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SHOP - Weekly - Future Looks PromisingShopify (SHOP) appears to be on a strong upward trajectory, technically positioned within a sustained monthly channel that suggests continued appreciation. This outlook is bolstered by consistent revenue growth since 2020 and a robust recovery from its 2022 net income deficit, with the company demonstrating improved free cash flow and cash equivalents in 2024. Given its healthy financials, dominant market share in e-commerce platforms over competitors like Wix and Squarespace, and high user engagement, Shopify presents a compelling long-term investment opportunity for those seeking a strong return on investment. Not financial advice, always do your due diligence Leave a like👍 and/or comment💬. We appreciate and value everyone's feedback! - RoninAITrader
NASDAQ:SHOP
by RoninAITrader
Columbus McKinnon Corp | CMCO | Long at $14.90Columbus McKinnon Corp NASDAQ:CMCO is a stock that is highly cyclical, moving in "boom and bust" cycles every 3-5 years. As indicated by its entry into my "crash" simple moving average area (currently between $11 and $13), it may be nearing the end of its bust cycle (time will tell). With a book value at $31, debt-to-equity of 0.6x (healthy), quick ratio over 1 (healthy), insiders buying over $1 million in the past 6 months, a 2% dividend yield, and earning forecast to grow after 2025, NASDAQ:CMCO may be a hidden gem for double-digit returns in the coming years. But every investment is a risk. Thus, at $14.90, NASDAQ:CMCO is in a personal buy zone. Targets: $25.00 (+67.8%) $30.00 (+101.3%)
NASDAQ:CMCOLong
by WorthlessViews
GOLD1. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yield Gold and 10-year Treasury yields generally exhibit a strong inverse correlation. When bond yields rise, gold prices tend to fall, and vice versa. This is primarily because higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which does not pay interest or dividends. Investors prefer bonds when yields rise, reducing gold demand. However, the key driver for gold is real interest rates (nominal yield minus inflation). Even if nominal yields rise, if inflation rises faster, real yields can remain low or negative, which supports gold prices. Historical data shows gold often rises during periods of falling real yields, even if nominal yields fluctuate. For example, gold surged in the 1970s despite rising nominal rates due to high inflation and negative real yields. 2. Gold and Dollar Index (DXY) Gold and the US dollar index (DXY) usually have an inverse relationship. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar supports gold by making it cheaper internationally. However, during times of geopolitical uncertainty or market stress, both gold and the dollar can rise together as safe havens. 3. Interest Rates and Gold Central bank interest rates influence bond yields and the dollar, indirectly affecting gold. Rising interest rates tend to push bond yields higher and strengthen the dollar, both of which typically pressure gold prices. Conversely, expectations of rate cuts or dovish monetary policy lower yields and weaken the dollar, supporting gold. The real interest rate is the most important factor: low or negative real rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, boosting its appeal. 4. Summary of Interactions Factor Relationship with Gold Explanation 10-Year Bond Yield Inverse Higher yields raise opportunity cost, reducing gold demand Real Interest Rate Inverse Negative or low real rates support gold Dollar Index (DXY) Inverse Strong dollar makes gold more expensive globally Nominal Interest Rate Inverse Higher rates strengthen dollar and yields, pressuring gold Conclusion Gold prices are strongly influenced by the interplay of real interest rates, bond yields, and the US dollar. Rising nominal yields and a strong dollar generally weigh on gold, but if inflation outpaces yields, resulting in low or negative real rates, gold remains attractive as a hedge. This dynamic explains gold’s resilience despite fluctuating bond yields and dollar strength in 2025.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
$EUIRYY - Europe CPI below 2% Target (May/2025)ECONOMICS:EUIRYY 1.9% May/2025 source: EUROSTAT - Eurozone CPI eased to 1.9% year-on-year in May 2025, down from 2.2% in April and below market expectations of 2.0%. This marks the first time inflation has fallen below the European Central Bank’s 2.0% target since September 2024, reinforcing expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut later this week and raising the possibility of additional cuts. A key driver of the deceleration was a sharp slowdown in services inflation, which dropped to 3.2% from 4.0% in April, its lowest level since March 2022. Energy prices continued to decline, falling by 3.6% year-on-year, while inflation for non-energy industrial goods held steady at 0.6%. In contrast, prices for food, alcohol, and tobacco accelerated, rising 3.3% compared with 3.0% the previous month. Meanwhile, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy components, slipped to 2.3%, the lowest reading since January 2022. source: EUROSTAT
ECONOMICS:EUIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long (BUY STOP)Direction: Long Order Type: Buy Stop Entry: 3366.50 (above recent local resistance and reclaiming structure) Stop Loss: 3352.00 (below M15/M3 structure and recent low) Take Profit: 3402.00 (previous swing high zone and just under H4 resistance) Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.57R ⸻ 🧠 Trade Rationale H4 • Price bounced from a higher low around 3320–3330, still respecting the long-term uptrend. • Price is now reclaiming the 20/50 SMA cluster, which could act as dynamic support. • Momentum is neutral-to-positive with MACD poised for a bullish crossover. M15 • Price reclaimed 20 SMA and is now curling back above the 50 SMA. • Clean bullish engulfing structure forming, indicating buyer re-entry. • RSI is mid-50s with room to expand upward. M3 • Strong, steady micro uptrend forming higher lows and consolidating under resistance near 3366. • Increasing volume on upward moves, suggesting healthy interest from buyers. ⸻ 🛡️ Risk Management & Execution • Entry confirmation: Only enter if price breaks above 3366.50 on strength — avoid premature triggers. • Invalidation Window: Trade becomes invalid if price closes below 3350 on a 15-minute candle. This would break both M3 and M15 structure. • SL to BE: Move SL to break-even after price reaches 3377 and forms a micro higher low on M3 or support-resistance flip. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
The pullback did not change the bullish trendGold maintained a weak structure of shock in the Asian and European sessions, and the price slowly adjusted back, forming a secondary bottoming pattern during the day. The current trend is mainly structural consolidation. From a technical perspective, 3328 and 3335 below constitute key short-term support. If it does not break expectations, it will effectively stop the decline and stabilize, and provide a basis for a rebound. At present, the profit space for chasing shorts is limited. The only stable idea is to wait for the gold price to fall back and stabilize before participating in the long position layout. In terms of operation, it is recommended to arrange long positions near the support level, focusing on the strength of gold's retracement in the 3325-3330 range, and confirming the stabilization of the decline. Once it stabilizes and rebounds, the short-term long target can be seen at 3350 and 3378, and the extended target focuses on the previous high of 3392. If it breaks through strongly and stands firm at this position, it will further open up to 3400-3410 space. Operation suggestion: If gold falls back to the 3325-3330 range, go long with a light position. If it falls to 3335 and stabilizes, you can enter long orders in advance, with targets at 3350 and 3378.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
EURAUD1. 10-Year Bond Yields and Interest Rate Differentials Eurozone 10-Year Yield: ~3.2% (stable amid ECB’s cautious rate policy). Australia 10-Year Yield: ~4.1% (higher due to RBA’s inflation focus). Yield Spread: 4.1% (AUD)−3.2% (EUR)=+0.9% Australia’s yield advantage supports AUD through carry trades. Policy Rate Differential: ECB Rate: 3.75% (cut by 25bps in June 2025). RBA Rate: 4.35% (unchanged since late 2024). Spread: +0.6% favoring AUD. 2. Carry Trade and Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) Carry Trade Bias: Investors borrow EUR (lower rate) to invest in AUD (higher rate), supporting AUD demand. UIP Implications: According to UIP, AUD should depreciate to offset its yield advantage. However, persistent AUD strength (e.g., EUR/AUD near 1.75–1.77) suggests deviations due to risk appetite and commodity-driven AUD demand. 3. Upcoming Economic Data (June 1–5) Date Event Currency Impact June 2 Eurozone CPI (May) Higher inflation (>2.5%) could delay ECB cuts, boosting EUR. June 3 AU Retail Sales (Apr) Strong sales (>0.5% MoM) may lift AUD. June 4 Eurozone Unemployment Rate Rise above 6.5% pressures EUR. June 5 AU Trade Balance (Apr) Surplus (>A$10B) supports AUD via export optimism. Bearish Catalysts: Wider AU-EU yield spreads and RBA’s hawkish stance. Strong AU data (retail sales, trade balance). Bullish Catalysts: ECB inflation surprises or delayed rate cuts. Risk-off sentiment weakening AUD (commodity-linked). Summary Table Factor Eurozone (EUR) Australia (AUD) 10-Year Yield 3.2% 4.1% Policy Rate 3.75% 4.35% Yield Spread +0.9% (AUD over EUR) — Key Data CPI, Unemployment Retail Sales, Trade Balance Carry Trade Bias Neutral-to-Bearish for EUR Bullish for AUD #EURAUD
by Shavyfxhub
BTC | Short-Term Long | W Formation Breakout | (May 28, 2025)BTC | Short-Term Long | Liquidity Hunt + W Formation Breakout | (May 28, 2025) 1️⃣ Quick Recap: It’s been a minute — busy with university exams! But now back with fresh eyes on BTC. The chart shows a W-formation that already grabbed liquidity. From here, I’m expecting a push to the $96K–$97K region before we reassess. This could be a solid short-term setup. 📚🚀 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Short-Term Long (swing move) Entry Zone: Current levels (post-W formation breakout) Stop Loss: Below W-formation low TP1: $96K–$97K TP2 (optional swing): $144K (if momentum continues) Alternative Scenario: Drop to $60K (less likely, but still possible — risk management is key) 3️⃣ Key Notes: ✅ Open interest remains strong — market participants are still looking to the upside ✅ Spot selling observed — large holders and market makers offloading, possibly to create panic and bait shorts ✅ Liquidation clusters seen around $78K–$80K and higher up at $144K using Coinglass heatmaps ✅ W-formation complete — price took liquidity, now aiming for breakout levels ❌ Most traders ignore the difference between possible and probable — while $60K is possible, it’s not the base case right now 4️⃣ Follow-Up: I’m personally offloading some altcoins here while riding BTC short-term toward $96K–$97K. Will update if we break or reject that zone. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
by Risk_Adj_Return
Macro Outlook: Trade War Jitters, Deficit, NFP FridayAlthough there is a headline fatigue and markets have been stabilizing with the worst of trade war story behind us, the fact is that uncertainty still looms. President Trump announced over the weekend that he will double down on US steel and aluminum tariffs from 25% to 50% effective June 4th. Highlight this week is US Jobs data this Friday. A key point to determine the resilience of the US labor market. With FED Chair Powell speaking today and FED speakers scheduled throughout the week, it will be key to watch how they shape markets' probability of rate cuts? As we previously explained, ongoing uncertainty and dragging trade concerns present more risks until resolved. Here are some key points to consider: It remains to be seen whether the trade deficit will continue to worsen or begin to reverse. April trade data, along with any policy shifts such as a reversal on reciprocal tariffs, will be important to monitor. These indicators will provide insight into how businesses are interpreting ongoing trade uncertainty. The key question is whether they will continue front-loading inventory in anticipation of future disruptions, or if the focus will shift toward restructuring supply chains and reining in spending as part of a longer-term strategic adjustment. At the same time, consumer spending remains resilient, supporting overall demand. However, pressure may be building on business balance sheets, particularly businesses with poor cash flow to manage front loading inventory spending as the trade environment remains volatile. If consumer spending begins to weaken, businesses may be forced to cut costs, scale back investment, or offer steep discounts to clear excess inventory. This could lead to a cycle of margin compression, especially if firms attempt to pass higher costs onto price-sensitive consumers, potentially suppressing demand further. Conversely, if businesses choose to absorb rising costs to maintain competitive pricing, they face deteriorating margins but may be betting on continued strength in consumer credit, household savings buffers as evident. Consumer confidence, despite being low, is not an accurate indicator in times of uncertainty. Here, we should watch what consumers do and not the sentiment. In this scenario, firms may delay cost-cutting in the hope that continued strength in consumer spending will support revenues through the rest of the year. A central tension remains: businesses must navigate a delicate balance between protecting margins and preserving demand. Meanwhile, persistent trade uncertainty and tighter financial conditions may slow capital investment and hiring, further complicating the outlook. Whether firms shift from defensive postures like front-loading toward long-term structural changes in supply chains will hinge on how durable current consumer strength proves to be and how responsive trade policy becomes in the months ahead. Ongoing front-loading has caused ripples as the trade deficit has further widened. Will this reverse as businesses focus on sales and revenue instead of front-loading inventory? In our analysis, trade imports, trade balance, consumer spending and corporate profits will be key to monitor despite being lagging indicators. On the other hand, equally important to watch and monitor goods exports, durable goods to assess and evaluate the other side of the equation. However, our focus is on imports as manufacturing jobs are at their lowest in US history. Once the dust has settled and trade deals are locked in, it will be important to note if Exports by Country experience any significant shifts. What does all this mean for the stock market and futures? In simple terms, the yearly pivot and last month’s high is a major resistance area for index futures. Until this is cleared, we may see a range bound market and two way trade. There is a lot of weak structure to revisit lower. Markets may perhaps retest this before resuming higher. What we would want to see is, last month’s low holding support and this month’s price action trading inside previous month’s range or resuming higher. If we revisit May Monthly Lows, we may see increased selling pressure come in.
ECONOMICS:USNFP
by EdgeClear
PBF Energy turnaround happening?Fundamentals: The stock is trading at 0.42x book value, and pays 5.58% dividend. Of course, if profitability deteriorates further, the dividend can be cut and the P/B value can fall lower, but! PBF is doing a good job on cost cuts, in the last earnings report posted narrower loss than expected The mexican company 'Control Empresarial de Capital' is continously buying shares of the company, and nor Carlos Slim, neither another insiders-holders selling shares. Technicals: The 100 day moving average is the Boogeyman for PBF Energy. One year ago, early May 2024 the price lost it, and never got back above. Death cross happened in 2024 July. Got rejected by the 100MA 4 times, as seen on the picture. The 50day got under the 100, but not worked as support. In 2025 Jan-Feb it tried, but failed. Is this time different? A final washout is already happened to $13.45 in April. In May 2025, the 100MA rejected the price again, but this time the 50MA held as support. Now the price battles with the 100MA again, break above means a target of $25, as this is an unfilled gap of 2025 February, and the 200 day MA. Short-term traders can set $25 as target. Long-term investors can eye $32-36 with proper risk management, or continous buying-selling. Can take a year or two.
NYSE:PBFLong
by totifex
MCLOUD📊 Stock Analysis: MCLOUD The stock has been consolidating within a ascending triangle pattern and is nearing a critical Buy Above level at ₹80 , signaling a potential breakout. The target is set at ₹179, offering a potential gain of 123.75%. Key insights: Trend: A breakout above the wedge could indicate renewed bullish momentum. Support Levels: Strong support around ₹75 , making this a low-risk entry point. Volume Buzz: The recent increase in volume shows rising investor interest. 🔔 Keep an eye on this setup! Always analyze your risk tolerance before making any decisions. 📢 Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Conduct your research or consult a financial advisor before investing. What are your thoughts? Share them below! 📝 #StockTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrading #MCLOUD
NSE:MCLOUDLong
by mrsameofficial
Huntsman Corporation | HUN | Long at $11.34The stock price for Huntsman Corp NYSE:HUN , a manufacturer of organic chemical products, has dropped significantly since its peak in 2022 ($41.65). This was due to lower sales volumes, weak demand in construction and transportation, higher input costs, and European operational challenges, including a $75M hit from closing a German Maleic Anhydride facility. This year (2025) is anticipated to be its worst earnings year, and the stock is priced as such. However, this stock is historically cyclical, and the company expects recovery / growth again in 2026. Moving forward, earnings are forecast to grow and the company is trading at good value compared to peers and the industry. While many headwinds may still exist with tariffs, etc., insider are grabbing shares and large options positions (very bullish). With a book value of $17, debt-to-equity at 0.8x, quick ratio under 1, etc., the company appears healthy. From a technical analysis perspective, the stock price just barely missed my "crash" simple moving average area (currently between $9.00 and $10.50). It may reach those levels and below in 2025, for which I will add another position as long as fundamentals do not change. This moving average area often signifies "bottom" territory and historically, the stock has rebounded from this area. While my entry at $11.34 may be a little early, predicting true bottoms isn't my trading method and I hope to strengthen the position at lower trading prices. Targets: $15.00 (+32.2%) $17.25 (+49.9%)
NYSE:HUNLong
by WorthlessViews
5/15/25 - $rblx - ST trade higher5/15/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:RBLX ST trade higher - valuation is in noman's land. it's not cheap. it's not expensive. stock comp is 100% of "free cash flow". make of valuation what you want. all i'll say, is it's not "stupid" and expanding EBITDA mgns >20% and top line growth continuing to expand >20% means... 10x ev/sales isn't expensive and the chart "rules". - while i also think mkt is getting a bit long in the tooth just from a technical perspective, i try to not read the tea leaves unless valuations are at extremes (you've seen me leg out on QQQ commentary as such in feb - on the short side, and admittedly on the way lower... but also at the absolute ST bottom. so i'm no stranger to extremes and TA). - all that being said, the recent result was great, tbh. - and when i read something like this: x.com "The notable acceleration in 2QTD RBLX Hours Engaged growth (+54% Y/Y through 5/11) vs. 1Q (+30% Y/Y) has primarily been organic and not comp-driven" - i think we go into price discovery. make up a number. if market remains bid, NYSE:RBLX will lead. it's just the best ST beta out there IMO in terms of consumer/software etc. - let's see. i have it as a 10x leveraged position, but only 10 bps (so gross 1%). won't lose sleep but idea is definitely worth flagging and lmk if u see it differently V
NYSE:RBLXLong
by VROCKSTAR