Fundamental Analysis
ADA ANALYSIS🚀#ADA Analysis :
🔮As we can see in the chart of #ADA that there is a formation of Descending Channel Pattern. #ADA is consolidating in a parallel channel.... currently waiting for breakout the pattern. It is trading above its major support zone and there maybe a small retest towards support zone and after that we will see a bullish move📈📈
🔰Current Price: $0.7650
🎯 Target Price: $0.9440
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #ADA price action. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#ADA #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
BOJ Ueda throws cold water on Yen | FX ResearchInvestors have been less and less affected by President Trump's talk on trade, something that has helped to bolster risk appetite and open a wave of US dollar outflows. Currencies and broader risk markets have also been feeling better about a possible peace deal between Russia and Ukraine, though clearly, there's still a lot more work that needs to get done here.
There have been some out there talking of dollar weakness also coming from the dollar bearish implications of a US sovereign wealth fund that would invest in global assets and diversify away from the US dollar.
Moving on, today's weakness in the yen is notable as it comes after Japan inflation data was hotter than expected, which should have generated yen demand. Yet, it was the BOJ governor who threw cold water on the yen after saying the central bank stood ready to increase government bond buying if long-term interest rates rose sharply.
Elsewhere, Aussie PMI data ticked up, adding to the case for no more RBA rate cuts, which helped to extend Aussie's run to a fresh yearly high against the buck.
Looking ahead, we get UK retail sales, German, Eurozone, and UK manufacturing PMI data, Canada retail sales, US existing home sales, Michigan sentiment, and some Fed commentary.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
Realty Income (O) – Earnings Week Setup!Realty Income is a real estate investment trust (REIT) known for its monthly dividends and a strong portfolio of commercial properties. The company leases to well-established businesses across different sectors, making it a popular choice for income-focused investors. With earnings coming up this week, we are watching for potential price movement based on the technical setup.
🔹 Key reasons for a potential move up:
✅ Strong demand area around $52 has held well, leading to a solid bounce.
✅ Price is approaching a key resistance at $58, which if broken, could lead to a further rally.
✅ Market sentiment around earnings could act as a catalyst for continuation.
🎯 Targets:
📌 $59 (+3.4%)
📌 $61 (+6.9%)
📌 $64 (+12.1%)
If we see a clean breakout above $58, we could see price moving towards these targets in the coming sessions.
Not financial advice.
EURUSD’s zone of interest after German election Polls have now closed in Germany’s parliamentary elections.
Exit polls indicate Friedrich Merz’s center-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) has secured a clear victory, positioning him as Germany’s next chancellor.
The far-right AfD is projected to achieve its best result yet, currently in second place with 20.2%, nearly doubling its 2021 support. However, the Bundestag’s composition remains uncertain, and Merz has ruled out cooperation with the AfD.
Prolonged coalition talks could lead to a government divided on economic recovery and international policy, which could be bearish for the euro. With this in mind, the 61.8% to 50.0% Fibonacci zone could be an area of interest (to begin with at least), which coincides with flattening longer moving averages.
Nat Gas Pre-Open Idea: 2/23/24The Us models trended 9 HDD warmer while the Euro trended a whopping 18 HDD warmer. Weather models have trended perfectly for the new week and roll over set up. Expecting a sizable gap lower today, with models losing double digit GWDD for the 15 day period. Roll over Tuesday afternoon, HH Spot below $4 again and heading lower today. Looking as planned. Production has bounced back up nicely from after a week of frozen ground. Although the only bullish catalyst is LNG production is above 16 BCF/d for the third straight day. Idea will be post after opening tonight. No change on an ideas that I have posted from the past week.
The Crypto Market’s True PowerLet’s shift focus from price volatility to the foundational driver of crypto’s value: network effects. While traditional markets rely on centralized moats (e.g., Facebook’s user base, Visa’s payment rails), crypto’s network effects are decentralized, programmable, and inherently disruptive. This isn’t just theory, it’s a blueprint for identifying asymmetric opportunities.
The Strategic Depth of Network Effects:
- Bitcoin’s Security Flywheel: Metcalfe’s Law quantifies network value as the square of its users, but Bitcoin adds a critical layer: security. Each incremental miner strengthens its Proof-of-Work consensus, exponentially raising the cost of a 51% attack. This isn’t adoption, it’s antifragility.
- Ethereum’s Developer Ecosystem: Ethereum’s dominance isn’t rooted in first-mover advantage alone. Its network effect hinges on developer density. Every new dApp (Uniswap, Aave) attracts liquidity, users, and complementary protocols, creating a self-reinforcing ecosystem. Traditional platforms can’t replicate this composability.
The Uncharted Risk-Reward Dynamic:
- Forks as Network Experiments: Unlike closed systems, crypto’s open-source code allows forks (e.g., Ethereum Classic, Bitcoin Cash) to test value divergence. This isn’t fragmentation, it’s Darwinian market validation.
- Protocol Upgrades as Catalysts: Events like Ethereum’s Merge recalibrate incentives overnight. Leaders must monitor developer momentum and governance alignment; missteps here aren’t setbacks, they’re existential threats.
Why This Matters: Network effects in crypto aren’t linear, they’re recursive. Prioritize ecosystems where liquidity, developer activity, and user growth compound. These are the battlegrounds where 10x returns emerge.
🛠️ Interoperability: The Strategic Race to Unify Crypto’s Fragmented Landscape
The future of blockchain isn’t monocultural, it’s a multi-chain ecosystem. However, interoperability remains crypto’s Gordian Knot. Solving it isn’t technical minutiae; it’s a trillion-dollar opportunity.
The Strategic Challenge:
- Siloed Blockchains = Friction: Bridging assets between chains remains fraught with risk (e.g., Wormhole’s $320M exploit). This isn’t a UX problem, it’s a structural barrier to institutional adoption.
- The Stakes: Interoperability is TCP/IP for Web3. The protocol that standardizes cross-chain communication will capture the foundational layer of crypto’s value stack.
The Contenders:
- Polkadot’s Parachain Model: Auctioning blockchain “slots” to prioritize scalability and security.
- Cosmos’ IBC Protocol: Enabling sovereign chains to interoperate without sacrificing autonomy.
- Layer 2s as Mini-Ecosystems: Ethereum’s rollups (Arbitrum, Optimism) are scaling vertically, but horizontal integration remains unsolved.
The Emerging Frontier:
- Cross-Chain DAOs: Governance systems managing assets across Ethereum, Solana, and Avalanche could redefine organizational infrastructure. This isn’t incremental, it’s revolutionary.
Strategic Insight: Interoperability isn’t a technical checkbox, it’s a power struggle for crypto’s architectural control. Bet on protocols with modular design, robust security audits, and developer traction.
⚖️ Regulatory Arbitrage: Navigating Crypto’s Geopolitical Chessboard
Regulation isn’t a compliance hurdle, it’s a strategic lever reshaping crypto’s geographic and economic frontiers.
The Global Divergence:
- U.S. Uncertainty: The SEC’s “regulation by enforcement” creates a chilling effect. Ripple’s case is precedent-setting: Is crypto a security, currency, or a new asset class? Clarity will unlock, or cripple, innovation.
- EU’s MiCA Framework: While providing regulatory certainty, its stringent stablecoin rules risk stifling DeFi’s permissionless ethos.
- Asia’s Pragmatism: Post-China ban, hubs like Singapore and Dubai are courting crypto enterprises, balancing innovation with oversight.
The Existential Threat: CBDCs
- Central Bank Digital Currencies (e.g., China’s digital yuan) aren’t just digitized fiat, they’re tools for surveillance and monetary control. Crypto’s response? Decentralized governance. Wyoming’s DAO LLC law and decentralized identity solutions (e.g., ENS) are early plays to codify self-sovereignty.
Why This Demands Attention: Regulatory outcomes will determine whether crypto remains a tool for individual empowerment or becomes an instrument of the legacy financial system.
💥 DeFi’s Silent Crisis: The Smart Contract Risk Mispricing
DeFi’s $50B+ ecosystem hinges on one assumption: smart contracts are secure. The data suggests otherwise.
The Reality:
- $1.5B Lost in 2023: Exploits like Euler Finance and Curve’s reentrancy hack highlight systemic fragility. Unlike TradFi, there’s no FDIC insurance, losses are final.
- The Institutional Barrier: Until smart contract risk is mitigated, pension funds and corporates will remain sidelined.
The Mitigation Race:
- Audits ≠ Safety: Firms like CertiK and OpenZeppelin provide baseline checks, but bugs persist.
- Insurance’s Scaling Problem: Nexus Mutual and Cover Protocol lack capacity to underwrite large-scale DeFi.
- Formal Verification: Projects like Chainlink’s Proof of Reserve and algorithmic audits (e.g., Certora) are emerging as non-negotiables for enterprise adoption.
Strategic Takeaway: DeFi’s next phase requires institutional-grade security infrastructure. Allocate capital to protocols prioritizing formal verification and real-time monitoring.
🔮 Quantum Computing: Crypto’s Unspoken Existential Risk
While markets obsess over Fed rates, a stealthier threat looms: quantum decryption.
The Threat Matrix:
- Breaking ECC: Quantum computers could crack Bitcoin’s elliptic-curve cryptography within a decade, exposing private keys.
- Response Timeline: Post-quantum algorithms (e.g., NIST’s Kyber) are in development, but blockchain migration will be chaotic.
The Strategic Play:
Ethereum’s quantum-resistant R&D and privacy chains (e.g., Monero, Zcash) are hedging this risk early. Projects ignoring quantum preparedness risk obsolescence.
Why This Can’t Be Ignored: Quantum risk isn’t hypothetical, it’s actuarial. Leaders must pressure-test portfolios against this scenario.
📊 Tokenomics: Engineering Incentives for Sustainable Growth
Tokenomics isn’t speculative jargon, it’s the economic backbone of crypto projects.
The Levers of Value:
- Supply Dynamics: Bitcoin’s halving cycle vs. Ethereum’s EIP-1559 burn, scarcity narratives matter.
- Governance Centralization: UNI and COMP holders wield power, but low voter turnout risks plutocracy.
- MEV’s Hidden Tax: Front-running bots extract SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B + annually from DeFi users. Solutions like Flashbots MEV-Share aim to democratize this value.
The Winning Formula:
Projects like Curve (veToken model) demonstrate how aligned incentives bootstrap liquidity. Conversely, misaligned tokenomics (e.g., Terra’s UST) trigger death spirals.
Strategic Imperative: Scrutinize token distribution, utility, and governance. Sustainable models prioritize long-term holders over mercenary capital.
🌍 Crypto’s Macro Thesis: Hedge Against Fiat Instability
Crypto’s correlation with equities is a red herring. Its true value emerges during systemic crises.
The Data-Driven Case:
- Geopolitical Hedging: Russia and Venezuela’s hyperinflation drove P2P Bitcoin adoption.
- Inflation Response: While BTC’s 2022 performance disappointed “digital gold” proponents, its 2023 rebound amid banking collapses (SVB, Credit Suisse) reaffirmed its safe-haven narrative.
The Long Game:
As central banks test CBDCs and fiscal instability grows, crypto’s role as a hedge against systemic trust erosion will intensify.
✍️ Crypto’s Core Thesis: A New Economic Primitive
Crypto isn’t an asset class, it’s a foundational shift in how value is created, governed, and exchanged.
The Vision:
- Programmable Money: Smart contracts automate value transfer (e.g., streaming salaries via Sablier).
- Decentralized Governance: DAOs like MakerDAO and Aragon are rewriting corporate playbooks.
The Reality Check:
Crypto is a mirror of human coordination, fraught with scams, inefficiencies, and brilliance. The winners will be those who harness its primitives to solve real-world problems, not speculate on narratives.
Final Note: Leaders who dismiss crypto as a speculative toy will miss the forest for the trees. This is the rebuild of the internet’s infrastructure, participation isn’t optional; it’s strategic.
LTC/USDTHello everyone, let's look at the 4H LTC chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves in the local high -ranking channel in which we quickly saw the return to the lower border of the channel. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face:
T1 = $ 129
T2 = $ 132
Т3 = $ 138
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = $ 125
SL2 = $ 121
SL3 = $ 118
SL4 = $ 114
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
As we entered the lower part of the range again, which may indicate a new growth movement, but here you can see the city so that any correction deepens.
DXY - Bearish.Similar thesis to my NASDAQ analysis, with the DXY in a current bear trend, with key levels unmitigated below, and very close to current price action. Overall, expecting a decline in the price of the DXY over the next weeks sessions, mainly to hunt liquidity below to then continue the monthly Bullish bias and trend.
Align it with the current US economic proceedings, and a declining dollar makes sense for a few more weeks until thing calm down with tariffs etc. etc.
Expecting assets with a positive correlation to the dollar to also correlate any bearish moves in the DXY, with inverse assets such as gold benefitting.
Mahalo.
$AC LONG - Enter 16.50-17.00, Exit 20-22 into Q2, Risk 16TSX:AC LONG - No monthly bounce or even weekly bounce since the highs, 36% drop, daily RIS oversold to historical lows, very good risk reward entry here at 17 area.16.00 16.50 massive support.
Entry: 16.50-17.00
Exit: 20-22 into Q2
Risk: 16
10 year AVG Forward PE = 7.34 , would put AC at 20.80 for 2.8 earnings 2025
Oil trending down to 60
CXY Canada dollar monthly bounce underway
Entered 17 break, expect retest back to 21 area, drop with zero bounces..
Q2 tends to be best quarter for airlines.
Suggest holding Long for 2-3 Months. Thank me later
TradeCityPro | Deep Search: In-Depth Of LINK🔹What is Chainlink?!
🔹Chainlink is a decentralized oracle network that enables smart contracts to securely interact with real-world data, external APIs, and off-chain computations. Founded in 2017, Chainlink solves the "oracle problem" by providing tamper-proof, trust-minimized data for blockchain applications.
🔹Chainlink has become a critical infrastructure in the DeFi (Decentralized Finance) ecosystem, enabling hybrid smart contracts that leverage off-chain data. With partnerships in traditional finance, gaming, insurance, and enterprise solutions, Chainlink is positioning itself as the primary gateway between blockchains and real-world data.
🔹Chainlink’s Core Technology & Products
▪️ A. Decentralized Oracle Networks (DONs):
Chainlink’s oracle networks retrieve, verify, and deliver off-chain data to on-chain smart contracts in a secure and decentralized manner. These oracles solve blockchain’s lack of external connectivity, making real-world data accessible in DeFi, insurance, gaming, and enterprise applications.
B. Cross-Chain Communication (CCIP):
Chainlink enables cross-chain data sharing between public and private blockchains, allowing seamless communication and transfer of value across multiple networks.
▪️ C. Data Feeds & Market Insights:
Price Oracles: Secure on-chain price feeds for assets like BTC, ETH, stablecoins, and commodities.
Proof of Reserve: Verifies asset collateralization in real-time, crucial for stablecoins and wrapped assets.
Data Streams: Provides high-frequency market data for next-gen DeFi protocols.
▪️ D. Compute Services:
- Functions: Connects smart contracts to any API, enabling custom Web3 applications.
- Automation: Automates smart contracts with event-based triggers.
- Verifiable Random Function (VRF): Ensures secure randomness in gaming, NFTs, and lotteries.
🔹Chainlink’s Economic Model & Tokenomics
A. LINK Token Utility
The LINK token is the native cryptocurrency of the Chainlink ecosystem, used for:
🔹Paying node operators for retrieving, verifying, and delivering data.
🔹Staking to provide economic security and ensure data integrity.
🔹Governance and ecosystem incentives.
B. Staking & Security Mechanism:
Chainlink introduced staking as part of its Chainlink Economics 2.0 model to enhance security:
🔹Node operators must stake LINK to provide data services.
🔹Validators get slashed for incorrect or malicious data submissions.
🔹Delegated staking allows non-technical users to stake LINK via trusted operators.
C. Token Distribution
🔹ICO Price (2017): $0.11
🔹Total Supply: 1 billion LINK
🔹Circulating Supply: ~450M LINK (45% of total)
🔹Token Allocation:
-35% for ecosystem development and node incentives.
-35% sold in ICO/public sales.
-30% retained by Chainlink Labs for network growth.
D. Market Performance & ROI
🔹All-Time High (ATH) Price: $52.88 (May 2021)
🔹ICO ROI: 484.11x (+48,311%)
🔹Private Sale ROI: 587.5x (+58,650%)
🔹Total Funds Raised: $32M (ICO: $3M, Private Sale: ASX:29M )
🔹Some of Investors: Hashed Fund, Framework Ventures and Fundamental Labs
——
🔹Chainlink’s Adoption & Use Cases
A. Financial Services & DeFi
Chainlink secures billions of dollars in DeFi protocols, including:
🔹Aave (lending and borrowing)
🔹Compound (decentralized finance)
🔹Synthetix (synthetic assets)
🔹Uniswap (decentralized exchanges)
B. Asset Tokenization & Enterprise Adoption
Chainlink enables tokenization of real-world assets (RWA), integrating blockchain technology into:
🔹Traditional banking and payments
🔹Supply chain transparency
🔹Enterprise solutions (e.g., SWIFT, Google Cloud, FedEx, AccuWeather)
C. Gaming & NFTs
🔹VRF ensures fairness in blockchain gaming and NFTs.
🔹Major NFT & metaverse projects rely on Chainlink for secure randomness.
D. Insurance & Climate Markets
🔹Weather-based smart contract automation for crop insurance.
🔹Secure insurance claim processing using verified external data.
🗺Chainlink (LINK) Roadmap
Chainlink is evolving rapidly to enhance scalability, decentralization, and utility across blockchain ecosystems. The Chainlink 2.0 upgrade and Economic Model 2.0 are set to play crucial roles in the network’s future. Here’s a breakdown of Chainlink’s roadmap and upcoming developments.
A. Next-Gen Oracle Solutions
Chainlink 2.0 expands Decentralized Oracle Networks (DONs), introducing:
🔹Off-Chain Reporting (OCR) for better efficiency.
🔹Hybrid computation models for privacy and scalability.
🔹Fair Sequencing Services (FSS) to prevent front-running in DeFi.
B. Staking Expansion
🔹Staking rewards expected to start at 5% APY, paid via fees + emissions from the Chainlink treasury.
🔹Full staking implementation in Chainlink Economics 2.0 to ensure sustainable network growth.
C. Cross-Chain Integration & Layer 2 Adoption
🔹Chainlink plans deeper integration with Layer 2 solutions like Arbitrum & Optimism.
🔹Further adoption into non-EVM blockchains like Solana, Polkadot, and Cosmos.
🏦 Strategic Partnerships & Institutional Adoption
Corporate & Enterprise Partnerships: Chainlink has secured high-profile collaborations with:
-Google Cloud: Integrated Chainlink oracles for Web3 data verification.
-SWIFT: Exploring cross-border transactions using Chainlink.
-AccuWeather & FedEx: Providing real-world data for blockchain use cases.
-Associated Press: Integrating trusted news data into smart contracts.
🔹Advisory Team & Leadership
-Sergey Nazarov (CEO): Blockchain visionary, co-founder of SmartContract.com.
-Steve Ellis (CTO): Co-founder & lead engineer behind Chainlink.
-Eric Schmidt (Ex-Google CEO): Joined as technical advisor.
🔧Security & Consensus Mechanism
-Ethereum-based ERC-20 token with Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus.
-Delegated Proof-of-Stake (DPoS) & Proof-of-Authority (PoA) used for oracle security.
-Multi-layered decentralization ensures resilience against data manipulation.
🔹Market Outlook & Future Predictions
Competitive Edge:
-Most adopted decentralized oracle network.
-$75B+ secured across 1,000+ projects.
-Expanding beyond crypto into traditional finance & enterprise applications.
Challenges & Risks
-Reliance on Ethereum scalability.
-High competition from newer oracle solutions (e.g., --Band Protocol, API3).
-Adoption rate depends on broader DeFi growth.
👛Some of the wallets that support Chainlink
MetaMask
Ledger Wallets (Nano S & Nano X)
Exodus Wallet
WalletConnect
Rabby Wallet
Trust Wallet
Atomic Wallet
Coin98 Wallet
Trezor Wallet
Argent Wallet
—
🔹Platform for staking LINK
Stake.link
Chainlink
Stake.com
—-
Platform for providing LINK
🔹Retro
🔹Biswap
🔹Kujiro
🔹Mdex
🔹Tomb
🔹Ramses
🔹Honeyswap
🔹Uniswap
🔹Pancakeswap
🔹LFJ
🔹Pangolin
🔹Balancer
🔹Revenue and Staking
▪️ Since the beginning of February, Chainlink's revenue experienced a sharp decline followed by a notable recovery, rising from -0.015 to 0.06 Ethereum. Meanwhile, staking activity in 2025 has remained relatively stable at approximately 279,000 Ethereum, showing no significant fluctuations. Additionally, the increase in network fees highlights growing user engagement and heightened activity within the ecosystem.
🔹On-Chain Analysis of LINK
▪️ In the $18.48 to $19 price range, a significant number of LINK tokens are in loss, which could act as a resistance level. However, there is currently no substantial volume of coins in profit to establish strong on-chain support.
▪️ On a positive note, network activity is showing signs of recovery, with a rise in active and new addresses, reflecting increased user engagement. Additionally, 48% of LINK tokens are held by whales, a considerably higher percentage compared to other cryptocurrencies. This distribution makes price manipulation by whales more difficult, contributing to market stability.
▪️ From a supply and demand perspective, the recent price drop has led to increased demand from whales (addresses holding 10M–100M LINK), while retail investors have been selling. This redistribution of tokens from smaller holders to large investors could be interpreted as a bullish signal for the medium term.
✅ Now that we have reviewed the project, let's move on to the technical analysis of this coin
📅 Weekly Timeframe
As observed, after the conclusion of the 2021 bull run, LINK entered a correction phase and dropped to a low of $5.85. Upon reaching this level, it formed a very clean Accumulation Zone with a floor at $5.85 and a ceiling at $9.77.
🔍 After oscillating within this zone for about a year, LINK finally broke out towards the end of 2023, coinciding with Bitcoin’s new all-time high near $70,000. This upward move was robust, but following Bitcoin’s correction to a low of $54,000, LINK also pulled back deeply to $9.77, where it stabilized.
📊 The volume has been in favor of the buyers, and as the upward trend concluded and a corrective leg began, the volume decreased significantly. Once the volume reached its lowest, a large bullish candle entered the market, pushing the price up to a high of $30.16.
⚡️ Currently, as Bitcoin ranges and corrects, LINK is also undergoing a correction. The RSI oscillator shows that LINK has dipped below the 50 area, but as long as it remains above 42.88, I still view LINK’s momentum as bullish.
🛒 For buying opportunities, risky purchases could be considered upon confirming a break of $30.16 or a more substantial breakout at the ATH of $51.30. However, if the price heads back towards $9.77 and breaks this support, it could indicate that the bullish momentum and trend have fully concluded, potentially leading to new lows.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, let’s examine the price movement in more detail. There was an Accumulation Zone between $9.77 and $12.88. After breaking $12.88 and pulling back, the next bullish leg began, pushing the price up to $29.21—a significant resistance area where the price was rejected and entered a corrective phase.
✨ In the first corrective phase, the price moved down to the 0.382 Fibonacci level and, failing to set a new high beyond $29.21, broke lower beyond the 0.382 area. It is now at the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
🧩 Essentially, a price range box has been formed between the 0.5 and 0.382 Fibonacci levels. A break below this range could lead to further corrections, with the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the crucial $12.88 level as subsequent targets. If the price reaches $12.88, it would fully correct the entire bullish leg, signaling the end of the uptrend.
🔽 The critical trigger for entering a strong bearish momentum in this position would be a break below 34.49 in the RSI. If both this support and the 0.5 Fibonacci support are broken, it could lead to significant market panic.
👀 Conversely, if the price can rise above the 0.382 Fibonacci level and start a new bullish leg, breaking $29.21 could provide an excellent opportunity for a long position, even in spot markets.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Dogecoin 12-month analysisDogecoin has become very popular with traders and investors, and this currency has had many downward fluctuations over the past period and is in a support range. You can expect an increase in this currency within 12 months with the first target of $0.40, and you can expect further increases from that price point. Keep in mind that every signal and analysis must be implemented with a risk and capital management approach specific to that analysis, otherwise, even if the price increases, the investment may not be made correctly.
Sasha Charkhchian
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USDT "Bitcoin Tether" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : The heist is on! Wait for the breakout of (94000) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell stop below the support line or Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in swing/retest.
I highly recommend to use alert in your trading platform.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 97000 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 86500 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The BTC/USDT "Bitcoin Tether" Crypto Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullishness).., driven by several key factors.
🌟☀ Fundamental Analysis
Institutional adoption (e.g., MicroStrategy) remains strong, but ETF outflows (650.8M last week) signal caution.
Hash rate near all-time highs supports network security; post-2024 halving supply reduction is a bullish long-term factor.
Pro-crypto US regulatory shifts are positive, though global uncertainty persists.
🌟☀ Macro Economics
Potential US rate cuts in 2025 could weaken USD, boosting BTC; tighter policy may pressure it.
Recession fears in Europe vs. US resilience create mixed risk sentiment; BTC correlates with equities.
Geopolitical tensions enhance Bitcoin’s store-of-value appeal.
🌟☀ Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Large speculators slightly net long, showing cautious optimism; no extreme positioning.
Hedgers net short, typical for futures; retail longs are moderate, not overcrowded.
🌟☀ On-Chain Analysis
Exchange outflows exceed inflows (ratio ~0.98), indicating accumulation.
Long-term holders steady, short-term holder realized price at 96,000 acts as support.
Whale activity mixed: some profit-taking, but accumulation persists below 97,000.
🌟☀ Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail sentiment neutral, cautious on X; no extreme greed or fear.
Institutional hesitancy (ETF outflows) offsets professional traders’ accumulation views.
🌟☀ Positioning
Support at 96,000, resistance at 98,500-99,000; liquidity pools suggest breakout potential.
RSI (~50) neutral, MACD shows fading bearish momentum.
🌟☀ Overall Summary Outlook
Short-term: Consolidation between 94,000-100,000, slight upward bias.
Medium-term: Bullish if macro aligns (104,000-110,000); downside risk to 90,000.
Long-term: Fundamentals favor 120,000 by mid-2025.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
ZEC Weekly & Monthly Chart Will Print God Candles Ironically Zcash is $36 at the time of writing this or 666.
The number of the flesh
Flesh
The need for money
Kill your ego and starve your pride but still need money to survive
Zcash is the stash
The stash to melt faces
One of many Phoenix that will arise from our debt laden and dying old way of finance
This is a bold thought but with the upside potential one could consider
If Zcash went from $2500 to $70 in one month
Could it go from $70 to $2500 in the same time?
I am stepping into my 32nd year on this earth. Best wishes.
Aluminum long-term analysisAluminum continues to be in high demand, and since its resources are very limited, it can be a very good option for a 1 to 3 year investment. Technical analysis and a look at its price history have completely captured the attention of investors, and we will hear good news about aluminum soon.
Sasha Charkhchian
SOL Historic rise Paused for GasolineForget the Argentina Texas Tango, SOLANA has endured far worse (FTX) and is still on a historic rise that has seen go 800% in 2 years and has tons more upside left to go THIS CYCLE! But yeah a few dubious things are happening. Unlocks followed by ETFS next month -- hmmm the ETFS will mean companies want to SELL shiny new ETF products to customers.... Don't you think they a CHEAPER SOL to SELL? FUDD and Unlocks are good excuses to BRING THE PRICE DOWN! So whether that little conspiracy theory is correct or not, We are STILL ABOVE the HANDLE on the Historic CUP and HANDLE in SOL Price action. 149 is a particularly strong level that supports the ENTIRE HANDLE in this CUP. Rock SOLID 123 is a possible WICK target. BEARS BEWARE any down side on SOL will probably be quick and happen this week. After unlocks I think it is ETF time and the buzz alone could send SOL to 450.
2025 - 2026 Roadmap2025:
- Cut Gov Spending
- (Lower GPD)
- Cut Gov Temp Workers
- (Lower Employment)
- Deport Service Workers
- (Increasing inflation)
- Tarif's
- (One time inflation event)
Cutting government spending should
cause a recession.
Note march 2025 : Drop and Bounce from seasonality.
2026:
- '2020 Fed Carry' removed
- Call of 5 yr 1.5% loans.
- Called loans result in equity sell off.
- Treasury funds gov with 30 year
- Incentive to lower rates first.
The government plans to switch from using 2-year bonds to 30-year bonds to fund itself by the end of 2025 or early 2026, under an agreement between the Treasury and the Fed. The downside? With 30-year bonds, they'll be stuck paying today's high 5% interest rate for three decades.
Lowering the rate first would be better and save money, which is possible if a recession happens before the switch.
To help, the Fed agreed to leave and make room in the 30-year bond market.
DXY - 4H Bearish SignsTVC:DXY has shown an impressive rally from the 100 zone, forming three major bullish legs, each contributing approximately 4% gains. These bullish phases have now brought the index close to the critical 110 level.
However, in the third major leg, we observe the formation of three minor legs, signaling some hesitation as it nears the resistance zone. While many expect the index to break through 110 easily, I anticipate price swings around the 109-110 range, and even the possibility of a deeper pullback before resuming its upward trend.
With the NFP data release today, we might see increased volatility, offering opportunities for a potential DXY decline before any further rise. Stay alert for sharp market moves! 📉