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Fundamental Analysis

1/24/25 - $osol - Buying 10% premium sub $91/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: OTC:OSOL Buying 10% premium sub $9 - i'm showing you this chart (you can copy this into your trading view) because it's the way to know if you're overpaying for closed end funds... step 1: go to website and figure out how many units of said asset you get per share ospreyfunds.io step 2: create TV formula to show you the premium/ discount. i do this for all the names i follow... OTC:GDLC , AMEX:GBTC (back in the day), OTC:BITW , OTC:OBTC (which is pure BTC and trades 10% discount today and picked up a pile of that)... and this one too. on a day like today after we've see solana make it's "winning" move vs. ETH (for the time being), as the selected L1 winner of this cycle (ex-BTC of course)... you go "what's up this thing has had an awful run". a lot of folks don't know what they own *lol* if you follow me, you know i bash the clownheaded nature of salad robots, space lasers, quantum dreams and nuclear summer... and a lot of this degen room temp IQ stuff unfortunately loses a lot of money chasing tickers they don't do 5' of research on. so the NPC will look at a chart like this and say it's a scam/ fraud you name it. but what's really happened is a bunch of people have smashed mkt sell into a fairly illiquid ticker (only 50mm AUM) and you go back to fair value. w the the Solana ETF nearly inevitable at some pt this year, you'd ask "why overpay 10% here for this". my friends, if/when that event, Sol will be ripping so much higher and so 10% premium for pure play access to SOL is kind of obvious. does SOL go lower first, w/ BTC lower? if/so yes. do i have a crystal ball? i do. /sarc. so go slow, just put it on your watchlist. but if u like the setup, look to make a move eventually on something like this. GL V
OTC:OSOLLong
by VROCKSTAR
GOLD TODAY'S EXPECTED MOVEIn this analysis we are focusing on 2H time frame for finding the upcoming moves and changes in Gold price. So let's see what's happens and which opportunity market will give us. Make sure Bearish confirmation must important, when you execute your trade. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analysis or prediction. Feel free to share your thoughts on this in the comments below. I’d love to hear your reflections. #XAUUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/24/25 (most recent)MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/24/25 📈 22139.75 (NEXT LEVELS: 22281.75, 22424) 📉 21766.25 (NEXT LEVELS: 21624.25, 21482) *The target levels have experienced some discrepancies over the past few days, prompting adjustments to enhance accuracy. We are highly confident in the revised target levels for tomorrow, Friday, the 24th. Thanks!* Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰 *These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by J3Trad3s
ES may not close high this fridayCME_MINI:ESH2025 is likely will not close above Thursday high today (Friday). If it is so, then we may see the test of Thursday and Wednesday Cash session Low, which are poor low, On Monday. but that shall be only a temporary correction. ES fail to stay above Yesterday high and ON high today, but it doesn't show aggressive liquidation today. so, need more caution for shorting ES on Monday. CME_MINI:NQH2025 also doesn't show any strength on Friday session one. for now, ha
CME_MINI:ESH2025Short
by ruby_kinetix
XRP’s Next Move: Can It Reach $6.50?Good morning, trading family! XRP is at a key point right now. If it drops below $2.84, we could see it fall to the $2.70–$2.60 range before bouncing back. On the flip side, if it pushes up from $3.30, we might see it climb to $3.80—and from there, $6.50 could be in sight. It’s going to be an exciting move either way, so stay sharp! If this resonates, feel free to comment, like, or share. Let’s trade smarter and live better! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
KRAKEN:XRPUSDLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
4th post halving price predictionMy price prediction is based on technical analysis and historical data. In case you can't read the notes. NOTES: >DCA take profit when the price reaches 150k-250k every 2 weeks >Fed Rate announcement on March . >If No rate cuts = More or less 150k peak >If With Rate cuts = More or less 250k peak >March - May Peak Price Prediction Next bottom is 55k-75k which is 75%+ drop from peak The Target Peak price after the 5th halving is 900k-1m per bitcoin which is Q4 of 2028 to Q1 of 2029 after US Pres. Trump's presidential term. INDEX:BTCUSD P.S. This is Not financial advice, Do Your Own Research.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by t-rens
Global Liquidity Index Overlaid on S&P 500 Tracking the Global Liquidity Index with the S&P 500 helps understand liquidity's impact on market performance and predict future moves. The GLI offers a unified view of central bank balance sheets, converted to USD, excluding currency-pegged banks, with reliable data since 2007. Rising liquidity often leads to market growth, while declining liquidity could signal pullbacks or increased volatility. Liquidity Spikes: Sudden rises in the GLI may boost the S&P 500. Liquidity Dips: Falling liquidity may signal market decline due to higher volatility and trading difficulties. Divergence between the GLI & S&P 500: If stocks rise while liquidity falls, a correction might be coming. If liquidity rises while stocks fall, the market might catch up to the liquidity increase. The GLI indicates that risk appetite is starting to decline. High liquidity encourages risk-taking; low liquidity leads to safer investments, increasing volatility and potential market declines. Thanks for Liking and Sharing! 🥕🐇
SP:SPX
by GreyRabbitFinance
Double top BTC....next stop get WRECKEDThose following TAs and BTC historically, will know by know that it has left millions in the past to lose money. Yes, some have benefited and kudos to you! However, a massive drop is pending noting by the double top and consolidation at the top. Make no mistake that profit taking institutions will win! Retailers buying at the top will likely get wrecked esp. when it drops before 100/90k levels, it will spiral down to 70/60k easily. The new banking Presidential executive orders are nothing but hot air. Banks have been spending years trying to get BDCs out to no avail and massive gap in regulatory, compliance, audit, AML/KYC, and international protocols required for this to work. Not being the naysayer, but just be super careful as there is a lot of hotair and we say what happened to the TRUMP and MELANIA coin and pending rug. The crash will happen when people least expect in the middle of the night! Safe trading and always do your own due diligence! BTCZ....lock and loaded!!!
Short
by antonini2002
1
Bitcoin’s Big Move: Can It Hit $126K or Drop to $70K?Good morning, trading family! Bitcoin (BTC) is at a key point right now. If it breaks above $107K, there’s a good chance we’ll see it climb to $117K, and if it keeps going, $118–$119K could be next. From there, it could push all the way to $126K. But here’s the flip side—if we hit one of those levels, I’m expecting a correction. That could bring BTC back down to $80–$86K. If that doesn’t hold, we might even see it drop to $70K. If this helped, I’d love to hear your thoughts! Feel free to like, comment, or share. Let’s trade smarter and live better! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
KRAKEN:BTCUSDLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
4
Netflix Eyes $1,200: Can It Break Key Levels to Soar Higher?Good morning, trading family! Netflix (NFLX) is looking exciting right now, and here’s what I’m watching: -If we drop below $973, we might see $950 support come into play. -But if we break above $991, there’s potential for a rally to $1,055 and higher—with $1,200 as the ultimate goal. Big moves could be coming, so keep these levels on your radar! If this analysis helped you, I’d love to hear your thoughts. Drop a comment, give it a like, or share with others. Let’s trade smarter and live better! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
Is it Time for Commodity Currencies to Shine?As Trump announced tariffs on Canada and Mexico, which was bullish the USD, the CAD closed the day green as Commercial traders are net-long while Speculators are increasing their short position. Will fading this crowded trade (not max crowded yet) end up being one of the better trades during the first quarter of 2025? This is also not the only currency set up that way. Other commodity currencies include the AUD and NZD. These three currencies are where Speculators are most short. Now we wait for the market to confirm the long trade with a news failure. For new followers, the CMR process is to wait for Speculators (both small and large) to become extremely crowded and then fade their trade after a news failure in the market confirms the trade. You want to be on the same side as Commercials when the market turns. Thanks, Jason
CME:6C1!Long
by Crowded_Market_Report
15
Bitcoin compression into expansion?As one of the most historic weeks in crypto history draws to a close, it feels like the next leg in the Bullrun is upon us. The reason for this is a clear Higher low pattern going into a resistance zone @ $106,000, buyers are willing to buy up any lower timeframe dips in price at progressively higher and high levels showing strength. The 1H 200 EMA also providing clear support since being reclaimed @ $94,000 and as it gets closer and closer to the resistance level something has to give way. After all the bullish news coming out of the USA in relation to crypto and leaving the typical January dip and going into the historically bullish Feb-March months all is looking good. A bearish scenario would be a potential beartrap that punishes euphoric late longs thinking this is a simple trade, the truth is it's overcrowded and the market tends to aim for max pain at all times, max pain here is a sell-off but until this bullish structure is broken I am not worried.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by ProR35
Oracle Soars on USA AI Deal – Is $238 Next?Good morning, trading family! Here’s what I’m seeing for Oracle (ORCL) right now: If it can break above $191, we might see it push up to $199–$200. If it clears that, $230–$238 could be the next big move, especially with all the excitement around its role in the $100B U.S. AI project. But let’s stay cautious—if it drops, $179 could be the next level to watch, and if that doesn’t hold, $166 might be in play. If this analysis helped you, drop a comment below! A like, boost, or share would mean the world and help others join the conversation. Let’s crush it this week! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NYSE:ORCLLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
RingCentral | RNG | Long at $35.17RingCentral NYSE:RNG analysis: The Good: Revenues grew every from 2017 (~$500 million) to Q3 of 2024 ($2.3 billion) and recently adjusted to a "beat" for 2024 as a whole. Gross profit in Q3 of 2024 was $1.6 billion and has increased every year since 2019 Price-to-sales: 1.3x (industry average 5.7x) Rising free cash flow EBITDA positive at $190 million in Q3 of 2024 From a technical analysis perspective, my historical simple moving average has converged with the price which often leads to a future share price increase. However, it could trade sideways for a while before breaking through. The Bad: Competition, especially Microsoft Teams and other similar products in the market reducing or eliminating growth (although, this hasn't happened just yet). Recent insider selling Debt: $1.58 billion At $35.17, NYSE:RNG is in a personal buy zone. If there is a dip in the price, I anticipate the price gap in the low $30's to be filled or in a dire situation, a drop to the mid-$20's. Targets: $40.00 $45.00 $50.00 $200.00 (if momentum kicks for a long-term outlook)
NYSE:RNGLong
by WorthlessViews
Meta’s Charts Show Caution Signs Ahead of Next Week’s EarningsFacebook parent and “Magnificent Seven” member Meta Platforms NASDAQ:META will release fourth-quarter earnings next Wednesday (Jan. 29) after the bell. Let’s check out social-media giant’s technical and fundamental picture heading into the report. Meta’s Fundamental Analysis Over the past four quarters, META has moved 9.9% on average the day after reporting earnings. So, expect the potential for significant volatility and be mentally prepared for it. As I write this about a week ahead of earnings, a combination of one META call and one META put that are both 10% out of the money are trading for about $19 in combined premiums. That’s less than 3% of the stock’s $636.45 Thursday close. Analysts’ consensus view at last check was for the company to report $6.75 in GAAP earnings per share on roughly $47 billion of revenues. That would compare very well to the $5.33 in GAAP earnings per share that META reported on $40.1 billion of revenues a year ago, reflecting about 17% in year-over-year sales growth. Digging into META’s financials, the firm has been a cash-flow beast. The company had $82.7 billion in operating cash flow as of Sept. 30. And after capital expenditures, the firm still created $52.1 billion in free cash flow. Of that, META used $48.2 billion during the third quarter to repurchase common stock while dishing out $3.8 billion in cash dividends to shareholders. In short, the company returns free cash flow to its investors, which is how things really should be. Looking at META’s third-quarter balance sheet, the company ran with a $70.9 billion cash position and $91.1 billion of current assets as of Sept. 30. Current liabilities added up to $33.3 billion, which included no short-term debt and no unearned revenue. That makes the firm’s so-called current ratio easy to calculate as 2.73, which most investors would consider very healthy. Total assets amounted to $256.4 billion, of which just $21.6 billion covered so-called “intangible” assets. Total liabilities less equity came to $91.9 billion, including $28.8 billion of long-term debt. However, that's something that META could take care of almost 2-1/2 times over out of pocket with its Sept. 30 cash position, so that doesn’t look like an issue. All in, many investors would say that the firm looks extraordinarily fundamentally sound. Meta’s Technical Analysis However, META’s six-month chart as of Wednesday (Jan. 22) seems to show that the stock doesn’t look as good technically as it does fundamentally: What we see here is a lengthy “rising wedge,” as denoted by the green box above. That’s historically a pattern of bearish reversal. In fact, the most positive thing we could say about this pattern is that the wedge doesn’t yet appear ready to close (which could provoke a violent move downward if that happens). META’s Relative Strength Index (or “RSI,” the gray line at the chart’s top) is also better than neutral. Similarly, the stock’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or “MACD,” denoted by the black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom) is in decent but not great shape. The histogram of Meta’s 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with blue bars) is ever so slightly above zero. And the 12-day EMA (the black line) is running above the 26-day EMA (the gold line), if just by a smidgen. Add it all up and META’s downside pivot here would be the stock’s 50-day Simple Moving Average, denoted by the blue line above ($597.80 in the chart above vs. the stock’s $632.25 Thursday afternoon). The 50-day SMA appears to be running even with the rising wedge’s lower trendline. However, check this other chart out: This chart shows a so-called “double top” pattern of bearish reversal that stretched from mid-November to today (marked with two red boxes at right above). That pattern’s neckline -- $580 vs. Meta’s $632.25 as of Thursday afternoon -- would serve as the downside pivot here. So, technical analysis is currently flashing two bearish patterns of reversal working against further upside momentum for the stock. The one saving grace for META bulls is that the stock developed another double-top pattern back in September/October (the two red boxes at left). However, that one didn’t lead to a big sell-off. So, there’s precedent here for META to defy bearish-looking technicals. The bottom line -- caution is the word going into META’s earnings next week. The charts above don't necessarily mean that a sell-off is imminent, but there are some historically bearish technical set-ups in play. Those who are long the stock should stay on their toes and might consider hedging their positions through the options market or some other way. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle” had no position in META at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
NASDAQ:META
by moomoo
1
NZD/JPY "Kiwi vs Japanese" Forex Market Heist Plan on Bullish🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/JPY "Kiwi vs Japanese" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A bull trade can be initiated on the MA level breakout of 89.200 However I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 90.200 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Fundamental & Macro Outlook 📰🗞️ Based on the fundamental & macro analysis, I would expecting a bullish outlook for NZD/JPY "Kiwi vs Japanese" Forex Market Fundamental Analysis 1. Interest Rate Differential: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has maintained a hawkish tone, while the Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains dovish. This interest rate differential can make NZD/JPY more attractive to investors. 2. Inflation Rates: New Zealand's inflation rates have been relatively high, while Japan's inflation rates remain low. Higher inflation in New Zealand can lead to higher interest rates, making NZD/JPY more attractive. 3. Economic Growth: New Zealand's economic growth has been steady, while Japan's economy has shown signs of improvement. A stronger Japanese economy can lead to a weaker NZD/JPY. 4. Trade Balance: New Zealand's trade balance has been in deficit, while Japan's trade balance has been in surplus. A worsening trade balance in New Zealand can lead to a weaker NZD/JPY. Macroeconomic Analysis 1. Global Risk Appetite: NZD/JPY is considered a risk pair, meaning it performs well when global risk appetite is high. A decrease in global risk appetite can lead to a weaker NZD/JPY. 2. Central Bank Policies: The BoJ's monetary policy remains more dovish than the RBNZ's. A more dovish BoJ can lead to a weaker JPY, making NZD/JPY more attractive. 3. Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and North Korea, can lead to a safe-haven flow into JPY, weakening NZD/JPY. 4. Commodity Prices: New Zealand is a major exporter of commodities, so higher commodity prices can lead to a stronger NZD, making NZD/JPY more attractive. Upcoming Economic Events 1. RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement (February 22): A hawkish tone from the RBNZ can lead to a stronger NZD and a bullish NZD/JPY. 2. BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting (March 10): A dovish tone from the BoJ can lead to a weaker JPY and a bullish NZD/JPY. 3. New Zealand GDP (March 16): A strong GDP reading can lead to a stronger NZD and a bullish NZD/JPY. Conclusion Based on the analysis above, the outlook for NZD/JPY is slightly bullish. The interest rate differential, inflation rates, and commodity prices are all supportive of a stronger NZD. However, geopolitical tensions and a potential safe-haven flow into JPY can lead to a weaker NZD/JPY. Market Sentiment Indicators 1. FX Sentiment Index: 54% of traders are long on NZD/JPY, while 46% are short. (Source: FXStreet) 2. Retail Trader Sentiment: 60% of retail traders are long on NZD/JPY, while 40% are short. (Source: IG Client Sentiment) 3. Speculative Positions: The latest CFTC data shows that speculative positions are net long on NZD/JPY. (Source: CFTC) Market Sentiment Analysis The market sentiment indicators suggest that the majority of traders are bullish on NZD/JPY. This could be due to the interest rate differential between New Zealand and Japan, as well as the recent strength in commodity prices. However, it's essential to note that market sentiment can be a contrarian indicator. If the majority of traders are long on NZD/JPY, it may indicate that the market is due for a correction. Disclaimer---Sentiment & Fundamental analysis is subjective and based on publicly available data. It should not be considered as investment advice. Trading forex involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your investment. Always do your own research and consider multiple sources before making a trade. Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Long
by Thief_Trader