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Fundamental Analysis

March 4 tariff planningMarch 4 tariff planning: likely minimum pressure down. either today or tomoro further extend of flush depends on trump's upcoming announcement Check out our socials for some nice insights. Let us know if there're any pair you like to see or if this is something you like. Do ask if you have any question Not as refined as our direct trade setups. More for advanced active traders. information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice! NOT financial advice
Short
by Mabelm
Gold price analysis March 3💥Fundamental Analysis European leaders are drafting a peace plan to present to Washington, raising hopes for a resolution to the conflict. This optimism has pushed the Euro (EUR) to rise sharply, putting pressure on the US Dollar (USD) and pulling gold prices back up. In addition, the USD continued to weaken as China's manufacturing PMI data beat expectations, indicating an improvement in the global economy. The cryptocurrency market also recorded a strong recovery after former President Donald Trump directed the establishment of a Strategic Reserve of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana and Cardano. This further increased pressure on the USD, helping gold regain momentum after two days of downward correction last week. 💥Technical Analysis Gold prices are recovering towards resistance at 2890. Last week's old bottom support at 2836 is also important at the moment. These two zones are considered as two notable price zones, closing above these two zones is confirmation of strong trend continuation. 2782 is considered as Gold's weekly support zone. 2916 acts as the only barrier before Gold moves to the next ATH. Note the important price zones for BUY and SELL signals
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
ETH/USD "Ethereum vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ETH/USD "Ethereum vs U.S Dollar" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (2250) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 3000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: ETH/USD "Ethereum vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. Fundamental Analysis Network Congestion: Ethereum's network congestion has decreased, with an average block time of 12 seconds. Transaction Volume: The transaction volume for Ethereum has increased by 15% in the last 24 hours. Mining Difficulty: The mining difficulty for Ethereum has decreased by 2% in the last adjustment. Macro Economics Inflation Rate: The global inflation rate is expected to decrease to 3.2% in 2025, which could lead to increased demand for cryptocurrencies like Ethereum. Interest Rates: The US Federal Reserve has maintained its hawkish stance, keeping interest rates at 5.25% to combat inflation. Global Trade: The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China are expected to have a minimal impact on the cryptocurrency market. Global Market Analysis Cryptocurrency Market: The global cryptocurrency market capitalization has increased by 2% in the last 24 hours. Bitcoin Dominance: Bitcoin's dominance has decreased to 40.2%, which could lead to increased demand for altcoins like Ethereum. Altcoin Market: The altcoin market has increased by 3% in the last 24 hours. On-Chain Analysis Transaction Count: The transaction count for Ethereum has increased by 10% in the last 24 hours. Active Addresses: The number of active addresses for Ethereum has increased by 5% in the last 24 hours. Hash Rate: The hash rate for Ethereum has increased by 1% in the last 24 hours. Market Sentiment Analysis The overall sentiment for ETH/USD is bullish, with a mix of positive and neutral predictions. 58% of client accounts are long on this market, indicating a bullish sentiment. Positioning The long/short ratio for ETH/USD is currently 1.4. The open interest for ETH/USD is approximately 2.5 million contracts. Next Trend Move Bullish Prediction: Some analysts predict a potential bullish move, targeting $2,600 and $2,800, due to the increased demand for cryptocurrencies and the decreased mining difficulty. Bearish Prediction: Others predict a potential bearish move, targeting $2,200 and $2,000, due to the increased competition from other altcoins and the potential decrease in global cryptocurrency demand. Overall Summary Outlook The overall outlook for ETH/USD is bullish, with a mix of positive and neutral predictions. The market is expected to experience a moderate increase, with some analysts predicting a potential bullish move targeting $2,600 and $2,800. Real-Time Market Feed As of the current time, ETH/USD is trading at $2,400, with a 2.0% increase in the last 24 hours. Future Prediction Short-Term: Bullish: $2,500-$2,600, Bearish: $2,300-$2,200 Medium-Term: Bullish: $2,800-$3,000, Bearish: $2,000-$1,800 Long-Term: Bullish: $3,200-$3,500, Bearish: $1,800-$1,600 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
XRP Breakout Setup – Perfect Harmonic Pattern#XRP is setting up for a massive move! ✅ Harmonic Pattern in Play – Harmonic pattern is forming, signaling a potential reversal. ✅ Bullish Divergence – RSI/MACD is showing strength, indicating momentum shift. ✅ Key Resistance Level – A breakout above could trigger a strong rally. Trading Plan: Wait for a confirmed break and retest of the resistance. Enter a long trade with stop-loss at 2.31 and target 2.6 to 2.7. Risk Management: Using a 1:2 or higher risk-reward ratio. Will #XRP break out or fake out? Drop your thoughts below!
Long
by mudusir
3
Charging Toward Highs!Tesla has recently demonstrated bullish momentum, with a notable gap forming around the $280 level, indicating renewed investor interest. This technical setup suggests the potential for a significant upward move, with the stock eyeing the $373.04 weekly resistance level as a pivotal point. A successful breakout above this threshold could propel TSLA toward the $414.50 resistance, offering an attractive risk-to-reward ratio for investors.​ Why TSLA Could Accelerate to $414.50: Technical Indicators: TSLA's current price of $292.98 is approaching the 50-day moving average of $300.04, and a sustained move above this average could signal a bullish trend continuation. ​ barchart.com Analyst Insights: Analysts have identified TSLA as a potential rebound candidate for 2025, noting its inclusion among stocks that could recover after previous declines. ​ Financial Performance: In the third quarter of 2024, Tesla reported revenues nearing $3.5 billion, with a net income of $238 million and an Adjusted EBITDA of $503 million, reflecting robust operational performance.​ Strategic Initiatives: The company's recent pricing of $700 million in senior notes due 2030 indicates a strategic approach to strengthening its capital structure, potentially supporting future growth initiatives.​ Key Levels to Monitor: Support: $280 (gap level), $249.99 (stop-loss)​ Breakout Trigger: $373.04 (weekly resistance)​ Target: $414.50 (major resistance)​ If TSLA maintains its bullish momentum and decisively breaks through the $373.04 resistance with substantial volume, it could be on track for a significant rally toward $414.50. However, investors should remain vigilant, as the stock's current price is below key moving averages, and market conditions can change rapidly. Implementing a stop-loss at $249.99 is advisable to manage potential downside risks. NASDAQ:TSLA
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by The_Trading_Mechanic
Brenker block or Order Block + Inducement = Profits EverywhereHello everyone, happy new week and a happy new month of March to you all !!! First of, fundamentals are heavy on EURUSD this week, like really heavy. Coupled with the fact that this is non-farm payrolls week. (Fundamentals). Secondly, there was a market Structure shift last week which is signaling shorts. This setup overall has a stop loss of less than 35 pips from the breaker block but if you need a tighter Stop loss then you can use the other point of interest which is the order block i marked out. Use proper risk and money management and do not over-leverage your account. Most especially, do your own analysis !
Short
by LaBOSS_FX
BTC/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart for USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves in the local channel of the downward tendu in which we currently see a strong reflection and a quick return price around the upper border of the channel. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face: T1 = 94020 $ T2 = 97698 $ Т3 = 102865 $ T4 = 109520 $ Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = 91130 $ SL2 = 88503 $ SL3 = 84723 $ SL4 = 81673 $ Looking at the MacD indicator, you can see that despite S
by cryptodailyuk
Henry Hub Rally Poised To Extend as Tailwinds Hold StrongHenry Hub Liquified Natural Gas (“LNG”) prices are roaring back, surging in February as frigid temperatures, falling inventories, and soaring LNG exports fuel a bullish rally. With US storage dipping below the five-year average for the first time since 2022 and technical indicators flashing strength, does the rally have more room to run? LNG RALLIES AS COLD WEATHER FUELS DEMAND AND TIGHTENS SUPPLY CME Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures (“CME LNG Futures”) have surged 26% in February, rebounding from a 16.2% decline in January. The rally has been driven by rising exports, falling storage levels, supply disruptions, and colder-than-expected weather. January’s decline was surprising, given that U.S. temperatures averaged 29.2°F in January (0.9°F below average, around -1.56°C), the coldest January since 2005. This resulted in the average daily gas consumption reaching 124.4 Bcf, which is 12% higher than the five-year average, according to the EIA . Prices initially climbed 10.2% from 03/Jan to 24/Jan in response to strong demand, but a late-month selloff erased gains as forecasts turned milder. February saw a swift rebound as colder-than-expected temperatures pushed heating demand beyond expectations, fuelling a price rally. European gas markets added further support, with Dutch TTF prices hitting a two-year high on 11/Feb amid freezing weather, Norwegian supply disruptions, and rapid storage depletion. However, European prices have eased recently due to Russia- Ukraine peace talks, milder forecasts, and discussions on EU storage policies. LNG EXPORTS RISE AMID GROWING GLOBAL DEMAND US LNG exports surged in January, driven by cold temperatures, depleting reserves, and Europe’s shift away from Russian gas. The US exported 8.46 million metric tonnes (412 Bcf) of LNG in January 2025, with 86% heading to Europe—a sharp increase from 69% in December reports Reuters . However, exports remain below the record 422.9 Bcf set in December 2023. Source: EIA Meanwhile, the latest EIA data (updated till December 2024) shows that US LNG exports rose 0.6% YoY in 2024. Export volumes are poised to rise further, supported by Trump’s energy policies easing LNG infrastructure development. Gas flows to export terminals have increased, averaging 14.6 Bcfd in January, and expected to reach 15.6 Bcfd in February. Gas flows are well above the levels seen in Q4 2024, October (13.1 Bcfd), November (13.3 Bcfd), and December (13 Bcfd). A key advantage for US LNG is the absence of destination clauses, allowing buyers to redirect shipments based on demand. Even if Europe does not fully wean off Russian gas, growing U.S. export capacity ensures flexibility to serve other markets, particularly Asia. INVENTORIES FALL BELOW 5-YEAR AVERAGE; EIA RAISES HENRY HUB PRICE FORECAST Amid colder-than-expected weather and rising LNG exports, LNG storage levels have fallen more than anticipated, dropping below the five-year average (2020–2024) for the first time since 2022. Source: EIA Data Storage fell below the five-year average in the week ending 24/Jan and remained below since. As of the week ending 21/Feb, inventories were 11.5% lower than the five-year average. Weekly storage declines have exceeded analyst expectations for four consecutive weeks, indicating stronger-than-expected demand. Source: EIA According to the EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), January withdrawals from underground storage totalled nearly 1,000 Bcf, 39% above the five-year average. The agency expects inventories to end the withdrawal season (Nov–Mar) 4% below average, citing higher consumption and flat production through Q1 2025. Source: EIA STEO In response to tightening supply, the EIA raised its Henry Hub price forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 20.7% and 4.8%, respectively, compared to prior estimates. TECHNICAL INDICATORS SIGNAL SUSTAINED BULLISH MOMENTUM With bullish fundamentals supporting Henry Hub prices, technical indicators also signal an uptrend. Monitoring the 9-day EMA/21-day EMA cross helps identify trend shifts for day trading. A golden cross, a bullish signal (9-day EMA above 21-day EMA), indicates upward momentum, while a death cross, a bearish signal (9-day EMA below 21-day EMA), suggests weakening price action. The 9-day EMA crossed above the 21-day EMA on 18/Feb, forming a golden cross. The widening gap suggests growing bullish momentum. However, the MACD has turned negative after a strong bullish trend. Meanwhile, the RSI hovers at 50.39, down from its monthly peak of 66.60 & below its moving average of 56.66. Source: TradingView TradingView’s technical analysis dashboard also indicates a bullish trend. COMMITMENT OF TRADERS For the week ending 18/Feb, managed money’s net long positions in Henry Hub natural gas (futures & options) increased by 40% WoW, marking a second straight weekly gain. Long positions grew by 14.4% to 241,541 lots, while short positions inched up 0.2% to 137,674 lots. Source: QuikStrike Long positions have risen steadily since 11/Feb, while short positions remain unchanged, implying a growing bullish sentiment in the market. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Multiple factors continue to support Henry Hub prices, including cold temperatures, rising LNG exports, expanding US LNG capacity, and falling inventories. Adding to the bullish outlook, near-term production declines are expected to tighten supply through the remainder of winter. With these fundamentals in play and strong technical signals, natural gas prices may have further upside potential. Portfolio managers and traders can capitalize on a bullish LNG outlook by tapping into CME Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures. These contracts offer the same exposure as standard Henry Hub futures but at 1/10th the size, providing enhanced accessibility and more precise risk management opportunities. This paper posits a long position in CME Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures (Apr 2025) expiring on 26/Mar (MNGJ2025) with the following trade setup: • Entry: 3.75/MMBtu • Target: 4.25/barrel • Stop: 3.45/barrel • P&L at Target (per lot): +500 ((4.25 – 3.75) x 1,000) • P&L at Stop (per lot): -300 ((3.45 – 3.75) x 1,000) • Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 1.67x CME Group lists a raft of products covering a range of asset classes more accessible while also enabling granular hedging for portfolio managers. Investors can learn more about how to access these micro products by visiting the CME Micro Products page on the CME portal to discover micro-sized contracts to gain macro exposures. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
NYMEX:MNG1!Long
by mintdotfinance
Gold prices are said to be negative in the short termWorld gold prices recovered slightly amid a decline in the US dollar. At 9:45 a.m. on March 3, the US Dollar Index, which measures the greenback's fluctuations against six major currencies, stood at 107.130 points (down 0.4%). Gold prices will continue to decrease. “There is no reason to think that this profit-taking correction will not last for a while longer. But we need to remember that so far gold has only fallen less than 4% from its peak, after rising 12% this year.” The fundamentals that drove gold demand over the past two years remain intact, so any possible decline to as low as $2,600 an ounce would be short-lived.” In addition to strong demand from central banks, I also expect capital flows into gold ETFs to increase as interest rates fall, making gold more attractive to investors. “However, this factor may be somewhat affected by speculators reducing their net buying positions in the gold futures market. Currently, the net buying position remains very high as concerns about lingering tariffs from the administration of US President Donald Trump cause investors to seek safe haven assets such as gold."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAU/USD - Gold Weekly Analysis(3rd. Mar. 2025 to 7th Mar. 2025)XAU/USD - Gold Weekly Analysis(3rd. Mar. 2025 to 7th Mar. 2025) Weekly recap: Even though Gold is MACRO bullish on the HTF. We did a fantastic job last week adapting to sells from ATHs, and back below 2930s. We anticipated we can at least retest into near demand zone around 2880s BUT we extended the bearish profit taking move printing an unexpected LL at 2840s. This is lining up with EOM and new business month prices setting up around the corner. Reminder on Gold: Even though Gold is MACRO bullish on the HTF, the asset class sees very large retracement / pullback as markets moves in waves. Keep in mind we are starting a new business month. We have to be careful where if Gold buyers do no reclaims price above 2880-2890 we can instead see extension of retracement into Trump trade Nov 2024 prices of 2750-2760s. With no NEW trade war tensions events, geopolitical risk on the back burner, Feds slow approach to rate cuts, USD starting to find a support/ bullish steam and on Gold specifically profit taking from record break highs requires adaption. Something to look out for on the Macro. Trade ideas for upcoming week: Since Gold is currently in a secondary phase of MS i will be playing sells into better demanded prices Bullish bias: 1 - Gold comes down into first 2760 AOI Bearish bias: 1 - Holds below 2880s 2 - Breaks and holds below current lows at 2845 KL Economic outlook: In terms of economic events this week, we have a lot to unfold as we are in a new business month. To begin this week, We have United States ISM Manufacturing PMI and during the second half of the week will be our main focus as we have United States ISM PMI Services data, Initial Jobless Claims, NFP and Unemployment rate. 1 - Monday : ISM Manufacturing PMI 2 - Wednesday : ISM PMI Services 3 - Thursday : Initial Jobless Claims 4 - Friday : NFP, Unemployment Rate Daily Reminder: -Caution- Stay Smart, Trade safe, follow your trading plan, follow your risk management plan, focus on long term vision, keep emotions out and avoid crashing your account.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KamauRemmers
Bitcoin: final breakAs BTC entered into the mainstream markets, it was expected that the coin would start to react to all the news which affected the mainstream markets. As geopolitical risks arose again during the previous week, the price of BTC finally broke the side trading during the past period, and followed the market sentiment toward the downside. The first part of the week, BTC was traded with a strong downtrend, reaching the lowest weekly level at $79K. This was the level from where buyers started to act, returning the price of BTC toward the $85K, the resistance line. Technical indicators were reacting to such strong movements of BTC. The RSI reached the clearly oversold market side, while it is ending the week at the level of 30. The MA50 started a clear convergence toward the MA200, but as there is a high distance between two lines, the potential cross is still not in the store. For the week ahead, it could be expected a short term consolidation for BTC. The coin is currently testing the $85K resistance line, which will continue to test at the start of the week ahead. As per current charts, there is some probability that the next resistance level at $90K could be shortly tested. On the opposite side, charts are indicating levels between $ 82K and $83K. It should be also considered that NFP data are scheduled for the release in the week ahead, in which sense, some volatility might be back during the release of data.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
XRP - Long termIt should be noted that any asset may experience a sudden decrease in value, but XRP has had a slight decrease in price after a 150% increase from the price of $0.50. Although this currency will definitely increase in the future, it is necessary to pay attention to the decreases and make purchases within the price support areas because these support areas are highly regarded by the general public. In this analysis, two limits have been identified that are used to enter the market in the event of a price drop. Sasha Charkhchian
Long
by Sashacharkhchi
2
NASDAQ 100: Bullish Trend Reversal and Monthly High Target on 4-The NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) on the 4-hour chart is currently experiencing a correction, but the overall trend is showing signs of a bullish reversal. The 15-minute timeframe reveals a change in trend, as the market has shifted from a bearish to a bullish bias. This transition is becoming more evident with higher lows and the formation of bullish candlestick patterns. As the price continues to gain momentum, it appears to be targeting the previous monthly high, which could act as a key resistance level. Traders should closely monitor this level for potential breakout opportunities or a rejection that may indicate a continuation of the correction. A successful push above the previous monthly high could signal a strong bullish trend continuation. However, a failure to break through could lead to consolidation or a deeper pullback. Keep an eye on short-term support levels and the broader trend on the 4-hour chart to gauge the next likely move in the market. Overall, NAS100 seems to be aligning with a bullish outlook in the near term, but careful attention to price action at these critical levels is essential for determining the next steps.
FX:NAS100Long
by lasinsraj
$Algo Has PotentialAlgorand has been a major laggard so far during this cycle, I believe this is due to the major interest in other tokens like SOL. However, while investors and traders have been focusing on meme coin pump & dumps, the Algorand Community has been building. Focusing on Utility as a long term goal. Transaction Speed Algorand managed to handle 34,008 transactions in a single block in less than three seconds. This achievement is notable not only for its speed but also for its flawless execution, as it boasted a 100% success rate. This milestone highlights the blockchain’s robust capabilities, making it an attractive option for both developers and investors. Algorand Staking 1. Pure Proof-of-Stake (PPoS) vs. Traditional Proof-of-Stake Algorand uses a Pure Proof-of-Stake (PPoS) model, unlike Delegated PoS (DPoS) or Nominated PoS (NPoS) used by networks like Solana, Polkadot, and Cardano. In Algorand’s system , every ALGO holder automatically participates in securing the network, while in other PoS systems, users must delegate to validators or run their own nodes. 2. No Slashing Many PoS chains (Ethereum, Polkadot, Cosmos) slash a portion of a validator’s stake if they act maliciously or go offline. Algorand does not have slashing, meaning users don’t risk losing their ALGO due to validator misbehavior. 3. Low Entry Barrier On Algorand, anyone with ALGO can participate in consensus; there's no need for delegation or minimum staking requirements like on Ethereum (32 ETH) or Solana. In contrast, other PoS chains require significant amounts of tokens to run a node or be selected as a validator. 4. Staking Rewards Have Changed Algorand used to offer automatic staking rewards just by holding ALGO in a wallet, similar to Cardano’s model. However, as of 2022, the automatic staking rewards were phased out, and instead, staking incentives now come through governance participation and DeFi protocols. 5. Governance Staking Model Instead of passive staking, Algorand introduced governance staking, where users commit ALGO to governance for a fixed period and vote on protocol decisions. This model is similar to lock-up staking on chains like Polkadot but focuses more on decentralized governance rather than securing the network. 6. Instant Finality & Faster Block Production Algorand’s PPoS achieves instant finality (blocks are final once added) compared to Ethereum or Cosmos, which rely on probabilistic finality and can be reverted in rare cases. This ensures faster transaction confirmation and higher security. 7. Staking via Liquid Staking & DeFi Since traditional staking was removed, ALGO holders now stake through DeFi protocols like Folks Finance or AlgoFi (before its shutdown). Liquid staking options allow users to stake while still using their ALGO in DeFi, similar to Ethereum’s Lido (stETH). In conclusion, the future of $ALGORAND looks bright in the long-term. Although I do believe we do see ATH this cycle, It seems we are currently in last point of support of the wycoff accumulation cycle , only time will tell. This is not financial advice, just an observation of a digital asset with long term potential.
COINBASE:ALGOUSDLong
by A7Fund
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 03 - March 07]OANDA:XAUUSD this week were under pressure to take profits. After opening this week at 2,934 USD/oz, gold prices rose to 2,956 USD/oz, but then continuously dropped to 2,832 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,858 USD/oz. Thus, gold prices this week dropped sharply after 8 consecutive weeks of increases. The reason why gold prices dropped sharply this week is because the USD continued to increase strongly compared to many other major currencies. Market sentiment changed slightly after the US announced the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) for January 2025. Accordingly, PCE increased by 2.5% over the same period last year, thus down from 2.6% in December 2024 and in line with market expectations. Meanwhile, core PCE, excluding fluctuating food and energy prices, also increased 2.6% year-on-year, but down from 2.9% in December 2024 and in line with forecasts. Notably, in the recent meeting, US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had many disagreements and could not reach any agreement to contribute to an early end to the war between Russia and Ukraine. This is a factor that may increase gold's role as a haven, but it is unlikely to push gold prices up sharply next week, perhaps just a slight recovery before adjusting again. There will be a lot of data released next week, but the US February non-farm payrolls (NFP) report will be of particular interest to investors. According to forecasts, NFP is expected to reach 156,000 jobs, compared to 143,000 jobs in January. If NFP reaches the forecast level, it will not affect the Fed's interest rate policy direction, unless NFP increases far beyond the threshold of 200,000 jobs. Therefore, NFP news is likely to have little impact on gold prices next week. In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week. 🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK: Next week, the market will focus on jobs data, with the US February non-farm payrolls report released on Friday morning. Other key economic events include the Eurozone FMCG and US ISM manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP jobs report and US ISM services PMI on Wednesday, and weekly unemployment data on Thursday. The other big event of the week is the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision on Thursday, with many experts expecting the ECB to make another interest rate cut. 📌Technically, gold prices next week may continue to adjust, with the level of 2,790 USD/oz being an important support level. If next week's gold price stays above this level, it will increase slightly to 2,900 USD/oz. On the contrary, if gold prices fall below 2,790 USD/oz next week, there is a risk of a deeper correction. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,814 – 2,835USD Resistance: 2,900 – 2,868USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2955 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2739 - 2741⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2735
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
EUR/USD: Bearish Outlook – Targeting 1.03630 & Below 📊 Market Structure & Key Levels EUR/USD is currently rejecting a key supply zone (1.0450 - 1.0480), showing strong signs of continued downside pressure. The pair is in a bearish trend, with price action confirming lower highs and lower lows, as seen in the Prime Market Terminal charts. 📉 Key Levels to Watch: Supply Zone: 1.0450 - 1.0480 (Strong resistance & liquidity zone) Demand Zone: 1.03630 - 1.03219 (Institutional liquidity target) Extended Bearish Target: 1.02687 (Deep liquidity grab area) 🔍 Trade Setup: Bearish Bias Towards Key Support Levels 📌 Entry: Sell between 1.0450 - 1.0480 🎯 TP1: 1.03630 (Liquidity Zone) 🎯 TP2: 1.03219 (Institutional Liquidity Grab) 🎯 TP3: 1.02687 (Extended Downside Target) ❌ SL: 1.05150 (Above Key Resistance) 📉 Why This Trade? (Prime Market Terminal Analysis) ✔️ Bearish Market Structure – The 1D & 4H trend remains bearish, confirming a downward trajectory. Supertrend is bearish, and price is trading below the 72 EMA & 288 EMA, showing weak bullish momentum. ✔️ Liquidity Targets Identified – Market depth analysis from Prime Market Terminal reveals a lack of strong buy orders above 1.0450, suggesting that sellers dominate. ✔️ Volume Profile Analysis – The visible range (VPVR) highlights a high-volume node at 1.03630, making it a strong area for price to seek liquidity. ✔️ Commitment of Traders (COT) Data – Institutional positioning indicates an increase in short contracts for the EUR, aligning with the bearish trend. ✔️ Order Flow & Market Depth – Prime Market Terminal shows institutional sellers stacking sell orders at 1.0450, while liquidity pools rest below 1.03630 and 1.03219, making these ideal targets for price. 📰 High-Impact News to Watch ⚠️ HICP Flash Inflation Data (EUR - March 3, 2025) – Any deviation from expectations could drive EUR volatility. ⚠️ ISM Manufacturing PMI (USD - March 3, 2025) – A stronger-than-expected report could strengthen USD and drive EUR/USD lower. ⚠️ Fed's Musalem Speech (March 3, 2025) – A hawkish stance could accelerate EUR/USD downside pressure. 📌 Final Thoughts: Follow the Trend & Manage Risk! EUR/USD remains firmly bearish, with liquidity resting below 1.03630. The confluence of institutional positioning, bearish trend confirmation, and market depth insights support a sell bias. Watch price action at key levels and manage your risk accordingly! 🔥 What’s your bias? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
Short
by LDForex_
Clear Sign for short-tradeThe price chart has clearly established a robust resistance level, showing no signs of breaking through again. As a result, the price is likely to breach the first trendline in the near term, entering an accumulation phase. During this phase, the price is expected to consolidate for some time before eventually breaking the second trendline. This breakout will likely trigger a downward movement, potentially driving the price toward the 1.013 level by mid-March.
Short
by rahamb
BTC , road map "Hello traders, when considering BTC, the decision-making process should align with your strategy as either a holder or trader. In high time frames, based on the (FVG) concept, BTC's price could potentially reach $180,000. However, for short-term traders, the price might dip to the $70,000 zone initially. I anticipate a pullback to $92,000, after which I will evaluate candle formations to determine a selling position. Please note that this analysis is subject to updates over time." If you have any specific questions or need further assistance with your message, feel free to let me know!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by somayehbasiri