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Fundamental Analysis

BTC Trendline Breakdown? Bearish Setup Brewing!📉 #Bitcoin has recently broken its key trendline after making a new All-Time High (ATH). This could be the first major sign of a trend reversal. Here’s what we’re seeing: 🔹 Trendline Broken: The uptrend has been broken — a significant technical signal. 🔹 Retesting the Break: Price is currently retesting the broken trendline, a classic move before continuation. 🔹 Triple Touch Confirmation: The trendline was respected with 3 clear touches during the uptrend — increasing the validity of this break. 🔹 Support Still Holding: We’re watching a major support level below — a break here would confirm bearish momentum. 🚨 Strategy Plan: If the support level breaks and #BTC retests it as resistance, we’re planning a short position with strict risk management. Patience is key — wait for confirmation before entering! 🛡️ Risk Management First. Always. Don't rush into a trade — wait for a clean breakdown and retest for a high-probability entry. 📊 What do you think? Is #BTC ready to reverse, or will the bulls defend the trend? 👇 Drop your thoughts in the comments. ❤️ Like this idea if it helped you. ✅ Follow for more #BTC setups and real-time updates! #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #TrendlineBreak #ShortSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishReversal #PriceAction #TradingStrategy
Short
by mudusir
GOLD expected to rebound, key trends, jobs data This week, we have the facts that Trump has stirred up the market, Powell has not changed his stance. With the biggest data of the week, the US Non-Farm Payrolls, to be released, the price of OANDA:XAUUSD is expected to rise again after a week of consolidation. Last Week in News After weeks of tariff-easing talks that sent U.S. stocks soaring, Wall Street has once again been caught up in the constant flux surrounding Trump’s trade regime. This week, a U.S. court also questioned the legality of the White House’s tariffs on global trading partners as the Trump administration ramps up its policy plans. Market sentiment took a turn for the worse on Friday following news about tariffs. US media reported that the White House plans to impose broader sanctions on some foreign technology industries. In addition, Trump said that starting next week, tariffs on imported steel will increase from 25% to 50%. In addition to the tariff headlines, traders also had to contend with weakening US economic data. US consumer spending slowed after recording its strongest month of growth since early 2023 in April. Here are the events markets will focus on in the new week • Next week, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and several members of the board and voting members will speak. • Trump met with Powell for the first time in his second term, and Powell continued to emphasize the independence of monetary policy. The US core PCE inflation rate was 2.1% year-on-year in April, slightly below the expected 2.2%. While that bolsters the case for a rate cut, Fed officials have reiterated their patient stance. Minutes from the May FOMC meeting confirmed that policymakers considered the current economic situation sufficient to delay policy action. Despite the weakening sentiment, traders are still betting on a September rate cut from the Federal Reserve. Key Data: Non-farm data in focus this week The focus of next week’s data will be non-farm payrolls on Friday. The pace of hiring in the US is likely to have slowed in May as households became more cautious, businesses reconsidered investment plans amid shifting trade policies and employers focused on controlling costs. Economists are forecasting a gain of 125,000 in May, according to the median in a Bloomberg survey, after job gains beat expectations in March and April. That would keep the average gain over the past three months at a solid 162,000. The unemployment rate remains at 4.2%. Fed officials are also waiting for clarity on how trade and tax policies will affect the economy and inflation, so they are likely to be cautious about the labor market report. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has been mostly sideways despite the volatility over the past week. The sharpest drop saw gold test the $3,250 support level before recovering to close the week around the confluence of the EMA21 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. On the big picture, gold is still technically bullish with the channel as the main trend, while the near-term supports are the $3,250 level followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. A sustained move above $3,300 would be viewed as a positive factor going forward. On the momentum front, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, which in this case acts as momentum support and is still well away from overbought territory so there is still room for upside. The weekly target is the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level in the short term, rather than the raw price point of $3,400. As long as gold remains within the channel, its main technical trend is bullish, and any declines that do not take gold below the channel should be considered short-term corrections rather than a specific trend. Next week, the technical bullish outlook for gold will be focused again on the following positions. Support: $3,250 – $3,228 Resistance: $3,371 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3337 - 3335⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3341 →Take Profit 1 3329 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3323 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3246 - 3248⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3242 →Take Profit 1 3254 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3260
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
NZDUSD BUYSNZDUSD is expected to buy to complete the crab pattern around 0.61200 psychological level BOUNCING FROM A 1HR FVG(Fair value Gap). we saw an expected rate cut of NZD interest rate at 25 basis point(0.25%) was was a dovish stand by the central bank. with investment sentiment still high on risk-on assets, I expect nzd to bully the green-back which is struggling with low interest rate figures as a result of declining inflation figures nearing its 2024 inflation target of 2% and global trade wars.
Long
by Boahfx
1
Corn at the Cliff Edge: Bearish Breakdown or Smart Money Trap?📉 1. Price Action & Technical Context (Weekly Chart – ZC1!) Price is currently sitting around 439'0, after rejecting the 462'2 supply zone (gray block) and confirming rejection from the macro supply area between 472'6–480'0 (red block). The last four weekly candles show a failed recovery attempt (three green candles trapped between two strong red ones), culminating in a bearish breakout below the intermediate demand zone (445'0–442'0). Now, price is back inside the key demand zone between 439'0–433'4, an area with heavy volume and previous significant lows. 🔍 Technical takeaway: Bearish breakout confirmed. Price is testing the last major weekly support before opening the door toward the yearly lows (~420'0). 📊 2. Commitment of Traders (COT Report – May 27, 2025) Non-Commercials (Speculators): Long: 324,377 (▼ -17,952) Short: 344,710 (▼ -9,171) Net Position: -20,333 → Bearish, but the unwinding of both sides suggests profit-taking. Commercials (Institutions): Long: 766,211 (▲ +12,588) Short: 713,647 (▼ -962) Net Position: +52,564 → Increasing → Institutional accumulation. 🔎 Key observation: Commercials are increasing their net longs, while speculators are reducing exposure. This diverges from price action and may signal institutional accumulation under 440. 📉 3. Net Positioning vs Price (COT Chart) The chart shows a clear decline in speculative longs since March, with a new low this week. Meanwhile, commercials are gradually increasing their long exposure, positioning themselves against the current bearish trend. 💡 Combined view: While price keeps dropping, the "smart money" is accumulating → possible bottom forming, though not yet confirmed technically. 🌾 4. Seasonality June Performance: 20-Year Avg: -4.25% 15-Year Avg: +12.31% 5-Year Avg: +1.15% 2-Year Avg: +28.61% 📈 Seasonal Conclusion: The seasonal bias has turned strongly bullish in the last 2–5 years. June–July is often a rally period for Corn following the late-May bottoms — likely tied to U.S. planting season dynamics.
CBOT:ZC1!Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 4, 2025 USDJPYEvents to pay attention today: 17:00 EET. USD - ISM Services Business Activity Index 15:15 EET. USD - ADP Employment Change USDJPY: The Japanese yen (JPY) is attracting some intraday buyers after falling against the US dollar during the Asian session, and, at least for now, it seems that its pullback from the weekly high reached yesterday has paused. An upward revision of Japan's services business activity index, as well as expectations that wage growth will lead to faster inflation, leave open the possibility of another interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in 2025. In addition, ongoing geopolitical risks and trade uncertainty are key factors supporting the JPY. Meanwhile, cautious statements by BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda on Tuesday sparked speculation that the next interest rate hike will not happen anytime soon. However, this still differs significantly from expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut rates by at least 25 basis points (bps) by the end of this year. This, along with concerns about the US budget, is causing a new wave of selling of the US dollar (USD) after Tuesday's decent rebound from a six-week low and is putting some pressure on the USD/JPY pair during the Asian session. Trading recommendation: SELL 144.20, SL 144.40, TP 143.20
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
June 4th Update Reports: ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) This is a monthly report by the institute for Supply Management (ISM) Basically, provides a look into economic health of the U.S services sector, which includes industries such as finance, healthcare, retail, and professional services. The four key subcomponents are Business activity, new orders, employment, and supplier deliveries. We are looking for a score over 50 which represents expansion in the services sector, and you guessed it below 50 indicates contraction. The last report was 51.6 up from 50.8 in March that shows modest expansion in services sector. How does it relate to USD/JPY: This significantly influences this currency pair due to it being a leading indicator of U.S. economic health A score above 51.6 would show more expansion the forecast is currently 52 there is a possibility this could make the dollar more attractive to investors compared to yen and increase price. Why? If yields on U.S. Treasuries increase, it could make the dollar more attractive to investors compared to yen A score above 50 but lower than 51.6 concerns me Targets: Buy: 144.780 (open and close above) Sell: 143.655 (open and close below) If you took the call from yesterday and are still in trade, be sure to protect your position anything can happen, and we want to lock in profits.
by OrangeSodaOfficial
Market Players Still Speculating Positively on GoldFrom a technical perspective, dip buying on Wednesday emerged after this week’s breakout through the $3,324-3,326 barrier. Moreover, oscillators on the daily/hourly charts comfortably hold in the positive territory and suggest that the path of least resistance for gold prices is upwards. However, any subsequent up-move could face some resistance near the $3,380 region ahead of the $3,400 range or the multi-week highs touched on Tuesday. Sustained strength above the latter should allow the XAU/USD pair to retest the all-time tops touched in April and make a fresh attempt to conquer the psychological $3,500 mark. On the flip side, weakness below the $3,355 area might continue to attract some dip buying buyers and is likely to remain limited near the aforementioned resistance breakout point around the $3,326-3,324 region. However, some follow-through selling could leave the commodity vulnerable to weakening further below the $3,300 level and test the $3,286-3,285 horizontal support.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by yunusbachtiarr
Beyond Bits: Is D-Wave Quantum the Unseen Power?D-Wave Quantum is rapidly solidifying its position as a transformative force in the burgeoning field of quantum computing. The company recently achieved a significant milestone with its Advantage2 system, demonstrating "beyond-classical computation." This breakthrough involved solving a complex simulation problem for magnetic materials in minutes, a task that would have required nearly a million years and the equivalent of the world's annual electricity consumption from the most powerful classical supercomputers. This distinct achievement, rooted in D-Wave's specialized quantum annealing approach, sets it apart from other industry players, including Google, which primarily focuses on gate-model quantum architectures. D-Wave's unique technological focus translates into a formidable commercial advantage. It stands as the sole provider of commercially available quantum computers, which excel at solving intricate optimization problems—a substantial segment of the overall quantum computing market. While competitors grapple with the long-term development of universal gate-model systems, D-Wave's annealing technology delivers immediate, practical applications. This strategic differentiation allows D-Wave to capture and expand its market share within an industry poised for exponential growth. Beyond its commercial prowess, D-Wave plays a critical role in national security. The company maintains deep ties with elite U.S. national security entities, notably through its backing by In-Q-Tel, the CIA's venture capital arm. Recent installations, such as the Advantage2 system at Davidson Technologies for defense applications, underscore D-Wave's strategic importance in addressing complex national security challenges. Despite its groundbreaking technology and strategic partnerships, D-Wave's stock experiences considerable volatility. This reflects both the speculative nature of a nascent, complex industry and potential market manipulations by investment houses with conflicting interests, highlighting the intricate dynamics surrounding disruptive technological advancements.
NYSE:QBTSLong
by UDIS_View
Gold price returns to 3400? 📣 Gold Information Gold prices gave up some of Monday's gains on Tuesday, falling more than 0.80% as strong U.S. labor market data reinforced expectations of a strong economy and put pressure on the non-yielding metal. As of writing, XAU/USD was trading around $3,348, hitting an intraday high of $3,392. Investor sentiment picked up after the latest U.S. Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) showed a sharp increase in job openings in April, indicating a continued tight labor market. The optimistic data came this week, which will see a series of key employment reports released, including the ADP employment change data for May released on Wednesday and the much-anticipated non-farm payrolls data on Friday, both of which could affect expectations of Fed policy. 📊Comment Analysis Gold prices maintain bullish momentum, tariff momentum coupled with current unfavorable economic data 💰Strategy Package 🔥Sell Gold Area: 3411-3413 SL 3418 TP1: $3400 TP2: $3390 TP3: $3380🔥 Buy Gold Area: $3332-$3330 SL $3325 TP1: $3345 TP2: $3358 TP3: $3370 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
Euro Pulls Back – Eyes on ECB and Tariff TurmoilCMCMARKETS:EURUSD FX:EURUSD EUR/USD pulled back from a six-week high of 1.1454 to trade near 1.1379, down 0.52% on Tuesday, as strong U.S. labor market data and revived trade tensions lifted the dollar. April JOLTS job openings rose to 7.39M, beating expectations, signaling a resilient U.S. economy despite a 3.7% drop in factory orders. In parallel, Trump’s announcement to double tariffs on steel and aluminum has reignited trade war concerns. Markets are also watching for a potential Trump–Xi call later this week. Meanwhile, the Euro lost ground after May HICP inflation in the Eurozone fell to 1.9%, below the ECB’s 2% target. With core inflation slowing as well, markets have priced in a 25 bps rate cut at Thursday’s ECB meeting. Technically, OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD is still trading within a rising channel but rejected key minor resistance zone just below the descending trendline. A confirmed breakout above this area could open the path toward monthly resistance near 1.1559. On the downside, Support Zone 1 (around 1.1375) must hold to maintain the bullish bias; further weakness may expose Support Zone 2 (around 1.1338) Resistance : 1.1445 , 1.1559 Support ： 1.1375 , 1.1338
Long
by ATFX_Global
RAMKAY INFRA technical analysis Ramky Infrastructure Ltd. (NSE: RAMKY) is currently trading at INR 510. The company operates in the engineering and infrastructure development sector, specializing in environmental services, real estate, and industrial projects across India. Key Levels Support Levels: INR 312.90, INR 461.70, INR 545.45 Swing Level: INR 634.05 Possible Upside Levels: INR 949.60, INR 1,098.40, INR 1,287.95 Technical Indicators RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50.03, indicating neutral momentum, meaning the stock is balanced without strong bullish or bearish pressure. Volume: Trading volume has been stable, reflecting consistent investor interest. A surge in volume at resistance levels could confirm a breakout toward higher price points. Sector and Market Context Ramky Infrastructure Ltd. operates in India’s construction and infrastructure sector, benefiting from government-backed urban development projects, road construction initiatives, and smart city planning. The sector has seen strong demand growth, bolstered by budget allocations for capital expenditures and private sector participation in infrastructure financing. However, fluctuations in construction material costs, regulatory approvals, and financial structuring remain key risk factors. Investors continue to monitor India’s infrastructure investment trends, which provide long-term stability but are subject to economic cycles. Latest News and Developments Market Trends: Strong institutional interest in construction and infrastructure stocks, driven by India’s focus on urban expansion. Analyst Ratings: Recent reports suggest positive earnings growth, backed by new project acquisitions and improved execution timelines. Quarterly Results: The company reported consistent revenue and stable profit margins, despite higher operational costs. Dividend Update: The firm has declared a dividend of ₹6 per share, reinforcing investor confidence in its financial stability. Analysis Summary Ramky Infrastructure Ltd. presents a stable technical setup, with RSI reflecting neutral positioning and price movement near key levels. Volume trends suggest continued investor engagement, while sector-wide expansion supports long-term growth potential. Investors should monitor price action at resistance levels, upcoming project approvals, and broader economic indicators before making investment decisions. A cautious but strategic approach is advisable, considering market volatility and cyclical industry risks
NSE:RAMKYLong
by TechnicalAnalystSucrit
Gold Outlook: Breakout Signals Further Upside PotentialGold FX:XAUUSD is currently in a strong uptrend, backed by both technical breakout and positive fundamentals. The price has decisively cleared the key resistance zone of $3,365–$3,370 and is hovering around $3,368. A healthy pullback to retest this zone could offer a high-probability long setup, with the next target projected at $3,470. On the macro side, renewed U.S.–China trade tensions—following Trump’s accusations and tariff threats—along with the ongoing Russia–Ukraine conflict, continue to fuel safe-haven demand for gold. Technically, the structure remains bullish. However, a breakdown below $3,335 would invalidate the current setup and may lead to a deeper correction. Let’s keep a close eye on this pullback zone. If momentum holds, gold could be gearing up for the next leg higher. Take care and trade smart
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion