ORDIUSDT analysis and prediction 2025 #ORDI #ORDIUSDT #Crypto#ORDI #ORDIUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #BitcoinOrdinals #BRC20 #CryptoTrading #CryptoPrediction #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #Altcoins #CryptoMarket #Blockchain
Fundamentals: ORDI depends on Bitcoin Ordinals adoption. High potential but faces regulatory and market risks.
Technical: Bullish trend; support at $18.50-$15.00, resistance at $22-$25+. Indicators show potential upside but risk of correction.
Market Sentiment: Strong Bitcoin correlation, whale activity causes volatility, hype-driven demand.
Prediction: If Bitcoin performs well, ORDI could hit $30-$50 in 2025. If interest drops, it may fall below $15.
Fundamental Analysis
BITCOIN - What Comes First: 90k or 70kMy BTC question is: what is the probability that we reverse without tagging key Support @ $71,363 keeping in mind we have attempted to get above $92,272 and failed and keeping in mind that Bitcoin is struggling to hold above $90k? But remember price doesn't move in a straight line and if everyone is short then we might have an aggressive move to the upside before we set a new low
SEI Poised for a Breakout After Bold 23andMe Acquisition Bid !Sei (SEI), the innovative layer-1 blockchain designed for high-speed trading and decentralized finance (DeFi), is flashing strong bullish signals both fundamentally and technically. The recent news that the Sei Foundation is exploring the acquisition of 23andMe, the leading personal genomics company, has sparked excitement in the market. If successful, this strategic move could position Sei at the forefront of the multi-billion-dollar genomic data industry — combining blockchain’s security and transparency with the rapidly growing demand for data privacy.
Why This Is Huge
23andMe recently filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, opening the door for a potential buyout. The Sei Foundation’s plan to migrate genetic data onto the blockchain would give individuals direct control over their data, allowing them to decide how it’s used and even monetize it. This taps into a massive and underserved market where data security and privacy are becoming critical issues.
Bullish Chart Setup
From a technical perspective, Sei’s chart is showing signs of a major breakout:
✅ Double Bottom: SEI has recently formed a clear double bottom pattern, signaling a strong reversal from recent lows. This is a classic bullish pattern that suggests the selling pressure has been exhausted and buyers are stepping in.
✅ Falling Wedge: SEI is also breaking out of a falling wedge, a high-probability bullish formation. Falling wedges typically lead to strong upside moves as downward momentum fades and buying pressure builds up.
✅ Volume Increasing: Recent spikes in volume confirm that smart money could be accumulating in anticipation of a breakout.
Perfect Storm for a Rally
With a bullish technical setup aligning with a game-changing fundamental catalyst, Sei could be on the verge of a major breakout. A successful acquisition of 23andMe would not only give Sei real-world utility in the health data sector but also drive increased adoption and network activity. If SEI clears key resistance levels, this combination of technical strength and strategic growth could send the token to new highs.
Sei isn’t just another DeFi project — it's positioning itself to be a leader at the intersection of blockchain, health data, and privacy.
This could be the beginning of a powerful new trend for SEI. 🚀
3/28/25 - $blze - Watchlist, but need lower px3/28/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:BLZE
Watchlist, but need lower px
- i'm more positive on this stock than negative, but i am not convinced of a few factors in the ST that have not much to do w/ the business but the "zipcode" of what it does that keep me sidelines looking for a lower px
- i wouldn't expect a 250 mm ent value company to be pumping out cash in this industry, bc "why not spend to grow" becomes obvious first question. but with that being said, cash gen (and ideally ex SBC - i'll get that to that in the pt below) is really "king" in this market that will dump everything correlation 1 and so while many "investors" in today's tape are tea reading gurus, a few of us still prefer to base our decisions on mgmt/ execution and cash generation (or at least the "obvious" visibility of cash gen). and NASDAQ:BLZE remains in scale up mode
- on the topic of SBC, i can't "fault" a co of this size/ budget and they *should* be incentivizing well the team. i can see they r generating more year on year gross profit for the amt they're incrementally spending on opex (i mainly look at sales expense) and that's a green flag. but ostensibly to overcome the SBC element of FCF and start generating what i'd call "organic" FCF, you need probably 2 years at the mid teens growth stage. and that's just hard to justify here (from a "looking at it from other people's perspective" i.e. the market won't pay up for that in this tape)
- i need to do more work on mgmt. mgmt is the make or break on co's of this size, so hence it makes sense to read a few transcripts/ listen to a call for that intangible comms style etc. i will need to revert there.
- so at say low DD EBITDA mgns and growing (steady state perhaps teens+) for an infra play, underscaled (i.e. not benefiting from mkt out flows which are disproportionately nailing low liquidity stuff)... i'd defn need to pay something closer to 8x this (2025*) year on a conservative number. so superficially (though it comes w a lot of years of playing this game for sport)... instead of a cons of $24 mm (which for a name like this always tends to skew more "forgiving") let's say it's $20 and put 8x on that. you're at $160 mm EV. obviously not a great downside to "eat" if you took a full position here. at this stage in the tape i'm only accepting stuff where i'd literally pile in and hold 2 or 3 positions that go -25-30% lower. i'm avoiding anything (*anything* that could have any realistic probability of doing -40 or -50+). so while i don't think that extreme case is necessarily a base case... it's not like there are any obvious buybacks (they don't have that capacity). i'm not sure in the world of software-infra outside a PE grabbing this and taking it private - which i don't want to pay up for as part of my thesis (only as a "bonus" to own)... it's not like the tape will buy this first... and not the leaders e.g. NYSE:BOX OMXSTO:PURE etc. and i get they don't exactly comp - but in a sense - in this world - "they do".
- so minimally i'd need sub $4 to take stock of where risk is/ mkt at that pt (and perhaps and likely if it's a correlation 1 sell off i probably would prefer other things)... but nevertheless. happy to add it to the ol watchlist and set that trigger for trading view to hit me with that obnoxious *BING* usually on the most stressful days :)
have a good weekend all
thanks for flagging this HB. curious on your opinion of above, or if u can augment on more idiosyncratic bottoms-up/ mgmt/ biz moat etc. factors if any
V
Nike (NKE) Game Plan: Is Now the Perfect Time to Buy?1. Technical Analysis March 2025
Nike’s stock ( NYSE:NKE ) is currently trading near a 52-week low of $63.19, signaling a bearish trend driven by weak earnings and macroeconomic challenges.
• Moving Averages: The 50-day MA is below the 200-day MA (death cross), confirming a long-term downtrend.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): Near 30, indicating oversold conditions and a possible short-term rebound.
• Support & Resistance:
• Key support: ~$60 (historical demand zone)
• Key resistance: ~$75–$80 (previous consolidation area)
• Volume Analysis: High selling pressure, but institutional investors may step in at lower levels.
2. Fundamental Analysis March 2025
Nike remains a global leader in the sportswear industry, but recent headwinds have impacted on its financial performance.
Key Financial Metrics (Q3 2025)
• Revenue: $11.3 billion (-9% YoY)
• Net Income: Declining due to lower sales and margin compression
• EPS: Lower than expected, prompting downward revisions by analysts
• Dividend Yield: ~2.3%, with 23 consecutive years of dividend increases
• Debt-to-Equity Ratio: ~0.6, indicating moderate leverage
• Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Lower than historical averages (~18–22x), making it relatively undervalued compared to its long-term trends
📈 Strengths:
• Brand Power & Innovation: Nike’s brand remains dominant, and new product lines (e.g., Pegasus Premium, Vomero 18) are receiving positive feedback.
• Global Reach & Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Shift: Strong e-commerce presence, which could improve margins over time.
• Dividend Growth: 23 consecutive years of increases make Nike attractive to long-term income investors.
📉 Weaknesses & Risks:
• Declining Sales: A 9% revenue drop YoY, with a 17% decline in China—a crucial market.
• Tariff Concerns: New U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports could impact profit margins.
• Competitive Landscape: Adidas, Puma, and newer brands (On Running, Hoka) are gaining market share.
• Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Consumer spending on discretionary goods remains weak.
3. 5-Year Price Prediction (2025–2030)
Year Price Range Prediction
2025 $55 – $85 (high volatility, potential recovery)
2026 $75 – $100 (rebound if sales improve)
2027 $90 – $120 (growth phase, innovation & DTC strategy gains traction)
2028 $110 – $140 (bullish market conditions, brand strength)
2029 $130 – $170 (potential all-time highs if fundamentals align)
2030 $150 – $200 (long-term upside if Nike maintains market dominance)
Conclusion: Buy, Hold, or Sell?
• Short-Term (2025–2026): High risk, potential upside if Nike stabilizes its sales and margins.
• Mid-to-Long Term (2027–2030): Likely strong recovery, given Nike’s brand strength, innovation, and historical growth.
• Best Strategy: Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) for long-term investors; traders may wait for a confirmed reversal.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Stock market investments carry risks, including the loss of capital. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Tencent Holdings LtdIs Tencent Stock a Buy Now?
Tencent posted its third quarter earnings report on Nov. 16. The Chinese tech giant's revenue fell 2% year over year to 140.1 billion yuan ($19.8 billion), which represented its second consecutive quarter of declining revenue since its IPO in 2004. Its net profit rose 1% to 39.9 billion yuan ($5.6 billion). On an adjusted basis, which excludes its investments and other one-time items, its net profit grew 2% to 32.3 billion yuan ($4.5 billion). Those growth rates seem anemic, but Tencent's stock had already been cut in half over the past two years amid concerns about China's tightening regulations, slowing economic growth, and COVID19 lockdowns. So is it the right time to take the contrarian view and buy Tencent as a turnaround play? Let's review its core businesses and valuations to decide.
Tencent generated 31% of its third quarter revenue from its video game business. Domestic games, which include its blockbuster game Honor of Kings, accounted for 73% of that total. The remaining 27% came from overseas hits like League of Legends, Valorant, and PUBG Mobile.Its domestic gaming revenue fell 7% year over year, representing its third consecutive quarter of shrinking revenue, as it grappled with tighter playtime restrictions for minors in China over the past year. Those restrictions also coincided with a temporary suspension on new video game approvals in China, which started last July and ended this April.Its international gaming revenue rose 3% year over year, accelerating from its 1% decline in the second quarter, as new games like Tower of Fantasy and Goddess of Victory: Nikke attracted new players. Unfortunately, its overseas growth still couldn't offset its declining domestic revenue.
As a result, Tencent's total VAS (value-added service) revenue which includes its gaming divisions, social media platforms, and streaming media subscriptions -- declined by 3% in the third quarter but still accounted for more than half of its top line. This core business might gradually stabilize as Tencent expands its international gaming business, but it will likely remain under intense pressure as long as the Chinese government continues to scrutinize the gaming industry.
200$ was one of the biggest support and great opportunity to buying the dip. 300-320$ is a big resistance level for tencent and if bulls win that battle then 350$ is next but
can we back 250 or even 200$ again? YES
XauUsdHello dear friends :)
According to the chart you see, a strong upward trend structure has formed (purple channel)
- Divergence is observed between waves 5 and 3, which is expected to have a correction to 3034 and after a correction to its own upward trend, it will move to 3122, then a strong correction is expected to the price level of 2950 and a change in the upward structure to a downward one.
ETH USDT Critical Support Under PressureThe analysis for ETHUSDT on the 4-hour timeframe indicates significant bearish pressure as the price approaches a well-defined support zone, where a potential bullish reversal reaction from buyers can be anticipated. Scenarios include either a bounce from the support level with subsequent growth towards the upper resistance zone or a breakdown below, which could signal further trend weakening.
Tesla - There Is Hope For Bulls!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is just crashing recently:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After Tesla perfectly retested the previous all time high just a couple of weeks ago, we now witnessed a quite expected rejection of about -50%. However market structure remains still bullish and if we see some bullish confirmation, a substantial move higher will follow soon.
Levels to watch: $260, $400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
#XAUUSD:$3200 Next Big Move, Bulls Are Like to DominatePrice has been bullish since many months as US Dollars continue to decline, the fear of further decline in dollar value is triggering the gold market to go all time high. There is a big possibility that price is likely to go upwards of region of 3200$. We will have to monitor the market next week since we have big news week coming up.
Like and Comment to Show us the support 🚀❤️
Team Setupsfx_
Breaking: $PEPE Coin Dipped 10% Today- Is the Frog Meta Dead?Pepe the Frog ( CRYPTOCAP:PEPE ) memecoin saw its token price plummet by 10% today albeit the general crypto landscape experienced a deja vu as The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation numbers for February have been released, showing a steady trend in headline inflation but a slight uptick in core inflation.
Bitcoin and altcoins have extended losses further from earlier today as BTC slips under $85,000, while Ethereum (ETH) tanks 7% slipping under $1,900. Current trend shows that investors could expect strong volatility over the weekend.
US PCE Data Shows Inflation Remains Sticky
As per the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the US PCE inflation data remained unchanged at 2.5% for the month of February, aligning with the market expectations and the previous month’s reading. However, the year-over-year core inflation came hotter-than-expected at 2.8%, higher than both the previous reading of 2.6% and the expected 2.7%.
Technical Outlook of PEPE
As of the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:PEPE is down 8% trading within a bearish trend pattern. the asset is approaching the 65% Fibonacci retracement point is serving as support point should selling pressure submerged. Furthermore, with the RSI at 45, there might be further consolidatory move by CRYPTOCAP:PEPE to cement a perfect liquidity pick region to increase the demand for $PEPE.
Pepe Price Live Data
The live Pepe price today is $0.000008 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $519,642,130 USD. Pepe is down 8.84% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #31, with a live market cap of $3,265,213,245 USD. It has a circulating supply of 420,689,899,653,544 PEPE coins and a max. supply of 420,690,000,000,000 PEPE coins.
Weak US Economic Data Could Drive Prices Higher - 28.03.2025Gold prices have been on a strong upward trend, reaching a high of $3,059. The upcoming US economic data release on March 28, 2025, could provide new momentum for gold, particularly with the following key indicators in focus:
- Core PCE Price Index (MoM)
- Personal Spending (MoM)
- Personal Income (MoM)
Current forecasts suggest a slowdown in inflation and weaker economic activity, which could create a bullish environment for gold.
Economic Data Expectations and Market Implications
The Core PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, is expected to rise by 0.2%, down from the previous 0.3%. This signals a slowdown in price pressures, increasing the likelihood of the Fed adopting a more dovish stance in the coming months. If inflation continues to decline, expectations for rate cuts could strengthen, which would be supportive of gold prices.
Personal spending is forecasted to increase by 0.3% - 0.5%, a modest recovery from the previous decline of -0.2%. However, this remains a weak rebound, suggesting that consumers are still cautious. Slower spending means less inflationary pressure, which could further encourage the Fed to ease monetary policy.
Personal income is expected to rise by 0.3% - 0.4%, significantly lower than the previous 0.9% increase. A slowdown in income growth could weigh on consumer spending and overall economic activity, reinforcing the case for lower interest rates.
Impact on Gold Prices
The combination of declining inflation, weak spending, and slower income growth increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sooner rather than later. Gold, which tends to perform well in a lower interest rate environment, could see further gains as a result.
Key bullish factors for gold include:
Lower inflation expectations: A weaker Core PCE Price Index supports a more accommodative Fed stance.
Sluggish consumer spending: Less inflationary pressure gives the Fed room to cut rates.
Slower income growth: Weaker earnings could further dampen economic momentum, increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
The main risk to gold prices would be a surprise shift in market sentiment. If the Fed remains cautious and delays rate cuts, gold could face short-term resistance. However, given the current data outlook, the overall trend remains positive.
Trading Idea: Long Position on Gold (XAU/USD)
Given the softer economic data, gold prices could continue their bullish momentum. If inflation shows signs of easing and economic activity slows, traders may start pricing in Fed rate cuts more aggressively, pushing gold higher.
A potential long trade setup could be to enter a buy position around $3,050 - $3,065, targeting $3,080, with an extended upside potential.
To manage risk, a stop-loss below could be placed to account for potential short-term pullbacks.
Conclusion
The upcoming US economic data release suggests a cooling economy, which could lead to increased expectations of Fed rate cuts. This would be a bullish catalyst for gold, reinforcing its role as a hedge against monetary easing.
A long position on gold around $3,065, with targets at $3,080, could be an attractive setup in the short term. Risk management remains key, with a stop-loss set close below.
If economic data confirms a weakening trend, gold could soon test new highs. Stay alert to market reactions and Fed commentary! 🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Comstock Resources (CRK) – Expanding U.S. Natural Gas DominanceCompany Overview:
Comstock Resources NYSE:CRK is accelerating natural gas production, reinforcing its position in the Western Haynesville play, a key U.S. gas region.
Key Catalysts:
Production Expansion & Strategic Acquisitions ⛽
Increasing drilling rigs from 5 to 7 for higher output.
Acquired 64,000 net acres in Haynesville, boosting reserves & market share.
Investment in Drilling & Midstream Infrastructure 🏗️
$1.0-$1.1 billion planned for 46 horizontal wells in 2025.
$130-$150 million allocated to midstream development, optimizing gas transport & profitability.
Market Strength & Growth Outlook 📈
Positioned to capitalize on rising U.S. natural gas demand & global LNG expansion.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on CRK above $15.50-$16.00, supported by production growth & infrastructure investment.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $30.00-$31.00, driven by expansion, operational efficiency, and market strength.
🔥 CRK – Fueling the Future of U.S. Natural Gas. #CRK #NaturalGas #EnergyStocks
KE Holdings (BEKE) – Transforming China’s Real Estate MarketCompany Overview:
KE Holdings NYSE:BEKE is revolutionizing real estate with its hybrid digital-physical platform, leveraging strategic backing from Tencent (8% voting power).
Key Catalysts:
Strong Financial & Earnings Growth 💰
Analysts project 20.9% annual earnings growth and 26.7% EPS increase.
Reinforces BEKE’s leading position in China’s real estate sector.
Expanding Services & Market Reach 🌍
Acquisition of Shengdu Home Decoration (2022) strengthens BEKE’s homeownership services.
Broadens revenue streams beyond real estate transactions.
Strategic Backing & Partnerships 🤝
Tencent’s support enhances financial stability & collaboration opportunities.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We remain bullish on BEKE above $20.00-$21.00, supported by rising profitability & business expansion.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $36.00-$37.00, driven by earnings growth, platform expansion, and strategic alliances.
🔥 BEKE – Shaping the Future of Homeownership in China. #BEKE #RealEstateTech #GrowthStock