Get started

Fundamental Analysis

The golden range strategy continues to workGold bottomed out and rebounded as expected today. Friends who follow me should be able to clearly feel that I have been insisting on analyzing the trend of "bottoming out and rebounding" recently. Today, gold opened at 3300, and rebounded after the lowest price fell to around 3291. So far, the highest price has reached 3325. Overall, the support below gold is still strong, but the suppression above cannot be ignored. Therefore, the market performance yesterday and today was relatively stable, with small fluctuations as the main trend. In terms of operation ideas, continue to pay attention to the support level of 3290-3295. If it falls back and does not break, maintain a bullish mindset. At present, the long orders in the 3290-3295 range have been notified to enter the market as planned, and are currently in the profit stage. If you encounter difficulties in the current gold market operation, I hope my analysis can help you. Welcome to communicate at any time. From the 4-hour cycle chart, the support below gold is around 3290-3295, and the pressure above is concentrated in the 3330-3340 range. In the short term, the watershed between long and short is around 3275-3283. Before the daily level effectively falls below the watershed, it is still in a long-short shock pattern, maintaining the main theme of "high-altitude and low-multiple" cycle participation. Gold operation strategy: If gold falls back to the 3290-3295 line, you can try to go long. If it further falls back to the 3280-3285 line, you can consider covering long orders, and the target is around 3316-3320.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
EURUSD PLAN – Is the Rebound Just a Pause Before the Drop? EURUSD PLAN – Is the Rebound Just a Pause Before the Drop? | All Eyes on PCE 📊 MACRO OUTLOOK: Following the latest FOMC meeting, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, as expected, but maintained a hawkish tone. Chair Powell reiterated that inflation remains too sticky to consider rate cuts in the near term. Markets now await this week’s US PCE data — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — which could provide the next major catalyst for USD strength or weakness. On the Euro side, weak consumer confidence and tepid growth have strengthened expectations for an ECB rate cut in June. This divergence in monetary policy is weighing on the Euro, as the Dollar finds new demand amid global risk recalibration. 📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1): EURUSD has broken down from recent highs near 1.1412 and is now forming a bearish retracement pattern. Price has broken below the 89-EMA and 200-EMA, signaling bearish structure. Current price action suggests a temporary bounce from the 1.1260–1.1280 support zone (Fibo 38.2%–50%), but the broader trend remains bearish. Fibonacci retracement from recent swing lows highlights 1.1338 and 1.1372 as key resistance levels to watch. 🔑 KEY TECHNICAL ZONES: Resistance Zones: • 1.1313 – Minor intraday level (Fibo 0.5) • 1.1338 – EMA confluence + former structure • 1.1372 – Major rejection zone (previous distribution top) Support Zones: • 1.1280 – 1.1260 – Current support bounce area • 1.1220 – Key liquidity sweep zone 🧭 TRADE STRATEGY: Scenario A – Sell the Pullback: • Wait for a rebound into the 1.1313 – 1.1338 zone • Enter SELL if bearish rejection forms • SL: 1.1376 • TP: 1.1280 → 1.1260 → 1.1220 Scenario B – Invalid Breakout: • If price breaks above 1.1372 with momentum, this plan is invalidated — wait for a confirmed breakout retest. Scenario C – Reactive Buy Scalp: • If price shows strong rejection from 1.1260 again, scalpers may consider a temporary BUY back toward 1.1300–1.1310 • This is high-risk and counter-trend. ⚠️ STRATEGIC NOTES: EURUSD remains in a bearish bias until major resistance levels are broken. With PCE data approaching, volatility is likely. Trade setups should be based on confirmation signals and managed tightly as macro data can shift momentum rapidly.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
DOGEUSDT → Long squeeze before growth?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P is consolidating. A range with clear boundaries has formed. Before a possible breakout, a liquidation (false breakdown) may form On D1, the structure is quite positive. Earlier, the price tested the downward resistance, but there was no reaction (fall) as such. Instead, the price is consolidating within the range of 0.211 (0.205) - 0.23 - 0.253. Bitcoin, like the entire crypto market, is consolidating within fairly clear boundaries. Based on the current situation, it would be logical to wait for one part of the market to be liquidated before the price can move in either direction. Based on the bullish market, there may be a retest of support in the form of a false break... Resistance levels: 0.2308, 0.253 Support levels: 0.213, 0.2116, 0.205 DOGE is consolidating with a focus on the 0.23–0.211 range. Against the backdrop of a bullish trend, a liquidation (long squeeze) relative to the lower boundary of the 0.23–0.205 range is possible before growth continues. A false break of support and liquidity capture would be useful maneuvers before implementation. However, if the market is aggressive enough and resistance at 0.23 is broken with subsequent consolidation above this level, it could trigger premature growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
Gold War Room: Battle Scenario for May 28 Hello, warriors of GoldMindsFX! Tomorrow is not just another trading day — it’s FOMC Minutes day, and that means the battlefield will be wild. Forget calm, forget predictability — the chart is set for ambushes, fakeouts, and sharp reversals at every zone. The Arena: Structure Zones in Play 3325–3335: The Fortress Wall 🏰 Every bull attack so far has been repelled here. Sellers line up and wait for overconfident buyers. Expect “arrow volleys” (liquidity hunts), quick spikes, and sudden reversals right at the gates if FOMC brings volatility. 3307–3312: The Front Line ⚔️ The battle flips fast here. This zone loves to lure both sides in, only to trap and reverse. FOMC minutes may use this spot to create the first fake move — don’t fall for the head fake. 3286–3295: The Battlefield 🛡️ This is where the real fight will erupt. If buyers defend, you’ll see huge wicks, maybe even a counterattack. If it cracks, expect a fast retreat and bears to charge in. 3272–3280: The Last Stand 🏴 If price falls here, bulls have one chance to rally the troops. If this fortress falls, it’s open ground for bears — could get wild, so don’t get caught in the chaos. The Scenario Before FOMC: Expect fake moves, traps, and low conviction. Liquidity will pool at all these zones as the market waits for the signal. During/After FOMC: Be ready for surprise attacks — sharp spikes, liquidity sweeps, and instant reversals. The real winner is the one who reacts at the zone, not the one who predicts. Final Word No matter your side — bull or bear — tomorrow is all about reading the battlefield and acting with sniper discipline. Don’t be a hero in the middle. Let the market show its hand at the big walls, and pick your moment. Mark your zones, load up your patience, and stay on high alert — GoldMindsFX is battle ready! 🚀⚔️ Drop a follow if you want to see the post-battle recap, and send a shield or sword in the chat for your side! — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD – Post-FOMC Trading Plan | Key Resistance: 3308 – 3310XAUUSD – Post-FOMC Trading Plan | Key Resistance: 3308 – 3310 📊 MACRO UPDATE – After the FOMC Decision: The Fed kept interest rates unchanged as expected, but the tone remained hawkish. Chairman Powell reiterated that inflation remains too high and ruled out any near-term rate cuts, signaling prolonged restrictive policy. This led to a swift rebound in the US Dollar and Treasury yields, weighing on gold. However, XAUUSD bounced back late in the session, suggesting the market is re-evaluating key technical zones post-announcement. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H1/H4 Chart Structure: Gold remains in a corrective descending structure but is now reacting around key Fibonacci levels. The 13–34–89 EMAs provide dynamic support and resistance, and a potential double bottom has formed near the 3245–3247 zone. 🧠 Two key levels to watch: 3308–3310: major resistance with trendline + FVG confluence 3245–3247: strong horizontal support + Fib 0.618 retracement 🎯 TRADE SETUPS: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3247 – 3245 Stop-Loss: 3241 Take-Profit: 3251 → 3255 → 3260 → 3264 → 3270 → 3275 → 3280 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3263 – 3261 Stop-Loss: 3257 Take-Profit: 3266 → 3270 → 3275 → 3280 → 3290 → 3300 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3294 – 3296 Stop-Loss: 3300 Take-Profit: 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3278 → 3274 → 3270 → 3260 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3308 – 3310 Stop-Loss: 3314 Take-Profit: 3304 → 3300 → 3296 → 3292 → 3288 → 3280 📌 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK: Unless price breaks above 3310 with strong momentum, sellers are still in control short term. Any rejection from the resistance zone could offer clean short entries. A breakout, however, would shift sentiment and expose 3340–3360 next. Patience is key — let price react before committing to entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD: Z Wave in Progress - WXWXZ PatternGOLD: Z Wave in Progress - WXWXZ Pattern GOLD: Z Wave in Progress Gold is currently developing the final leg of a complex WXYXZ pattern, with the Z wave taking shape. Gold tends to rise unpredictably—even on days without major news or strong market volume, making this a hazardous trade. FOMC Minutes Today. The Federal Reserve’s minutes from the May 6-7 meeting will be released today. Policymakers showed no signs of adjusting interest rates soon, and today’s report may highlight how firmly they are sticking to their current "wait-and-see" approach. You may watch the analysis for further details! Thank you!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by KlejdiCuni
16
EMAAR Properties (Dubai)Emaar Properties, a leading real estate developer based in Dubai, has demonstrated robust financial performance in 2024, achieving record-breaking figures across various metrics. Financial Performance: Revenue: Emaar reported its highest-ever revenue of AED 35.5 billion (approximately US\$9.6 billion) in 2024, marking a 33% increase compared to the previous year. Net Profit: The company's net profit before tax rose by 25% to AED 18.9 billion (US\$5.1 billion), reflecting strong operational efficiency and profitability. Property Sales: Emaar achieved record property sales of AED 70 billion (US\$19 billion), a 72% increase over 2023 figures. Revenue Backlog: The company's revenue backlog from property sales surpassed AED 110 billion (US\$30 billion) as of December 31, 2024, indicating robust future revenue streams. Balance Sheet and Financial Ratios: Total Assets: Emaar's total assets increased to AED 160.2 billion in 2024, up from AED 139.4 billion in 2023. Total Equity: The company's total equity rose to AED 96.1 billion in 2024, reflecting a strong capital base. Debt Levels: Emaar's total debt stood at approximately AED 9.6 billion as of the most recent quarter, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 10.5%, indicating prudent financial leverage. Strategic Developments: Dividend Policy: In December 2024, Emaar announced a new dividend policy, proposing its highest-ever dividend of 100% of share capital for 2024, amounting to AED 8.8 billion. Land Acquisition: The company acquired 141 million square feet of development land in prime areas of Dubai, with a total development value of AED 96 billion, positioning itself for sustained growth. Market Position and Outlook: Emaar's strong financial performance in 2024 reflects its resilience and adaptability in a competitive real estate market. The company's strategic initiatives, including significant land acquisitions and a generous dividend policy, underscore its commitment to delivering value to shareholders. With a substantial revenue backlog and a robust pipeline of projects, Emaar is well-positioned to maintain its leadership in the real estate sector. -*Disclaimer: This is just my personal opinion and not financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions. Any losses incurred are solely at your own risk.*
DFM:EMAAR
by bossout10
1
XAUUSD Expecting Selling movementKey Levels Highlighted Resistance Zone Blue Box $3,294 This level acts as a strong resistance area from previous price action It aligns with a prior consolidation zone and the peak of the projected retracement Support/Target Zones Pink Lines 1 $3266 2 $3255 Final Target $3244 Marked with a label Target this is the analyst’s main bearish objective Close to a price callout marked $3244 emphasizing the precision of the expected price drop
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GOLD_FORCAST_PROVIDER
GOLD - SELLING FROM PULLBACKPrice has shown a reaction from the low around 3,245 and is now approaching a strong confluence zone around the DAILY FLIP, which acted as prior support AND now resistance. This zone coincides with the upper boundary of the descending channel. Bias: Bearish, unless price breaks above 3,305 with strong momentum and closes outside the descending channel. TRADE IDEA: SELL from 3,295–3,300 (wait for bearish confirmation) once activated, I will update SL and TP Let me know what your opinion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by InvestScale
What is Happening to Puma?Puma's stock has experienced a significant decline, dropping nearly 50% year-to-date and reaching its lowest levels in almost a decade . This downturn is attributed to several factors, including underwhelming financial performance, escalating competition, and macroeconomic challenges. Financial Performance: In 2024, Puma reported a 4.4% currency-adjusted increase in sales, totaling €8.82 billion . However, profitability did not keep pace; net income declined by 7.5% to €282 million, and EBIT remained flat at €622 million, falling short of analyst expectations . The company's P/E ratio stands at 17, which some analysts consider high given the current earnings yield of 2.8% . Debt and Balance Sheet: Puma's financial health shows a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 48.2%, with total debt at €1.3 billion and shareholder equity at €2.7 billion . While the company has a solid capital base, increased interest payments have impacted income . Competitive Landscape: Puma faces intense competition from industry giants like Nike and Adidas. Nike holds a significant market share, while Adidas has recently increased its share to 8.9% . Puma's market share stands at approximately 4.94% . The company's efforts to boost sales through new product lines, such as the Speedcat trainers, have yet to yield significant results . Macroeconomic Challenges: Global economic factors have also played a role in Puma's struggles. Trade disputes and currency volatility have negatively impacted sales, particularly in key markets like the U.S. and China . Additionally, new U.S. tariffs on imports from China, where Puma sources 28% of its products, have created further uncertainty. Strategic Response: In response to these challenges, Puma has announced plans to cut 500 corporate positions globally by the end of the second quarter of 2025 to reduce costs . The company has also appointed former Adidas executive Arthur Hoeld as its new CEO, effective July 1, 2025, aiming to revitalize its performance . In summary, Puma's recent stock decline reflects a combination of internal financial challenges and external market pressures. While the company is taking steps to address these issues, including leadership changes and cost-cutting measures, it remains to be seen how effectively Puma can navigate the competitive and economic landscape moving forward. - *Disclaimer: This is just my personal opinion and not financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions. Any losses incurred are solely at your own risk.The figures that i found might not all be correct, as I do sometimes make mistakes, so do your own due diligence.*
XETR:PUM
by bossout10
2
BTCUSD Analysis – Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Action + Target🧭 Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Explained Mirror Market Concepts analyze repeating emotional and structural patterns in the market—like looking at a price “mirror” that reflects past movements into the present. Core tools include: Mind Curve Resistance/Support CHoCH (Change of Character) BOS (Break of Structure) Price Reflection Zones These tools let us understand not just what price is doing—but why it's reacting at specific levels. 📊 Technical Breakdown of the Chart 🔹 1. Black Mind Curve Support & Resistance The chart is framed between a rising support curve and a descending resistance curve, forming a psychological squeeze zone. These mind curves represent subconscious institutional memory—where reactions often repeat based on historical liquidity and risk-off/on behavior. 🔹 2. Major CHoCH (Change of Character) Price broke below a previous minor higher low, shifting sentiment from bullish to neutral/bearish. This CHoCH happened within the mind curve boundary, signaling that we’re transitioning into a decision phase. 🔹 3. Major BOS (Break of Structure) The BOS occurred during the recent drop, confirming sellers took temporary control. However, price respected the lower mind curve support, which may still hold as the "mirror zone." 🔹 4. Key Compression Pattern (MMC Symmetry) Price is forming a symmetrical wedge between the two curves, often seen in MMC just before a major explosive move. The pattern resembles past behavior where price compressed before breaking out in either direction. 🎯 Potential Scenarios (Plotted on Chart) 📈 Bullish Path: If BTC breaks above the descending curve + confirms above 109,000, we may see: ✅ Target 1: 111,000 (BOS retest) ✅ Target 2: 112,500–113,000 zone (previous emotional high + liquidity sweep) 📉 Bearish Path: A breakdown below 107,000 and curve support suggests sellers regain control: ⚠️ Target 1: 105,000 (local demand zone) ⚠️ Target 2: 102,500–103,000 (full MMC retrace) ⚠️ Watchlist Considerations: Two key economic news events (highlighted on chart) could serve as catalysts. Wait for confirmation and volume breakout before committing to either side. This is a textbook MMC compression pattern, and patience is key before reacting. 🧠 What Makes This an MMC Setup? 🔄 Mirror Reflection of past rallies and drops forming current wedge 🧩 Mind Curve Boundaries acting like subconscious trend guides 🔁 CHoCH + BOS sequencing for momentum shift detection 💡 Psychological memory zones holding strong reactions 📌 Summary BTC is caught in a psychological squeeze between mind curve support and resistance. Structure favors a coming breakout or breakdown, but confirmation is critical. MMC tools show a high-probability setup—either toward 112K or 103K based on where the breakout happens. 📣 Community CTA (Call-to-Action): 📊 How are you trading this BTC curve compression? 💬 Share your charts, setups, or alternate views below. Let’s decode the market mirror together.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
GOLD (XAUUSD) Full Analysis – MMC Strategy in Action + Target🧠 What is Mirror Market Concepts (MMC)? MMC is a psychological and technical framework that interprets market movements as mirrors of past behaviors, often using curves, rays, and emotional imprints to forecast price flow. It assumes that price reacts not just to levels but to memory zones left by institutional actions. 🧭 Chart Overview and Interpretation 1. Black Mind Curve Resistance: The black curved line represents a dynamic resistance zone where the market previously showed sensitivity. It aligns with psychological levels where institutional interest faded, marking a high-probability rejection point. Note the smooth arc — MMC suggests such curves reflect subconscious market resistance. 2. Blue Ray – Institutional Reaction Line: The blue ray points to a previous impulsive reaction zone near 3,320, marking an emotional high. Price sharply rejected this area again, creating a mirror rejection. This symmetry is key in MMC — the present move is reflecting the structure of the past. 3. SR Interchange Zone (Support-turned-Resistance): Around the 3,290 level, price previously bounced from this zone (demand), but it has now flipped to act as resistance. This SR Interchange is significant in MMC as it represents a "mental switch" — demand has turned into fear-based supply. 4. Break of Market Structure + Retest: A clean break below the short-term bullish trendline followed by a rejection retest confirms the shift in structure. This breakdown confirms bears are in control for now. The recent candles show clear rejection wicks from the retest zone. 🎯 Trade Plan (Bearish Setup) Entry Zone: 🔹 Enter between 3,275 – 3,285, where price is rejecting the SR flip and mind curve. Target Zone: 🎯 First TP: 3,250 (MMC Support Zone – highlighted in purple below) 🛑 Optional Second TP: 3,240 if momentum continues post-news event. Stop Loss: 🔺 Above 3,300 to allow space for false spikes, just beyond the curve rejection zone. 📉 Why This Setup Works (Psychological Flow) The current price action is mirroring the left side of the chart — the same way price impulsively rose from a zone, it's now impulsively falling back into it. The rejection from the Black Curve and Blue Ray are not just technical — they are emotional resistance zones, meaning institutions remember the reaction. This creates internal balance that MMC traders look to exploit, riding the memory of the market. 🔔 Risk Factors & Considerations Watch for the USD-related news event on the calendar (noted on chart). If high-impact, it can cause volatility and short-term spikes. If price breaks and holds above 3,300, the bearish idea becomes invalid — don’t fight the market. 🧵 MMC Concepts Highlighted in This Chart Black Mind Curve Zone – Dynamic psychological resistance Blue Ray – Emotional ray from institutional rejection SR Interchange – Support becomes resistance Mirror Symmetry – Price behavior is reflecting the past Emotional Imprint Zones – Past reactions leave future footprints 🗨️ Community Call-to-Action (CTA) 💬 What’s your view on GOLD today? Are you using Mirror Market Concepts in your trading? Drop your thoughts, charts, or alternate views below — let’s build solid MMC case studies together!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
US court blocks Trump tax plan, GOLD falls sharplyOANDA:XAUUSD was sold off heavily in early morning trading on Thursday (May 29), with the price of gold falling to around $3,246/ounce, down more than $40 on the day. Bloomberg reported that gold prices fell for the fourth consecutive day as the market digested news that a US trade court had blocked Trump's global tariff program. Gold prices fell 2% in the previous three trading days. On Wednesday local time, a US federal court blocked the tariff policy announced by US President Trump on April 2, "Liberation Day", and ruled that Trump exceeded his authority and imposed comprehensive tariffs on countries that export more to the United States than they import. The Court of International Trade in Manhattan said the US Constitution gives Congress the exclusive power to regulate trade with other countries, and the emergency powers the president declared to protect the US economy do not override those powers. The lawsuit was filed by the Liberty Center for Justice, a non-profit, nonpartisan litigation organization in the United States, on behalf of small American businesses affected by the tariffs. It is the first major legal challenge to Trump’s tariff policies. The U.S. Court of International Trade has ruled that most of Trump’s tariffs are illegal, sending the dollar even higher. A stronger dollar makes gold less attractive to buyers of safe-haven assets. The Trump administration has filed a notice to appeal the ruling. The US Supreme Court is likely to have the final say in the landmark case, which could affect trillions of dollars in global trade. The court's ruling dealt a blow to a pillar of the Republican Party's economic agenda and could reduce gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold will recover soon after falling to the important support level of 3,250 USD, note that you have read in the previous issues. However, falling below the Fibonacci 0.382% level with EMA21 is a negative signal for bullish expectations as this area becomes the nearest resistance. But overall, gold is still in an uptrend with the channel as the main trend. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching the nearest support at 50, an upward bend from this level would be considered a positive signal in terms of momentum. As long as gold remains in/above the channel, I remain bullish and the notable positions are listed below. Support: 3,250 – 3,228 USD Resistance: 3,392 – 3,300 – 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3292 - 3290⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3296 →Take Profit 1 3284 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3278 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3203 - 3205⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3199 →Take Profit 1 3211 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3217
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
Salesforce Goes Shopping: Acquires Informatica for $8 BillionSalesforce (NYSE: CRM) has taken a major step in its growth strategy by announcing the acquisition of Informatica (NYSE: INFA) for approximately $8 billion. Informatica closed yesterday at $24.29 per share. This deal, Salesforce’s largest since acquiring Slack in 2021, aims to strengthen its artificial intelligence ecosystem and solidify its position in the enterprise data management market, which now exceeds $150 billion. Salesforce will pay $25 per share, representing a 30% premium. The acquisition seeks to integrate Informatica’s data management capabilities with Salesforce’s Agentforce AI platform, enabling the company to offer more advanced cloud-based solutions to enterprise clients. Financial Results On the financial front, Salesforce reported strong results for the first quarter of its fiscal year 2026 (FY2026), which began on February 1 of this year. Revenue reached $9.83 billion, representing an 8% increase year-over-year. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $2.58, beating market expectations. In light of this performance, Salesforce has raised its full-year revenue guidance to a range between $41.0 and $41.3 billion. Strong demand for cloud solutions and the momentum of artificial intelligence are driving this growth. Technical Analysis Salesforce shares closed at $277.19 on May 28, trading within a daily range of $315.87 to $241.08. Over the past twelve months, the stock has experienced significant volatility, peaking at $368 during the year-end rally and bottoming at $229.64 in early April amid market tensions related to Trump’s tariff announcements. The current price sits around the mid-range control zone, suggesting a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. Moving averages are showing signs of indecision, with a sideways trend reinforced by a neutral RSI, indicating the potential for a technical rebound if no clear short-term direction emerges. From a Fibonacci retracement perspective, the price reached the 50% level in mid-May and appears to be forming a bullish support zone. If the market reacts positively to the Informatica acquisition, the stock may move toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level, slightly below the previous consolidation range. This could pave the way for a more sustained recovery in the coming months. Conclusion The acquisition of Informatica marks a new strategic chapter for Salesforce, reinforcing its commitment to artificial intelligence and its dominance in the enterprise data market. Backed by strong financials and an optimistic outlook for the rest of the fiscal year, the deal could serve as a catalyst for a new growth phase. While technical indicators suggest some short-term caution, the fundamental context points to a solid foundation for renewed upward momentum. The market’s reaction in the coming sessions will be key to confirming this potential trend shift. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
NYSE:CRMLong
by ActivTrades
US DOLLAR INDEX Correlation Between Dollar Index (DXY), 10-Year Bond Yields, Bond Prices, and Interest Rates 1. Bond Prices vs. Yields Inverse Relationship: Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions. When bond prices rise, yields fall (e.g., demand for safe-haven assets drives prices up). When bond prices fall, yields rise (e.g., selling pressure due to inflation fears). Example: A 1% Fed rate hike can cause bond prices to drop, pushing 10-year yields up by ~1.3% . 2. 10-Year Bond Yields vs. Dollar Index (DXY) Positive Correlation: Typically, higher yields attract foreign capital into USD assets, strengthening the dollar. A 1% rise in 10-year yields historically correlates with a 1–2% DXY appreciation . Risk-Off Scenarios: Investors may flock to both Treasuries (pushing yields down) and USD (DXY↑), weakening the usual correlation . Policy Divergence: If the Fed delays rate cuts amid global easing, yields and DXY may diverge temporarily . 3. Interest Rates vs. Dollar Index (DXY) Direct Relationship: Higher US interest rates strengthen the dollar by attracting yield-seeking capital. A 25-basis-point Fed rate hike can boost DXY by 1–2% . Example: In 2018, Fed rate hikes to 2.5% drove DXY gains of ~8% . Inverse Impact on Bonds: Rate hikes depress bond prices (yields rise), reinforcing the DXY-yield link . 4. Interest Rates vs. Bond Yields Policy-Driven: Fed rate changes directly influence short-term yields, while long-term yields (e.g., 10-year) reflect growth/inflation expectations. The 10-year yield often leads Fed policy shifts. For example, yields fell 150 basis points ahead of 2019 rate cuts . The 2-year Treasury yield is particularly sensitive to Fed expectations, serving as a "policy barometer" . Summary Table of Relationships Factor Relationship with DXY Relationship with 10-Year Yields Bond Prices ↑ DXY ↓ (safe-haven flows weaken USD) Yields ↓ (inverse bond price-yield link) 10-Year Yields ↑ DXY ↑ (capital inflows) — Interest Rates ↑ DXY ↑ (yield appeal) Yields ↑ (policy tightening) Risk-Off Sentiment DXY ↑ (safe-haven demand) Yields ↓ (bond buying) Key Exceptions and Contexts Term Premium Dynamics: Recent 10-year yield spikes (e.g., to 4.54%) are driven by market psychology (90% due to deficits/inflation fears vs. 10% fundamentals) . Economic Growth Differentials: Stronger US GDP growth (vs. peers) supports both yields and DXY, while weak growth decouples them . Geopolitical Risks: Trade tensions (e.g., US-China tariffs) can strengthen DXY as a safe haven, even if yields dip . Conclusion The Dollar Index (DXY) and 10-year bond yields generally share a positive correlation, reinforced by interest rate policies and capital flows. However, this relationship can weaken during risk-off environments or when fiscal/monetary policies diverge. Bond prices and yields remain inversely tied, while Fed rate decisions directly impact both yields and the dollar. Traders should monitor growth data, inflation trends, and central bank signals to navigate these interconnected dynamics. #DOLLAR #USD #GOLD #SILVER #COPPER
TVC:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
XAG/USD finds support as buyers build momentum.Silver price (XAG/USD) halts its losing streak, trading around $33.20 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Thursday. There is a good chance silver could retest the immediate support at the twenty-day EMA of $32.87. A push below this level could weaken the short and medium-term price momentum to the downside and put downward pressure on the grey metal around the lower boundary at $31.80. On the upside, the XAG/USD pair could explore the region around the rectangle’s upper boundary at $33.70, aligned with the seven-week high at $33.71, reached on May 25. A break above this crucial resistance zone could cause the influx of the bullish bias and lead the silver price to approach the seven-month high of $34.60, last seen on March 28.
TVC:SILVER
by Blueberry
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 29, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention today: 15:30 EET. USD - Initial jobless claims 22:00 EET. USD - Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will deliver a speech. GBPUSD: GBP/USD pared further gains on Wednesday, stumbling for the second session in a row and falling below 1.3500 after failing to regain 1.3600 earlier this week. Sterling markets are retreating from the upper limit of the bullish trend that lifted GBPUSD to multi-year highs, but the momentum remains favourable for sterling buyers. The latest minutes of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate meeting held on 6-7 May showed that the Fed's wait-and-see stance has deep roots. At the last Fed meeting, policymakers noted that the US dollar's (USD) status as a safe haven has suffered recently. They warned that a more ‘durable change’ in the dollar's status could have long-term consequences for the US economy. Almost all FOMC members at the May rate meeting agreed that inflation risks could prove to be more ‘persistent than expected.’ Fed officials directly pointed to tariffs as a key factor in the FOMC's downgrade of its outlook for the US economy, and the FOMC blamed the Trump administration and its inconsistent tariff policy for the deterioration in the US economic situation and uncertain outlook for inflation and growth. The rest of the trading week remains tense for the US. On Thursday, US gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the first quarter will be released. On Friday, the trading week will end with the release of US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation data for April. Markets are hoping for a continued easing of key inflation indicators before the effects of the Trump administration's tariff policy begin to be reflected in the core data. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3450, SL 1.3430, TP 1.3540
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/USD short: IEEPA; You're fired...Hello traders I have been sitting on my hands since my last post. Thanks to @InternalTraderNYC to exercise patience. No trades, no harm. But keeping an eagle eye on the daily market chaos. I know this may come across as "told you so" but whatever I post is always with the goal of bouncing ideas and insights off my fellow trading warriors. I mentioned the IEEPA and the Court of International Trade as a reminder that there are legal avenues to contest the tariffs in this idea I had been following any and all developments after the 14 state lawsuit that challenged the validity of using the IEEPA as a pretext to impose the tariffs. Although I was dubious about any mechanism/court/legislation/congressional action that could moderate the tariffs, the Court of International Trade, based in Manhattan, NY has spoken. The USD rallied as a result for, oh, so many reasons. The FOMC interest rate is still the highest of the G7. Trump's Big Beautiful Bill was already on thin ice with the House because it was predicated on increasing our insane national debt because "tariffs" would pay for the tax cuts for the 1%. The bond market is already showing signs of US borrowing power becoming cheaper. There is finally an adult in the room: The Court of International Trade. Musk has officially departed the employ of the United States Government after criticizing Trump's Big Beautiful Bill. No one knows what happened behind closed doors but what we all know is that no one is allowed to contradict or criticize DJT... At this point, I'll gloat. :)) I mentioned in one of my Ideas that Musk will be the first to depart the Trump inner circle. Only so much room for two of the biggest three narcissists on the planet. Yup, Putin is number 3. The FOMC mentioned the "R" word in their minutes that were published today: Recession possibility stemming from trade policy. Let's see what the US Senate does with this bill. Stay tuned folks and watch the developments. This mess is far from over. It is all but guaranteed that this will head to the US Supreme Court. As for trades, I am inserting a link to my previous Christmas Tree chart layout. www.tradingview.com The most important take away is that the 10Y T-bill is already cheaper for a higher yield. Best of luck!!!
by jvrfxalerts
1