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Fundamental Analysis

Bean Oil Retreats From Rally. What’s Next?Soybean oil futures are easing after a stunning 24.5% rally from 24/Mar to 14/May. The surge was driven by rising biofuel mandates and renewable diesel output, which boosted domestic soybean crushing and tightened supplies. Additionally, the May WASDE report highlighted soybean oil’s key role in renewable diesel growth. U.S. domestic use is projected to rise in 2025/26, with biofuel feedstock demand reaching 13.9 billion pounds, 44.7% of total supply. The rally ended on 15/May, with soybean oil futures tanking 5.7% amid concerns over the EPA’s biofuel mandate. Reports suggested the agency may propose a lower biomass-based diesel target of 4.6 billion gallons, well below the industry’s 5.25 billion request, raising fears of feeble future soybean oil demand. Soybean oil prices extended losses during the last week of May as a sharp drop in crude oil prices threatened to reduce demand for biofuel, weakening the price support. TECHNICAL SIGNALS CONFIRM BEARISH FUNDAMENTALS Technical indicators point to growing bearish momentum in soybean oil futures. A death cross occurred on 28/May, with the 21-day MA crossing above the 9-day MA, while prices remain below the monthly pivot. On 30/May, futures broke below the 50-day MA for the first time since 27/Mar, though they still trade above the 100- and 200-day MAs. Momentum indicators suggest a weakening outlook for soybean oil prices, with the MACD signalling a bearish trend since 16 May and the RSI holding below both its neutral level and 14-day MA. OPTIONS DATA POINT TO PERSISTENT BEARISHNESS IN THE NEAR TERM For the week ending 20th May, Managed Money’s net long positioning in soybean oil futures fell by 15%, reflecting a 5.3% drop in longs and an 8.1% rise in shorts, signalling the beginning of a bearish sentiment. Implied volatility hit its 2025 high on 15/May, reflecting heightened uncertainty around biofuel policy. While IV has eased since 27/May, it remains well above normal levels, pointing to continued risk of sharp price swings. Source: CME CVOL Skew has declined but stays positive, suggesting traders are still pricing in greater demand for upside protection. Source: CME QuikStrike Over the past week, OI trends show bearish positioning in near to mid-term contracts except for options expiring on 30/May. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Bearish fundamentals driven by questionable demand for biofuels and feeble crude oil prices, paired with technical breakdowns and skewed option positioning, point to further downside in soybean oil futures. This paper posits a tactical short on CME Micro Soybean Oil July futures (MZLN25 expiring on 20th June), targeting continued near-term weakness. Investors can position against this backdrop using the CME Micro Soybean Oil Futures, which are sized at one-tenth (6,000 pounds) of standard contracts (which are 60,000 pounds). This allows for a cost-effective method to express a short-term bearish stance. As of 2nd June, the minimum exchange margin on this contract is USD 190 per lot. • Entry: USc 48/Pound • Potential Profit: USc 44.8/Pound (48 – 44.8 = 3.2) x 6000/100 = USD 192 • Stop-Loss: USc 49.9/Pound (48 – 49.9 = -1.9) x 6000/100 = USD 114 • Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 1.7x In collaboration with the CME Group, TradingView has launched The Leap trading competition. New and upcoming traders can hone and refine their trading skills, test their trading strategies, and feel the thrill of futures trading with a vibrant global community through this paper trading competition sponsored by CME Group using virtual money and real time market data. The competition lasts another 27 days. Please join the other 15,000 participants who are actively honing their trading skills using virtual money. Click here to learn more. #TheFuturesLeap #Microfutures MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER, the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CBOT_MINI:MZL1!Short
by mintdotfinance
AVAX Bulls Walking into a Trap? Yello Paradisers, are we on the edge of a clean breakout or is AVAX setting up the perfect trap before flushing the late bulls? 💎#AVAXUSDT has recently broken above a critical resistance zone and is now attempting a retest. This move appears strong on the surface, but it sits at a dangerous pivot—one that could determine the short-term direction in the days ahead. The structure is unfolding within a clean ascending channel, with both resistance and support levels well respected. These rising boundaries give the breakout credibility, but they also highlight how vulnerable the setup is if key support levels fail. 💎Right now, the level that previously acted as resistance is being tested as support. This is the moment of truth. If the price continues to hold above this level with strength and volume, we’re likely in for a continuation toward the next resistance level around $22.40. But the real test for bulls will come at the $23.00 region, where heavy profit-taking and increased selling pressure are highly likely. That’s where the larger players will look to trap over-leveraged longs and reposition. 💎But this bullish outlook comes with a clear condition and it’s non-negotiable. If #AVAX fails to hold $21.00 and begins closing candles back inside the previous range, the move instantly loses its legitimacy. In that case, our focus turns to the strong demand zone between $20.20 and $20.40. A reaction from this area could still save the structure, offering a potential reload for a bounce. But if this level gives way, the entire bullish setup is invalidated and what was once a breakout turns into a confirmed bull trap. Trade smart, Paradisers. This setup will reward only the disciplined. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
Gold Market Analysis and Trading Strategy### Key Technical Levels & Patterns 1. Resistance Zones: - $3,365–$3,392: Critical resistance levels. Breaking $3,365 with high volume could signal a bullish breakout, targeting $3,392 and beyond. - $3,387–$3,357: A broader resistance zone identified by inverse head and shoulders and descending broadening wedge patterns. A break here may confirm an impulsive wave (per Elliott Wave theory). 2. Support Levels: - $3,328–$3,342: Key support areas. A failure to hold these could trigger a short-term correction. - $3,304.749: A strong support zone (green zone) that could act as a bearish target if the price breaks below it. 3. Demand Zones: - $3,356.50: A defined demand zone with confirmed bullish reactions (e.g., wick rejections). Entry suggested just above this level with a stop-loss below $3,344.50. ### Fundamental Drivers 1. Geopolitical Tensions: - Ukraine-Russia conflict: Escalating tensions are fueling safe-haven demand for gold. - Middle East instability: Recent escalations are adding pressure on gold as investors seek refuge. 2. U.S.-China Trade Tensions: - Trump’s threat to double tariffs on steel/aluminum has heightened market uncertainty, pushing investors toward gold. 3. U.S. Dollar Weakness: - A weaker dollar (e.g., USD index near monthly lows) supports gold prices, as gold is priced in USD. 4. Federal Reserve Policy: - Market expectations of a September rate cut and potential December cuts are bullish for gold. Powell’s speech could trigger volatility. ### Trading Strategies 1. Bullish Breakout Setup: - Entry: Above $3,365–$3,372 with tight stop-loss (e.g., $3,360). - Targets: $3,392 (short-term) and $3,400–$3,450 (mid-term). - Risk Management: Strict stop-loss below $3,325 to protect against false breakouts. 2. Scalping Opportunities: - Key Scalp Zones: $3,332–$3,352 (intraday pullbacks). - Strategy: Buy on dips near $3,328–$3,342 if the price stabilizes. ### Key Watchpoints - $3,365: A critical level for confirming bullish momentum. - $3,325: A psychological support level that could act as a short trigger if broken. - Fed Chair Powell’s Speech: Potential for emotional moves or reversals. - Volume Confirmation: High volume on breakout levels (e.g., $3,365) is essential for validity. ### Risk Management & Recommendations 1. Stop-Loss Discipline: - Always place stops below key support levels (e.g., $3,325) to limit losses. - Avoid holding positions without a clear plan. 2. Position Sizing: - Use smaller positions in volatile environments to manage risk. 3. Monitor Volatility: - Gold may experience sharp swings due to geopolitical and macroeconomic factors. Stay alert. 4. Follow Trends: - Short-term: Focus on $3,325–$3,392 range. - Mid-term: Watch for a breakout above $3,400, targeting $3,450–$3,480. ### Conclusion Gold is in a bullish phase, driven by geopolitical risks, weak USD, and Fed policy expectations. Key levels like $3,365 and $3,392 are critical for confirming momentum. Traders should focus on breakout strategies, scalping in pullbacks, and strict risk management. However, always do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making trades. Final Note: The market is volatile, and news events (e.g., Powell’s speech) could cause rapid reversals. Stay informed and flexible! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by teconlab
XAUUSD Reversal Zones Identified (MMC Analysis) + Target🧠 Overview: Today’s GOLD chart shows clear institutional footprints using the Market Maker Concept (MMC). We're seeing a sequence of liquidity sweeps, breaks of structure (BOS), and supply/demand (SD) interchanges, all pointing to a well-orchestrated bullish expansion. This detailed analysis will break down: Key structure shifts and manipulation zones BOS confirmations and their implications Upcoming reversal target zone and trade management suggestions 🔍 Chart Breakdown: 🔸 1. SR Interchange Zone (Demand Zone) Around $3,270 – $3,280, price showed strong bullish rejection. This zone represents a Support-Resistance Flip, where price absorbed sell-side liquidity before launching upward. Market Makers often use this zone to induce short positions, then reverse to trap retail sellers. 🔸 2. Major BOS (Break of Structure) Occurred near $3,365, signaling a confirmed bullish shift in market structure. This BOS is important because it shows displacement, a core MMC trait where institutions break structure with momentum. Once BOS was confirmed, price formed a short-term pullback, aligning with re-accumulation principles. 🔸 3. Previous Target Zone + SD Interchange Around $3,370 – $3,385, previously identified as a resistance/target zone. After breaking this zone, price retested it and turned it into new support (SD Interchange). This is a common MMC move: old resistance becomes a new demand zone post-manipulation. 🔸 4. Target Hit & Bullish Continuation Price surged upward and hit the next logical target, pausing briefly. This confirms that the market is following liquidity engineering – price sweeps zones to collect orders, then pushes higher. 🔸 5. Next Reversal Zone: $3,440 – $3,460 This is a key supply zone based on prior inefficiencies and potential smart money exits. Traders should watch this zone carefully for signs of bearish reaction: Rejection wicks Bearish engulfing patterns RSI/MACD divergence Volume exhaustion 💡 Trade Strategy Ideas: ✅ Bullish Bias (If price holds above BOS) Buy retracements into demand zones (e.g., $3,365 or $3,385) Targets: $3,420 and then $3,450 Use trailing stops to lock in profits ❌ Bearish Setup (Upon reversal signs in $3,440 – $3,460 zone) Look for short confirmations like lower highs or bearish engulfing candles Targets: $3,385 (former demand) or $3,365 (BOS level) ⚠️ Risk Management: Stick to 1-2% risk per trade Wait for confirmation before entering any reversal Set clear invalidation levels (above $3,460 for shorts) 🔚 Conclusion: This GOLD analysis demonstrates classic MMC and Smart Money behavior: BOS with confirmation Institutional demand flip Precise target fulfillment Approaching a high-probability reversal zone The next few sessions will be critical. Stay sharp and patient—let the market confirm the next direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
NZDCHF: Short-Term Trading SetupNZDCHF: Short-Term Trading Setup NZDCHF has broken out of a strong resistance zone near 0.4920, which has now turned into support. A potential retest of this zone could offer a more favorable entry price. Given the pair's slow performance, resistance zones are relatively close, making this a short-term trade. The key resistance levels to watch are 0.4936, 0.4950, and 0.4960. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
1
XAGUSD Analysis – Market Mapping Concept (MMC) + Target🧭 Overview: Today's Silver price action presents a textbook example of how MMC can guide traders through: Identifying the smart money accumulation phase. Anticipating breakout momentum . Locating key reversal areas based on previous liquidity maps and structural shifts. We are currently observing Silver in the early stages of a structural retest after a breakout from consolidation. This gives rise to two powerful scenarios: either a bullish continuation after structure confirmation or a deeper retracement if the structure fails. 🔍 Detailed Chart Explanation: 🔷 1. Volume Contraction Phase The market spent multiple sessions forming a symmetrical wedge, visible by narrowing price movement and consistent lower highs and higher lows. This was accompanied by declining volume, signaling accumulation/distribution by institutional players. The wedge served as a liquidity trap, drawing in both early shorts and longs before the true direction was revealed. ✅ MMC Principle: Volume contraction often precedes major breakouts as market makers build positions quietly. 🔷 2. SR Interchange – Breakout Confirmation Price finally broke above the upper trendline, triggering a bullish impulse and confirming SR interchange (resistance turned support). This move was backed by a strong bullish candle, showing aggressive participation and institutional involvement. 📌 This breakout candle set the tone for a structural shift—transforming from sideways to upward momentum. 🔷 3. Rapid Expansion Toward Previous Target Zone After the breakout, price accelerated directly into a previous high (target) zone marked in blue. According to MMC, this zone often acts as a liquidity magnet, where late buyers enter and professional traders take profits. A rejection wick formed right after touching this zone—classic smart money behavior, catching retail traders chasing the move. ✅ MMC Principle: Prior highs/lows are not just resistance—they're engineered targets for liquidity collection. 🔷 4. Target + Reversal Area After the rejection, price declined back into the Target + Reversal Zone. This area aligns with MMC’s ideal structure for potential buy-side re-accumulation. This zone is where previous volume imbalances occurred, meaning it is likely to act as support if the bullish trend is to continue. 📊 Current price is consolidating within this zone, suggesting a possible bullish continuation if structure holds. 🔷 5. Structure Mapping – The Key to MMC The most recent price reaction highlights the importance of structure mapping: identifying areas where market logic aligns with trader behavior. The bearish pullback into the structure zone may complete a retest, and traders are watching closely for bullish confirmation. ⚙️ Technical Summary: Key Zone Description Volume Contraction Signals accumulation before breakout. SR Interchange Breakout level where resistance turned to support. Previous Target Zone Liquidity pool, ideal for institutional exits or reversal. Target + Reversal Zone Demand zone where the trend may resume if confirmed. Structure Mapping Current phase; price is aligning into new bullish structure or preparing for drop. 🧭 What to Watch Next: 🔹 Scenario A – Bullish Case: Price holds within the Target + Reversal Zone. Confirmation via bullish engulfing candle or breakout of lower high. Target: retest of 34.80+, then potential extension to 35.20. 🔹 Scenario B – Bearish Case: Breakdown below structure base at 33.85–34.00. Could lead to a deeper correction toward 33.40 or 32.80 (previous volume node). 📌 Volume + Structure = Decision Point. Next few candles are crucial for validating direction. 🛠 Strategy & Execution: Approach: Wait for confirmation candles before entering. Avoid reacting impulsively within the structure zone. Entry Idea: Buy on bullish confirmation in the reversal zone. Place stop below structure invalidation. Target the top of the previous target zone or higher. Risk Management: Use tight SLs below 33.85 and scale in only on confirmation. 📅 Timeframe: 1H 🔭 Sentiment: Cautiously Bullish 🎯 Technique: MMC Structure Mapping + Volume-Based Targeting 🧠 Final Thoughts: This XAGUSD chart showcases the predictive power of MMC when applied correctly. By understanding where smart money operates, traders can improve accuracy, timing, and risk control. 📌 If you found this analysis helpful, like and follow for daily insights. Drop your thoughts in the comments—do you trade MMC-style setups?
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD HTF IOF continuationEURUSD is currently in the sell side of the SMR model as price swept the Previous Month High , and a classic example of SMR has taken place. Draw on liquidity is the deeply discounted H4 Unmitigated Bullish OB found at the 70.5% fib . I Believe that Price will either reach the D.O.L through NFP news release , or price will continue retracing to the POI prior to news release I believe L.O.M should be set here , followed by a continued bulls rally following HTF IOF.
Long
by jacquesnortje
EUR/USD Market Analysis: Inflation Drop Spurs ECB Rate Cut ExpecTechnical Analysis On the 1-hour chart, EUR/USD is trading near 1.1408, showing a corrective pullback after recent gains. The pair breached a rising trendline support around 1.1411 and is approaching key Fibonacci retracement levels derived from the recent swing low to high. Immediate support lies at the 100% Fibonacci level near 1.1368, with further downside targets at the 127.2% extension at 1.1399 and the 161.8% extension at 1.1385. The 61.8% retracement at 1.1427 now acts as a resistance barrier. Otherwise, buyers have to reclaim the 1.14276 hurdle to alter the downward movement. Conclusion EUR/USD remains in a phase of consolidation shaped by diverging central bank policies and fresh inflation signals. The softer Eurozone inflation grants the ECB room to ease, which weighs on the euro, while the U.S. dollar finds support amid stable economic data and hawkish Fed outlooks. Traders should monitor the ECB meeting closely for guidance cues and watch technical levels at 1.1368 support and 1.1427 resistance for potential directional confirmation. The interplay of these fundamental and technical factors will define the pair’s trajectory in the coming sessions.
Short
by Errante
The Last Batch of Good DataCME: Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Index Futures ($MNQ) #TheFuturesLeap #Microfutures Investors have defied the Wall Street adage of “Sell in May and Go Away”. The S&P 500 rose by 6.2% in May while the Nasdaq climbed 9.6%. Both indices notched their best monthly results since 2023. The Dow Jones gained 3.9% for the month. The S&P stood out as it recorded its best performance for the month of May since 1990. Several favorable factors propelled May’s impressive stock index gains: • Early-May employment data pointed to continued strength, raising risk appetite. • A temporary U.S.-China tariff reduction for 90 days helped calm trade tensions. • Robust earnings from Nvidia and Super Micro Computer fueled rally momentum. Meanwhile, these unfavorable events also occurred in May: • Moody’s downgraded the US sovereignty rating. By now, the US has lost its AAA ratings from all three major credit agencies. • The 20-year Treasury bond auction received a cold shoulder in the bond market. • The trade talk between U.S. and China has been stalled apparently. In any other time, bad news of such significance would send the stock market into a free fall. But investors turned a blind eye to them. This highlighted a bullish market sentiment, a prevailing appetite for risky assets amid uncertainty in geopolitical and trade tensions. Underpinning the rising stock prices are solid macroeconomic data for the month of April and strong Q1 earnings from major US corporations. Given that stock prices reflect expected future earnings, it is fair to ask: Will the data stay good? Import dependency is unlikely to change any time soon On May 30th, US Census Bureau reported that the U.S. trade deficit in goods narrowed sharply in April, with the gap contracted 46.0% to $87.6 billion. Goods imports decreased by $68.4 billion to $276.1 billion. Exports of goods increased by $6.3 billion to $188.5 billion. What really happened is that there was a boost in imports in Q1 due to the front-running ahead of tariffs. This ended in April as the higher rates kicked in. If we take March out as an outliner, we will find that the April data is 9.7% higher than February. As a matter of fact, U.S. trade deficits in 2025 rose sharply comparing to 2023 and 2024 levels. With the US-China interim trade deal in effect from May 14th, we could expect large waves of imports to resume from now through August, pushing trade deficits even higher. The global supply chain is decades in the making. Its undoing will take years. Meanwhile, imports will pour in, only at higher costs due to the new tariffs and higher freight costs. My conclusion: U.S. trade deficit will grow bigger, at least for the remainder of 2025. Retail price hikes could cause inflation to rebound US retailers largely source their products overseas. Could they just “eat the tariffs?” • Walmart: FY2024 revenues $681 billion (+5.1% YoY). Net income jumped 25.3% to $19.4 billion, lifting its net profit margin to 2.9%. • Target: Revenue $107.4b (-1.6%). Net income $4.14b (+49%). Profit margin 3.9%. • Costco: Revenue $254.5b (+5.0%). Net income $7.37b (+17%). Profit margin 2.9%. • Walgreens: Revenue $147.66 billion (+6.17%). Net Income -$8.64 billion (-5.9%) • Amazon: Revenue $638.0b (+11%). Net income $59.2b (+95%). Profit margin 9.3%. Apparently, even the largest and the most efficiently run retail giants are operating with a razor-thin margin. Retailers really have no choice but to pass on the tariffs to consumers, in the form of higher prices. On May 15th, Walmart announced to raise prices starting in late April. The price hikes would accelerate in May, and a larger sting will start to be felt in June and July when the back-to-school shopping season goes into high gear. Other retailers are expected to follow suit. Walmart’s action provides air cover for the tens of thousands of retailers to raise their prices freely. My conclusion: Inflation will go up from May through the holiday season in December. Higher interest cost will eat into the bottom line While stock investors brushed off the Moody’s downgrade, the bond market has been in real trouble. As the US treasury bonds lost their “risk-free” status, debts of all kinds and all durations see a big spike in yield. Bond investors are undergoing a complete makeover of repricing bonds and reassigning a new “risk premium”. On May 21st, the U.S. Treasury held an auction for 20-year bonds that fell significantly short of expectations. The lack of bidders—an alarming indicator of waning confidence in the U.S. economy—resulted in the yield on these bonds skyrocketing to 5.1%. The bond yields go up even though the Fed holds rates steady. This indicates that central bank monetary policies are not very effective in shaping the long end of the bond market. Even if the Fed lowers the overnight Fed Funds rates, bond investors would still demand higher yield to compensate for the perceived risk increases for the once “risk-free” instruments. Commercial banks could keep interest rates high for mortgages, corporate bonds, auto loans and credit cards. As of June 2nd, the futures market puts the odds of the Fed holding rates unchanged at 95.4% for its June 18th FOMC meeting, according to CME Group FedWatch tool. www.cmegroup.com My conclusion: The Fed may have little appetite for cutting rates if inflation goes up. When they cut the overnight rates, businesses and households may not get any relief from high interest expenses. Trade tensions and geopolitical risks may stay elevated Before the ink dries on a temporary agreement, the trade talk between U.S. and China has been stalled. The minister-level negotiation has gone nowhere, and it may take presidential talk to salvage the agreement. At this point, we could not make any assumption about any trade agreement. Its shape and form and timing are uncertain. If the trade talk breaks down, we will see a new round of tariff reescalation and retaliation. On June 2nd, breaking news report that Ukraine carried out a large drone attack deep into the Russian territory. Russian retaliation is expected. After months of effort, potential ceasefire and peace negotiation could fall apart. My conclusion: Trade and geopolitical tensions are both escalating, after early signs of calming down. These would hurt economic growth and dent investor appetite for risk. Trading with Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Index Futures Based on my analysis above, I hold the opinion that good data may quickly turn bad in the coming weeks, and correction in the US stock market is imminent. Valuation at the current lofty level completely ignores the risk escalation closer on to us. Anyone sharing this view could express it by shorting the CME Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Index Futures. The Micro Nasdaq contract has a notional value of $2 times the index. At the Friday closing price of 21,578, each September contract is worth $43,156. The minimum margin for shorting one contract is $3,036 at the time of this writing. The latest CFTC Commitments of Traders report shows that, as of May 27th, the total open interest for Emini Nasdaq and Micro Nasdaq futures are 275,143 and 204,499 contracts, respectively. • Leverage Fund has 77,467 in long, 251,452 in short, and 10,472 in spreading • The long-short ratio of 1-to-3.2 (= 77467/251452) show that the “Smart Money” is very bearish on the Nasdaq while the index gained nearly 10% in May Hypothetically, if Nasdaq 100 were to pull back 5% before September, a short futures position will gain $2,157.8 (= 21578 * 0.05 * 2). The risk of shorting the Nasdaq is that the stock index continues to rally. To hedge the downside risk, the trader could set a stop-loss at his order. For example, a stop loss at 23,000 for a short order would set the maximum loss to $2,844 (= (23000-21578) x 2). Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by JimHuangChicago
#XAUUSD[GOLD]:At Critical Level, Bullish Swing Is Very LikelyHey There Everyone, So, gold prices took a bit of a dip, hitting 3250 gold. But guess what? They bounced back like a rubber ball and reached 3332! And here’s the exciting part: they broke through that pesky bearish trend line. This means they’re probably going to retest that line to confirm the trend. Right now, it looks like they’re at a potential retest point, and that’s where things could get really interesting. If strong bullish volume comes in, the price could skyrocket! There are three possible targets here: 3332, 3362, and 3420. Now, here’s something important to keep in mind: next week, there are some big news and events coming up that could totally shake things up in the gold market. And let’s not forget about price manipulation. If someone tries to mess with the price, it could drop back to 3250 and then reverse course. So, it’s crucial to have backup plans in case of any unexpected twists. The US dollar is also going to be all over the place due to upcoming news, which could disrupt the gold market and other currencies. So, it’s best to trade cautiously today and next week. The price can be a bit unpredictable, so take your time to do your own analysis and assess your risk before making any moves. Good luck and trade safely! We wish you all the best in your trading journey! Cheers, Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
8
GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
1
Safe Entry ZoneStock Pre-market in Down Movement. We have Three Main Support Fesh Zones acts as good support for IONQ: 1- The Blue POI IC (Point Of Interesting or Institutional Candle) acts as support level which is interest zone for price to re-test @ 38-36 price level. 2- The 1h Green Zone @ 33-34 Price level 3- P.High (previous High) Line at 29.5 price level Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
NYSE:IONQ
by Faisalzor
Gold remains up at the beginning of this week 📌 Gold Consulting Gold prices rose sharply on Monday, reaching their highest level in more than four weeks, affected by the escalation of geopolitical risks caused by the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. The re-escalation of trade tensions between China and the United States prompted investors to buy gold throughout the day. As of this writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,377, up 2.70%. Market sentiment turned sour on news that Ukraine launched an airstrike against Russia, destroying long-range bombers and other aircraft. Meanwhile, US President Trump doubled the tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 50%, effective June 4, and his remarks against China led to a decline in US and global stock markets. CNBC Reports said that Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping may talk this week, but not on Monday. 📊Comment Analysis Gold prices maintained their upward momentum at the beginning of this week, but tariff tensions and war with Russia remain unpredictable. Gold prices are supported and will return to the 3400 area. 💰Strategy Package 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3409-3411 SL 3416 TP1: $3400 TP2: $3388 TP3: $3372 🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3313-$3315 SL $3308 TP1: $3327 TP2: $3340 TP3: $3355 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Silver got a healthy breakout and appears reasonably trend folloSilver got a healthy breakout and appears reasonably attractive as a buy following the signal. 1. After an extended consolidation, silver has broken out of its upper range to retest the previous swing high. This breakout from its sideways range is technically significant, reinforced by a strong bullish candlestick that indicates robust upward momentum. Another $0.50 move would mark the highest level in over 12 years, which could attract a surge of speculative buying which may ignite the following surge. 2. Fundamentally, silver prices are rising in tandem with gold, as silver serves as an alternative investment in the precious metals group and acts as a reliable safe-haven asset, making this rally justifiable. 3. Especially in the current situation, where economic fragility, unresolved trade issues, and escalating geopolitical tensions are all pushing investors toward precious metals. 4. In addition, the unusually large amount of US debt maturing during this month has contributed to a weaker US dollar, which in turn provides further support for precious metal prices. Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
TVC:SILVERLong
by KrisadaYoonaisil
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 2 - 6 JuneMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: BoC & ECB Rates, Canada and US Job Data & Earnings Reports In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in! In this episode, we discuss: — BoC’s Interest Rate Decision — ECB’s Interest Rate Decision — Unemployment Rate in Canada — NFP and Unemployment Rate in the US — Corporate Earnings Statements Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey. This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Gold Price Analysis June 3D1 candle confirms strong price increase by breaking the previous selling zone around 3365 and breaking the trendline structure On the h4 time frame, it shows quite nice price increase waves. On h1, it shows that this morning's Asian session has profit-taking waves from sellers, leading to gold prices worth retesting important support zones. 3353 has reacted once, many zones are considered buying opportunities today. 3332, 3325, 3315 are considered price reactions for long-term BUY signals today, which can push up to 34xx If 3353 remains stable, Gold will push up to 3390 to react once before touching the daily resistance zone around 3408
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader