Fundamental Analysis
Tesla - The Failed All Time High Breakout!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) will reject the all time high first:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Tesla was actually not able to create a sustainable all time high breakout and if a stock doesn't move up, it will come down. However Tesla still remains absolutely bullish and is now starting to create a textbook break and retest which will eventually still lead to new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $400, $280
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
My ETH Short Idea 22/2/2025ETH recently had a major hack incident. I don’t think this will be good for ETH and also I noticed BTC has been slowly declining to the downside. Economy has been shaken recently shifting towards YEN so smart money is probably pulling out of crypto and going towards yen, bonds, and gold.
Raydium RAY price analysisNot so long ago, we published an idea on #OM and wrote that MM holds the price well
And here's what happens when MM lets the price go "free floating" and stops pushing it up on the example of #RAY
If OKX:RAYUSDT fails to consolidate above $4 in the near future, there may be another wave down, and the price of #Raydium may drop to around $1.5
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XAUUSD - BUY Big run up today London Session topped it off then run it down after hitting ATH.
Bovespa Exchange (Brazil) and NY took it down further taking out order blocks for fuel back up and taking profit, they can't lose.
Anyway nothings changed everybody still wants Gold and it's going to 3k so a bit to go yet which is good.
Bias is Strong Up Up Up nothing surer in the market right now.
imho.
Dollar-cost average in and do the Drawdown control thing if need be on the the bigger losing open trades to manage positions until it reverses again back up Buy back in there.
Buy the Dips outside of Nadaraya-Watson Envelope Channel.
Biggest gift u can ever get in trading is this Nadaraya-Watson Envelope or others call it FLT MA Bands or Target Bands for MT4 took me ages to find one on TV.
Learn to use them
Stick around
: )
Nat Gas Video Idea 2/24/25: Recap of the Sunday night print ideaThis video goes over the reasoning and verification for my ideas that I posted last night.
Price has moved as expected, hit the low of the morning just a hair above the 3900 level. I'm watching the midday HDD prints as I type and it is looking to continue to verify for the short term (two week) period and the long range (3-6 week period). I am still going to exit when the March contracts hits 3750, and enter the April contract at 3640. Enjoy the info.
Keep it Burning!
2/24/25 - $nke - dead money, bro. 2/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:NKE
dead money, bro.
- the trends are cooked
- jefferies upgrades this to buy and you r chasing it higher on a rough risk day/week/ setup?
- trades in the high 30s PE for no EPS growth
- you really going to wait in this?
- NYSE:DECK is hard enough to own, probably the only ownable shoe co at the moment when factoring returns, growth and valuation
- don't say i didn't warn you
- it's not a short, but in the context of it's market pair (NKE/SPY)... it's a short. if i owned it, i'd clear the whole position without even thinking twice and thank mr. jefferies for being the bag holding cheerleader. donkey iq upgrade.
- and fwiw, i'm not involved. just woke up at 4am to run thru names and did the shoe complex today
- so i'm running hot on coffee and with current POV
but hey. that's the market :)
i'm the other pair of glasses, usually always
V
CELSIUS ($CELH) ZAPS UP 33%—Q4 & ALANI NU IGNITE BUZZCELSIUS ( NASDAQ:CELH ) ZAPS UP 33%—Q4 & ALANI NU IGNITE BUZZ
(1/9)
Good evening, Tradingview! Celsius Holdings ( NASDAQ:CELH ) just surged 33%—Q4 earnings and a $1.65B Alani Nu buyout lit the fuse 📈🔥. Energy drink market’s buzzing—let’s unpack this jolt! 🚀
(2/9) – EARNINGS SNAP
• Q4 Revenue: $332M, topped $329M expected 💥
• Margin: Jumped to 50.2%—beats 47.1% hopes 📊
• EPS: $0.14, above $0.11—solid grit
Growth slowed, but NASDAQ:CELH flexed resilience!
(3/9) – ALANI NU DEAL
• Price: $1.65B—$1.275B cash, $500M stock 🌍
• Alani’s Pull: $595M ‘24 sales, 78% growth 🚗
• Combo: 16% energy drink share—$ 2B ‘25 goal 🌟
NASDAQ:CELH snags a rival—big playtime!
(4/9) – MARKET VIBE
• Surge: 33% to $33-$35—shorts burned 📈
• Vs. Peers: 6x sales, below 9x avg—value?
• X Hype: “Top gainer”—bulls cheer 🌍
NASDAQ:CELH heats up—bargain or buzz?
(5/9) – RISKS IN SIGHT
• Overlap: Alani vs. CELH—cannibal clash? ⚠️
• Slowdown: North Am. down 6%—Pepsi hiccups 🏛️
• Comp: Rivals eye shelf space—tight race 📉
Hot move, but bumps lurk ahead!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Deal: $1.65B Alani—growth rocket 🌟
• Margin: 50.2%—profit punch 🔍
• Global: 39% intl. leap—worldwide zip 🚦
NASDAQ:CELH ’s firing on all cylinders!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Q4 dip, overlap risks 💸
• Opportunities: $ 2B sales, $50M synergies 🌍
Can NASDAQ:CELH juice up the doubters?
(8/9) – NASDAQ:CELH ’s 33% zap—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—$40+ in sight.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth’s cool, risks hover.
3️⃣ Bearish—Hype fades fast.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
NASDAQ:CELH ’s Q4 and Alani Nu deal spark a 33% leap—$332M, $1.65B buy 🌍🪙. Resilience shines, but overlap looms—champ or chase?
GBP/JPY "The Beast" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GBP/JPY "The Beast" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Book Profits, Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 192.500
Sell Entry below 187.000
However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
-Thief SL placed at 189.000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
-Thief SL placed at 189.000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers Primary TP 197.000 / Secondary TP 201.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 184.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook:
GBP/JPY "The Beast" Forex market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bearishness)., driven by several key factors.
🟠Fundamental Analysis
Interest Rates: BoE likely cutting to 4-4.5%; BoJ at 0.25-0.5%, supporting GBP/JPY upside mildly.
Inflation: UK at 2.5-3%, Japan at 2-2.5%, capping GBP strength, mildly boosting JPY.
Growth: UK GDP 1-1.5%, Japan ~1%, both modest, JPY favored in risk-off.
Trade/Geopolitics: U.S. tariffs may boost JPY, UK less exposed.
Energy: Stable oil prices (~$70) neutral for JPY.
🟤Macroeconomic Factors
USD Strength: Pressures GBP/JPY, JPY gains in risk-off.
Global Growth: 3% in 2025, U.S./China slowdown favors JPY.
UK Risks: BoE easing weakens GBP.
Japan Risks: Policy tolerance limits JPY gains.
🔴COT Data
Speculators: Net short JPY (~150,000 contracts), fading bearishness.
Hedgers: Net long JPY (~100,000), expect strength.
Trend: JPY bottoming, potential GBP/JPY decline.
🟣Market Sentiment
Retail: 70% short GBP/JPY, contrarian upside risk.
Social Media: Bearish GBP/JPY, JPY optimism.
Broker Data: 65% long, overcrowded, reversal possible.
🟡Positioning Analysis
Speculators: Moderating JPY shorts, bearish GBP/JPY.
Retail: Short cluster at 190.00, squeeze risk.
Institutions: Eye 184.000 target.
🔵Next Trend Move
Technical: Below 50/200 SMA (194.23/193.20), bearish.
Short-Term: Down to 185.00-183.00.
Medium-Term: Range 175.94-190.00.
Triggers: UK data up to 192.00, JPY strength to 180.00.
🟢Overall Summary Outlook
GBP/JPY at 189.000 reflects a tug-of-war between a weakening GBP (due to BoE easing and UK growth risks) and a cautiously strengthening JPY (safe-haven flows, modest BoJ tightening). Fundamentals favor a mild JPY edge, supported by macro trends like U.S. tariff impacts and global slowdown risks. COT data hints at a JPY bottoming, while sentiment and positioning suggest overcrowding in shorts, risking a brief squeeze.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Quick update The German elections went as expected, the next step is to form a viable coalition which is of course we'll have some ups and downs, but generally speaking I'm bullish on the euro for several reasons.
First of all, the biggest treat that Donald Trump will impose some kind of tariffs on the European Union is high but also the impact is not as severe as we anticipate. Well he can do it, as he wish but at the same time European Union also can hit hard, on the other hand if the Ukrain War will end, that will give a substantial boost for the European economy.
The USA is isn't in the situation where he can take several front trade Wars with everyone , without literally destroying their own economy. Just to bemore exact they cannot let that interest rates getting higher since it will directly affect the government interest payment on their future debts issuence which is already freakinghigh.
At least not now .
Inflation in the European Union is coming down which is also indicating that may the ECB have to cut once again the interest rate, that's that's not matter anymore because more or less it's already baked into the price, and we are already looking for the next cycle of red hikes, but until then this is a one-way Direction. It's up. Do you say it sooner or later will be forced also to lower the interest rates which gradually will take out the interest of the US dollar, hence the Euro again just getting another catalyst.
Price targe 1,0617-1,0650
DEEP buy 1,0375
FROM THE CURRENT LEVELS ONLY MODERATE BUYS. FOCUS IN PULLBACKS AND BIGGEN THAN -0,75%
Weekly Precious Metals Market Analysis:Silver (XAGUSD)-Issue 200The analyst believes that the price of XAGUSD will decrease within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend.
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Weekly Precious Metals Market Analysis:Gold (XAUUSD)-Issue 200The analyst believes that the price of XAUUSD will decrease within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend.
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
TAO/USDT Trading IdeaGETTEX:TAO is looking solid. It’s forming almost the exact same pattern as before that led to that juicy rally. Right now, there’s a high probability of a retest at $740 (potential 100% rally), and if we get a clean breakout, we could start exploring new ATH territories. Let’s see if this scenario plays out. Watching closely.
2/18/25 - $xyz - Starting position... 4 satoshi2/18/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:XYZ
Starting position... 4 satoshi
- look, this is a lil weird (hey. that's me), but as someone as many of you know, is v close to the bitcoin community, this particular message... was... let's say... convincing.
x.com
- imvho, jack is satoshi, or let satoshi use him as a decoy and therefore likely knows satoshi
- as someone who's followed jack for the last many many years, i respect his work tremendously.
- i have my issues w/ cash app, think there are many shortcomings of the payments business here... but ultimately think that vision and leadership and foresight will prevail
- stock based comp defn factors here into the FCF calc, but IF we see this thru a lens of well run co, structurally sound, we're looking at >5% yields at this pt.
- and if you just wanna do the PE game, <20x PE for comp'ing >20% growth for the next two years (i think that number will proved to be low), this stock is somehow ignored and won't be for long.
- it's a BTC beta play without some of the ecosystem issues the degens are facing, or without the difficult work that needs to be done w/ MSTR (also a buy, but nuanced).
- anyway. i'm making this a 5% equivalent position (2.5% notional, 2x leveraged) using my 2027 leap strategy. i'm a bit indifferent as to the ST results given i'd like to turn this core and do more work. think the valuation we r at today already makes sense and as you all know, i'm heavy cash. so i'm looking to deploy strategically.
lmk what you think. plan to do more work post on this more in the coming year.
V