Fundamental Analysis
BTCUSD Theres No Way We Can Hit 1 Million Dollar Bitcoin, Right?I think that Bitcoin is on its way to some serious numbers. Numbers that most think are impossible. So many think that this cycle has to be like previous cycles. Oh its 840 days in the last cycle from bottom to top, or 4 year cycles etc. Its all bogus, this time is different regardless of what you think. Bitcoin is being locked in the ETF now and soon to be reserves of states, countries, city states you name the whole world is going to hoard Bitcoin. There is no more sloshing of capital like you're used to to created an altcoin season. There is no more Bitcoin dominance dropping, like you're used. It is simply different and thats the facts jack. Everyone selling now is going to regret it.
I believe that Bitcoin from 2009 to the end of 2023 was one giant cycle. We are at the beginning of a new cycle for Bitcoin. If you think the last one was fun, just wait till you see this one. Ill paste a picture of what I mean below so you can understand what Im saying.
People calling Michael Saylor stupid, saying hes buying the top, like they are smarter than him, or Blackrock, any other hedge fund, or countries, or US states. Everyone who thinks that is they are smarter than these people are going to have a rude awakening.
1 Million is just the beginning. Over the next 10 years Bitcoin is going to go to numbers that no one can even fathom. Not even the dreamiest of Bulls. I bet Bitcoin could hit 30-50 million dollars over the next 10 years. Why do I say that?
The world, especially the United States is about to go into a massive productivity boom over the next 10 years, cheap energy, increased efficiency in all sectors, AI expansion, new inventions, and massive wealth transfers from the baby boom generation. Trump saying that America is entering a Golden Age is absolutely correct. We are going to witness the most epic bull run in history from now to about 2035. Sure there will be corrections and crashes along the way, but itll just be a higher low and then off to the races again.
The baby boom generation is sitting on 78 TRILLION DOLLARS of wealth currently. As baby boomers retire or pass away, their wealth will likely be passed on to their children and grandchildren. This transfer of wealth will help future generations buy homes, pay off student debt, make other purchases, and invest. This will benefit Bitcoin tremendously because now theres barely anyone under 50 investing in Gold or Silver anymore, that stuff is stone age currecny. We are entering a digital AI age, we're not moving backwards. The gold for the new digital golden age is Bitcoin. So much money and capital will flow into Bitcoin and other crypto assets, stock market etc. That is why the smart are loading up!
Its going to be beautiful, so just have a seat, buckle up its going to be wild. None of this is financial advice this is just my opinion.
RIOT next BTC to bull 🐂 road map I already provided RIOT analysis ⏰ successfully top 🔝 & correction completed 🚀
Unfortunately 😬 my 2 posts got disconnected against trading view rules 📌
Again making complete analysis for next bull run 🐂
Before entering pls #DYOR
Below this post I will update you everything 🙂
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Microsoft’s Momentum Could Be FadingMicrosoft has sputtered for months, and now some traders may see downside risk.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the pair of bearish gaps after earnings.
The software giant rebounded quickly in November, returning above its 21-day exponential moving average (EMA) and 200-day simple moving average (SMA).
Contrast that with January 30’s drop, when prices stayed under both moving averages. That session’s opening price around $418.77 has also emerged as resistance this month.
Second, the 50-day SMA is nearing a potential “death cross” below the 200-day SMA. That’s a potentially bearish long-term signal.
MACD has been negative and the 8-day EMA is below the 21-day EMA. Those are potentially bearish short-term signals.
Next, the stock has been trying to hold the November lows around $405. But if that level breaks, the August low under $386 may come into play.
Finally, MSFT has traded an average of 463,000 options contracts per day in the last month. (It’s the eight most active underlier in the S&P 500 in that time, according to TradeStation data.) That may create opportunity for options traders to position for a potential move toward the 52-week low.
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GBP/USD Wedge Breakout (24.2.25)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2567
2nd Support – 1.2515
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2/21/25 - $glob - Too extreme, swinging long2/21/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:GLOB
Too extreme, swinging long
- title says it all
- mkt is paying cash heavy portfolios to buy ex post over reactions and not play the russian roulette of EPS season
- feels like NASDAQ:NICE again, even if it's more expensive, diff company/ industry etc. etc. and more expensive.
- but come'on
V
ETHEREUM’S 2025—$ETH POWERS UP WITH ETFs & DEFIETHEREUM’S 2025— CRYPTOCAP:ETH POWERS UP WITH ETFs & DEFI
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview! Ethereum’s flexing muscle—ETFs and DeFi keep CRYPTOCAP:ETH humming 📈🔥. Institutional cash and altcoin grit shine—let’s unpack this crypto king! 🚀
(2/9) – ETF BUZZ
• Inflows: $SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:3B+ into ETH ETFs since July ‘24 💥
• Feb Surge: $500M+ in a week—BlackRock leads 📊
• Outlook: $10-15B by year-end?
Big players bet big— CRYPTOCAP:ETH ’s got juice!
(3/9) – DEFI DOMINANCE
• TVL: $120B locked in Feb ‘25—up from $78B 🌍
• Share: 60%+ of DeFi’s action 🚗
• Goal: $200B by Dec? Steno says maybe 🌟
Ethereum’s the DeFi backbone—unshaken!
(4/9) – ALTCOIN EDGE
• Altcoin Cap: $1.6T— CRYPTOCAP:ETH holds 10-12% 📈
• ETH/BTC: Climbing to 0.06—alt season whispers
• Vs. BTC: 57% dominance— CRYPTOCAP:ETH stands tall
Resilient king—altcoins rally behind! 🌍
(5/9) – RISKS ON RADAR
• Regs: Rules could snag ETF, DeFi growth ⚠️
• Rivals: Solana bites at CRYPTOCAP:ETH ’s heels 🏛️
• Price Dip: $2,632—off Jan highs 📉
Solid, but not bulletproof—watch out!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• ETFs: $ 3B+ inflows—cash keeps flowing 🌟
• DeFi: $120B TVL—ecosystem champ 🔍
• Stake: 54M+ ETH locked—rock steady 🚦
CRYPTOCAP:ETH ’s the muscle in crypto town!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: $ 2,632 lags inflows—sentiment lags 💸
• Opportunities: $ 200B TVL, Pectra lifts 🌍
Can CRYPTOCAP:ETH zap to new heights?
(8/9) – CRYPTOCAP:ETH ’s ETF & DeFi run—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—King keeps ruling.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth’s cool, risks hover.
3️⃣ Bearish—Rivals steal the crown.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
CRYPTOCAP:ETH ’s humming—$ 3B ETFs, $120B DeFi, altcoin grit 🌍. $ 200B TVL in sight, but rivals lurk. Champ or challenger?
IO Weekly Technicals Review [2025/08]: IO Prices Extend UptrendSGX TSI Iron Ore CFR China (62% Fe Fines) Index Futures (“SGX IO Futures”) rose last week, closing USD 1.30/ton higher by 21/Feb (Fri).
SGX IO Futures opened at USD 105.95/ton on 17/Feb (Mon) and closed at USD 107.25/ton on 21/Feb (Fri).
Prices briefly touched a weekly high of USD 109.30/ton on 21/Feb (Fri) and a low of USD 104.20/ton on 17/Feb (Mon). It traded in a range of USD 5.10/ton during the week, which was wider than the prior week.
Prices crossed the pivot point of USD 106.85/ton and R1 point of USD 108.10/ton during the week, closing between the R1 point and the pivot point at USD 107.25/ton.
Volume peaked on 20/Feb (Thu) as investor sentiment improved amid signs of recovery in China’s property sector.
Iron Ore Fundamentals in Summary
Prices climbed to their highest levels in more than four months as steel consumption recovery signs brightened demand outlook in top consumer China, where stimulus hopes have revived.
Prices also surged as supply tightened after an Australian cyclone Zelia likely disrupted seven million tons of shipments.
BHP and Rio Tinto reported weaker earnings due to falling iron ore prices but emphasized their strong position in the energy transition, particularly through copper assets. While the recent price rally provides temporary relief for major miners like Rio Tinto, BHP, Fortescue, and Vale, they face significant short- and long-term risks.
China's port IO stockpiles dropped by 0.78 million tons (-0.52%) WoW to 149.18 million tons for the week ending 21/Feb as per MMI data.
Based on seasonality, SGX IO Futures Mar contract trades 16.33% below its last 5-year average (USD 129.66/ton).
Short-Term MA Sustains Bullishness amid Strong Industrial Outlook
Formation of a golden cross on 17/ Jan (Fri) triggered a rally in iron ore with prices rising 5.2% over three weeks before losing steam on 14/Feb. Following tentative signs of China's property sector recovery, iron ore prices regained upward momentum this week.
Prices Trend Upwards Amid Potential Long-term Moving Average Convergence
IO prices are trading well above 100-day & 200-day DMAs. The narrowing gap between the long-term moving averages suggests a high possibility of convergence which could further confirm the uptrend. Will prices revert towards longer-term averages or sustain their upward trajectory?
MACD Signals Weakening Bullish Momentum, RSI Cross Portends Bears Ahead
The MACD line is near the signal line suggesting weakening momentum of the bullish trend. Meanwhile, the RSI is at 57.59, at neutral levels as it hovers around the midpoint, with its RSI-based moving average at 59.65. RSI MA forming a death-cross portends bearishness ahead.
Volatility Steady & IO Prices Closed Below 61.8% Fibonacci Level Amid Uptrend
Volatility remained steady this week. Prices traded between the 61.8% Fibonacci level (USD 107.65/ton) and the 50% level (USD 105.40/ton), closing below the 61.8% Fibonacci level. Going forward, 61.8% Fibonacci level (USD 107.65/ton) may act as resistance, with 50.0% Fibonacci level (USD 105.40/ton) as support.
Buying Pressure Softened & IO Prices Trade Below Upper Bollinger Band Levels
Buying pressure softened during second half of last week based on A/D indicator. IO prices climbed from the basis band to the upper band during the week and closed within the range at USD 107.25.
China’s Two Sessions: A Key Catalyst for Iron Ore Market Swings?
China's Two Sessions (Lianghui) is an annual political gathering in China where key economic and industrial policies are set. This can significantly impact China linked assets including iron ore. Over the past four years (2021-2024), prices have shown a pattern of pre-meeting speculation-driven gains, followed by declines due to policy interventions or cautious economic targets. While 2021 and 2022 saw initial optimism fueling price spikes before corrections, 2023 and 2024 featured steady declines amid weak demand and rising inventories. This trend underscores China's policy direction as a key driver of iron ore market fluctuations.
Source: SGX
IO Futures Only Aggregate Exposure
Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed Money participants are net long with 101.6k lots and 81.4k across all futures expiries. Physicals participants and Others are net short with 142.7k and 40.3k lots respectively across all futures expires. Managed Money increased net long positions, Physicals increased net short positions while FIs decreased net long positions last week. Overall futures open interest was 1,101,024 lots as of 14/Feb, while it was 984,935 lots as of 07/Feb.
Source: SGX
IO Futures & Options Aggregate Exposure
Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed Money participants are net long with 102.3k lots and 90.9k across all futures and options expiries. Physicals participants and Others are net short with 145.8k and 47.4k lots respectively across all futures and options expires. Managed Money increased net long positions, Physicals increased net short positions while FIs decreased net long positions last week. Overall futures and options open interest was 1,370,376 lots as of 14/Feb, while it was 1,234,295 lots as of 07/Feb.
Source: SGX
Historical Futures Aggregate Exposure by Market Participants
Physical participants have switched from net long to net short over the past month. Managed Money participants have switched from net short to being net long in the last two weeks. Financial Institutions continue to hold net long positions since the second quarter of last year.
Source: SGX
Hypothetical Trade Setup
IO prices surged to a four-month high, driven by a brighter China steel demand outlook amid renewed stimulus hopes. This mirrors past trends where economic support hopes drove pre-session gains in 2021 & 2022. Current rally signals renewed optimism of stronger policy support from Two Sessions.
IO prices sustained uptrend last week save a pull back on Friday T+1 session. The MACD signals weakening bullishness while the RSI MA formed a death-cross portending bearishness ahead. IO prices rose from above 50% Fibonacci levels to close marginally below 61.8% levels indicating signaling bullishness.
Against this backdrop, this paper posits a long position in SGX Iron Ore Futures expiring on 28th March 2025 (FEFH2025) with an entry at USD 106.20/ton combined with a take profit level at USD 111.60/ton and a stop-loss at USD 101.70/ton resulting in a reward-to-risk ratio of 1.2x.
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USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (148.600) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 152.300 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔰 Fundamental Analysis
- The Bank of Japan's (BOJ) monetary policy decisions significantly impact the yen's value. The BOJ's negative interest rate policy and quantitative easing program have contributed to the yen's depreciation.
- The US Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions also influence the USD/JPY exchange rate. Higher interest rates in the US can attract investors, causing the dollar to appreciate.
- Japan's trade balance and current account deficit can impact the yen's value. A large trade deficit can lead to a depreciation of the yen.
🔰 Macroeconomic Factors
- Inflation: Japan's inflation rate has been relatively low, which can impact the BOJ's monetary policy decisions.
- GDP Growth: Japan's GDP growth rate has been slow, which can impact the yen's value.
- Unemployment Rate: Japan's unemployment rate has been relatively low, which can impact the labor market and inflation.
🔰 COT Data
- Non-Commercial Traders: These traders, including hedge funds and individual investors, hold a significant portion of the USD/JPY futures market.
- Commercial Traders: These traders, including banks and other financial institutions, hold a smaller portion of the USD/JPY futures market.
🔰 Market Sentiment Analysis
- Bullish Sentiment: Some investors are bullish on the USD/JPY due to the interest rate differential between the US and Japan.
- Bearish Sentiment: Others are bearish due to concerns about Japan's economy and the potential for the BOJ to intervene in the currency market.
🔰 Positioning
- Long Positions: Some investors have taken long positions in the USD/JPY, betting on a continuation of the uptrend.
- Short Positions: Others have taken short positions, betting on a reversal of the uptrend.
🔰 Next Trend Move
- The USD/JPY may continue its uptrend if the interest rate differential between the US and Japan remains significant.
- However, if the BOJ intervenes in the currency market or if Japan's economy shows signs of improvement, the uptrend may reverse.
🔰 Overall Summary Outlook
The USD/JPY currency pair is influenced by a combination of fundamental, macroeconomic, and market sentiment factors. While some investors are bullish on the pair due to the interest rate differential, others are bearish due to concerns about Japan's economy. The next trend move will depend on various factors, including the BOJ's monetary policy decisions and Japan's economic performance.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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What Lies Beneath Rigetti’s Quantum Ambitions?Rigetti Computing, Inc. stands at the forefront of quantum innovation, chasing a future where computational power reshapes industries. Yet, allegations of securities fraud have cast a formidable shadow over its aspirations. The Rosen Law Firm’s investigation, sparked by claims that Rigetti may have misled investors with overstated progress or understated risks, intensified after a 45% stock drop on January 8, 2025—triggered by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s assertion that practical quantum computers remain 20 years distant. This collision of legal scrutiny and market shock prompts a tantalizing question: can a company’s bold vision endure when its foundation is questioned?
The securities fraud allegations strike at the heart of Rigetti’s credibility. As the company advances its cloud-based quantum platform and scalable processors, the probe—echoed by The Schall Law Firm—examines whether its disclosures painted an overly rosy picture, potentially luring investors into a speculative abyss. Huang’s sobering timeline only amplifies the stakes, exposing the fragility of trust in a field where breakthroughs are elusive. What does it mean for a pioneer to navigate such treacherous waters, where technical promise meets the demand for transparency? This riddle challenges us to dissect the interplay of innovation and integrity.
For Rigetti’s investors, the unfolding drama is both a cautionary tale and a call to action. With millions of shares and warrants poised for market entry amid a $0.515 stock price, the allegations fuel uncertainty and ignite curiosity about resilience in crisis. Could this investigation, if resolved favorably, strengthen Rigetti’s resolve and refine its path? Or will it unravel a quantum dream deferred? As the company balances cutting-edge pursuit with legal reckoning, the enigma deepens, urging readers to ponder the price of progress and the courage required to sustain it against all odds.
New Zealand dollar steady as retail sales sparkleThe New Zealand dollar is showing little movement on Monday. NZD/USD is trading at 0.5745 in the European session, up 0.07% on the day.
The week started on a high note in New Zealand, as retail sales jumped 0.9% q/q in the fourth quarter of 2024, after a revised flat reading in the third quarter and above the market estimate of 0.6%. This was the strongest gain in three years. Most sub-categories posted gains as the improvement was felt across the economy. Annually, retail sales posted a small gain of 0.2% in the fourth quarter following a 2.2% decline in Q3. This was the first gain since Q3 of 2022.
The strong impressive rebound in retail sales is a sign that lower interest rates are filtering through the economy and boosting weak growth. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has been aggressive, chopping rates by 50 basis points in October, November and February. The cash rate is down to 3.75%, its lowest level since Oct. 2022. Consumers are showing improved confidence due to lower borrowing costs and are opening up the purse strings.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand plans to continue cutting rates but in a more gradual fashion. Governor Adrian Orr signaled at last week's meeting that he expects to cut rates by 25 basis points in both April and May, provided that economic conditions evolve as projected.
In the US, the Services PMI for February surprised on the downside and contracted to 49.7, down from 52.9 in January and below the market estimate of 53.0. This marked the lowest level since January 2023. The services sector, which has been the major driver of the US economy, showed strong growth until the end of 2024 and has weakened for two straight months. The Manufacturing PMI improved to 51.6, up from 51.2 and above the market estimate of 51.5.
0.5731 is a weak support level. Below, there is support at 0.5688
0.5783 and 0.5826 are the next resistance lines
British Pound / U.S. DollarHello Dear Traders
Pound Analysis
Based on the bullish analysis of DXY, I present to you the updated analysis for the Pound. The Pound chart has confirmed its bullish daily confirmation, and I expect the major daily ceiling, which is the main price target, to reach 1.34340 in the coming weeks. However, we have a long way to go until the price reaches our target.
Currently, based on the bullish analysis of DXY, I have identified a suitable selling area in the 1-hour timeframe. Additionally, the minor 1-hour chart indicates a bullish trend. The Change of Character (CHoCH) has provided confirmation of a temporary correction in the 1-hour timeframe. Therefore, with this trend change, we can utilize this area of the Secret Order Block (1H) for entering a sell position.
Again, in the selling area, a 5-minute confirmation can help us optimize our entry into the trade.
First Support: 1.24866
1-Hour Liquidity: 123748
Potential Suitable Buying Area: 1.22928, which I will update once the price reaches this level.
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Centre (Forex)
Risk Disclosure:
Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
CRO 2025 TargetsCRO 2025 Targets
TP1: 0.38$
TP2: 1.37$ (New ATH)
Cronos has been underperforming expectations of most, disappointing majority of the community. Their native token Cronos, also used as an utility token for staking on the exchange or app has fallen over 80% ever since CDC decided to change staking and card rewards.
crypto.com
This news on 1 May 2022 has been the catalyst of CRO's steep decline, coupled with the bear market market-wide selloff since 2022. Ever since then, Cronos has been facing difficulties regaining previous highs, as most investors are eager to break-even or exit any positions they have left in the ecosystem/company. In addition to that, CDC has not since introduced any substantial benefits for the average investor <5000$ (Indigo Blue and below) to have a stake in Cronos.
Now, transactions on the Crypto.com app incur high fees and large spread, this itself is a source of revenue for Crypto.com. The application itself is not very intuitive and has average response time for user actions on the application. For a high volatility market like cryptocurrency, users need to be able to open the app, buy/sell their desired cryptocurrency in under 30 seconds from the moment they open the app. (MEXC and Binance has lived up to this expectation on their exchange app).
They seem to take marketing as their primary strategy in the crypto space instead of user experience, constantly putting the Crypto.com name out there in big venues e.g: Formula 1, NFL, Crypto.com Arena (Previously the iconic Staples center), Las Vegas Sphere, and of course hiring Hollywood star Matt Damon for the iconic "Fortune favors the brave" advertisement. The intended outcome from all this is to onboard as many users into the Crypto.com ecosystem and for the average user to invest/own cryptocurrency via the Crypto.com app, and perhaps take a stake in the CDC cards while using the app. Hence, tying into their vision of "Cryptocurrency in every wallet".
One might ask "Why do you still invest in CRO despite everything you said?". Reason is that CDC is still be building their company and vision in general, having ambitious plans for 2025 and beyond with their recent roadmap. They are also one of the only crypto entities that has obtained approvals and licenses in multiple jurisdictions. Refer here: crypto.com/licenses .
However, just as how Crypto.com did away with the MCO token in 2020, there is still the possibility that they could do the same with CRO. One should be prepared if such an event was to happen. Nevertheless, despite the horrendous price action and uncertainty around Crypto.com, I continue to hodl what I have in CRO. If Crypto.com doesn't make it, the cryptocurrency space won't make it as well.
Weekly Cryptocurrency Market Analysis:Ethereum (ETH)- Issue 267The analyst believes that the price of ETHUSD will decrease within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend.
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
liquidity sweeps above $2,940 triggering retail FOMO before drop📌 Current Market Overview 📈💎
💲Current Price: $2,942.39
🚀 High of the Day: $2,950.01
🛑 Major Resistance (R3): $2,950.01 🔴
📉 Recently Broken Resistance (R2, now Support): $2,940.01
📊 Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,940.01 🟢
🔻 Psychological Support (S1): $2,920.28
🏦 Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Analysis 📊
🔍 What does institutional order flow suggest?
Liquidity Clusters: Large buy orders stacked around $2,925-$2,920 indicating institutions absorbing liquidity.
Smart Money Activity:
✅ Market makers engineered liquidity sweeps above $2,940, triggering retail FOMO before dropping.
✅ COT Report suggests institutions shifting into net short positions after hitting $2,950.
Liquidity Map Breakdown:
Sell Liquidity Stacked at $2,950-$2,955 – Market makers likely to reject this zone.
Buy Liquidity Accumulating at $2,925-$2,920 – Possible institutional buy zone.
✅ Best Indicator Combination
✔ Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
38.2% - $2,940 ✅ (Confirmed resistance)
50.0% - $2,945 (Moderate resistance)
61.8% - $2,950 🔥 (Max rejection point)
✔ Moving Averages Confirmation:
50 EMA at $2,940 (Currently tested as support)
200 EMA at $2,945 (Trend resistance level)
✔ RSI (7) Momentum Confirmation:
RSI cooling down from overbought, signaling a potential retracement.
✔ VWAP Analysis:
Price currently near VWAP – No clear deviation yet.
✔ MACD Analysis:
Bearish crossover forming, indicating potential short-term weakness.
🎯 Key Market Manipulation Tactics & Strategy
📌 Common Market Maker Tactics in XAU/USD:
1️⃣ Liquidity Sweeps – False breakouts above $2,940 to trap late buyers.
2️⃣ Stop-Hunts – Price may dip below $2,925 to wipe out weak long positions.
3️⃣ Fake Breakdowns – If price wicks below $2,920 and recovers, expect bullish reversal.
✅ How to Trade Like Smart Money?
Wait for a liquidity grab below $2,920 before longing.
If price reclaims $2,925, it confirms bullish accumulation.
📈 Momentum & Trend Indicators Analysis
✔ RSI:
Overbought conditions cooling down – potential for retracement.
✔ Stochastic Oscillator:
Bearish divergence appearing – watch for short opportunities.
✔ Moving Averages Distance:
Price extended far from the 50 EMA, suggesting a possible mean reversion.
✔ Volume Trends:
Buying volume declining, suggesting bulls are losing steam.
📢 Buy or Sell? What is the Best Trade Setup Now? ✅
🔴 Sell Setup (High-Probability Short Trade)
🔻 Entry: $2,943 - $2,946
🔻 Stop-Loss: $2,950
🔻 Take-Profit: $2,935 (Safe TP), $2,930 (Extended TP), $2,925 (Max TP)
🔻 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 ✅
📌 Why Sell?
Bearish MACD crossover – momentum shift.
RSI Overbought Signal – possible retracement.
Liquidity Grab Above $2,940 – Market makers engineered false breakout.
⚡ Ultra-Aggressive Execution Plan 🚀🔥
✔ Step 1: Enter short between $2,943 - $2,946 📉
✔ Step 2: Place Stop-Loss above $2,950 to avoid fake-outs 🚨
✔ Step 3: Target $2,935 (TP1), $2,930 (TP2), $2,925 (Max TP)
✔ Step 4: Monitor volume & institutional order flow to confirm trade.
🔥 FINAL DECISION – MILKING THE MARKET STRATEGY! 🏆💰🚀
📌 Trade Type: HIGH-CONFIDENCE SHORT
📌 Verdict: SELL XAU/USD from $2,943 - $2,946 🔥
📌 Stop-Loss: $2,950 (Tight & Efficient)
📌 Take-Profit 1: $2,935 ✅
📌 Take-Profit 2: $2,930 ✅
📌 Take-Profit 3: $2,925 🚀💰
🏦 Institutions are likely taking profits here, leading to a pullback.
🚀 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! LET’S CAPITALIZE ON THIS MOVE! 💰🔥📊
Weekly Cryptocurrency Market Analysis:Bitcoin (BTC)- Issue 267The analyst believes that the price of Bitcoin will decrease within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend.
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
RUNE Ready for a Big Move? Accumulation Breakout Incoming!Current Market Structure:
#RUNE has been in an accumulation phase after a prolonged bearish trend. The price is consolidating, forming a potential Wyckoff Accumulation pattern. No further bearish signs are present except for the previous break of a strong support level.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Support: $0.788 (previous level)
🔹 Resistance: $2.5 (breakout zone)
🔹 Accumulation Range: $1.13 – $1.6
Trading Plan:
🔹 A confirmed breakout above the resistance level will signal the start of a bullish trend.
🔹 Ideal long entry on breakout with a retest confirmation.
🔹 Stop-loss below accumulation range to minimize risk.
🔹 Targeting $7 as the next resistance level.
What do you think?
Will #RUNE break out soon, or are we in for more sideways movement? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Like & Follow for more trade setups and insights!
Turn around storyA simulation story that appears to have turned the corner. Most recently the company has announced that they will exceed estimates for the 4th quarter and 2024 sales by a significant margin. The 3rd quarter 2024 sales exceeded the 2023 Q3 by 82%..the company cannot keep up with demand with inventories being depleted to nothing and with a backlog of orders.
The company has also announced that they are on a franchise campaign with over 150 franchise locations being opened on the East coast such as PA, IN, IL.
2025 should be the year that this company stock sees new highs. The outstanding shares sit @ 13.6M and the stock trades at 40 cents a share..sales for 2024 should come in at 22M ..the stock is undervalued and should be trading at $8/share.
GBP/USD - Fair Value Gap (FVG) Short SetupOverview:
A bearish reversal setup based on Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), a concept used in Smart Money trading strategies.
Key Technical Insights:
🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zones:
The price is approaching an FVG entry zone around 1.2700, which may act as resistance.
A second FVG zone is located around 1.2850 - 1.2900, offering a secondary entry for shorts.
🔹 Bearish Trade Setup:
The plan anticipates a reaction at the first FVG zone, leading to a downside move.
If price continues higher, the second FVG zone provides another opportunity to enter shorts.
🔹 Stop Loss & Target:
Stop Loss: Placed above 1.2928 to protect against invalidation.
Target: 1.2350 - 1.2400, aligning with previous demand zones and imbalance filling.
Trade Plan:
📌 Entry Strategy:
Watch for bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection candles, lower time frame structure shift) at the FVG entry zone.
If price moves beyond the first FVG, consider a second entry at 1.2850 - 1.2900.
📌 Exit Strategy:
Take Profit: At the 1.2350 - 1.2400 target zone for a favorable risk-to-reward trade.
Stop Loss: Above 1.2928 to mitigate risk.
Final Thoughts:
✅ Bearish bias unless price breaks above 1.2928.
✅ Look for rejection at FVG zones for ideal entries.
✅ Potential downside move towards 1.2350 target.
📉 Patience is key—wait for confirmation before entering! 🚀
Is it time to buy the US dollar?With US inflation rising, the US economy performing well, and rates higher for longer (well, I wouldn't be surprised to see the Fed hike rates by the end of 2025), the USD continues to be an obvious buy.
The TVC:DXY is currently testing key horizontal support (previously resistance) and is nearing the weekly moving averages. This could be the time to buy the dollar.
I'm personally looking to short OANDA:EURUSD OANDA:GBPUSD and OANDA:NZDUSD and buy OANDA:USDCAD and OANDA:USDCHF