Tesla's Next Big Moves: Buckle Up! Alright, here’s the lowdown: Tesla’s sitting right at $241 support, gearing up for a possible push up. If we hold this level, we’re eyeing $266 as the next stop. But here’s the kicker—if we fall below $241, that support could flip, and Tesla might tumble hard, possibly all the way to $157. Let’s keep it simple and watch the levels!"
Easy Breakdown for the Ride:
Where We’re at Now: $241 Support
Right now, Tesla’s hanging at the $241 mark, and this level is holding it steady. Think of it as the safety net. If we keep pushing up from here, we’ve got some exciting targets on the way.
Targets if We Move Up
First Target: $266
If we get some upward momentum and hold above $241, $266 is our next pitstop. This could be a nice level to watch for some gains.
Second Target: $279
Breaking $266 with strength? Then we’re looking at $279 as the next destination.
Big Target: $298
If the trend stays strong, $298 is the big target. But let’s keep it easy and focus on one level at a time!
The Drop Zone: Below $241
Here’s the flip side. If Tesla loses $241 support, this level could actually help the price go lower instead of higher. That could mean a big drop, and the next stop down could be as low as $157. So, eyes on this level—$241 is the line between bulls and bears right now!
Trading Tip
This setup is all about those key levels. If we stay above $241, we’re in the clear for now. But if $241 breaks, be prepared for a potentially deep drop. Keep your levels marked, stay flexible, and enjoy the ride!
Mindbloome Trading / Kris
Fundamental Analysis
Market News Report - 03 November 2024While it was a mild past week, the USD was pretty strong again. Other bullish currencies include the euro and the British pound. Speaking of the latter, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate soon. Then, we had the most anticipated new Federal Funds on Thursday and the US elections.
All of this and more will be covered in our market report of the major forex pairs.
Market Overview
Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies.
US dollar (USD)
Short-term outlook: weak bearish.
Despite a recent 50 basis points (bps) rate cut, the Fed may not need to cut rates as aggressively going forward. This is partly due to recent positive job numbers and earnings data that exceeded expectations.
While the NFP data last Friday was negative, the drop was due to the impact of US hurricanes and labour disputes with Boeing.
The US elections on Tuesday may provide a notable boost for USD if Trump wins. However, we also have the new Fed interest rate two days later, where a cut is anticipated. So, the bias remains weak bearish in the near term.
The Dixie continues to head north after weeks of ranging around the key support area at 100.157. We have spoken several times about a potential technically-driven retracement (despite the bearish fundamentals).
Meanwhile, the key resistance is far away at 107.348, which will remain untouched for some time.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
While there is no extreme dovish pricing anymore (thanks to some economic improvements), the Fed is still expected to cut the interest. Labour data will be another key driver in the long term for USD.
However, the upcoming US elections could be a huge redeeming factor for the greenback if Trump wins (who is highly favoured against Harris).
Euro (EUR)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
The short-term interest rate (STIR) markets were predictably accurate as the European Central Bank (ECB) cut the interest rate last month. However, they remain data-dependent on what to do in the future (although they are quite concerned about slow growth).
Short-term interest rate markets have indicated an 84% chance of a rate cut in December. Also, we have seen weaker economic data across various European nations (although the Eurozone Gross Domestic/GDP growth was above expectations).
The euro has finally made its bearish intention known on the charts, breaking the key support at 1.07774 (but only just). We need to see how this level reacts over the coming weeks- so it's not out of the question. Meanwhile, the key resistance remains far higher at 1.12757.
Long-term outlook: bearish.
The latest rate cut and the avoidance of indicating a clear future move for the December meeting are among the key down-trending factors.
However, any improvements in economic data (according to the ECB) would be a turnaround. Higher German inflation and stronger European growth in Q3 have saved the euro from a downward spiral.
British pound (GBP)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
The Bank of England (BoE) kept the interest rate steady in its recent meeting. Still, the language indicates they need to be “restrictive for sufficiently long” and the "gradual need" for decreasing the rate. STIR pricing indicates an 86% chance of a cut on Thursday
As with the ECB, the central bank's current key theme is fighting persistent inflation in the United Kingdom. So, it makes more sense to be dovish than hawkish. Not long ago, Governor Bailey hinted that "aggressive rate cuts" were possible if inflation went lower.
We mentioned that the current retracement may be the start of a more serious bear move. So far, that's what the pound is experiencing. The nearest key support is at 1.26156, while the resistance target is 1.34343.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
Sequential rate cuts by the BoE may soon be a reality due to the points discussed earlier. However, a new development is the UK budget, which has been seen as a reason for the central to proceed slowly in this regard. As usual, data remains essential going forward with GBP.
Japanese yen (JPY)
Short-term outlook: bullish.
Unlike in July this year, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept the interest rate the same last week. So, our outlook remains largely unchanged. However, a rise in USD/JPY could raise the possibility of the BoJ's intervention.
Governor Ueda of the BoJ noted not long ago that despite domestic economic recovery, recent exchange rate movements have reduced the upside risk of inflation (which has been on an upward trajectory). As recently as 31 October 2024, Ueda also stated that hikes would continue if the central bank's projections were realised.
The 139.579 support area is proving quite strong, boosting the yen since mid-September. Still, the major resistance (at 161.950) is too far for traders to worry about.
Long-term outlook: weak bullish.
Lower US Treasury yields are one potential bullish catalyst for the yen (the opposite is true). Inflation pressures and wage growth would also provide upward momentum. We should also consider that the dovish tendencies of other major central banks and worsening US macro conditions are JPY-positive
Still, as a slight downer, near-term inflation risks subsiding (according to the BoJ) reduce the urgency for a rate hiking cycle.
Australian dollar (AUD)
Short-term outlook: weak bullish.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept the interest rate unchanged during the Sept. 25 meeting. They further stated that they "did not explicitly consider rate hikes" for the future, which is a marginally dovish statement.
The Aussie remains sensitive to China’s recent economic woes, with some promising developments at times.
Finally, recent positive unemployment and labour data gives a base case for a hold in the RBA interest rate on Monday this week (priced at 97% probability according to STIR markets).
After failing to break the 0.69426 resistance level several times, the Aussie has retraced noticeably from this area. While this market looked bullish, this pullback does surprisingly indicate otherwise.
Still, we are quite far from the major support level at 0.63484, but consider the interesting dynamic with the opposite fundamentals of AUD and USD.
Long-term outlook: weak bullish.
While the RBA hasn’t ruled anything out, the central bank isn’t explicitly suggesting rate hikes in the future.
It’s crucial to be data-dependent with the Aussie, especially with core inflation as the RBA's key focus area.
However, the Australian dollar is pro-cyclical, meaning it is exposed to the economies and geopolitics of other countries, especially China.
New Zealand dollar (NZD)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
Unsurprisingly, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZD) cut its interest rate by 50 bps recently and sees further easing ahead. This affirms another cut next month of potentially the same magnitude.
Furthermore, the central bank is confident that inflation will remain in the target zone, adding more impetus to the bearish bias.
Due to the rate cut, the Kiwi has been on a downward spiral, proving the strength of the major resistance level at 0.63790. Conversely, the major support is at 0.58498.
Long-term outlook: bearish.
The central bank's latest dovish stance (where it cut the interest rate) firmly puts the Kiwi in a 'bearish bracket.' They also revised the OCR rates lower and signalled steady winnings in the inflation battle.
Canadian dollar (CAD)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
The Bank of Canada (BoC) unsurprisingly delivered a 50 bps cut on Wednesday. Further cuts remain on the cards, with the long-term target being 3%.
The BoC is signalling victory over inflation due to the cuts, with Governor Macklem suggesting that they would probably cut further until they achieve the optimal low inflation. In their words, 'stick the landing.'
Overall, the bias remains bearish - expect strong rallies in CAD to find sellers.
While the short-term fundamental biases of USD and CAD are bearish, CAD is the weakest on the charts. USD/CAD has finally touched the key resistance at 1.39468. This week will determine whether this area will be breached or not. Meanwhile, the key support lies far down at 1.33586.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
Expectations of a rate cut remain the focal point. The Bank of Canada has recognised the lower economic growth, and Macklem wishes to see this increase. Furthermore, any big misses in upcoming GBP, inflation, and labour data would send CAD lower.
Still, encouraging oil prices and general economic data improvement would save the Canadian dollar's blushes.
Swiss franc (CHF)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
STIR markets were, as usual, correct in their 43% chance of a 25 bps rate cut (from 1.25% to 1%) recently. In the Sept. 26 meeting, the Swiss National (SNB) indicated its preparedness to intervene in the FX market and further rate cuts in the coming quarters.
The central bank's new Chair (Schlegel) said they "cannot rule out negative rates." Finally, the September CPI came in weak at 0.8%, against the expected year-on-year 1.1%.
Still, the Swiss franc can strengthen during geopolitical tensions like a worsening Middle East crisis.
USD/CHF has just broken out of the range (but only just) discussed in our last few reports. While remaining largely bearish, this market could return closer to the major support level at 0.83326 or climb its way to the higher major resistance level at 0.92244.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The bearish sentiment remains after the last SNB meeting, while inflation is being tamed with lower revisions. We should also remember that the SNB's intervention prevents the appreciation of the Swiss franc.
The new chairman is more keen to cut rates than his predecessor, Jordan. The SNB aims for neutral rates between 0 and 0.50% (currently at 1%). However, STIR markets only see a 20% chance of a 50 bps cut next month.
Conclusion
In summary:
The USD will certainly be the talk of the town this week due to the upcoming elections and Fed rates.
Other noteworthy economic releases include the new interest rates for the British pound and the Australian dollar.
Our short and long-term fundamental outlooks remain unchanged from the last few weeks.
As always, hope for the best and prepare for the worst. This report should help you determine your bias toward each currency in the short and long term.
Dollar's Resilience: EU, GU and AU Levels to Watch!The US dollar continues its impressive rally, demonstrating resilience amidst global uncertainty. This analysis dives into the key levels and upcoming catalysts that could shape the dollar's trajectory in the week ahead.
Technical Confirmation of Bullish Momentum
The dollar's uptrend is clear, not just from the economic data, but also from the charts. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has broken through key resistance levels, signaling further upside potential. The clean breakouts and strong momentum observed on various timeframes reinforce the bullish outlook for the dollar.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently hovering around the recently surpassed 104.00 level, establishing a trading range in anticipation of a crucial week filled with significant data releases and economic events. A breakout from this range, coupled with a break of the immediate resistance at 105.00, could ignite a powerful bullish trend for the dollar.
Key Economic Events to Watch
This week is packed with important economic news that could affect the dollar. Here's what to keep an eye on:
• FOMC Interest Rate Decision: The Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points, but the market will be focusing on their forward guidance and any surprises.
• Bank of England (BOE) Interest Rate Decision: With inflation cooling in the UK, a rate cut is anticipated. However, the market will be watching for clues about the BOE's future policy path.
• Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Meeting: No change in policy is expected, but the market will be looking for any shifts in the RBA's tone and possible dovish commentaries.
What Does This Mean for Traders?
The dollar's strength is a major force in the forex market. By keeping an eye on these economic events and understanding the technical picture, traders can identify potential opportunities.
Key Levels for Major Pairs:
EUR/USD: The EURUSD pair recently tested the 1.0900 level, and traders are now anticipating the next move. A decisive break above this level could propel the pair towards 1.1000. Conversely, a bounce off 1.0900 may signal a potential return to October's low of 1.0800.
GBP/USD: GBP/USD is showing vulnerability. Should the Bank of England (BOE) adopt a dovish stance, the GBPUSD pair is likely to retreat to the 1.285 level, with a significant possibility of breaking below this support.
AUD/USD: Despite opening the week above 0.6600, the AUDUSD pair faces strong bearish pressure, suggesting a likely continuation of the downward trend. A break below the minor support at 0.6550 could pave the way for a decline towards 0.6500.
Engage with us! Share your thoughts on the dollar's outlook in the comments below. Follow our profile for more fundamental and technical analysis updates.
BTCUSDT 1H Falling wedgePossible long trade on 1 hour chart forms Falling wedge pattern.
The 1-hour Bitcoin chart shows a Falling wedge, indicating a short-term downtrend. However, a bullish divergence in the RSI suggests weakening selling pressure and a potential trend reversal. The price is near a support zone, making a potential long entry appealing, especially if there is a breakout above the upper trendline of the Falling wedge. A target could be set around 71,344, with an appropriate stop-loss placed below the support to limit risk. Waiting for confirmation of the breakout is advised to validate the long signal.
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Good look! 🚀
Rivian long Rivian low average buys in relation to weekly monthly leaves off rsi and bb
Entry > 10.25
Target > 18-20$
Amazon has pledged a long term investment months ago for billions of dollars over the next blah blah blah
Evs will not dominate the legacy car manufacturers but will instead find their share
Rivian has potential to eat a lot of tsla market shares up
Comment below if u disagree or agree
Rivian long Rivian low average buys in relation to weekly monthly leaves off rsi and bb
Entry > 10.25
Target > 18-20$
Amazon has pledged a long term investment months ago for billions of dollars over the next blah blah blah
Evs will not dominate the legacy car manufacturers but will instead find their share
Rivian has potential to eat a lot of tsla market shares up
Comment below if u disagree or agree
Kiwi Updatethe 50-day EMA is rolling over and preparing to break below the 200-day EMA, forming the so-called death cross. Whether or not this will have a significant impact remains to be seen. It's important to note that the New Zealand dollar is highly sensitive to commodity markets, particularly soft commodities like food. If we break below the 0.5950 level, it's likely we could head down to the 0.5850 level, where a massive double bottom has formed. With rising interest rates in the United States over the long term, it makes sense that the US dollar may continue to strengthen.
Sliced KiwiThe New Zealand dollar continues to decline, solidifying its position as the second-worst-performing major currency this year .
It was trading at 0.5916 USD late Thursday in Wellington and has shed nearly 6.5% against the US dollar since the beginning of the year.
By early Friday it had dipped below 0.5900 and was trading at 0.5893.
It is falling thanks to the “unceasing advance of the bears”, according to Brett Ottawa at OFX. The KIWI is under noticeable pressure.
#SHIB #SHIBUSDT #SHIBA #ShibaInu #ShibaInuCoin #Analysis #Eddy#SHIB #SHIBUSDT #SHIBA #ShibaInu #ShibaInuCoin #Analysis #Eddy
At your request, dear followers, I'm here with a technical analysis of Shiba Inu Coin.
In the weekly timeframe, Shiba Inu has an attractive, untouched order block with very high potential. I have marked its significant liquidity areas with green labels for you. As shown on the chart, there is an important swapped area that has turned into a resistance zone and has been retested. I expect it to dump from the red zone, which is our strong supply area, targeting the liquidity of the green-labeled order block and moving toward the specified targets.
After this drop to the designated area, with confirmation, we can enter long positions according to the specified targets in the analysis. It’s also suitable for adding to a spot portfolio at the prices of 0.00000992 and 0.00000999.
Also invite you to benefit from my Bitcoin setup and analysis...
Analysis & Setup of Bitcoin : (( BTC/USD )) : Check Link :
According to this analysis 👆 and the long setup I provided on September 11, if Bitcoin wants to move toward the targets of $80,000, $90,000, and $100,000 that I specified, it needs to get the liquidity set around the price of $45,969. 👌
In my view, until the market maker flushes out everyone who has been buying Bitcoin in this prolonged range, those investing in altcoins, and especially those in high-leverage long positions in futures, it’s illogical for Bitcoin to pump toward the specified targets or for a bull run to start in the cryptocurrency market without a sharp drop and a fake breakdown of the $50K level. 😉
BITCOIN Is this my first one I'm not sure Here in this video, we take a look at the monthly, The Weekly, accidentally the 1 hour, and The Daily, any way here is my analysis of the chart. You can go back on your own in your own chart and look at it and see if you see something different if you do let me know. Monthly and Weekly, we see a cup and handle forming. On a Daily a Bearish Rising Wedge. As you can see where this goes is depending on how tomorrow goes, If Kamala wins everyone is selling because they are going to have to pay the taxes that she will raise, If Trump wins everyone is Buying cause of the Taxes that he is going to cut
ADAUSD If you ask meIf you asked me a couple of years ago mainly 2021, I would say I would tell every buy ADA buy ADA!!!...... Now that I am a functioning adult and have gone through the phase of unplugging and learned a few things. According to Historical Chart Patterns I am seeing a Descending Triangle here and as we know Descending Triangles are an indicator for shorting. It may go down but with tomorrow being such a critical day be on the lookout for potential buy situations.
NZD/USD rises ahead of jobs data, US electionThe New Zealand dollar is higher on Monday. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5991, up 0.49% on the day. The New Zealand dollar is coming off a miserable October, plunging 5.9%.
New Zealand releases the third quarter employment report on Wednesday. The markets are braced for soft numbers that point to a deterioration in the labor market. Employment change is expected to decline by 0.4% after a 0.4% gain in the second quarter. As well, the unemployment rate is expected to jump to 5%, from 4.6% in the second quarter. The New Zealand dollar is vulnerable to a weak employment report.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will be keeping a close eye on the job release. A weak employment report will support for the case for a rate cut at the Nov. 27 meeting. Last month, the central bank made an aggressive cut of 50 basis points, lowering the cash rate to 4.75%. What can we expect at the next meeting?
Inflation has been moving lower and eased to 2.2% y/y in the third quarter. This was down sharply from 3.3% in Q2 and more importantly, was back within the RBNZ’s target band of 1%-3%. The decline in inflation has raised expectations of further aggressive cuts and the most likely scenario is another 50-bp cut. Still, the RBNZ has demonstrated in the past that it can be very aggressive and a 75-bp cut cannot be ruled out.
The US election on Tuesday is too close to call and the political uncertainty could translate in volatility in the financial markets. With the votes in some swing states expected to be very close, we can expect recounts and even court challenges, which means that the election outcome won’t be determined for days or even weeks, which could leave investors uneasy. The election will be followed by the Federal Reserve rate decision on Thursday, with the markets pricing in a 25-bp cut at close to 100%.
NZD/USD tested resistance at 0.6014 earlier. Above, there is resistance at 0.6028
There is support at 0.5988 and 0.5974
XAUUSD: 4/11 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2800, support below 2716
Four-hour resistance 2800, support below 2762-16
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday night, under the influence of a small positive, non-agricultural data quickly reached the 2762 mark and was suppressed and fell back and fluctuated downward, closing below the previous low.
From the current 4-hour technical perspective, today's upper resistance is around 2758-63. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to look down and fall. The short-term support below is around 2722-2728. The daily level support is 2716. The strong unilateral bulls have come to an end temporarily. Today, the long and short range oscillation trading is maintained, and the key points are patiently waiting for entry. After all, before the US election, the market is viewed as a range fluctuation, and the focus is on the US election tomorrow!
BUY:2717near SL:2714
BUY:2727near SL:2724
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
AEROUSD Performance update As you can see its still following the suspected trend line. Let see if it continues in the way we have analyzed. But yea these were all set up from last week and I didn't even bother to look at them over the weekend because I was busy, but I will try to get more as we go.
MANTRA | OM & GoogleOM pumped more than 8300% in one year and its one of the best performing hidden gems in 2024 so lets get into it
MANTRA is a blockchain developed using the Cosmos SDK, designed to ensure regulatory compliance for various real-world and tokenized assets. It aims to fill the gap of regulatory-compliant blockchains within the Cosmos ecosystem, appealing to both institutional and retail users who prioritize regulatory security.
The platform offers on chain identity verification, controlled access to products, and integration with fiat systems. By utilizing Tendermint, it achieves high performance and security, enabling the creation of scalable and compliant applications on its blockchain infrastructure.
MANTRA has officially partnered with Google Cloud, making Google the primary validator for its L1 network mainnet plus, MANTRA is collaborating with BCW Group as its implementation partner, a leading Web3 infrastructure provider within the Google Cloud ecosystem.
Last week, the network successfully launched its mainnet. With this launch, MANTRA can now facilitate the on-chain integration of tokenized real-world assets aka RWAs and allow users to stake OM tokens to earn rewards.
Since its introduction a year ago, MANTRA’s OM token has surged over 83X, positioning itself as the largest asset in the RWA market. The RWA tokenization sector has also seen substantial growth this year, with RWA tokens now accounting for around 0.33% of the entire crypto market
as you can see OM following the mega bullish trend and as BTC pump alts will follow them as well. The current circulating supply of MANTRA is 883 Million tokens, and the maximum supply of OM is unlimited. It is traded on 26 markets and 28 exchanges, the most active of which is Binance. OM is the good candidate for Coinbase as well
INJ SWING LONG OPPORTUNITY - Injective Network INJ was one of the most bullish coins last year during the 2023 autumn altcoin season, achieving over an 8x increase! I strongly recommend following this coin during the 2024-2025 altseason.
Technical Analysis: The price reached a weekly swing point and wicked off it, but couldn’t close below, showing a strong rejection from that level. This led to the creation of a daily demand zone, which I find significant since the weekly run occurred before this daily demand was formed, suggesting strong support potential.
The price has now hit the daily demand zone and is sitting at a maximum discount area. I’ll be watching for lower time frame confirmations to anticipate price movement, but things are looking great.
Targets: There is a bearish trendline that has defined the bearish structure since June 2024, which I consider the first take-profit level. Additional targets are visible on the chart, with 24.94 and 28 USD as potential levels. I expect we could reach these targets before the new year.