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Fundamental Analysis

ETH Forming Bullish AB=CD Pattern | Eyes on Breakout #Ethereum (ETH) is showing strong bullish momentum on the 4H timeframe and is currently developing a classic AB=CD harmonic pattern, which often precedes a continuation of trend. ✅ Key Observations: #ETH is holding within a solid uptrend structure No signs of bearish divergence or reversal patterns yet Momentum remains healthy, with buyers in control 🔍 What to Watch For: We are closely watching the previous Higher High (HH) — currently acting as a key resistance level. A 4H candle close above this level will serve as confirmation for the continuation of the bullish trend. 📈 Trading Plan: Once #ETH breaks above the resistance and confirms with a close, we’ll look to enter a long position with proper risk management and stop-loss placement below recent structure. 💬 What’s your bias on #ETH in the short term? Are you already long, or waiting for the breakout too? 📌 Don’t forget to Like, Comment, and Follow for more clean setups and strategy-based analysis! #ETH #Ethereum #CryptoTrading #ABCDPattern #TechnicalAnalysis #Harmonics #TradingSetup #Breakout #PriceAction
Long
by mudusir
Gold Technical Analysis - Potential Rising Wedge Signals CautionGold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,340 - $3,350 area, exhibiting a bullish market structure characterized by higher highs and higher lows. The price has recently tested the resistance zone between $3,330 and $3,350, a level that has previously acted as a ceiling for upward movements. A decisive break above this resistance could pave the way for further gains, with potential targets at $3,371 and beyond. Conversely, failure to sustain above this level may lead to a pullback toward the support zone around $3,300. The rising wedge on Gold signals caution for bulls. Unless there's a strong breakout above $3,365 , the pattern favors a bearish move toward $3,250 or lower. ✅ Long Bias – Bullish Outlook Gold is currently trading in an uptrend , supported by: Higher lows and higher highs structure. Strong bullish momentum on the rebound from the recent dip around $3,120 . Fundamentals like economic uncertainty, interest rate cut expectations, or geopolitical tension that often support gold prices. If price breaks and holds above $3,350–$3,365 , it would confirm bullish continuation, and a long position targeting $3,400–$3,500 is valid. 🔻 Short Setup – Bearish Outlook Consider a short trade only if: Price gets rejected from $3,350–$3,365 . A lower high is confirmed (on H4 or Daily TF). Bearish candlestick patterns appear at resistance. Break below $3,300 would open downside targets to $3,250 , and potentially $3,200 . ⚠️ Caution Zone – Potential Pullback However, there are early signs of exhaustion: Price is testing a descending trendline + previous weekly high (~$3,330–$3,350) – a key decision point. If rejection is confirmed, we might see a retest of support near $3,300 or $3,250 . 📊 Current Market Structure Chart Pattern : Rising Wedge Timeframe : 4H and Daily Resistance Trendline : Connecting recent highs around $3,320 → $3,350 → $3,365 Support Trendline : Connecting higher lows around $3,250 → $3,300 → $3,330 Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
CAKE – Triangle Pattern Forming: Breakout Incoming?Hey traders! 👋 #CAKE is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle – a classic setup that often precedes a big move! The price action is tightening, and momentum is building. 📈 🔍 What We're Watching: Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Bias: Bullish, with potential for upside breakout Key Resistance: 2.65 Entry Plan: We'll wait for a confirmed breakout above resistance, followed by a clean retest of the broken structure. If the retest holds, that’s our cue to go long! ✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss just below the retest zone. Target based on measured move of the triangle. 🧠 Why This Setup Matters: Triangle breakouts often lead to strong continuation moves, especially in trending markets. If CRYPTOCAP:BTC and the broader altcoin market remain bullish, #CAKE could cook up a nice rally! 💬 Let me know your thoughts! Are you bullish on #CAKE too? 💡 Drop your targets in the comments! 📈 Like & follow for more chart setups and trade ideas. #CAKEUSDT #CryptoTrading #TriangleBreakout #Altcoins #TradingView #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishBreakout #CryptoSetup #TradersJournal
Long
by mudusir
NVDA GEX Earnings Outlook by OptionsNVDA reports earnings this Wednesday, and it’s a big deal. A major move could impact both the indexes and broader tech sector. The OTM 16 delta curve essentially overlaps with both the GEX profile and the expected probability zone — signaling strong confluence. 📈 Rising IV with falling call skew: Volatility is rising into earnings, while the call skew is dropping — a sign of growing interest in downside hedging/speculation. 🔷 Key inflection zone (129): Above 129, the market is unlikely to surprise. Below it, however, a domino effect could trigger increased volatility and put-side flows. Implied move into earnings is 6.62%, reflecting binary risk expectations from the options market. Strong gamma squeeze territory exists between 140–145, with significant call wall buildup around 140. The nearest expiry shows a positive net GEX — supporting short-term mean-reversion or hedging flow stability above 129, at least until the earnings print. 🔴 Downside risk scenario: In the event of a downward move, the market is most heavily hedged around the 125 level, which aligns with the deepest put support. 💡 Wheeling Opportunity Idea ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term), this might be a great time to start the wheeling strategy. Because earnings inflate volatility, you can sell a near-term cash-secured put (CSP) for solid premium — even on a 53DTE (July) option. Based on current GEX levels, we’re seeing: -Support (squeeze zone) around $125 -Call resistance around $140 -A potential upside squeeze extending to $145-$150 These align roughly with ~20 delta OTM options, so the premium is attractive. How would I personally start this: Sell a CSP for May 30 with the intention to get assigned if NVDA drops. If I do get assigned, I’m happy to own shares. Then, I sell a 60DTE covered call right after to collect another round of premium. If I’m not assigned, I sell a new 45–60DTE put the following week — still benefiting from the relatively high IV. 👉 Remember: High IV = synthetic time value. With this two-step method, you can harvest premium twice in quick succession. I used the same technique with NASDAQ:INTC , and it’s been performing well. 💥 ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term)!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TanukiTrade
Nasdaq: Positive Momentum Builds Following Nvidia's Q1 EarningsThe Nasdaq is experiencing increased bullish momentum following Nvidia’s impressive Q1 earnings. On the medium to long term, the index is targeting levels around 23,800. In the short term, a corrective move toward 21,500 is expected, which will likely set the stage for a strong rebound toward 22,300 and 23,000. 📈 Stay tuned for upcoming opportunities and key levels! 📈 Suggested Hashtags for maximum reach: #Nasdaq #Nvidia #EarningsSeason #BullishOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #StockMarket #TradingView #MarketTrends #Investing
FPMARKETS:US100
by ramibakour8
Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Collapse Before NFP? XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 26 | Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Collapse Before NFP? Gold is approaching a key resistance zone as geopolitical uncertainty and shifting Fed signals add volatility to global markets. While recent bullish momentum has been strong, traders should prepare for potential shakeouts ahead of NFP week. 🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT US–Iran Tensions on the Rise: Iran has warned the US it will bear full responsibility if Israel attacks its nuclear facilities. This comes just days before both sides are scheduled to resume nuclear negotiations, increasing the risk of escalation. Goldman Sachs Signals a Safe-Haven Shift: With 20-year US bond auctions failing and yields surging, Goldman Sachs now recommends gold and Bitcoin as core hedge assets against fiscal instability and a weakening dollar. DXY Losing Steam: The US Dollar Index is cooling off after a short-term rally, with Fed rate hike expectations becoming less certain. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – XAUUSD (M30 – H1) Gold is consolidating in a bullish structure, bouncing within a rising channel and showing signs of potential continuation. EMA13/EMA34 have crossed above EMA200 on the M30 chart → a sign of trend strength building. A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains unfilled near 3360–3395 → potential magnet zone if bullish breakout succeeds. 🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY 🟢 BUY SCALP Entry: 3304 – 3302 SL: 3298 TP: 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 🟢 BUY ZONE Entry: 3276 – 3274 SL: 3270 TP: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3300 🔴 SELL SCALP Entry: 3344 – 3346 SL: 3350 TP: 3340 → 3336 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320 🔴 SELL ZONE Entry: 3376 – 3378 SL: 3382 TP: 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3350 🧩 STRATEGIC KEYLEVELS Key SELL Zone: 3358–3360 → If broken, gold may rush toward ATH targets. Key BUY Zone: 3276–3274 → If lost, a deep retracement below 3200 is likely. ⚠️ NOTES TO TRADERS This is a geo-politically sensitive market. Sudden news or tweets can trigger explosive moves. Always wait for confirmation near key zones. Don't chase breakouts without structure. Risk management is critical. ✅ SUMMARY: "Political risk is the fuel. Gold is the fire. Stay sharp around the key levels and don't get caught in false breakouts. Be reactive, not predictive."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
3
The FUN Begins!BTC.D looks ready for a reversal. Seems to have reacted @ around 66% dominance or the .786 fib. RSI is also showing overbought at 70. Bullish cases for Ethereum (and other alternatives): Recent Pectra Upgrade coinmetrics.substack.com ETH ETF Staking In Progress cryptomus.com 🔥 Monetary Policy: Deflationary ETH, low issuance, gas burn 💸 Income & Yield: Staking yields + restaking = ETH as productive asset 🌉 Scaling: L2 growth, rollup-centric roadmap 🏛 Regulatory Clarity: Spot and staking ETFs, ETH viewed as a commodity 🧠 Innovation: Fastest-moving ecosystem, leading dev activity 📊 Valuation: ETH/BTC ratio and on-chain revenue imply undervaluation, deflationary aspect 📈 Institutional Access: ETFs, staking rewards in ETFs, custody solutions, DeFi 🔮 Bottom Line: Bitcoin Dominance will most likely decline because: • The market in general is expanding beyond just a monetary hedge. • Assets like ETH and others offer yield, utility, and flexibility. • Developers and institutions are building on platforms, not commodities. Bitcoin may retain its crown as digital gold, but it’s no longer the center of gravity in the crypto universe. Only time will be the true test! May the best tech prevail! NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!!!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by CE134Life
Bullish Reversal on Risk-On Shift and Channel BreakoutCMCMARKETS:USDJPY USD/JPY surged as risk appetite returned after a U.S. federal court blocked President Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs, undermining demand for safe-haven assets like the yen. Meanwhile, weak demand in Japan’s 40-year bond auction raised concerns over fiscal stability, adding further downside pressure to JPY. Technically, the pair broke above a downward channel and formed a bullish engulfing pattern near the 144.90 demand zone. If price consolidates above 145.00, a test of the 148.15 resistance zone is possible. Traders now eye upcoming U.S. GDP and PCE inflation data for direction on Fed policy. Resistance : 148.14 , 148.67 Support : 144.90 , 144.42
Long
by ATFX_Global
Fed Uncertainty and Rejected Trendline ResistanceOANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold trades around $3,270 after rebounding from the $3,240 support zone, but remains capped below the $3,287–$3,290 resistance zone, which now acts as resistance after the breakdown. Technically, the price is struggling under a descending trendline (TL2), and the $3,287 zone also aligns with previous support turned resistance. Fundamentally, the rejection of Trump's “Liberation Day” tariffs by the U.S. trade court helped ease risk sentiment, reducing safe-haven demand and pressuring gold. At the same time, market focus shifts to today’s U.S. GDP data and Friday’s Core PCE inflation report—both of which may sway Fed expectations and drive short-term volatility. If XAU/USD fails to break back above $3,287, a renewed test of the $3,240 breakout zone is likely. Sustained downside may open the path to $3,207 or lower. On the upside, reclaiming $3,290 would weaken the bearish bias and challenge the TL2 trendline. Resistance : $3,287 , $3,302 Support : $3,240, $3,207
TVC:GOLD
by ATFX_Global
Gold isn't breaking out — it’s breaking down.What we're seeing in gold right now is not a temporary pause — it's a calculated, smart money-driven transition from impulsive expansion into controlled redistribution. The rally from 3120 to 3357 wasn’t organic or trend-based — it was mechanical, steep, and uncorrected. And that’s the first red flag. When price travels that far without building any real base or demand, it’s often not aiming for continuation, but to reach a liquidity target. This was a liquidity run, not a sustainable breakout. Then comes May 24 — a pivotal moment. Price breaks above 3357, spikes volume +19% over average — but delivers a weak candle body. The next bar doesn’t confirm, doesn’t expand, doesn’t even push the high. Instead, we get a failed breakout followed by retreat. That’s textbook deviation — a classic trap where market makers dump inventory while retail rushes to chase the breakout. This happens inside the derivation area — that thin, deceptive range between 3357 and 3370. It’s where distribution is masked as strength. But price behavior reveals the truth: after tapping that zone, it didn’t hold. Price fell back inside the range. No retest. No follow-through. And most importantly — price has now closed beneath the anchored VWAP from May 13, shifting the control of the tape. Anchored VWAP matters — it's the average weighted cost of the dominant positioning from smart money. And once price falls below it and stays there, we know demand has dried up. Add to that: shrinking candle ranges, decreasing volume, soft closes — all signs of exhaustion. RSI has already pulled off from overbought levels, Stochastic is turning down, and ADX shows trend strength fading. But those indicators are just the shadow of what price already told us. We’ve lost structure. A lower high is forming. Price was rejected from the same zone that was previously supposed to be the breakout. It’s not consolidation anymore — it’s redistribution. The path forward is tactical and logical. Price is likely headed first toward 3275 — that’s the shallow liquidity pocket. From there, we might get a pullback to 3305–3315 — not a rally, but a retest of the old sell zone. That’s where another leg of short interest can build. Then comes 3250 — the bottom of the last structural block. If that fails to hold, gold opens the door to 3205–3215 — a historical volume shelf and the next real support. There’s no guessing here. The breakout failed. VWAP is broken. Momentum is gone. This isn’t the start of something higher — this is the start of the unwind. And while retail waits for 3400, smart money is already loading their next leg short.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
2
Risk aversion cools down, gold may continue to fall 📌 Driving events The International Trade Court in Manhattan, USA, blocked Trump's "Liberation Day" trade measures. This news is conducive to shorting gold. This news is undoubtedly a reversal of Trump's "reciprocal tariff" policy implemented on April 3, slapping Trump in the face! Gold has been mainly driven by tariffs this year, and the decline is mainly due to the easing of tariffs. Spot gold has fluctuated sharply recently. After opening at $3285.91/ounce in the Asian session, it reached a high of $3294.46/ounce, and then fell sharply. The lowest reached around $3240 and continued to fall. 📊Comment analysis The volatility of the Asian session highlights the fierce game between long and short positions. The changes in risk aversion caused by previous geopolitical and economic data, and investors' profit-taking and other factors are intertwined. Subsequent investors need to keep a close eye on key information such as the minutes of the subsequent Federal Reserve meeting in order to grasp the trend of gold prices. 💰Strategy Package After the Asian session opened, gold was affected by the news and quickly plunged through the 3280-85 area support. After a rapid decline in important support, the upper 3280-85 constituted the next strong resistance, the strong and weak dividing line. Below it, the weak position is expected to gradually fall to 3245-50 before reversing the short pattern, and further to 3225-20 and 3200. Given that the 3250-45 area is a recent bullish breakthrough, the 3245-50 area support is bound to usher in a strong rebound during the day, and further attention will be paid to the 3220-25 area and the 3200 mark support rebound. Refer to it to formulate trading strategies! ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
FOMC minutes, GOLD market may see strong volatilityIn the Asian session, spot OANDA:XAUUSD recovered slightly after yesterday's sharp decline. Gold prices are currently holding price action around the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, the nearest support point. On this trading day, investors will look at the Federal Reserve meeting minutes, which are expected to cause major volatility in the gold market. On Tuesday, as the Trump administration once again released positive information on trade, the market's risk appetite recovered, reducing demand for safe-haven assets such as gold. On Thursday, the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release the minutes of its May monetary policy meeting. At its May 7 monetary policy meeting, the FOMC kept its policy rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, marking the third consecutive time this year. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell continued to maintain his "no rush to cut interest rates" stance. The minutes released this time record the FOMC's detailed views on monetary policy and provide clues to the future direction of interest rate policy. Economists generally believe that with few clear signs of stress in the labor market, Fed officials will be happy to keep rates on hold until changes in trade policy are reflected in the data, and the minutes are expected to reinforce that view. There is a possibility that the tone of the minutes will be more hawkish than expected, which could support the US dollar to some extent, thereby affecting gold prices, but overall it will not create strong pressure. But these are all predictions because I cannot predict what will be in the content of the US FED FOMC minutes, and all the content in the FOMC minutes will be directly reflected in the gold price. Traders need to pay special attention to this event on this trading day. Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is still struggling to trade above the confluence area as initial support with the emergence of the 21-day moving average (EMA21) with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. The technical structure has hardly changed significantly with the trend still tilted to the upside. Holding above the $3,300 base point would be a good sign, on the other hand the $3,371 target would remain as a near-term upside target and a break of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement on gold would provide the technical conditions for the next upside target around $3,400 in the near-term, followed by $3,435 more than the all-time high of $3,500. The relative strength index RSI is above 50, which is also a good signal in terms of momentum, from the RSI we can see that there is still a lot of room for growth ahead. During the day, the bullish outlook for gold prices will be noticed by the following technical positions. Support: 3,292 – 3,250 USD Resistance: 3,300 – 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3365 - 3363⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3369 →Take Profit 1 3357 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3351 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3263 - 3265⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3259 →Take Profit 1 3271 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3277
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 29th May 2024)Bias: Bearish USD News(Red Folder): -Prelim GDP q/q -Unemployment Claims Analysis: -Strong bearish momentum during market open -Looking for price to continue to reach 0.618 fib level -Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe -Pivot point: 3280 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by HM_fxtrading