Get started

Fundamental Analysis

USDCAD Analysis: Tariff Impact & Technical Outlook Looking at the USDCAD chart, we've seen interesting price action that I believe presents a trading opportunity. The significant breakout on February 3rd pushed price above the 1.44 level with strong momentum. This wasn't random - it coincided with increasing tariff speculation, as trade policy uncertainty typically impacts the USD-CAD relationship substantially given their close economic ties. Currently trading around 1.43, USDCAD has pulled back from recent highs but remains in a solid uptrend, as confirmed by the ascending trendline EMA200 (pink). I'm watching for a potential bounce from current levels, as any new tariff announcements could reignite USD strength. The COT data shows institutional positioning has decreased recently, but remains net long overall. This suggests big players haven't abandoned their bullish USD outlook despite the recent consolidation. Key levels I'm monitoring: Support 1.42 zone Resistance: Previous high near 1.44-1.45 VRVP shows significant interest around the 1.43-1.44 area I believe if upcoming tariff news triggers volatility, we could see a retest of range highs with potential for further upside. The fundamentals support continued USD strength in this environment, especially if global uncertainty increases.
Long
by youbicode
XAUUSD Head & Shoulders Breakdown – Bearish Target Ahead?This chart represents a detailed technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe with a structured trade setup based on a Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern. Below is an in-depth explanation of the chart components, price action, and trade strategy. 1️⃣ Key Chart Patterns and Analysis A. Head and Shoulders Pattern (Bearish Reversal) This is a well-known bearish reversal pattern that signals a potential trend change from bullish to bearish. It consists of three peaks: Left Shoulder: A rise followed by a temporary pullback. Head: The highest peak in the pattern, showing strong buying pressure before reversal. Right Shoulder: A smaller rise compared to the head, indicating weakening bullish momentum. B. Neckline (Support Level) and Breakdown Confirmation The neckline (horizontal support level) is drawn across the lowest points between the shoulders. A break below the neckline confirms the reversal, triggering a bearish move. The chart suggests price is at the neckline zone, preparing for a breakdown. 2️⃣ Trendline and Support/Resistance Analysis A. Uptrend Trendline Break The price was following a strong ascending trendline (dotted black line). A trendline breakout has occurred, indicating potential trend reversal. This supports the bearish bias further. B. Resistance and Support Levels Resistance Level: Marked at the top of the Head region, which aligns with previous price rejection zones. Support Levels: First support (TP1 - 3,053.269): This is the first potential take profit level. Second support (TP2 - 3,030.556): The next target if price continues downward. 3️⃣ Trade Setup & Risk Management A. Entry Point (Short Position) Sell (Short) after the neckline breakout, ensuring bearish momentum is confirmed. B. Take Profit (TP) Targets TP1: 3,053.269 (Initial support target). TP2: 3,030.556 (Stronger support zone, deeper profit target). C. Stop Loss Placement Stop Loss: 3,150.726 (Above the resistance zone). This is a logical stop-loss placement, allowing price fluctuations without prematurely stopping the trade. 4️⃣ Overall Market Sentiment & Trade Bias Bearish Bias: Due to the formation of the Head and Shoulders pattern, trendline breakout, and weakening bullish momentum. Confirmation Needed: A strong bearish close below the neckline increases probability of downward continuation. 5️⃣ Final Thought – A High-Probability Trade Setup If neckline breaks, the trade is valid with potential for a 3%+ downside move. If price holds above the neckline, the pattern may fail, leading to reconsidering trade execution. This structured risk-managed approach ensures a strategic entry, controlled risk, and maximized profit potential. 📉🔥 Let me know if you need further refinements! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Trade Idea : US30 Short ( SELL LIMIT )Technical Analysis 1. Daily Chart: • Trend: The price has been in an uptrend but is showing signs of exhaustion. • MACD: Deep in negative territory (-311.308 & -377.356), confirming bearish momentum. • RSI: 44.24, indicating weak momentum and room for further downside. • Key Resistance: 42,890 • Key Support: 41,000 2. 15-Minute Chart: • Trend: The price has broken below a consolidation zone. • MACD: Bullish but fading, suggesting exhaustion of upward movement. • RSI: 48.21, showing indecision but no strong bullish strength. • Structure: Lower highs and lower lows forming, indicating a potential breakdown. 3. 3-Minute Chart: • Price Action: Weak bounces and inability to sustain higher prices. • MACD: Negative and declining, confirming short-term bearish momentum. • RSI: 41.77, approaching oversold but not yet at extreme levels. Fundamental Analysis • Macro Risks: • Potential market correction after extended bullish trends. • Economic uncertainty and possible rate hike expectations could pressure equities. • US Market Conditions: • Upcoming data releases or Fed commentary could increase volatility and favor bearish moves. Trade Execution • Entry: 41,950 • Stop Loss (SL): 42,250 (300-point stop) • Take Profit (TP): 41,350 (600-point target) • Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1 FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Short
by KeN-WeNzEl
Medical Properties Trust | MPW | Long at $4.30Medical Properties Trust NYSE:MPW is a beaten down medical facility REIT currently in a price consolidation phase. The company's stock price is at a level not seen since the 2008-2009 financial crisis - but this doesn't mean it's a "steal" right now for investors. Here's why (from Wiki): "In 2022, The Wall Street Journal reported that Medical Properties Trust had made multiple loans to its largest tenant Steward Health Care and paid above market value to Steward for property that Steward then leased from Medical Properties. The article alleged that this was done to help Steward pay off debts to Cerberus Capital Management, while Medical Properties claimed that the amounts paid for the properties were fair based on its underwriting and internal appraisals for the properties. MPT referenced Steward’s dependability in paying approximately $1.2 billion in rent and interest since 2016 as further evidence of prudent underwriting. MPT also cited its 2022 sale of a 50% stake in the Massachusetts real estate it bought from Steward as validation of its strategy. In March 2022, Macquarie Infrastructure Partners V entered into a $1.7 billion partnership with MPT to own eight hospitals leased to Steward, resulting in a 47% gain on sale of real estate for MPT. Another Wall Street Journal report also claimed that the company engaged in risky acquisitions with tenants who were likely to default on rent payments later while the compensation of executives of the company was partially linked to the volume of acquisitions they could make. The company clarified that it does not directly compensate executives for acquisition volume, and that its compensation plan provides for reducing executive compensation if acquisitions do not increase the company's per-share value." On September 11, 2024, NYSE:MPW announced a settlement agreement with Steward Health Care that ended their relationship and restored NYSE:MPW 's control over its real estate. So, it's a highly risky investment, but the cat may be out of the bag and a turnaround may be ahead (?). The country's need for medical facilities will be dire as the baby-boom generation gets older. With a 7% dividend and *potential* change in business profitability ahead, NYSE:MPW is at a personal buy zone of $4.30. Warning: It may take several years for a recovery, though, or bankruptcy is ahead. Target #1 = $6.15 Target #2 = $8.00 Target #3 = $9.75
NYSE:MPWLong
by WorthlessViews
1
SNOW Finds Support at 200-Day SMASnowflake has been trading within a wide range between 108 and 240 over the past three years. During this period, revenue growth has remained steady, but operating and R&D expenses have consistently increased. This is a company that prioritizes growth and invests heavily in research, expanding its product offerings and business relationships. However, the recent downturn, driven by tariffs and the broader selloff in AI and cloud-related stocks has exposed Snowflake's vulnerabilities. The company reports reflect this caution. Recently, SNOW has received both downgrades and buy signals, highlighting analyst and market indecision. In such an environment, the stock’s performance will likely lean heavily on broader index movement. With a beta above 1.5, SNOW is expected to react more sharply to market swings. The consensus 12 month target still shows 38% upward potential. Currently, Snowflake is finding support at the 200-day simple moving average. If the market manages to weather the impact of the April 2 tariffs and potential countermeasures, SNOW could stage a solid rebound. On the downside, the 130–135 zone stands out as a key support area just below the moving average.
NYSE:SNOW
by ftdsystem
$EUIRYY -Europe CPI (March/2025)ECONOMICS:EUIRYY March/2025 source: EUROSTAT - Annual inflation in the Euro Area eased to 2.2% in March 2025, the lowest rate since November 2024 and slightly below market expectations of 2.3%. Services inflation slowed to a 33-month low (3.4% vs. 3.7% in February), while energy costs declined (-0.7% vs. 0.2%). However, inflation remained steady for both non-energy industrial goods (0.6%) and processed food, alcohol & tobacco (2.6%), and unprocessed food prices surged (4.1% vs. 3.0%). Meanwhile, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, fell to 2.4%, slightly below market forecasts of 2.5% and marking its lowest level since January 2022. On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.6% in March, following a 0.4% advance in February.
ECONOMICS:EUIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
Ethereum’s drop is due to market issues, but upgrades may helpEthereum , one of the most popular and widely used blockchain platforms, is going through a rough patch. Since its launch in 2015, the cryptocurrency has drawn attention for its decentralized nature and its capabilities for smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps). However, despite its early success, Ethereum has experienced significant price fluctuations in recent years. According to analysts, its price has dropped approximately 45.4% in the last quarter alone. Several key factors are driving Ethereum’s recent price decline. First , increasing competition from faster and cheaper blockchains like Solana and Cardano is drawing in users and developers, reducing demand for Ethereum. Second , high transaction fees — especially during times of network congestion — make the platform less attractive for users who prioritize speed and cost-efficiency. Finally , delays in implementing upgrades such as the full transition to Ethereum 2.0 have eroded investor and user confidence, negatively impacting the token’s price. Despite the current challenges, Ethereum remains one of the most promising cryptocurrencies. In 2025, its value and adoption may rise significantly due to several critical developments: Full transition to Ethereum 2.0: The long-awaited move to Ethereum 2.0 — set to improve transaction speed, enhance security, and reduce fees — could serve as a major growth driver. The switch from Proof of Work (PoW) to Proof of Stake (PoS) will improve the network’s energy efficiency, making it more eco-friendly and cost-effective. With these enhancements, Ethereum could better compete with rival blockchains and attract more users and investors. Boom in Decentralized Finance (DeFi): Ethereum serves as the foundation for many DeFi applications, which continue to gain popularity. In 2025, the growth of DeFi projects and the increasing total value locked in these apps may fuel demand for Ethereum. Ongoing development and integration of new financial instruments in the Ethereum ecosystem will further cement its role in the crypto economy. Emergence of Layer 2 technologies: Layer 2 solutions like Optimistic Rollups and zk-Rollups could greatly enhance Ethereum’s scalability by reducing the load on the mainnet and lowering transaction fees. These technologies are essential for mass adoption, helping Ethereum scale efficiently while maintaining decentralization. Growth of NFTs and asset tokenization: As tokenization and NFTs continue to rise in popularity, Ethereum remains the leading platform in this space. By 2025, we could see further expansion in the NFT market and tokenized assets, driving increased demand for Ethereum as the go-to platform for creating and exchanging digital assets. Global crypto adoption and regulatory clarity: In 2025, regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies are expected to become clearer around the world. With growing government acceptance and legal recognition of crypto assets, Ethereum could become a foundational element of future financial systems—attracting fresh investment and pushing its value higher. Despite the current headwinds, Ethereum has strong potential for recovery and future growth. FreshForex analysts predict a rebound could occur as early as Q3 or Q4 of 2025, driven by upcoming upgrades and network improvements. Don’t miss the chance to get in at the right time! Exclusive offer for our readers: Get a massive 10% bonus on your balance for every crypto deposit of $202 or more! Just contact support with the promo code 10CRYPTO , fund your account, and trade with extra power. Full bonus terms available here. At FreshForex, you can open trading accounts in 7 cryptocurrencies and access over 70 crypto pairs with up to 1:100 leverage — trade 24/7.
SAXO:ETHUSD
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY Short OpportunityPoint and Figure charting is the OG technical analysis method—no fancy candlesticks or bar charts needed. Unlike other charts, Point and Figure ignores time and focuses purely on price action, offering clarity amid market noise. If candlestick charts look too chaotic for your taste, Point and Figure usually clears things up. Its simplicity is its best feature: fewer patterns and straightforward trade execution rules, compared to the 150+ patterns of Japanese Candlesticks. On the USDJPY 40-pip/3-box reversal P&F chart, a bear flag pattern is currently being tested and acting as solid resistance. This creates an aggressive but appealing short entry opportunity at 148.80. Below this entry, there are multiple potential profit targets, with T3 (141.60) marking the maximum realistic expectation. Now, before you get too excited about a single-column collapse from 148.80 down to 141.60—hold your horses. The odds of USDJPY making such a dramatic drop in one swift move are slim to none. But given the current international trade tensions, stranger things have happened. Think of the area between 148.80 and 141.60 as a zone where it's easier for USDJPY to drift downward rather than grind upward.
Short
by itsjustanalysis
Gold-----sell near 3138, target 3110-3100Gold market analysis: The market is always confusing, and investors are always guessing. This is the most mysterious and tempting part of the market. In fact, there are many trading opportunities for gold every day, but there are only a few that you can understand. So what you need is execution. When it comes to the opportunity that you can understand, you must be decisive. Yesterday, gold rose in the Asian session, and it fell sharply to around 3100 in the US session. This position is a strong support for the daily line. It finally rebounded and closed with a big tombstone on the daily line. At this time, some people began to speculate again, whether the big top has come, and whether gold has really fallen? We must see the facts clearly and follow them. Yesterday's gold daily tombstone is only a short-term top, and it is just that the short-term is not so strong. The buying pattern of the long-term trend is still intact. Today's thinking is bullish in the general trend, and both short-term long and short positions can be entered. From the perspective of form, gold will undergo a range repair in the range of 3100-3148. There is no gold that keeps rising. If it keeps rising without stopping, it is impossible. Now gold has risen too much and is undergoing a technical repair. If it rebounds first, we will sell it at 3138 and 3148. If it falls first, pay attention to 3119 and 3100. There are opportunities for buying and selling. Grasp the rhythm. Support 3119 and 3110, strong support 3100, pressure 3138 and 3148, the strength and weakness dividing line of the market 3120. Fundamental analysis： This week is a data week. Today, we will focus on the ADP employment data, which is the precursor to the non-agricultural data. Operation suggestions: Gold-----sell near 3138, target 3110-3100
TVC:GOLDShort
by BraveTigercat
Wall Street vs GoldZilla. The End of 'Irrational Exuberance' Era"Irrational exuberance" is the phrase used by the then-Federal Reserve Board chairman, Alan Greenspan, in a speech given at the American Enterprise Institute during the dot-com bubble of the 1990s. The phrase was interpreted as a warning that the stock market might be overvalued. Origin Greenspan's comment was made during a televised speech on December 5, 1996 (emphasis added in excerpt) Clearly, sustained low inflation implies less uncertainty about the future, and lower risk premiums imply higher prices of stocks and other earning assets. We can see that in the inverse relationship exhibited by price/earnings ratios and the rate of inflation in the past. But how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions as they have in Japan over the past decade? Greenspan wrote in his 2008 book that the phrase occurred to him in the bathtub while he was writing a speech. The irony of the phrase and its aftermath lies in Greenspan's widely held reputation as the most artful practitioner of Fedspeak, often known as Greenspeak, in the modern televised era. The speech coincided with the rise of dedicated financial TV channels around the world that would broadcast his comments live, such as CNBC. Greenspan's idea was to obfuscate his true opinion in long complex sentences with obscure words so as to intentionally mute any strong market response. The phrase was also used by Yale professor Robert J. Shiller, who was reportedly Greenspan's source for the phrase. Shiller used it as the title of his book, Irrational Exuberance, first published in 2000, where Shiller states: Irrational exuberance is the psychological basis of a speculative bubble. I define a speculative bubble as a situation in which news of price increases spurs investor enthusiasm, which spreads by psychological contagion from person to person, in the process amplifying stories that might justify the price increases, and bringing in a larger and larger class of investors who, despite doubts about the real value of an investment, are drawn to it partly by envy of others' successes and partly through a gamblers' excitement. The main technical graph represents a value of S&P500 Index in Gold troy ounces (current value 1.81 at time of writing this article), indicates that effusive Bull stock market goes collapsing. -- Best wishes, Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
SP:SPX
by PandorraResearch
GOLD - on resistance- Could Bitcoin resume its Gains Over GoldAs you can see, GOLD has come to a point where it has been rejected twice previously. And on each of the previous occasions, PA ended up back on the lower trend line., taking around 2 years to do so on each occasions GOLD MOVES SO SLOW - mostly due to its HUGE market cap..... But thats another story Has the recent rise of Gold come to a line of defeat ? The Daily chart here shows how PA is stalling at this moment in time Each push is getting Shorter. PA is tired. PA is Getting OVERBOUGHT on many time frames. It needs a break The thing is, Mr Trump will later today introduce the "liberation Tariffs" The expectation is of FEAR as reprisals and reduced markets could cause issues in the USA , including reversing the Drop in inflation. If the Tariffs backfire, the $ will Drop..and people will look to safe haves Traditionally GOLD. Maybe Gold can break through its old nemesis of rejection. But PA Is TIRED BITCOIN has been under pressure recently, following posting a new ATH and this has taken a toll on the BTC XAUT trading pair while Gold has risen. We can see how PA dropped and has in fact, fallen below the lower line of support. But it needs to be understood is that RSI and MACD are now in very positive positions to make a push higher. Gold is tired In the Near Future, we may well see the tables turn in Bitcoins Favour again But Me Trumps, today, May actually upset that idea. We just have to wait and see how sentiment is towards Risk assets later today , after the announcement of these Tariffs. But, in the Longer term, once the dust settles, I do see Bitcoin taking over again and continuing its rise to greatness..... ENJOY Time Will tell
TVC:GOLD
by Orriginal
Gold (XAU/USD) : Bullish Setup with Key Demand Zone🔹 Trend Line & Demand Zone 📈 * The trend line shows an upward trend. 🚀 * The demand zone 🟦 acts as strong support, where buyers are likely to step in. 🔹 Price Action 🔍 * Price is bouncing off the demand zone ➡️ Bullish Signal 📊🔥 * Higher lows forming, indicating potential upward momentum. 🔹 Trade Setup 🎯 ✅ Entry Point: Near the demand zone 🟦 ❌ Stop Loss: 🔽 3,099.26 (Below demand zone) 🎯 Target Point: ⬆️ 3,148.58 (Key resistance area) 🔹 Expected Movement 🏆 * A slight pullback 📉 before a strong push up 📈💪 * If price holds the demand zone, 🚀 potential rally ahead! 🔹 Risk-to-Reward Ratio ⚖️ * Favorable trade setup ✅ High reward, controlled risk 🎯 🔹 Final Verdict 🔥 📊 Bullish Bias ✅ As long as demand zone holds! 🚨 Warning: If price breaks below 3,099.26, expect further downside!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Jameshead007
Long Intel Corporation (INTC) – Long-Term Investment ThesisAs of April 2025, Intel (INTC) is trading around $22, revisiting a long-term multi-decade support zone between $15–$23, last tested during the 2008 financial crisis and early 2010s consolidation. The chart reflects: A historic resistance zone from the early 2000s that turned into strong support over the past 15+ years. Current price action suggests long-term accumulation near a high-probability reversal area. Technically, Intel is trading at a major cyclical low — a zone that historically preceded extended bull runs. Why I’m Going Long Intel Undervalued Levels: Intel has retraced significantly from its 2021 highs (~$68), now trading at nearly 1/3 of its peak, offering attractive value relative to fundamentals and peers. Strong Historical Support: Price is sitting within a key demand zone not seen since the early 2010s, indicating strong institutional interest in this range. Long-Term Recovery Potential: With ongoing investments in foundry services, AI chips, and strategic partnerships, Intel is positioning for a turnaround. Asymmetric Risk/Reward: Limited downside (support holds) versus massive upside if Intel regains relevance in the AI and semiconductor race. Investment Outlook This is a long-term hold based on: Technical conviction from historical support zones. Belief in Intel’s fundamental turnaround story. The stock’s undervalued nature relative to industry leaders like Nvidia and AMD.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by GreenZoneCapital
Gold price plunges $50! Gold price profit-taking!Market news: In the early Asian session on Wednesday (April 2), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,130/ounce. The London gold price rose and fell on Tuesday. Spot gold rose to around the 3,150 mark earlier, and suddenly fell sharply after hitting a record high, falling nearly $50 from the high point. This is mainly attributed to investors choosing to take profits before US President Trump announced a series of tariffs. International gold has traditionally been a safe-haven asset in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. On Monday, the international gold price ended the first quarter with the strongest single-quarter performance since 1986, closing above $3,100/ounce. This is one of the most volatile periods in gold history. This trading day will also release the US ADP employment changes in March and the US factory orders monthly rate in February. Federal Reserve Board member Kugler will also deliver a speech, which investors need to pay attention to. In addition, it is necessary to focus on the details of the reciprocal tariffs and industry-specific tariffs announced by US President Trump, and be wary of the "boots landing" market. Technical Review: Gold ended its consecutive positive structure, and the daily chart closed with a long upper shadow and a negative K-line, and fell back to 3100 in the late trading. Technically, the gold price is still above the MA7 and 5-day moving averages at 3078/95, while the MA10/7-day moving averages still remain open upward, and the price is running on the upper track of the Bollinger Band.The short-term four-hour moving average closed, and the price was running below the MA10-day moving average at 3123. The price retreated to the middle track of the Bollinger Band at 3101/04. The RSI indicator turned downward after touching the overbought value above 80 yesterday. The hourly moving averages are glued together, and the price returns to the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Band. Gold is expected to continue to expand its volatility adjustment range during the day. It is recommended to wait for a correction before buying low and be cautious in chasing long positions at historical highs. Key resistance levels or historical highs participate in high-altitude coordination. Once the special tariff policy is implemented, there is a high probability that the situation of buying expectations and selling facts will occur. Pay attention to the sharp decline in the gold and silver market prices. On the contrary, if the new tariff policy is announced on the basis of the original tariff policy, gold needs to pay attention again to trigger risk aversion and usher in a sharp rise or set a new record high again. Today's analysis: Gold rose and fell back in the US market yesterday, and the bulls may enter an adjustment cycle under short-term pressure. In the short term, gold is expected to adjust! Yesterday, gold rose first and then fell, rising to 3148 before falling and adjusting. The European market fluctuated narrowly. From the technical indicators, the 2-hour moving average has formed a dead cross, MACD dead cross and large volume, Bollinger band closed, and the US market continued to decline after the shock. It has now fallen below the 3120 intraday watershed. In the short term, it means that the bulls have temporarily come to an end and started to retreat and adjust. From the 1-hour chart of gold, the rising volume at the tail end of the wave is usually not sustainable, accompanied by a step-by-step wash-out. After yesterday's retracement, today's Asian session quickly rose and rushed high, accompanied by a big negative line in the hourly chart, and retreated to the local high of 3150. The fluctuation base is large and the adjustment space can be large or small. It is not easy to chase high at the current position. Although short selling is against the trend, the technical overbought tariff implementation will also be realized, and the adjustment space should not be underestimated. Ultra-short-term combined with medium and long-term shorts to deal with short-term short adjustments. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3110-3113, stop loss at 3102, target at 3140-3150; Sell short-term gold at 3143-3145, stop loss at 3154, target at 3120-3110; Key points: First support level: 3115, second support level: 3102, third support level: 3093 First resistance level: 3130, second resistance level: 3138, third resistance level: 3150
TVC:GOLD
by BraveTigercat