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Fundamental Analysis

Non-farm payrolls are coming. What's the gold trend?Gold fell sharply on Wednesday, but Thursday's market didn't continue the downward trend as some investors expected. Instead, it showed a trend of rising and then falling. From the daily perspective, we first need to focus on the resistance level near 3300 where the 5-day moving average is located. This position is not only a short-term technical resistance, but also reflects the market's psychological expectations to a certain extent. If prices can successfully break through this level and stabilize above it, it will indicate that bullish momentum is strengthening, potentially boosting market sentiment. At this point, the next resistance area to watch is the 3330-3340 range. This area converges the 10-day, 20-day and 30-day moving averages, forming a strong resistance band. As for the support below, the primary focus is Wednesday's low of 3268. However, if this level is lost and the price continues to fall, the next support area will be around 3245, which is the previous low. Trading strategy: Short around 3300, stop loss at 3310, profit range 3280-3260.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by quaid_2
XAU/USD (Gold) - Triangle Breakout (1.08.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 3249 2nd Support – 3225 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
24
EURO long: The "What If?" tradeHello traders The Euro is showing signs of bottoming out at the weekly support levels against USD, JPY, CAD and AUD. MOST IMPORTANT: USD: While King Dollar is clearly reigning after the FOMC indication not to expect rate cuts any time soon and solid economic data, the "What If" factor is NFP tomorrow and to a minor extent month end settling. If the NFP print comes in significantly lower than expectations, the Euro may pop higher. If the print is above expectations, still take a moment to check where the most jobs are. if it is in hospitality and leisure, it is probably summer hiring. JPY: The BoJ kept rates unchanged. CAD: The loonie is under siege with Trump's renewed 35% tariffs announced today. However, IF Russian sanctions against oil sales come to fruition, the CAD may strengthen. Watch Oil prices. AUD: CPI came in below expectations. PPI has just printed lower too. The Euro Zone's unemployment rate ticked down and German CPI ticked higher. The impact of tariffs seems to be priced in for the moment. The biggest "What If" ? The decision of the Federal Appeals Court if the International Trade Court verdict is upheld. In that case, it is all but guaranteed that it will reach the Supreme Court. IF the Supreme Court declares it unlawful, the USD MAY drop like a lead balloon. The risk assets in these charts are all at right around the weekly 20 SMA. www.tradingview.com Just some food for thought. Let me know what your thoughts are.
Long
by jvrfxalerts
22
TREND REVERSAL CONFIRMATION Looking at the weekly timeframe for USDCAD, we can see that price action has respected a rising trendline and also reacted to a weekly bullish order block. The Sell momentum for USDCAD has come to an end, so now we saw price action accumulating around the rising trend line and bullish order block. Now there's a minor resistance which is indicated with a small blue rectangle in which price action has broken to the upside, I'm expecting price to complete an impulse correction leg or retrace to the blue rectangle or minor resistance and then from there continue to the upside. ........,...,............................................. Please share your thoughts on this analysis, do you think the downward trend is over.
Long
by enwemadufranklyn1989
Charter Communications (Revised) | CHTR | Long at $269.50 **This is a revised analysis from December 26, 2024: . My stop was triggered in that original trade after the recent price drop (some gains were taken at 13%, as noted).** Charter Communications NASDAQ:CHTR stock recently dropped due to a disappointing Q2 2025 earnings report, with earnings per share of $9.18 missing estimates of $9.58 and a larger-than-expected loss of 111,000 residential internet customers. Despite the recent subscriber losses and increased competition, the following factors suggest long-term growth potential: Network Expansion: Launch of 2x1 Gbps service in eight markets in 2025, boosting competitiveness. Rural Growth: Rural revenue projected to reach 10–15% of total revenue by 2025. Cox Acquisition: $34.5B merger expected to close by mid-2026, yielding $500M in annual cost savings by 2028 and enhancing market share. Mobile and AI Strategies: Strong mobile growth and AI-driven customer service tools to improve retention and efficiency. Lower Interest Rates: Reduced bowering costs to help with profit margins. Charter's President/CEO recently grabbed $2.5 million in shares under $300. From a technical analysis perspective, there is an open price gap near $195 that could be of concern in the near-term. I foresee that being closed if the whole market flips or more bad news for the company arises. But, with a P/E of 7x and the industry average being near 13x, I believe NASDAQ:CHTR is a good value at the moment. Thus, at $269.50, NASDAQ:CHTR is in a personal buy zone with a note of "risk" of a drop near $195 (a second personal entry point if it hits that level before targets are reached). Targets into 2028: $330.00 (+22.4%) $375.00 (+39.1%)
NASDAQ:CHTRLong
by WorthlessViews
Why Apple Could Be Entering a Structural Correction🍎📉 Why Apple Could Be Entering a Structural Correction ⚠️🔍 After scanning major tech names today, one stock stood out— for all the wrong reasons : NASDAQ:AAPL . Technically, Apple has broken below long-standing trendline support , and my chart now assigns a 70% probability(roughly guys...roughly and rounded) of further downside vs only 30% upside . But it's not just about the chart... Here’s the macro storm Apple is walking into: 🧭 1. Trade War Revival New tariffs on Chinese electronics could cost Apple up to $1.1B/quarter , even as it tries to diversify production. India and Vietnam are promising, but not mature enough to offset risk. 🤖 2. Lagging in the AI Arms Race While Nvidia, Google, and Microsoft pour $30B+ into AI, Apple is spending less than half that. Analysts weren’t impressed with “Apple Intelligence.” Siri still isn’t leading. 🇨🇳 3. China: Flatlining Growth, Rising Risk ~18% of Apple’s revenue still comes from China. With Huawei resurging and tightening regulations, Apple’s dominance is being chipped away. 🛑 4. Innovation Pipeline: Empty? There’s no iPhone super-cycle ahead. Vision Pro remains niche. Apple now looks like a mature tech stock without a breakout catalyst —risky when valuation is still premium. ⚖️ 5. Legal Pressure on Both Sides of the Atlantic The DOJ and EU are targeting Apple’s App Store dominance. If changes are enforced, the service revenue moat weakens. 🔽 Summary: This Isn’t Panic. It’s Repricing. The market is re-rating Apple based on real structural risks. Downside levels I’m watching: 📉 177.65 (first support) 📉 154.53 (next key level) ❗️134–113 zone if macro pressure escalates Chart = structure. Narrative = pressure. Both are aligned. Let me know your thoughts—still long NASDAQ:AAPL , or hedging this weakness? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by FX_Professor
5
RDDT Earnings Setup (2025-07-31) ### 🔥 RDDT Earnings Setup (2025-07-31) 📈 **Bullish Bias | Confidence: 75%** 🎯 Target: \$165+ | 🔒 Resistance: \$155.58 --- ### 📊 FUNDAMENTALS * 📈 **Revenue Growth (TTM): +61.5%** * 💰 **Gross Margin**: 90.8% * ⚠️ **Op Margin**: 1.0% (Thin runway) * 💥 EPS Surprise Avg: **+191% (5/5 beat streak!)** * 📉 EPS Growth Est: **-86.6%** → low bar = potential upside **🧠 Fundamental Score: 7/10** --- ### 🧠 OPTIONS FLOW * 🔵 **\$172.00C** building OI * 💸 IV Rank \~0.75 (Move priced in!) * 🧲 Bullish call activity > puts * 🛡️ Put skew = hedged upside **📊 Options Score: 7/10** --- ### 📈 TECHNICAL SETUP * ✅ Above 20DMA * 🔥 RSI: 62.2 = strength but not overbought * 📦 Accumulation spike * 🔐 Resistance: \$155.58 * 🧲 Break = squeeze setup **📉 Technical Score: 8/10** --- ### 🌍 MACRO BACKDROP * 🌐 Digital ad sector = support * 🚨 Regulatory overhang = minor risk * 🧬 Growth stock rotation helps RDDT **🌐 Macro Score: 7/10** --- ### 🎯 TRADE IDEA **💥 RDDT \$172.00C** (Aug 1 Exp) * 💵 Entry: \$6.15 * 🎯 PT: \$18.45 * 🛑 SL: \$3.08 * 📈 Risk/Reward: \~3:1 * ⏱ Exit: 1–2 hrs post-earnings * ⚖️ Sizing: 1 contract = \~\$615 risk --- ### ✅ SUMMARY 🧬 Strong rev growth + historical beat streak 🎯 Technical breakout setup + bullish flow 🚀 Potential squeeze toward **\$165+** 📣 Tag: #RDDT #EarningsPlay #OptionsFlow #RedditIPO #SwingTrade #TradingViewViral #EarningsSeason #TechStocks #CallOptions
NYSE:RDDTLong
by quantsignals
$TOTAKEKE – Dark Cheems Building Momentum? Meme Bull Run SetupOverview Totakeke (aka Dark Cheems) is positioning itself as the “brother coin” to the well-known meme Cheems on BSC. It’s been quietly gaining attention. It has been tweeted by PancakeSwap, Trust Wallet, Four Meme, and even interactions from CZ on X! HOLY SHIII! With meme coins leading this market cycle, Totakeke’s early-stage market cap of $6.2M puts it in prime territory for explosive moves if narrative momentum holds. Initial discovery pump around July 25–26 → price surged to 0.025 before sharp retrace. Current -75% pullback into accumulation zone (0.0058–0.007) matches classic meme cycle setups (PEPE, BONK patterns). Liquidity at $408K = thin books; big buys/sells swing price 20%+ easily. Key Levels Accumulation Zone: 0.0058–0.007 Breakout Trigger: 0.009–0.01 (close above signals next wave) Previous ATH: 0.025 (first upside target) Meme Extension Target: 0.04–0.05 (6–8x potential if bull run continues) Narrative Catalyst Strong ties to BSC meme culture (Cheems brother narrative). Engagement by top ecosystem accounts (PancakeSwap, Trust Wallet, CZ). Community buzz forming → potential for “viral rotation” if meme bull run expands. Play Idea (Meme Bull Logic) Accumulate quietly in base range; position size small due to volatility. No tight stop-loss: meme coins wick hard; manage risk via exposure, not micro stops. aka nut up or shut up Upside targets: 0.01 / 0.025 / 0.04 (scale out as narrative develops). Lose 0.0058? Next support ~0.0045 (still viable base in meme context). Totakeke fits the early-stage meme cycle template.. strong narrative tie-ins, early ecosystem attention, and chart structure that mirrors successful meme plays pre-run. If meme momentum continues across BSC, this could be one to watch for multi-x potential. Not financial advice. Meme coins are extremely volatile... play size and timing matter more than tight TA.
CRYPTO:TOTAKEKEUSDLong
by spencertradez
Bitcoin vs S&P 500 – Ratio Signals Strength, Chart favors BTC!🚀📊 Bitcoin vs S&P 500 – Ratio Signals Strength, Even If Stocks Correct 🔍📈 After posting earlier today about VOO (S&P 500 ETF) and the index itself hitting major resistance, I wanted to shift our focus to what could shine even if stocks pull back: Bitcoin. This chart shows the BTCUSD/SPX ratio – in simple terms, how Bitcoin is performing relative to the S&P 500 . And what do we see? Clear, technical strength. 🔍 Key Observations: BTC/SPX is currently breaking out from a bullish flag structure just above the 17.30–17.48 region If the breakout holds, the projected technical target is near 26.37, the top of this multi-year channel Historically, previous breakouts from similar zones have delivered explosive upside, even when equities struggled 🧠 So what does this mean? Even if the stock market pulls back—as suggested in our earlier VOO/US500 chart—Bitcoin could still outperform, simply by dropping less, consolidating, or rising while stocks fall. That’s the power of analyzing ratios, not just absolute price. We’ve already discussed how macro metrics like the Buffett Indicator (Stocks-to-GDP) are showing equity overvaluation. If capital starts rotating out of equities, Bitcoin is positioned as a beneficiary—especially if it maintains this relative strength. 💬 Final thoughts: Don’t just look at BTC in isolation— look at it relative to what it's competing against Ratios offer perspective: this one says Bitcoin’s trend vs stocks is up and strong With solid support at 14.23 and room to run toward 26.37, this could be a chart to watch for months ahead Are you watching this breakout? Let me know what your game plan is. FOOD FOR THOUGHT: With Gold prices easing, stock markets at all time highs, is this the PERFECT time for big money to hedge with Bitcoin? Likely yes ! One Love, The FX PROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
**07/31/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis ** EOD accountability report: + Sleep: 5.5 hours Overall health: Good ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) ** — 9:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3 — 9:30 AM VXAlgo ES X7 Sell signal — 9:32 AM Bullish market structure got cancelled — 11:40 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal — 12:40 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal — 1:00 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! — 1:22 PM if we lose 6415 and stayy under it . Bullish Market structure is cancelled. — 1:55 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? Today marked the 4th day of the structure signals being iffy as they try to tip the volumes bullish just to cancel it right afterwards. I was starting to get a bit tilted today as I had a bunch of orders at area that didn't get filled and eventually just gave up trying to have a green day and walked away. looking at some of the other charts, i also we are getting a doji on the longer time frames and it is starting to look like bear's wet dream. However, Mag 7 stock earnings were really great, the only downside was rate cut isn't happening. News *U.S. STOCKS END LOWER, VIX JUMPS AS S&P 500, NASDAQ RETREAT FROM RECORDS DESPITE MONSTER META AND MICROSOFT EARNINGS What are the critical support levels to watch? --> Above 6415= Bullish, Under 6403= Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
BTC/USD 4h chart🔸 Formation: Triangle descending (descending) • Upper trend line (orange) - inheritance, connects lower and lower peaks. • Lower support line (red) - approx. 116,700 USD - key support, tested many times. 🔻 Support USD 116,700 Tested several times, currently threatened 🔻 Another support USD 114,669 Target level when struck with a triangle 🔼 Resistance USD 118,321 The nearest resistance - the former level of support 🔼 Resistance USD 119,931 Local peak 🔼 Strong resistance USD 121,107 Upper level of structure 📉 STOCHASTIC RSI (lower indicator) • Line cutting and a decrease in the purchase area (> 80) towards the center. • No extreme sales signal, but the trend begins to be negative. ⸻ 📌 Applications and possible scenarios: 🔻 Bearish script (more technically likely): • If BTC breaks below USD 116,700 with a 4H candle closure, possible: • a decrease around USD 114,669 (lower limit of the triangle) • Even lower - around 113,500-112,000 USD with an increased volume 🔼 Bullly script (less likely but possible): • needed quick breaking above USD 118,300 and maintaining above this level • Then the goal will be USD 119,931, and then possible traffic up to USD 121.107 ⸻ 📍 Summary: • We see classic triangle descending-pro-draft formation. • Support 116,700 USD very close to breaking - if it falls, down movement can be dynamic. • Stochastic RSI coincides with the deterioration of the moment. • The inheritance scenario seems dominant, unless there is a strong demand and over 118,300 USD.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
Natural Gas Bullish Reversal...Are the Lows in?U.S. natural gas inventories increased by 48 billion cubic feet last week to 3,123 Bcf, increasing the surplus over the five-year average. Consensus / forecast was 37Billion Cubic feet. Despite a much higher build than expected Nat gas saw positive price action. This appears to simply be a dead cat bounce before we go lower. A death cross on the daily chart has occurred. This signal often results in a small bounce before going lower.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Trading-Capital
1
Why Riot Stock Dropped After Q2 Earnings Despite Good NumbersWhen I first saw Riot Platforms' Q2 2025 earnings report, the numbers looked impressive at first glance. The company posted net income of $219.5 million, a dramatic turnaround from recent quarters. But as I dug deeper into the details, it became clear why the stock sold off despite what appeared to be strong results. The most immediate red flag for me was the revenue miss. While Riot reported $153.0 million in revenue against the FactSet consensus of $156.3 million. Given Riot's recent track record of disappointing investors, this miss reinforced concerns about management's ability to meet their own guidance. What really caught my attention, though, was the composition of that $219.5 million in net income. The company benefited from a massive $470 million gain on changes in Bitcoin's fair value, which was partially offset by a $158 million loss on contract settlements. This tells me that the earnings quality is questionable at best. Strip away the mark-to-market accounting gains from Bitcoin appreciation, and the underlying operational performance looks far less impressive. I'm particularly concerned about the deteriorating unit economics in Riot's core mining business. The cost to mine each Bitcoin has essentially doubled to around $49,000 compared to $25,300 in the same quarter last year. This dramatic increase stems from the Bitcoin halving event and rising network difficulty, but it fundamentally undermines the investment thesis for Bitcoin miners. Even with Bitcoin trading at elevated levels, these higher production costs are compressing margins and eating into what should be a period of strong profitability. In the previous quarter, Riot missed earnings estimates by over 260%, posting a net loss of $296 million. The company has now missed consensus estimates in three of the last four quarters, creating a pattern that's hard for investors to ignore. This track record of disappointing execution has clearly eroded confidence in management's ability to deliver consistent results. In terms of hashrate, Riot only ranked #6 among public miners, after Mara, IREN, Cleanspark, Cango, and BitFuFu.
NASDAQ:RIOT
by Miningresearch
4