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Fundamental Analysis

BITCOIN → Possibility of retesting 100K. Buyer weakeningBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is in consolidation after the rally stalled due to the exhaustion of the bullish driver. The price updates local lows and starts looking at 100K Bitcoin is under pressure after the escalation of conflict in the middle east and after the FOMC speech. There is also another observation: large companies, politicians, funds and investors have long and aggressively motivate the crowd to buy, verbally confirming that they bought dozens and hundreds of bitcoins at a time for the balance, but bitcoin is standing still and updating lows. At the same time, various services such as "cryptorank" fix bullish sentiment at the lows. The market either lacks liquidity or something more unpredictable is happening (chart drawing????) Technically, bitcoin is following the behavior of the SP500 quite strongly, which closes Friday's session quite weak and close to key support, which could trigger a continuation of the decline. Bitcoin won't stay on the sidelines and could also follow the index.... Resistance levels: 104K, 105K, 106K Support levels: 102K, 100.6K, 97.5K The price is coming out of the “symmetrical triangle” consolidation breaking the support, thus confirming the bearish mood. After a small correction after a false breakdown of 102500 the price may again return to storm (retest) the level under market pressure, which will only strengthen expectations of further decline. The target is liquidity 100600 - 100K. From 100K rebound and growth is possible. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
38
The influence of high-frequency data on price fluctuationsMajor Datasets for Price Trend Analysis: Types, Sources, and Applications 1. Financial and Market Datasets Stock and Equity Markets: Source: Bloomberg Terminal, Yahoo Finance, Alpha Vantage (API), Reuters Eikon. Data Structure: Time-series data (daily/intraday prices, trading volumes, market capitalization) for stocks, indices (e.g., S&P 500, NASDAQ), and commodities (gold, oil). Use Case: Analyzing stock price trends via technical indicators (MACD, RSI) or fundamental analysis, predicting market volatility using GARCH models. Cryptocurrency Markets: Source: CoinGecko, CoinMarketCap, Binance API, Kaiko (professional crypto data). Data Structure: Real-time or historical price data for cryptocurrencies (BTC, ETH), trading pairs, order book depth, and blockchain transaction metrics. Use Case: Studying price trends in decentralized markets, evaluating correlations with traditional assets, or developing algorithmic trading strategies.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by jiangjinzee54e71e3ce14449d
Nikkei 225 stays bullish as Japan embraces AIWhile most traders have been focused on AI's impact on Western economies, Japan has been quietly chipping away at its own AI revolution. Not by building the flashiest tools, but by embedding AI into the guts of its economy. Let's start with the obvious. Japan is an industrial giant. Toyota, Fanuc, Sony. These companies aren’t chasing fads. They’re integrating AI into factories, supply chains, and robotics. Not hype but rather real productivity. The government gets it too. “Society 5.0” isn’t just a slogan. It’s a structural policy push. R&D spending is north of 3% of GDP. That’s capital well spent. Now the deeper point, demographics. Japan’s working-age population is shrinking. That’s no longer a headwind. It’s fuel. AI offsets labour shortages. Healthcare, logistics, transport. These sectors are being rewired, not disrupted. They’re evolving, and profits will follow. Then there’s valuation. The Nikkei 225 is still attractive with a forward P/E of around 14x, while the S&P trades above 22x. Yet Japanese firms are global leaders in high-value, AI-relevant sectors. That gap will close. This is structural, it’s not about today’s trade. It’s about where capital flows over the next five years. Japan’s quiet, calculated AI pivot is the most underpriced transformation in global markets. Stay long Nikkei, we expect the 200-day moving average to hold. The re-rating is only beginning. The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
TVC:NI225Long
by Blueberry
6
Wait for the key points to be confirmed before taking actionThe trend of gold on Friday is still in line with my analysis. Before the market opened, I suggested that gold would rebound from the bottom. Considering the resistance level, I would arrange short orders with a light position. I clearly emphasized that I should not chase short orders at low levels. The actual market price fluctuated upward after hitting the 3340 line at the lowest point, and maintained a range-bound fluctuation pattern as a whole. We arranged long orders in batches at 3342-3353, successfully stopped profit near 3358, reversed shorting, and stopped profit again at 3342. After that, the market hit the top again and was blocked. Short orders were arranged at 3370-3375. It is not recommended to hold positions over the weekend. I have already left the market with a small profit near 3365. Although there was no significant breakthrough, all ended with profit, but it was quite satisfactory for Friday's market. News: Gold prices were stable on Friday, but fell 1.8% this week. It closed at 3368. The latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement reinforced the Fed's cautious stance, keeping interest rates in the 4.25%-4.50% range. However, the statement also lowered the number of expected rate cuts this year, which put downward pressure on gold prices. In addition, U.S. Treasury yields did not change much but rose slightly, reflecting the stabilization of market risk sentiment. The 10-year Treasury yield rose by more than 2 basis points to 4.421%, and the 30-year Treasury yield rose to 4.924%. Rising yields often put pressure on non-yielding assets such as gold, further suppressing the upward momentum of gold prices. The Fed's failure to immediately launch an easing policy, coupled with a stronger dollar and a reduced urgency of geopolitical risks, have all exacerbated selling pressure. Unless tensions escalate again or the Fed unexpectedly turns, short-term gold price forecasts point to further weakening. The price of gold has rebounded since it fell from its historical high of 3500 to 3120， After continuous rise, due to the decline of risk aversion in the market, it fell under pressure at 3452. It rebounded to 3340 on Friday. The K-line combination arrangement was bearish. The 4H chart showed a stop-loss signal. It is expected that the market will consolidate below 3400 in the short term. In the medium term, attention should be paid to the geopolitical crisis and the July interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve. It will break through the node after confirming the upper resistance of 3400. In the short-term 4-hour chart, the lower support is around 3340-3345, and the upper short-term resistance is around 3380-3385. Focus on the suppression of the 3400-05 line. The overall idea of ​​​​retracing back to long positions remains unchanged, and the middle area is mainly kept on the sidelines. Be cautious in chasing orders and wait patiently for the key points to be confirmed before intervening. If the upper resistance is not broken, you can still consider light positions to arrange short orders, and pay attention to the bottom for the specific entry point.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
1
BTC get out while you still can!I've been warning people about this for weeks. History doesn't repeat itself, but it certainly rhymes. BTC had a double tope and the 50 / 200SMA show cooling and both showing clearly that it's moving one direction and it's not up. Gravity with this one is strong (historically) and so is the volatility. Crypto bros will go back to eating beans and rice! MSTZ and BTCZ could be good plays here....best of luck and always do your own due diligence!
Short
by antonini2002
1
OP TARGETS FOR Q2 2025🔥 NASDAQ:OP long setup (1D) 🚀 ✅ Entry Zone: $0.46 – $0.506 (descending-channel base) 🎯 Targets • TP-1: $1.55 (Nov-23 supply flip) • TP-2: $1.80 (201-day breakdown block) ⛔ Stop-Loss Daily close < $0.42 📊 Thesis • Superchain mainnet ties OP, Base, Mode & Fraxtal together Q4-25 • Bedrock upgrade already cut L2 gas ~40 % & sped deposits 9× • Worldcoin + 30 M wallets moved to OP Mainnet • Retro Funding 5 injects $100 M into OP-Stack builders • Emission schedule halves in Aug-25; float tightens each month after • Sequencer-revenue share & Superchain fees stream back to stakers • Mode, Fraxtal & dozens of L3s funnel new users into the OP economy
by Og_Bitpool
1
CHR TARGETS FOR 2025 🔥 NASDAQ:CHR long setup (1D) 🚀 ✅ Entry Zone: $0.068 – $0.062 (12-month demand) 🎯 Targets • TP-1: $0.17 (Q4-24 supply flip) • TP-2: $0.24 (2024 breakdown block) ⛔ Stop-Loss Daily close < $0.052 📊 Thesis • Chromia mainnet modules live; full network launch slated before TOKEN2049 • Filehub mainnet gives on-chain storage for images/video — paid in CHR • My Neighbor Alice just shipped the **first fully on-chain** browser MMO on Chromia • Cross-chain staking hub lets you stake CHR on Chromia, ETH & BNB in one UI • Staking APR redesigned (fixed 3 %) → sustainable yield & tighter float • Roadmap: Dapp chains, ColorPool DEX, Chromia Originals NFTs, bridged CHR to more L1s • 270 k+ community & Coinbase “interest” tag spark listing rumours
by Og_Bitpool
1
GBPNZD BUY OR SELL IDEAHope y'all caught the 300 pips buy move last week. Mehn, that was fast. Well, price is a major resistance and is currently retracing. The question is whether price action is retracing for a further move upwards or a fall back to the support level at 2.2233? The chart pattern is showing a falling wedge. A break of resistance 2.25 and retest would be confirmation for an entry for buys, or a break of the 61.8 & 50 fib zone/formation of lower highs and lower lows would be confirmation for a sell entry. The market always gives a signal, so we watch once the market opens
by Mrwarm_
$BTC correction: targets 101k, 97.5k, 94k, 87kThe hype is peaking — institutions, banks, Wall Street, and even governments are buying Bitcoin. Yet despite the frenzy, BTC has been rejected three times around the $110K level and appears to be heading into another correction. Bitcoin maximalists are pushing a strong FOMO narrative to attract retail investors, but several factors are pushing back: - Psychological barrier: At these price levels, retail investors are hesitant. Owning just a "fraction" of a Bitcoin doesn’t appeal to the average person. - Geopolitical tension: The conflict with Iran is serious. This isn’t a small, isolated country — Iran is a millennia-old civilization with global alliances. This situation won't resolve quickly or easily like Libya, Syria, or Iraq. - Oil price surge: Escalating tensions could disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil. Western sanctions on Russia already strain supply — if Iran joins, where will Europe get its energy? U.S. supply won’t be enough. Expect a spike in inflation. - Recession risks: Persistent inflation could drive a recession in the second half of the year. - Trade wars & tariffs: No resolution, just chaos. - Ukraine-Russia war: Still unresolved. Still draining global stability. In short, the world is burning — and this is terrible for markets. Bitcoin maximalists — some even selling company shares to buy more BTC — may soon face the harsh reality: Bitcoin needs a deeper flush before it can rally again. Retail won’t return until altseason clears the way and resets sentiment. In a cycle dominated by propaganda, institutional manipulation, and global unrest, predictions are fragile. The only guide left: the chart. Technically, we’re in correction mode again. Comparing with past cycles, potential pullback targets are: $101K, $97.5K, $94K, $87K There’s massive support at $74K, but it's unlikely we revisit it soon. Stay cautious. DYOR. #Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTCUpdate #Geopolitics #Altseason #CryptoCorrection #MacroView #CryptoFOMO #RiskAssets #DYOR
Short
by CryptoNikkoid
9
BTC/USD (4-hour interval)📈 BTC/USD 🕒 Interval: 4H 1. General trend We are observing a medium-term downtrend. Since June 10 (middle vertical line), the price has been systematically creating lower highs and lower lows. Current price: approx. USD 102.625. 2. Formation and Price Action 🔻 Left side of the chart (May 20 - June 10): Volatility, no clear direction, but local highs are formed in the area of ​​USD 111,000 - 112,500. Consolidation from May 27 to June 2. 🔻 Right side of the chart (after June 10): A clear breakout from the consolidation downwards. A potential correction or continuation of the downward movement is currently forming. The last candles suggest a strong downward impulse, and the current candle has a long lower shadow – a possible demand reaction. 3. Technical levels 📉 Resistance: $112,400 – local peak from June 10. $109,000 – $109,500 – area of ​​previous consolidations. $107,000 – lower limit of previous support. 📈 Support: $102,000 – currently tested level. $100,000 – psychological support level. $97,000 – potential range of further declines. 4. Stochastic RSI (oscillator at the bottom of the chart) The indicator currently shows the intersection of the %K and %D lines in the oversold zone. This may suggest a short-term upward rebound – but in the context of a downtrend, this may just be a correction. 5. Candles and price action The last candle has a long lower shadow and a close close to the maximum – this may indicate buyer pressure in this zone. No confirmation of a reversal – only the closing of a bullish candle and a breakout above USD 103,500–104,000 may give a signal of a larger rebound. 6. Scenarios ✅ Bullish scenario (short-term): Rebound from the USD 102,000 zone. Test of USD 103,500–104,000 (local resistance). If broken – a move towards USD 107,000 is possible. ❌ Bearish scenario (continuation): Breakout of support at USD 102,000. Movement towards the psychological level of 100,000 USD. Possible escalation of declines on increased volume. 7. Signals to watch Price behavior in the area of ​​102k USD - a key place to react. Volume indicators (not visible here) could confirm the direction of the movement. Will stochastic RSI give a full buy signal? (%K line above %D, both coming out of the oversold zone).
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
1
BTC CORRECTIONBIG REASON WHY Geopolitical tension. The war between Iran and Israel is inevitable. It's just a matter of time; either the USA, China, and Russia will be involved. The money will flow much more into safe havens like assets. But based on the Jerome Powell interview after the FOMC statement, the US economy is going on the great path. We can say that if the USA is involved, it will cost the economy growth. But they still need to show the world who's the BOSS (military co.). The conclusion is, BTC is too risky for current conditions. As we know, the war might escalate. BTC Projectory price Nearest Area 94.5-95K Mid term Area 85.4 - 86K Worst Case 76.5-72-53.2K P.S. Things will change rapidly; always monitor your portfolio and the news
Short
by Eirxco
2