Liquidity Sweeps – False breakouts above $2,940 to trap late buy🎯 Key Market Manipulation Tactics & Strategy
📌 Common Market Maker Tactics in XAU/USD:
1️⃣ Liquidity Sweeps – False breakouts above $2,940 to trap late buyers.
2️⃣ Stop-Hunts – Price may dip below $2,925 to wipe out weak long positions.
3️⃣ Fake Breakdowns – If price wicks below $2,920 and recovers, expect bullish reversal.
✅ How to Trade Like Smart Money?
Wait for a liquidity grab below $2,920 before longing.
If price reclaims $2,925, it confirms bullish accumulation.
📈 Momentum & Trend Indicators Analysis
✔ RSI:
Overbought conditions cooling down – potential for retracement.
✔ Stochastic Oscillator:
Bearish divergence appearing – watch for short opportunities.
✔ Moving Averages Distance:
Price extended far from the 50 EMA, suggesting a possible mean reversion.
✔ Volume Trends:
Buying volume declining, suggesting bulls are losing steam.
📢 Buy or Sell? What is the Best Trade Setup Now? ✅
🔴 Sell Setup (High-Probability Short Trade)
🔻 Entry: $2,940 - $2,942
🔻 Stop-Loss: $2,946
🔻 Take-Profit: $2,930 (Safe TP), $2,925 (Extended TP), $2,920 (Max TP)
🔻 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 ✅
📌 Why Sell?
Bearish MACD crossover – momentum shift.
RSI Overbought Signal – possible retracement.
Liquidity Grab Above $2,940 – Market makers engineered false breakout.
⚡ Ultra-Aggressive Execution Plan 🚀🔥
✔ Step 1: Enter short between $2,940 - $2,942 📉
✔ Step 2: Place Stop-Loss above $2,946 to avoid fake-outs 🚨
✔ Step 3: Target $2,930 (TP1), $2,925 (TP2), $2,920 (Max TP)
✔ Step 4: Monitor volume & institutional order flow to confirm trade.
🔥 FINAL DECISION – MILKING THE MARKET STRATEGY! 🏆💰🚀
📌 Trade Type: HIGH-CONFIDENCE SHORT
📌 Verdict: SELL XAU/USD from $2,940 - $2,942 🔥
📌 Stop-Loss: $2,946 (Tight & Efficient)
📌 Take-Profit 1: $2,930 ✅
📌 Take-Profit 2: $2,925 ✅
📌 Take-Profit 3: $2,920 🚀💰
🏦 Institutions are likely taking profits here, leading to a pullback.
🚀 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! LET’S CAPITALIZE ON THIS MOVE! 💰🔥📊
Fundamental Analysis
AI crypto’s ultimate security shield or its biggest threat?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts,✌
Reading this educational material will require approximately 3 minutes of your time . For your convenience, I have summarized the key points in 3 concise lines at the end . I trust this information will prove to be insightful and valuable in enhancing your understanding of market and Bitcoin.
Personal Insight & Technical Analysis of Bitcoin:
📉 Bitcoin's price is nearing a crucial support level. If this level breaks, we could see at least an 8% decline, with the main downside target set at $87,000. The market’s reaction will be key to short-term price movements.
🚨 Bybit Faces a Massive $1.5 Billion Hack, Triggering a $5.5 Billion Capital Outflow 💸
Bybit, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, has recently suffered a catastrophic security breach , resulting in the theft of approximately $1.5 billion💰. The aftermath of this incident has led to a staggering $5.5 billion in total capital outflows 📉, as panicked investors rush to withdraw their funds. In response, Bybit is actively seeking emergency liquidity through loans 🏦 to fulfill withdrawal requests and has developed new software aimed at accessing frozen assets.
The attack, reportedly linked to North Korea’s Lazarus Group, marks one of the largest heists in cryptocurrency history 🚨. During this exploit, Bybit’s cold wallet—primarily holding Ethereum—was compromised, leading to substantial losses. Data from DeFiLlama 📊 indicates that Bybit-associated wallets saw their total assets plummet from approximately $16.9 billion to $11.2 billion following the breach. The exchange is currently conducting an internal investigation🕵️ to pinpoint the exact vulnerabilities that led to this unprecedented event.
👨💼 Bybit CEO’s Response and Emergency Measures
In a recent X (formerly Twitter) Spaces session🎙️, Bybit’s CEO, Ben Zhou, addressed the crisis, explaining that the company had immediately mobilized its team to process withdrawal requests and respond to user concerns. Zhou revealed that approximately 70% of customers' Ethereum holdings were lost in the attack, forcing Bybit to seek urgent loans to cover withdrawal demands.
However, he clarified that Ethereum was not the most withdrawn asset—instead, the majority of users opted to withdraw stable coins 💵, likely seeking a safer alternative amid uncertainty. Bybit has assured affected users that they will be fully compensated ✅, reinforcing the exchange’s commitment to customer protection despite the severity of the incident.
This event is now being regarded as the largest crypto theft in history ⏳, and potentially one of the most significant financial cybercrimes ever recorded.
🌍 The Broader Impact on the Cryptocurrency Market
The implications of such an attack extend far beyond Bybit itself. The erosion of investor confidence in cryptocurrency exchanges and blockchain security is a primary concern. Repeated breaches of this scale could deter both retail and institutional investors 📉, prompting increased regulatory scrutiny 🏛️ and possibly slowing the adoption of digital assets.
This raises an even more pressing question: What does the future hold for cybersecurity in the crypto space?🤔
🤖 The Role of Artificial Intelligence in Crypto: Savior or Threat?
While blockchain technology has long been touted as highly secure, the rise of sophisticated hacking techniques—potentially augmented by AI🧠—presents new challenges. This leads to some thought-provoking questions:
Could AI become a powerful tool for cybercriminals, making crypto networks more vulnerable than ever?
⚡At its peak capability, could AI potentially hack and dismantle the entire cryptocurrency ecosystem in an instant?
🛡️ Or, conversely, will AI evolve into an unparalleled security mechanism, capable of preventing such breaches altogether?
These are the questions that have been keeping me, as the writer, awake at night 🌙—questions without definitive answers. However, I have gathered some insights 📚 that may help illuminate the discussion.
📈 AI’s Expanding Role in Cryptocurrency Markets 💡
Artificial Intelligence is already playing a transformative role in cryptocurrency trading and security 🔄. Advanced AI-driven algorithms 🖥️ can analyze vast amounts of market data, identify trading patterns, and generate buy/sell signals with unprecedented accuracy 📊. This technology is increasingly assisting traders in making data-driven decisions, optimizing portfolio performance, and mitigating risks ⚖️.
Beyond trading, AI has limitless applications in the crypto industry 🚀. From automated fraud detection to risk management, AI-driven systems can continuously monitor blockchain transactions, identify suspicious activity, and enhance market transparency. AI can also be leveraged to optimize investment portfolios 📈 based on specific financial goals and risk tolerance.
⚔️ The Double-Edged Sword of AI in Crypto Security
While AI presents enormous potential for strengthening crypto security🛡️, it also introduces new existential risks. As AI continues to evolve, it could become powerful enough to exploit vulnerabilities at an unprecedented scale🚨, potentially threatening the very foundations of blockchain security.
Ultimately, only time will provide the answers⏳ to these pressing questions.
🌟 Will AI emerge as the ultimate protector of decentralized finance?
💥 Or will it become the very force that brings about its downfall?
The future of cryptocurrency security remains uncertain, but one thing is clear—the integration of AI into the crypto world is inevitable, and its consequences will shape the industry for years to come.
However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
🚨 Bitcoin is at a critical support level—if it breaks, we could see an 8% drop, targeting GETTEX:87K 📉. Meanwhile, Bybit got hacked for $1.5B, triggering $5.5B in withdrawals, with 70% of customer ETH lost, but they promise to compensate users. Now the big question—will AI be crypto’s ultimate security shield or its biggest threat ?
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
NVIDIA's Run is done!?With growing tensions between the two economical titans in U.SA & China further exasperated by the new administration in the white house & their looming tariff charges, we arrive at a major junction with what seems to be the worst possible time as Nvidia a major pillar of the recent success enjoyed by the tech industry and no doubt world economy as a by product gears up its financial data at a time where stains are being spotted on the floor leading to early signs of blood on the streets. Technical analysis shows that decline in price action could see a weak end of the month for Nvidia, the market is showing signs of fear with a large selloff in the tech sector with the S&P dropping 2.25% week ending 21/02, if financial data released by Nvidia is not pleasing to shareholders a major sell of could continue what was started in December and see price head to as low as $46. Eyes will also be on the situation of Taiwan and how hostile the relationship becomes between the USA, China & Taiwan.
Pteronet Lng bullish Pole and FlagEntry- 303-304
Support- 298-300
Target- 310, 312, 315
Pattern- Bullish Pole N Flag in 1hr Time Frame and a bullish engulfing candlestick.
Disclaimer- This is just for educational purpose please take advice from you own financial advisor before making any decision.
Note- Market sentiment is bearish. Focus on fundamentally strong oversold stocks which have corrected 50 percent or more.
Jai Shree Ram
EUR/GBP: Key Support Test Amid Bearish PressureThe analysis of EUR/GBP as of February 24, 2025, presents an interesting technical outlook. The price is testing a key support area around 0.8297 after a modest recovery from the 0.8271 lows. The current setup suggests a potential reaction in this zone, with the possibility of a technical rebound towards higher levels or a more significant bearish breakdown.
From a technical perspective, several key areas stand out: the upper resistance in the 0.8440-0.8460 range represents a critical level for a bullish recovery, while the lower support around 0.8265-0.8240 could act as a catalyst for further downside momentum if broken. Moving average analysis indicates persistent bearish pressure, with both the 50 and 200-period moving averages sloping downward. This reinforces the idea that, despite recent rebounds, the dominant trend remains bearish in the medium term.
From a macroeconomic standpoint, expectations regarding the UK and Eurozone economic outlook are shaping the pair's direction. UK inflation is showing signs of recovery, providing some support for the pound, but uncertainties related to economic growth and Bank of England policies could hinder a sustained strengthening of the British currency. On the other hand, the Eurozone is facing challenges linked to growth stagnation, and the ECB may maintain an accommodative policy to stimulate the economy. These factors create an unstable balance that could lead to heightened volatility in the coming days.
Technical forecasts suggest two possible scenarios: a temporary rebound towards 0.8340-0.8360 before another test of the lows or a direct break below 0.8265, which could open the door for a decline towards 0.8240-0.8220.
XAU/USD - Gold Weekly Analysis(24th Feb 2025 to 28th Feb 2025)XAU/USD - Gold Weekly Analysis(24th February 2025 to 28th February 2025)
Weekly recap:
To recap last week, our main focus on Gold during the second half of the week with United States Initial Jobless Claims. Gold to start off this week has found support around 2895.00 KL before continuing higher into the second half of the week at new ATHs at 2945.00 price point and remained in a range between 2945.00 and 2929.00 KL.
Reminder on Gold:
Gold is still HTF bullish, but we must keep in mind that gold is at a critical price point and currently in a price range. Stay alert on news headlines (especially from Trump) but it wouldn’t be out of the ordinary to see profit taking moves from new ATHs to better demanded prices. Since the start of 2025 Gold has gave us picture perfect bullish sequences, so remain adaptive to possible profit taking moves from ATHs
Trade ideas for upcoming week:
Due to Gold being stuck in a intraday range I will remain bullish on Gold and be more selective and patients until we break lower or higher.
Bullish bias:
1 - FTB below 2929.00KL
Bearish bias:
1 - FTB above ATHs at 2955.385KL
2 - Clean break and holds below range at 2920.00KL along with DXY strength
Economic calendar outlook:
In terms of economic events this week our main focus will be more towards the second half of the week with United States Durable Goods and GDP Growth Rate on Thursday and to close off the week we have United States Core PCE data along side with Personal Spending and Income data.
1 - Thursday : Durable Goods and GDP Growth Rate
2 - Friday : Core PCE and Personal Spending / Income Data
Daily Reminder:
-Caution-
Stay Smart, Trade safe, follow your trading plan, follow your risk management plan, focus on long term vision, keep emotions out and avoid crashing your account.
XRP Bullish Setup – AB=CD Pattern on 1H Timeframe!#XRP is in a strong uptrend, showing no bearish signs, and currently forming a classic AB=CD pattern on the 1-hour timeframe. This pattern is a well-known harmonic structure that often leads to a continuation of the trend!
Key Technical Insights:
🔹 AB=CD Pattern Completion: Price is approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone.
🔹 No Bearish Signs: Momentum remains bullish, with increasing volume.
🔹 Confluence Support: The 0.618 FIB level aligns with previous demand zones, increasing the probability of a bounce.
Trading Plan:
Entry: Around the 0.618 FIB level, Price is 2.65
🔹 Targets: TP at 2.88
🔹 Stop-Loss: Below structure 0.5 FIB level, Price is 2.6
What do you think? Will #XRP respect the AB=CD pattern and continue higher? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
Like & Follow for more high-probability trade setups!
GBP/USD - 1H Analysis & Trading Plan📊 GBP/USD - 1H Analysis & Trading Plan
🔹 Key Market Levels:
✅ Re-Entry Level: Around 1.26780 (Potential Buy Zone)
✅ Demand Zone: 1.26292 - 1.26413 (Key Support)
✅ Target 1: 1.26912 (50 Pips Move)
✅ Target 2: 1.27533 (Major Resistance & Liquidity Zone)
📌 Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario:
If price holds the Re-Entry Level (1.26780), a move towards 1.26912 (50 Pips Target) is likely.
A break above 1.26912 can push the price towards 1.27533, where liquidity resides.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to hold above 1.26780, it may drop towards the 1.26292 - 1.26413 demand zone.
A strong rejection from this zone can trigger a bullish reversal.
💡 Trading Plan:
✅ Look for buy opportunities near 1.26780 with stop-loss below the demand zone.
✅ Confirmation Entries: Wait for bullish price action signals like engulfing candles or bullish rejections.
✅ Partial TP at 1.26912, full TP at 1.27533.
#FXFOREVER #GBPUSD #SmartMoney #ForexTrading #LiquidityHunt #PriceAction
longKey Financial Metrics
Fair Value: 4.3 EGP (close to current levels, undervaluation is limited)
P/E Ratio: 5.1X (very low, indicating potential undervaluation)
Market Cap: 10.75B EGP
Price Target: 5.1 EGP (~18.6% upside from fair value)
Holding Period: 12 months
Financial Performance (9M 2024)
📈 Revenue Growth: +42.4% YoY (Strong top-line expansion)
📈 Net Profit Growth: +161% YoY (Impressive earnings surge)
📈 Quarterly Revenue Growth: +49.6% YoY
📈 Quarterly Net Profit Growth: +270% YoY
These numbers indicate strong operational efficiency, and the net profit margin of 4% is stable.
investment Outlook
✅ Bullish Signals:
✔ Low P/E (5.1X) → Indicates the stock is cheap compared to earnings
✔ Strong Revenue & Profit Growth → 42.4% revenue and 161% net profit growth YoY show business expansion
✔ Solid Quarterly Performance → 270% net profit growth YoY is a strong indicator of continued momentum
❌ Bearish Signals:
Market conditions & liquidity low
long _ fundamental investorYour latest update provides some positive catalysts for EFIH:
Strong Earnings Growth:
Net income for 9M 2024: 1.39495B EGP, which is 3.5% of market cap
+21% Y-o-Y growth → Indicates strong business expansion
Strategic Partnership with Visa:
Focus on digital payments, merchant solutions, and financial inclusion
Aligns with Egypt’s Vision 2030 → Government support is a plus
Expansion of Tap-on-Phone technology and digital payment services
Government-Backed Health Collaboration:
Partnership with eHealth & Egypt's UHIA → Supports long-term revenue stability
Digitalization of healthcare payments → Increases EFIH’s presence in essential services
Updated Investment Strategy:
Bullish Factors:
✅ Strong earnings growth (+21%)
✅ Visa partnership increases digital finance reach
✅ Government-backed health project adds long-term value
Bearish Factors:
❌ Still overvalued (P/E 32.64X)
❌ Short-term volatility remains a risk
If you're a momentum/speculative investor, the price target of 29 EGP could present an opportunity if market sentiment improves within year 2025
GOLD 1HOUR CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE. This is a price chart from TradingView for Gold CFDs (Contracts for Difference) in US dollars per ounce on a 1-hour timeframe.
Key Observations:
1. Resistance Zone (Red Area):
The price has reached a strong resistance level around 2,940 - 2,960.
This means the price has struggled to move higher from this zone.
2. Upward Trends (Blue Lines):
Several price increases have been marked with blue trend lines, indicating previous bullish momentum.
3. Potential Downtrend (Blue Arrows):
The chart suggests that after testing resistance, the price may drop.
The blue arrows indicate a possible downward movement toward 2,920 and possibly lower.
4. Support Level (Yellow Line at 2,879.699):
This could be the next major support if the price continues to drop.
Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bearish outlook after hitting resistance.
If sellers take control, gold may decline toward the 2,920 level or lower.
If the price breaks the 2,879 support, further declines may occur.
However, if it breaks above **
Wormhole $W expecting ride in upcoming months - Hi 👋🏻 it's me your " Raj_crypt0 " once again back with potential growth coin ..... ✍🏻
• BINANCE:WUSDT / #w ( wormhole ) ... Analysis ⏰
🗝️ $0.45 is an important resistance expecting would be turn future support 💪🏻
🎯 $5 ...... ( Expecting 10X / +1000% from $0.45 confirmation zone )
__________________________________________________
🛑 Pls " DYOR " _ NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR 🚏
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The FDV was sitting SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:4B around compared to present market cap it was 3 times ,
Expecting huge dollar in this project , circulation supply was around 3B / max supply was 10B
Presently they don't have much unlock 🔓 supply to the market....... ‼️
Easily expecting SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:10B - FWB:15B market cap .... Which can complete my target $5 .... 🎯
Hitting new low failure of my analysis ⏰ gradually...... 🛑
👉🏻 Follow me and my analysis for future content and updates ☝🏻
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 24, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) continued to strengthen against its U.S. counterpart last week and pushed the USD/JPY pair down to 149.000, its lowest level since early December, during Monday's Asian session. Japan's strong Consumer Price Index (CPI) released on Friday complemented last week's encouraging Q4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth report. This, along with expectations that solid wage growth will drive consumer spending, suggests that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may raise interest rates more aggressively than originally anticipated and continues to support the Japanese Yen.
In addition, the emergence of new US Dollar (USD) selling is favorable for the JPY and has contributed to the USD/JPY pair declining for the fourth consecutive day, marking the seventh day of negative movement in the last eight. Meanwhile, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda showed willingness to increase government bond purchases if long-term interest rates rise sharply. This in turn led to a further decline in Japanese government bond (JGB) yields from the multi-year peak reached last week, which triggered some intraday JPY selling and helped the currency pair bounce more than 50 pips from the daily low.
Trading recommendation: SELL 149.200, SL 149.800, TP 148.300
EURUSD 1HOUR CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE This chart represents a EUR/USD (Euro to US Dollar) price analysis on the 1-hour timeframe with a trade setup.
Key Observations:
1. Resistance Rejection
The price has reached a strong resistance level around 1.05135 (blue line).
A potential rejection is expected from this area, leading to a bearish move.
2. Trade Setup (Sell Position)
The red zone represents the stop-loss area, meaning if the price goes above this zone (around 1.05325), the trade will be invalidated.
The green zone is the take-profit area, where the trader expects price to fall (around 1.04714).
3. Projected Price Movement
The black arrows indicate a bearish move after hitting resistance.
Price is expected to drop towards the support zone marked in red near 1.04714.
Conclusion:
If price continues to reject this resistance, it could be a good short (sell) opportunity.
A break above 1.05325 would invalidate the setup.
Traders might wait for further confirmation (like a bearish candlestick pattern) before entering.
Let me know if you need a deeper breakdown!
mnq 24/02(daily/4h/1h)future marketdaily is bullish consolidation
4h is down trend
1 h is down trend
we gen get short in good 1h supply zone.
1)because now mnq is in saturated sold out phase and like to come to exit that phase.
2)when price come to our zone in 1h,trend in 1 and 4 h still is down trend.
3)we dont meet any strong demand at this time that force us to up trend suddenly.
our zone has move out ,break out, fresh, in high curve, in direction of our trend
then short is logical.
XAUUSD 1HOUR CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE.This chart represents a gold (XAU/USD) price analysis on the 1-hour timeframe using Elliott Wave Theory. Here's what it suggests:
Key Observations:
1. Elliott Wave Pattern
The chart marks a five-wave impulse pattern (1-5) followed by corrections (A-B-C).
Two strong upward impulsive waves are highlighted in blue channels.
Red circles indicate previous wave 5 peaks, followed by strong reversals.
2. Resistance & Reversal Expectation
The price is approaching a key resistance level at $2,955 (blue line).
Historically, after touching similar zones, price reversed sharply.
The black arrow suggests a potential rejection from resistance, leading to a drop below $2,900.
Conclusion:
If price reaches $2,955 and fails to break higher, a bearish move is expected.
Traders may look for sell opportunities if confirmation signs (e.g., rejections, bearish candles) appear.
Let me know if you want a more detailed breakdown!
Nat Gas Weekly Idea 2/23/25: Contract rollover week
Another double-digit gain (13.5%) for the NG market this week. Strong heating demand, record LNG production and production declines have led to a two year high for NG pricing. But that was last week, and this week brings a new set of completely different fundamentals. Production began recovering form freeze offs close to 6 BCF/d yesterday. The has not been any lasting concerns with additional OFOs (operational flow orders) issued for the upcoming week, meaning production should return to pre-freeze off levels to 103-105 BCF/d. US NG production was metered 100.2 Bcf/d Friday vs. 99.9 Bcf/d Thursday, according to Wood Mackenzie. Estimated gas production for today is approaching 103 BCF/d while demand is falling back. Domestic gas demand was set to plummet more than 10.0 Bcf/d to 123.5 Bcf/d this past weekend, the firm’s data showed. This weekends set up has been a good opportunity for shorting this current market, due to rapid price appreciation over the last two weeks. If this was the middle of January, it would be a different situation, but due to being five weeks away from the net withdrawal period of the demand season, this presents a whole new set of opportunities and issues to be watchful for.
The cold spell and “Polar Vortex” have faded and market exhaustion is emerging. The 4400 level has acted as resistance. With the April contract becoming the front month contract in a few days, the seasonal fundamental will become more relevant. The European NG marker, the TTF, is down 20%, since the middle of the month. This is reminiscent of the double top of the market in 2022, when the TTF spiked and the HH benchmark double toped for yearly highs, only to drop after. History does not repeat, but it does rhyme! So, my belief is that we will see a pattern emerge, considering past behavior and adding in the short-term weather models, to line up for another tremendous entry point for longs. In the meantime, while the market panics over the impending warm up, we will use the power of meteorology and the new market structure, to short the market the next 7 days then prepare for another period of price appreciation. This coming weekend just might be one of those weekends where I sit out taking a position. I will need the models to begin to verify the coming cold for the end of March and beginning of April in the printed HDD data. But since the big boys cannot see it either, I am using the meteorology to beat them to the punch. This week I will be posting updates to the model runs for you to know what I am seeing.
The market opened just above the 4000 level today and my belief is it should settle down at the 3900 level by market open in NY Monday morning. The night time model runs will be important, being the first model run of the trading week. The weeks temperatures look inline with the Phase 8 of the MJO, and we expect the MJO to continue into its reset with Phase one by next weekend and 2,3, and so on. The market is expecting its normal spring time warming and demand to back down. This week’s storage report is expected to be plus 270 BCF, which will put deficits above 230 BCF vs the 5-year average. So, there can be some expected volatility in the daily moves this week, with the models providing the input for daily swings and the general warming trend to provide market direction. I will be looking at the April contract’s 61.8% level, 3640, from its current swing low/high, to reenter a long position (which will be the current traded contract on Wednesday). I will trade the intraday volatility, after the models print and the report day print. There should be some good trading in a downward channel for the next ten days or so, intraday.
As for my belief on the fundamental reasons for the price to rebound the back half of March and early April…..
LNG production! This week Federal regulators have approved Plaquemines (Plaqs) export facility to produce more LNG. The facility this week hit a peak at 1.7 BCF/d in production, with an estimated capacity of 2.0 BCF/d. The company is almost complete with commissioning its nine trains, out of eight completed. It is expected to have the ninth train completed very soon to bring production up to the 1.9 BCF/d. The company has been granted approval to increase production up to 3.6 BCF/d. Venture Global (the parent company of Plaqs) is not expanding the plant to achieve the production increase. Instead, it plans to rely on train efficiencies to boost output. So, this is not going to need or have any construction delays, just an increase in efficiency. Corpus Christi has shipped out its first cargo this week and is in the process of commissioning three additional trains at the facility. It has one that is producing now and with the other two to come online add an additional 1 BCF/d. The repairs at Freeport seemed to have stabilized production and production has been at its most consistent since operation began. We expect that LNG export to end 2025 somewhere in the 17.5 BCF/d. Export has been averaging 15 BCF/d over the last twelve months, an increase of 15% by mid-April. So forward demand for the year looks promising!
Additional demand for electricity…. The Edison Electric Institute reported a 10.9% increase in U.S. electricity output for the week ending February 15, highlighting strong utility-driven demand. With only 99 active natural gas drilling rigs in operation, a meaningful increase in production appears unlikely in the short term. NG power burn is now more than 17% higher than 5 years ago, and this is not including the multitude of AI facilities in active production and to go online this year.
Additional demand for a late start to spring…. I will not bore you again this post about the upcoming SSW event that is currently beginning up in the stratosphere. For clarification, please see my pervious idea form Monday 2/17/25. We should expect a late spring and the heating demand should continue into early-mid April. With a colder than average early spring.
Decreased storage… Again, see last week’s idea about where supply is heading. I showed how storage levels are correlated to price. The lower the storage levels the higher the price.
Keep it Burning!
World gold price today"Gold's increase over the past two months has exceeded the normal trend, so there may be a correction. However, I think this decline will only be short-lived and insignificant. The reasons why investors buy gold are still there, while North American investors have not increased strongly."
"Gold reached a record high of nearly 2,955 USD/ounce on February 20. However, technically, it is starting to show signs of being susceptible to a downward correction. The increase of more than 13% from the beginning of the year until now may cause investors to falter and slow down their buying momentum."
The world gold market continues to fluctuate strongly due to the impact of President Donald Trump's policies. Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey results show that industry experts are cautious about the yellow metal's short-term prospects. Meanwhile, retail traders are optimistic, with prices forecast to continue rising this week.
Tokenomics: How to avoid scams and fake projects?I've decided to write about the scams, Ponzi schemes, and fake projects in the crypto industry.
I'm a developer with 30+ years of experience in Web2, gaming (Unity, Unreal), and Web3. With this background, I can quickly spot fake projects riding a hot narrative that will never deliver or that mislead investors about their business model.
Meme Coins vs. Big Projects – Who's the Real Scam?
The common belief is that meme coins are scams. While some are, others have better tokenomics and fundamentals than major Layer 1 projects. On the other hand, big funded projects aren’t necessarily more honest—their scams are just more sophisticated, preying on investors' lack of technical knowledge.
Most Common Crypto Scams & Red Flags
1️⃣ Coins promising cheaper services using their own token 🚩
Many projects claim that using their token will make their services cheaper (e.g., Filecoin, Render). Why is this a scam?
If the coin succeeds and its price rises, then the service becomes more expensive—making it worse than the competition.
This contradicts their entire business model, proving it's unsustainable.
2️⃣ DeFi protocols without 1:1 backing 💰💀
Many bridges and lending protocols use their own token as collateral—this is a disaster waiting to happen (e.g., Thorchain, Thorswap).
As long as the token holds value, the system works.
But if FUD spreads, a bank run will wipe out liquidity and make the protocol insolvent—there’s no safety net.
3️⃣ Gaming projects claiming to use AI agents 🎮🤖 (It’s a lie!)
It is technically impossible to have AI-powered NPCs in a game at scale (e.g., Astra Nova).
AI agents require 12GB+ of VRAM per instance—you cannot have hundreds running in a game.
Many GameFi projects slap "AI" on their marketing because investors don’t know better.
🔍 How to spot a fake GameFi project:
No shadows on characters (e.g., BigTime, Valhalla) = outdated pre-2000s tech
"Arcade games" = nobody cares about them
League of Legends clones = LoL is 15+ years old!
Claims of 80+ devs = At EUROTLX:4K + per dev, that’s $380K/month in salaries—do the math!
Legit Meme Coins Can Be Better Than "Big Projects"
Example: CRYPTOCAP:PEPE 🐸
Despite being a meme, CRYPTOCAP:PEPE has better tokenomics than most of the top 200 projects.
✔️ No staking = No inflation (fixed supply, no endless token dilution).
✔️ No central ownership = No rug pulls (tokens distributed to the community).
✔️ Strong market makers (e.g., Wintermute).
✔️ No fake narrative—it’s just a meme, no BS.
✔️ Huge liquidity & low slippage on major exchanges.
Final Thoughts
🚫 Don’t judge a project by its marketing—check its fundamentals!
✅ Avoid inflationary projects
✅ Avoid projects with too many insiders
✅ Avoid narrative-based scams that sell you fairy tales
💡 Hope you found this post insightful!
DYOR! 🧐
$BEAMX ready for the epic run to $0.50 to $0.70 by end of year. Who wants to be a millionaire? Beam is positioned to make an epic run to fifty cents or even as high as seventy cents by the end of the year. Buying here might make you a genius later if you cash out on time. The fibs tell the tale, but also the ETH fractals match up perfectly for ETH to make it's run to $9k then the finale at $18k. I love this play.