USDTHB SHORT OUTLOOKsame thing as usdchn currency could be testing support areas pretty soon. looking like a bearish movement come come into play. what do you guys think??
Fundamental Analysis
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Wednesday, 2nd July 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Notes:
- Strong bullish closure on daily
-Looking continuation buy
after a solid pullback
- Potential BUY if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3300
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
SHORT AUS200/ASX200 - TIME TO SHORT THE AUSSIETeam, over the last few days, we have been successfully SHORT BOTH UK100/AUS200, but I did not post the chart
Today is a good time to post.
Ensure you understand your RISK - can always discuss with us in the room
Let's SHORT UK100/FTSE100, I still expect the market to be volatile even though the US expect a rate cut. on the 9th JULY, there will be a tariff announcement, and it could also extend towards September
We are SHORTING AUS200 at 8586 toward 8616 - SLOWLY
with target at 8562-47
DOUBLE THE SHORT AT 8632-56
Target at 8608-8592
Is the $BULL Ready to Run? A perfect storm of good news here.
June 30 was the last day to redeem $BULLZ warrants. The overhang of insiders dumping shares to arbitrage warrants is gone.
This happened just in time to catch the sector tailwinds from the NASDAQ:HOOD announcement of tokenized public and private assets rolling out in Europe.
WeBull has integrated the NASDAQ:COIN CaaS offering for crypto trading, augmenting its crypto exposure and pairing nicely with Kalshi's integrated hourly crypto contracts. With favorable crypto legislation coming out of the current administration, WeBull is perfectly primed to take advantage of the trend, coupling stock and crypto trading into one neat platform.
Today, July 1, we saw massive volume on call contracts - a 44% increase to average daily volume.
17% YoY growth of user base since Q1 of '24 and a 66% YoY increase in AUM. With revenues on the rise, I would fully expect positive margins this year.
Should be a fun one as we start to catch momentum.
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: Why Traders Are Rotating from Nasdaq to**07/01/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis **
EOD accountability report: +1160
Sleep: 5 hours
Overall health: Need to catch up on sleep again
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 4/4 success**
9:39 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check:
11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3 :check:
11:24 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal :check:
12:00 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check:
**What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? **
RTY and YM leading the way today
NQ lagging
Why is this?
The answer is, Simple Supply and Demand theory.
Money has to come from somewhere.
If Money is going to YM and RTY,
Money has to leave from NQ or ES or both.
There is not an infinite amount of money, So if one index is outperforming like crazy over the other. It must be draining from it
Why would it drain from NQ? Easy
Because NQ and ES already hit ATH,
YM and RTY has not hit ATH yet.
So people are selling NQ and buying YM because it is on Discount
News
N/A
**What are the critical support levels to watch?**
--> Above 6235= Bullish, Under 6210= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
[OSCR] OSCR InvestmentInvestment on this healthcare stock for the long term.
I am expecting a huge upside move for the next months/years as it's the future of healtcare services. I want to hold it for a long time so let's see what it can offer us.
Great Trade !
XRP/USD – Technical Analysis (1D)📊 XRP/USD – Technical Analysis (1D)
Current Price:
• Buy: 2.1554 USD
• Sell: 2.1553 USD
⸻
🧭 Trend & Structure
• Price is moving within a rising channel (orange lines).
• It’s currently trading closer to the lower trendline, suggesting potential support.
Resistance Levels (green lines):
• 2.3197
• 2.4404
• 2.5570
• 2.7300 (channel top)
Support Levels (red lines):
• 2.1467
• 2.0461
• 1.8772
• 1.7444 (key support)
⸻
📈 Indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
• Hovering around the 50 level → neutral momentum.
• No strong divergence observed – RSI is moving with price.
Stochastic Oscillator
• %K has crossed %D upward → short-term bullish signal.
• Nearing the overbought zone (above 80) → a pullback could occur soon.
⸻
📌 Interpretation
• Price is testing the 2.15–2.16 zone, which has acted as both support and resistance in the past.
• A break above 2.32 could open the door toward 2.44 and 2.55 USD.
• A drop below 2.04 USD could lead to retesting 1.87 or even 1.74 USD.
• Overall trend: neutral to bullish, supported by the rising channel.
🎯 Trading Ideas
• Long Entry: Break and close above 2.32 USD with volume → targets: 2.44 / 2.55
• Short Entry: Breakdown below 2.04 USD → targets: 1.87 / 1.74
Crypto breakouts: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana lead the surgeJune brought a wave of positive sentiment to digital assets. Despite global uncertainty, major cryptocurrencies continued their upward movement. Investors are once again turning to decentralized assets amid expectations of a Fed rate cut and an increasingly fragile macro backdrop.
Key moves this month :
• Bitcoin (#BTCUSD) +4.6% — Strengthened by a weaker dollar and renewed institutional interest. JPMorgan projects $150,000 by 2025.
• Ethereum (#ETHUSD) +3.8% — Gains on ETF optimism and rising DeFi activity.
• Solana (#SOLUSD) +6.1% — In the spotlight due to network scalability and new Web3 partnerships.
• Ripple (#XRPUSD) +2.4% — Rebounding after positive developments in the SEC case and potential global alliances.
• Dogecoin (#DOGUSD) +5.2% — Community-driven momentum and fresh public support from Elon Musk.
Underperformers:
• Litecoin (#LTCUSD) –1.8%, Cardano (#ADAUSD) –2.2% — Profit-taking and lack of new drivers weighed on prices.
• Polkadot (#DOTUSD) –3.1% — Weak on-chain metrics and fading interest in cross-chain solutions added pressure.
According to FreshForex analysts, the crypto market is entering a recovery phase. Signals from the Fed hint at upcoming rate cuts, while interest in decentralized projects and crypto ETFs is rising. Market leadership by #BTC and #ETH reflects growing confidence, while altcoins continue to follow the broader upward trend.
7/1/25 - $sbet - How I'm trading this7/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:SBET
How I'm trading this
- tl;dr, this is the first *larger* eth "treasury" attempts
- while the world is focused on AMEX:BMNR today at 10x NAV, this sits quietly at 1.5x nav
- there are two ways shareholders who would buy, say, at today's price would make an "eth yield"
- 1/ co raises debt, converts, prefs etc. any flavor and uses this to buy ETH and ETH appreciates in excess of this yield. my sense is this is more difficult "today" given the institutional view of BTC remains *hard enough* (even tho, really, it's not). but with stable coins becoming more in focus, this gives important life to eth narrative in coming cycle (more on this below)
- 2/ the mNAV is allowed to expand. if i raise at say 1.5x MNAV and then the stock appreciates toward say 3x MNAV and i raise there again to buy eth... the original holders essentially got a pro-rata distribution in excess of their initial stake. where the logic, here, fails... is that if this is your *only* way to raise $... eventually you collapse back to mnav, essentially... the inverse is also true. if you buy at 3x mnav and stock goes to 2x mnav, uh oh. it requires ever-increasing mnav. we know from BTC treasuries this might be up to 5x (mstr) and up to 10x (metaplanet) and really just depends on your story, size, mgmt, ability to raise outside of just equity etc. etc.
- now with this all being said... we look at something like AMEX:BMNR today and there are two main outcomes
- 1/ 10x mnav is too high and likely they're advantaged to raise here and dilute current shareholders to buy ETH and in essence it's tough to imagine much more mnav acceleration (but we *are* in that whacky tape and people are just trading price -- i know this from some comment i read today). fair. if this is the case, flows to NASDAQ:SBET should be very positive
- 2/ mnav from AMEX:BMNR start to collapse toward say 5x and this affects sentiment for other "eth treasury" co's, namely NASDAQ:SBET and this thing goes to 1.2x mnav vs. say 1.5x today... no bueno
-3/ there are others (two others), but above is 80% I think of pie
so why eth? aren't you a BTC only guy V?
- mm yeah BTC is the only commodity
- but i also trade stocks, tech etc. and that's just want these other things are Eth, Sol etc.
- with NASDAQ:HOOD launching their L2 on LSE:ARB the other day, tokenizing stocks, with the realization that banks will want to float and distribute their own stables across crypto rails sooner vs. later (and legislation that's allowing for it... more stables = stronger dollar and USD dominance globally)... CRYPTOCAP:ETH will earn the lionshare of the upside here.
- of course flows will eventually find their way into $sol... CRYPTOCAP:SUI , NYSE:SEI , etc. etc. but for now CRYPTOCAP:ETH is probably the lowest-risk way to play this
- I'm not ruling out that our garden variety pullback sends BTC back to $90k and you know what happens when BTC sneezes... everyone else catches a flu. So that could really hamper CRYPTOCAP:ETH action short term.
- But I like the idea of playing not only CRYPTOCAP:ETH at a *reasonable* valuation here (you do pay 50% more! keep that in mind), but there seems to be a willingness to overpay (as AMEX:BMNR shows). so i'm content to neck out here to capture a 50-100% move. but small enough to either size up, look elsewhere and/or close with a loss without any flesh wounds.
tl;dr... if u like $bmnr... u should like NASDAQ:SBET more.
V
Trade Idea: TXRH (Texas Roadhouse) - Position Trading Setup📈 Direction: Long (Swing to Position Trade)
🎯 Entry Zone: $190.00 - $191.07 (Ideal entry near $191.07)
⛔ Stop Loss: $181.57 (-5% risk)
🎯 Take Profit: $211.00 (+10.4% upside)
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2+
🔍 Why TXRH?
📊 Technical Analysis
✅ Trend: Strong weekly uptrend (higher highs & higher lows)
✅ Moving Averages: Price above SMA 50 ($182.50) & SMA 200 ($175.00) → Bullish structure
✅ MACD Weekly: Positive momentum, no signs of reversal
✅ RSI (Daily): 58 (neutral, room to run before overbought)
✅ Key Levels:
Support: $187.50 (recent swing low)
Breakout Level: $190.00 (confirmation of continuation)
Target: $211.00 (next major resistance)
📉 Fundamental Backing
✔ Revenue Growth: Strong sales & earnings growth (fundamentals support bullish bias)
✔ Debt-Free: Zero debt (financial flexibility)
✔ Valuation: P/E 28.97 (slightly high but justified by growth)
🎯 Trade Execution Plan
🔹 Entry: Wait for confirmation above $190.00 (break & retest ideal)
🔹 Stop Loss: Tighten to $185.00 if price moves favorably
🔹 Take Profit:
TP1: $200.00 (partial profit)
TP2: $211.00 (full exit)
⚠️ Risk Considerations
Market-wide pullback could trigger stop loss
High P/E makes it sensitive to sector rotations
Monitor earnings dates for volatility
📌 Final Thought: TXRH is a high-quality stock with strong fundamentals and technicals. A break above $190 opens path to $211 with solid R/R.
👍 Like & Follow if you found this useful! Drop your thoughts below. 👇
#TradingView #PositionTrading #Stocks #TXRH #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing
7/1/25 - $wolf - Some ppl r not worth saving7/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:WOLF
Some ppl r not worth saving
- go read the last comment
- here we are again... people are somehow allowing the bag holders to exit at more than zero for the thrill of playing a losing game
- not only has the company told you the stock is going to zero, they've made this clear a number of times
- only reason to monitor these things is to get a pulse on "liquidity" and willingness to play dumb games and win dumb prizes
- good luck! avoid
V
7/1/25 - $arbk - "restructure" 1017/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ARBK
"restructure" 101
- when a company goes to "restructure" that's a euphemism for sending your shares to donut heaven
- sign of the times. sometimes it's hard to imagine what goes thru ppl's minds or if they do literally even 30 seconds of "work" before buying things
- just recently this happened with $wolf... which i was flamed for pointing out. i think that's also ... *checks notes* also up 125% as of my writing this.
- as comedian ron white used to say "can't fix stupid"
- sometimes the best move is no move at all. put it in the big stack of "ignore".
V
BTC 1D Analysis📊 BTC 1D Analysis
Price is respecting the channel and currently holding the 21 EMA as dynamic support.
If we see a strong daily close above the descending resistance, it may trigger a breakout toward the $110,000–$112,000 zone.
Key levels:
🔹 Support: $105,980
🔹 Resistance: $110,800
Bias: Bullish if breakout confirms
Watch the next 1–2 candles for confirmation.
🔔 Set alerts – don’t chase!
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoSignals #DYOR
NiKE annual continuation of the trendNike, a globally recognized, enduring brand, feels almost "too big to fail." I've been monitoring the $70 price level as a potential entry point for a wick fill trade in the near future, aiming for a 100% to 200%+ ROI over 6 months to 2 years. The stock shows signs of downside exhaustion and oversold conditions. Despite recent revenue declines, market cycles and Nike’s nearly 50-year brand resilience suggest a potential rebound.
Rockwell Automation | ROK | Long at $268.96Rockwell Automation NYSE:ROK appears to be gaining upward momentum once again. With two price gaps above (highest near $333+) and the historical simple moving average lines showing a positive change, this company could be poised to fill the gaps soon. A strong billion-dollar company with rising revenue, but stay cautious of the slightly high debt, insider selling, and changing economy / tariff implications.
At $268.96, NYSE:ROK is in a personal buy-zone.
Targets:
$300.00
$333.00
JELD-WEN Holdings | JELD | Long at $4.02JELD-WEN Holdings NYSE:JELD designs, manufactures, and sells wood, metal, and composite materials doors, windows, and related building products in North America and Europe. The stock has taken quite a beating since the rise in interest rates, and I think a reversal *may* be in sight in the next year as rates are slowly lowered - even if the market is forward-thinking and purely anticipating a new housing boom (which I highly doubt given the current home prices). Regardless, there is risk with this stock since it has relatively high debt (debt-to-equity of 2.61x). A Quick Ratio of 1.1 and Altman's Z Score of 1.9 puts NYSE:JELD near a medium level of bankruptcy risk. The company has pretty good cash reserves and a forward P/E of 10x (current is negative), so growth is anticipated. Book value of $5.31.
A bear case here is a terrible earnings call in August 2025 due to the housing market slowing (i.e. people pausing home purchases/builds/repairs expecting interest rates to drop soon). That may plummet the stock near $1.00 or below, which would be a tremendous deal, *unless* the company fundamentals change (like bankruptcy).
Without a crystal ball, yet understanding the forward-thinking aspects of the market, NYSE:JELD is in a personal buy-zone at $4.02 with some risks.
Targets into 2027:
$5.40 (+34.3%)
$8.50 (+111.4%)
Safe Entry Zone ORCLAfter Sudden Contract Deal.
Better to not follow the Stock and wait for re-trace.
P.High(Previous High) act As good support level to wait for Strong Buyers to Step-in.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Gold surged and then fell. Has it reached its peak?Information summary:
Today, the United States and Japan negotiated on tariffs. Trump said that the US-Japan deal was unfair and might send a letter to Japan; the US-Japan trade negotiations seemed to be at a standstill. Trump also threatened that he would not extend the expiring tariff period and would send letters to most countries and regions in the next few days.
Secondly, the United States accused the EU of unfair digital legislation and asked the EU to relax its supervision of US technology giants. In addition, Trump accused "Mr. Too Late" Powell and the entire committee on social media that they should be ashamed of not cutting interest rates.
Affected by the above news, gold's risk aversion sentiment heated up and prices started to rise for the second time.
Market analysis:
From the 4-hour chart, the market is currently in a slow upward trend in a downward channel, and the price is also repeatedly testing the upward pressure position of 3355. MA5-day and 10-day moving averages turned upward and crossed with the 20-day and 30-day moving averages. At present, the upward momentum is slightly insufficient. In the short term, we should focus on the suppression position of 3355. If we fail to break through this position for a long time, the trend will most likely turn into a downward trend. If no black swan event occurs, today's price will most likely fluctuate around the 3320-3350 range. If there is no black swan event, the price today will most likely fluctuate around the range of 3320-3350.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3355, stop loss 3365, profit range 3340-3330.
Long near 3315 when the price falls back, stop loss 3305, profit range 3340-3345.
BTCI – setting up for a breakout?What is CBOE:BTCI ?
BTCI is the NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF – a covered-call ETF designed to provide exposure to Bitcoin price trends with monthly income. The fund uses options strategies to generate consistent yields while holding Bitcoin futures and related instruments.
💰 Annual dividend yield: approx. 18%, paid monthly
📆 Ideal for income-focused investors who still want crypto exposure without direct volatility.
CBOE:BTCI Current price: $59.64
Strong volume is building up (green arrow), and the stochastic oscillator shows bullish momentum returning.
Price is consolidating just under the resistance at $60.90–61.75, with a potential upside of +13.2%, targeting the $67.09 zone.
📈 If volume holds and breaks above $61.75, the move toward the target becomes likely.
🟩 Key support: $58.07 / $55.75
XAUUSD short after got taken out of last ideaI will give 3350 zone a shot at the short. We got a strong zone with the 50% big fib right on the zone. Let's see if we get some reaction
GBP/USD Trade Update: Re-Entry After SL Hit – Bullish Bias MaintAfter the initial stop-loss was triggered, price action has realigned with the original bullish outlook. Market structure remains intact, and the recent move appears to be a liquidity sweep rather than a full reversal. I’ve re-entered the buy position at a more favorable level, with a clear invalidation point and defined upside targets.
This re-entry reflects confidence in the broader setup and a commitment to disciplined execution. Sometimes, the best trades require patience and a second entry when the market shakes out weak hands.
📈 Follow for live trade updates, risk management insights, and GBP/USD strategy breakdowns. 💬 Let’s navigate the volatility with precision and purpose.
