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Again TLT, again 108 targetI’m still supporting 20+ bonds, and this time I’ve chosen the technical approach. I’m not entirely sure if I’ve made the correct calculations using the XABCD pattern, but the picture seems accurate. When the market has concerns about tax reductions, strict measures against migrants, sanctions, etc., and how all of this will affect prices and, specifically, inflation, don’t forget to consider the opposite side of reality. Before all these factors fully materialize, it will take years. During those years, the Trump administration is preparing to make aggressive cuts in public spending, introduce new optimization plans, and more. This can have a direct negative impact on both inflation and the labor market.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by gorgevorgian
Total 3At the moment, I am expecting the TOTAL3 index (the total market capitalization of altcoins excluding BTC and ETH) to enter the discount zone, which usually corresponds to areas of strong oversold conditions. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is already close to the 30 level, signaling a potential reversal or at least a slowdown in the decline. Typically, such a zone becomes attractive for purchases as it represents points where the risk is reduced, and the growth potential is high. However, it’s important to consider overall market dynamics, external macroeconomic factors, and the behavior of major players. I am continuing to monitor the RSI level and price reactions at key support zones.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by dubpolice55
1
Alphabet: A Runner in the New Year?Alphabet has mostly lagged among the megacap growth stocks since the summer, but it could be ending the year on a strong note. The first pattern on today’s chart is the pair of bullish gaps on October 30 and December 10. The Internet giant initially jumped after earnings and revenue beat estimates. It also benefited from strong growth in its cloud services. The next rally resulted from news of its “mind-boggling” Willow quantum-computing chip. (That term was used in a blog post by Google's Quantum AI lead Hartmut Neven.) Such price moves, accompanied by heavy volume, may reflect improving sentiment. Next, the second bullish gap pushed GOOGL above its November peak and previous record high from the summer. Is a breakout underway? Third, MACD is rising and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. Those may signal positive momentum. Finally, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) crossed above the 100-day SMA in November. Both are above the 200-day SMA. That realignment of SMAs, with the faster above the slower, may be consistent with a longer-term uptrend. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by TradeStation
GOLD:Will the U.S. Dollar Cap Gold Gains?Analyzing Market TrendsGold prices have seen a surge in buying activity as the week begins, aiming to build upon the recovery initiated from a one-month low reached last Thursday. Analyzing the market from a technical perspective, we've observed the price hitting our pending order level. According to the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, retail traders remain bullish while commercial traders have shifted to a bearish stance over the past week. This dynamic suggests that we are anticipating a bearish continuation in gold prices despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict and escalating tensions in the Middle East. Additionally, fears surrounding trade wars continue to create a backdrop that benefits the safe-haven appeal of gold. However, the strength of the U.S. Dollar (USD) presents a contrasting scenario that could further suppress gold prices. Recently, there has been a resurgence in dip-buying within the USD, fueled by the Federal Reserve's hawkish signals and rising U.S. Treasury yields. These factors are likely to impose additional constraints on gold, a non-yielding asset, limiting its upside potential. In summary, while the geopolitical landscape might support gold's appeal, the prevailing strength of the dollar could undermine any significant price increases in the near term. ✅ Please share your thoughts about GOLD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FOREXN1
1
Fed Rate Expectations: How Are They Formed?Changes in the Federal Reserve's funds rate have far-reaching implications for nearly all existing assets. When the rate increases amidst moderate inflation, the U.S. dollar TVC:DXY typically strengthens, attracting capital from both the cryptocurrency and stock markets. Conversely, if inflation is rising rapidly and the Fed is compelled to aggressively raise rates to stabilize the economy, investors often interpret this as a sign of underlying trouble, prompting them to shift their assets into TVC:GOLD . However, it is essential to recognize that the Fed’s decisions are reactions to prevailing economic conditions. More crucially, market expectations regarding the Fed's rate movements—shaped by collective sentiment—play a significant role in shaping economic outcomes. This post explores the factors that form these expectations. 📍 Key Indicators Influencing Expectations for the Fed Funds Rate The market tends to respond significantly only when actual changes in the funds rate diverge from expectations. If adjustments align with market forecasts, the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar typically remains stable. Thus, accurately predicting the Fed's actions is vital for investors and traders. 1. Labor Market Dynamics The labor market is a primary focus for the Fed. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases employment reports every Friday, providing insight into unemployment rates. The Fed maintains a forecast range for acceptable unemployment levels—generally between 4.2% and 4.8%—indicating economic balance. An uptick in unemployment signals economic weakness, often prompting a reduction in the funds rate. Conversely, a decline in unemployment raises concerns about potential economic overheating, which could lead to tighter monetary policy. 2. Inflation Trends The Fed’s target inflation rate is set at 2%. As inflation rises, the Fed typically increases the funds rate to curb borrowing. This was clearly illustrated during the 2022-2023 period, where persistent inflation above 8% led to a series of rate hikes. In contrast, deflation would necessitate maintaining ultra-low funds rates. Additional indicators to monitor include wage trends, inflation expectations, and the consumer price index (CPI). 3. Overall Economic Health Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a key indicator of economic health. Although GDP data is often retrospective, it reflects long-term economic trends. A decline in GDP may prompt the Fed to adopt stimulative monetary policies. Analysts often utilize the GDPNow model, developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, to obtain real-time estimates of U.S. GDP growth. 4. Treasury Yield Curve The yield curve illustrates the relationship between bond yields of different maturities from the same issuer. A flattening yield curve typically signals economic slowdown, while long-term bonds yielding less than short-term bonds can foreshadow a recession. The Fed could respond to such signs by adjusting funds rates higher depending on the crisis’s underlying causes. 5. Global Economic Influences Economic conditions in other major economies, particularly China and the European Union, can indirectly impact the U.S. economy due to deep economic ties. Monitoring central bank funds rates and the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) in these regions is essential. 6. The Dollar’s Exchange Rate Against Key Currencies A strong U.S. dollar can adversely affect American exporters. If other central banks, such as the Bank of Japan or the European Central Bank, adopt accommodative monetary policies, the Fed may also consider lowering rates to avoid a detrimental trade balance caused by a strengthening dollar. 7. Market Expectations Investor sentiment creates a feedback loop. With over 50% of Americans investing in equities, a hawkish stance on funds rates tends to increase bond yields and instigate a sell-off in securities, negatively impacting overall economic wealth. Investors’ anticipation of potential rate cuts can pressure the Fed to align with these expectations. 8. Communication from Fed Officials The rhetoric from Fed officials often hints at future monetary policy, providing insights into rate expectations based on their communications. Numerous indicators, including analysts’ forecasts and futures trading on key rates, contribute to understanding the Fed's policies. Due to the complexity of these influencing factors, relying solely on fundamental analysis for trading is not advisable for beginners. 📍 Conclusion Forecasting changes in the Fed's funds rate often begins with the first clear signals about the Fed's potential actions. The primary motivations guiding the Fed are the control of inflation and the management of unemployment—making these two indicators crucial for predictions regarding monetary policy. Additionally, it is essential to consider fundamental factors impacting other major currencies. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
3
Micron Technology ($MU): Breaking Resistance or Building Moment "Undervalued tech stocks are like treasure maps—the trick is knowing where the 'X' marks the breakout. Let’s see where NASDAQ:MU might lead us." Valuation Insight: "Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) is trading at $87.50, with valuation metrics that scream potential: P/E Ratio: 10.5—well below industry averages. P/B Ratio: 1.7—value investors, take note. EV/Revenue Ratio: 3.5—a discount on future growth." Key Resistance Levels to Watch: $97.18 – The First Test 🎯 "This level marks the first hurdle for $MU. A breakout above could indicate momentum building toward a bullish trend." $118.54 – The Big Break ⚡ "Crossing this level would confirm renewed bullish sentiment. Look for strong volume as a signal for sustained movement." $181.66 – The Bullish Peak 🏔️ "While distant, this historical high serves as a long-term target for investors betting on sustained industry growth." Growth Catalysts: AI and 5G Demand: DRAM and NAND memory are critical for emerging technologies. Institutional Activity: Dark pool orders and market-on-close volume indicate increased interest from big players. Risks to Watch: Cyclical Nature: Overproduction or slowing demand could impact prices. Macroeconomic Headwinds: Higher interest rates might dampen near-term spending in tech. Conclusion: " NASDAQ:MU is undervalued and approaching critical levels—$97.18, $118.54, and $181.66—that could define its path forward. Keep these zones on your radar and watch for volume to validate potential moves."
NASDAQ:MULong
by DCAChampion
Yen Struggles as Investors Question BoJ's Rate Hike ProspectsThroughout the first half of the European trading session on Monday, the Japanese Yen continues to struggle against the US Dollar, with the exchange rate slipping to 0.006436 as I write this article. Investor skepticism regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) potential for further interest rate hikes plays a significant role in this downward trend. This uncertainty, combined with an overall positive market sentiment, is putting pressure on the traditionally safe-haven Yen. Moreover, the recent widening of the yield gap between US and Japanese government bonds—intensified by the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance—further contributes to the Yen's decline. As the Fed signals a more aggressive monetary policy, the lower-yielding Yen becomes less attractive to investors. In terms of market outlook, we are anticipating a continuation of this bearish trend for the Yen against the Dollar. USD/JPY Previous Idea as reference: ✅ Please share your thoughts about JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME:6J1!Short
by FOREXN1
1
Sell GBP/NZD Triangle PatternThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2.1983 2nd Support – 2.1860 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1
WHAT MOVES LIES AHEAD OF GOLD?FUNDAMENTAL VIEW It’s a quiet week on the economic calendar as the holiday spirit takes center stage, but gold remains in focus. What moves lie ahead for the precious metal? From a fundamental perspective, the FED’s recent 25bps rate cut, paired with a cautious stance on future rate changes, has influenced gold prices. Furthermore, softer U.S inflation data for November has also weakened the dollar and lowered Treasury yields. Hence providing support for gold. This week, markets will keep an eye on U.S. consumer confidence data later today at 7 PM GMT+4. Tomorrow, December 24, 2024, key releases include Core durable goods, durable goods, new home sales, and the Richmond manufacturing index. On Thursday, the weekly unemployment claims are expected, with a forecast of 218K. These and other economic indicators could impact gold prices, given their inverse relationship with the dollar. TECHNICAL VIEW On the daily timeframe, the price is struggling and currently trading below the 50 period EMA at $2,640.493, showing a -28% decrease today after a brief uptick during the Asian session, following significant losses last week. The price is currently leaning bearish, with a potential target at $2,582.181. If this level is broken, the next support targets could be $2,553.488 and $2,489.954. Alternatively, if bullish momentum takes over, the price could rise to $2,655.962, followed by $2,722.389 and then $2,787.129.
CFI:XAUUSD
by CFI
Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 VIEW FOR 2025 I'll analyze the key data points and patterns from this cryptocurrency market cap chart: Key Market Data: 1. Opening Price Range: ~225.94B 2. High: ~338.55B 3. Low: ~117.39B 4. Current Price: ~329.83B 5. Change: +3.84B (+1.18%) 6. Volume: 32.33B Historical Pattern Analysis: 2021: - Started with steady uptrend - Reached first major peak around May-September - Volume during peak: 431.43B - Price level: 343.46B (266.71% growth) 2022: - Significant downtrend throughout the year - Market bottomed out around mid-2022 - Consolidation phase began 2023: - Marked by 343.46B level (464.19% reference) - Generally sideways movement with gradual accumulation - Started showing recovery signs in late 2023 2024: - Strong upward momentum - Current resistance level: 651.91B (marked as "SELL ATLS HERE PLEASE") - Volume at recent peak: 73.16B - Shows bullish trend with higher lows Technical Indicators: 1. Major Resistance: 651.91B 2. Key Level: 343.46B (multiple touches) 3. Current Support: ~329.83B 4. Volume Profile: Decreasing from 2021 peak (431.43B) to current (73.16B) Market Structure: - Long-term downtrend line (yellow) from 2021 peak - Current price action showing potential breakout - 16-bar cycles marked at key points - Market showing 107.62% growth potential to target Future Projections (based on chart): - Resistance target: 651.91B - Time projection: Extended into 2025 - Potential breakthrough of long-term downtrend line This analysis suggests we're in a significant accumulation phase with strong upward momentum, breaking previous resistance levels and showing signs of a potential larger market cycle beginning.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by Supachai-Taechapisit
Asian Paints - don't waste time follow simple approach??NSE:ASIANPAINT Too much talk about Asian Paints? Retail investors aren't all fundamental analysts and only sometimes have the time. If you're screening and believe Asian Paints will withstand the competition, focus on that. Trust in the Indian growth story. Note: I'm not buying or planning to – my focus is on growth. But for super long-term investors, this might be of interest. Here's what I'm tracking – the 3-month candlestick chart from TradingView. For heaven's sake, it's business – 3 months give us a fair timeline for price action to show some certainty. Disc: No investment , no recommendation #AsianPaints #Investing #TradingView #LongTermInvestment #pwinvest #trading
NSE:ASIANPAINT
by Peaceful-Weekend-Investing
$BTC.D prediction based on the current situation.CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D has been climbing steadily since the start of this bull run. It’s often said that an altseason begins when BTC dominance drops below 55%. However, the 54% level appears to be a strong support zone, with the MACD showing a low point and the RSI entering oversold territory. My analysis suggests that BTC dominance has established a range between 59% and 55%. It’s likely to bounce off the top resistance, pushing dominance back toward the support. If the next drop breaks through this support, it could finally trigger a true altseason.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by CryptoNikkoid
1
XRP Price Update: Short-Term Dip or Buying Opportunity?🚨 XRP Price Update: Short-Term Dip or Buying Opportunity? 🚨 CRYPTOCAP:XRP is currently trading at $2.19, reflecting a slight decline of 2.43% over the past 24 hours. Despite the short-term volatility, XRP continues to shine as one of the most popular cryptocurrencies with strong fundamentals and a loyal community. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 📈 Resistance: $2.30 (Potential short-term target) 📉 Support: $2.10 (Critical support zone to monitor) 📊 Trade Setup 🟢 Long Entry: Around $2.15, targeting: 1️⃣ $2.30 (short-term PDA) 2️⃣ $2.40 (next major level) 🔴 Short Entry: If XRP falls below $2.10, consider: 1️⃣ $2.05 (retracement zone) 2️⃣ $1.95 (lower PDA) 🛡 Risk Management 💡 Stop-loss: $2.05 to minimize downside risk. 💬 Market Insight The slight dip in XRP may present a buying opportunity for those looking to accumulate at lower prices. Keep an eye out for recovery signals to confirm a bullish trend in the short term. 🚀 Stay tuned for updates and trade wisely!
Long
by AlphaBull-Trading
Scam exposed youtu.be 🛑 Honey Scam Unveiled: The video reveals that Honey, a popular browser extension marketed as a money-saving tool, has been involved in questionable practices. It includes deceptive advertising, affiliate fraud, and manipulation of influencers and customers. • 💰 Affiliate Commission Poaching: Honey replaces influencers’ affiliate links with its own during checkout, effectively stealing commissions. This practice impacts both large influencers and smaller creators reliant on affiliate marketing income. • 🔍 Misleading Value Proposition: Honey claims to find the best coupon codes for users but often withholds better codes at the behest of partner businesses, undermining its core promise. • 📊 Business Partnerships: Honey allows businesses to control discount codes on its platform, leading to intentional withholding of higher-value discounts from users. • 🧑‍🎤 Impact on Influencers: Prominent influencers like Linus Tech Tips unknowingly promoted Honey, only to later discover these manipulative practices. Despite ending partnerships, many influencers’ promotions remain live, perpetuating the cycle. • **🤥 False Claims in Marketing: Honey’s advertising is called out for misleading statements such as “you’ll always get the best deal” and “no manual searching needed,” which contradict their actual operations. • **🚨 Consumer Exploitation: Customers often experience Honey providing suboptimal deals or adding its own branded coupon codes instead of genuine discounts. • **📈 Massive Reach: Honey’s marketing campaigns involved sponsorships with over 1,000 YouTube channels, accumulating billions of views. • **📢 Ethical Questions: Despite being exposed, Honey remains active, with little regulatory oversight or accountability, raising concerns about online business ethics. Insights Based on Numbers • $4 Billion Acquisition: Honey was purchased by PayPal for $4 billion, showing the financial stakes behind its practices. • 7.8 Billion Views: Honey’s campaigns amassed almost 8 billion views, illustrating the vast reach and influence of its deceptive marketing. • 89 Cents vs. $35: In one example, Honey poached $35 in affiliate commissions but returned just 89 cents to the customer, highlighting the imbalance in benefits.
NASDAQ:PYPLShort
by justin_p_mcfarland
1