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Fundamental Analysis

Is Gold the Ultimate Safe Haven in 2025?In the labyrinthine world of finance, gold has once again captured the spotlight, breaking records as speculative buying and geopolitical tensions weave a complex narrative around its valuation. The precious metal's price surge is not merely a reaction to market trends but a profound statement on the global economic landscape. Investors are increasingly viewing gold as a beacon of stability amidst an ocean of uncertainty, driven by the Middle East's ongoing unrest and the strategic maneuvers of central banks. This phenomenon challenges us to reconsider the traditional roles of investment assets in safeguarding wealth against international volatility. The inauguration of Donald Trump as President has injected further intrigue into the gold market. His administration's initial steps, notably the delay in imposing aggressive tariffs, have led to a nuanced dance between inflation expectations and U.S. dollar strength. Analysts from major financial institutions like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are now dissecting how Trump's policies might steer inflation, influence Federal Reserve actions, and ultimately, dictate gold's trajectory. This intersection of policy and market dynamics invites investors to think critically about how political decisions can reshape economic landscapes. China's burgeoning appetite for gold, exemplified by the frenzied trading of gold-related ETFs, underscores a broader shift towards commodities as traditional investment avenues like real estate falter. The Chinese central bank's consistent gold acquisitions reflect a strategic move towards diversifying reserves away from the U.S. dollar, particularly in light of global economic sanctions. This strategic pivot in one of the world's largest economies poses a compelling question: are we witnessing a fundamental realignment in global financial power structures, with gold at its core? As we navigate through 2025, gold's role transcends simple investment; it becomes a narrative of economic resilience and geopolitical foresight. The interplay between inflation, monetary policy, and international relations not only affects gold's price but also challenges investors to adapt their strategies in an ever-evolving market. Can gold maintain its luster as the ultimate Safe Haven, or will new economic paradigms shift its golden allure? This enigma invites us to delve deeper into the metal's historical significance and its future in a world where certainty is a luxury few can afford.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by UDIS_View
XAUUSD SELLDear Traders, I wanted to inform you that I am planning to take a short position on gold. Both technical and fundamental factors are strongly supporting this move right now. Recent news, such as the signing of agreements between countries to stop bombings, is a key development that could stabilize the markets. This, in turn, is expected to lead to a decline in the price of gold. This aligns perfectly with the technical signals we are seeing, making the short position on gold a good opportunity. Additionally, I will be taking a second short position to improve the risk-reward ratio further. By scaling in, we can optimize the potential returns while managing the risk more effectively. Stay focused and monitor the markets closely. Best of luck with your trades! Best regards, Sam Pironi
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by sampironi8
EUR/USD "The Fibre" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Fibre" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A bull trade can be initiated on the MA level breakout of 1.04400 Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 3H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 1.06000 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ Here are some neutral factors that could impact the EUR/USD pair: EU-US Trade Talks: The ongoing trade talks between the EU and US could lead to a neutral outcome, with both sides agreeing to maintain current trade relationships without making significant changes. European Central Bank (ECB) Forward Guidance: The ECB's forward guidance on interest rates and monetary policy could remain unchanged, providing no clear direction for the EUR/USD pair. US Federal Reserve (Fed) Balance Sheet: The Fed's balance sheet reduction could continue at a steady pace, having a neutral impact on the US Dollar and the EUR/USD pair. Eurozone Inflation: Eurozone inflation could remain stable, around 1.5%, which is close to the ECB's target, providing no clear direction for the EUR/USD pair. US Economic Data: US economic data, such as GDP growth, could come in as expected, providing no surprises and having a neutral impact on the EUR/USD pair. European Commission Economic Forecasts: The European Commission's economic forecasts could be revised slightly, but remain broadly in line with current expectations, providing no clear direction for the EUR/USD pair. German Economic Data: German economic data, such as GDP growth and industrial production, could come in as expected, providing no surprises and having a neutral impact on the EUR/USD pair. These neutral factors could help to stabilize the EUR/USD pair, reducing volatility and making it more challenging to predict the pair's direction. Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Long
by Thief_Trader
1
Johnson & Johnson: Awaiting ResultsJohnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), one of the global giants in the pharmaceutical, medical device and consumer sectors, is in the spotlight as it prepares to release its fourth-quarter 2024 results. Analysts and the market expect the results to reflect a combination of macroeconomic challenges and strategic opportunities that will define its performance in 2025. Expected Q4 2024 results 1. Pharmaceuticals: The pharmaceutical business remains the key revenue driver for J&J, driven by drugs such as Stelara (treatment for immune diseases) and Darzalex (multiple myeloma). However, the recent loss of exclusivity for some products could affect revenues, especially in key markets such as the United States and Europe. o Expected revenues: Moderate growth of 3-5% year-on-year is projected in the pharmaceutical segment. 2. Medical devices: The post-pandemic recovery has favored this segment, with an increase in surgical procedures and advanced therapies. However, supply chain issues and high material costs could limit gains. 3. Consumer products: The consumer division, now under the Kenvue brand, has experienced stable growth thanks to products such as Tylenol and Neutrogena. However, competition in this market remains intense, which could limit profit margins. Technical analysis with WACD The company is currently in a price correction that began in September 2024 and has moved since December last year in a range between $150 and $142 a share. Currently there have been bearish signals in the WACD indicator in its WVAP signal that show us that it can correct its price again in that range. On the other hand the smoothed triple mean seems to be extending its move from the recent lows, indicating that this signal could be short-lived and could send the price subsequently towards the high end of the range if the expected results are as indicated. Outlook for 2025 1. Pharmaceutical innovation: Johnson & Johnson has strengthened its focus on research and development, with a robust pipeline that includes oncology treatments and advanced gene therapies. Expected new drug approvals could be a key catalyst for long-term growth. 2. Legal Challenges: Litigation related to talc and other consumer products continues to be a source of uncertainty. While J&J has established a compensation fund, legal costs could affect its results in 2025. 3. Digital transformation and sustainability: The company is investing in digital technologies to improve operational efficiency and in sustainability initiatives that align its business model with market and regulatory expectations. Conclusion Johnson & Johnson faces a mixed picture in the near term, with challenges in some key segments and growth opportunities in others. Fourth quarter 2024 results will be crucial in gauging its ability to overcome current pressures and capitalize on its innovation strategy in 2025. With a focus on diversification and innovation, J&J remains a benchmark in the healthcare sector, but its success will depend on how it manages legal and macroeconomic risks in the coming years. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
NYSE:JNJ
by ActivTrades
Is a U.K. turnaround looming for Santander?Banco Santander (BME: SAN) could be considering a major strategic shift: its exit from the UK market after two decades of operations, according to recent speculation. Since the acquisition of Abbey National in 2004, the UK has been a key market for the Spanish bank. However, operational challenges, low returns and legal problems could be motivating this possible decision. Factors behind the possible withdrawal 1. Low financial returns: Santander UK has faced a significant decline in profits. In 2024, the bank's UK results posted a 45% drop, reflecting lower profitability compared to other key markets such as the U.S. and Latin America. 2. Legal and regulatory issues: Auto lending has been a constant source of litigation and stringent regulations, increasing costs and operational complexity in the country. 3. High operating costs: Maintaining a large-scale operation in the UK has proven challenging, especially in an environment of high banking competition and increasing regulatory pressures. This contrasts with the bank's strategic focus on more profitable markets with higher growth potential, such as the United States. Santander's strategic priorities The bank led by Ana Botín has shown a growing interest in markets such as the United States, where diversification and expansion potential offer better return prospects. This strategy is aligned with its focus on efficiency and resource optimization, moving away from operations that do not meet its long-term profitability objectives. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, using the ActivTrades WACD indicator, the stock is currently in a sideways range, the smoothed triple mean indicates a clear perforation of its last high zone, coinciding with the high of April and May 2024. Coinciding with the high zone of April and May 2024, the cumulative delta volumes show a bullish continuation with a gradual volume contraction. If we look at the VWAP and the SELL and BUY signals of the indicator, no signals have been given on the daily chart, but they have been given on the 1Hour chart prior to the movement that has occurred in the last three days. It can be seen that the sideways range of the stock initiated in May 2024 has been clearly perforated, so we must wait to see if the stock reaches its highs and continues its upward movement, or proceeds to correct later. Outlook and future Although there is no official confirmation about a possible withdrawal from the UK, this decision could mark an important milestone in Santander's global strategy. The UK market, although historically relevant, seems to have lost prominence to the opportunities offered by other regions. The uncertainty about Santander's future in the UK raises important questions about how its international presence will be reconfigured and how this decision could affect its image and valuation in the financial markets. Ion Jauregui –ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
BME:SANLong
by ActivTrades
Dow Jones Swing Trade Idea - Long Position I’m considering a long position on the Dow Jones following recent developments. With Trump's inaugural speech focusing on high-tech advancements and ambitions for space exploration, there’s potential for a strong rally driven by the Magnificent 7 tech companies. These companies are likely to lead the market higher, and given their influence on broader indices, this could provide a solid swing opportunity for the Dow. Key Points Supporting the Trade: Bullish Sentiment: Renewed optimism in tech and innovation sectors from policy discussions. Market Leadership: Magnificent 7 have historically outperformed during bullish tech narratives. Technical Setup: Dow appears positioned for a potential breakout, aligning with macro themes. Risk management remains key. Stop-loss levels and position sizing should align with your overall trading strategy. Let me know your thoughts or if you have additional insights! 🚀
OANDA:US30USDLong
by MasoudEskandari
1
EUR/CAD "Euro vs Canadian" Forex Market Heist Plan on Bullish🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/CAD "Euro vs Canadian" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A bull trade can be initiated on the MA level breakout of 1.50500 However I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 1.52300 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ the EUR/CAD is expected to move in a bullish direction. REASONS FOR BULLISH TREND: European Economic Recovery: The European economy is showing signs of recovery, with the Eurozone's GDP growth rate expected to increase in the coming months. This could lead to an increase in demand for the Euro, which would support the EUR/CAD. Canadian Economic Slowdown: The Canadian economy is expected to slow down in the coming months, due to the decline in oil prices and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the country's tourism and travel industries. This could lead to a decrease in demand for the Canadian Dollar, which would support the EUR/CAD. Interest Rate Divergence: The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep interest rates low, while the Bank of Canada (BoC) is expected to raise interest rates in the coming months. This interest rate divergence could lead to an increase in demand for the Euro, which would support the EUR/CAD. Trade Balance: The Eurozone's trade balance is expected to improve in the coming months, due to an increase in exports and a decrease in imports. This could lead to an increase in demand for the Euro, which would support the EUR/CAD. Technical Analysis: The technical analysis for EUR/CAD is currently bullish, with the price trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Long
by Thief_Trader
1
THETAUSDT at a Crossroads: Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?Yello, Paradisers! Is THETAUSDT gearing up for a massive breakout or bracing for a sharp breakdown? Here's what you need to know right now. 💎#THETAUSD is currently sitting at a critical support level of $1.863 an area that has previously ignited significant bullish momentum. However, the price continues to struggle to break above the descending trendline, which has acted as a stubborn resistance for weeks. This makes the next move pivotal in determining whether we’re heading for a continuation of the downward trend or a reversal into a bullish rally. 💎If the bulls defend the $1.863 support zone and successfully break above the descending trendline, we could see an upside move toward the resistance zone at $2.60–$2.80. Beyond that, the next target sits at the resistance area of $3.48, which could trigger a substantial rally if supported by strong volume and momentum. 💎However, if the $1.863 support fails to hold, #THETANETWORK could slide toward the $1.570 demand zone, where there is a pool of liquidity that may prompt a bullish rebound. That said, a clean break below this demand zone would invalidate bullish scenarios, opening the door for further bearish pressure that could drive the price even lower. Paradisers, stay sharp and disciplined! The market is brimming with both opportunities and risks, but only those who wait patiently for high-probability setups will thrive. Whether you’re leaning bullish or bearish, tight stop-losses and proper risk management are non-negotiable. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
Levels discussed on 20th Jan 2025 Livestream20th January 2025 DXY: Currently below 109.40, break above, could trade up to 110 (previous swing high), beyond that, strong resistance at 111 NZDUSD: Sell 0.5575 SL 25 TP 60 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6170 SL 15 TP 40 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2150 SL 15 TP 40 EURUSD: Sell 1.0310 SL 30 TP 110 USDJPY: Buy 156.70 SL 40 TP 120 EURJPY: Sell 161.10 SL 40 TP 120 GBPJPY: Looking for reaction at 191.15 USDCHF: Choppy between 0.91 and 0.9150 USDCAD: Buy 1.4480 SL 30 TP 60 XAUUSD: Needs to stay above 2694 (trendline) to trade up to 2722 resistance
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 21, 2025 EURUSDThe Euro-Dollar pair remains in negative territory after cutting its recent losses, trading around 1.03800 during Asian hours on Tuesday. The Euro (EUR) remains under pressure amid prevailing expectations for the European Central Bank (ECB). Markets expect a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut at each of the ECB's next four meetings, driven by concerns over the eurozone's economic outlook and the belief that inflationary pressures will remain subdued. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the U.S. dollar against six major currencies, rose to 108.30 at the time of writing. The US Dollar recovered from recent losses in the previous session, helped by news that President Donald Trump intends to direct federal agencies to review tariff policy and assess the United States' trade relations with Canada, Mexico and China. However, the dollar faced headwinds after Bloomberg reported that President Donald Trump will not immediately announce new tariffs after his inauguration on Monday. The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to keep the benchmark overnight rate in a range of 4.25 percent to 4.50 percent at its January meeting. However, investors believe that Trump's policies could lead to rising inflationary pressures, which could limit the Fed to another rate cut. Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.04000, if consolidated above consider Buy positions, if rebounded consider Sell positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
HITECH PIPES COMPLETING A W??? ARE WE MISSING A GOOD 30-40 POINTA double bottom pattern is a bullish reversal chart pattern that signals a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. It forms when a stock's price hits a support level twice, creating a "W" shape, and suggests that the stock may rally after breaking the resistance level. Hi-Tech Pipes has demonstrated notable financial performance and strategic initiatives recently: Q2 FY25 Results: The company reported a 72% increase in consolidated net profit, reaching ₹18.11 crore, despite a 5.3% decline in total income to ₹706.86 crore. This profit surge was primarily due to reduced expenses and a 22.5% rise in sales volumes to 1.23 lakh tonnes. Order Acquisition: In August 2024, Hi-Tech Pipes secured a ₹105 crore order from the renewable energy sector for supplying ERW steel pipes, indicating a strong market position and demand for its products. Fundraising Efforts: The company initiated a Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP) in October 2024, setting a floor price of ₹194.98 per share, aiming to raise up to ₹600 crore. These funds are intended to double its manufacturing capacity to 2 million tonnes per annum over the next 3-4 years, reflecting a commitment to growth and expansion. Analyst Perspective: Brokerage firm Sharekhan has initiated a 'BUY' rating on Hi-Tech Pipes, citing expectations of a 25% upside. The company is anticipated to benefit from the expected bottoming out of steel prices and has an early-mover advantage in supplying specialized steel pipes for renewable energy projects
NSE:HITECHLong
by djneshit
GOLD skyrocketed, Trump's influence provided strong supportIn the Asian market today, Tuesday, January 21, influenced by Trump's tariff comments that stimulated risk aversion, OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly jumped to 17 USD in the short term and are currently approaching the mark of 2,725 USD/ounce. Trump was sworn in as the 47th President of the United States in the Oval Office of the Capitol. US President Trump recently announced that he plans to impose tariffs on Mexico and Canada no later than February 1, possibly up to 25%, and reiterated his view that the two neighboring countries America's neighbors are allowing illegal immigration and drugs into the United States. Complaining about fentanyl and migrants crossing the northern U.S. border, Trump called Canada a “very bad abuser” and said the target date for tariffs would be “I think February 1st. " Trump made the remarks shortly after returning to the Oval Office to sign a series of executive orders. The executive orders cover everything from regulation to energy to immigration. This is an early sign that Trump has increasingly focused on trade since taking office. These comments have stimulated risk aversion in the market to increase rapidly. Not only did gold strengthen, but the safe-haven Dollar also increased strongly. Impacting the market, we can see that recently both gold and Dollar, which have a negative correlation, have increased in price together. Trump's sweeping trade tariffs are expected to spur further inflation and spark a trade war, which could increase gold's safe-haven appeal. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has approached the $2,725 level that was the initial upside target noticed by readers in the previous issue, followed by the $2,730 price point of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement. Technically, gold still has all the conditions for price increases with the trend being noticed by the green price channel, main support from EMA21 and the nearest support is the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level. Meanwhile, the uptrend of the Relative Strength Index also creates an uptrend and is still quite far from the overbought level, showing that there is still wide room for price growth ahead. Moving forward, the technical outlook for gold remains bullish and notable levels are listed below. Support: 2,700 – 2,693USD Resistance: 2,725 – 2,730 – 2,750USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2746 - 2744⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2750 →Take Profit 1 2739 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2734 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2684 - 2686⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2680 →Take Profit 1 2691 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2696
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
(XAU/USD) Gold AnalysisHello Dear traders! Must Support Me And Share Your Thoughts in comment section (XAU/USD) price movement on a 4-hour timeframe, showing an ascending channel pattern. From a technical analysis perspective, the price is moving within this upward channel, indicating a bullish trend. The suggestion here is to target potential profit levels at TP 2717 and TP 2760. The stop loss is set below the current level to manage risk if the market moves against expectations. From a fundamental analysis standpoint, factors such as macroeconomic indicators, interest rates, geopolitical events and currency fluctuations can influence gold prices. Investors may consider these elements alongside technical signals to make informed trading decisionsOverall, traders are encouraged to take a position on gold within this technical setup while considering fundamental influences that may impact future price movements. NOTE: This Ananlysis For educational purposes only not a trading advice
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by NicolusFrank