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Fundamental Analysis

USD/JPY Outlook: Bullish Target Set at 151.0 USD/JPY Weekly Forecast – July Week 4 Last week, USD/JPY retested a weekly Fair Value Gap and closed with strong bullish pressure, confirming demand. Now, the next key liquidity level sits around 151.00 — just above the previous major highs. On the daily timeframe, we may see a bearish retest toward 147.00 early in the week. From there, supported by both Federal Reserve sentiment and a bullish dollar, price could launch a strong bullish move to sweep the 151.00 highs. Bias: Bullish Key Zones: • Support / Retest: 147.00 • Target: 151.00 • FVG Reaction: Confirmed on weekly close The setup aligns with dollar strength and clean bullish structure. — Weekly forecast by Sphinx Trading Drop your view in the comments. #USDJPY #ForexForecast #SmartMoney #LiquidityTargets #SphinxWeekly #DollarStrength #PriceAction #FVG
Long
by Sphinx_Trading
Gold Outlook: Bearish Continuation in Play Toward 3,250Gold Weekly Forecast – July Week 4 Gold closed last week with a strong bearish weekly candle, rejecting from the 3,440 supply zone and closing below the key Fair Value Gap at 3,360. This confirms downside pressure, especially in the context of a strengthening dollar. For this week, we may see a bullish opening early in the week toward 3,370, followed by a deeper bearish move targeting the major low and liquidity pool at 3,250. Bias: Bearish Key Zones: • Resistance / Retest: 3,370 • Target: 3,250 • Supply Rejection: 3,440 Momentum favors further downside unless bulls reclaim key levels. — Weekly forecast by Sphinx Trading What’s your bias on Gold this week? #Gold #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #FairValueGap #BearishBias #SphinxWeekly #LiquiditySweep #GoldForecast
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Sphinx_Trading
GBP/USD Outlook: Bearish Swing in Play After Weekly FVG RetestGBP/USD Weekly Forecast – July Week 4 Last week, GBP/USD retested a weekly Fair Value Gap near 1.35900 and responded with a strong bearish engulfing candle — showing clear rejection from the imbalance zone. With the dollar expected to strengthen this week, we could see a small bullish retracement early in the week toward 1.35000, followed by a bearish swing move targeting at least the 1.31000 support zone. Bias: Bearish Key Zones: • Resistance / Retest: 1.35000 • Target: 1.31000 • FVG Supply: 1.35900 Structure and macro direction both point to GBP weakness continuing. — Weekly forecast by Sphinx Trading Share your bias in the comments. #GBPUSD #Cable #ForexForecast #SmartMoney #SphinxWeekly #FairValueGap #DollarStrength #PriceAction
Short
by Sphinx_Trading
1
DXY Outlook: Can Fed Hold Spark a Move Toward 100?DXY Weekly Forecast – July Week 4 After reaching 96.50 early this month, DXY began showing bullish signs. Last week, price retested the extreme demand zone at 97.00 and closed with a bearish weekly candle that held some bullish pressure at the base. This week, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve meeting. If the Fed holds rates steady, the dollar could strengthen further. A weekly close above 97.90 would confirm the breakout and open the door to a run toward 100.00 — a key psychological and technical level. Bias: Bullish (if 97.90 breaks) Key Zones: • Demand: 97.00 • Breakout Level: 97.90 • Target: 100.00 This could be the beginning of a fresh bullish leg — especially if macro conditions align with technical structure. — Weekly forecast by Sphinx Trading Let me know your bias in the comments. #DXY #DollarIndex #ForexForecast #SphinxWeekly #SmartMoney #FOMC #USD #InterestRates
TVC:DXYLong
by Sphinx_Trading
$500 Million XRP Accumulation To Drive 15% Price Rise to ATHBINANCE:XRPUSDT is currently trading at $3.20, which places it 14% away from reaching its ATH of $3.66. The support at $3.38 is crucial, and securing it could lead to further gains. BINANCE:XRPUSDT has been seeing significant inflows in the past three days. Over 163 million XRP, worth around $519 million , have been accumulated by investors. This buying surge suggests that a wave of optimism is returning to the market, signaling that investors are positioning themselves for a potential price increase. If BINANCE:XRPUSDT can reclaim support at $3.38 , it will be well-positioned to push past its ATH and reach new highs. This would mark a significant milestone for the altcoin, setting the stage for further price gains. However, should the investor sentiment shift and selling pressure increase, BINANCE:XRPUSDT could face a decline. If the price falls below $3.00, it could slide to $2.96 or lower , invalidating the bullish thesis.
by aaryamann_shrivastava_bic
Here’s Why Shiba Inu Price’s 10% Rise Entails $50 Million LossesAt the time of writing, BINANCE:SHIBUSDT price is $0.00001407, sitting just below the resistance level of $0.00001435. The altcoin has been facing mixed signals, with both bearish and bullish factors playing a role in its price action. The key resistance level of $0.00001435 needs to be broken for a potential recovery. The liquidation map shows a fascinating development: if BINANCE:SHIBUSDT recovers the 10% losses it has sustained by reaching $0.00001553, it could trigger over $52 million worth of short liquidations . Short sellers have been betting on a decline, but if SHIB rebounds, these traders will face considerable losses. If BINANCE:SHIBUSDT continues to hover within the consolidation range of $0.00001435 and $0.00001317 , traders will remain safe from liquidation risks. This sideways movement will keep the altcoin within a neutral zone, avoiding drastic price changes in the immediate term. However, if BINANCE:SHIBUSDT price manages to break the resistance at $0.00001435 and flips it into support, SHIB could potentially climb back to $0.00001553. This would mark a 10% recovery , invalidating the current bearish sentiment and shifting the outlook to a more optimistic tone.
by aaryamann_shrivastava_bic
1
The dance between the USDZAR and (ZA10Y - US10Y)The chart shows the relationship between the USDZAR and the yield differential between the SA 10-year and the US 10-year (ZA10Y – US10Y). 2025 has been a wild ride for the rand and it has managed to put up a remarkable recovery in the 2Q2025 but where to now for the pair? The pair has not traded below the 200-week MA currently at 17.62, since the March 2022 just before the global rate hiking cycle. The only previous times the pair traded below this moving average was briefly in 2021 before the June/July riots in SA and during the “Ramaphoria” period in 2018. The 200-week MA also coincides with the 38.2% Fibo retracement from the low in 2021. A brief break below these two support levels will allow the pair to fall onto the 50% Fibo retracement level at 16.62. The yield differential is however suggesting that the rand may not have much room to pull the pair too far below the 200-week MA. The brief break below the 5.00% during December 2024 and January 2025 was a bit of an anomaly given the volatility in the US bond market and I still believe 5.00% is a hard support for the yield differential. A bottom out of the yield differential could see it rise higher towards 7.50% which will be rand negative should the positive correlation hold. To summarise, the yield differential is suggesting that the rand’s 2Q2025 recovery may be on its last legs but a break below the 200-week MA will allow the rand to pull the pair towards 16.50. I don't see the rand maintaining levels below 16.50 and this level seems like a long-term floor for the pair before another 5-wave impulse to the topside. Historical trend analysis: The SA rand is one of the most attractive emerging market currencies due to the carry trade appeal of the currency coupled with SA’s deep and liquid bond market. During periods when there is significant buying pressure on SA bonds, the SA yields will decrease meaning that the yield differential (ZA10Y-US10Y) decreases while in periods when SA bonds are selling off, yields on SA bonds will increase which increases the yield differential, citrus paribus. The USDZAR pair is thus positively correlated with this yield differential. The chart goes back to 2018 when the USDZAR hit a low of 11.50 following the period dubbed the “Ramaphoria” period. Investor sentiment swinged aggressively positive in this period and the flow of international funds into the SA bond market saw the yield differential drop to a low around 5.00%. The yeld differential has never dropped below this level until early 2025 as indicated on the chart. The yield differential and the USDZAR pair moved in tandem all the way through to the 1Q2022, maintaining its strong positive correlation. The next period marked the start of the global hiking cycle which saw the US 10-year yield rise from a low of 1.65% in March 2022 to a high of 5.00% in October 2023. This aggressive rise in US 10-year yields marked a period of extensive risk off sentiment and even caused a US banking crises in March 2023. The Fed stepped in and briefly paused their QT to add liquidity to system and provided the US banking system with the bank term funding program to patch up the cracks. The rand sold off due to risk off investor sentiment while the US 10-year yield rose due to the start of the rate hiking cycle which reduced the yield differential. The USDZAR climbed to a high of 19.90 in May 2023 while the yield differential dropped to a low of 7.50%. The yield differential continued to fall until the US 10-year yield topped out at 5.00% in October 2023, after which the positive correlation between the USDZAR and the yield differential was restored. The next period marked positive sentiment towards SA following the election results and the formation on the government on national unity (GNU). Coupled with the end to the rate hiking cycle, the rand had the wind and risk on investor sentiment in its sails which allowed the rand to pull the pair to a low of 17.03. The optimism of the GNU and the realisation on another Trump presidency however saw the pair bottom out in September 2024. During the last quarter of 2024 the rand experienced sustained selling pressure while the yield differential continued to fall. The break in correlation was largely due to the US10-year yield climbing from 3.60% in September 2024 to a high of 4.80% in January 2025.
by Goose96
3
NXT (Long) - Clean energy player with even cleaner financialsLet's preamble with what the company actually does (as I imagine a lot of traders trade without even bothering... understandably). In short, Nextracker operates in the solar energy space where it is a leader in providing energy output optimization solutions, i.e. mechanical systems that rotate solar panels to follow the sun, along with software (TrueCapture) that uses sensors and machine learning to fine-tune positioning in real time. Fundamentals NASDAQ:NXT has been growing very strongly in recent years (see the table) despite the numerous hiccups this space has seen since 2022. There is also a backlog of $4.5bn , giving us clear visibility into the next year. Profitability is strong with earnings growth even outpacing revenue growth, showing strong operating leverage . This all comes on the back of a relatively cheap valuation , with P/E of just below 18, which is significantly lower than some of its competitors like NYSE:NVT at 52, and NYSE:RRX at 43. No clear reason for why the markets are discounting the stock. The balance sheet is rock solid , with no debt and $766m in cash. Moreover, free cash flow is plentiful with the firm most recently generating $622m in FCF. Overall, the company is growing, has strong financials and is cheaply valued compared to its competitors - the kind of smoothie I usually look for. One obvious risk is policy , given that the current administration doesn't really see eye to eye with renewables and two thirds of NXT's revenue still comes from the US. Technicals Just breaking into an all-time high is a nice-to-have advantage when entering a new trade. The stock is breaking out from a decent, almost year-and-half long base , though I would prefer the base to be a tad more prolongated. The stock broke the ATH on higher volume, pulled back to around the breakout point and is currently establishing the next leg higher The price is some distance away from its moving averages, so there is a chance that there still might be some more consolidation around this level before we proceed higher Trade Main caveat is that the stock is about to release its earnings on Tuesday , so naturally it is a slight gamble to buy ahead of it. I decided to jump in beforehand just because I have strong conviction (and I love to punch the wall when I always get it wrong), but I would advise others to first wait on the results as a potential catalyst. For gamblers like myself, the ATH breakout point likely serves as the best possible stoploss (black line). One more reason why these earnings in particular could be even more of a gamble is that the BBB bill was passed since the last earnings, so if the executives decide to sprinkle the release with some not-so-positive comments regarding that, it could spook investors. Follow me for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, I am happy to help If you like my content, please leave a like, comment or a donation , it motivates me to keep producing ideas, thank you :)
NASDAQ:NXTLong
by jurajholik
TATA MOTORS - Bullish and Long on TATA MOTORSThe stock gave a solid breakout and has already retested the neckline and is bouncing up from there. Tata motors launched Harrier EV which is the lowest priced SUV EV and backed by harriers style and road presence, it has taken up huge bookings. I was checking that the number of cars available for a dealer in Hyderabad is 4 for next month, when the number of orders pending are 84. I think this will be a massive move once the full blown production of harrier ev is on and sales numbers start coming in from next quarter onwards. This will be a 2-3 year story at least, so I will patiently hold till 3X from 600 level which is 1800. Disclaimer: I have not taken a position yet. May do so in next few days.
NSE:TATAMOTORSLong
by The-Breakout-Trader
Gold is weak. It may break through next week.This week, gold rose and fell, rising for two consecutive days on Monday and Tuesday, and falling for three consecutive days from Wednesday to Friday. The weekly line finally closed with a small real body negative line with a long upper shadow. Gold's trend this week was due to the strengthening of the US dollar and the progress in US-EU trade negotiations, which hit the safe-haven demand, leading to a decline in gold prices. Next week, focus on multiple time points that may trigger market trends, including the Federal Reserve's decision, non-agricultural data, the August 1 tariff deadline, and the economic and trade talks between Chinese representatives in Sweden and the United States. These events may set the tone for the market in the second half of the year and need to be paid attention to. At the beginning of this week, we focused on the triangular convergence pattern formed by the high and low points since 3500 points. On Tuesday, gold broke through the pattern upward, but failed to stand firm on Wednesday. Instead, it fell to form a false breakthrough, and on Friday it fell to the lower edge of the triangular convergence range. However, from the perspective of the international futures market, the overall situation is still in the triangular convergence pattern and has not achieved an effective upward breakthrough. Based on this, we need to continue to keep a close eye on the changes in the triangle convergence pattern next week. The direction of its next breakthrough will have an important impact on the short-term trend. Operation strategy: Short near 3350, stop loss 3360, profit range 3320-3315. If the price continues to fall, you can hold a small position, and the area near 3300 is likely to be touched.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by quaid_2
1
"Bitcoin’s Big Heist – Are You In or Out?"🚨 BTC/USDT HEIST MISSION – SWIPE THE BULL RUN BEFORE THE BEARS WAKE UP 💰💣 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Money Makers & Robbers, assemble! 🤑💰✈️💸 Here’s your decoded BTC/USDT “Bitcoin vs Tether” Crypto Market Heist Plan, fully loaded with Thief Trading Style 🔥 TA + FA combo. We’re prepping for a bullish breakout loot – eyes on the vault, ignore the noise. 🎯 PLAN OF ATTACK: 🎯 ENTRY (BUY ZONE): 💥 “The vault’s open—time to sweep!” DCA/Layer your buy limit orders near the 15–30 min swing lows/highs for sniper pullback entries. Use multi-entry method to stack positions (layering / DCA) as per your ammo (capital 💵). 🛑 STOP LOSS: Set SL at the nearest swing low wick (4H TF) — around 115000.00, adjust based on your risk/load. SL = insurance. Not optional. 🏁 TARGET: Lock sights on 125000.00 🎉 Or… vanish with profits before the bear cops arrive. 🔎 MARKET BACKDROP & ANALYSIS: 📈 BTC/USDT currently signals bullish vibes on the swing/day horizon — fueled by: Macro Fuel & Fundamentals Sentiment Radar COT Reports On-Chain Pulse Intermarket Clues 🚀 Connect the dots. The smart money's already prepping a breakout move. 🧲 Scalpers Note: Stick to the long side only. No shorting the beast — unless you’re made of diamonds. Secure your bag with trailing SLs. ⚠️ NEWS TRIGGER ZONE – TRADE WITH TACT: 📢 Upcoming high-volatility news events can spike charts. Avoid new entries during releases and guard open trades with trailing SLs. Protect the loot. Always. 💖 SUPPORT THE HEIST GANG: BOOST IT! Smash that ❤️ to boost our thief squad’s momentum! Every click powers this underground mission – making money with style, one pip at a time. 🎯💣💵 🚀 See you in the next heist drop. Until then – Stay stealthy. Stay profitable. Stay legendary. 🐱‍👤💸🏆
Long
by The-Thief
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jul 28 - Aug 01]This week, OANDA:XAUUSD prices had a positive start, rising sharply from 3,345 USD/oz to 3,439 USD/oz because investors were concerned about the risk of financial market instability when US President Donald Trump continuously pressured the FED Chairman to reduce interest rates, and there were even rumors of the Fed chairman resigning. However, the upward momentum in gold prices was not maintained when the US continuously reached trade agreements with partners such as Japan, Indonesia, Philippines..., cooling down the trade war. This caused gold prices to drop sharply for three consecutive trading sessions, at one point the gold price dropped to 3,325 USD/oz and closed at 3,336 USD/oz. Trade war worries are starting to subside. Therefore, we continue to witness a shift of investment capital flows from gold to risky assets such as stocks.. Notably, this week is the fourth time gold prices broke the $3,400 threshold but did not stay above this level. Next week, in addition to the FED meeting, the market will also receive information about US non-agricultural employment (NFP) data. If this index falls stronger than expected, it will further strengthen expectations that the FED will continue to keep interest rates at the current level in upcoming meetings, causing gold prices to drop even more sharply next week. 📌In terms of technical analysis, the three crows pattern (3 long red candles) appeared on the D1 chart, showing that sellers were still in control throughout the past 3 trading sessions without much buying power. This technical pattern often suggests that gold prices may be shifting from their recent upward trajectory into a more prolonged period of decline. This technical signal also quite coincides with the context of many fundamental factors, such as geopolitical conflicts, trade wars, low physical gold demand in the summer... no longer strongly supporting gold prices as before. However, according to many experts, if the gold price drops sharply, it will be a good opportunity to buy, because the gold price is forecast to still increase strongly in the long term. On the H4 chart, gold price may continue to adjust down below the 3,285 USD/oz mark, before recovering again. Meanwhile, the 3,450 USD/oz area is still a strong resistance level for gold prices next week. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,430USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3383 - 3381⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3387 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3316 - 3318⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3312
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
TRON Eyes 17 Percent Surge Toward Explosive 0.37 Breakout TargetHello✌ Let’s analyze TRON’s upcoming price potential 📈. BINANCE:TRXUSDT is currently approaching a key daily support zone that aligns with a notable Fibonacci retracement level 🧭. This technical confluence suggests a potential short-term rebound, and I’m watching for a possible move of around 17% toward the 0.37 target 🎯. ✨We put love into every post! Your support inspires us 💛 Drop a comment we’d love to hear from you! Thanks , Mad Whal
Long
by MadWhale
1
Technical bounce back on cardsRevenue: ₹8,545 crore (~11% YoY increase) Net Profit (PAT): ₹1,418 crore (~2% YoY growth) North America generics revenue declined ~11% to ₹3,412 crore due to pricing pressures, while Europe surged 142% YoY Consensus estimates (SimplyWall.st): Average target at ₹1,289, with bullish/bearish range ₹1,660–₹990. Growth forecast modest (~2.9% revenue CAGR through 2026) — down from 13% historical average Despite milestones in revenue, margins remain under pressure from global competition For long-term investors: A conservative growth stock with moderate dividend income—best suited for those seeking stability with exposure to generics in key markets. For traders or momentum players: Watch India- and Europe-driven growth and pipeline developments. U.S. competition remains a major swing factor.
NSE:DRREDDYLong
by ramkdlr
XAUUSD SNIPER OUTLOOK – JULY 28, 2025🔥 Macro & Sentiment The dollar remains dominant — DXY holding above 105 keeps gold under pressure. No fundamental support for bullish continuation unless major macro shifts. Risk flows are defensive, not aggressive. FOMC and US GDP data remain key drivers for direction this week. BIAS: • Short-term bearish under 3350 • Market still in distribution mode — every bounce gets sold • Real buy interest only deep below 3315 🔻 INTRADAY SUPPLY ZONES (Short Only With Rejection) 1. 3382–3370 (H1/M30 Premium Supply) 🔹 H1 order block, FVG alignment, EMA21/50/100 convergence 🔹 Liquidity inducement above → then rejection 📍 Short only if rejection shows via engulf / upper wick. 2. 3355–3340 (Decision Zone / Micro Supply) 🔹 EMA100/200 alignment, former support flipped resistance 🔹 M30 FVG fully filled, structure flip from mid-July 📍 Short bias below. Long only if reclaimed with H1 close above 3355. 🔵 NEUTRAL / PIVOT ZONE 3. 3338–3326 (Decision Band – M30/M15) 🔹 Consolidation area post-BOS, internal liquidity sweeps 🔹 EMA21 base on M15, no clear dominance 📍 Wait for clean reaction. Bullish engulf = scalp long to 3355. Failure = slide to demand. 🟢 DEMAND ZONES (Buy Only On Strong Reversal Confirmation) 4. 3314–3302 (M30/M15 Deep Demand) 🔹 H1 OB + hidden FVG + fib 38.2% 🔹 First real demand zone where buyers may engage 📍 Long only if strong M15 confirmation: engulf + RSI cross + EMA5/21 angle change. 5. 3289–3272 (True Reversal Demand – H1/M30) 🔹 Full NY reversal origin (July 18), major FVG left unfilled 🔹 Institutional volume + liquidity grab zone 📍 Buy only on full flush + fast snapback with BOS on M15/H1. 🧭 BIAS & EXECUTION BY TIMEFRAME H4 Bias: Bearish while below 3350. No valid supply above until 3370+. Avoid longs unless price sweeps 3314 or 3272 and confirms. H1 Bias: Sell clean rejection at 3355 or 3370–3382. Only flip long above 3355 with full-bodied close. M30 Bias: Watch decision zone 3338–3326 for direction. No-man’s land in between — don’t force trades. M15 Bias: Scalp long from 3314 or 3272 only on full confluence (OB + RSI + EMA realignment). Short only confirmed rejections above. 📊 FULL INTRADAY KEY LEVELS (Top → Bottom) Level Context 3405 Fib ext. 127% (HTF sweep target only) 3385 OB 3375–3350 Valid Premium Supply (H1 shelf) 3350–3340 Micro Supply / Flip Zone 3338–3326 Decision Zone – watch reaction 3314–3302 Deep Demand (H1/M30 confluence) 3289–3272 Extreme Demand Base 3260 Fib 61.8% + HTF support 3250 Minor volume node 3240 Final structural floor ✅ EXECUTION NOTES ⛔ Avoid entering inside 3340–3326 → fakeout zone ✅ Play only clean sniper triggers with structure ⚠️ Wait for macro — FOMC / GDP releases may fake both sides 💡 Patience wins. Pick your zone, wait for setup, strike. Which zone are you watching to strike? Drop your bias below. 📍 Like, comment & follow GoldFxMinds for the most precise sniper maps on TradingView. Disclosure: This plan is based on the Trade Nation chart feed. I am part of their Influencer Program.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
6
Pony.ai is a cutting-edge autonomous driving company.Revenue: Still in early-stage / pre-revenue phase Heavy R&D spending Backed by over $1B in funding Valuation during last private round: ~$8.5 billion ✅Strong partnerships (Toyota, Hyundai) ✅ Dual-market presence: US + China ✅ Leader in AV permits in California ✅ Advanced AI and simulation tech stack PONY is a speculative play in the autonomous vehicle space. Great for long-term investors who believe in AV tech and are okay with volatility. Risk: 🔴🔴🔴🔴⚪ Growth Potential: 🟢🟢🟢🟢⚪ Dividend: ❌ None Ideal For: Long-term tech investors, AI/autonomous sector enthusiasts
NASDAQ:PONY
by ramkdlr