Fundamental Analysis
Solana (SOL) Market Overview – April 17, 2025As of April 17, 2025, Solana (SOL) is trading at approximately $134.55 USD, reflecting a 5.48% increase from the previous close.
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📈 Technical Analysis
Price Action & Momentum:
• Recent Performance: SOL has rebounded from lows near $120 to around $134.55, positioning itself as one of the top-performing altcoins recently.
• Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Support: $120 – Crucial for sustaining the current bullish momentum.
• Resistance Zone: $133 – $135 – A breakout above this range could unlock further upside.
Key Indicators:
• RSI: 53.90 – Neutral momentum
• MACD: -3.01 – Slightly bearish
• Stochastic Oscillator: 92.14 – Overbought territory
• ADX: 19.10 – Weak trend strength
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🧭 Fundamental Analysis
Network Strength:
• High Throughput & Low Fees: Solana continues to dominate with its scalable and low-cost blockchain infrastructure.
Institutional Interest:
• ETF Activity: Five ETF filings as of March 2025 highlight increased institutional trust in Solana.
Market Sentiment:
• Fear & Greed Index: 29 – Market is in “Fear” zone, potentially creating long-term buying opportunities.
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🔍 Summary
Solana is showing bullish recovery signs driven by positive price action and ETF momentum. However, technicals suggest a cautious approach in the short term due to overbought signals and weak trend strength. Fundamentally, Solana’s powerful infrastructure and institutional support could fuel long-term growth.
FHN: Bearish retest after channel break – more downside ahead?First Horizon Corporation is a regional U.S. banking company offering commercial, mortgage, and investment services. It operates mainly across the southern United States and is among the largest regional banks in its sector.
Technical Analysis:
FHN recently broke down from a long-term ascending channel and is now retesting the lower boundary as resistance. Price stalled near 18.65 with weakening bullish momentum. RSI is trending lower and volume on retest is soft. Key downside levels: 15.00, 13.50, and possibly 10.24 if weakness continues.
Fundamentals:
FHN faces headwinds from tightening monetary policy, rising credit costs, and profitability pressures. Regional banks are under investor scrutiny following sector instability. Latest earnings report showed declining margins and weaker guidance.
Scenarios:
Bearish bias – rejection at 18.65 → drop toward 15.00 → 13.50 → 10.24
Bullish reversal – break back above 18.65 → re-entry into channel toward 21.00+
TME Triple TopTME looks like a triple top. See reference image. I do believe we will return to the range between $5.50 - $10.50, and see a low in the 5-$6 range over the next several months. We can see a bearish divergence aligns with the three tops (RSI is decreasing for each of the three tops).
As always, classical technical analysis patterns increase in probability when utilized on the longer timeframes. We can see this setup forming on the weekly-timeframe, which I believe significantly increases the reliability of this setup.
Good luck, stay safe, have fun, and make money my friends.
GBPJPY – Breakout Buy Setup (Macro Alignment)GBPJPY long setup backed by rising LEI, strong macro trend, JPY weakness, and bullish seasonal window approaching after April 24.
Waiting for breakout confirmation above resistance to validate entry.
🧠 Macro + Model Alignment
LEI score rising → 33 (April), macro outlook improving
Exo+LEI = 1153 → strong bullish signal
JPY COT: Overbought → reversal risk
GBP fundamentals outperform JPY across April
Seasonality: GBP bearish till April 24, then bullish into month-end
📌 Best entry window = April 25+
📊 Technical Setup – 1H Chart
Price testing key resistance zone ~190.00
Watching for breakout & candle close above resistance for confirmation
Clear R:R with defined structure zones
📥 Entry: Break and close above 190.284
⛔ Stop Loss: 187.414
🎯 Take Profit: 192.608
🧮 R:R ≈ 1:2+
Confirmation required before entry ✅
Gold Hits New Highs as US-China Tensions Escalate 📌 Gold Outlook: US-China Trade Tensions Fuel New Bullish Wave Amid Policy Uncertainty 🧨📈
🌍 Geopolitical Drivers Taking the Lead
On April 15th, President Donald Trump ordered an investigation into potential tariffs on all critical minerals imported into the U.S. – a move seen as the latest escalation in his ongoing economic confrontation with global trade partners, most notably China.
This development has shaken overall market sentiment, prompting investors to rotate into safe-haven assets like gold, which has surged in response.
At the same time, the U.S. Dollar weakened sharply, nearing 3-year lows last week, further increasing gold’s appeal for holders of other currencies.
🏦 Central Bank Uncertainty Adds Fuel to the Fire
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the central bank would not intervene to “rescue” markets during turbulent periods, suggesting that volatility may persist as hedge funds unwind leverage and global investors remain cautious.
He emphasized that the current volatility may be driven by shifting trade policies and broader uncertainty — which he said is “too early to fully diagnose.”
With central banks showing no immediate intent to inject liquidity or cut rates, the bullish case for gold remains strong in the coming weeks.
📊 Technical Outlook: New Highs in Sight, But Volatility Will Be Sharp
Gold continues to print new ATHs, and the dominant strategy right now is to trade with the trend — which clearly remains bullish. In such an environment, sudden drops are normal and not necessarily tied to any single news event.
Rather than attempting to short the market near highs, we are focusing on catching bullish continuation setups after sharp intraday corrections. These will likely form at support zones or classic continuation patterns on M15/M30 timeframes.
🔍 Price Levels to Watch
🟢 Support Zones:
3314 – 3300 – 3284 – 3266
🔴 Psychological Resistance:
3380 – 3396 – 3410
💼 Trade Plan
BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3300 – 3298
SL: 3264
TP Targets: 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3324 → 3330 → higher
SELL ZONE (Psychological Reaction Only):
Entry: 3396 – 3398
SL: 3402
TP Targets: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370
⚠️ Final Thoughts
We remain firmly buy-biased, especially as gold continues to be driven by macro and political catalysts. Pullbacks should be welcomed — not feared — and seen as opportunities to scale into longs at structure.
While intraday drops may appear sharp and sudden, they often lack fundamental backing and provide the best entry conditions for continuation traders. Be cautious with shorts — unless reacting to extended psychological resistance zones.
Always trade with a clear plan and never forget to honor your TP/SL levels to safeguard your capital.
💬 How are you navigating gold during this surge in global tension? Are you buying dips or waiting for a deeper correction? Let us know below! 👇👇👇
USDCHF Technicals & Fundamentals🔹 Structure:
Pivot zone marked around 0.8200 (purple line + yellow zone).
Support below at ~0.8160.
Resistance around 0.8240.
Currently trading at 0.82137, trying to reclaim the pivot zone.
🔹 Price Action Outlook:
Bearish Bias: Based on the projected path, the expectation is for USD/CHF to:
Reject near 0.823–0.824.
Retest the pivot zone and fail to hold.
Begin a slow grind down back to the 0.8160 support, and potentially break it toward 0.8080.
🔹 Volume:
Volume appears mixed but increasing slightly — indicating growing interest at this level, possibly setting up for a breakout (or breakdown).
🌍 Fundamentals
🔸 USD Side:
Recent U.S. CPI & Fed rhetoric suggest inflation is sticky.
Rate cut expectations are being delayed, which supports the dollar in general.
However, geopolitical tensions and slowing data may keep the USD volatile.
🔸 CHF Side:
Swiss Franc remains a safe-haven currency.
SNB (Swiss National Bank) has adopted a relatively dovish stance but supports stability.
If global risk sentiment worsens, CHF may strengthen despite policy stance.
🔸 Combined View:
Risk-off sentiment = CHF strength
Strong USD = resistance holding
This combo fits with the technical expectation of a fade from resistance and downtrend continuation.
NOTE:
If USD/CHF fails to stay above the pivot (0.8200), we could see a slow bearish fade back toward 0.8080, as fundamentals hint at CHF strength returning amid global uncertainties.
Will gold still rise after correction? Market analysis referenceAnalysis of gold market trend:
Technical analysis of gold: Today in the Asian session, gold directly rushed to the 3357 line, continuing the previous upward trend. The spot gold price in the Asian session has once again hit a record high, breaking through $3350 for the first time. The US dollar index fell close to a three-year low, triggering a sharp rise in market risk aversion, pushing up gold prices. The current basic trend of gold rising has not changed, and the bulls are strong. However, from the perspective of time nodes, even if you are bullish today, you must pay attention to the adjustment space at any time. The Asian session hit a high and fell back, and the European session did not continue to rise but fluctuated and fell. Attention should be paid to the second bottoming out in the evening. In addition, the market will be closed tomorrow, Friday, and will not open normally until next Monday; therefore, today, Thursday, we must do a good job of risk prevention; such as short positions, such as adjusting positions, and so on.
In the short term, gold is now likely to start a large range of fluctuations again. The 1-hour inverted V trend has begun. Gold will either start a large range of fluctuations or make adjustments. If there is no support from bullish news in the short term, then the short-term gold bulls may be suppressed. Due to the rest tomorrow, do less and wait and see. Gold will be operated next week in combination with the news over the weekend. The recent market has been ups and downs, and I can finally take a good rest for three days to relax the tense atmosphere. The recent ups and downs of gold are like an electrocardiogram, which affects the hearts of everyone who pays attention to gold. It is mainly too active. Maybe you drink a sip of tea and smoke a cigarette, and gold goes back and forth for more than ten US dollars. So, don't be too bullish today. If you are bold, go short, and if you are prudent, just watch the show! Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is mainly to go short on rebounds, and to go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3315-3320 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3245-3285 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Gold operation strategy reference: short gold rebounds near 3315-3320, target near 3295-3285, and look at the 3245 line if it breaks.
Strategy 2: Go long on gold pullbacks near 3280-3285, target near 3305-3315, and look at the 3320 line if it breaks.
Crude rallies on Trump China trade optimism, WTI test key levelCrude oil prices were already on the ascendency but have just hit fresh highs on the day after the latest Trump remarks:
WILL MAKE GOOD DEAL WITH CHINA
WE WILL HAVE A DEAL WITH CHINA
But...
*TRUMP SAYS HE'S IN 'NO RUSH' TO CLOSE DEALS
Anyway WTI has risen to session highs, now testing a major resistance area around $65 give or take $1. The area is shaded on the chart. If we go above this zone then bullish, else the bears remain in control.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GOLD → Correction to support. What's next?FX:XAUUSD updates a new high to 3357. A correction is forming after Powell's speech. On the background of the bullish trend it is worth looking for stronger support levels
Gold halted gains at $3,358 as traders take profits and assess the implications of Trump's tariff policy.Gold's gains on the week were driven by the escalating trade war between the US and China, fears of a US recession and a flight from risk assets. However, cautious rhetoric from Fed chief Powell and positive signals from trade talks with Japan temporarily curbed further gains in gold. But the level of risks and possible escalation of the conflict is still at a high level.
It is too early to talk about the trend change. At the moment the correction to liquidity zones is forming on the background of the bullish trend. The focus is on 3296, 0.5 fibo. The price may bounce from these levels.
Resistance levels: 3344, 3457
Support levels: 3320, 3296, 3275
The correction after Powell's speech may be quickly exhausted if the politicians from China and the US fuel the conflict. But any hints of negotiations and tariff cuts could be taken very positively by the market, which could lead to a reversal of the local trend.
Regards R. Linda!
SM | Long | Fundamentally Undervalued | (April 17, 2025)SM | Long | Technically Strong + Fundamentally Undervalued | (April 17, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
SM Energy is showing solid upside potential both technically and fundamentally. We're at a key support zone, and the company appears significantly undervalued—making this a high-interest setup.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry Zone: Currently entering around $20.00
Stop Loss: Below recent structure (~$18.90 suggested)
TP1: $24
TP2: $39
Partial Exits: $45
Long-term targets (for position traders): $73 and even $107
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Technically, SM is sitting at a strong daily support zone after a consolidation breakdown. While the recent move was bearish short-term, the broader trend since 2020 has been aggressively bullish—with over 6100% return since 2020.
✅ We're watching for a W-formation on the 4H chart, potentially forming between $20 and $19.50—this retrace may offer a cleaner re-entry or confirmation.
✅ Fundamentally, SM appears undervalued by 30% based on its P/E ratio and strong cash flow. Despite some revenue normalization projected by 2028, the overall trend remains positive, and share dilution is expected to decline.
✅ Seasonality favors long setups during this time of year.
❌ Risks: Breakdown continuation from current levels could invalidate the bullish setup—keep an eye on broader oil & gas sentiment and macro catalysts.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
I’ll be monitoring this trade and may provide an update if price reaches the retrace zone or breaks above $27.
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Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Gold Analysis April 17Another day of half-full D candle increase but today there is a bearish wave appearing
The h4 frame has shown signs of sellers jumping into the market and H1 also formed bearish waves.
The bearish wave formed with support 3322. Breaking 3322 is very easy to form a strong bearish wave but the necessary condition is that the 3315 zone will have to be broken. If 3315 increases, 3338 is the zone that the Sellers are also waiting for. 3354-3355 ATH zone will still have a reaction from the Sellers before creating a new ATH.
Trading zone when there is confirmation
Price zones to pay attention to BUY 3315, 3293, 3275
Price zones to pay attention to SELL 3337, 3354
$EUINTR - ECB Lowers Interest Rates by 25bps (April/2025)ECONOMICS:EUINTR - ECB Lowers Interest Rates by 25bps (April/2025)
ECONOMICS:EUINTR
April/2025
source: European Central Bank
- The European Central Bank lowered interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, as expected, marking the sixth consecutive cut since June and bringing the key deposit rate down to 2.25%.
Policymakers noted that the disinflation process is progressing well and dropped previous references to a "restrictive" policy stance, while cautioning that the growth outlook has worsened amid escalating trade tensions.
Google Ruling Could Be Very Bullish for TTDA U.S. judge has found Google guilty of illegally monopolizing the digital advertising technology markets. The monopolization of both the demand and supply sides has been a long-standing concern for the rest of the digital advertising sector.
This ruling may significantly benefit The Trade Desk (TTD), as it operates as an independent demand-side platform. The digital advertising market is projected to exceed $600 billion in 2025, and Google currently believed to be controls nearly 30% of that. Even a 5% slip in Google’s market share, with TTD capturing just 10% of that shift, could nearly double TTD's revenue. As a result, this ruling is can be considered very bullish for TTD, both in the medium and long term.
Technically, TTD recently tested the $40 level, a key support that has held since Q4 of 2020, indicating the stock is currently in a strong demand zone. With this news, the likelihood of that support holding and a bullish reversal increases.
Analyst consensus reflects an 85.8% upside potential. If the bullish scenario plays out, the horizontal level at $60 and the 200-day moving average could serve as key medium-term targets. From current levels to the 200-day SMA, the potential return is close to 50%.
Amazon losing weekly trendline – watch these Fibo levels nextTechnical Analysis
Amazon (AMZN) has broken below its weekly ascending trendline and failed to reclaim the key 0.618 Fibonacci level (180.52). Strong bearish volume and a weakening RSI suggest downside continuation. Key support targets lie at 161.55, 151.21, and 142.58, with extended downside to 119.12.
Fundamentals
Macro pressure from high interest rates and a slowdown in consumer spending weighs on Amazon. Intense competition in AWS and e-commerce adds uncertainty. Upcoming earnings may serve as a catalyst for directional clarity.
Scenarios:
Base case – move down toward 151.21, 142.58, 119.12
Bullish case – break above 180.52 → rally toward 207.52, 241.92
#XAUUSD:Time to Sell Gold ? Gold experienced a record high after touching $3358, but it subsequently declined. We anticipate further price drops until it reaches $3250, representing a 1000 pips move. We expect the price to remain bearish until it reaches a specific level. We appreciate your continued support.
Wishing you a joyous Easter.
Much Love ❤️
Team Setupsfx_
4/17 Gold Trading StrategyYesterday, the escalation of the tariff issue significantly strengthened bullish momentum in gold, leading to a one-sided upward move. There’s no need for lengthy analysis today — in this kind of market condition, the focus should be on identifying sell opportunities. A sustained rally like this is almost always followed by a correction, even without any additional catalyst.
Furthermore, today’s initial jobless claims data may provide an opening for the bears. Even if the data is bullish for gold, the likelihood of another sharp rally is low at this stage.
Today’s Trading Recommendations:
Sell Zone: 3350 – 3390
Ideal for initiating short positions as gold approaches extreme levels.
Buy Zone: 3268 – 3252
Key support zone where long positions can be considered upon a pullback.
Range Trading Zone: 3330 – 3288
Suitable for flexible intraday trades based on market structure and real-time price action.
Summary:
After a strong one-sided surge, gold is now in overbought territory. Look for short setups at resistance zones, especially with potential catalysts like jobless claims data on the horizon. A healthy correction is both expected and necessary before any further sustained move upward.