Get started

Fundamental Analysis

Dollar Index Analysis: Wedge + Powell Outlook – June 25, 2025📉 Technical Outlook: Bearish Rising Wedge + Liquidity Sweep Setup TVC:DXY The Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading within a rising wedge pattern, typically a bearish structure. We're anticipating a fake breakdown, potential sweep of the key demand zone, followed by a reversal move targeting key highs. 🔍 Key Technical Zones 📥 Demand Zone (Buy Area): 🔵 97.50 – 97.20 = Institutional accumulation + unfilled orders 🚫 Invalidation Level (Stop-Loss) : ❌ 96.70 = Clean break below confirms full bearish continuation 🎯 Target Projections (Upside Levels) : TP1: 99.00 TP2: 100.00 TP3: 101.04 (HTF swing high liquidity cleanout) 🧠 Summary Setup : Downtrend Rising wedge formation Sweep of 97.20 possible Watch for fakeout & reversal play toward 101.04 🏛️ Fundamental Analysis – Powell’s Testimony Insights Fed Chair Powell highlighted the following during his recent testimony: 🔄 “We’re not there yet on inflation” — Core services remain sticky 🛑 No immediate rate cuts — Growth is slowing but not crashing 🕰 Rate cuts likely postponed to Q4 2025 🔐 “Real rates are restrictive enough” = No more hikes expected 💡 Implication for DXY : ✅ Short-term bullish bias as higher U.S. yields remain attractive if rate cuts are delayed. 🌍 Macro Context Snapshot (as of June 25, 2025) 🇺🇸 US Disinflation: CPI & PCE easing, but not collapsing 🇪🇺 ECB Cut in June: Euro may weaken further 🇯🇵 BOJ Policy Unclear: USD/JPY likely volatile 🌐 Global Risk Appetite High: Volatility may return with geopolitical events 🔥 Watch This: Trade Tariff Narrative Heating Up 🚨 New U.S. Tariff Signals on Chinese tech and EU autos are resurfacing. This could: Push inflation risk higher Delay Fed’s easing timeline Add support to USD short term as markets price in geopolitical tension and uncertainty 📌 Trading Strategy Recap : Monitor wedge support near 97.20 Look for fakeout/sweep and bullish reversal Target 99–101 zone on rebound Stay alert to Powell/Fed rhetoric + tariff news If you find this analysis helpful, Like, Comment, and Follow for more DXY, gold, and macro trades!
TVC:DXY
by DECRYPTERS
Gold Trading Strategy June 25The Daily Candle shows a strong selling force breaking out of the 3-day accumulation zone. Gold touches the support zone of 3296 and bounces back as analyzed yesterday. Today, it is difficult for the bullish force to return, there is a possibility of an increase in the Asian session and the European session, and the US session will return with the Selling force. The recovery from 3296 towards 3342, some selling force may appear around 3342, forming a strong bearish structure. The bearish wave structure will weaken if it breaks 3342. The 3363 area still has a reaction but the bearish wave structure is no longer strong. The market closed above 3363 confirming the downtrend break and heading towards the resistance zone of 3388. The bottom support of 3302 will help to temporarily stop the price decline before heading towards the target of 3278. Support: 3321-3302-3278 Resistance: 3342-3363-3388 Break out: 3342-3322 Recommended trading signal BUY GOLD 3302-3300 SL 3297 SELL GOLD 3363-3365 SL 3369
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
Can Gold Regain Ground as Risk Factors Persist? Gold is holding steady and posting a modest rebound today after notable losses yesterday, though it continues to struggle to reclaim the $3,330 per ounce level. The precious metal’s ability to resume gains stems from continued market uncertainty surrounding both geopolitical and trade-related risks, which could sustain demand for safe-haven assets. On the geopolitical front, despite the optimism sparked by the surprise ceasefire agreement that ended the twelve-day war between Israel and Iran, the possibility of renewed escalation remains on the table. Media outlets have been abuzz with a leaked intelligence report to CNN that was about that the U.S. strike only managed to delay Iran’s nuclear program by a few months and did not eliminate its stockpile of enriched uranium. In other words, the war ended before achieving its core objective—let alone dismantling Iran’s ballistic missile capabilities. This could also complicate any future negotiations, as Israel may double down on its demands for a complete dismantling of Iran’s nuclear and missile programs, while Tehran may cling even more tightly to these programs following the recent conflict. On the other hand, New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman expressed hope that the political fallout for both sides might generate internal pressure strong enough to prevent another confrontation. In any case, should escalation resume, markets may enter a new cycle of geopolitical risk. However, such episodes are unlikely to last long unless the red line is crossed, namely, direct attacks on key oil and gas export infrastructure or on global shipping routes. This logic explains the fragile nature of the risk premiums that both oil and gold gained during earlier waves of escalation. Now that the latest round of conflict has ended, the market's attention could shift back to trade tensions, which remain unresolved. The suspension of U.S. tariffs on the European Union is set to expire in early July, with the deadline for China following in mid-August. This comes at a time when businesses still face considerable uncertainty over tariffs and inflationary pressures, as highlighted in recent S&P Global PMI surveys across the Eurozone and the United States . A return to tariffs or the collapse of trade negotiations could once again ignite fears of persistent inflation, which would likely keep interest rates elevated for longer in the U.S. This, in turn, poses a threat to economic growth. This is the dynamic that has historically been supportive for gold. Conversely, resolving these concerns may strip gold of one of its main drivers, making previous record highs harder to reach.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by SamerHa
OLUSDT Ready to Explode? Don’t Miss This SetupYello Paradisers, is this the calm before the storm? #OLUSDT has just bounced off a key support zone and is now grinding right under a critical resistance. If you’ve been following our recent plays, you know exactly how this pattern can end with an explosive move that catches the herd completely off guard. This chart setup demands attention right now. 💎What we’re seeing is a textbook descending broadening wedge formation, which historically leads to powerful breakouts when the price breaks through the upper trendline with volume. #OLUSDT has respected this wedge perfectly, with two touches on both the resistance and support lines, confirming its technical strength. At the time of writing, the price is testing this resistance again, and any sustained breakout above it could flip the current structure bullish and trigger a rally. 💎The recent bounce came directly from a strong support zone between $0.028 and $0.030, an area that has consistently absorbed selling pressure. This level is now acting as the foundation for a potential trend reversal. As long as the price remains above this zone, bulls remain in control of the narrative. However, a daily close below $0.028 would invalidate the current bullish setup, signaling that bears may still have fuel left to drive the price lower, potentially targeting the $0.024 region. 💎On the upside, if the resistance gives way, we’re watching three major reaction zones: the first is minor resistance at $0.037, then moderate resistance around $0.043, and finally, the strong resistance zone at $0.046 to $0.050, which would represent a full breakout completion and a 50% move from current levels. These levels are not just random numbers; they represent areas of high liquidity and previous heavy sell interest, so they must be approached with caution and strategy. Stay ready. Stay focused. And always play the long-term game like a pro. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
4
Gold Price Analysis June 25The Daily Candle shows a strong selling force breaking out of the 3-day accumulation zone. Gold hits the support zone of 3296 and bounces towards the resistance zone of 3342. Today, there is unlikely to be a rebound, there is a possibility of an increase in the Asian session and the European session, and the US session will return to the Selling force. The recovery from 3296 towards 3342, some selling force may appear around 3342, forming a strong bearish structure. The Bearish Wave Structure will weaken if it breaks 3342. The 3363 area is still noteworthy for SELL signals. The market closed above 3363, confirming the break of the downtrend and heading towards the resistance zone of 3388. The bottom support of 3302 will help prevent a temporary decline before heading towards the target of 3278.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Updated Chart and Levels. Peace firstVideo: 🕊️💛 Bitcoin Love and Peace! Let's go 🚀🧘‍♂️ Hello Traders, The world may be tense, but Bitcoin is offering a beacon of calm and opportunity. 🌍💡 We've established strong support at 106,153 and 105,962, and with peace settling in geopolitically and a softer tone from the Fed, the market is primed for movement. 📊 What I see: Support is holding beautifully Short-term breakout structure building up Immediate resistance at 109,801 Bigger test zones at 113,800 and 114,598 Altcoins? They're sitting in the backseat. BTC dominance is around 65%, confirming that Bitcoin is the leader right now. If you're hunting momentum, this is where your focus should be. As I always say—never long disaster, never short peace. And right now, with the War of 12 Days behind us, Bitcoin reflects hope and progress. So let’s trade smart, stay grounded, and always remember—hate makes you part of the problem, love makes you part of the solution. Let’s build a world where even enemies become friends. 💞 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
Bitcoin Love and Peace! Let's go🚀📈 Bitcoin Rally Gains Steam with Strong Support in Place 💪🧠 Hello Traders, After a period of geopolitical tension and heavy volatility, the charts are finally giving us a breath of calm. 🕊️ BTC/USD on the 15-minute chart has formed a solid base of support between 106,153 and 105,962. This area has now held up well and is acting as a launchpad for potential upside continuation. 🔍 Technically speaking, we’re observing: Price holding above the 0.5 Fib retracement A short-term breakout structure forming higher highs Key interim resistance at 109,801 Long-term resistance to watch at 113,800 and the crucial macro test at 114,598 With Bitcoin dominance sitting at 65%, it's clear: this is Bitcoin’s moment. Altcoins are lagging, and BTC is leading the charge. ⚖️ The broader narrative is also shifting. The Fed's dovish tone adds to market stability, and in times of peace, Bitcoin thrives. But the key level to monitor remains 109K. A breakout above that sets us up for a major move. Let's keep an eye on this structure. A failure to hold the 105K zone would shift the outlook, but for now, all systems are GO 🚦. 🕊️ Remember, in both trading and life—hate divides, love unites. Choose to be part of the solution. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
Report - 25, June 2025Ceasefire Fragility and Unprecedented Presidential Posture President Donald Trump has publicly rebuked both Israel and Iran in an attempt to preserve a ceasefire brokered after 12 days of escalating conflict. His unfiltered criticism — including an unusually blunt quote characterizing both sides as having “fought so long... they don’t know what the fuck they’re doing” — signals rising frustration with maintaining stability in a region long considered a geopolitical powder keg. While initially celebrating the ceasefire and claiming victory over Iran’s nuclear capabilities, Trump’s stance shifted dramatically in response to renewed missile exchanges. Notably, after Iran fired three missiles post-ceasefire (causing no casualties), Israel retaliated by targeting an Iranian radar station, prompting a direct command from Trump via social media: “ISRAEL. DO NOT DROP THOSE BOMBS… BRING YOUR PILOTS HOME, NOW!” Despite ongoing minor violations, both sides have reportedly heeded Washington’s demands, with Israel claiming its military objectives were fulfilled. The ceasefire currently holds, but remains vulnerable to provocation or miscalculation. Strategic Realignment: U-Turn on Iran Sanctions and Oil Trade In a major policy reversal, Trump has authorized China to resume importing oil from Iran — effectively dismantling months of sanctions enforcement against Chinese refiners and shipping intermediaries. This shift is tied to two strategic aims: Stabilize energy markets post-conflict to mitigate inflationary spikes. Incentivize Iran's continued adherence to the ceasefire. However, this decision directly contradicts Trump’s earlier "maximum pressure" stance and introduces credibility risk for U.S. sanctions policy. Analysts remain cautious, noting that formal sanction relief has not been legislatively confirmed. If sustained, this move could: Provide Tehran with critical cash flow (~1.5M bpd exports) Reduce U.S. leverage in future nuclear negotiations Empower China in energy diplomacy as a balancing counterweight NATO Dynamics: Trump Demands 5% Defense Spending Trump’s NATO agenda has drawn both praise and backlash. In a leaked message, NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte credited Trump with forcing European nations to commit to raising defense spending to 5% of GDP: “You will achieve something NO American president in decades could get done.” While major powers like Germany, France, and the UK are reportedly complying, Spain has refused — risking a public rift. Trump has cast doubt on Article 5 commitments by questioning its interpretation, though he reiterated support for allies “as friends.” This episode illustrates the dual nature of Trump’s strategy: A transactional, cost-focused defense model Willingness to weaponize public embarrassment for leverage Market Response: Relief Rally, Oil Retreats, and Risk-On Rotation Markets cheered the ceasefire with a strong rotation into risk assets and away from geopolitical hedges: Brent crude fell 5.8% to $67.37/barrel, reflecting de-escalation and confidence in uninterrupted Strait of Hormuz access. S&P 500 hit its highest level since February, rising 1.1%. Nasdaq jumped 1.4% on renewed tech appetite. Stoxx Europe 600 gained 1.1%, while FTSE 100 lagged (flat) due to energy exposure (BP –4.8%, Shell –3.7%). Currency and bond markets responded accordingly: USD Index –0.5% as safe-haven demand waned GBP surged to $1.365, highest since 2022 Gold fell 1.6% to $3,314/oz — its sharpest drop in a month US 10-year Treasury yields rose to 4.30%, on stronger economic sentiment and Powell’s congressional testimony
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
USDCAD: Oil Price Weakness Weighs on CAD – Can USD Capitalize?USDCAD: Oil Price Weakness Weighs on CAD – Can USD Capitalize? Hello TradingView community! Today, let's analyze the USDCAD pair, which is showing interesting dynamics as the CAD faces pressure from falling oil prices. 🌍 Macro Drivers: CAD Struggles Amidst Lower Oil, USD Upside Limited The USDCAD pair is caught in a tug-of-war between the Canadian Dollar (CAD) and the US Dollar (USD): CAD pressured by oil: The Canadian Dollar has seen its gains trimmed, primarily weighed down by lower crude oil prices. Canada, being a major oil exporter, sees its currency directly impacted by these fluctuations. Oil prices lower: A recent truce between Israel and Iran is keeping crude oil prices significantly lower (16% below Monday's highs), directly affecting CAD's strength. USD's limited upside: Despite CAD's weakness, the US Dollar's upside attempts are being constrained by recent soft US economic data and persistent hopes for Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy easing. In summary, USDCAD is seeing a slight upward tick due to a weaker CAD from oil price drops, but the USD's rally is somewhat capped by Fed easing expectations. 📊 Technical Analysis & USDCAD Trading Plan Based on the USDCAD chart (H4/M30) provided: Overall Trend: USDCAD is trading within an ascending channel, but shows signs of weakness near the channel's upper boundary. Price appears to be forming a lower high after a previous upward move. Key Price Levels: Potential SELL Zone (Resistance): Clearly identified around 1.36989. This is a strong resistance level, coinciding with recent local highs. Selling pressure is likely to emerge here. Key Support (Potential BUY Zone): Around 1.36734 and further down at 1.36431. The 1.36431 level is particularly significant, aligning with a major Fibonacci level (1.382) and acting as a robust demand area from prior price action. Moving Averages (EMAs): Price is trading near the EMAs (black, orange, red), indicating a consolidation phase and potential for a significant move. Projected Price Action: The chart suggests that USDCAD could pull back from the current resistance zone (1.36989) towards the support levels below, particularly 1.36431, before potentially finding buying interest to resume an upward trend. 🎯 USDCAD Trading Plan: SELL ZONE: 1.36989 SL: 1.37050 TP: 1.36900 - 1.36850 - 1.36800 - 1.36750 - 1.36700 - 1.36600 - 1.36500 - 1.36431 BUY ZONE: 1.36431 SL: 1.36300 TP: 1.36500 - 1.36550 - 1.36600 - 1.36650 - 1.36700 - 1.36750 - 1.36800 - 1.36900 ⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor: Crude Oil Prices: Any significant movements in crude oil will directly impact the CAD. US Economic Data: Upcoming reports on inflation and employment from the US could heavily influence Fed policy expectations and USD strength. Bank of Canada (BoC) Policy: Statements or decisions from the BoC will also be a critical factor affecting the CAD. Trade smart and stay vigilant! Wishing everyone a successful USDCAD trading day!
Short
by MMFlowTrading
10
Oil Price Falls Below $69Oil Price Falls Below Pre-Escalation Levels of Middle East Conflict According to the XBR/USD chart: → Prior to Israel’s airstrikes on Iran on 13 June, the price of Brent crude was hovering around the $69.00 mark; → Following US bombings in Iran, the price spiked at the Monday market open, reaching a high of approximately $77.77 (as we reported on 23 June). However, after President Trump announced a ceasefire between Iran and Israel — later confirmed by statements from both sides — oil prices dropped sharply. This morning, Brent is trading around $68, which is even lower than the level seen before the initial strikes. Media outlets report that analysts broadly agree that fears have eased, even if the ceasefire appears fragile. Market participants seem to view the likelihood of the conflict escalating into a full-scale ground war — involving US troops and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz — as low. Shipping through the strait is reportedly returning to normal. Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart Interestingly, the $69 level — from which prices surged on 13 June — acted as resistance yesterday (as indicated by the arrow on the chart). It can be assumed that the longer the ceasefire holds, the less relevant the fears that have served as bullish drivers. In that case, Brent crude prices may continue fluctuating within a downward channel, outlined in red, with the possibility of a short-term rise toward its upper boundary. Nevertheless, the key drivers for oil prices will remain the fundamental backdrop and official statements regarding the situation in the Middle East and other geopolitical factors. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
1
Downtrend Slowing – Recovery Opportunity After Correction?USD/JPY: Downtrend Slowing – Recovery Opportunity After Correction? Hello TradingView community! Today, let's focus on analyzing the USD/JPY pair, which is showing interesting developments after its recent correction. 🌍 Macro Overview: USD/JPY Under Current Pressures The market is observing shifts in the dynamics of the USD/JPY pair: UOB Group's 24-Hour View: The USD experienced a sharp decline from 148.02 on Monday to 144.49, despite being "oversold". This indicates a slowing in the downtrend, though caution remains. Retest Expected: According to UOB Group, there's a likelihood of USD/JPY retesting the 144.50 level before a more sustained recovery can be expected. Downside Limited: A drop below 144.50 cannot be ruled out, but based on current momentum, any further weakness is unlikely to reach 144.00. Resistance Levels: On the upside, resistance levels are noted at 145.20 and 145.55. Overall, USD/JPY is in a phase of seeking equilibrium after a significant decline. 📊 Technical Analysis & USD/JPY Trading Plan Based on the USD/JPY chart (H4/M30) you provided: Overall Trend: The pair has undergone a relatively deep corrective decline after reaching a local peak, but appears to be seeking a strong support zone. Key Price Levels: Crucial Resistance (SELL Zone): Clearly at 144.894 - 145.178. This is an confluence area of Fibonacci levels and local highs where selling pressure could emerge strongly. Important Support (Potential BUY Zone): Around 143.800 - 143.500. This represents a potential bottoming area where demand might be strong enough to push the price higher. Projected Price Action: After the sharp decline, USD/JPY might retest the 144.50 area. If it holds above key support levels, an upward move towards resistance zones is plausible, as indicated by the arrows on the chart. 🎯 USD/JPY Trading Plan: BUY ZONE: 143.800 - 143.500 SL: 143.400 TP: 144.000 - 144.200 - 144.500 - 144.800 - 145.000 - 145.200 - 145.500 SELL ZONE: 144.894 - 145.178 SL: 145.300 TP: 144.700 - 144.500 - 144.200 - 144.000 - 143.800 - 143.500 ⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor: US and Japanese Economic Data: Upcoming reports on inflation and employment from both nations could significantly impact Fed and BoJ policy expectations. BoJ Policy Decisions: Any shifts in the Bank of Japan's stance will create strong volatility for the JPY. Global Risk Sentiment: Changes in overall market sentiment can also affect JPY crosses. Trade smart and stay informed! Wishing everyone a successful USD/JPY trading day!
Long
by MMFlowTrading
Can it Reach New Highs as USD Weakens?EUR/USD: Euro's Resilience Holds Strong – Can it Reach New Highs as USD Weakens? 🌍 Macro Landscape: EUR/USD Rides Risk-On Sentiment and Fed Cut Hopes The Euro (EUR) is showing significant strength, maintaining its position near a three-year high against the US Dollar (USD). This resilience is largely fueled by a moderately positive risk appetite in the market. Simultaneously, the US Dollar is facing considerable downward pressure. This weakness stems from recent weaker-than-expected economic data from the United States and increasing market expectations for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to implement interest rate cuts. If US economic indicators continue to soften, it could solidify the case for earlier Fed rate cuts, further undermining the USD and potentially boosting EUR/USD. 🏦 Central Bank Policy: Diverging Paths for ECB and Fed Federal Reserve (Fed): The market is increasingly pricing in the likelihood of Fed interest rate cuts. Weaker US data strengthens this narrative, as the Fed might be compelled to ease monetary policy to support economic growth. This dovish outlook for the Fed is a key driver of USD weakness. European Central Bank (ECB): While the provided information focuses on the EUR's strength due to broader market sentiment and USD weakness, the ECB's more measured approach to monetary policy compared to the Fed's potential easing can create a favorable interest rate differential for the Euro, attracting capital flows. This divergence in central bank policy expectations—with the Fed leaning towards cuts and the ECB maintaining a more cautious stance—creates a tailwind for the EUR/USD pair. 🌐 Capital Flows: Money Favors Euro Amidst USD Softness Global capital flow models suggest that funds are increasingly moving towards assets perceived as offering better relative value or stability. As US yields become less attractive due to anticipated Fed rate cuts, capital may flow out of USD-denominated assets. This outflow from the USD naturally benefits currencies like the Euro, especially given its current positive momentum driven by a moderate risk-on environment. The re-pricing of Fed policy risk directly influences these capital movements, contributing to the upward trajectory of EUR/USD. 📊 Technical Structure (H4 Chart Analysis): EUR/USD Eyes Key Resistance Levels Based on the provided EUR/USD H4 chart: Uptrend intact: The pair continues to exhibit a positive trend, characterized by higher lows and higher highs within an ascending channel. Key Resistance Levels: Initial Resistance: 1.16330. This level aligns with recent highs and the top of the minor channel. A break above this suggests further bullish momentum. Major Resistance Zone: 1.17031. This is indicated as a significant resistance area, potentially a long-term target or a reversal point. A break here would confirm strong bullish conviction. Key Support Levels: Immediate Support: 1.15470. This level has acted as a support point, aligning with the EMA 200 and a Fibonacci retracement level, indicating a potential bounce area. Strong Support Zone: 1.15249. This zone represents a robust demand area, aligning with previous price action and serving as a crucial level for bulls to defend. Moving Averages (EMA 13-34-89-200): The price is trading above the short-term and long-term EMAs, suggesting strong bullish momentum. The EMAs are fanning out and showing a bullish alignment, reinforcing the uptrend. Projected Price Action: The chart suggests that the price might retrace towards the 1.15470 or 1.15249 support zones before resuming its upward trajectory towards the 1.16330 and potentially 1.17031 resistance levels. 🎯 Trade Strategy Recommendations: Scenario 1 – BUY the Dip: Entry: Look for bullish confirmation around 1.15470 - 1.15249. Stop-Loss: Below 1.15100 (or a level below the 1.15249 support for risk management). Take-Profit: TP1: 1.15600 TP2: 1.15800 TP3: 1.16000 TP4: 1.16200 TP5: 1.16330 (Targeting the immediate resistance) TP6: 1.16500 TP7: 1.16800 TP8: 1.17031 (Targeting the major resistance) Scenario 2 – SELL the Rally (Counter-trend/Reversal): Entry: Look for bearish confirmation around 1.16330 - 1.16400 or higher near 1.17031. Stop-Loss: Above 1.16500 (or above 1.17100 if selling at higher resistance). Take-Profit: TP1: 1.16200 TP2: 1.16000 TP3: 1.15800 TP4: 1.15600 TP5: 1.15470 (Targeting the immediate support) TP6: 1.15249 (Targeting the strong support zone) ⚠️ Key Events to Watch: Upcoming US Economic Data: Any further weak data could solidify Fed rate cut expectations and weigh on the USD. ECB Official Statements: Comments from ECB members on inflation or monetary policy could impact EUR's strength. Global Risk Sentiment: A continued moderate risk-on environment will generally support the EUR against the USD. Trade smart and stay informed! Wishing everyone a successful trading day!
Long
by MMFlowTrading
1
Powell's Softer Tone Hints at Gold's LiftoffXAUUSD: Powell's Softer Tone Hints at Gold's Liftoff – Ready for a July Rally? Hey everyone! Let's dive into XAUUSD today! We've got some sweet news from Fed Chair Jerome Powell that could be a game-changer for Gold. 🌍 Macro Edge: Gold Breathes Easier as Rate Pressures May Ease! Gold's recent climb is largely thanks to Powell's "soft-spoken" remarks. He's openly admitted that tariff-driven inflation is lower than expected, even subtly hinting at earlier rate cuts – perhaps as soon as July! Despite his "no need to rush" stance, the market's getting a clear message: if inflation keeps cooling down, the Fed will have room to loosen policy sooner. This is music to Gold's ears! Lower rates mean a reduced opportunity cost for holding Gold (which doesn't yield), making it far more attractive to investors. 🌐 Capital Flows: Gold vs. USD – Who's the Next Safe-Haven King? Market liquidity always dances to the tune of interest rates and risks. Gold and the USD typically share the safe-haven crown during volatile times. However, if Powell's "dovish tilt" holds, and the Fed cuts rates soon, prepare for a significant capital shift: USD might cool off: Lower US yields reduce the USD's appeal. Gold takes the spotlight: With lower holding costs and persistent global geopolitical uncertainties, Gold could see a surge in demand. The market's re-pricing of Fed policy is already bolstering Gold, signaling a potential upside move on the horizon! 📊 Technical Insight (H4/M30 Chart): Gold Breaking Free, Targeting Higher Peaks! Looking at our XAUUSD chart (H4/M30, based on your image): Channel Breakout: Gold has clearly broken out of its prior descending channel! This is a positive sign, indicating weakening selling pressure and a potential trend reversal. Price is consolidating, possibly forming a new accumulation pattern or a minor ascending channel. Key Levels to Watch: Potential SELL Zone (Resistance): Around 3352.383 - 3371.205. This is a major historical resistance cluster where Gold has previously met strong selling pressure. Watch for rejection here. Higher Resistance: 3391.750 - 3395.000. A decisive break above this level would signal a more robust long-term bullish trend. Current BUY Zone (Support): Around 3302.939 - 3311.214. This is a critical demand zone where strong buying interest is likely to emerge, aligning with recent lows. Next Key Support: 3286.257. This is the next line of defense if the current BUY zone breaks. 🎯 Trade Plan & Key Zones: BUY ZONE: 3286 - 3284 SL: 3280 TP: 3290 - 3294 - 3298 - 3302 - 3306 - 3310 - 3315 - 3320 BUY SCALP: 3302 - 3300 SL: 3295 TP: 3306 - 3310 - 3314 - 3318 - 3322 - 3326 - 3330 SELL ZONE: 3353 - 3355 SL: 3360 TP: 3350 - 3346 - 3340 - 3335 - 3330 - 3320 SELL ZONE: 3372 - 3374 SL: 3378 TP: 3370 - 3366 - 3362 - 3358 - 3354 - 3350 ⚠️ What Else to Watch For: More Fed Official Speeches: Any new comments on inflation or policy will keep the market buzzing. Geopolitical Developments: Ongoing global tensions can always boost Gold's safe-haven appeal. Let's trade smart and stay sharp! Wishing everyone a successful trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD recovers from 2-week low, short-term neutral biasOANDA:XAUUSD hit a two-week low in yesterday's trading session before recovering, currently trading around $3,330/oz, up slightly by about 0.14% on the day. The main reason was the ceasefire between Iran and Israel, which curbed demand for safe-haven gold. In addition, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell made hawkish comments, which also affected the gold price trend. Israel and Iran reach ceasefire agreement A ceasefire came into effect on Tuesday under pressure from US President Donald Trump, raising optimism that the biggest military conflict between the two arch-rivals in the Middle East may be coming to an end. The easing of tensions in the Middle East has been a major factor in the pressure on gold. Risk sentiment has weakened and the market has entered risk-on mode. US President Trump announced on Monday evening that Israel and Iran had reached an agreement on a “complete and total ceasefire”. Iran’s state TV officially announced on Tuesday that Iran had ceased fire with Israel. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz announced earlier Tuesday that the Israeli military would launch a new wave of strikes on targets in Tehran in retaliation for Iran's missile launch and "blatant violation" of the ceasefire. The Israeli government said that Israel would hold off on further strikes on Iran after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spoke with US President Trump. Powell sends important signal Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will testify before the House Financial Services Committee on Tuesday and deliver a report on the Fed’s monetary policy. Powell will also testify before the Senate Banking Committee today (Wednesday). In congressional testimony on Tuesday, Powell said the Fed needs more time to see whether tariffs are causing inflation to rise further before considering cutting interest rates. In congressional testimony, Powell said he and most Fed officials expect inflation to rise soon and that the Fed is in no rush to cut rates before then. “We are now in a very good position to wait and see what the likely path of the economy is before considering whether to adjust the policy stance,” Powell said. Markets generally believe that the July 29-30 meeting is unlikely to result in a rate cut, with the first rate cut expected in September. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD With the current technical position, gold has not yet had a complete short-term trend as the price action is still around the EMA21 moving average, and the RSI is operating around the 50 level. With the current price action showing that the market is still hesitant, gold may enter a sideways accumulation phase. However, in terms of the long-term trend, gold is still in a long-term uptrend channel with the case for a complete downtrend to occur is the condition that the price action is taken below the raw price point of 3,300 USD. Then the downside target is the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level in the short term. During the day, the trend of gold is neutral with the expected operating range between 3,350 – 3,300 USD. Notable positions will also be listed as follows. Support: 3,320 – 3,300 USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3349 - 3347⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3353 →Take Profit 1 3341 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3335 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3301 - 3303⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3297 →Take Profit 1 3309 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3315
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Is WW3 Coming? Crude Waves Flash Warning which I DO NOT LIKE ITI’m getting a knot in my stomach looking at this chart, it feels like a warning about what’s coming. Chart Context • WTI jumped from the pandemic low of 6.62 up to 131.02 on March 6, 2022. • It then retraced to 59.86 (38 % Fib) by June 4, 2025. • That pullback seems complete, and now price is pressing against a descending wedge. Wave Map • Wave 3 could extend toward 207 • A full five-wave run points up near 330 • The pattern is squeezed in a tightening channel that looks ready to break any day Why It Feels Risky Breaking above 200 normally requires a major supply shock—think trouble at the Strait of Hormuz, surprise OPEC cuts, or a hit to U.S. shale. The Iran–Israel cease-fire is shaky, drones are still buzzing storage sites, and even a brief chokepoint shutdown would send tanker traffic into chaos. To me, the chart is flashing that tail risk. Trading Plan • I’ll watch the wedge’s upper trendline around 83 for my first signal • A weekly close above 93 would clear the path to 117, then 145 • If price closes below 51 on the week, this thesis is off Your Thoughts? Does this wave count make sense, or am I reading too much into it? Drop your views—especially if you’ve got the geopolitical angle covered. I hope this wave doesn’t play out, but pretending it’s not there feels reckless. (Not financial advice)
BLACKBULL:USOIL.FLong
by teconlab
Coinbase (COIN) Shares Hit Year-to-Date HighCoinbase (COIN) Shares Hit Year-to-Date High As we reported six days ago, shares of Coinbase Global (COIN) received a strong bullish boost after the US Senate approved the GENIUS bill, which sets out regulations for the use of stablecoins. As the Coinbase Global (COIN) stock chart shows, the rally is ongoing. Yesterday, the price surged by over 12%, once again becoming the top performer in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen). Bullish sentiment is being fuelled by news that: → Two funds managed by Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest acquired around 4,200 Coinbase shares; → Analysts at Benchmark raised their target price for Coinbase Global (COIN) from $301 to $421. Could the COIN share price continue to rise? Technical Analysis of the Coinbase (COIN) Stock Chart From a broader perspective, the COIN share price has formed an ascending channel over the past year (marked in grey), and only once — in reaction to news about Trump tariffs — did the price briefly fall outside of this channel. Based on this, it is reasonable to assume that the developing intermediate rally (highlighted in blue) could reach the upper boundary of the grey channel. However, the psychological level of $350 — near the 2024 peak — appears to be a significant resistance point on this path. It is possible that we will soon see this level act as resistance on the COIN stock chart, leading to the formation of a correction — which would seem appropriate after a nearly 40% price increase since the start of the month. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:COIN
by FXOpen
2025/06/24 Portfolio BalanceAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. (XNAS:AMD): Current Value: $423.28 Current Price: $138.43 (6.39% daily change) Quantity: 3.0577 Purchase Date: April 23, 2025 Purchase Price: $129.51 Purchase Value: $396.00 Total Change: 6.89% Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (XNYS:RCL): Current Value: $242.63 Current Price: $280.47 (2.42% daily change) Quantity: 0.8651 Purchase Date: June 3, 2025 Purchase Price: $273.71 Purchase Value: $236.79 Total Change: 2.47% IonQ, Inc. (XNYS:IONQ): Current Value: $219.15 Current Price: $40.86 (-0.69% daily change) Quantity: 5.3634 Purchase Date: June 3, 2025 Purchase Price: $39.90 Purchase Value: $214.00 Total Change: 2.41% Past Trades 2025/06/03 Bought Hims & Hers Health Inc 1.8192 @ 5,497.00 2025/06/03 Bought Hims & Hers Health Inc 1.8202 @ 5,494.00 2025/06/03 Bought Hims & Hers Health Inc 1.8185 @ 5,499.00 2025/06/03 Bought Hims & Hers Health Inc 1.8205 @ 5,493.00 2025/06/03 Bought Hims & Hers Health Inc 1.8252 @ 5,479.00 2025/06/03 Bought Hims & Hers Health Inc 1.8165 @ 5,505.00 2025/06/20 Sold Hims & Hers Health Inc 3.1685 @ 6,303.00 2025/06/20 Sold Hims & Hers Health Inc 1.5822 @ 6,308.00 2025/06/20 Sold Hims & Hers Health Inc 2.1804 @ 6,328.00 2025/06/23 Sold Hims & Hers Health Inc 3.9889 @ 4,510.00
NYSE:RCL
by Tristanstry
EUR/USD Nears 1.1620 Before Powell’s TestimonyEUR/USD edged up to 1.1615 in early European trading on Wednesday, supported by improved risk sentiment after Israel and Iran signaled an end to their air conflict. The truce, backed by pressure from President Trump, increased appetite for risk assets, favoring the euro over the dollar. All eyes are now on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who reiterated on Tuesday that monetary policy will remain data-driven. However, comments from Kansas City Fed President Schmid hinted at caution due to tariff-driven inflation. While markets expect a rate cut in September, July odds have edged slightly higher. Resistance is at 1.1630, while support is at 1.1530.
by ChartMage
Risk Sentiment Improves, GBP/USD Nears 1.3650GBP/USD extended its rally for a third session, trading around 1.3620 and holding close to Tuesday’s high of 1.3648, its strongest level since February 2022. The pair continues to benefit from improved risk appetite as Middle East tensions ease following Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel. Despite the initial increase, investors remain cautious as doubts persist over the ceasefire’s durability and potential nuclear negotiations with Iran. Focus is also on Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile, which continues to raise geopolitical concerns. Meanwhile, Powell, in his congressional testimony, signaled that rate cuts are unlikely before Q4. He acknowledged that new tariffs could push inflation higher from June but maintained that the Fed is prepared to ease policy once conditions allow. Resistance is seen at 1.3655, while support holds at 1.3540.
by ChartMage
The current price of gold is 3330-3335, go short directly!Gold rebounded after hitting the bottom of 3295. At present, gold is just a rebound, not enough to reverse directly. Gold rebounds and continues to be short. After all, the daily line has fallen continuously, so the short momentum of gold is still there. In the short term, the rebound of gold is just a repair after oversold. Gold is currently priced at 3330-3335 and is directly short. The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to be arranged in a short position downward. After gold fell below the previous low of 3340 yesterday, gold has not been able to rebound again. In the short term, 3340 has become the key to long and short positions. In the short term, gold rebounds below 3340 and continues to be shorted. If gold breaks through and stabilizes at 3340 again, then gold may start to fluctuate again. Before breaking through 3340, gold is still weak and continues to maintain a short trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
AUDJPY DETAILED ANALYSISAUDJPY has successfully completed a breakout from a bullish pennant structure on the 4H timeframe, signaling the beginning of a strong upward continuation move. After a sustained consolidation below descending resistance, price action has now pierced through the upper trendline with volume and follow-through momentum. The breakout is aligned with the prior bullish leg from mid-June, indicating trend continuation. I’m now targeting 96.500 as the next key price level, with current price holding firm at 94.500. Fundamentally, the Australian Dollar remains supported by recent hawkish RBA expectations. Traders are now pricing in the possibility of another rate hike following sticky inflation data out of Australia. The latest CPI print showed an annualized rise above 4%, exceeding forecasts, and reinforcing the case for tighter monetary policy. In contrast, the Japanese Yen continues to weaken as the Bank of Japan maintains its dovish tone, with no immediate signs of rate normalization. The ongoing yield divergence continues to fuel bullish flows into AUDJPY. Today’s market sentiment favors risk-on assets, and AUD typically benefits in such conditions. Global equity strength and higher commodity prices are further backing AUD's upside momentum. Moreover, with carry trade flows increasing as investors seek higher-yielding currencies, AUDJPY is well-positioned to benefit from both fundamental tailwinds and technical breakout confirmation. This setup is technically clean and fundamentally strong. Pullbacks toward the 94.100–93.900 zone could be retested as new support before the pair extends higher. As long as price holds above the breakout level, I remain bullish with 96.500 as my primary upside target. This pair is offering a high-probability continuation play in alignment with both macro and micro structure.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2