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Fundamental Analysis

Gold correction, continue to rise! Target 2,800!The dollar extended its recent four-week rally to its highest level since July 30 as expectations grew for a more cautious approach by the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, the market has almost fully priced in a quarter-point rate cut at the Fed's November policy meeting. At the same time, the latest polls show a tight race between Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican candidate Donald Trump amid growing concerns about deficit spending after the Nov. 5 presidential election. The price of gold at Monday's opening was between 2717 and 2745 Sell: 2755-2757 SL 2762 TP1: 2745 TP2: 2740 TP3: 2730 Buy: 2717-2715 SL 2710 TP1: 2725 TP2: 2733 TP3: 2740
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by xrrsxrrs
3
XAUUSD Hitting 44 year ResistanceGold is currently hitting a key resistance area that goes back to 1980 (44 year) trendline. Some time may be required to correct and absorb this recent bull move. However, I would not be selling out of it completely if that's what one wishes to do with this information. I prefer people read this chart as a good way to set their expectations in case Gold stalls for a while to prevent them from panicking out of this position. Longer term I remain bullish on gold. Especially with Trump the 6-time bankrupt "businessman" being the 47th
FX:XAUUSD
by RealMacro
2
Clear sign of 153 as the trend continues upIndescribably, one of the most significant moments for the stock is on sound fundamentals, a suitable catalyst, and a technical setup for continuation. The second level upper band on Bollinger shows it can even extend out to 190, and even though there are overbought levels on some indicators, it's business as usual. It can retrace as it has been doing, and 136 is a good start on the trend line. It could fake a further drop only to catch back up, watching for the correction more than a continuation, but all angles of the stock are extreme in volume, volatility, and price action.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by themoneyman80
TLT UpWhy am I still expecting TLT to rise? Let’s start with the fundamental reasons. After the election, when we focus on Trump’s four main economic directions, it’s hard to think anything other than that we’re in for inflation growth, an increase in interest rates, and so on. Specifically: 1. A 10-20% tariff on imported goods, and a sudden 60% on goods imported from China. This naturally points to price increases for goods, and we’ve already seen this kind of policy back in 2016. However, in the past eight years, many geopolitical perceptions have changed, and the US position in the global market is substantially different from what it was eight years ago. Some restrictions on certain types of goods might be possible, but applying tariffs across all goods? - I don’t believe so. 2. Income tax reduction. What does this mean? Yes, it’s a realistic but very low-weighted plan. In line with populism, there will be a reduction in taxes, but it can hardly have a significant impact on the overall US budget deficit. 3. Deporting immigrants. To some extent, it will have a minimal effect on the labor market. It’s important to note that immigrants’ labor is not generally secured within the US labor market anyway, and it’s unlikely that US residents would have greatly expanded opportunities in their place. 4. Growth in energy production volumes. It would be redundant to write long paragraphs on how this will have a positive impact on prices. These four points sum up the populist promises. In another reality, the US Federal Reserve is successfully battling inflation; abnormally high rates only harm issuers, while European spreads are reaching historical highs. After the 1980s, Bond Vigilantes might be set for a return, which would pose significant problems for US Treasuries. We’re waiting for the Fed’s press conference today.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by gorgevorgian
Bearish on the EUR, if it falls below 1.075, it may fall to 1.07In the early European session, the euro had difficulty gaining a foothold against the US dollar, and the trading price fell below 1.0800 again. The US dollar once performed well due to Trump's victory. However, as investors took profits before the Fed announced its interest rate decision, the upward momentum of the US dollar weakened. As expected by the market, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 4.5%-4.75%. At the press conference after the meeting, Powell did not hint whether there would be further easing in December, and emphasized that the results of the presidential election would not have an impact on monetary policy in the short term. The market reacted relatively mildly to the Fed. According to data from the Fed Observation Tool of CME, the market expects that the probability of another 25 basis point rate cut in December remains basically around 70%. Earlier on Friday (November 8), cautious market sentiment helped the US dollar hold its ground and the euro continued its rebound. At the same time, US stock index futures are currently consolidating. If the market continues to remain cautious after the opening of Wall Street, the US dollar may maintain bullish momentum, thereby limiting the upside of the euro. Technically, the RSI indicator on the 4-hour chart of EUR/USD remains below 50, which indicates that the downtrend remains after the correction on Thursday (November 7). 1.0750 is a static support level, followed by 1.0700 and 1.0680. Looking up, the initial resistance is at 1.0800, followed by 1.0870 (200-day moving average).
Short
by xrrsxrrs
WIF COIN LONG OPPORTUNITY - Solana Memecoin WIF is one of the top memecoins on the Solana blockchain. It often shows strong momentum, especially when Solana is moving upwards. Watching WIF can be useful for tracking both Solana’s trend and the memecoin market. Technical Analysis: The price recently ran the daily swing liquidity and tapped into the weekly demand zone, where it faced strong rejection and began an upward move. We also saw rejection near the bearish trendline that has influenced the downward trend over the last few weeks. I’ll be looking for lower time frame confirmations around $2.12, which aligns with the 4-hour demand zone and Fibonacci retracement discount level. Stop Loss: $1.85 Target 1: Bearish trendline Target 2: $2.69 Target 3: $2.96
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
FOMC and Powell support GOLD, bearish outlook still prevailsOANDA:XAUUSD Spot trading rose nearly 2% yesterday when the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as market predicted, causing the US Dollar to plunge and giving gold a boost. The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points on Thursday, while policymakers noted a "broad deterioration" in the job market. Officials voted unanimously to lower the federal funds rate to a range of 4.5%-4.75%. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said Trump's presidential election victory will not directly affect monetary policy. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have put pressure on the US dollar and bond yields, while boosting the investment appeal of non-yielding gold. FOMC content In their monetary policy statement, officials acknowledged the economy is growing steadily despite slowing labor market conditions. They admitted inflation was close to the Fed's 2% target but still remained slightly high. Fed policymakers also noted that the risks to achieving their dual mandates were “roughly balanced” but acknowledged uncertainty about the economic outlook. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement said: "The Committee believes that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are balanced and that there is uncertainty about the economic outlook. The Committee concerned about the risk of achieving his dual mandate." While policymakers noted “progress” in achieving the inflation target, they neglected to mention “becoming more confident that inflation can move steadily toward 2 percent.” sustainable”. “Labour market conditions have generally eased since the beginning of this year, with the unemployment rate rising but remaining low,” the Fed statement said. Powell said the election results would not affect decision-making in the short term and that there was flexibility in future policy direction. At his post-FOMC press conference, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell avoided giving specific guidance on the future direction of interest rates, leaving room for flexibility at the December meeting and beyond. He emphasized that because the economy is strong, the Fed can take its time lowering interest rates. He acknowledged that even after Thursday's rate cut, policy remains restrained as officials aim to return interest rates to neutral levels. Regarding the pace of interest rate cuts, Powell said if the labor market weakens or slows as it approaches neutrality, the Fed could accelerate the pace of interest rate cuts. However, he clarified that no final decision has been made yet. Powell also said that in the short term, the presidential election results will not directly affect monetary policy. General assessment The Fed's 25 basis point cut boosted gold prices, on the other hand, Powell made very clear statements about the possibility and prospect of cutting interest rates and this is not beneficial for the US Dollar. A very basic knowledge is that the US Dollar is controlled by the Fed and not under the power of the US President. Therefore, even in the event that Trump is elected and boosts the US Dollar, it will still be restrained by the policy of cutting interest rates. Only if Trump can completely eliminate the Fed will the US Dollar have nothing to show for it. prevent. Of course, this is without precedent, nor has any President been able to do this. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Although gold has recovered strongly from the 0.618% Fibonacci level confluence with the lower edge of the channel, it is still in a downtrend with the price channel as the short-term trend. On the other hand, gold's upward momentum has also been limited by the EMA21 level, and it still has enough bearish conditions when the Relative Strength Index is also showing signs of folding down from the 50 level area. If gold falls below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, it will have the potential to fall a bit further with a short-term target of around 2,684 USD rather than 2,668 USD. However, in case gold moves above the EMA21 level it will tend to increase further to test the 0.236% Fibonacci level. Therefore, for open selling positions should be protected above EMA21 quite "strictly." During the day, gold still has a bearish technical outlook with notable points listed as follows. Support: 2,684 – 2,668USD Resistance: 2,700 – 2,710USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2736 - 2734⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2740 →Take Profit 1 2729 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2724 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2676 - 2678⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2672 →Take Profit 1 2683 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2688
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
NZDUSDT → False break of resistance may intensify the fallFX:NZDUSD in the Asian session tests resistance of the descending channel, excitement is formed by the reduction of interest rate in the U.S. by 0.25% The currency pair does not have a clear trend on the global timeframe, locally - a downward trend formed on the negative fundamental background, which only intensified after Trump's victory. The impact on the market has a medium and long-term character, accordingly, any strong resistance can easily hold the market. On H4, a false breakdown of trend resistance is forming. Consolidation is forming inside the channel, if bears hold the 0.602-0.603 zone, we should expect a decline to the zones of interest in the mid term Resistance levels: 0.603, 0.604 Support levels: 0.595, 0.593, 0.5915 The focus is on the mentioned resistance, as the market struggle and further movement depends on this key zone at the moment. The bearish structure will be broken when the local high of 0.6038 is broken and the price consolidates above this zone. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:NZDUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
For SOL/USDT, For SOL/USDT, Current Price Movement: SOL is trading at approximately $202.92, marking a significant weekly increase of 24.85%. Breakout Confirmation: The price has broken out of a consolidation pattern, signaling a potential strong bullish continuation. Price Targets: 🎯 First Target: $229.77 🎯 Second Target: $278.02 🎯 Third Target: $318.56 This breakout suggests a potential continuation of the upward trend, with these targets in sight as momentum builds. Monitoring price action at these levels will be crucial for confirmation. #SOL #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis
Long
by VIPROSE
GER30 forecast This is GER30 forecast I'm looking for sell opportunities, but the is possible buy opportunity. I'm look for this current 1d candlestick to close under the 19410.00 level. Then tomorrow's 1d candlestick to show bearish power/close bearish under the 19305.00 level. Then I will be looking for retest on the 19305.00 level for continuation of sell. If this doesn't happen, then I will be looking for buy opportunity above 19410.00 level. but the trade will be based on technicals, sentiment and fundamentals. Update will be given
FX:GER30
by SnowIQ
Crypto Stonks Are Booming! Top Crypto Stocks to Watch NowFrom Memecoins to Mega Stocks While crypto traders have been focused on finding the next big memecoins like Doge , crypto-related stocks have also been performing well this year. In today’s analysis, we’ll dive into some crypto related stocks you might want to keep an eye on 1. Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ) First on our list is Coinbase, the top US crypto exchange with a market cap of $48 billion. Since its IPO in April 2021, Coinbase has gained a reputation as a trusted exchange known for its regulatory compliance. Besides its exchange services, Coinbase offers a self custody wallet popular among the crypto community, with over 10 million downloads. In February 2023, Coinbase launched its own layer 2 blockchain, Base , which has since recorded over $1 billion in total value locked and averages daily transaction volumes of over $400 million. Coinbase has also played a part in advancing spot Bitcoin ETF approvals, forming a surveillance-sharing agreement with the Chicago Board Options Exchange in July 2023. Additionally, Coinbase partnered with **Stripe** in June to boost the global adoption of USDC. This partnership enables crypto payouts and a fiat-to-crypto onramp, making it easier for users to buy crypto with credit cards and Apple Pay through Coinbase Wallet. Coin is up over 350% since our first signal 2. MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) Next up is MicroStrategy, with a market cap of $26 billion. Known for its business analytics software, cloud services, and AI-powered analytics, MicroStrategy is more famous for its Bitcoin holdings, driven by the advocacy of Executive Chairman Michael Saylor. Under Saylor's leadership, MicroStrategy became the first public company to adopt Bitcoin as a strategic investment in August 2020, citing its potential as a store of value. The company accumulated over 121,000 BTC by late 2021 and continued adding to its holdings, despite price volatility and leverage risks. As of 2024, MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin holdings have reached 226,500 BTC, and the company’s stock hit new all time highs, demonstrating its strong correlation with Bitcoin's performance. Mstr is 100% up since our first signal 3. Block ( NYSE:SQ ) Formerly known as Square, Block is a fintech company founded by Jack Dorsey and Jim McKelvey, with a market cap of $38 billion. Starting with small-business payment solutions like Square POS, Block launched **Cash App** in 2013 to provide a user-friendly platform for consumers, competing with services like PayPal and Venmo. Cash App generates revenue through transaction fees, subscription payments, and Bitcoin sales. It even supports the Lightning Network for quick Bitcoin transactions. Beyond payments, Block owns a majority stake in Tidal, a music streaming service, showing its diverse portfolio. 4. Robinhood ( NASDAQ:HOOD ) Lastly, we have Robinhood, with a market cap of over $15 billion. Founded in 2013 by Stanford graduates Vladimir Tenev and Baiju Bhatt, Robinhood became known for its free, user-friendly trading app, which gained significant popularity during the COVID19 pandemic Robinhood found itself in the spotlight during the 2021 GameStop and WallStreetBets saga, where it faced backlash for restricting trades on memestocks like $GME. This led to a lawsuit and a $70 million penalty from FINRA for misleading customers and service outages. Despite this, Robinhood continues to grow, boasting 23.9 million funded accounts and nearly $130 billion in assets under custody as of May 2024. Robinhood has made some notable moves recently, including acquiring Pluto Capital, which provides AI-driven investment advice, and securing a deal to acquire crypto exchange Bitstamp. Wrap up If you’re wondering about Bitcoin mining stocks, don’t worry we had a separate analysis just for that. Crypto Bull market just started and be ready for more analysis which stock or crypto coins you are bullish now and why?
NASDAQ:COINLong
by moonypto
1
USDJPY Daily Analysis: Slight Bearish Bias Expected Amid !!USDJPY Daily Analysis: Slight Bearish Bias Expected Amid Fundamental Shifts 08/11/2024 Introduction In today's analysis of USDJPY, the pair appears to carry a slight bearish bias, driven by significant macroeconomic factors. These include recent economic data from Japan, U.S. dollar movements, and evolving global risk sentiment. In this article, we’ll explore the critical factors affecting USDJPY today, helping you stay ahead in your trading decisions. --- Key Drivers Influencing USDJPY Today 1. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Policy Stance The Bank of Japan has maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy, but recent statements hint at a gradual shift if inflation stabilizes around target levels. Markets are speculating on potential policy adjustments, increasing support for the Japanese yen (JPY). Any tightening signals from the BoJ would strengthen the JPY, adding bearish pressure to USDJPY. 2. U.S. Federal Reserve’s Caution on Rate Hikes The Federal Reserve’s recent statements show a cautious stance on further interest rate hikes due to mixed economic data and inflation uncertainties. This dovish outlook has weakened the U.S. dollar (USD) across major currency pairs. A softer USD supports a bearish bias for USDJPY, especially as U.S. bond yields decline, making the JPY more appealing. 3. Global Risk Sentiment Impacting Safe-Haven Flows The JPY is considered a safe-haven currency and often gains during periods of market uncertainty. With mixed global economic indicators and recent geopolitical tensions, investors may lean towards the JPY, contributing to USDJPY’s bearish potential. 4. Technical Factors Supporting a Bearish Bias USDJPY recently tested key resistance levels and failed to break higher, adding to the bearish sentiment. The pair is also trading close to its 50-day moving average, a significant level that, if broken, could signal further downward movement. --- Technical Analysis Indicators Supporting a Bearish Outlook Moving Averages and RSI USDJPY is hovering near its 50-day moving average, a critical support level. A sustained break below this line may confirm a bearish trend. Additionally, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is showing early signs of downward momentum, signaling potential selling pressure ahead. MACD and Volume Analysis The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator is showing bearish divergence, reinforcing the expectation of a bearish trend for USDJPY. Volume analysis also shows a decline in buying pressure, aligning with the anticipated downward movement. --- Conclusion The combination of a cautious Fed, potential policy changes from the BoJ, and current risk sentiment suggests a slight bearish bias for USDJPY today. Traders should keep an eye on key technical levels and monitor any news impacting the USD and JPY for further confirmation. --- SEO Tags: - #USDJPYforecast - #USDJPYanalysis - #USDJPYtechnicalanalysis - #ForexTradingUSDJPY - #JapaneseYenOutlook - #USDJPYtoday - #USDJPYnews - #ForexMarketAnalysis - #USDJPYprediction
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
GBP/USD climbs after Bank of England cut ratesThe British pound has rebounded on Thursday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2983, up 0.81% on the day. A day earlier, the pound took a drubbing, sliding 1.2%. There was no surprise as the Bank of England lowered the key interest rate by 0.25% to 4.75%. The markets had priced in the move at close to 100% and the Monetary Policy Committee voted 8-1 in favor of the cut, with one member voting to hold rates at 5%. The BoE has now lowered rates twice since its easing cycle in August. BoE policymakers had signaled that a rate cut was coming, as September inflation dropped sharply to 1.7%, the first time in over three years that inflation dropped below the BoE’s target of 2%. The central bank is expected to lower rates gradually in modest increments of 25 basis points in the coming months, but last week’s UK budget could complicate things. The budget included tax hikes and increased spending, which is expected to boost inflation. That could mean a pause at the next BoE meeting in December and a slower pace of rate cuts next year. The Federal Reserve meets later today, in the shadow of the dramatic US election, in which Republican Donald Trump cruised to a surprisingly easy victory over Democrat Kamala Harris. The Fed is virtually certain to trim rates by 0.25% to 4.5%-4.75%. With inflation easing, the Fed is expected to continue its rate-cutting cycle into 2025. GBP/USD pushed above resistance at 1.2920 earlier and then tested resistance at 1.3007 There is support at 1.2793 and 1.2706
by OANDA
Silver a win-winMy positioning Anyone who's been following me for a while knows I've been quite bullish on silver for the past few years. In fact, I initiated my AMEX:SLV position in early 2021 when it was in the low 20's and then in late 2022 I rotated almost 50% of that position into AMEX:SILJ when it was right around $8. It was mostly dumb luck but I nearly bottom ticked that market and bought within an hour or so of what's become a multi-year low. I've continued to hold these two core long term positions, while also trading around the core positions when short term setups present themselves. The win-win Before I get into the chart technicals I want to get into the fundamentals that I think make silver a win-win in the long term. I typically don't use fundamentals when I trade but I don't consider this a typical in-and-out trade. This is more of a long-term hold based on my own fundamental thesis and supported by chart technicals. The crux of my win-win thesis is that silver will outperform in both a bullish economic outcome and a bearish economic outcome. In the bullish economic scenario, the already voracious global silver demand will continue to increase as solar, AI and EV demand continues to grow. The question at this point isn't if, but how fast. The rate at which silver is being consumed could outstrip production by as much as 200moz by the end of this decade. While I expect scrap and new mining to somewhat fill that gap, it will eventually create a vacuum that only an increase in price will resolve. In the bearish scenario the globe slips into a severe recession. This would cause industrial use of silver to plummet but safe haven demand for silver to explode. While the demand in the bullish scenario is more gradual, the demand in the bearish silver is explosive and would likely lead to a hockey stick price move. The most bearish scenario for silver is that the globe goes into a mild recession, where demand for silver drops materially but the large safe haven demand doesn't materialize as it would in a severe recession. In this case silver may tread water and bounce around in range. The technicals The silver chart makes just as compelling of a case as the fundamentals. Silver has what Peter Brandt has affectionately referred to as "the mother of all cup and handles". While the 45 year pattern means this could take quite a long time to play out (years...decades?) it still offers a very nice long term potential and clear boundaries to trade within. Within this very large pattern we often see shorter timeframe patterns form that offer both long and short setups. This sets up a nice situation where you can have a long term core position, and then trade around that core position when shorter term setups present themselves, either long or short. The next few key support and resistance levels I'll be looking to trade around is the $40 level and the $48 level. Beyond that and we'll be into all-time-high territory where I'll trade whatever price action happens to be at that point in time. Options Another nice thing about SLV is it gives us options (no pun intended). For a scenario where I'm long term bullish but I think price has rallied too far, too fast and it's looking a little frothy in the short term, rather than closing some of my spot position outright and risk missing out on further rallying another approach is to sell OTM (out-of-the-money) covered calls. Implied volatility would be elevated so you'd likely be getting paid a good premium, and if price does rally up to or beyond your strike price, then you can either choose to hold and let your shares potentially be called away or if your still bullish you can roll the options up and out (up in strike and out in time). You'll collect more premium and move your sell point to a higher price at the cost of taking on more time risk. There are exhaustive resources out there if you're unfamiliar but interested in this type of strategy.
TVC:SILVERLong
by krugman87
ETHFI → A door has been opened to the bulls. Resistance retest BINANCE:ETHFIUSDT is forming a bottom. The coin continues to accumulate potential giving signs that the price is preparing to go up. The fundamental background is changing to favorable The U.S. presidential election and Trump's victory have a favorable impact on the cryptocurrency market in the medium and long term. This will be especially visible after the inauguration of the new (old) president :). Fundamentally, the market opened another door.... Technically, there is a clear bottom at 1.092 with no attempts to renew the low, and a basic cascading support is formed, indicating the buyer's strength. The focus is on consolidation of 1.798 - 1.092. The price exit from this channel will be accompanied by a strong distribution (most likely upward) Resistance levels: 1.798, 2.761 3.240 Support levels: 1.302, 1.092 There is a conglomerate of resistances ahead (descending line and channel boundary at 1.798). In the near future the market may continue to test this area with a breakout target. If the bulls can keep the defense above these areas, the rally will not be long in coming. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHFIUSDT.P ;) Regards R. Linda!
by RLinda
2
Bitcoin: The Mission of The Times !!!As soon as November began, many people were already bearish on Bitcoin's long-term prospects, In the past a lot of people were saying things like Bitcoin 100K, creating a goal that was going to be reached right away. But that hasn't happened yet, so a lot of people are turning their backs on Bitcoin. In fact, we all know that there are many things that will affect bitcoin, but what can stop Bitcoin from rising in addition to destroying it, there is no second, and the rise of Bitcoin is inevitable. Many of us have beliefs, different beliefs! I want to say, what kind of faith is to guide us impetuous, impatient! No, then what we should do is to grasp every correction on the inevitable path of bitcoin's rise, make the right strategy, and win!! Wish you all good luck!
Long
by xrrsxrrs
1
AirBNB Is A Buy Before EarningsAirBNB will present its quarterly figures tomorrow. For us, the share is a buy ahead of earnings for the following reasons: The share is currently trading along its long-term mean, so there are no signs of any exaggeration in the price. The daily and weekly charts also show a hidden bullish divergence in the OBV. We expect the AirBNB share price to rise to the USD 151 to 156 range in the short term, which corresponds to an increase of around 7 to 10 percent.
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by Ochlokrat