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Fundamental Analysis

"Gold Analysis Using Elliott Wave: Prolonged ABC Correction"I believe that gold is currently undergoing a significant and prolonged ABC correction. At the moment, we are in a subordinate wave structure, specifically within a WXY correction pattern, marked on the chart with , , , , , and in red. For the upcoming weeks and days, it is crucial to observe the potential price movements. In my chart, I have drawn the larger timeframe with white lines to illustrate the overarching trend, while a red line indicates the smaller, subordinate wave structure. Currently, we are in the red-marked WXY zone, which suggests that around the 3,286 level could be an ideal point to enter a long position targeting higher levels in wave Y. Conversely, this could also be an opportune moment to short down to wave B and then C. On the short-term chart, we are at point A, marked in yellow. After reaching A, I expect a trend reversal within the highlighted rectangle towards B (also marked in yellow), followed by an upward move to C. Subsequently, we may see a five-wave decline labeled as i, ii, iii, iv, v. After this decline, a corrective upward movement is anticipated, characterized by an ABC pattern. These are my expectations for gold based on this analysis. Please note that this information is for educational purposes only; there are no guarantees regarding trade execution or outcomes. Whether you decide to enter a position or not depends solely on your own judgment.
TVC:GOLDLong
by JachinIvan
2
BTCUSD HTF cycle analysis Hi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes. I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities. Higher Timeframe Analysis In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias. Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels. Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone. Trade Setup The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150. A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level. Intraday Outlook For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis. I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target. Final Thoughts Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one. Thanks for giving me some of your time. From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by PFXteam
1
BTCUSD Price action analysis on HTFHi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes. I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities. Higher Timeframe Analysis In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias. Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels. Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone. Trade Setup The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150. A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level. Intraday Outlook For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis. I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target. Final Thoughts Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one. Thanks for giving me some of your time. From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by PFXteam
NMIH – Buy on Momentum and Attractive Valuation (LONG)Analysis: Fundamental: Moderate revenue growth, undervalued P/E (8.57), healthy debt (Score 10). Technical: Daily Trend: Bullish. Support: 50-SMA ($36.11), 20-SMA ($38.22). RSI: 66.86 (positive momentum, not extremely overbought). MACD: Bullish crossover on a daily basis. Trade: Entry: $39.70 - $40.00 (immediate resistance break). Stop Loss: $37 (below 20-SMA and psychological support). Take Profit : $45.00 (bullish extension). Time Horizon: 2-4 weeks. Reason: Good balance between valuation and momentum. Ideal for the medium term if the 20 SMA remains as support.
NASDAQ:NMIHLong
by marjaku
URANIUM Uranium Correlation with Dollar Index (DXY), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Interest Rates, and Its Industrial Use Cases 1. Correlation with Dollar Index (DXY), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Interest Rates Uranium and Dollar Index (DXY): Uranium, like many commodities priced in US dollars, generally exhibits an inverse correlation with the dollar. A stronger dollar (DXY↑) tends to make uranium more expensive for holders of other currencies, potentially reducing demand and putting downward pressure on prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar supports uranium prices by making it cheaper internationally. Uranium and 10-Year Bond Yields / Interest Rates: Uranium’s price correlation with bond yields and interest rates is less direct than financial assets but still relevant: Rising interest rates and bond yields often signal tighter monetary policy, which can slow economic growth and reduce demand for industrial commodities, including uranium. However, uranium’s demand is strongly tied to the nuclear energy sector and geopolitical factors, which can decouple it from traditional interest rate dynamics. Inflation expectations and real yields influence uranium prices indirectly through investment demand and energy market dynamics. 2. Use Cases of Uranium in Industry Nuclear Energy Generation: The primary use of uranium is as fuel in nuclear power plants. Uranium-235 undergoes fission, releasing heat used to produce steam that drives turbines for electricity generation. Nuclear energy is a significant source of low-carbon power worldwide. Commercial reactors typically use uranium enriched to about 3% uranium-235. Uranium also powers naval vessels, including submarines and aircraft carriers. Medical Applications: Uranium isotopes are used to produce medical isotopes for cancer treatment (radiotherapy) and diagnostic imaging. Depleted uranium (DU) serves as radiation shielding in medical equipment and teletherapy units. Military Uses: Depleted uranium is used in armor plating and armor-piercing ammunition due to its high density and hardness. It also serves as counterweights in military aircraft. Industrial Applications: Uranium is used in radiation shielding for transporting radioactive materials and in scientific research. It has historical uses in ceramics and glass coloring, though these are now largely obsolete. Agriculture: Uranium compounds have been used in soil sterilization and as inert components in fertilizers, though these uses are limited and carefully controlled due to radioactivity. Scientific Research and Space Exploration: Uranium isotopes are used in geological dating and as fuel for deep-space missions. #METAL #GOLD #COPPER #SILVER # ALUMINUM
FX:URANIUMLong
by Shavyfxhub
SUIIt is rational to invest at a price lower than 1.7$ SUI project: Sui is a permissionless Layer 1 blockchain designed for ease of use by both developers and users. Sui is a decentralized smart contract platform designed for efficient, low-latency management of assets. It utilizes the Move programming language to define assets as objects with ownership tied to specific addresses. Move programs are responsible for defining operations on these typed assets, including custom rules for their creation, transfer to new owners, and mutation. The maintenance of Sui involves a permissionless group of authorities, which function similarly to validators or miners in other blockchain systems. These authorities employ a Byzantine consistent broadcast protocol to ensure the safety of common asset operations. This approach guarantees lower latency and improved scalability compared to traditional Byzantine agreement methods. Byzantine agreement is solely relied upon for shared object safety, governance operations, and checkpointing, all of which occur off the critical latency path. Smart contract execution is also naturally parallelized whenever possible. Sui supports both light clients, capable of authenticating reads, and full clients, which can audit all transactions for integrity. These features enable trust-minimized bridges to connect with other blockchains seamlessly.
COINBASE:SUIUSD
by ali73007
XMR/USDT Monero super cycleWarning: LONG READ TL;DR: Monero is going to encapsulate a similar growth cycle to Bitcoin's, Privacy, agency and its extremely decentralized nature will create a FOMO storm, a new narrative for the next many years, an uprising against the control and attack on our free will as citizens. _________________________________________________________________________________ These past few years we've seen an incredible surge in surveillance, government intervention, banks freezing funds, the list goes on, of which has led many people into deep frustration and dissatisfaction with the system. However, what it really boils down to is the lack of agency, and within that, the lack of privacy. This coming storm of rebellious action against the system of surveillance and control, will mean new market possibilities, and Monero is an obvious pick. Despite its headwinds throughout the years, Monero has had incredible resilience, likely due to its very nature, providing exactly what it means to provide, privacy, agency, and decentralization. Bitcoin has led the frontier of agency and decentralization, but an ever increasing concentration of mining power, means that its decentralization is being partially eaten away at, losing some of its initial pull of being "The people's money" Slowly turning into a transaction-less store of value, where more and more people simply hold on without actually using it, Bitcoin was never going to have any future as a sort of day-to-day cash or money that some people were hoping for. This should have been obvious all along, even in earlier days, that the adoption would eventually lead to stagnating transaction count, aswell as miner & ASIC concentration, meaning an ever, not increasing, but instead decreasing decentralization. Bitcoin in its earlier days was also seen as a private, but this is simply a lack of studying Bitcoin, because its always been clear as day that we would eventually run our heads against the wall. With states having tools to track everything, and firms like Arkham who recently uncovered Strategy's (MicroStrategy) Bitcoin wallets, where Michael Saylor prior had stated he would never unveil the adresses or location of said Bitcointo preserve privacy, well, of course someone was inevitably going to find out, Bitcoin is after all, a fully transparent blockchain, which is also good in its own sense, but that brings us to the exact problem we're facing now. And no, i don't think Bitcoin is going anywhere. But how are we going to take back that decentralization, take back our privacy (we never had it on Bitcoin but it certainly pushed the value thinking it did) take back our agency AND have an actual day-to-day use case where we can transact without being taxed in gigantic fees for even the smallest sums? Monero, and it has been Monero for over a decade now. Monero ticks all the boxes that people are so desperately trying to figure out, and Monero is slowly creeping up again, seeing impressive price increases despite its recent scrutiny, with the EU set to ban it in 2027. Whitewashing, crime, all kinds of illegal activity, that's what the nations and states see Monero as, and for the vast majority of people, it keeps them from buying the asset, in fear of being punished for owning or using it. Do you remember the early days of Bitcoin? I certainly do Countries & influential people would hang Bitcoin out for being only used for criminal activity, and being nothing more than a pyramid scheme. Again, it should be obvious that it would never be the case, a completely transparent blockchain, crime? really? the smartest criminals are not THAT stupid. Yes, many criminals probably use Monero, the same way as criminals use dollar bills for crime, because its for a large part untraceable. But is that untracability a feature or a flaw? In Monero's case, its a FEATURE A feature so undervalued, you can't even begin to comprehend the sheer size of its importance And no, I don't support criminal activity, but Monero being used for it simply means that it is doing exactly what it sets out to be, private and untraceable. Its not the form of money's job to fix crime, that's the job of the government and politians we "elect" in our "democracy" It is crystal clear to me, that Monero will create a throne for itsself in the top, claiming the original purpose of Bitcoin, The people's money. Untraceability, Privacy, Decentralization, Agency. These key features aswell as the scrutinty it is facing on the national level, will nothing but fuel the FOMO. The ultimate resilience, the ultimate cryptocurrency. If you're still this early, i sincerely salute you, and congrats on life changing wealth and privacy. BINANCE:XMRUSDT.P KRAKEN:XMRUSD CRYPTO:XMRUSD
Long
by RuinedNarrative
COPPER XCUUSDCopper Price Action, Dollar Correlation, Bond Yields, and Global Reserves 1. Copper Price Action and Dollar Index (DXY) Correlation Inverse Relationship: Copper prices typically move inversely to the US Dollar Index (DXY). A weaker dollar (DXY↓) makes copper cheaper for foreign buyers, boosting demand and prices. For example, in early 2025, a DXY drop from 109 to 103.2 (May 2025) lifted copper prices from $4.72 to $4.82 per pound . Mechanism: Dollar-denominated commodities like copper become more affordable in other currencies when the USD weakens, driving global demand . Exception: Geopolitical risks or supply constraints (e.g., Chilean production disruptions) can decouple this relationship temporarily . 2. Copper and Bond Yields Real Yields Drive Prices: Copper’s performance is influenced by real interest rates (nominal bond yields minus inflation). Lower real yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding commodities, supporting copper prices. Fed Policy Impact: Rising bond yields (e.g., 10-year Treasury yields at 4.54% in May 2025) pressure copper if driven by hawkish Fed policies, but inflation expectations can sustain demand for copper as a hedge . Recent Example: Despite elevated nominal yields in 2025, copper rallied due to supply deficits and inflation hedging, mimicking gold’s behavior in stagflationary environments . 3. Country with the Highest Copper Deposits Chile dominates global copper reserves with 170 million metric tons (27% of the world’s total), home to the largest mines like Escondida and Collahuasi . Other Key Producers: Australia: 88 million MT reserves. Peru: 81 million MT reserves. Russia and Mexico: 62 million MT and 53 million MT, respectively . Summary Table Factor Impact on Copper Prices Key Data Points DXY ↑ ↓ (stronger USD reduces global demand) DXY 103.2 → Copper $4.82/lb (May 2025) Real Yields ↓ ↑ (lower opportunity cost for holding copper) Fed rate cuts in 2025 supported copper Top Copper Reserves Chile (170M MT), Australia (88M MT), Peru (81M MT) Chile’s Escondida: largest mine globally Copper Use Cases in Real Life Copper is a highly versatile metal with numerous applications across various industries due to its excellent electrical and thermal conductivity, corrosion resistance, malleability, and antimicrobial properties. Here are the main real-life uses of copper: 1. Building Construction Nearly half of all copper supply goes into the construction sector. Used extensively in electrical wiring, plumbing, roofing, HVAC systems, refrigeration lines, and water pipes. One average home contains about 439 pounds of copper, used in wiring, tubing, and appliances. 2. Electronics and Electrification Copper’s superb electrical conductivity makes it essential for electrical wiring and printed circuit boards in consumer electronics like smartphones, laptops, TVs, and power tools. Vital for data centers, supercomputers, AI platforms, and cryptocurrency mining hardware. Increasingly important in battery energy storage systems, which are growing rapidly. 3. Transportation and Electric Vehicles (EVs) Used in manufacturing ships, trains, airplanes, and automobiles. Found in motors, brakes, connectors, radiators, bearings, and wiring in vehicles. EVs require two to four times more copper than conventional vehicles, including for charging stations. Copper demand from green energy and EV sectors is expected to grow five-fold by 2030. 4. Industrial Machinery and Equipment Used in electrical motors, heat exchangers, valves, condensers, and piping for petrochemical, desalination, and offshore oil and gas platforms. Corrosion-resistant copper alloys are critical for undersea installations and clean energy technologies like wind turbines and solar panels. 5. Medical Applications Copper’s antimicrobial properties are used in medical devices, surgical tools, orthopedic implants, and radiotherapy equipment to reduce infection risks. 6. Telecommunications Copper cables are used in telephone lines, coaxial cables, and some fiber-optic systems to transmit voice, data, and video signals. 7. Household and Kitchen Appliances Copper is used in sinks, pots, pans, electrical fittings, and lighting fixtures due to its durability and heat conductivity. 8. Marine and Shipbuilding Copper alloys resist seawater corrosion and biofouling, making them ideal for ship components like bolts, rivets, propellers, and condenser pipes. Summary Copper’s unique combination of electrical and thermal conductivity, corrosion resistance, and malleability makes it indispensable in: Construction (wiring, plumbing) Electronics and data infrastructure Transportation, especially EVs Industrial machinery and clean energy Medical devices Telecommunications Household appliances Marine applications Copper is often called “Dr. Copper” for its role as an economic indicator due to its widespread industrial use. Conclusion Copper’s price action is shaped by dollar strength, real interest rates, and supply-demand dynamics. While a weaker dollar and lower real yields typically boost copper, structural factors like Chile’s supply dominance (27% of global production) and green energy demand underpin its long-term bullish case. Traders should monitor DXY trends, Fed policy shifts, and geopolitical risks in key mining regions for directional cues. #METAL #COPPER # GOLD #SILVER #ALUMINIUM
OANDA:XCUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Short US100Think we see a move up to the 0.786 fib level from the recent highs with a rejection down further if more blocks or doubt is cast on the new trade deals and tariffs. TP would be the weekly lows Bearish thoughts - The fundamentals of the tariffs deals are getting challenged - A bit more aggressiveness from china and we might see a move down - Daily MACD is pointing down suggesting downward pressure which we are seeing on hourly chart Bullish structure remains on the 4hr chart
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ollieinvesting
GOLD Gold Correlation with DXY, 10-Year Bond Yields, Bond Prices, Interest Rate Differentials, and Carry Trade Advantage 1. Gold vs. DXY (Dollar Index) Typical Inverse Relationship: Gold prices generally move inversely to the US dollar (DXY). A weaker dollar (DXY↓) makes gold cheaper for foreign buyers, boosting demand, while a stronger dollar (DXY↑) pressures gold prices . Exception in Crises: During extreme market stress (e.g., 2008 financial crisis), gold and the dollar may rise together as both act as safe havens . Recent Context (2025): The inverse correlation weakened, with gold showing resilience despite dollar strength due to geopolitical risks and central bank buying . 2. Gold vs. 10-Year Bond Yields Real Yields Drive Gold: Gold has a strong inverse relationship with real interest rates (nominal yield - inflation). Lower real yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, boosting prices . Example: From 2008–2012 and 2019–2021, gold surged as real yields turned negative amid quantitative easing . Recent Divergence: In 2022–2023, gold held steady despite a 270bps rise in 10-year real yields, driven by central bank accumulation and inflation hedging . 3. Gold vs. Bond Prices Indirect Link via Yields: Bond prices and yields are inversely related. Rising bond prices (yields↓) often correlate with gold strength, while falling prices (yields↑) pressure gold . Safe-Haven Overlap: Both gold and Treasuries are considered safe assets, but their correlation is weaker during stagflation (gold outperforms bonds) . 4. Interest Rate Differentials and Carry Trade Impact Carry Trade Mechanics: Investors borrow low-yield currencies (e.g., JPY) to invest in high-yield currencies (e.g., USD), boosting demand for the latter and strengthening the DXY . Example: A 4.25% spread between AUD (4.35%) and JPY (0.10%) incentivizes AUD/JPY carry trades, affecting currency valuations and gold indirectly . Impact on Gold: A stronger dollar (from carry trades) typically pressures gold, but narrowing rate differentials (e.g., Fed cuts) can reverse this dynamic . Key Exceptions and Recent Trends Policy Divergence: The Fed’s aggressive 2022–2023 rate hikes (10-year yields↑) did not suppress gold, highlighting the role of geopolitical demand and de-dollarization trends . Real Rates vs. Nominal Yields: Gold’s 2025 rally to $3,500+ occurred despite elevated nominal yields, as negative real rates (-1.2% after inflation) supported demand . Central Bank Influence: Record central bank gold purchases (1,081 tonnes in 2024) decoupled gold from traditional drivers like the DXY . Summary Table Factor Relationship with Gold Key Drivers & Exceptions DXY ↑ Typically ↓ (inverse) Exceptions: Risk-off events (both rise) 10-Year Yields ↑ ↓ (if real yields rise) Real yields matter more than nominal rates Bond Prices ↑ ↑ (yields↓, gold吸引力↑) Weakens during stagflation Widening Rate Spreads Indirectly ↓ (strengthens DXY) Carry trades amplify USD demand Conclusion Gold’s price dynamics are shaped by a complex interplay of real yields, DXY movements, and carry trade flows, with notable deviations during crises or structural shifts (e.g., central bank buying). While the inverse correlation with the dollar and real yields remains foundational, recent years underscore gold’s evolving role as a geopolitical and institutional asset. Traders should prioritize monitoring real interest rates, central bank policies, and risk sentiment to navigate gold’s trajectory effectively.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
EUR/USD - H4 - Triangle Formation (31.05.2025)The EUR/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. 1. Wait for Breakout with Good Volume 2. Conformation in short Timeframe Must 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Fundamental Updates : Dollar mixed on tariff uncertainty, U.S. President Donald Trump to battle a U.S. trade court ruling that blocked most of his proposed tariffs. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
24
BTC on high time frame "Hello traders, focusing on BTC on high time frames, the $102,000 level (referred to as the vector level) is crucial for price action. If the price convincingly breaches and closes below this level on the 4-hour or higher time frames, it suggests a potential move to the downside. However, if the price merely sweeps liquidity and forms shadows on the high time frames without closing below the critical level, it indicates the potential for further upward momentum towards new higher highs." If you have any more details to add or need further assistance, feel free to let me know!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by somayehbasiri
1
Power Mech Projects LtdTECHNICAL TARGETS IN CHART FUNDAMENTALS Market Cap ₹ 9,824 Cr. Current Price ₹ 3,107 Stock P/E 30.1 Book Value ₹ 683 Dividend Yield 0.03 % ROCE 22.9 % ROE 16.3 % Face Value ₹ 10.0 Price to book value 4.55 Intrinsic Value ₹ 2,385 PEG Ratio 1.49 Price to Sales 1.88 Debt ₹ 735 Cr. Debt to equity 0.34 Int Coverage 5.95 Reserves ₹ 2,128 Cr. Promoter holding 58.3 % Pledged percentage 0.00 % EPS last year ₹ 103 Net CF ₹ 40.1 Cr. Price to Cash Flow 36,366 Free Cash Flow ₹ -160 Cr. OPM last year 11.5 % Return on assets 8.49 % Industry PE 23.9 Sales growth 24.4 %
NSE:POWERMECH
by madhu2811
$SG - LONGNYSE:SG is approaching a key monthly control level following a sharp decline. I’ve started a front-side entry and plan to scale in further if price moves lower toward the back-side level. Entries & Targets: **First Entry: $13 Target 1 (T1): Daily supply zone around $15 Target 2 (T2): ~$16.50 Target 3 (T3): ~$18.50 Target 4 (T4): ~$21 **Second Entry: $11 (if price continues to decline) Targets remain the same as above. ***Stop Loss*** Either: Weekly candle closing with a negative (COG) or A confirmed candle close below $9.50.
NYSE:SGLong
by DFW_ETH