Get started

Fundamental Analysis

BTC - Ranges overview Let's have a look at BTC and how it is currently trading. As noted in our previous BTC trade idea IF we held 100K we should expect higher prices and price discovery - with new all time highs. We got it around 111K so let's see how we play from here. You will not that we played perfectly off the opening week FVG gap (blue box) before pushing up towards new all time highs. IF we hold the current sellside expect us to continue higher towards new all time highs. IF we fail to hold the current sellside liquidity and get a clean break below last week's opening week FVG gap expect us to trade back towards 98K. As always WAIT for the MARKET TO SHOW YOU ITS HAND AND TRADE WITH IT. Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
by Patrick2707
XAUUSD H4 STRUCTURE OUTLOOK – MAY 26, 2025📍 Price: 3,358 Bias: Bullish, but watch for major resistance and fakeouts at highs 🔎 STRUCTURAL ZONES TO WATCH Zone Type Price Range Reason / Confluence 🟥 PREMIUM SUPPLY 3,415–3,440 H4/H1 OB + FVG, unmitigated supply, previous HH sweep, top risk 🟥 SELL INTEREST 3,390–3,410 FVG + micro supply, previous LH zone, NY session high trap 🟦 MID FLIP ZONE 3,344–3,360 Recent CHoCH, local S/R flip, base of last impulsive move 🟩 SUPPORT #1 3,309–3,325 H4 OB + FVG, prior bounce, 21/50 EMA zone 🟩 SUPPORT #2 3,279–3,295 H4 demand, sweep + FVG, retest of previous structure 🟦 DEEP DEMAND 3,254–3,265 Strong OB, last HL, aligns with deep liquidity sweep on HTF 📈 QUICK CONTEXT (PA/RSI/EMA) Trend: Still bullish on H4, but approaching exhaustion into supply PA: Clean HH/HL, but sellers are waiting at the top RSI: Overbought zone – potential for sharp rejection near premium EMAs: Price above all EMAs (5/21/50/100/200), short-term stretched 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT Geopolitics: Middle East, US inflation, global uncertainty still fueling safe haven flows News: Monday open – watch for liquidity grabs and fakeouts in both directions ⚡️ HOW TO TRADE THESE ZONES Only react to confirmation (BOS, CHoCH, or engulf) on M15/M5 at key levels Avoid chasing candles at highs – best trades come from liquidity sweeps or trap zones Be patient around NY session for high-volume fakeouts 🎯 KEY LEVELS RECAP POI Price Range Bias Premium Supply 3,415–3,440 Sell trap / reversal zone Sell Interest 3,390–3,410 Short if rejection confirmed Mid Flip Zone 3,344–3,360 PA magnet, S/R reaction Support #1 3,309–3,325 Buy bounce on structure Support #2 3,279–3,295 Demand, look for sweep bounces Deep Demand 3,254–3,265 Extreme liquidity zone, last line of bulls Friendly Tip: Mark your key levels and watch price like a true sniper – don’t chase, wait for the trap! Which zone are you watching for the next big move? Drop your thoughts below, give a like if you value this structure, and follow for real-time gold plans and no-nonsense market insight. Stay sharp, team! 💡✨ — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
4
XAUUSD DAILY OUTLOOK – MAY 26, 2025📍 Current Price: 3,358 Bias: Bullish momentum with “caution” – ready for liquidity sweeps and potential intraday trap moves. 📈 Quick PA/Trend/Risk Check Trend: Bullish, but price hit major supply; expect high volatility. Price Action: Multiple daily wicks = indecision, liquidity traps both sides. RSI: Still in overbought territory on D1, but not at extremes. EMAs: All trending up, with 21/50 EMA as bounce supports below price. 🌍 Macro/Mood/News Geopolitics: Middle East + Fed talks = increased headline risk, no clear direction. News: US inflation, FOMC, and “risk-off” spikes could trigger traps into supply or deep sweeps into demand. ⚡️ How to Use Don’t chase breakouts! Wait for M5/M15 confirmation (BOS/CHoCH or engulf) at the above zones. Watch for liquidity sweeps and fakeouts, especially into 3,415–3,440 and 3,305–3,325. Use RSI/EMA/FVG as extra confluence for your entry confirmation. 🎯 Key Levels Table – Copy/Paste Ready POI Level Bias Premium Trap 3,415–3,440 Watch for fake breakout/sell Sell Zone 3,388–3,408 Short if rejected strongly S/R Flip 3,360–3,375 PA Magnet Support #1 3,305–3,325 Bullish bounce Support #2 3,199–3,220 Bullish bounce Deep Discount 3,012–3,040 Last-resort buy Stay focused, don’t force trades – sniper mode only! Drop a comment, follow, and join the conversation! — GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
4
First solar — long-term opportunity before the spotlight📈 Bought 7 shares @ $154.70 💰 Total investment: $1,083.25 ⸻ Turned my attention to the energy sector, and more specifically, First Solar (FSLR). Why First Solar? ✅ Energy isn’t in the spotlight right now — which means valuations are still attractive. The best time to buy is before the market catches on. ✅ Strongest player among competitors — solid fundamentals and leading technology in the solar space. ✅ Consistent revenue growth and profitability — this isn’t a speculative bet, it’s a profitable company. 📊 Key Fundamentals + P/E: 13.45 — significantly below the industry average of 24+ + P/BV: 2.08 — attractive for a growth-focused energy company + ROE: 15.45% — solid return on equity shows strong management efficiency + Debt: Clean balance sheet — no red flags + Morningstar Fair Value: $168 + Simply Wall St Fair Value: $249 📉 Market Mispricing? With multiple sources showing fair value above current levels, and fundamentals in great shape, First Solar looks undervalued in the current market environment. This is a long-term positioning move, not a short-term trade. I’m happy to accumulate more if the price consolidates or dips. ⸻ 📌 Not financial advice. Always do your own research before investing.
NASDAQ:FSLRLong
by grigori-ilkevich
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook (May 26–30, 2025)👋 Hey GoldMindsFX Fam! 📍 Current Price: 3,358 🗓 Timeframe: Weekly Bias: Bullish-with-caution, looking for first signs of real pullback or fresh squeeze. 🔍 REFINED WEEKLY STRUCTURE ZONES Zone Type Price Range Context / Confluence 🟥 Premium Supply/FVG 3,480–3,515 Fibo 2.0 extension wick high, supply unmitigated, strong rejection risk if spiked. 🟪 Upper Trap / Reversal 3,415–3,440 FVG+OB combo, previous bull trap zone, micro liquidity sweep. 🟦 Mid-Resistance / S/R Flip 3,375–3,388 Weekly PA reaction (last close rejection zone), possible magnet for news-driven retests. 🟩 Demand/Support #1 3,250–3,265 Clean OB + FVG, demand that sent price to new high, SMC structure confirmed here. 🟩 Demand/Support #2 3,172–3,188 Weekly demand, liquidity sweep (post-CPI), reaction base before latest impulse up. 🟦 Discount Block 3,065–3,100 Last unmitigated OB + FVG combo, only reached if sentiment reverses heavy or big news shock. 📈 Trend, PA & RSI Insights Trend: Bullish, but big wicks + RSI divergence suggest a pause is near. Price Action: Last impulse is losing steam; lots of rejection wicks above 3,400. PA signals “distribution” up top. RSI: Still overbought – ideal for fade setups if price enters supply. Fibo Extensions: 1.618 tapped and rejected (3,440 zone) 2.0 = 3,515 (major upper limit for May unless new shock) 🌍 Macro/News Context Geopolitics: Ongoing tension (Ukraine, Middle East), central bank gold demand, China accumulating, hot US inflation. Market feels nervous: Powell’s last speech + CPI/UoM confusion = chop and volatility spikes possible. Watch for fakeouts on news spikes into upper zones. 🧠 Key Takeaway Bulls: Only strong above 3,388 close, but risk of traps grows with each spike. Bears: Look for rejection/CHoCH above 3,440–3,480. If 3,250 breaks, 3,170–3,100 opens fast. ⚡️ Weekly Gameplan (No SL/TP) Premium POIs: 3,480–3,515: Extreme supply, reversal watch zone 3,415–3,440: Main liquidity trap for NY news 3,375–3,388: Magnet zone for intraday retests Discount POIs: 3,250–3,265: Best bullish support on structure 3,172–3,188: Secondary demand, high bounce probability 3,065–3,100: Deep liquidity block for max FOMO shakeout Stay sharp, don’t chase FOMO wicks. Let price come to your POI — and as always, flow with structure, not the hype. Drop a 🔥 if you’re riding this weekly flow! — GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
USDCAD Short Setup – Support Broken, More Downside Ahead?Bias: ✅ Strong Sell Timeframe: 4H Pair: USDCAD Week: 26–30 May 2025 ⸻ 🔍 Technical Setup: USDCAD just broke a major support zone around 1.3732, opening the door for continued downside into the next demand zone. • Entry: Break and retest or continuation below 1.3732 • Stop Loss: Above resistance at 1.3813 • Take Profit: Next support near 1.3467 • Risk-Reward Ratio: ~3.9R • Structure: Lower highs, clean breakdown, bearish momentum ⸻ 🧠 Macro Confluence: • 📉 USD Weakness: Dovish Fed, weak macro outlook (Investogenie Score 1.8 ↓) • 🇨🇦 CAD Recovery: Hawkish BoC, conditional score surged from 2 → 10 • 📊 Seasonals: CAD favored • 🧾 COT: Net bearish shift in USD, CAD corrective phase expected • ⚠️ News Risk: CAD GDP & US GDP this week could accelerate the move ⸻ ⚠️ Risk Notes: • Watch for FOMC and GDP reports before scaling positions • Break & close confirmed – trail stops on lower timeframe ⸻ 📌 Momentum is in favor – ride the breakdown, but stay data-aware. Share setups or feedback below 👇
Long
by wajahatarif
#XAUUSD: +2000 Pips Correction US-China Trade Deal ConfirmedGold has experienced a significant decline in recent days, primarily due to fundamental market factors that have caused its price to fall from 3430 to 3209, resulting in a loss of approximately 2210 pips. Consequently, we recommend that you consider selling Gold if it aligns with your analysis and assessment. It is imperative that you implement strict risk management measures while trading Gold. It is important to note that this analysis does not guarantee a price decline or that the market will behave as described. Therefore, we strongly advise you to conduct thorough trade planning before making any trading decisions. We extend our sincere gratitude for your unwavering support over the years. Our primary objective is to assist you in making well-informed decisions. Therefore, we encourage you to contact us if you have any inquiries or require further information. Additionally, we would be delighted to receive your insights on which cryptocurrency pair you would like to explore next. Please do not hesitate to share your preferences. Best regards, Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Setupsfx_
21
XAUUSD[GOLD]: Another Possible Swing Sell Happening! Swing MoveGold rejected twice as we had described in our last two analyses on Gold. We remain heavily bearish on Gold and expect a swift bearish move within the next week or following week. We are eyeing two targets. Please use this analysis accordingly and avoid overtrading. This is not a confirmation, and do not use the marked arrow as an entry or exit point. The marked red area drawn there represents a potential reversal zone from which price may reverse. As always, this analysis does not guarantee that price will move as described in the chart. Please use your own knowledge and trading plan while trading Gold. Good luck and trade safely. Want to support us? Do the following ❤️ -LIKE THE IDEA -COMMENT YOUR VIEW -SHARE IF YOU AGREE Much love ❤️ Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Setupsfx_
11
XAUUSD Monthly Outlook – May 2025👋 Hey GoldMindsFX! 🕰️ Timeframe: Monthly 📍 Current Price: 3,204 📈 Bias: Cautious Bullish-to-Neutral 📏 Trend: Strong long-term bullish, but in monthly exhaustion/cool-off mode 🔍 STRUCTURAL OVERVIEW BOS (Break of Structure): Confirmed above 2,075 (2020/2022 key resistance). Rally: Sustained higher highs and strong bullish candles since October 2023. Current Candle: Huge wick into FIB extension (1.618–2.0) = 3,440–3,500 (top-out risk). 🧠 KEY MONTHLY LEVELS TO WATCH Type/Zone Price Range Quick Note 🔴 Premium Supply 3,440–3,500 FIB extension (1.618–2.0), big rejection wick, bull exhaustion 🟠 Resistance 3,222–3,242 Prior OB + last BOS area, possible retest zone ⚠️ Mid-Zone 3,160–3,185 Equilibrium, liquidity trap, key short-term support 🟢 Demand 3,050–2,960 Big monthly OB + FVG, unmitigated base, strong support 🔵 Discount 2,950–2,800 Previous reaccumulation, structure demand from 2023 rallies 🗺️ MACRO & MARKET CONTEXT Geopolitical Tension: Wars, inflation, and Fed confusion (CPI/UoM). Market Mood: Sentiment weak, uncertainty high after May FOMC & Powell. Central Bank Flow: Dips bought, but profit-taking near highs — “wait and react” mode. 🧭 SCENARIOS FOR MAY Bullish Plan: If price holds above 3,160–3,185 ➔ look for re-entry toward 3,240 and possible retest of upper wicks (3,440+). Needs H4 CHoCH + volume for confirmation. Bearish Plan: Lose 3,160 ➔ look for a drop toward 3,050–2,960. If that fails, watch for deeper retrace to 2,800–2,950. ⚙️ FIBONACCI EXTENSION SUMMARY 1.272: ✅ Hit 1.618: 3,440 (Tapped) 2.0: 3,500 (Wick/Exhaustion) 🧠 FINAL WORD Gold’s monthly “moonshot” stalled at 3,500 — don’t chase, just watch how price reacts to the 3,160–3,185 key range. Lose it? Expect deeper cool-off. Hold it? Reload for one more push toward the highs. Stay focused, trade smart, and let structure guide your next moves! Drop a comment if you want the weekly/daily breakdowns. — GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
DODGE COIN 4HRKey Drivers of Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Movement in 2025 Based on recent analyses and forecasts, the main factors driving Dogecoin’s price action include: 1. Market Sentiment and FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) Dogecoin’s price is heavily influenced by retail investor sentiment and social media hype, leading to rapid rallies fueled by FOMO. 2. Historical Price Cycles and Technical Patterns DOGE has shown cyclical price behavior with sharp rallies followed by consolidation phases, often moving within defined ascending channels. Technical indicators suggest Dogecoin is entering a major bullish phase similar to previous cycles, potentially leading to prices around $2 by the end of 2025 and even higher by 2028. 3. Increasing Adoption and Ecosystem Development Growing developer activity and expanding use cases strengthen Dogecoin’s ecosystem, boosting its utility and long-term value. Although originally a meme coin, Dogecoin is increasingly considered for micropayments and tipping, enhancing its real-world usage. 4. Speculation Around ETFs and Institutional Interest Speculation about potential approval of Dogecoin ETFs by major financial firms could bring institutional capital, increasing liquidity and driving prices higher.
COINBASE:DOGEUSD
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [May 26 - May 30]This week, the price of OANDA:XAUUSD increased from 3,204 USD/oz to 3,365 USD/oz, and closed the week at 3,357 USD/oz. The reason for the increase in gold price this week is due to: 🔹Moody's downgrades US credit rating, causing USD to fall. 🔹Unsuccessful US bond auction raises concerns about economic instability. 🔹President Trump threatens to raise tariffs on European goods, raising concerns about trade war. 🔹Escalating tensions in Ukraine, Middle East, increasing demand for safe haven gold. Gold prices next week may fluctuate in both directions, meaning they will adjust and accumulate to wait for the results of US-China trade negotiations, US economic data, and whether Mr. Trump will decide to impose tariffs on Europe or not? Next week, the US will release many important economic data, including: ➡️Durable Goods Orders (Tuesday), ➡️Minutes of the FED's May Policy Meeting (Wednesday), ➡️PCE Inflation Index (Friday). With the Trump administration's tariff policy, inflationary pressures in the US have been under a lot of pressure. If the core PCE index in April increases more than expected, it may cause the FED to continue to keep interest rates unchanged at its July meeting. In this scenario, the USD may increase again, causing gold prices to be under pressure to adjust next week. However, gold prices next week will hardly decrease sharply if the PCE increases, because gold prices next week are still supported by other factors such as tariffs, geopolitical conflicts, etc. 📌Technically, on the H4 chart, gold prices are starting to break the Downtrend line and tend to move closer to the resistance level of 3432. Meanwhile, support is established around the dynamic resistance level of 3300. The gold price trend next week is likely to lean towards a slight increase scenario provided that the USD does not recover strongly and geopolitical tensions continue. However, investors need to be cautious with corrections due to profit-taking or sudden changes due to macroeconomic information. Gold prices next week may fluctuate in the range of 3300-3450. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250USD Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,435USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3451 - 3449⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3455 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3299 - 3301⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3295
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
DOGECOINKey Drivers of Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Movement in 2025 Based on recent analyses and forecasts, the main factors driving Dogecoin’s price action include: 1. Market Sentiment and FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) Dogecoin’s price is heavily influenced by retail investor sentiment and social media hype, leading to rapid rallies fueled by FOMO. 2. Historical Price Cycles and Technical Patterns DOGE has shown cyclical price behavior with sharp rallies followed by consolidation phases, often moving within defined ascending channels. 3. Increasing Adoption and Ecosystem Development Growing developer activity and expanding use cases strengthen Dogecoin’s ecosystem, boosting its utility and long-term value. Although originally a meme coin, Dogecoin is increasingly considered for micropayments and tipping, enhancing its real-world usage. 4. Speculation Around ETFs and Institutional Interest Speculation about potential approval of Dogecoin ETFs by major financial firms could bring institutional capital, increasing liquidity and driving prices higher 5. Volatility and Market Corrections Dogecoin remains highly volatile, with forecasts indicating possible short-term corrections or pullbacks after rallies, especially near resistance zones. Conclusion Dogecoin’s price in 2025 is expected to be shaped by a combination of strong retail-driven momentum, technical breakout patterns, growing adoption, and potential institutional inflows via ETFs.
BINANCE:DOGEUSD
by Shavyfxhub
GBPJPY Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPJPY analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
8
BTCUSD MMC Breakdown – Curve Collapse & H&S Sell-Off Loading🔍 Chart Overview – BTC/USD (1H Timeframe) This setup uses Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) to forecast Bitcoin’s next potential major move, blending institutional-level curve analysis, pattern recognition, and structure shifts. We are currently seeing a Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern develop under a Black Mind Curve Resistance, supported by a sloping neckline and a clear zone of structure breaks and retests. Price is positioned for a significant bearish continuation if confirmation hits. 📐 Breakdown of Key Components: 🧠 1. Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) MMC focuses on the symmetry and memory of market behavior. When certain price structures mirror past reactions (support, resistance, or rejection points), we gain an edge in anticipating where big moves will happen. Here, the curve structure and neckline level align to mirror prior bearish reactions. 👤 2. Head & Shoulders Pattern Left Shoulder: Formed with rising volume and strong bullish momentum. Head: A sharp move upward forming a new high, but eventually fails to sustain above the curve. Right Shoulder: A weaker bullish attempt, indicating exhaustion and imbalance. The neckline is clearly marked — a break below it validates the reversal pattern. 🟠 3. Black Mind Curve Resistance This is an institutional resistance arc — an MMC dynamic level that mirrors prior selling patterns. Price reacted strongly under this curve, confirming its relevance. It acted as a ceiling for the head formation, capping bullish continuation and turning price downward. 🔵 4. Black Mind Curve Support Drawn beneath the price action, this dynamic support is about to be tested again. A clean break below the curve and neckline would likely result in a strong drop. ⚠️ 5. Major CHoCH & BOS Zones CHoCH (Change of Character): Price failed to form new highs and showed early bearish shift. BOS (Break of Structure): Confirmed when neckline is broken. These are vital MMC confirmation points that strengthen the short idea. 🔁 6. Retest & Boom (Bearish Version) Price could retest the neckline or the broken trendline (shown by the blue arrows), offering a perfect "sell on retest" opportunity before dropping to the target. This is a classic MMC play — breakdown ➝ retest ➝ continuation. 🎯 7. Target Zone Projected based on: Height of the H&S pattern. Previous key structure zone. MMC symmetry principles. Expected target: near $101,700 – $102,000. 🧨 Trade Idea: ✅ Bearish Setup (Preferred Bias) Wait for a clean neckline break and candle close. Look for retest of neckline or curve (lower timeframes). Sell with target near $101,700, SL above right shoulder. 🚫 Invalidation: Price closes back above right shoulder and curve. Invalidates the bearish structure.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades