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Fundamental Analysis

U.S. Dollar IndexHello dear traders, In the past week, we witnessed the release of numerous economic news that had significant impacts on the market. These reports, especially concerning the U.S. economy, greatly influenced the price trends of the U.S. dollar (DXY) and other currencies. Analysis of Economic News from Last Week Various reputable economic organizations published reports including employment data, unemployment rates, and changes in Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Notably, the non-farm payroll (NFP) report, which was expected to indicate an increase in new jobs, turned out to be below expectations. This created heightened concerns about the strength and stability of the U.S. economy, which in turn pressured the dollar. Additionally, the announcement of high inflation rates and interest rates had compounded effects on market trends. While an increase in interest rates was anticipated, the negative news regarding economic growth raised concerns that future Federal Reserve meetings might be affected. Consequently, these combined factors led traders to adopt a cautious outlook on the market, resulting in price declines in the currency markets. Technical Impacts on the Market From a technical perspective, the U.S. dollar (DXY) chart has been showing bearish signals, and as previously mentioned, we expect a downward correction in the coming weeks. Price trends in the DXY align well with the recent economic news, as the breakdown of key support levels, such as 107.243 , and the formation of bearish patterns indicate weakness in this currency against others. Given the technical analysis, we can point out that if the downward trend in DXY continues, the charts of the euro (EUR), British pound (GBP), Australian dollar (AUD), and New Zealand dollar (NZD) will offer suitable buying opportunities. Particularly if corrections in DXY persist, we can expect further appreciation in these currencies. Conclusion Considering the detailed analysis of economic news and the technical conditions, it is recommended to keep in mind that rapid and significant changes in the market may occur following new announcements. With careful attention and appropriate risk management, you can take advantage of the upcoming opportunities. Thank you for your support and trust, and I hope the insights provided are beneficial for you. Fereydoon Bahrami "A retail trader in the Wall Street trading center (Forex)." Wishing you success!
TVC:DXYShort
by fereydoon1199
CHFJPY short tradeBias Bearish Fundamental Analysis CHF is turning more bearish as all datas are worse. JPY on the other hand is turning bullish due to global interest rate reducing Price Action: Price broken out of H1 support level and rejection from H4 resistance level. Price is likely to head lower to swing low. Confluence: Higher TF (W/D/H4) - H4 resistance level. Broke of double top pattern. RSI for H4 went below 50 Lower TF (H1/M30/M15) - Broke of H1 support level. broke of H1 double top pattern. RSI for H1 went below 50 Set up: Short setup - at H1 broken support level of double top neck level. SL - swing high of last H1 high. TP next swing low of H4. R:R 1:4.
Short
by royschen07
GBP/USD: Waiting for Reversal SignsGBP/USD: Waiting for Reversal Signs From our previous analysis, the price has created a correction near the first support zone I was observing since the previous week. However, it's too early to jump into the trade given two significant events this week: the FOMC and BOE interest rate decisions. 🗓️ Wednesday, December 18 USD Fed Interest Rate Decision 🗓️ Thursday, December 19 GBP BoE Interest Rate Decision The FOMC is expected to cut rates by 25 bps, but the focus will be on Chair Powell's speech. If his tone is hawkish, the price may move down to the second zone before it moves up. Meanwhile, the BOE is expected to keep rates on hold at 4.75%, which could support GBP strength in the short term. Overall, GBP/USD should begin rising. However, we should look for reversal signs first, as speculation remains high. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
5
Symbotic Hypergrowth? $850 Price TargetOverview Symbotic Inc. is an A.I. and robotics automation company based in Wilmington, Massachusetts that is looking to increase the ability for companies to keep up with growing demand. To do this, they utilize artificial intelligence software to maintain records and warehouse organization with the assistance of SKU numbers. Autonomous robots then account for, store, and retrieve items in a fraction of the time that it would take a human being. Symbotic's mission is to increase supply capabilities through the symbiotic relationship of artificial intelligence and robots. Its origins trace back to 2007, before it was known as Symbotic, and the company went public in 2022 ( NASDAQ:SYM ). Call it FOMO, but I think Symbotic Inc. has the potential of becoming a hypergrowth stock. I built my own fundamentals tracker to get a pulse on the tech company's vitals and, while it still is not a profitable company, it looks like it's in the early stages of becoming so. The fundamentals for Symbotic provide me the confidence to invest despite the presence of red flags which led me to performing a deep dive. My price target for Symbotic Inc. is $850 with a projected timeline before 2030. What I Don't Like SYM has lost nearly 60% in value since July 2023 from a high of $64.15 to its current share price of $26.87. If you look up Symbotic Inc. on a search engine then you will also see that there are numerous law firms attempting to build class action lawsuits. The headlines can't help but to sow distrust by utilizing strong statements such as "misleading investors" and "inflated revenue" within their subjects. Within the last few weeks Symbotic had to file a delayed annual report due to self-identified accounting errors within their balance sheets. Also, if you dig through their filings, you will find that Symbotic Inc. was born from a deal with SVF Investment Corp which, according to the filings, was headquartered in the Cayman Islands. I can only assume that the business dealings with SVF Investment Corp were to facilitate equity financing and an expedited public launch for SYM. From my findings, SoftBank Group Corp ( TSE:9984 ) is an investment conglomerate and the parent company to multiple subsidiaries. You guessed it, it is affiliated with SVF Investment Corp which functions as a "blank check company" for SoftBank. In my limited knowledge, this translates as a way for SoftBank to inject a substantial investment into the company that is now known as Symbotic Inc. No matter how savvy they may have been to launch Symbotic Inc., business deals that originate in the Cayman Islands typically raise one's eyebrows. What I Do Like Symbotic Inc. seems to have a pretty solid vision for global expansion and has attracted some significant institutional investors such as SoftBank, Vanguard, BlackRock, and Morgan Stanley to name a few. In fact, according to the NASDAQ site, 282 institutional investors hold 82% of Symbotic Inc.'s Class A Common Stock. Symbotic Inc. was founded by Richard "Rick" Cohen who currently serves as the CEO and is a legacy to the Cohen family who founded C&S Wholesale Grocers. Symbotic's technology is used by C&S Wholesale Grocers which is one of the largest privately held companies in the United States. Symbotic and SoftBank have partnered on a separate venture known as GreenBox which is meant to deliver automated warehouses made possible by Symbotic's hardware and software. According to the company's site, GreenBox is supplying warehouses as a service to consumers. With an increase in online shopping, I believe that Symbotic is both seeing and filling a need in an industry that its founder is very familiar with. I can also envision Symbotic spreading its reach internationally which helps fuel my massive price target. Megacap stocks need to have a global influence and extend across industries, which Symbotic appears to be preparing for. Fundamentals Right now, Symbotic Inc. is in its early stages and is bringing in a negative income which makes it a risky investment. However, the company's total revenue has increased by 200% from 2022-Q4 to 2024-Q4; the gross profit has also increased by 147% in the same timeframe. Symbotic's net income has revealed consistent losses since 2022, but the 2024 annual report had the smallest loss on record at a negative $84.7M which is a 39% improvement from 2022 and a 59% improvement from 2023. No matter which way you cut it, the company is still absorbing annual losses so it will be important to keep an eye on improvements and deficiencies to identify any consistent trends. NASDAQ:SYM has 585,963,959 total outstanding shares according to the 2024 Annual Report published at the beginning of December. This is a far cry from the 106M outstanding shares reported on some financial websites and even here on TradingView. From my findings, around 100M of Symbotic's shares are Class A Common Stocks and the remaining 485M are Class V Common Stocks. My focus is on the market capitalization which is a tool that I like to use when establishing long-term price targets. For Symbotic, which has the potential for global reach and use across multiple industries, I think it's reasonable to achieve a market capitalization of $500B. Price Target With the current number of outstanding shares at a market cap of $500B, this would place Symbotic's share price at $853. This type of growth would turn a $1,000 investment today into $31,710 at the projected target price; a whopping 3,000% return. HOWEVER, a lot has to happen to make this come to fruition. One thing I would like to see, in addition to profitability, is for Symbotic to begin buying back its own stock. It's become my investing philosophy that companies who believe they are undervalued will buyback their shares while companies that believe they are overvalued will issue new shares. Symbotic's total outstanding shares have increased by 5.8% since its annual report at the end of 2022. I think that my philosophy is best tailored to established companies so it is possible that Symbotic could be an exception. Because the company is so new, it may need to issue more shares to generate enough capital to stay afloat while its roots set.
NASDAQ:SYMLong
by Shepherd_Investor
ChainLink | LINK , TRUMP & Grayscale LINK pumped 500% since our last signal so Its time to Celebrate the New Year with Crypto Chainlink isn’t just mooning on price it’s taking the crown in the real world assets (RWA) sector. LINK is leading the pack in development activity, leaving Ethereum based Synthetix (SNX) and the privacy savvy Dusk Foundation (DUSK) playing catch up Price Up, GitHub Busy, and a New Year’s Party to Crash The numbers? Chainlink flexed nearly 394 GitHub events in the past 30 days, compared to Synthetix's 176.6 and Dusk's 34.7. Meanwhile, Polymesh (POLYX) and Maker (MKR) aren’t far behind, clocking in at 25.9 and 21.7, respectively Chainlink’s onchain momentum and fundamentals are bullish as well, growing active addresses and an all time high futures open interest of $770.27M are just tip of the iceberg. Grayscale announced that it has opened Grayscale LINK Trust to qualified investors, a fund that enables investors to gain exposure to XRP in the form of securities. As of December 12, Grayscale LINK Trust had a net asset value of $111.91 per share and $30,468,812 in assets under management Chainlink's LINK token is experiencing a notable increase in price and market activity, fueled by a strategic investment from World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a project backed by Donald Trump’s family. WLFI recently expanded its holdings by purchasing an additional $1 million worth of LINK, raising its total investment in the token to $2 million. LINK is trading at $29.4 (+1.5% over 24 hours), while its all time high of $52.82 (May 2021) is still 44% away. But hey, it's already the life of the crypto party, with a $1.1B daily trading volume and active trading on 99 exchanges, led by Binance. Market cap? A cool $18.6B it’s a good time to toast to LINK’s rise🍾
Long
by moonypto
KWANT - Next AI PlayKwant Bot on Telegram has the ability to conduct technical analysis basing on the chart you sent to them. The discussion is interactive too, and personally, it is more advanced than GEMXBT . Based on the Fibonacci level, it already rebound from the support level; the market cap is also still below $5 M, which can still be considered as " undervalued ". Since the 8 days of listing, the developer has enhance a lot of things in Kwant Bot, the value also correlates with the active member in telegram which currently at around 3K individuals . IMO, I'm very bullish on KWANT . Feel free to discuss. #NFA #DYOR
RAYDIUM:KWANTSOL_254P5J.USDLong
by White_Owl_