with financial stability. Looking ahead, the outlook remains complex. Banxico may continue making similar adjustments in upcoming meetings, always contingent on the evolution of inflation and both domestic and global economic activity. Ultimately, Mexico is facing a critical juncture where monetary policy decisions will play a key role in mitigating current uncertainty and supporting a more stable economic environment.
by Pepperstone
AUD/JPY 1D possible scenario Technical Analysis 1D The pair is testing a long-term downtrend resistance. A breakout could signal further upside. Key Levels: Support: 95.52 Resistance: 98.49 | 102.62 | 109.40 Fundamental Factors: Australian Dollar Strength: Driven by commodity demand and potential RBA rate decisions. Japanese Yen Weakness: BoJ’s ultra-loose policy keeps the yen under pressure. Risk Sentiment: AUD/JPY correlates with market risk appetite; stronger equities could support upside. A breakout above 95.52 may open the path toward 98.49.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
3.28 Gold Breaks Point, Falls Back to Support Long PositionsOn Thursday (March 27), affected by the news that US President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on imported cars, global trade tensions further escalated, market risk aversion heated up, and gold prices once again approached the record high set last week. Fundamentals: Gold fell from its pre-US high. The decline supports the long position view. The new US tariffs have exacerbated market tensions, and PCE data will become the next focus of attention. The current market is active, and both long and short sides are engaged in fierce competition around key resistance levels. The dual drive of technical and fundamental factors has significantly amplified the volatility of gold prices. The cumulative net inflow of gold ETFs in the first quarter of 2025 has reached 155 tons, and the total holdings have climbed to the peak since September 2023. In the previous trading day alone, the scale of a single-day increase of 23 tons set a record since 2022. The unexpected growth of central bank demand for gold purchases and the continued inflow of ETF funds together constitute the "two-wheel drive" for gold's medium- and long-term bullishness. If this trend continues, it will provide sufficient liquidity support for gold prices to break through historical highs. The current price is close to the historical high, and some long profit-taking pressure is gradually accumulating. If the PCE data released on Friday is stronger than expected, or the Federal Reserve releases hawkish signals, it may become the fuse to trigger a pullback Trend: shock upward trend Support: around 3033.00 Resistance: around 3055.50
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
3
Ethereum - The Perfect Crypto Trade!Ethereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) is retesting massive support: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For the past four years, Ethereum has overall been trading sideways with significant swings towards the upside and downside. As we are speaking, Ethereum is retesting a significant confluence of support and if the bullrun actually continues, Ethereum will rally parabolically. Levels to watch: $2.000, $4.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by basictradingtv
6
Bitcoin - Why is everyone wrong + Magic Moving AverageWe have so many warning signs that Bitcoin is going to crash significantly in 2025/2026. One of them is this magic 20-weekly moving average. As we can see, the price always respects this dynamic level, and if the price falls below it, it triggers a sell signal. On the other side, if the price rises above it, it triggers a buy signal. The price is currently below it, so this is a bearish signal. The next bad signal is this Elliott Impulse wave. What we can see here is a perfect textbook impulse wave that has been completed. If you are an Elliott Wave trader, you already see that this is a big problem. After such a wave is complete, we are always looking for an ABC correction with a fibonacci retracement tool. Use only these 3 Fibo levels, others do not work properly! Specifically, 0.618 FIB, 0.500 and 0.382 FIB. Bitcoin loves the 0.618 FIB, so there is a pretty huge chance of going down to 32k. But expect a very strong bounce from the 0.382 FIB as well, which is at 52k. Set up your buy orders here, and thank me later! What we can also see on the chart is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 34k and 28k. Often the price loves to come back and test these important price actions. This is a great buying confluence with the 0.618 FIB because the FVG is inside this Fibo level. The last thing I want to talk about is this huge blue ascending channel on the weekly chart. This is a representation of this whole uptrend (bull market). You may say that Bitcoin is bullish until this channel holds, yeah, but what we do here is we predict future price action and give you technical analysis. I am giving you this information in advance so you can prepare for the future! Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Xanrox
150
XAU/USD 27.05.2025The sell setup is unfolding just as planned—patience pays. We entered shorts from our high-probability zone, and the price is starting to show weakness. As long as the structure holds, we anticipate further downside, with targets at $3,045 and deeper liquidity zones below. Bulls may attempt a shakeout, but as long as key levels remain protected, the sell-side narrative stays intact. Now it's all about trade management—secure profits, adjust stops, and let the market do the rest. Stay sharp.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMindsFX
USDJPY - 4H more fall expectedFX:USDJPY - 4H Update 🔻 If you've traded USDJPY in recent years, you're no stranger to the significance of the 150.00 zone. This level has historically acted as a critical resistance and psychological barrier. Now, the pair is trading below this key level and has also broken the ascending channel support on the daily timeframe, signaling that bulls are likely out of the game. The recent drop to 147.00 and bounce toward 151.00 could be setting up the next short opportunity. 📌 What to watch for: A liquidity grab above the 151.50–152.00 zone could occur before the next fall. This aligns with institutional behavior, hunting stops before continuing the trend. We're now in a sell-the-rally phase, watching for confirmations around the red zone. Remember, I previously signaled a short from the 157 zone, which played out beautifully. We’re now gearing up for the next big short, and this setup might just be it. 📉 Stay cautious, wait for price action signals, and trust the structure. 💸 If you’ve missed previous entries, don’t miss what’s coming next! 🔔 Follow for real-time updates and live trade ideas!
Short
by Sober_Trading
6
usdcad still in range ? The USD/CAD is sitting at a critical support level in its rectangular trading range. The VRVP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) shows strong institutional interest right here, and the COT reports suggest leveraged traders aren't aggressively buying USD. This points to a potential bounce or consolidation zone. The daily chart and hourly timeframe are both showing similar signs - we're at a key support where smart money seems to be positioning themselves. It's a classic setup where the market is potentially setting up for a move, but waiting for a clear catalyst. The key is watching how price respects this support level and looking for confirmation of either a bounce or a breakdown. i would want to see a solid rejection of these lower prices or a clean break below. if not the range will confirm for now
Long
by youbicode
1
Strong bullish outlook for the E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQM2025)Nasdaq-100 E-mini Futures (NQM2025) – Technical & Fundamental Analysis Technical Overview: My Daily chart analysis on TradingView highlights a strong bullish outlook for the E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQM2025). Here are the key takeaways: Liquidity Sweep & Support Retest: The recent decline led to a liquidity sweep (LQ SWEEP) at a critical ascending trendline. This suggests a classic stop-hunt scenario where weaker long positions were liquidated before stronger buyers stepped in. Historical price action indicates that buyers previously entered at similar levels (noted as "Buyers coming in hot here"), reinforcing this demand zone. Bullish Trendline Respect: The long-term ascending trendline has been respected, acting as a dynamic support level. The recent bounce suggests that this level remains intact, further validating the bullish structure. Order Block (OB) & Market Structure Shift (MSS): A previous bearish market structure shift (MSS) led to a short-term decline, but price has since found support and rebounded. The chart suggests a reversion to the upside, targeting prior imbalance zones and liquidity pockets. Projected Path & Targets: The green projection indicates an expectation of higher highs, likely targeting the 21,500 - 22,500 range in the coming weeks. The sell-side liquidity has been cleared, increasing the probability of a bullish move towards the order block resistance near 21,000. Fundamental Confirmation (#EdgeFinder & #COT Data): From a fundamental perspective, the bullish bias is further confirmed by EdgeFinder data and recent Commitment of Traders (COT) reports: Institutional Positioning: The latest COT data shows that institutional traders have increased their net long positions in Nasdaq futures, signaling bullish sentiment. Macroeconomic Factors: Recent economic reports and Fed statements have favored a risk-on environment, benefiting tech-heavy indices like Nasdaq. Earnings season is approaching, with expectations of strong tech sector performance potentially fueling further upside. Conclusion & Market Sentiment: The confluence of technical support, institutional buying, and positive macroeconomic factors strengthens the case for a bullish continuation in Nasdaq-100 futures. The key level to watch is 20,000—if held, the probability of a move towards 21,500 - 22,500 increases significantly. Risk factors include unexpected macroeconomic shifts or stronger-than-expected hawkish Fed rhetoric, which could slow momentum. This is not financial advice, only data analysis. Please consult a qualified financial professional for personalized guidance.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by OatesTrades94