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Fundamental Analysis

EUR/USD: Bearish Outlook – Targeting 1.03630 & Below 📊 Market Structure & Key Levels EUR/USD is currently rejecting a key supply zone (1.0450 - 1.0480), showing strong signs of continued downside pressure. The pair is in a bearish trend, with price action confirming lower highs and lower lows, as seen in the Prime Market Terminal charts. 📉 Key Levels to Watch: Supply Zone: 1.0450 - 1.0480 (Strong resistance & liquidity zone) Demand Zone: 1.03630 - 1.03219 (Institutional liquidity target) Extended Bearish Target: 1.02687 (Deep liquidity grab area) 🔍 Trade Setup: Bearish Bias Towards Key Support Levels 📌 Entry: Sell between 1.0450 - 1.0480 🎯 TP1: 1.03630 (Liquidity Zone) 🎯 TP2: 1.03219 (Institutional Liquidity Grab) 🎯 TP3: 1.02687 (Extended Downside Target) ❌ SL: 1.05150 (Above Key Resistance) 📉 Why This Trade? (Prime Market Terminal Analysis) ✔️ Bearish Market Structure – The 1D & 4H trend remains bearish, confirming a downward trajectory. Supertrend is bearish, and price is trading below the 72 EMA & 288 EMA, showing weak bullish momentum. ✔️ Liquidity Targets Identified – Market depth analysis from Prime Market Terminal reveals a lack of strong buy orders above 1.0450, suggesting that sellers dominate. ✔️ Volume Profile Analysis – The visible range (VPVR) highlights a high-volume node at 1.03630, making it a strong area for price to seek liquidity. ✔️ Commitment of Traders (COT) Data – Institutional positioning indicates an increase in short contracts for the EUR, aligning with the bearish trend. ✔️ Order Flow & Market Depth – Prime Market Terminal shows institutional sellers stacking sell orders at 1.0450, while liquidity pools rest below 1.03630 and 1.03219, making these ideal targets for price. 📰 High-Impact News to Watch ⚠️ HICP Flash Inflation Data (EUR - March 3, 2025) – Any deviation from expectations could drive EUR volatility. ⚠️ ISM Manufacturing PMI (USD - March 3, 2025) – A stronger-than-expected report could strengthen USD and drive EUR/USD lower. ⚠️ Fed's Musalem Speech (March 3, 2025) – A hawkish stance could accelerate EUR/USD downside pressure. 📌 Final Thoughts: Follow the Trend & Manage Risk! EUR/USD remains firmly bearish, with liquidity resting below 1.03630. The confluence of institutional positioning, bearish trend confirmation, and market depth insights support a sell bias. Watch price action at key levels and manage your risk accordingly! 🔥 What’s your bias? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
Short
by LDForex_
Clear Sign for short-tradeThe price chart has clearly established a robust resistance level, showing no signs of breaking through again. As a result, the price is likely to breach the first trendline in the near term, entering an accumulation phase. During this phase, the price is expected to consolidate for some time before eventually breaking the second trendline. This breakout will likely trigger a downward movement, potentially driving the price toward the 1.013 level by mid-March.
Short
by rahamb
BTC , road map "Hello traders, when considering BTC, the decision-making process should align with your strategy as either a holder or trader. In high time frames, based on the (FVG) concept, BTC's price could potentially reach $180,000. However, for short-term traders, the price might dip to the $70,000 zone initially. I anticipate a pullback to $92,000, after which I will evaluate candle formations to determine a selling position. Please note that this analysis is subject to updates over time." If you have any specific questions or need further assistance with your message, feel free to let me know!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by somayehbasiri
NASDAQ 100: Bullish Trend Reversal and Monthly High Target on 4-The NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) on the 4-hour chart is currently experiencing a correction, but the overall trend is showing signs of a bullish reversal. The 15-minute timeframe reveals a change in trend, as the market has shifted from a bearish to a bullish bias. This transition is becoming more evident with higher lows and the formation of bullish candlestick patterns. As the price continues to gain momentum, it appears to be targeting the previous monthly high, which could act as a key resistance level. Traders should closely monitor this level for potential breakout opportunities or a rejection that may indicate a continuation of the correction. A successful push above the previous monthly high could signal a strong bullish trend continuation. However, a failure to break through could lead to consolidation or a deeper pullback. Keep an eye on short-term support levels and the broader trend on the 4-hour chart to gauge the next likely move in the market. Overall, NAS100 seems to be aligning with a bullish outlook in the near term, but careful attention to price action at these critical levels is essential for determining the next steps.
FX:NAS100Long
by lasinsraj
How do you feel about DPR(Deeper) . Are they scamming people ?Deeper network is a decentralized VPN based utility crypto project since 2021 . At the initial stage they were performed well . but recent year performance and promotion on this token had not gone well .Even though a great utility project behind this token and the physical VPN devices are good quality products to grow up in future . May be an 100 USD deposit on this project make you a millionaire or waste of time and money .
by Treasure_Traders_TTFX
Idea No. 2 for the spotEthereum, in general, the formation of movements is not directly obvious, but still The second cryptocurrency in history, consensus POS, a huge number of developers and projects are built on the Ethereum blockchain. What about tokenomics ? Due to the shift to POS, more coins are being burned than created. So now coins are in circulation at the same level as during ATH. Deflationary model plus to the aura for the long term. Also seeing accumulation by big capital, especially Trump's company. On the downside, except for the recent hack of the exchange and the theft of coins worth a yard and a half of greenbacks, but of course it is unlikely that they will be able to sell it all at once and quickly. That's why I'm placing a stop at the $2,000 level. Consider your risks. DYOR
Long
by charyyevn
Tariff Carnival with the U.S.: Chinese ReactionIon Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst The recent decision by the United States to increase tariffs on Chinese products has reignited tensions in the trade relationship between the two powers. With Washington's intention to raise additional tariffs on products from China by up to 20%, Beijing is considering levies on agricultural and food exports from the United States. If unilateral measures persist, a firm and forceful response from Asia is likely to be triggered. Possible countermeasures include both the imposition of new tariffs and the implementation of non-tariff barriers, focusing on strategic sectors for the U.S. economy, such as agriculture and food. The Chinese Ministry of Commerce had already expressed its opposition to Washington's plans, arguing that these tariffs violate the rules established by the World Trade Organization (WTO) and jeopardize the multilateral trading system. The escalation follows a series of previous measures, in which the US government had announced an additional 10% surcharge on Chinese products, on top of a previously established 10%, in response to criticism of China's insufficient action to combat the entry of fentanyl into the United States. Previously, Beijing had responded to criticism that China had not taken sufficient action to combat the entry of fentanyl into the United States. Previously, Beijing responded to the first tariff measures applied by the US administration with tariffs ranging from 10% to 15% on certain products, along with new controls on exports of strategic minerals and an investigation against the technology giant Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL). The current scenario, can be defined as a “Tariff Carnival” , as it is only worth highlighting the volatility and risk involved in this trade dispute initiated by Trump with all the countries with which it maintains trade relations, whose effects could extend beyond the borders of the two largest economies in the world. Hang Seng Analysis In today's trading day, the retracement was not long in coming, closing the week with a bearish session, and continuing today's Asian trading day with a bearish closing. Although the trend is clearly bullish on a daily time frame, it can be seen that there has been a new bounce off the highs. In other words, after breaking new highs at 24,071.50 points the stock has corrected to an area just below the previous highs, in the body area. If the price action loses strength it could generate a bearish crossover that corrects the price in the direction of the previous price support zone at 19573 points. If the stock continues to beat the market strongly we will see a new attempt to pierce the highs. It should be noted that the RSI has marked excessive overbought at the time of the correction at 81.79% and the POC is located in the area of the previous impulse of 17,200 points. Therefore, a small price correction is quite foreseeable if these tariffs have a sufficient impact on the index's corporate results. In conclusion, the scenario is shaping up as a “Tariff Carnival” , where the escalation of protectionist measures and chain reactions could extend their effects beyond the two largest economies in the world, significantly impacting international trade and the stability of financial markets. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:HKINDLong
by ActivTrades
CHFJPY BuyWhy the Swiss Franc (CHF) is a Strong Buy Amid Geopolitical Tensions Global instability is driving investors toward safe-haven assets, and the Swiss Franc (CHF) stands out as a top choice. Here’s why: 🔹 European Security Concerns – Ongoing Russia-Ukraine tensions are unsettling European markets, increasing demand for CHF. 🔹 Middle East Instability – Conflicts like the Israel-Hamas war are disrupting global supply chains, pushing investors toward safer assets. 🔹 Rising Global Conflicts – The escalation of wars and potential new conflicts add to economic uncertainty, making CHF more attractive. 🔹 Economic Implications – Inflationary pressures and trade disruptions are reinforcing deglobalization, making investors seek stability. 🔹 Swiss Franc’s Safe-Haven Status – Switzerland’s economic stability and neutral stance make CHF a hedge against global risks. 💡 Conclusion: With rising geopolitical uncertainty, CHF remains a strong buy for investors looking to protect capital. #Forex #SafeHaven #CHF #Geopolitics #Trading
Long
by Wainainarobert
Idea No. 1 for the spotNear protocol, the price has been rising for 186 days and already 327 days in a sideways correction. The correction phase is in the form of ABC waves, but it is very tedious. If we consider the Elliott waves, there is nothing except the first and the current second, we can suggest the third one, but then we are waiting for a bull of incredible size. What at the moment gives us the idea to buy? - touching the support zone - RSI is almost oversold. - A future possible bullish MACD crossover. - ADX is about to show a trend, but the decline has already happened. What about the fundamentals ? Basically strong asset, in top 30. MС 4.44B, good volume and liquidity. It is clear that when the asset was 20$, tokens were 2 times less and capitalization was 12B, but 3 years passed and volumes increased everywhere, liquidity became more, cellular ETF and retail funds broke into our chat + in addition the US president launched his meme. So seeing a $15 price with MС 18B in the next quarter or two is not hard to see. If we talk about ATN update, it's a breakdown of MС 25B and a shift to about 9th place of the top, this is quite realistic, but still more likely there will be an extensive liquidity inflow into other projects as well. Consider your risks DYOR Translated with DeepL.com (free version)
Long
by charyyevn
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metals Market Robbery Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🚀 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metals Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (2830.00) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or Swing high or low level should be in retest. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (2830.00) swing Trade Basis Using the 2H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: Primary Target - 2780.00 (or) Escape Before the Target Secondary Target - 2710.00 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Global Market Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Quantitative Analysis, Positioning: XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metals Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend., driven by several key factors. ⭐☀🌟Fundamental Analysis Gold prices are influenced by various fundamental factors, including: - Inflation: Rising inflation can lead to increased demand for gold as a hedge against inflation. - Interest Rates: Lower interest rates can make gold more attractive to investors, while higher interest rates can reduce demand. - Central Bank Policies: Central banks' decisions on gold reserves and monetary policies can impact gold prices. - Global Economic Conditions: Economic downturns or crises can increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. ⭐☀🌟Macro Economics Macroeconomic factors that can impact gold prices include: - GDP Growth: Slowing GDP growth can lead to increased demand for gold. - Unemployment Rates: Rising unemployment can increase demand for gold. - Inflation Rates: Rising inflation can lead to increased demand for gold. ⭐☀🌟Global Market Analysis Global market trends can also impact gold prices: - Stock Market Performance: Weakness in the stock market can lead to increased demand for gold. - Currency Fluctuations: A weaker US dollar can make gold more attractive to investors. ⭐☀🌟COT Data Commitment of Traders (COT) data can provide insights into market sentiment: - Non-Commercial Traders: An increase in long positions by non-commercial traders can indicate bullish sentiment. - Commercial Traders: An increase in short positions by commercial traders can indicate bearish sentiment. ⭐☀🌟Intermarket Analysis Intermarket analysis involves analyzing the relationships between different markets: - Correlation with Other Assets: Gold's correlation with other assets, such as stocks and bonds, can impact its price. - Commodity Prices: Changes in commodity prices, such as oil and copper, can impact gold prices. ⭐☀🌟Quantitative Analysis Quantitative analysis involves using mathematical models to analyze gold prices: - Technical Indicators: Technical indicators, such as moving averages and relative strength index (RSI), can provide insights into gold's trend. - Statistical Models: Statistical models, such as regression analysis, can help identify relationships between gold prices and other variables. ⭐☀🌟Market Sentimental Analysis Market sentimental analysis involves analyzing investor attitudes and sentiment: - Bullish Sentiment: Increased bullish sentiment can lead to higher gold prices. - Bearish Sentiment: Increased bearish sentiment can lead to lower gold prices. ⭐☀🌟Positioning Positioning involves analyzing the current market position: - Long Positions: An increase in long positions can indicate bullish sentiment. - Short Positions: An increase in short positions can indicate bearish sentiment. ⭐☀🌟Next Trend Move Based on the analysis, the next trend move for XAU/USD is uncertain. However, if inflation concerns rise, or if there's a significant increase in bullish sentiment, gold prices could move higher. Short-Term: Bullish: $2,900-$3,000, Bearish: $2,700-$2,600 Medium-Term: Bullish: $3,200-$3,500, Bearish: $2,400-$2,200 Long-Term: Bullish: $3,800-$4,000, Bearish: $2,000-$1,800 ⭐☀🌟Overall Summary Outlook The overall summary outlook for XAU/USD is neutral. Gold prices are influenced by a complex array of factors, and the current market position is uncertain. Investors should monitor inflation concerns, interest rates, and global economic conditions to make informed decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
SAXO:XAUUSD
by Thief_Trader
US 10-year yields eyeing move towards 4.00%Previous string of ideas has been invalidated following last week's price action. The US 10-year yield completely crashed through the support at 4.40% last week following a host of strong data prints from the US coupled with a wave of risk-off investor sentiment stoked by Trump’s tariff fears which had investors rushing to the safety of US treasuries. Could Trump’s hardline tariff stance perhaps be a way to create demand for US debt? Technically the yields have now dropped into oversold territory which strengthens the support between 4.13% and 4.17% however continued volatility in the equity markets will allow the US treasury market to attract more interest which could allow for a deeper move towards the 38.2% Fibo retracement at 4.04%. The headlining events for this week is the ECB interest rate meeting and the NFPs for February. Market expectations are for the ECB to cut rates from 2.9% to 2.65%. The ECB has held a more dovish stance than the Fed since the rate cutting cycle began and if it’s more of the same on Thursday, I expect the US 10-year yield to find more demand to hold onto levels below the critical 200-day MA at 2.43%. Most of the focus will however be on the US non-farm payroll print for February. The NFPs print for January came in slightly lower than expected and another weak print on Friday will have investors question the validity of Powell’s statement that the US economy is strong and that the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates. A weak NFP print will thus be positive for the US treasury bulls.
TVC:US10Y
by Goose96
1
EURCHF Complex Correction Pattern developmentEURCHF Complex Correction Pattern development EURCHF is currently developing a complex correction, influenced by both technical and fundamental factors. Technically, it appears that EURCHF has completed the C wave down of a larger pattern, with the price now rising to complete another D wave. It remains uncertain whether the pair will move down again or if this could lead to an even larger bullish wave. After any correction, EURCHF is expected to rise to 0.9470, and potentially up to 0.9500. Be careful because EURCHF is a risky currency pair for the time being. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
1
NAS100 - Nasdaq, won't it go below 20k?!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. If the index rises towards the suggested zones, we can look for the next Nasdaq sell-off. The composition of investors’ financial assets from 1990 to 2025 reveals shifts in the allocation of equities, bonds, and cash. Currently, the share of equities in investment portfolios has reached an all-time high of 54%, indicating a growing preference for the stock market among investors. Conversely, the share of bonds and cash has declined to 18% and 13%, respectively, suggesting reduced interest in holding fixed-income assets and liquidity. At present, more than half of investors’ financial assets are concentrated in equities, which could reflect optimism about the market’s future growth. This situation calls for increased caution from the Federal Reserve and the Trump administration, as a significant portion of American households’ surplus income is now directed toward stocks. As a result, any downturn in the U.S. stock market could have more severe consequences for the public than before. Scott Bassett, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, responded to a recent survey indicating that Americans want President Donald Trump to focus more on reducing inflation. He stated that he is confident consumer price inflation in the United States will decline throughout the year. In an interview with CBS and Face the Nation, Bassett defended Trump’s economic policies, emphasizing that the president is pursuing a comprehensive approach that includes tariffs, deregulation, and a gradual reduction in energy costs. Meanwhile, following weaker-than-expected preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for February and a decline in the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index, investors are now pricing in approximately 60 basis points of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve for this year. This projection is 10 basis points higher than the forecasts from the December dot plot. Market pricing indicates that traders still expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June, particularly after the release of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data. However, with Trump ramping up tariff threats against key U.S. trading partners such as China, Canada, and Mexico, outlining a clear economic roadmap has become more challenging. Tariff impositions pose a serious risk of reigniting inflation, prompting many Federal Reserve officials who have recently expressed their views to adopt a “wait and see” approach. This week, market attention will once again turn to employment data, as investors eagerly anticipate the release of the February Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Other key events include the preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) estimates for the Eurozone and the ISM U.S. Manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP Employment Report and ISM Services PMI on Wednesday, and the weekly jobless claims data on Thursday. Additionally, the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decision on Thursday will be closely watched, with economists expecting another interest rate cut.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
GOLD may continue to fall after correction to 2876- Gold is trading in a phase of deep correction after reaching local highs. - The price formed a false breakdown of the key support level, which may indicate the liquidation of weak positions before a possible corrective growth. - The dollar index (DXY) shows growth, which puts additional pressure on gold. Liquidation and reaction - There was a longs liquidation after the double top formation, which triggered an impulsive decline. - The price tested the liquidity zone near $2852 and formed a rebound. - A return to 0.5 Fibo ($2876.8) is possible, after which big players may sell the price down again. - The area of interest of market-makers can be seen around $2852. - Potential zone for selling is $2876-$2890 area (local imbalance). - Support: $2852 (liquidity zone), $2825 (next support level). - Resistance: $2876 (0.5 Fibo), $2890-$2900 (key selling zone). - Key formations: Double top → decline → false breakdown → formation of “W”-shaped structure. Conclusion - Short-term: a pullback to $2876 is possible. - Long-term: if the price does not consolidate above $2876-$2890, the probability of the downside continuation remains high. - SMC indicates bearish control until there is a break of the structure on the higher timeframe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
1
CAKE Breakdown – Major Bearish Move Incoming?#CAKE has broken a critical support level after forming a Triangle Pattern on the 1-hour timeframe. 🔻 Key Observations: ✅ Triangle Breakdown – The price failed to sustain inside the pattern. ✅ Support Break – A major support level has been breached, confirming the bearish structure. ✅ Retest Zone – Price may retest the broken support before further decline. 🎯 Trading Plan: 🔹 Entry: Short at CMP or on a retest of support. 🔹 Target: Next support zone. 🔹 Stop-Loss: Above the retest level (tight risk management). 💡 What do you think? Will #CAKE continue its downtrend or surprise us with a reversal? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇👇 📊 Like & follow for more real-time market insights! 🚀🔥
Short
by mudusir