AAPL SHORT TRADE OUTLOOK ON EARNINGS REPORT DAY OCT.31, 2024NASDAQ:AAPL SHORT TRADE IDEA:
WEEKLY FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
>P/E Ratio (Quarterly Lookback): Apple's P/E is currently at 35.6, signaling overvaluation (typically anything above 25 is considered overvalued).
>Correlation: Both Apple's P/E ratio and value compared to Treasury bonds are flashing overvalued signals.
DAILY OUTLOOK:
>Short-term and long-term value correlations vs T-bonds and P/E ratios suggest the stock may remain overbought until the upcoming earnings report, which could act as a catalyst.
>Election Year Seasonality is strongly bearish as well.
TECHNICAL INSIGHT:
>AAPL may pull back to fill a previous price gap before slowing down.
Stay sharp, traders! 🎯 #AAPL #ShortTrade #MarketAnalysis #Investing
Disclaimer: This post is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It reflects general market fundamentals and personal speculation. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Trade at your own risk.
Fundamentalsanalysis
Palantir Technologies and a strong look into its FundamentalsNYSE:PLTR is one of the most popular stocks of the last 2 years , and not for no reason being a high revenue growth stock "16.8% Growth Rate" , My personal problem with the stock lays with the valuation holding a PE Ratio of 201x, and a forward PE Ratio of 172.5x, a 20.1x Price to Books Ratio, and a 32.8x Price to Sales (Revenue) Ratio. an interesting Return on Equity of 10% , A Return on Assets of 4.6% , And an Return on Capital Employed of 6.7% , with Net margins of 16.3%. Being Completely "Debt" free according to there Balance Sheet
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Valuation:
PE Ratio: 201x
Forward PE Ratio: 172.5x
Price to Sales: 32.8x
Price to Books Ratio: 20.1x
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Balance Sheet:
Cash: US$4.00b
Debt: US$0
Equity: US$4.14b
Total Liabilities: US$1.05b
Total Assets: US$5.19b
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Strengths and Weaknesses:
The Valuation to me personally is a weakness, however the Balance sheet is a Strength in my view. I think based on the price I currently would wait to add this one to my own portfolio however all investors and traders are different.
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Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and in no way am I signaling a sell, buy, or hold opinion on this stock (Palantir Technologies) I am just giving my personal opinion as a hobby trader, I have no certifications and I am not a financial analyst, I also may be wrong about how I feel about the stock. I want you to do plenty more research on this and the stocks you are interested in because the stock market always holds a lot of risk that may pose different risks and overall be different for each investor and trader. Please do not make opinions based on this idea or any idea. Please be careful! this post is only for conversation.
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Idea:
SHIB Up Up Up and Away Only Believers Will be Here to StayPrice has been pushing up for a few days now and this has been great. I am still conducting research and analyzing SHIB, but do have some thoughts currently. I am thinking, SHIB is likely to continue higher after it has a decent pull back. This might happen at the 0.000015 to 0.00002 lvl. There are those that likely bought at 0.000006 or somewhere near here and will likely keep holding as long as price keeps pushing higher. If price starts ranging or has a strong push lower, there will be a lot of people who might get shaken out. Now if and when price starts pushing higher, there will be those that have been holding SHIB for a while, who will likely exit because they want to get away from the regretful feeling of getting in and having to hold for so long, to those that just want to breakeven. After these players are shaken out, I am thinking, that once price starts pushing higher (because the players that want to be in for the long haul will take the price drop as a discount to buy more) price will push back near the 0.00002, the hype might start increasing and people will come in and likely pump it up to around 0.00005. Once this happens, there will likely be another drop, to around the 0.00003 lvl, and then another pump to 0.00005. Once this is cracked, there will be a lot of news about how SHIB could drop another 0, price will pump up a little higher, then FOMO will start hitting the coin. If this happens around or near the BTC halving, price could pull back and then hit 0.00015. This would push SHIB to be the 3rd Crypto by market cap on the list, but that's if the other coins don't have similar moves as SHIB, which I think the other coins market caps will push higher also (which will likely put SHIB around the 7th or 8th position).
These are my thoughts and trading carries a lot of risk. Do your own due diligence before following anyone of taking there advice and manage your own risk according to what suits you.
Have some great trading own there.
Will the Yen Surge? When the FED and BOJ Diverge?With the potential of the Federal Reserve lower rates and the possibility that the BOJ will increase interest rates, this could be a great trade. The BOJ has kept interest rates in the negatives for quite some time and after years and years, inflation was able to manifest itself and push the BOJ to be one of the last Central Banks of the G7 nations to increase rates. I am thinking with a divergence between the FED and BOJ, price could move lower to the 130 lvl. If the 150 lvl is breached and price is able to hold above it for a significant time (after the BOJ and FED meetings in a few days) , then traders and investors will likely push price above the 152 lvl. The BOJ may attempt to conduct Forex operations, but with the amount it has done so far, it would likely have minimal effects and will likely be forced to raise rates and/or adjust its YCC further. Either way, I think the over trend is going to be to the downside.
Do your own due diligence when placing a trade trade. Manage your risk. You could lose more than you put in. Y'all have some great trading out there.
SMR approaching DCA opprtunityNYSE:SMR is approaching a potential entry point for the start of a DCA strategy for a long term hold.
SUMMARY
Wait to see where the price moves. Using a combination of RSI reaching 30 and the price falling to (with a 3 day filter) around $4 or if the price continues to fall then around $2 (another 3 day filter at this level too), begin entry with a DCA strategy. Alternatively, if the price rises above $6, after a 3 day filter, begin DCA. If the price starts forming a flag between $5 and $5.80, enter once RSI has reached 30 (for those with a higher risk appetite can just use the RSI as an indicator) or await a range breakout/down to either enter at the $4 or $2 or $6 level as described above with or without a three day filter.
The price was seeing exponential growth in the leadup to the latest quarterly earnings report and popped a few days after. However, the price has subsequently fallen back down and now seems to be forming a pattern.
It is unknown really what caused the price to jump. And there has not been any significant insider trading on the day (or lead up to the day) where the price recently peaked.
The company itself has a healthy balance sheet and debt/equity ratio. It is still in the growth phase as they build somewhat emerging tech (nuclear power is established but their approach to providing customers modular smaller power stations is unique) and a large part of their customer base is still a maturing market (power hungry data centres wanting their own onsite nuclear power source, particularly those now being setup for providing AI). The company's income statement reflects this as net income over the recent years remains negative and is also not showing an upwards trajectory.
With this in mind this would be a stock for a long term hold with a DCA investment strategy until, whichever comes first, either a total dollar figure invested is reached or the company becomes long term profitable (i.e. exits the growth phase).
With the recent price fluctuations it is crucial to not enter too early as due to the immature nature of the industry and company, the price also has a high likelihood of remaining at a low level for quite some time. However, a DCA entry opportunity is also forming based on one of the 3 of the more likely price trend scenarios described in the chart. Details on these are as follows.
Scenarios 1 and 2:
Wait to see which way the price begins to move and see if it falls to one of the two support levels identified, make use of the RSI to identify the optimum entry point. If the price falls to $4, add in a 3 day filter to see if the price doesn't fall further and likewise add in a 3 day filter if the price continues to fall from $4 to $2. If the RSI has reached 30, and the 3 day filter has shown that $4 or $2 were a support level begin DCA. If the price continues to fall below 2, halt the DCA to see where the price becomes stable and then restart once the RSI starts trending upwards again.
Scenario 3:
If the price begins ranging between $5.30 and $5.80, depending on risk appetite, begin DCA once the RSI reaches 30 or starts trending upwards. If the price breaks out above $6, then add in a 3 day filter to ensure the breakout wasn't a false dawn, and start the DCA investment independent of where the RSI is.
NZDUSD I Bullish USD unemployment claims it will come downWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NZDUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Let Us Learn and Earn with them SHIB token BurnsI've been thinking and wanted to jot it down, on how things can end up with SHIB. I have a little story before we get into it, about how SHIB moves could be similar to how I saw the rise in DOGE. In 2018 I purchased around a couple thousand coins of DOGE at around 0.002. I eventually sold out my coins, made a little bit, and didn't think too much of it. Fast forward to 2021, there was a ton of PR around DOGE. News outlets were covering it. Influencers and Celebrities were all over it, pumping the coin up. Even billionaires were buying into it. What got me about it was that people that are not even in the crypto space or do anything with the markets, were talking about it. I had one person tell me how he had a large position in the coin and he was not going to sell. But another person that I knew, he had done no trading what so ever, said he was in DOGE trading it. At that point I knew that it was close to DOGE having a significant drop. Additionally, with SHIB having an extraordinary rise, random people started coming up to me asking if I had any SHIB positions.
This could possibly happen with SHIB again. There is a consistent amount of PR, but until it hits the mainstream like DOGE or how BTC and ETH did in 2017, there might be some movement but not as much as when the hype is there. Fundamentals can move the markets but not as much as people's feelings. At currently lvls, market cap is around 6.073 million, if SHIBarium does burn 5 trillion coins per month and pushes the total amount to 289 trillion total coins in the market (in 5 years), that would make price 0.000021.
It'll take another wave to push price higher or further burns (if SHIB total supply drops below hundreds of trillions to single digit trillions) to drop a few more zeros. Price could hit the $0.01 lvl or even the $1 as people have been talking about, but again, it would take burns along with more people pushing into the coin. With a lot of negative things going on surround promoting alt coins, there might be less influencers, celebrities, billionaires, sports players, and so on, wanting to put their name out there.
There is a lot of work going into developing SHIB. Most notably SHIBarium. SHIB started off on Uniswap with very little value. The coin started gaining traction and is trading on exchanges such as Kucoin, Webull, Binance, Robinhood, Coinbase. I think SHIB has a future and as long as there is constantly moves forwards, ensures the utility of the token, the SHIBArmy strengthens and keeps growing strong, and a steady stream of PR, this coin will hit $0.01 in 2030.
These are my own thoughts. Do your own due diligence when deciding to trade. Trading carries a lot of risk where you could lose more then you put in. This is for educational purposes and not investment or financial advise. I do have positions in SHIB.
Y'all have some good trading out there.
EURGBP Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session, our focus is on the EURGBP currency pair, specifically looking for a favorable buying opportunity around the 0.85750 zone. The recent price action of EURGBP has been showing a downtrend, but it has successfully broken out of that trend. At present, the pair is undergoing a correction phase, and it is nearing a critical area of support and resistance at 0.85750.
From a fundamental standpoint, we are closely monitoring potential short positions on the GBP in anticipation of the upcoming Bank of England rate decision and any accompanying forward guidance. The GBP is showing signs of being overbought, which could potentially lead to a reversal in its current strength. This development could further support our interest in considering a long position on EURGBP.
To summarize, we are closely observing EURGBP for a buying opportunity around the 0.85750 zone due to the recent breakout from its downtrend. Additionally, we are keeping an eye on potential GBP short positions given the impending BoE rate decision and the perceived overbought conditions of the GBP.
Trade safe. Joe.
CHFJPY I How far will it go and what to expectWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** CHFJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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TSLA to Continue Cruising Tesla is set to continue cruising upward despite strong sell indicators arising and constantly failing. Tesla is defying the odds in this hot market and with news of the $7500 tax credit for owning a Tesla automobile, the stock will only further rise. Fundamentals can impact trading to a point where the technicals are useless. The debt ceiling deal bull run is also in effect and should be simmering down this week.
XAUUSD | GOLD | DECRYPTERS Hi People Welcome To Decrypters
Last Friday :- Due to News DXY covered Already some losses from Last week
Monday :- will be A recovery move with Respect to Friday Move
Over All it was profit taking move , Not a selling move ( Which SURELY can continue more down side )
It Doesn't mean though you can't sell ,GOLD is Over all bullish in LONG TERM IN EVERY HTF CHART ,SO more positions will be Added on the Down side
(We also added link to previous Analysis as yo can see we posted Analysis before news the 5th wave "SHOULD "be "COMPLETED")
Related to previous Analysis :-
The corrective A wave was played
B will be played as retracement to the Up side
C will be continuous move to the Down side
Fundamentals :-
1- Banks need to buy At Discount
2- They need to close longs for profit taking
3- Banks Effect is already Suppressed for now
4- USD will be save by FED for shorter Term ( AT LEAST FOR 6 - 12 WEEKS OVER ALL )
5- Coming Recession should give GOLD A Down Move As well
IMP SIDE NOTE :- We told you in previous Analysis till 12 APRIL GOLD is in buying Scenario , NOW WE Are telling you to look more in to sells "OVER ALL " ( There will be up Days for sure over all it will be down side in coming 6 - 10 Weeks )
ALSO note The Analysis of APRIL 10 will give you Clear IDEA of whole 6 - 12 Weeks if you read and unds all info you'll be benefited for sure
Feb 24 CADJPY Short-term bear before LONG PositionMTF Analysis
Monthly TF had a big push up from tapping the 38.2 Monthly Fib retracement.
On a weekly TF, this retracement bounce on a Monthly 38.2 Fib is a bull run.
This weekly TF bull run has run out right at the previous month's high, previous week's high, and prev day's high -- which was the best entry point had i done Wyckoff analysis earlier
Anyway, since price has ran out of gas on this weekly bull run, it's actually about to break the weekly/daily trendline it's been bouncing off of.
My bias is that price will retrace from a Weekly TF perspective to the 38.2 weekly fib level which also perfectly aligns with the previous week's low & an H4 imbalance/inefficiency.
Fundamentals to support my bias.
JPY had a good inflation YoY rate this morning.
CAD had some wobly numbers from yesterday's economic updates.
AUDUSD bout to go down underA couple of key factors here need to come into play, inflation figures need to come back worse than expected in July, followed by the fed becoming more hawkish with their monetary policy. Australia will follow suit and hit that cash rate target of 3-4%. Cost of living isn't taking a reprieve and the mining industry isn't saving the australian economy atm. If we see a reversal of QT from the fed we could see a bounce in risk on markets. But for now the USD looks to reign supreme. Shorting the bear flag to 0.6780 with a breakdown in the support we could see a bearish continuation to 0.6100! Things are getting spicy and you're kidding yourself if you think the markets seen the last of volatility. NFA DYOR
CRAZY OPPORTUNITY! 😈 Hi there, Yurii Domaranskyi here.
Risk vs Reward = 1 to 44.83 ✨
It means if you risk here 100$ you may make 4483$ Not bad, huh?
Revenue of $54.64M (+683.9% Y/Y).
EBITDA $27.9M for the three months ended March 31, 2022, as compared to $2.6M for the three months ended March 31, 2021; and
Cash and restricted cash of $84M as of March 31, 2022, as compared to $43.4M as of Dec. 31, 2021.
This May Stop Me OutAUDUSD was almost to my second TP until price reversed on the 1 hour timeframe. When I went to look at the DXY I realized why. There may have been some type of fundamentals thats caused the dollar to be bearish this morning.
Well, if I'm stopped out I'll show you what I'm doing next next in this video.
$DIDIDIDI’s app remains online for its existing users in China but the suspension on new downloads and registrations could throttle its near-term growth. Therefore, the biggest challenges for DIDI personally I believe will be to bring its app back online, comply with China's new cybersecurity, data privacy, and labor regulations, and allay investors' fears about a potential delisting
And DIDI isn't the first Chinese company to face a suspension of its app.
Even as new registrations and downloads were suspended,
DIDI’s ride-haling orders in China still rose 13.1% in July over the previous month, according to the Ministry of Transport, outpacing the 10.7% growth for the entire market.
Those numbers indicate DIDI’s revenue -- and stock -- might surge once its app comes back online in China.
But, moving onto the technical side of things, with the little chart we have it’s forming a descending triangle on the daily here.
I’d keep this on your watchlist in case of a break to the upside or downside.
- Factor Four
SOL to $200, #SOLANA #SOLBTC #SOLMy dear padawans,
First I request you all, not to take this as a piece of financial advice.
This is the same content I have previously mentioned above in BTCUSD chart, but according to SOLBTC it has a small difference.
Personally, I love the Solana project because Solana can be able to validate 50000 transactions per second, fewer amount fees, and ecosystem technology.
I always think Solana should be in the first 4 market capitalization in the cryptocurrency world.
I predict something #BNB did before in the past after becoming the most popular ecosystem in the world.
Solona blockchain is getting famous and I personally think SOL will be a huge competitor for BNB as well as for Ethereum.
Okay, let's see how I predict Solana will go to $200.
I just drew fib levels, so I see,
Fib Extensions
261.8% 0.0043₿
200% 0.0036₿
161.8% 0.0032₿
138.2% 0.0029₿
100% 0.0025₿
61.8% 0.0021₿
50% 0.0019₿
38.2% 0.0018₿
23.6% 0.0016₿
We have to consider many things before entering a trade. This is just a prediction.
May the force be with you.
Cheers.
-@CryptoObi-
When is Apple cheap? Based on P/S & P/EHey everybody.
In this idea i am trying to figure out when is the right time to buy apple based on P/S , P/E and the EMA of 55 Months!!!
In order to reach my conclusions i took 5 points starting from the 08 financial crisis. However in that time apple was in super growth and high expectations mode so for sure P/S and P/E were in excess. Definitely over the last years apple's sales and net profit have become more predictable compared to 15-20 years ago.
I should also point out that metrics such as P/S, P/E etc.. are really dynamic in relation to monetary policy, so my calculations should not be taken that seriously in times like these. Right now with interest rates globally at 0% and even negative -% and tons of liquidity and young players in the market apple is more of a safe heaven rather than a simple value stock.
P/S and P/E right as we speak are deviating away from their mean but what i want to understand better is not when apple is expensive rather when is cheap!!!
Feel free to add your comments and find out together when we should buy this beautiful company. Patience is the key!
***Please note that in my calculations i have not included the latest top!!! since we are not yet sure whether the stock is going to be higher or lower in the upcoming months.