Fundamental Market Analysis for December 12, 2024 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims
GBPUSD:
On Wednesday, GBP/USD exhibited limited movement, stalling near 1.27500 in response to the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November, which aligned with market expectations. The remainder of the week is relatively quiet in terms of UK economic data, with the US Producer Price Index (PPI) scheduled for release on Thursday.
The US PPI inflation rate saw a slight increase in the year to November, with core PPI inflation rising from 2.6% to 2.7% year-on-year. Core PPI inflation remained unchanged at 3.3% year-on-year. Additionally, monthly core CPI inflation increased in November, rising from 0.2% in October to 0.3% month-on-month. Despite the overall increase in core inflation, Wednesday's CPI figures were largely in line with expectations, maintaining a moderate outlook for investors.
CME's FedWatch tool indicates that there is now a 95% probability of a 25 bps rate cut when the Fed meets for its latest rate meeting on 18 December. Despite a short-term rise in CPI inflation, investors have concluded that the fluctuations in the published data are insufficient to prompt the Fed to reverse its latest quarter-point rate cut to end 2024.
US PPI inflation is expected to decline on Thursday, with markets anticipating a similar outcome to this week's CPI data. Producer-level inflation is projected to increase at the front end of the curve but remain near recent levels. The core price index is forecast to rise to 3.2% y/y, up slightly from the previous reading of 3.1%.
Trading recommendation: We follow the level of 1.27500, when fixing above it we consider Buy positions, when rebounding we consider Sell positions.
Fundamentalanalsysis
TradeCityPro | WTI Analysis Fundamental and Technical Insights👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s step away from the crypto space and analyze West Texas Intermediate (WTI) from both technical and fundamental perspectives.
🌍 Fundamental Overview
Supply Dynamics: U.S. shale oil production and OPEC+ decisions are key drivers. Escalating tensions in the Middle East, such as the Israel-Gaza conflict or Iran-related sanctions, pose significant risks to global oil supply.
Demand Trends : Economic growth and seasonal fluctuations influence demand, but the rise of renewables signals a gradual reduction in reliance on crude oil.
Geopolitical Factors : The Middle East, a hub for major oil producers, heavily impacts markets. Regional conflicts often lead to price spikes due to supply concerns.
Macroeconomic Trends : A stronger U.S. dollar and rising interest rates suppress oil demand, while inflationary pressures support higher prices.
Recent instability in the Middle East has heightened market volatility, underlining WTI's sensitivity to geopolitical events.
🕒 4-Hour Time Frame
In the 4-hour timeframe, WTI has been trending downward, nearing a key daily support level at 66.938, which has held multiple times and may attract buyers, shifting momentum.
📈 Long Position Trigger
wait for the 4-hour trendline breakout and trigger confirmations, such as RSI exceeding 73.48. The current 4-hour candle breaking the trendline could signal entry.
📉 Short Position Trigger
if the candle is rejected and turns red with strong bearish momentum or breaks below 66.938, it could trigger a sell opportunity in the market.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
AUDUSD→At Critical Support Level's Could It Drop Further ?OrNot!FX:AUDUSD
The AUD/USD chart reveals that since late October, the pair has been in a downtrend. This is largely driven by monetary policy differences: while the Federal Reserve has begun cutting interest rates, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has yet to initiate rate reductions.
Tomorrow, the RBA will announce its decision on interest rates. All 44 economists surveyed by Reuters expect the rate to remain at 4.35%, given persistently high core inflation (3.5%) and low unemployment.
Previously, experts forecasted rate cuts in the first quarter of 2025. However, most now anticipate reductions no earlier than the second quarter, as the RBA focuses on bringing inflation back to its 2–3% target range.
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 09, 2024 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair commenced the new week in a subdued manner, fluctuating within a narrow trading range below the mid-1.27000s during the Asian session. Spot prices remain well below the three-week highs reached on Friday, with the 1.28000 mark still out of reach. However, the fundamental backdrop suggests that caution is warranted for those with a bullish outlook.
The US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, released on Friday, indicated that the unemployment rate increased in November and confirmed expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) would reduce borrowing costs in December. However, the initial market reaction proved to be short-lived, with investors betting that the US central bank would either slow the pace or halt the rate-cutting cycle in January. This in turn enabled the US dollar (USD) to maintain a position above its lowest level in almost a month, which exerted a negative influence on the GBP/USD ratio.
Furthermore, the ongoing geopolitical tensions, China's economic challenges and concerns over US President-elect Donald Trump's upcoming trade tariffs are additional factors supporting the US dollar as a safe haven. The British pound has encountered resistance from investors in the face of a dovish outlook from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, who anticipates four interest rate cuts in 2025. This further constrained the GBP/USD exchange rate as market participants await the release of US consumer inflation data, which is expected to provide a boost to the currency.
The much-anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, scheduled for release on Wednesday, is expected to provide further insights into the trajectory of the Fed rate cut and inform policymakers' decisions at the upcoming December meeting. This will play a pivotal role in driving demand for the US dollar in the near term and influencing the next phase of the GBP/USD pair's directional movement. Additionally, the speech by Bank of England Deputy Governor David Ramsden on Monday may impact the GBP price dynamics, presenting short-term opportunities for traders.
Trading recommendation: We follow the level of 1.27000, when fixing above it we consider Buy positions, when rebounding we consider Sell positions.
GBPCAD Analysis - Bearish - Trade 06GBPCAD Analysis Overview
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1. Seasonality
GBP: Seasonality indicates a **sell** signal for GBP in the first week of December.
CAD: Seasonality suggests a **strong buy** signal for CAD.
Seasonality Bias: Sell GBPCAD
---
2. COT Report
GBP:
COT RSI: 52 weeks at 30%, 26 and 13 weeks at bottom.
COT Index: 3-year at 50%, 1-year at 30%, indicating weak positioning for GBP.
Net Non-Commercial: Decreasing, showing a bearish sentiment.
CAD:
COT RSI: 52, 26, and 13 weeks at 20% and increasing, showing bullish momentum.
COT Index: 3-year and 1-year at 20% and increasing, aligning with a buy sentiment.
Net Non-Commercial: Increasing, with a positive bias.
COT Bias: Sell GBPCAD.
---
3. Fundamental Analysis
Leading Economic Indicators:
GBP: Decreasing, signaling economic weakness.
CAD: Increasing, pointing to economic strength.
Endogenous Factors:
GBP: Decreasing, aligning with a sell sentiment.
CAD: Increasing, further supporting a buy stance.
Exogenous Factors:
GBPCAD exogenous signal indicates a buy CAD, sell GBP sentiment.
Fundamental Bias: Sell GBPCAD.
---
4. Technical Analysis
RSI Divergence: Bearish divergence identified, indicating potential downside movement.
Breakout Indicator: A red arrow confirms bearish momentum on key breakout levels.
Resistance Zone: Price is currently at a strong resistance zone, showing rejection patterns.
Technical Bias: Sell GBPCAD.
---
Final Bias: Sell GBPCAD
The alignment across seasonality, COT data, fundamental indicators, and technical analysis strongly supports a sell setup for GBPCAD.
$BTC #Bitcoin Just Gonna Leave This Here (Hmmmm..Maybe?) 😝This is just adding onto my logarithmic regression-inversion theory and how I personally believe the $BTC price movements may specifically play out. The general theory is that the logarithmic regression of $BTC will invert at a certain point in the next 1-3 years, changing the price suppression $BTC has had for its whole life into exponential support. I personally believe this is very possible, with exponential adoption of #Bitcoin for things like sovereign wealth funds, countries' legal tender and possibly even a world reserve asset. If those things (plus other possible variables) occur then this is how I see that possibly playing out.
Here is a detailed explanation of what I personally believe is happening/going to happen here.
Phase 1:
There would be a breakdown of price like we have now (possibly) completed. This would be in order to accomplish a few things for global institutions. Some of those things are:
1) Get Bitcoin out of the hands of the "common man". It would not be possible to acquire the amount of $BTC needed with so many people holding.
2) Cause liquidity issues for exchanges, making it more difficult for just anyone to purchase. (We have already seen this. ex: Voyager, Celsius, etc.)
3)Allow large accounts to be created at more feasible prices, while also providing a good (high) enough entry price to sustain value for the overall asset in the eyes of the public. (To keep people from losing interest)
There are obviously more reasons, but that's another post.
Phase 2:
A relief rally back up to the median range. This will obviously be a very volatile range, as 50% of investors sell (expecting a sharp move downward) and others (possibly the central financial institutions and/or sovereign wealth funds, who will not initially disclose their acquisitions) accumulating within this range.
Because of this volatility, the likely range it will be in, the immediate supports/resistances, and the typical movement of the $BTC price; My current prediction is that $BTC will move upward, after flipping the top of the recent range into support, and break above the main down-trend of a massive flag that $BTC has been forming for over a year. Then after a retest of that upper trend, price will attempt to break the new-found resistance as traders long from that trend line. Believing that this is the last upward movement, traders will then short the resistance level, and other holders may sell out of fear (or just simply because they will be at a break-even price, since a lot of volume was transacted in that range). This range will then prove to be the median range, previously mentioned. $BTC will then make a lower low, again at the upper trend of the flag. This will seem like a "bear-signal" but will actually be a second confirmation of support off of the upper-resistance trend of the flag, which will "fake-out" traders, causing a short squeeze. Then more traders will continue to short as others switch to a long stance. All of these movements will print an inverse-head-and-shoulders, the break-out of which will give $BTC price the momentum needed to make it back up to the $60K-$70K range.
Phase 3:
After making it back to the "all-time-high" range, there will undoubtedly be heavy volatility, as some call for a triple-top and others "FOMO" into #Bitcoin. This volatility, bouncing between the upper regression curve and the inversion curve, will begin to print a "rising-wedge" pattern. The break-out of this wedge will be the ultimate inversion of regression into exponential growth.
This is all pure speculation, however it is based on both, strong fundamental data as well as technical data. I personally believe in this theory, and it could also play out in other ways, but this scenario seems to make the most sense to me at the moment.
**This is my own opinion based on data observed. This is not financial advice.**
GBPUSD → Channel breakout. Attempt to change the trendFX:GBPUSD finds an opportunity to grow. A breakout of the local trend resistance is forming amid the dollar correction. Zones of interest: 1.300
The retest of the intermediate bottom ends with reversal candlestick patterns and market reversal structure. The big question is: How long will it last? It all depends on the dollar. The US market received negative jobless claims data yesterday, which may also affect the NFP, which will be released later today. A worse-than-expected data will intensify the dollar correction, pointing to the problems in the economy (against what Powell said recently). In such a scenario, forex currencies may get a chance for a small rally.
Technically, a channel breakout is a good signal that could turn into a strong momentum, but apparently traders are not in a hurry yet....
Resistance levels: 1.284, 1.300
Support levels: 1.272, 1.261, 1.2488
Accordingly, if a false breakout of resistance is formed and the price falls beyond 1.272, then we should expect a decline to 1.24. But at the moment there are positive signs to gain from 1.275 to 1.300 in the medium term.
TradeCityPro | XAGUSD Analysis Ready to Move👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let’s step away from the crypto market and Bitcoin's ATHs for a moment to take a closer look at Silver (XAGUSD). We'll analyze this chart technically and identify potential triggers for entry.
🌟 XAG Fundamentals
Silver (XAG) is one of the most versatile and historically significant commodities, valued both as a store of wealth and for its industrial applications. Understanding its fundamentals helps in
Mining Production: Major silver-producing countries include Mexico, China, Peru, and Russia. Any disruptions, such as strikes or environmental policies, directly impact supply.
Industrial Demand: Around 50% of silver's demand comes from industrial applications, such as electronics, solar panels, medical devices, and batteries.
Investment Demand: Silver is often seen as a hedge against inflation and is regarded as a "safe-haven asset" during periods of economic uncertainty.
Silver-Gold Ratio: Silver typically follows gold but tends to show higher volatility. A rising silver-to-gold ratio signals that silver is undervalued relative to gold, and vice versa.
Silver is a more affordable option for investors who want exposure to precious metals but cannot afford gold.
⏳ 4-Hour Time Frame
On the 4-hour chart, we see that the movements are clean and logical, making it easy to identify support and resistance levels. Most price actions have been steady, without unnecessary fluctuations, making this chart suitable for identifying trading opportunities.
📈 Long Position Trigger
We are currently trading in a box between 29.79 and 31.38, with the price at the upper boundary. A breakout above 31.38 would signal an opportunity for a long position, with the target set at 32.32.
📉 Short Position Trigger
If the 31.38 resistance proves to be a fake breakout, a short position could be considered after a break below 30.76, or after a consolidation period that weakens buyers’ momentum. Additionally, if the price breaks below 29.79, it would provide another opportunity for a short position.
By carefully observing these levels and market behavior, you can find suitable trading setups while managing your risk effectively.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | CADCHF Weekly Triggers for Precision Trading👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let’s step away from the crypto world and dive into a Forex analysis to prepare solid triggers for opening positions this week :)
🌐 Fundamentals Recap
CAD: Strengthened by oil prices and Bank of Canada policies. Hawkish stances and higher oil prices are supportive.
CHF: safe haven gaining in risk-off markets, driven by Swiss National Bank actions and global uncertainty.
Key Dynamics: Risk-on sentiment supports CAD; risk-off favors CHF.
📊 4-Hour Chart Analysis
The pair is in a range-bound structure between 0.6274 (support) and 0.6316 (resistance). The last 4-hour candle engulfed the previous 6, signaling a bearish outlook.
Before this range, a strong green weekly candle formed but was fully engulfed in the subsequent week, emphasizing the longer-term downtrend.
CADCHF is near its historical lows, which might attract selling pressure for continuation moves.
📈 Long Position Trigger
Avoid longs for now. A bullish breakout above 0.6351 with higher highs and lows would be necessary to justify a long position.
📉 Short Setup
break below 0.62741 with confirmation (e.g., RSI below 31.21) offers a solid shorting opportunity.
Stop Loss Tip: Let the range consolidate for one or two more candles to tighten your stop-loss and refine your entry.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Sell EUR/USD Bearish FlagThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0500, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0442
2nd Support – 1.040
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 29, 2024 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
13:00 EET. GBP - BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks
GBPUSD:
The GBP/USD currency pair had a quiet session on Thursday, with trading activity on the thin side and the pair holding near the 1.27000 mark. US markets were closed on Thursday due to the Thanksgiving holiday, and Friday will also see reduced trading hours in the US, resulting in a generally low volume second half of the trading week.
The Bank of England's (BoE) latest Financial Stability Report is scheduled for release in the US market on Friday morning. It is unlikely that this release will have a significant impact on the performance of the cable markets. Nevertheless, it would be prudent for traders to remain vigilant in anticipation of low-volume bursts of volatility. Due to shortened trading hours in the US on Friday, overall market liquidity will be significantly reduced, increasing the potential for large orders to impact the bid price.
Next week's scheduled economic data releases are also unlikely to be favourable for the pound. There will be a paucity of significant data releases in the UK next week, while market participants will be closely monitoring the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, scheduled for release on Friday, 6 December. The upcoming NFP will assume heightened importance for traders, given the recent shift in focus towards potential indications of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). However, a notable change in the NFP figures could have a significant impact on Treasury rates, prompting new discussions about the optimal number of rate cuts in 2025.
Trading recommendation: We follow the level of 1.27000, when fixing above it we consider Buy positions, when rebounding we consider Sell positions.
INMODE - $INMD THE NEW H5 SETUP! 35% Move Inbound🚀 INMODE - NASDAQ:INMD THE NEW H5 SETUP 🚀
This is a amazing company I used to be invested in before they tanked hard due to the war. Now that it is coming to an end and investors are coming back to Israel's beaten down companies in groves they are set for large moves! We are already in NASDAQ:MBLY now we are jumping in full force into NASDAQ:INMD ( Under 2B market cap and against my rules but I've invested in this company in the past and understand the business at a high level so I'm okay with it as a trade and investment! Buying for both!!!)
Company Details:
InMode Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures and markets minimally-invasive aesthetic medical products. It also designs, develops, manufactures and markets non-invasive medical aesthetic products that target a array of procedures including permanent hair reduction, facial skin rejuvenation, wrinkle reduction, cellulite treatment, skin appearance and texture and superficial benign vascular and pigmented lesions. The company was founded by Moshe Mizrahy and Michael Kreindel on January 2, 2008 and is headquartered in Yokneam, Israel.
H5 Trade Setup:
- H5 Indicator is GREEN
- Broke out of a Falling Wedge pattern and already retested.
- Launching off our volume shelf to the next launch pad.
- Above 25 and now 50 Moving Averages (BULLISH)
- Wr% Consolidation Box formed and thriving.
- MACD about to cross zero line
🎯$21
📏$26
⏳27MAY2025
Intrinsic (Fair Value) base on fundamentals: $28
NFA
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 26, 2024 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Meeting Minutes
GBPUSD:
The GBP/USD is making small gains throughout the day, but is unable to regain the 1.26000 technical level. Market flows are not providing the necessary strength to support the Pound. The UK economic calendar is relatively inactive this week. Fresh US inflation data on Wednesday will lead to a shorter trading week in the US as Americans prepare for the Thanksgiving holiday.
A general improvement in risk appetite across the market led to a decline in the US dollar's trading value at the start of the new trading week, providing a slight boost to the pound. The cable remained in demand, with prices approaching the 1.26000 mark. The week ahead will be challenging for traders, with a limited number of scheduled releases. Market activity in the US session is expected to be subdued on Tuesday and Wednesday, in anticipation of the Thanksgiving holiday.
The minutes of the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting will be released later on Tuesday, providing insight for traders into the Federal Reserve's (Fed) latest deliberations on the direction of interest rates going forward. The next update of the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCEPI), a key indicator of price growth in the US economy, will be released on Wednesday. On Wednesday, the latest figures for US gross domestic product (GDP) growth will be released. Annual core PCEPI inflation is forecast to accelerate again in October, rising from 2.7% to 2.8%. Meanwhile, US GDP growth is expected to remain at 2.8% in quantitative terms in the third quarter.
Trading recommendation: We follow the level of 1.26000, when fixing above it we consider Buy positions, when rebounding we consider Sell positions.
#SHIB 1H. Rising triangle and speculation. 11/22/24
The price has formed an ascending triangle pattern, managed to reach the support level (duringa local correction), and quickly bounced back. Considering these and other factors, I’m looking at this as a potential opportunity for speculation, anticipating further upward movement.
As for you, I recommend entering a position at your own discretion—the decision is yours!
The extreme target is $0.00003042
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 20, 2024 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
15:00 EET. EUR - ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks
EURUSD:
On Tuesday, the EUR/USD was trading between the 1.0550 and 1.06000 levels. It tested the lower boundary but then recovered, adding just 0.14% for the day. The final data on EU Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation had little impact on market movements, and the greenback will have to settle for a limited release schedule this week.
The European core HICP inflation rate remained at 2.0% y/y in October, in line with preliminary data. The data did not generate interest in the euro markets and was not a focus on either side of the bid-ask spread. US data remains inactive until the second half of the trading week, when jobless claims and retail sales data will be released.
On Wednesday, ECB President Lagarde will deliver the opening remarks at the ECB's Financial Stability and Macroprudential Policy Conference. The ECB finds itself in a challenging position, with European inflation holding firm against initial expectations and the broader European economy displaying a lopsided tilt.
The first half of the US trading week will see few economic data releases. On Thursday, average initial jobless claims will be published, which are expected to show a slight increase in the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the week ending 15 November. US Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data will be released this week, but will not impact investors until Friday.
Trading recommendation: We follow the level of 1.06000, when fixing above it we consider Buy positions, when rebounding we consider Sell positions.
DON'T SELL HIMS UNTIL YOU WATCH THIS FIRST!DON'T SELL YOUR NYSE:HIMS SHARES UNTIL YOU WATCH THIS FIRST🛑
In this video, we will discuss:
-Why you shouldn't sell on the NASDAQ:AMZN health news
-Amazons multiple failed business adventures
-How NYSE:HIMS is still ok even if Amazon is successful
-Fundamental and Technical analysis
You will want to buy not sell after you watch this video
NFA
EURUSD LONG TRADE IDEAMARKET MAKERS BIAS (CFTC COT INDEX REPORT)
>Commercials (Blue Line) - Still at the Bullish zone
>Retailers (Red Line) - Still at the Bearish zone (Always Wrong)
>Fund Managers (Orange Line) - The Trend Followers, They are rolling over positions and added long positions this week.
Value Correlation vs. USD
>Oversold (Bullish), The EURO is 98% Negatively Correlated to US Dollar
Technical Analysis
>Since our bias for the money makers and Value Correlation analysis is Bullish, therefore we use Supply and Demand to look for a reason to be Bullish which is to find a Quality demand zone
>Our highlighted Weekly/Daily Demand zone has explosive imbalance candles that could mean there could still be unfilled orders that was not filled before.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It reflects general market fundamentals and personal speculation. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Trade at your own risk.
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 08, 2024 EURUSDEvents to pay attention to today:
17:00 EET. USD - UoM Consumer Sentiment
18:00 EET. USD - FOMC Member Michelle W. Bowman Speaks
EURUSD:
The EUR/USD exchange rate is declining towards 1.07800 due to increased demand for the US dollar during Asian trading hours on Friday. Furthermore, the prospect of increased tariffs under the Trump administration is exerting downward pressure on the euro relative to the US dollar. Analysts anticipate further market movements based on the release of the expanded Michigan consumer sentiment data for November, as well as a speech by Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Michelle Bowman on Friday.
As anticipated, the US Federal Reserve reduced its key interest rate by 25 basis points at its November meeting on Thursday. The US central bank is keen to avoid any further weakening of the labour market and still anticipates a gradual decline in inflation towards the Fed's 2% target. It is anticipated that the Fed will continue to reduce interest rates at forthcoming meetings, although the precise timing remains unclear. The Fed will continue to assess data in order to determine the appropriate pace and direction of interest rate cuts.
Mr. Trump has pledged to impose a 10% tariff on imports from all countries, which has exerted downward pressure on the euro. The European Union has the second-largest trade deficit with the United States in the world and is the largest exporter to the United States, according to JPMorgan.
Furthermore, the European Central Bank (ECB) is reducing interest rates at a faster pace than the Federal Reserve. This may result in a depreciation of the euro against the US dollar. The ECB has already reduced rates three times this year due to declining inflation risks in the Eurozone. Growing expectations of another rate cut are contributing to the euro's decline in the near term.
Trading recommendation: We follow the level of 1.08000, when fixing above it we consider Buy positions, when rebounding we consider Sell positions.
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 7, 2024 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today:
21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Rate Decision
USDJPY:
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is experiencing difficulty in registering a notable recovery against its US counterpart and is currently trading at a level approaching its lowest point since 30 July. The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) limited ability to raise interest rates and the prevailing risk-on environment continue to undermine the safe-haven yen. Furthermore, the rise in US Treasury bond yields, driven by the return of Republican Donald Trump as the 47th President of the United States (US), has contributed to the downward pressure on the low-yielding yen.
Meanwhile, the overnight decline prompted a verbal intervention from Japanese authorities, which may provide some support to the yen and help limit losses. The US dollar (USD) is currently trading just below the four-month high reached on Wednesday, amid optimism over growth and inflation. This could limit the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to cut interest rates. This could provide further encouragement for the USD/JPY pair ahead of the highly anticipated Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision this Thursday.
Trade recommendation: Trading mainly by Sell orders from the current price level.