Fundamental Analysis
ADANI TOTAL GAS A QUICK MOVE UPIt is in the Verge to Complete the Inverted Head & Shoulder. 😍😍 Gear Up For a move above 800
Adani Total Gas Ltd (ATGL) has demonstrated strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives in recent periods. In the fiscal year 2024, the company reported a 15% increase in overall volume and a 20% year-on-year growth in the fourth quarter. This growth was supported by the addition of 91 new CNG stations, bringing the total to 547, and the expansion of piped natural gas (PNG) connections to 820,000 households. Financially, ATGL achieved a 27% year-on-year increase in revenue, reaching ₹4,813 crore, and a 23% rise in Profit After Tax (PAT) to ₹653 crore
In September 2024, ATGL secured $375 million in financing from international lenders, including BNP Paribas, DBS Bank, Mizuho Bank, MUFG Bank, and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation. This funding is intended to accelerate the expansion of its city gas distribution network across 13 Indian states, potentially serving up to 14% of India's population.
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 20, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) has seen an influx of buyers following its decline in the Asian session and a pause in its correction from the nearly four-week high reached on Friday against its US counterpart. An increase in Japan's core machinery orders for the second consecutive month has indicated a potential recovery in capital spending. Additionally, the likelihood of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) raising interest rates at its meeting later this week is also supporting the yen, which, along with moderate weakening in the US dollar (USD), has led the USD/JPY pairing back below 156.000 over the past hour.
Despite growing confidence that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will pause its rate-cutting cycle this month, signs of weakening US inflation may allow the central bank to continue lowering borrowing costs into 2025, which has been a key factor in the recent decline in US Treasury bond yields. This has narrowed the yield differential between the US and Japan and provided further support for the yen. However, the potential for new US President Donald Trump's trade policies to impact market sentiment could influence the yen's performance, particularly in anticipation of the Bank of Japan meeting scheduled for Thursday.
Trade recommendation: We follow the level of 156.000, if we consolidate above it we consider Buy positions, if we rebound we consider Sell positions.
XCU/USD "The Copper vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XCU/USD "The Copper vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade after the market pullback,
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 9500.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The XCU/USD (Copper) is expected to move in a bullish direction.
REASONS FOR BULLISH TREND:
Increasing Demand: The demand for copper is expected to increase due to the growing demand for electric vehicles, renewable energy systems, and other industrial applications.
Supply Constraints: The supply of copper is expected to be constrained due to production disruptions, mine closures, and declining ore grades.
China's Economic Growth: China's economic growth is expected to continue, which will drive up the demand for copper and other industrial metals.
Infrastructure Spending: The US and other countries are expected to increase their infrastructure spending, which will drive up the demand for copper and other construction materials.
Low Inventory Levels: The inventory levels of copper are currently low, which will lead to an increase in prices as demand increases.
Strong Export Demand: The export demand for copper is expected to remain strong, driven by demand from countries such as China, India, and South Korea.
Production Costs: The production costs for copper are expected to increase due to higher costs for inputs such as energy, labor, and equipment.
Government Policies: The government policies in countries such as Chile and Peru are expected to support the copper mining industry, which will lead to an increase in production and higher prices.
UPCOMING FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
US GDP Growth: The upcoming US GDP growth report is expected to show a strong economy, which could support copper demand and prices.
China's Economic Data: China's economic data, including GDP growth and industrial production, is expected to show a recovery, which could support copper demand and prices.
Copper Inventories: The upcoming copper inventory report is expected to show a decline in inventories, which could support copper prices.
Mining Production: The upcoming mining production report is expected to show a decline in production, which could support copper prices.
MARKET SENTIMENT:
Bullish Sentiment: 60%
Bearish Sentiment: 30%
Neutral Sentiment: 10%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XAUUSD H1, BEARISH TREND ACTIVATED After conducting a thorough analysis on the XAUUSD H1 time frame, I've identified a high-probability sell opportunity So, I Just Want To Share This With You my followers So, give your thoughts in comments.
Key Insights:
The market has already crossed the 1st Supply zone and is now breaking through the 2nd Demand zone, confirming a strong bearish trend.
The Regression trend indicator validates this downward momentum, mirroring previous market behavior.
Trade Details:
Gold Sell Now Entry: 2703
Stop Loss: 2723
First Target: 2683
Last Target: 2643
Trading Strategy:
I'm recommending a sell position on XAUUSD, leveraging the bearish momentum to reach our target levels.
With the market exhibiting a clear downward trend, I'm confident in this trade's potential.
Stay Informed!
As the market evolves, I'll keep you updated on any changes or adjustments to this trade setup.
Best wishes,
Publu
XAG/USD "Silver vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAG/USD "Silver vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade after the MA level Breakout 30.200,
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 3H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 31.400 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The XAG/USD pair is expected to move in a bullish trend, driven by several fundamental factors:
Increasing Demand: Silver demand is increasing, driven by its use in industrial applications, such as solar panels and electronics.
Limited Supply: Silver supply is limited, which could lead to a shortage and drive up prices.
Inflationary Pressures: Inflationary pressures are rising, which could lead to an increase in silver prices as investors seek safe-haven assets.
Weakening US Dollar: The US dollar is weakening, which could lead to an increase in silver prices as investors seek alternative assets.
Key Factors:
Industrial Demand: The increasing demand for silver in industrial applications is expected to drive up the price of silver.
Investment Demand: The ongoing economic uncertainty and inflation concerns are expected to drive up investment demand for silver.
Supply Constraints: The limited supply of silver and the decreasing production levels are expected to support the price of silver.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish Sentiment: 70%
Bearish Sentiment: 25%
Neutral Sentiment: 5%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
SOYBEAN CFD Commodity Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the SOYBEAN CFD Commodity market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A bull trade can be initiated on the MA level breakout of 1050.00.
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Target 🎯: 1130.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The SOYBEAN CFD is expected to move in a bullish direction.
REASONS FOR BULLISH TREND:
Weather Conditions: The weather conditions in the US and Brazil, the two largest soybean-producing countries, are expected to be favorable for soybean production. This will lead to a potential increase in supply, which will put upward pressure on prices.
Demand from China: China, the largest importer of soybeans, is expected to increase its imports of soybeans due to a shortage of domestic supply. This will lead to an increase in demand for soybeans, which will drive up prices.
US-China Trade Deal: The US and China have signed a trade deal, which includes an agreement to increase Chinese purchases of US agricultural products, including soybeans. This will lead to an increase in demand for soybeans, which will drive up prices.
Low Inventory Levels: The inventory levels of soybeans in the US are currently low, which will lead to an increase in prices as demand increases. When inventory levels are low, suppliers are less likely to offer discounts, and buyers are more likely to pay a premium to secure supplies.
Strong Export Demand: The export demand for soybeans is expected to remain strong, driven by demand from countries such as China, Mexico, and Japan. This will lead to an increase in demand for soybeans, which will drive up prices.
Production Costs: The production costs for soybeans are expected to increase due to higher costs for inputs such as seeds, fertilizers, and pesticides. This will lead to an increase in the cost of production, which will be passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices.
Government Policies: The US government has implemented policies to support soybean farmers, such as subsidies and tariffs. These policies will help to increase the profitability of soybean farming, which will lead to an increase in production and higher prices.
Market Sentiment: The market sentiment for soybeans is currently bullish, with many traders and investors expecting prices to rise. This will lead to an increase in demand for soybeans, which will drive up prices.
Technical Analysis: The technical analysis for soybeans is currently bullish, with the price trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. This indicates that the trend is upward, and prices are likely to continue to rise.
Seasonal Trends: The seasonal trends for soybeans are currently bullish, with prices typically rising during the summer months due to strong demand from countries such as China and Mexico.
These fundamental points suggest that the SOYBEAN CFD is likely to move in a bullish direction, with prices expected to rise due to strong demand, low inventory levels, and favorable weather conditions.
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
MES: Ice and Fire Could Blow the U.S. Economy Off its CourseCME: Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Futures ( CME_MINI:MES1! ) #Microfutures
In “A Song of Ice and Fire”, American author George Martin painted a mystical land where dragons spit out flame to destroy a whole city and a winter that last one hundred years. Game of Thrones, the popular HBO TV series, was adapted from Martin’s book.
In 2025, we seem to be reliving these moments. California wildfires have claimed dozens of lives, burnt down thousands of homes, and caused an estimated $250 billion in damage.
Meanwhile, Winter Storm Blair raged coast-to-coast, bringing heavy snow across the Great Plain to Mid-Atlantic. The storms shut down interstate highways, caused thousands of airport delays and racked up 350,000 power outages. At the time of this writing, Polar Vortex is bringing freezing temperature back to the lower 48 states.
These weather perils are very destructive. In my opinion, the forces of nature could cause real damage to the entire U.S. economy.
Firstly, we could see a rebound in inflation
The Bureau of Statistics (BLS) reported that US CPI increased 0.4% in December and went up 2.9% year-over-year (YoY). Of which, the energy index decreased 0.5% YoY with energy commodities gasoline and fuel oil falling 3.4% and 13.1%, respectively. In contrast, energy services such as electricity increased 2.8% and natural gas (piped) rose 4.9% YoY.
The chart shows a correlation between CPI and natural gas prices. The underlying logic is the U.S. economic reliance on natural gas. According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), about 43.1% of the electricity in the country was generated by natural gas.
In “Nat Gas: Trading the Weather”, I explained how cold temperatures increase natural gas demand for generating electricity and heating up homes.
Higher natural gas prices affect not just the storm-hit regions, the entire country also bears a higher cost for energy services. Larger utility bills raise the cost of producing and distributing all goods and services.
A leading indicator: When natural gas prices rise, inflation will likely go up.
Conclusion: As natural gas went up sharply, we could expect a higher CPI for January.
Secondly, we could see economic slowdown and higher unemployment
Many businesses in the passage of winter storms suffered loss of sales. People in parts of Los Angles were evacuated. The total cost for insurance payout, loss of revenue, debris cleanup and rebuilding amounts to hundreds of billions of dollars. Total US GDP was $28 trillion last year, or about $2.3 trillion per month. A quick calculation shows that the weather perils could shave off 1/10th of the US national output for the month of January!
Many S&P 500 companies are based in California or in the storm-hit regions. The actual damage to them will be revealed when they report quarterly earnings in April and May. The Bureau of Economic Analysis will report Q1 GDP on April 30th.
US unemployment has been on the rise since mid-2023. In my opinion, the A.I. driven technological revolution is responsible for many High-Tech layoffs. On January 10th, the BLS released its nonfarm payroll report and showed that unemployment in the Information sector was 98,000 in December 2024, up from 86,000 a year ago.
December is the busiest month for the Retail sector. However, retailers report total unemployment of 897,000 for the month, up 87,000 or 11% from December 2023.
When the BLS updates its payroll report in January, I expect to see higher unemployment data. The month-to-month data could be even worse, as January is usually a slow month after the December holiday season. In addition, winter storms and wildfires would push more businesses to shut down and lay off employees.
Finally, the uncertainty around economic policies under the new administration
I expect President Trump to raise “ice and fire” on his own. If his first term is any guide, we would see plenty of drastic policy changes impacting various industries. Uncertainties are not well embraced in the world of investment. Any new policy initiative could bring the market to chaos when the news breaks, regardless of its long-term effect.
During the first term, important policies (such as new tariff) were usually announced from Twitter tweets. This time around, they would likely come out of Truth Social tweets.
Trading with Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Futures
In my opinion, the U.S. stock market will face more volatility in the coming months. Key economic data could be disappointing for investors.
• When the January nonfarm payroll report is released on February 7th, monthly employment data could trend lower, while unemployment rate ticks up. Signals of economic weakness could send the stock market lower.
• When the January CPI data is released on February 12th, the headline inflation could move higher. If this is the case, the Fed is less likely to lower interest rates. The stock market will face downward pressure.
• The Fed will meet on January 29th. According to CME Group FedWatch Tool, the futures market prices a Fed decision of no-change at 97.9%. However, the market consensus shows that Fed Funds rates could drop to 3.25-4.00% by December, indicating 1-4 rate cuts in 2025. The Fed has not committed to any further rate cut.
www.cmegroup.com
Given these scenarios, a trader could explore short-term opportunities by shorting the S&P 500 prior to the Big Report Dates.
The CFTC Commitment of Traders report provides further support to this thinking. The latest data shows that, as of January 14th, Leverage Funds hold 151,543 long positions and 448,908 short positions for E-Mini S&P 500 futures.
Despite the S&P nearing its all-time high, “Smart Money” already turns bearish. Shorts outweigh longs by a 3-to-1 ratio.
• They are also bearish on Nasdaq 100, by a 1:2 long-short ratio (43,254 vs. 82,724)
• This contrasts with the Dow contracts sharply. Leverage funds own Micro Dow by a 3:2 long-short ratio (17,591 vs. 10,051) during the same period.
The MES contracts offer smaller-sized versions of CME Group’s benchmark S&P 500 futures (ES) contracts. Micro futures have a contract size of $5 times the S&P 500 index, which is 1/10th of the E-Mini contract.
Micro contracts are very liquid. CME Group data shows that 1,095,979 contracts were traded on Thursday, January 16th. Open Interest at the end of the day was 129,228.
Buying or selling 1 MES contract requires an initial margin of $1,525. With Friday closing price of 6,040, each March contract (MESH5) has a notional value of $30,200. Compared with investing in stocks, the futures contracts offer a built-in leverage of about 20 times (=30200/1525).
Hypothetically, if S&P futures price falls 10% to 5,436, the price change of 604 points (6,040-5,436) will translate into $3,020 in profit for a short position, given each index point equal to $5 for the Micro contract. Using the initial margin of $1,525 as a cost base, the trade would produce a theoretical return of 198% (=3020/1525).
The risk to short Micro S&P is that the US stock market continues its spectacular rally. To limit the downside risk, a trader could set up a stop-loss when entering a short position.
For illustration, a short trade executed at 6,040 could be combined with a 6,200 stop. If the S&P goes up to 6,500, the trader’s position would be liquidated well before that. The maximum loss would be $800 (= (6200-6040) * $5).
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Identifying Fakeouts and Enhancing Risk Management in TradingEducational Purpose:
This tutorial aims to educate traders on identifying fakeouts, understanding their characteristics, and improving risk management strategies to avoid common pitfalls.
Key Educational Points:
1. What is a Fakeout?
A fakeout occurs when the price temporarily breaks a key support or resistance level but fails to sustain the move, reversing quickly. It often traps traders who enter prematurely.
2. Spotting Fakeouts:
Volume Analysis: Fakeouts typically show weak volume during the breakout. Always confirm breakouts with a noticeable increase in volume.
Market Context: In range-bound or choppy markets, breakouts are less reliable. Look for additional confirmation before entering trades.
Follow-Through: Wait for at least one or two candles to close above resistance or below support after a breakout.
3. Risk Management During Fakeouts:
Set Tight Stop-Losses: Place stop-loss orders close to the breakout level to minimize losses if the move fails.
Use Confluence: Combine multiple factors (e.g., trendlines, moving averages, Fibonacci retracements) for stronger confirmation.
Plan Your Targets: Avoid overly aggressive targets unless the breakout is supported by strong market structure and volume.
4. Trading Psychology:
Patience is Key: Do not rush into trades at the first sign of a breakout. Wait for confirmations to reduce emotional decision-making.
Learn from Losses: Treat fakeouts as learning opportunities. Analyze what went wrong and refine your approach.
Practical Application:
In the attached chart of 1000BONK/USDT, a failed breakout (fakeout) highlights these principles:
Weak volume during the breakout.
Lack of follow-through above resistance.
A reversal that would have been avoided by waiting for confirmation.
This tutorial emphasizes that proper confirmation, risk management, and trading psychology are essential for avoiding fakeouts and improving overall performance.
Let me know your thoughts or share how you approach such situations!
GOLD is supported, but watch out for TrumpIn the weekend trading session on Friday (January 17), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot price decreased by 12 USD due to factors such as the recovery of the US Dollar and profit-taking activities of investors, along with some pressure from important technical areas.
TVC:DXY Rising prices have put pressure on gold prices, but with uncertainty over incoming President Donald Trump's policies and markets once again betting on further interest rate cuts, Gold remains in favor. Weakly tilted to the upside as prices broke above the key level of $2,700.
OANDA:XAUUSD hit a new high in more than a month on Thursday, just $65.60 shy of October's all-time high of $2,790.15. Gold prices rose 0.5% this week, the third straight weekly gain, after weaker-than-expected U.S. core inflation data on Wednesday fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates. capacity many times.
The market expects the Fed to cut interest rates twice before the end of this year, with Fed Governor Christopher Waller saying there could be further interest rate cuts if economic data weakens further.
Trump's policies make the market worried
The market is currently eagerly awaiting Mr. Trump's inauguration on January 20, which is expected to bring challenges to the gold market. Trump's strong rhetoric about supporting US manufacturing through trade tariffs continues to keep the US Dollar Index (Dxy) above 109 points, while also raising concerns about inflation and anxiety about a global trade war.
Aggressive markets will pay close attention to tariffs and fiscal spending policies, as these policies will directly affect economic growth, fiscal deficits and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Fed.
This week has been a pretty quiet data week. However, the event of Trump taking over the White House will be the focus, bringing expected market fluctuations that are huge fluctuations that traders need to pay special attention to.
Economic data to watch out for this week
Monday: US Presidential Inauguration, World Economic Forum Annual Meeting
Thursday: US weekly unemployment claims,
Friday: S&P Flash PMI data, US Existing Home Sales
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has not yet been able to surpass the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, a position that is important resistance for a continued uptrend that readers noticed in the previous issue.
Gold has also decreased and corrected since being under pressure from the 0.236% Fibonacci level, but in general, the downward momentum is not significant with technical conditions still tilting in favor of price increases.
In the coming time, as long as gold remains in the orange price channel, above EMA21 and POC Volume Profile, it still has a bullish outlook. Meanwhile, the up trending RSI maintained its activity above the 50 level, showing that there is still wide room for price growth ahead.
Once gold breaks the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level it could open a new bullish cycle targeting $2,750 in the short term, more than the all-time high.
The technical uptrend of gold will be noticed again by the following levels.
Support: 2,693 – 2,676USD
Resistance: 2,730 – 2,750USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2741 - 2739⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2745
→Take Profit 1 2734
↨
→Take Profit 2 2729
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2659 - 2661⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2655
→Take Profit 1 2666
↨
→Take Profit 2 2671
BTC/USD chart Analysis Hello Guy's Must Support Me And Share Your Thoughts In Comments Section Thanks Trade Safely
BTC/USD chart Analysis
Technical Analysis:
1. Resistance and Support Zones:
Resistance: The price is approaching the resistance zone near $108,500, marked as the TP2 zone.
Support: Multiple supports are evident near $102,000 and $96,000.
2. Trend:
The price has formed a higher high (point 7), suggesting bullish momentum. However, potential resistance at the $107,000 (TP1) level could lead to temporary consolidation.
3. Patterns:
The price has shown repeated bounces from support zones (points 2, 4, 6), indicating strong buying interest at those levels.
4. Targets:
Short-term: TP1 at $107,000.
Medium-term: TP2 at $108,500.
Fundamental and Geopolitical Context:
1. Fundamentals:
Recent global adoption trends or news related to Bitcoin may be driving increased demand.
Macroeconomic factors, such as inflation and central bank policies, could be influencing the bullish sentiment.
2. Geopolitical Influence:
Any geopolitical instability may be enhancing Bitcoin's appeal as a hedge, pushing prices upward.
Regulatory news or acceptance in key markets may further support this trend.
Conclusion:
The trend is bullish, with strong momentum toward resistance at $108,500. Traders should watch for a breakout above resistance or a potential pullback to the $102,000 support. Fundamental and geopolitical factors may further reinforce Bitcoin's upward movement.
NOTE: This Analysis For Educational Purposes Only Not A Trading Advice
Gold price analysis January 20The sudden rebound to 2690 turned out to be a condition that the bulls had been waiting for. The price was pushed to 2696 and is heading towards the resistance at 2702. The bullish bias is taking precedence over the bearish signals. The buy zones are 2676 and 2660. The target is the old highs at 2625 and 2750 which are the targets for all buy signals this week.
Gold Price Analysis January 17Fundamental Analysis
Growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve will pause its rate-cutting cycle later this month and bets on a rate hike by the Bank of Japan next week are weighing on non-yielding gold. That said, expectations that softer inflation in the US will allow the Federal Reserve to cut rates further this year, leading to recent declines in US Treasury yields and the USD, will limit losses for XAU/USD. However, XAU/USD is still on track to end in positive territory for the third consecutive week.
Technical Analysis
Gold’s path of least resistance remains at 2622-2632-2648, which is seen as a target for BUY signals. Currently, if the gold price closes above 2713, we can BUY now with SL Stoploss set below 2710. In case the H1 candle cannot close above 2713, we will sell to 2700 to have a BUY strategy around the support of 2700. Break 2700, do not buy anymore and wait for 2665 to BUY.
Gold Ascending Triangle BreakoutTechnical Analysis:
The possibility of Gold breaking the current resistance is higher than ever. This is the courtesy of the recent symmetrical triangle breakout and buyers stepping in at premium prices to push the yellow metal further upward.
Furthermore, we can see price maintaining the uptrend by respecting the trend lines; currently having price at a higher low.
Furthermore, Gold is currently trading at a Breaker Block and Daily Bullish fair value gap, where buyers may be interested to step in, as the FVG encapsulates two strong bullish unmitigated Demand zones, courtesy of previous week bullish price action.
In an unlikely scenario where Gold breaks these levels, it’ll be important to carefully assess the market for any support/ demand zones.
However, the current chart patterns and price action supports a bullish sentiment.
Fundamental Analysis:
The inauguration of Donald Trump as the president of USA and his high tariff proposals which creates uncertainties in the market with the inflation building up and a possible Fed rate cut all hand their consent to a bullish continuation to the yellow metal.
Geopolitical tensions which remain open to escalation are also increasing the safe-haven demand of the yellow metal.
It is important to monitor market movements, use a good risk management plan with predetermined stop losses when approaching the market, as market conditions are fully subject to sudden for gradual changes.
Wishing all traders a profitable week!
TRUMP TRUMP TRUMPBUYING at the lowest rate. gives you a good opportunity to invest in long term profitable portfolio. (if only trump wins) if not, then you can just breakeven whatever way you can. who doesnt wanna try their lucks here? so lets goo.
not a financial advice. do your own research before executing any trade
Bitcoin - Roadmap 2025 to 2026 (Best plan)This analysis is all you need for 2025 and 2026 from the long-term perspective. Bitcoin is currently in the final stage of the bullish cycle that started in 2022 (15,632 USDT) and is predicted to end in 2025 (around 125,000 USDT). This was a pretty good investment, but if you are jumping in right now, you will most likely get hurt in 2025 and 2026. Let's take a look at history to see what we can expect in the next few years.
Bitcoin crashed by 84% (in 2018) and 77% (in 2021). These are the classic bear market crises that Bitcoin experiences every 3–4 years. It's because we have halving events (reducing rewards for miners in BTC) every 4 years from a fundamental perspective. You may know that Bitcoin is highly volatile. History is telling us that in 2025/2026 a huge bear market and crisis are ahead.
But bitcoin's market capitalization is constantly rising, and big players are entering the market. That's to say there is no longer room for such massive crashes. I don't think we will see an 87% crash like in 2015 or 2021. But 60% is still very likely—this would bring the price of Bitcoin down from 125,000 to 50,000. If you buy now at 100,000 USDT, your investment may shrink by 50% in 2026. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years.
So where to take profit in 2025 and prepare for a massive crash? This is a pretty easy question because we have a long-term trendline (2017 -> 2021 -> 2025) on the linear scale. And yes, I don't use the LOG scale in this case. You want to sell at the touch of the trendline. The second option is to use the Fibonacci extension tool and look for the 1.618 FIB. I did it for you on this chart, and the level to sell is 122,069 USDT.
From the Elliott wave perspective, we are in the final wave (5). We can expect an ABC correction in 2025/2026 which would bring the price down to 50,000. I bring you this very strong technical data that you can use on your trading decisions.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Grab: Grabbing a RideGrab, often dubbed the "Uber of Southeast Asia," has solidified its position as a leading player in the region's rapidly growing digital economy, making it an exceptionally compelling investment. As of the latest reports, they boast a robust cash reserve of approximately $5.56 billion in cash and short-term investments, representing nearly 30% of its market capitalization. This financial strength provides a significant buffer for both growth initiatives and operational stability. From a financial perspective, Grab has consistently delivered impressive revenue growth, with projections indicating a 17-20% increase in 2024, and a potential acceleration in 2025, driven by its dominant presence in both the ride-hailing and food delivery sectors across eight Southeast Asian nations. Additionally, the company's adjusted EBITDA guidance has been upgraded by 15%, reflecting improving profitability and operational efficiency. Grab's strategic evolution into a super-app, integrating financial services such as digital payments and banking, further diversifies its revenue base, positioning the company as an attractive investment in a region poised for continued digitalization and economic growth.
The company has been strategically managing its finances by increasing its cash reserves and reducing its debt, a move that has positioned it favorably in the competitive ride-hailing and delivery market in Southeast Asia. This financial strategy is evident as Grab has been reported to have decreased its liabilities while bolstering its cash on hand, aiming for greater financial stability and operational flexibility. Simultaneously, Grab's partnership with Uber has been significant; after Uber sold its Southeast Asian operations to Grab in 2018, Uber retained a 25% stake in Grab, which not only facilitated Grab's dominance in the region but also allowed both companies to benefit from shared technology and market insights. This collaboration has been a cornerstone for Grab, enhancing its service offerings and market expansion while maintaining financial health.
$4.50 NASDAQ:GRAB
GENSLER'S EXIT AND TRUMPS INAGURATION! XRP IMPACT🔥 Hey hey, hope everyone's doing well today. Sure most of you are busy so I'll keep this short and concise. Thanks for tuning in as always.
🔥 With the exit of the SEC's Gary Gensler tomorrow as well as trumps inauguration in which many are anticipating, expecting trump to execute a series of executive orders, primarily in regards to the digital asset industry as he's voiced his support of cryptocurrencies and America holding a dominant position in the field.
🔥 Alongside trump's Inauguration we have Gary Gensler's exit which the crypto and digital asset industry is celebrating and no doubt that will be met with positive sentiment tomorrow alongside trump's inauguration. In lieu of Gensler's exit the SEC has also seen a number of ETF submissions highlighting what many are looking to as a positive road ahead for the digital asset space as many expect the SEC will take a kinder stance to the digital asset space now with Trump as soon to be president and Gary Gensler out of office. Referenced below is an article highlighting the recent ETF submission for any interested.
cointelegraph.com
So definitely expecting prices to be volatile tomorrow, anything can happen but as far as I can see, things look positive, it's been years in the work, but things are working well for Ripple and it's holders. We've persevered and the wait will be well worth it.
🔥 And as for a quick technical look, we're still within this descending channel so I'll be keeping an eye on that to see whether or not we can get a breakout or if we'll continue the trend down though with how tomorrow is looking, chances are we'll have a green day to say in the least. I've attached a 30 minute chart below for reference as well:
🔥 Have to go but as I said, a short and concise idea. Expect tomorrow to be volatile with news and positive sentiment likely driving the market so keep note of that and keep posted as always, let's make the best of it and thanks for tuning in, till next!
~ Rock '