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Fundamental Analysis

Bitcoin PerspectiveMany people have been confused by this Bitcoin cycle. Here I offer a different perspective taking into consideration both the halving dates and US Interest Rates. Keep in mind that interest rates tend to have a lagging effect on the market. Observations: - Slightly lagging behind interest rates higher rates seem to suppress Bitcoin's upward movement. Cause consolidation. - When interest rate hikes paused Bitcoin immediately started climbing. - Interest rates did not start rising until after the 2nd halving. - Interest rate hikes had already paused before the 4th halving. - During times of low interest rates Bitcoin has seen large growth. - (Outside this chart) The last 2 times the FED started cutting rates we reached 0.25 in less than 1 1/2 years. - The average Bitcoin Bull Cycle lasted between 756 days and 826 days. - We are currently 665 days into this cycle. I'll let you decide what this all means. I just thought I would share my observations.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by JoshuaDanford
BFLY LONG - Target $6+Been accumulating this stock, Breakout of the downtrend since 2013, Kind of a long post: Butterfly Network has demonstrated impressive growth and operational improvements in its Q3 2024 financial results. With a substantial increase in revenue and a strategic focus on market expansion and cost management, the company appears well-positioned for continued success. 1. Strong Revenue Growth: - Q3 Revenue: $20.6 million, up 33% YoY from $15.4 million. - Annual Revenue Guidance: Increased to $79 million - $81 million, indicating robust growth prospects. 2. Improved Financial Metrics: - Net Loss Reduction: Decreased by 38% to $16.9 million. - Operating Expenses: Reduced by 30% to $29.5 million, showcasing effective cost management. - Gross Profit: Increased to $12.2 million with a solid gross margin of 59.5%. 3. Market Expansion Initiatives: - Launch of the iQ3 device in Europe and entry into new markets such as Indonesia, the Netherlands, and Belgium. - Formation of the new subsidiary, Octiv™, targeting new sectors, indicating diversification of revenue streams. 4. Positive Operational Developments: - Successful adoption of Butterfly technology at the University of Rochester Medical Center and Kansas City University. - New partnerships in veterinary care and upcoming pilot for Butterfly HomeCare’s virtual chronic care management with a Medicare Advantage provider. 5. Strong Market Sentiment: - The fifth consecutive quarter of meeting or exceeding expectations - Insider ownership at 29.52% and an increase in insider transactions signal strong internal belief in the company's future. Given Butterfly Network's robust financial performance, strategic market expansions, and positive operational developments, the stock presents a compelling bullish opportunity. With strong insider ownership and positive analyst sentiment, Im accumulating, First target $6, possible $40 at some point.
NYSE:BFLYLong
by SPYDERMARKET
BTC - Thesis Now- SHORT!Overview This report outlines an intraday scalping strategy for Bitcoin (BTC) over the next 4 hours, leveraging short-term price movements. The analysis is updated every 25 minutes to allow for dynamic adjustments, optimizing potential profits and minimizing losses. The strategy is neutral, exploring both long and short positions based on current market conditions. Data Analysis Open Interest: Monitoring open interest at intervals of 1m, 5m, and 8h to gauge market participation and potential liquidity traps. Weighted Funding Rate: Analyzing funding rates to understand trader sentiment and potential funding costs. Liquidation Data: Identifying potential liquidation points to anticipate abrupt price movements exploitable in scalping. 2. CoinMarketCap Data Volume Analysis: Assessing trading volumes over 1m, 5m, 8h, and 24h intervals to determine liquidity and market activity levels. Circulating Supply: Observing changes in circulating supply that may affect price dynamics. Liquidity Score: Evaluating the liquidity score to understand the ease of entering and exiting positions. Candlestick Patterns: Identifying significant patterns that may signal upcoming price movements. Market Capitalization: Considering market cap for broader market context. 3. Sentiment Market Sentiment Analysis: Utilizing sentiment analysis to gauge top crypto sentiments, aiding in anticipating potential market shifts. 4. Sentiment News and Social Media Sentiment: Monitoring the latest news and social media trends to understand broader market mood and potential impacts on BTC's price. 5. Binance Data via TradingView Volatility Index: Assessing to determine the market's suitability for scalping strategies. Order Book Dynamics: Analyzing depth to identify significant buy or sell walls. Price Action Signals: Observing price action and candlestick patterns for potential breakouts or reversals. Momentum Indicators: Using RSI, MACD, Stochastic Oscillator, and Momentum to gauge the strength and direction of price trends. Technical Analysis Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently below 40, indicating potential oversold conditions. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): Showing a bearish crossover, suggesting downward momentum. Moving Averages: Price is below key moving averages, reinforcing bearish sentiment in the short term. Average True Range (ATR): Rising ATR indicates increasing market volatility, suitable for scalping but requires careful entry timing. Bollinger Bands: Price breaking below the lower band, signaling potential continuation of the downtrend or an oversold bounce. Stochastic Oscillator: Entering the oversold region, which may precede a short-term bounce but also confirm the current downtrend. Volatility Analysis Increased Volatility: Ideal for scalping but necessitates vigilant monitoring to avoid sudden adverse price movements. Bollinger Bands Expansion: Confirms heightened volatility. Order Book Dynamics Sell Walls: Significant sell walls detected, possibly indicating strong resistance levels and potential for price declines. Buy Walls: Less pronounced, suggesting weaker support levels in the current market context. Price Action Signals Bearish Candlestick Patterns: Observed patterns like bearish engulfing suggest potential further downside. Breakouts and Reversals: Monitoring for any signs of trend reversals to adjust strategy accordingly. Momentum Indicators Negative Momentum: Supports the bearish outlook, aligning with other technical indicators. Convergence of Indicators: Multiple indicators pointing toward a short position increase confidence in the trade setup. Market Sentiment Mixed Sentiments: News and social media show mixed feelings, but prevailing negative sentiments could exert additional downward pressure on BTC's price. Sentiment Shifts: Keeping an eye on any sudden changes that could impact price movements. Trade Recommendation Outcome: OPEN_SHORT Confidence Level: 85% Current Price: $69,400.61 Stop Loss: $70,500 Take Profit: $67,500 Exit Point: $68,000 Entry Signal Criteria Timeframe: 15-minute charts. RSI: Below 40. MACD: Bearish crossover confirmed. ATR: Rising, indicating increasing volatility. Bollinger Bands: Price breaking below the lower band. Stochastic Oscillator: Entering oversold region. Important Considerations Alignment of Indicators: Only enter OPEN_SHORT positions when all enhanced indicators align to signal a strong entry point. Risk Management: Avoid entries during high-risk periods, such as significant news releases or market anomalies. Continuous Monitoring: Vigilantly monitor the market for sudden changes and adjust the strategy to prevent losses due to unexpected price movements. Current Open Positions Open LONG Positions: 0 Open SHORT Positions: 0
Short
by titankarma
1
MY TV COMPETITION WTICOUSD LONG IDEA 01/11/2024Direction: Long SL: 66.862 Indicators: 1. MA (20,50,100,200) 2. Trendline - Algo 3. Support and Resistance 4. Fib Level 5. I also use MT5 - Tradingcentral tools Technical: 1. MA 20 Yellow is below the MA 100 and 200 (Purple and Red) but looking for it to reverse and go up and above the 50,100, and 200. 2. Green Trendline was broken recently. 3. Price bounced off from a support zone. 4. FIB level at 0.382. 5. Tradingcentral tool signaling Rise on Time frames 15m,1h,and 4h but it is bearish and signaling DECLINE on daily time frame at the moment. Fundamental and economic: 1. Geopolitical tension is adding some volatility to OIL prices. 2. I use Edgefinder tool which shows me a score of -3 "bearish" on USOIL but I think this trade idea is for short term and more of a "I predict that this might go to xyz based on the technical and fundamental insights". 3. We are in Q4 and usually there is alot of volatility mostly bearish but I'm going against it since we have US elections coming up.
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by stingotho
MY EURUSD SHORT IDEA 01/11/2024Direction: Short SL: 1.0849 Checklist: - MA 20 going downward - Break of Trendline - Fib level - Bounce from a Support/Resistance - Penetrate a Support/Resistance - Edgefinder Score - Correlation Confluence - Trading Central Preference Technical: 1. MA 20 Yellow is falling to MA 100 and 200 (Purple and Red). 2. Red Trendline was broken recently. 3. Price bounced off from a Resistance zone. 4. No FIB level found. 5. Tradingcentral tool signaling DECLINE on Time frames 15m,1h,and 4h but it is bullish and signaling RISE on daily time frame at the moment. 6. Q4 seasonality is bullish actually but with a short term bearish. Fundamental and economic: 1. I use Edgefinder tool which shows me a score of -1 "Neutral Bearish". 2. We have US elections coming up and regardless of which president wins it’s going to be bullish for USD. 3. US NFP came out horrible 12k but market wants a revision and is in a speculative state. 4. EUR / DE10Y is falling. 5. USD is on the rise after a recovery. 6. VIX spiked a little.
Short
by stingotho
Amazon - The +150% All Time High Breakout!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) is hugging the previous all time high: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Amazon has been moving sideways for almost four years, consolidating between support and the previous all time high. After retesting the resistance over and over again, it is just a matter of time until Amazon will break the previous all time high and start its next major bullish cycle. Levels to watch: $190, $500 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by basictradingtv
8
Myro/USDT Price Analysis: Potential Bullish Reversal with TargetBased on the chart you've provided, here is an analysis of the Myro/USDT (presumably a memecoin) price action and potential trade setup: Support Zone: The green rectangle around 0.09557 represents a support area. This zone has likely acted as a support in the past and could serve as a strong level for potential reversals or entry points for buyers. Moving Average (Green Line): There’s a moving average line on the chart, which appears to represent a trend indicator. The price is currently below this line, indicating a bearish trend or resistance zone. However, if the price moves above this moving average, it could signal a shift to bullish momentum. TP-1 and TP-2 (Take-Profit Targets): TP-1 is marked at 0.12821, which is the first potential resistance level. If the price reaches this point, it could be a good opportunity to take partial profits. TP-2 is marked at 0.16610, which represents a second, higher take-profit level. This is likely based on historical resistance or key Fibonacci levels.
Long
by bullanceprime
1
Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: 28 October - 1 NovemberWeekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: NASDAQ 100, US Dollar, GOOGLE, MSFT Shares Price Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights - NASDAQ 100 CONSOLIDATES AHEAD OF MAJOR MARKET LEADER EARNINGS REPORT - DOLLAR CONTINUES AGGRESSIVE RISE AHEAD OF U.S. ELECTIONS - ALPHABET INC. (GOOGL) SHARES RISE TO $180 FOLLOWING EARNINGS REPORT - MICROSOFT (MSFT) SHARES DECLINE DESPITE STRONG EARNINGS REPORT 🌐 FXOpen official website: www.fxopen.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by FXOpen
1
DID THE NFP SAVE USDCHF?Fundamental Analysis: Economic Indicators: Look at economic data from both the U.S. and Switzerland, such as GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates (CPI), and trade balances. Strong U.S. data generally supports USD strength, while positive Swiss data does the same for CHF. Monetary Policy: The policies of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Swiss National Bank (SNB) are critical. If the Fed is increasing interest rates, the USD may strengthen against the CHF, which traditionally has lower rates. Geopolitical Factors: Switzerland is known for its political stability and neutrality, often seen as a safe haven during global uncertainty, which can boost demand for CHF.
Long
by MarshallJay
7