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Weekly Recap & Market Forecast $SPX (Nov 3rd—> Nov 8th)Looking Ahead: Next week promises to be pivotal with several major events on the docket: - **U.S. Presidential Election:** A crucial event that could reshape fiscal and economic policies. - **Fed Policy Decision & Powell Press Conference:** The market will closely watch for signals about future rate paths. - **U.S. Jobless Claims:** Key data to gauge the health of the labor market. As we move forward, these developments will be crucial in shaping market sentiment and guiding investment decisions. **Timing is key in trading. Check our www.notion.so for time stamps on these important events and stay ready for what’s ahead.** Here’s to another week of informed investing and strategic decision-making! 🌟 Market Forecast (Updated 11/03/2024) **SPX** - Most of the Mag 7 stocks reported really good numbers but issued weak guidance. With FOMC and Election decision this week, We should see a lot of volatility. Next resistance: 5,824 and 5,893 Next support: 5,705, followed by 5,600 Weekly Sentiment: Mixed
TVC:DXY
by WallSt007
GOLD has corrected down, facing a BIG event weekOANDA:XAUUSD rose quickly after weak non-farm payrolls data, then fell sharply from highs above $2,760/ounce and finally closed lower, closing at around $2,736/ounce. Gold prices quickly rose to 2,760 USD/ounce after the release of US non-farm payroll data, showing that only 12,000 new non-farm payrolls were added in October, much lower than the 113,000 expected. expected and much lower than in September. However, gold prices have since dropped and lost all of their price gains during Friday's trading day. Hit by hurricanes and strikes by aerospace factory workers, U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by just 12,000 in October, the smallest increase since December 2020. Other data from the nonfarm report showed the unemployment rate remained at 4.1% in October, in line with expectations, and the increase in average hourly wages last month increased to 4.0% compared to compared to the same period last year, in line with expectations and higher than the 3.9% revision in September. Hourly earnings increased 0.4% month over month, above the forecast 0.3% and the revised 0.3%. The average number of working hours also increased to 34.3 hours, higher than expectations of 34.2 hours, but still equal to the previously adjusted increase. As noted by readers in the short comments, it is very possible that gold's downward adjustment period is not over yet as Friday's economic data is considered very positive for gold. If it is "theoretically" correct, gold should increase sharply as soon as the data is released, but there are possibilities that the market has digested all the previous data or the data will react after more fundamental impacts. another version. Therefore, I needed to warn about this phenomenon with short comments! Tensions in the Middle East have helped limit gold's decline The BBC reported that Hezbollah launched a rocket attack in northern Israel, killing seven people. It was the worst attack in months and dashed hopes of a ceasefire in the war in the Middle East. There are too many risks ahead of the US election, as well as rumors about Iran retaliating against Israel. Polls show a tight race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in next Tuesday's US presidential election. Gold is a traditional hedge against economic and political instability and tends to thrive in low interest rate environments. It must be noted once again that, although gold and the Dollar have been increasing together recently, it does not mean that this correlation has been lost. Gold and the US Dollar have a negative correlation and if Trump is elected, the US Dollar will continue to get stronger because of Trump's policy trends (This has been sent to readers in many publications), the US Dollar will be stronger. This means that gold will be subject to correlation pressure. This week will be a trading week with many "huge" events with the Presidential election and the US Congress along with the monetary policy decision of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). It is expected to have a STRONG and DEEP impact on the gold market trend. Economic data to watch out for this week Monday: Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy decision Tuesday: ISM Services PMI, US Presidential and Congressional elections Thursday: Bank of England monetary policy decision, US weekly jobless claims, Federal Reserve monetary policy decision Friday: University of Michigan preliminary consumer sentiment Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has a 2-day bearish correction with the short-term uptrend temporarily lost as price activity falls below the price channel. However, this is not a negative thing because the nearest support at 2,725 USD still keeps gold above it. The relative strength index is pointing down from the oversold area but has not yet reached the 50 level, the 50 level is considered the nearest support point in terms of momentum. Although gold has adjusted down, in the overall picture it still has an uptrend with long-term and medium-term price channels and important support at the EMA21 level. As long as gold remains above the EMA21 and within the price channel, it still has a bullish outlook and the notable points are listed below. Support: 2,725 – 2,710 – 2,700USD Resistance: 2,745 – 2,768 – 2,786USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2759 - 2757⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2763 →Take Profit 1 2752 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2747 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2708 - 2710⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2704 →Take Profit 1 2715 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2720
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
XAU/USD - Gold Weekly Analysis(4th Nov 2024 to 8th Nov 2024)XAU/USD - Gold Weekly Analysis(4th Nov 2024 to 8th Nov 2024) Weekly recap: To recap last week, our main focus on Gold was during the second half of the week with United States data such as NFP, Core PCE, and Unemployment rate. Gold during the first half of the week has rallied to new ATHs at 2788 KL. On an economic standpoint, we had US JOLTs Jobs come out below expectations and below previous we had anticipations of poor / weaker JOLTs jobs data = Increases in rate cut bets for dollar bears and risk asset bulls. After peaking new ATHs and opening up the second half of the week we seen multiple FTB above with EOM coming up and US data of healthy jobless claims coming out. We seen a bearish run on gold due reasoning stated which lead to some profit taking moves from ATHs. Reminder on Gold: Gold is still HTF bullish however, We know that Gold likes to retest ATHs / Near ATHs. Keep in mind we just opened up a new month, and with elections right around the corner. We could see PBs / Deeper PBs to better demanded prices on Gold before jumping into buys. Trade ideas for the upcoming week: Bullish Bias: If gold breaks above 2740 KL I would look for short scalps to 2757.685 KL and if price holds above i would look for scale in more buys to retest back into near ATHs at 2779 KL. Bearish Bias: If gold pushs up on the intraday timeframe and FTB above KL 2757.685 KL and holds below I would look for HRHR sells at 2757.685 KL to 2715 KL and lower. If gold breaks below 2732 KL i would look for sells to 2715 KL and lower. If gold pushes up to 2779 KL and fails to break above I would look for sells to retest better demanded prices at 2715 KL and lower. Our Focus this week from the economical calendar: In terms of economic events this week we have BOE and Fed rate decisions in focus to start out the new business month with US elections around the corner. We also have important data such as services PMI for major countries and other reports through the week. 1 - Monday - Presidential Elections 2 - Tuesday - PMI 3 - Thursday - Initial Jobless Claims, FED Rate Decision Daily Reminder: -Caution- Stay Smart, Trade safe, follow your trading plan, follow your risk management plan, focus on long term vision, keep emotions out and avoid crashing your account.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KamauRemmers
Gold Weekly Analysis 4 - 8 Nov 2024Gold Weekly Analysis 4 - 8 Nov 2024 After reaching an All Time High at the end of last October, world gold prices are back in a consolidation trend amidst a slowdown in the labor market and market attitudes awaiting the United States (US) election. This week based on a Kitco.com survey. even though they are not sure about the price of gold ahead of the US general election and the Fed's decision, Wall Street & Main Street still agree that gold is still in an upward trend. According to the Trendline Indicator, the 4-hour gold time frame is in a consolidation phase with a bullish trend. Transaction Advice If the price is stuck in the 2733 area, wait for a valid buy signal to appear because the market has the potential to rise again to test resistance at 2758. If it breaks, you can open a buy position again because the market will continue to rise to test ATH 2789 However, on the other hand, if the price falls below 2733, you can look for opportunities to buy in the support area 2716 - 2701. BEWARE. If the price is confirmed to close below 2701, there is an opportunity for gold to change direction to a downtrend. Important Data This Week ISM Service PMI (5/11) Presidential Election (5/11) Congressional Election (5/11) Unemployment Claims (7/11) Federal Funds Rate (8/11) FOMC Statement (8/11) FOMC Press Conference (8/10) Disclaimer: The information above is informative and customers/investors need to verify it and always remember and understand risk management if there is a reversal, also pay attention to ongoing technical indicators and fundamental news that will be released
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Njjeha
BTC long for THE LEAPLong btc and eth here, esp eth, at max pain social sentiment, but besides that, I think mean revision is the name of the game in the start of a bull market, with us approaching elections, and with USDT market cap dominance % near last bull run highs, which would be a low level, thus allowing printing pressure to subside, launching btc upwards. I think the lowest we can go here on btc would be 64k/65k and i'd expect a green buy signal to show up if we push that low, if not we move sideways with chop till we can get a volatile move that resets and gives us a buy signal. I'm early cause I don't think it will be easily timed. GOOD LUCK!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by whitekidspaz
2 Months Till BTC reaches 95kUPDATE!!!! Hello Fellow Traders, I hope That Everyone Follows This Forecast To make some big Profits! Here is a Full Updated Analysis & Forecast For BTCUSD. Right Now I'm Still Bearish on BTCUSD for Short Term, But When it Reaches Around 20K I will Look for a Long Term BUY opportunity! The Best way to follow my Analysis is if the following conditions apply. Conditions - 1. Wait for the Market to Show you some Rejection / Confirmation / Direction 2.Wait for confirmation(Price Action Confirmation Aka . Pinbar , Bullish or Bearish engulfing / Break of structure Aka Support Or Resistance) 3.Do your Own analysis! (Draw Trend Lines / Support & Resistance Zones / SND ) 4.Always Use Risk Management (Risk 1% of your capital) 5.Entry Should be Made on The 4H Timeframe (Only if you have Confirmation) 6.Trade at own risk. Let Me know if you have any Questions or Comments Below! Please Support My ideas & Educational Posts with a Like and Comment ❤️ Link to chart See You in the next Analysis! Global Fx Education
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Global_Fx
EURUSDThe EURUSD has the potential for a bearish swing on the fundamental side, as the euro is not doing well! The forthcoming US elections on Tuesday 5 November 2024 could help the euro fall ... On my chart I have identified two zones, my black line which would give me a bearish candle and my trendline if the price is brought to break it could make the price fall below a return to 1.06000. November will trigger a price expansion, but it remains to be seen in which direction!
Short
by MCY-TRADER-BTC_GOLD
EURCHF 1DInvestors always invest in gold or the Swiss franc during times of war and unrest, and the reason is that these two can maintain the value of money during times of war, now as the situation calms down and elections are near President in America, we can expect an increase in the euro and on the other hand, the outflow of liquidity from assets such as gold and the Swiss franc, in this chart we have identified the long-term path in the daily chart, which we will witness this increase in the near future. Sasha Charkhchian
Long
by sashacharkhchian
GOLD with two probabilities for 11/4/2024This is my idea Nbr 26 after 23 ✅️ GOLD with a high probability to make the decision for 11/4/2024 ✅️ : 🔸️If the price exceeds the green bar 🟩, with the bar closing in the hour above: there will be a high chance of entering a purchase as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news and the stop loss. 🔸️If the price exceeds the red bar 🟥, with the bar closing in the hour below: there will be a high chance of entering a sale as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news, and the stop loss.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Abderrahmane_24
USDCAD with two probabilities for 11/4/2024This is my idea Nbr 25 after 23 ✅️ USDCAD with a high probability to make the decision for 11/4/2024 ✅️ : 🔸️If the price exceeds the green bar 🟩, with the bar closing in the hour above: there will be a high chance of entering a purchase as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news and the stop loss. 🔸️If the price exceeds the red bar 🟥, with the bar closing in the hour below: there will be a high chance of entering a sale as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news, and the stop loss.
Short
by Abderrahmane_24
Nifty 50 and BankNifty Prediction: 04 November 2024Happy Diwali friends... On the occasion of Diwali the Indian Stock market was opened for 1 hour as a mahurat trade on 1 November. On Friday the market was traded on very low volume. So we can the Friday market values. But still, Nifty 50 forms the harami cross candle which indicates a weak signal of the market and it breaks the lower circuit of the channel a few days back and moves to and fro near lower by that. But the OI number shows that on all round figure levels above 23300 has high resistance. The overall PCR is 0.83 and the nearby ATM is 0.77 which shows a weak sign. FII, Pro, and Client data show the market should be bearish. BankNifty forming a bullish harami green candle which shows a positive sign for the market. The OI chart of BankNifty shows high resistance at 52000 and 52500. The overall PCR is 0.65 and nearby ATM is 0.59. The FII made a strong bearish position on Thursday and the Client forms a Strong bullish position. Pro data is Indecisive. Let's wait for Monday's market if it goes up and breaks Thursday's high and only the possibility of bullish has taken control over the market. Conclusion and Trade Plan: If Banknifty opens and goes up in the morning before 10 AM and touches 52000 plan for a bearish position. But before making any trade make sure and check the open Interest and take confirmation before trade. Tomorrow is BankEx expiry and BankEx also shows little bullish in starting morning and then bearish.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by mayankkumar8520
What to do the week America votes?The dollar and the Euro depending on the future president of the USA. The most important week, both for the United States and the rest of the world, and also for the currency markets. The choice between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is key for the future of the United States, as well as for the development of economies around the world. On November 5, 2024, Tuesday is the election in the USA. The election of Kamala will definitely not affect the dollar well, while the election of Trump would have a positive effect. But there is one very big BUT. In both elections, unrest is very likely to follow, which would adversely affect the United States. Thus, the "elections 2024" drama will not end with the final decision of the voters. Betting on Gold is much safer in these absolutely uncertain times. Even more so with the news that more and more millionaires are trying to leave the United States. After the employment data, this week, fundamentals will generally be left for later trading when the passions surrounding the election die down. Our advice is to choose gold instead of the dollar or euro. You can't go wrong with gold for medium to long term trading. This week, trading will start neutral in anticipation of the news surrounding the elections, but it is possible that individual players will be quite aggressive in the markets. The probability of very large trade turnovers is very high. In addition to the US election, on Tuesday you can watch the ECB's President Lagarde speech, as well as data on the ISM Services PMI (Oct). On Thursday after the election, pay attention to the Fed Interest Rate Decision, where a 25 basis point cut is expected. If everything around the election goes smoothly (although it is unlikely), then the expected lowering of interest rates in the United States will be the main driving event for the week.
by World-Signals
Analysis EUR/USDLast week, I mentioned that it would be bullish, and I hope you took advantage of the trading opportunity. On Friday, there was manipulation by the banks, which pushed the price downward. What I see is strong bearish momentum at the market close. On the lower time frames (4h/1h), we have a BOS (Break of Structure) as confirmation that there could be a continuation of the bullish momentum from last week. I will wait for Monday to develop to determine how and in what way to trade. Be patient and let’s see what the price will show us.
by andricstrahinja95
Analysis Dollar / DXY Hello everyone, I haven't been active the whole week. I'm sharing my analysis for the upcoming week. The dollar's bullish momentum was purely market manipulation. What I see is a significant amount of liquidity below that the price wants to collect before continuing with its bullish movement. On the weekly (W) chart, the price is still in consolidation, which could last for a while longer. The daily (D) chart has been in a downtrend so far, but there was a BOS (Break of Market Structure). For this reason, I believe the dollar will be bearish next week.
TVC:DXY
by andricstrahinja95