WTI Is Madness Right NowOil impresses with insane movements. Today, the price lost almost 16 % of its value within one day. Time to speculate on a small countermovement - we are hopelessly oversold!
Fundamental Analysis
NAS Might Drop Due to Middle East TensionsWild times, eh?
In the midst of a new war in the Middle East, the NASDAQ (like most other indices) is bursting with symbolic strength.
Will it do well? One may doubt it.
Here is a short idea with a conservative target, supported by clearly bearish RSI divergences.
GBPJPY Bullish Momentum AnalysisGBPJPY Bullish Momentum Analysis
The GBPJPY pair is currently under bullish pressure, having broken through key resistance levels suggesting the potential for further upside continuation. This movement is supported by a weakening Japanese yen, driven in part by the continued strength of the US dollar and rising global yields.
Resistance Levels 200.00
Support Levels 196.000
Technically Key resistance and small correction the bullish structure has not broken the price returns break and get there resistance.
You May find more detils in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Bitcoin Holding Above $100K – Bullish Bias IntactIn my previous analysis, I mentioned that a daily close below $100K would trigger a short bias. However, price closed above the $100K level, sweeping liquidity and rejecting the downside.
This move invalidates the bearish setup and confirms a bullish continuation. Market structure remains intact, and we're now looking for potential long setups on retests or pullbacks.
Key Points:
Liquidity sweep below $100K
Daily close above key support
Bullish structure remains valid
Watching for continuation targets and retests
📍 Stay patient and follow price action. Structure never lies.
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #LiquiditySweep #BullishContinuation #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoTA
GBPUSD Sellprice mitigated an Order Block during London open and should head downward to take out Asia liquidity to complete daily cycle.
XAUUSD for buying on H1 good zone for buying
OB is good
divergance
trend now for sell but we will take agood points
XAUUSD Breaks Trend – Deeper Correction Ahead?Gold (XAUUSD) has just broken below its rising H4 trendline and the key support zone around 3,340 – a strong signal for a potential short-term downtrend. A sharp bearish candle with high volume confirms sellers are now in control.
The 3,360–3,365 zone has flipped into resistance and may act as a retest area before further declines.
If price fails to hold 3,320,
the next targets are 3,300–3,280,
possibly down to 3,260.
Volume Profile indicates money is leaving the upper range, reducing the chance of a strong rebound.
Preferred strategy: wait for a pullback to 3,355–3,365,
set SL above 3,370,
and aim for TP at 3,300–3,280.
Caution: the Fed’s “higher for longer” stance and USD strength are applying pressure on gold. Long positions are risky at this stage. Monitor the 3,300 level closely for potential buyer reaction.
Are you ready for the next wave of gold market?Gold fell back as expected after opening high. Today's strategy arranged long orders at 3350-3352, and successfully closed the market at around 3362 with profit. The subsequent three short orders also closed the market at a profit as expected. The points were perfectly predicted, and the long and short positions were perfectly grasped during the day. The strategic ideas were disclosed in advance and all were fulfilled.
At present, the overall trend of gold is still bullish, and it is in the adjustment stage in the short term. The large range this week is 3340-3405. Although there is a rebound, the upward pressure is still not small, and the gold price may continue the wide range of long and short fluctuations. Pay attention to the 3355-3340 area below. In terms of operation, long orders are arranged according to the strength of the retreat; pay attention to 3385 in the short term above. If it can effectively break through, look at 3395-3405. The strong pressure is still at the 3405 line. If it does not break, it will still fall under pressure. On the contrary, if it stabilizes, it is expected to hit last week's high.
Operation suggestion: When gold falls back to around 3355-3340, long orders can be arranged in batches, with the target at 3370-3380. Short orders will be adjusted according to the real-time market, please pay attention to the bottom 🌐 notification for specific points.
Gold – Daily Trading Plan (Tuesday 24 June 2025)Risk-off demand fading:
A Middle-East cease-fire headline knocked some “safe-haven” premium out of Gold overnight.
Firm USD & higher-for-longer Fed stance: Dollar strength keeps metal under pressure.
Spot reference: 3 325 $/oz at 09:30 CET after an Asian-session sweep to 3 316 $.
A) Short on pull-back
Action : Sell 3 340–3 350 $ (FVG cluster + trend-line retest)
SL : M15 close > 3 360 $
TP : 3 316 $ → 3 300 $ → 3 285 $
B) Momentum continuation
If price fails to rally above 3 334 $ and prints a fresh bearish engulfing M15
Invalidation : Micro high > 3 335 $
Target : Same downside ladder
C) Bullish rescue (low-prob)
Clean break & H1 close above Asian High 3 357 $ + fill of H1 FVG
Invalidation : H1 close > 3 368 $
Target : 3 390 $ / 3 405 $
As long as 3 357 $ caps any rebound, bias stays short-side, favouring sell-the-rally opportunities into the 3 340s with room down to the psychological 3 300 $ handle (and 3 285 $ extension).
Flip to neutral/long only on an H1 closure above 3 360 – 3 368 $.
MAHARASHTRA SEAMLESSExcellent consolidation and movement on peiodic basis has resulted a beautiful formation. Fundamentally , this is a very good script and one should enter for long term as well. Right now, it is in very goood spot for accumulation in 678 to 689 range . Breakout is expected soon.
EURAUD: Aussie Strength Supported by Peace in the Middle EastEURAUD: Aussie Strength Supported by Peace in the Middle East
EURAUD confirmed a small double top pattern, and news of a ceasefire in the Middle East between Israel and Iran gave the Aussie a boost.
All the candles have been read so far, showing that the AUD has come back stronger.
Given that it has been overbought for a long time, it's expected that a small pause will occur before EURAUD can fall further.
The first target I am looking at is near 1.7740 and 1.7650.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Forex Market: Myth or Strategy? — Analysis by Valtrix GroupEvery year in June, forex traders pay close attention to historical price movements, hoping to identify recurring seasonal patterns. But does June really offer a strategic edge, or is it a marketing myth and an overrated idea?
At Valtrix Group, we view seasonality as a secondary but useful filter — especially during periods of low volatility and a lack of macroeconomic catalysts.
What Does History Tell Us?
Historical data on major currency pairs (EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD) shows that June often exhibits:
A rise in volatility in the first half of the month — driven by inflation data releases (U.S., EU);
Moderate strengthening of the U.S. dollar, particularly between the FOMC meeting and the quarterly earnings season;
In some years — flat movements caused by low liquidity ahead of the summer holiday season.
However, long-term statistics are mixed. For example, from 2013 to 2023, EUR/USD rose in June in 6 out of 10 years and declined in 4, showing no strong directional bias.
Why Seasonality Doesn’t Always Work
The forex market is driven not only by technicals and statistics but also by macroeconomics, geopolitics, and monetary policy. When major events occur in June (Fed meetings, crises, elections), seasonal patterns can easily be disrupted.
Moreover, algorithmic trading and arbitrage strategies reduce the likelihood of consistent price movements repeating year after year.
LemontreeThe stock has tested patience and at tge same time respected the charts
I am highly convinced that this stock will breakout and it would breakout huge, one 20% UC is highly expected followed by series of green candles eventually taking it to target of 178.
Amazon “All-In” on UK InvestmentIon Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Amazon announced on Tuesday an ambitious £40 billion investment in the United Kingdom over the next three years. The goal: to boost technological innovation, expand its logistics network, and strengthen the infrastructure needed for artificial intelligence development across Europe.
According to the company, this investment will contribute approximately £38 billion to the UK’s GDP and includes the construction of four new fulfilment centres, delivery stations, and upgrades to Amazon’s more than 100 existing operational sites in the country. Part of this expansion will create 4,000 new jobs in Hull and Northampton, in addition to new roles in the East Midlands and other regions.
A significant portion of the plan includes the £8 billion previously announced in September 2024 for AWS data centre development through 2028. This move reinforces Amazon’s commitment to cloud computing leadership and AI-driven services.
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer described the announcement as “a huge vote of confidence in the UK as a place to do business,” while Amazon CEO Andy Jassy highlighted the company’s steady growth in the country over the past 27 years.
Fundamental Analysis: Strong Results with a Cautious Outlook
As of yesterday’s close, Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) shares slipped by –0.62%, ending the session at USD 208.47. However, the Q1 2025 financials reveal a robust growth trajectory:
• Revenue: USD 155.7 billion (+9% YoY)
• Net Income: USD 17.1 billion (+64%), with EPS at USD 1.59
• AWS: USD 29.3 billion in revenue (+17%), with an operating margin near 40%
• Amazon Ads: USD 13.9 billion (+19%), consolidating as a key revenue driver
• Operating cash flow: USD 113.9 billion over the last 12 months
Despite this strength, the company issued a conservative outlook for Q2, which applied some pressure on markets: operating income is expected between USD 13.0 and 17.5 billion, below analysts’ consensus.
Technical Analysis: Solid Support, But Breakout Needed
From a technical standpoint, Amazon maintains the bullish structure initiated in November 2023. It is currently trading near the technical resistance range of USD 191–218, a breakout above which could pave the way toward the current high of USD 242.52.
• Key support: USD 202.04
• Moving averages: The 50-day MA is above the 200-day MA, and the 100-day MA has remained consolidated above both since the bullish crossover on May 30
• RSI: Neutral (~51%), providing room for further upside after the last failed attempt to break the USD 217.96 resistance
A confirmed break above USD 218 could signal a renewed expansion phase. Conversely, a drop below the USD 200 mark would test the bullish channel and could lead to a correction toward the current point of control near USD 187, or even lower toward USD 165, which marks the current technical floor.
Conclusion
Amazon combines operational strength with a long-term strategic vision in Europe. Its commitment to the UK—through investment in logistics, technology, and sustainability—reinforces its role as a key player in the continent’s digital transformation. In the markets, despite a cautious guidance, Amazon’s fundamentals remain solid, and its stock continues to offer opportunities in a stable growth environment.
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Bitcoin to revisit $100k | Summer price target = $120kGeopolitical tension is causing fear in the markets. Today, Bitcoin fell from $107.7k to current price $105k with no sign of buyer support whatsoever, printing 11 consecutive H1 red candles intraday. Like a hot knife through butter.
At $105k, there is very little support. Sell volume absolutely overshadowed the tiny buy volume. Bulls have yet to close a green candle. I believe in the next few hours Bitcoin will be trading at $104k, followed by the first stop $102k.
$102k can serve as an entry point, depending on how price reacts. $100k is the optimal entry point for maximum profit, after mass liquidations. Retail traders are confident that the liquidity hunt is over after the initial tap, placing stops and liquidation levels at $100k.
Invalidation level will be beyond the 200SMA. The 200SMA have historically proven itself time and time again as a safe zone during rallies after golden crosses.
Can Geopolitics Power Tech's Ascent?The Nasdaq index recently experienced a significant surge, driven largely by an unexpected de-escalation of tensions between Israel and Iran. Following a weekend where U.S. forces reportedly attacked Iranian nuclear sites, investors braced for a volatile Monday. However, Iran's measured response - a missile strike on a U.S. base in Qatar, notably without casualties or significant damage - signaled a clear intent to avoid wider conflict. This pivotal moment culminated in President Trump's announcement of a "Complete and Total CEASEFIRE" on Truth Social, which immediately sent U.S. stock futures, including the Nasdaq, soaring. This rapid shift from geopolitical brinkmanship to a declared truce fundamentally altered risk perceptions, alleviating immediate concerns that had weighed on global markets.
This geopolitical calm proved particularly beneficial for the Nasdaq, an index heavily weighted towards technology and growth stocks. These companies, often characterized by global supply chains and reliance on stable international markets, thrive in environments of reduced uncertainty. Unlike sectors tied to commodity prices, tech firms derive their value from innovation, data, and software assets, which are less susceptible to direct geopolitical disruptions when tensions ease. The perceived de-escalation of conflict not only boosted investor confidence in these growth-oriented companies but also potentially reduced pressure on the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy, a factor that profoundly impacts the borrowing costs and valuations of high-growth technology firms.
Beyond the immediate geopolitical relief, other crucial factors are shaping the market's trajectory. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming testimony before the House Financial Services Committee, where he will discuss monetary policy, remains a key focus. Investors are closely scrutinizing his remarks for any indications regarding future interest rate adjustments, particularly given current expectations for potential rate cuts in 2025. Additionally, significant corporate earnings reports from major companies like Carnival Corporation (CCL), FedEx (FDX), and BlackBerry (BB) are due. These reports will offer vital insights into various sectors' health, providing a more granular understanding of consumer spending, global logistics, and software security, thereby influencing overall market sentiment and the Nasdaq's continued performance.
GOLD: In a Very Complex ScenarioGOLD: In a Very Complex Scenario
Gold remains in a highly complex scenario, as price action appears disconnected from current news events.
The absence of bullish volume is concerning and suggests a lack of conviction in the market.
A significant move may unfold precisely when it's least anticipated.
You may watch the analysis for further details
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Gold, Will USA-Iran-Israel conflict affect it? The USA-Iran-Israel conflict can significantly impact gold prices. Gold is a safe-haven asset, so demand often rises during geopolitical tensions, pushing prices up
3406 gonna be first target for me, if it breaks this lvl with huge volume and FVG on 1h+ then most likely we will see ATH in near future
bearish scenario(lest likely) - price breaks down 3340 and close with nice volume and fvg on 1h+ which will open move all the way down to MO
Iran and Israel ceasefire? Gold price falls and adjusts
📌 Gold information:
Gold prices continued to be well supported during the North American trading session following the breaking news of Iran's retaliatory attack on the US military base in Qatar. The escalation was a response to Washington's weekend attack on Iran's nuclear facilities. As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East dominated the headlines, investors largely ignored US economic data
Macroeconomic indicators have taken a back seat as the intensification of the conflict has affected market sentiment. Arab TV cited Israeli media reports that Iran used missiles to attack US bases in Qatar, Kuwait and Iraq. In further escalation, Tehran approved the closure of the strategic Strait of Hormuz and launched more missiles at Israeli targets, which amplified the safe-haven demand for gold.
The situation in the Middle East has mixed signals. Trump announced a "stop" to the Iran-Israel conflict, while the exchange of fire between the two sides continued, and the proportion of gold longs fell back
📊Commentary Analysis
Gold prices responded to the reduction of positive news on peace in the Middle East and continued to rise.
💰Strategy Package
Short when the price rebounds to around 3370, stop loss at 3480, target at 3350-3388 points
Long around 3310-3320, stop loss at 3300, target at 3360-3368 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
June 27 PCE inflation, stagflation is avoidable.The release of the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, due this Friday June 27, is the major macroeconomic event of the week. The Federal Reserve's (Fed) preferred inflation indicator, the PCE could play a decisive role in determining the direction of US monetary policy in the second half of 2025.
1) PCE inflation is the Fed's favorite inflation index
The economic context is particularly delicate. At its last meeting, the Fed maintained its key rate between 4.25% and 4.5%, while revising its macroeconomic projections. It now anticipates weaker growth, higher inflation and slightly higher unemployment by the end of 2025. This cautious stance reflects the many uncertainties, notably geopolitical and trade uncertainties, and tensions over raw materials, particularly oil. These factors could revive fears of a stagflation scenario, i.e. a combination of weak growth and persistent inflation.
Against this backdrop, the PCE figure for May is of strategic importance. The Fed remains attentive to what this indicator shows: confirmation of a slowdown in price rises would reinforce the hypothesis of a first rate cut as early as September. Conversely, an unexpected rebound, driven in particular by energy prices or the new tariffs introduced by the Trump administration, could postpone this deadline and intensify tensions on financial markets.
2) The stagflation scenario is still avoidable
However, the immediate outlook for PCE seems relatively contained. According to leading indicators of underlying inflation, the components most sensitive to fluctuations in world prices, such as services and real estate, are not showing any signs of overheating. On the other hand, the recent rise in oil prices, stimulated by tensions in the Middle East, could lead to a temporary increase in nominal inflation. Its overall impact is estimated at around 10%, which remains moderate at this stage.
Beyond this release, markets are weighing up the chances of the Fed taking action ahead of its key meeting on Wednesday September 17. Should geopolitical uncertainty diminish and inflation figures continue to normalize, the conditions for monetary easing would be met. At present, ten FOMC members are leaning towards two rate cuts by the end of the year, while seven prefer to maintain the status quo. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was cautious, insisting on the need to be guided by economic data.
All in all, the June 27 ECP will act as an eye-opener. It will shed light on the current state of inflationary dynamics in the United States, and strongly influence investor expectations. If it reinforces the idea that inflation is converging towards the 2% target on a sustainable basis, markets could regain confidence in a more accommodating monetary policy.
In any case, the Fed will have to navigate skilfully between ambiguous economic signals, persistent exogenous risks and growing political pressure. Friday's PCE figure represents much more than a simple monthly indicator: it is a compass for US monetary strategy.
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Gold Price Analysis June 24Quite a surprise with a price gap down at the beginning of the day. A sweep to 3333 and a recovery to increase again in the Tokyo trading session.
This recovery to increase completely breaks the market's bullish wave structure.
3363 and 3335 are being watched in the Asian and European trading sessions today. This zone can be traded short-term in the sideways range. The SELL zone pays attention to the opening gap at 3368.
The upper range has some adjustments compared to yesterday in the direction of decreasing prices, so the SELL range 3386 and 3410 is being watched for trading. Support is still held as yesterday at the 3322 and 3296 zones.
