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Fundamental Analysis

IBM: SHA-ttering ExpectationsAs we move through 2024, NYSE:IBM continues to demonstrate its strength as a technology powerhouse, particularly in cloud computing, AI, and cybersecurity. With a legacy rooted in innovation, IBM's deep history in encryption technologies and its forward-looking strategies make it a compelling buy for investors aiming to capitalize on the next wave of tech advancements. Financial Performance: Revenue Growth: IBM reported a 5% year-over-year increase in revenue for Q2 2024, driven primarily by its hybrid cloud and AI segments, which saw a combined growth of 12%. Earnings Beat: The company beat analyst expectations with an EPS of $3.15, outperforming the consensus estimate of $2.98. This marks IBM’s fourth consecutive quarter of earnings beats, underscoring its operational efficiency and strong market positioning. Cash Flow: IBM’s free cash flow improved to $9.5 billion for the first half of 2024, reflecting a 7% increase compared to the same period last year, providing ample liquidity for continued investment in innovation and shareholder returns. Quantum Computing and AI Leadership: Quantum Breakthroughs: In 2024, IBM announced a significant breakthrough in quantum computing with its 127-qubit 'Eagle' processor, which is expected to accelerate quantum application developments in fields such as cryptography, materials science, and financial modeling. AI Advancements: IBM’s AI platform, WatsonX, continues to gain traction in the enterprise space, with a 15% increase in new customer adoption in 2024. The platform’s integration with IBM’s hybrid cloud solutions positions it as a leader in the AI-driven transformation of industries. Acquisitions: IBM’s strategic acquisition of ReaQta in late 2023 is already paying dividends in 2024. This cybersecurity firm enhances IBM’s X-Force Threat Management services, making IBM a more formidable player in the fast-growing cybersecurity market. Partnerships: The expansion of IBM’s partnership with SAP in 2024 is set to deliver joint cloud and AI solutions that address the needs of global enterprises, further cementing IBM’s role as a key technology enabler. Technical Potential: Stock Performance: As of August 2024, IBM’s stock is trading at $190 per share, up 25% year-to-date, but still trading at a forward P/E ratio of 12.5x, which is below the industry average. This suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its peers, providing a buying opportunity. Price Target: Analysts are bullish on IBM’s growth prospects, with a consensus price target of $250, representing a potential upside over the next 12 months. This target is supported by expected continued growth in IBM’s high-margin cloud and AI businesses. Dividend Yield: IBM continues to offer a robust dividend yield of 4.7%, providing an attractive income stream while investors wait for the company’s growth initiatives to further drive stock price appreciation. - Q3 2024 Earnings: October 23, 2024 (preliminary) - Q4 2024 Earnings: January 22, 2025 (measurable) Did IBM develop Bitcoin? Goodluck. $194.75 NYSE:IBM
NYSE:IBMLong
by lognomics
Trump's new tariffs are coming, will gold soar? ✏Hello everyone, let's comment on the gold price next week (July 7, 2025-July 11, 2025) . ⭐️Gold Information: This week, the spot gold price showed a trend of rising first and then falling. From Monday to Wednesday, driven by safe-haven demand and the weakness of the US dollar, the gold price recorded three consecutive increases, climbing rapidly from US$3,271/ounce to the intraday high of US$3,365/ounce on Wednesday afternoon, showing strong upward momentum. However, on Thursday, before the release of the June non-farm payrolls data, market sentiment turned, and the gold price plummeted to US$3,312/ounce, the largest single-day drop in the week. On Friday, affected by the light trading during the US Independence Day holiday, the gold price fluctuated between US$3,330 and US$3,355/ounce, closing at around US$3,337/ounce, up about 1.91% for the week. U.S. President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. will begin sending formal letters to trading partners on Friday, ahead of a July 9 deadline, outlining new tariffs ranging from 10% to 70%, which will take effect on August 1. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant added that a series of trade agreements are expected before the deadline, with an estimated 100 countries facing reciprocal tariffs of at least 10%. He also hinted that some agreements will be announced soon. ⭐️Labaron personal comment: Gold prices continue to consolidate sideways, fluctuating in the 3242-3450 range The following important key areas have been identified: Resistance: $3362, $3393, $3446 Support: $3312, $3279, $3241
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
XAUUSD could Continue To Rise This Week!After the bears dominated two weeks ago, the bulls regained control last week and could potentially extend the rally into this week. The latest jobs data played a key role—unemployment dropped to 4.1% from 4.2%, and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) rose to 147K—which initially triggered a pullback in gold on Thursday. However, bullish momentum returned strongly on Friday, signaling renewed buying interest. Supporting this shift, institutional long positions increased to 195K contracts, up from 187K the previous week. This continued buildup suggests that smart money is positioning for further upside.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by supertrader72
NXAU/USD Bearish Setup – Supply Zone Rejection + Trendline Rete📉 XAU/USD Bearish Setup – Smart Rejection Play from Rising Channel + Macro Confluence Published by: Kelly Wise FX no | Date: July 6, 2025 --- 🔍 Overview Gold (XAU/USD) is approaching on a critical confluence zone near $3,357 – $3,366, where I expect a potential bearish rejection. This setup is backed by both technical structure and recent macroeconomic fundamentals, aligning for a high-probability short opportunity. --- 📊 Technical Strategy Breakdown I used a multi-timeframe approach to build this setup: ✅ 1. Trend Channel Analysis: Price has respected a clean rising channel since June. Currently, it is testing the upper boundary, which aligns with historical rejection zones and prior highs. ✅ 2. Supply Zone Identification (Line Chart): Using the line chart, I mapped a tight supply zone at $3,350 – $3,366, where previous price reactions occurred. This filters out wick noise and gives clean, actionable zones. ✅ 3. Entry Trigger Plan: I’m watching for: Two clear rejection candlesticks in the supply zone (on 1H or 4H chart). A bearish confirmation candle close below the zone for entry. 🎯 Targets: First TP: $3,325 Second TP: $3,307 Extended: $3,274 🛑 SL: Above $3,370 --- 🧠 Why This Setup Works – Educational Value This trade idea follows a rule-based strategy I teach in my trading room: 1. Wait for price to enter a supply zone. 2. Look for rejection candlesticks (e.g., pin bar, engulfing). 3. Enter only after confirmation, avoiding early or emotional trades. 4. Align setup with fundamentals for confluence and confidence. This avoids chasing breakouts and gives structure to entries, ideal for traders who want precision and discipline. --- 🌍 Fundamental Confluence – Why I’m Bearish This Week June NFP beat estimates (+147K) → Dollar strengthened. ISM Services > 50 → US economy still resilient → Hawkish Fed bias. Fed minutes (Jul 10) expected to show delayed rate cuts → Bearish for gold. COT sentiment: Funds trimming longs, retail majority long → Contrarian sell signal. Price closed near key resistance on weak momentum → "Toppy" behavior. --- 📌 Summary 🔻 Bias: Bearish below $3,366 🔄 Watch: Reaction to $3,350–$3,366 📅 Key Date: FOMC Minutes on July 10 🧠 Strategy: Rejection + confirmation + fundamentals = high-quality trade --- 📢 If this setup helps your analysis, leave a like and follow me for weekly macro-backed trade setups. I focus on smart trading, structure, and psychology – not signals without reason. Let’s grow together. 💼📈 #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #KellyWiseFX #PriceAction #Fundamentals #TradingEducation #ForexSignals #SwingTrade #SmartMoney #RiskManagement
FX:XAUUSDShort
by kelly_wise
turnaround script SAI SILKS (KALAMANDIR)**Fundamental Analysis Report – The Smart Way (Research Desk)** **SAI SILKS (KALAMANDIR) LTD. – Comparison Of Latest Data With The Last Three Years (₹ In Crores)** | Parameter | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | Final Verdict | |----------------------------|---------|---------|---------|---------|------------------------------------------------| | Sales | 1,462 | 1,374 | 1,290 | 1,050 | Consistent growth; strong retail momentum | | Net Profit | 85.4 | 74.0 | 65.0 | 52.0 | Steady profitability; improving margins | | Debt/Equity Ratio | 0.16 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.41 | Deleveraging; balance sheet strengthening | | Company Order Book | Strong | Strong | Moderate| Moderate| Robust demand visibility | | Working Capital Rotation | Efficient| Average | Below Avg| Poor | Operational efficiency improving | | Book Value | 73.9 | 65.4 | 58.2 | 50.0 | Steady growth, favorable | | Dividend Yield (%) | 0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Initiated dividend; positive signal | | Operating Performance | Strong | Moderate| Moderate| Weak | Margin expansion underway | | Equity Capital | 30.67 | 30.67 | 30.67 | 30.67 | Stable, no dilution | | Total Debt | 215.4 | 260.0 | 310.0 | 350.0 | Declining, well-managed | | Long-Term Borrowings | 130.0 | 160.0 | 190.0 | 220.0 | Reduced, supports stability | | Short-Term Borrowings | 85.4 | 100.0 | 120.0 | 130.0 | Controlled, improving liquidity | | Total Liabilities | 1,020 | 950.0 | 880.0 | 810.0 | Gradual expansion, manageable scale | | Fixed Assets | 546.6 | 510.0 | 470.0 | 430.0 | Steady capex; retail footprint expanding | | Land Purchased | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | No land holding | | Building Investment | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Not disclosed separately | | Machinery Investment | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.1 | Minor additions; lean infra | **Latest Highlights** - FY25 revenue grew 6.4% YoY to ₹1,462 Cr; net profit rose 15.3% YoY to ₹85.4 Cr - EPS: ₹5.79 | Net Margin: 5.84% - Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.16 | ROE: 7.54% | ROA: 5.20% - Dividend yield: 0.66% | P/E: 22.7 | P/B: 1.71 - Promoter holding: 60.8% | Market cap: ₹2,168 Cr - 69 stores operational as of June 2025; expanding under Kanchipuram Varamahalakshmi Silks format - Focus on ethnic wear, bridal, and value fashion across South India **Business Growth Verdict** Yes, SAI SILKS (KALAMANDIR) LTD. is delivering consistent growth - Revenue and profit have grown steadily over 3 years - Debt is reducing and return ratios are improving - Retail expansion and brand positioning support long-term scalability **Final Investment Verdict: BUY (Retail Growth Play)** **Reasoning:** SAI SILKS (KALAMANDIR) has demonstrated consistent financial performance, strong brand equity in ethnic retail, and disciplined capital management. With improving margins, expanding store base, and a lean balance sheet, it offers a compelling long-term retail growth story. Valuation remains reasonable (P/E ~22.7), making it suitable for investors seeking exposure to branded apparel and regional consumption themes. **Issued By:** *The Smart Way (Research Desk)* *Disclaimer:* This report is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:KALAMANDIRLong
by TechnicalAnalystSucrit
XRP rise to 2.32 or total surge to 2.52 or back to 2.15....Hello Losers and Winners, I am Bob, long time TV ideas listener first time poster here goes: XRP has been capitulating for maybe three days now between price 2.20 - 2.225-ish price. I see need for XRP to reduce itself to 2.15 (local cme) then to hopefully bounce and hopefully in coming 24 hrs. Alternatively stays capitulating or even bumps from here, who knows, it is a completely unpredictable coin and I love it so. (but for that reason you need bets either way):)
by bob24593
2
Here's why oil prices continue to slumpBrent Crude remains under pressure and has really caught our eye. The weakness in recent weeks is significant. The price recently failed to hold above its 200-day moving average, reinforcing downside risks. Without momentum, prices could revisit June lows unless short-term hurdles at US$69 and US$72 are decisively cleared. This weakness aligns with BP's latest Energy Outlook, which is due out this week (usually in July each year). We'll be keeping a close on global wind and solar capacities, which are projected to increase eightfold and fourteenfold, respectively, by 2050. This rapid growth in renewables, coupled with declining oil demand, suggests a structural shift in energy markets. China is leading this shift. By 2030, it is projected to install over 500 gigawatts of solar capacity annually, surpassing the United States' total annual energy production. This underscores the scale of China's renewable energy expansion. The technical rejection at the 200-day moving average, combined with BP's forecasted demand peak, indicates a bearish outlook for oil. Unless Brent can reclaim and sustain levels above key resistance points, further declines are likely. The convergence of technical weakness and shifting demand dynamics underscores a bearish stance on oil. Traders should monitor key technical levels and remain cautious amid these evolving market conditions. The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
TVC:UKOILShort
by Blueberry
VISHNUSURYA INFRA techno-funda analysisVishnusurya Projects & Infra Ltd. is a Chennai-based construction and infrastructure company involved in civil contracting, roadwork, bridges, and earthmoving services. It also undertakes bitumen supply and mining contracts for state and national authorities. The stock is currently trading at ₹178.65 after a strong recovery from its recent base and is beginning to show structural trend formation. Vishnusurya Projects & Infra Ltd. – FY22–FY25 Snapshot Sales – ₹232 Cr → ₹276 Cr → ₹321 Cr → ₹367 Cr – Consistent growth, healthy execution pipeline Net Profit – ₹4.8 Cr → ₹7.1 Cr → ₹10.6 Cr → ₹14.8 Cr – Accelerating profitability, scale benefits emerging Company Order Book – Moderate → Moderate → Strong → Strong – Increasing traction from infra contracts Dividend Yield (%) – 0.00% → 0.00% → 0.00% → 0.00% – No distributions, reinvestment-focused Operating Performance – Weak → Moderate → Moderate → Moderate – Improving EBITDA visibility Equity Capital – ₹27.55 Cr (constant) – Stable ownership base Total Debt – ₹92 Cr → ₹88 Cr → ₹81 Cr → ₹75 Cr – Deleveraging progressing cautiously Total Liabilities – ₹184 Cr → ₹196 Cr → ₹210 Cr → ₹225 Cr – Proportionate to execution scale Fixed Assets – ₹88 Cr → ₹94 Cr → ₹101 Cr → ₹108 Cr – Ongoing capex to support order execution Latest Highlights FY25 net profit rose 39.6% YoY to ₹14.8 Cr; revenue up 14.3% to ₹367 Cr EPS: ₹5.37 | EBITDA Margin: 13.6% | Net Margin: 4.03% Return on Equity: 9.74% | Return on Assets: 6.58% Promoter holding: 72.08% | Dividend Yield: 0.00% Major road and civil contracts under execution in Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh Continued capex toward machinery, bitumen handling, and project mobility infrastructure Technical Snapshot Vishnusurya is trading at ₹178.65 with an RSI of 50.76, showing early-stage trend strength near a long-term base. Volume activity is increasing steadily, pointing to institutional accumulation. Support levels are visible near ₹222.92, ₹156.98, and ₹273.60, while upside breakout zones exist at ₹397.60, ₹463.50, and ₹547.50 if the upward trend sustains. Business Growth Verdict Yes, Vishnusurya is expanding its business on solid foundations Profitability and margins are strengthening with better project mix Debt is being managed conservatively amid revenue growth Fixed asset expansion is paced well with project pipeline visibility Final Investment Verdict Vishnusurya Projects & Infra Ltd. offers a compelling infrastructure turnaround story from the South Indian EPC space. The company’s rising revenue, expanding margins, and stable debt profile suggest disciplined execution and improving scale efficiency. Although dividend returns are absent, the reinvestment approach underlines long-term growth intent. For investors seeking a high-ROA infra bet with rising order flow and technical momentum, this stock merits active tracking for staggered accumulation.
NSE:VISHNUINFRLong
by TechnicalAnalystSucrit
Gold’s Bullish Range Holds – Is This the Dip to Buy?With tensions easing in the Middle East and risk appetite moderating, gold has settled into a bullish daily range. The metal recently broke a key high, confirming its upward momentum, but now appears to be consolidating. The central question is whether gold will break lower for a deeper correction or whether this is merely a pause before the next leg higher. Reduced geopolitical risk has tempered the “risk-on” rally in gold, but the metal remains firmly within a bullish daily range. This indicates that the underlying bid has not disappeared—only short-term speculative flows have adjusted. Gold recently breached a protected high—likely a higher high or significant resistance level—reinforcing the prevailing bullish momentum. A pullback into imbalance or demand zones is anticipated; however, if a catalyst emerges, price could resume its advance from current levels, with the 0.328 Fibonacci retracement acting as a strong support. Meanwhile, the DXY is exhibiting signs of a pullback but lacks the fundamental drivers necessary to sustain a broader rally.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Austin_Palmer
GBP/CHF Headed to 1.10 – But Bulls Might Regret It📉 1. Price Action & Technical Structure (D1) Key demand zone tested with bullish reaction: Price reacted strongly around the 1.0790–1.0840 structural demand area, previously the origin of a significant bullish impulse. The latest daily candle closed above the previous swing low, suggesting a potential technical rebound. Immediate target: The 1.0980–1.1010 zone, aligning with: A clear supply area RSI bouncing from oversold territory A visible imbalance left unfilled Technical bias: Short-term LONG to fill the imbalance before a potential institutional-driven short setup at supply. 2. Retail Sentiment 86% of traders are LONG, with an average entry of 1.0997 Only 14% are SHORT, with lower volume and better pricing Current price: 1.0833, meaning most long traders are in drawdown Contrarian view: The heavy long positioning creates a liquidity pool between 1.0990–1.1010, making that zone highly attractive for institutional distribution and liquidation of retail longs, especially if accompanied by a structural shift. 🎯 Operational impact: Supports a technical long to 1.10, but high risk of reversal once that level is reached. 3. COT Report GBP (British Pound – CME) Non-commercials: Long: -6,434 → massive unwind of bullish exposure Short: +2,028 → rising bearish bets Net positioning is increasingly bearish Commercials: Long: +7,459 → increasing coverage against GBP weakness Short: -569 → slight reduction Positioning is mixed, but commercials are taking defensive long positions GBP interpretation: Bearish pressure rising from institutional speculators, despite some commercial support. CHF (Swiss Franc – CME) Non-commercials: Long: +327 Short: +1,215 Net positioning still heavily short, but shorts increasing again Commercials: Long: +1,909 Short: +307 Commercials are accumulating long CHF positions (bullish sign) CHF interpretation: Divergence between commercials (bullish CHF) and speculators (still short) → shift may be underway. 4. July Seasonality GBP: Historically strong in July, especially the last 2 years (+3.5%) Positive tendency across 10y/15y/20y averages CHF: Also seasonally positive in July, but underperforms GBP across most timeframes (except 2Y where CHF is also strong) Operational impact: Favors short-term bullish GBP/CHF bias, supported by seasonal momentum. ✅ Final Outlook Current short-term bias is bullish, driven by: Clear technical rebound Visible imbalance toward 1.10 Seasonal divergence in favor of GBP However, excessive retail long positioning + COT speculative pressure on GBP suggest this rally could be a distribution phase, offering an optimal short opportunity at 1.10.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
3
#USDCHF: Will USD Breakthrough The Strong Bearish Downtrend? The USDCHF currency pair has experienced significant volatility due to the ongoing trade dispute between the United States and China, which has led to a substantial decline in the DXY index. Consequently, CHF and JPY have emerged as the most stable currencies in the market. Despite the USDCHF currency pair reversing its bullish trend, we anticipate a potential reversal back to a bearish position. We believe this reversal may be a temporary trap, and the currency pair is likely to regain its bullish position in the future. There are two potential areas where the USDCHF currency pair could reverse from its current trend. The first area is relatively early, and if the USDCHF currency pair crosses a specific region, we may have a second safe option that could provide greater stability. We extend our best wishes and best of luck in your trading endeavours. Your unwavering support is greatly appreciated. If you wish to contribute, here are several ways you can assist us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
Short
by Setupsfx_
45
#USDCHF: 878+ PIPS Swing Buy In Making! Good Luck! Dear Traders, OANDA:USDCHF Price has been dropping since we had a change of character, there are many factors that are helping in USDCHF to drop. The mainly the first reason is CHF dominance in the market, CHF has been bullish ever since Gold continued the bullish trend, CHF, AUD and GOLD all of these three are positively correlated. Other fundamental reason is the blooming fear of recession in the US Market, on Friday we saw indices and stocks drop record high similarly to the first announcement of covid lockdown. USD index saw sharp drop due to this and it is likely that price will continue to do that on dxy index.
Long
by Setupsfx_
16
BTC/USDT July Outlook: Road to 116K or a Trap Below?The current structure shows Bitcoin consolidating after a strong bounce off the June lows. We’re now forming a potential bullish continuation pattern within a clear rising channel (dashed yellow lines), but the price is currently testing a mid-channel liquidity zone around $108,000–$110,000. Key observations: Local resistance zone: $111,980 (marked ATH) – a major liquidity magnet that could trigger a squeeze if broken. Support range: $106,000–$103,000 – strong confluence zone if price rejects current structure. Potential fakeout: Liquidity dip down to the $98,200–$95,500 zone is possible before a mid-July reversal (highlighted yellow path and vertical time marker on July 18). Upside target: The upper channel boundary and projected fib confluence points to a bullish target of $116,722 by mid-to-late July. Invalidations: Sustained break below $95,000 could negate the bullish structure and push us into deeper correction territory. Timing: The key date to watch is around July 18, where multiple structural lines and projection paths converge. What’s your bias for July? Trap and rip… or stairway to 117K? #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #LiquidityZones #BTCJulyOutlook
Long
by Dutch_Viking
Gold continues to fluctuate. The direction is uncertain.Gold prices did not have a large continuation breakthrough on Friday due to the impact of the US Independence Day holiday; although the non-agricultural data on Thursday fell rapidly under the unfavorable conditions and formed a bottoming-out situation, the short-term bulls and bears were once again in a deadlock. After a small sideways movement on Friday morning, it rose again. Although it did not break through the upper pressure line of 3345, it still closed in the form of a positive line, which also gave the bulls hope to dominate next week. At present, the upper key pressure is still maintained at the 3345 line, which is also the first point for the bulls to break through. Once the upper breakthrough is successful, the next target will be maintained at around 3365-3380. The support below is maintained at around 3325. If this position is broken down on Monday, the support of 3325 will not be maintained, and the bears will continue to open the downward channel. But overall, the market direction is still unclear, and we can conduct trial transactions. Go long when the price falls back to 3325 on Monday in the Asian market, the profit range is 3340-3350, and the stop loss is 3315. If the European market continues to strengthen, you can still go long. If the European market continues to strengthen, we can still continue to go long. Otherwise, we still need to adjust our thinking in a timely manner.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
$EUIRYY - Europe CPI (June/2025)ECONOMICS:EUIRYY 2% June/2025 source: EUROSTAT - Eurozone consumer price inflation rose slightly to 2.0% year-on-year in June 2025, up from May’s eight-month low of 1.9% and in line with market expectations, according to a preliminary estimate. The figure aligns with the European Central Bank’s official target. Among major economies, inflation in Germany unexpectedly declined, while France and Spain saw modest increases and Italy’s rate held steady.
ECONOMICS:EUIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
Current Pivot Points on the BtcUsd Pair📈 Classic Pivot Points (Daily Timeframe) Using yesterday’s data: High = $109,723.7 (Jul 3) Low = $108,544.8 Close = $108,590.5 investopedia.com +15 marketmilk.babypips.com +15 dailyforex.com +15 investing.com +1 coinlore.com +1 Compute: Pivot Point (PP) = (109723.7 + 108544.8 + 108590.5) / 3 ≈ $108,953.0 Resistance 1 (R1) = (2 × PP) – Low ≈ $109,361.2 Support 1 (S1) = (2 × PP) – High ≈ $108,182.3 Resistance 2 (R2) = PP + (High – Low) ≈ $109,912.0 Support 2 (S2) = PP – (High – Low) ≈ $108,023.0 These central and level lines offer key zones where price might reverse, pause, or breakout.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ebenezerrobot