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Fundamental Analysis

Gold trend under panicRecently, gold price fluctuations have significantly increased, and the decline in risk appetite in the global financial market has driven funds to safe-haven assets. As various assets are sold off, although gold has shown resistance to declines, it has frequently experienced violent fluctuations during the trading session - a rapid rebound after a sharp drop has become the norm, and the daily fluctuation often reaches more than 20 US dollars. The current market environment is complex, with geopolitical situations, economic data and emotional games intertwined. The main funds are taking advantage of the situation to wash the market, and the difficulty of short-term trading has increased. From a technical point of view, the gold price is in a short-term range shock pattern, with upper resistance at 3025-3030 and lower support at 2972-2963. The key defense line of 2963 cannot be lost. If it falls below this position, it may trigger further downside risks. Strategically, it is recommended to adopt the idea of ​​"high-altitude and low-multiple": try short with a light position when approaching the resistance level, short-term long after stepping back to the support level and stabilizing, and strictly set stop losses to prevent extreme fluctuations. It is worth noting that if the price effectively breaks through 3055, it means that the previous adjustment has ended, and the subsequent upward trend may restart. Gold strategy: Buy when it falls back to around 2980-2975, target 3005
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HarveyAckerman
$75K BIT COIN: ReboundSo, since my last forecast we've finally after a few weeks reached the $75K mark. Is the bloodshed over? No. Price is respecting areas where pivots happens based on the data thus far it is moving in a sellers market profile since it made its sharp decline on entering February 2025. At the end of February it was confirmed with the selloff that took it down to$78K and has a sharp bounce reaction as the buyers were getting squeezed the pressure was on there was profit taking also causing a selloff ripple effect. Now finally having just tapped below $75K and briefly bounced, is the nightmare over? Based on the economic outlook my take is, we're not done with down momentum. I would expect price to dabble inside the two black horizontal lines and try to balance itself in this area $70-$65K. But that doesn't mean it cannot continue to bomb dive to a psychological price level $50K which makes total sense after hitting $100K. Understand that all other coins have lost nearly or more of their value. If you were on the sidelines and cashed out at the highs consider yourself smart or lucky or both-- that was a good move. But are you considering buying at what some consider this to be a 'discount selloff' to buy the dip and HODL once more for a return to ATH? Crypto tends to do its run during Fall/Winder. Is it smart to buy now or wait more mid-summer to start loading up the boat? What are your thoughts!
B
by nightdrive
USD collapse The proposed withholding tax for foreign investors in bonds by Trump’s economic chief could negatively affect both the U.S. dollar and the stock market by reducing demand for USTs, raising bond yields, and accelerating de-dollarization. The dollar might weaken modestly, and U.S. stocks could face a correction, particularly in growth sectors sensitive to rising interest rates. However, the dollar’s reserve status and the resilience of U.S. markets suggest that a catastrophic collapse is unlikely. The real risk lies in how foreign investors and global markets react—if they perceive this as a hostile move, the fallout could be more severe.
TVC:DXYShort
by WagsCapital
Will the support zone keep BTC falling?BTC has once again bounced off the upper border of the downtrend channel. Here, it is worth remembering the long-formed gap around $74,500, which was closed during the last decline. Here, you can see how the price fell into a strong support zone from $77,742 to $73,980, but if this zone is broken, we can again see a strong decline around also very strong resistance and the lower border of the channel at $68,590. Looking the other way, you can see that the increases were stopped by the resistance zone from $84,000 to $86,700, only breaking out of this zone at the top will give the possibility of growth towards strong resistance at $94,300. The RSI is still in the lower part of the range and is again heading towards the lower borders, but here the price has formed a lower low, which can still give another reaction.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
DOGE Weekly Chart: Retracement to Key Supply Zone in FocusCRYPTOCAP:DOGE is currently showing signs of potential retracement on the weekly chart, targeting a previous supply zone as a pivotal area for its next major move. This level aligns with a longer-term bullish outlook, presenting an opportunity for accumulation if the retracement holds. The primary price target for this setup is $42.0, contingent on a confirmed bounce from the supply zone and sustained momentum. Traders should monitor volume and overall market sentiment as DOGE approaches this critical zone, as it could indicate the strength of a potential reversal or continuation. BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
by oscar22jz
3
DJT Rollercoaster TheoryHello friends. DJT is Trump's stock. It has sold off recently due to falling interest from retail traders and the recent tariff shitshow. But Trump is still the president and is a very good attention whore like Elon Musk, which brings value to shareholders in his otherwise worthless company. We are expecting that a low will come in at around $14.50, and then an echo bubble narrative will emerge as Republicans decide it's a good investment and become the next wave of exit liquidity. For this stock, a stop loss is important as it cannot be considered a long term investment. So I have stops around the lows.
NASDAQ:DJTLong
by bowtrix
$100 Target for DHINYSE:DHI Given the already weak market, the housing market has been experiencing a decline in revenues for the past two quarters more specifically DR Horton and Lennar. This stock ahs been propped up for some time, however, I believe we will start to see major flushes before the 10 year yield starts to go down to anywhere between 3-3.5% with which I believe we will start to see a nice bounce in housing stocks. I am in May 2 EXP. Puts long at an average of $1.15 and April 17 EXP. Puts long at $0.90. My preference is to take profit on the 16th for my April puts due to Earnings report on the 17th and take off half of my position on the May Puts as well. Leave the runners on up until week of expiry for the remaining May Puts.
NYSE:DHIShort
by StacksTradingLLC
2
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – April 8, 2025“Goldie’s mood swings: from drama queen to calculated killer.” Gold decided to throw a tantrum after NFP and play peek-a-boo with everyone’s SL. But beneath the chaos lies structure—and we speak structure fluently. Let’s map this battlefield with sniper entries and cold logic. No guessing, just high confluence. 📌 Macro Context 🏛️ Geopolitical: Israel-Iran tensions still simmering. Headlines = spikes. Stay nimble. 💰 Fundamentals: Stronger USD post-NFP; Fed tone remains hawkish. 🔍 Technical Environment: H1/H4 break of bullish structure D1 printed a brutal engulfing candle EMA 5/21/50 all pointing down on M30–H1, kissing goodbye to bullish hopes (for now) “The spike was no accident. Smart money never sleeps.” 📉 Bias: Bearish intraday flow under OB 2980–3000 🔻 SELL SETUPS 🟥 SELL SETUP 1 – OB Rejection Sniper 📍 Entry: 2995–3000 🧠 Why: H1 valid OB + imbalance + bearish CHoCH on M5 🎯 TP1: 2960 🎯 TP2: 2915 🛑 SL: 3008 💬 Classic OB rejection. Look for a wick grab then drop on LTF. 🟥 SELL SETUP 2 – Stop Hunt Pop 📍 Entry: 3010–3015 🧠 Why: Liquidity sweep above 3000, into bearish FVG zone 🎯 TP1: 2975 🎯 TP2: 2940 🛑 SL: 3019 💡 Ideal on a fast pump, then M1 bearish structure shift confirmation. 🟥 SELL SETUP 3 – EMA50 Tap & Fade 📍 Entry: 3035–3040 🧠 Why: Confluence of bearish trendline retest + EMA50 (H1) 🎯 TP1: 2990 🎯 TP2: 2950 🛑 SL: 3046 🎯 Catch the fakeout bounce. Risk defined. Trend respected. 🟩 BUY SETUPS 🟩 BUY SETUP 1 – Deep Discount Bounce 📍 Entry: 2945–2955 🧠 Why: M30 OB + unmitigated FVG + 0.618 FIB 🎯 TP1: 2990 🎯 TP2: 3030 🛑 SL: 2938 💬 Only valid if 2960 gets flushed cleanly with momentum shift. 🟩 BUY SETUP 2 – Retest of Previous Demand 📍 Entry: 2905–2915 🧠 Why: Unmitigated H4 OB zone + previous bounce structure 🎯 TP1: 2960 🎯 TP2: 3000 🛑 SL: 2895 📈 Take this if we get heavy stop hunts early and DXY slows. 🟩 BUY SETUP 3 – Extreme Demand Sweep 📍 Entry: 2885–2895 🧠 Why: HTF demand zone + psychological 2900 + imbalance 🎯 TP1: 2950 🎯 TP2: 2980 🛑 SL: 2878 🧠 Perfect for the brave — sniper only on strong bounce confirmation (M5). ⚔️ Key Levels Recap: 🔸 3000–2980: Valid OB resistance zone 🔸 2960–2950: Discount reaction base 🔸 2915 / 2890: Deeper liquidity zones 🔸 3045: SL invalidation on bearish bias 🔸 2880: Final demand for aggressive longs 🧠 Strategy Notes: Watch for manipulation moves into OB or imbalance before taking entries. Wait for CHoCH or PA confirmation on M1–M5 before executing. Don’t chase — sniper setups only. 💬 "Goldie might be emotional, but our setups aren’t." 🗣️ Let’s grow together! 🔥 If this sniper plan gave you clarity, drop a like & follow on TradingView 💬 Let’s grow a strong trading community built on structure, not signals. Stay sharp & stay kind, legends! 💛 📌 No guessing. No chasing. Just smart money and structure.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
5
Apparatchik Trump Says 'No.. More Pain' Ahead of Amazon EarningsPresident Trump's new tariffs have had a significant negative impact on Amazon's stock performance, revenue, and earnings, primarily due to increased costs and supply chain disruptions. Here below is a detailed analysis of these effects. Impact on Amazon's Stock Performance Amazon's stock has seen substantial declines following the announcement of Trump's tariff plan. The company's shares dropped nearly 7% within two days of the announcement and are down nearly 21% year-to-date. These tariffs have exacerbated existing challenges for Amazon, which was already struggling in early 2025 with a 13% decline in stock value during the first quarter. The broader market also suffered, with technology stocks experiencing sharp declines as investors reacted to fears of higher costs and inflation. Revenue Challenges Amazon's reliance on Chinese suppliers for merchandise has made it particularly vulnerable to the newly imposed tariffs. Over 50% of Amazon's top third-party sellers are based in China, and many of their products are subject to hefty import taxes, including a 34% tariff on Chinese goods. These tariffs increase landed costs for a significant portion of Amazon's inventory, forcing sellers to either absorb the additional expenses or pass them on to consumers through higher prices. This could lead to reduced consumer demand, as higher prices may deter shoppers from purchasing goods on Amazon's platform. Additionally, the elimination of duty exemptions on minor imports—previously advantageous for discount platforms such as Temu and Shein—has disrupted Amazon's competitive pricing strategy. While this change may level the playing field among e-commerce platforms, it also raises operational costs for Amazon's marketplace vendors who had relied on these exemptions. Earnings Pressure The tariffs are projected to slash Amazon's annual operating profits by $5 billion to $10 billion due to increased merchandise costs. Goldman Sachs estimates that these costs could rise by 15% to 20%, further straining profitability. While Amazon has historically maintained lower prices compared to competitors, absorbing these increased expenses without raising prices significantly may be unsustainable in the long term. Moreover, fears of inflation resurgence due to Trump's trade policies could further dampen consumer purchasing power. This would likely lead to lower sales volumes and additional pressure on profit margins across Amazon's retail operations. Potential Mitigation Strategies To counteract these challenges, Amazon may implement several measures: Vendor Negotiations. The company could negotiate with suppliers to share the burden of increased input costs rather than bearing them entirely. Price Adjustments. Selective price increases on certain products may help offset rising costs without alienating customers entirely. Supply Chain Diversification. Shifting sourcing away from heavily tariffed regions like China or focusing more on domestic suppliers could reduce exposure to trade disruptions. Focus on Services. Amazon’s cloud division, AWS, contributes significantly to its operating income (58% in Q4 2024) and remains largely unaffected by tariffs. Increased emphasis on AWS could help mitigate losses from retail operations. Technical challenge The main technical graph indicates on Bearish market in development, with nearly 30% potential to further decline, down to major 10-year average support. Conclusion Trump’s tariffs have created substantial headwinds for Amazon by driving up costs and disrupting its supply chain. These challenges have led to stock declines, reduced revenue potential, and significant earnings pressure. While Amazon is exploring mitigation strategies such as vendor negotiations and diversification, the long-term impact will depend on how effectively the company adapts its operations amidst ongoing trade tensions. -- Best 'Apparatchik' wishes, PandorraResearch Team 😎
NASDAQ:AMZN
by PandorraResearch
#XRPUSDT: Bullish Reversal Coming With Price Heading Back To 3.5## XRPUSDT Analysis: Long-Term Perspective In the long term, we anticipate the XRPUSDT price to revert to its all-time high of 3.5. From a fundamental analysis standpoint, we maintain a positive outlook, with the potential for the price to surpass 3.5. We have identified a favourable trading opportunity, as illustrated in the chart. Our approach is neutral, as the trend remains undecided. Based on the duration of your positions, you can set two targets: 1. **Short-Term Target:** If you intend to hold your positions for a short period, aim for a price level above 3.5. 2. **Long-Term Target:** For long-term investors, a target price of 4.0 or higher is plausible. We are committed to providing comprehensive analysis and support. Should you have any inquiries or require further clarification, please do not hesitate to contact us. Additionally, we would appreciate your insights on which cryptocurrency pair you would like to explore next. Regards, Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
11
Update! 1st Quarter Nigerian Share Picks for 2025 (DEC30-MAR31)We analyzed the price movement of 17 publicly listed company shares, comparing their old prices by Dec30th with new prices by end of quarter. This comparison reveals how each stock performed over the given period and helps assess the general market sentiment across this portfolio. Statistical Summary Total companies analyzed: 17 Number of gainers (price increased): 10 Number of losers (price decreased): 7 Average percentage change: ➕ 13.76% This average suggests a bullish trend within the portfolio, despite a few significant under-performers. 🟢 Top Gainers SCOA +117.48% Massive rally – more than doubled in price. Could be due to investor speculation or positive corporate news. UPDC +69.62% Strong recovery or rebound stock. Possibly tied to sector trends or earnings. NASCON +34.84% Solid upward move, indicating strong market confidence. MULTIVERSI +29.10% Significant growth, possibly attracting retail investors. MTNN +17.88% Strong performance for a blue-chip telecom stock. GUINNESS +13.87% Good recovery in consumer goods. STANBIC +7.64% Moderate and steady gain. THOMASWY +7.56% Slight bounce, could be early recovery. DANGCEM +0.25% Flat movement, possibly in consolidation. NB +0.47% Barely moved, suggesting price stability. 🔴 Top Losers OMATEK -13.43% Notable drop – could signal weak fundamentals or low investor interest. FTNCOCOA -11.67% Decline may reflect volatility in agricultural commodities. BUACEMENT -10.00% Unexpected drop for an industrial giant; may relate to earnings or sector news. FBNH -10.46% A surprising dip for a major bank; profit-taking or macro concerns. DAARCOMM -4.76% Mild loss, potentially sector-related. DANGSUGAR -6.60% Slight underperformance in the consumer space. CHAMS -7.50% Small cap volatility – typical in tech or service stocks. KEY TAKEAWAY Overall trend: The average gain of 13.76% indicates that investor sentiment was generally positive across portfolio. - Volatility: Stocks like SCOA and UPDC experienced massive swings, showing high volatility and possibly speculative trading activity. - Sector winners: Consumer goods (e.g., NASCON, GUINNESS), real estate (UPDC), and telecom (MTNN) showed strength. - Sector losers: Some financial (FBNH) and industrial (BUACEMENT) stocks underperformed, hinting at potential profit-taking or sectoral headwinds. RECOMMENDATION: Monitor Consistency: Stocks with mild or flat movements (like NB and DANGCEM) may indicate stability or a base for future rallies. Diversify Holdings: Given the volatility, ensure sector diversification to mitigate risk.
NSENG:ASI
by Ifiok-2sydes
#VOXELUSDT is in an uncertain zone📊 BYBIT:VOXELUSDT.P Scenario – Potential for Movement in Both Directions! 🚀 BYBIT:VOXELUSDT.P is forming a bullish Falling Wedge pattern — a breakout to the upside could provide a great risk/reward long opportunity! At the current stage, the BYBIT:VOXELUSDT.P market is shaping a scenario where both directions — long or short — are possible, depending on the reaction to key levels. ✅ Overview ➡️ The chart shows two key formations:  🔻 Bearish Pennant – a bearish continuation pattern, which has already played out to the downside.  🔻 Falling Wedge – a potentially bullish pattern, and price is now near the lower boundary of the wedge. ➡️ A weak bounce on volume is visible, and price is approaching a key resistance zone — a potential target if the wedge breaks out upward. ➡️ If the wedge plays out, a bullish impulse is expected. Timeframe: 1H 📈 LONG BYBIT:VOXELUSDT.P from $0.03406 🛡 Stop loss: $0.03322 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $0.03456 💎 TP 2: $0.03526 💎 TP 3: $0.03586 ➡️ This scenario becomes viable if price breaks and consolidates above the $0.03126–$0.03200 zone, opening the path toward the POC zone at $0.03676. ➡️ Volume should increase on the breakout to confirm momentum. 📉 SHORT #VOXELUSDT from $0.03016 🛡 Stop loss: $0.03126 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $0.02960 💎 TP 2: $0.02900 💎 TP 3: $0.02860 ➡️ This scenario activates if the price fails to rise and pulls back below $0.03000. ➡️ Volume should confirm seller pressure. ➡️ The chart shows lower highs — risk of further decline remains. 📍 The price is currently in a critical decision zone , between the short entry level and the potential breakout zone for a long. 📍 The support below is strong — it has held the price several times already. No clean breakdown has occurred yet, which increases the chances of the wedge breaking upward. 📍 Avoid rushing into a position — wait for a clear confirmation in either direction (e.g., strong impulse on volume and consolidation above/below key levels). 📢 General advice on this asset: 📢 Wait for direction confirmation — both long and short setups are valid. 📢 Stay flexible and adjust to the move. 📢 Manage your risk carefully — do not enter without a signal. 🚀 BYBIT:VOXELUSDT.P is in an uncertain zone — the signal could play out in either direction. Watch the key levels and enter only after confirmation!
by MoriartyTrading
#US30 – Bearish Breakdown from Rectangle Pattern | 1D AnalysisThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has completed a breakdown from a rectangle consolidation pattern, signaling a potential bearish continuation. The index is currently trading around 41,790, with downside momentum increasing. Technical Analysis: Rectangle Pattern Breakout – Bearish continuation after range-bound movement Double Top Formation – Confirmed rejection near 45,000 resistance Projected Target: 38,000 (as per the pattern breakdown) Immediate Resistance: 42,000 - 43,200 Fundamental Outlook: Market sentiment affected by interest rate policy & economic uncertainty Weak earnings reports and recession fears could add further downside pressure If DJIA remains below resistance, we could see further declines toward 38,000. However, a break back above 43,200 could invalidate the bearish setup. Watch for volume confirmation and macroeconomic developments!
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by Gold_Traders_Team
Solana vs. Ethereum: Why Investors Are Turning to Solana in 2025In recent months, a growing shift in sentiment has been observed among crypto investors: many are increasingly eyeing Solana (SOL) as a strong alternative to Ethereum (ETH). The comparison chart above, plotting Solana’s price action alongside Ethereum's, reveals that despite ETH retracing back to October 2023 levels, SOL is still holding higher support zones—a sign of relative strength and growing market confidence. But why exactly is Solana capturing investor attention more than Ethereum in 2025? Let’s dive into the technical, fundamental, and sentiment-driven reasons behind this evolving preference. ___________________ 📊 Technical Outlook: Solana Holding Strong Ethereum (red line) has dropped back to its October 2023 price levels (~$1500), reflecting a broader altcoin weakness. Solana, on the other hand, is still trading above $100, even though the macro market has turned bearish. SOL has tested and respected the long-term ascending trendline that began in early 2023, while holding above a key horizontal support near $68–$82. This divergence in structure suggests stronger buy-side interest and support zones forming on Solana, while Ethereum appears to be losing momentum. ___________________ 🧬 Fundamental Comparison: Solana vs. Ethereum Solana’s technical design gives it a speed and cost edge that appeals to users and developers building consumer-facing applications like NFTs, GameFi, and micro-transactions. Ethereum remains the institutional and DeFi heavyweight, but it’s starting to feel the pressure of competition in usability and scalability. ___________________ 💬 Investor Sentiment: What’s Driving the Shift? User Experience Solana offers near-instant confirmation and negligible fees, making it ideal for gaming, NFTs, and mainstream use cases. Ethereum's scaling solution rollouts are still clunky and fragmented (Layer 2s like Arbitrum, Optimism, etc.), creating friction. Vibrant Ecosystem Growth Solana’s ecosystem is experiencing a boom in dApps, especially with high-profile launches like Jupiter, Marinade, and Phantom wallet integration. The mobile-first approach (Saga phone initiative) and deeper ties with consumer apps are also pushing adoption. Performance During Market Pullbacks As seen in the chart, SOL is showing relative strength during market corrections, indicating long-term accumulation rather than panic selling. Narrative Momentum The "ETH killer" narrative has found new life with Solana's resurgence. While Ethereum focuses on L2 scaling and abstract complexity, Solana is betting on a simpler, high-performance monolithic chain.
by melikatrader94
9
Is Trump Intentionally Crashing the Econ?I want to preface this by saying I'm a TA and this is just dinner table chat as far as I am concerned. I've no interest what-so-ever in why a market moves. All the money is made based on how it moves- and the TA is working great for that. Just sharing a theory that is floating about (It's not mine). The idea is Trump is intentionally crashing the markets in an attempt to reduce the debt burden on the US. This would work by this sequence of events; 1 - Markets crash. Making people who care about their money anxious and less eager to take risk in the stocks (etc) markets. 2 - This money moves to bonds. Pushing bond prices up. Rising bond prices push interest rates down. So crashing the econ can lead to lower interest rates. 3 - At a lower interest rate (say 2%) the US can refi its debt. Inside of this theory, everything we're seeing is part of a calculated plan to, literally, force stocks lower.
SP:SPXShort
by holeyprofit
23
Market Psychology in Action — What to Expect This MonthGuys, keep in mind — this is a forecast for the coming month. Don’t treat it like a short-term play. It’s all about "timing and sequence". (Please support it by clicking the rocket icon. These are important thoughts the whole community should see. Let’s make sure they don’t go unnoticed. Thanks for being here!) Here’s what to watch: 1️⃣ As soon as the first countries start negotiating with Trump — it will signal the beginning of a new growth phase. 2️⃣ But Trump won’t start negotiating until after the Fed announces the interest rate. 3️⃣ If the rate turns out to be "acceptable" in Trump’s eyes — expect him to follow up with public announcements about progress in tariff talks. This isn’t a theory — it’s based on personal experience and how Trump plays the psychological game with markets. The key here is "market psychology" — and right now, the setup is building beneath the surface. 📌 Stay sharp. Be patient. The dominoes will start falling soon. — Alex
by RobertAIss