BTC DOMINANCE After a Trump victory the markets are booming, a new BTC ATH pushed bitcoin dominance to new local highs of 60.6%. Now we've seen a decent retracement on the daily candle and BTC is still in price discovery. This indicates to me that we have an altcoin resurgence on our hands, returning confidence in crypto and the green light for crypto support by America is a very important to this current rally.
I could see BTC dominance dropping to 59.5% before any continuation (bottom of the trend channel) higher and that's not particularly from a BTC selloff although that is possible as a SFP, but more likely is just BTC staying where it is and altcoins making up some ground.
RSI has dropped out of the oversold zone with this daily candle, a cool off is eventually inevitable as long as price stays flat while RSI cools it's very bullish.
A lot of that altcoin move needs to be from ETH imo, with BTC @ ATH Ethereum is 72% away from ATH... A massive difference and one that should close up going into Q1 2025.
The standard process for a crypto bullmarket is:
BTC --> ETH --> LARGE CAPS
--> MID CAPS --> SMALL CAPS
So far we're clearly still in the BTC phase, keeping a close eye on the ETHBTC chart to see if the momentum shifts towards Ethereum but that doesn't seem likely until next year at the earliest.
Fundamental Analysis
AUD/USD Maintains Strength Amid Positive Economic IndicatorsThe Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) continues to trade at elevated levels after experiencing notable gains in the previous session, predominantly fueled by the release of encouraging Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data on Tuesday. This uptick in the currency reflects an optimistic outlook on Australia’s manufacturing and service sectors, bolstered by better-than-expected economic performance.
In a significant policy decision, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has opted to maintain the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 4.35%. This decision marks the eighth consecutive month in which the RBA has paused its rate adjustments, signaling a careful approach as the central bank navigates the complexities of the current economic landscape. Analysts speculate that the RBA is likely to hold the current rates in its upcoming policy meeting, aiming for stability amid evolving economic conditions.
From a technical analysis perspective, recent price movements have indicated a rebound from key demand zones in the market, suggesting a potential shift toward a new bullish trend. Traders are paying close attention to seasonal patterns and the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which reveals that retail investors continue to push for lower prices. This behavior often provides valuable insights into market sentiment and could indicate that a reversal may be on the horizon.
The confluence of improved economic indicators, steady monetary policy, and technical analysis suggesting a bullish trend makes the AUD/USD an asset worth watching. As investors remain alert to shifts in economic data and global market conditions, the Australian Dollar could present opportunities for those looking to capitalize on potential upward momentum in the near term.
In summary, the outlook for the Australian Dollar remains robust as it navigates through strong economic signals and a stable policy environment. Market participants are keenly observing developments in both the macroeconomic landscape and technical formations, which could shape trading strategies in the weeks to come.
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7th time pushing for another area of resistance to 340sAs analysts take a bullish stance on price analysis, it does seem to be running on all counts at 337 on the BB Keltner breakout and 341 on the upper Bollinger; other indicators have been swinging much of the time, hovering over 80 but staying put in a strong stance against the bears. We could see a continued run to 350 before that cycle breaks.
Ethereum - This Is The Last Buying Opportunity!Ethereum ( BITSTAMP:ETHUSD ) is still super bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite the correction of about -50% which we saw over the past couple of months on Ethereum, market structure and price action is still overall bullish. Ethereum is currently creating a bullish break and retest with a potential move of +60% towards the upside.
Levels to watch: $2.000, $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
[SMCI] High RIsk / High Reward InvestmentOn this asset I am wanting a very big profit in term of percentage.
By looking at the fundamental we have a very strong stock with a center of interest field but the news made it dump. As in 2017, I expect this stock to survive the crisis and to come back even stronger to target new highs.
This will be my first entry and will manage then to add.
Great trade !
Trump Wins! Bitcoin Hits New ATH, Ethereum Hits $5000 & AltcoinsGood afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, we have so much to look at today.
Trump won the US presidential elections and this is having a major effect across everything, not only Bitcoin and the financial markets.
Today we can see Bitcoin hitting a new All-Time High and we wonder what is happening, what to make of this development and how to approach the market.
➖ Ethereum is not trading at $5,000. Ethereum's Ether token ATH stands at $4,868, November 2021. Current price trades at $2,673. Huge discrepancy here, a warning sign.
➖ Dogecoin ATH happened in May 2021 at $0.74, current price is $0.193; huge difference.
➖ Cardano hit an All-Time High of $3.10 in August 2021, current price is almost ten times lower, $0.357.
How to approach the market?
What comes next?
Are you trading?
Are you watching?
Are you holding?
Are you accumulating?
How to approach the market based on current conditions will depend on your trading style, your goals, your capital, risk tolerance, etc. Those pairs trading low can be accumulated, this is true since August 2024 and will continue to be true for several additional months. The pairs trading super high and at resistance, it is better to stay away.
The DXY is ultra-bullish. We tend to say that the stock market crashes when the DXY is bullish, also Bitcoin, but we are seeing stocks rise as well as Bitcoin and the DXY. This means that we are seeing an extraordinary event happening right now.
Will this abnormal behavior continue indefinitely or will the market seek balance? The abnormal behavior will come to an end and the market will seek balance. I cannot say for how long the market reaction to Trumps win will last, but this is an extraordinary event and calls for caution.
We trade based on the long-term.
We buy low to sell high.
➖ Here is an example, this is a chart that looks good:
➖ Here is an example, this is a chart that looks bad:
Buy those trading low.
Sell those trading high.
It is wise to wait for the weekly close.
I will expand in a new article, I lost the flow on this one.
Thanks a lot for the support.
Namaste.
EURUSD - Short from bearish OB !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from bearish OB.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Oil futures plunged 6% intraday on weak demandConflict in the Middle East has failed to sustain the oil risk premium
Despite the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, the crude oil market interpreted the recent events as a step towards de-escalation, leading to a gradual receding of risk premiums in the region. Over the weekend, Israel launched air strikes on missile sites inside Iran, which Iranian authorities claimed caused limited damage. Israel's choice not to target Iran's nuclear facilities or oil infrastructure, coupled with Tehran's restrained response, has led traders to view the likelihood of an immediate escalation of the conflict affecting oil supplies as low.
The easing of geopolitical tensions has brought the market's attention back to underlying demand concerns and broader economic factors that continue to weigh on oil prices.
Weak demand in Asia and Opec's production strategy
Weak global demand has become the main driver of lower crude prices. Opec + has postponed a production increase originally planned for October, rescheduling it for December to avoid pushing prices down further. The alliance now aims to add 180,000 barrels a day by 2025, gradually increasing supply to stabilize prices.
On the demand side, the expected growth in global demand, especially in Asia, has not been as strong as expected. With the spread of electric vehicles around the world, analysts warn that it may not significantly boost crude oil demand.
Outlook: Short-term bearish on weak demand signals
In the short term, oil prices appear to be under pressure from weak demand signals in key markets and little impact from the conflict in the Middle East. With major technical resistance levels and lacklustre demand weighing on the market, traders should expect a bearish outlook for oil prices unless global economic conditions improve or geopolitical tensions escalate, thereby directly threatening oil supply infrastructure. Near-term risks remain tilted toward further declines in crude oil prices as supply concerns fade and demand growth fails to keep pace with expectations.
Technical analysis
From a daily perspective, WTI crude oil futures prices, after falling to a low of $68.20 at the opening on October 18, rebounded ahead of an uptrend that began on September 10. Given the price action since then, it is clear that there are still plenty of willing buyers out there, despite the constant drumbeat of bearish fundamental news.
While the opening gap may be closed in the near future, from a risk-reward perspective, it is best to enter at a lower level when trading long, allowing stops to be placed below the session low or the September 10 uptrend for protection.
If that gap were to be filled, that would mean an initial trading target would be Friday's close of $70. After that, if the initial target level is reached, the 50 moving average and resistance above $71.67 are other targets.
[SMCI] High Risk / High RewardOn this asset I am wanting a very big profit in term of percentage.
By looking at the fundamental we have a very strong stock with a center of interest field but the news made it dump. As in 2017, I expect this stock to survive the crisis and to come back even stronger to target new highs.
This will be my first entry and will manage then to add.
Great trade !
Google - It Is Bullish Either Way!Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) will follow one of two scenarios:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Google just perfectly followed the anticipated bullish break above the previous all time high, the retest and the bullish continuation towards the upside. Even if we see another retest of the breakout level, Google remains in an overall uptrend and the path of least resistance is higher.
Levels to watch: $200, $150
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
THE TRUMP EFFECT - how markets reacted, BUY EURCHFTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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NIFTY 50 & BANKNIFTY Prediction: 07 November 2024Nifty shows the confirmation of a bullish piercing candle. Banknifty forms the like of a doji candle. It is on the trendline from where rejection may be possible. Nifty has big resistance at 24500 and 24800 and it didn't have any strong support nearby ATM. Banknifty has resistance at 52500 and 53000 and support at 52000.
Option Chain: Nifty has resistance at 24500 around 100 Cr contracts exist. Even after yesterday's rally a large amount of contracts have been added in call side at 24500. Which shows bearishness in the market. Banknifty has some resistance at 52500 and 53000. The new fresh contract has also been added at this level.
PCR: The overall PCR of Nifty is 0.85 and the nearby ATM is 0.59 --> Bearish view
Banknifty overall PCR is 0.83 and nearby ATM is 0.73. --> Neutral
OI Data: FII betting on a neutral market.
Pro shorts calls of 4.75 L and shorts puts 3.6 L.
Client shorts put 7.5 L and shorts call of 1.6 L.
Future Data: FII sold 482 Cr future which shows a bearish view.
FII Stock data: Even aftermarket shows a rally, FIIs still sell the future 4450 Cr future which shows that the market may go down. --> Bearish
Trade: A bearish move may be possible and it may be continued.
Sui vs Solana: Rising Contenders in the Blockchain RaceSui vs Solana: Rising Contenders in the Blockchain Race 🚀
Going to start this with my personal view:
In my view, both Sui and Solana are making impressive strides but will likely settle into the same category as Cardano and a few other notable Layer 1s: the Top of the ALTS3 category. While they are undoubtedly powerful players in terms of technology, scalability, and partnerships, they still have a long way to go before approaching the established dominance of Bitcoin and Ethereum. These two titans remain in a league of their own, setting standards for resilience, decentralization, and global adoption. As the blockchain ecosystem continues to expand, I expect Sui, Solana, and similar projects to find their niche as prominent altcoins, but the gap between them and the BTC-ETH stronghold will remain significant—for now.
Now let's jump into details:
Ethereum's scalability limitations (had) opened the door for “Ethereum killers,” but we saw Ethereum acting and I do expect Eth to be the undisputed number 2 in this race.
At this stage, the competition is heating up for “Solana killers.”
Sui, backed by cutting-edge technology and robust funding, is emerging as a significant contender against Solana. Let’s dive into why Sui is catching everyone’s attention, its potential impact on the market, and how it stacks up against Solana.
The Core Differences: Tech and Transaction Speeds ⚙️
Solana utilizes a hybrid Proof-of-Stake (PoS) and Proof-of-History (PoH) approach, enabling speeds of up to 200,000 transactions per second (TPS), with potential upgrades (like the Firedancer validator) to push TPS to 1 million. Solana’s architecture supports a wide range of applications, especially for institutional partnerships like Visa and PayPal, but it has faced reliability issues like network congestion and outages.
Sui, built by former developers from Facebook's Libra project, leverages an Object-Based Model and Delegated Proof-of-Stake (DPoS). Its parallel processing structure allows for 297,000 TPS with a transaction finality of just 390 milliseconds—considerably faster than Solana’s 12 seconds. Sui’s distinct programming language, Move, focuses on high efficiency and ease for developers, reducing bottlenecks and paving the way for advanced applications, especially in Web3 gaming.
Ecosystem & Adoption 🌐
Solana has the upper hand in terms of established infrastructure, with over 334 DApps, 5 million active wallets, and a $6.5B TVL (Total Value Locked) across DeFi projects. Sui, although newer, has shown impressive growth with 90 DApps and 1 million active wallets. It’s carving a niche, particularly in the Asian market, partnering with giants like Alibaba Cloud and NHN.
The recent launch of the SuiPlay0X1 gaming device underscores Sui’s focus on gaming and entertainment, integrating both Web2 and Web3 elements. Meanwhile, Solana’s focus on institutional use cases with devices like the Saga phone shows its commitment to decentralized finance (DeFi) and payments, reinforced by major partnerships.
Tokenomics & Investor Sentiment 📊
Solana’s tokenomics initially faced criticism for heavy allocations to insiders, sparking concerns over centralization. However, it managed to sustain investor confidence, achieving a 90x increase during the 2021 bull run. Sui’s tokenomics, with 50% allocated to community reserves, aims to decentralize its control and support sustainable growth. Sui raised $336 million from backers, including a $100 million stake from FTX (subsequently repurchased), emphasizing strong financial support even after the FTX collapse.
The Path Ahead: Coexistence or Conquest? 🤔
Both Solana and Sui face challenges: Solana’s hurdles include network reliability and competition from new L1s, while Sui's risks involve reliance on the untested Move language and a concentrated focus on the Asian market. Each has unique strengths—Solana in institutional DeFi and Sui in scalable gaming and retail adoption.
Ultimately, rather than a winner-takes-all scenario, Solana and Sui may coexist, serving distinct markets and use cases. This diversity could benefit the crypto ecosystem as a whole, maintaining the decentralized ethos of blockchain technology by preventing any single chain from monopolizing the landscape.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Bitcoin Breaks or Fakes? Eyeing the $79K Target!🚀💥 Bitcoin Breaks or Fakes? Eyeing the $79K Target! 💡💰
Hey everyone, it's been a while! If you've missed my voice, let's dive right back into it and see what Bitcoin has been cooking up. The BTC price has been flirting with the $66,320 level, hitting it for the sixth time now, as seen on the descending channel. Historically, the third and sixth attempts have shown the highest chances of a breakout, so is this the moment we’ve been waiting for?
If Bitcoin does break out this time, we could be looking at a potential rise to $79,000. While there are some mild resistances around $69K, $70K, and $71K, the major target remains $79K.
The exchange reserve data shows a significant drop, indicating fewer people are moving Bitcoin to exchanges to sell—an encouraging sign that could be pointing toward a potential rally to new highs.
Zooming into the 15-minute chart, we’ve seen two rejections after hitting resistance. However, the third attempt, if successful, could trigger the next leg up. On the downside, we have solid support at $65,322 that has been tested, and buyers seem ready to jump back in below the $60K mark.
I’m bullish on Bitcoin and keeping an eye on this breakout. If it happens today, we could be well on our way to $79,000.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below! I’ll keep you posted on the latest developments.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Mid To long term projection of the SPYGiven Donald Trump's recent victory, the market has felt an optimistic boost. This excitement, could be enough to overcome the current economical warnings that have been prevalent in the previous months. It's impossible to know if these excitements will be enough to send the market into a new and strong rally into overextended territories, or if the market will continue to complain about unaffordable housing, and sustenance.
The future is always an unknown variable, however random variables do tend to follow their own distributions to a certain degree. It is always possible for exceptions to occur which prompt price action to get excited at already expensive prices. However, it is intelligent to always take a degree of caution when purchasing expensive securities which are still increasing in price. In these scenarios I suggest waiting for price corrections before purchasing and purchase in small amounts as price decreases to be able to purchase more at lower prices aka cost average.
Given Trumps popularity, it's possible that people will become optimistic about the near future, however Trump still has a lot of rivals, which will stop at nothing to fulfill their agenda. The president will be faces with many new challenges these coming 4 years. I wish him the best of luck as he writes history once more.
May God bless the future of America, its allies and it people. It's time to see the world change once more.
$NVDA #Path2Greatness #GloryChannel 150+ EZSurprised no ones posted "grail" of a channel... Maybe the pro's dont want us sharing the "secrets" of the sauce...
How to trade this channel for dummies; Buy the low end / bottom of the channel and Sell the High side / top of channel.
Happy Thanksgiving!
PS: NASDAQ:TSLA to 300+ "This IS SPARTA!!!"
USD/JPY surges as Trump storms to victoryThe US dollar is on a tear against the major currencies after Donald Trump’s sweeping victory in the US presidential election. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 154.62, up a massive 2.0% on the day.
There are still plenty of votes to count in the US election but it looking increasingly likely that Republican Donald Trump has been re-elected as President. Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris were in a dead heat going into the election on Tuesday and there was concern that declaring a winner could take days or even weeks, which would have led to prolonged uncertainty.
In what was a huge surprise to both sides, Trump cruised to victory. The win is even sweeter for the Republicans as they likely have won control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate. With the Republicans in charge, Trump’s agenda will be easier to push through Congress. It should be noted that at the time of writing, the vote count is incomplete and Harris has not conceded defeat.
The US dollar has responded to the Trump win with sharp gains and the yen is in full retreat. Trump’s threats to slap stiff tariffs on China, Europe and Mexico would support the dollar, as tariffs would raise inflation and interest rates. If Trump’s policies lead to trade wars, market sentiment will fall, further boosting the dollar.
The Bank of Japan released the minutes of its September meeting today. At the meeting, the BoJ kept rates at 0.25% and Governor Ueda said that BoJ would not rush to raise rates during market volatility. Those comments were a response to a stock market slide after weak US employment reports raised fears that the US economy was deteriorating much more quickly than expected. Those fears were unfounded and the markets don’t expect a BoJ rate hike before early 2025, although if the weak yen takes a dive, it could accelerate plans to raise rates.
USD/JPY has pushed past resistance at 151.86, 152.87 and 153.84. The next resistance line is 153.95
150.78 and 149.77 are providing support
Wannabe "Apple of Cars"While Apple continues to captivate with its sleek designs and cultural significance, this company offers only utilitarian minimalism and conformity as it's brand image. The much-hyped Cybertruck was expected to be a game changer, but seeing one on the road is more akin to encountering a roach—an instant jump scare and a hideous design misstep. At this rate, Llon's empire might be poised for a market bounce with the whelming news about robo taxis, and I’m ready to short it when the time comes.
Bullish Correction: What's next?🤖🚀 Bitcoin’s Bullish Correction: What’s Next on the Chart? 💡📈
Hey everyone! Time to check in on Bitcoin’s latest move. Yesterday, while U.S. markets stumbled, Bitcoin gave us a corrective dip, but in a bullish context! Here’s what I’m seeing in the charts:
Bitcoin Analysis
Support Reclaimed: Bitcoin dipped to revisit its previous breakout levels, securing support at $69,579.
Next Target: If BTC can hold steady or push up from here, I’m watching $72,000 as the next test. If momentum carries it further, my projection is $79,000 for a potential new high.
Key Levels: Current support at $69,600, with a fallback to $65,670 if the trend doesn’t hold. Overall, my stance remains bullish, but remember fundamentals—U.S. elections, Middle East tensions, and today’s NFP data—can add volatility.
Bitcoin Dominance
BTC dominance is nearing a significant resistance point, and I’m 90% confident it could retrace from here. It didn’t quite trigger my alert, but with the NFP data release, we might see a quick spike before rejection.
Ethereum & Solana
Ethereum: Testing the waters at 0.058 BTC with a strong structure forming. I see room for a breakout toward $3,634, with support solid at $2,398.
Solana: At all-time highs but primed for a pullback, especially with the new competitor SUI entering the market. SUI’s levels are worth watching around $1.80 for a long, with psychological markers at $2 and $3.
Final Thoughts
Patience is key—these levels are guiding us, but the market may retest support before new highs emerge. Stick to the plan and keep a cool head in these moves!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
11/6/24 - $ddog - probably a buy given HQ B2B is beating/raising11/6/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:DDOG
probably a buy given HQ B2B is beating... raising...
- while 60x PE looks expensive, this is really such a HQ name that unless they guide poorly i'd expect a pretty big reaction to the upside
- part of me just cringes at these multiples. but 2% fcf yield for a 20-25% grower isn't "awful"
- honestly i don't see an alternative to this name in the market
- unclear if i'll be putting more on the line into print, but it's also a "US" and non Tariff related name, so i like that angle too
- thoughts?
V