Fundamental Analysis
EURUSD Preparing for Significant Movement...EURUSD Preparing for Significant Movement Ahead of Trump's Inauguration
The price is near a strong zone, with discussions about price parity ongoing. The market is primarily focused on Trump's Inauguration as President and the decisions he may make this week.
The USD is already strong, but the next price direction will depend on Trump's decisions and their long-term impact on the US economy.
I have outlined both scenarios that EURUSD may face in the coming days.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
ARB/USDT Daily Chart AnalysisLet’s dive into what’s cooking with ARB. The chart is forming a Falling Wedge Pattern, which is a textbook bullish continuation signal. Here’s my breakdown:
What I’m Seeing:
1️⃣ Falling Wedge: The price has been bouncing between the resistance and support lines, and it’s nearing a decision point. A breakout above the wedge could be HUGE! 📈
2️⃣ Key Levels:
Support: The $0.65 zone (yellow area) is holding strong for now. If this level holds, we could see some serious upward action. 👀
Resistance: First, we’ve got to break through $0.85 (red zone), and then the real test will be around $1.16. That’s the big boy resistance. 💪
3️⃣ Targets:
TP1: $1.0183 – A solid first target once the breakout is confirmed.
TP2: $1.16 – The ultimate goal if momentum stays strong. 🚀
The Plan:
📌 If ARB breaks above the wedge and retests around $0.75-$0.80, I’ll be looking for an entry. Volume confirmation is 🔑 here, so keep an eye on that.
🎯 My stops would be tight, just below $0.61 to manage risk. The R:R on this setup is juicy if it plays out.
Bearish Case:
❗️ If $0.61 breaks, the next strong support is all the way down at $0.45 (green zone). That could mean more consolidation before the next leg up.
Final Thoughts:
This setup has some great potential, but patience is key. Watch for that breakout above the wedge and don’t chase—wait for confirmation. Let me know your thoughts in the comments! Are you bullish on ARB, or do you see something different? 🤔💬
Let’s see how this plays out. LFG! 🚀🔥
#Crypto #ARB #ChartAnalysis #Trading
$TRUMP | ALTS | Donald Trump Launches Memecoin on SolanaJust days before his second inauguration, President-elect Donald Trump and his social media team dropped a Solana-based meme coin called TRUMP.
The announcement went viral, racking up huge trading volume. At first, some on-chain analysts and security experts were skeptical, wondering if it was just another scam. But as things settled down, it seemed like the launch was legit. $TRUMP increased 682% within the first few hours of release, after which it corrected with -50%.
Even though people were initially wary because it reminded them of past celebrity meme coin scams, a follow-up post on X (formerly Twitter) cleared up a lot of the doubts. Since then, the coin's price has bounced bac from the correction.
Some analysts flagged that the project got funding from Binance and Gate.io, exchanges that don’t serve U.S. customers. But after digging deeper, those worries faded, especially since the official site for the coin was pretty much the same as past Trump NFT launches, which are handled by CIC Digital, his NFT partner.
Does TRUMP coin have a future?
$TRUMP could have a future - at least during the POTUS term. The coin surged to $79 with a market cap of about $11.7 billion. But since 80% of the 1 billion coins are locked for the next three years, the circulating supply currently is more like 200 million tokens, possibly why it may be better for the short term instead of long term (since it is a meme coin, it will not be burned, the supply will only increase).
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GATEIO:TRUMPUSDT
GBP/NZD "Sterling vs Kiwi" Forex Market Heist Plan on Bearish🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GBP/NZD "Sterling vs Kiwi" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry a Bear trade can be initiated on the MA level breakout of 2.15654.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4h period, the recent / nearest high level.
Goal 🎯: 2.11200 (OR) Before escape in the bank
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Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The GBP/NZD (British Pound vs New Zealand Dollar) market is expected to move in a bearish direction, driven by several key factors.
BEARISH FACTORS:
UK Economic Uncertainty: The ongoing UK economic uncertainty, including the Brexit negotiations and the COVID-19 pandemic, is expected to weaken the British Pound.
New Zealand Economy: The New Zealand economy is expected to grow at a faster pace than the UK economy, with a forecast of 2.5% GDP growth for the next quarter, which could strengthen the New Zealand Dollar.
Monetary Policy: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to keep interest rates low, but the Bank of England is expected to cut interest rates, which could weaken the British Pound.
Commodity Prices: The price of commodities such as dairy products and meat is expected to increase, which could strengthen the New Zealand Dollar.
UPCOMING FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
UK GDP Growth: The upcoming UK GDP growth report is expected to show a slowdown in economic growth, which could weaken the British Pound.
New Zealand GDP Growth: The upcoming New Zealand GDP growth report is expected to show a strong economic growth, which could strengthen the New Zealand Dollar.
UK Inflation Rate: The upcoming UK inflation rate report is expected to show a low inflation rate, which could weaken the British Pound.
New Zealand Inflation Rate: The upcoming New Zealand inflation rate report is expected to show a higher inflation rate, which could strengthen the New Zealand Dollar.
MARKET SENTIMENT:
Bearish Sentiment: 60%
Bullish Sentiment: 30%
Neutral Sentiment: 10%
Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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ChainLink | LINK , TRUMP & Grayscale LINK pumped 500% since our last signal so Its time to Celebrate the New Year with Crypto
Chainlink isn’t just mooning on price it’s taking the crown in the real world assets (RWA) sector. LINK is leading the pack in development activity, leaving Ethereum based Synthetix (SNX) and the privacy savvy Dusk Foundation (DUSK) playing catch up
Price Up, GitHub Busy, and a New Year’s Party to Crash
The numbers? Chainlink flexed nearly 394 GitHub events in the past 30 days, compared to Synthetix's 176.6 and Dusk's 34.7. Meanwhile, Polymesh (POLYX) and Maker (MKR) aren’t far behind, clocking in at 25.9 and 21.7, respectively
Chainlink’s onchain momentum and fundamentals are bullish as well, growing active addresses and an all time high futures open interest of $770.27M are just tip of the iceberg. Grayscale announced that it has opened Grayscale LINK Trust to qualified investors, a fund that enables investors to gain exposure to XRP in the form of securities. As of December 12, Grayscale LINK Trust had a net asset value of $111.91 per share and $30,468,812 in assets under management
Chainlink's LINK token is experiencing a notable increase in price and market activity, fueled by a strategic investment from World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a project backed by Donald Trump’s family. WLFI recently expanded its holdings by purchasing an additional $1 million worth of LINK, raising its total investment in the token to $2 million.
LINK is trading at $29.4 (+1.5% over 24 hours), while its all time high of $52.82 (May 2021) is still 44% away. But hey, it's already the life of the crypto party, with a $1.1B daily trading volume and active trading on 99 exchanges, led by Binance. Market cap? A cool $18.6B
it’s a good time to toast to LINK’s rise🍾
20/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $106,467.97
Last weeks low: $89,292.15
Midpoint: $97,880.06
The Trump era begins...
January 20th 2025 is the date in which America sees its new Republican administration take office. An administration that has promised to embrace crypto instead of demonise it, one that wants the future of crypto to be built in the US, so far Trumps picks for SEC chairman and other important related roles have reflected that pro-crypto belief.
However, launching a $TRUMP memecoin and the subsequent $MELANIA memecoins just moments before inauguration in my opinion is a very bad start. Not only did the launch of TRUMP draw out liquidity from the altcoin market, it also damages the broader market just from an optics point of view. The general publics perception of crypto is it's full of scams, pump and dumps etc so to try and change the general publics mind the answer is to... Launch a memecoin...
Now I'm fully aware Donald Trump himself probably has very little to do with this, just like most celebrity memecoins but I just don't see how this is a positive start for the administration in proving their pro-crypto stance.
Bitcoin did have its highest weekly close of all time @ $106,500, which was $2000 higher than the previous ATH. +20% move from weekly low to high in anticipation for the potential Bitcoin strategic reserve announcement. Avoiding a SFP similar to that of week commencing January 6th will be a priority for BTC, we are in a rangebound environment so a SFP can have the potential to drop back down and undo a lot of the previous weeks progress. Until BTC breaks the rangebound environment and begins a trending move I will treat it as such.
For this week I'm keeping a close eye on the Liberty Financial portfolio (ETH,AAVE,LINK,ONDO,ENS) & US based majors (SOL,SUI,AVAX, ADA, STX,INJ) etc. The play is definitely coins that will be directly influenced by this new US administration, at least for now I cannot see any liquidity go towards any other coins for the time being.
Meta is lining up for MAJOR upside thanks to possibly TikTok!TECHNICAL:
We have a strong W Formation forming on Meta.
We just need the price to break above the Neckline. Other indicators show Price is above the 20MA and the 200MA and things fundamentally are looking very strong for META going into 2025.
So first target will be at $796.97.
As Zuck is making major changes to make them more in line with X's policies and cutting some red tape.
FUNDAMENTAL RANT:
The whole TikTok ban and its quick comeback seem like a setup. On the same day TikTok got banned, Facebook conveniently made a TikTok account and told people to link their accounts. Oh, and guess what? Some senators just happened to buy Meta shares right before the ban.
Trump, who originally banned TikTok back in 2020, made a big deal about bringing it back, acting like a hero and making it all about himself.
I wouldn't be surprised if Meta announces a partnership with TikTok’s CEO, Mr. Chou, and possibly grab a 50% stake in TikTok to ease concerns about cybersecurity in the U.S. Meanwhile, Americans are jumping to Red Note— voluntarily giving their information away and because they are tired of the Oligarchy.
Cup and Handle on COIN!!!!NASDAQ:COIN has formed a nice cup and handle formation on the weekly chart, signaling bullish momentum going into and through 2025…. with a president that 100% supports cryptocurrency, andthe previous week’s Bullish Engulfing candle with a significant increase in volume this confirms that we should see further bullish momentum!!!!
EURUSD - A Choppy Long PlayThe market has been choppy for the past week perhaps awaiting the start of World Economic Forum meeting in Davos, starting on the 20-24th January 2025 as it sets out the macro themes for the markets.On the other hand Donald Trumps inauguration is taking place on the 20th of the same month hence we might have big swings in the market. On the back of the strong dollar which seems about to lose its steam. Given that the festive season is over, all those created jobs are about to be decimated and one more thing a too strong dollar is not good for trading with other countries since it is a reserve currency.
Summary : Long/Buy
Entry 1 = 1.02913
Entry 2 = 1.02814
Exit Target = 1.04091
Sound sleep with planned trades!!!
Follow, Boost and let's Grow together.
Zomato Set to Fall After Disappointing QuarterZomato's share price has already fallen around 12% from its day high, following the release of disappointing quarterly results. In Q3, Zomato's net profit declined by 57% year-over-year, totaling 59 crore rupees. Due to this poor performance, selling pressure is likely to continue. The stock is currently near its intraday support level of 230 rupees, which is likely to break.
We should wait until the share price breaks below this level and sustains there for a while before considering a short trade. However, if the share price opens with a gap down, we should wait for a retest of the 230 rupee price level before entering the trade. Our first target for this trade would be the 200 rupee price level, which represents a potential decrease of approximately 13% from the current point.
Gold above $2,700Gold was firmer in early trade this morning, following a late sell-off on Friday evening. Back then, it fell below $2,700, and the slide lower continued in the first few hours of the Asian Pacific session overnight. Since then, it has rallied back above $2,700 where it appears quite comfortable. Gold has looked extremely resilient of late, not just when measured in dollars, but against numerous other currencies as well. This all looks positive for the bulls, as it reinforces the belief that interest in gold is finally picking up some traction, outside of the financial world. The daily MACD is looking constructive. It is pointing higher from a relatively low base, suggesting that there’s still plenty of upside potential. Trade is expected to be quiet due to the US market holiday and President Trump’s inauguration. But volatility could certainly pick up later, once the new president sits down to sign a new batch of executive orders.
HDFC Bank Rangebound Ahead of Quarterly ResultsHDFC Bank is currently navigating a range-bound market, maintaining stability with the upper range set at 1660 rupees and the lower range at 1629 rupees. This price action occurs in the lead-up to the eagerly anticipated earnings report, which is scheduled for January 22nd.
Investors should consider positioning themselves for potential movements based on the earnings results. If the bank exceeds market expectations with strong financial performance, it may break through the upper resistance level of 1660 rupees. A successful breakout could lead the stock to test the next significant resistance level at 1717 rupees, potentially offering a lucrative opportunity for long traders.
On the other hand, if the earnings report fails to meet expectations and the stock breaks below the lower support level of 1629 rupees, this could trigger selling pressure. Should this scenario unfold, we might see the stock decline further, possibly approaching the critical support level at 1595 rupees. Thus, traders should remain vigilant and prepared to adjust their strategies based on the upcoming results, whether considering long or short positions accordingly.
#EURNZD 2HEURNZD (2H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently testing the upper boundary of a channel, which acts as a key resistance level. This indicates a potential bearish scenario if the price fails to break above and instead respects the resistance.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price retests the channel resistance and confirms rejection, signaling the potential for a move toward the channel's lower boundary.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After the price retests the channel resistance and shows signs of rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or the recent swing high to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target the midline or the lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The current price action at the channel resistance indicates a bearish bias, with sellers likely to dominate if the resistance holds. Waiting for confirmation of a retest ensures a strategic entry aligned with market momentum.
BankNifty Approaching Major Resistance: Next Steps..?At present, BANKNIFTY is approaching a crucial resistance level at 49800 rupees, which could potentially act as a barrier to any upward movement. It is important to monitor this level closely, as a breakthrough could signify a strong bullish trend. On the other hand, there is intraday support positioned at 49050 rupees. This support level may provide some cushion for traders, but it also highlights the importance of being vigilant about price movements.
Considering the current earnings season, which has the potential to introduce volatility into the market, it is wise to exercise caution when executing trades. The outcomes of various corporate earnings reports can heavily influence market sentiment, thereby affecting positional strategies. Therefore, it is advisable to refrain from taking any overnight positions until BANKNIFTY convincingly breaks through the resistance level at 49800 rupees and maintains trading above it. This approach will help mitigate risk and capitalize on clearer trading signals.
NZDJPYTrade Idea: NZDJPY Sell
Summary:
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is showing bullish momentum, supported by BoJ policy expectations, strong wage growth, and a weaker USD. This creates a potential sell opportunity for NZDJPY. Key resistance is at 17.00. Consider selling on rallies towards resistance, with a stop loss above recent highs to manage risk.
#ForexTrading #NZDJPY #JPY #TradingIdeas
NIFTY 50 in Rangebound Movement, Poised to Break Resistance..!The NIFTY 50 index is currently navigating a rangebound market, attempting to break through a short-term resistance level at 23360 rs. So far, it has tested a significant support level of 23100 rs on two separate occasions, indicating a critical point for potential market stability or decline. Investors should exercise caution, as disappointing quarterly results could weigh heavily on market sentiment and increase volatility. Keeping a close eye on these developments is essential for making informed decisions.
Bitcoin setting up for strong upside in 2025 thanks to TrumpSince the target of Bitcoin hit at $100,000, we are seeing bullish signs for BTC.
First we have a strong W Formation form and break above the neckline.
Second, the moving averages are aligned nicely with gPrice>20 and 200
Trump presidency is bullish who is supporting crypto with the Trump coin taking off (with volatility though)
If Trump coin drops 50%, it will send crypto traders back to Bitcoin who'll see more stability with the coin.
First target in 2025 is $151,691