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Fundamental Analysis

USDJPY : CAPITALIZING ON YEN STRENGTHThe Japanese yen (JPY) has recently been trading near a five-month low against the U.S. dollar (USD), influenced by the monetary policy stances of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the Federal Reserve. The BOJ's decision to maintain its ultra-loose monetary policy, without clear indications of future rate hikes, contrasts with the Federal Reserve's hawkish tone, which includes projections of a measured pace of rate cuts in 2025. This divergence has contributed to the yen's depreciation, with the currency experiencing a 4.7% decline this month, reaching levels that have prompted market participants to remain alert to potential intervention from Japanese authorities. Looking ahead, some analysts anticipate a potential strengthening of the yen later in the year. Factors such as expected rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and a shift in market focus towards U.S. elections could influence this trend. However, in the immediate term, the yen's performance is likely to remain under pressure due to the current monetary policy divergence between Japan and the United States. Market participants should closely monitor central bank communications and economic indicators, as these will play a crucial role in shaping currency movements in the near future. TRADE IDEA FOR THIS WEEK: SELL USDJPY
Short
by design77
Gold price analysis December 23Fundamental Analysis Gold prices held steady near $2,625 in early Asian trading on Monday. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance could weigh on the yellow metal. However, a weaker greenback following weaker inflation data could limit the yellow metal’s downside. The Fed cut interest rates at its December meeting as expected but signaled it would slow the pace of further reductions in borrowing costs. The Fed’s dot plot, a chart that projects the future path of interest rates, shows a half-percentage-point cut in rates by 2025, compared to a full percentage-point cut expected in September. This, in turn, further boosts the US Dollar (USD) and weakens USD-denominated gold as higher real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of bullion. Technical Analysis Gold marked a second consecutive bullish rebound today. Although there were some adjustments at the beginning of the Asian session, as long as the correction does not exceed 2605, it is still a buying opportunity worth paying attention to. 2651-2665 are considered the two technical resistance zones of gold price today before it wants to uptrend again and find the peak around 2692. If 2605 is broken, 2657 will be the target of all subsequent downtrends.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Netflix to $1,100 ?With Christmas around the corner, Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) is set to benefit from increased streaming as families worldwide spend more time indoors during the holidays. This seasonal trend, coupled with Netflix’s rich content library and holiday-themed releases, positions the platform for significant engagement and subscriber growth. The stock recently closed at $909.74, and analysts at TipRanks have set an optimistic target of $1,100 per share. With increased global streaming hours and strong content strategies, Netflix is well-positioned to ride the holiday momentum. Investors should watch Q4 subscriber growth for further insights into this upward trend.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by Charts_M7M
CAKE SWING LONG IDEAI know everyone is fearful in the crypto market right now. People are scared to buy at these lows because they believe Bitcoin will likely continue to decline. And yes, that could happen. But guess what? BTC is sitting on daily support. BTC dominance hit 60% and is possibly forming lower highs (check my BTC DOM analysis). The Fear Index is at 54—people are scared. Funding rates are extremely negative. Most assets' RSI levels are oversold (in a bull market!). All these factors tell me it’s the perfect time to open swing long positions while everyone else is panicking and selling their coins at the lows. All these factors tell me it’s the perfect time to open swing long positions while everyone else is panicking and selling their coins at the lows. Let’s look CAKE as an example: Cake has currently hit the monthly and weekly demand zones. It has rejected the weekly demand and broken the 4H structure. We’ve seen strong upside movement following this, confirming the second leg of the higher high formation on the 4H timeframe. TARGETS: TP1: $3.41 TP2: $4.02 TP3: $4.50 SL: Below $2.05 (daily close)
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
Gold Ready to Fall: Bearish Move Expected📉 Gold Bearish Short-Term Outlook 🔹 Price Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $2,610 🎯 Target 2: $2,586 🔹 Stop Loss: $2,646 📈 Why This Trade? ✅ Double Top Formation: A clear bearish reversal pattern suggests further downside movement. ✅ Strong U.S. Dollar: The strengthening dollar is putting pressure on gold prices. ✅ Rising Treasury Yields: The recent increase in U.S. Treasury yields makes gold less attractive compared to interest-bearing assets. ✅ Reduced Safe-Haven Demand: With easing geopolitical tensions, the demand for gold as a safe haven is weakening.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ValchevFinance
Wrong Cup & HandleCRYPTOCAP:BTC Now everyone is drawing a cup and handle and saying that ATH is coming soon, why is it not quite so? 📝Let's talk about the pattern first, the cup handle pattern when the asset has a deep drop, after which it recovers and tries to break past highs. Of course, when the price consolidates near resistance and forms a so-called handle, this is a positive signal. After all, the longer the consolidation in front of the resistance zone, the more likely this resistance will not hold. 💡Most take the depth of the cup and say that this will be the growth (300k+), which is not right at all. Here, in the case of #bitcoin, you need to remember that the figures of the technical analysis do not matter much and you need to look at the fundamental analysis and also take into account seasonality. I expect a break through the resistance not now, but in the coming weeks and definitely a break above 80k in October↗️
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by FeelsStrategy
4
Monthly Candle Close Colours since 2011 UPDATEAs we approach the Christmas Holiday I thought I would just drop this in to read. The expected GREEN December began but the draw back over the last week or so have now turned the Monthly candle into a RED one. As it is right now, the Candle is a Mini imverted Hammer. Shoudl it close like this, there has only been ONE opccasion that December closed like this... December 2022 And we all know what happened in January 2023 but I think a repeat is unlikely. I think what we do need to be awatr of, there are not many occasion we had a RED December ofter a number of Green months In fact December 2013 was the ONLY one and signaled the beginning of a BEAR. I do not think we are tere right now but things have shifted Quickly this year. Weekly MACD is Way up high in overbought and this WILL take time to recover once it turns Bearish For now, we need to pay attention to all possibilities and look forward with open emotions. We could be anywhere right now in this cycle but I believe we still have a good 2025 to come. MVRV has not peaked but is at the same level it was on the Nov 2021 ATH For me, if December this year doe snot recover, we may see Green Jan but that would be unusual A Spring Rise is more likely I wish you all Peace and happiness for the Holidays and may your Gods, Godess , Beliefs and philosophies Keep your Socks forever dry
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
AUD/USD lower ahead of RBA minutesThe Australian dollar has posted losses on Monday. Early in the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6227, down 0.31% at the time of writing. It's a very light calendar week, with the Christmas holiday just around the corner. The Reserve Bank of Australia releases the minutes of this month's meeting on Tuesday, which is the sole Australian event this week. At the December meeting, the RBA held the cash rate at 4.35% for the ninth straight time. Still, the rate statement held out hope for a near-term rate cut, based on some nuances in the language. Previous statements had signaled that rate hikes were on the table, with the board stating it was not "ruling anything in or out", but this phrase was omitted in the December statement. The RBA also sounded more optimistic about the inflation outlook, with the statement noting that the board was "gaining confidence that inflation is moving sustainably towards target". The market viewed this language as being dovish, although Governor Bullock reiterated after the meeting that the February rate decision would be based on the data. In the US, durable goods orders declined 1.1% m/m in November, after an upwardly revised 0.8% gain in October and well below the market estimate of -0.4%. The decline was largely driven by a decrease in new orders for transportation equipment. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence index fell sharply in December to 104.7, down from an upwardly revised 112.8 and well off the market estimate of 113. Consumers were less optimistic about the employment outlook and incomes. The Conference Board report found that consumers are concerned that the tariffs proposed by the incoming Trump administration will push prices higher in 2025. AUD/USD pushed below support at 0.6247 and tested support at 0.6219 earlier 0.6278 and 0.6306 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
$OM: Poised for a $10+ BreakoutWhile other Layer-1s have been sliding, NASDAQ:OM 's been showing serious strength. After months of accumulation, only the true believers remain, holding most of the supply and not selling for anything under $10+. With sell-side pressure exhausted, any buying pressure could trigger an epic move—think CRYPTOCAP:XRP or $SOL. We're just getting started. $10+ is within reach, and this is where years of patience turn into weeks of pure gain. #Crypto #DeFi #Binance #TradingTips #MANTRA
Long
by Anderson771
Bank of America $BAC: Value Meets Growth at $45.47 Current Overview: "Bank of America (BAC) is trading at $45.47, presenting a mix of undervaluation and growth potential. The stock has shown a 31.7% increase over the past year, with a recent pullback of -1.96% weekly and -3.53% monthly. Analysts have set an average price target of $46.22, indicating a potential upside of +1.65% from current levels." Key Levels to Watch: $45.00: A key level to monitor for potential buying interest if prices dip. Resistance: $47.00: Immediate resistance. Breaking this could signal momentum toward higher levels. Growth Catalysts: 1️⃣ Interest Rates: Potential rate cuts in 2025 could boost net interest income, benefiting BAC’s core banking operations. 2️⃣ Consumer Banking: Strong growth in deposits and consumer loans supports BAC’s financial health. 3️⃣ Wealth Management: Expanding ESG-focused services appeal to high-net-worth clients, driving future growth. Risks to Consider: ⚠️ Rate Sensitivity: While rate cuts could boost loans, they might compress margins if not offset by volume growth. ⚠️ Economic Cycles: Credit risks could increase during economic slowdowns. Conclusion: "Bank of America (BAC) combines undervaluation with strong fundamentals and promising growth avenues in consumer banking and wealth management. As it navigates macroeconomic challenges, watch the key levels—$45.00 support and $47.00 resistance—to track its next move." Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
NYSE:BACLong
by DCAChampion
Quantum Corp (QMCO): Eyes on $70—Can We Go Higher?Good morning, trading family! Wellness Tip Of The Day Dehydration can impair focus and decision-making. Keep water or herbal tea at your desk and sip consistently throughout the day. Aim for at least 2 liters daily, adjusting for your activity level. Now Lets Get into it: Quantum Corp ( NASDAQ:QMCO ) has broken through a key resistance level at $29.91, which has now turned into solid support. With that level holding strong, the next big target is $70. If the momentum continues and we don’t see a pullback, there’s potential for a push to $88 as well. This is shaping up to be an exciting move. Let’s stay sharp and see how the price reacts as we approach these key levels! Comment, like, follow, or send me a DM if you’d like a deeper dive into this analysis! Kris/Mindbloome Trading Trade What You See
NASDAQ:QMCOLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
Quick Analysis Just before Christmas Hey there, So, I though of doing a quick market review just before Christmas, hoping to bring some extra insight into whats happening in the markets this week. Also note that this is but just my opinion and my view of the markets, it should in no way be used or interpreted as advice or signals, but rather as a reference and a soundboard. Furthermore, I wish you all a happy, blessed and merry Christmas and a successful and profitable new year.
TVC:DXY
by DeanMuller
Tesla Q4 2024 Deliveries Expected to Hit Record, but.Tesla's fourth-quarter 2024 delivery figures are anticipated to reach a record high, according to a note from Barclays. Analysts estimate Q4 deliveries at approximately 515,000 units, slightly above the consensus estimate of around 511,000 units, marking a 6% year-over-year increase. Despite these impressive numbers, Barclays believes they will have limited impact on Tesla's stock. Key Takeaways: Delivery Estimates: Barclays projects Q4 deliveries to be around 515,000 units, slightly exceeding expectations. Stock Impact: The delivery numbers are expected to have minimal influence on Tesla's stock, as investors are more focused on the company's long-term opportunities in autonomous driving and artificial intelligence (AI). Long-Term Growth: Tesla's recent momentum is driven by its potential in the AV/AI sectors rather than short-term delivery metrics. Future Outlook: 2024 Sales: Barclays forecasts Tesla's full-year 2024 sales at approximately 1.81 million units, aligning with 2023 figures but falling short of the company's guidance for year-over-year growth. Autonomous Driving and AI: The introduction of "Unsupervised Full Self-Driving" (FSD) in 2025 is expected to bolster Tesla's AV/AI initiatives, mitigating any near-term volume misses. New Models: The upcoming low-cost model, "Model 2.5," anticipated in the first half of 2025, is seen as a crucial growth driver. Delivery Growth: CEO Elon Musk suggests 20-30% year-over-year delivery growth in 2025, which Barclays believes will address any concerns from the Q4 figures. Barclays emphasizes that while the Q4 results are crucial, the stock's recent rally—up 68% post-election versus the S&P 500's 2.6%—reflects positive sentiment on Tesla's long-term potential and technical factors. As the market shifts focus towards future developments, the emphasis remains on Tesla's ability to innovate and lead in the autonomous driving and AI sectors.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by OakleyJM