Fundamental Analysis
SUIUSD Just take your time no rush BUT. . .You better hurry. I don't feel like waiting Honestly. So, I did see a bullish flag, but I might be tripping and looking too deep into it. But it is getting to a point where I need to see you perform. But seeing the candle stick pattern I'm thinking might just see a full-on reversal honestly. But we will be vigilant and watch and wait.
SOLUSD Cup and Handle What does this mean? Do you think it means what I think it means I think it means something, but we won't know until we see it goes in that general direction until then hold on to your hats, we might just take off full of fuel.
How ever if it does a reversal just be careful and make sure you don't crash and burn tomorrow will be a very decisive day. Election day I mean.
Copper Breakout: Bullish Trend After 0.6Fib RetracementI’ve initiated a long position in Copper after a successful retracement to the 0.6 Fibonacci level, which triggered my entry. The bullish trend looks solid, and I am targeting the 0.7 Fibonacci level for my take-profit (TP), aligning perfectly with my point of interest around the 4.800 level. As of now, Copper is facing resistance in the 4.300–4.400 price zone, but a breakout here will prompt me to adjust the stop-loss (SL) and take partial profits. Until the breakout occurs, the trade criteria remain as shown in the chart.
Technical Analysis:
• Entry: Near the 0.6 Fibonacci retracement level.
• Target (TP): 4.800 (aligned with the 0.7 Fibonacci level).
• Stop-Loss (SL): To be adjusted after a clean breakout above 4.400.
• Market Structure: The price has respected the Fibonacci retracement levels and is set for a potential breakout to the upside. The bullish trend remains intact, supported by clean retracement patterns.
Fundamental Outlook:
Copper prices have been fluctuating due to external factors, including China’s economic measures, which have helped support the market. However, half of those gains have retraced as market participants begin to question the scale of the stimulus. Despite this, the long-term view for Copper remains bullish, especially with solid demand linked to the energy transition and rising input costs.
Additionally, factors like U.S. rate cuts and China’s fiscal policies will play a key role in driving future demand. The current short-term outlook remains dependent on stimulus from China, as well as the timing and impact of U.S. rate cuts. Should demand recover, Copper could potentially rally towards the 4.800 level as targeted.
Risk Management:
• The SL will remain flexible, adjusted accordingly based on the price action and breakout strength.
• Partial profits will be taken in the 4.400 range, with the remainder held for the final target at 4.800.
• The position is managed carefully to avoid exposure to market volatility in the lower ranges.
Always remember to Pay Yourself by taking partial profits when the trade moves in your favor!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Doomsday Coming for $TIASummary:
The LSE:TIA market is on the brink of a significant downturn as market makers and exchanges prepare to hunt shorters before the impending selling pressure becomes unmanageable. With a lack of regulations, the environment is ripe for manipulation, and the sharks are circling, ready to capitalize on the blood in the water.
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Key Points:
1. Current Market Dynamics:
- The circulating supply of LSE:TIA is 218.41 million, with a staggering 80.85% (175 million) of that supply set to unlock soon. This is a critical moment for traders, as the potential for inflation is imminent.
2. Pending Undelegation:
- An additional 17.5% (37.6 million) is pending undelegation. Keep in mind that unbonding takes 21 days , and many savvy traders are looking to front-run the unlock, which could exacerbate the selling pressure.
- For detailed undelegation statistics, refer to the analysis on smartstake.
3. Misleading Information:
- There is a lot of misinformation circulating, with some traders claiming that the upcoming unlock is bullish. This is clearly not the case.
- WARNING: Do not listen to those who are promoting this narrative! Many of them may be affiliated with market makers or large LSE:TIA stakeholders who are hoping to offload their assets before a potential crash.
4. Upcoming Unlocks:
- There are many significant unlocks but here are three of them on the horizon, with millions of dollars worth of LSE:TIA expected to be sold just before the cliff unlock.
- For verification, check smartstake.
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Conclusion:
The situation surrounding LSE:TIA is precarious, and traders should be cautious. The combination of significant unlocks, pending undelegation, and the potential for market manipulation suggests that a downturn is imminent. Stay informed and make decisions based on solid analysis rather than hype.
**Disclaimer:** This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
COCO Growth is ExplodingCOCO has been on a roll over the last year 18.70% growth in the stock. It's market cap is 1.96B versus the enterprise value of 1.66B which is showing strength in less debt than cashflow. This business is not showing signs of hemorrhaging cash. It has been steady in growth since 2019. With a Stop Loss of 12%, this should be a great long term swing player. RSI is a little hot at 76.60 but, the growth and volume is showing us a strong company.
Transforming Urban Mobility Through Innovation (MUST READ)In the early 21st century, urban transportation underwent a significant transformation, largely due to the innovative approaches of Uber, Grab, and Ryde. These companies not only redefined ride-hailing but also expanded into comprehensive platforms offering diverse services.
Uber – From a Simple Idea to a Global Phenomenon
Uber's inception traces back to 2008 in Paris, where co-founders Travis Kalanick and Garrett Camp, after facing difficulties in hailing a cab, envisioned a service that allowed users to request rides via a mobile application.
This concept materialised in 2009 with the launch of UberCab in San Francisco, providing a platform that connected passengers with drivers of luxury vehicles. The service quickly gained popularity for its convenience and efficiency. By 2010, Uber had officially launched in San Francisco, and in 2011, it expanded to New York City, marking the beginning of its rapid global growth.
The introduction of UberX in 2012, which allowed non-professional drivers to offer rides, significantly reduced costs and broadened the user base. Despite facing regulatory challenges and competition, Uber continued to innovate, introducing services like UberEats for food delivery and Uber Freight for logistics. In 2019, Uber went public, solidifying its position as a leader in the ride-hailing industry. As of November 2024, Uber's market capitalisation stands at approximately $154.24 billion, reflecting its substantial growth and influence in the global market.
Grab – Southeast Asia's Super-App Evolution
In Southeast Asia, Grab's journey began in 2012 when Anthony Tan and Tan Hooi Ling, inspired by the challenges of the local taxi industry, launched MyTeksi in Malaysia. The app aimed to improve safety and efficiency in taxi services.
Recognising the diverse needs of Southeast Asian consumers, Grab expanded its services beyond ride-hailing. It introduced GrabBike for motorcycle taxis, GrabFood for food delivery, and GrabPay for digital payments, evolving into a comprehensive super-app.
A significant milestone was reached in 2018 when Grab acquired Uber's Southeast Asian operations, solidifying its dominance in the region. In 2021, Grab went public through a merger with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC), marking one of the largest SPAC deals at the time. As of November 2024, Grab's market capitalisation is approximately $16.12 billion, underscoring its significant presence in the Southeast Asian market.
Ryde – Singapore's Emerging Contender
Founded in 2014 by Terence Zou, Ryde began as a carpooling platform in Singapore, aiming to offer a cost-effective and eco-friendly alternative to traditional ride-hailing services. Over the years, Ryde expanded its offerings to include private-hire car services, catering to a broader customer base. In March 2024, Ryde made history by becoming Singapore's first ride-hailing startup to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol "RYDE."
Despite its smaller scale compared to industry giants Uber and Grab, Ryde has shown potential for growth. As of November 2024, Ryde's market capitalisation stands at approximately $15 million. The company's focus on niche markets and commitment to innovation position it as a promising player in the ride-hailing industry. Ryde still has a huge room to grow, as compared to its other peers.
GOLD Market Analysis: Trade Setup & Risk Management🌟 GOLD Analysis & Risk Management 🌟
📈 Market Insight : Gold has reached last week's support line, and we anticipate a bounce back into the gold zone area and supply zone on the 30-minute timeframe . This setup presents an opportunity for potential upside movement. ⚡
📝 Risk Management for GOLD Setup :
🔹 Position Size : Keep your position size aligned with your risk tolerance (e.g., 1-2% of your total capital). This helps manage potential losses effectively. 📊
🔹 Stop Loss (SL) : Commit to your SL at 2727 as your protective barrier to limit significant losses. 🛑
🔹 Take Profit (TP) Strategy : Secure gains by taking profit at these strategic levels:
- TP1 : 2742 🥇
- TP2 : 2746 🥈
- TP3 : 2750 🥉
- TP4 : 2753 🚀
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio (RR) : Ensure the trade maintains an RR of at least 1:1.5 . This balances potential gains against risk effectively. 💰⚖️
🔹 Plan & Discipline : Stay true to your trading plan and avoid emotional reactions. Trust your analysis and strategy for a consistent approach. 🧘♂️
🔹 Capital Preservation : Your first priority is protecting your capital; profit should come second. A sustainable strategy ensures long-term success in trading. 🛡️
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Trade with confidence and stick to your risk management plan! 🤝✨
Pudumjee Paper Products LtdTarget in chart - Longterm play
Fundamentals
Market Cap
₹ 1,191 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 125
High / Low
₹ 136 / 46.2
Stock P/E
9.41
Book Value
₹ 57.5
Dividend Yield
0.48 %
ROCE
26.8 %
ROE
20.9 %
Face Value
₹ 1.00
Price to book value
2.18
Intrinsic Value
₹ 120
PEG Ratio
0.23
Price to Sales
1.43
Debt
₹ 15.2 Cr.
Debt to equity
0.03
Int Coverage
48.7
Reserves
₹ 537 Cr.
Promoter holding
71.3 %
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
EPS last year
₹ 10.3
Net CF
₹ -4.95 Cr.
Price to Cash Flow
8.96
Free Cash Flow
₹ 126 Cr.
OPM last year
17.3 %
Return on assets
13.9 %
Industry PE
9.41
Sales growth
12.7 %
11/4/24 - $tdc - another Q from the sidelines 4 me11/4/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:TDC
another Q from the sidelines 4 me
- in "theory" these guys can do >$300 mm of FCF on EV of mid 3's billion which is "great" yield.
- But... and probably with two T's...
- The market is simply having a tough time buying growth sub 10%, nevermind mid singles, and especially declining growth.
- While a quarter can change a lot, esp wrt guidance/ outlook etc. and that's an important caveat, in a week like this one where we have a 4-year catalyst which will probably create some wild waves, this stonk simply isn't a good R/R, layup or obvious to me (even the obvious plays in my portfolio aren't obvious ST!!)
- so i bid you good luck if you own this thing. i struggle to understand if i'd even buy a dip on a miss (probably not), and we've seen stuff that misses getting sent to Hades in a Burkin
- also the perma-bid from last quarter's big drop in a straightline fashion is hellasketch. this tells me a. someone knows it's worth buying (and i can't see this ^ per the above comments), or b. there's some weird MM stuff going on to find bids before they send it... again... lower. i don't want to guess. so i just watch.
V
Berkshire Hathaway | No More Apple Pie & Bank Bread!No More Apple Pie and Bank Bread | Buffett’s Recipe for Market Caution
Berkshire Hathaway has recently disclosed its earnings amid fluctuating around a $1 trillion valuation. A notable update is its continued reduction of stakes in overvalued assets, including a 20% decrease in holdings of Apple and Bank of America, boosting its cash reserves to $325 billion
Although Warren Buffett himself isn't favoring share buybacks at present, Berkshire Hathaway stands as a compelling investment option
Why Berkshire Hathaway's $325 Billion Cash Pile Signals Market Caution
The company's net earnings remain subject to significant fluctuations due to rules requiring valuation changes of investment holdings. However, there was a slight decline in operating earnings, mainly driven by lower insurance underwriting income. Despite this, that segment is historically volatile, and year over year aka YoY, the company has maintained strong performance.
Yea2date aka YTD, operating earnings have risen over 10%, totaling just under $33 billion compared to just below $29 billion last year. This points to an annualized earnings estimate of approximately $44 billion, implying a price2earnings aka P/E ratio of about 22, without factoring in over $320 billion in cash and significant investment holdings.
Excluding cash and investments, the adjusted P/E ratio is closer to single digits. Share buybacks have paused, reflected in a ~1% decrease in the outstanding shares YoY, signaling Berkshire's assessment of current market valuations.
Segment Highlights
The various business units within Berkshire Hathaway showcase its robust asset base and earning capacity. Insurance underwriting income saw a sharp YoY drop, but other business areas performed strongly. Income from insurance investments remained solid, and BNSF, its railroad subsidiary, also showed strong results despite a double digit YoY decline.
Berkshire Hathaway Energy continues its growth, cementing its position in the utility sector with significant renewable energy ventures. For context, NextEra Energy (NEE), with a market capitalization of $160 billion, posted quarterly earnings around 10% higher.
Berkshire's other controlled and non-controlled businesses contribute over $13 billion annually, underpinning its diversification and consistent earnings performance. This strength across segments underscores its formidable financial health.
Market Context
Currently, market valuations are elevated by historical standards.
Excluding periods of earnings dips, market enthusiasm is exceptionally high, with the S&P 500 P/E ratio nearing 30x, approaching levels last seen in 1999. Buffett and Berkshire appear to view a 3% yield from such a P/E as unattractive, especially when bonds offer higher returns.
The 2008 Playbook
Berkshire's track record of effectively utilizing its cash reserves is notable. Excluding its insurance float, the company still holds $150 billion in cash.
During the 2008 financial crisis, Berkshire leveraged its liquidity for strategic investments in companies like General Electric, Swiss Re, Dow Chemical, and Bank of America, as well as finalizing the full acquisition of BNSF in 2010. This proactive use of capital proved advantageous.
The current strategic sale of assets suggests Berkshire is preparing for potential market downturns. Given high S&P 500 valuations, reallocating part of an S&P 500 position into Berkshire Hathaway could be wise, ensuring exposure to a cash-rich portfolio capable of seizing future opportunities. Meanwhile, Berkshire’s earnings are valued lower than the broader market, potentially minimizing major downturn risks.
Investment Risks
A key risk is that timing the market is inherently challenging, with the adage "time in the market beats timing the market" serving as a caution. If Berkshire's market outlook is incorrect, its $300+ billion in cash could underperform while broader markets remain strong, which would diminish its appeal as an investment.
Final Thoughts
Berkshire Hathaway has taken the bold step of liquidating some of its most significant and priciest holdings, opting to incur capital gains taxes to increase liquidity. This move has bolstered its cash position to $325 billion, $150 billion above its float level. Meanwhile, its strong operational businesses continue generating healthy cash flow.
Drawing on its successful strategies during the 2008 crisis, Berkshire appears to be positioning itself for another downturn amid current high market valuations. We advise investors to consider shifting part of their S&P 500 exposure into Berkshire Hathaway for enhanced diversification and potential benefits in a market correction, long story short Berkshire Hathaway remains a robust investment opportunity but wont make millionaire!
What do you think moonypto fam?
HK50 "Hong Kong" CFD Market Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Nǐ hǎo! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist HK50 "Hong Kong" CFD Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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Possible Euro StrengthI’m monitoring for Euro strength against the US Dollar in the near to mid-term. Based on my data, the risk-to-reward ratio appears very favorable. I plan to start building a long position on the EURUSD pair if it falls below 1.07, only initiating the trade once this threshold is reached. If it doesn’t, I will refrain from entering. Given the strong current momentum, it’s possible the pair could move significantly lower, so I’ll begin with a small initial position. I scale into and out of my trades gradually, taking multiple smaller positions along the way.
Possible Canadian Dollar StrengthI’m monitoring for Canadian Dollar strength in the near to mid-term. Based on my data, the risk-to-reward ratio appears very favorable. I plan to start building a short position on the USDCAD pair if it rises above 1.40, only initiating the trade once this threshold is reached. If it doesn’t, I will refrain from entering. Given the strong current momentum, it’s possible the pair could move significantly higher, so I’ll begin with a small initial position. I scale into and out of my trades gradually, taking multiple smaller positions along the way.
11/4/24 - $inta - Pass at $50, R/R unclear11/4/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:INTA
Pass at $50, R/R unclear
- nothing i'd fade, growing flexing gross profit vs opex
- also tech B2B have put up good reactions to results all else equal so far this 3Q
- but stonk has gone from low 30s where I punted last Q to ~almost~ doubling. obvioulsy i traded out of this and recycled capital etc. etc. not surprised it kept riding, but so high? a bit surprised.
- don't love fact that stock comp remains high amt of "FCF" though again for stonks that go up, it's less an issue. nonetheless, it's still not real cash earned IMVVHO
- also adjusting for this SBC, PE of near 80x next year and 60x the following remains high.
- i'd rather watch this pitch go by
- a lot of names reporting (and i mean A LOT) this week in perhaps one of the funkiest risk weeks (team blueberry vs. team raspberry gonna have a jam fest). see no reason to punt at these levels, that's all.
- gl to all.
V