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Fundamental Analysis

Gold prices have fallen back, so it's time to take action.I reminded all traders in the morning to be alert to the risk of gold falling back today. Now it has successfully reached the point I predicted in the morning; it's time to adopt a long strategy. From the daily chart of gold: The current price has fallen back to around 3335, which happens to be the support position of the daily trend line. This is why we are bearish on gold. As long as the US stock market closes above 3335, gold will still be in a long trend. On the contrary, if it falls below the closing line of 3335 today, it will break the trend line, and the subsequent market may be more complicated. Therefore, the current operation can adopt a long strategy. Long positions are entered near the support level. If gold once again stabilizes above 3,400, then there is a possibility that it will reach a new high. Operation strategy: Enter the market at the current price, stop loss 3330, profit range 3350-3365.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
1
Gold long IdeaThere was a decent reaction for the 23 overnight, but momentum failed to continue from this point. Gold broke lower and had a reaction above the 38 fib, key thing is institutions did not activate the 38, this leads me to think gold is going lower before interest in longs will pick up. So how to approach this technically. Currently there is a Risk Off sentiment from Yesterday lingering in the market sentiment NFP is set to be lower on Friday, therefore Dollar short positions are prevalent. (Notice DXY decline this week) Tech levels of interest to capitalize on this: 3332 | SL 60 | Target 3400 Take partials along the way according to trading plan -First trade idea 50% Fib level Key Level BR DXY alignment (tbc) 3318 | SL60 | TP 120 pips target one, leaving 50% to run after that. -Second(Backup if 50 fails) Fib 61 TL 3rd touch Breach of previous level (For all these to align to have reasonable drawdown needs to be in the Asian session) So no active pending on this position for me personally
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by FalkenFx
Grounded Lithium - undervalued, strong business modelGrounded Lithium and Denison Mines are exploring and developing direct lithium extraction (DLE) from brines in Western Canada. Exploration is being directly funded via Denison Mines, who has the option to provide funding in exchange for deposit ownership. Their current deposit has an after tax NPV with 8% discount rate of $1B. Grounded Lithium currently owns 70% of the deposit and will, ultimately, own 25% of the deposit ($250M NPV). Assuming Grounded Lithium is bought out by Denison Mines at a rate of 30% of the NPV, Grounded Lithium will be valued at $75M, a 30x increase from their valuation today. This does not include any added value from additional discoveries or other reasons. This is a long play and I do not expect Denison to make an offer until their buy-in phases have completed in 2026-2027.
OTC:GRDAFLong
by nothximgood
Simple yet effective strategy for the American sessionHello everyone. Also a long-time trader who has just joined the tradingview platform. Hope you are interested and interact with me. Gold is reacting in the candlestick area of ​​the US session. The possibility of a bounce from this 3352 area is quite high. And in the US session, if it breaks 3361, it can reach 3375. If this 3352 area is broken, the possibility of a corrective downtrend will continue and we will wait for a sell break of 3352, the target can reach 3325.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
JASMY/USDT – Potential Bullish Breakout Ahead?Hey traders! 👋 #JASMY is currently consolidating sideways on the 4H timeframe, right after completing a harmonic pattern – a strong technical signal often followed by a trend reversal or continuation. 🔍 What I’m Watching: ✅ Harmonic Pattern Completed: The recent price structure aligns well with a bullish harmonic setup. 🔄 Sideways Movement: Market is in accumulation, signaling potential energy buildup. 📈 Bullish Divergence forming on RSI/MACD (waiting for confirmation). 🚀 Key Resistance Level: If price breaks and retests this resistance, it could trigger a strong uptrend. 📌 Trade Plan: We'll wait for confirmation: Bullish divergence on 4H indicators. Clean breakout and retest of the resistance zone. Enter long with proper risk management (SL below recent swing low). 💡 Patience is key – no entry until confirmation. 💬 What do you think? Will #JASMY break out soon or continue ranging? 👇 Drop your thoughts in the comments! ❤️ Like if you find this helpful 📌 Follow for more clean setups and real-time updates! #JASMY #CryptoTrading #HarmonicPattern #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup #BreakoutTrade #Altcoins #TradingView #CryptoCommunity #TrendReversal #PriceAction #RiskManagement
Long
by mudusir
Waiting for a Short-Term Pullback Before the Next Bullish Leg? NZDUSD – Waiting for a Short-Term Pullback Before the Next Bullish Leg? As global markets await the upcoming U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report later this week, NZDUSD is showing early signs of short-term weakness following a strong bullish rally from the 0.5905 low. While the broader structure remains bullish, a corrective move may be necessary to shake out weak hands and reload liquidity before a renewed surge. 🌐 Macro & Fundamental Outlook: New Zealand: Recent economic releases from New Zealand have been lackluster, yet the RBNZ's hawkish policy stance (high interest rates) continues to support the Kiwi. However, pressure from China – New Zealand’s top trading partner – remains a drag. United States: The U.S. Dollar remains under pressure due to rising expectations that the Fed will start cutting rates by Q3 2025, despite some hawkish tones from FOMC officials. This week’s NFP report will be a decisive factor. Market Sentiment: After a ~150-pip rally, traders are beginning to take profits. The correction could offer a golden re-entry opportunity. 📊 Technical Analysis: Trend Bias: The market structure is still in an uptrend, maintaining Higher Highs and Higher Lows. Fibonacci Retracement: Price is currently pulling back toward the 0.5 – 0.618 Fibo zone (0.5992 – 0.5978), aligning with the H1 89 & 200 EMAs. EMA Structure (13 – 34 – 89 – 200): Still bullish but currently signaling a short-term pullback. 🔑 Key Price Zones: Resistance Levels: 0.6014 – 0.6052 Support Levels: 0.5973 – 0.5951 – 0.5932 🧭 Trade Plan 📌 Buy Setup (trend continuation): BUY ZONE: 0.5951 – 0.5932 SL: 0.5900 TP: 0.5978 → 0.6014 → 0.6052 📌 Expecting a bullish bounce off the 61.8% Fibo + EMA 200 confluence ahead of NFP. 📌 Sell Setup (short-term countertrend scalp): SELL ZONE: 0.6014 – 0.6025 SL: 0.6060 TP: 0.5978 → 0.5951 📌 Anticipating a reaction at a key resistance zone – ideal for intraday scalpers. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes: Stay cautious ahead of high-impact U.S. data (ADP, Jobless Claims, NFP). Favor buying the dip in line with the higher-timeframe trend. Maintain discipline with tight SLs (30–35 pips max per setup).
Short
by MMFlowTrading
YEN WEAKENS ON UEDA’S DOVISH CAUTION;WHILE GBPJPY SLIDES TO During governor Kazuo Ueda’s speech on Tuesday, he emphasized that the central bank would raise interest rates once it is convinced enough that economic and price growth will re-accelerate after a period of stagnation. He further signaled the central bank will continue to taper its huge bond buying even after an existing plan running through March expires, underscoring its resolve to stay on course for a slow but steady withdrawal of ultra-easy policy. The Bank governor further highlighted the challenges posed by higher U.S. tariffs, which could reduce exports, hamper corporate profits, and impact wage growth and consumer sentiment. Despite headline inflation reaching 4.6% in April, above the BOJ's 2% target the central bank maintains low interest rates at 0.50%, expecting food price inflation to ease. Ueda's remarks led to a depreciation of the yen, as markets interpreted his cautious stance as a sign that immediate rate hikes are unlikely. As at the time of writing, the yen is down by 0.08%, and the GBP by 0.14%. TECHNICAL VIEW: From technical perspective, GBPJPY remains in a short-term downtrend on the 2-hour chart. The pair is currently trading at 193.16 and down by 0.07% as at 02:25PM GMT+4. Meanwhile, the pair found support near 192.56, with the RSI hovering around 38.6. The emergence of a bearish hidden divergence suggests there may still be further downside potential. If the bearish momentum continues, technicians expect price to tank further with potential target around 192.56, 191.88 and then 190.86. On the flipside, a bullish rally would likely usher in potential targets around 193.86, 194.65 and 196.18 according to analysts. Break out of these levels are possible.
by CFI
Chainlink Buys to continue uptrend 🔍 1. Technical Analysis Uptrend Continuation Indicators: Higher highs and higher lows on the daily or 4H chart. Key resistance levels: Watch if LINK breaks and holds above resistance (e.g., $18–$20 zone). Moving averages: Trading above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages can support bullish momentum. RSI/MACD: RSI between 50–70 and a MACD crossover can support continued momentum without overextension. 📈 2. Fundamental Catalysts Partnership announcements or oracle integrations with top blockchains (like Ethereum L2s). Staking growth: More LINK being staked (especially in Chainlink Staking v0.2) = reduced supply, potentially boosting price. Adoption trends: More protocols relying on Chainlink oracles means higher demand.
Long
by CiaranShorttFX
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 3, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair attracted sellers during Tuesday's Asian session and broke part of a strong overnight move up towards the 1.3560 area, or multi-day peak. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against a basket of currencies, rebounded from a six-week low reached on Monday and proved to be a key factor putting downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair. In addition, concerns over the deteriorating US fiscal situation and renewed trade tensions between the US and China should help limit USD gains. The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, may continue to receive support from expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will take a pause at its next meeting on June 18 and will not rush to cut interest rates further. Traders may also prefer to wait for the hearing of the Bank of England's monetary policy report in Parliament. Investors will be closely watching comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and other members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) for information on the policy outlook, which in turn will influence the GBP exchange rate. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3495, SL 1.3595, TP 1.3295
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XAUUSD - Will Gold Hold $3,300?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If gold corrects towards the two demand areas, it can be bought with a risk-adjusted reward. Following a tense market open yesterday, driven by escalating military tensions between Russia and Ukraine, the two sides concluded their negotiations in Istanbul. According to an Axios correspondent, Russia presented Ukraine with a formal peace proposal during the talks, outlining terms for a ceasefire and an end to the conflict. Interfax reported that Russia issued an official memorandum listing its proposed conditions for achieving a ceasefire. Key points in the document include: • A full withdrawal of Ukrainian military forces from territories currently under Russian control, including Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson. • The complete removal of all existing economic sanctions and a mutual agreement to refrain from introducing new sanctions. • A proposal to reestablish economic relations, including the resumption of natural gas transit through Ukraine. • A demand for Ukraine to reduce its military personnel and weaponry, along with explicit guarantees of its non-nuclear status and a strict ban on deploying any nuclear arms on its territory. • The memorandum also calls for the termination of general military mobilization in Ukraine and the initiation of a demobilization process as part of the path toward a ceasefire. On the other side, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Kyiv and Moscow have agreed to a prisoner exchange involving 1,000 soldiers from each side. This exchange includes an additional 200 individuals per side compared to previous agreements. Zelensky described the deal as “another step in the right direction,” and noted that the lists of detainees would be exchanged between the countries later this week. In U.S. economic news, the latest update from the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model forecasts a 4.6% annualized growth rate for real GDP in the second quarter of 2025. This is an upward revision from the previous estimate of 3.8% released on May 30. The revision followed new data releases from the U.S. Census Bureau and the ISM. In particular, personal consumption growth was raised from 3.3% to 4.0%, while private domestic investment was adjusted from –1.4% to +0.5%. On the trade front, according to a draft letter obtained by Reuters, the Trump administration has urged participating countries to submit their best trade proposals by Wednesday. The goal is to accelerate talks with multiple partners ahead of a five-week deadline. This draft, issued by the Office of the United States Trade Representative, provides a glimpse into how President Trump plans to wrap up complex trade negotiations with dozens of nations. These negotiations began on April 9, when he temporarily suspended his “Freedom Day” tariffs for 90 days—until July 8—following turmoil across equity, bond, and currency markets in response to the broad scope of the tariffs. According to the draft, the U.S. is asking countries to submit top-tier offers across key areas, including tariff and quota proposals for importing American industrial and agricultural products, as well as plans to remove non-tariff barriers. Stuart Jenkins from Goldman Sachs stated that elevated tariffs on steel and aluminum have likely contributed to a weakening of the U.S. dollar. On Friday, President Trump announced that these tariffs would double starting Wednesday, reaching 50%. Although metals represent a relatively small portion of U.S. imports and the broader impact may be limited, Jenkins noted that this move illustrates the administration’s continued ability to impose tariffs, even in the face of potential legal challenges.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
XAUUSD – Poised for a Major Breakout After ConsolidationOn the monthly chart, XAUUSD is forming an Inside Bar pattern, signaling that the market is compressing ahead of a potential strong move. May’s candle remains within April’s range – a classic setup that often precedes a decisive breakout. On the H4 timeframe, gold has attempted to break above recent highs multiple times but failed, forming a series of lower highs, indicating a corrective structure. However, the recent rebound from May’s low suggests potential accumulation is underway. Currently, price is hovering around a neutral zone. A clear break above the 3,400 level could spark a fast move toward the 3,500–3,600 range. Conversely, a drop below 3,120 would open the door for a deeper pullback toward 3,000. From a macro perspective, long-term fundamentals continue to support the bullish case for gold, driven by dovish central bank policies, geopolitical risks, and concerns about USD debasement. Still, a confirmed technical breakout is needed to establish direction in the near term. Strategy Summary Buy zone to watch: 3,307 – 3,320 Bullish trigger: Holding above 3,300 Target: 3,435 Risks: False breakouts or failure to hold above the breakout zone
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Malaga 2025 Hospital: Duel of giantsThe Biggest Public Project of the Year Faces Construction Giants By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The largest public works contract tendered this year in Spain already has a name and location: the new hospital in Málaga. With a budget of €607.5 million, co-financed by the European FEDER funds, this ambitious healthcare project will not only redefine Andalusia’s care map but has also sparked an intense battle among the country’s top construction firms. The new complex will be built on the grounds of the Civil Hospital and will feature 815 rooms, 48 operating theaters, and more than 250 consultation rooms. The execution period is 75 months, and the Andalusian Regional Government has opted for a mixed model that includes construction and operation of the parking facilities, adding financial appeal to the award. Four Consortia, a Multi-Million Euro Award The mega-project has attracted four consortia formed by industry giants supported by local companies. More than a tender, it is a strategic battle between groups with different strengths and track records. 1. FCC – Ferrovial (with Heliopol and Guamar): Heavyweight Experience The FCC and Ferrovial union combines financial strength and technical expertise on a global scale. FCC, seasoned in hospital construction (like Valdebebas in Madrid), provides execution solidity, while Ferrovial stands out for its expertise in concessions and large international projects. Andalusian companies Heliopol and Guamar add local agility. • Ferrovial (BME: FER) boosted its 2024 profit to €3.239 billion, thanks to capital gains from Heathrow, with revenues up 6.7% to €9.147 billion. With over €5.3 billion in cash, it has a strong presence in the US. • FCC (BME: FCC), after spinning off its cement business, earned €429.9 million in 2024. Its portfolio exceeds €43 billion, including flagship projects like the Scarborough metro and the Nou Mestalla stadium. Advantage: impeccable technical track record and global presence. Risk: less recent visibility in the Andalusian healthcare sector. 2. Acciona – OHLA (with Sando and Vialterra): Sustainability with Andalusian DNA This consortium combines environmental innovation with local roots. Acciona, a sustainability leader, heads the team alongside OHLA, which continues to invest in the hospital sector despite past difficulties. Málaga-based Sando and Vialterra reinforce the local component. • Acciona (BME: ANA) closed 2024 with €422 million profit and revenue growth of 12.7%, despite setbacks in Acciona Energy. • OHLA (BME: OHLA) reported losses of €49.9 million but achieved a record backlog of €9.224 billion and remains positioned in key public works. Advantage: strong local presence and green commitment. Risk: lingering financial instability concerns around OHLA. 3. Azvi – Sanjose (with Puentes and Jarquil): The Technical Bloc with Regional Focus Less media-visible, this consortium offers specialization and efficiency. Azvi is recognized for its railway experience, and Grupo Sanjose for hospitals like those in Vigo or Valdebebas. Puentes and Jarquil complete a versatile team. • Sanjose (BME: GSJ) improved its profit by 51.3% in 2024 to €32.4 million, maintaining a solid financial position with €380 million in net cash. Advantage: agility and proven technical execution. Risk: lower media notoriety and smaller balance sheet. 4. ACS – Sacyr (with Martín Casillas): Infrastructure Titans The ACS – Sacyr tandem offers solvency, technical capacity, and international experience in hospital concessions. Martín Casillas, based in Seville, adds geographical proximity. Additionally, ACS may play a second card with its subsidiary Vías, allied with Lantania and Comsa, increasing its odds. • ACS (BME: ACS) closed 2024 with €828 million profit and a record backlog of €88.209 billion, thanks to expansion in North America. • Sacyr (BME: SCYR) earned €153 million in 2023 and stands out for its focus on concessions, which already represent 93% of its EBITDA. Advantage: financial strength and PPP experience. Risk: organizational complexity presenting two bids. One Hospital, Multiple Readings The new Málaga hospital is not just a healthcare construction: it is also a showcase of Spanish construction might, tensions between local and global players, and the growing importance of sustainability, concession expertise, and financial reputation. The final award, expected this year, will be a clear indicator of the direction large public infrastructure projects will take in Spain. ******************************************************************************************* La información facilitada no constituye un análisis de inversiones. El material no se ha elaborado de conformidad con los requisitos legales destinados a promover la independencia de los informes de inversiones y, como tal, debe considerarse una comunicación comercial. Toda la información ha sido preparada por ActivTrades ("AT"). La información no contiene un registro de los precios de AT, o una oferta o solicitud de una transacción en cualquier instrumento financiero. Ninguna representación o garantía se da en cuanto a la exactitud o integridad de esta información. Cualquier material proporcionado no tiene en cuenta el objetivo específico de inversión y la situación financiera de cualquier persona que pueda recibirlo. La rentabilidad pasada no es un indicador fiable de la rentabilidad futura. AT presta un servicio exclusivamente de ejecución. En consecuencia, toda persona que actúe sobre la base de la información facilitada lo hace por su cuenta y riesgo.
BME:FCCLong
by ActivTrades
Slowing Global Economy and Output Hikes Weigh on Brent OilBrent crude oil is holding steady around the $60 level, even after OPEC announced another 411,000 barrels per day increase in output, following similar hikes in May, June and smaller one in April. This latest adjustment comes at a time when global economic slowdown concerns are rising, making the decision a risky one. Although the main reason points to non-compliance from Kazakhstan and Iraq, some believe the United States may have played a role, possibly through pressure from Trump aimed at controlling inflation during the ongoing tariff hikes. With several consecutive production increases now in place, a growing surplus is likely to develop over the second half of 2025. This would maintain downward pressure on oil prices if demand fails to keep pace. At the same time, the broader economic outlook is weakening. Recent manufacturing activity data from China, the United States, the European Union, and the United Kingdom all came in below 50, suggesting a faster rate of contraction. The presence of widespread tariffs is expected to continue weighing on business sentiment and consumer demand, potentially leading to rising unemployment and slowing growth. In this environment, any short-term spikes in Brent and WTI prices are likely to remain opportunities to sell, unless there is a meaningful shift in underlying fundamentals. For a more detailed view of economic trends, please refer to the latest monthly report. Brent crude has been in a steady downtrend since March of last year. While the price movement doesn't follow a perfect trend channel, the structure has generally held well. At the moment, Brent is hovering near the middle of this declining channel. The former long-term support zone around $70 to $72. If prices move up toward this zone, it could present a fresh selling opportunity as long as the resistance holds. On the downside, the $60 level and the area just below it have formed a solid medium-term support, which has held up so far. Still, oil bulls should be cautious around the $60 mark. Even though support looks strong for now, the overall direction of the trend and the broader fundamental backdrop suggest that this level could eventually break. Any long positions taken near current levels should factor in the potential for renewed downside pressure.
FX:UKOIL
by ftdsystem