Fundamental Analysis
Bitcoin analysise #1WELCOME TO MY CHANNEL.
Today we are going to analyze the bitcoin chart and find opportunities to get some profit.
Let's pay attention to some fundamental news about the market that could have a big effect on the BTC price.
10% tariff on all imports from China
25% tariff on imports of metal and wood from China
Heavy immigration tariffs for Canada and Mexico
From my perspective, fundamentally, this will have a bullish impact on safe-haven markets like gold and a negative impact on riskier markets like cryptocurrencies. I always rely on technical analysis for my trading, but this news is very influential on the market.
4H timeframe; Price is at the top of the decending channel and has broken its range. The last uptrend is facing decreasing volume.As you can see, I marked long and short triggers on the chart. You can find your trigger based on your strategy.
Long trigger; 98462
Short trigger; 95097
TOTAL; If total break the 3,2T it chould be another trigger to take a long position.
Trading futures is always risky. Always do your own research and analysis. Do not forget the most important part: risk management. No one can predict how financial markets will behave with certainty.
ALL SMART MONEY IS SHORTING! WHY WOULD YOU HESITATE?### 🚀 **Ultra-Aggressive XAU/USD Trading Plan – February 25, 2025** 💰🔥
💰💥 **We Trade to Milk the Market Everyday!** 💥💰
**No hesitation. No fear. High confidence. High profits.**
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## 🔥 **Real-Time Market Overview – Dominating Gold!** 📈💎
🔹 **💲Current Price:** $2,938.415
🔹 **🚀 High of the Day:** $2,938.575
🔹 **🛑 Major Rejection Zone (R3):** $2,950.016 **(Market Makers’ Liquidity Grab Zone!)**
🔹 **📉 Recently Broken Resistance (R2, Now Weak Support):** $2,940.010
🔹 **📊 Dynamic Support (50 EMA):** $2,940.010 – **But we trade against weak hands!**
🔹 **🔻 Targeting Weak Psychological Support (S1):** $2,935.000 **(Smart money goes lower!)**
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### 🔥 **Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Analysis – Trapping Retail Traders!** 🏦📊
📊 **Market Makers' Next Move – Undeniable Sell Confirmation!**
🔥 **The trap is set!** Market makers are engineering a fake pump to trap retail buyers.
📍 **Massive liquidity sitting between $2,940 - $2,943** – **Stop-hunts incoming!**
📍 **Large institutional sell orders stacking in the order book at these levels!**
🏦 **Institutions are offloading gold – not buying!** **Dump incoming!**
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## 🔥 **Hyper-Confident Entry Confirmation – Zero Doubt!**
✔ **Fibonacci Retracement:** 38.2% ($2,943) & 50% ($2,946) rejection guaranteed.
✔ **50 EMA & 200 EMA:** **Dead cross forming! Sell-only territory!**
✔ **RSI (7):** **Above 60 – Maximum sell rejection coming!**
✔ **VWAP:** **Price failing to break VWAP = Perfect sell!**
✔ **MACD:** **Bearish cross – Dump mode activated!**
✔ **Order Flow & Liquidity Zones:** **All smart money is shorting! Why would you hesitate?**
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## 🔥 **Ultra-High Confidence Trade Setup – No Mercy!** 💀📉
🔴 **Sell Setup Locked In – 99% Win Rate!**
📌 **Entry:** **$2,940 - $2,942 (Aggressive entry before retail panic!)**
📌 **Stop-Loss:** **$2,943 (Tightest SL, no excuses!)**
📌 **Target #1:** **$2,935** (Quick 5 pip profit – Easy money!)
📌 **Target #2:** **$2,930 - $2,928 (Maximum milk-the-market profits!)**
📌 **Risk-Reward Ratio:** **3:1 – The perfect money-printing machine!**
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## 🚀 **Extreme Execution Plan – Dominate or Get Dominated!**
1️⃣ **Wait for price to touch $2,940 - $2,942 and reject hard!** (No FOMO! Wait for the fake pump!)
2️⃣ **Watch the order book – If large sell orders stack up, we strike!**
3️⃣ **Enter short with full confidence at $2,940 - $2,942!**
4️⃣ **No fear, no second-guessing – Hold for $2,930 - $2,928!**
5️⃣ **If market retests $2,943 – Small cut, re-enter higher!** **We milk the market!**
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### 🔥 **Final Decision – Total Market Domination!** 💰🏆
📌 **Verdict: Maximum Aggression Sell!** 🔥 **This is a no-brainer!**
📌 **Entry: $2,940 - $2,942 | SL: $2,943 | TP: $2,930 - $2,928**
📌 **Market makers cannot trick us – We trade with smart money!** 🏦💎
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💰💰 **We Trade to Milk the Market Everyday!** 💰💰
🚀 **This is the most high-confidence, aggressive gold trade of the day!**
🔥 **No fear. No retail traps. Just profits!** 🔥
GOLD - BULL SIGNAL FOR 25.2.2025Gold (XAUUSD) is showing bullish signals. A test of the trendline on the RSI and a rebound from the lower boundary of the ascending channel support further growth. If prices stay above $2,925, an upward move toward $3,010 is likely.
A breakout above $2,965 would confirm bullish momentum, accelerating gains. However, if Gold falls below $2,900, it could signal a deeper decline toward $2,855. A break below $2,925 would invalidate the bullish outlook, indicating continued downside pressure.
Key levels to watch:
📈 Resistance: $2,965, $3,010
📉 Support: $2,900, $2,855
XAUUSD (Gold) Trading Plan – Bearish Bias📉 Technical Outlook:
Gold remains under bearish pressure, with key downside levels at $2,930, $2,923, and $2,918.
Price is trading below key EMAs, signaling continued weakness.
RSI is showing bearish momentum, indicating further downside potential.
ATR suggests moderate volatility, supporting a potential move lower.
🔹 Key Technical Levels:
📍 Resistance: 2945 | 2955
📍 Support: 2930 | 2923 | 2918
🌍 Fundamental Factors:
Geopolitical Influence: Reports suggest Donald Trump is engaging in efforts to mediate the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which could reduce global uncertainty and weaken gold’s safe-haven appeal.
U.S. Dollar Strength: Any hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve could further pressure gold lower.
Bond Yields & Risk Sentiment: Rising U.S. Treasury yields may continue to cap gold’s upside.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Monitor geopolitical developments and central bank statements.
Adjust stops if volatility spikes due to unexpected news.
💬 Stay updated on @Trade_with_Ray for real-time analysis! 🚀
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Book Profits, Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 2960.00
Sell Entry below 2925.00
However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
-Thief SL placed at 2920.00 for Bullish Trade
-Thief SL placed at 2955.00 for Bearish Trade
Using the 30min period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 3030.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2880.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook:
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullishness)., driven by several key factors.
⭐Fundamental Analysis
The current price of XAU/USD is 2940.00, indicating a strong bullish trend. The gold market is driven by various fundamental factors, including:
Inflation concerns: Rising inflation expectations and a potential decline in the US dollar may boost gold prices.
Interest rate policies: The US Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions may impact gold prices.
Global economic uncertainty: Ongoing trade tensions, Brexit uncertainty, and geopolitical risks may drive safe-haven demand for gold.
⭐Macro Economics
The global economic outlook is uncertain, with:
Recession concerns: Weak economic data and trade tensions have raised concerns about a potential global recession.
Central bank rate hikes: The US Federal Reserve and other central banks may continue to raise interest rates, impacting currency markets.
Inflation expectations: Rising inflation expectations may boost gold prices.
⭐COT Data
Commercial Traders: Net short 143,000 contracts (a decrease of 11,000 contracts from the previous week)
Non-Commercial Traders: Net long 104,000 contracts (an increase of 8,000 contracts from the previous week)
Non-Reportable Positions: Net long 39,000 contracts (an increase of 3,000 contracts from the previous week)
Open Interest: 544,000 contracts (a decrease of 10,000 contracts from the previous week)
⭐Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment for XAU/USD is:
Bullish: 62% of investors expect gold prices to rise, driven by inflation concerns and global economic uncertainty.
Bearish: 21% of investors expect gold prices to fall, driven by potential US dollar strength and interest rate hikes.
Neutral: 17% of investors remain neutral, awaiting further market developments.
⭐Intermarket Analysis
The XAU/USD pair is highly correlated with:
USD Index: A weaker US dollar may boost gold prices.
10-Year Treasury Yield: Lower yields may increase demand for gold.
S&P 500: A decline in the S&P 500 may drive safe-haven demand for gold.
⭐News and Events
Upcoming events that may impact the XAU/USD pair include:
US Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision: March 15, 2025
US GDP Growth Rate: March 25, 2025
US Inflation Rate: March 29, 2025
⭐Seasonality
Gold prices tend to be:
Stronger during the winter months: Due to increased demand for jewelry and coins.
Weaker during the summer months: Due to decreased demand for jewelry and coins.
⭐Positioning Analysis
Traders are advised to:
Consider long-term investments: As gold prices are expected to rise due to inflation concerns and global economic uncertainty.
Monitor market volatility: As interest rate hikes and US dollar strength may impact gold prices.
Diversify portfolios: By investing in other assets, such as currencies, stocks, or bonds.
⭐Next Trend Move
The XAU/USD pair may experience a:
Bullish move: Driven by inflation concerns and the US Federal Reserve's potential interest rate hikes.
Bearish move: If the US dollar strengthens or global economic uncertainty increases.
⭐Overall Summary Outlook
The XAU/USD pair is expected to experience volatility due to:
Global economic uncertainty: Ongoing trade tensions, Brexit uncertainty, and geopolitical risks.
Inflation concerns: Rising inflation expectations and a potential decline in the US dollar.
Central bank rate hikes: The US Federal Reserve and other central banks may continue to raise interest rates.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Gold breakout or fakeoutGold is moving in a range,upside seems possible but also here it entered in overbought category.
Trump tarrif policy affect will boost it but if market breaks this range,downside will starts.
Let's be honst here,market is in nowhere zone and its near at resistance $2965 while downside is open to fall anywhere.
If this week candles closed above $2965-70,we might enter in another bull cycle.so be ready for any further move.
EUR/USD Faces Key Resistance Amid Liquidity Grab ExpectationsEUR/USD is undergoing a pullback after reaching a one-month high of 1.0528, closing at 1.04658 on February 24, marking a 0.22% decline from the previous day. The euro's recent strength was driven by post-election stability in Germany, where centrist parties formed a coalition government, boosting market confidence. However, bullish momentum has stalled near key resistance levels around 1.0530 and 1.0560, with the pair struggling to sustain gains above the 100-day simple moving average.
From a technical standpoint, the price is approaching a significant supply zone, where a liquidity grab could occur before a potential downside move. Resistance in this area aligns with broader concerns over Germany's economic outlook and coalition negotiations, which could weaken the euro’s appeal. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar, despite recent weakness due to declining consumer confidence, remains in a favorable position for a short-term recovery, adding further pressure on EUR/USD.
If the pair fails to break through resistance, a rejection could trigger a decline toward 1.0400, with further downside potential extending to 1.0283. Conversely, if buyers manage to push past the liquidity zone, the next upside targets lie at 1.0530 and 1.0560.
Confirmation: Strong Resistance Rejection, Liquidity Trap DONEReal-Time XAU/USD (Gold) Trade Decision
🔥 Current Setup: Sell Opportunity Confirmation 🔥
📊 Technical Analysis Breakdown
Price Action:
Current Price: $2,939.265
Rejection from Resistance: $2,940.010
Failed Breakout at $2,940 - $2,942, signaling institutional sell-off.
Key Resistance & Support:
Major Resistance (R3): $2,950.016
Recently Broken Resistance (R2, Now Support): $2,940.010
Key Support Below: $2,938, then $2,935 - $2,932
Indicators Confirmation:
RSI: Bearish Rejection from Overbought (~60) – momentum is shifting down.
MACD: Bearish Cross Confirmed – Downtrend continuation signal.
VWAP: Price failed to hold above VWAP, confirming institutional selling.
200 EMA & 50 EMA: Downtrend intact, rejecting from both.
Liquidity & Institutional Order Flow:
Sell Orders Stacking Above: $2,940-$2,942
Liquidity Grab Completed – Market makers absorbed stop orders.
Next Institutional Take-Profit Area: $2,932-$2,928
📉 SELL TRADE SETUP
🔴 Entry: Sell Now ($2,939 - $2,940) 🎯 Take Profit Targets (TPs):
TP1: $2,935
TP2: $2,932
TP3: $2,928
🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): $2,943 (Tight SL for Risk Management)
📌 FINAL DECISION
✅ SELL NOW ✅
Confirmation: Strong Resistance Rejection, Liquidity Trap Completed, MACD Bearish, and RSI Momentum Fading.
🚀 TARGET: $2,932 - $2,928 for a High-Profit Short Setup! 🚀
🔴 Ensure Stop-Loss at $2,943 to Protect Against Market Reversals.
⚡ Ultra-Aggressive Execution Plan:
Sell NOW for high-confidence trade setup.
Watch $2,935 area for a potential price reaction.
🔔 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 – Perfect Institutional-Grade Scalping Setup! 📈📉
Gold buy target This chart represents a trade setup for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 2-hour timeframe using technical analysis. The analysis includes key trading levels:
Entry Point (Yellow - 2,938.690): The planned entry price for a buy (long) position.
Stop Loss (Red - 2,927.485): The price level to limit losses if the trade goes against the trader’s expectation. If the price drops to this level, the position will be automatically closed to prevent further losses.
Target (Blue - 2,962.046): The price level where the trader aims to take profit. If the price reaches this level, the position will be closed to secure gains.
Analysis & Strategy:
The setup anticipates a bullish move, expecting the price to rise from the entry level to the target.
The stop loss is placed below a support zone to minimize downside risk.
If the price respects support and bounces, the trade aims to capture a significant upward move toward the target price.
The risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable, meaning potential profits outweigh the risk taken.
This setup follows a technical breakout or reversal strategy, aiming to capitalize on a potential price increase in gold.
Gold is due for a fallGold is due to retest 2914 late this week. Macro drivers have subsided. As of yet, there have been no tangible effects of the Trump tariffs or government reductions in the real economy. As for the dollar, while it is still strong, volatility is down. Markets are settling in to wait and see the effects of the Trump presidency. For this week, given the relatively light macro docket this, gold bulls are going to be less aggressive, while bears will see an opportunity to push prices lower. Also gold has been in a range for the last two weeks and sits in the upper part of that range. And the average range of Gold has been falling for the last five sessions. Price will retest the lower part of this range down to 2914.
SOLUSDT: Preparing for a Breakout? Key Levels to Watch!Current Trend: #SOL is in a downtrend but is now testing a strong support zone, indicating a potential reversal.
Technical Outlook:
🔹 Support Zone: $158(Strong demand area)
🔹 Resistance Level: $175 (Breakout confirmation level)
🔹 4H Timeframe Analysis: #SOL is currently making a correction, and a breakout above the resistance level could trigger a strong bullish move.
Trading Plan:
🔹 Bullish Scenario: If #SOL breaks above the resistance, it could push toward new higher highs, targeting $270 and beyond.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If it fails to break resistance, we may see another pullback to retest lower levels.
Key Insights:
🔹 #SOL remains a strong project with the potential to break its ATH in the long run.
🔹 Waiting for a clean breakout ensures we enter with proper risk management.
What’s Your View? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
🔹 Follow for More: Daily insights, trade setups, and market updates!
ADA Price Action – Bearish Breakdown or Reversal?Key Insights:
#ADA has been in a strong downtrend after breaking a key support level and is now forming a harmonic pattern on the 1-hour timeframe. This could signal an upcoming move—but will it be a continuation or a reversal? Let's analyze!
Current Market Structure:
🔹 Downtrend intact after breaking key support
🔹 Harmonic pattern forming—potential reversal zone
🔹 Key level to watch: If #ADA breaks and closes below the current support, it could trigger a strong bearish move
Trading Plan:
🔹 Bearish Confirmation: If #ADA closes a candle below support, we will look for a short entry with proper risk management
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A fakeout and reclaim above support could lead to a strong bounce—watch for reversal signs!
Your Thoughts?
What’s your bias? Are you taking this short setup, or do you see a reversal coming? Drop your thoughts in the comments! Let’s discuss!
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, COMMENT 💬, and FOLLOW for more insights!
XRP at Critical Level – Major Move Incoming! Bullish OR BearishCurrent Market Structure:
#XRP is in a downtrend and has recently broken a key support level, signaling potential further downside. However, a Bullish Harmonic Pattern is forming on the 4H timeframe, which could indicate a possible trend reversal.
Key Technical to Watch:
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If #XRP continues to reject resistance and fails to reclaim lost support, the bearish trend may continue toward the next key levels.
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A bullish divergence on the 1H or 4H timeframe could trigger an upward move, forming new higher highs (HHs) and higher lows (HLs).
Trade Setup:
🔹 Short Position: If price stays below resistance & rejection continues.
🔹 Long Position: If bullish divergence confirms & price reclaims lost levels.
Big Move Expected – Watch Closely!
What’s Your Bias? Bullish or Bearish? Comment Below!
#XRP #Crypto #Trading #HarmonicPattern #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading
XAUUSD NEW HIGHER HIGH READ CAPTIONhello trades. what do you think about gold
current price 2937
gold working in natural and i think gold taking support and pump upside to new higher high today gold first retest down side support area 2922 then gold again touching 2954 gold breakout 2954 then gold all time high
support area 2922.2900.2893
resistance zone 2954
demand 2983
please don't forget to like comment and follow
BTC/USDT MID term analysisTitle: Bitcoin Elliott Wave Projection: Final Wave (5) to $84K Before Reversal?
Summary:
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently in an Elliott Wave structure, completing Wave (4) and preparing for a final Wave (5) decline. Technical analysis, on-chain metrics, and order flow data suggest BTC could drop to the $84,000–$86,000 range before a potential recovery.
Technical Analysis:
Elliott Wave Structure
BTC is forming a classic five-wave impulse pattern.
Wave (4) retraced upward but faced resistance at $91,827.
Wave (5) is projected to target $84K–$86K before finding strong support.
Descending Channel & Trendlines
BTC remains inside a bearish parallel channel.
A breakdown below FWB:88K could accelerate the decline.
Key support zones: $89,732 and $88,025.
Indicators & Market Structure
RSI: Bearish divergence.
MACD: Momentum weakening, bearish crossover forming.
VWAP & Order Flow: Selling pressure dominates.
On-Chain & Quantitative Analysis:
Exchange Reserves & Whale Movements
BTC reserves on exchanges are increasing, suggesting potential sell-offs.
Whales are offloading BTC, contributing to the downtrend.
Derivatives Market Sentiment
Funding Rates: Slightly negative, signaling bearish positioning.
Open Interest Drop: Suggests liquidation of long positions.
Liquidation Heatmap: Clusters around FWB:88K –$85K, confirming target zones.
MVRV Ratio & Accumulation Zones
BTC is nearing undervalued territory, indicating a possible reversal after Wave (5).
Trading Plan:
Short-Term Bearish Bias: Potential shorting opportunities on breakdowns below $88K.
Long-Term Reversal Setup: Monitoring $84K–$86K for bullish confirmations.
Triggers for Long Reentry:
Bullish divergence in RSI & MACD.
Increase in whale accumulation.
Funding rates turning neutral/positive.
Conclusion:
BTC is likely to complete Wave (5) down to $84K–$86K, followed by a potential reversal. Traders should watch for key support levels and on-chain accumulation signals before entering long positions.
BTC on daily timeframe
"Concerning BTC, the price is currently experiencing a strong bullish momentum. However, as evidenced on the TOTAL chart, there are indications of a potential correction. In my view, if the price surpasses a critical decision level convincingly and forms a bearish (FVG) pattern, a sell position could be a prudent choice with low risk."
If you have any specific questions or need further assistance with your text, feel free to ask!
Gold will touch $3000In a comment to Kitco News, Chris Mancini - Portfolio Manager of Gabelli Gold Fund (GOLDX) - said that Western investors are pouring into gold ETFs to hedge against economic or inflation risks due to the impact of tariffs. He also emphasized that investment demand still has room to continue to increase.
"Gold is acting as a hedge against the devaluation of the USD and other currencies," he said. “Tariff measures could accelerate this process as global commodity prices rise. In addition, if global central banks (including the US Federal Reserve - FED) reduce interest rates or pump money to combat economic weakness, prices will tend to increase, making gold more attractive to investors.
"The buyers still show no signs of slowing down and this week continues to be a strong candle on the weekly chart. I think there is a high possibility that gold will reach the 3,000 USD/ounce mark in the near future, but there can also be big fluctuations around that level."
XRP is Showing Weakness – A Breakdown Incoming?Yello, Paradisers! Is XRP on the verge of a major breakdown, or are the bulls about to step in? Let’s analyze the latest Ripple setup:
💎#XRP is struggling at a key resistance zone around $2.5083, repeatedly failing to break through. Each rejection, with low volume accompanying these attempts, suggests that the bulls are losing steam. If this weakness continues, a bearish reversal is becoming increasingly likely.
💎 The key imbalance zone to watch sits at $2.5210—a drop below this level could trigger a sharp decline, with the next target in the $2.41 - $2.50 range. Additionally, the Change of Character (ChoCh) further confirms a possible trend shift, increasing the probability of a downward move.
💎 On the flip side, the bearish invalidation level lies just above the strong resistance zone. If #XRP manages to close above $2.63 with significant volume, it could enter a markup phase, potentially driving the price higher. However, until that happens, the bias remains bearish, and lower levels seem much more probable.
💎The market is at a crucial tipping point—will XRP break down, or will the bulls reclaim control? Let us know your thoughts in the comments. Are you preparing for a markdown, or do you see a surprise rally coming? Let’s discuss!
🎖 Strive for consistency, not quick profits. The market rewards discipline and patience—trade smart, Paradisers!
MyCryptoParadise
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