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$SUI follow up for June 2025CRYPTOCAP:SUI has tapped my support zone around $2.85, which is currently holding well. That said, the broader trend remains corrective, and it's likely only a matter of time before this support gives way. If that happens, we could see a drop into my green buy zone — sitting just below a major order block. A break there might trigger heavy liquidations and a sharp move to the next support level. I don't expect a deeper crash, as bulls are showing strong activity to defend this area. If you set buy orders around this zone, a solid bounce could offer attractive profits. As always, DYOR. This is a follow up for this idea from May 2025
Short
by CryptoNikkoid
1
GOLD recovers market overview, key outlookOANDA:XAUUSD is under downward pressure, and ended last week's trading session with a decline. With tensions in the Middle East easing slightly and the Federal Reserve giving a hawkish signal, the safe-haven demand in the gold market tends to weaken, and investors' profit-taking intentions increase, these are the main reasons why gold recorded a significant correction this week. Gold prices fell last week as safe-haven demand weakened as tensions in the Middle East temporarily eased. President Trump said he would decide on military action against Iran in the next two weeks, a concession that helped ease fears of an escalation. Although Iran continued to launch missiles at Israel, the situation has not spread. However, the Middle East conflict remains risky and is unlikely to end completely. Gold prices are under pressure due to the Fed's hawkish tone. Although the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, Chairman Powell warned of inflation risks, especially from Trump's new tax policies. At the same time, Mr. Chris Waller's statement showed that the possibility of a July interest rate cut also depends on the inflation situation, causing market expectations to decrease and negatively affecting gold - a non-interest-bearing asset. Central banks and institutions maintain bullish medium- and long-term expectations Despite short-term pressures, most institutions maintain positive medium-term expectations for gold. Goldman Sachs reiterated its target of $4,000/oz by 2025, while Citigroup believes gold could fall below $3,000/oz by 2026. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has once again bounced from the EMA21 and reached its initial upside target at the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement of $3,371, as noted in previous editions. For now, for gold to qualify for its next upside target at the raw price of $3,400, it needs to sustain price action above the 0.236% Fibonacci level, which means the 0.236% Fibonacci level is also the closest resistance at present. Once gold breaks above the raw price point of $3,400, it will be in a position to continue its short-term rally with a target of around $3,435, rather than the all-time high of $3,500. In terms of overall structure, gold still has a bullish outlook with the price channel as the main trend and RSI remaining above 50 and well away from the overbought zone, suggesting that there is still plenty of upside ahead. In the case of a sell-off, if gold is sold below the EMA21, it could test the $3,320 support in the short term, more so the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level converging with the lower edge of the price channel. Therefore, early long positions may be considered in terms of volume as well as protection of open positions. Finally, technically, gold is still trending with an overall bullish outlook, with notable positions listed as follows. Support: $3,350 – $3,320 – $3,300 Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,435 – $3,500 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3406 - 3404⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3410 →Take Profit 1 3398 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3392 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3312 - 3314⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3308 →Take Profit 1 3320 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3326
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
06/20/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis06/20/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +1437.50 Sleep: 6 hours Overall health: hanging in there ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)** — 6/20/2025 9:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double sell) :check: — 6/20/2025 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :check: — 6/20/2025 11:14 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (triple buy) :check: What’s one key lesson or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? Fed's Barkin: There is nothing urgent in the data warranting a rate cut at this point. What are the critical support levels to watch? --> Above 6015 = Bullish, Under 6005= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by WallSt007
The US dollar decline is a massive opportunity Hey all, just a thesis i've had for a while now and there is many charts and data points ive used to get confidence in this. Short term I see the AUD decreasing on the lower demand for out exports (iron, coal, copper), Also house I see an economic contraction likely as house prices have already priced out many and borrowing cost are still elevated from the pandemic lows. With the uncertainty of a possible trade wars, military wars and energy prices i dont see the RBA or Fed lowering rates to what the market is expecting. This will also help the short term decline of the AUD. But once more clarity, economic activity picks up and stimulus either from the fed lowering rates and/or government spending more to keep voters this will fundamentally show the over supply of USD. After all recessions and then subsequent stimulus the USD rises for the crisis and then declines for the next 2 years on Average I see the same playing out but most likely to an even greater scale given the major over supply and focus on the USD.
by jackwheeler
1
AUD/USD: The Clearest Short Opportunity This WeekThis week, the macro and market landscape provides a rare alignment across all major models—making AUD/USD the standout short opportunity among G10 FX pairs. Key Reasons for the Bearish AUD/USD Bias: 1. Commitment of Traders (COT): Institutional positioning has turned decisively bearish on the Australian dollar, with net shorts increasing and sentiment remaining negative. 2. Z-Score & Positioning Extremes: Z-Score indicators confirm a below-average long bias for AUD, highlighting that recent speculative flows are heavily skewed to the short side. 3. EXO/Score Model: Our EXO (macro scoring) model gives AUD/USD a clear SHORT rating, with no offsetting bullish factors in the “core” or “risk/reward” signals. 4. Commodity Edge – Iron Ore: Iron ore prices, a crucial driver for AUD, have sharply declined in recent weeks. This is a classic “canary in the coal mine” for AUD weakness historically, persistent iron ore declines precede broader AUD selloffs. 5. Sentiment & Risk Environment: Despite global “risk-on” sentiment, AUD is unable to benefit, as both macro and market participants rotate away from commodity FX and into USD strength. 6. Endo (Fundamental) Model: While Australia’s macro data still looks solid on a lagging basis, all faster models (positioning, flows, sentiment, commodities) point to an imminent shift typically, ENDO lags in catching turning points. Conclusion & Tactical View: SHORT AUD/USD is the highest conviction trade for this week, backed by full alignment of macro, positioning, sentiment, and real-economy factors. Expect continued downside pressure while commodity markets and COT data remain bearish. For active traders, the first 3–7 days following this setup historically provide the highest reward-to-risk moves.
Short
by Idealadvantage
SOL 2D BULLISH, Entry points New HH coming up?So guy as we have seen a downtrend SOL from 180 price resistance and so now price trading on very critical area. We have fvg on 2D around 120-123 and still haven’t not been taken. So there is two scenarios and mostly like price will reject from fvg and head toward to W fvg which we have Above on Weekly TF. The confirmation will be respect to fvg and overall market conditions. Also I am bearish on SOL 2 weekly TF, which we should not forget. If price respect to fvg and overall market conditions was bullish then we can enter around 120-130 and TP will be 210-220
Long
by Risky9
Can XAUUSD Continue to Go Up?Last week was a bearish one for XAUUSD, following a strong bullish surge the week prior. The key question now is: can gold reclaim the highs it reached two weeks ago? From a macro perspective, institutions remain net long and have even increased their long positions, signaling continued confidence in gold as a safe-haven asset. On the geo-economic front, tensions in the Middle East persist, with growing involvement from the U.S., adding to the uncertainty that typically supports gold prices. Personally, I maintain a bullish bias on XAUUSD for now, supported by both fundamental and geopolitical drivers. However, if the landscape changes — whether through technical invalidation or shifts in sentiment — I’m prepared to adapt accordingly.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by supertrader72
long-Terrifying surge in oil pricesAssuming a full-scale war initiated by the United States, particularly with a country like Iran, as the primary driver for the oil price surge, the following analysis is provided , as requested, with the assertion that this scenario is 100% likely to occur. Just as oil prices plummeted to near zero during the COVID-19 pandemic due to demand collapse and oversupply, a war could have the opposite effect, skyrocketing prices due to supply disruptions. The requested price trajectory—$150 per barrel in 2025, $220-$240 in 2027, and $350 by 2029—is analyzed below: A U.S.-Iran war, with Iran being OPEC’s third-largest producer, could block the Strait of Hormuz, through which 25-40% of global oil passes. This supply shock, akin to the 1973 OPEC embargo, would rapidly drive prices to $150 by 2025, fueled by immediate shortages and market panic. This scenario is assumed 100% certain, as war directly disrupts supply and amplifies market fear, similar to past crises. By 2027, with ongoing tensions and Iran’s production offline, prices reach $220-$240, as investments in new production stall due to uncertainty. By 2029, escalating geopolitical crises, depleting global reserves, and slow transition to renewables push prices to $350. This mirrors the 1970s oil shocks that multiplied prices severalfold. This trajectory depends on factors like other producers (e.g., Saudi Arabia or U.S. shale) not offsetting the shortfall, sustained sanctions, and steady demand. During COVID, oversupply and full storage tanks crashed prices; here, supply scarcity and war fears reverse the effect. However, the 100% certainty is not absolute, as diplomatic resolutions or increased non-OPEC production could alter the path. Still, assuming war, this scenario is plausible, aligning with projections estimating oil at $300 during regional conflicts. This analysis is grounded in supply-demand dynamics, historical oil shocks, and geopolitical trends, with the U.S.-led war as the dominant factor.
VELOCITY:BRENTLong
by yazdanmax
1
VolitionRX | VNRX | Long at $0.54***Stay away if you are risk averse (small cap with 300-400k daily volume and could go to $0). VolitionRX AMEX:VNRX is a U.S.-based, multinational epigenetics company focused on developing blood tests for early disease detection, primarily targeting cancer and sepsis. Its Nu.Q blood tests are primarily for humans, focusing on early detection of diseases like cancer and sepsis. However, the company has also explored veterinary applications through its Nu.Q Vet product line, targeting cancer screening in animals, particularly dogs. Recent insider purchases got my attention, with the CEO and Director each grabbing $100k worth at $0.55. Plus, many other insiders have recently been awarded options. The company is making progress in signing multiple licensing deals for their Nu.Q platform in the human market, with strong interest from large companies. Many development milestones have been made within their cancer testing program and more are likely to be announced. However, the company is unprofitable at this time, and this is a highly risky / speculative play. It may take years to unfold or be a total disaster and go to $0.00. Rolling the dice at $0.54 with the goal to reach $0.75 and $1.00 in the coming 1-2 years. Analyst targets are in the $3.00-$3.50 range.
AMEX:VNRXLong
by WorthlessViews
1
Gold's Battle at Key Support: Bounce or Breakdown?Hey Traders, OANDA:XAUUSD has recently found support at a crucial demand zone around 3351.75, bouncing off this level with a sharp rejection wick, signalling buyer interest. The price action now shows a potential shift toward bullish structure with an expected retest and continuation toward higher resistance levels. Current Market Conditions: Price is rebounding from the 3351.75 support area, which has acted as a demand zone in recent weeks. The recent bullish candle suggests buyers may be stepping back in, aiming to reclaim lost territory. Short-term structure favours a possible higher low formation before continuation toward the 3403.47 and 3431.49 levels. A break below 3351.75 would invalidate this bullish setup. Fundamental Analysis/Outlook: Today’s bullish sentiment in gold is fueled by the renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Fed Chair Powell’s cautious tone on policy rates. The market remains sensitive to inflation expectations and risk sentiment. As long as inflation persists and global uncertainty lingers, gold could continue to attract safe-haven demand, supporting upside scenarios. Targets: TP1: 3375.91 TP2: 3403.47 TP3: 3431.49 Risk Management: Stop-loss: Below 3351.75 (key invalidation level) Maintain a minimum 1:2 R:R ratio. Adjust position size accordingly based on volatility and support behaviour. Technical Outlook: The structure suggests a potential breakout continuation if buyers hold above 3351. Look for confirmation through higher low formations and bullish momentum candles before scaling in further. Price needs to reclaim 3368–3375 levels to accelerate toward targets. Conclusion: Gold is poised at a key turning point. If bulls defend the support and reclaim 3368+, we could see a wave of upside into the 3400s. Keep your eyes on intraday momentum and global headlines, especially risk-off events. Sign-off: "In markets, clarity often lies just beyond the fear. Trade the levels, not the noise." I would love to hear your thoughts in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and profitable trading to you all!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SignalSage_Ben
BTC Weekly Outlook - paving the wayBTC Weekly Outlook In this week's forecast, we're observing a structured plan grounded in historical monthly Bitcoin data and liquidity dynamics. With MH (Monthly High) and ML (Monthly Low) clearly marked, this scenario outlines a potential roadmap for price action through short-term liquidity movements and higher timeframe rebalancing. Phase 1: Retrace to 4H BPR and Weekend Liquidity (Green Path) The first part of the projection anticipates a minor upward move early in the week, ideally on Monday or Tuesday. This rally would target the 4H Bearish Price Range (BPR) and weekend liquidity, which are areas where price often moves to fill orders left unfilled during lower volume periods. The blue box around the BPR highlights a key short-term zone of interest. Inside it lies the OTE level and the midpoint of the prior range, both typically offering reactions as market participants attempt to position themselves at favorable prices before larger moves unfold. A move into this area would likely be followed by a rejection, setting up for a deeper move lower. Phase 2: Distribution and Breakdown Toward Monthly Statistical Targets (Orange to Green) After reacting to the 4H BPR area, the expectation is for a broader move down through the rest of the week. This would take price below ML (Monthly Low) and into deeper liquidity zones where historical data suggests higher probabilities of price interaction. Two key levels are marked based on monthly performance statistics: TP1 at the first 90 percent confidence level, where price could pause or consolidate. FULL TP deeper down, near a liquidity-rich area that aligns with a Weekly Imbalance (W IMB). This would be a logical place for larger participants to begin building longer-term positions. Phase 3: High Timeframe Discount and Reversal Once price reaches the imbalance, the projection expects a shift in momentum. This region represents a higher timeframe discount, where order books are more likely to begin filling for longer-term positions. From here, the green path resumes, suggesting a reversal and a sustained move upward. If this plays out, BTC would: -Complete a full liquidity sweep below ML -Accumulate at lower prices where there is room to fill larger buy orders -Begin a strong push upward, potentially leading toward new all-time highs This sequence is not only logical from a liquidity perspective but is also statistically supported by how BTC typically behaves around monthly lows and key imbalances. The forecast reflects a market that needs time and space to build positions before initiating the next major leg up.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by tristanmartinusdijkmanderojas1
2
Oil panic buying after Iran Strikes?President Donald Trump has confirmed that the U.S., in coordination with Israel, has conducted three strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities. Will there be panic buying of WTI and Brent at the open? In response, Iran’s parliament has approved a proposal to close the Strait of Hormuz, a key global oil shipping route. The final decision lies with Iran’s Supreme National Security Council and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. If a blockade is enforced, oil prices could rise sharply. ClearView Energy Partners estimates a short-term closure could add between $8 and $31 per barrel. JP Morgan has suggested that a full-scale conflict and complete shutdown could drive prices to $130.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by BlackBull_Markets
USA+Israel vs Iran WAR Conflicts📈 GOLD (XAU/USD) Forecast – June 23, 2025 Gold is showing strong bullish potential after rejecting a key H4 OB zone + POI and faking out below channel support and the 100 EMA. The setup hints at liquidity sweep (LIQ $$$) and bullish continuation toward All-Time Highs (ATH) around $3490+. Technical Breakdown: 🔹 Channel + EMA100: Fake breakout suggests liquidity grab 🔹 LIQ $$ zones tapped: Suggests smart money positioning 🔹 Major Demand Zone: Acting as a launchpad 🔹 All-Time High (ATH) Target: $3490+ 🔹 Entry Idea: Buy on trendline retrace with solid RR 🔹 Invalidation below: $3337 structure low Target Zone: $3490 (ATH retest) Invalidation: Below $3337 major demand Bias: Bullish continuation 🔥 Fundamental Sentiment: Geopolitical Tension 📰 1. USA + Israel vs Iran Conflict: Gold remains a top safe-haven amid increased geopolitical instability. Rising war tensions are pushing investors toward risk-off assets like Gold. 💼 2. FOMC Recap – Dovish Tilt Despite Sticky Inflation: Last week’s FOMC meeting hinted at a more cautious Fed, with Powell suggesting rate cuts could still be on the table in 2025 if labor softness continues. 🟢 A dovish Fed = weaker USD, which is bullish for Gold. 🟡 Sticky inflation keeps the upside attractive for long-term buyers. 🎯 Trading Plan: Look for retracement entries after a trendline pullback, ideally around demand + POI, for targeting the ATH region. This setup aligns technicals, sentiment, and fundamentals. #XAUUSD #GoldForecast #tradewithnajamahmed #najamahmed6 #FOMC2025 #SmartMoneyConcepts #IranConflict #DiscordVIP #ForexMentorship #ForexSignals #GeopoliticalRisk #SafeHaven #ForexEducation
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by najamahmed6