Fundamental Analysis
Gold surged and then fell. Has it reached its peak?Information summary:
Today, the United States and Japan negotiated on tariffs. Trump said that the US-Japan deal was unfair and might send a letter to Japan; the US-Japan trade negotiations seemed to be at a standstill. Trump also threatened that he would not extend the expiring tariff period and would send letters to most countries and regions in the next few days.
Secondly, the United States accused the EU of unfair digital legislation and asked the EU to relax its supervision of US technology giants. In addition, Trump accused "Mr. Too Late" Powell and the entire committee on social media that they should be ashamed of not cutting interest rates.
Affected by the above news, gold's risk aversion sentiment heated up and prices started to rise for the second time.
Market analysis:
From the 4-hour chart, the market is currently in a slow upward trend in a downward channel, and the price is also repeatedly testing the upward pressure position of 3355. MA5-day and 10-day moving averages turned upward and crossed with the 20-day and 30-day moving averages. At present, the upward momentum is slightly insufficient. In the short term, we should focus on the suppression position of 3355. If we fail to break through this position for a long time, the trend will most likely turn into a downward trend. If no black swan event occurs, today's price will most likely fluctuate around the 3320-3350 range. If there is no black swan event, the price today will most likely fluctuate around the range of 3320-3350.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3355, stop loss 3365, profit range 3340-3330.
Long near 3315 when the price falls back, stop loss 3305, profit range 3340-3345.
BTCI – setting up for a breakout?What is CBOE:BTCI ?
BTCI is the NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF – a covered-call ETF designed to provide exposure to Bitcoin price trends with monthly income. The fund uses options strategies to generate consistent yields while holding Bitcoin futures and related instruments.
💰 Annual dividend yield: approx. 18%, paid monthly
📆 Ideal for income-focused investors who still want crypto exposure without direct volatility.
CBOE:BTCI Current price: $59.64
Strong volume is building up (green arrow), and the stochastic oscillator shows bullish momentum returning.
Price is consolidating just under the resistance at $60.90–61.75, with a potential upside of +13.2%, targeting the $67.09 zone.
📈 If volume holds and breaks above $61.75, the move toward the target becomes likely.
🟩 Key support: $58.07 / $55.75
Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup – Strong Support Bounce & Potential Reversal
Timeframe: 4H
Gold recently bounced off a well-defined strong support zone near $3,263, forming a potential double bottom structure. The price is now showing early signs of reversal with bullish momentum building.
Key Levels:
Entry: ~ $3,294
Stop Loss: Below $3,263 (support zone)
Target 1: $3,349 (minor resistance)
Target 2: $3,413 (major resistance)
Technical Confluence:
Price respected historical support (highlighted by multiple bounces)
Bullish price action with a recovery structure
Opportunity for upside retracement toward previous supply zones
Fundamental Outlook:
Gold may see bullish pressure amid geopolitical uncertainty and potential central bank dovish pivot
Market awaiting key macroeconomic data – watch for volatility spikes
Bias: Bullish (Short-to-Medium Term)
A solid buy setup for traders looking to capitalize on price recovery from a strong support zone with clearly defined risk
GoldFxMinds XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – July 1🌅 Good morning, gold hunters!
The start of a new month is here, and price action is as wild as ever! Yesterday’s liquidity raids swept both sides, leaving most traders guessing – but structure never lies. Let’s break down exactly where the real money sits for July 1, so you never get caught on the wrong side of gold.
🌎 Macro, News & Geopolitics
Macro: US data is in focus (ISM PMI, JOLTS, Powell speech), keeping volatility high and liquidity pools exposed.
Geopolitics: Tensions persist globally but no fresh headlines – market is pure price-driven.
Sentiment: Bulls got trapped high, sellers are hungry for a deeper sweep. Don’t trust easy breakouts!
🏛️ HTF Bias Recap
Weekly: Bullish structure, but overextended. Pullback zones active, buyers get best deals only at true discount.
Daily: Strong wick rejections at supply, sellers showing teeth. Watch for lower highs and failed breakouts.
H4: Range between 3332 and 3258, liquidity building at both edges. Smart money will hunt stops before any trend is real!
🔑 H4 Key Structural Levels
Premium Supply: 3320–3332 (main unmitigated supply block)
Mid Range Decision: 3296–3306 (watch for PA shift, don’t force entries here)
Discount Demand: 3272–3258 (clean OB/imbalance confluence)
Deep Discount Demand: 3232–3218 (ultimate liquidity pocket)
🎯 Sniper Zones (M30/M15 Refined)
SELL Zones:
3320–3332:
The untouched supply – only sell if PA prints a reversal after a NY liquidity grab. Don’t jump in early!
3345–3360:
Extreme extension zone. If price overreaches, look for signs of exhaustion. This is the bear’s last stand!
BUY Zones:
3272–3258:
True discount! Wait for a stop run below 3275, then catch the bounce ONLY if you see confirmation (engulfing, CHoCH, RSI support).
3232–3218:
No hope trades here. Only for flash crash or panic sell-offs with obvious absorption! Wait for a real PA reversal.
Decision Zone:
3296–3306
If price is stuck here, sit on your hands! Let the market show its hand first.
🚦 Quick Recap
Avoid already-mitigated zones – only hunt where liquidity is fresh!
NY session wicks and fake breakouts are the biggest traps. Be patient, let the stop hunt finish before you engage.
Confirmation over prediction. Discipline is your edge, not drawing boxes.
🎁 Bonus Tip
"Missing a sniper entry? The best traders never chase. Let gold come to you. There’s always a second chance for those with patience!"
📣 Like what you see?
Smash that like🚀🚀🚀 , drop your thoughts in the comments , and don’t forget to follow GoldFxMinds for more high-precision gold plans!
Analysis powered by Trade Nation chart feed – built for the sharpest minds in gold.
EURUSD : Up and DownLife’s a ride of highs and lows,
A dance of joy, a tide that flows.
Up we climb with laughter bright,
Down we sink in quiet night.
Mountaintop or valley deep,
Moments swift or slow to creep.
Sunlit days will surely shine,
Storms will pass—just give them time.
Up again, we spread our wings,
Chasing dreams on hopeful strings.
Down once more? That’s alright too—
Every fall makes strength feel new.
So take the highs, embrace the low,
Life’s a rhythm, ebb and flow.
Up and down, we twist, we bend,
But the journey? Worth it, friend.
Good luck.
The bearish trend is confirmed, it’s time to participate.Gold overnight short orders have been stopped at a loss, because it broke through the key pressure of 3325. However, we must grasp the trend of the market, adhere to the idea of technical analysis as the main and news as the auxiliary, and make a comprehensive judgment. Don't be at a loss about the market analysis because of the stop loss. There is nothing wrong with waiting for the market to step back and do more, but the market does not give opportunities, but forces you to chase the rise. Of course, from the perspective of risk ratio, high altitude is definitely more stable than chasing more.
From the current gold trend analysis, the focus on the upper side is the 3340-3350 line of pressure, the short-term support on the lower side is around 3310-3320, and the key support on the 3295-3301 line is focused. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, it is recommended to wait and see, chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Operation strategy 1: Short gold near 3340-3350, target 3325-3315.
Operation strategy 2: Go long on gold around 3310-3320, target 3330-3340.
GBP/USD Trade Update: Re-Entry After SL Hit – Bullish Bias MaintAfter the initial stop-loss was triggered, price action has realigned with the original bullish outlook. Market structure remains intact, and the recent move appears to be a liquidity sweep rather than a full reversal. I’ve re-entered the buy position at a more favorable level, with a clear invalidation point and defined upside targets.
This re-entry reflects confidence in the broader setup and a commitment to disciplined execution. Sometimes, the best trades require patience and a second entry when the market shakes out weak hands.
📈 Follow for live trade updates, risk management insights, and GBP/USD strategy breakdowns. 💬 Let’s navigate the volatility with precision and purpose.
Safe Entry Zone QBTSCurrent Stock Targeting Previous Major Resistance which act as Major Support level.
at 13.40$ Price level.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Canadian Dollar Futures (6C1!) Nears Key Monthly SupplyThe Canadian Dollar Futures (6C1!) remain in a downtrend, now testing a critical monthly supply zone after an initial rejection. With Commercials heavily short, Smart Money flat, and Retail traders still bullish, this setup favors another potential downside move. Traders should watch for a retest or breakout spike for optimal short entries.
COT Report: Who’s Betting on the Loonie?
Commercials (Big Players): Increasing short positions, signaling expectations of further downside.
Non-Commercials (Smart Money): Flat, showing hesitation—no strong conviction in either direction.
Retail Traders: Still net long, often a contrarian indicator at key turning points.
This alignment suggests that while momentum may see short-term bounces, the broader trend remains bearish.
✅ Please share your thoughts about 6C1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
ILSUSD: Confirmation of Downtrend ReversalDisclaimer: This post is made only as an analysis of this currency pair, with no intent to express any opinion or commentary on the ongoing conflict.
The Israeli Shekel has been the strongest performing currency in the world so far in 2024, even gaining against the US Dollar.
And this is happening even as Israel is a country facing enormous uncertainty and challenges on multiple fronts.
Prior to the Hamas attacks on October 7, 2023, there was already political turmoil around Netanyahu's judicial reform. He faced accusations of corruption that divided the country and hampered functions of government. Protests filled the streets. There was repeated gridlock in electing a government, and there were negative social and economic impacts. Rightfully so, the Israeli Shekel was in a prolonged downtrend against the US Dollar for years.
Since the attacks, Israel has entered a brutal war with enormous costs to civilian life, as well as Israel's global reputation, security and economy.
So why has the Shekel rebounded so quickly after the attacks, broken out of a multi-year downtrend, and actually been the strongest performing currency in 2024 so far?
Two reasons: 1) The Bank of Israel has stated an intention to maintain higher interest rates, while the US Federal Reserve has indicated an intention to lower rates in 2024. 2) Israel has been selling off foreign currency reserves in order to stabilize the Shekel.
How long can Israel continue selling foreign currency reserves? I didn't find the answer, but if you know or have a way to find out, please comment.
There may be other factors at play, such as covert assistance from the United States to boost the Shekel as part of financially supporting the conflict. We don't know for sure yet.
Technically, the chart points to Shekel strength ahead. The downtrend has now been broken to the upside and confirmed a retest. It's riskier due to the conflict, but the Shekel actually looks like a good play right now.
#XAUUSD 30MIN 📉 #XAUUSD 30m Sell Setup – Bearish Continuation Ahead
Gold is currently retracing after a strong drop, consolidating within a short-term Supply Zone. We anticipate a temporary bullish push toward the 3345–3350 premium area, where the broader bearish trend is expected to resume.
🔻 Sell Zone: 3345 – 3350 (Supply / OB Zone)
🎯 Targets: 3300 → 3260
❌ Stop Loss: Above 3358
⚠ Note: This is a short-term retracement, not a trend reversal.
We expect selling pressure to return once price taps into the 3350 Order Block, in line with the higher timeframe bearish structure.
#gold #XAUUSD #forexsignals #SmartMoney
7/1/25 - $bmnr - $45/shr pre mkt - if you like paying $30k/ETH7/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: AMEX:BMNR
$45/shr pre mkt - if you like paying $30k/ETH
- about $4/shr of eth... lets pay $45/shr pre market 'cuz
- listen, these guys could raise (debt) and get all creative and get you some "yield" to justify paying maybe $10... $15... (holds nose) $20... but $40? momo train wreck
- congrats if you've played this but just know what you're participating in
- after HOOD announced their L2 on arbitrum y day, and a few others have done similar (tokenizing stonks)... ETH is going no where
- many stables providers will likely own ETH out of obligation and the nexus of consensus will likely *need* to be in USSA
- so the buying pressure will be ETH from BTC
- and i'd not be surprised to see $10-15k/ETH this cycle at some pt
- i'd prefer to play thru other vehicles, will get into that another day
- but this one is too much at pre-mkt $45 lol
V
XAU/USD – Bullish Trend Faces Resistance at $3,350 XAU/USD – Bullish Trend Faces Resistance at $3,350 | Watch for Breakout or Pullback!
📅 Published on: Jul 01, 2025
✍️ By: MR_MARK0
🧠 Market Context:
Gold (XAU/USD) has been riding a strong bullish wave, pushing through multiple resistance levels. Currently, price is hovering just below the $3,350 resistance, which marks a critical level for either trend continuation or a potential pullback. Momentum remains in favor of buyers, but signs of exhaustion are beginning to surface.
🔍 Key Zones:
🔴 Resistance Zone: $3,350.0 – $3,352.5
🟢 Support Zone: $3,338.0 – $3,340.0
🟢 Demand Block: $3,310.0 – $3,315.0 (bullish base before recent breakout)
📌 Strategy in Play:
The chart reflects a Trend Continuation Strategy with key support/resistance zones identified. Price has shown strength, but we are now at a make-or-break level. Patience is crucial here.
🧭 Trade Idea:
🔁 Buy the Dip:
Entry Zone: $3,340 – $3,342
SL: Below $3,338
TP1: $3,352
TP2: $3,360
🔁 Breakout Play (Aggressive):
Entry: On breakout above $3,352 with bullish volume
SL: Below breakout candle low
TP: $3,360 and $3,372
⚠️ Risk Note:
Price is extended; a fake breakout above $3,350 may trigger a bull trap. If price fails and drops below $3,338, expect a corrective move toward $3,330 – $3,310. Watch volume divergence and candle rejection patterns.
Is there an Incoming Short Squeeze on GOPRO?Is a Short Squeeze Coming?
-GoPro carries a high short interest—around 10–11% of its float, with about 3.8 days to cover.
-Such metrics suggest potential for a short squeeze—especially if a positive catalyst appears (earnings beat, new product, etc.) .
-That said, no guaranteed squeeze is imminent. Many stocks carry high short interest without the price explosion typical of meme-stock squeezes.
Pros of Investing in GoPro
Strong Brand & Community
-Iconic in action cameras, with a dedicated user base and powerful user-generated marketing.
Turnaround Momentum
-The CEO recently waived his salary, aiming to cut operating costs and signal commitment; the company has also taken steps to reduce expenses and workforce.
Diversifying Revenue Streams
-Beyond hardware, GoPro has a subscription model (cloud storage and editing), and is exploring media/content avenues.
Cons & Risks of GoPro
High Volatility & Declining Fundamentals
-Lost ~20% of revenue in 2024 with a €432 million net loss; stock down about 90% from its highs.
-The consumer electronics industry is challenging—smartphones often cannibalize its market.
Intense Competition
-Companies like Sony, DJI, Garmin and mobile devices erode GoPro’s competitive moat.
High Beta & Speculative
-Shares have a beta ~1.98 (nearly double the market), making it highly sensitive to broader market swings.
-Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
Gold Rebounds on Dollar Weakness Eyes Key Resistance Gold has recouped 70% of its prior week's losses, driven by dollar weakness ahead of key events: Powell's speech, PMI data, and JOLTs job openings. Breaking out of its average daily range (ADR), gold trades above the $3,350 liquidity zone. Investors await fundamental data for direction. If the data favors the dollar or Powell's tone remains hawkish, gold may dip to $3,334-$3,300. Conversely, a favorable outcome could propel gold towards $3,380-$3,400 resistance levels with minimal pullback.
What is Inflation Climate and Weather? Copper is NextThe key driver of most markets — and a major influence on their trends — is inflation.
Once we understand the difference between short-term inflation weather and long-term inflation climate, we can better recognize where risk meets opportunity.
On this half yearly chart. We can see as the close on 30th June, copper settled firmly, closed above its $4.44 resistance that has been tested for years.
This study indicates that copper could be at the beginning of an uptrend. I will be looking out for buying-on-dips opportunities whenever they arise.
Mirco Copper Futures
Ticker: MHG
Minimum fluctuation:
0.0005 per pound = $1.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
www.cmegroup.com
Eurozone Economy and ECB Policy:Eurozone Economy and ECB Policy: Between Price Stability and Currency Tension
The Eurozone’s latest data points to a relatively stable and controlled macroeconomic environment, with a key milestone just reached:
📊 June inflation hit 2.0%, aligning precisely with the ECB’s long-term target.
Growth remains moderate but positive, and unemployment is stable. From a classical policy perspective, this setup would typically justify further interest rate cuts to stimulate demand and support economic expansion.
But there’s a growing complication:
The euro has strengthened significantly in recent weeks, driven not just by economic fundamentals but also by capital inflows and a weakening U.S. dollar. A stronger euro, while often seen as a sign of investor confidence, can hurt exports, reduce competitiveness, and dampen inflation further — potentially becoming a drag on recovery.
As a result, the ECB finds itself in a policy dilemma:
Cutting rates could stimulate growth, but risk driving the euro even higher.
Slowing down or pausing rate cuts could stabilize the currency, but may stall economic momentum.
---
🔁 Reflexivity at Work
This dynamic highlights George Soros' theory of reflexivity — where market perceptions shape fundamentals, and those fundamentals in turn reshape perceptions.
> “Market prices are always distorted by prevailing biases.”
— George Soros
The current rally in the euro may not reflect fundamentals alone. If the move exceeds investor expectations, it could trigger emotional reactions, abrupt capital shifts, or even corrections — despite a solid economic base.
---
⚠️ Key Takeaways
June inflation at 2.0% gives ECB a clean slate to act — but with caution.
Currency appreciation can delay or distort the impact of monetary easing.
Market reflexivity may accelerate reactions beyond what data alone would justify.
Policy credibility now hinges not just on data, but on timing and communication.
---
In today’s market, price and psychology move together. Stability on paper doesn't always mean stability in execution.
Gold Completes Move to 3330s, Poises for Second-Half ShiftGold market price fills through 3330's from 3270's, aligning with the second-half of the year’s candle formation. A bullish build-up is being poised around 3296, yet caution remains as price trades within a bearish channel between 3250’s and 3330’s. A breakout could signal a shift in market sentiment going forward. follow for more insights ,comment for more opinions , and boost idea
Speculative long: ACOGAlpha Cognition ACOG
Speculative long, microcap.
Story:
New Alzheimer drug with promising prospects. New product is since April available.
Fundamental data: not really available. Last quarter small revenue from the new product. But enough money after IPO to bring the new drug into the market.
Technical:
Multi week Breakout + consolidation on lower volume. Nice chart pattern. Near IPO price. Near all time high.
Only succesful if prodct is running. Can be volatile until next earning releas with (hopefully) good news.
Entry : ~9 $
Target: No limit ;-) but I excpect at least a double at 18.
Risk in high volatile price / breakdown to old levels..
WTI on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on WTI crude oil, the price surged to $78 but sharply retreated to the $65 zone. Over the last five days, the price has consolidated. I believe that the signals from the recent 4-hour candle suggest a potential move towards higher prices, with the next target possibly being around $72. I will be monitoring the price action around $72 closely for a potential rejection or continuation towards even higher prices."
If you need further assistance or have additional insights to share, feel free to let me know.
Nas100With speculation about no rate cuts we can expect to see Nas100 plumet with Fed Powells upcoming speech.
If we look at the technical side we can see that Nas has been somewhat consolidating over the past 2 days creating a fair amount of Sell side liquidity. We can expect Powell to speak about rat cuts today in his upcoming speech and we will use this to our advantage waiting for early buyers to push up the market triggering our setup.
We can look for a plus minus 100 pip move before Nas turns around, we will however closely monitor the movement of Nas now until the speech so that we can execute a trade with the least amount of risk.
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