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Fundamental Analysis

XRP/USDT 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D XRP chart to USD, in this situation we can see how the price lasts above the downward trend line. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price: T1 = $ 2.51 T2 = $ 2.67 Т3 = 2.79 $ t4 = $ 2.92 Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = $ 2.31 SL2 = $ 2.17 SL3 = $ 2.06 SL4 = $ 1.89 Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see how he reacted and returned to the middle of the range, which creates a place for a panty growth.
by cryptodailyuk
Us30 sellKey Elements: Price: 41,579.16 (at the time of the screenshot), showing a drop of -343.51 points (-0.82%). Zones: Weekly FVG (Fair Value Gap): Around 42,750–43,000. Daily FVG: Around 42,100. Daily High/Low: Marked around 42,095.82 (high) and 41,147.61 (low). Market Structure: CHoCH (Change of Character): Several CHoCHs marked, indicating shifts in market sentiment and structure. BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates previous bullish momentum was broken. --- Prediction Path (Orange Arrow): Suggests a possible retracement upward into the Daily FVG zone (~42,000+), then a reversal downward, breaking the Daily Low (~41,147). Final target seems to be near 40,500 or lower, with another CHoCH noted at that level—implying further bearish continuation potential. --- Interpretation: The chart suggests a bearish bias: Retracement to fill the Daily FVG. Then continuation downward, breaking key structural levels.
EIGHTCAP:US30
by traders_Hustle
Us30 sell Key Elements: Price: 41,579.16 (at the time of the screenshot), showing a drop of -343.51 points (-0.82%). Zones: Weekly FVG (Fair Value Gap): Around 42,750–43,000. Daily FVG: Around 42,100. Daily High/Low: Marked around 42,095.82 (high) and 41,147.61 (low). Market Structure: CHoCH (Change of Character): Several CHoCHs marked, indicating shifts in market sentiment and structure. BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates previous bullish momentum was broken. --- Prediction Path (Orange Arrow): Suggests a possible retracement upward into the Daily FVG zone (~42,000+), then a reversal downward, breaking the Daily Low (~41,147). Final target seems to be near 40,500 or lower, with another CHoCH noted at that level—implying further bearish continuation potential. --- Interpretation: The chart suggests a bearish bias: Retracement to fill the Daily FVG. Then continuation downward, breaking key structural levels.
EIGHTCAP:US30Short
by traders_Hustle
USDJPY: A bigger decline is expected in a broader pictureUSDJPY: A bigger decline is expected in a broader picture On the USDJPY chart I have outlined some strong technical elements: Key target levels are found near 141,200 and 138,000 Downward momentum is expected to increase, driven by macroeconomic factors related to Trump’s tariffs and the BOJ, which is also facing potential problems and may increase its bond-buying program. Another topic is related to the BOJ’s interest rates. With the increase in CPI data reported last week, the chances of the BOJ raising rates again are increasing. The price is currently around 142.55, and a break below the first support area found on the left side of the chart could signal further declines. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
XauUsd Expect ContinuationMarket Context & Fundamental Overview Gold surged 4.85% last week, closing in on the critical $3,500 resistance zone, as the U.S. Dollar came under intense pressure. Key catalysts include: Moody’s Downgrade of U.S. credit outlook, driving the DXY below 100.00 Mounting concerns over fiscal stability as the $3.8 trillion tax bill advances to the Senate Long-dated Treasury yields topped 5%, signalling investor anxiety Rising geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East (Israel–Iran risks), fuelling safe-haven demand Anticipation of a dovish shift from the Fed, with this week’s FOMC minutes (Wed) and Core PCE print (Fri) likely to influence USD direction and risk sentiment These macro conditions reinforce the bullish case for gold, providing fundamental alignment with the current technical setup. Technical Analysis (Elliott Wave Framework) Gold appears to be forming a classic 5-wave impulsive structure. Current price action suggests we are in or near the end of Wave 1, which should pullback into a key Fibonacci retracement zone (50–61.8%). Wave 1: Completed – sharp rally from previous support Wave 2: Ongoing – corrective pullback into Fib zone Wave 3: Anticipated next move – typically the strongest impulsive leg Market Structure Observations: Price respecting higher timeframe support Momentum indicators beginning to stabilise No sign of deeper invalidation yet Trade Plan Entry Strategy Aggressive Entry: Enter on a clear bounce from the Fibonacci zone (~61.8% retracement), with a strong bullish candle or momentum signal Conservative Entry: Wait for a break above the Wave 1 high to confirm trend continuation into Wave 3 Stop Loss Below the Wave 2 low / structural invalidation level Take Profit Levels TP1: $3,500 (recent high and resistance) TP2: $3,750 (projected Wave 3 target based on 1.618 Fib extension of Wave 1)
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by m0bh4y4t
#USDCHF: Will USD Breakthrough The Strong Bearish Downtrend? The USDCHF currency pair has experienced significant volatility due to the ongoing trade dispute between the United States and China, which has led to a substantial decline in the DXY index. Consequently, CHF and JPY have emerged as the most stable currencies in the market. Despite the USDCHF currency pair reversing its bullish trend, we anticipate a potential reversal back to a bearish position. We believe this reversal may be a temporary trap, and the currency pair is likely to regain its bullish position in the future. There are two potential areas where the USDCHF currency pair could reverse from its current trend. The first area is relatively early, and if the USDCHF currency pair crosses a specific region, we may have a second safe option that could provide greater stability. We extend our best wishes and best of luck in your trading endeavours. Your unwavering support is greatly appreciated. If you wish to contribute, here are several ways you can assist us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
Short
by Setupsfx_
19
Czech Republic: A Dividend HeavenThe Prague Stock Exchange (PSE) PSECZ:PX is characterized by a concentration of mature, dividend-paying companies, particularly in sectors such as energy, banking, and heavy industry. Unlike growth-focused exchanges in the U.S. or Asia, the Czech market offers relatively few stocks with high reinvestment or expansion trajectories. Preference for Payouts Over the past two decades, Czech listed companies have consistently distributed a significant share of profits as dividends. This reflects both limited reinvestment opportunities in a relatively saturated domestic market and a shareholder preference for cash returns. For example, CEZ and Komercni banka have maintained payout ratios above 70% in most years. Structural Support & Tax environment The Czech Republic provides a structurally supportive environment for dividend-oriented investors. One key advantage is the tax framework. Czech residents are exempt from capital gains tax if they hold an investment for more than three years. This strongly favors long-term investing. For non-residents, a 15% withholding tax on dividends applies—unless the investor resides in a country outside the EU/EEA that does not have a tax treaty or tax information exchange agreement with the Czech Republic. Key Dividend-Paying Companies CEZ (CEZ) PSECZ:CEZ Industry: Energy (Electricity generation and distribution) Dividend History (Gross per Share) / Dividend Yield (%) 2020: CZK 34 10.1% 2021: CZK 52 5.8% 2022: CZK 48 18.83% 2023: CZK 145 5.43% 2024: CZK 52 5.9% Dividend Growth: 2020 to 2021: +52.9% 2021 to 2022: -7.7% 2022 to 2023: +202% 2023 to 2024: -64.1% Komercni banka (KOMB) PSECZ:KOMB Industry: Banking and financial services Dividend History (Gross per Share) / Dividend Yield (%) 2020: CZK 23.9 3.63% 2021: CZK 99.3 10.62% 2022: CZK 60.42 9.22% 2023: CZK 82.7 11.41% 2024: CZK 91.3 10.76% Dividend Growth: 2020 to 2021: +315.6% 2021 to 2022: -39.2% 2022 to 2023: +36.9% 2023 to 2024: +10.4% Moneta Money Bank (MONET) PSECZ:MONET Industry: Banking and financial services Dividend History (Gross per Share) / Dividend Yield (%) 2020: CZK 0 (dividend suspended) 2021: CZK 3 10.67% 2022: CZK 7 10.53% 2023: CZK 8 12.82% 2024: CZK 9 8.08% Dividend Growth: 2020 to 2021: N/A 2021 to 2022: +133.3% 2022 to 2023: +14.3% 2023 to 2024: +12.5%
PSECZ:PXLong
by Tears_of_Yeltsin
XAUUSD Expecting Bullish movementSupport Zone Red Box 3340_3345 This is a key demand zone where buyers previously stepped in aggressively causing a sharp upward reversal Blue Line 3350 A potential short-term support level likely a recent resistance turned support Resistance Targets Marked in Green Level 1 3370 First bullish target where partial profit-taking may occur. Level 2 3380 Second resistance level Final Target 3392 Strong resistance zone and potential end of the current bullish leg
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by GOLD_FORCAST_PROVIDER
Solana SOLUSD Periodic Analysis-Issue 84 (Free Access)The analyst believes that the price of SOL/USD will decrease within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend. ___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
BINANCE:SOLUSDShort
by MoonriseTA
Bitcoin Expecting Bearish Trend Recently, Bitcoin successfully reached our target, hitting a new all-time high around $112,000. This milestone marked a significant achievement, driven by improving fundamental data and bullish sentiment. However, the rally was short-lived. Following the recent speech from Donald Trump, market momentum shifted, and profit-taking intensified. Technically, Bitcoin appears to have formed a false breakout above the global resistance level at 110,000, which was the previous all-time high. Currently, Bitcoin may be entering a consolidation phase, potentially trading within a range of $106,000 to $104,000 in the short term. Traders should watch this range closely, as a breakout below could trigger deeper corrections, while a strong rebound could signal renewed bullish momentum. Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks for Supporting.
Short
by MrMartin_11
115% Up-Movement BullishCurrent stock price holding at both 200MA and P.Low(Previous Low) Both acts as Very Solid and strong Support levels. theres two Resistances P.High(Previous high) and P.Low with profit 33% & 43% respectively. After that the major Resistance at P.High with 115% profit. Worse Case Scenario: with Current news of US tariff EU 50% we may get bearish session which is normal and healthy (please no drama don't panic) the P.High(Previous High Level below current price support of both 200MA and P.Low acts as near and safe Support level watch out for Strong Buyers stepping in ( BTW Cathie Wood's just bought the stock Today! you know what i mean right :] ) I believe unlikely we visit 7$ price which is strongest support level ever which will never be going lower than that but yes unlikely to go there its instant all-in buy. And to get in easily and safely wait for this scenario to happen: Scenarios One: Strong Buying Volume With Reversal Candle. Any Pre-market strong buying also Confirm the direction from current price level. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
NASDAQ:LUNR
by Faisalzor
Gold swing trade idea target 1000 pips * **Pair**: XAUUSD * **Timeframe**: 1H (1 Hour) * **Platform**: TradingView (OANDA feed) * **Trade Type**: Long (Buy) * **Entry**: 3,318.36 * **TP (Take Profit)**: \~3,419.30 * **SL (Stop Loss)**: Likely in the 3,290–3,295 range (based on visual zone) --- ## 🔍 Trade Breakdown ### ✅ **1. Pattern Recognition: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout** * The white converging trendlines form a **symmetrical triangle** — classic continuation or reversal structure. * **Breakout occurred to the upside**, triggering the long entry at 3,318. * **Volume Delta Box** just below shows accumulation, suggesting smart money positioning pre-breakout. --- ### 🧠 **2. Confluence Zone for Entry** * **Entry** level (3318.36) is: * **Just above 0.618 Fibonacci retracement** * Sits at the **triangle apex breakout retest** * Inside a high **delta volume node** (buyers outpaced sellers) This suggests **institutional accumulation** and a **"discounted" long entry** relative to prior range. --- ### 🔁 **3. Fibonacci Levels** * The chart includes multiple Fib retracement overlays: * From most recent **impulse wave down** and **overall swing** * 0.5 and 0.618 retracement zones align with: * **Rejection-to-support flip** * Breakout confirmation levels * This is a classic **smart money technique**: wait for structure break, enter on retrace to equilibrium (0.618/0.5). --- ### 📦 **4. Order Blocks and Imbalance Zones** * Several **red and orange blocks** highlight prior **liquidity zones**: * The large red zone below entry (around 3,295) was swept, likely inducing stop hunts → now **demand zone** * Entry avoids this volatility and lands **just above reaccumulation zone** * Also a visible **imbalance fill area** around 3,318, now tested and held — supporting bullish case. --- ### 🧮 **5. Risk-Reward and Positioning** * **TP** at \~3,419.30 (just below 3,435 structure high) gives **R\:R over 3:1**, possibly even 4:1. * SL is **tight under recent minor low** and under discount zone, which is key. * Clear definition of: * **Premium pricing** (target) * **Discount pricing** (entry) * Fits within a **smart money concept (SMC)** framework. --- ### 💡 Summary of the Method Used | Element | Technique Used | Notes | | ---------------- | --------------------------- | ---------------------------------------- | | **Structure** | Symmetrical Triangle | Breakout to upside confirmed | | **Volume** | Delta Volume & Order Blocks | Accumulation below breakout | | **Fib Tools** | Multi-layered retracements | Entry at 0.618 area, TP at Fib extension | | **SMC Concepts** | Discount/Premium Zones | Entry in discount, targeting premium | | **Risk-Reward** | \~3:1 to 4:1 | SL tight, TP near major structure high | --- ### 🟢 Professional Verdict This trade setup is **technically sound** and based on **smart money concepts**, **volume profile**, and **price structure breakout**. It uses: * Entry at value (post-breakout retest) * Strong confluences (Fib, trendlines, volume delta) * Defined risk, clean target * Logical narrative: **accumulation → breakout → retest → expansion** If price holds above 3318 and momentum continues, the **3419–3435 zone is very reachable**.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by F0rexBorex
1
Gold weekly chart with both buy and sell entries ### 🧭 **Chart Overview** * **Timeframe**: 1H (1 Hour) * **Platform**: TradingView (OANDA feed) * **Indicators**: * **Moving Averages** (likely EMA or SMA, 5/10/20/50/100/200) * **MACD** * **RSI** * **Buy Zones (Green Lines)**: Upper areas * **Sell Zones (Red Lines)**: Lower areas * **Price at time of analysis**: \~\$3,364 --- ### 🔍 **Technical Indicator Analysis** #### 📉 **MACD** * **Current Status**: Bullish momentum present. * MACD line is above signal line, showing upward pressure. * Histogram is slightly weakening, signaling **momentum may be slowing**, but no bearish crossover yet. #### 📊 **RSI** * RSI \~66–70, approaching overbought territory. * Indicates **strong bullish strength**, but **potential for short-term pullback**. #### 📈 **Moving Averages** * Price is above all key MAs (short to long-term). * **MA stack is aligned bullishly** (short above long), indicating trend continuation bias. * Especially price above 200MA — strong bullish confirmation. --- ### 🧱 **Key Technical Zones** #### 🔼 **Buy Zones (Green Lines)** * Ranging from **\~3367 to \~3501**. * Current price is testing **3367** — a key **resistance-turned-potential-entry**. * If price breaks and closes above **3367**, watch for: * **3410**, **3445**, and **3480–3501** targets. * Strong momentum continuation with little resistance above. #### 🔽 **Sell Zones (Red Lines)** * Stacked from **\~3360 down to 3188**. * Minor intraday support forming at **3340–3324** (watch these for scalping/pullbacks). * Breakdown below **3320** could initiate deeper pullback to: * **3280**, **3240**, **3218**, then **3188**. --- ### 📌 **Current Market Structure** * **Higher Highs and Higher Lows** forming since \~May 13th. * Uptrend confirmed on H1. * Price respected trendline support around **May 15–20**. * MACD + RSI + MA alignment all confirm bullish bias. --- ### 🧠 **My 20-Year Trader Insight** #### 🟢 **Buy Bias IF**: * Clean break and retest of **3367**, then ride to **3410 → 3445**. * Scalpers could nibble at **3340–3320** dips if RSI cools. #### 🔴 **Sell Setup ONLY IF**: * Strong bearish divergence shows on RSI + MACD crossover. * Breakdown below **3320** confirms shift in short-term sentiment. * Use **3367** as invalidation for shorts — don’t fight momentum unnecessarily. --- ### 🔁 **Trade Plan Suggestion** | Strategy | Entry | SL | TP | | ---------------- | ---------------------------- | ---------- | --------------------------- | | 🔼 Buy Breakout | 3370 (confirmed close above) | 3340 | 3410 → 3445 | | 🔄 Buy Pullback | 3324–3340 zone | Below 3300 | 3360 → 3370 | | 🔽 Sell Reversal | Below 3320 | 3367 | 3280 → 3240 (partial), 3218 | --- ### ⚠️ Final Thoughts * **Trend is bullish**, but nearing exhaustion short-term. * Wait for **confirmation** at 3367 breakout OR healthy pullback to reload long. * Avoid premature shorting unless multiple bearish confirmations appear.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
1
Going long on pullbacks remains the mainstream.Fundamentals: Risk aversion is still the mainstream in the current market; risk aversion funds and risk aversion sentiment are still dominant in the gold market; although risk aversion and bullish sentiment have weakened at the war and trade war levels; the overall global fundamentals have not returned to their original state; behind various small fundamentals, there is still the possibility of triggering various risk events Gold continued to rise on Friday due to the rise in risk aversion caused by tariffs, and the price of gold continued to rise to around 3365, and the daily line closed with a full big positive line again. If gold can successfully break through and stabilize in the 3360-3365 range in the future, the bull market is expected to regain its dominant position. From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, the price of gold continues to rise based on the unilateral moving average. Although there is a temporary divergence in the current indicators, in terms of form, the price of gold has achieved a short-term break. Next Monday, it is necessary to focus on the support strength of the 3345-3335 position, and the upper pressure range is maintained at 3365-3375. Do not blindly chase the rise before successfully breaking through and stabilizing. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to wait for the opportunity to step back, buy on dips, and continue to be bullish on gold prices. If gold can continue its strong performance next week, it is expected to test the previous high of 3430-3440 again.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
GBPJPY Breaks Higher: Bullish Momentum in PlayGBPJPY Breaks Higher: Bullish Momentum in Play GBPJPY has broken out of a bullish triangle, signaling potential for further gains. Yesterday, GBPJPY surged 170 pips in 10 hours, showing strong momentum. The pair could continue rising towards 193.50 and 194.00 as accumulation seems to have ended. The breakout is reinforced by strong UK retail sales, which came in at +1.2% vs. +0.2% expected, boosting GBP strength. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
15
Safe Entry LMT Currently stock price near P.High (Previous High) which acts as strong resistance, Current stock news with USA golden defense shield (wutever it called) support the stock to change tides and to start moving UP strongly. Each Take Profit Line is where you focus and check for any selling pressure to secure your profit as swing trader if you mid term trader just wait till it hits the last Take Profit Line. In worse case scenario if price didnt go Above Current strong resistacne (which I strongly believe it will go higher and go through it easily) the P.Low(Previous Low) Acts as Strong Support level for safest entry. And to get in easily and safely wait for this scenario to happen: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Any Pre-market strong buying also Confirm the direction from current price level. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. Note: at Take Profit Lines Always watch out for any selling pressure to exist your position and secure profit.
NYSE:LMTLong
by Faisalzor
A deep dive into Gold's FundamentalsIn short: We will likely be respecting the downward resistance. Therefore I'm short on Gold and aim for the upward (red) trend line, the move marked by the red arrow. If Gold were to experience the same rejection as previously, it could go lower to sub 3100 with a final TP at or below the 1.272 fib. Analysis: The surge to ATH was a massive move from 2956 to 3500, an increase of 18.4% within just 15 days caused mostly by Trump's Tariffs War. Subsequently, it fell by 8.5% within just 10 days to the support level of 3200. Within 5.5 days however, it reached back to the 0.786 fib level of 3436 amounting to a 7.4% surge. Hereafter, it fell again as this fib level showed strong resistance, creating a Lower High and subsequently a Lower Low of 3120 on May 15th, falling by 9% in 8 days and 8 hours. We're now at a very interesting spot, as we hit both the trendline of Lower Highs and the 0.786 resistance of 3370 (which we missed by just 0.14%, though this deviation from this fib level is acceptable) We did not see a candle close above this trendline of Lower Highs on the Hourly chart or above, only on the lower timeframes, where after closing above this trendline saw a drop and close below it again - this happened a couple of times and confirms strong resistance at this level. If this level is actual resistance, and formed another Lower High, we'll be looking at a retracement to the fib zone of 1.272 and 1.414 - this has been the Lower Low zone twice already; surge from April 17th of 3283 to April 22nd of 3500 resulted in a retracement to 3201 on May 1st, between the 1.272 fib (3224) and 1.414 fib (3193). The second Low was created on May 15th at 3120, which again was between fib 1.272 (3137) and fib 1414 (3103) of the surge from 3201 to 3428. If this pattern repeats after hitting just shy of the 0.786 retracement surge, we will be looking at a potential Lower Low between the 1.272 and 1.414 fibs again which is between 3053 and 3018 respectively. However, there are strong support levels on the way down there giving possible bounce or reversal potential - make or break of these levels are now highly news-driven. Tariffs & trade deals, war & conflicts, FED & economic data will be the main drivers in the couple of weeks to come. Below are some fundamental points which I take into consideration with direct or indirect impact for gold. Note how we sit at the exact 0.786 Fib level drawn from February 28th low to April 22nd high. Since we weren't able to push through it with confidence yet, this still acts as a strong resistance. This combined with the fact that we're in a confluence move where we are more likely to react to resistances negatively, gives way to finding support for a bullish continuation. However, the downward pressure with such a lot of resistances often times leads to finding support lower than the first couple of support levels. Most direct support can be found between 3290 and 3320. Though being a somewhat larger range for support, it signals possible (maybe even preferred) decline to this zone for accumulation. If this zone were to hold, another try can be made for a bullish breakout of this downward trend we're in since the 3500 high. Whereas failure of finding support in this zone will lead to Lower Lows again and finding support further down. A significant support level is 3245 - 3250 where it has struggled to break through before this run-up. This has actually a higher chance of bouncing and reversing bullish again than the 3290-3320 zone where the downward pressure will be higher than at this particular support level. DXY - Dollar Index The index has tried numerous times to settle above the psychological level of 100 points. However, the downward trend of January this year has shown much resistance and sharp declines when touching or even nearing the trend line. In a different analysis I had pathed a way for DXY to recover and surge to about 103.500 level. This, however, seems very much unlikely now in the short term. If it keeps failing in finding support, a further decline is expected to below 97.500 points this month. Though this is highly subject to what the Euro Index (EXY) will be capable of (more down below) and what the FED has to show for on the subject of (delayed) rate cuts and rumours of even a possible rate hike. FED Not that long ago, it was projected that the FED would cut interest rats with 25bps to 4 - 4.25 %. On April 25th it showed a probability of 57.2% of a rate cut on June 18th whereas the probability now sits at just 5.6%. The probability for a rate cut in July went down as well from 41.1% for 25bps cut to now 23.9% - where the current rate saw an increase of probability from 7.9% to now 74.9%. Even September is showing stronger expectations of a continued neutral stance by the FED with the chances of no change in interest rates (425-450) rising from 1.6% in April to 40% now. Here also the chances for a rate cut in September to 375-400 points went down from 42.1% to 11.8%. These changes in probability of rate cuts for the months to come show that the market is not anticipating a rate cut anytime soon. Though the probabilities for a rate hike are minimal, to say the least, the fact that the FED is concerned about possible rising inflation combined with a stronger-than-expected employment level, shows why they are hesitant to cut interest rates prematurely like they did during COVID. As there might be need for an actual rate hike when inflation will start rising because of the tariffs and price increases by businesses, it's sensible for the FED to await further data to confidently support a change in rates so that any change made won't possibly further damage the situation the US economy is in. EXY - Euro Index Despite the rate cuts performed by the ECB, the Euro Index has been on a strong rise since its higher low in early January. This can mainly be contributed to the fact that Trump's policies have redirected most foreign investors away from the Dollar and into the Euro. If the EXY is able to strongly break through the decade-long resistance, which now sits around 114, and is able to make it support, DXY will face more downward pressure. However, since it already broke through on 21st of April and has since then came back down below this resistance, it shows that it might be respecting this resistance and with the rate cuts on the Euro it will most likely continue to decline. The Euro-USD pair also shows such a decline in the short term, with a target of 1.10. Trade Deals Trump and Bessent stated that there are numerous trade deals finished and ready to be announced, numbers ranging between 14 and 27. It was actually expected to have come out last week already but we have not heard anything around trade deals apart from it being ready to be presented and the failure of negotiations between the US and EU - resulting in another 50% tariff starting from June 1st if EU fails to cooperate in the negotiations. Even though the ECB has cut interest rates 7 times already, the financial markets see a 90% chance of the ECB cutting rates again in June, July and August. It is projected that the interest rate will be cut to around 1.75% in September, which is a huge decline from the 4% + start of this year. This will eventually weigh heavily on the EXY and EUR-USD as the tariffs war continues easing, putting upward pressure to the Dollar Index as the Euro makes up for about 54% of the DXY. Russo-Ukraine War Despite the ongoing peace talks and prisoner exchange, Russia launched the war's biggest drone and airstrike attack on Kyiv this weekend. Analysts suggest that this is part of Russia's plan to strengthen their position in the peace talks and gain slightly more than they would be able to some weeks ago. Pressure is being build on both parties to come to an agreement and even agree to a ceasefire during the negotiations. Russia, however, did not want to accept an unconditional ceasefire and 'would not react positively to any ultimatum presented by Ukraine / the West'. This shows reluctance on Russia's part to end the war as quickly as possible. This reluctance will start fading when the G7 will bring about more sanctions, further strangling the Russian economy. Asian Central Banks and Markets Japan, Australia and China are on the same path as the European Union, cutting interest rates on concerns of slowing economic growth. Usually when they cut interest rates, their currency devalues against the dollar. This, surprisingly enough, has not been the case for Japan's Yen as of late - though it will probably short-lived) We've seen quite substantial sell-offs in gold recently in Asian Market Sessions because of devaluing currencies against the dollar, make the opportunity cost of buying and holding gold higher. Treasury Bills Data shows that, despite the loss of confidence in the US Dollar, the major foreign holders of US Treasuries have actually been on a steady increase - with China, Hong Kong, Ireland and UAE being the only major holders whom have been offloading US T-Bills. It was rumoured that Japan would offload its massive stockpile of T-Bills but with the ongoing tariffs negotiations they have stated that they would not leverage their stockpile as a bargaining chip in the negotiations. Despite news outlets claiming Japan was already offloading T-Bills, data actually shows an increase in their foreign holdings. The offloading done by the earlier mentioned countries are relatively minor, historically speaking. The reason for rising Treasury Yields is not that the demand is too low and thus increases the yields, but more likely that the increased supply is outgrowing the current demand. As the US has a big debt to cover this year, their supply of T-Bills are understandably growing. This is simply not being made at the same pace mostly because of the tariffs war which has put significant pressure on the Dollar and foreign investors are thus anticipating higher yields in the short-term. Yields are now just below their recent 3-month high, and starts showing further decline in Yields as this high level of yields have not been seen a lot in the past 2 decades. Therefore it is expected for yields to slowly come down again with foreign investors increasing demand slightly, putting further upward pressure on the Dollar.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by BlazedSheepz
8
STAR breakout candidateThis is the chart of Strides pharma science ltd. The stock currently is trading sideways. Stock has approached the resistance with very high relative volume. Stock has continuously performed financially well with triple digit earnings growth and margins expansion. The recent approach to resistance with very high relative volume suggests a high probability for breaking out resistance zone because the stock has very high earnings but not reflected in price hence the reason. Keep watching the stock.
NSE:STARLong
by SamruddhiConsulting
EURJPYEUR/JPY Economic Data, Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–31, 2025) Key Economic Data Releases (May 25–31, 2025) Date Time (UTC) Region Event Impact Previous Consensus May 25 18:40 USD Fed Chair Powell Speech High — — May 25 23:01 EUR Consumer Confidence (May) Low 58.7 59.1 May 26 05:00 EUR PPI YoY (Apr) Low 0.5% 1.1% May 26 05:00 JPY Leading Economic Index (Mar) Low 108.2 107.7 May 26 05:00 JPY Coincident Index (Mar) Low 117.3 116.0 May 26 10:00 EUR Balance of Trade (Mar) Low -€0.61B -€0.68B May 28 06:45 EUR GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q1) Low -0.1% 0.1% May 28 07:55 EUR Unemployment Rate (May) High 6.3% 6.3% May 29 05:00 JPY Consumer Confidence (May) High 31.2 31.8 May 29 23:30 JPY Tokyo Core CPI YoY (May) Low 3.4% 3.5% Key Focus: Eurozone unemployment (May 28) and Japanese consumer confidence (May 29) are high-impact events. Fed Chair Powell’s speech (May 25) may also influence USD-driven crosswinds in EUR/JPY. 10-Year Bond Yields (as of May 22–24, 2025) Eurozone 10-Year Yield: 3.17% (up from 3.15% previous day, 3.10% YoY) . Japan 10-Year JGB Yield: 1.57% (up from 1.53% previous day, 1.01% YoY) . Interest Rate Differential:3.17%(EUR)−1.57% (JPY)=+1.60% the 3.17% (EUR)−1.57% (JPY)=+1.60% Carry Trade Advantage The 1.60% yield spread favors the euro, making EUR/JPY attractive for carry trades. Investors borrow JPY at low rates and invest in EUR-denominated assets to profit from the differential. Key Considerations: Upcoming Data Impact: Stronger-than-expected Eurozone data (e.g., GDP, unemployment) could widen the yield spread, boosting EUR/JPY. Higher Japanese CPI or consumer confidence might tighten BoJ policy, raising JGB yields and narrowing the spread. Technical Outlook: EUR/JPY is sensitive to risk sentiment. Geopolitical tensions or USD volatility (from Powell’s speech) could disrupt carry trade flows. Historical Context: The Eurozone yield is above its long-term average (2.48%) , while Japan’s remains below its average (2.06%) , reflecting divergent monetary policies. Summary Table Metric Eurozone (EURO Japan (JPY) 10-Year Bond Yield 3.17% 1.57% Interest Rate Differential +1.60% — Key Economic Events Unemployment, GDP Consumer Confidence, CPI Conclusion The EUR/JPY pair is supported by a 1.60% yield differential, favoring carry trades. However, upcoming Eurozone unemployment data (May 28) and Japanese consumer confidence (May 29) could shift bond yields and the exchange rate. Traders should monitor these releases alongside broader risk sentiment to assess carry trade viability. #EURJPY
by Shavyfxhub
ETH cheaper than $1,500 already this SUMMER? Hi! While many are already predicting an alt-season and hundreds of X's, let's see if it's really so? 🤔 While bitcoin is updating ATH day by day. ETH is still trading almost 40% cheaper than its peak in this cycle . And on the low time frame it is already forming a double top pattern, signaling a downside risk in the near future. With the current growth we have closed a small GAP at the level of 2,250 - 2,650. But there is still a GAP above us in the zone of 2,800 - 3,250. In addition, below us there is now a GAP formed in the range of 1,850 - 2,450. And as we know, 99% of GAPs tend to close sooner or later. ❓ But here's the question - which one will close sooner? Let's get to the bottom of it! ⚙️ Indicators and metrics: MACD - has already given a bearish section, signaling a potential trend change. Volume - since February 3, all further declines, the volume of ETH purchases has only declined, signaling a decline in interest in the asset. Even at 1400 and below, buying volumes were still disastrously low . Showing the lack of interest in the asset even at such prices. VRVP - shows buying and selling volumes at price levels in relation to each other. It is noticeable that at the levels of 2,400 - 2,750 the trading volumes increase significantly , and in both directions. Showing that this level is still a strong resistance , and the mood in ETH is extremely speculative and few people are interested in it at 1,400, but at 2,500 it is good choice! 😁 📌 Conclusion: In my opinion, this was a purely technical rebound for ETH after a long decline . As well as for the altcoin market as a whole. Those altcoins that were simply declining more rapidly than others are the ones that are growing fastest now. Besides, I remind you that summer is coming soon and there will be less liquidity on the market. So unless the current market conditions push ETH to 3,000 and above . We can definitely not expect it in summer and the most probable scenario in my opinion is blue. I don't think we will see ETH at 1,500 and below (unless Trump does something weird), but it is possible to close GAP and go to 1,800.
Short
by Crypto_Inside_trading
1
FIL 1D – Compression Before DecisionPrice testing confluence zone at $2.78–$2.86 (50 EMA + prior support shelf). Bear Load 75% but fading momentum — low volume on red candles. MACD histogram printing higher lows. Signal lines coiling. 100 EMA still overhead, but bulls defended 50 EMA with conviction. Shorts pressed, but no follow-through — market indecisive. Holding above $2.74 keeps structure intact. Break back above $2.93 reactivates bullish bias toward $3.20+. #FILUSD #Filecoin #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarkets #Quant #SwingTrade #EMA
KRAKEN:FILUSDLong
by BroLal
8
Ather Energy Rangebound, But ₹330 Breakout Could Spark Upside... Ather Energy’s Maiden Quarterly Results Reflect Positive Momentum Ather Energy recently reported its first quarterly results, showcasing a significant improvement in its financial performance. Revenue surged by approximately one-third, while EBITDA loss contracted to ₹172 crore from ₹239 crore year-on-year, indicating a clear path towards profitability. On the technical front, Ather Energy’s stock is consolidating within a defined range, with the ₹330 level as a key resistance point. A sustained breakout above ₹330, accompanied by strong volume, could trigger a bullish continuation and offer a potential long trade opportunity. Traders should monitor price action closely around this level and confirm the breakout before entering long positions.
NSE:ATHERENERG
by Kartik_Elkunchwar