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AAPL Daily – Key Breakout Zone AheadWe're currently sitting at the lower boundary of a large descending channel on AAPL in the daily timeframe. After completing what appears to be a 5-wave Elliott bearish structure, the price made a strong bullish rebound. Since then, it has been consolidating in a mid-range zone, forming an ascending triangle, which could signal a continuation of the recent bullish move. At the current price level, we can identify two key bullish patterns: An ascending wedge (or "púa") An ascending triangle Both patterns are developing around the 0.78 Fibonacci retracement level of the last major bearish impulse — a critical zone. A breakout above this level could imply structural damage to the previous downtrend and open the door to a potential long setup. 🎯 Target zone: 232.00 – 235.00 Keep an eye on volume and breakout confirmation.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by didacbague46
4
Ye Chart Kuch Kehta Hai : Trent LtdTrent India Limited is attractive for mid to long-term investment because it combines strong financial performance, aggressive growth plans (especially through Zudio), a diversified retail portfolio, and solid backing from the Tata Group. The company is positioned well to capitalize on the growing Indian retail market, with positive analyst outlooks and significant upside potential in share price. Risks include competition in grocery formats and valuation sensitivity, but overall, Trent offers a compelling growth story with robust fundamentals for investors looking at a 3-5 year horizon or longer Trent India Limited is considered a lucrative stock for mid-term to long-term investment due to several strong fundamentals and growth prospects: 1. Robust Revenue and Profit Growth Trent has demonstrated impressive financial performance with annual revenue surging by about 82% in the last year and quarterly revenue growing 50% year-over-year, significantly outperforming sector averages. Quarterly net profit rose by over 124% year-over-year, indicating strong profitability and operational efficiency. The company maintains a healthy Return on Equity (ROE) of around 29-31% and Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) of about 21-42%, reflecting effective capital utilization. 2. Strong Growth Prospects and Expansion Plans Trent aims for a 25%+ annual growth rate over the long term, supported by aggressive store expansion, especially through its fast-fashion brand Zudio, which is rapidly increasing its footprint with over 750 stores and plans to add more. The fashion and lifestyle segment in India is expected to grow at 10-12% CAGR to ₹18 trillion by 2028, providing a large market opportunity for Trent. Trent’s diversified retail portfolio, including Westside (semi-premium fashion), Zudio (value fast fashion), and Star Bazaar (grocery), reduces dependence on any single segment and broadens consumer reach. 3. Strong Backing and Brand Value from Tata Group Being part of the Tata Group, Trent benefits from strong corporate governance, brand reputation, and strategic retail synergies, which enhance investor confidence and operational strength. 4. Positive Analyst Ratings and Target Price Upside Leading brokerages like Motilal Oswal, Goldman Sachs, HSBC, and Macquarie have given buy or outperform ratings on Trent, with target prices suggesting 16-45% upside from current levels, reflecting strong market confidence in its growth trajectory. HSBC values Trent’s standalone business at a premium P/E multiple, justified by its higher growth, profitability, and return profile compared to peers. 5. Financial Strength and Low Debt Trent is virtually debt-free, which lowers financial risk and provides flexibility for expansion and investment. The company has shown consistent margin improvements and strong EBITDA growth, with a 37% year-on-year jump in EBITDA recently, indicating operational efficiency.
NSE:TRENT
by prashant_1209
XAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in PlayXAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in Play Gold has been consolidating in a tight range for several sessions, but both macro and technical indicators are pointing to a potential breakout. With volatility expected to rise, traders should keep a close eye on these high-probability zones. 🌍 Macro Overview – Is the Tide Turning for Gold? 📉 The Fed remains hawkish, but market sentiment has shifted, with over 65% probability priced in for a rate cut in September. This adds pressure on the dollar and offers upside potential for gold. 💸 10-year US Treasury yields are stabilizing, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold and reigniting interest from risk-averse investors. ⚠️ Ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Eastern Europe continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets. 🏦 Central banks, especially in China and India, are steadily increasing their gold reserves — a bullish long-term signal for the market. 📊 Technical Outlook – Watch the Fair Value Gap (FVG) The 3325–3327 support zone aligns with an unfilled FVG on H1-H4 charts, providing a key area for bullish momentum to resume. Sustained price action above this level may open a path toward 3360 and beyond. Conversely, if price reaches the 3398–3400 resistance area and shows signs of exhaustion, it could trigger a short-term pullback. ✅ Trade Setup 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3327 – 3325 SL: 3320 TP Targets: 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3355 → 3360 → 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3398 – 3400 SL: 3405 TP Targets: 3395 → 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3360 ⚠️ Final Thoughts The gold market is approaching a decision point... With the PCE and US GDP data due this week, traders should expect a potential volatility spike. Risk management remains key — wait for confirmation at key levels, stick to your plan, and don’t let emotions override discipline. This week could offer strong directional moves for gold, but only for those prepared.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 23, 2025 EURUSDThe EUR/USD exchange rate fell to around 1.14900 at the start of the Asian session on Monday. The US dollar is strengthening against the euro (EUR) amid US President Donald Trump's decision to join Israel's war against Iran, which has sharply escalated the conflict. Traders will closely monitor developments surrounding the conflict in the Middle East. Over the weekend, the US entered the conflict between Israel and Iran when American military aircraft and submarines struck three Iranian targets in Iran, Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. Trump said Iran's key uranium enrichment facilities had been “totally destroyed” and warned of “much more severe” strikes if Iran did not agree to peace. The rise in tensions following the US bombing of Iranian nuclear facilities is contributing to the rise in safe-haven currencies such as the US dollar and is having a negative impact on the major currency pair. Earlier this month, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates for the eighth time this year to support the eurozone's sluggish recovery, but made it clear that there would be a pause in July. ECB President Christine Lagarde said that rate cuts are coming to an end, as the central bank is now “well positioned” to deal with the current uncertainty. The ECB's hawkish tone may help limit the euro's losses in the near term. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.15000, SL 1.14600, TP 1.15800
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Crude Oil Surges Amid Geopolitical RiskCrude Oil Surges Amid Geopolitical Risk: Correction or Structural Rally? Brent crude oil prices surged sharply in response to the U.S. attack on nuclear facilities in Iran, spiking to $80 per barrel in early Monday trading. Although prices later corrected toward $76.71, the threat of a potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz — through which one-third of the world’s oil supply passes — continues to exert upward pressure on prices. Since hitting lows near $58 per barrel in May, Brent has climbed more than 36% in just six weeks. Technically, this rally has broken through the key resistance zone around $82, a level that had served as a ceiling multiple times over the past twelve months and coincides with the midpoint of the long-term price range ($68.34–$94.93), which also includes the Point of Control (POC) of the broader value area. Technical Highlights: Immediate support zone: $76.50 – $75.20. This is where consolidation could occur if geopolitical tensions temporarily ease. Next resistance: $81.82 (at the POC) – $83.50, the April 2023 highs and a historically congested area. Beyond that, $85.50 is a key level, being the most frequently traded zone in 2024. Technical target in the event of a bullish breakout: If Brent breaks above $83.50 with volume, the next projected move could reach the $88–$90 range, where long-term resistances and Fibonacci extensions converge. Key indicators: The RSI (Relative Strength Index) on the daily chart is in overbought territory (>70), which may prompt consolidation or technical pullbacks, albeit within a strong bullish momentum. Market Sentiment: The conflict has significantly boosted crude oil’s appeal as an energy safe haven. This could mark a potential “turning point,” but a swift resolution to the conflict may drive Brent back below $70. Still, any serious disruption to supply — whether from damaged overland exports to China or a blockade in the Strait of Hormuz — could catapult prices well above the previous high of $92.55. Conclusion: Brent crude oil currently maintains a bullish trend in both the short and medium term. However, its path remains highly volatile and subject to exogenous factors, including a potential military response from Iran and the diplomatic evolution of the Middle East conflict. A full closure of the Strait of Hormuz would act as the ultimate catalyst for another rally. ******************************************************************************************* La información facilitada no constituye un análisis de inversiones. El material no se ha elaborado de conformidad con los requisitos legales destinados a promover la independencia de los informes de inversiones y, como tal, debe considerarse una comunicación comercial. Toda la información ha sido preparada por ActivTrades ("AT"). La información no contiene un registro de los precios de AT, o una oferta o solicitud de una transacción en cualquier instrumento financiero. Ninguna representación o garantía se da en cuanto a la exactitud o integridad de esta información. Cualquier material proporcionado no tiene en cuenta el objetivo específico de inversión y la situación financiera de cualquier persona que pueda recibirlo. La rentabilidad pasada no es un indicador fiable de la rentabilidad futura. AT presta un servicio exclusivamente de ejecución. En consecuencia, toda persona que actúe sobre la base de la información facilitada lo hace por su cuenta y riesgo.
ACTIVTRADES:BRENTLong
by ActivTrades
US 10Y TREASURY: digesting FOMC ahead of PCEThe central event for financial markets during the previous week was the FOMC meeting. The Fed decided to hold interest rates at current levels, but two rate cuts till the end of this year are still on the table. This was in line with market expectations. Still, the Fed Chair Powell shortly commented on the potential for higher inflation in the coming period, as a reflection of implemented trade tariffs of the US Administration. The Fed is expecting to see it reflected in the inflation figures in the future period, but they will continue to be data-driven when deciding on interest rates. Due to the FOMC meeting, the 10Y Treasury benchmark was moving with a higher volatility during the week, as was expected. The nervousness regarding Fed's next move on interest rates was high for some time in the past. The 10Y yields started the week around the 4,5% while ending it at 4,37%. The PCE data are scheduled for a release in the week ahead. If there are no surprises with the data, it could be expected that 10Y yields will have a relatively calmer week, with further relaxation in yields, moving above the 4,3% level.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
Gold: waiting the U.S. decisionGold was traded in a relaxed manner during the previous week, as investors are anticipating the final decision of the U.S. Administration, regarding their involvement in the Middle East conflict. On the other hand, the Fed held interest rates unchanged at the FOMC meeting during the previous week. The price of gold reached its highest weekly level at the start of the week, at $3.446 and for the rest of the week was traded in a modestly negative sentiment, ending the week at $3.368. The RSI continues to move between levels of 60 and 53. This shows that investors are still not certain which side to trade. The indicator is still holding more close toward the overbought market side. There is still no change with MA 50 and MA 200 lines as they continue to move in parallel with an uptrend. Still, charts are showing that the price of gold found a supporting line with MA50, since April this year. Analysts are noting that central banks continue to be one of major gold buyers. Considering high geopolitical and economic uncertainties, the price of gold has the potential to go even higher from current levels. However, for the week ahead, charts are showing that some further corrections might be possible, at least till the level of $3,2K. Some stronger corrections should not be expected. The price of gold also has equal opportunities for a move toward the upside, where the level of $3.430 might be tested for one more time. There is also the potential for higher grounds, but it is unclear whether it will occur in the week ahead or probably at a longer time frame.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
SPX: geopolitics, Fed, inflationDuring the previous week the S&P 500 was moving in a mixed manner. The trading range was between levels 6.039 and 5.967 where the index is closing the week. Traders and investors had quite a lot of topics to cover in order to decide which side should be traded. The tensions in the Middle East were one of them, continuing for the second week in a row. The FOMC meeting was held, with the Fed holding interest rates steady, for another meeting. Still, the Fed continues to count with two rate cuts till the end of this year. The Fed expects that implemented trade tariffs by the US Administration might affect short term inflationary pressures, but it should be a one-off effect. Some positivity for markets came from the statement of the Fed Governor Waller, who noted that the Fed might make the first rate cut in July. On the opposite side was San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, who noted that she would be more confident to cut rates, after she is certain that the trade tariffs would not make a significant impact on inflation. Uncertainty still holds on markets, especially after news posted by the Wall Street Journal, noting that the U.S. might cancel technology waivers, impacting some chipmakers. The tech companies involved in the semiconducting business dropped in value. Friday's trading session Nvidia ended by 1,12% lower, AMZN also closed the week with a drop of 1,33%. This week on the opposite side was Apple, with a gain of 2,25%. As long as uncertainty shapes investors sentiment, the market will lack optimism. The volatility on the US equity markets might continue, with possibly negative trends. The week ahead brings the PCE data as well as Fed Chair Powell`s testimony in front of the Congress, in which sense, the volatility will most certainly hold.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
EURUSD: the PCE on scheduleThe FOMC meeting was the main event watched closely by investors during the previous week. The Fed left rates unchanged, as was widely expected, but still counted on two 25bps cuts till the end of this year. The main information was related to the effects of implemented trade tariffs by the US Administration, for which the Fed expects to be reflected on the economy in the coming period. Inflation is the main concern in this sense, however, it could be only a one-off effect. The Fed continues to be data-driven when it comes to their decision. As for other macro data posted during the previous week, the Retail Sales in May dropped by -0,9% for the month, which was higher from expected -0,7%. The Industrial Production in May also dropped by -0,2% on a monthly basis, bringing the indicator to the level of 0,6% compared to the previous year. Both figures were lower from market estimates. The Building Permits preliminary in May reached 1.393M, lower from forecasted 1,43M. At the same time Housing Starts in May reached the number of 1.256M, again lower from estimated 1,36M. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in June for Germany was standing at the level of 47,5, higher from market estimate of 35. The same index for the Euro Zone was at the level of 35,3, again higher from forecasted 23,5. The Inflation Rate final in May for the Euro Zone was at the level of 0% for the month and 1,9% on a yearly basis, and without changes from the previous post. The Producers Price Index in Germany in May dropped by -0,2% for the month and -1,2% for the year. As Middle East tensions have already been priced by markets, the previous week's focus was on the Fed. The market reaction on the news was not stronger as all known facts were already priced in. The eurusd was moving in a range between 1,1613 and 1,1448 during the week. The currency pair is closing the week at the level of 1,1523. The RSI is moving closer to the overbought market side, ending the week at the level of 59. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication of a forthcoming potential cross. For the week ahead, charts are pointing toward both directions, with equal probabilities. On one side, there is a potential that the currency pair will most likely test the 1,16 level for one more time, but charts are not pointing toward the potential for higher grounds, at this moment. On the opposite side, there is probability that the 1,1450 will be tested for one more time, but the targeting levels will most probably be between 1,1420 and 1,1380. In every case, fundamentals to be watched in a week ahead are the May PCE data on Friday and Fed Chair Powell`s testimony in front of the Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday. These two events might bring higher volatility in case that new information emerges, which was up to now unknown to markets. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: HCOB Manufacturing PMI flash for June in Germany and the Euro Zone, Ifo Business Climate in June in Germany, GfK Consumer Confidence in July for Germany, USD: S&P Global Composite PMI flash for June, Existing Home Sales in June, Fed Chair Powell testimony in front of the Congress on Tuesday, June 24th, Durable Goods Orders in May, GDP Growth Rate q/q final for Q1, PCE Price Index in May will be posted on Friday, June 27th.
by XBTFX
Bitcoin: open path to downside?The FOMC meeting and the decision on interest rates, geopolitical tensions and inflation fears are currently the most important topics for investors on financial markets. The crypto market was sort of left behind during the previous week, with some funds outflows as of the end of the week. Current chart looks like seeking the downside, however, the question is whether it is just a short term correction or the market is indeed setting the stage for the higher move toward the downside? At the beginning of the previous week, BTC tried for one more time to make a push toward the higher grounds, and tested the $108K level. Since there was no strength to sustain this level, the BTC spent the rest of the week looking at the downside. The lowest weekly level was reached on Friday, at $102,6K, but BTC recovered a bit on Saturday till levels modestly above the $103K. The RSI continues to move below the level of 50, indicating that investors are still eyeing the oversold market side. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication that the cross might come soon. As previously noted, charts are pointing to the probability of a higher move toward the downside for BTC. Lows from the beginning of June might be the first target in this scenario. This would lead BTC toward the price range between the $100K - $101K. There is also some probability for the move toward the opposite side, where BTC will again test the $105K resistance. At this point charts are not pointing to probability for reaching levels higher from the $105K.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: June 23 – 29Last week in the news Geopolitical tensions, the FOMC meeting and inflation fears could be the summary of topics for the previous week. Markets are currently in a sort of limbo phase, not sure what direction to trade, considering high uncertainties which are surrounding financial markets. The S&P 500 tried to be positive at the beginning of the week, but ended it lower, at the level of 5.967. The US Dollar was traded in a mixed manner, but the price of gold took a bit of a relaxing trend, closing the week at the level of $3.371. The 10Y yields reacted to the Fed's narrative around interest rates and closed the week lower, at the level of 4,37%. The crypto market was also traded in a mixed manner, but more toward the downside, where BTC closed the week lower, at the level modestly above the $103K. The main event of the previous week was the FOMC meeting. The Fed kept interest rates unchanged, as widely expected. The Fed stays on the course of two rate cuts during the course of this year. Once again it has been noted that “uncertainty about the economic outlook has diminished but remains elevated”. The uncertainty mostly relates to the effects of the implemented trade tariffs on the U.S. economy in the future period. Possibility of higher inflation is also noted. With that respect, the Fed will stay data-dependent when deciding over the future course of interest rates. Based on official comments, it seems that the FOMC members are not united when it comes to the final decision regarding the cut of interest rates. During the previous week, Fed Governor Waller noted in an interview that the Fed might make the first rate cut in July, considering the current inflation level and jobs market. On the opposite side was San Francisco President Mary Daly, who stated that some more confidence is needed that the trade tariffs would not make a significant impact on inflation, before the next rate cut. As news is reporting, Tesla has signed an agreement with China to build a grid-scale battery power plant in China. As noted, it is going to be the largest project in China that Tesla is going to conduct, with an estimated worth of $556M. Coinbase announced that the company had secured a Markets in Crypto Assets or MiCA license from Luxembourg authorities, based on which it will be able to offer crypto services to clients in the EU. With this license, the company also noted that their central hub in the European Union will be in Luxembourg, instead of Ireland, as previously planned. The Swiss National Bank cut rates by 25 bps to 0% during the previous week. The decision was made after the country was struggling to sustain the inflation growth, entering into deflation in May. The inflation in Switzerland peaked at 3,5% in August 2022, and since then is on a deflationary road. CRYPTO MARKET There have been a lot of topics for investors during the previous week, including geopolitics and macroeconomics, which left the crypto market a bit behind the traditional markets. Although during the first half of the week, crypto coins were traded in a mixed manner, still, the weekend brought some major pulls toward the weekly negative zone. Total crypto market capitalization dropped by 3% on a weekly level, dragging down $84B in the value of the market. At the same time, daily trading volumes remained relatively flat on a weekly basis, moving around $187B. Total crypto market capitalization currently stands at the negative territory of -3%, compared to the end of the previous year, with a total outflow of $104B. For one more time BTC was pushing the total market cap to the downside, with an outflow of $38B, decreasing its value by 1,8% for the week. ETH was also traded in a negative territory, down by 4,8% on a weekly basis, with an outflow of $14,6B. The majority of other coins traded in red for the week, where DOGE was down by 10,1%, Cardano dropped by 9,1%, ZCash lost 9,8% in value. Market favorite coins had a relatively modest weekly drop as BNB ended the week by 1,3% lower and Solana was down by 3,2%. Only a few altcoins ended the week in shiny green, like Tron, which was higher my modest 1% or EOS with a plus of 1,7% for the week. This week Solana managed to add new coins on the market, increasing its total number by 0,7%. Such a strong increase is not very frequent with Solana. On the other hand, a total surprise came from LINK, who added 3,2% of new coins to the market. Filecoin traditionally increases its circulating coins on a weekly basis, adding 0,2% new coins for this week. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market reflected developments from the spot market. Both BTC and ETH futures ended the week lower from the week before. BTC futures ended the week by 1,8% lower, while ETH futures were last traded around 4,5%. BTC futures maturing in December this year reached the last price at $107.345, and those maturing a year later at $113.520. The good news is that BTC long term futures are still holding above the $100K level, exposing the investors anticipation regarding future potential of BTC. ETH futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $2.525, and those maturing in December 2026 at $2.710.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
23/06/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $108,948.76 Last weeks low: $103,569.91 Midpoint: $98,191.05 Last weeks chart is a clear reflection of what happens when there is a constant stream of bad news... Geo-political escalations, America becoming more involved in the Middle-east and the FED refusing to cut interest rates. It's well known markets do not like uncertainty, and throughout the week more and more questions have been asked with very few answers. Risk-on assets have taken a hit generally and BTC is no different, especially over the weekend. This price action should be taken with a pinch of salt as the volume is never as high as it is during the week and often it paints a false picture of how the market really feels. The market makers ultimately are just, over the weekend they often aren't involved and so I think we will know more accurately how much of this geo-political escalation is priced in by the end of the trading day. How the SPX reacts will be important too. The FED once again refused to cut interest rates, it's clear president Trump is not happy with this. The market could have done with a cut but that will have to wait. So for Bitcoin it's been a tough week and I can't see this getting better immediately. Bearish price targets for me would be $97,000, the short term trend is clearly biased short until some solid support comes in or something drastic happens in the political world for good. This week is about survival and caution while looking for opportunities to present themselves without knife catching. Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
Resistance roads with price points indication Can XRP break out?…….. Do you think XRP has a liquidity pool under its whale’s belly already?……. The foolish think it might happen but the inclination of a savvy veteran say: Where’s the location to the on-demand-liquidity? But that population must level up swiftly and efficiently because they know stagnant equals tardiness! No Resistance roads with price points indication analyzation necessary.! You either see the walls gardens or you don’t …………….. #ODL <swift
BINANCE:XRPUSD
by Chicago_Ripple
COF – Capital One Financial WaverVanir Long-Term Vault Protocol🔐 Posted by: WaverVanir_International_LLC 🗓 June 22, 2025 | Chart: “We don’t trade the chart. We activate the timeline.” – VolanX This post isn’t just a technical read — it’s a capital alignment broadcast. WaverVanir has identified Capital One Financial (NYSE: COF) as a long-term macro asset embedded within the upcoming credit-tech realignment cycle. 🧠 THE BIG IDEA: Capital One is not just a credit card company — it's evolving into a data-native, AI-compatible financial infrastructure layer. The rise of virtual cards, adaptive underwriting, and embedded B2B lending platforms puts COF at the center of modern financial sovereignty. 📊 CHART INSIGHT – SMART MONEY DIMENSION SHIFT ✅ Break of Structure (BOS) above $196 confirms demand-based control 🎯 Fibonacci Expansion Target Zones: $226.27 = baseline activation $264.27 = valuation unlock $312.62 = timeline merge $365.99–$400.59 = VolanX node fulfillment 📌 Premium zone reaccumulation is underway. Weak hands may exit. Strong systems enter. 📰 RECENT CATALYSTS: 🔒 Capital One x Discover merger announcement in Q2 sparked consolidation speculation 🌐 AI-native underwriting models launched for small business + retail 💳 Record digital payment volume via virtual cards (like the one WaverVanir currently deploys) 💼 Capital One Labs expanding banking-as-a-service offerings to developers and fintech partners 💼 WAVERVANIR STRATEGIC DISCLOSURE: WaverVanir International LLC is opening an institutional trustline with Capital One. We are preparing to absorb and deploy up to $100M in structured credit toward a next-generation AI trading and intelligence ecosystem — VolanX. 📣 This chart is not financial advice. It's a signal: COF is not a bank stock. It's a capital lattice. 📌 TAGS / SIGNALS: #COF #CapitalOne #WaverVanir #VolanX #SmartMoneyConcepts #InstitutionalCredit #MacroBreakout #VirtualCards #Fintech #Fibonacci #AIFinance #CreditExpansion #TradingView #DSS #TimelineActivation #FinancialSovereignty 🧬 If you're building something real — this is the asset to align with. Capital One isn’t just where money flows. It’s where systems plug in.
NYSE:COFLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
QNT Is Breaking Down — Are You ReadyYello Paradisers, Have you seen what just happened with #QNTUSDT? After weeks of grinding higher, the structure has cracked and that crack could turn into a landslide if you're not ready. This isn’t the time for hope or guesswork. It's the time for strategy. 💎#Quant has broken below a major ascending trendline that’s held since April, marking a pivotal shift in its momentum. The market just printed a clean Change of Character (CHoCH) around the $105–106 level, right at the confluence of a key support-turned-resistance zone. That CHoCH level, once a strong foundation for bullish continuation, has now flipped into a headwind. As long as the price stays below this range, we remain in the danger zone. 💎 Adding fuel to the fire is the major supply zone looming above, from $122 to $128. This area has already triggered rejection in the past and will now serve as the final invalidation for any short-term bullish dreams. A reclaim of this zone is highly unlikely in the near term, given the structure and momentum. 💎Now with the trendline cleanly broken and the market unable to hold higher lows, all eyes are on the lower support zones. The $85 region may provide a temporary cushion, but the real magnet lies deeper. We are closely watching the $72–75 area for signs of temporary relief, but the main high-probability reaccumulation zone is sitting all the way down at $55–60. This zone will likely attract smart money accumulation if the market gets there, it will not be by accident. 💎 This isn’t the time to be catching falling knives. Unless #QNT can reclaim the broken trendline and push back above the $106–110 range with conviction, the path of least resistance is down. That also means every lower high that prints now is an opportunity for trained eyes. Stay ready. Stay focused. And always play the long-term game like a pro. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
2
Ye chart kuch kehta hai : Maruti SuzukiMaruti Suzuki India offers a strong long-term investment case due to its dominant market position, steady earnings growth, strategic focus on EVs and exports, and healthy financials. While there are near-term margin pressures and industry growth challenges, these are largely seen as temporary, with the company poised for sustainable growth driven by new product launches and expanding export opportunities. Maruti Suzuki India is generally considered a good stock for long-term investment based on several key factors: Strong Market Position and Leadership: Maruti Suzuki is the largest passenger car manufacturer in India, holding a dominant market share. Its extensive product portfolio, including hatchbacks, sedans, and SUVs, caters to a wide customer base, providing stable revenue streams. Consistent Revenue and Earnings Growth: The company has demonstrated robust financial growth, with total revenue rising from ₹677.89 billion in FY21 to ₹1.42 trillion in FY24, and net income increasing significantly over the years. Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to grow at about 9.5% annually, indicating steady profitability expansion. Healthy Financials and Cash Flow: Maruti Suzuki maintains a strong balance sheet with low debt levels (net debt is negative, indicating more cash than debt), substantial cash reserves, and positive free cash flow, which supports operational stability and future investments. Growth Catalysts: Electric Vehicle (EV) Expansion: Maruti is positioning India as a hub for global EV exports, which is expected to be a significant growth driver. The launch of new EV models like the e-Vitara and the company's strategic focus on EV exports with a target of over 20% export growth from FY26 onwards enhance its long-term growth prospects. New Product Launches: Upcoming SUV launches in FY26 are anticipated to boost market share and revenue. Export Growth: The company is targeting strong export volume growth (over 20% YoY), which diversifies revenue sources and reduces dependency on the domestic market. Valuation and Analyst Sentiment: The stock trades at a reasonable price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 27.18 with a dividend yield close to 1%, which is attractive for a growth-oriented blue-chip company. Most analysts have a bullish stance, with many recommending a "Buy" and expecting a potential upside of approximately 16% from current levels. Risks to Consider: Margin pressure due to startup costs of new plants, higher R&D and advertising expenses, and commodity price volatility could impact short-term profitability. Domestic industry growth is expected to be modest (1–2% in FY26), which may limit near-term volume growth. Margin compression is a key risk to monitor, although it is seen as temporary with expected improvement once new plant utilization ramps up.
NSE:MARUTI
by prashant_1209
A barrel at $130? Not unless Hormuz closes for good.As tensions in the Middle East between Iran, Israel and the United States escalate, speculation about a $130 oil barrel resurfaces on the markets. While the recent rise in prices is very real, fuelled by geopolitics, there is nothing in the fundamentals or in the technical analysis to justify such an extreme scenario for the time being. Unless... the Strait of Hormuz is blocked. Here are some explanations. 1) Oil rebounds, but no technical red alert Since its low point in May, oil prices have surged by over 40%, buoyed by regional tensions and renewed volatility. The market is anticipating a rise in geopolitical risk, but for the time being, this recovery is not being accompanied by any technical red flags. Indicators such as the COT report (Commitment of Traders), volumes and key technical thresholds on WTI and Brent are not confirming extreme tension at the current stage, as long as US oil remains below resistance at $80 a barrel. Although the 200-day moving average has been breached, and the reintegration of the $65 level has provided the starting point for a bullish impulse, the price of oil is now at a technical crossroads. The chart below shows a bearish resistance line (red) on WTI, and the same applies to Brent. If these resistances were to be breached, this would be a strong bullish warning signal for the price of a barrel of oil towards $90/95. 2) A market under pressure... but framed by OPEC Indeed, only a major supply constraint can push oil up to $130 a barrel. The current geopolitical context comes at the worst possible time for OPEC. The oil cartel, led by Saudi Arabia, had recently decided to increase production after years of restrictions. The objectives were to respond to what was seen as robust demand, win back market share from US producers and punish less disciplined members. In May, June and July, an increase of 411,000 barrels per day is scheduled. In other words, the market is receiving additional supply, which mechanically limits the risk of a speculative surge, barring a major exogenous shock such as the long-term closure of the Strait of Hormuz. 3) Iran/Israel/USA: the market prices the risk, but doesn't panic. Traders are currently considering three scenarios: 1. Tougher sanctions against Iran, reducing supply by 500,000 to 1 million barrels a day. 2. A targeted attack on Iran's oil infrastructure. 3. A temporary closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The first two cases can be absorbed by the market, notably thanks to the production capacities of other OPEC+ members or the strategic release of reserves. On the other hand, blocking the Strait of Hormuz would be a “game changer”. The Strait of Hormuz, between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman, is the gateway to 20% of the world's oil supply, i.e. some 17 to 18 million barrels a day. It is also a vital route for liquefied natural gas (LNG), particularly from Qatar. Even a partial shutdown would have an immediate impact on all logistics chains and the energy security of importing countries, and would trigger a brutal price shock. In this case, oil at 130 dollars would no longer be an extreme hypothesis, but a plausible scenario in the very short term. The situation is, of course, evolving, and investors need to keep an eye out for weak signals: military movements in the Strait, targeted attacks on energy infrastructures, bellicose rhetoric. In the absence of a blockade of Hormuz, the fundamentals (rising OPEC production, slowing Chinese demand, technical stability) militate in favor of a ceiling of around $80/90. A barrel at $130? Yes, but only if Hormuz closes completely. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. 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NYMEX:CL1!
by Swissquote
Can Geopolitics Redefine Market Risk?The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), which analysts widely dub the "fear gauge," currently commands significant attention in global financial markets. Its recent surge reflects profound uncertainty, particularly from escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. While the VIX quantifies market expectations for future volatility, its current elevation signals more than mere sentiment. It represents a sophisticated repricing of systemic risk, capturing the implied probability of significant market dislocations. Investors find it an indispensable tool for navigating turbulent periods. The dramatic escalation of the Iran-Israel proxy conflict into a confrontation, involving the United States, directly fuels this heightened volatility. Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military and nuclear facilities on June 13, 2025, prompted swift Iranian retaliation. Subsequently, on June 22, the U.S. launched "Operation Midnight Hammer," conducting precision strikes on key Iranian nuclear sites. Iran's Foreign Minister immediately declared diplomacy over, holding the U.S. responsible for "dangerous consequences" and vowing further "punishment operations," including a potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This direct U.S. military intervention, particularly targeting nuclear facilities with specialized munitions, fundamentally alters the conflict's risk profile. It moves beyond proxy warfare into a confrontation with potentially existential implications for Iran. The explicit threat to close the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global chokepoint for oil supplies, creates immense uncertainty for energy markets and the broader global economy. While historical VIX spikes from geopolitical events often prove transient, the current situation's unique characteristics introduce a higher degree of systemic risk and unpredictability. The Cboe VVIX Index, measuring the VIX's expected volatility, has also risen to the higher end of its range, signaling deep market uncertainty about the future trajectory of risk itself. The current environment necessitates a shift from static portfolio management to a dynamic, adaptive approach. Investors must re-evaluate portfolio construction, considering long exposure to volatility through VIX instruments as a hedging mechanism, and increasing allocations to traditional safe havens like U.S. Treasuries and gold. The elevated VVIX implies that even the predictability of market volatility is compromised, demanding a multi-layered risk management strategy. This specific confluence of events might signify a departure from historical patterns of short-lived geopolitical market impacts, suggesting geopolitical risk could become a more ingrained and persistent factor in asset pricing. Vigilance and agile strategies are paramount for navigating this unpredictable landscape.
CBOE:VIXLong
by UDIS_View
Gold bottomed out and rebounded, continue to go longAffected by the situation in the Middle East, gold opened high and fell again on Monday, just like last Monday. At present, it has fallen back to the 3352-3355 line and fluctuated. Although it is under short-term pressure, the bull channel has not been broken, and the retracement is still a long opportunity. The support below is 3340-3345, and the short-term resistance is 3380-3385. It is only a matter of time before it breaks through. The key suppression is still in the 3400-3415 area. In terms of strategy, continue to arrange long orders around the retracement, be cautious in chasing orders in the middle oscillation zone, and wait patiently for key position signals. The specific points are subject to the bottom 🌐 notification. Gold suggestion: arrange long orders around 3340-3350, and the target is 3370-3380.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
What Is the Base Price or Long-term Support for Crude Oil?What is the base price for oil? Specifically, today we will discuss crude oil, and we can apply this understanding to other commodities as well. I won't go into too much technical detail about the difference between the base price and the cost price for crude oil, but for most people, it helps to see the title as “Is there a bottom-line price or support level for crude oil?” My answer is yes, and this is due to inflation. Over time, we tend to pay higher prices for food, gas and many others that we consume. The cost of goods varies between producers and merchants, and then from merchants to end consumers. However, it all starts with the producer. Before a producer acquires oil for refining, they reference crude oil prices as a benchmark to decide whether to make a purchase or hold back. So, “Is there a bottom-line price or support level for crude oil?” As we can see from the yearly chart, in every few years the base price of crude oil keeps adjusting higher; in levels and stages. There is also this parallel channel formed by joining across its troughs and mirror it to its prominent resistance, we can observe crude oil prices range bound between this broad uptrend over time. We can try to apply this analysis to other commodities; we will find a similar broad uptrend across most of them. But why? Because of inflation. Regarding the bottom-line support for crude oil, we observed that it was at $10 from the 1980s until the turn of the millennium. Over time, accounting for inflation, this support level shifted upward to around $30 from the early 2000s until 2020, the year of COVID-19. And now we can see there is a new support at $60 since the start of 2020. How to explain this break below $30 base price and went to -$40? In technical analysis, this break is considered a false break, because, at the close of that year, on this yearly chart, prices settled above the support line at $30. The story behind this is that when COVID hit, airlines were grounded, leading to storage issues for large quantities of oil. It cost more to store the oil than its selling price, which caused prices to drop below zero, reaching as low as -$40. But prices ultimately found its equilibrium and settle at a fair value at $48 that year. Where is the support for crude oil, and what is its current direction? This was a video analysis on Sep 2024, in this weekly chart, we can see a wedge pattern. Then I believe if the price breaks above this downtrend line, it suggests that we may see higher crude oil prices. And this analysis is taking shape today. We can see prices initially broke above this trendline, but shortly sink below and broke this support line at $66 to $55. And today we are at $73 after the renewal of the Middle East tension. How should I interpret the move to the recent low around $55? I would encourage to always discover the development with different time frame as time progress. Switching to the yearly chart, we observed that crude oil is still supported above $60 that year. Please also make a point to adjust this downtrend line from time to time as market dynamic changes. Watch the full video: WTI Crude Oil Futures & Options Ticker: MCL Minimum fluctuation: 0.01 per barrel = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by konhow