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Bitcoin’s Next Move: Falling to $79K?This detailed technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe highlights a Rising Wedge pattern, key support and resistance levels, a trade setup, and projected price movements. The chart suggests a bearish breakdown, and traders can use this analysis to make informed decisions. 1. Understanding the Chart Pattern – Rising Wedge Formation A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs when the price moves upwards within two converging trendlines. The slope of the lower trendline is steeper than the upper trendline, indicating weaker bullish momentum and an increasing probability of a downside breakdown. 📌 Key Observations: The black solid trendlines outline the wedge pattern. The price action remained inside this wedge from March 11 to March 26, 2025. A breakdown has now occurred, confirming bearish momentum. 🔺 Why is this Bearish? Rising Wedges are considered distribution patterns, meaning buyers are losing strength, and sellers are gradually taking control. The price fails to make aggressive new highs and instead grinds upward weakly. Once support is broken, a strong sell-off usually follows. 2. Key Chart Levels – Support & Resistance Zones 🔵 Resistance Level (Upper Bound of Wedge & Supply Zone) The red arrow marks a strong rejection at $88,500 - $89,000, which acted as a major resistance level. This zone has seen multiple failed breakout attempts, signaling that sellers dominate this area. Stop-losses for short trades should be placed above this resistance zone. 🟢 Support Level (Lower Bound of Wedge & Demand Zone) The wedge's lower boundary previously acted as strong support until it was breached. The blue highlighted box represents a demand zone around $81,000, where buyers previously stepped in. Losing this level could trigger a much stronger bearish move. 3. Breakdown Confirmation & Trading Setup With the wedge broken to the downside, we now look for a confirmed bearish setup to enter a trade. 📉 Bearish Confirmation: ✅ The price broke below the wedge’s lower boundary, signaling a reversal. ✅ A retest of the broken wedge trendline confirms the breakdown. ✅ The price is now showing lower highs and lower lows, indicating a new bearish trend. 🎯 Trade Setup – How to Play This Move? 🔴 Entry for Short Position: Enter short between $86,900 - $87,200 after confirming a rejection at the broken trendline. 🔵 Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss above $89,282 to protect against a fakeout. If BTC closes back inside the wedge, the short setup is invalidated. 🟢 Target 1: $81,000 – This is a key demand zone, and price might temporarily bounce here. 🟢 Target 2: $79,031 – This is the next strong support level, making it a final bearish target. ⚠ Risk Management Note: Adjust position size based on risk tolerance. Be mindful of short squeezes (where price temporarily spikes before continuing lower). 4. Expected Price Movement – Bearish Projection 🔮 The dashed black lines on the chart indicate a likely price pathway: 1️⃣ A breakdown below the wedge, followed by a minor retest of the broken trendline. 2️⃣ A continuation toward $81,000 (support level). 3️⃣ A small bounce before further decline. 4️⃣ The price reaching the final target of $79,031, where buyers may start accumulating again. 📌 If Bitcoin breaks below $81,000 with high volume, the bearish trend will likely accelerate. 5. Market Psychology & Trading Strategy 📌 Why This Setup Makes Sense? The market exhibited exhaustion at the top of the wedge. The break-and-retest confirms seller dominance. The lower highs & lower lows show bearish momentum. 🚀 Alternative Bullish Scenario? If BTC reclaims the wedge and breaks above $89,000, then the bearish setup is invalid. A close above $89,500 would signal strong buying pressure and potential bullish continuation. 6. Conclusion – What to Watch Next? 🔎 Key Points to Monitor: ✔ Retest & rejection at $87,000 – $88,000 (confirming bearish momentum). ✔ Break of $81,000 to signal continuation toward the target. ✔ Stop-loss protection above $89,000 to manage risk. 📊 Final Thoughts: The Rising Wedge breakdown suggests a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. This is a high-probability short trade with well-defined entry, stop-loss, and targets. Traders should wait for price action confirmation before entering trades. Would you like any refinements, or do you need further trade ideas? 🚀📉
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
The Truth About Trendlines: Are You Drawing Them Wrong?If your trendlines look like a toddler took a crayon to your chart, we need to talk. Or if you draw them so much that your chart looks like a spider web, we still need to talk. Trendlines are one of the most abused, misinterpreted, and downright misused tools in technical analysis. Used correctly, they can give you a structured view of market direction, potential reversals, and areas of interest. Used incorrectly? Well, they can be your fast lane to bad trades, broken accounts, and questioning your life choices. So, are you drawing them wrong? Let’s find out. 📞 A Trendline Is Not Your Emotional Support Line This is big because it happens virtually every day across the charts. When a trade is going south, it’s tempting to adjust your trendline just to make your setup look valid again. That’s not technical analysis—that’s denial. A proper trendline should connect clear pivot highs or lows, not be forcefully manipulated to fit a bias. Traders do this all the time. Price action no longer respects their original line, so they just… move it. As if shifting the goalposts somehow changes reality. It doesn’t. If your trendline gets broken, respect the price action and get out, don’t adjust the line because you risk dragging your account deeper in losses. 🤝 Two Points Make a Line—But Three Make It Real Here’s where most traders mess up. They draw a trendline the moment they see two points connecting. Sure, two points technically make a line, but two random highs or lows do not make a valid trend. A legitimate trendline should be tested at least three times to confirm that price actually respects it. Until then, it’s just a hopeful hypothesis. But we gotta give it to the early spotters — yes, if you see two points, pop open a trade and it pans out nicely, then you’ve chomped down on the good grass before the other animals. The more times price touches and respects the trendline, the stronger it is but the risk of it getting overcrowded increases. Anything less than three touches? You’re basically trading off a hunch with a potentially higher risk-reward ratio. ⚔️ Wicks, Bodies, or Both? The Great Debate Should you draw trendlines through candle wicks or just use the bodies of the candlesticks ? If you’ve spent any time in trading communities, you’ve probably seen this debate get heated enough to break friendships. Here’s the deal: If you’re trading short-term price action, drawing trendlines using candle bodies makes sense because it reflects where most of the market agreed on price. If you’re looking at major trends, wicks matter because they show extreme liquidity zones where prices actually reached before snapping back. ⛑️ Steep Trendlines Are a Disaster Waiting to Happen If your trendline looks more like a vertical cliff than an actual slope, you might want to reconsider its validity. The steeper the trendline, the less reliable it is. A proper trendline should represent a natural flow of zigging and zagging price action. If it’s moving up too aggressively, it’s usually unsustainable. That’s why parabolic runs tend to end with painful crashes—what goes up too fast typically comes down even faster. If your trendline is forming an angle sharper than 45 degrees , be careful. Sustainable trends don’t need a rocket launch trajectory to prove their strength. 🌊 One Chart, One Trendline (or Two)—Not Ten Some traders draw so many trendlines that their charts get lost under the weight of too many lines. If you need to squint to see price action through the mess of lines, you’re doing too much. Here’s a golden rule in drawing trendlines: less is more. Trendlines should highlight key structures, not overwhelm you with information. If you find yourself drawing trendlines at every minor high and low, take a step back. A clean chart is a tradable chart and one or two trendlines are usually enough to help uncover price direction. 🚩 Breakouts Aren’t Always Breakouts One of the biggest mistakes traders make is assuming that when the price breaks a trendline, it’s an instant reversal signal. It’s not. Markets (or well-trained algos) love to fake out emotional traders. Just because price dips below your uptrend line doesn’t mean the trend is over—it could just be a temporary pullback or liquidity grab (stop-loss hunting?) before continuing in the original direction. Always wait for confirmation. A proper breakout should come with: Increased volume (to validate the move) Retest of the broken trendline (flipping from support to resistance, or vice versa) Clear follow-through (not just a single candle wick that breaks and snaps back) The market loves tricking traders into premature entries or exits. Don’t fall for it—instead, use some technical backup like looking for a double top, a head and shoulders or some other popular chart pattern . ☝️ The Only Trendline That Matters? The One The Market Respects At the end of the day, trendlines are just tools—guides to help you structure price action. They’re not magical indicators. They don’t necessarily predict the future. They simply help visualize market tendencies. If price constantly breaks through your trendline and ignores it, guess what? It’s not a valid trendline. The best traders don’t force a narrative—they adjust their view based on what the price is actually doing. So next time you find yourself drawing, adjusting, or forcing trendlines into existence, ask yourself: Am I analyzing the market, or just trying to make myself feel better? Because the market isn’t wrong—so better check your trendlines twice. Now off to you—are you using trendlines in your charts and do you wait for the third point to connect before moving in? Share your experience in the comment section!
by TradingView
23
Snow White's very low ratings - Bullish Disney stock ?The SnowWhite IMDB rating can't get any worse - could the same be said of Disney stock? Price is the ultimate proof but buying the shares of a well established company when sentiment is at a low point can be a fruitful endevour. The poor box office showing + very weak ratings for Snow White - maybe a contrarian buy signal ? A) The stock is attempting a long term double bottom via is 2020 + 2023 lows B) A breakout over the downtrend line (orange) could confirm a bullish trend change Bottom of the ratings ➡️ Bottom in the stock? NYSE:DIS
NYSE:DISLong
by jasperlawler
Tesla (TSLA) - The Big Short?Can Tesla save itself from the Big Short? With earnings coming up on April 29, the anticipated sales and earnings may be dismal. If hedge funds and retirement managers decide to lighten their exposure, this could lead to abrupt moves in the price of Tesla. Basically, if people want to sell and no one wants to buy at this price, then price has to go down. Also if Tesla hits a certain price on the way down, then all the loans like those used to purchase Twitter may margin call due to risk, more selling. This would not be good for Tesla or the market in general. Also keep in mind that April may be a pullback month for the S&P500 and Nasdaq anyway. So, what does Tesla need to do to combat this? 1. Deliver new products or announce the delivery of new product. 2. Deliver on full self driving along with the Robo Taxi service 3. Deliver on a new cheaper Tesla Model that can be used by individual owners to participate in the Robo Taxi network (Income for the buyer). 4. Deliver on a redesigned Cyber Truck. The current design in getting banned in European countries. Therefore, missing out on sells. 5. Deliver on mass productoin of humanoid robots and AI agents (someone has to be first). This will create excitement but can be tricky since it will unleash AI on the world which can be great but also introduce risk that have not been vetted. Such as, who controls the AI? Who is the AI 'loyal' to? What can people or Tesla ask AI to do? Are there morality rules? Is AI subject to the law? Who's laws based on the Country, State, or county/city it resides or where it was manufactured? 6. Advertise all the positive things about Tesla as a company and the cars as a product. Explain why someone should buy a Tesla over a BYD brand electric car in markets around the world. These are just a few suggestions for Tesla to avoid The Big Short. What are some of your ideas?
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by PortfolioBuildersClub
The picture continues to improveGORO's Financial Restatement Analysis: Potential Impact on Future Earnings Gold Resource Corporation's (GORO) accounting error correction presents an intriguing financial situation that warrants deeper analysis. The company's apparent misclassification of a $30 million advance payment from the Back Forty project's streaming agreement has significant implications for its financial reporting and future performance outlook. Understanding the Accounting Error and Its Implications The apparent error involves recording a substantial advance payment as immediate revenue instead of recognizing it over the life of the streaming agreement. This accounting misclassification has several important ramifications for GORO's financial statements and investor perception. Nature of the Restatement The error appears to be purely accounting-related and non-cash in nature. GORO likely recorded a $30 million advance payment as immediate revenue in 2023, artificially inflating that year's results while simultaneously understating future period revenues. This type of accounting treatment fails to match revenues with the periods in which the company would actually fulfill its obligations under the streaming agreement. Impact on Historical Financials The restatement would necessitate reducing previously reported 2023 revenues and increasing a deferred revenue liability on the balance sheet. This adjustment would create a more accurate picture of the company's actual performance trajectory. For context, GORO reported significant financial challenges throughout 2023, including net losses of $3.1 million for Q4 2023 and $16 million for the full year. Current Operational Context To fully understand how this restatement affects GORO's outlook, we must examine the company's current operational reality. Persistent Production Challenges GORO has faced considerable operational difficulties that have impacted financial performance across multiple quarters. Recent earnings reports reveal: Q3 2024 revenue of just $13.27 million, significantly below analyst estimates of $17.65 million Net loss of $10.50 million and negative operating cash flow of $3.37 million in Q3 2024 Production costs rising to $205 per tonne milled Equipment availability issues and mechanical problems at the Don David Gold Mine in Mexico Mining constraints limiting production to one face at a time Cost Reduction Initiatives Management has implemented various strategies to address these challenges: Workforce reductions and contract renegotiations to lower operating expenses Focus on mining higher-grade ore veins to improve output quality Improvements in geotechnical design and metal recovery circuits Exploration of strategic alternatives, including potential mergers or acquisitions Potential Positive Aspects of the Restatement While a financial restatement is generally viewed negatively by markets, several factors suggest this particular situation might have silver linings. Improved Revenue Recognition Pattern By properly amortizing the $30 million advance payment over future periods, GORO would create a more stable and predictable revenue stream. This change could actually enhance the company's financial profile by: Creating a steadier earnings pattern Reducing quarter-to-quarter volatility Providing a baseline revenue cushion against operational fluctuations Enhanced Financial Transparency The correction would demonstrate management's commitment to proper accounting practices and transparency. Following the restatement, investors would have a clearer picture of the company's actual financial condition and performance trajectory. Factors Affecting Next Earnings Report Several elements will influence GORO's upcoming financial results beyond the accounting restatement. Metal Price Trends Gold and silver prices have shown strength in recent market conditions. This positive price environment could materially benefit GORO's revenue despite production challenges. The company's precious metals production, even at reduced volumes, would generate higher sales value in this favorable price environment. Mexican Peso Dynamics Foreign exchange rates have historically affected GORO's financial results, with the strengthening Mexican peso previously creating headwinds. However, any recent weakening or stabilization of the peso could provide cost benefits for GORO's Mexican operations at Don David Gold Mine, potentially improving margins. Production Recovery Potential Recent earnings calls have highlighted efforts to stabilize metal recovery circuits, with improvements achieved in Q1 2024 expected to benefit subsequent quarters. If these operational enhancements continue, production volumes and efficiency could improve, directly enhancing financial results. Expected Market Response to Restatement The market's reaction to GORO's restatement will likely evolve through several phases: Initial Volatility Near-term trading could show increased volatility as investors process the accounting change and reassess the company's historical performance. This period might present both challenges and opportunities as the market recalibrates expectations. Long-term Reassessment Once the restatement is complete and investors fully understand its implications, attention will return to fundamental operations and precious metals pricing. If the restatement results in a more stable earnings profile moving forward, it could actually strengthen market confidence in GORO's financial reporting. Strategic Alternative Catalyst GORO has been exploring strategic alternatives, including potential mergers or sales. A cleaner financial picture following the restatement might accelerate this process by providing potential partners or acquirers with greater confidence in the company's underlying assets and financial position. Conclusion While GORO's accounting restatement represents a significant financial adjustment, its non-cash nature and potential to create a more stable future revenue recognition pattern suggest it may not be entirely negative. The correction, combined with rising precious metals prices and operational improvement efforts, could position GORO for a potential turnaround if production challenges can be overcome. The near-term will likely bring heightened volatility as markets digest this information, but the long-term impact may ultimately prove beneficial by providing greater financial clarity and stability. Investors should closely monitor GORO's upcoming earnings reports for signs of operational improvement and the effects of the accounting restatement on the company's financial profile.
AMEX:GOROLong
by meszaros
Kaiser Reef Ltd - I'm Hyper bullish on thisShowed this to a friend and he said, "oh a small cap?" Yes, somehow this is still a small-cap. Luckily for me. I have taken my position. If the price stays depressed over the coming weeks and months I will definitely be adding. No technical analysis, all fundamental and all of the fundamentals sound great to me (I am not in the Company and am definitely not a shill - not a paid one anyway :). Firstly, the market cap is only AUD41.7m today. Crazy. Why crazy? - They have AUD23 million on hand. So, take that off their market cap and their total operation is only valued at AUD18.7 mil. - So what do you get for that? You get two gold processing plants (one in Vic and one in Tasmania). Together they have over 1500 tons per day processing capacity. I just read about a mine in Peru that got an estimate of USD89 mil for a 1500 tons per day gold processing capacity. Obviously, that is more remote. But even if the cost was only 33% of that (USD30 mil), it would still be more than the current Market Cap of Kaiser. Also, permitting, environmental approvals? Could take several years to install a plant elsewhere. Kaiser's are permitted and producing gold dore bars now. - You get three highly prospective mines plus a few exploration projects (one that I want to see more about in the future; it is a gravity low, that is next to a magnetic high, on top of the gravity low at the very center is an historic gold mine. There is likely more gold there, how much? Will have to wait a few years to find out more about that one). - All three mines (Henty, A1, and Maldon) are very high grade - A1 averaged 25 grams of gold per ton historically and they are commencing mining of high-grade ore this year after years of processing secondary grade ore. - -Maldon reserves will be established over time. Maldon's historic production was 1.7Moz at an average of 28g / ton (including 300,000 ounces at 187g/ton AVERAGE from Nuggety Mine!). They are already compiling some really attractive drilling samples to establish reserves and extend the strikes. I am very interested to hear what they find underneath the historic workings of Nuggety Mine. There is underground infrastructure in place, but some work is needed to get it into production. ETA... not sure. Comes with a 120,000 ton/ pa producing production mill. - Henty (newly acquired in March 2025) historic production of 1.9Moz averaging 8.9g / ton. Henty produced just under 25,000 ounces of gold in 2024 (avg grade 4g/ton). Additional exploration and expansion planned. Comes with its own 330,000 ton / pa producing production mill. - If they even get both mills up to 50% capacity, with low-grade ore, this stock is going way way up. Back of the envelope using very conservative numbers: (capacity 550,000 t/pa / 2 = 275,000ton/pa x 4g per ton = 1,100,000 grams / 31.103 (grams per troy ounce) = 35,366 ounces pa). 35,366 ounces at $4800 an ounce is 169.75m gross revenue. Maybe a 15% net profit percentage (pretty conservative in this environment where Goldman Sachs just upgraded their target for gold in 2025 to USD3300/oz) = 25.464m pa net. If they have a PE ratio of 20 the market cap would be AUD509.275m which is 12.2 times higher than the current Market Cap. That is without any acquisitions, any gold price rises, adding any additional gold reserves (which they will add soon). If they only net 10% net profit the Market Cap should (at a minimum expand to AUD339.5m or 8.1 times the current Market Cap. 36,000 ounces is unachievable? That is the target the exec team set for the Company in 2025... not 2027... but soon. That is even without Maldon in production. Can nobody do math? Is nobody willing to take a risk on a very prospective looking operation? Some people will. I also like the exec team. They seem to; - Have a nose for a good deal, - Are not about buying over-valued assets (like a lot of the gold mind mergers you hear about these days. Big players buying fully-priced mega-mines with huge debt leverage. They will never survive any price drops and will end up being sold off at fire-sale prices by creditors), - They have a real sense of urgency in getting things moving. Buying working assets at fire-sale prices, with a near-term plan (that is tracking) to steadily improve production, cash-flow, mine grades, mine life etc. Anyway, I am going on. Do your own research. I shouldn't be writing this. It may mean I cant add much more to my position at low prices. I'm having some luck with gold miners - check out New talisman Gold on NZX (I still think it will go up 5 x from todays price when they start steady production).
ASX:KAULong
by flyinkiwi10
1
GDP Data in Focus – Gold Traders Prepare for Volatility⚠️ GDP Data in Focus – Gold Traders Prepare for Volatility 🟡 Market Brief – 27/03/2025 📰 Trump’s Latest Tariff Remarks Leave Markets Unshaken Earlier this morning (end of US session), Donald Trump made new comments on tariff policy. However, unlike previous occasions, his speech did not trigger significant market volatility. He stated: “Reciprocal tariffs will be eased, broadly applied to all countries, but not harshly.” 🔹 A 25% import tariff on cars will take effect from April 2 🔹 No additional tariffs for now on semiconductors or pharmaceuticals → It appears the market had already priced in this announcement, resulting in a muted reaction. 📊 Today’s Spotlight – Final US GDP (q/q) This is the broadest measure of inflation, reflecting price changes for all goods and services included in GDP. Given the weakness in recent US inflation indicators (CPI & PPI), AD anticipates today’s GDP may also come in weaker than expected. ⚠️ However, market reaction might remain limited (≈30 pts), as Core PCE data tomorrow is expected to be the true driver of weekly volatility. 🟡 Gold Strategy – Intraday Setup Gold may retest resistance levels or recent highs, before a potential strong move to the downside – the BIG SHORT scenario AD has been tracking. 📌 Plan for Today: Look for intraday BUY opportunities during the Asian and European sessions, especially near key support levels marked on the chart. 🧭 Key Technical Levels: 🔻 Support: 3019 – 3011 – 3002 – 2988 🔺 Resistance: 3036 – 3046 – 3056 🎯 Trade Zones – 27/03: 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3002 – 3000 SL: 2996 TPs: 3006 – 3010 – 3014 – 3018 – 3022 – 3026 – 3030 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3055 – 3057 SL: 3061 TPs: 3051 – 3047 – 3042 – 3038 – 3034 – 3030 🧠 Final Note: This week’s volatility hinges on two major macro releases: ✅ Today’s Final GDP report ✅ Tomorrow’s Core PCE data → During Asia & London sessions: respect the levels and trade reactively → For New York session: stay alert — AD will update instantly if needed Good luck, trade safe, and stay disciplined. — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Long Ahead of U.S. GDP AnnouncementGold could see bullish momentum as the U.S. GDP Growth Rate (QoQ Final) is set to be announced on March 27, 2025. The U.S. economy showed signs of slowing down in Q4 2024, with GDP growth dropping from 3.1% to 2.3%. If this downward trend continues due to actual recession fears and given the market conditions up to today, the report is unlikely to be a major downside surprise. However, it could still fuel expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, making gold a more attractive asset. 🔥 Why is this bullish for Gold? ✅ Potential Fed Rate Cuts: A weaker-than-expected GDP reading would increase expectations for Fed rate cuts in the coming months. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it more attractive. ✅ Falling Real Yields: Inflation remains at 2.3%, slightly above the Fed’s target. If the Fed moves towards rate cuts, real yields (nominal rates minus inflation) will decline – a strong bullish factor for gold. ✅ Weaker U.S. Dollar Potential: A weaker GDP print could weaken the U.S. dollar as traders price in lower rates. Gold has an inverse correlation with the dollar: a weaker USD typically pushes gold higher. ✅ Safe-Haven Demand: If economic growth continues to slow, investors may hedge with gold. Increased demand as a safe-haven asset would further support gold prices. A stronger-than-expected GDP report could delay Fed rate cuts, pressuring gold. A strong U.S. dollar due to global risk-off sentiment could weigh on gold. Short-term technical corrections could trigger temporary pullbacks. Conclusion: Bullish Outlook for Gold Ahead of GDP Data With slowing U.S. growth, potential rate cuts, and weaker real yields, gold remains a strong long opportunity ahead of the March 27 GDP announcement. Fundamental data supports an upward move, and the technical setup provides a clear entry strategy. 🎯 Gold remains in a uptrend – dips could offer buying opportunities! 🔎 Key Events to Watch: U.S. GDP Growth Rate (QoQ Final) – March 27, 2025 Fed policy statements & economic projections U.S. Dollar Index reaction to GDP data ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
2
Kepler Drops a Curveball $68.50-$68 Before trend resumesSentiment Some negative sentiment is weighing on WTI through Asia and early London. Kpler’s call that China’s gasoil demand could peak in 2026 has been taken as bearish, and headlines like this tend to spark algo-driven repricing. Add in Trump’s tariffs on imported vehicles, and you’ve got a sentiment cocktail pulling crude lower. That said I see this as a correction, into demand where liquidity is waiting. Price action I’ve got my eye on $69.16 — if we break, close below, then retest and hold under it, I think we open up a path toward $68.50 and possibly $68.00.
FX:USOIL
by BlakqGold
EURUSD about to begin a bearish movementEURUSD about to begin a bearish movement Seen in another perspective from Friday EURUSD was dominated more by a bearish volume. The price didn't manage to rise too much. Considering that also this week has not so important data the chances are that we can see more a release of liquidity on EURUSD. If EURUSD moves down a bit more from the current zone will confirm more the bearish movement and it can follow our targets near 1.0730 and 1.0680 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
19
XNG/USD Analysis: Natural Gas Price Drops to March LowXNG/USD Analysis: Natural Gas Price Drops to March Low On 27 January, our analysis of the natural gas chart highlighted the formation of an ascending channel. Later, on 10 March, we noted that the sharp price increase had created technical conditions for a correction. Since then, as indicated by the arrow on the XNG/USD chart, natural gas prices have declined by approximately 19%. Why Is the Price of Natural Gas Falling? - Unseasonably Warm Weather: Atmospheric G2 reported on Wednesday that forecasts now indicate significant warming across the eastern half of the U.S. from 31 March to 4 April. This could reduce demand for natural gas used in heating. - Rising Inventories: According to the EIA’s forecast, weekly natural gas storage levels are expected to increase by +33 billion cubic feet over the past week. Technical Analysis of XNG/USD Chart Looking at the broader trend since the start of the year, the ascending channel (marked in blue) remains relevant. However, bears have pushed the price below its median line, shifting movement into a short-term downward channel (marked in red). Currently, natural gas is trading near the $3.780/MMBtu level, a key price point that has previously acted as both support and resistance. Whether a bearish breakdown or a bullish rebound occurs largely depends on the upcoming EIA report, scheduled for release at 17:30 GMT+3. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XNGUSD
by FXOpen
Natural Gas: In a Clear Bearish Movement After CorrectionNatural Gas: In a Clear Bearish Movement After Correction From our previous analysis, NG created a bearish correction that lasted for about 1 week and took place between 4 and 4.3. After the pattern ended, the price fell by almost 13% in just 6 days. News Today: Oil prices edged up on concerns about tighter global supply after U.S. tariff threats on Venezuelan oil buyers and earlier sanctions on Iranian oil buyers, while traders weighed the impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's auto tariffs. You can watch the analysis for further details! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support this analysis with a like or comment if you find it useful for your trading day. ❤️ Previous Analysis:
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by KlejdiCuni
Gold is looking for a new high! Hi All Gold remains bullish and could update its all-time high as part of subwave 5 within wave 5 of a higher degree. With a stop-loss around 3000, we can expect a price movement toward the 3100-3160 zone. Using various Fibonacci extensions, we can estimate that gold’s potential target is around 3160, and under certain fundamental conditions, the price could even reach 3250. This scenario is possible if subwave 5 extends, which aligns with the current market environment. However, it’s important to remember that this is the fifth wave, meaning traders should exercise extra caution. We are already seeing large players reducing their long positions, but as we mentioned in previous posts, this does not indicate a trend reversal—it’s just profit-taking for now. Fundamental factors continue to support gold, particularly due to the economic uncertainty caused by Trump’s policies. Gold remains a key safe-haven asset for investors. 🔍 Technical Outlook: Indicators are showing divergence between the peak of wave three and the current upward movement. Momentum is now below February levels, suggesting that the trend may be entering its final stage.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AUREA_RATIO
Copper's Grip: Stronger Than Oil's?Is the U.S. economy poised for a red metal revolution? The escalating demand for copper, fueled by the global transition to clean energy, the proliferation of electric vehicles, and the modernization of critical infrastructure, suggests a shifting economic landscape where copper's significance may soon eclipse oil. This vital metal, essential for everything from renewable power systems to advanced electronics, is becoming increasingly central to U.S. economic prosperity. Its unique properties and expanding applications in high-growth sectors position it as a linchpin for future development, potentially rendering it more crucial than traditional energy sources in the years to come. This sentiment is echoed by recent market activity, with copper prices hitting a new record high, reaching $5.3740 per lb. on the COMEX. This surge has widened the price gap between New York and London to approximately $1,700 a tonne, signaling strong U.S. demand. However, this burgeoning importance faces a looming threat: the potential imposition of U.S. tariffs on copper imports. Framed under the guise of national security concerns, these tariffs could trigger significant economic repercussions. By increasing the cost of imported copper, a vital component for numerous domestic industries, tariffs risk inflating production costs, raising consumer prices, and straining international trade relationships. The anticipation of these tariffs has already caused market volatility, with major traders at a Financial Times commodities summit in Switzerland predicting copper could reach $12,000 a tonne this year. Kostas Bintas from Mercuria noted the current "tightness" in the copper market due to substantial imports heading to the U.S. in anticipation of tariffs, which some analysts expect sooner than previously anticipated. Ultimately, the future trajectory of the U.S. economy will be heavily influenced by the availability and affordability of copper. Current market trends reveal surging prices driven by robust global demand and constrained supply, a situation that could be further exacerbated by trade barriers. Traders are also anticipating increased industrial demand as major economies like the U.S. and EU upgrade their electricity grids, further supporting the bullish outlook. Aline Carnizelo of Frontier Commodities is among the experts forecasting a $12,000 price target. However, Graeme Train from Trafigura cautioned that the global economy remains "a little fragile," highlighting potential risks to sustained high demand. As the world continues its march towards electrification and technological advancement, copper's role will only intensify. Whether the U.S. navigates this new era with policies that ensure a smooth and cost-effective supply of this essential metal or whether protectionist measures inadvertently hinder progress remains a critical question for the nation's economic future.
COMEX:HG1!Long
by UDIS_View
EUR/USD: ECB and US GDP ExpectationsBy Ion Jauregui –ActivTrades Analyst The EUR/USD is at a time of high expectation, with key European Central Bank (ECB) appearances and the release of quarterly U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) promising to generate significant moves in the financial markets. Today, all eyes are on Christine Lagarde and Luis de Guindos, president and vice-president of the ECB, who will provide details that could reveal the institution's interest rate strategy. Uncertainty over monetary policy in the Eurozone remains a key determinant of EUR/USD performance. The Role of the ECB and Market Expectations The appearance of Lagarde and De Guindos has become one of the most anticipated events of the day. Investors are analyzing every word, looking for clues about possible monetary policy adjustments. Uncertainty about future interest rate moves directly affects the euro, as a more hawkish stance could weaken the currency, while a cautious stance or signs of easing could generate upward momentum. This attention is because the FX market reacts almost immediately to expectations about monetary policy, making EUR/USD a direct reflection of the economic outlook in the region. The Impact of Quarterly GDP in the U.S. On the other hand, in the United States, the quarterly GDP is expected to be published, with a growth projection of 2.3%, in contrast to the 3.1% of the previous period. This data is crucial for the dollar, as a slowdown in economic activity could weaken the US currency. Investors are watching to see if the US economy shows signs of slowing or if growth trends continue, which would have a direct impact on the EUR/USD. A lower than expected figure could translate into a loss of dollar strength, thus boosting the euro in the international market. Technical Analysis The EURUSD has recovered in a bullish push up to $1.09296 per euro on the 18th of this month, the correction was not long in coming and the correction has continued to 1.07614 in today's trading. This has all the feel of support in a bullish momentum given that today's candle is all green, so it is very likely that this sentiment will push the euro back towards its upper end of the range and look to test the $1.09296 price. This theory is supported by the fact that the triple crossover of averages has pushed the 50-average above the 100-average since the impulse and yesterday there was a golden crossover where the value of the 200-average is starting to move into position below the 100-average, signaling to us a possible price expansion. This theory is supported by the fact that the RSI has made a micro support at the 50% average so this corrective sentiment seems to have stopped. If today's price breaks above the 50-average we could see an advance towards $1.10 per euro. If the US GDP data surprises and Europe does not have enough bullish sentiment we could see a return to the current checkpoint (POC) around 1.05327, but this is not expected to happen with a US market on a war footing with Trump's tariffs threatening the economic stability of its companies in exports. Other Financial Environment Variables In addition to the ECB statements and the GDP data, other elements are influencing the macroeconomic environment. Cryptocurrencies, for example, are trading with high volatility; while Bitcoin moves around $87,000 and Ethereum around $2,000, these assets reflect the general uncertainty in the market. Likewise, Brent, coffee and gold also move in a context of caution and uncertainty, factors that affect risk perception and, by extension, EUR/USD. In Asia, the indices show mixed movements. The Nikkei is down 0.9%, the Hang Seng is up 0.7% and the Shanghai Composite is little changed. These indicators reflect the diversity in the performance of international markets, although the main focus is on Wall Street's reaction. Yesterday, US indices ended in the red, with the S&P 500 down 1.1%, Nasdaq down 2% and Dow Jones down 0.3%. These dynamics are contributing to a cautious mood that is seeping into the FX market. EUR/USD Outlook In summary, the EUR/USD is at an inflection point where ECB statements and US macroeconomic data play a crucial role. Investors expect any hints on the future direction of monetary policy in the Eurozone or on the economic health of the US to trigger significant moves in the pair. Attention will be particularly focused on how ECB policymakers communicate, and the market's reaction to the GDP figure, which could reshape the direction of the dollar and, consequently, the euro. Technical analysis reveals that, after a recovery and a crossover of moving averages, the euro is holding up and could move towards $1.10 if it breaks above the 50-mark. However, global volatility and economic tensions warn investors to maintain a flexible and vigilant strategy. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Long
by ActivTrades
Long,Pioneers Holding (EGX: ASPI) Pioneers Holding (EGX: ASPI) has several key financial indicators that you should consider before making any investment decisions. Here's a breakdown of the company's financial position and performance: fundamentals Analysis 1. Stock Performance & Valuation: • Current Price: 0.278 EGP • Book Value Per Share: 0.35 EGP (suggests the stock is trading below book value, which could indicate undervaluation) • Based on Book Value Multiple → 0.60 EGP • Based on P/E Ratio → 0.41 EGP • The stock is currently trading at a significant discount compared to both valuation benchmarks: o 53.7% discount to the book value multiple (0.278 vs. 0.60 EGP). o 32.2% discount to the fair value based on the sector’s P/E ratio (0.278 vs. 0.41 EGP). • EPS: 0.07 EGP • 52-Week Price Change: -32.05% (significant decline, suggesting weak market sentiment or financial concerns) 2. Financial Health & Liquidity: • Cash: 498.11M EGP • Debt: 875.23M EGP (debt exceeds cash, leading to a net debt of -377.12M EGP) • Net Cash Per Share: -0.19 EGP (indicating a negative net cash position, which raises concerns about liquidity and financial stability) • Working Capital: -134.22M EGP (negative, suggesting possible short-term liquidity issues) 3. Profitability & Margins: • Revenue: 345.92M EGP • Net Income: 76.01M EGP (net margin of 21.97%, which is decent) • Gross Margin: 22.94% (moderate, indicating the company retains a reasonable portion of revenue after direct costs) • Operating Margin: 16.82% (suggesting the company has good cost control, but interest expenses may be a concern given the high debt levels) 4. Key Takeaways: ✅ Positive Factors: • Profitable with a 21.97% net profit margin • Trading below book value (0.278 EGP vs. 0.35 EGP), which might indicate undervaluation • Stable earnings per share (EPS: 0.07 EGP) ⚠️ Concerns: • High debt (875.23M EGP) relative to cash reserves • Negative working capital (-134.22M EGP), which could pose liquidity risks • Stock has underperformed significantly in the last year (-32.05%) Investment Consideration: According to Tracxn, Pioneers Holding has a Tracxn score of 34 out of 100, positioning it ahead of Beltone (29/100) but indicating room for growth compared to leading firms in the sector. • Value Perspective: If you believe the company can improve its balance sheet and market sentiment shifts, this could be an undervalued opportunity. • Risk Consideration: The negative cash position and high debt may pose risks, especially if interest rates rise or earnings decline. Tech. Analysis see the chart mark refer to GANN & Elliot wave
EGX:ASPILong
by maminpip
1
S&P 500 Correction Channel Keeps Bulls in Control, for NowThe S&P 500 has formed an uptrend channel after breaking out of the "tariff panic" downtrend, which had dragged the index down more than 10%. But is this new short-term uptrend merely a correction, or has the real direction changed? That’s the key question, one that will likely be answered in early April when the new tariffs take effect. February consumer confidence data didn’t look promising, but much of the negativity had already been priced in during the earlier 10% sell-off. However, this week’s PCE report, combined with next week’s tariffs and jobs report, could become a catalyst for determining the short- to medium-term direction. The 200-hour SMA has now reached the upper line of the trend channel. Together, they may create a strong resistance level. To the downside, 5700 is a key horizontal support level. By the end of this week, it will converge with the lower boundary of the channel, right as both the GDP and PCE data are released. Including the time factor, this confluence could mark the main short-term support. As long as the trend channel holds, bulls remain in control.
SP:SPX
by ftdsystem
1