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Fundamental Analysis

What Has Warren Buffet, Elizabeth Warren & Arbitrum In Common?The good news is that the market is now turning green. All is well that ends well. There was lots of excitement in late 2024 because of the bullish period, but this bullish period was followed by an even stronger bearish period. Just as there was excitement, now all that there is is depression. People are worn out, they can't take it anymore. That's the signal. When the market participants are tired and ready to give up, that's when the market turns. When nobody is around and people no longer care, that's the best time to buy and that's exactly when the market looks great. When people are on vacation away from home, that's when the signals will start to show that the bearish wave is over, but people won't know. When the market becomes strongly bullish again, it will be too late. There will be additional growth but when the majority decide to buy because of a challenge of the previous high, a new correction will form. The participants seeing a correction and having samskaras of the previous bearish wave, they start thinking that this one will be the same and will last a long-term, so instead of holding they decide to fold. The moment they fold, the market resumes growing but too fast for them to decide to buy again and there goes the last run. It is a psychological game. One has to buy when there is strong aversion to the market, one has to sell when the feeling is to stay in for as long as possible; forever growth. When people start talking about Bitcoin going to $1,000,000 when it already trades at $160,000 or $180,000, that's the time to take profits. When people start calling for Bitcoin to $5,000,000 and Michael Saylor starts making videos, that's the time to consider how much money you can withdraw. When even Elizabeth Warren starts to admit that we were right and she was wrong, that's the moment to sell everything because the moment the bank puppet turns, that's the sure sign of a doom scenario. The moment that Warren Buffet decides, "I am buying Bitcoin," that's it, all 21 million Bitcoins will be already gone. By the time Mr. Buffet figures out that Bitcoin is the new Internet, it will already be the year 2,140, it will be impossible to mine a new Bitcoin. Actually, I don't know anything about these people, all I know is that Crypto is going up. Arbitrum is ready to start a new wave of growth. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
1
NZD/CHF Triangle Breakout (17.04.2025)The NZD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.4886 2nd Resistance – 0.4916 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
19
EURUSD is in play as investors shift from the dollarEuro remains to be in focus along with other assets, as US markets lose attractiveness among investors, especially from China, who start to put more focus on European and Japanese bonds rather than US treasuries. The Euro had little to no reaction to the decline of the interest rate from the ECB: on the one hand, this rate cut was already priced in, on the other - the market didn't initiate any sell-offs despite the “weak” news for the Euro. That points to a particularly strong sentiment for this currency, despite some cooling down of volumes on CME futures. Open interest for Euro Forex futures contracts, though, remains steady. The net position of commercial traders is dipping, but still far from the historical low. Technically, the position of the price is higher than 3 daily volatility levels (ATRs) from the 20-day moving average on the daily chart, which makes this instrument a “momentum play”, and may lead to a further extension to the upside - presumably, after holidays. Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
Long
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
LINK/USDT 8H - targets and stoplossHello everyone, let's look at the 8h chart LINK to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price has come out on top from the local downtrend line and how it is currently moving in a local sideways trend. Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face: T1 = 12.65 USD T2 = 13.13 USD Т3 = 13.87 USD Т4 = 14.40 USD Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = 11.91 USD SL2 = 11.05 USD SL3 = 10.36 USD SL4 = 9.66 USD The MACD indicator shows an attempt to return to the uptrend, but here we can see a struggle that gives a sideways trend on the chart.
by cryptodailyuk
Global M2 MONEY SUPPLY VS GLOBAL LIQUIDITYWhich is the best to track ₿itcoin price action? Lots of macro gurus have been arguing over the two. For comparison, I have indexes for both metrics on a 12-Week Lead, tracking the 4 largest central banks: The Federal Reserve (including TGA & RRP), People’s Bank of China, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan. Let’s start by defining each. Global M2 Money Supply covers physical cash in circulation and cash equivalents such as checking and savings deposits, as well as money market securities. Global Liquidity covers a broader measure of liquid assets driven by central bank balance sheets, private sector financial activity (e.g., lending, corporate cash), and cross-border capital flows. Historically, both move closely in lock-step and act as a great leading indicator for ₿itcoin, however we can see that Global Liquidity can have more drastic fluctuations. We saw a large divergence in CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA with both metrics when the Blackrock iShares ₿itcoin ETF appeared on the DTCC list, a procedural step signaling progress toward potential approval. When you look at the charts of all three, you can see there are points where either metric might follow CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA a bit closer, so in the end I would say it’s best to track both to find confluence in the signal.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by jonnieking
Celsius Holdings Outperforms Market with Strong YTD GainsCelsius Holdings Inc. (CELH) continues to attract significant investor attention, closing at $37.24 on April 17, up $0.58 (1.58%). The functional energy drink maker has delivered impressive year-to-date returns of 41.38%, substantially outpacing the S&P 500's 10.18% gain during the same period. For the current quarter, analysts expect earnings of $0.20 per share, representing a 25.9% year-over-year decline. However, consensus estimates have improved dramatically with a 32.8% upward revision over the last 30 days. The full-year outlook appears more favorable, with projected earnings of $0.99 per share indicating a 41.4% annual increase, followed by 15.1% growth to $1.14 per share next fiscal year. Current quarter sales are expected to decline slightly to $345.26 million (-2.9%), but full-year revenue estimates show robust growth of 55.3% to $2.1 billion, followed by 19.4% growth next fiscal year. Celsius has demonstrated strong execution recently, beating earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters. Technical Analysis Technically, the chart shows a strong recovery from its $21.10 low. Price has recently broken above the 50-day moving average but remains below the 200-day moving average, suggesting improving momentum within a longer-term downtrend. Key resistance appears around $47-49, marked by a horizontal level that previously acted as support. Volume has increased during recent price advances, adding credibility to the current uptrend. The next major challenge will be overcoming the $49 resistance zone before potentially continuing toward higher targets as indicated in the chart projection. If price faces rejection, it is likely to drop back to support at around $25.
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by DEXWireNews
TRXUSDTTRX Price Analysis – Key Levels to Watch 🔍 Current Price Action: TRX is currently trading within a tight range, with key resistance at 0.2431 and support at 0.2275. The recent close near 0.2418 indicates a strong battle near the upper resistance zone. A confirmed breakout above 0.2431 could pave the way for bullish continuation. However, failure to break through may trigger a pullback toward 0.2340 or even retest the 0.2275 support level. 📉 Trend Outlook & Next Moves: A breakout above resistance may drive TRX toward higher price targets with strong bullish momentum. Conversely, a breakdown below support could indicate a deeper correction ahead. 👉 Keep an eye on price reactions at these critical levels for confirmation of the next trend direction.
Long
by EhsanZeydabadi
Keurig Dr Pepper Holds Steady Ahead of Quarterly EarningsKeurig Dr Pepper (KDP) shares have shown resilience in recent weeks, climbing 5.9% over the past month while the broader S&P 500 declined by 6.9%. The beverage giant currently trades at $35.40, up $0.29 (0.83%), with 13.96 million shares traded. Analysts maintain a consensus "Hold" rating as KDP approaches its upcoming earnings announcement. Wall Street expects the company to report earnings of $0.38 per share, unchanged from the year-ago quarter, while revenue is projected to reach $3.56 billion, representing a 2.8% year-over-year increase. The company has seen minor positive revisions to its earnings estimates, with consensus EPS projections increasing by 0.1% over the past 30 days. This modest upward adjustment could signal improving analyst sentiment about KDP's near-term performance. Breaking down the revenue expectations by segment, analysts forecast U.S. Refreshment Beverages will lead growth at $2.23 billion, up 6.6% year-over-year. Meanwhile, U.S. Coffee is expected to contract slightly to $884.51 million (-2.9%), and International sales may decrease to $448.32 million (-3.4%). Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, KDP has established an ascending trend line since reaching a low of $30.12. The stock currently trades above both its 50-day, 100-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting positive momentum. The chart shows resistance around the $36 level, with support at the trend line near $33.60. Trading volume has increased during recent uptrend, potentially indicating stronger buyer conviction.
NASDAQ:KDPLong
by DEXWireNews
Frothy FOMO Coffee: Why Starbucks May Face a Harsh ReckoningWe may be staring down a considerable downside in Starbucks’ share price — and I suspect the decline could be severe. When a genuine recession hits — not the softened, cosmetically massaged versions we've seen bandied about — discretionary spending is the first casualty. And let us be honest: a $7 small latte, regardless of its oat milk or seasonal syrup, is the very definition of discretionary. Inflation over the past four years has not been a natural occurrence. It is the predictable consequence of reckless fiscal policies and excessive monetary accommodation — in plain English, wasteful government spending and money printing. These policies have inflated prices across the board, and coffee is no exception. What is perhaps underappreciated by most analysts is the brewing effect of tariffs. Come September, we will begin to see the real impact of trade friction on coffee imports from major producers such as Brazil and Colombia. Coffee futures already hit all-time highs in February. Although prices have since pulled back, I view that retreat not as relief, but as the first ominous sign that something is amiss. Starbucks operates globally, but its margins are still vulnerable to supply chain shocks and input cost inflation. As the economic pain spreads, we should expect average consumers — not just in the US, but in Europe, Asia, and elsewhere — to make different decisions. The morning coffee ritual may remain, but the $7 takeaway will be replaced by home-brewed alternatives and budget-conscious behaviour. I foresee the possibility of a bear flag pattern luring investors back in with a short-term rally — a classic trap, falsely interpreted as recovery. But please, do not be fooled by this. I believe Starbucks stock could drop sharply later this year, with a potential downside target around $57.80. This will not be a gentle correction. I expect it to be brutal — marked by layoffs, store closures, and perhaps a reckoning of Starbucks’ business model itself, which is built upon the illusion of small luxuries being affordable in all seasons. For the rational investor, this is not a time for sentiment or brand loyalty. It is a time for analysis, discipline, and preparation. This is not investment advice. Do your own research. I could be wrong.
NASDAQ:SBUXShort
by johnmknox
Bull Flag or Breakdown? A Liquidity Proxy Near Its LimitsIs Bitcoin forming a head and shoulders pattern before a correction, or are we in the midst of another bull flag consolidation? Personally, I lean toward the latter — that this is a classic bull flag being formed. That does not preclude us from seeing more volatility in the short term. We could very well chop sideways for the next two months or even move lower before the next leg up. It’s entirely plausible that we test and ultimately break through the 109,000 level before advancing toward 132,000. That said, we must also acknowledge the alternative: what if this is indeed a head and shoulders pattern, signalling a deeper correction ahead? The market will do what it wants, and the truth is revealed only in hindsight. Good traders and investors prepare for both outcomes. My broader view is that the real economic pain begins to show itself around September or October, when the cumulative impact of tariffs, deteriorating trade flows, and policy missteps starts to weigh more heavily. That’s part of why I believe we’re still in a bull phase for Bitcoin — though likely the final one before liquidity tightens more decisively. Let me be clear: I do not regard Bitcoin as digital gold. It may be a reasonable proxy for global liquidity, but it is not a risk-off asset. It is not a store of value in the same sense as gold, and I believe those who treat it as such are in for a rude awakening. Yes, it has captured the imagination — and wallets — of a certain subset of investors who see it as a monetary alternative. But in a true bear market, when risk assets come under real pressure, I expect Bitcoin and the broader crypto complex to fall alongside equities and other speculative instruments. That will be the moment when the cost of four years of reckless spending, monetary debasement, and centralised overreach is fully realised. The lesson, as always, will be the same: liquidity is a tide, and when it goes out, only real assets endure. For many, it may soon be time to consider harvesting gains and rotating into genuine risk-off positions — not narratives, not hope — but assets with intrinsic value, such as physical gold. This is not investment advice. Do your own research. I could be entirely wrong. And please forgive the rough chart — it’s amateur work.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by johnmknox
3
Bearish FinTech 50 DMA < 200 DMAduring the bear markets I lived through 87,2K, 2008-2010 I had to learn how to detect bear market conditions, the easiest and simplest if when the 50 EMA crashes down through the 200 EMA. Another indicator of a Bear Market is a flight to quality gold and silver... check that's 2. We have a head and Shoulders, price is falling down and possibly through the 50 EMA. H & S is #3 The blue line is the 100 DMA (I use DMA or EMA) if this crashes through the 200 that's even more bearish. This happening means we should not be long, all things being equal I think we will go down.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by dryanhawley
3