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Fundamental Analysis

High certainty pickBased on the estimated 2026 EBITDA of 76 Crs INR and Forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 21x, I think the stock may have an FV of 94 INR (upside of 20% from 79 INR). The EBITDA projection stems from assuming higher capacity utilization in 2026. The current capacity of the hospital is sitting around 71%, due to their recent expansion. I am of the view that as they market the hospital further they will get back to the 85% - 90% utilization range. To be conservative, I have modeled 85% OPD utilization in 2026, however, there may be a good shot their capacity may reach 90% in which case the stock could rally >100 INR. For OPD/IPD revenue, I have assumed no growth in 2026. If I add even below-average growth, the FV jumps >100 INR. Thus, considering the recent sell-off of 25% from its high, and decent upside in a conservative scenario, this could be an inflection point for the stock. This is not investment advice, this is what I AM GOING TO DO.
BSE:KMCSHILLong
by kurrent
Is the AI Revolution Built on a House of Cards?In the treacherous landscape of technological ambition, Nvidia emerges as a cautionary tale of unchecked corporate hubris and potentially unsustainable growth. What appeared to be an unstoppable technological juggernaut now reveals deep fissures in its seemingly impenetrable facade, with mounting challenges threatening to unravel its carefully constructed narrative of AI dominance. Specific challenges underscore this fragility: comments from Microsoft's Satya Nadella suggest a potential moderation in AI chip demand, while Alphabet's Sundar Pichai has highlighted that "the low-hanging fruit is gone" in AI model development. Beneath the glossy veneer of technological innovation lies a troubling reality of regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. Nvidia faces a perfect storm of challenges: a potential slowdown in AI chip demand, an aggressive antitrust investigation by Chinese regulators, and growing skepticism from industry leaders. The competition is intensifying, with Amazon developing its own Trainium AI chips, and Broadcom positioning itself to capture significant market share with custom AI chip solutions projected to reach $90 billion in the next three years. OpenAI co-founder Ilya Sutskever's stark statement that "we've achieved peak data" further undermines the narrative of unbridled AI growth. The broader implications are profound and deeply concerning. Nvidia's struggles represent a microcosm of the larger technological ecosystem—a world where innovation is increasingly constrained by geopolitical tensions, regulatory challenges, and the harsh economic realities of diminishing returns. Despite massive capital expenditures by tech giants—with Microsoft nearly doubling its spending to $20 billion and Meta increasing expenses by 36%—only 4% of US workers use AI daily. This stark disconnect between investment and actual utility exposes the potential fragility of Nvidia's market position, with analysts suggesting that 2024 may have been the peak in terms of percentage increase for AI-related infrastructure spending.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by UDIS_View
Gold Market Update: Indecision Dominates Ahead of FEDYesterday, OANDA:XAUUSD broke below the key confluence support at 2645. However, the drop lacked meaningful follow-through. After reaching a local low at 2633, the price reversed and closed right at the confluence level. As of now, gold remains virtually unchanged from Friday's close. Monday saw a spike up to 2665, while yesterday marked a dip to 2633, reflecting market indecision. Technical Perspective: At the time of writing, gold is trading below this critical level, currently at 2643. If the break below support proves genuine, bears will likely target the 2610-2615 zone, as highlighted in my previous analyses. Conversely, if the price climbs back above 2655, the recent dip would be considered a false breakout, shifting the focus to the upside, with the 2680 zone as the next target. FED's Influence: The market awaits clarity from the Federal Reserve’s announcement and press conference today, which could provide direction for gold in the coming days.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
4
NVIDIA's Declined over 10%, Why? When will be the Buy timing? NVIDIA fell nearly 4% today before narrowing the loss to 1.22%. Since hitting a record closing high of $148.88 in early November, the AI chip maker's stock has dropped over 10%. So, what is causing NVIDIA's decline? Firstly, Supply Chain Issues and Challenges NVIDIA faces multiple challenges in its supply chain, a significant factor in its stock decline. First, according to the latest data, the order volume and schedules for the GB200 and GB300 have been adjusted. Particularly, the mass production and shipment of GB series products have been postponed until after the Lunar New Year in February, increasing market uncertainty. Additionally, the small-scale production plans for GB300 face tight deadlines, putting pressure on GB200's mass production. Specific supply chain issues include CoWoS-L packaging technology, heating problems, copper cable connections, and leakage issues. These not only affect product yield rates but also increase system integration time costs. Consequently, NVIDIA has suggested customers purchase the B200 8-card HGX as a transitional solution, and clients like Microsoft are considering switching their orders. These supply chain issues affect NVIDIA's product delivery capabilities and reduce market expectations for its future performance. Secondly, Market Competition and Narrative Changes ASICs are gaining market recognition as a competitive narrative. ASICs are chips designed for specific tasks, akin to custom running shoes for a race. For certain tasks, ASICs outperform NVIDIA's GPUs (widely used for computing tasks) and are potentially cheaper. OpenAI co-founder Ilya and industry leaders like Microsoft's CEO Satya have started discussing the importance of not only training AI models but also ensuring they can quickly and accurately make decisions in real applications. This shift in perspective gives ASICs an advantage in some scenarios, as they are designed for rapid, precise execution of tasks. This raises questions about the cost of NVIDIA's GPUs. While powerful, they are expensive and require significant electricity and cooling. As ASICs perform better at lower costs for some tasks, there's consideration of replacing NVIDIA's GPUs with ASICs. Additionally, changes in scaling law narratives and the strengthening of inference narratives pose threats to NVIDIA. Scaling laws suggest that increasing AI model size (e.g., more neurons or layers) typically improves performance, but these gains are not infinite and require significant computational resources. This means NVIDIA must continually invest resources to improve product performance, potentially increasing costs. Moreover, companies like BTC, Tesla, and Google are investing heavily in their own AI chips or solutions. This intensifies market competition and challenges NVIDIA's leadership. Thirdly, Market Sentiment and Capital Flows Market sentiment and capital flow significantly impact NVIDIA's stock price. As the year ends, retail investors, ETFs, and institutions adjust their portfolios. Fluctuations in tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, and Google affect tech stocks like NVIDIA. Investors are more cautious, favoring stable, promising companies. Given these conditions, NVIDIA faces pressure on its stock price due to supply chain issues and competition. Lowered expectations for NVIDIA's future performance lead to capital outflows and stock price declines. Fourthly, Future Outlook and Catalysts Despite current challenges, NVIDIA has opportunities for a turnaround. First, NVIDIA needs to resolve supply chain issues, improve product yield, and delivery capabilities. Second, strengthening its presence in software and applications is crucial to addressing market competition. Additionally, NVIDIA should explore new computing narratives to expand its computing potential. Fifthly, Technical Analysis and Price Divergence Previously, prices rose continuously, but volume and KDJ began to decline, showing divergence. Without capital support, upward momentum was insufficient, leading to a short-term adjustment and a break below the mid-term trend line, resulting in a mid-term callback. When Might a New Rally Occur? From a technical analysis perspective: After two prior mid-term adjustments, breaking the downward trend line may signal the start of a new rally. Thus, this new rally must first break the resistance line. From a catalyst perspective: While January's CES and the earnings release in late February may not bring major surprises, March's GTC is worth anticipating. NVIDIA needs to showcase new technologies and products at this event to restore market confidence. If NVIDIA can introduce groundbreaking innovations, a stock rebound is possible.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by xugina78
“Whispers of Dominance" The Tale of Dominance and the Rise of Alt Season In the grand arena of the crypto markets, where titans clash and fortunes are forged, the charts whisper secrets to those who listen. This story is etched in the movements of Bitcoin and the altcoin dominance chart, known as OTHERS.D. Together, they dance in a delicate rhythm of power, signaling the coming tides for those who can decode them. Act I: The Prelude to Power On January 1, 2021, the market set the stage. The dominance of altcoins began to surge, rising steadily for 2 bars (28 days) with a staggering volume of 19.03T. At the same time, Bitcoin, the king of crypto, began to form a bull flag, a sign of hesitation. The altcoins faltered briefly, caught in the shadow of Bitcoin’s indecision. But the winds were shifting. Act II: The Divergence of Titans As the market surged toward April 9, 2021, Bitcoin reached its All-Time High (ATH), a peak of glory marked by the first white vertical line. Yet, in this moment of triumph, a subtle change occurred: Bitcoin began to waver. And as the king faltered, OTHERS.D — the collective might of altcoins — gathered strength. By July 16, 2021, after 5 bars (57 days) and a volume of 15.64T, dominance peaked again. The altcoin army was on the rise, even as Bitcoin’s price descended. The stage was set for a shift of power. Act III: The Wisdom of the RSI Scanner Amidst the chaos, the RSI Scanner — with its two white bands and the orange wave — became the oracle. It foretold a truth known only to the wise: “Alt Season begins when altcoin dominance breaks above the upper RSI Scanner band.” This is the moment of ascendance — when altcoins shatter their shackles and surge forward, leaving Bitcoin in their wake. Act IV: The Prophecy of March 11, 2024 Fast forward to March 11, 2024. The market holds its breath as the charts reveal a pattern: 13 bars (182 days) of synchronized movement between Bitcoin and altcoins. A volume of 32.14T pulses through the veins of the market. The white vertical lines remind us of Bitcoin’s past glories — the ATHs of April 9, 2021, and November 5, 2021. After each of these peaks, OTHERS.D continued to rise, signaling the quiet but determined march of altcoins. Now, the question looms: Will altcoins rise once more above the RSI Scanner’s upper band? Will Alt Season be unleashed upon the markets? The Pending New Era A smiley face marks the hope of a Pending New ATH for Bitcoin — a beacon of optimism in this tale of dominance and divergence. But wise traders know: the real drama lies in the hands of the altcoins. Their time is near. The charts have spoken. The stage is set. This was just a glimpse. Tomorrow, I begin to unravel the full depths of liquidity for OTHERS.D. Traders, the Bull Run for Alts has not even started. Or for a more intense delivery: Today was merely a taste. Tomorrow, I’ll unveil the true extent of liquidity flowing through OTHERS.D. Traders, the Bull Run for Alts has yet to ignite. Here is your OTHERS.D chart, paired perfectly for comparison with Bitcoin. Or, with a bit more emphasis: Here is your OTHERS.D chart, designed to pair seamlessly for comparison and deeper insight with Bitcoin.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
42
Why is Dow Jones on a losing streak?The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) (Ticker AT: USAIND) recently experienced its longest negative streak since 2018, racking up eight consecutive sessions of declines. This downtrend began on December 4, when the index closed above 45,000 points for the first time in history. Since then, it has shown a downward trend, reflecting the volatility and fluctuations of the market in the current period. During this period, the DJIA has shown a downward trend, while other indexes such as the Nasdaq have experienced increases, reaching new all-time highs. For example, the Nasdaq rose 1.24% and closed at new all-time highs, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.38%. However, these positive closes were the result of the strong performance of a few stocks, such as Alphabet, Apple and Tesla, which set new all-time highs. The recent drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is due to several factors that have generated uncertainty in the markets. Here are the main reasons behind this behavior: 1. Interest Rate Concerns 2. • The persistence of high interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed) to combat inflation continues to negatively affect sensitive sectors, such as real estate and industrials. • Investors fear that these rates could be prolonged, limiting economic growth. 2.Recession Fears • Mixed economic data, such as a slowdown in consumer spending and industrial production, have fueled concerns about a possible recession in 2024. • Although the labor market remains strong, other indicators, such as the manufacturing index, reflect weakness. 3. Impact of the Industrial Sector • Given that the DJIA is largely comprised of industrial and consumer goods companies, any weakness in these sectors directly impacts its performance. • Key companies in the index, such as Boeing and Caterpillar, have suffered setbacks due to global uncertainty. 4. Strength of the dollar • The strengthening of the dollar against other currencies negatively affects DJIA companies with high international exposure, reducing the competitiveness of their products abroad. 5. Rotation to Other Indices • Investors are favoring indices more exposed to the technology sector, such as the Nasdaq, which has had a positive performance thanks to the momentum of artificial intelligence and other technological advances. 6. Geopolitical Tensions • Uncertainties in the Middle East, as well as trade tensions between the U.S. and China, have increased risk aversion, especially affecting global companies in the DJIA. On the technical side, the index has had several bearish days that are reaching its last support zone near 43,300 points. If this zone is pierced, it could evolve towards the checkpoint near 42,100 points. On the other hand, the index is currently oversold at 41.72% and its mid-range crosses do not indicate a change in direction. If we look at the MACD if there has been a turn of the trend of the average of 12 crossing below the average of 26, which shows that in the short term this situation does not seem to have changed. It is important to note that the DJIA is a price-weighted index, which means that higher-priced stocks have a more significant impact on its movement. Therefore, fluctuations in the prices of high-value stocks can significantly influence the index's performance. For investors and analysts, this negative streak in the DJIA underscores the importance of monitoring market trends and considering factors such as index composition, global economic conditions and monetary policies that can influence stock index performance. Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:USAIND
by ActivTrades
How Will This Interest Rate Cut Affect Markets? Hey there, The dollar remained steady during the Asian session this morning. The Fed is widely expected to cut interest rates by 25 bpt. Traders however, are preparing for a potential hawkish outlook from the central bank considering recent data which showed U.S inflation remained sticky and the labor market strong. The central bank is expected to signal slower pace of easing in 2025 with several analyst predicting a hold in Jan. With retail sales coming out stronger than expected, the Fed now has enough headroom to cut rates at a slower pace. Because gold does not generate income like interest-bearing assets such as bonds or savings accounts, the opportunity cost of holding gold increases when interest rates are higher, making it less attractive to investors. And with the dollar remaining strong near three-week highs on the dollar index. Higher interest rates typically strengthen the dollar, further pressuring gold because it is priced in dollars and becomes more expensive for foreign buyers. Additionally, higher interest rates often signal a stronger economy, which can reduce demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
FX:XAUUSD
by DeanMuller
Unlocking Long-Term Growth: Real-Time Data InnovationWith the current downturn and price stability, this could present an opportunity for a breakout. If the price reaches a reversal point, it might signal the onset of a breakout with long-term growth potential, provided the timing is right. Assuming adoption is nearing, a collaborative effort to collect and analyze data—such as photographic evidence and footage from vehicles participating in the pilot program—has the potential to reduce data acquisition costs while providing real-time updates on street conditions. Regarding Honeycoin, the platform offers a seamless way for individuals to earn, save, and spend cryptocurrency. It facilitates micropayments, peer-to-peer transactions, and financial inclusion for unbanked populations. Integrating Honeycoin into a pilot program like this could further enhance real-time data collection by rewarding participants with cryptocurrency for contributing valuable data. This incentivized model could drive adoption while simultaneously improving the efficiency of data gathering and street monitoring. If these efforts are coordinated effectively, the combination of blockchain technology and real-time data collection could create significant growth opportunities in the long term.
COINBASE:HONEYUSDLong
by wulrahmah
GOLD is neutral on the most important event day of the weekOANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery decreased under pressure from the US Dollar and US Treasury bond interest rates increased sharply. Strong US retail sales data caused gold prices to plummet to a week low of 2,633 USD/ounce yesterday trading day. Today (Wednesday), markets will focus on the Federal Reserve's final policy meeting of the year. About economic data US retail sales rose more than expected in November, fueling rising inflation data in recent months and suggesting the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate cuts in January next year. Data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Tuesday showed retail sales rose 0.7% month-on-month in November, the highest growth rate since September and above the 0.6% gain. expected. Retail sales data for the first two months of the year was revised upward and October data was revised from a monthly increase of 0.4% to 0.5%. The most important event this trading week On Thursday, the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its interest rate resolution and summary of economic expectations. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Investors will need to pay close attention to the meeting statement and the press conference held by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell after the meeting to further assess future policy trends. The Fed's updated economic forecasts and Dotplot charts are also the focus of market attention as they could reshape expectations about the trajectory of interest rates in 2025 and 2026. On Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference on monetary policy. What Powell "breathes" out will create big fluctuations in the market. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange's "FedWatch Tool" shows traders see a 95.4% chance the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday. Additionally, investors are betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 100 basis points by 2025. So the question is whether the Fed will be more hawkish or dovish than the market expects. Because of Trump's victory, the market will have to reassess the Fed's interest rate expectations, and may need to be more cautious about further interest rate cuts at this time. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold attempted to recover after testing the 0.618% Fibonacci level, a position that readers noticed in the previous issue. Temporarily, the trend of gold prices is noticed by the price channel, however the position is quite neutral with price activity around EMA21 and the Relative Strength Index also sticking around 50. Perhaps, the technical chart needs a sudden impact to create a trend, and considering the current position, gold could increase in price if it breaks above the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level then the target level is about 2,676USD In the short term, more than $2,693. On the other hand, if gold is sold below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement support level, it could open a new bearish cycle with price activity returning to the price channel and the target then being around 2,591USD in the medium term. During the day, the technical trend is neutral and notable points will be listed as follows. Support: 2,634 – 2,603 ​​– 2,600USD Resistance: 2,663 – 2,676 – 2,693USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2680 - 2678⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2684 →Take Profit 1 2673 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2668 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2621 - 2623⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2617 →Take Profit 1 2628 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2633
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Broadcom: Breaking boundaries in Semiconductors and Software Broadcom Inc. (Ticker AT: AVGO.US) is an American multinational company that designs, develops and supplies a broad range of semiconductor products and infrastructure software. Its solutions span markets such as data center, networking, software, broadband, wireless, storage and industrial. The company is headquartered in Palo Alto, California, and its president and CEO is Hock Tan. In December 2024, Broadcom reached a market capitalization in excess of $1 trillion, driven by its participation in the rise of artificial intelligence (AI). This milestone positions it among the world's most valuable companies. Broadcom's stock has recently experienced significant growth, similar to the “Nvidia moment” of 2023. The company has projected that the market for its data center AI components will reach $90 billion by 2027. However, it faces challenges in its non-AI operations and must meet high market expectations to maintain its sustained growth. In November 2023, Broadcom completed the acquisition of VMware for $69 billion, strengthening its position in the infrastructure software sector. On a fundamental level its results have been spectacular and if you look at the profit result, the company has obtained 51.574 million in 2024, up 44% from the previous year, with AI chips, the record revenue segment of $30.096 million, up +7%. XPU chip services and its Ethernet network server adapters grew +220% to $12.2 billion. In the fourth quarter, it earned +51% year-on-year to US$14.054 billion and in semiconductors US$8.8230 billion, +12% over 2023. This company that dominates the custom chip market must compete in a niche where Nvidia is a notable competitor. On the technical side, there was a bullish gap on the 12th. The evolution since that day has pierced $186.26 and trading up to a high of $251.88. In the previous sessions the price has taken a break maintaining its price at $240.23. Currently there is high overbought and high buying pressure in delta zones. We are beginning to see a reduction in volumes this week compared to last week. It is very likely that the company will continue its bullish expansion given that it is in a period of bullish expansion. Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
NASDAQ:AVGOLong
by ActivTrades
EURUSD UNTIL FOMC:4H Analysis OANDA:EURUSD EURUSD is in consolidation phase & has been moving in the range highlighted in the chart. Now, until FOMC we can only trade on highs and lows of the ongoing chart pattern BUY LEVEL RECOMMENDATION: 1.04330 & 1.04272 SELL LEVEL RECOMMENDATION: 1.06101 For SL, we should use very small and according to our risk: reward plan. If you guys find my idea helpful or insightful in possible way, then don't forget boost to and comment on the idea. I'll be very interested to see your take on the market.
by Forex_Analysis_Wing
FED INTEREST RATE CUT / GOLD UPDATETRADINGVIEW: Plan XAU / USD : 18 December , 2024 ⭐️Personal comments "Pips & Profit": The market will pick up and recover when the FED lowers interest rates later today. But it won't have too much of an impact because most investors won't be too surprised. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2664 - $2662 SL $2667 scalping TP1: $2658 TP2: $2652 TP3: $2645 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2694 - $2696 SL $2702 TP1: $2685 TP2: $2670 TP3: $2660 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2607 - $2605 SL $2600 TP1: $2618 TP2: $2630 TP3: $2645 Let's support "Pips & Profit" by LIKE AND COMMENT TRADINGVIEW. Thank you very much everyone. 🌸🌸🌸
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by PIPS_n_PROFIT
FED INTEREST RATE CUT / GOLD UPDATETRADINGVIEW: Plan XAU / USD : 18 December , 2024 ⭐️Personal comments "Pips & Profit": The market will pick up and recover when the FED lowers interest rates later today. But it won't have too much of an impact because most investors won't be too surprised. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2664 - $2662 SL $2667 scalping TP1: $2658 TP2: $2652 TP3: $2645 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2694 - $2696 SL $2702 TP1: $2685 TP2: $2670 TP3: $2660 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2607 - $2605 SL $2600 TP1: $2618 TP2: $2630 TP3: $2645 Let's support "Pips & Profit" by LIKE AND COMMENT TRADINGVIEW. Thank you very much everyone. 🌸🌸🌸
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by PIPS_n_PROFIT
1
Will Santa Bring Bitcoin? Tracking Crypto Trends Each DecemberAs the festive season draws near, Bitcoin traders often wonder: is December a gift-giving month for the OG crypto or one where Santa skips the BTC chimney altogether? Over the past decade, Bitcoin’s December performance has varied wildly — from record-setting rallies to stomach-churning corrections. But this year, the festive cheer in the crypto world is particularly jolly. Bitcoin BTCUSD has smashed through the $100,000 mark , Ethereum ETHUSD is dancing above $4,000 , and the markets are buzzing with speculation about lower interest rates from the Federal Reserve and crypto-friendly policies from Donald Trump’s White House. Before we spill what we know about this Christmas’s crypto miracles, let’s take a trip down memory lane, tracking Bitcoin's price moves for each December over the past 10 years. Bitcoin’s December Performance: A 10-Year Recap 2013: A Frosty End to the First Big Rally ❆ Start of December: ~$1,000 ❆ End of December: ~$750 (-25%) Bitcoin was coming off its first significant bull run, fueled by very early retail and media hype. The exuberance didn’t last as profit-taking and concerns over Mt. Gox’s solvency sent prices tumbling. 2014: A Crypto Winter Christmas ❆ Start of December: ~$375 ❆ End of December: ~$320 (-15%) 2014 was a tough year for Bitcoin. The infamous Mt. Gox hack earlier had crushed investor confidence, and the December sell-off reflected broader pessimism about crypto's future. 2015: A Subtle Santa Rally ❆ Start of December: ~$360 ❆ End of December: ~$430 (+19%) After a year of consolidation, Bitcoin ended 2015 on a positive note. December brought renewed optimism, with the first whispers of institutional interest starting to surface. 2016: The Calm Before the Storm ❆ Start of December: ~$740 ❆ End of December: ~$960 (+30%) This was the beginning of Bitcoin’s journey into mainstream consciousness. A steady rally through December set the stage for the parabolic run of 2017. 2017: Deck the Halls With All-Time Highs ❆ Start of December: ~$10,800 ❆ End of December: ~$14,000 (+30%) Bitcoin mania hit fever pitch as it reached its then-all-time high of nearly $20,000 mid-month. However, the rally fizzled by year-end, signaling the start of a brutal bear market. 2018: Coal in the Stocking ❆ Start of December: ~$4,000 ❆ End of December: ~$3,800 (-5%) The post-2017 bubble burst was in full swing. By December, Bitcoin was down nearly 80% from its peak, and the market was entrenched in a bear trend. 2019: A Neutral Noel ❆ Start of December: ~$7,500 ❆ End of December: ~$7,200 (-4%) This year saw modest losses in December as Bitcoin remained range-bound following a mid-year rally that fizzled out. 2020: A Festive Bull Run ❆ Start of December: ~$19,500 ❆ End of December: ~$29,000 (+48%) The COVID-19 pandemic had accelerated Bitcoin adoption as institutions like MicroStrategy and PayPal jumped in. December capped off a historic year with a near 50% rally. 2021: Bitcoin on the Naughty List ❆ Start of December: ~$57,000 ❆ End of December: ~$46,000 (-19%) Despite starting strong, December 2021 saw Bitcoin slide as macroeconomic fears around inflation and Fed tapering weighed on risk assets. 2022: The Crypto Winter Lingers ❆ Start of December: ~$17,000 ❆ End of December: ~$16,500 (-3%) The collapse of FTX in November left the crypto market reeling. With investor confidence shattered, Bitcoin struggled to recover, hovering near its bear-market lows. 2023: A Recovery Year ❆ Start of December: ~$40,000 ❆ End of December: ~$42,500 (+6%) With the market recovering from the harsh crypto winter of 2022, Bitcoin climbed steadily throughout the year, culminating in December's moderate gains. Bitcoin ended 2023 on a modestly bullish note, driven by renewed optimism around regulatory developments and institutional interest, especially around the Bitcoin exchange-traded funds that would launch in January 2024. Final Days of 2024: A December to Remember? Bitcoin’s 2024 trajectory has been nothing short of remarkable, with the OG cryptocurrency trading above $108,000 — a new all-time high. December’s price action will likely hinge on several key factors: 1️⃣ Federal Reserve Policy : Markets are pricing in a 25-basis-point interest rate cut at the Fed's final meeting of the year on December 18. This has already fueled risk-on sentiment, but a surprise decision to hold rates could spark a possible sell-off. 2️⃣ Institutional Demand : Big-shot investors have continued to pour into Bitcoin in 2024, with the genuine Bitcoin ETFs accumulating more than $100 billion in assets. 3️⃣ Market Sentiment : After breaking $100,000, Bitcoin’s psychological momentum is strong. Traders are eyeing $125,000 as the next target, though volatility could lead to sharp corrections. 4️⃣ Donald Trump : The sheer power concentrated in one man — President-elect has vowed to support the growth of the crypto industry through a Bitcoin strategic reserve, lower taxes, sweeping deregulation and higher tariffs on US imports. Bullishness is truly in the air heading into 2025. What’s Under the Tree for Crypto in 2025? Looking ahead, the outlook for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market remains bullish. The combination of institutional, business and consumer adoption, favorable regulatory developments, and a macroeconomic environment that continues to favor risk assets sets the stage for further growth. While $108,000 is impressive, many believe it’s just the beginning of Bitcoin’s next chapter. As we wrap up 2024, one thing is clear: the crypto market never takes a holiday (or any days off). Whether the Fed today delivers a rate cut or not, traders can expect plenty of action as we head into the new year. So, grab your hot cocoa, keep your TradingView app handy, and enjoy the ride. Happy holidays, and may your trades be merry and bright!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingView
29
Buy GBP/CHF (GBP - CPI Data)The GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to form of well-defined channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.1427 2nd Support – 1.1474 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
19
The rally has begun. Euro longToday, the Fed will cut the rate by 25%, it has already been practically decided and everything will depend on what Mr. Powell says at the press conference. With a 90% probability, it will give the markets the opportunity to grow, i.e. I think everything will start today. However, for growth, we need to collect liquidity at the bottom, so we will probably make a downward movement of 200-300 pips, and then fly into the sky;) Upon reaching the level of 1.07-1.07250, I advise you to close positions, because in the near future I expect parity.
Long
by mikolastd1980
Long TIGR (Maybe Double Up) NASDAQ:TIGR is a fintech company incorporated in Singapore and headquartered in Beijing. Think HOOD for asian markets, and having direct access to those equities. From the chart you can see they clearly align with the China trade and do get a huge boost if we see China's market pick up. Current Position: Average Share Price $5.87 and continuing to buy this up. Options $6 12/20/2024 $4 01/17/2024 $5.50 04/17/2025 $5.50 01/16/2026 $5.50 01/15/2027 Still adding. I think $10 is pretty likely even in the short term, but obviously taking some long plays as well, and just picking my spots to grab options when IV is reasonable and I can get some deals. If the China / Asia trade gets some legs, I don't think $20-$25 is out of the question. My Reasoning They just did a pretty sizeable offering Oct 23 at $6.25 of 15 million shares, with underwriters getting the opportunity to buy an additional 2.25 million in the 20 days after the offering. (Which they did). This caused approximately 10% dilution to existing share holders. Share price held up pretty well and already trading well above the offering, even while the rest of China continues to downtrend or chop. 2024 Q3 - Revenue: $101 million - record high (44.1% year-over-year increase). - Net Revenue: $30.84 million - the highest in 3 years (15% year-over-year increase). - Net Income Attrib. to Ordinary Shareholders: $17.8 million (34.0% year-over-year increase). - Assets under management: $19.8 billion (115.9% year-over-year increase). - Funded Accounts: 1,035,000 (19.3% year-over-year increase). - Total Accounts: 2,370,000 (10.2% year-over-year increase). - Trading Volume: $163 billion, (103.1% year-over-year increase). - Net Profit Margin: 17.6% (-1.3% year-over-year decrease). All while the Asia trade has been pretty much a no go. In January 2024 they were issued a Type 1 license (Allowing crypto on the platform) and in July 2024 they got Type 9 license (Allowing client asset management services). Two other brokerages have also been given Type 1 licenses in 2024 FUTU and HKVAX (HKVAX also got type 7 for automated trading). FUTU is a significant competitor with 12x the market cap of TIGR, 2x the assets under management (grew 40% year-over-year), and 4x the revenue (grew 29% year-over-year), and greater brand recognition. But with 12x the market cap and lower growth numbers, TIGR seems like the better play for now, although I might add some FUTU as well. TIGR has not released specific geographic breakdowns but they have mentioned 75% of funded accounts are outside of mainland China (Q1 2024). Singapore, New Zealand, Australia, United States all mentioned as growth stories. They have a sizeable user base now, and growing rapidly. If you are long enough term you also just have the cultural tides in your favor as Asia, India are seeing retail investor participation increase rapidly. I look at this and see a double up just based on the companies growth story while Asia trade has been less than ideal . If we get an actual China pump 2.5x, 3x not out of the question. Risks I mean China right, TIGR is incorporated in Singapore which is slightly better and analysis would lead me to believe that a majority of their assets under management are in Singapore but we all know China could yank a license, attack Taiwan, or do some other bull and send the stock tumbling. It's a foreign company, the reporting requirements are different, more opaque, and harder to analyze. Other risks include just the history of the company, offerings are not super rare occurrences and the balance sheet historically is not pretty. This was not a well oiled machine from the beginning. Still a chance management blows it, you also have real competition with FUTU. However, you can't just luck into the numbers above so things are changing. IMHO.
NASDAQ:TIGRLong
by sliceofbytes