EUR/USD nears breakout as ECB prepares another rate cut?The European Central Bank is expected to cut interest rates again this week, marking its eighth consecutive reduction as policymakers attempt to support sluggish growth across the eurozone. Markets widely anticipate a 25-basis-point cut, which would bring the deposit rate down to 2.00%.
EUR/USD is testing the upper boundary of a triangle formation visible on the 4H chart. Price action has tightened in recent weeks, and the pair is now attempting a breakout near the 1.1440 zone.
A confirmed close above this resistance could signal a bullish continuation, with upside targets around 1.1500 and 1.1620. Momentum indicators like RSI could be watched to confirm the strength behind any breakout. On the downside, immediate support possibly rests at 1.1350.
Fundamental Analysis
SGMO May Be the Most Mispriced Opportunity of 2025-26
-SGMO is shaping up to be a high-potential trade with both short- and long-term upside. After entering an uptrend in late 2023, the stock is showing strong bullish signals, with technical indicators and moving averages pointing to a favorable buy zone. Fundamentally, it's hitting a key turning point — EPS is moving from negative to positive for the first time, and revenue is projected to grow from \$50M to \$200M by 2028.
-Typically, SGMO experiences a major price jump every year, and it’s currently coming out of a low period. A breakout is expected within the coming month. Even under conservative estimates, a 200% return is possible in the near term. But if SGMO revisits its historical highs around $20 — a level it’s touched multiple times in the past — the upside from its current $0.50 range could exceed 4,000%. The financial structure is far stronger than it was during previous lows (like March 2020), making this a classic high-risk, high-reward setup worth watching closely.
Bitcoin - Here we have the all time high!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - is just getting started:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It was really just a matter of time until we see a new all time high on Bitcoin. Consindering that over the past two months alone, Bitcoin rose another +50%, this was a clear indication that bulls are taking over. But this all time high is clearly not the end of the bullrun.
Levels to watch: $300.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
EUR/CAD 1H SELL Chart Analysis 02/06/2025This 1-hour EUR/CAD chart illustrates a short trade setup based on price action and supply-demand zones. The entry is near 1.56887, just below a significant resistance/supply zone marked in yellow and red, with the stop-loss positioned at the upper boundary near 1.57235. This area corresponds to a previous swing high and potential liquidity zone.
The take-profit levels are staged at multiple points below the entry:
TP1 around 1.55471
TP2 around 1.54748
TP3 around 1.54135
Final TP zone around 1.53100, near the extended yellow demand zone
The trade follows a risk-reward logic targeting multiple historical support and imbalance zones. Current price action is around 1.56671, showing a slight pullback after tapping into the resistance zone.
Highlighted regions:
Red zone: Stop-loss near 1.57235
Yellow zones: Supply and demand zones
Grey boxes: Imbalance/fair value gaps
Black lines: Key historical support/resistance levels
Lower yellow zone: Long-term target support area
Disclaimer:
This chart and analysis are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Trading Forex involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own analysis and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
GBPAUD. Potential Downside. I'm looking to buy the AUD TVC:AXY Inflation and GDP are both within target, and economic indicators are positive. Whereas most other economies are facing potential stagflation or are giving off mixed signals.
The GBPAUD is testing key resistance levels. A monthly horizontal channel resistance and a horizontal resistance (chart one).
On the daily, price action has formed a head and shoulders reversal pattern (chart two).
I'm short!
OANDA:GBPAUD
Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) – Securing the Future of DataCompany Overview:
Arqit NASDAQ:ARQQ is redefining cybersecurity by offering quantum-resilient encryption solutions—future-proofing critical communications infrastructure for governments, enterprises, and hyperscale cloud networks.
Key Catalysts:
Strategic Acquisition of Ampliphae 📡
Adds a powerful risk management suite + experienced innovation team
Expands Arqit’s capability to serve end-to-end encryption needs across cloud, edge, and IoT systems
Government Validation & Traction 🏛️
Multi-year license deal with a government client in EMEA
Signals institutional confidence, even with deferred revenue accounting
Quantum Threat = Rising Demand 📈
As quantum computing advances, the need for quantum-safe encryption becomes urgent
Arqit’s cloud-based QKD platform is uniquely suited to meet these demands at scale
Enterprise-Grade Solutions 🌐
Positioned to become a go-to cybersecurity partner for mission-critical infrastructure in a post-quantum world
Targeting global clients across finance, defense, telecom, and more
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $15.00–$16.00
🚀 Upside Target: $43.00–$44.00
🔒 Key Drivers: Strategic M&A, government adoption, quantum-resilient tech, first-mover advantage
Arqit isn’t just building encryption—it’s building the cybersecurity foundation for the quantum era. #ARQQ #QuantumSecurity #FutureProof
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan — Monday, June 2, 2025“Equilibrium Warzone: Will Bears Break Structure or Bulls Reclaim Premium?”
👋 Welcome to the new week, traders. The battlefield is balanced — here’s how we dominate it.
Gold is trading just above equilibrium (3289–3290) after a messy week of premium traps, CHoCHs, and weak bullish continuations. The market has printed clear Lower Highs (LHs) across H1/M15 and failed to reclaim the supply at 3302–3308.
We are now caught in a compression box between M15 OB resistance and discount inefficiency, with liquidity stacked below.
🔹 Current Bias
🎯 Neutral-to-bearish under 3308
🔻 CHoCH + LH formed on both M15 and H1
🧠 Monday will reveal if we break 3270 floor or induce a final trap into premium
🔹 Intraday Structural Zones (Sniper Refined)
🔺 Resistance Zones Above Price
Zone Name Price Range Confluence
🔺 First OB Reaction 3296 – 3302 M15 OB + H1 rejection wick — soft inducement
🔺 Final LH Trap 3308 – 3322 Last Lower High + FVG fill + premium supply
🔺 Premium Killzone 3335 – 3355 Upper trap + internal liquidity — only visited if bulls reclaim structure
🔻 Support Zones Below Price
Zone Name Price Range Confluence
🔻 EQ Reaction Floor 3274 – 3262 Current support shelf + equilibrium wick lows
🔻 First Breakdown Zone 3248 – 3228 BOS origin + M15 CHoCH + clean liquidity stack
🔵 Swing Reentry Zone 3196 – 3172 M15 demand block + clean OB + deep FVG fill
⚫ Final HTF Demand 3150 – 3130 May HL + strong structure base — ultimate reversal point if dumped
🔹 Execution Plan for Monday
✅ Plan A — Sell Setup (Most Probable)
If price taps 3296–3302 early and rejects → short toward 3262
Confirm with M15 CHoCH + bearish PA
Target 3248 → 3228
Hold partials for extension into 3196 if momentum is clean
🔁 Plan B — Inducement Trap Then Drop
Spike into 3308–3322 → watch for LH rejection or FVG sweep
Sell setup becomes valid only if M15 fails to break structure up
Target remains same: 3262 → 3228
🛑 Invalid Buy Conditions
❌ No buys valid inside 3302–3322 → this is smart money trap zone
✅ Buy only valid if:
Deep discount reaction at 3196–3172, OR
Clean break + BOS above 3322, then hold → reentry toward 3355
📊 EMA Structure (5/21/50/100/200)
❌ EMA5 is under 21 and 50 → bearish
⚠️ Price is hugging EMA100 from below
✅ EMA200 (H1) sits at ~3172 → aligns with deep demand zone
Momentum favors sellers if 3308 holds
🔚 Final Thoughts — Battlefield Summary
Gold is stuck in range-to-distribution structure after failing to reclaim premium. With CHoCHs on all major intraday timeframes, momentum is now tilting bearish. The setup is clean: wait for the retest of structure above, then strike into demand zones where clean inefficiencies remain.
Don’t chase fake breakouts. Let price show its hand near OBs and EQ edges — and execute with clarity.
💬 If You Found This Valuable:
📌 Follow GoldFxMinds for live sniper plans, real zone maps, and execution clarity
💡 Smash a LIKE if you’re ready to wait, not chase
👇 Comment your take: Do we drop to 3228 first — or induce 3315 before the flush?
Trade sharp. Trade with structure.
— GoldFxMinds
TJX: Sudden Drop After EarningsTJX fell sharply after its latest earnings report, and some traders may see more downside risk.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the drop on May 21 after backward-looking results beat estimates, but forward-looking guidance disappointed. Also notice the action on February 26, when an initial pop faded. Those reactions contrast with many post-earnings rallies in recent years, and may reflect weakening fundamentals.
Second, the discount retailer gapped down to its 50-day simple moving average. Instead of bouncing, it has consolidated at the line. Could a breakdown follow?
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has crossed below the 21-day EMA and remained there. That may reflect bearish short-term momentum.
Finally, chart watchers may view the October 7 close around $112 as the clearest support. TJX is about $14 above that level. Given the potential challenges cited above, buyers may wait for a test of those lower levels.
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What’s Driving Gold Prices Right Now?Gold is known as a safe haven, something investors buy during uncertain times. But in 2025, it’s not just reacting to fear. It’s moving with strong momentum, driven by news, global events, and investor behavior. Let’s break down what’s behind this recent surge.
Fundamentals: Why Gold Is Gaining Momentum
U.S.-China Trade Tensions Escalate
Gold found fresh support after China pushed back on accusations by U.S. President Trump that it violated a temporary trade agreement. The conflict has revived fears of a drawn-out trade war, hurting market hopes for a stable resolution.
Tariff Threats Spark Market Volatility
On Friday, Trump announced plans to double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 50%, effective Wednesday, June 4, 2025. This aggressive stance has rattled investors and pushed them toward safe-haven assets like gold.
Geopolitical Risks Rise
Over the weekend, Ukraine launched drone attacks deep inside Russian territory, adding to global instability and further fueling gold’s appeal as a geopolitical hedge.
U.S. Dollar Weakens Amid Risk-Off Sentiment
The dollar softened as traders sought refuge in alternative safe-haven currencies like the Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc, and Euro. A weaker dollar typically supports gold, which is priced in USD.
Technicals: Momentum Building at Key Resistance
Gold is showing solid intraday strength, with prices up approximately 1.95% at the time of writing.
• Gold is now testing a major resistance level near $3,365. This level has historically acted as a key barrier and a strong psychological level.
• RSI currently sits at 64.06 on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating moderate bullish momentum potentially aiming for overbought levels, leaving more space for further upside movement.
• Price is trading above the 20 and 5-day EMAs, a sign of short-term bullish control.
If gold breaks above $3,366 with high volume, we could potentially see a push toward the next resistance area around $3,392, continuing the current upward move, as per analyst analysis.
Figure 1: XAUUSD, H4 Time-frame, Trading View
RENDER Is $1.366 the Next Stop Before a Major Market Reversal?Yello Paradisers! Are you prepared for the drop that could clean out both bulls and bears before the real move begins? Or will you be caught in another trap?
💎#RENDERUSDT has broken down from its ascending channel. This confirms that bullish momentum has faded, and the structure no longer supports higher prices.
💎The price is now trading below both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA on the daily timeframe. These are key trend indicators. Losing them shifts the bias to the downside. After rejection from the $5.00–$5.40 supply zone, the market failed to make a new high. That area remains strong resistance. Bulls must reclaim it to regain control.
💎Previous support around $4.00 has now turned into resistance. As long as price stays below this zone, lower targets remain in play.The next support is around $2.46, but that may only offer temporary relief. The real demand zone sits near $1.366, where stronger buying interest is expected.
💎Tether dominance (USDT.D) is showing early signs of risk-off behavior. It has reclaimed the 21, 50, and is now testing the 200 EMA at 4.88%. This suggests capital is rotating out of altcoins and into stablecoins.This shift is backed by rising volume. It's not retail noise it’s institutional positioning. The market is preparing for a deeper correction.
Stay disciplined. The next big opportunity will come to those who wait not those who chase.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
XAUUSD | 1h BearishGold (XAUUSD) 1H Analysis
Currently, gold is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal from a key supply zone. Price tapped into the previous high and reacted with strong rejection, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. This area aligns with a clear zone of interest, where sellers previously stepped in, adding confluence to our bearish bias.
The structure has been respected so far, and price has now broken below the minor trendline support, which previously acted as dynamic support for this bullish leg. A pullback to retest this broken structure or the imbalance zone just above could provide an optimal entry for further downside.
The trade idea is built on a potential shift in market structure:
A double top internal structure formation is visible at the recent high, indicating exhaustion in the uptrend.
Price is expected to push lower, targeting TP1, which sits at the previous strong support zone and aligns with the internal structure break.
Further continuation to the downside could take price toward the 0.5 FIB retracement level and PDL (Previous Day Low)—both strong liquidity areas.
We are anticipating a reaction from these lower zones. If bullish momentum reappears there, it may offer a chance to reposition for long setups later. For now, the bias remains bearish while price holds below the supply zone and structure confirms.
Broadcom (AVGO) Stock Price Rose by Approximately 25% in MayBroadcom (AVGO) Stock Price Rose by Approximately 25% in May
According to available data:
→ AVGO's closing price on 30th April was $192.42
→ The closing price on 30th May was $241.59
The 25% increase in Broadcom (AVGO) stock price made it one of the leaders in the market. For comparison, the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) rose just over 6%.
Why is the AVGO stock price rising?
Among the bullish factors contributing to the growth of Broadcom (AVGO) stocks in May were:
→ Growing demand for AI infrastructure. This stimulates demand for Broadcom’s products—such as high-performance networking chips, which are critical for building and scaling data centres for AI.
→ Positive news related to the successful integration of the previously acquired company VMware into Broadcom's business.
→ Optimism ahead of Broadcom’s quarterly earnings report, scheduled for 5th June.
Technical Analysis of AVGO Stock Chart
Price movements in May formed an ascending channel (shown in blue).
From a bearish perspective: AVGO stock has risen to the psychological level of $250, which has acted as resistance since December 2024. Additionally, the strong rally in May may motivate some investors to sell previously purchased shares to lock in potential profits.
From a bullish perspective:
→ The price is in the upper half of the channel, which confirms strong demand.
→ A bullish gap highlighted a buyer-favoured imbalance around the $215 level.
Technically, it would be reasonable to expect a corrective move from the $250 resistance deeper into the ascending channel. However, considering the upcoming earnings report—which often triggers volatility—the bulls could attempt to break through the $250 level and set a new all-time high.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: Gold Price Could Gain Bullish PaceMarket Analysis: Gold Price Could Gain Bullish Pace
Gold started a fresh increase above the $3,300 resistance level.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price started a steady increase from the $3,250 zone against the US Dollar.
- A connecting bearish trend line is forming with resistance at $3,318 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price found support near the $3,250 zone, formed a base, and started a fresh increase above the $3,280 level.
The bulls cleared the $3,300 zone and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was also a move above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,331 swing high to the $3,271 low. The RSI is now above 50 and the price could aim for more gains.
Immediate resistance is near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,331 swing high to the $3,271 low at $3,318. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,318.
The next major resistance is near the $3,330 level. An upside break above the $3,330 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,382. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,400 level.
Initial support on the downside is near the $3,300 zone. If there is a downside break below the $3,300 support, the price might decline further.
In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $3,270 support. The next major support sits at $3,250. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,220 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NZD/USD Trade IdeaThe NZD/USD pair appears to be forming an ascending triangle, a pattern that typically indicates increasing bullish momentum and buyer strength.
Should price break above the established resistance zone at 0.60300, I would wait for a confirmed retest of this area before considering a long position.
Potential take-profit targets are set at the next key resistance levels of 0.61215 and 0.63740, based on previous structure.
EUR/GBP at a Tipping Point: Key Demand Zone or Breakdown Ahead?The EUR/GBP cross is currently trading in a key technical area, hovering around 0.8427, showing signs of mild recovery after a bullish reaction from a previously tested demand zone.
📊 Technical Analysis
Price action reveals a compression phase within a descending channel (corrective flag), followed by a breakout to the upside last week. Price reached the supply zone between 0.8480 and 0.8535, which triggered a strong bearish candle rejection.
Currently, the pair is testing support around 0.8400–0.8380, a level previously defended by buyers.
The RSI bounced from oversold territory, suggesting the potential for a consolidation phase or sideways movement, rather than a clear divergence.
📌 Key Levels
Dynamic Resistance: 0.8480 – 0.8535
Structural Support: 0.8380 – 0.8285
Upside breakout target (if momentum builds): 0.8660
📅 Seasonality
Historically, June tends to be slightly bullish for EUR/GBP, especially on the 5-year and 10-year seasonal patterns. Curves indicate upward pressure between the second and third weeks of the month, suggesting that any retracement could present a seasonal long opportunity.
💼 COT Report
Euro FX
Non-Commercials reduced both longs (-1.7K) and shorts (-6.7K) → signaling indecision or rebalancing.
Net positioning remains positive, but momentum is fading.
British Pound
Non-Commercials added significantly to longs (+14.2K) and slightly to shorts (+2.8K) → GBP is attracting bullish interest.
This could reduce upside pressure on EUR/GBP in the short term.
Overall, COT data currently favors the British Pound in the near term.
📈 Retail Sentiment
Retail traders are heavily skewed to the long side (74% long), which may create contrarian downside pressure if the market moves against the crowd. The average entry price is around 0.8481, meaning many traders are currently underwater.
🎯 Conclusion & Bias Outlook
Short-term bias: Neutral to bearish down to 0.8380
Mid-term bias: Moderately bullish if price holds above 0.8380 with higher lows confirmation
Ideal long entry could emerge from a retest of 0.8380 with bullish confirmation (candlestick or RSI support)
Alternatively, a clear H4 close below 0.8380 could open space down to 0.8280
Bitcoin Daily Technical Overview (BTC/USD)Currently, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is trading around $104,800. Up slightly but still digesting a sharp reversal that rattled short-term bulls.
Recent Price Action: Rejection From $112K
Back on 22nd May, Bitcoin surged to a new high near $112,000, fueled by bullish momentum, institutional flows, and strong on-chain accumulation. However, that breakout was swiftly rejected, and BTC fell as low as $103,400.
This kind of "bull trap" reversal highlights a few key dynamics:
1) Overextended sentiment: The rally above $110K was not supported by volume or follow-through, suggesting exhaustion.
2) Profit-taking by large holders or institutions likely triggered a cascade of stop-losses, accelerating the decline.
3) Liquidation clusters in leveraged long positions likely exacerbated the drop.
Bitcoin is now attempting to reclaim stability around the $104K–$105K range.
🔍 Technical Snapshot
- Support Zones at $103,000 and $93,200
- Resistance Levels at $112,000 (ATH)
Price is still above the 50 & 200-day SMAs, which could be a bullish longer-term signal.
In addition, the price remains above the upper band of the cloud, but momentum is stalling. A decisive bounce off the cloud could reignite bullish sentiment. Or falling into the cloud could trigger more uncertainty and downside.
Macro tailwinds: Concerns over U.S. fiscal stability and potential Fed rate cuts could keep Bitcoin attractive as a non-sovereign asset.
📈 Projection Scenarios
Bullish Case:
If BTC consolidates above $107K, we could see another attempt and retest of $112K.
Bearish Case:
Failure to hold above $103K could see Bitcoin revisit $100K, and if that breaks, downside opens toward the $93K level.
🧭 Insight & Takeaway
The current reversal serves as a healthy reminder that no trend goes up in a straight line. Especially not in crypto.
It likely shook out overleveraged longs, reset sentiment, and may give the market room to breathe before the next leg up.
The long-term trend remains intact, but expect more volatility before any clean break to new highs.
Always DYOR and DYODD and manage your risk.
BTCUSD Mind Mapping Analysis (MMC) + Structure Mapping + Target🕵️♂️ Introduction
Welcome traders! In today’s BTCUSD analysis, we dive deep into the Mind Mapping Concept (MMC) with curve-based support, smart money structure shifts, and mapped liquidity levels. This chart reveals how institutional players moved price through liquidity traps, accumulation zones, and major breakout points, culminating in a reversal zone.
This breakdown is ideal for traders using:
Smart money concepts (SMC)
Curve theory
Liquidity sweeps
Structure mapping
🔍 Detailed Breakdown of the Chart:
🔹 1. Ellipse Zone – Liquidity Trap Phase
The blue ellipse on the left shows a clear area of price compression and indecision.
This is where retail traders often enter prematurely, expecting reversal.
Smart money exploits these zones to collect liquidity — this is not yet a trend shift, but a trap.
You can observe multiple wicks and fakeouts, signaling manipulation and preparation for expansion.
🔹 2. Expanding Channel – Volatility Phase
Following the trap, price enters an expanding pattern (also known as a megaphone).
These structures indicate uncertain market behavior, often manipulated to clear both highs and lows.
Smart money uses this to exhaust both buyers and sellers before deciding the real trend direction.
🔹 3. Previous Target & SR Flip Zone
Price reaches the previous downside target, completing a downward liquidity move.
From here, the market forms a support-resistance flip (SR-Interchange) — a textbook zone for institutional entries.
Once this zone holds, it confirms that buyers are absorbing sell orders.
The curve starts forming, indicating deeper market structure realignment.
🔹 4. Black Curve – Mind Mapping Curve Support
One of the most important elements of MMC — the curve — acts as a psychological and algorithmic support line.
The curve captures the accumulation structure in a flowing manner.
Repeated touches and rejections confirm its strength.
As long as price respects the curve, the bullish momentum remains intact.
🔹 5. Breakout Confirmation
Price breaks through mid-range consolidation and hits Target 1.
This move confirms a shift in market sentiment from indecision to bullish control.
The breakout is supported by volume, structure alignment, and curve acceleration.
🔹 6. Major Breakout Zone
A major resistance line is broken — this marks a shift in macro structure.
At this point, we label the zone as “Major Breakout” — any retest of this can offer a high-RR entry.
🔹 7. Next Reversal Zone (Supply Zone)
Price is now inside the Next Reversal Zone, which is a potential supply area or liquidity magnet.
Institutional traders may use this zone for profit-taking or to initiate a deeper retracement.
Watch for rejection signs, such as long wicks, engulfing patterns, or volume divergence.
If this zone is absorbed (i.e., broken cleanly), expect another leg higher.
💡 MMC Summary (Flow Recap):
Trap → Expansion → Liquidity Target → SR Flip → Curve Accumulation → Breakout → Target Hit → Reversal Zone
Each stage reflects smart money behavior and follows the natural cycle of manipulation → accumulation → distribution.
📊 What to Watch Next?
Confirmation Rejection in Reversal Zone? Short entries could be valid with curve re-entries.
Bullish Continuation? A clean break above reversal zone = new weekly highs likely.
Retest of Curve? If price pulls back, watch for rejections on the curve for safer long positions.
🚨 Trade Tips Based on This Setup:
✅ Use multi-timeframe confluence (M30 + H1 or H4)
✅ Always mark out previous liquidity zones
✅ Place SL below the curve or zone rejections
✅ Avoid entering trades inside expanding zones – wait for structure confirmation
🔖 Conclusion
This BTCUSD setup showcases a masterclass in smart money behavior using the Mind Mapping Concept (MMC). From trap to breakout, every move is cleanly mapped, providing a strong edge to traders who understand institutional footprints.
Whether you're a scalper, day trader, or swing trader, incorporating MMC curve support and liquidity logic can take your trading precision to the next level.
SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – Inflection at Fib Resistance | Dual-Scenario🗓️ June 2, 2025 | 📈 1H Chart | ⚠️ Risk-Off Signal Building?
🔹 Current Price: $592.98
🔺 Key Resistance: $595.54–$597.36 (1.0–1.236 Fib Extension)
🔻 Gap Support: $565.51
🎯 Bullish Target: $604.05–$604.90 (1.382–1.618 Extension)
🔎 Technical Structure:
Trendline Rejection Zone: SPY is pressing into a multi-tap descending resistance. Any failure to break convincingly could invite strong selling.
Fibonacci Overlap: $595–597 aligns with major Fib extensions—potential exhaustion zone.
Gap Unfilled: The $565.51 gap remains untested and could magnet price in the event of a rejection.
Volatility Funnel Forming: Narrowing structure implies imminent directional move.
🌐 Macro Landscape:
Fed Watch: The June 12 FOMC is the next volatility trigger. Fed Funds Futures are pricing in only a ~10% probability of a cut. Hawkish hold expected.
Earnings Season Winds Down: Lack of new fundamental catalysts could increase technical relevance.
Liquidity: Reverse repo balances are falling, suggesting reduced short-term liquidity—typically bearish for risk assets.
Inflation Watch: Sticky Core PCE remains above 2.75% YoY—Fed unlikely to ease aggressively.
📉 Risk Management:
Short Bias Setup:
Entry: $595–597 rejection
Stop: $598.5–599 (Above 1.236 Fib)
Target: $577 (mid-Fib) → $565.51 (gap close)
R:R ~3:1
Bullish Breakout Plan:
Entry: Confirmed breakout + hold above $598
Stop: $593.50
Target: $604–605
R:R ~2.5:1
Volatility Hedge: Consider using VIX calls or SPX put spreads to hedge directional risk around key Fed dates.
🎲 Probabilities:
Scenario Chance Commentary
Pullback to $565 Gap 65% Strong resistance + weakening breadth + macro headwinds
Breakout to $604 35% Requires bullish macro surprise or liquidity-driven melt-up
🔔 Action Plan:
Fade rallies into resistance unless a high-volume breakout confirms. Use stop discipline and hedge exposure into macro events. Stay nimble.
💬 Thoughts? Are we due for a flush or prepping for a face-ripper?
Safe Entry ZoneCurrent price Movement Down.
the Green 1h Zone will be respected.
Note: Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
IOTXUSDT🚀 IoTeX (IOTX): A Hidden Gem for Short-Term Gains & Long-Term Growth?
Looking for a crypto project with real-world utility and strong upside potential? IoTeX (IOTX)—a decentralized platform powering the Internet of Things (IoT)—might be worth your attention.
Why IoTeX?
✔ Innovation Meets IoT: Combines blockchain + IoT for secure, privacy-focused machine-to-machine (M2M) ecosystems.
✔ Partnerships & Adoption: Backed by industry giants (like Samsung) and used in real-world applications (smart devices, DePIN).
✔ Price Potential: Volatility offers short-term trading opportunities, while long-term growth aligns with IoT’s explosive expansion (projected $2.4T market by 2029).
📌 Short-Term: Watch for bullish trends amid crypto market rebounds and project updates.
📌 Long-Term: HODL potential as IoT adoption grows and IoTeX cements its niche.
GOLD (4H) — Explosive Start to the Week, Bullish Projection🏪 1. Market Structure
Gold has reignited its bullish momentum this week.
- Clean breakout of the bearish trendline that had been capping prices for several sessions.
- Rally followed a retest of a 1H IFVG and the OTE zone (retested last week) + POI.
📍 2. Key Technical Zone
- Price is now approaching a crucial Supply Zone around $3,360–$3,380, which represents the next resistance barrier.
🧠 3. Sentiment & Behavior
- The structure resembles an Accumulation → Clear Breakout → Retest → Expansion sequence.
- The 4H RSI is climbing without being overbought, suggesting continuation potential.
🎯 4. Probable Scenario
- As long as price stays above $3,320, the bullish scenario remains intact. 🚀
- If the Supply Zone is cleared, the next target lies near $3,450–$3,500, with potential extension to a fresh ATH. 🏆
✅ Conclusion
Gold has regained short-term control. The structural breakout + intraday bullish momentum support a northward push.
🔔 Remain vigilant for macro catalysts (US inflation data, geopolitical tensions) that could propel gold even higher this week. 🌍
BTC at Make-or-Break: Rejection or Liftoff to $130K?
Bias/Summary
BTC is at a critical zone between 109K–112K. Price is currently showing hesitation after initial rejection at the Yearly L3 (112K), and I’m leaning short unless we see a strong breakout and hold above that level. However, if bulls reclaim it, we could see a fast move to 130K before many can react.
Technical Context:
Yearly L3 sits around the $112K zone – a historically significant level.
Price faced rejection at $112K and is now hovering near $109K.
Lower timeframe showing indecision, possible bearish bias.
Watching for:
Rejection + lower high below $112K = short setup.
Clean breakout + retest of $112K = shift to long bias.
Trade Idea / Setup:
🟥 Scenario A – Short Bias (Current Leaning):
Entry: 110K–111.5K (if rejection confirms)
Stop Loss: Above 112.5K
Targets:
TP1: 104K
TP2: 99K
TP3: 94K
R:R: Up to 3.5:1 depending on entry and target
🟩 Scenario B – Breakout Long (Contingent Setup):
Entry: 113K+ (after breakout and solid retest)
Stop Loss: Below 111K
Targets:
TP1: 120K
TP2: 130K
R:R: ~3:1 or more if momentum confirms
Risk & Patience Reminder:
⚠️Let price lead. No breakout = no long. No clear rejection = no short. Wait for confirmation, and don’t force entries in the chop.
Patience > Prediction.
NFA. DYOR. Manage your risk.