Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains unchanged. Still weak.Last Friday, gold rebounded around 3373, but the bullish momentum was insufficient, and then it bottomed out and fell sharply. The price fell below the short-term rising trend line support. At present, the MA5-10 daily moving average is in a high dead cross short arrangement. On this basis, Quaid believes that gold can still be bearish now. At present, the Asian market continues to fluctuate downward in the early trading. Today, we will focus on the support of 3310-3300.
The short-term price is currently maintained at around 3335, which can be regarded as the watershed between long and short today. If the European session stabilizes above the MA50 moving average, the trend will change to a certain extent. Now we still look at the bottom near 3300.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3340, stop loss 3350, profit range 3310-3300.
Smart Money Concepts (SMC)Positive aspects of the analysis:
1. Clear structural change (BOS and CHoCH):
A breakout of the previous bearish structure (Break of Structure) and a change in character (CHoCH) are evident, indicating an intention to change the trend.
2. Fake Out Identified:
The "fake out" toward the resistance zone is typical of liquidity traps designed to catch buyers before the actual decline. This provides institutional confluence for the short.
3. 15M block order + resistance zone:
Entry from a 15-minute OB, within a broader resistance zone. This strengthens the entry points, as there is a high probability of a bearish reaction there.
4. Mitigation of the previous 1H FVG:
The market has already mitigated the 1H Fair Value Gap, which generally indicates that the price no longer needs to rise further to balance this inefficiency.
5. Target in a logical zone (3,317):
Take profit placed just before a lower support zone. This is prudent, as many traders seek to close partial positions or exits before major support.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 28th July 2025)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Notes:
- Price gap down and filled up the gap
- Looking for price to tap 0.618 fib level
- Potential BUY if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3300
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 28th July 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Notes:
- Price gap down and filled up the gap
- Looking for price to tap 0.618 fib level
- Potential BUY if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3300
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
GBP/CAD - H4 - Bearish Flag (26.07.2025)The GBP/CAD Pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.8242
2nd Support – 1.8139
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Can XRP Run 30% next week While we seen a clear cool of from XRP bullish movement in the last week are we now looking at an aggressive opportunity for the this sssest class shoot up %30 to create a new ATH of $4 and possibly beyond? Interesting times ahead with some strong news heading into next week XRP Army will have to wait and see what news comes out and will that influence XRP’s price point. The asset class sits around $3.28 at the time of this article post.
Cheers FC / EDub / AJ
Eur/jpy Bulls to dominate @174.440 Handle As we begin a new week, I see the bulls coming in and grabbing the unmitigated liquidity @174.440 handle. My advice to fellow traders is that if the ECB stays hawkish or the BOJ remains dovish, EUR/JPY has room to stretch higher.
Watch Euro inflation numbers, BOJ yield curve control updates, and U.S. data spillovers.
Buy @ 173.15
TP 1.~174.440
ETH Buy Idea📈 Setup Summary:
Ethereum (ETHUSD) is breaking out of a multi-week consolidation with rising volume and strong bullish momentum. Price has reclaimed key moving averages, and sentiment has shifted favorably across crypto markets.
📊 Entry & Risk:
• Entry Price: $3,860 - 3870
• Stop: $3,470
🧠 Macro Catalyst: Spot ETH ETFs Are Coming
• The SEC is reviewing multiple Ethereum Spot ETF applications from BlackRock, VanEck, ARK/21Shares, and others.
• Market expects approvals Q3–Q4 2025, mirroring the prior surge seen in BTC after IBIT and similar ETFs launched.
• A successful launch could unlock institutional ETH flows, driving significant upside.
🟢 Adding ETF tailwind to technical breakout = high-conviction swing trade.
🚀 Momentum Signals:
• RSI & MACD bullish cross on daily
• Increasing volume on breakout
• ETH outperforming BTC (ETHBTC ratio turning up)
• Crypto market as a whole showing risk-on tone
DISCLAIMER : The content and materials featured are for your information and education only and are not attended to address your particular personal requirements. The information does not constitute financial advice or recommendation and should not be considered as such. Risk Management is Your Shield! Always prioritise risk management. It’s your best defence against losses.
Bullish or Bear trapHello Traders 👋
What are your thoughts on XAUUSD
Looking at the daily timeframe I anticipate manipulation by market players on gold.
Is likely that market players will stop Hunt Traders who have their stop losses at the different lows which is indicated with a red circle.
For every buyer there must be a seller and for every seller there must be a buyer.Where they are no sellers in the market the institutions will want to trigger stop losses in order to buy,which is known as stop hunting.That is to takeout previous buyers in the market and generate liquidity to buy.
And this stop hunting usually happens in a ranging market.
Looking at the structure of gold we can see that gold is ranging,
We can see a low or support of the range which was previously resistance and turned support for the ranging market.
I see the market using sell liquidity to liquidate buyers and react at the support or low of the range and move up to the range of the resistance
GoldXau usd daily analysis
Time frame 4 hours
Gold is moving up and down in the yellow triangle, you can see on the chart
I think Gold move up to 3450 $ and if we have no positive news, it will drop to the down side. This analysis has good benefit and Risk rewards ratio is 3
On the other hand if Gold break the 3320 $ my analysis is faild and must listen to the economic news
A POTENTIAL TREND REVERSAL Hello Traders 👋
What are your views about EURUSD
Looking at the daily timeframe we can see that price action didn't take out liquidity at the top which is indicated with a blue rectangle.
Am seeing price action retracing to that liquidity zone which is indicated with a blue rectangle and from there reversing to the downside.
Let's look at the fundamental analysis of EURUSD.
Trump announced the conclusion of a trade agreement with the EU:
The EU will invest $600 billion more in the US than before
15% tariff on EU goods, including cars
All EU countries will open their markets to the US
EU to purchase hundreds of billions of dollars worth of military equipment
EU to purchase $750 billion worth of energy from the US. Energy is a key part of the agreement.
PS:
It is worth monitoring the market reaction from the opening. Pay attention to the market reaction during different sessions.
Markets may react ambiguously, but against the general backdrop, the following reaction should be expected:
USD → sharp rise (dollar strengthening due to capital inflows and growth in energy exports).
EUR → down, as the EU will bear the costs of tariffs and rising imports from the US.
Gold → down (correction or decline due to the strengthening of the dollar and reduced demand for hedging).
BTC → neutral or slight decline (due to USD strength):
If the agreement stimulates the economy and liquidity, this could be a bullish factor for BTC.
………………………………………….
A POTENTIAL TREND REVERSAL Hello Traders 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD
Looking at the daily timeframe we can see that price action didn't take out the liquidity which is located with a blue rectangle which is also acting as the all-time high for EURUSD.
I'm seeing price retracing to reach the liquidity around that blue rectangle and then after start falling downwards.
Let's look at the fundamentals of EURUSD
Trump announced the conclusion of a trade agreement with the EU:
The EU will invest $600 billion more in the US than before
15% tariff on EU goods, including cars
All EU countries will open their markets to the US
EU to purchase hundreds of billions of dollars worth of military equipment
EU to purchase $750 billion worth of energy from the US. Energy is a key part of the agreement.
PS:
It is worth monitoring the market reaction from the opening. Pay attention to the market reaction during different sessions.
Markets may react ambiguously, but against the general backdrop, the following reaction should be expected:
USD → sharp rise (dollar strengthening due to capital inflows and growth in energy exports).
EUR → down, as the EU will bear the costs of tariffs and rising imports from the US.
Gold → down (correction or decline due to the strengthening of the dollar and reduced demand for hedging).
BTC → neutral or slight decline (due to USD strength):
If the agreement stimulates the economy and liquidity, this could be a bullish factor for BTC.
………………………………………….
A POTENTIAL TREND REVERSALHello Traders 👋
What are your views about GBPUSD
Looking at a daily time frame we can see that press action has broken a rising trend line and also we are seeing a potential head and shoulder pattern.
For further clarification we need to see if the price action can break a demand zone which is indicator with a red rectangle.
This will give us a strong conviction that the dollar is already buying and GBPUSD is set for further downside.
Ethereum Weekly Recap & Gameplan | 27.07.2025📈 Market Context:
ETH followed the broader crypto market momentum led by Bitcoin, supported by institutional demand and positive macro policies in the U.S.
Last week’s plan played out cleanly — we saw strong gains from the 1H demand zone.
🧾 Weekly Recap:
• Price swept 4H swing liquidity and formed a 1H bullish BOS
• Created a solid 1H demand zone, from which price bounced strongly
• Momentum remained bullish as forecasted in last week’s post
📌 Technical Outlook:
→ Expecting a short retracement into 4H liquidity levels around 3761$ or 3702$
→ Then a continuation move towards ATH zone
🎯 Setup Trigger:
What I’m watching:
✅ Sweep of 4H liquidity
✅ Bullish BOS on 15M–30M
→ This will serve as the confirmation for long entries
📋 Trade Management:
• Stoploss: Below the confirmation swing low
• Target: 4100$
💬 If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like, comment, and follow — I share setups like this every week!
ES Weekly Recap & Gameplan – 27.07.2025🧭 Market Sentiment
The overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by:
• Declining inflation figures
• Trump’s pivot toward aggressive rate cuts
This shift reinforces a risk-on environment across U.S. indices.
🔙 Previous Week Recap
• ES continued its price discovery journey
• Price ran the 4H swing liquidity and shifted market structure
• A clean 1H demand zone was established post-MSS, leading to a strong move toward new ATH
• A bullish trendline has also formed as a visual representation of this momentum
• I anticipated a deeper retracement last week but adjusted my execution based on the ICT SMT concept — see previous week’s ES plan for details
📊 Technical Analysis
Looking forward:
• My expectation is a continued bullish price discovery
• Watching for price to tap into and potentially deviate below the Daily Fair Value Gap (D-FVG)
• This zone also aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci equilibrium level, which I consider a discounted entry zone
• Confluence of liquidity + trendline + FVG + Fib makes this an ideal location for new long setups
⚙️ Setup Trigger & Trade Plan
Entry Strategy:
• Wait for a clear 1H–4H market structure shift
• Look for demand zone formation within the discount zone
• Execute long trades after confirmation and retracement into this zone
Trade Management:
🎯 Target: New All-Time Highs
⛔ Stoploss: Swing low beneath 1H–4H demand structure
🗨️ If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like and drop a comment below — I’d love to hear your thoughts and setups for the week!
📥 Follow me for more weekly breakdowns and real-time updates throughout the trading week.
NQ Weekly Recap & Gameplan – 27.07.2025🧭 Market Sentiment
The overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by:
• Lower inflation data
• Trump’s policy shift toward aggressive rate cuts
This creates a strong risk-on environment across U.S. indices.
🔙 Previous Week Recap
• NQ continued its price discovery phase
• Price swept 4H swing liquidity and triggered a market structure shift
• A new 1H demand zone was formed after MSS
• Price revisited the 1H demand and launched toward new all-time highs (ATH)
• While I anticipated a deeper retracement, ES provided the cleaner pullback
• I executed longs on both ES and NQ using SMT divergence (ICT SMT concept)
📊 Technical Analysis
My bias remains bullish as long as the higher timeframe structure holds.
For the upcoming week:
• Watching for either the 4H or 12H swing high to get swept
• Ideally, a retracement toward the 0.5 Fib level, which aligns with my bullish discount zone
• A clean liquidity sweep into this zone could act as a launchpad for the next leg higher
⚙️ Trade Setup & Execution Plan
Entry Strategy:
• Wait for a new 1H–4H Market Structure Shift
• Identify the new demand zone post-MSS
• Look for price to return to the zone for a long opportunity with LTF confirmation
Trade Management:
🎯 Target: New ATH
⛔ Stoploss: Swing low of the 1H–4H demand zone
📌 Chart will include Fib levels, MSS zones, and execution trigger areas.
Let me know your thoughts or share your plan below.
Happy trading!