Get started

Fundamental Analysis

MSFT ChannelBetween January 2023 and July 2024 NASDAQ:MSFT had a nearly 100% expansion showing aggressive growth. For the last 8 months however, MSFT has been trading sideways in a channel between ~$455 and ~$400. During the last earnings report future growth guidance came in under expectations. Technically, there was large gap down following earnings and a retraction to the 21 EMA offering a short entry window. I took a short position here with a stop loss placed above the 21 EMA, I will be adding to this position when price breaks the support of $400 and again if it continues to fall and retracts to the $400 level. First target is the previous $373 support level, second target is the $330 support level.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Notbadchad
XAUUSD Why Might GOLD Continue To Decline Further?Why Might Gold Continue to Decline Further? According to our latest two analyses, price fluctuations have verified our first thoughts. During the initial bullish attempt, gold achieved a new all-time high of $2946.80 before retracing back below the structure to $2918.46. The following day, gold rose to $2954.80 before falling below the structure to $2916.60. For the time being, we have had two distinct fake bullish breakouts. Given the significant price reactions in that zone, Gold is likely to continue its bearish trend up to $2880. However, selling gold remains extremely dangerous due to the strong upward trend. If severe market manipulation occurs again, the price might reach a new all-time high and exceed $2955. Based on the existing statistics, it appears like Gold has a larger chance of falling this time. 🚨 XAU/USD – Fake Breakout & Bearish Move! 📉 💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 1H Chart Breakdown 🔍 Key Observations: 🔹 False Breakouts at the resistance zone indicate a lack of bullish momentum. 🔹 Price failed to hold above $2,946 - $2,954, confirming resistance. 🔹 Strong rejection led to a sharp drop below $2,916, triggering downside targets. 🔹 Bearish structure is forming, with lower highs & lower lows. 📉 Bearish Trade Setup: 📌 If price stays below $2,916, expect further downside towards: 🎯 $2,906.25 🎯 $2,889.18 🎯 $2,882.53 - $2,871.66 (final target) 📌 A break above $2,916 could invalidate the bearish scenario. 📊 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Resistance: $2,946 - $2,954 ✅ Support: $2,882 - $2,871 💬 Will gold continue its bearish trend? Drop your thoughts below!👇🔥 #gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
FX:XAUUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
2/24/25 - $deck - Mmm. Banana time, long.2/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:DECK Mmm. Banana time, long. - first. let's give a thank you to mr. analyst at jefferies who's done his best and he decided "NKE was an upgrade to buy". this is what happens when you cover the elephant in the room, and your institutional bag holders keep forcing you to take a look. eventually you throw up your hands and say "it's a buy... hold it for a few years and you'll make $" - FIRST OF ALL. we're in the business of making money today, tmr and ALSO in a few years. - the name of the game is own the best horse. - in shoes, that's $deck. - and guess what, they're having a *laughs* going out of business sale today. - so here i am. playing contrarian after taking the opposite side of what feels like everyone's bags in the last number of days. honestly. it's a bit tiring. but also, it's intellectually challenging. and that's what keeps me going. - So i'm long this thing as a ST trade, even tho it's objectively a LT buy here at sub 24x PE and 4% fcf yield for a great mgmt team, best mgns in town and growth that spits at some of the best meme tech. - long. enjoy V
NYSE:DECKLong
by VROCKSTAR
3
Market Update: Caution on $PEPEMarket Update: Caution on CRYPTOCAP:PEPE There was hope. The consolidation looked exhausted, and a daily pump was forming. Then Bybit got hacked , Bitcoin dumped, and now everything seems canceled. ⚠️ Warning: CRYPTOCAP:PEPE , despite being a solid and well-managed meme coin, is still a meme. Institutions appear to be selling off anything that looks like an animal in crypto. What to Do Now? ✅ Wait for market stabilization— CRYPTOCAP:PEPE is at an attractive price, but it can drop much lower. ✅ Refill your bag at the bottom of the correction, not during dead cat bounces —unless you're a pro at trading bearish markets. The Reversal Will Be EPIC! 🚀 This is temporary. Once the market bottoms out, the bounce could be massive. CRYPTOCAP:PEPE can do x2 or x3 in a month when sentiment improves! 🔍 DYOR
by CryptoNikkoid
1
US-Ukraine minerals deal: key commodities at stake Ukraine is set to sign an “improved” minerals deal with the US after the US dropped its claim to $500 billion in potential revenue, according to the FT. The news has boosted the euro and market sentiment, but what about the commodities involved? Ukraine holds about 5% of the world's critical raw materials, essential for EVs, clean energy, and defense. Its untapped reserves, valued at over £12 trillion, include lithium, titanium, and graphite. The US is eager to secure these resources to reduce reliance on China, which dominates 75% of rare earth production. Ukraine has commercially viable deposits of 117 key minerals. It holds 500,000 tonnes of lithium, vital for rechargeable batteries, and one of Europe's largest titanium reserves, used in aerospace and military industries. Ukraine also holds 20% of global graphite resources, crucial for EV batteries and nuclear reactors. However, 20% of Ukraine’s land, including regions with £6 trillion in mineral wealth, is currently under Russian occupation. Bordering areas containing £2.8 trillion in resources, faces an advancing Russian military.
COMEX:LTH1!
by BlackBull_Markets
XAUUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS LONG TRADE IDEA CHECK CAPTAIN This chart suggests a potential bullish reversal setup for gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Key Observations: 1. Support Zone (Around 2,885 - 2,908): The price recently dropped but found support around 2,885.926, suggesting possible buyer interest. A horizontal support line indicates this level has been tested. 2. Potential Reversal & Upside Target: A V-shaped recovery is anticipated, shown by the sharp upward arrow. The price could first retest support before a strong bullish push toward 2,960.000, aligning with the previous trendline. 3. Red Resistance Zone (Above 2,920): Previous price action faced resistance here, making it a key area to watch for confirmation of the bullish move. Possible Trade Idea: Entry: Around 2,885 - 2,908 if price confirms support. Target: 2,960 (or adjust based on structure). Stop Loss: Below 2,885 to limit downside risk.
TVC:GOLDLong
by DavidHills110
MY EURAUD Short Idea 25/2/2025This is a very interesting trade and I took it based of BNP Paribas Research trade they are short on EURAUD and their entry is at this level. However, their stop loss is at 1.6850 feel free to adjust your stop loss if you want to. Their TP is at 1.6100 which is interesting. I entered short here because the fundamentals for EUR is weaker than the AUD. In short, the interest rates in Australia is higher than in Europe. AUD's interest rate is at 4.10% and EUR's interest rate is at 2.75%. I think opportunities to short this pair is feasible but we have to watch out because Safe haven assets like Gold is dumping today and we also have Tariff threats on AUD and China. China is heavily tied to AUD so anything that affects China could affect AUD. I am still shorting the CHFJPY in a DCA style.
Short
by stingotho
2
BITCOIN → Testing $88K - $90K. False or true breakdown?BINANCE:BTCUSD enters the risk zone and forms a false breakdown of the key support zone. All eyes are on the bulls, whether they can keep their defense on the market or not.... On D1 - W1 price in global consolidation after strong growth. The focus is on 90-91K, a zone that is a strong support for the global trend. A false breakout is forming at the moment. On the Local timeframe H1 - H4 the price is testing the local channel support, as well as the risk zone 89400. If the bulls can keep the defense above 89400 - 90K, bitcoin may strengthen. The primary target in this case could be 94K Support levels: 91280, 89400 Resistance levels: 94800, 99200 Statistically, the strongest dvjeniyas are formed after a false breakdown. But there is another question here, what kind of breakout will be - true or false. In our case, we need to wait for confirmation, namely, for the price to consolidate above the key zones and levels. Emphasis on 89400, 90000, 91300 Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
17
BTC Mid-Term OutlookBitcoin is struggling to find bullish confluence, and we’re not seeing strong buy pressure at current levels. The nearest significant order blocks are much lower, around $69K, which could act as a magnet if sellers take control. Adding to the uncertainty, potential tariffs from Trump could shake up the broader market, impacting risk assets like BTC in the short term. Without a strong push from bulls soon, the market will drift lower before any meaningful reversal.
CME:BTC1!
by MrTiga
GOLD: Why Might GOLD Continue To Decline FurtherGOLD: Why Might GOLD Continue To Decline Further Based on our last two analyses, the price movements have confirmed our initial suspicions. During the first bullish attempt, Gold reached a new all-time high at $2946.80, but subsequently retraced back below the structure to $2918.46. The following day, Gold increased to $2954.80 before moving back below the structure to $2916.60. For the time being, we had two clear false bullish breakouts. Given the strong price reactions in that zone, the likelihood of Gold continuing its bearish movement up to $2880 is high. However, selling gold remains very risky due to the strong bullish trend. The price could potentially make a new all-time high and break $2955 if significant market manipulation occurs again. Based on the current data, it seems that Gold has a higher probability of moving down this time. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSDShort
by KlejdiCuni
27
GOLD: Both Scenarios ExplainedGOLD: Both Scenarios Explained In this video, I discussed the potential scenarios for GOLD. If the price moves above the current top, caution is advised as it may test a strong zone near 2965. From this zone, GOLD could experience another false breakout. If this area holds, the price should continue to rise to 3000. On the other hand, if the price remains below 2955, the odds of a downward movement will increase even more. You may watch the analysis for further details! Thank you! Previous analysis:
FX:XAUUSD
by KlejdiCuni
10
Gold's Crossroads – Dip Before the $3K Breakout? ⚖️ Gold's Crossroads – Dip Before the $3K Breakout? 🤔📉 Gold has almost hit the $3,000 mark—but not quite. 🚀 While many are ultra-bullish, let’s take a step back and consider the potential for a pullback before any new highs. Gold is expensive, and even my jeweler friend admits it’s becoming more of a store of value than a commodity for luxury. That brings us to a key question: Is a drop coming first? 🔄 Two Possible Scenarios: 1️⃣ Pullback First (More Likely) – Gold could drop toward $2,794, or even deeper to $2,575, where the all-time trendline support sits. A cooling-off period makes sense, especially after such an extended rally. 📉 2️⃣ Breakout to New Highs – If buying pressure holds, a clean push above $3K could send gold toward $3,294 - $3,600, and even EUROTLX:4K later in the cycle. 🚀 🔍 The Fort Knox Question 🤯 There’s growing speculation about the $400 billion in gold reserves at Fort Knox. If something unexpected is uncovered, could that fuel a major gold rally? Or will Bitcoin, the digital gold, start to steal some of its shine? It’s a fascinating time for gold traders. While the long-term outlook remains bullish, a dip before liftoff seems like the logical play. Let’s stay sharp. ⚡📊 P.S. Gold has risen even with the USD remaining expensive and interest rates still high—which is not the norm. Could it be that we see gold detach from its historical correlations and trade in a completely new paradigm? 🤔 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
COMEX:GC1!
by FX_Professor
7
GOLD ACCORDING TO MY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 400PIPS GIVEN US.This chart represents a technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's what it suggests: Key Observations 1. Trend & Price Action: Two bullish channels (marked in blue) show previous uptrends. Price broke out of these channels sharply, leading to a strong downtrend. 2. Resistance & Support Levels: $2,942.35 and $2,928.70 are resistance zones where price previously rejected. $2,887.82 is a support zone, marking the 400-pip drop from the resistance area. 3. Breakdown & Price Projection: After testing resistance, price dropped aggressively, as indicated by the downward arrows. The chart suggests a potential retracement before continuing downward toward $2,887.82. Conclusion This chart highlights a successful short trade setup on Gold, capturing 400 pips. It shows a bearish continuation pattern, with possible minor pullbacks before further downside. Are you planning to share this as a trade recap or looking for the next setup?
TVC:GOLDShort
by DavidHills110
ETHUSDT TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE CHECK CAPTAIN This chart represents an analysis of Ethereum (ETH) against Tether (USDT) on a 1-hour timeframe from Binance. Here’s a breakdown of the key elements: 1. Price Action & Trendlines The chart shows previous ascending channels (marked in blue) that led to a breakdown. The price recently dropped sharply after breaking below a key resistance zone. 2. Support & Resistance Zones The red zone around $2,621.45 indicates a resistance level where price may struggle to break through. The green zone around $2,724.32 suggests a target level if price breaks resistance. 3. Fibonacci & Technical Indicators Concentric circles in red and blue suggest Fibonacci-based confluence levels. The price has reached a potential support level (marked with the lightning bolt icon), suggesting a possible reversal. 4. Projected Movement The black arrow suggests a bullish rebound from $2,423.12, targeting $2,621.45 first. If price breaks the resistance, it could move toward $2,724.32. Conclusion The chart predicts a potential bullish recovery, but confirmation is needed with price action at $2,423. If ETH holds this support, it may rally toward $2,621 and higher. However, if it fails, further downside is possible. Would you like me to analyze this further or suggest a trading approach?
Long
by DavidHills110
Australian dollar awaiting inflation dataThe Australian dollar is steady after two straight losing trading days.  In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6343, down 0.09% on the day. Australia releases the consumer price index for January on Wednesday. Inflation has been moving higher, as CPI accelerated in December to 2.5% y/y, up from 2.3% and its highest level since August.  The market estimate for January stands at 2.6%. Inflation remains within the Reserve Bank of Australia's target band of 2%-3% but the central bank remains concerned about upside risks to inflation.  The RBA finally lowered rates last week after maintaining rates for over a year and joined most of the major central banks which are in the midst of an easing cycle.  The RBA delivered a "hawkish cut" as the central bank stated it "remains cautious" on the possibility of further cuts and the markets aren't expecting a rate cut before May. The latest headache for RBA policymakers is the Trump administration which has hit China with tariffs and threatened to apply tariffs to other trading partners.  This could lead to another trade war with China which would likely raise inflation and hurt China's economy.  China is Australia's largest trading partner and a slowdown in China would hurt Australia's key export sector. The US releases the Conference Board consumer confidence index later today. The market estimate stands at 102.5 for January, down from 104.1 in December. The US consumer is spending, as retail sales for December rose 0.4% m/m and 5.5% annualized from November. The labor market is strong, wages are outpacing inflation and the economy is humming. This rosy picture means that the Federal Reserve isn't under pressure to lower rates and the markets aren't expecting another rate cut before June. AUD/USD tested support at 0.6331 earlier.  Below, there is support at 0.6314 0.6362 and 0.6379 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA