Will Gold(XAUUSD) Price Surge?The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) increased its gold reserves to 879.59 tonnes in FY25, the central bank said in its annual report released on May 29.
The country’s gold reserves were at 854.73 tonnes in September 2024.
The surge in reserves has been attributed to a combination of fresh purchases of 54.13 tonnes, a 30 percent increase in gold prices, and the depreciation of the rupee against the dollar.
Following our technical analysis we can see Gold reacting from the 4h Fvg therefore we expect a shift in market structure when price breaks above 3325 where we shall be looking for long positions to take out the all time high.
Consequently, if the short term trendline holds the price below 3325, we expect to short
the market to around 3180 where price will have alighned with the overall bullish trendline therefore considering longterm buying opportunity..
If you find this helpful Please Like, Subscribe and share for more Insights on XAUUSD
Fundamental Analysis
US DOLLAR FORECAST (update)Update of stalking bullish behavior in the USD instrument.
Intermarket confluence has aligned instruments such as Gold & US Stocks are soft to Bearish, I focus on XAUUSD and US30 outside of Oil to gauge validity of idea.
Thus said focus is on the 5 min chart, we seek rejections framed from 30 min area of interests.
Trigger should be after 5m Bullish playbook, manipulation is a sign of a healthy "auction".
Gold’s Golden Reaction — Respecting the 4H FVG Like a Pro Gold is showing a classic ICT-aligned reaction after tapping into a clean 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), which acted as a high-probability point of interest (POI). The rejection wick and immediate bullish reaction suggest algorithmic interest has returned, hinting at a potential short-term bullish continuation.
🧠 Key Confluences:
✅ 4H FVG respected cleanly — often signals institutional accumulation when coupled with high volume and immediate pushback.
✅ COT Report Overlay: Institutional longs on gold outweigh shorts significantly (81% long), while retail is skewed bearish (69% short). This adds confidence to the long-side thesis — smart money likely pushing the upside.
✅ Price displacing higher after sweep of local liquidity — textbook liquidity grab before directional move.
🎯 Targets:
First Buyside Liquidity: 3,366.95 — this is the initial level where we may see some profit taking and possible rejection.
Second Buyside Liquidity: 3,433.85 — high-timeframe clean highs likely resting with unmitigated orders, making this a strong target.
However, due to the impulsive nature of gold, a retracement or pullback from the first target is very likely before continuation to the next liquidity level. This could present a second entry opportunity if the FVG zone holds support again.
⚠️ Risk Note:
A break and close below the FVG invalidates the bullish bias and could push price toward the prior sell-side zone near 3,257 or lower.
XAUUSD - Will Gold Continue to Fall?!Gold is trading in its ascending channel on the 1-hour timeframe, between the EMA200 and EMA50. I expect the direction ahead for gold to be bullish and if it breaks the downtrend line, we can look for buying opportunities.
The U.S. dollar rose following a decision by the United States Court of International Trade to revoke tariffs imposed by Donald Trump. Since the Trump administration, there have been continual developments regarding tariffs, and this latest ruling, which blocks Trump’s retaliatory tariffs, has stirred uncertainty and confusion over its legal validity. The ruling also triggered a correction in gold’s upward trend.
According to the U.S. Constitution, the power to impose tariffs officially resides with Congress. However, since 1962, much of this authority has been delegated to the executive branch. Courts have historically upheld this delegation to the president, but this recent judgment casts doubt on the legitimacy of such executive powers.
The pressing question now is whether Trump can circumvent the ruling. Could he potentially ignore it or take counteraction? Any move by Trump in response would undoubtedly ripple through the financial markets.
Goldman Sachs has characterized the court’s decision as a new obstacle for Trump’s trade strategy, though it notes the ruling only applies to part of the tariffs.Analysts at the firm believe Trump may find legal or procedural means to work around the court’s decision, possibly introducing new strategies to maintain his tariff agenda.
Citing customs data, ING commodity analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey reported that despite record-high prices, China’s gold imports reached their highest level in eleven months last month. Since the beginning of the year, gold prices have surged by more than 20%.
Total gold imports climbed to 127.5 metric tons, marking a 73% increase from the previous month. This sharp rise followed the People’s Bank of China’s issuance of new import quotas to select commercial banks in April. With a year-to-date gain exceeding 20%, gold hit an all-time high of $3,500 per ounce in April. Key drivers of this rally include geopolitical risk and sustained purchases by central banks.
In the broader metals sector, China’s refined copper production in April reached a new monthly record, rising 9% year-on-year to 1.25 million metric tons, even as processing fees remained low. Meanwhile, lead production declined by 1% from the previous year to 664,000 tons, while zinc output edged up by 0.3% to 576,000 tons.
According to the International Aluminium Institute, global aluminum production in April remained flat compared to the prior month, averaging 201,100 metric tons per day. However, on a year-over-year basis, output increased by 2.24%.
Silver Intra-Day Analysis 29-May-2025Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
FIL 1D – Compression Build-Up Below ResistancePrice consolidates just below the 50 EMA.
Support holding tight at $2.86 — bulls defending the base.
MACD flatlining but with bullish divergence on histogram lows.
Volume thinning during pullbacks — classic bullish continuation structure.
Higher low structure still intact from April base.
Daily close above $2.94 opens momentum window to $3.30–$3.45.
Patience favors the bid. Smart money waits for the breakout.
#FILUSD #Filecoin #TechnicalAnalysis #EMAStack #Quant #CryptoTA #FILBreakout
GOLD → False breakdown and support from the falling DXYFX:XAUUSD , as part of a correction, confirms the upward trend line and returns to the consolidation (range), making a false breakdown of support amid the dollar's correction...
The US dollar remains stable thanks to the Fed's hawkish minutes and the court's decision to block Trump's tariffs. Investors are waiting for Friday's inflation data (PCE), which could weaken the dollar and give gold a chance to rebound. Additional influence will come from US GDP data, jobless claims, and geopolitical news.
On D1, gold is rebounding from strong support and heading towards resistance at the rising trend line. If economic risks remain high, gold could continue its rally despite conflicting bearish patterns...
Resistance levels: 3300, 3310, 3325
Support levels: 3290, 3285, 3265
Gold is forming a false breakdown of support at 3265 as part of a correction and confirming the lower boundary of the upward channel. Consolidation above 3280 will confirm that bulls are holding the market amid high economic risks. Gold may test 3300-3310 and form a correction before continuing its growth towards 3325.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Strategy Update — Professional Trading InsightGold dipped to around 3290, then rebounded to 3310, followed by another pullback toward the 3290–3280 region and bounced again. This price action perfectly aligned with our forecast and trading plan.
👉 If you followed today's strategy, you should be in solid profit once again!
📍 Current Market Structure Analysis:
🔹 Gold is now hovering near 3300, which is a key resistance zone.
Our previously identified support area at 3306–3318–3324 has been broken and is now acting as resistance.
🔹 Among these levels:
3306 is a weaker resistance,
While the 3316–3323 zone is the main barrier to watch.
📊 Based on the 30-minute chart, bullish momentum appears limited:
If the price rebounds in a single leg, it is likely capped around 3318–3324,
→ With an 80%+ probability of a pullback from that zone. A reasonable short-term target would be 3312;
However, if gold builds a double bottom or multiple bottom structure, it may gather more strength,
→ And a broader rebound could reach 3332–3338.
📉 Bearish Structure Repair (2H Chart):
On the 2-hour chart, the previous bearish structure has been mostly corrected by the recent drop;
The next key factor is whether bulls can break above 3320 to confirm a reversal.
🟥 If bulls fail to break 3320 and price drops below 3280, it may open the door for bears to close the gap around 3259.
→ In that case, levels below 3266 will present excellent buy opportunities.
📊 Trading Summary:
Although market volatility has slightly decreased in recent days, there are still plenty of solid trading opportunities, and we continue to profit steadily.
✅ As long as you stick to a proven strategy, strong discipline, and flexible execution, you’ll find that no matter how the market moves, our profit curve will keep climbing.
Psst… Wanna Rob the Silver Market? XAG/USD Trade Inside!"🔥 "SILVER HEIST ALERT! 🚨 XAG/USD Bullish Raid Plan (Thief Trading Style)" 🔥
🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟
Attention Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💰💸✈️
Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental analysis), we’re plotting a heist on XAG/USD "The Silver" Market. Follow the strategy on the chart—LONG ENTRY is key! Aim to escape near the high-risk Red Zone (overbought, consolidation, bear traps). 🏆 Take profits & treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 💪🎉
📈 ENTRY: "The Heist Begins!"
Wait for MA breakout (33.700)—then strike! Bullish profits await.
Options:
Buy Stop above Moving Average OR
Buy Limit near pullback zones (15-30min timeframe, swing lows/highs).
📌 Pro Tip: Set an ALERT for breakout confirmation!
🛑 STOP LOSS: "Listen Up, Thieves!"
For Buy Stop Orders: DO NOT set SL until after breakout!
Place SL at recent/swing low (4H timeframe)—adjust based on your risk, lot size, & order count.
Rebels, be warned: Set it wherever, but you’re playing with fire! 🔥⚡
🏴☠️ TARGET: 34.700
Scalpers: Only trade LONG. Use trailing SL to protect gains.
Swing Traders: Join the robbery squad & ride the trend!
📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP:
Bullish drivers in play! Check:
Macro trends, COT reports, sentiment, intermarket analysis.
🔗 Linkks in bio/chart for deep dive.
⚠️ TRADING ALERTS:
News = Volatility! Avoid new trades during releases.
Lock profits with trailing stops. Stay sharp!
💥 BOOST THE HEIST!
Hit 👍 "LIKE" & "BOOST" to fuel our robbery team!
More heists coming—stay tuned! 🚀🤩
🎯 Let’s steal the market’s money—Thief Trading Style! 🏆💵
Gold (4H) Analysis
🗿 Head & Shoulders Pattern
Left shoulder → Head (~3 366 $) → Right shoulder near the downtrend line
A close below 3 283 $ would validate the shoulder break and signal a bearish turn
🔄 Pullback to 3 283 $?
After the H4 close under 3 283 $, expect a quick retest of that level to hunt stops
Perfect short entry if the H&S holds
🎯 OTE Support Trap
Just below lies last week’s Optimal Trade Entry zone (3 260–3 270 $)
Gold often fakes lower here before resuming the rally
⚔️ Scenarios
Bearish : Close < 3 283 $ → retest 3 283 $ → drop to 3 240 $ / 3 200 $
Bull trap : bounce off OTE → trap of retest 3 283 $ → rally back to 3 330–3 350 $
🌍 Macro Note
Geopolitical tensions (Ukraine/Russia) keep Gold bid as a safe haven
No major bearish catalyst yet—watch for a potential trap
👉 Key Level: H4 close under 3 283 $. Use the retest to confirm your bias!
Gold's rebound is weak and the bearish trend is dominant.The 1-hour gold chart shows that the Bollinger Bands open downward, and the gold price is running near the lower track, with a weak short-term trend. If it fails to rebound effectively and break through the 3290 line, the support below will focus on the 3240-3230 area. Overall, the gold price fluctuates downward, the moving average system is in a short position, and the downward pressure is further revealed. It is currently recommended to continue to maintain a high-altitude thinking and focus on short-selling opportunities after the rebound.
In the short-term operation of gold during the day, rebound short-selling is the main focus. Pay attention to the pressure level of the 3290-3280 area above, and the support level of the 3240-3230 area below. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to arrange short orders when the gold price rebounds to the 3280-3290 range. This is a key pressure area, and it is necessary to pay attention to the market reaction in this range.
US Federal Court Rules Trump Tariffs UnconstitutionalUS Federal Court Rules Trump Tariffs Unconstitutional
According to media reports, the US Court of International Trade has:
- declared the tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump illegal;
- ruled that the President exceeded his authority;
- blocked the tariffs, emphasising that under the US Constitution, only Congress has the power to impose tariffs.
The decision was made unanimously by a panel of three judges. Financial markets reacted with:
- a rise in US stock indices;
- strengthening of the US dollar — most notably seen today on the USD/CHF chart, as demand for so-called safe-haven assets declined in light of the tariff reversal.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart
The bullish momentum has broken upward through:
- a local downward trendline (shown in red);
- resistance at the 0.8300 level, near the May 22 high.
Additionally:
- the RSI indicator on the 4-hour chart has moved upwards to the overbought territory;
- the area highlighted with a purple rectangle resembles a bullish Fair Value Gap.
Could this upward momentum lead to a sustained uptrend? There is reason for doubt.
Consider the steep decline in USD/CHF in early April (driven mainly by the introduction of Trump's tariffs) and the relatively small size of today's bullish candle compared to that prior drop.
Price action seems to suggest that market participants are skeptical about any lasting change in the situation. The Trump administration has already filed an appeal, and it’s possible the White House could succeed in defending its position.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Breaking News: U.S. Federal Court Blocks Trump’s Tariff PolicyOn Wednesday (local time), a U.S. federal court blocked the tariff policy announced by President Trump on April 2nd, known as "Liberation Day." The court ruled that Trump exceeded his authority by imposing broad tariffs on countries that export more goods to the U.S. than they import from the U.S.
Analysis:
This decision could ease global trade tensions in the short term, especially for major export markets to the U.S. such as China and the European Union. Investors may expect more stability in supply chains and reduced cost pressures from tariffs.
Affected Stock Groups:
Heavy industry and manufacturing companies, particularly in steel, aluminum, and chemicals, may benefit from the blocked tariffs.
Technology, electronics, and consumer goods stocks with global supply chains could see reduced risks from increased tariff costs.
Conversely, U.S.-based companies focused on domestic markets might face increased competition due to lower tariffs on imports.
Investors should closely monitor political developments and any follow-up actions from the U.S. administration to adjust their strategies accordingly.
Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This WeekNZDUSD – Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This Week
🌐 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW
After the FOMC’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, the US Dollar has shown signs of recovery driven by expectations that core inflation remains persistent — especially ahead of the upcoming US Core PCE Price Index release this Friday.
On the New Zealand side, the Kiwi remains under pressure due to recent weak economic data and negative sentiment from China — its largest trading partner. The RBNZ continues to maintain a neutral stance, offering little support for the currency in the near term.
Market sentiment remains cautious as investors await the PCE data to determine inflation trends and potential Fed policy shifts.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1–H2 TIMEFRAME)
NZDUSD is forming a technical rebound after a strong bearish leg from the 0.60300 region. Current price is trading around the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5964–0.5976), struggling to break above EMA89 and EMA200 resistance.
Overall structure: Bearish bias remains intact with lower highs.
EMA alignment: EMA13, EMA34, and EMA89 are in bearish formation.
Key support zone: 0.5926–0.5940, trendline confluence + consolidation base.
🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
Resistance:
0.5976 – Fibonacci 0.5 retracement + previous rejection zone
0.5990 – Structural resistance of the week
0.6007 – 78.6% Fib + liquidity sweep potential
Support:
0.5940 – Trendline retest + short-term structure
0.5926 – Key demand zone with previous fake breakout
🎯 TRADE IDEAS
SELL SETUP – Fade the pullback into resistance:
Entry: 0.5976 – 0.5990
Stop Loss: 0.6010
Take Profit: 0.5940 → 0.5926
BUY SCALP – On strong bullish rejection from support:
Entry: 0.5926 – 0.5930
Stop Loss: 0.5900
Take Profit: 0.5960 → 0.5976
Note: Confirm with bullish candlestick and volume spike before entry.
⚠️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK
NZDUSD remains in a corrective phase. This week’s PCE inflation data will be critical. A hotter-than-expected reading could strengthen the USD and push NZDUSD below 0.5926, resuming the medium-term downtrend.
Avoid chasing mid-range price action. Focus on price reactions near the key resistance and support levels.
The Day AheadKey Economic Data
US Q1 GDP (2nd estimate)
Critical gauge of US economic strength. A stronger print supports the USD and Treasury yields; a weaker print could increase rate cut expectations.
US Initial Jobless Claims
Weekly labor market barometer. Higher claims may signal softening employment, boosting rate cut speculation.
US April Pending Home Sales
Forward-looking housing data. Affects homebuilder stocks and rate-sensitive sectors.
Japan May Consumer Confidence Index
Influences JPY and Nikkei futures. A strong number supports risk sentiment in Asia.
Italy May Consumer & Manufacturing Confidence, March Industrial Sales
Could affect EUR and European equity indexes, especially if significantly diverging from consensus.
Canada Q1 Current Account Balance
Impacts CAD. A stronger balance may support CAD crosses; relevant for BoC watchers.
Central Bank Activity
Fed Speakers: Barkin, Goolsbee, Daly
Market-sensitive remarks possible, especially around inflation, labor market, and rate path.
Key for interpreting near-term FOMC expectations.
Earnings Reports
Major reports: Costco, Royal Bank of Canada, Dell, Marvell, Zscaler, Gap
These span retail, finance, tech, and cybersecurity.
Potentially high-impact for:
Retail sentiment (Costco, Gap)
Tech momentum (Dell, Marvell, Zscaler)
Financial sector positioning (Royal Bank of Canada)
Bond Market
US 7-Year Treasury Note Auction
Important for yield curve positioning.
Weak demand may steepen the curve; strong demand could support duration plays.
Trading Takeaways
Macro setup: GDP + claims = key risk barometer for USD and yields.
Volatility catalyst: Earnings after-hours may drive post-market Nasdaq and futures volatility.
Bond traders: Watch auction tail and bid metrics closely; implications for near-term Treasury direction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold Market Eyes Liquidity Sweep at 3241–3230Gold market, after a brief decline within its ongoing bullish buildup, resumes bearish sentiment in the short term. Current price action now looks to take more liquidity from the market between the 3241–3230 zone, which may serve as a trigger for the next move. follow for more insight, comment , and boost idea
XAGUSD Analysis with MMC | Trendline + CHoCH Insight + Target🔍 Overview
This XAGUSD chart presents a classic Mirror Market Concept (MMC) pattern – a fractal, symmetrical market behavior often observed at key inflection points. The structure is currently forming a tight triangle pattern within two converging trendlines, signaling a compression phase before a significant breakout.
Mirror Market Concept relies on the idea that historical emotional market structures tend to repeat or reflect, especially in psychologically sensitive zones such as trendline tests, liquidity pools, and BOS/CHoCH areas.
📐 Technical Structure Breakdown
🔷 1. Trendline Resistance & Support (Triangle Compression)
Upper trendline connects successive lower highs, reflecting consistent seller pressure.
Lower trendline aligns with higher lows, showing bullish defense and accumulation pressure.
The result is a symmetrical triangle, often preceding explosive directional moves.
🔹 2. Blue Ray Zone
The "Blue Ray" acts as a historical liquidity pivot — a region where large wicks and rejections happened in both directions.
Price has respected this zone repeatedly, making it a likely impulse trigger area if revisited.
🔄 3. BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character)
Major BOS near the $33.60 area indicates a shift in market structure to bullish. The break above previous swing highs suggests buyers gained control temporarily.
Major CHoCH at the base of the triangle reflects where market sentiment shifted, initiating the current series of higher lows.
📍 4. SR Interchange Zone
Previous resistance around $32.80–$33.00 is now acting as support (interchange level), creating a confluence zone with the lower trendline and CHoCH point.
🎯 Forecast & Targets
✅ Bullish Scenario (Primary):
A breakout above the upper triangle trendline and confirmation above $33.60 will validate the bullish breakout setup.
Price Target: $34.40 – $34.60 (based on triangle height + measured move theory)
Expect impulsive follow-through as trapped shorts exit and fresh longs enter.
🚫 Bearish Alternative:
A breakdown below $33.00 with strong volume and bearish retest may invalidate the bullish setup.
In such case, a fall toward $32.20–32.40 is possible — completing a deeper retracement before any resumption of the upward move.
🔍 Market Psychology Behind the Pattern
This triangle represents market indecision, a "coil" where both bulls and bears are losing volatility while absorbing liquidity. The MMC concept teaches us that price often mirrors previous patterns — and the compressed energy inside triangles typically resolves in sharp momentum moves, mirroring the prior impulse.
Expect a strong breakout that "mirrors" the breakout leg from May 22 to May 23. This type of reflection-based logic is a cornerstone of MMC.
🔔 Trading Plan & Strategy
Entry: Wait for breakout and retest of the triangle boundary (ideally on 1H/2H close).
Stop Loss: Below the most recent swing low inside the triangle.
TP1: $34.10
TP2: $34.40
TP3: $34.60 (psychological level and measured move)
⚠️ Risk & News Considerations
Upcoming U.S. economic data events (highlighted on the chart) could act as catalysts. Be prepared for volatility spikes and fakeouts. Always use solid risk management.
XAUUSD Sniper Plan – May 29, 2025“Grip the Zones or Get Gripped – GDP & Claims Are Loading”
Hey GoldFxMinds crew! 🧠🚨
Hope your charts are zoomed in and your mind is zoomed out — because today is calm before the storm. With Unemployment Claims and Prelim GDP dropping tomorrow, NY is all about positioning before the macro thunder hits. So let's gear up — sniper style. 🎯
Current Price: ~3290
Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, as long as 3285–3295 holds structure.
🟤 PREMIUM ZONES – SELL INTEREST
🔻 3314–3320 (Refined 🔥)
• M15 OB + clean FVG alignment
• EMA50/100 confluence
• Tuesday’s LH rejection → precision sniper zone
🦅 Sniper Alert: Look for CHoCH or M5 rejection candle to enter short with SL above 3322.
🔻 3328–3335
• Liquidity trap zone above yesterday's rejection
• Quick wicks + FVG gap → ideal inducement zone
🦅 Aggressive Sellers: This is the second defense line — don’t chase, react to confirmations.
🔻 3348–3360
• D1 Supply + historical OB + unfilled imbalance
• Strong selling reaction previously seen here
🦅 Swing Traders: This is your reversal fortress. Watch RSI divergence and HTF reaction.
🟢 DISCOUNT ZONES – BUY INTEREST
🟩 3285–3295
• Active H1 demand zone
• EMA200 support + Asia bounce confirmed
• RSI support holding around 38–40
🦅 Long Setup: M5/M15 CHoCH + bullish engulf = sniper trigger.
🟩 3260–3270
• Unfilled FVG + lower OB from Tuesday
• Mid-range retest level
🦅 Buyers: If NY dips below 3285, this is your second line. Wait for PA shift.
🟩 3235–3250
• HTF demand + deep discount zone
• Untapped FVG + BOS origin
🦅 Last Bullet Zone: If we nuke below all structure — this is where smart money waits.
⚡ MID-ZONE CONTROL
⚡ 3300–3308
• NY equilibrium
• Likely to chop — not for entries
🦅 Use for direction bias only after London open.
📊 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT – H1 + M30
CHoCH confirmed → 3174 to 3285 HL
Bullish continuation possible if 3295 holds
Rejection from refined 3314–3320 zone = intraday short trigger
If we clear 3320 cleanly → expect test of 3335–3360
🧠 MACRO & NEWS CONTEXT
🗓 Tomorrow:
• 🧾 Unemployment Claims
• 📉 Prelim GDP
Big folders = big liquidity sweeps. Today, the market builds traps for tomorrow’s trigger.
🎯 BATTLE PLAN
Buy from 3285–3295 only with M5 confirmation.
Sell from 3314–3320 only on rejection + CHoCH.
Prepare backup buys from 3260 and 3245 if structure breaks.
Avoid trading in 3300–3308 – it's a trap range.
🚨 Final Note – Be The Trader, Not The Liquidity
Today’s game is reaction, not prediction. Price is setting the stage — your job is to read the script and play the sniper role. 🎯
💬 Drop a comment if you’re watching the 3314 zone like a hawk.
❤️ Smash that like & follow if these breakdowns sharpen your entries.
Let’s crush the day, stay smart, and let price prove the move.
— GoldFxMinds 💛
The golden range strategy continues to workGold bottomed out and rebounded as expected today. Friends who follow me should be able to clearly feel that I have been insisting on analyzing the trend of "bottoming out and rebounding" recently. Today, gold opened at 3300, and rebounded after the lowest price fell to around 3291. So far, the highest price has reached 3325. Overall, the support below gold is still strong, but the suppression above cannot be ignored. Therefore, the market performance yesterday and today was relatively stable, with small fluctuations as the main trend.
In terms of operation ideas, continue to pay attention to the support level of 3290-3295. If it falls back and does not break, maintain a bullish mindset. At present, the long orders in the 3290-3295 range have been notified to enter the market as planned, and are currently in the profit stage. If you encounter difficulties in the current gold market operation, I hope my analysis can help you. Welcome to communicate at any time.
From the 4-hour cycle chart, the support below gold is around 3290-3295, and the pressure above is concentrated in the 3330-3340 range. In the short term, the watershed between long and short is around 3275-3283. Before the daily level effectively falls below the watershed, it is still in a long-short shock pattern, maintaining the main theme of "high-altitude and low-multiple" cycle participation.
Gold operation strategy: If gold falls back to the 3290-3295 line, you can try to go long. If it further falls back to the 3280-3285 line, you can consider covering long orders, and the target is around 3316-3320.
EURUSD PLAN – Is the Rebound Just a Pause Before the Drop? EURUSD PLAN – Is the Rebound Just a Pause Before the Drop? | All Eyes on PCE
📊 MACRO OUTLOOK:
Following the latest FOMC meeting, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, as expected, but maintained a hawkish tone. Chair Powell reiterated that inflation remains too sticky to consider rate cuts in the near term.
Markets now await this week’s US PCE data — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — which could provide the next major catalyst for USD strength or weakness.
On the Euro side, weak consumer confidence and tepid growth have strengthened expectations for an ECB rate cut in June. This divergence in monetary policy is weighing on the Euro, as the Dollar finds new demand amid global risk recalibration.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1):
EURUSD has broken down from recent highs near 1.1412 and is now forming a bearish retracement pattern.
Price has broken below the 89-EMA and 200-EMA, signaling bearish structure.
Current price action suggests a temporary bounce from the 1.1260–1.1280 support zone (Fibo 38.2%–50%), but the broader trend remains bearish.
Fibonacci retracement from recent swing lows highlights 1.1338 and 1.1372 as key resistance levels to watch.
🔑 KEY TECHNICAL ZONES:
Resistance Zones:
• 1.1313 – Minor intraday level (Fibo 0.5)
• 1.1338 – EMA confluence + former structure
• 1.1372 – Major rejection zone (previous distribution top)
Support Zones:
• 1.1280 – 1.1260 – Current support bounce area
• 1.1220 – Key liquidity sweep zone
🧭 TRADE STRATEGY:
Scenario A – Sell the Pullback:
• Wait for a rebound into the 1.1313 – 1.1338 zone
• Enter SELL if bearish rejection forms
• SL: 1.1376
• TP: 1.1280 → 1.1260 → 1.1220
Scenario B – Invalid Breakout:
• If price breaks above 1.1372 with momentum, this plan is invalidated — wait for a confirmed breakout retest.
Scenario C – Reactive Buy Scalp:
• If price shows strong rejection from 1.1260 again, scalpers may consider a temporary BUY back toward 1.1300–1.1310
• This is high-risk and counter-trend.
⚠️ STRATEGIC NOTES:
EURUSD remains in a bearish bias until major resistance levels are broken. With PCE data approaching, volatility is likely. Trade setups should be based on confirmation signals and managed tightly as macro data can shift momentum rapidly.
DOGEUSDT → Long squeeze before growth?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P is consolidating. A range with clear boundaries has formed. Before a possible breakout, a liquidation (false breakdown) may form
On D1, the structure is quite positive. Earlier, the price tested the downward resistance, but there was no reaction (fall) as such. Instead, the price is consolidating within the range of 0.211 (0.205) - 0.23 - 0.253.
Bitcoin, like the entire crypto market, is consolidating within fairly clear boundaries. Based on the current situation, it would be logical to wait for one part of the market to be liquidated before the price can move in either direction. Based on the bullish market, there may be a retest of support in the form of a false break...
Resistance levels: 0.2308, 0.253
Support levels: 0.213, 0.2116, 0.205
DOGE is consolidating with a focus on the 0.23–0.211 range. Against the backdrop of a bullish trend, a liquidation (long squeeze) relative to the lower boundary of the 0.23–0.205 range is possible before growth continues. A false break of support and liquidity capture would be useful maneuvers before implementation. However, if the market is aggressive enough and resistance at 0.23 is broken with subsequent consolidation above this level, it could trigger premature growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!