EUR/USD: Don't chase the car, Snoopy! This is a relief rally.Hello all.
Apologies if my "dog chasing a car" expression does not resonate with everyone. However, I think we can all use a little levity once in a while.
I entered into a long EUR/USD position last week although it was a gamble what with the German election this weekend.
However, I have a very tight trailing stop on this trade. It definitely has the legs to reach 1.0530-40. Higher than that, we'll see.
Allow me to explain my point of view.
Investors, especially institutions, like certainty. The German election is over and with that some certainty that there is the will to form a coalition government ASAP.
It is not my place to criticize the German people's choice but it seems that the immigration haters like the AdF party, DJT and Musk, who did not hesitate to support them, did not win the day. There is however a steep road ahead until a formal government is in place.
Germany's economy has been in decline and the ECB rate decisions have reflected that.
The Ukraine/Russia war seems to be the EUR/USD driver now that Trump and his mouthpiece, Hegseth, have essentially showed that they do not care about Europe's future,
OR FOR THAT MATTER THE INTERNATIONAL ORDER AND THE USA'S ROLE IN IT AS A PEACEKEEPER.
More alarming is the claim that Ukraine started the war. DJT is still cozying up to Putin and nobody except him knows why.
This cavalier approach by the Trump administration has raised the specter of European powers having to produce their own weapons and also leaning on the UK to assist. This may boost economic output but I would not invest in that prospect for now.
What the planet needs is an end to this war and the USA to show some real leadership.
Now is also the time for the USA, Euro Zone and Japan to start urging China and India to assist in stopping this insanity started by Putin. The UN needs to step up to the plate too.
If Trump really wants monetary compensation for aiding Ukraine, then let it be so. He can start by insisting on a slice of the reported USD280 billion in frozen Russian assets. And if it does come to Ukraine having to give some mineral rights to the USA in return for a peace keeping force and repayment for military aid, well, fine by me as a tax payer one way or another. There is however not a snow ball's chance in hell that the USA congress will approve what will be seen by Putin as an act of war against Russia.
HERE IS A THOUGHT: what if DJT wakes up tomorrow morning and start using his bully pulpit to promote all nations to get along instead of barking about tariffs and other not so important issues like the weak stream of water from his shower. Just kidding, of course, but one may dream...
I have just booked profit on my long position and will monitor it for another position, long or short. Chasing it in the hope of reaching 1.0600? Of course. That is what we do as traders. But keep the risk small.
Best of luck all.
Fundamental Analysis
Fake Breakouts – If price spikes toward $2,945-$2,950 but fails 📊 Current Market Overview
Current Price: $2,941.05 🔼 Strong bullish momentum
High of the Day: $2,941.47
Major Resistance (R3): $2,950.01 🔴 Strong institutional selling area
Recently Broken Resistance (Now Support, R2): $2,940.01 (Key intraday pivot level)
Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,925.10 (Held, fueling the bullish rally) 🟢
Psychological Support (S1): $2,920.28 (Institutional accumulation zone)
🏦 Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Analysis
📌 Institutional Order Flow Insights:
Aggressive institutional buying above $2,925 led to a breakout rally.
Sell liquidity zones are stacking up at $2,945-$2,950, meaning institutions may offload positions soon.
Possible engineered liquidity sweep before reversal—watch for exhaustion signals.
📌 Smart Money Activity:
Institutions absorbed sell-side liquidity at $2,925, initiating the breakout.
COT (Commitment of Traders) data indicates institutions increased long positions near support levels.
📌 Liquidity Map Breakdown:
Buy orders now moving higher towards $2,940, suggesting a possible new short-term support.
Large sell liquidity near $2,945-$2,950, which could result in a pullback.
📈 Best Indicator Combination
✔ Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
38.2%: $2,935 ✅ (Key short-term support)
50.0%: $2,930 🔻 (Mid-pivot retracement level)
61.8%: $2,925 🔥 (Major buy zone)
✔ 50 EMA & 200 EMA:
50 EMA (Short-term trend) supporting price at $2,925-$2,930.
200 EMA (Long-term trend) near $2,940, where price is consolidating.
✔ RSI (7) Momentum Confirmation:
RSI is overbought, suggesting possible exhaustion soon.
✔ VWAP Analysis:
Price far above VWAP, meaning it could revert back down.
✔ MACD Analysis:
Bullish momentum slowing down, indicating a possible short-term retracement.
🎯 Key Market Manipulation Tactics & Strategy
📌 Common Market Maker Tactics in XAU/USD:
Liquidity Sweeps – Market makers pushed price above $2,940 to trap breakout traders.
Stop-Hunts – A quick dip back to $2,935-$2,930 is possible before the next move.
Fake Breakouts – If price spikes toward $2,945-$2,950 but fails to hold, it's a bull trap.
📌 How to Trade Like Smart Money? ✅ Patience is key! Watch for:
A pullback to $2,935 before longing.
A rejection at $2,945 for a possible short scalp.
Confirmation from order flow before entry.
📉 Momentum & Trend Analysis
✔ RSI:
Overbought, meaning a short-term pullback is likely. ✔ Stochastic Oscillator:
Bearish divergence forming, indicating potential trend reversal. ✔ Moving Averages:
50 EMA serving as dynamic support, potential pullback target.
📢 Trading Decision – BUY or SELL?
🔥 Short Setup (High Probability Scalping Trade)
🔴 Entry: $2,945 - $2,950
🔴 Stop-Loss: $2,955
🔴 Take-Profit: $2,935 & $2,930
🔴 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 ✅
📌 Why Short?
Price is approaching key resistance at $2,945-$2,950.
Overbought RSI, suggesting potential retracement.
Smart money may take profits soon.
⚡ Execution Plan for Maximum Profit
✔ Step 1: Wait for price to test $2,945-$2,950.
✔ Step 2: Confirm rejection with bearish candle formation.
✔ Step 3: Enter short with tight stop-loss at $2,955.
✔ Step 4: Target $2,935 and $2,930 for take-profit.
🔥 FINAL DECISION – MILK THE MARKET STRATEGY!
📌 Trade Type: HIGH CONFIDENCE SHORT SCALP
📌 Verdict: SELL XAU/USD from $2,945-$2,950.
📌 Exact Entry Price: $2,945-$2,950
📌 Stop-Loss: $2,955
📌 Take-Profit 1: $2,935
📌 Take-Profit 2: $2,930
🏦 Institutions may take profits here and reverse price lower.
🚀 AGGRESSIVE SCALP – Let’s Milk This Market! 💰🔥
Smart money might engineer a fake breakout to trap longs📊 Current Market Overview
Current Price: $2,930.35 🔼 Recovery in progress
High of the Day: $2,940.01
Major Resistance (R3): $2,950.01 🔴 Strong institutional selling area
Recently Broken Resistance (Now Support, R2): $2,940.01 (Key resistance, multiple rejections)
Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,925.10 (Held, causing bounce) 🟢
Psychological Support (S1): $2,920.28 (Strong institutional buy level)
🏦 Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Analysis
📌 Institutional Order Flow Insights:
Large buy walls at $2,920-$2,925 triggered a sharp reversal, suggesting strong institutional accumulation.
Heavy sell orders stacked at $2,935-$2,940, where market makers may trap breakout buyers.
Current price action suggests a retracement before testing key resistance zones.
📌 Smart Money Activity:
Institutions engineered a liquidity grab at $2,920, then absorbed selling pressure to push price higher.
COT (Commitment of Traders) data indicates increased institutional long positioning below $2,925.
📌 Liquidity Map Breakdown:
Buy orders remain near $2,920-$2,925, acting as a demand zone.
Sell liquidity forming around $2,935-$2,940, which could cause rejection.
📈 Best Indicator Combination
✔ Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
38.2%: $2,935 ✅ (Short-term resistance)
50.0%: $2,940 🔴 (Major resistance)
61.8%: $2,945 Breakout zone
✔ 50 EMA & 200 EMA:
50 EMA (Short-term trend) at $2,925 – Held support, leading to price bounce.
200 EMA (Long-term trend) at $2,940 – Strong resistance, price needs momentum to break through.
✔ RSI (7) Momentum Confirmation:
RSI is recovering from oversold, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
✔ VWAP Analysis:
Price moving towards VWAP, suggesting mean reversion in progress.
✔ MACD Analysis:
Bullish crossover detected, confirming short-term recovery.
🎯 Key Market Manipulation Tactics & Strategy
📌 Common Market Maker Tactics in XAU/USD:
Liquidity Sweeps – Market makers liquidated long positions below $2,925, triggering a bounce.
Stop-Hunts – Quick dip to $2,920 before reversal confirms institutional absorption.
Fake Breakouts – Expect fake break above $2,935 to trap breakout traders before a potential pullback.
📌 How to Trade Like Smart Money? ✅ Patience is key! Wait for:
A dip back to $2,925 to re-enter longs.
A rejection at $2,935-$2,940 for a possible short scalp.
Confirmation from order flow before entry.
📉 Momentum & Trend Analysis
✔ RSI:
Recovering from oversold, indicating bullish continuation potential.
✔ Stochastic Oscillator:
Bullish momentum confirmed, but near resistance.
✔ Moving Averages:
50 EMA providing dynamic support, 200 EMA acting as resistance.
📢 Trading Decision – BUY or SELL?
🔥 Short Setup (High Probability Scalping Trade)
🔴 Entry: $2,935 - $2,940
🔴 Stop-Loss: $2,945
🔴 Take-Profit: $2,925 & $2,920
🔴 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 ✅
📌 Why Short?
Price is approaching sell liquidity zones.
200 EMA resistance at $2,940.
Smart money might engineer a fake breakout to trap longs.
⚡ Execution Plan for Maximum Profit
✔ Step 1: Wait for price to hit $2,935-$2,940.
✔ Step 2: Confirm rejection with bearish candle formation.
✔ Step 3: Enter short with tight stop-loss at $2,945.
✔ Step 4: Target $2,925 and $2,920 for take-profit.
🔥 FINAL DECISION – MILK THE MARKET STRATEGY!
📌 Trade Type: HIGH CONFIDENCE SHORT SCALP
📌 Verdict: SELL XAU/USD from $2,935-$2,940.
📌 Exact Entry Price: $2,935-$2,940
📌 Stop-Loss: $2,945
📌 Take-Profit 1: $2,925
📌 Take-Profit 2: $2,920
🏦 Institutions may take profits here and reverse price lower.
🚀 AGGRESSIVE SCALP – Let’s Milk This Market! 💰🔥
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 24th February 2025)Bias: Weak Bearish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Analysis:
-Price start forming bearish structure
-Looking for retracement to the downside as long as price staying below 0.236 fib level
-Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 2940
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Bearish, but near reversal zone📊 Current Market Overview
• Current Price: $2,923.78 🔻
• High of the Day: $2,940.01
• Major Resistance (R3): $2,950.01 🔴 Strong institutional selling area
• Recently Broken Resistance (Now Support, R2): $2,940.01 (Rejected & turned resistance)
• Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,925.10 (Now being tested) 🟢
• Psychological Support (S1): $2,920.28 (Next possible liquidity grab)
🏦 Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Analysis
📌 Institutional Order Flow Insights:
• Liquidity clusters indicate large buy walls at $2,920-$2,925, suggesting that institutions might absorb liquidity here before a reversal.
• Strong sell orders stacked at $2,940-$2,950, signaling that market makers are offloading long positions.
• Current price action suggests a liquidity grab towards $2,920 before a potential bounce.
📌 Smart Money Activity:
• Market makers engineered a rejection at $2,940, leading to a sell-off towards institutional buy zones at $2,925.
• COT (Commitment of Traders) data suggests that institutions are currently shifting from long accumulation to short positioning.
📌 Liquidity Map Breakdown:
• Large buy orders near $2,920, meaning a possible stop-hunt before reversal.
• Sell liquidity zones stacked above $2,940, confirming bearish pressure.
📈 Best Indicator Combination
✔ Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
• 38.2%: $2,940 ✅ (Strong resistance)
• 50.0%: $2,945
• 61.8%: $2,950 🔥
✔ 50 EMA & 200 EMA:
• 50 EMA (Short-term trend) at $2,925 – Being tested right now!
• 200 EMA (Long-term trend) at $2,940 – Confirmed as resistance.
✔ RSI (7) Momentum Confirmation:
• RSI is now oversold! 🔻 Possible reversal zone incoming.
✔ VWAP Analysis:
• Price is far below VWAP, meaning institutions may soon step in to buy the dip.
✔ MACD Analysis:
• Bearish momentum accelerating, but a bullish crossover could form soon.
🎯 Key Market Manipulation Tactics & Strategy
📌 Common Market Maker Tactics in XAU/USD:
1. Liquidity Sweeps – Market makers push price below $2,925 to trigger stop-losses before reversing up.
2. Stop-Hunts – A quick drop to $2,920-$2,918 is possible before a sharp reversal.
3. Fake Breakdowns – If price wicks below $2,920 but closes back above $2,925, it’s a bullish reversal signal.
📌 How to Trade Like Smart Money?
✅ Patience is key! Wait for:
• A liquidity grab below $2,920 before longing.
• A price reclaim above $2,925 for a bullish confirmation.
• Confirmation from order flow before entering any position.
📉 Momentum & Trend Analysis
✔ RSI:
• Oversold conditions, meaning a bounce could be imminent.
✔ Stochastic Oscillator:
• Bearish, but near reversal zone.
✔ Moving Averages:
• 50 EMA acting as support, if it holds, expect a bounce.
📢 Trading Decision – BUY or SELL?
🔥 Buy Setup (High Probability Long Trade)
🟢 Entry: $2,920 - $2,925
🟢 Stop-Loss: $2,915
🟢 Take-Profit: $2,935 & $2,940
🟢 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 ✅
📌 Why Buy?
• Institutions are likely absorbing liquidity at $2,920-$2,925.
• RSI oversold, meaning a bounce is likely.
• Large liquidity clusters suggest a reversal soon.
⚡ Execution Plan for Maximum Profit
✔ Step 1: Wait for price to hit $2,920-$2,925.
✔ Step 2: Look for bullish wicks or volume confirmation.
✔ Step 3: Enter long with tight stop-loss at $2,915.
✔ Step 4: Target $2,935 and $2,940 for take-profit.
🔥 FINAL DECISION – MILK THE MARKET STRATEGY!
📌 Trade Type: HIGH CONFIDENCE LONG
📌 Verdict: BUY XAU/USD from $2,920-$2,925.
📌 Exact Entry Price: $2,920-$2,925
📌 Stop-Loss: $2,915
📌 Take-Profit 1: $2,935
📌 Take-Profit 2: $2,940
🏦 Institutions are likely accumulating at this level, preparing for a reversal.
🚀 AGGRESSIVE SCALP – Let’s Milk This Market! 💰🔥 
USD outlook: The DJT wrecking ball+1 is gaining momentumHello traders
First of all, best of luck for yet another challenging week ahead.
I usually keep my charts simple in appearance but in this case I toyed around with the canvas to illustrate the direction of these three USD instruments. It also gave me the opportunity to simmer down before I start writing my next Idea on EUR/USD.
The charts tell the story. The FOMC's 50 bps rate cut on September 18th 2024 caused considerable consternation in the markets. It was a turning point for all three USD instruments because it was an implicit acknowledgement that the FOMC saw some economic hardship ahead. The DXY was the outlier because it zoomed higher because of the FOMC projections for future rate cuts but more importantly because it was still the highest rate in the G7 other than the UK.
The USD 10Y T-bill and USD 10Y yield tell a different story. The decrease and breakdown in the yield shows less confidence in the economy moving forward.
* Investopedia.com has good information about the inverse relationship between the the cost of a bond and the yield, for anyone who wants to brush up on that topic.
In my opinion, DJT+1 and his/their tariff threats and chaotic administration decisions(think firing Federal employees safeguarding our nuclear arsenal, a threat to abolish the Dept. of Education etc. etc. etc.) are reflected in these charts. He is getting his wish by slightly devaluing the USD but ultimately his economic policies are going to lead to more economic pain for American consumers by increasing inflation. Canada and Mexico, our biggest trade partners have made it clear, they will retaliate with equal sized tariffs. Load up on the guacamole while you can. :)) I do not foresee the FOMC raising rates but they will also not be cutting either if and when inflation raises it's ugly head again.
We all know DJT's casual relationship with facts and his penchant to brag about his exceptional "Common Sense" that also explained the tragic death of 67 individuals in the recent Washington D.C. plane crash. Please form your own opinions on him also blaming it on DEI initiatives. I am staying out of that minefield and also do not have enough time or space to deal with any broken individual's misogyny and racial hatred. Bottom line, the USA does not have a leader who can instill confidence in our future or the International order and marketplace. He is aided by his +1, Musk, who somehow believe that the Silicon Valley mantra of "move fast and break things" will work in Government and in the international arena.
I do no think so. These two bulls in the china shop will turn around sooner than later and deny that they are responsible for the International and Domestic wreckage, chaos and damage that they have caused.
Only time will tell, though. I put my money on the mid terms. And once again, I am a registered Independent voter in this beautiful land of the USA, which despite all the problems and issues, is still one of the best places in the world to live.
Thanks for reading and feel free to share your opinion either way.
INSTITUITION ARE DUMPING GOLD🔥 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! 💰🚀
🔴 Ultra-Aggressive, High-Win Probability Trading Plan for XAU/USD (Gold) – February 19, 2025 🔴
📊 Current Market Overview – 5-Minute Chart (DeepSeek AI Institutional-Grade Insights)
• 💲 Current Price: $2,936.26
• 🚀 High of the Day: $2,936.75
• 🛑 Major Resistance (R3): $2,950.01 (🚨 STRONG Institutional Selling Area!)
• 📉 Recently Broken Resistance (Now Support, R2): $2,940.01
• 📊 Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,925.10 🟢
• 🔻 Psychological Support (S1): $2,920.28
🏦 Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Analysis – Smart Money Insights
📌 Key Institutional Order Flow Observations:
✅ Liquidity Clusters:
• BUY WALLS detected between $2,920-$2,925, indicating a potential stop-hunt before a bullish reversal.
• STRONG SELL ORDERS stacking at $2,940-$2,950, signaling potential rejections or fake breakouts.
✅ Smart Money Manipulation:
• Market Makers engineering liquidity sweeps near $2,940-$2,950 before a short-term pullback.
• COT (Commitment of Traders) Data: Hedge funds reducing long positions while increasing shorts – institutions positioning for a sell-off.
✅ Liquidity Map Breakdown:
• Large Buy Walls near $2,920, indicating strong institutional demand.
• Sell orders stacking at $2,950, suggesting distribution and possible bull trap.
📈 Best Indicator Combination for Maximum Profit
✔ Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
• 38.2% – $2,940 ✅ (Key rejection zone)
• 50.0% – $2,945
• 61.8% – $2,950 🔥 (HIGH-RISK SHORT ZONE)
✔ 50 EMA & 200 EMA Analysis:
• 50 EMA (Short-term trend) is flattening, signaling consolidation before a breakout.
• 200 EMA (Long-term trend) is acting as dynamic resistance near $2,940.
✔ RSI (7) Momentum Confirmation:
• RSI is hovering around 50, indicating neutral momentum, but overbought on lower timeframes.
✔ VWAP Analysis:
• Price is slightly above VWAP, confirming institutional accumulation near support levels.
✔ MACD Analysis:
• Bullish cross detected, but momentum is slowing 🚨 CAUTION NEEDED!
🎯 Key Market Manipulation Tactics & Smart Money Strategy
📌 Market Makers’ Playbook in XAU/USD:
• Liquidity Sweeps – Expect a push above $2,940 to trigger FOMO, then a reversal lower to liquidate longs.
• Stop-Hunts – A quick dip below $2,920 could be a trap before price surges back up.
• Fake Breakouts – A move above $2,950 could be a bull trap before a breakdown.
📌 How to Trade Like Institutions?
✅ Patience is key! WAIT FOR:
• A liquidity grab below $2,920 before longing.
• A rejection near $2,940-$2,950 for shorts.
• Order flow confirmation before entering any trade.
📉 Momentum & Trend Analysis
✔ RSI:
• Neutral, but slightly overbought on lower timeframes.
✔ Stochastic Oscillator:
• 🚨 Bearish divergence detected – confirming a likely pullback.
✔ Moving Averages:
• 50 EMA acting as a short-term pivot zone.
📢 Trading Decision – BUY or SELL?
🔥 High-Probability Short Trade Setup – Institutions Are Dumping Gold!
🔴 Sell Setup (Best Short Entry)
• 🔥 Entry: $2,940 - $2,945
• 🛑 Stop-Loss: $2,952
• ✅ Take-Profit 1: $2,925
• ✅ Take-Profit 2: $2,920
• ⚡ Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 ✅ HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE!
📌 Why Short?
• Institutions are likely distributing gold near $2,950.
• RSI & Stochastic show bearish divergence – signs of momentum exhaustion.
• Sell liquidity zones are building up above $2,940 – high chance of rejection.
⚡ Execution Plan for Maximum Profit
✔ Step 1: Wait for price to test $2,940-$2,945.
✔ Step 2: Confirm rejection with a bearish engulfing candle.
✔ Step 3: Watch order flow for sell walls appearing.
✔ Step 4: Enter short with tight stop-loss at $2,952.
✔ Step 5: Ride down to $2,920 for full TP.
🔥 FINAL DECISION – MILK THE MARKET STRATEGY! 🏆💰🚀
📌 Trade Type: ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE HIGH CONFIDENCE SHORT
📌 Verdict: SELL XAU/USD from $2,940-$2,945 🚨
📌 Exact Entry Price: $2,940-$2,945
📌 Stop-Loss: $2,952
📌 Take-Profit 1: $2,925
📌 Take-Profit 2: $2,920
📌 Market Maker Strategy: Short trap before pullback – let’s milk this move!
🏦 Institutions are likely taking profits here and preparing for a short-term pullback.
🚀 AGGRESSIVE SCALP – Let’s Milk This Market! 💰🔥
📌 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY!
📌 TRADE SMART. TRADE WITH INSTITUTIONS. TRADE TO WIN! 🚀🔥💰
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long (BUY LIMIT)Technical Analysis
1. Daily Chart (Macro View):
• Trend: Strong bullish trend, price at 2933.30, nearing overbought RSI (69.87) but not extreme.
• MACD: Strong bullish momentum (MACD 54.58 > Signal 56.73), indicating sustained buying pressure.
• Resistance Level: Around 2945, with room to test or break.
• Support Level: Around 2813.30.
2. 15-Min Chart (Mid-Term View):
• Trend: Pullback within the bullish structure.
• MACD: Flatlining around 0, signaling consolidation.
• RSI: 42.55, suggesting room for upward movement.
• Key Zone: Price hovering around 2933, consolidating before potential breakout.
3. 3-Min Chart (Entry Timing):
• Trend: Recent short-term pullback.
• MACD: Bearish crossover but flattening out.
• RSI: 32.63, nearing oversold levels, indicating possible short-term bounce.
Fundamental Analysis
• Gold Bullish Sentiment Drivers:
• Geopolitical Risks & Inflation Concerns continue to drive safe-haven demand.
• Dovish Fed Expectations: Market anticipating potential rate cuts later this year, weakening USD and supporting gold prices.
Given the strong bullish macro trend and short-term pullback nearing oversold levels on lower timeframes, a long position offers the highest probability setup.
• Entry: 2928.00 (slight pullback to minor support & oversold RSI on M3)
• Stop Loss (SL): 2918.00 (below recent lows & strong support zone)
• Take Profit (TP): 2948.00 (breakout above resistance and continuation of bullish trend)
This offers a 2:1 RRR. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
$S&P500 macro analysis , market approaching correction °•° $SPXHi 👋🏻 check out my previous analysis ⏰ on SP:SPX macro bullish analysis ⏰
As provided it went up up 🚀 completed my target's 🎯 💯💪🏻 ✅ ✔️
Click on it 👆🏻 just check out each and every time updates ☝🏻 ☺️
•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••
NOW I was completely 🐻 BEARISH on the market with in upcoming months SP:SPX
📌 Expecting liquidation pump $6500 - $6700
Invalid 🛑 when complete month close above $6700
¹support - $5500 ( 🎯 ¹ )
²support - $5130 ( 🎯 ² )
🎯 3 ... Will be updated based on market conditions by that time ☺️
📍 A wise 🦉 man said - always having patience " is " always gaining only /-
NASDAQ:TSLA ( i accumulate slowly until it cross above $400 )
rest of stocks i will follow index ☝🏻 i will invest based on market conditions ..... ✔️
Bitcoin's Final SurgeBitcoin’s been loitering in distribution for 3 months — like a bloated whale carcass washing ashore. Altcoins? Down 50% or more in the same stretch. They’ve juiced Bitcoin’s price, gutted the alts, and pocketed the spread. Next up: BTC’s final lurch to 120k, dragging those discounted alts along for the ride. Clock’s ticking — 193 days left in this cycle, give or take. Big fish will pile in late, right before the cliff, then dump their alt bags on the crowd. Same game, different year.
Horban Brothers.
Ethereum. Resistance, Resilience, and the Road AheadFirst resistance for Ethereum 3000$! This is the beginning of a great journey, the key level for the near future is to overcome 3k. A large number of people have been liquidated and capitulated. I hear more and more often that Ethereum is dead and people are disappointed in it. Except that of all the top assets Ethereum is the only one that hasn't been played by a market maker and there is a lot of liquidity flowing into it. The imminent adoption of staking ETFs only sets the stage for a good future.
Horban Brothers.
ONDO is the brainchild of BlackRockONDO is the top-1 tokenization platform for Real World Assets. I have already spoken at May 2024 where I talked about the relevance of the RWA sector and its aspirations for widespread adoption in blockchain. Specifically ONDO is a very progressive project that is launching its ONDO Chain! I think we will see strong upside in the asset over the near term and approach the 1.618 Fibonacci level. More globally, I would expect much higher values.
Horban Brothers.
Trump's Golden RatioTrump has launched his own personal token that he will use solely for his own benefit for bribes and money laundering. He's not a politician, he's a businessman who knows how to make money. Creating his own cryptocurrencies is direct proof of that. The $TRUMP token plays a role as the president's personal token for the Republicans to donate to him and a legal way to get money from other politicians. The whole saga with his token is just beginning, it is one of the few steps in building the Trump family the greatest business ever.
As far as the chart is concerned, we should wait for a bounce into the golden section area. Now there was a FUD regarding the ByBit hack, it's like a fake attempt to panic the crowd, but it didn't work with smart people. Only the strongest are left here, who have survived everything they can.
Horban Brothers.
Upcoming Weekly AnalysisFA Analysis:
1- World economy and US economy are slowing down; risk of recession is up again.
2- Inflation is up
3- Trump tariffs and reciprocity are not helping.
4- Deep Seek news is currently behind the scene but it has a huge negative impacts on AI and semi-conductors for the ST and MT.
All the above factors are negative for stocks and equities (i.e., NQ).
5- This week, we have key data starting by the Consumer Confidence, to GDP to PCE.
Bad news is bad news for equities .
6- On Wednesday, we have NVDA earnings after market closes. This news is extremely important for the ST/MT direction. Any undershoot data will send NVDA and NQ to the LL of Year 2024. Overshoot, it will stop the drop and test back the top of the range. Inline data, it will give a short live up before resuming down. I think Inline scenario will prevail.
7- Trump tweet risk: Trump needs a daily dose of attraction; keep an open eye and manage your risk.
TA Analysis:
Weekly Analysis:
From strictly TA weekly perspective, we got an irrelevant close; we got an inside bar. But based on the FA analysis, we may consider it bearish.
Price needs to close below/above the previous weekly green candle for a decisive direction.
Daily TF:
1- We got a strong bearish close. A continuation down is expected.
2- I think market will continue the sell off until Wednesday. Based on NVDA data, we will see either:
a- Bad data: A straightforward and deep drop;
b- Inline data: A short live bounce up;
c- Green data: A retest of ATH.
That's all for this upcoming week! Trade safely and happy green week to all of you! GL!