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Fundamental Analysis

RXRX - BIOTECH SQUEEZE PLAY RXRX - Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company that combines automation, artificial intelligence, machine learning, and in vivo validation capabilities to discover novel medicines. Consolidating since April, look left and see the explosive moves. Grab cheap long dated calls and wait for news to come out. Easy R/R. Calls swing 100% on small moves and I've got a good bit cheaply Jan 2025 calls. 9 & 10 dollar strikes. Huge opportunity here to cash in on any news or favorable Earnings Report in a few days. Short squeeze targets 10-12 dollars, manage your own risk. Will be dumping calls on impulsive move. $6 looks to be a strong bottom here, under that for any time other than a flash sale, this trade is invalid, and I won't be holding any calls. NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. TRADE YOUR PLAN!
NASDAQ:RXRXLong
by mortimerkylej
Gold breaks trend amid rising bond yieldsGold has finally buckled under pressure from rising yields and US dollar, with stocks also hit hard. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets. The precious metal has just broken its bullish trend line after failing to hold above key support at $2770. It has subsequently broken the next support seen between $2753 to $2758, an area which could now turn into resistance upon a potential re-test from below. While the long-term trend is clearly bullish, today's breakdown serves as a reminder that market can go up as well as down and that risk management should always be your number one priority in trading. In light of the breakdown and given how overbought gold is on the long term charts like the weekly and monthly, I would be more inclined now to look for bearish setups near resistance, than bullish setups near support...until such a time that those RSI overbought conditions are worked off (either thru time or price.) By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FOREXcom
1
$USGDPQQ -U.S GDP (Q3/2024)ECONOMICS:USGDPQQ 2.8% Q3/2024 source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis -The US economy expanded an annualized 2.8% in Q3 2024, below 3% in Q2 and forecasts of 3%, the advance estimate from the BEA showed. Personal spending increased at the fastest pace since Q1 2023 (3.7% vs 2.8% in Q2), boosted by a 6% surge in consumption of goods (6% vs 3%) and a robust spending on services (2.6% vs 2.7%), mostly prescription drugs, motor vehicles and parts, outpatient services and food services and accommodations. Government consumption also rose more (5% vs 3.1%), led by defense spending. In addition, the contribution from net trade was less negative (-0.56 pp vs -0.9 pp), with both exports (8.9% vs 1%) and imports (11.2% vs 7.6%) soaring, led by capital goods, excluding autos. On the other hand, private inventories dragged 0.17 pp from the growth, after adding 1.05 pp in Q2. Also, fixed investment slowed (1.3% vs 2.3%), led by a decline in structures (-4% vs 0.2%) and residential investment (-5.1% vs -2.8%). Investment in equipment however, soared (11.1% vs 9.8%).
ECONOMICS:USGDPQQ
by Mr_J__fx
$EUGDPQQ -Europe's GDP (Q3/2024) ECONOMICS:EUGDPQQ 0.4% Q3/2024 source: EUROSTAT - The Eurozone GDP expanded 0.4% on quarter in the three months to September 2024, the strongest growth rate in two years, following a 0.2% rise in Q2 and above forecasts of 0.2% The German economy expanded 0.2%, surprisingly avoiding a recession, after a downwardly revised 0.3% decline in Q2. GDP growth also quickened in France (0.4% vs 0.2% in Q2) and the Spanish economy remained robust (0.8% vs 0.8%). In addition, the Portuguese economy grew 0.2%, the same as in Q2 while the GDP in Ireland (2% vs -1%) and Austria (0.3% vs 0%) rebounded and grew faster in Lithuania (1.1% vs 0.3%). On the other hand, the Italian economy stalled, following a 0.2% rise in Q2 and Latvia remained in contraction (-0.4% vs -0.3%). Year-on-year, the Eurozone GDP expanded 0.9%, the best performance since the Q1 2023, compared to a 0.6% rise in the previous quarter and higher than forecasts of 0.8%. The ECB expects the GDP in the Eurozone to expand 0.8% this year.
ECONOMICS:EUGDPQQ
by Mr_J__fx
EURAUD SELL PROJECTIONAfter a smooth rally upward, E URAUD is primed to reverse from 1.6581 , which was our original target from the previous buy setup. This level now serves as unmitigated supply from weeks prior and aligns with the 161.8% Fib extension of the current rally. We’re planning to sell from 1.6581 down to 1.6250 , a key demand level within the broader bullish trend. Our stop-loss will be kept moderate at 1.6625, providing a solid 1:8 risk-to-reward ratio. Stay tuned here for more setups and projections!
Short
by Ieios
2
Mastercard: Set to Climb on Back of Good EarningsMastercard NYSE:MA reported its Q3 2024 earnings with several good highlights: Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS): Mastercard reported an adjusted EPS of $3.89, which surpassed the Wall Street expectations of $3.73. This indicates a strong performance in earnings per share, beating estimates by $0.16. Revenue: The company's revenue was $7.4 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $7.27 billion. This 13% year-over-year increase in revenue reflects robust growth, driven by increased consumer spending and demand for value-added services. Cross-Border Volumes: There was a significant increase in cross-border volumes by 17%, which was above the estimated growth of 16.2%. This suggests a strong recovery or growth in international transactions, possibly indicating recovery or growth in global travel and commerce. Total Purchase Volume: Mastercard reported a total purchase volume of $2.06 trillion, which was slightly above the expected $2.05 trillion, showing a solid 11% year-over-year increase. This metric underscores the company's widespread use and the health of transaction volumes processed through its network. Stock Market Reaction: Following the earnings release, Mastercard's stock saw positive movement in pre-market trading, indicating investor approval of the better-than-expected results. Strategic Insights: The earnings reflect Mastercard's successful execution of its strategy focusing on digital payment innovations, like tap on phone and contactless payments, which contribute to the growth in transaction volumes and revenue. Market Sentiment: Following the earnings release, there was a positive pre-market reaction, with MA's stock price increasing by 1.66% Future Outlook: The positive earnings and the mention of low-teens net revenue growth for Q4 suggest confidence in continued growth, driven by ongoing digital transformation trends in payment solutions globally. Stock Price Prediction: The combination of beating earnings expectations, positive market reactions, and generally favorable analyst ratings suggest that MA might continue its upward trajectory in the short term. Botom line Mastercard is not only recovering from any previous economic downturns but is also capitalizing on the shift towards digital and contactless payments, enhancing its position in the financial technology sector. The earnings beat and the positive market reaction highlight investor confidence in Mastercard's current business model and future prospects in a rapidly evolving financial landscape. Disclaimer: All content provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any investment decisions.
NYSE:MALong
by CF_444
Tech costs hurtingFollowing on from Alphabet’s better-than-expected earnings report on Tuesday evening, Microsoft and Meta Platforms were the next two ‘Magnificent Seven’ constituents to update the market. Both companies reported after last night’s close, and both managed to disappoint investors in slightly different ways. Microsoft beat expectations for both earnings and revenues. But it issued a downbeat outlook for future growth which saw the stock drop 4% in early trade. Meta also posted revenues and earnings above those forecast. But user numbers came in light and the company warned that infrastructure expenses were set to soar due to spending related to generative AI. The stock fell 5.5% on the news, but has pared some of those losses this morning. The news has put investors on edge as they await results from Apple and Amazon after tonight’s close. Other significant earnings reports are due today from Uber and Intel. Meanwhile, Merck was up over 1% after announcing solid third quarter earnings and revenues, helped by sales of its cancer drug Keytruda. Sentiment towards tech hasn’t been helped by the sell-off in Advanced Micro Computers which dropped 8% earlier this week on an earnings miss, and following a slump of 37% in Super Micro Computers after the resignation of its auditors. US stock index futures are on the backfoot this morning, led by the NASDAQ which is down 1%. This follows a negative session yesterday which saw modest losses for all the majors. On the economic data front, today sees the release of weekly Unemployment Claims together with Core PCE, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure. Back in the summer, this hit its lowest level in over three years at 2.6% year-on-year. But it has ticked up since then, which, should it do so again today, may persuade the Fed to hold off from cutting rates in December. The probability of a 25 basis point cut at next week’s meeting is unlikely to be affected, as it stands at 96%, according to the CME’s FedWatch Tool. Yesterday, the first look at Q3 GDP came in at 2.8% annualised, and below the 3.0% expected. But there was an unexpected jump in ADP Payrolls, although it is tomorrow’s official Non-Farm Payrolls which are of greater importance as far as investors are concerned. But investors look slightly rattled for now. Further bad news on tech earnings could see more shredded nerves and a tendency to sell first and ask questions later.
TRADENATIONSB:US500
by TradeNation
GBPUSD Trade Setup: 300+ Pips Rally AheadGBPUSD is poised for a strong rally with a potential upside of 300+ pips, confirmed by earlier analysis on the DXY. We’re anticipating the DXY to move down into its daily demand zone, after which it’s likely to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the Daily timeframe. This setup aligns well for a GBPUSD buy, keeping in mind that this rally is a move toward supply. Our target is set around the 1.3250 level, where we’ll be watching for bearish signals to potentially reverse the position. Also, check out my profile for a detailed EURAUD setup!
Long
by Ieios
XAUUSD: Wait for a drop before rising, target 2800Yesterday, Wednesday, the United States released the October "small non-farm" data. The ADP employment in October recorded 233,000, the largest increase since July 2023. These figures are contrary to expectations of economic slowdown after the Boeing employee strike in October and the two brutal hurricanes and attacks on the US East Coast ports. The subsequent release of the US third quarter real GDP annualized growth rate recorded 2.8%, lower than the expected and previous value of 3%. Consumer spending, which accounts for the largest share of economic activity, increased by 3.7%, the largest increase since the beginning of 2023. At the same time, data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that the initial value of the annualized quarterly rate of the core PCE price index in the third quarter of the United States rose by 2.2%, roughly in line with the Fed's goals. Spot gold continued to hit a record high, hitting the $2,790 mark during the day, but failed to get above this level. From the current point of view, 2,790 is very likely not the high point of gold, but the risk of retracement also needs to be considered. Therefore, we can't blindly be bullish, but need to wait for a retracement before considering buying
TVC:GOLDLong
by AntonyTP
1
UPDATE Bitcoin still aimed at $100,000 first target but in 2024?Bitcoin from the last update has completed the consolidation range while moving in a Falling Wedge. It has broken above the resistance now and is showing upside to come. The question arises whether we will see $100,000 this year. If greed and mania kicks in then yes it could rally. BUt where there is greed there is fear. So I don't actually think we will see $100,000 until maybe MArch 2025. It's the same concept and analysis as last time - just showing the breakout above now.
CME:BTC1!Long
by Timonrosso
Support test and possible ignition move in the EURGBP.EUR/GBP is sitting in a significant support area on the daily chart, marked by a descending trendline (which was broken in yesterday’s candle) and a horizontal level of support that comes all the way from 2022. Below are some key points about the pair at the moment: Horizontal Support at Lowest time since 2022: The orange line on the chart marks a critical support area, coinciding with the lowest price recorded since 2022. This horizontal support suggests a strong turning point where sellers seem to be losing steam, which could indicate a possible reversal if the price remains above this level. Bullish Engulfing Pattern: On September 30, in the daily chart a Bullish Engulfing pattern has recently formed after the price touched the support area. This pattern, characterized by a bullish candle completely engulfing the previous bearish candle, signals renewed interest from buyers and potential bullish momentum in the coming days Break of downtrend line: On September 30th, EURGBP showed the beginning of a break of a downtrend line that has been in place since August 8th. This also indicates a potential increase in buying interest in this region. Fibonacci Levels as Potential Targets: The 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels stand out as potential targets for an upward correction. The red zone near the 0.5 level (around 0.8460) is an important resistance point, which could serve as a target if the price maintains its recovery. Resistance and Support: The orange line at the 0.8339 level represents a critical support zone. On the other hand, the region near 0.8460 (0.5 Fibonacci level) is a potential resistance and target for buyers if the bullish momentum continues. Considering these factors, an upward move could occur if the price remains above the support, with a possible target for levels near 0.8460. Alternatively, a break below the horizontal support and the descending trendline could trigger renewed selling pressure, driving the price to lower levels. Watch for NonFarm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday: Traders interested in EUR/GBP should also keep an eye on the upcoming US NonFarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which is due out on Friday, November 1. This economic indicator affects the dollar directly, but it can also impact global market sentiment, influencing pairs such as EUR/GBP. A strong NFP reading could lead to an overall strengthening of the dollar, which could indirectly affect the euro and pound, while a weak reading could have the opposite effect. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested.
Long
by Marketscom
Can a Tech Giant Redefine the Future of Enterprise Computing?In an era where technology companies rise and fall with stunning rapidity, Dell Technologies has orchestrated a remarkable transformation that challenges conventional wisdom about legacy tech companies. The company's strategic positioning in the hybrid cloud market, coupled with recent market disruptions affecting competitors like Super Micro Computer, has created an unprecedented opportunity for Dell to reshape the enterprise computing landscape. Dell's masterful execution of its hybrid cloud strategy, particularly through its groundbreaking partnership with Nutanix, demonstrates the power of strategic evolution. The integration of PowerFlex software-defined storage and the introduction of the XC Plus appliance represent more than mere product innovations—they exemplify a deeper understanding of how enterprise computing needs are fundamentally changing. This transformation is particularly evident in regions like Saudi Arabia, where Dell's two-decade presence has evolved into a catalyst for technological advancement and digital transformation. The financial markets have begun to recognize this shifting dynamic, as reflected in Dell's impressive 38% year-over-year growth in infrastructure solutions revenue. However, the true significance lies not in the numbers alone, but in what they represent: a traditional hardware company successfully pivoting to meet the complex demands of the AI era while maintaining its core strengths in enterprise computing. For investors and industry observers alike, Dell's journey presents a compelling case study in how established tech giants can not only survive but thrive in an era of rapid technological change.
NYSE:DELLLong
by signalmastermind
XAUUSD: 31/10 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2800, support below 2739 Four-hour resistance 2800, support below 2772 Gold operation suggestions: From the current market trend, we will rely on the 4-hour level support to arrange long orders. The support below is near the 2772 line. Focus on the previous daily level suppression to the current support 2740 line. We will look for opportunities to arrange long orders when we step back. In the middle position, we will watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. BUY:2772near SL:2769 BUY:2750near SL:2747 BUY:2740near SL:2737 The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
U.S. Bancorp Buy opportunity setting upU.S. Bancorp is a financial service holding company. The Company’s major lines of business are Wealth, Corporate, Commercial and Institutional Banking, Consumer and Business Banking, Payment Services, and Treasury and Corporate Support. The Company provides a range of financial services, including lending and depository services, cash management, capital markets, and trust and investment management services FUNDAMENTAL METRICS Exchange- New York stock exchange Market capitalization- $75.73B Basic EPS- $3.27 Total Net revenue- $28.1B Net Income- $5.4B Average common shares outstanding- 1.5B Total assets- $663B Deposits- $512B Provision for credit losses -$2.3B Dividends declared per share- $1.93 Financial metrics as at year ended Dec 31, 2023, Market cap as per 24.10.2024 Q4 EARNINGS SUMMARY (Date of release 16.10.2024) (Next report date Jan 16,2025) 1. Net income of $1,714 million and diluted earnings per common share of $1.03. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 1.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 4.5%. 2. There shall be a share buy back program of $5 billion. 3. The bank is focused on organic growth & broadening their reach. Not interested in mergers & Acquisitions currently. The bank's latest large investment was the acquisition of Union Bank, which closed in December 2022. This meaningfully expanded its presence in California. 4. Net revenue of $6,864 million, including $4,166 million of net interest income on a taxable-equivalent basis 5. Noninterest income of $2,817 million driven by year-over-year increases in: i. Commercial products revenue of 12.1% ii. Trust and investment management fees of 6.4% iii. Payment services revenue of 3.1% iv. Mortgage banking revenue of 7.6% 6. Non-interest expenses dropped by 1% compared to last year, but increased slightly by 0.4% compared to the last quarter, when accounting for previous notable expenses. 7. The bank's return on common equity was 17.9%, return on assets was 1.03%, and efficiency ratio was 60.2%. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS RULES 1. Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data) 2. Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- Corrective flag forming 3. Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- MACD 0 crossover to signal buys 4. Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- highlighted 5. Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target price $67.35 (top of bigger correction) Look for the trade on lower timeframe by identifying impulses & correction as shown Recommendation: Buy price range: $44.8- $48 Target price: $67 Top Shareholders The Vanguard group- 8.64% BlackRock Institutional Trust Company- 4.85% State Street Global Advisors- 4.26% MUFG Bank- 4.22% Charles Schwab Investment managers- 2.92% Fidelity Management- 2.66%
Editors' picks
NYSE:USBLong
by thesharkke
8
ETHEREUM is 1.1 TRILLION DOLLARS less valuable than BITCOINor -78% The flippening was a common narrative. ETH as hard money was also a narrative - in reality only when gas is exorbitant. ETH as a world computer was the early narrative. Bitcoin deserves it entry on to the world stage cycle. ETH can become a 1 Trillion dollar + network. Sharding and splintering of the network effects of the mainet clearly is not value creating. Splitting of communities and economic energy was the result. Solana flippening is a good narrative that we are following this cycle. Coins are the product of these smart contract platforms. At the moment the best coin factory is SOL. BTC is scarce. No coins are allowed to be created on it's. The Bitcoin forks had the stink of a founder, a human attached to it's network ... not what capital allocators. They wanted a autonomous network that runs by itself and ossificatoin of the code. A complicated spaghetti bowl of code that the core dev team refuse to tinker with. The results is clear at this point in time.
CRYPTOCAP:ETHLong
by BallaJi
2
US Dollar Trends:Navigating the Supply Area and Market SentimentAs the trading week began on Monday, the US Dollar (DXY) found itself testing a significant supply area, leading to a period of consolidation within a tight range. This move comes on the heels of disappointing Durable Goods orders data, which has sparked bearish sentiment among traders, prompting a downward shift in the Greenback's value. The Impact of Economic Data The recent Durable Goods orders report fell short of expectations, raising concerns about the resilience of the US economy. Such data often serves as a barometer for economic health, influencing traders' decisions and market dynamics. With this disappointing figure, traders have been quick to react, driving the dollar lower as they reassess their positions. Analyzing Market Sentiment The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a telling shift in market sentiment. Retail traders appear to be holding long positions on the dollar, while institutional investors—often referred to as "smart money"—are beginning to accumulate bearish positions. This divergence in sentiment raises an essential question: is there an impending reversal in the dollar's trend? Timing the Market Timing becomes crucial in a market characterized by conflicting signals. While the COT report indicates a potential shift, it’s essential to identify the right entry points. Many analysts believe the DXY could experience another bullish impulse before any significant decline materializes. This potential upward movement may serve to "trap" sellers who have positioned themselves in anticipation of a downturn. Seasonal Patterns and Technical Analysis Adding to the complexity of this scenario is the emergence of a seasonal bearish pattern indicated by forecasters. Seasonal trends often play a critical role in currency movements, and traders must remain vigilant to these patterns when planning their strategies. In conjunction with this seasonal insight, technical analysis reveals a rectangle pattern on the chart, which suggests a defined range of support and resistance levels. Traders are advised to look for entry opportunities within this range, where the likelihood of a price breakout is heightened. Conclusion In conclusion, as the US Dollar navigates this crucial supply area amidst mixed signals from market participants, traders must approach their strategies with caution. Monitoring economic indicators, understanding market sentiment shifts, and analyzing technical patterns will be pivotal in making informed trading decisions. The current environment presents both challenges and opportunities, and identifying the right entry point could be the key to capitalizing on potential market movements. As we move forward, it will be interesting to see how these dynamics play out. What are your thoughts on the current market conditions, and where do you see the DXY heading next?
TVC:DXY
by FOREXN1
1