A war is brewing in GE and the battle lines have been drawn.Fundamentals:
Market Cap 57.66B
Income 3.34B
Sales 87.87B
P/E 17.48
P/FCF 27.75
EPS this Y +99.8%
Institutions hold 61.98
Annual Dividend of $0.04
Short float of 1.01%
Bearish Fundamentals:
Insider Transactions -73.5%
Insiders Own 0.13%
Institution Transactions over the past 3 Months -0.7%
ROE -16.3%
Profit Margin -5.8%
Debt/Eq 2.43 (shockingly high)
EPS past 5Y -14.9%
EPS Q/Q -663.8%
Sales Q/Q -24.2%
Technical Analysis Comments:
A potential inverted H&S within a potential bearish channel.
GE traders clearly paying attention to the pivots & confirming the battle grounds of Support 1 & Resistance 1.
Good luck trading!
Fundamentalstrategy
AUDUSD Sell - Breakout AUD Fundy 930PM ESTDownwards channel formation. Watch Australia unemployment fundamentals shortly here. Expectation AUD weakness.
I am only in sells in AUDUSD. If it retraces up I will sell at 0.7230 (resistance)
Entry: Sell stop 10 pips below channel
TP @ 0.7090 area (bottom of channel)
Good luck trading! Please help like my free analysis ideas so it can benefit more people.
Let me know if I can help in any way!
Charles V
ww.cvfxmanagement.com
Trading made simple.
GBP/USD Watch for BullsGood day, snipers. Here in GBP/USD, I will only be looking for longs due to a weak dollar. Price is currently at the resistance zone but if I see a break above that zone, I will continue with a long position. Fundamental analysts keep saying that the dollar can still go down. Recently, no wicks are present on the resistance zone compared to its previous touch last June 10. Refer to the DXY chart, and if that still goes bearish, GBP/USD is a powerful long decision.
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Ideas posted are not financial advise, but merely just to give insights and education for traders.
Past performances do not determine future gains.
As sniper traders, we tread carefully, then we take shots immediately.
Join the discussion down below.
Analysis and Fundamentals: European Union climbs to Recover FundToday, Euro in H4 timeframe is show a possible drop of the price into the $1.1323 USD, but let's me explain why Euro is continue drop.
First, in weekly Euro is leave at the highest point in the past time at $1.14 USD as we are now, so we could be a possible drop of 200 pips in week if EUR continue because the European Union has today bad news accomplish with this bearish armonic pattern, also to recall in H4 timeframe, we could to be into his bearish rising wedge and the experctative is so bearish that put in Euro in bad situations, all depend what make the market.
So, in I put a short limit order at $1.1435 USD with a SL at $1.1488 USD and take profit at $1.1323 USD. So the only is that I hope that Euro up a little at least 24 pips to actiavate my sell order limit at $1.1435 USD. if in case doesn;t activate, I cancelled my order. Also as reference, if you see the RSI we have a bearish divergence and if you see in Weekly, you can get the higher point as in Daily too in the RSI and price action.
The price action and RSI indicator show the weakness of the bulltrend in EUR, and possible futures to find down sells.
Fundamentals Analysis to take in noticed:
1. The currency remained flat this morning after press reports suggested the latest round on European Union negotiations failed.
2. A commenting of Crhis Weston, head of research at pepperstone brokerage say that she think that expectations were that they weren't meeting anyway, but they muuded that there was one coming in August or September
3. Talks concerning the 750 billion Euros bill were unsuscessful. Although the countries Netherlands, Austria, Denmark and Sweden, they were satisfied with a sifferent avangement.
4. A reports suggest they are happy with allocating around 390 billion Euros as grants and the rest as low-interest rate loans.
5. While European Union leaders were making progress after 3 days of negotiations, discussions could soon fall apart
6. Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte has warned this could be a possibility and talks had been close to falling apart. He noted that European Union Chairman, Charles Michel was working on a news compromise proposal.
7. The European Central Banks chief Christine Lagarde noted it would be better for a leaders to agree on an ambitions package than to have a quiet deal at any cost.
8. Euro Climbs as European Union Recovery Fund Optimism
***Guys, this speculate news is the most important because as Euro climbs the market, investor are Sell Euro as there are many problemas of some countries that we need to recovery fund optimism in the European Union and that could be bad for mid-term.
9.The Euro edged higher today as traders anticipate that the European Summit discussions on a proposed 1.68 trillion of Euros to seven-years budget and covonarius recovery fund that will be resolved.
EUR/JPY technical & fundamental analysisHi guys I hope you’re all very well.
Here’s an idea based on both technical & fundamental analysis, please enjoy.
TECHNICAL: It’s been a solid few months in the green for the Euro & a lot of traders are still quite bullish but I’m a little bit more cautious and here are my reasons.
The main reason that I’m bearish right now is the fundamentals which will be described below.
From a technical standpoint, I’m able to find some bearish indicators.
-The main indicator for me is the previous monthly candle for June showed some huge resistance.
-Another bearish indicator is the resistance being shown at one of my Fibonacci retracement levels.
-The daily stochastic is in my overbought range
FUNDAMENTAL: JPY is a go to currency in times of insecurity & market anxiety. The current situation surrounding a second Covid19 wave in both Europe and throughout the world may again create anxiety in the market.
Japan has dealt with the crisis thus far as good as any other country. This coupled with JPY being a go to currency may increase the demand of this currency.
TARGET LEVEL: 119.5
As usual, I will update immediately if my view or opinion changes in any way.
Thanks so much for reading. I hope this idea can help anyone looking for an alternative opinion. Good luck to you all 🍀
BTC Weekly Outlook (FA&TA)First of all, please support our work by smashing that like button or following! These really help us to reach more traders like you!
Key Fundamentals:
1. Smart money action:
The on-chain smart money actions are now stable at a bullish level. This is similar to the on-chain developments before prior bull runs.
2. Miner action:
Both hash rate and difficulty are recovering, and miner capitulation is ending. With miner capitulation historically marking market bottoms, this is a bullish long-term sign.
3. Overall Market Sentiment:
For the entire BTC holding, the overall market sentiment is neutral with low interest. BTC has seen more bull runs after periods of low volatility, and a deeper correction might be exactly what’s needed to give the market enough strength to continue to long-term bull trend.
4. Seller Group Only Market Sentiment (SOPR):
This group continues to sell in profit, indicating a long-term bullish trend.
5. Margin Market Actions:
With the increasing short interest on Bitmex, we might have a short squeeze coming in the very short-term, pushing us to the 9.3k – 9.6k zone.
Key Technicals:
1. Daily RSI looking bearish for the mid-term. In order for the bullish trend to remain, the daily RSI needs to find support above its MAs.
2. Side way consolidation last week moved us out of the rising triangle
3. Wave developments: the rising triangle is invalidated with last week’s actions. Thus, we may have already finished the 5 Elliot waves upwards and are now in an ABC (zigzag) correction to the downside. Wave A seems to be finished and the 0.618 Fib retracement for wave A is around 9.8k. Bearish pressure is expected once this level is hit.
Are you a bull or a bear? Do you agree or disagree? All thoughts and critics are welcomed!
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🌐 We believe in the power of blockchain on-chain data analysis!
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What drive BTC price vs. value?Every day, tons of information are flowing around. Most of the times, we get conflicting signals. Some are bullish, the others bearish. So how to view them in a simplified way? The chart above is our method.
What’s your view? Do you agree or disagree? All thoughts and critics are welcomed!
BTC: Don’t be bearish yet!First of all, please support our work by smashing that like button or following! These really help us to reach more traders like you!
Trend: Still bullish
We believe the bear trend ended in December 2019. And if COVID didn’t happen, the bull trend starting point would have been the 7k range last year. Miner capitulation and on-chain volume cycles are two of the most accurate fundamental cycle measurements, and these show strong bullish signs since 7k. Is there a chance to turn to bearish trend? Yes, absolutely. However, we haven’t seen enough confirmations. Every bull-to-bear trend switch starts with a correction, but if every correction is seen as a trend switch, not much profit could be made out of the bull run. The way we are looking at this is CONSISTENTLY trading all corrections until getting stopped out on the last one.
Key Fundamentals:
1. Smart money action:
The on-chain smart money actions are now stable at a bullish level. This is similar to the on-chain developments before prior bull runs.
2. Miner action:
Both hash rate and difficulty are recovering, and miner capitulation is ending. With miner capitulation historically marking market bottoms, this is a bullish long-term sign.
3. Overall Market Sentiment:
Overall market sentiment is turning bearish.
4. Seller Group Only Market Sentiment:
Selling in profit and in bull trend. We kept picked up alerts of decreasing selling pressure in the past few days, and this is bullish for the short term.
5. Margin Market Actions
Just got a potential short squeeze alert yesterday. This is bullish for the short term.
6. SPX impact:
See the ideas linked at the bottom.
Key Technicals:
1. Trendline crossover below (both significant as strong support and potential reversal timing)
2. Target: 10k for this week
3. Wave developments:
We’ll likely keep on developing wave4 this week, fluctuating between 8.7k – 10k.
4. RSI:
At key bull trend support. Also 2 strong bullish reversals occurred (price higher low + RSI lower low).
Do you agree or disagree? All thoughts and critics are welcomed!
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🌐 We believe in the power of blockchain data analysis!
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Long over $7. Recent negative press attention seemed to wear offRECENT NEWS
SDC (7.12 -7.75%): Missed expectations for Q1 EPS and revs. Q1 unique aligner shipments rose +12% yr/yr to 122,751. During its call, co noted that it shipped 10,500 aligner orders in April and between 11,000-15,000 in May; it projects the current run rate to be circa 22,000 shipments in a 30-day period. Co commented that since Q1, it has seen "robust performance" from its impression kit business despite reductions in marketing spend that amounted to approx. 90% over the past 60 days -- kit and scan volume was down by circa 40% over that span. Downgraded to Underperform from Buy at BofA/Merrill, which sees suppressed advertising spend levels and other overhangs contributing to a slower recovery through the year for co than previously projected.
16-Jun-20 09:39 ET
SDC
SmileDirectClub announces product category leadership for its oral care line (8.03 +0.49)
SmileDirectClub announced today that its new end-to-end oral care system leads category growth in a number of product categories in the consumer marketplace. SmileDirectClub is the top growing brand in the whitening category for 2020 with its product bright on and the power floss category with its water flosser. Additionally, the brand is the second highest growth contributor in the brush category for its electric toothbrush during the same timeframe.
All of SmileDirectClub's oral care products include promotions for clear aligner therapy to remind consumers of the brand's entire suite of offerings.
27-May-20 08:40 ET
WIRES
On The Wires
SmileDirectClub (SDC) has joined Anthem Blue Cross and Blue Shield's (Anthem) and Empire BlueCross BlueShield's (Empire) newly established program, Ortho@Home, a teledentistry orthodontia program designed to provide consumers with convenient, affordable and remote orthodontic care. SmileDirectClub is offering remote dental care and clear aligner therapy to users on Anthem Dental Prime and Complete networks.
18-May-20 16:47 ET
SDC
SmileDirectClub files $2.8 bln lawsuit against NBC for "defamatory" nightly news story (6.76 -0.10)
SDC has filed a lawsuit seeking approximately $2.8 bln from NBC Universal Media and reporter Vicky Nguyen for "knowingly and intentionally making factually inaccurate, misleading and defamatory claims about the company and its platform" on an NBC Nightly News with Lester Holt report.
According to SDC, NBC's February 13, 2020 ‘Nightly News' report contained more than 40 false and misleading statements about SmileDirectClub and the treatment patients receive from the hundreds of board-certified doctors who use the company's platform to treat patients.
SDC claims its reputation was wrongly sullied and its business unjustly harmed as a result of the NBC story according to the suit.
In the wake of NBC's report, and as a direct result of it, SDC's market cap plummeted by $950 million. SmileDirectClub is seeking to recover treble damages pursuant to Tennessee's Consumer Protection Act.
SDC (6.45 +19.67%): Co was issued a patent for its SmileShop intellectual property from the USPTO; the patent, says co, "ensures no clear aligner competitor will be able to duplicate SmileDirectClub's unique model for 18 years." The patent encompasses the SmileShop concept and process. Co also announced that it is making plans to reopen its SmileShops in the US, Canada, Germany, Australia, New Zealand, the UK, and Ireland beginning in May. The stock rises to one-month highs on above 3x average volume.
DXY knows what to doAs we're opening the market , it opened with a gap lower and broke the counter trend line to the downside.
The next scenario is if we closing the next 4 hour under the counter trend trend line, we could sell the US dollar till the purple support i marked (around 99.45)
Let's see what it could happen from that moment.
We're seeing three pro arguments:
1) it's going down to the long trend line the go higher
2) Some States are opening after this Memorial Day
3)it's making a new support line (purple line)
BUT
There are some dangerous fundamentals also to watch after monday: like house selling prices, jobless claims, non defense sells etc.
I am suggesting that those prices won't be optimistic, but it could be better than forecast If not, we're still witnessing that some States are opening so that's stilll energic for the Dollar.
In a nutshell, we will see if it breaks the long trend line, if not , we could go higher.
Have a nice trading week and share your thoughts what your think about the US dollar this week.
I always analyse the DXY to know what it will happen with all the pair currencies (that's my mindset to start the trading week )
DXY bearish biasBeen holding onto this TA for a while now. I posted it on twitter a lot earlier, you can follow me @thecolour_red.
On the chart you'll find 3 seller owned levels and one key liquidity area below that holds bullish sentiment. Currently, 100.39 has rejected price and is being challenged by buyers in the aforementioned zone.
Fundamentals:
-the rejection was printed before the Core Durable Goods figure release and the flow was corroborated on the DOW
-additional QE will drive down the bid in the long term
Sentiment:
-Dollar is overvalued at the moment when compared to G7 currencies
Price action:
-major squeeze playing out, as you can see from the chop of last week's PA on lower TFs
-more patterns printed on lower TFs
Technicals:
-double top and resistance holding
-price currently in range (floor is the bullish area)
Additional notes:
-BoJ MP statement early in the week (key part of macro analysis and will add bias to global flow)
GBPAUD LONG BETAnother long on GA.
Was hesitant to post this idea because the chart is messy.
Technicals:
-simply playing off the support
Price action:
-price held support level and going to challenge 1.9450 peg
-if sellers maintain control overall, then 1.91859 is my downward target
Fundamentals/Sentiment - See my last post // ideas are the same
Additional notes:
-GBP news this session can be the deciding factor for 1.9450 control
-GOLD dropping
Fundamental Case Study -Interest rate cut, boost of inflation.Fundamentals can be hard to trade and are almost always of no logical predictable direction. So how can we trade fundamental news and events?
This question can be answered in many ways. However, we want to put an accent now on high impact fundamental events that are impacting an economy in the longer term, and not daily data releases/news which create almost none volatility for our interest.
Each and every year there are few such events, some creating huge movements in one day/on the opening, others creating strong bullish/bearish trends in the longer term.
These events can be categorized in wars, attacks, pandemics, bankruptcy, federal banks drastic decisions, and more.
In this case study, we will analyze the FED's data releases due to the latest COVID-19 threats. On Tuesday, 03 March 2020 The FOMC cut the federal funds rate by 0.50% to a target range of 1.00% to 1.25% at an unscheduled emergency meeting.
This measure was taken due to the pandemic disturbance of the markets:
"The fundamentals of the U.S. economy remain strong. However, the coronavirus poses evolving risks to economic activity.
In light of these risks and in support of achieving its maximum employment and price stability goals, the Federal Open Market Committee decided today to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/2 percentage point, to 1 to 1‑1/4 percent. The Committee is closely monitoring developments and their implications for the economic outlook and will use its tools and act as appropriate to support the economy ..." - Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement,
5:00 PM - Mar 3, 2020
What does this mean? And how can traders benefit from this fundamental impact factor?
The Federal Funds rate is the Interest rate at which depository institutions lend balances held at the Federal Reserve to other depository institutions overnight, and is scheduled 8 times per year. Usually cutting or increasing the interest rate happens over a longer period of time, by 25 basis points at once. These short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future. By adjusting the right interest rates, with the purpose of economic growth, the FED keeps it's inflation targets through short periods of time.
Because the FOMC cut the federal funds rate, at an unscheduled emergency meeting by 50 basis points, it surprised the market and it reacted appropriately.
This means drastically devaluation of the US Dollar on the short term. And Market Makers acted accordingly, selling the US Dollar. We can see on the charts a few trades we took after the data releases.
In this case study, you can also see how it impacts the overall economy, creating movements on more instrument categories. GOLD, Currencies, yields, indices.
If you want to further explore this case study, or learn more about fundamentals, don't hesitate to follow us on our free education blog on Instagram and shoot as a dm for further questions.
NZDCAD Long-Term Buy FrameworkThis is a bullish setup framework for a lesser traded pair. Please read the 'guidance' below for full value.
There tends to be a lot of volatility for this pair in Nov & Dec. Based on VaR analysis, there is a decent probability of a 250+ pip bullish move over that period. And, CAD macro data has been very strong for a bit too long, so any miss in upcoming data will see a surprise trend as commercials will try to cash in against speculators. Essentially, CAD has been 'wanting to weaken' since July, but data upside surprise keeps it on life support. But fair warning: do keep in mind that Options, Futures, and COT data all suggest NZD weakness and CAD strength, so I wouldn't expect any NZDCAD bullish moves to last into next year (without changes in that data at least).
I attached rough estimates for levels that will be hit at some point in the next month or so. Generally, it is unwise to forecast technical setups for this kind of horizon. There are too many geopolitical and fundamental variables to interfere with at this kind of scale, but because both currencies are attached to commodities, global trade issues, and the Chinese economy to some degree, they are not as vulnerable as something like the USDJPY or XAUUSD, for instance, which have clear 'risk on vs risk off' parameters.
Small lots with large SLs and low account risk can make these fun experiments from time to time.
Xrp - $ 360,2232This technical analysis does not involve fundamentalist factors, which are the most important and relevant. As there is no data on it, I just relied on calculations of previous cycles plus the Bulls season data (In general, not only in crypto. I already made a few posts with data about this topic).
If you think $ 360,2232 it's an absurd value, what would you say about $ 1025,1161 before Q2 2025?
I will detail and share the formula I used on Twitter.
Thanks