💷The pound is getting up on its feet💷💶Eur/💷Gbp analysis Eur/Gbp analysis
🚀In recent days, we have seen a massive purchase of the British pound following a speculative attack on this currency.
🚀It seems that the Euro has lost significantly compared to the British Pound. The price of the Eur/Gbp was pulled back to the levels before the massive breakout, which could be caused by the interference of the central
bank.
🚀From Friday's information readings, for the first time in history, inflation for the euro area has become two digits and is as high as 10%. The main component of the infomation is the increase in energy prices in the Euro zone.
🚀It is also worth noting the increase in the unemployment rate in Germany, which already amounts to 5.5%
🚀The increase in market interest rates in Great Britain, forecasting that the interest rate in Great Britain could reach 6% next year, had an impact on investors and the British Pound became an interesting asset.
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Fundamentalanalsysis
⬇️ AUD/CAD prepare for a decline? ⬇️⬇️ AUD/CAD prepare for a decline?
⬇️ Since the start of the sideways trend that took place on October 10, it has been rather dull on this pair, a few breakout attempts and nothing more.
⬇️ But today's week has a lot of important events in store for both of these pairs.
⬇️ Starting at 1:30 a.m. on Tuesday English time, we will have the Minutes meeting where the current arriving data from the Australian economy will be discussed.
⬇️ Then on Wednesday, inflation readings from Canada. In which the market is betting that inflation will recede.
⬇️ And on Thursday culminating the week with Unemployment Rate data in Australia. In which the market currently expects no change
⬇️ It's shaping up to be a really exciting week.
⬇️ Turning to the technical side on the 4H chart I am currently discussing. We can see that we are below the 2 key moving averages MA 50 AND MA 200, which signals that we are in a deep downtrend.
⬇️ Then analyzing the MACD, we see nothing special on it, only low bars signaling a small range of movement over the past few days.
⬇️ RSI, on the other hand, is below the 50 line, which signals the continuation of the downward trend.
⬇️ Similarly, with Stoch where we are oscillating near the 20% zone, the breakout of which is a strongly bearish signal.
⬇️ The small range of movements and lack of interest in the pair provoke the continuation of the downtrend
⬇️ Stop loss was set above the accumulation range
⬇️ Target was set at the round level of 0.85
⬇️ Risk/Reward: 1.58
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NZDCADBottom blue levels indicate monthly support. Market reached support, also fulfilled Daily Fibonacci "D" extension.
Anticipating market movement towards monthly resistance (after Fibonnaci extension hit market begins new retracement phase).
Monthly = Direction
Daily = High or Low price
1Hour = entry
According to daily timeframe we are at a low price, still forming new Fibonacci "ABC" sequence.
Getting early entry on lower timeframe (1Hr) as market is forming higher highs and lows.
Also notice the head and shoulders pattern formation at monthly support.
Fundamentals in favour of NZD at time of posting this. LOTS of retail sellers in the market as we know most retail traders tend to lose money...
Entry:
11:00AM SA time
SL: 0.77563
TP: 0.78821 (next resistance)
Lot: 0.5
GBPJPY Analysis Ahead of CPI Inflation ReportWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**GBPJPY - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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EUR/CAD Medium term Fundamental Bias 1.34050 stop at 1.35320
- This forecast is very valuable if you currently have trading experience.
- If you are a day trader, you can look at the technical levels and trade to the forecast direction we predicted and make more profits.
- This forecast is based on the current market sentiment and the fundamental value of the currency. Sentiment can change on the news at any time.
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HFCL - Avoid Completely-MultipleRedflagHFCL Ltd (Himachal Futuristic Communications Limited) is a diverse telecom infrastructure enabler with active interest spanning telecom infrastructure development, system integration, and manufacture and supply of high end telecom equipment, Optical Fiber and Optic Fiber Cable (OFC).
Product Portfolio
Optical Fiber Cable (OFC),
Optical Fiber,
Wi-fi systems,
Microwave radios,
Routers,
Ethernet switches,
Electronic fuses,
Electro optic devices
Revenue Break - Below break up has 2 to 3% export revenues
78% of revenues and sale of Telecom products
22% of revenues from others.
General Notes
1. Promoters shares are pledged to the extent of 44% - Redflag
2. Associated with reliance jioinfocom
3. Sales, Profits and EPS are not ok with me. Its been constanly reducing on QoQ basis which is not good
4.Cash flow is negative - Red flag
5.Interestingly cash conversion cycle is 77 days (Increased) but payables day has been decreased to 177 days ( Previously it was 262 days)
6.Public holding more than 50% - Redflag
7.Over the years it has been playing with multiple news in the markets but it has not performed a bit. Every time investors have burned hands on this
8.Techincal setup has been broken upwards. For trading this can be taken up with stoploss of Rs. 60.
Healthcare Global Enterprise - Good BSHealthcare Global Enterprises Ltd is engaged in setting up and managing hospitals and medical diagnostic services including scientific testing and consultancy services in the pharmaceutical and medical sector.
Business Area
1. Presence in Oncology value chain
2. Cancer Hospital/Networks
3. Fertility Business
4. Multispeciality hospital in 4 small towns
Revenue Break
95% from Oncology and Cancer Network
5% from Fertility and Multispeciality hospital
General Notes
1. Slowly expanding its business in smaller towns by providing quality facilities
2. Sales have been growing steadfast on QOQ basis with co turning profits in last 2 quarters
3. EPS turned positive in last 2 QOQ
4. Borrowings getting reduced from last 3 YOY but still looking significant. 1.25% of reserves are borrowings
5. Cash on balancesheet is big since they has sold their entire stake in Sept 2021, the company sold its entire 38% stake in its JV, Strand Life Sciences Pvt Ltd to Reliance Industries for ~157 crores. It acquired the oncology hospital labs and clinical trials business from the JV for ~81 crores consequent to the stake sale. It booked a profit of ~142 crores on the sale.
6. Debtor days and Payables are slowly seeing improvements which is just a begining. Lot of efforts is required to look clean
7. ROCE is meager since its EPS turned around in last 2 quarters so it might take another 6 months to have good ROCE. Presently it stands at 5%
8. IFC is investor but slowly reducing its stake.
9. Overall balancesheet looks good and worth for investment
Venus Pipes and Tubes - Hot businessVenus Pipes & Tubes Limited is a manufacturer and exporter of stainless steel pipes and tubes. The company is manufacturing stainless steel tube products in two broad categories - seamless tubes/pipes and welded tubes/pipes under which five categories of products are manufactured namely, stainless steel high precision & heat exchanger tubes, stainless steel hydraulic & instrumentation tubes, stainless steel seamless pipes, stainless steel welded pipes and stainless steel box pipes
Revenue Split FY22
Industry wise
Engineering – 60%
Chemicals - 31%
Others – 9%
Geography wise
Domestic - 46%
Stockist / Traders - 44%
Exports - 10.5%
General Notes
1. Recently listed co
2. Has 5 product lines in business with good client tele
3. Co is working on expansion plans. It already 10,800 MT installed capacity. Company is currently working on capacity expansion of Seamless & Welded Pipes/tubes from 3,600 MTPA & 7,200 MTPA to 9,600 MTPA & 14,400 MTPA, respectively along with the introduction of Mother Hollow pipes with 9,600 MTPA capacity.
Co. has proposed to install an acid regeneration plant (ARP) where the consumption of acid in the manufacturing process shall be reduced substantially and the same will help it in improving operating margins.
4.Major export presensce from FY 22
5.Short term borrowings has increased and cash flow is 0 (100% utilization). EPS has decreased on QOQ because of the expansion since internal accruals and debt is taken for these expansion
6.ROE and ROCE are not specatular but with expansion work getting in we can see the fruits in FY23
EURGBP Potential Selling Opportunity!In Today's trading session we will be monitoring EURGBP for a Selling opportunity in and around 0.866 area. Once we get a Bearish confirmation the trade will be executed and shared with our premium subscribers.
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Possible 300 pip move after confirmation My past EURGBP analysis didn't play out as planned, looking at the daily I see why. The market wasn't ready to go short yet and still isn't. I am going to be waiting for a daily choch to the downside as my confirmation. If I get con formation I will then go to lower timeframes to get a refined entry. For now I'm leaving EURGBP. Also I'll keeping an eye on fundamentals assessing if they align with technical. We have GBP interest rate next week so keep an eye on that.
The DXY - Will likely determine the fate of the broader market. Hello Traders,
As many of you know, the DXY has a large part to play in whether the broader market rallies, or dumps. Just take a look at yesterday when the broader market dumped, the dollar had a massive rally.
- Knowing that there is this correlation, we can use the DXY to help us determine what the broader market might do.
- We want to find the likely scenario for DXY, and use that likely scenario to guide our decisions for other trades.
Right now, the DXY is forming a 4Hr Bull Flag. As the name implies this could potentially lead to a bullish move. If the DXY does trend Bullish, the broader market will likely trend bearish.
As a broad statement:
DXY Bullish = Risk Assets Bearish
DXY Bearish = Risk Assets Bullish
So if the broader market is going to have a shot at a rally, the DXY needs to rollover and trend bearish.
So then how do I know whether the DXY is going to be bullish or Bearish?!
- Simple, we have support and resistance levels that will guide us.
If support breaks, the DXY will rollover and most likely create a higher low.
- This rollover will give bulls in the broader market the confidence to rally the market.
If support holds and the DXY breaks higher, the bears in the broader market will likely take price lower.
Use this chart as a guide and keep an eye on these levels.
Thanks everyone and best of luck trading!
Dabur India - Short term gain of around 14%Please refer chart for detailed explanation and Targets.
Fundamentals are strong so no need to worry even if price goes down.
If you think my analysis is helpful than please do like my idea. For future reference do follow me so that you do not miss any of my analyses.
You can also check my other analysis where we achieved 15 to 20% return in short term. Link is shared below or else you can visit my profile and check all the Ideas which I have shared.
Feel free to leave any questions you have in the comments! I will gladly respond to them.
Hopefully this helps you out a little bit. Please make your own research before investing.
P.S: This is not an investment advice. This chart is meant for learning purposes only. This is my personal viewpoint so please Invest your capital at your own risk.
USDJPY It will retrace to Support ZoneWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**USDJPY - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
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Brian & Kenya Horton, BK Forex Academy
EURCAD: BEARISH POSITIONS BELLOW 1.3138OANDA:EURCAD
Hello folks!!!,
This is my analysis brought to you after deeply analyzing the EUR/CAD Forex pair from a technical, trend and fundamental perspective:
Pivot point : 1.3138
Stop loss : 1.3175
Take profit : 1.2914
Entry Price : 1.3110
Risk/Reward Ratio : 1:3.7
If this post was useful to you, do not forget to like and comment.❤️
Trade Safely,
Best Regards,
Yasser Tavarez OANDA:EURCAD
EURCAD: BEARISH POSITIONS BELLOW 1.3138 (Updated)
THIS IS AN UPDATE FROM PREVIOUS ANALYSIS SINCE STOP LOSS WAS NOT PLACE ACCORDINGLY TO THE ACTAL ANALYSIS ON THE PREVIOUS ONE FX:EURCAD
Hello folks!!!,
This is my analysis brought to you after deeply analyzing the EUR/CAD Forex pair from a technical, trend and fundamental perspective:
Pivot point : 1.3138
Stop loss : 1.3200 (Updated)
Take profit : 1.2914
Entry Price : 1.3113 (Updated)
Risk/Reward Ratio : 1 : 3.2
If this post was useful to you, do not forget to like and comment.❤️
Trade Safely,
Best Regards,
Yasser Tavarez
Blockchain Companies: Expectation vs RealityCryptocurrency bubble?
When analyzing the financial data of companies in the blockchain/cryptoassets area, more specifically the EPS (Earnings per Share), we can see a huge discrepancy between expectation and reality.
It should be noted that some of these companies have never made a profit during their entire existence, and have negative cash flow.
The question is: to what extent has the market already priced in these negative results?
Would there be more room to fall?
Below is the concept of EPS, and shortly after a snapshot of the current EPS versus expected EPS, from the main companies in the cryptocurrency and blockchain area.
I'm not optimistic about this data, unless there's something that only I didn't see.
What is basic EPS?
Earnings per Share is the amount of earnings per share of issued, ordinary shares. When companies report financial results, earnings per share is one of the most commonly measured metrics.
(TradingView)
--------
Companies analyzed:
Marathon
Riot Blockchain
Hut 8 Mining
Coinbase
Bitfarms
BitNile
CleanSpark
Core Scientific
Argo Blockchain
Canaan
Hive Blockchain
Digital Bit
Galaxy Digital
BIT Mining
Valour
Ebang
Greenidge
Iren
The Blockchain Group
TeraWulf
--------
ETFs analyzed:
Proshares Bitcoin Strategy
Grayscale Ethereum Trust
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust
BTC MarketAction Analysis (Techno/Funda Analysis)After breaking its ascending channel that lasted for about 2 months, BTC fell in a falling wedge from the 25,000 to 19,500.
Now BTC is in its demand range and according to the importance of this level which has the potential to reverse price, and the orders available in this range, there are 2 scenarios:
Bullish scenario : It is possible that if the demand increases in this range, the price will rise to the $25,000 range.
Bearish scenario : considering the macro factors ( Economic Data, Inflation, War, Political conflict about the JCPOA which can lead to gas shortage in upcoming winter) and also the price ranging at this level unlike the previous times, if demand decreases and sell pressure increases, we may once again see the price drop to the 17,500 and if it does not hold above this range there is a possibility that the next support will be seen at the 16,400 range.
Fundamentals versus Technical Analysis - Part OneMany people believe that fundamentals are responsible for causing the price to move up and down.
This traditional view couldn't be further from the truth.
Fundamentals are in fact just a story, a narrative. Let me explain.
In the chart you can see 3 price rises represented by 3 arrows.
The fundamentals whether in the financial times, Twiitter, Forbes, NBC, YouTube, Facebook e.t.c would tell you that the price rise was due to:
Whales heavily invested in this crypto on those days.
Or that they trillions of crypto were burnt on those days,
or that Binance and other platforms decided to list that crypto coin on those days. e.t.c These are some examples of fundamentals
Fundamentals have NO bearing on up or down price movement.
See Part 2 to understand why....