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Altseason is cancelled for now. But Should resume soon.If you're interested in altcoins, be sure to check out my ideas. I’m closely tracking CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D and CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS , and you’ll find plenty of valuable insights in those analyses. So, what’s going on? My CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS prediction played out — May was bullish. But was it the real altseason? Not quite. The true altseason typically begins at the end of the Bitcoin cycle, and we’re not there yet. Right now, we’re seeing price action reminiscent of December 2024. Bitcoin maximalists are aggressively buying BTC during a time it should be correcting, which is inflating BTC dominance and crushing any momentum for an altseason. They appear to be using altcoins as exit liquidity to pump BTC, especially as retail investors hesitate to buy Bitcoin above $100K. What’s next? The daily MACD suggests we’re entering a correction phase that could last around two weeks. A drop toward $1.2T is likely, as there's a major order block between the current level and that target. However, the real support lies below $900B — my "green box" — which I view as the ideal buy zone. Historically, entries in this green box have offered 2x–3x returns on high-volatility altcoins from the top 100, especially in sectors like memes, DeFi, and AI. I expect altcoins to correct into that zone in the coming weeks — keep an eye on it. DYOR (Do Your Own Research). #Crypto #Altcoins #Bitcoin #BTC #BTCdominance #Altseason #CryptoMarket #CryptoTrading #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #DeFi #MemeCoins #AIcoins #AltcoinSeason #DYOR
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Short
by CryptoNikkoid
4
$BTC.D Dominance forecast: update May 2025📉 BTC Dominance (%BTC.D) Update – At Resistance, Altseason in the Balance Back on April 5th, I published a forecast highlighting the critical 65% resistance level on BTC Dominance. That analysis still holds: BTC.D reached 65% and got rejected, pulling back to 62% as of now. ⚔️ What’s Happening? Bitcoin dominance is compressing, and we're approaching a make-or-break moment: 🔹 Resistance confirmed at 65% 🔹 We bounced down to 62% — not up 🔹 Market is hesitating, and the next move will shape the short-term direction for alts 🔍 The Bigger Picture Bitcoin pumped hard recently, mostly due to: MACD reversal on the weekly Oversold conditions now turning bullish Renewed institutional interest in risk-on assets But let’s be clear: 🚫 We’re not in a full altseason yet. What we’re seeing is cautious altcoin rotation, not a blow-off alt rally. 📊 Tech Indicators MACD: Overheated RSI: Still has room to move up So technically, BTC.D could still break out above 65% — but it hasn’t yet. ⚠️ What to Watch: If BTC.D breaks out above 65%, expect: ➡️ Altcoin bloodbath ➡️ BTC.D could head toward 70%, crushing the mini-altseason But if BTC.D continues to drop from here? ➡️ Altseason starts to heat up 🔮 Outlook A true altseason might not arrive until September/October. For now, the market is stuck in a range of uncertainty. Keep your eyes on: BTC.D reaction at 62%–65% TradFi stress (bond markets, macro fears) Bitcoin strength and ETH/BTC ratio 🧠 Take profits when you can. Protect your capital. 📌 Follow me for future updates—and don’t forget to DYOR. 📎 Original forecast:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by CryptoNikkoid
6
BITCOIN Bitcoin (BTC) Correlation with DXY, Bond Yields, and Interest Rates 1. Bitcoin vs. Dollar Index (DXY) Inverse Correlation: Bitcoin and DXY typically move in opposite directions. A stronger dollar (DXY↑) reduces demand for risk assets like BTC, while a weaker dollar (DXY↓) boosts BTC as a hedge against fiat depreciation. DXY↑: Investors flock to USD safety, pressuring BTC. DXY↓: Capital rotates into BTC as a risk-on asset or inflation hedge. 2. Bitcoin vs. Bond Yields Evolving Relationship: Historical Inverse Link: Rising 10-year Treasury yields often pressured BTC (e.g., 2022 Fed hikes). Recent Decoupling: In 2025, BTC and 10-year yields hit a record-low correlation (-0.8), signaling BTC’s independence from traditional bonds. Key Drivers: Inflation Hedge: BTC gains appeal as bonds struggle with rising yields (e.g., 30-year yields at 5.07% in May 2025). Portfolio Diversification: Investors increasingly treat BTC as “digital gold,” reducing bond allocations. 3. Bitcoin vs. Interest Rates Fed Policy Impact: Rate Hikes: Strengthen USD (DXY↑) and bond yields, pressuring BTC Rate Cuts: Weaken USD and lower yields, boosting BTC’s appeal Real Yields Matter: BTC thrives when real yields (nominal yield - inflation) fall, as seen during stagflationary environments. Summary Table Correlation Relationship Key Drivers BTC ⇄ DXY Inverse (DXY↑ → BTC↓) Risk sentiment, USD strength as safe haven BTC ⇄ Bond Yields Increasingly negative (2025) Inflation hedging, portfolio diversification BTC ⇄ Interest Rates Indirect via DXY and yields Fed policy, real yield dynamics Critical Trends in 2025 BTC-DXY Decoupling: BTC’s rally to $105,268 and hit 111k amid DXY volatility shows growing independence. Bond Market Shift: Investors rotate from Treasuries to BTC amid fiscal deficits and inflation. Fed Policy Pivot: Expected rate cuts could weaken DXY and bolster BTC’s bullish case. Conclusion BTC-Yields: Negative correlation strengthens BTC’s role as a bond alternative in inflationary regimes. Macro Strategy: Use DXY and bond yields as leading indicators for BTC’s risk-on/risk-off cycles. Trade Implications: A DXY drop below 98.4 could signal BTC bullish momentum. Rising bond yields may temporarily pressure BTC but reinforce its long-term hedge appeal. #btc #bitcoin #crypto
Long
by Shavyfxhub
Golden Cross? No Thanks!! Here’s How to Get In Early.📉 “Golden Cross? No Thanks. Here’s How to Get In Early.” By FXProfessor Everyone’s hyped about the Golden Cross again... 📰 “Bullish Signal!” 📈 “50 SMA crossed the 200!” 🎉 “Party time!” Let me stop you right there. If you’re waiting for that cross to go long — You’re not late. You’re definitely late. The Golden Cross is a lagging indication. It’s the afterparty. The smart money already had the drinks and left. 🔍 Here's the deal: ✅ Golden Cross forms after the move ✅ Price is usually already up double digits ✅ Sometimes it triggers right before a top ✅ Even EMAs (which I prefer) are still confirmation tools ✅ The real edge? Structure. Trendlines. Pressure zones. 📊 What I use instead: -Custom EMAs that react faster -My signature parallelogram method for early pressure -Focus on trendlines and structure -Above all — logic, not hype - Fundamentals first! For example, while the Golden Cross just printed, I was already watching $74,394 and $79,000. Why? Because pressure builds before indicators react. That's where the best entries live. So next time someone posts “Golden Cross confirmed!” 😏 Just smile and remember: By the time the cross lights up, I’m already halfway to the next target. Use EMAs if you like. But structure comes first. That’s where the party starts. One Love, The FXProfessor 🧠📈 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome people who care about the TRADER FIRST!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
17
Comprehensive Bitcoin Analysis and Market Trend Prediction 🧠 Comprehensive Bitcoin Analysis in 4-Hour Timeframe 📅 Date: May 30, 2025 ✍️ Analyst: Mahaam Bitcoin is currently at a critical juncture. As of May 29, 2025, it is trading around 105,543 USD, approximately 5.7% lower than its recent peak of 111,970 USD on May 22. The daily trading volume is around 32.47 billion USD, and Bitcoin's market capitalization has reached 2.16 trillion USD. 📊 Technical Analysis: 📈 Price Trend and Moving Averages: The Bitcoin chart indicates that after a strong rally starting in late April 2025, the market is now undergoing a price correction. The 20-day moving average is currently around 108,017 USD, and the 50-day moving average is around 97,500 USD. The current price remains above both moving averages, indicating a sustained medium-term bullish trend, though the growing distance from the 20-day MA may reflect weakening upward momentum. 📉 RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently at 53, signaling an exit from the overbought zone. It has dropped from levels above 70 in early May, showing increased selling pressure. However, it remains in a neutral range, with no indication of entering the oversold zone (below 30). 📉 MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD is currently declining and has crossed below the signal line, indicating a short-term sell signal. The MACD histogram is also turning negative, suggesting a decrease in upward momentum and rising short-term selling pressure. ⚖️ Long/Short Ratio: Data from CoinGlass shows the BTCUSDT long/short ratio on Binance has reached its highest level since the beginning of the month. Currently, 6 out of 10 accounts hold long positions. This imbalance could lead to a long squeeze, forcing traders to close long positions and increasing selling pressure. 📊 Volume: Trading volume has decreased in recent days, indicating reduced buyer interest at current price levels. In the past 24 hours, approximately 650 million USD in long positions across the crypto market have been liquidated, with nearly one-third of that related to Bitcoin. 📍 Key Resistance Levels: • 109,300 USD (recent daily high) • 111,970 USD (all-time high) 📍 Key Support Levels: • 106,000 USD (Fib 23.6%) • 103,460 USD (Fib 38.2%) • 100,000 USD (key psychological level) 🧠 Fundamental Analysis: 🏦 Institutional Buying and Corporate Investment: One of the most significant recent developments is the announcement from Trump Media and Technology Group about raising 2.5 billion USD to invest in Bitcoin. Approximately 50 institutional investors participated, allocating 1.5 billion USD for common stock purchases and 1 billion USD for convertible bonds. This move aims to create a Bitcoin reserve for the company and could signal increasing institutional adoption. 📅 Bitcoin 2025 Conference: Held from May 27 to 29 in Las Vegas, the conference featured key figures such as Michael Saylor and U.S. Vice President JD Vance. Prominent analyst Miles Deutscher pointed out a pattern where Bitcoin's price tends to decline after each Bitcoin Conference. Based on historical data, the average post-conference drop is about 27%, which, if repeated, could push the price below 80,000 USD. 🔮 Price Forecasts by Leading Analysts: 📌 Adam Back (CEO, Blockstream): At least several hundred thousand USD in 2025, potentially up to 1 million USD if the U.S. implements a strategic Bitcoin reserve. 📌 Geoff Kendrick (Global Head of Digital Assets, Standard Chartered): 120,000 USD in H1 2025, 200,000 USD by year-end, citing stablecoins legitimizing the crypto market. 📌 Mike Novogratz (Founder, Galaxy Digital): Between 130,000 and 150,000 USD, driven by strong institutional inflows, a weakening dollar, and rising demand for digital assets. 📌 Cathie Wood (CEO, ARK Invest): 1.5 million USD by 2030, requiring a 58% CAGR over the next five years. 📌 Arthur Hayes (Founder, BitMEX): 250,000 USD by the end of 2025 if the Fed returns to quantitative easing. 🌐 Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Context: Trade tensions and tariff uncertainties continue to influence investor sentiment. A U.S. appellate court recently reinstated trade tariffs, while the government is appealing the previous decision that overturned them. Additionally, the self-imposed deadline for trade agreements is approaching on July 9. 🧭 Potential Scenarios: 🚀 Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin breaks the 109,300 USD resistance and holds above it, there is a possibility of retesting the all-time high at 111,970 USD. A breakout beyond that could pave the way toward the 120,000 to 130,000 USD range. 🔹 Supporting Factors: • Continued institutional and corporate investments in Bitcoin • Return of expansionary monetary policies by the Fed • Greater adoption and utility of stablecoins 📉 Bearish Scenario: If selling pressure continues and price drops below the 106,000 USD support level, further declines toward 103,000 USD and 100,000 USD are possible. If the psychological support at 100,000 USD fails, the next target could be around 90,000 USD. 🔻 Driving Factors: • Long squeeze due to high long/short ratio • Historical pattern of post-conference price drops • Increasing trade tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty ✅ Conclusion: Bitcoin is at a critical decision point. Technical indicators suggest weakening bullish momentum and short-term correction risks. The long/short imbalance and historical patterns add to the possibility of a notable pullback. Nevertheless, strong fundamentals like growing institutional and corporate adoption (especially the Trump Media announcement) support a positive mid-to-long-term outlook. Leading analysts’ forecasts remain largely bullish, with price targets between 130,000 and 250,000 USD by year-end 2025. In summary, Bitcoin may face short-term selling pressure, but the mid- and long-term perspective remains optimistic. Investors should monitor key support and resistance levels and adjust their strategies based on market reactions. 📚 Sources: The Crypto Basic CoinDesk Cointelegraph FX Empire Bitcoin.com News Reuters CoinGlass
Short
by Captain-MM8
SOLANASolana (SOL) Current Bias, Dollar Relationship, and Bitcoin Correlation 1. Solana’s Current Bias Bearish Pressure: SOL is trading near $160, down ~5% in 24 hours due to token unlocks, declining memecoin activity, and technical resistance at $187 . Key support levels: $158–$163 (50-day EMA) and $140–$142 (critical demand zone). A drop below $142 risks a deeper correction to $133 . Medium/Long-Term (2025–2026): Bullish Outlook: Analysts project SOL could reach $275–$500+ by late 2025, driven by institutional interest, ETF approval prospects, and network upgrades . 2. Relationship with the Dollar Index (DXY) Inverse Correlation: A stronger dollar (DXY↑) typically pressures SOL and crypto markets. Recent DXY surges have coincided with SOL’s 30% decline . Current DXY Context: Testing 98.4 (May 2025). A breakout above 101.99 could further weaken SOL, while a drop below 97.92 may revive bullish momentum . Fed Policy Impact: Expected rate cuts in 2025 could weaken the dollar, indirectly supporting SOL’s recovery . 3. Solana vs. Bitcoin (SOL/BTC) Mixed Performance: 30-Day Trend: SOL is up 10.98% against BTC, reflecting relative strength in altcoin markets . Recent Dip: SOL/BTC fell 5.75% in 24 hours to 0.001524 BTC, signaling short-term BTC dominance . Key Levels: Resistance: 0.001633 BTC (May 24 high). Support: 0.001524 BTC (current level); breakdown risks a test of 0.0014 BTC . Summary Table Factor Solana (SOL) Price (USD) ~$160 (down 5% in 24h) DXY Correlation Inverse (stronger USD = weaker SOL) BTC Correlation Mixed (recent gains vs. BTC, but short-term dip) Key Support $158–$163 (EMA), $140–$142 (demand zone) Key Resistance $187, $220, $243 2025 Bullish Target $275–$500 (institutional forecasts) Critical Factors to Watch Fed Policy: Rate cuts could weaken DXY, boosting SOL. ETF Developments: Approval odds for SOL ETFs may drive institutional inflows . Technical Breaks: A daily close above $183 could reignite bullish momentum toward $200–$210 . Network Activity: Declining memecoin trading volumes and MEV concerns pose short-term risks . Conclusion Short-Term: SOL faces bearish pressure from DXY strength and technical resistance, but the $140–$158 zone is critical for maintaining bullish structure. Long-Term: Bullish institutional forecasts and potential ETF catalysts support a $275–$500+ trajectory by late 2025. Bitcoin Influence: SOL’s recent outperformance against BTC may resume if altcoin markets rebound, but BTC dominance remains a headwind. Traders should monitor DXY trends, Fed rhetoric, and SOL/BTC technical levels for directional cues. #SOL #CRYPTO #BITCOIN
Long
by Shavyfxhub
Will BTC hold its price?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. When we enter the four-hour interval, we can see how the BTC price has left the ongoing upward trend line at the bottom, and what's more, we can see how the current movement is creating a local downward trend channel in which the price is currently on the border of the previously created upward trend channel, which gives a strong support point. Here we can see how the current downward movement has entered the support circle that starts around $ 104,800 and ends around $ 102,200, this is the place where two conflicting channels have converged. If these supports do not hold the price, we can see a quick recovery to around $ 98,000, and then to the level of $ 93,900. Looking the other way, we can see that when the trend reverses, we first have resistance at $107,670, then a resistance zone from $110,000 to $111,700 is visible, at the border of two channels, and then resistance is visible around $113,800. On the MACD indicator, we can see a return to the downtrend, while on the RSI we return to the lower part at the lower border, which could potentially provide energy for a future upward movement.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
GALA GOING TO MOON ''AS per my analysis gala meet the daily advanced order block at 0.01710 and mitigation block at same level and there is also a bullish order block FVG of daily time frame At 0.01780 to 0.01540 these all are IMPORTANT POI and its help to reverse the trend and other side if we talk about the target we can see recent swing high 0.02040 0.02194 and 0.02363 these level contain high liquidity and price must go to grab the liquidity and there is 1D bearish order block at 0.03294 we see the price soon at this level " BAIS:- BULLISH ENTRY:- 0.01710 STOPLOSS:- 0.01410 TARGET :- 0.03290 DISCLAIMER :- its not a Financial Advice THANK YOU ;
Long
by MR-CRYPTO-1997
1
Professional Analysis: XAU/USD – GOLD Price Forecast : 📈 Professional Analysis: XAU/USD – GOLD Price Forecast 🟡 🗓️ Date: May 28–29, 2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: Intraday (Hourly) 🔍 Instrument: Gold vs. USD (XAU/USD) 📊 Technical Chart Summary 🟥 Resistance Zone: 📌 Level: $3,350 – $3,365 🛑 Price has rejected this zone multiple times, marking it as a strong supply area. 📉 Each test of resistance led to a pullback — showing seller strength 💪. 🟩 Support Zone: 📌 Level: $3,280 – $3,295 🛡 Multiple higher low bounces suggest this zone is being defended by buyers. 🔁 Price has formed 3 reaction lows, indicating accumulation 📥. 🔄 Structure & Pattern Recognition 🔺 Descending followed by Ascending Swings ⛳ Market shows a reversal attempt after forming a potential double bottom / triple test at support. 📈 Bullish structure forming with the latest swing creating a higher low. 📉 Past wave = Bearish Correction 📈 Current projection = Potential bullish impulse if the support holds. 📐 Projection & Price Action Forecast 📍 Current Price: $3,297.175 📈 Expected Move: Bounce off support → climb toward $3,330–$3,350 🔼 🧠 Rationale: Price testing support again Market respecting horizontal range No clean breakdown yet 📊 Bullish Scenario (Primary) 🔁 Rebound off support 🎯 Target: Resistance zone ($3,350) ✅ Entry: Above $3,300 with bullish candle close 🛑 SL: Below $3,280 📉 Bearish Breakdown (Alternate) ❌ Break below $3,280 🎯 Target: $3,260 or lower ⚠️ Wait for confirmation candle 🔚 Conclusion 🟡 Gold (XAU/USD) is trading within a well-defined range with buyers stepping in near $3,290 and sellers near $3,355. 📌 Based on current technicals, there’s a higher probability of an upward move, unless support breaks decisively. 🛠️ Pro Tip: 💡 Use RSI + Volume to confirm momentum on breakout. Look for bullish divergence or volume surge near the bounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZareeFxTradingAac
2
UNH: Why I Believe This Is a Dead Cat Bounce(Late posting)We’ve seen a quite the abounce in the market as of lately, but I believe it’s not a real recovery. To me, this looks like a classic dead cat bounce; a quick move up that happens during a downtrend before prices drop again. I’ll explain why I think this is the case, kind of a simple one. First of all, the grand picture in the economy still looks fairly negative, especially respecting the TRUMP TARIFF new. Inflation hasn’t fully gone away, interest rates are still high, and consumer confidence is weak. There’s no major change in the news or the fundamentals that would support a strong comeback. It feels like people are just hoping things will improve, but the facts don’t really support that yet. Second, the volume on this bounce has been low. In trading, volume tells you how strong a move is. If the price goes up but not many people are trading, it usually means there’s not much real buying happening. This bounce seems to be driven more by short sellers covering their positions, not by confident investors jumping in. Third, we’re hitting key resistance levels—areas where the price dropped before—and we’re starting to see signs of rejection again. These levels are often hard to break through unless the market has strong momentum, and right now it doesn’t look like that’s the case. Fourth, if you look at indicators like the RSI and MACD, they show that the price is already overbought. That means the recent move up may have gone too far, too fast. These kinds of readings usually lead to a pullback, especially when the bigger trend is still down. Finally, the overall structure of the chart hasn’t changed. We’re still making lower highs and lower lows, which is what a downtrend looks like. Just because we’ve had a few green candles doesn’t mean the trend has reversed. Until we see the market start building a base and making new highs with strong support, I don’t think this bounce will last. I n my opinion, this is one of those moments where people might get too excited too quickly. A lot of traders jump in thinking the bottom is in, only to get caught when the price turns back down. That’s why I’m staying cautious and watching for signs that the bounce is failing. I could be wrong, but right now, this feels more like a trap than a turning point.
NYSE:UNHShort
by ThePlotThickens
7
LINK/USDT Long Setup: Technical Bounce + Chainlink FundamentalsTechnical Analysis (LINK/USDT): The daily chart highlights a strategic entry at 14.019, following a bounce from the 11.90–14.03 support zone, a level with prior consolidation and buying interest. The stop-loss at 11.99 sits below this support, guarding against a breakdown, while the take-profit at 26.51 targets the 24.26–26.54 resistance zone—a previous high with selling pressure—yielding a ~1:5 risk-reward ratio. Recent bullish rejection at support, paired with rising volume, signals potential upward momentum. Fundamental Analysis (Chainlink/LINK): Chainlink’s fundamentals are strong in 2025. The expansion of its CCIP protocol has boosted cross-chain interoperability, increasing adoption in DeFi. New partnerships with Polygon and Avalanche have solidified its ecosystem, driving LINK demand. Additionally, the rise in real-world asset tokenization has heightened reliance on Chainlink’s oracles for accurate data, supporting LINK’s value. However, crypto market volatility and regulatory risks remain key concerns. This trade blends a high-probability technical setup with robust fundamentals, making it a compelling opportunity.
Long
by AlgoVesting
ADA/USDT: Potential Long Setup from Key Support ZoneTaking a closer look at a potential long opportunity on Cardano (ADA/USDT) with the following parameters: Entry: Around $0.6938 Stop Loss: $0.6098 Take Profit: $1.1880 Technical Breakdown: ADA is currently interacting with a critical price zone between $0.6800 and $0.7200. This area has demonstrated historical relevance, acting as both support and resistance in recent months, notably providing a floor for price action through mid-May. My entry anticipates this zone will once again attract buying interest after the recent pullback. The stop loss at $0.6098 is strategically placed below the significant swing low established in late April. A breach of this level would likely invalidate the current market structure and could signal a more profound bearish continuation. The take profit target at $1.1880 aims for the prominent highs last seen in early March. This ambitious target reflects an expectation of a strong recovery and implies a potential shift in momentum, possibly fueled by a confluence of technical strength and positive catalysts. The risk/reward ratio here is compelling, sitting near 5.8:1. Fundamental Watch: Keep a keen eye on Cardano-specific news. Developments in their ecosystem, progress on roadmap milestones like Voltaire or Hydra enhancements, or significant partnership announcements could provide the necessary bullish impetus for such a move. As always, broader market sentiment will also play a crucial role.
Long
by AlgoVesting
XRP/USDT: Long Opportunity with Favorable R:RJust entered a long position on XRP/USDT. Here's my quick take: Entry: $2.1569 Stop Loss: $2.0388 Take Profit: $3.1512 Technical Rationale: Eyeing a bounce from a clear support zone around $2.04-$2.10, where we've seen buying interest before. My SL is tucked just below this area. The target at $3.1512 is a significant previous resistance level from early May. This setup offers a compelling risk/reward ratio of over 8:1. Watching for price to hold this support and confirm the upward move. Potentially a mitigation play if recent lows were a liquidity grab. Fundamental Check: Always crucial with XRP – keeping a close eye on any breaking news regarding Ripple and the SEC, as that can heavily influence price. Positive developments could fuel this move.
Long
by AlgoVesting
BTC Macro View - Possible PullbackFailed breakout or just a pause? Bitcoin wicked above the 7-month range ($74k–$109k) and hit a new ATH at $112k—but the breakout lacked conviction: -3 Day candle did not close outside the range. It wicked above ATH and closed back inside, which often signals a failed breakout. -Volume on the breakout was low—not the kind of commitment you'd expect on price discovery. -Unless we reclaim the highs with conviction, the odds lean toward mean reversion or a deeper pullback, especially as macro risk increases (S&P weakness, renewed trade tension, credit rating concerns). S&P Correlation I was calling for a pullback on the S&P on May 16th in this Idea. -https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES1!/CMKml8I3-Bearish-Divergence-Pullback-Pending/ -The S&P has already started fading off highs. -BTC kept pushing a bit longer—but may have just been lagging the risk-off shift. -Now both look vulnerable and possibly entering correction together. Macro Narrative Timeline March–April: Trump escalates tariff rhetoric → markets sell hard: S&P falls from 6,100 → 4,800 BTC dumps from $108k → $74k Mid-April–May: Trump pivots, talks trade deals → markets bounce: S&P rallies back to 6,000 BTC rips to $112k ATH Now at highs, bearish news flow returns: Moody’s U.S. credit downgrade Trump targeting EU and Apple with new tariffs S&P rolling over again BTC starting to follow This is narrative cycling: Scare → Ease → Pump → Re-scare near highs Short-Term Setup Macro structure is still bullish. But short-term risk is rising fast: -Bearish RSI divergence on the 4H chart -Failed breakout on the 3D, Low volume ATH push -Crowded longs getting chopped -BTC media coverage going vertical—endless bullish predictions across TV, headlines, social media -Media didn't talk about BTC when it was at $74k. They were loud now, at the highs. Fibonacci Retracement Levels from April 9 Low → $112k High 0.786 = $103,969 0.618 = $97,665 0.5 = $93,237 -Each level aligns with prior consolidation and offers strong technical context. -No need to guess. We will watch volume + structure at each zone. -These are prime areas to accumulate spot. -No leverage. No chasing. Let it come to you. -This is what Bitcoin is—accumulate pullbacks, hold, survive the chop. -After this correction, I believe we push back to ATH and into price discovery. Whale Psychology Trap (my thoughts on it) Recently a Hyperliquid whale built a record breaking $1B+ BTC long on a defi exchange, drew in a massive herd to follow, then flipped short over the weekend after closing the position. -Now that crowd is likely emotionally tied to their longs—feeling betrayed, stubborn, and unwilling to cut on a pullback. -Red flag: we now have whales publicly influencing the herd with precision. Not a bullish short-term signal. Final Thoughts We’re seeing alignment across: -Failed breakout on 3D -Overheated retail sentiment (even though retail thinks the reverse, all you hear right now is "RETAIL IS NOT EVEN HERE YET") -Public Whale traps in motion -Media pushing euphoria the past two weeks -Macro headwinds slowly creeping back in at the most convenient time to pullback -BTC remains in a macro uptrend. But this is not a healthy breakout yet. P.S. This breakdown is mainly for traders. But let me be clear: -The smartest approach to Bitcoin is still simple—accumulate and hold spot. -Given BTC’s position in a world of debt-soaked economies, eroding fiat trust, and centralized monetary control, it's far riskier to have none than to hold through volatility -The wealthy, the powerful, the largest corporations — they’re starting to understand this reality -Your job? Keep buying dips and holding long-term. Use macro views like this to: -Take profits from overextended markets (U.S. equities, alts, etc.) -Time bigger BTC adds when fear returns But if you own spot BTC? Don’t sell it. Ever. Trade other assets. Stack sats. And if BTC ever hits $1M/coin... then sure—do whatever you want
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by HunterMorris
BBW: One of the Great Wealth Transfer BeneficiariesHey, all. Wanted to get a video made for the first time in a few weeks. I have a position in NYSE:BBW that has been doing well. In my opinion, this is a stock that is geared for further upside. Earnings have been coming in consistent and they have done a good job with their product offerings as I found out when visiting their website recently. I do think NYSE:BBW can continue the growth, especially as more Millenials and Gen-Z have kids. The Baby Boomer generation will want to spend money on their grandkids and that should drive up cute stuffed animal sales. At any rate, please do your own research and invest carefully and wisely! Hope you enjoy the video, and best of luck out there!
NYSE:BBWLong
by redykhouse
11
Trade Idea:XAUUSD SHORT ( SELL STOP )🔍 Multi-Timeframe Analysis 📉 H4: • Price is compressing below the 20 and 50 SMAs. • Recent attempts to break higher failed to sustain; MACD is slightly bearish, hinting momentum is fading. • Consolidation after the big push suggests potential for another leg down if support breaks. 🕒 M15: • Strong bounce into resistance, now stalling at the underside of the previous structure (~3315–3320). • 20 SMA is curling down and converging with the 50 SMA, signaling a potential momentum shift. 🕒 M3: • Price just lost short-term bullish structure after failing to break 3318. • Flattening and slight downward curl in the 20 SMA. • Volume shows a slowdown on the bounce and heavier selling earlier in the day — signs of weakness. ⸻ ✅ Trade Idea Type: Sell Stop Entry: 3308 Stop Loss: 3322 Take Profit: 3273 ——— 🧠 Why This Setup Works • This is a momentum breakdown trade: placing a sell stop just below short-term support (3308) to catch the shift in momentum if price breaks lower. • Price already rejected the high around 3318; if it pushes below 3308, it confirms that sellers have taken back control. • There’s clean room down to 3273 — a previous reaction zone and recent demand level — offering a good risk-to-reward. ⸻ 🛡️ Risk Management & Execution • SL to BE Rule: Move stop loss to break-even once price reaches 3293 (15 points in your favor, 1R). That’s the halfway point to target and right above a small reaction zone that could cause a pullback. • Invalidation Window: If price moves above 3325 before activating entry, cancel the trade idea. That would invalidate the lower-high structure and suggest momentum has shifted bullish again. ⸻ ⏱️ Session Timing & Considerations • NY session opens at 6:30 AM Pacific (PT). • Ideally, this trade should activate and move by pre-New York to early NY session. If price stalls or consolidates near the entry level for too long into the session (after 9:30–10:00 AM PT), consider canceling or reassessing. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by KeN-WeNzEl
Gold price rebounded. Strategy is coming.Gold rose yesterday under the stimulus of risk aversion; gold did not continue the upward trend today, which means that the risk aversion sentiment of gold has been digested. The 4-hour moving average of gold formed a dead cross, and MACD also formed a dead cross. Then gold is likely to maintain the morning support position near 3290 for oscillation. I think we can continue to short after gold rebounds. After the opening of the US market, the rise of gold has been under pressure at the 3310 line and cannot break through. Gold rebounded under pressure at 3310 and continued to short on rallies. The market situation is changing all the time. We cannot always use the same trading strategy. If the price fails to rise, we will implement a short strategy; in line with the changes in the market, we can make profits faster. Operation strategy: Short near 3305, stop loss 3315, profit range 3270-3260.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
UVIX looking real sweet! VIX has a very unique quality, which is that it bottoms-out! The VIX is in a very nice place right now. Already did 3 trades over the last week ranging from 4 to +10%. I can't think of a better ETF to trade in times of uncertainty and risk. I'll be providing alerts for those who are interested in upgrading to steak vs. rice and beans FOMO crypto bros! Best of luck and always do your own due diligence! Nothing makes me more happy than to see average Joes and Janes beat the S&P and overpriced FAs.
CBOE:UVIXLong
by antonini2002