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Fundamental Analysis

AXIS BANK A SURE SHOT AT A SHOTDecline in profits plus a formation of Bearish pennant and Bearish Flag in short term. A quick 30-60 points to make on the chart. Recent Financial Performance: Profit Miss and Asset Quality Concerns: In the third quarter ending December 31, 2024, Axis Bank reported a 4% year-over-year increase in standalone net profit to ₹63.04 billion, which fell short of analysts' expectations of ₹65.16 billion. This shortfall was primarily due to a significant rise in provisions for bad loans, which more than doubled to ₹21.56 billion. Additionally, the gross non-performing asset (NPA) ratio increased slightly to 1.46%, indicating some deterioration in asset quality. Loan Growth Slowdown: The bank's loan growth decelerated to 9% year-over-year, down from 11% in the previous quarter. This slowdown reflects a cautious approach amid rising asset quality concerns. Analyst Perspectives: UBS Assessment: UBS has expressed concerns about Axis Bank's rising non-performing loans and has adjusted its target price for the bank's shares to ₹1,210. LKP Research Outlook: Contrastingly, LKP Research maintains a bullish stance, recommending a 'buy' rating with a target price of ₹1,228. Market Performance: Recent Share Movements: As of January 24, 2025, Axis Bank's stock closed at ₹959.85 per share, marking a 0.85% decline for the day. Industry Context: Regulatory Impact: The Reserve Bank of India's measures to curb retail lending have led to a slowdown in credit growth across the banking sector, resulting in increased provisions for bad loans and a rise in non-performing assets. This regulatory environment has adversely affected the profitability of several banks, including Axis Bank.
NSE:AXISBANKShort
by djneshit
ASIAN PAINT TO PAINT YOUR PORTFOLIO GREEN GREEN!!!!!!!Asian Paints is a prominent player in the Indian paint industry, known for its strong market presence and consistent financial performance. As of January 24, 2025, the stock is trading at ₹2,261.80, which is approximately 33% below its 52-week high of ₹3,394.00 reached on September 16, 2024. Over the past three years, the stock has underperformed, declining by about 20%, while the benchmark index rose by nearly 40% in the same period. However, over a ten-year horizon, Asian Paints has delivered a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13%, slightly outperforming the benchmark's 11% CAGR. The company's trailing twelve-month (TTM) price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 69.86, significantly higher than the sector average of 19.44, indicating a premium valuation. Analyst opinions are mixed: out of 34 analysts, 2 have issued a strong buy rating, 6 recommend a buy, 10 suggest holding, and 11 advise selling the stock. In the last quarter, Asian Paints reported a net profit of ₹694.64 crores. The company maintains a healthy financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00, indicating no significant debt burden.
NSE:ASIANPAINTLong
by djneshit
Beam Global - A Very Underpriced Stock? The first trade alert of the year is Beam. I'm adding Beam to my investment portfolio, allocating between 0.5% and 1% of my portfolio to it. Beam focuses on solar energy for electric vehicles. Here are their main products: EV ARC: All-in-one solar-powered EV charger with built-in battery; completely self-contained and portable. Solar Tree DCFC: A single-pole solar station provides fast charging (50kW) for multiple vehicles and works off-grid. EV-Standard: Clever streetlight conversion that adds EV charging using a mix of solar, wind, and grid power. UAV ARC: Off-grid charging system specifically designed for drone fleets. THE FINANCIALS: The company has a very small market capitalization: $47 million. This means high-risk, high reward! Here's why I think the company is underpriced: Stock price has declined by 95% since 2021 While the revenue 7x since 2021 Income is improving and it was positive in Q3 2024 The company has very low debt, and it's investing in lots of production resources P/S (Price-to-Sales) Ratio: Market Cap / Revenue = $47.13M / $60.88M = 0.77x: quite low, as P/S ratios below 1 generally indicate potential undervaluation. TEV / Revenue = $44.42M / $60.88M = 0.73x: Also very low. Market Cap vs TEV: The fact that TEV ($44.42M) is lower than Market Cap ($47.13M) indicates the company likely has net cash on its balance sheet, which is positive. WHY I'M BULLISH ON BEAM Profit margins are increasing Record Pipeline of over $200 million. That's more than twice their annual revenue. In late 2024 they have improved in-house production capabilities, they are expanding new products and European sales are going well, launched the Beam Reseller Program and they are hiring more sales people. Watch the CEO here. The company has great management. The Trump administration will support US manufacturing and American job creation and is likely to support energy resilience. Lower interest rates will help clients to buy more Beam equipment. Profitability seems close. THE TA Beam price is down 96% since its all time high in 2021. Still, the revenue, earnings, and balance sheet are now better than ever. According to the technical analysis, I don't see much resistance for the price to past the $10 and perhaps get close to the $15 to $20 range. RISKS The company is still fairly small and could be crushed by big competitors. Early stage growth and small capitalisation = volatility The Trump administration might ramp up nuclear power, making solar a less feasible source of energy. Quick note: I'm just sharing my journey - not financial advice! 😊
NASDAQ:BEEMLong
by HenriqueCentieiro
ETH/USD AnalysisHello traders here's my first ETH/USD idea, what you think on it? share your thoughts on it in comment section In My Personal Analysis Of Ethereum (ETH) against the US Dollar in 1 Hour time frame key technical levels: 1. Resistance Level: A price zone around $3,450 where Ethereum faces selling pressure, 2. Support Level: A price zone near $3,250, Ethereum finds buying support. 3. Current Price: The price of ETH at $3,331.87. 4. Possible Scenarios: Bullish Breakout: If ETH breaks above the resistance level, the potential target could reach the upper region around $3,700. Bearish Drop: If ETH breaks below the support level, it may fall further Follow me for more updates and don't forget to share my idea with your friends and family
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by MrKevin_17
$TAL promising opportunity, with strong revenue growthTechnical Analysis: Based on current technical indicators, the stock is in a neutral position. The current price is around $11.69, with an intraday high of $11.81 and a low of $10.87. Oscillators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) do not indicate strong buy or sell signals. Moving averages suggest a neutral trend, indicating no clear directional movement for the stock. Fundamental Analysis: TAL Education Group recently reported a 62.4% increase in revenue for Q3 FY25, reaching $606 million. This growth is driven by the introduction of AI-powered learning devices, showcasing the company's ability to innovate and adapt. The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to grow significantly from $0.17 to $0.40 in the coming year, representing a 135.29% increase. The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 106.50, which is higher than the sector average but lower than the market average of 111.30, suggesting the stock may be slightly overvalued compared to its peers but reasonably valued relative to the broader market. Conclusion: TAL Education Group presents a promising opportunity for investors, with strong revenue growth and an optimistic earnings outlook. While technical indicators show neutrality, the company's innovative approach and expected growth in profitability position it as a potentially bullish investment. Investors are advised to monitor market trends closely but can view TAL Education Group as a stock with upside potential in the near to medium term.
NYSE:TAL
by swingstocktraders
BTC forming an ascending triangle As it stands, the next significant buy wall has moved down to 103k. I am finding this on a depth chart. This aligns with an upward trend BTC has been holding, placing it's next significant level of support right on it's current trend line. Ignoring the extra volatility spike on the 20th of Jan, the resistance to break is 107K, which as it stands, has less selling pressure than buying pressure found at 103K. This would fall in line with the formation of an ascending triangle, and an expected break to the upside past 107K. If this happens, there is an extreme amount of selling liquidity at the 108k level, if a mass amount of orders are liquidated, that will accelerate the move. Using the triangle for profit targets, this move would place BTC near the 115K level once broken successfully. However if this does play out, I would expect FOMO to push well past this level. Fundamentally this is playing out with the introduction of a crypto friendly American government, and all the good fundamental news we've been hearing.
FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by nrburn98
ONDO 4H TRADE SETUP ONDO is a very exciting project with massive potential in the tokenization of real world assets, an aspect of crypto that has many very high profile interested parties, such as BlackRock and now the US Government via the Trump administration. World Liberty Financial (which is run by the Trump family) has an ONDO position currently and has been adding to it over time, so what is the future of ONDO? For me the chart has some key points: - Structurally ONDO been bearish since the later stages of December, retracing 50% from local high and losing the 4H 200 EMA in the process before bouncing off the bullish Orderblock that started the end of year rally in the first place, a very strong support area. That bounce was capped off by the bearish orderblock zone with rejection in that zone on four separate occasions, so we now have a local range with a clear S/R level at the midpoint. - Within that mini range we have higher lows constantly which forms a diagonal support as buyers put increasing pressure on price to break through the Bearish orderblock. The 4H 200 EMA has also been reclaimed and in a bullmarket this level is a key level to consider, more so during a trending phase and not chop but still important in this situation. - That's the technical analysis but money is made in execution of the trade. For me a reclaim of the bearish orderblock would be a bullish trigger for ONDO to climb back up the hill towards local high with consideration to set SLs in stages. The trade would be invalidated on a loss of the bearish orderblock flip as this Swing fail pattern often leads to a further sell-off. - In a bearish scenario, say BTC misbehaves or some bad news hits the timeline I would step away from the coin if diagonal support is lost. I would look to become a buyer at the bullish orderblock which would give a higher probability entry with the range midpoint and bearish orderblock as targets for price to reach. BTC still runs the market currently with alts not getting much liquidity, I do believe that will change soon going into the second half of Q1. Once Bitcoin can get a trend going altcoins will follow in my view.
COINBASE:ONDOUSD
by ProR35
META Bullish Momentum – Targeting $639!🚀 META Bullish Momentum – Targeting $639! 🚀 📊 Trade Setup: Take Profit 1: $610.00 Take Profit 2: $639.00 (previous high) Stop Loss: $578.92 (below demand zone and channel support) 📈 Analysis: META has been trading in a strong uptrend channel for the past 3 months, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. With a positive opening on the first trading day of 2025 , the stock has already seen a +2% increase , reflecting s trong bullish sentiment. The price is now approaching key resistance levels at $610 and the previous high at $639. A breakout above these levels could drive prices even higher, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. 🎯 Targets: $610.00: Short-term resistance $639.00: Previous high and key breakout zone 🔹 Risk Management: Stop loss placed at $578.92 , just below the demand zone and channel support, ensuring controlled risk if the trend reverses. ⚡ What do you think about META’s bullish momentum? Will it break above $639? Drop your thoughts below! ⚡
NASDAQ:METALong
by ValchevFinance
Gold: A Comprehensive Overview for Forex TradersGold has long been a favorite asset for traders and investors alike, valued not only for its historical significance as a store of wealth but also for its performance in financial markets. As a forex trader, understanding the dynamics of gold can be pivotal in making informed trading decisions. This article will explore the key factors that influence gold prices, its role in forex trading, and strategies for trading this precious metal. The Role of Gold in Forex Trading Gold is often referred to as a “safe-haven” asset. During times of geopolitical uncertainty, inflationary pressures, or financial market instability, investors flock to gold as a way to preserve wealth. This behavior is largely due to gold’s reputation as a store of value, which has been established over centuries. In the forex market, gold is typically traded against the US dollar, denoted as XAU/USD. The relationship between gold and the US dollar is inverse. When the dollar strengthens, gold prices tend to fall, and vice versa. This is because gold is priced in US dollars, and a stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand. Conversely, a weaker dollar makes gold more affordable and increases demand, pushing prices higher. Factors Affecting Gold Prices 1. Interest Rates and Central Bank Policies: Central banks, particularly the US Federal Reserve, have a significant influence on gold prices. When interest rates are low, the opportunity cost of holding gold (which doesn’t pay interest or dividends) is lower, making it more attractive. Conversely, higher interest rates typically lead to a stronger dollar and lower gold prices. 2. Inflation: Gold is often viewed as a hedge against inflation. When inflation rises, the real value of fiat currencies decreases, and investors seek gold as a way to preserve purchasing power. This drives up demand and pushes gold prices higher. 3. Geopolitical Events and Market Uncertainty: Political instability, wars, and other geopolitical events tend to increase gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. For example, during the COVID-19 pandemic, gold saw significant price increases as investors sought security amidst the global economic turmoil. 4. Global Economic Conditions: Economic indicators such as GDP growth, unemployment rates, and manufacturing data can also impact gold prices. Strong economic performance typically leads to a stronger dollar, which may put downward pressure on gold. Conversely, weak economic conditions may increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Strategies for Trading Gold in the Forex Market 1. Trend Following: One of the most common strategies for trading gold is to follow the prevailing market trend. If gold is in an uptrend, traders may look for buy opportunities, and if it’s in a downtrend, they may look for sell opportunities. Using technical analysis tools such as moving averages, RSI, and MACD can help identify trend direction and entry points. 2. News Trading: Given gold’s sensitivity to economic and geopolitical events, news trading can be an effective strategy. Key events such as Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, inflation data, and geopolitical tensions can lead to sharp movements in gold prices. Traders who stay informed and react quickly to news can capitalize on these price fluctuations. 3. Risk Management: As with any forex trading, risk management is crucial when trading gold. Gold can be highly volatile, and large price swings are common. Setting stop-loss orders, using proper position sizing, and managing leverage can help mitigate risk and protect your capital. 4. Correlations with Other Markets: Gold often moves in correlation with other markets, such as the US dollar, stock indices, and bond yields. By analyzing these correlations, traders can gain insights into potential price movements. For example, if the US dollar is weakening, it could signal a potential rise in gold prices. Conclusion Gold remains one of the most important assets in the forex market, offering both opportunities and risks for traders. By understanding the factors that influence gold prices and employing effective trading strategies, forex traders can position themselves to take advantage of price movements in this precious metal. Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, gold’s role in the market is something you cannot afford to ignore. Stay informed, practice sound risk management, and keep an eye on the broader economic landscape to make the most of your gold trading endeavors.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by YLD_Fx
Gold: A Comprehensive Overview for Forex TradersGold has long been a favorite asset for traders and investors alike, valued not only for its historical significance as a store of wealth but also for its performance in financial markets. As a forex trader, understanding the dynamics of gold can be pivotal in making informed trading decisions. This article will explore the key factors that influence gold prices, its role in forex trading, and strategies for trading this precious metal. The Role of Gold in Forex Trading Gold is often referred to as a “safe-haven” asset. During times of geopolitical uncertainty, inflationary pressures, or financial market instability, investors flock to gold as a way to preserve wealth. This behavior is largely due to gold’s reputation as a store of value, which has been established over centuries. In the forex market, gold is typically traded against the US dollar, denoted as XAU/USD. The relationship between gold and the US dollar is inverse. When the dollar strengthens, gold prices tend to fall, and vice versa. This is because gold is priced in US dollars, and a stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand. Conversely, a weaker dollar makes gold more affordable and increases demand, pushing prices higher. Factors Affecting Gold Prices 1. Interest Rates and Central Bank Policies: Central banks, particularly the US Federal Reserve, have a significant influence on gold prices. When interest rates are low, the opportunity cost of holding gold (which doesn’t pay interest or dividends) is lower, making it more attractive. Conversely, higher interest rates typically lead to a stronger dollar and lower gold prices. 2. Inflation: Gold is often viewed as a hedge against inflation. When inflation rises, the real value of fiat currencies decreases, and investors seek gold as a way to preserve purchasing power. This drives up demand and pushes gold prices higher. 3. Geopolitical Events and Market Uncertainty: Political instability, wars, and other geopolitical events tend to increase gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. For example, during the COVID-19 pandemic, gold saw significant price increases as investors sought security amidst the global economic turmoil. 4. Global Economic Conditions: Economic indicators such as GDP growth, unemployment rates, and manufacturing data can also impact gold prices. Strong economic performance typically leads to a stronger dollar, which may put downward pressure on gold. Conversely, weak economic conditions may increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Strategies for Trading Gold in the Forex Market 1. Trend Following: One of the most common strategies for trading gold is to follow the prevailing market trend. If gold is in an uptrend, traders may look for buy opportunities, and if it’s in a downtrend, they may look for sell opportunities. Using technical analysis tools such as moving averages, RSI, and MACD can help identify trend direction and entry points. 2. News Trading: Given gold’s sensitivity to economic and geopolitical events, news trading can be an effective strategy. Key events such as Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, inflation data, and geopolitical tensions can lead to sharp movements in gold prices. Traders who stay informed and react quickly to news can capitalize on these price fluctuations. 3. Risk Management: As with any forex trading, risk management is crucial when trading gold. Gold can be highly volatile, and large price swings are common. Setting stop-loss orders, using proper position sizing, and managing leverage can help mitigate risk and protect your capital. 4. Correlations with Other Markets: Gold often moves in correlation with other markets, such as the US dollar, stock indices, and bond yields. By analyzing these correlations, traders can gain insights into potential price movements. For example, if the US dollar is weakening, it could signal a potential rise in gold prices. Conclusion Gold remains one of the most important assets in the forex market, offering both opportunities and risks for traders. By understanding the factors that influence gold prices and employing effective trading strategies, forex traders can position themselves to take advantage of price movements in this precious metal. Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, gold’s role in the market is something you cannot afford to ignore. Stay informed, practice sound risk management, and keep an eye on the broader economic landscape to make the most of your gold trading endeavors.
by YLD_Fx
P&L Calendar P&L Calendar A calendar integration within TradingView where users can view their Profit and Loss (P&L) on a daily, weekly, or monthly basis. The calendar would display each trade’s P&L in a color-coded format (green for profits, red for losses) so users can easily track performance over time. Key Features: 1. Daily P&L Tracking: Each day’s P&L could be shown next to the date with a color code for profits (green) and losses (red). 2. Weekly/Monthly View: View total P&L for the week or month with aggregated values. 3. Trade Tags: Option to tag individual trades with labels (e.g., “long,” “short,” “scalping,” etc.) for more detailed tracking. 4. Performance Summary: Ability to click on a specific day/week/month to see detailed breakdowns of trades for that period. 5. Customizable Appearance: Allow users to choose how they want their calendar and P&L to be displayed, with options for sorting by profit, loss, or trade type.
CME_MINI:ESH2025
by HappyPoeticPerson
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