The DXY experiences declines as it reacts to monthly supply zoneThe DXY experiences declines as it reacts to monthly supply zones, while the gold market remains steady amid this shift. Market participants should watch for further corrections in the DXY and potential demand shifts in gold. follow for more inisights, comment and boost idea
Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) AnalysisHello Dear Traders! share Your Thoughts In comments Section Thanks For Support
In My Analysis Of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour Timeframe. Here's the Details:
Technical Analysis
1. Trend and Channel:
Gold is in a bullish trend, trading within an upward price channel
Price recently tested the upper resistance of the channel (Point 3) and is now consolidating near a key resistance zone.
2. Key Levels:
Resistance Levels:
Around 2725–2745, marked as potential profit-taking zones (TP).
Support Levels:
Strong support near 2690–2700 aligns with the lower channel boundary and past consolidation zones.
Major support around 2630–2650 in case of a deeper retracement.
3. Chart Pattern:
A possible pullback to the support zone (2700) may occur before resuming the bullish trend toward the next targets (2725 and 2745).
Fundamental Analysis
1. Market Sentiment:
Gold's bullish momentum reflects a possible safe-haven demand amid economic uncertainty or declining USD strength.
Investors might also be positioning ahead of key economic data (e.g., inflation, central bank policies).
2. Key Drivers:
If U.S. interest rates remain unchanged or expectations of cuts in increase, it could support further gains in Gold.
Conversely, stronger U.S. economic data or hawkish central bank commentary might lead to a short-term correction.
Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above 2745 could open the door to further gains toward higher levels.
Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold support at 2700 may trigger a correction toward 2650–2630.
Gold Suggests a bullish bias, with a potential pullback to support before resuming the upward trend.
NOTE: This Analysis For Educational Purposes Only Not A Trading Advice
My Analysis of XAU/USD: Upcoming Economic Data and Trading ideasAs gold (XAU/USD) hovers near the psychological level of $2,700.4, with a recent low at $2,698.4, market sentiment is critical. Recent price action shows signs of fading momentum, with buyers stepping in to stabilize prices around $2,700-03 at the end of the week.
Supply and Demand Analysis
Using a supply and demand approach, the following zones are significant:
Demand Zone (PWH):
Range: $2,694.87 to $2,700.4
Opportunity: A bounce from this zone could present a buying opportunity, as recent action suggests increased buying interest.
Recent Low:
Level: $2,698.4
Analysis: A break below this level may indicate increasing selling pressure; however, a reversal could reaffirm support.
Supply Zone (EQH):
Level: $2,714.365
Opportunity: If prices rally here, it may create a chance to short, especially if rejection signals appear.
Trading Scenarios:
Long Position:
Entry: Around $2,700.4
Stop Loss: Below $2,694.87
Target: Near $2,714.365 or higher if bullish momentum continues.
Short Position:
Entry: Near $2,714.365 upon signs of rejection.
Stop Loss: Above the supply zone.
Target: Towards $2,700 or lower.
Upcoming Economic Releases
Several key economic indicators are scheduled for next week that could significantly impact the USD and, consequently, gold prices:
Consumer Price Index (CPI): January 23
Higher inflation may bolster gold demand.
FOMC Minutes: January 24
Insights on future interest rate policy could influence market sentiment toward the USD.
Initial Jobless Claims: January 25
An increase could weaken the USD, potentially supporting gold prices.
Manufacturing and Services PMI: January 26
Strong data may strengthen the USD, thereby exerting pressure on gold.
Conclusion
Monitoring these economic indicators is essential for navigating potential price movements in XAU/USD. Align your trading strategy with the outcomes of these indicators to enhance decision-making. With the current market dynamics, traders should remain vigilant and adaptable to changing conditions, capitalizing on opportunities based on the evolving economic landscape.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 21st January 2025)Bias: Bullish
USD News: None
Analysis:
-Price closed bullish above 0.618 fib level
-Looking for price to break the equal high on daily timeframe
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 2690
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Behind the Curtain: Top Economic Influencers on ZN Futures1. Introduction
The 10-Year Treasury Note Futures (ZN), traded on the CME, are a cornerstone of the fixed-income market. As a vital benchmark for interest rate trends and macroeconomic sentiment, ZN Futures attract institutional and retail traders alike. Their liquidity, versatility, and sensitivity to economic shifts make them a go-to instrument for both speculation and hedging.
In this article, we delve into the economic forces shaping ZN Futures’ performance across daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes. By leveraging machine learning, specifically a Random Forest Regressor, we identify the most impactful indicators influencing Treasury futures returns. These insights can help traders fine-tune their strategies and navigate the complexities of this market.
2. Product Specifications
Contract Size:
The standard ZN Futures contract represents $100,000 face value of 10-Year Treasury Notes.
Tick Size:
Each tick corresponds to 1/64 of 1% of par value. This equals $15.625 per tick, ensuring precise pricing and manageable risk for traders.
Margins:
Approximately $2,000 per contract (changes through time).
Micro Contract Availability:
While the standard contract suits institutional traders, the micro-sized Yield Futures provide a smaller-scale option for retail participants. These contracts offer reduced tick values and margin requirements, enabling broader market participation.
3. Daily Economic Drivers
Machine learning models reveal that daily fluctuations in ZN Futures are significantly influenced by the following indicators:
Building Permits: A leading indicator of housing market activity, an increase in permits signals economic confidence and growth. This optimism often puts upward pressure on yields, while a decline may reflect economic caution, boosting demand for Treasuries.
U.S. Trade Balance: This metric measures the difference between exports and imports. A narrowing trade deficit typically signals improved economic health, leading to higher yields. Conversely, a widening deficit can weaken economic sentiment, increasing Treasury demand as a safe-haven asset.
China GDP Growth Rate: As a global economic powerhouse, China’s GDP growth influences global trade and financial flows. Strong growth suggests robust international demand, pressuring Treasury prices downward as yields rise. Slower growth has the opposite effect, enhancing Treasury appeal.
4. Weekly Economic Drivers
When analyzing weekly timeframes, the following indicators emerge as significant drivers of ZN Futures:
Velocity of Money (M2): This indicator reflects the speed at which money circulates in the economy. High velocity signals robust economic activity, often putting upward pressure on yields. Slowing velocity, on the other hand, may indicate stagnation, increasing demand for Treasury securities.
Consumer Sentiment Index: This metric gauges the confidence level of consumers regarding the economy. Rising sentiment suggests stronger consumer spending and economic growth, often pressuring bond prices downward as yields rise. Conversely, a decline signals economic caution, favoring safe-haven assets like ZN Futures.
Nonfarm Productivity: This measures output per hour worked in the nonfarm sector and serves as an indicator of economic efficiency. Rising productivity typically reflects economic strength and may lead to higher yields, while stagnation or declines can shift sentiment toward Treasuries.
5. Monthly Economic Drivers
On a broader monthly scale, the following indicators play a pivotal role in shaping ZN Futures:
Net Exports: This metric captures the difference between a country’s exports and imports. A surplus indicates strong global demand for domestic goods, signaling economic strength and driving yields higher. Persistent deficits, however, may weaken economic sentiment and increase demand for Treasuries as a safe haven.
10-Year Treasury Yield: As a benchmark for longer-term borrowing costs, movements in the 10-Year Treasury Yield reflect investor expectations for economic growth and inflation. Rising yields suggest optimism about future economic conditions, potentially reducing demand for Treasury futures. Declining yields indicate caution, bolstering Treasury appeal.
Durable Goods Orders: This indicator measures new orders placed with manufacturers for goods expected to last three years or more. Rising orders signal business confidence and economic growth, often leading to higher yields. Conversely, a decline in durable goods orders can indicate slowing economic momentum, increasing Treasury demand.
6. Applications for Different Trading Styles
Economic indicators provide distinct insights depending on the trading style and timeframe:
Day Traders: Focusing on daily indicators like Building Permits, U.S. Trade Balance, and China GDP Growth Rate to anticipate short-term market movements. For example, an improvement in China’s GDP Growth Rate may signal stronger global economic conditions, potentially driving yields higher and pressuring ZN Futures lower.
Swing Traders: Weekly indicators such as Velocity of Money (M2), Consumer Sentiment Index, and Nonfarm Productivity could help identify intermediate trends. For instance, rising consumer sentiment can reflect increased spending expectations, potentially prompting bearish positions in ZN Futures.
Position Traders: Monthly metrics like Net Exports, 10-Year Treasury Yield, and Durable Goods Orders may offer a macro perspective for long-term strategies. A sustained increase in durable goods orders, for instance, may indicate economic expansion, influencing traders to potentially adopt bearish sentiment on ZN Futures.
7. Conclusion
The analysis highlights how daily, weekly, and monthly economic indicators collectively influence ZN Futures. From more immediate fluctuations driven by Building Permits and China GDP Growth Rate, to longer-term trends shaped by Durable Goods Orders and the 10-Year Treasury Yield, each timeframe provides actionable insights for traders.
By understanding these indicators and incorporating machine learning models to uncover patterns, traders can refine strategies tailored to specific time horizons. Whether intraday, swing, or long-term, leveraging these insights empowers traders to navigate ZN Futures with greater precision.
Stay tuned for the next installment in the "Behind the Curtain" series, where we examine economic drivers behind another key futures market.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
DIAMOND HANDS THE VOLATILITYYou should be calm and patient during this volatility.
The $TRUMP and $MELANIA tokens were just short-term liquidity black holes, and they onboarded hundreds of thousands of people into crypto.
This means that many people sold their existing tokens, including CRYPTOCAP:BTC , to rush and buy them.
However, as the hype dies down, the money will go back into altcoins, and they will bounce, similar to what happened with PSX:SNAI today (+90%).
Trump hasn't announced a CRYPTOCAP:BTC Strategic Reserve yet, but he did buy GETTEX:47M worth of CRYPTOCAP:BTC today, so this is still very bullish.
He will likely announce the reserve once he is positioned well.
Just stay patient and DIAMOND HANDS.
Will ETH take the direction of growth?Hi everyone, let's look at the 1D ETH to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a downtrend channel, currently there is no indication of which direction it will go.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face:
T1 = 3357 USD
T2 = 3502 USD
Т3 = 3600 USD
Т4 = 3729 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 3211 USD
SL2 = 3016 USD
SL3 = 2877 USD
SL4 = 2704 USD
If we look at the MA indicator we can see how the blue line has entered above the orange one, which indicates the entry into a temporary uptrend, where the price may try to continue to grow.
Triple Bottom with Resistance Touches – Breakout Incoming?This chart illustrates a falling wedge pattern that has completed three key touches at both the support (bottom trendline) and the resistance (top trendline). The price action indicates a weakening bearish momentum, with higher probability of a bullish breakout.
Gold's Reaction to Trump: Navigating the Supply Area DynamicsGold prices experienced a moderate increase on Monday, buoyed by thin liquidity in the markets as Donald Trump officially assumed office as the 47th President of the United States. The precious metal, often regarded as a safe haven, found support amidst the uncertainty surrounding the new administration's economic policies.
During Trump's inauguration speech, the U.S. dollar (Greenback) weakened, reacting negatively to his decision to set aside aggressive tariff policies that some analysts believe could otherwise lead to inflationary pressures. This shift in tone suggests a more measured approach to trade, which alleviated fears of an impending trade war—an environment generally conducive to gold's appeal. Investors began to reassess how such policy changes could impact inflation and, in turn, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance going forward.
As of the latest update, XAU/USD is trading at $2,708. Market sentiment indicates a potential short flash bearish impulse on the supply area. Traders are closely watching the $2,680 to $2,650 zone, anticipating a possible retest, which may provide an opportune moment for profit-taking, especially if market dynamics shift in favor of a stronger dollar.
From a technical perspective, this supply area will be critical for traders focusing on short-term moves. A rejection of prices at these levels combined with weaker fundamentals could signal a bearish trend ahead, offering potential short plays for those looking to capitalize on market fluctuations. Conversely, if gold holds above these levels and there is a sudden shift in risk sentiment or a renewed spike in inflation fears, we could see gold prices testing resistance levels above the current trading price.
In conclusion, with Trump taking office and the markets adjusting to his policies, gold is likely to remain volatile in the near term. Investors should keep a close watch on economic indicators and market sentiment, as these factors will heavily influence gold prices in the coming days. For now, navigating the recent price action within the supply area presents intriguing possibilities for both short and long positions, depending on how the market reacts to unfolding events.
✅ Please share your thoughts about XAU/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
JANUARY 20TH! XRP UPDATE AND TECHNICAL! 🔥 Hey hey, hope everyone's doing well as always. Here we are now at the 20th with Gensler out and Trump now in office. I'll keep this idea brief since I have to leave soon for work so thanks for tuning in!
🔥 In yesterday's idea we noted that today would likely be a green and positive day which to say in the least it has been but we'll take a quick look at the technical:
🔥 In our 30 minute chart we can see XRP did end up breaking out of the descending channel we highlighted in yesterday's idea so that's been great to see and we just barely pulled up to $3.36 before that reversal started once we hit the resistance.
🔥 I decided to add a Fibonacci chart to see if that could help us identify any levels of interest which has worked out! We can see what levels do what now and use those for future reference in the next few hours, days.
🔥 Something of note I wanted to say is that in Trumps America First Priorities speech there was no mention of crypto nor Bitcoin. Investors took that with a heavy heart and we can see things how things sort of revers as the day's gone on understandably. Many we're anticipating trump to make an announcement or executive order on crypto but with that not looking to be the case we're getting this sorta buy the hype sell the news event.
🔥 Doesn't mean we're in a bad position but that's simply what looks to be driving today's market action. I've got to get ready for work but wanted to get those highlights and points of interest out for you guys, keep an eye on those levels and that 200 EMA.
🔥 Thanks for the continued support and as always, keep posted for more till next.
~ Rock '
USDILS - At Clear Support Zone. Towards 3.61000?FOREXCOM:USDILS is at a support zone that has consistently acted as a reversal point for bearish trends. The current market structure suggests that this support zone could once again provide a potential buying opportunity—provided that there is clear bullish confirmation.
If buyers confirm their presence with signals like long lower wicks or bullish engulfing patterns, we could see a move toward 3.61000.
However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish scenario and signal potential for further declines.
Key Levels to Watch:
Bullish Target: 3.61000
Stop Loss: Below the support zone
Patience is crucial—wait for clear bullish confirmation before entering long positions. What’s your view on this setup? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Bitcoin - Lofty Promises, Disturbing Results: My Crypto Journey.I make no claim to know where Bitcoin is headed. All I know is my opinion on it, and my feelings about cryptocurrencies in general, especially how they've evolved over the years. My sense continues to tell me that things are very wrong with crypto, and that eventually it's going to fade into the uncomfortable past, a kind of failed experiment. Back in 2022, I thought that if it gets bigger and bigger, it's a general symptom of wealth concentration, exploitation, and mass delusion. I don't think this technology is beneficial to society, as it extracts both attention and resources from its participants. Unless, of course, you can manage to be one of those who profits and then turns their profits into material wealth and/or positive change.
Looking at my own personal timeline for my sentiment about crypto, let's see how I ended up here:
November, 2017 : I am out of college for over a year now. I've been working a tough sales job for a year and I'm beginning to get burned out. I hear about Bitcoin from a friend. "if you buy in at $10K, sell at $20k and double your money." I then learn about Bitcoin and think, well, things are pretty bleak in the world right now. I don't know what I'm doing with my life. What if the banks collapse and I'm left with nothing? Bitcoin seems like a viable alternative. I buy out of fear, around $13.8k. Then, I see my value go up. Greed takes over. I go down a rabbit hole, learning about altcoins such as XRP, XLM, and LTC. Even XRB, which later becomes Nano. What if any of these becomes the next Bitcoin?
January, 2018: I think that I should have just cashed out. I must have bought the top. But, what if it all comes back even stronger? I could be rich. I pull out part of my initial investment and watch the rest continue to spiral downwards. I quit my job out of burnout.
May, 2018: Bitcoin continues to make lower highs. I start working that crazy sales job again part-time, as I need the money while the bear market persists.
December, 2018: All hope seems lost. I quit my sales job, again out of burnout and deciding I don't want to do this the rest of my life. I'm 25 years old. Then, I decide to look for reasons price might go up again, which would also then save me from having to go back to work again. I could just be an artist full time. I get into TA, thinking that it's kind of like art. Instead of working on my actual art or writing as much as I want to, I create all sorts of trendlines and other visual and fundamental reasons crypto could come back even stronger than before. I prepare. I buy ETH around $100. I'm now posting regularly on TradingView. I start figuring out which coins I want to load up on for the next bull run.
April, 2019: The market is back. I'm pretty sure the bottom is in. I'm gonna make it. I continue to post about various cryptocurrencies on tradingview, although I begin to feel worried about altcoins. Will they survive through the next cycle?
October, 2019: The market is volatile. Bitcoin finally hits $10K again, though there's something strange going on. Is price being manipulated?
February, 2020: Things are starting to feel precarious. ETH has done better now, boosting my portfolio back towards break even for the first time. The COVID crash is immanent. I've decided on a career to pursue.
March, 2020: Panic. Markets are screwed. I'm going down with the ship. I'm too scared to buy more because everything feels apocalyptic.
September, 2020: I begin grad school. While working mostly from home and attending classes remotely, I have a lot of time on my hands to post crypto analysis. I want to invest more, but I have very little income as a student. I feel that price is about to explode upwards. However, in grad school I'm also learning a lot about systems and becoming more and more skeptical about whether crypto would bring about any positive change to financial systems.
February, 2021: ETH has broken all-time high. I'm in significant profit. I'm checking my portfolio all the time. Will the altcoins rally soon?
Spring - Summer 2021: There's a huge amount of dumping. What's going on here? Why does Elon Musk have so much influence over this market? I thought it was supposed to be decentralized. Tweets are having a huge effect on the market. Should I sell? No, I think it's just a correction. I'm right, at least for now.
December, 2021: I'm feeling pretty bullish. Bitcoin made a significant new all-time high. But, something is tingling underneath my skin. I can't quite shake it. What's going on with this LUNA coin? A number of things are starting to unravel in my mind. For example, El Salvador recently made Bitcoin legal tender, but the response was very tepid. It's not seeming very practical at all. If it's not a viable currency, then what is it? I think about Elon Musk. I think about Michael Saylor and his defrauding of investors during the dotcom boom. I allow the cognitive dissonance I've been experiencing completely take over.
January - February, 2022: My feelings culminate. I decide to let go of all my crypto, realizing that it's not playing out ideally how I'd hoped. Plus, I'm in significant profit now. The forces that have taken advantage and control in traditional markets and the broader economy have latched themselves onto the cryptocurrency market, where investors are easily exploitable. The Super Bowl happens. Crypto starts to feel more and more like a joke. Who is really profiting from all this? NFT's are also irking me.
May, 2022: I finish grad school. Terra LUNA collapses, shortly after I speculated it would. For the rest of the year, I feel validated in my feelings about crypto. FTX collapses later that year, and although in hindsight it marked the bottom of the bear market, I'm hopeful that people will stay far away from this market in years to come. I am optimistic about my own financial future, as I now have a stable career. Later in the year, I make some money day trading, but I eventually stop since it's distracting me from my work.
July, 2023: I continue with my new career in the mental health field. I'm 30 years old. XRP was deemed not a security when sold to retail investors, but a security when sold to initial institutional investors. I am disappointed in this outcome, as I disagree and believe many altcoins like XRP are clear securities. I'm glad to be paying less attention to the crypto market.
January, 2024: Against my speculation and to my disappointment, Bitcoin ETF's are approved. I stubbornly stay away from the market, believing the ETFs to be another cash grab and an opportunity for existing holders to cash out, particularly those whales who have been on the stablecoin side of things - the orchestrators behind USDD, USDT, etcetera.
August, 2024: Ripple is only fined a tiny fraction of the initial request by the SEC for selling unlicensed securities. This opens the floodgates for money to pour back into altcoins, and for more ETFs to eventually be created.
November, 2024: Bitcoin finally makes a significant new all-time high after Trump is re-elected. It had been consolidating for much of the year, seeming at times that it would break down and not push past its previous high.
January, 2025: Trump is back in office. There's volatility across the market. Many are hopeful that his presidency will bear fruit for crypto holders. Meanwhile, he creates his own meme tokens and profits enormously from them, not unlike the numerous crypto grifters from years past, the grifters that took hold of the market and told me to stay away. I feel upset that price went against my speculation, though also vindicated. Crypto is exactly what I realized it was. My opinion has not changed. It's just another bulky asset, though one where the corruption is far more transparent than it is in the world of traditional finance. Even though it's there for all to see, not much is being done about it. Typical, really, of this current era of deregulation and apathy. Michael Saylor continues to hoard more and more. It's just the plaything of the wealthy now. It's what some people always wanted Bitcoin to become, but the antithesis of what many thought it represented.
I'm happy with my career, and I feel good knowing I invested in myself and did not continue to chase cryptocurrencies. After all, it's better to be able to generate capital myself than wait for someone else to do it for me. It's a more certain future for me, with much less speculation. I'm also able to pay off everything from grad school with my profits from the last bull market.
Bitcoin active addresses have not grown since 2017. studio.glassnode.com
It is hoarding, and hoarding through custodians. Plus, those who were already into it just kept buying. A few left entirely. And a few wealthy players began accumulating.
Now for a little TA:
This is the structure I'm looking at for Bitcoin. Failure to push back above that orange trendline has resulted in a rejection so far. This chart should give an idea as to the various extremes price can take over the coming days/weeks:
This is the longer term BLX chart, showing diminishing returns curved trendlines. If Bitcoin continues to follow this shape, the peak could be limited to $160-170K if reached this year. That is, if it has not already hit the top.
The bottom of this structure is comfortably at a major level - near $30k.
This bullish structure would need to break down to confirm a bearish period:
Right now, the chart LOOKS bullish, but it's important to pay attention to the other signals, the other things going on behind the scenes. Public perception is important as well. The monthly chart appears bullish until the 9 EMA (near $80k now) is lost. The ultimate oscillator continues to show a longer term bearish divergence:
The weekly chart can look like a tweezer top with a failed high if price cannot push back above $108k later this week.
If that push up is successful, I think price can rally up towards $160k before profit taking begins in real earnest again.
Let's see what happens!
Thank you for going on this journey with me, especially if you've followed me since the earlier days. As always, this post represents my personal opinion and is in no way intended as financial advice.
-Victor Cobra
USD/JPY Under Pressure: Yen Strengthens Amid Bearish MomentumThe USD/JPY pair exhibits a clear bearish inclination, driven by a combination of economic and market factors that are strengthening the Japanese Yen and weakening the US Dollar. Currently, the pair has dropped to approximately 155.60, recording a 0.44% loss for the day, with sellers evidently attempting to push the price further toward critical support levels between 154.90 and 153.15. The downward pressure is amplified by rising expectations of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan, further supported by recent positive data such as improvements in Japan’s core machinery orders, signaling a recovery in capital expenditure. Simultaneously, uncertainty surrounding the economic policies of the Trump administration contributes to a negative climate for the US Dollar, which is already under pressure from a recent slowdown in buying flows.
From a technical perspective, the pair has encountered significant resistance in the 156.55-156.60 region, a level that halted previous recovery attempts and now acts as a key barrier. For a meaningful trend reversal, a sustained breakout above this resistance, followed by consolidation above 157.00, would be necessary to pave the way toward recent highs at 158.00 or even 158.85. However, the likelihood of a downward breakout seems more tangible, considering that the support at 155.25 represents the last defense before a drop toward the psychological level of 155.00 and further toward 154.60 and 153.30.
The current market environment, characterized by reduced trading volumes due to Martin Luther King Jr. Day in the US, suggests caution for traders, as dynamics could quickly shift with the return of liquidity and the announcement of potential monetary or political decisions in both Japan and the US. The combination of positive economic data for Japan and expectations of higher rates positions the Yen in a place of strength, while the Dollar may continue to struggle without a clear positive catalyst. Holding below 155.00 would be a significant signal for bears, indicating an extended downward trajectory toward deeper support levels.
Tesla - Another +100% After This Breakout!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) can still double from here:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
With Elon Musk actually becoming the richest person on this planet, Tesla is simultaneously attempting another all time high breakout. All the recent bullish momentum could further fuel this rally, leading to new all time highs and another 2x in Tesla's market cap.
Levels to watch: $450, $900
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$XRP CRITICAL ALERT🚨 CRYPTOCAP:XRP CRITICAL ALERT! 🚨
XRP holders, the next 48 hours are pivotal! Key developments are underway that could shape the future of this crypto powerhouse. Here’s the breakdown:
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⚡ The Situation:
1️⃣ Whale Activity: Huge XRP transactions detected—major price action could be brewing.
2️⃣ Market Pressure: Global regulatory news is shaking the crypto world. XRP could either surge or face a sharp decline.
3️⃣ Technical Signals: XRP is hovering at a critical support level of $3.00. A breakdown might trigger a bearish spiral, but a rebound could ignite a rally.
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💥 What It Means for Investors:
Risk: Breaching $3.00 might send XRP down to $2.75.
Reward: A rebound could push targets to $3.50 (+15%) or $3.80 (+26%).
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🔑 Suggested Game Plan:
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: $3.50 (+15%)
Target 2: $3.80 (+26%)
🔻 Stop-Loss: $2.90 (-4%)
🛑 Action: Keep a close eye on the market and use tight stop-losses to minimize risks during volatility.
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🔥 Key Takeaway:
XRP is at a make-or-break point. Be vigilant, act decisively, and seize opportunities—or protect yourself from potential losses.
💬 Your Move: What’s your XRP strategy? Share your insights below!
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💡 Pro Tip: "In moments of uncertainty, discipline and a clear strategy win the game." Stay sharp, XRP fam!
XRP, BTC & CRYPTO🚨 XRP, BTC & CRYPTO: NEW ALL-TIME HIGH! BUT BE WARNED—MAJOR MOVES HAPPENING TODAY! 🚨
Big things are unfolding in the crypto market! CRYPTOCAP:XRP and Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) are hitting new all-time highs as we speak! 🚀🔥 But wait—don’t get caught off guard. Here’s what you need to know:
🚀 Why This Is Happening
XRP Surge: Increased investor interest is driving XRP upward amid speculation about its legal future and potential major listings.
Bitcoin Momentum: Bitcoin is soaring, fueled by institutional support and rumors of political influences like Trump's potential Bitcoin strategy. Could this ignite a new bull run?
Global Factors: Major economic events worldwide are causing investors to seek crypto as a hedge against uncertainty.
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⚠️ Be Cautious!
Volatility Alert: The crypto market is known for extreme ups and downs. This spike could be a bull trap with a sharp correction around the corner.
Pump & Dump Risks: Beware of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out). Jumping in at the peak might lead to losses if the market retraces.
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📈 What Should You Do?
Take Profit: If you're in the green, consider securing some profits before the market pulls back.
Monitor the Charts: Pay attention to support and resistance levels to see if this rally is sustainable.
Stay Ready: The crypto world moves lightning-fast! Stay informed and adjust your strategy as needed.
---
💬 Your Turn:
What’s your strategy in this rally? Are you taking profits or holding strong for the long haul? Let’s discuss and plan our next steps in this explosive market!
📊 Stay sharp, stay strategic, and let the gains come to you!
Trump Bullish for USD! Farage Next for GBP?!With the way the media is promoting Nigel Farage more day by day & getting his face out there, I’m starting to think his been ‘selected’ as the next U.K. Prime Minister. They’re drip feeding the idea into the publics head.
Also, with the way the media is releasing more & more race hate content & dividing people, it’ll be ‘completely normal’ when a far right politician into power, as no one will question it or even think to say he had no support behind him. With all the race hate & division content being promoted by the media, we’ll see a lot more aggro against coloured people & immigrants. This’ll be the main factor used to make the public believe Nigel Farage was put into power by the public.
This is just my theory. Let’s see how it pans out!
US INAUGURATION & BTCAs the second Trump era begins, this is how Bitcoin looks:
- BTC new ATH in the run up to inauguration and highest ever weekly close. I believe this was in anticipation for Trumps acceptance speech to mention Bitcoin and or the strategic reserve. That did not happen and so we've seen a selloff wick down to Midpoint with price settling at 0.75 in the range.
Typically, wicks get filled and so I would like to see price steadily reach the midpoint and then begin to show some strength before looking to go LONG. That all changes if we see a crypto specific executive order signed in the coming hours/days we should then see a move back to the highs.
- 4H 200 EMA is always an important level for the Bullrun, the vast majority of altcoins are under the 4H 200 EMA thanks to liquidity being drawn out into BTC and Solana memecoin craze.
- Bitcoin is still leading the greater market but I do expect rotation into strong US based altcoins within the next few weeks going into the later part of Q1. Some key alts that fit that category are SOL, SUI, LINK, ONDO, XRP, ENS, and many more.
It's important to remember this is a marathon not a sprint and I fully expect progress to be made but it may not be linear, until we have broken out of the range in the chart and move into a clear trend environment BTC should be treated as such by trading instead of buying and holding.
Be mindful of your investments!!!!Be mindful of your investments, as politics shows no mercy to anyone.
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!