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Fundamental Analysis

Frankly !!NASDAQ:TSLA is in the ascending phase by the cup and handle. Tesla is in a large C&H if it follows these pattern, the price will have a nice rally. ⭐The pattern increases the price by the amount of the measured price movement (AB=CD). Tesla shares in Frankfurt rose by 12% on Thursday, reaching a two-week high, as strong sales forecasts pleased investors. Elon Musk, the company's CEO, predicted on Wednesday that car sales would grow by 20 to 30% next year, reassuring investors that Tesla is improving its core electric vehicle business and alleviating concerns about the production timeline of a taxi robot . However, last night Tesla shares again failed to meet expectations and reported lower earnings. The only slight improvement was in dividend distribution. But due to Elon Musk's repeated promises of improved production, similar to previous periods, its stock will open with a surge today. Each time, he has given the same assurance but failed to deliver on it !! previous Analysis ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CobraVanguard
6
GOLD recovered quite strongly, falling after FOMCOn the Asian market today (Thursday, December 19), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot trading recovered strongly after a sharp decline in the previous trading day. Gold price reached its highest level at the time of writing at 2,618 USD/ounce, an increase of nearly 30 USD during the day. The market will next receive US economic data, including final third-quarter GDP and weekly unemployment claims. Market attention will then turn to Friday's release of the U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, which will boost the U.S.'s copper performance. US Dollar and gold in the short term. FOMC On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates as expected and predicted less policy easing in 2025. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said the threshold for the next rate cut could be higher, which sent the US Dollar and US Treasury yields soaring, while at the same time, Gold fell more than 2% to a one-month low in trading on Wednesday. Federal Reserve officials cut interest rates for a third straight time on Wednesday, but lowered their forecast for the number of rate cuts next year, signaling they are increasingly cautious about being able to reduce spending. How quickly does the loan cost? The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 11-1 on Wednesday to lower the federal funds rate to a range of 4.25%-4.5%. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack voted against, in favor of keeping interest rates unchanged. In the FOMC policy statement, Fed officials noted that economic activity continued to expand at a solid pace. Labor market conditions have generally eased since the beginning of this year, with the unemployment rate rising but remaining low. Inflation has made progress toward the committee's 2% target but remains high. The new Dotplot chart shows some officials expect fewer interest rate cuts next year than they estimated just a few months ago. Fed officials currently expect the benchmark interest rate to be between 3.75% - 4% by the end of 2025, which, according to the median estimate, would mean two rate cuts of 25 points each. basic. Jerome Powell The Fed will cut interest rates only twice next year amid rising inflation, according to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, a forecast consistent with Trump's wait-and-see approach when he returned to the White House in January. Powell said Fed policymakers want to see more progress in reducing inflation when considering future rate-cutting strategies. US federal funds rate futures have reflected that the Federal Reserve will leave its benchmark overnight interest rate unchanged at its policy meeting on January 28-29 next year. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Thus, gold has enough conditions to decrease in price after falling below the 0.618% Fibonacci level and bringing price activity back below the EMA21 moving average, with a sudden impact from fundamental factors. In the short term, although gold recovered from the 0.786% Fibonacci retracement level at $2,591, which was the bearish target noted by previous readers, it could still continue to decline further with a target around $2,538. . When the Relative Strength Index dropped below the 50 mark and was quite far from the oversold area, it showed that there is still plenty of room for price decline ahead. During the day, gold price increases as long as they do not surpass the 0.618% Fibonacci level and EMA21 should only be considered short-term recovery. Along with that, the downward trend in gold prices will be noticed again by the following technical levels. Support: 2,591 – 2,552 – 2,538USD Resistance: 2,624 – 2,634USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2635 - 2633⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2639 →Take Profit 1 2628 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2623 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2549 - 2551⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2546 →Take Profit 1 2556 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2561
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
Ftx token ( FTT)Ftt usdt Daily analysis Time frame 4hours Risk rewards ratio >2.5 👈👌👈👈 First target 4.5 $ Second target 5.45 $ LS should have been chosen very close to the entry point (a little below the diagonal line), but in order not to be caught, I chose LS much lower, so that over time and as the price grows, I will also raise LS and make it risk-free. Good news has also been heard in cyberspace about the new management of the FTX exchange, which is paying off its debts, and this is a positive sign for the future this currency and it is likely to return to its original position, the price range before the problems it had with the Binance exchange. (20-25$)
Long
by Habib-Tafazoli
Huge Cocoa Correction Ahead? Cocoa prices face a strong risk of correction back to $10,000 as bearish fundamentals stack up: Supply Surge Ignored Ivory Coast port arrivals are up 33% from last season, signaling a significant increase in supply from the world’s largest producer. Demand Destruction at High Prices All-time high prices are forcing buyers to scale back purchases or delay deals. Economic slowdowns and weaker spending on luxury products like chocolate further reduce demand. Liquidity Crunch in Physical Markets Massive liquidity issues, including payment delays and a lack of new purchase deals, reflect stress in the cocoa trade and could lead to lower prices. Profit-Taking and Market Correction Cocoa prices appear overbought, increasing the risk of speculative profit-taking and a market pullback. Ghana’s Supply-Boosting Reforms Ghana’s President-elect plans to revamp the cocoa sector and improve production efficiency, which could add to future supply. Stronger U.S. Dollar A stronger USD makes cocoa more expensive for international buyers, reducing demand and putting pressure on prices. Soft Commodities Correction Coffee and sugar prices are already correcting, suggesting cocoa may be next in line as markets tend to move together during broader pullbacks.
PEPPERSTONE:COCOAShort
by ValchevFinance
NASDAQ - Trading Complex Pullbacks & Pennant PatternsThis video will teach you how to trade complex pullbacks. Concepts include: how to properly read a trend, breakout patterns, structure recognition & different entry techniques. From the fundamental side, we also examine how recent economic events, such as the FOMC Interest Rate decision, US government shutdown threats, and the Santa Clause Rally, have affected the markets. I wish you all a safe & happy holiday season! Akil
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Akil_Stokes
GOLD rebound and limited, trading week with ChristmasUS economic data shows inflation is slowing. Supported by the weakening of the TVC:DXY and US Treasury bond interest rates, OANDA:XAUUSD continued to increase on Friday (December 18). However, the Fed's hawkish interest rate outlook caused gold prices to fall 0.9% last week. The Federal Reserve's headline inflation index (PCE) showed price pressures eased last month. According to data released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, excluding food and energy prices, increased by 0.1% over the previous month. in November, slower than the 0.3% increase in October. The increase was slightly lower than economists' expectations of 0.2%. On a yearly basis, core PCE rose 2.8%, matching the increase in October and below Wall Street expectations of 2.9%. Overall PCE increased 2.4% year-over-year, up from 2.3% in October. Earlier this month, the core Consumer Price Index (CPI), which excludes food and gas prices, showed prices rose 3.3% year-on-year in November, marking the fourth straight month of increases. Meanwhile, the core Producer Price Index (PPI), which tracks price changes across companies, showed prices rose 3.4% year-on-year in November. The increase was higher October's 3.1% increase also exceeded economists' expectations of 3.2%. At a press conference following Wednesday's interest rate decision, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the final phase of the Fed's response to inflation will be more difficult than initially expected. “We were forecasting inflation at the end of the year, but as we got closer to the end of the year, the forecast was off a little bit,” Powell said. “I would say that's probably the biggest factor, inflation is once again missing expectations.” So far this year, inflation has slowed but remains above the Fed's 2% target, pressured by recent unexpectedly hot monthly "core" price growth data. According to the Fed's latest Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), the Fed expects core inflation to peak at 2.5% next year, up from a forecast of 2.2% in September and falling to 2.0%. 2% in 2026 and 2027 to 2.0%. Higher inflation expectations, coupled with a slower pace of interest rate cuts next year, have weighed on markets. On the other hand, the election of Donald Trump as the next president has added to this uncertainty, with some economists suggesting that the United States could face another surge in inflation if Trump makes his move. True to his campaign promises. Policies proposed by Trump such as imposing high tariffs on imported goods, cutting taxes on businesses and restricting immigration could have an inflationary effect. These policies further complicate the Fed's future interest rate path. Data and events this week The market will also welcome the Christmas holiday this week, traders will focus on important events such as "where to get money to buy gifts for bears, where to go so as not to eat dog food, or open the door." Is it a pan or a greeting, honey,... I don't know but I wish you all a happy Christmas and good health hehe." However, some important economic data will be released. Economic data to watch out for this week Monday: US consumer confidence Tuesday: US sustainable goods, US new home sales Wednesday: Christmas break Thursday: US weekly unemployment claims Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold recovered from the 0.786% Fibonacci level during the weekend trading session, but the recovery is also limited after testing the target resistance level noted by readers in the previous issue at the confluence of the upper edge. price channel and Fibonacci level 0.618%. Currently, the closing position still supports the possibility of a technical bearish price for gold, with the price channel as the main trend price channel, resistance from Fibonacci 0.618% and pressure at Ema21. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index is still operating below the 50 level, quite far from the oversold area, which shows that there is still quite a lot of room for price decline ahead. As long as gold remains below EMA21, within price channel, it still has a bearish technical outlook and the notable points are listed below. Support: 2,591 – 2,552 – 2,538USD Resistance: 2,634 – 2,656USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2646 - 2644⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2650 →Take Profit 1 2639 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2634 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2604 - 2606⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2600 →Take Profit 1 2611 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2616
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
BTC Trend Reversal in Bullish, Asalam.o.alaikum (Hi) Community, Hope you are fine and doing all of your great, so yesterday i published the Bitcoin's reversal area's chart according to 30mins time frame and we've got the best move and 100% accuracy along with brokage commission. So, now we having this chart according to market momentum, our first reversal (minor) will be happened at 50% (Mentioned in the chart) and second and major is at the 100% (Mentioned in the chart). After that we have new structure, let see what happened in the market today. Don't forget to leave your reply about will it continue the reversal or go future bearish? Exited to know what's your thinking.... Cheers, Thanks! Intikhab Gillani MOCHH Analyst (Ultra Securities & Hedge Funds PvT Limited Pakistan) 23/12/2024
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by IntikhabGillaniACCA
23/12/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $108,403.98 Last weeks low: $92,261.97 Midpoint: $100,332.98 Last week we saw a swing fail pattern (SFP) of the week previous' high. Ever since then it's been a steady sell off throughout the week, mostly thanks to JPows FOMC statements despite a 25bps cut as forecast. BTC is now battling the 4H 200 EMA for the first time since the US election, a much needed pullback or the start of a further sell-off? Going into the holidays we should expect a lower volume as whales take some time off, retail will remain as crypto is shilled to family members over Christmas dinner so the market will continue to be interesting. The 4H 200 EMA is a key battleground, I would have hoped to see a better reaction off the moving average initially but maybe this is bad timing due to the holidays and lower volume, or the reluctance to open new trades while markets are shut etc. This week is obviously quiet in terms of data releases, there are various token unlocks ENA, IMX, FET and burns for some key altcoins such as ISP & BONK. I think the general consensus is that normal service will resume in January once everything opens back up. So for this week it's probably better to set alerts for key areas you want to get involved in, planning for when volume returns to the markets and when Trump takes office too. Merry Christmas to all and good luck!
by ProR35
Daily Analysis of Bitcoin – Issue 235The analyst believes that the price of { BTCUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by MoonriseTA
Bitcoin Mega Crash? Analyzing the Potential 30% Decline and KeyThe chart provides a technical analysis of Bitcoin's price movement, indicating a potential scenario for further decline. Bitcoin has already dropped by approximately 15%, and the analysis suggests an additional 16% decrease, resulting in a total 30% correction. Key levels in the chart include: Support and Resistance: The green zones represent strong support areas, where buying interest may emerge. Bitcoin is currently testing a critical support level near $92,000. If the price breaks below this level, it could lead to a deeper correction, with the next support zone around $76,000. Trendlines and Moving Averages: An orange trendline shows a previous upward trend that has been broken, suggesting a shift in market sentiment. A green moving average line may indicate long-term support, having been tested multiple times. Projected Scenarios: The chart outlines two potential scenarios. One suggests continued bearish momentum, with Bitcoin dropping to the next support level. The other scenario anticipates a rebound from the current support level, followed by consolidation and a possible recovery. Market Sentiment: The analysis highlights bearish sentiment, which could be driven by macroeconomic factors, lack of buying pressure, or reduced market confidence. Traders should closely monitor the $92,000 level. A break below this could confirm the bearish outlook, while a strong bounce may signal a potential reversal. Bitcoin's price action in the coming days will determine whether the predicted 30% drop occurs or if the market stabilizes.
Short
by bullanceprime
COST with Strong Resistance Divergence **Costco (COST)** has not yet reported its results for the quarter ending in November 2024. The results are expected to be released on **December 12**. This warehouse club operator is expected to post quarterly earnings of **$3.79 per share** in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of **+8.9%**. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised **0.1% higher** over the last 30 days to the current level. Costco's revenues are expected to be **$62.37 billion**, up **7.9%** from the year-ago quarter. For now its expected to have a dropp down twoard the lower channel supported by strong negaptive resistance in addtional it seems Options Market makers are looking to burn 955 and 1000 Call 29 Nov Contracts
NASDAQ:COSTShort
by Nashwan
GBP/USD - LONG POSITION I believe that GBP/USD is presenting a strong buying opportunity based on my analysis. The currency pair is currently rejecting the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, which is a significant technical indicator suggesting a potential reversal or retracement. This level often acts as a key decision zone where buyers regain control after a pullback. To validate this setup, I am closely monitoring the price action for strong wick rejections and bullish candlestick patterns, as these are reliable signals of a reversal. If these confirmations occur, I plan to enter a buy position with a well-defined stop-loss placed just below the 78.6% level to minimize risk. This trade setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio of 1:4, meaning for every 1% of risk, there is the potential to gain 4%. Such a favourable ratio ensures that even if some trades fail, the profitable ones outweigh the losses. Additionally, I am considering other confluences to strengthen my confidence in this trade. These include: 1. Momentum Indicators: Observing divergence on the RSI or MACD for signs of bullish momentum. 2. Trend Continuation: Ensuring the broader trend aligns with this reversal; for example, a higher timeframe uptrend would support this buy idea. 3. Volume Analysis: Looking for increased buying volume around this level, which often signals institutional activity. It’s also crucial to stay updated on any upcoming economic data releases or news events that could impact GBP or USD, such as interest rate decisions, inflation reports, or geopolitical developments. These events could either reinforce or disrupt the technical outlook. Overall, I believe this trade has a solid probability of success if the technical and fundamental conditions align. By sticking to the plan and maintaining discipline with risk management, this setup has the potential to be highly rewarding.
Long
by CRYPTO_CURRICULUM