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BITCOIN → The price is consolidating, but there is a BUT!BINANCE:BTCUSDT is forming a consolidation after a false breakout of trend resistance. Against the backdrop of the global market crash (stock market, futures, forex) bitcoin looks quite strong, but I wouldn't get excited ahead of time Bitcoin is trading inside a downtrend and also inside a range (global 81200 - 88800 and local 81200 - 85600). As long as the price is inside the local range and below trend resistance it is worth considering selling. There have been periods in history when the price seemed strong in the moment, but then, bitcoin caught up with the fall of indices... The fundamental background for bitcoin is unstable: First of all, the price has hardly reacted in any way to the introduction of tariffs, backlash and economic data. The Fed is not giving a clear signal, the market is in uncertainty. Any info noise ( China, Fed rhetoric, company reports ) can cause shake-ups. But at the same time, the same old problems remain: the crypto community is not getting any support. Bitcoin's dominance is growing against the backdrop of its decline. Altcoins continue to storm the bottom. Technically , the situation is weak, the price cannot update local highs and consolidate above any strong support. It is possible to retest the trend resistance, or the zone of interest 85590 before the reversal and fall. Or, emphasis on the trigger 81187. A breakdown will provoke an impulse. Resistance levels: trend, 85585, 88840. Support levels: 81187, 78170, 73500 Buying in the medium term can be considered either after reaching the main target - 73-66K, or after the exit from the descending channel and price fixation above 88840. Now the emphasis is on a possible fall either from the resistance 85580, or when the support 81180 is broken Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
3
GOLD BREAKS SHARPLY — BUT THE MOVE WAS WRITTEN IN THE STRUCTURE🟡 GOLD BREAKS SHARPLY — BUT THE MOVE WAS WRITTEN IN THE STRUCTURE A steep drop in gold just rattled the markets — but if you’ve been following the macro and technical setup closely, this was not only expected, but anticipated. From the first week of April, we’ve been tracking signals of potential exhaustion in XAUUSD: 🕯️ Candlestick wicks on higher timeframes 📈 Overextended structure 🧠 Macro divergence Now, all signs have converged — and we’re finally seeing the correction play out. 🔍 Why This Isn’t Just About Gold What we’re seeing is a broader shift in global market sentiment: U.S., European, and Asian equities are all under pressure Crypto has stagnated with little to no fresh capital inflow Gold — after months of aggressive buying — is now facing wave after wave of profit-taking This is classic risk-off behaviour. Investors are choosing cash, sitting tight, and waiting for clarity — not only in the charts but in the headlines too. 📉 DXY Building a Case for Recovery The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been heavily sold in recent months — but is now holding at a multi-year structural support zone that’s been tested multiple times since 2021. With Trump returning to the spotlight and triggering a fresh round of global tariff negotiations, the USD is regaining narrative strength. Trump’s stance has already prompted discussions among major economies, putting the U.S. in a dominant position — and the market is beginning to price that in. 🤔 What’s Holding the Fed Back? Despite rising trade tensions, the Federal Reserve has remained cautious — choosing not to act until the dust settles from geopolitical and policy developments. This creates a window of opportunity: If the Fed holds rates while global central banks soften And if the USD holds this major support → We could see strong dollar flows return in Q2. 🔮 Gold Outlook – Where Next? In the short term: Expect continued volatility Potential for gold to slide further toward 308x – 305x range Any bounce is likely to be technical rather than fundamental In the medium term: Once political noise fades, gold may find support again Especially if inflation expectations persist or the Fed pivots dovish later in Q2 💡 Takeaways for UK Traders ✅ Don't trade the news — trade the reaction ✅ Macro structure matters more than the daily headlines ✅ Capital preservation beats chasing euphoria We’re not guessing. We’re reading the story and planning with structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
The trend reversal of gold is taking shape!The US non-farm data in March exceeded market expectations, but the unemployment rate rose. Whether true or false, it eventually supported the rebound of the US dollar. After that, Powell said that he would not cut interest rates immediately. The US Treasury Secretary said that the United States pursued a strong dollar policy, etc. The above comprehensive factors provided support for the US dollar to rebound, but it cannot be concluded that the bottom has been reached. Gold was not spared. Yesterday, the overall decline exceeded 120 points, ending four consecutive weeks of gains, and the overall trend is still downward. Combined with the long-term technical pattern, the strong support below the gold price is near 2950. Even if the price rebounds next week, it cannot be accompanied by strong event support. It is still possible to fall again to find the bottom, and the possibility of falling below the 3000 mark is relatively high. The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a death cross downward, so the gold shorts still have power, and the short-term gold can only rebound. After the rebound, gold will continue to be short, and then gold will enter a shock. After the high-level plunge of gold, shorts will have a greater advantage in the short term. Unless there is a big positive, it will be difficult for gold to rise directly. The last physical K-line box of gold in the 1-hour will form a short-term suppression. The resistance of gold rebound is 3070. If it is under pressure, then the gold rebound will continue to be shorted at highs. Investment strategy: Buy gold at 3040, target 3050 Sell gold at 3050, target 3030-3020-3010-3000
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HarveyAckerman
Summary of this week! Looking forward to the new week!Gold has been on a "roller coaster" this week. Spot gold continued to rise from Monday to Thursday, and hit a record high of $3,167.57/ounce on Thursday (April 3). However, it plunged more than $76 on Friday (April 4), a drop of 2.47%, and finally closed at $3,037/ounce, narrowing the weekly gain to 1.2%. This sharp fluctuation stems from two key events: Trump's tariff policy has caused global concerns to rise, and Fed Powell's unexpected turn to hawkish monetary policy. The market liquidity crisis has caused investors to sell gold to make up for stock market losses, and the US dollar index has strengthened by 0.9%, further suppressing gold prices. On Friday, global stock markets fell for the second consecutive day. The US stock market suffered an "epic" plunge. The three major US stock indexes all fell by more than 5.5%, all of which were the largest single-day declines since 2000. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged more than 2,000 points into the correction zone, and the Nasdaq fell into a bear market. Gold is often seen as a liquid asset that can be used for margin requirements on other assets, so it is not uncommon for gold to be sold off after such a risk event. "Gold's performance is consistent with historical trends." Powell's hawkish remarks pushed the dollar index up 0.9% on Friday. When the dollar appreciates, gold naturally becomes more expensive for buyers holding foreign currencies. I think the better-than-expected non-farm payrolls report released by the United States on Friday is another reason to hit gold prices. The U.S. Department of Labor reported that non-farm payrolls in March were 228,000 after seasonal adjustment, an increase higher than the market's expectation of 135,000. Non-farm payrolls data helped the Federal Reserve delay rate cuts. Gold usually performs well in a low-interest environment. Gold is still up 15.3% this year, relying on strong central bank buying and playing the role of a safe haven for funds amid economic and geopolitical uncertainties. Although gold prices fluctuate, it is still a safe haven for many investors. Analysis of gold market trends next Monday: Gold technical analysis: This week's Thursday and Friday gold market can be described as thrilling, with a rise and fall of more than 100 points in two days! The gold market suddenly changed, and there was an extremely violent sweep. First, it rose rapidly to 3136 without any signs, and then fell back quickly at lightning speed, and fell below the intraday low. After a series of large negative declines, gold is currently in a short-term trend. The daily line has a large negative downward trend, breaking the short-term moving average and piercing the middle track, leaving a lower shadow below. The pattern shows a negative engulfing positive engulfing bearish signal. In the short term, it may rely on the middle track support to confirm the 10ma resistance and fall again. The 4-hour Bollinger band opens downward, and the K-line continues to fall. The trend is already bearish and downward. The callback space is larger than the rising space. Falling below the previous day's starting low of 3054 is a short-term empty point, and the lowest retracement is around 3015. The daily line is in a partial adjustment in the short term. Combined with the falling wave space of the 4-hour chart. The 3000 integer mark is the support position of the golden section point 0.5. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands open downward, and the K-line continues to decline. The downward trend is obvious. The focus below is on the break of the 3000 mark. As long as the 3000 mark is held, the short-term bullish structure will not change. The market will continue to rise to new highs. If the 3000 mark is broken, the market will form a large-level adjustment structure. The short-term operation is mainly to buy on dips above 3000, supplemented by high shorts. The upper resistance is around 3054-3057-3072, and the lower support is 3015-3000. On the whole, the short-term operation of gold next Monday is mainly to buy on rebounds, supplemented by buying on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3054-3057 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3000-3015 support line. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Reference for gold operation strategy next Monday: 1: Short (sell) gold rebounds to 3053-3055, target 3030-3015. 2: Long (buy) gold pullbacks to 3000-3003, target 3030-3040.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EdithTout
How to Identify Double Top Formation - A Long-Haul Bear?How to identify double top formation? Is the US market still forming this double top formation, or has the pattern already completed, signaling a deeper correction to come? In this discussion, we will focus on the latter question: whether this bear is going to be a long-haul bear. 3 parts of today tutorial: 1. How to Identify Double Top Formation is completed technically? 2. How to cross reference to its related markets? 3. How do the fundamental developments confirm these technical studies? E-mini Dow Jones Index Futures & Options Ticker: YM Minimum fluctuation: 1.00 index point = $5.00 Micro E-mini Dow Jones Index Futures Ticker: MYM Minimum fluctuation: 1.0 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by konhow
EURUSD on high time frame "When considering EUR/USD, the price has decisively broken the structure on the daily time frame. Currently, it is undergoing a pullback towards the origin of the move. In my analysis, once this pullback is complete, it presents a favorable buying opportunity. My target for this trade is 1.120. Depending on your strategy, you may opt to wait for the completion of the pullback and the formation of a (FVG) candle on the 1-hour chart before taking action." If you need further assistance or have any specific questions, feel free to ask!
Long
by somayehbasiri
Vinamilk: VNM (Fair value & slow growth)● Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company (VNM) was established in 1976. The Company has its main business in processing, production, trade, import and export of dairy products and other nutritious ones, under the model of a joint stock company since 2003. VNM is the biggest dairy company with a market share of over 50% in Vietnam dairy industry. VNM's products are exported to 57 countries. ● Milk consumption per capita in Vietnam was only 28 liters in 2021, lower than Thailand (35 liters) and Singapore (45 liters). VS each person in Vietnam consumes around 42.5 liters of beer annually. ● I believe every VNM investor should hold a glass of vinamilk instead glass of beer or soft drink to have a better life. Sun 10/03/2024
HOSE:VNMLong
by MIchaelTran
3
Skeptic | Gold Gears Up: Battle Between 3075.66 & 3128Welcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic. Today, we're diving deep into XAU/USD (Gold) , breaking down the current structure and upcoming trade opportunities. 🔍 📊 Daily Structure: The major trend remains bullish , with Gold showing strong upward momentum. If you've been following my previous breakdowns, you’ll remember I gave long triggers at 2955.31 , 3004.48 , and recently 3057.26 —all of which have played out well. Even if you entered based on your own signals in line with the trend, you should be sitting comfortably in profit. 🕒 1H Structure – What’s Next? After that strong uptrend, Gold has entered a correction phase on the 1H chart. 📰 News Impact: The recent announcement from President Trump imposing sweeping tariffs (10% baseline and up to 54% on China) has created major volatility across markets, including Gold. This geopolitical tension has added momentum to the asset, and we’re seeing it clearly on the chart. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup): • Trigger: Break & close above 3128 • Since this aligns with the trend, larger targets and longer hold times are justified. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup): • Trigger: Break & hold below 3075.66 • Manage risk carefully here—use tighter stop-losses and secure profits quickly since this is counter-trend. ⚠️ Key Notes: 🔹 Fundamentals: Heavy economic news flow today = High volatility expected. 🔹 Risk Management: Don’t overleverage. Only enter on confirmed breaks. Stay skeptical, trade smart, and I’ll catch you in the next analysis! 👽📈
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by SkepticWise
1
401(k)s: A Safe Bet or a Rigged Game?In 2008, the S&P 500 dropped 57% at its lowest, wiping out decades of savings for millions of Americans. People who were 5–10 years from retirement lost everything overnight—and they had no way out. And here’s the problem: • 401(k)s are heavily stock-weighted, especially those “target-date” funds that adjust based on age—but not fast enough in a crash. • No active protection. These funds don’t hedge, use stop-losses, or rotate into cash. If the market dumps, you’re just riding it down. • No control or transparency. Most people don’t even know what they’re invested in unless they dig deep into fund holdings. It’s no coincidence that the same Wall Street firms managing 401(k)s make money shorting crashes or getting bailouts, while regular people are told to “just wait it out.” Sure, that might work over decades, but what if you’re close to retirement? Or just don’t want to wait 10 years for a recovery? The Harsh Reality • 401(k)s aren’t really optional. They’re the main retirement plan in the U.S., so most people are forced into them with few alternatives. • Most people don’t actively manage them. They pick a default option, get put into a target-date fund, and hope for the best. That’s where the “sheep” feeling comes in. • You can’t easily exit. There are penalties for withdrawing early, so in a crash, you’re locked in like a prisoner or financial refugee, while the “big boys” cash out first. It’s not a scam in a legal sense—but it is a system that favors the knowledgeable and punishes the passive. Those who don’t study markets, adjust their portfolios, or take active control end up paying the price. And sadly, that’s the majority.
TVC:SPXEducation
by NORD25
Assignment for GOLD next weekBase on what happened this week. My idea for GOLD is simple and straight forward next week. After that strong expansion to the downside, i am expecting to see a retracement towards .5 or .62 of fib level before price will continue to go down and mitigate that big weekly imbalance below. Base on the structure of next weeks high impact news, my idea would be a simple consolidation for Monday till Wednesday since we got no high impact news on those given days. Then Thursday and Friday would be the expansion since we got FOMC,CPI and PPI for those 2 remaining days of the week... My entry would still be the same. Top down analysis using my multi timeframe strategy and wait for all timeframes to align and enter in 5m timeframe once it aligns with the overall higher timeframe. Good luck to us all and Happy trading...
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by alfoxDayTrader
$S&P500 macro analysis , market approaching correction °•° $SPXHi 👋🏻 check out my previous analysis ⏰ on SP:SPX macro bullish analysis ⏰ As provided it went up up 🚀 completed my target's 🎯 💯💪🏻 ✅ ✔️ Click on it 👆🏻 just check out each and every time updates ☝🏻 ☺️ ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• NOW I was completely 🐻 BEARISH on the market with in upcoming months SP:SPX 📌 Expecting liquidation pump $6500 - $6700 Invalid 🛑 when complete month close above $6700 ¹support - $5500 ( 🎯 ¹ ) ²support - $5130 ( 🎯 ² ) 🎯 3 ... Will be updated based on market conditions by that time ☺️ 📍 A wise 🦉 man said - always having patience " is " always gaining only /- NASDAQ:TSLA ( i accumulate slowly until it cross above $400 ) rest of stocks i will follow index ☝🏻 i will invest based on market conditions ..... ✔️
SP:SPXShort
by raj5_7_5
Call me crazy...but I'm scaling into DELL 2027 Calls💡Call me crazy… but I’m scaling into DELL 2027 calls. Strike: $85 Cost: ~$20 Expiration: December 2027 Chart target? North of $230. (Yes. You read that right.) The market just served up a gift — and I’m grabbing it with both hands. Dell just dropped nearly 20% on tariff fears and algorithmic panic. But the long-term AI/data center megatrend is still intact. This is not your grandma’s PC company anymore. Sometimes you gotta step into the fire when no one else will. > Risk? Defined. > Reward? 5x+ potential. > Time? Plenty of it. If this thing even comes close to previous growth cycles… we’ll be glad we were “crazy.” #DELL #OptionsStrategy #LongTermConviction #TheAccidentalRetiree #BuyFear #SmartMoneyPlays #AI #TechStocks
NYSE:DELLLong
by VeloGuy