Get started

Fundamental Analysis

Gold is rising strongly, waiting for a breakthrough.Gold prices soared after the Asian market opened, reaching an intraday high near 3363. However, today's market is also affected by many black swan events. Event summary: On the eve of the ceasefire negotiation between Russia and Ukraine, Ukraine attacked a Russian military base with a drone; the United States said it was unaware of the incident. Trump made a statement saying that China violated the relevant provisions on trade tariffs, and then the US Treasury Secretary said: The United States will never default. This news has worsened Sino-US trade relations. Due to the sudden black swan event, the sentiment for gold as a safe-haven asset has rapidly heated up, and the price of gold has skyrocketed in the Asian market. At present, due to the impact of international events, the price of gold has calmed down after the correction, and is currently consolidating around 3355. The 1-hour chart shows that the 5-day MA moving average is currently flat, but the 10-day and 30-day MA moving averages have turned sharply and are on an upward trend, so I think that the current rise in gold has not yet reached its peak. Market analysis: The support level in the Asian morning session is around 3300, and the gold price has successfully stood above 3330, and the lower support has also moved up to around 3330; the intraday gold price has a very small retracement, and it is still breaking through the upper side. It is currently trying to break through the cycle suppression level of 3365. After a strong breakthrough, it will reach the cycle high point of 3370. If it fails to break through strongly, the price will fall below 3365 and may touch the current support level of 3330. Operation strategy: Buy near 3345, stop loss 3335, target range 3360-3370.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
1
Safe Entry Zone TXGNote: Switch to 1h TF for better details. Current Movement Stock Ranging Between Two Zones Red(Selling Zone) & Green(Buying Zone). In case Stock pass through the Red Zone Resistance Zone. It has 3 Signification Resistances which you may Secure Your Profit. Resistances Are: 1- Red Line (200MA) 2- First P.High(Previous High) @ 11.77 Price Level. 3- Second P.High Line @ 16.54 price Level Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
NASDAQ:TXG
by Faisalzor
Gold Surges Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Trade UncertaintyGold prices surged today, driven by a mix of escalating geopolitical risks and supportive macroeconomic conditions. Renewed violence in the Middle East—particularly Israeli airstrikes on Gaza—has triggered increased safe-haven demand. At the same time, global trade uncertainty is mounting following former President Trump's reintroduction of 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum. Central banks have also turned into net buyers of gold, accumulating over 1,000 tons annually to hedge against currency instability. Lastly, the Federal Reserve’s dovish tone, with rate cuts expected as early as June, is boosting gold’s appeal by reducing the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset. These factors together are creating a strong bullish backdrop for XAU/USD.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Pipsey_hustle
S&P turns flat after bouncing off lows The S&P 500, which ended Friday's session flat, has turned flat in today's session as well, after bouncing back from its earlier lows on reports that the US and Chinese leaders will meet to discuss trade after the two sides accused each other of violating their recent trade deal. June could be a more challenging month for stocks if trade uncertainty persists, following what had been a strong May for global equities—marking their best monthly performance since November 2023. Much of that rally was driven by optimism that the worst of the US tariff threats had passed, encouraging investors to return to risk assets. However, any sense of calm was quickly disrupted after in the last few days, when Trump announced plans to double tariffs on steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%. This move has reignited concerns about a potential resurgence of trade tensions, adding to the already growing list of market risks. On top of that, investors are also bracing for political gridlock in Washington, as lawmakers prepare to negotiate a sweeping tax and spending bill amid escalating concerns about US government debt. With the debt ceiling deadline approaching, June could bring renewed market volatility, casting a cloud over the near-term S&P 500 outlook. From a technical point of view, the trend is bullish but the doji candles in the last few trading sessions suggest that the momentum is waning and that a bit of a pullback could be on the cards. Resistance at 5,900 was being tested at the time of writing. A daily close above this level would be a bullish outcome, in which case a run towards last week's high near 6,000 could be on the cards. However, if resistance at 5,900 holds, then a potential drop to the next support area around 5787 would be the more likely outcome first. Further support is seen between 5,670 to 5,695. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
Short position opportunity at 3366 suppression pointAt present, the focus of gold is on the previous high point of 3360-3366. If the rebound fails to effectively break through this range, you can consider entering a short position. Although gold is in a high-level oscillation stage, you should not blindly chase more. If the upper suppression continues to be effective, there is a risk of a technical correction. If you encounter confusion in operation, please feel free to communicate at any time; if the current gold operation is not ideal, I hope to help you avoid risks and reduce investment detours. I look forward to your contact. From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, the upper resistance focuses on the 3360-3366 line, and the short-term support below focuses on the 3320-3325 area. It is recommended to keep operating in line with the trend and follow the main trend unchanged. Operation strategy: When gold rebounds to the 3360-3366 line and fails to break through, arrange short positions, and target the 3320-3325 range.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Long idea on GoldLooking to long gold from 3326 area. Technical Reasoning- 38 Fib TL Break Retest Psych level (25) Look for alignment on a BR movement with DXY Current sentiment is risk off going into the London session, if this sentiment stays then the long is valid. Final target for the movement is to 3400. Partial profit taking along the ride is always a good idea. Have not posted here in a minute, will become more frequent now. My shift has changed, I am predominantly trading gold, I also am trading USDJPY, however trades on UJ have to have alignment with DXY 100% of the time for the trade to be valid, therefore trades won't be as frequent but accurate. Similar notion applies to gold, with such strong correlation to DXY when the market is dollar driven (Roughly 80% of the time), gold has beautiful alignment with DXY. Good to be back in the game. Catch you later traders ☀️
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by FalkenFx
DXY Breakdown Could Trigger a Massive Market Shift !Hello Traders 🐺 I hope you're doing well! In this idea, I want to once again talk about the DXY situation, because in my opinion, we're currently at a very critical level—and it's decision time! First, let’s take a look at the chart, and then I’ll explain the potential impact this setup could have on other markets—especially crypto and stocks: As you can see in the daily chart, DXY was perfectly supported by the red box area—which has now flipped into resistance. In my opinion, there are two key levels to watch here. There’s an old rule in technical analysis: "The more a level gets tested, the weaker it becomes." And that’s exactly what we saw—DXY tested that support zone multiple times. Once it finally broke down, we witnessed a massive pump in dollar-hedged assets! Now, the price is retesting that zone as resistance. If DXY breaks below its previous low, we could see a strong bullish wave in both crypto and equity markets. 🔎 So what does this mean for different markets? 1. Crypto Market If DXY gets rejected and breaks lower, we’re likely to see a big move in BTC, and in my opinion, an even crazier rally in altcoins—especially since BTC.D is near its peak (~70%). If it collapses, the altcoin party begins! 2. Stock Market A weaker dollar = boost for U.S. exports Foreign investors love cheaper dollars = more capital flows into U.S. assets In short? 📈 It's a green light for equity bulls. 3. Global Markets (Commodities & Gold) Dollar down? Commodities up. Gold shines as the go-to hedge in times of dollar weakness. Oil and metals surge, since they’re priced in USD. When the DXY slides, hard assets come alive. I hope you enjoyed this idea, my friends! Remember: markets reward those who stay patient and act with conviction. Jump on the train at the right moment. You’ve got my word: Buy when there’s fear, sell when there’s greed. 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable. 🐺 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
TVC:DXYShort
by Kiu_Coin
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH ------ DETAILED ANALYSISXAUUSD is currently forming a classic bullish flag pattern on the 12-hour timeframe after a strong impulsive rally from the 3145 demand zone. The consolidation is tight and orderly, holding above the key structure zone and forming lower highs and lower lows within the flag. This setup indicates a continuation pattern, and with price stabilizing around 3315, a breakout to the upside is increasingly likely. A clean breakout from the flag will likely ignite the next bullish wave toward the 3500 level. From a fundamental perspective, gold remains supported amid renewed market concerns around inflation persistence and global macro uncertainty. The latest US economic data, including slower job growth and declining consumer sentiment, is increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve might be nearing the end of its tightening cycle. This is weakening the US dollar and boosting safe-haven demand for gold. Additionally, central banks, particularly from China and emerging markets, continue to increase gold reserves—adding to long-term bullish sentiment. Technically, XAUUSD has already respected a strong demand zone around 3145 multiple times, which reinforces that institutional buyers are defending this area. The market structure remains bullish, and higher lows continue to form, aligning with a potential trend continuation. If price breaks above the flag resistance around 3325–3330 with volume confirmation, the bullish target of 3500 could be reached swiftly. As long as gold holds above the 3270–3280 support zone, the risk-reward setup remains favorable for long positions. With a confluence of strong fundamentals and a high-probability technical pattern, XAUUSD is setting up for a potential breakout rally. Traders should watch closely for breakout confirmation to ride the momentum toward new highs in this evolving bullish trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Gold Price Analysis June 2With the recovery waves of the D1 frame, the position of Gold returns to the wide Sideway near the ATH zone 3360 and 3260 sideway 100 price for the current trend. And today it is still possible to break this zone. GOLD increased strongly in the European session, touching the upper border of the sideway model The h1 wave is still a more bullish wave. With the support zone opening the GAP of the Asian session 3296 is still considered a strong support zone today. The breakout zone in the morning also becomes an important support zone In the opposite direction of the break 3360, there is still a zone 3368 as the immediate resistance before the Gold price is on the way to ATH. Attention daily resistance 3396
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
USD/CHF Short Trade IdeaUSD/CHF Short Trade Idea Renewed USD weakness triggered by fresh US tariff threats, a deepening US-China trade rift, and US fiscal instability underpin CHF demand. Technically, strong bearish momentum remains below 0.8300. Current trading around 0.8180 confirms downside bias. USD/CHF (Short): With the USD under persistent pressure from tariff-related uncertainties and deteriorating US-China relations, safe-haven demand for CHF remains elevated. Technical analysis confirms a bearish bias below key resistance at 0.8300. Selling rallies towards 0.8210–0.8240 provides an attractive risk-reward profile targeting recent lows at 0.8100, and potentially extending to the year-to-date trough around 0.8035.
Short
by TerraBullMarkets
Gambling.com GroupI have been watching this company since the start of the year and have been waiting for the right moment to catch this gem. At the core the fundamentals of this company stand out to me, with the company producing a strong quarter : Key Highlights Include Revenue: $40.6M (+39% YoY) Adjusted EBITDA: $15.9M (+56% YoY) Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 39% (up from 35%) Net Income: $11.2M (+54% YoY) Adjusted Net Income: $16.5M (+78% YoY) Diluted EPS: $0.31 (vs. $0.19) Adjusted EPS: $0.46 (vs. $0.24) Free Cash Flow: $10.3M (+25% YoY) NDCs (New Depositing Customers): 138,000+ (+29%) Subscription Revenue: $9.9M (+405%), 24% of total revenue The share price has been slowly declining over the past couple weeks and is nearing my golden Fibonacci zone. I will be looking for a long around the 11.26 zone. A correction of the share price back to its fair value is in order
NASDAQ:GAMBLong
by ben_findlay
The Day AheadKey Economic Data Releases United States ISM Manufacturing Index (May) A leading indicator for the economy. A stronger-than-expected reading could strengthen the USD and raise Treasury yields. Construction Spending (April) Tracks activity in the construction sector, useful for GDP estimates. United Kingdom Net Consumer Credit & M4 Money Supply (April) Provides insights into consumer borrowing and monetary conditions. Could impact expectations for Bank of England rate policy. Japan Q1 MoF Corporate Survey Gives details on corporate investment and sentiment. Relevant for the yen and Bank of Japan policy expectations. Italy Manufacturing PMI (May) A reading below 50 suggests contraction. Important for eurozone growth outlook and Italian asset risk premiums. New Car Registrations Measures consumer demand; useful for sentiment tracking. Budget Balance Signals fiscal stance; could influence bond spreads versus German bunds. Canada Manufacturing PMI (May) A forward-looking business condition indicator. Could influence the Canadian dollar, especially if divergent from the US PMI. Switzerland Q1 GDP Market will watch for economic resilience or slowdown. May influence Swiss franc and SNB expectations. Central Bank Speakers Federal Reserve Jerome Powell (Chair) Christopher Waller (Governor) Lorie Logan (Dallas Fed President) Austan Goolsbee (Chicago Fed President) Market Focus: Any remarks on inflation persistence, growth outlook, or timing of potential rate cuts could impact the USD, equity futures, and front-end yields. Waller and Logan are particularly market-sensitive. Bank of England Catherine Mann (MPC Member) Market Focus: A known hawk—her comments on inflation and rate cut timing could influence sterling and UK short-term rates. Trading Implications The US ISM manufacturing index is the most market-sensitive data point of the day. Fed speakers could significantly affect interest rate expectations and USD. UK and Japan data will influence BoE and BoJ rate path expectations, impacting GBP and JPY. Risk assets may react to broad manufacturing PMI trends and any hawkish/dovish surprises from central bankers. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
XAUUSD Mind Mapping Breakout – MMC Strategy + Target📍 Overview: In today's Gold (XAUUSD) 30-minute chart, we’re witnessing a flawless execution of MMC (Mind Mapping Concept) strategy combined with SMC (Smart Money Concept) principles. This is a perfect case study for traders who want to understand how psychology, curve-based support, and structural mapping come together to create a high-probability bullish setup. 🔍 Full Breakdown of the Chart 1. Initial Market Behavior: Liquidity Grab & Structural Shift The market begins with a bearish drop, clearing liquidity below the previous consolidation. This is followed by a QFL zone (Quick Flip Level), which acts as a smart money accumulation point. Shortly after, price rebounds from the SR Interchange zone, where resistance transforms into support—a key MMC signal for upcoming structural shift. 🧠 Key Concept: Smart money often grabs liquidity before making a move. These zones are critical for identifying market reversals. 2. Black Mind Curve Support – Dynamic Trend Logic The Black Mind Curve is a dynamic support curve, not a traditional trendline. It represents how the market naturally flows, mapping out the collective psychology of buyers. Price respects this curve multiple times, forming higher lows—each one stronger than the last. This is where patient MMC traders build their positions, aligning entries with psychological market rhythm. 🔥 Why It Matters: While static lines may break under pressure, dynamic curves breathe with the market, providing more accurate structure support. 3. Structure Mapping – Tracking Market Intentions Structure Mapping is one of the core MMC techniques—tracking the "story" price action is telling through: BOS (Break of Structure) QFL traps SR interchanges Internal higher-highs and higher-lows The Major BOS line indicates a key shift in market direction from bearish to bullish, a confirmation point for trend-followers. 📌 Lesson: Once BOS is confirmed, the probability favors continuation rather than reversal. 4. Ellipse Trap – The Psychological Kill Zone This blue-highlighted ellipse zone marks where retail traders often get manipulated—buying false breakouts or shorting fake reversals. Price consolidates inside this ellipse before launching upwards. MMC refers to this phase as the “After Effect”—where true momentum begins after psychological traps are triggered. 🎯 Insight: Never enter a trade inside the ellipse unless you clearly understand market context—it’s where the market “confuses the masses.” 5. VIP Zone – The High-Probability Entry Window The VIP zone is a small but powerful price area where risk is minimized, and reward is maximized. It aligns with the curve, inner structure support, and BOS retest. This is your ideal entry zone, especially for those using curve-based confirmations. 🔑 Pro Tip: This is the sniper entry for MMC traders. Small SL, big reward. Enter after internal confirmation like pin bars or bullish engulfing. 6. Target Zone & Next Reversal Area After the explosive breakout, price hits the projected target marked clearly on the chart. The move aligns with prior imbalance zones and market inefficiencies, filling previous gaps. The market is now approaching the Next Reversal Zone, highlighted in blue—this is where MMC traders start watching for signs of exhaustion. 📉 What to Watch: Slowing bullish candles Bearish divergence on RSI or momentum indicators Sudden spikes in volume with no further upside 📚 Key MMC Concepts in This Chart: Concept Description QFL Zone Quick Flip Level; a liquidity trap zone before reversals. Black Mind Curve Curved support line reflecting psychological market flow. Structure Mapping Tracking HH/HL and BOS to define clear market bias. Ellipse Trap Market maker zone used to trap and reverse retail traders. VIP Entry Zone The safest and most efficient entry after structure confirmation. Next Reversal Zone Anticipated resistance based on confluence of previous S/R and imbalance. 🧠 Strategic Conclusion: This analysis perfectly illustrates how combining SMC with MMC enhances your trading edge. It’s not about predicting price, but understanding structure, reading psychology, and entering at high-probability points. Whether you're a scalper, day trader, or swing trader, using curve-based mapping like the Black Mind Curve gives you a fluid understanding of price, beyond rigid lines and lagging indicators. 💡 Final Thoughts: 📈 Follow the Story, Not the Noise. 📉 Enter Where It Makes Sense, Exit Where Others Get Emotional. ⚡ Use MMC to Read What the Market is Really Saying. ✅ Action Plan: 🔍 Monitor price in the Next Reversal Zone. 📉 Look for exhaustion signals before considering shorts. 🟢 If bullish continuation holds above target zone, next micro-level target would be derived from 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
1
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
35
Affected by tariffs, gold prices rebounded to above 3,300 Gold finally broke the calm of the past and resumed its upward trend. What happened? This is also thanks to President Trump, who imposed tariffs again over the weekend, and there was also news of air strikes. The combination of the two directly broke the calm of gold prices in the past. So where can this wave of gold go? Technically, gold 1-hour cycle, maintained fluctuations around 3,348, and the support line is expected to be around 3,330. Our strategy today is also very simple. As long as the gold price retests around 3,360-3,350, I will go short. Which specific position can stop profit? I will tell my VIP.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Will the Dollar’s Drop Fuel More Gold Upside After Weak PCE DXY OUTLOOK – Will the Dollar’s Drop Fuel More Gold Upside After Weak PCE and Trade Tensions? 📉 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE – DXY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN The US Dollar Index (DXY) has failed to hold the 99.20–99.30 support zone and continues to respect its bearish structure on the H2 chart. The sharp sell-off at the end of May was a direct response to weaker-than-expected PCE inflation data, combined with growing political uncertainty surrounding US–China and US–EU trade negotiations. 🔻 Key Resistance Levels: 99.234 – 99.618 🔻 Key Support Zone: 98.030 – A clean break below this may open the door toward 97.50 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT – USD UNDER PRESSURE ON MULTIPLE FRONTS Trump’s tariff decisions remain unclear. While some deadlines were delayed (e.g., steel tariffs on the EU), no substantial agreements have been reached. Core PCE inflation – the Fed’s preferred gauge – continues to ease, reducing expectations of further rate hikes in the short term. Institutional flows are shifting toward safe havens like gold, especially as uncertainty clouds the outlook for both US fiscal and trade policy. 📊 IMPACT ON XAUUSD – DOLLAR DROP GIVES GOLD ROOM TO RALLY Gold remains supported by: A weakening DXY trend A bullish structure on H1 with EMA 13–34–89–200 alignment in favor of upside Strong safe-haven demand heading into a new month with fresh capital inflows If DXY breaks below 98.70 and slides toward 98.030, gold could extend its rally toward key resistance zones at 3348 – 3361. 🎯 TRADING STRATEGY (Based on DXY Bearish Continuation): Prioritize buy setups on XAUUSD if DXY fails to reclaim the 99.23 resistance Watch for a potential DXY pullback to resistance – if rejected, this would confirm momentum for gold to climb further 📌 NOTE: Traders should stay alert to any major news from the Fed or new developments in US–China–EU trade talks. While the current DXY structure favors continued downside, short-term pullbacks can provide gold with consolidation before another leg higher.
TVC:DXYShort
by MMFlowTrading
02/06/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $110,718.68 Last weeks low: $103,065.74 Midpoint: $106,892.21 As we approach the middle of the year, Bitcoin is back above $100,000 despite pulling back from a new ATH of $112,000. In the month of MAY BlackRocks ETF had record inflows of over $6B propelling prices 11% higher. Last week we saw as the month closed and with that it's natural to have a window dressing period that usually leads to de-risking slightly. BTC stayed within the previous weeks range and maintains the pattern of: Chop/consolidation --> expansion to the upside --> chop/consolidation... However in this case the consolidation week had a much larger range than in the past which is a sign to me that the rally is exhausted for now. It's because of this I feel we may see a weekly low break for the first time in a month and get a more meaningful pullback than we've seen since early April. My target would be around the $97,000 area. The case for the bulls is still a convincing one despite some red flags. Record ETF inflows continue to pour, M2 money supply continues to grow and a general shift to risk-on assets is clear. However these are longer term factors and just for this weeks outlook the momentum is with the bears briefly.
by ProR35
2