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XAUUSD Expecting Selling movementCurrent Price Action Current price $3,357 The chart shows a recent bullish move that has broken above a previous consolidation zone around $3,333 $3,340 Resistance Zone Red Box Upper resistance area projected around $3,380 This is the anticipated reversal zone where the price may face selling pressure and potentially begin a downward movement Projected Price Path Yellow Arrows The analysis forecasts a continued short-term bullish move toward the red resistance zone After hitting this resistance the price is expected to reverse and begin a bearish correction Support Zone & Target Area First Support Level: Around $3,333 identified as a key structure or supply-demand level Final Target: Around $3,315. marked in purple as the main bearish target post-reversal This zone is highlighted in blue and represents a key demand area where a potential bounce may occur Conclusion The setup appears to anticipate a sell opportunity near the $3,380 resistance targeting a decline to the $3,315 zone This type of analysis is often used for short-term trading setups, possibly scalping or trades
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GOLD_FORCAST_PROVIDER
WAVE 3 PEAK OR SETUP FOR A NEW RALLY? XAUUSD PLAN – JUNE 3RD | WAVE 3 PEAK OR SETUP FOR A NEW RALLY? After a massive $100 rally at the start of the week, gold has begun to pull back — dropping over $30 during the Asia session today. This is likely the end of Wave 3 (the strongest impulse in a 5-wave Elliott structure), as investors lock in profits and await key macro events. 🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT A high-stakes call between Trump and Xi Jinping is expected this week, which could reshape short-term trade sentiment. Investors are moving into cash positions, taking profits after Monday’s surge, and waiting for direction from the upcoming US-China negotiations. Macro themes remain supportive for volatility: tariff risks, inflation worries, and geopolitical uncertainty. 📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – H2 / H4 / D1 On the higher timeframes (H4 and D1), gold maintains a bullish structure, with EMAs aligned for upside continuation. On intraday charts (M30–H1), we’re seeing a clean correction, likely to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone below. The key BUY zone at 3320–3310 will decide direction: If it holds: strong long setups. If it breaks: possible structure shift and deeper downside. 🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3320 – 3318 SL: 3314 TP: 3324 → 3328 → 3332 → 3336 → 3340 → 3344 → 3350 → 3360 → ??? 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3388 – 3390 SL: 3394 TP: 3384 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370 → 3366 → 3360 → 3350 📌 FINAL THOUGHTS “Gold is in a healthy correction after a massive surge. The 3310–3320 zone is crucial. Hold it, and bulls may take over again — break it, and we may see a deeper pullback." ⚠️ Stay cautious ahead of political headlines. Any remarks from the Trump–Xi call could spark aggressive price action.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GBPUSD – Is the Recovery Losing Steam? GBPUSD – Is the Recovery Losing Steam? Watch for Technical Pullback Ahead of NFP The GBPUSD pair has recently rebounded impressively from the 1.3427 key support zone, reflecting short-term USD weakness and growing speculation of rate cuts by the Fed. However, after the strong bullish move, the market is now showing signs of exhaustion and potential profit-taking—especially with high-impact US employment data just around the corner. 🔍 Macro & Fundamental Overview: United States: All eyes are on this week’s JOLTS and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) reports. Weak jobs data could strengthen the case for rate cuts by the Fed in Q3, weighing on the US Dollar. On the flip side, a solid print would revive “higher for longer” rate expectations and likely support USD strength. United Kingdom: Although inflation remains above the Bank of England’s 2% target, political uncertainty ahead of July’s general election may keep GBP on the defensive, especially if BoE signals a dovish turn. Bond Yield Spread (UK vs US): A widening spread in favor of the USD is exerting downward pressure on GBPUSD in the medium term. 📈 Technical Outlook (H1 Chart): Structure: Price has formed a double-top pattern at 1.35598 and 1.35322, with multiple rejections—signaling a weakening bullish momentum after a sustained rally. EMA 13 – 34 – 89 – 200 Setup: Price is currently testing the EMA89 zone (~1.34854). A clean break below this moving average could accelerate the downside correction. FVG Zone (Liquidity Pool): The 1.3427 – 1.3457 area offers a potential liquidity sweep and may serve as a springboard for the next bullish leg. 📊 Trade Scenarios: 🔻 Short-Term SELL SCALP: Entry: 1.3532 – 1.3545 Stop Loss: 1.3565 Take Profit: 1.3485 → 1.3457 → 1.3427 → Ideal if price fails to hold above recent highs and forms bearish rejection candles. 🔵 BUY ZONE Setup: Entry: 1.3427 – 1.3440 Stop Loss: 1.3400 Take Profit: 1.3475 → 1.3505 → 1.3535 → 1.3555 → High-probability entry if price reacts positively to the FVG zone and maintains bullish structure. 📌 Final Thoughts: GBPUSD is currently in a delicate zone where both technical and macro forces are converging. While the broader trend remains bullish, momentum is slowing. With critical US jobs data due, traders should stay cautious and rely on clear confirmations around key price levels. Maintain strict risk management and look for liquidity-driven moves around FVG zones.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
Weather and Corn: A Deep Dive into Temperature Impact1. Introduction: Corn and Climate – An Inseparable Relationship For traders navigating the corn futures market, weather isn't just a background noise—it's a market mover. Few agricultural commodities are as sensitive to environmental variables as corn, especially temperature. Corn is grown across vast regions, and its development is directly tied to how hot or cold the season plays out. This makes weather not just a topic of interest but a core input in any corn trader’s playbook. In this article, we go beyond conventional wisdom. Instead of simply assuming “hotter equals bullish,” we bring data into the equation—weather data normalized by percentile, matched with price returns on CME Group's corn futures. The results? Useful for anyone trading ZC or MZC contracts. 2. How Temperature Affects Corn Physiology and Yields At the biological level, corn thrives best in temperatures between 77°F (25°C) and 91°F (33°C) during its growth stages. During pollination—a critical yield-defining window—extreme heat (especially above 95°F / 35°C) can cause irreversible damage. When hot weather coincides with drought, the impact on yields can be catastrophic. Historical drought years like 2012 and 1988 serve as powerful examples. In 2012, persistent heat and dryness across the US Midwest led to a national yield drop of over 25%, sending futures skyrocketing. But heat doesn't always spell disaster. Timing matters. A heat wave in early June may have little impact. That same wave during tasseling in July? Major consequences. 3. The Market Mechanism: How Traders Respond to Temperature Surprises Markets are forward-looking. Futures prices don’t just reflect today’s weather—they reflect expectations. A dry June may already be priced in by the time USDA issues its report. This dynamic creates an interesting challenge for traders: separating noise from signal. During July and August—the critical reproductive phase—temperature updates from NOAA and private forecasters often trigger major moves. Rumors of an incoming heat dome? Corn futures might gap up overnight. But if it fizzles out, retracements can be just as dramatic. Traders who rely on headlines without considering what’s already priced in are often late to the move. 4. Our Analysis: What the Data Reveals About Corn and Temperature To cut through the fog, we performed a percentile-based analysis using decades of weather and price data. Rather than looking at raw temperatures, we classified each week into temperature “categories”: Low Temperature Weeks: Bottom 25% of the historical distribution Normal Temperature Weeks: Middle 50% High Temperature Weeks: Top 25% We then analyzed weekly percentage returns for the corn futures contract (ZC) in each category. The outcome? On average, high-temperature weeks showed higher volatility—but not always higher returns. In fact, the data revealed that some extreme heat periods were already fully priced in, limiting upside. 5. Statistically Significant or Not? T-Tests and Interpretation To test whether the temperature categories had statistically significant impacts on weekly returns, we ran a t-test comparing the “Low” vs. “High” temperature groups. The result: highly significant. Corn returns during high-temperature weeks were, on average, notably different than those during cooler weeks, with a p-value far below 0.01 (4.10854357245787E-13). This tells us that traders can't ignore temperature anomalies. Extreme heat does more than influence the narrative—it materially shifts price behavior. That said, the direction of this shift isn't always bullish. Sometimes, high heat correlates with selling, especially if it’s viewed as destructive beyond repair. 6. Strategic Takeaways for Corn Traders Traders can use this information in several ways: Anticipatory Positioning: Use temperature forecasts to adjust exposure ahead of key USDA reports. Risk Management: Understand that volatility spikes in extreme temperature conditions and plan stops accordingly. Calendar Sensitivity: Prioritize weather signals more heavily in July than in May, when crops are less vulnerable. Combining weather percentile models with weekly return expectations can elevate a trader’s edge beyond gut feel. 7. CME Group Corn Futures and Micro Corn Contracts Corn traders have options when it comes to accessing this market. The flagship ZC futures contract from CME Group represents 5,000 bushels of corn and is widely used by commercial hedgers and speculators alike. For those seeking more precision or lower capital requirements, the recently launched Micro Corn Futures (MZC) represent just 1/10th the size. This fractional sizing makes temperature-driven strategies more accessible to retail traders, allowing them to deploy seasonal or event-based trades without excessive risk exposure. Here are some quick key points to remember: Tick size for ZC is ¼ cent (0.0025) per bushel, equating to $12.50 per tick. For MZC, each tick is 0.0050 equating to $2.50 per tick. Standard ZC initial margin is approximately $1,000 and MZC margins are around $100 per contract, though this can vary by broker. 8. Wrapping Up: Temperature's Role in a Complex Equation While temperature is a key driver in corn futures, it doesn't act in isolation. Precipitation, global demand, currency fluctuations, and government policies also play crucial roles. However, by quantifying the impact of extreme temperatures, traders gain a potential edge in anticipating market behavior. Future articles will expand this framework to include precipitation, international weather events, and multi-variable models. This article is part of a broader series exploring how weather impacts the corn, wheat, and soybean futures markets. Stay tuned for the next release, which builds directly on these insights. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT:ZC1!Education
by traddictiv
Gold Price Rises on Tariff Tensions and Geopolitical RisksGold jumped nearly 3% as President Trump announced plans to double tariffs on U.S. steel and aluminum imports to 50% starting June 4, fueling safe-haven demand and weakening the U.S. Dollar. The EU expressed strong regret and warned of potential countermeasures. The rally continued on Tuesday (June 3) as geopolitical tensions escalated. Ukraine launched its largest drone attack on Russian airbases, while Moscow responded with long-range strikes on Kyiv. These events, combined with weak U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI (May: 48.5, lowest since Nov), added to market anxiety. Investors are watching the Fed’s upcoming statements for clues on rate direction. Lower interest rates and global instability continue to support gold’s bullish case. Technical Outlook – XAUUSD Gold hit $3,371, then pulled back slightly, but remains on track to reach $3,400 soon. A short-term bullish channel is forming, and RSI above 50 suggests more upside potential. Pullbacks above the 21-day EMA and 0.382 Fibonacci level are likely temporary corrections or buy opportunities. Support: 3,326 – 3,300 – 3,292 Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,435
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
JPYUSD Technical Breakdown | Inverse Head & Shoulders + Target🔍 Pattern Breakdown: Inverse Head & Shoulders (H&S) We’ve identified a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal formation that often appears at the end of a downtrend. Here's how the structure played out: Left Shoulder: The initial drop formed a local low, followed by a short recovery, creating the first "shoulder" on the left. Head: A deeper push down formed the lowest point of the pattern, indicating a possible trap for sellers or exhaustion in bearish momentum. This is the "head" and the key anchor of the pattern. Right Shoulder: A higher low forms, showing buyers stepping in earlier and with more strength. This symmetry confirms the structure and signals a potential reversal in trend. Neckline: Drawn across the highs between the shoulders, this key resistance line was broken decisively, confirming the bullish pattern and triggering an upward breakout. 📌 Trendline + Retest Zone = Confluence Support After the breakout above the neckline: Price surged strongly, showing confidence in the reversal. It pulled back gently to retest the neckline, which now acts as support. This retest also aligns with the upward trendline, adding confluence — a strong signal in technical trading that increases the probability of a successful continuation move. This zone is labeled on the chart as: 🟦 “Like a Retesting Zone After Boom” — a perfect description of what’s occurring. 🎯 Target and Resistance Zones The price is now moving toward a major resistance zone marked between 0.007020 – 0.007060, with a target zone slightly above at 0.007080. These zones represent historical selling pressure or supply areas. A breakout above this region would open doors to even higher levels, signaling strong bullish continuation. 📈 Why This Setup Matters (MMC Strategy Applied) Using the Market Mapping Concept (MMC) approach, this trade idea combines: Market structure (Inverse H&S pattern) Momentum confirmation (strong bullish move after breakout) Zone mapping (support/resistance confluence) Trendline validation (clean structure with pullback respect) This creates a well-defined trade setup with clear entry and exit logic, excellent risk-to-reward potential, and technical confirmation. ✅ Summary: Bullish Outlook With Managed Risk Bias: Bullish continuation as long as price holds above the neckline/trendline zone. Confirmation: Inverse H&S pattern + successful retest. Target: 0.007060–0.007080 resistance zone. Invalidation: Break below 0.006980 and close under trendline support. 💬 Minds Post Caption (Extended) 🔥 JPYUSD Ready to Fly? Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Spotted! Clean reversal pattern (H&S) just completed with a strong neckline breakout and a perfect retest at trendline confluence. MMC analysis suggests bullish continuation toward the 0.007060+ resistance zone. Classic "retest after boom" move. Watching price action closely! 🚀📊
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
U.S. Dollar Index . 1MLong-term DXY (Dollar Index) Analysis Greetings to all valued followers, This is a long-term analysis and macroeconomic outlook based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC), carefully charted with key reactive zones highlighted. Within this analysis, significant support levels, imbalance zones, and liquidity pools are outlined, which can guide your market decisions as the price reaches these areas. Key Zones Based on the Monthly Timeframe Support (Monthly): 97.441 This level is considered the primary support. It’s expected that, should the price reach this zone, a reaction or corrective rally might unfold. Support (Monthly): 94.629 This is the secondary support, which acts as the next target if the previous support is broken. Typically, these supports indicate potential reversal points or short-term retracements. Imbalance Zone (Unfinished Business): Range: 91.782 – 91.436 This zone represents an Imbalance, signalling a strong disequilibrium in the market. The market will likely revisit this area to restore balance (rebalancing). Significance: It acts as a Liquidity Magnet — if the Federal Reserve fails to provide sufficient liquidity and the support line is broken, the price will tend to continue downward into this zone to gather the required liquidity for economic rebuilding and confirmation of a bearish trend. Liquidity Pool: Liquidity (M): 89.209 This is a liquidity pool where, should the bearish momentum persist, the price is expected to test or reach this level. A significant volume of buy and sell orders are accumulated here, making it a crucial target for further downside. Charting Summary and Outlook: The monthly supports at 97.441 and 94.629 are key areas to watch, with market reactions to be evaluated via Order Blocks and Break of Structure (BOS) signals. The imbalance zone between 91.782 and 91.436 may trigger a retracement within the ongoing downtrend — traders should look for confirmation signals in price action. If the market fails to gather enough liquidity in these zones, the next downside target would be around 89.209, indicating a continuation of the bearish trend.
TVC:DXYShort
by fereydoon1199
What is the TACO trade in forex trading? The “TACO trade” – short for “Trump Always Chickens Out” – originated in equity markets but is equally relevant in forex. The pattern is simple: Trump signals aggressive tariffs, markets react and then reverse when the threat is walked back. One example: In May 2025, the U.S. dollar weakened sharply after Trump announced a 50% tariff on EU imports. EUR/USD rallied to 1.1440 as traders priced in slower U.S. growth. But just days later, the Trump delayed the tariffs to July, and the dollar quickly regained ground. For forex traders, the TACO trade strategy is about timing: entering on initial panic and exiting on the rollback. That said, it’s not without risk. If tariffs are actually enforced, the dollar’s decline may be more prolonged. And with markets increasingly aware of this pattern, reactions may become less predictable.
by BlackBull_Markets
Sterling headed towards 1.40 in coming days.Cable been on a uptrend since the Liz Truss low. Latest bout of dollar weakness obviously helping whilst long term monthly chart is very constructive indicating new uptrend is fully intact. Other supporting narrative is the new "growth" aware labour government that has begun to forge something of a return to Europe along with new trade deals with India and the USA. Many traders and PMs also aware that the British Pound has a long relatively stable history whilst the Bank of England has not defaulted on its Gilts which have been reliably paid for more than 400 years. recent previous resistance on light blue line now acting as support. Sit tight cable has plenty of upside from here.
Long
by behr100
Is C3.ai the Quiet Giant of Enterprise AI?C3.ai (AI), an enterprise artificial intelligence software provider, has operated somewhat under the radar despite its foundational role in delivering advanced AI solutions to large organizations. While the broader AI market has seen significant attention on hardware innovators, C3.ai has steadily scaled its platform usage and secured marquee contracts. The company's core strength lies in its sophisticated, patented C3 Agentic AI platform, developed through a multi-billion-dollar investment, which effectively tackles critical business challenges such as AI hallucinations, data security, and multi-format data integration. A pivotal development underscoring C3.ai's growing influence is the expanded contract with the U.S. Air Force Rapid Sustainment Office (RSO). This agreement significantly increased its ceiling to $450 million through 2029, supporting the widespread deployment of C3.ai's PANDA predictive maintenance platform across the Air Force fleet. This substantial commitment not only provides a robust, long-term revenue stream but also serves as a powerful validation of C3.ai's technology at an unprecedented scale, potentially representing the largest production AI deployment within the U.S. Department of Defense. Financially, C3.ai demonstrates compelling momentum. The company recently reported record Q4 earnings, with revenue reaching $108.7 million, a 26% year-over-year increase, driven by strong growth in both subscription and engineering services. Strategic alliances with industry giants like Baker Hughes, Microsoft Azure, and Amazon Web Services continue to accelerate new deal flow and expand market access, shortening sales cycles and enhancing overall reach. While profitability remains a near-term focus, C3.ai's solid liquidity and projected revenue growth of 15%-25% for fiscal 2026, coupled with an average analyst price target suggesting significant upside, position it for a compelling ascent in the enterprise AI landscape.
NYSE:AILong
by UDIS_View
XAUUSD – Trade War Rhetoric Returns: Why Gold May Rally Again Steel. Aluminum. Tariffs doubled. Whenever we enter a phase of tariff war talk and geopolitical friction, the market reacts in a very predictable way: More tariffs = more uncertainty = weaker USD = stronger GOLD Less tariffs = stability = stronger USD = weaker GOLD It's not about politics. It’s about market psychology. And right now, that psychology favors gold upside. We’re seeing a return to protectionist rhetoric. China-U.S. tensions are getting media oxygen again. Tariff headlines are back on the front page. This is historically a bullish trigger for gold, especially if the dollar starts to weaken on risk-off flows or rate speculation cools. I’m keeping an eye on dollar softness + any follow-through on these trade war headlines. If we get the right technical trigger, I’ll ride gold long ; this narrative can push it higher.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by PrabuddhaPeramuna
TRON TRON (TRX) is a decentralized blockchain platform designed for smart contracts, decentralized applications (DApps), and digital content sharing. It aims to create a fast, scalable, and low-cost ecosystem for users and developers. Key Features of TRON: - High Transaction Speed: TRON can process up to 2,000 transactions per second, making it much faster than Bitcoin and Ethereum. - Low Fees: Transactions on TRON are almost free, making it ideal for payments and transfers. - Smart Contracts & DApps: Developers can build decentralized applications using TRON’s TRC-20 and TRC-10 token standards. - TRC-20 USDT: TRON hosts a large portion of Tether (USDT) transactions, offering fast and cheap stablecoin transfers. - Decentralized Finance (DeFi): TRON supports various DeFi projects, including JustLend DAO and SunSwap. TRON was founded by Justin Sun in 2017 and has grown into one of the largest blockchain ecosystems
by ali73007
XAUUSD Daily Outlook — Monday, June 2, 2025“Compression in Premium: Is Gold Building for the Drop?” 👋 traders — let’s prepare the battlefield. Gold continues to range inside a tight compression box just under the May High. The current daily structure is showing clear signs of distribution inside premium, with multiple failed attempts to break higher. Each upside wick has been absorbed near 3328–3350, and price is now hovering just above key support near EMA50 + PNL (3228–3232). This setup is classic: lower highs + equal lows + trapped liquidity = imminent breakout. We now anticipate either a clean breakdown below support, or one final inducement wick before the move begins. 🔹 Daily Structure Breakdown Structure Element Status Market Bias 📉 Bearish short-term (distribution signs) Trend Sideways in premium, LH forming Current Price ~3289 USD April ATH 3500 (untouched since) Last CHoCH/BOS BOS confirmed early May → bullish, but no follow-through Current Setup Range-bound inside lower high, testing OB support 🔹 Refined Daily Zones 📍 Zone Type Key Levels What to Watch 🔺 Rejection Zone #1 3328 – 3342 Daily supply + previous bearish wick zone. Watch for rejection or inducement spike. 🔹 Key Support Zone 3232 – 3228 PNL + EMA50 cluster. Critical line — a clean break opens downside continuation. 🔹 Demand Block 3190 – 3180 Micro OB from May low. If support fails, this is the next magnet. 🔻 Breakdown Target 3044 Unfilled imbalance + clean demand zone from April breakout leg. 🔹 EMA & Momentum Check ✅ EMA 5/21/50: Still aligned bullish ⚠️ Price is sitting on top of EMA50 → breakdown threat if today's candle closes below 3228 RSI likely showing divergence — lower highs in price, weakening momentum 🔹 Daily Bias & Scenarios 📉 Bearish Bias below 3328 ✅ Compression inside premium = expect breakout 🎯 Target 1: 3190 | 🎯 Target 2: 3044 ❗ Bullish continuation only valid above 3342 with strong PA 🧠 Strategy Plan for Monday: Sell Setup: If price retests 3328–3342 early → watch for rejection → short toward 3190 Breakdown Setup: Clean close below 3228 → open short continuation toward 3180 Buy Setup: Only valid on deep retracement into 3180 with strong rejection + M15 structure shift OR bullish breakout and hold above 3342 → target retest of May high 💬 Final Thoughts from GoldFxMinds: Gold is compressing just below premium rejection — exactly where smart money distribution begins. This is not the moment to long blindly. Let the market show its hand — either break support, or spike into one final trap before dropping. Trade with structure. Not emotion. 💡 Found this helpful? 📍 Follow GoldFxMinds for intraday sniper-entry updates, refined zones, and structured trade planning 💬 Drop a LIKE if you’re prepared to let the trap trigger before you react 👇 Comment below: Will gold hold 3228 or flush into 3190 this week? Let’s start June with clarity and control. — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldFxMinds
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