What 3 Events Will Traders Be Watching This Week? 24-29 JanWhat 3 Events Will Traders Be Watching This Week? 24 Jan – 29 Jan, 2022
Tuesday, January 25:
NAB Business Confidence
NAB Business Confidence from Australia hits the market early afternoon on Tuesday.
The Index may rebound after November’s sharp drop, where it fell to 12 points from 20 points in the previous report. Several factors have recently occurred that may impart a great deal of positivity in Australia’s business community. Perhaps the most impactful event is the loosening of monetary policy in Australia’s largest trading partner, China.
There is room for further loosening in China’s loan rates and the expectation that the People’s Bank of China will use it over the coming months to help prop up slowing economic activity. Australia should be a benefactor of such policy and improve Chinese economic activity.
As such, perhaps we will see some positive follow-through in the AUDUSD, which is currently trading at 0.71746, down 1.4% YTD.
Thursday, January 27:
BoC Interest Rate Decision
Fed Interest Rate Decision
Two significant interest rates decisions are being served up on Thursday.
First is the Bank of Canada (BoC) Interest Rate Decision, due at 4 NZDT in the morning.
The BoC is dealing with 30-year-high inflation (4.8% YoY to December) yet may be hesitant to raise rates sooner than March. It could be that the Bank is waiting for the British Columbian floods and the spread of Omicron to subdue until initiating its first rate hike.
However, the market may have already partially priced in a 25 basis point rate hike that could leave the CAD vulnerable if the BoC doesn’t deliver what is expected on Thursday.
The second interest rate decision is due from the US Federal Reserve on Thursday at 8:00 am. I’m sure most of us will be watching the ensuing volatility in the USD, after Jerome Powell and his team’s announcement. The USDJPY and the NZDUSD may be some of the biggest movers on this day, with the USD seeking to claw back some of the recent losses against the former and further appreciating against the latter.
While an interest rate hike is not likely on Thursday, investors will want to see if the Fed will move up its rate hike schedule. As it stands, the market is expecting a March rate hike, the first of many that the Fed will have to enact to combat the 40-year-high inflation in the US.
Funded-trader
What 3 Events Will Traders Be Watching This Week? 24-29 JanWhat 3 Events Will Traders Be Watching This Week? 24 Jan – 29 Jan, 2022
Tuesday, January 25:
NAB Business Confidence
NAB Business Confidence from Australia hits the market early afternoon on Tuesday.
The Index may rebound after November’s sharp drop, where it fell to 12 points from 20 points in the previous report. Several factors have recently occurred that may impart a great deal of positivity in Australia’s business community. Perhaps the most impactful event is the loosening of monetary policy in Australia’s largest trading partner, China.
There is room for further loosening in China’s loan rates and the expectation that the People’s Bank of China will use it over the coming months to help prop up slowing economic activity. Australia should be a benefactor of such policy and improve Chinese economic activity.
As such, perhaps we will see some positive follow-through in the AUDUSD, which is currently trading at 0.71746, down 1.4% YTD.
Thursday, January 27:
BoC Interest Rate Decision
Fed Interest Rate Decision
Two significant interest rates decisions are being served up on Thursday.
First is the Bank of Canada (BoC) Interest Rate Decision, due at 4 NZDT in the morning.
The BoC is dealing with 30-year-high inflation (4.8% YoY to December) yet may be hesitant to raise rates sooner than March. It could be that the Bank is waiting for the British Columbian floods and the spread of Omicron to subdue until initiating its first rate hike.
However, the market may have already partially priced in a 25 basis point rate hike that could leave the CAD vulnerable if the BoC doesn’t deliver what is expected on Thursday.
The second interest rate decision is due from the US Federal Reserve on Thursday at 8:00 am. I’m sure most of us will be watching the ensuing volatility in the USD, after Jerome Powell and his team’s announcement. The USDJPY and the NZDUSD may be some of the biggest movers on this day, with the USD seeking to claw back some of the recent losses against the former and further appreciating against the latter.
While an interest rate hike is not likely on Thursday, investors will want to see if the Fed will move up its rate hike schedule. As it stands, the market is expecting a March rate hike, the first of many that the Fed will have to enact to combat the 40-year-high inflation in the US.
How to trade fundamentals (AUDUSD BUYS)Hey traders!
A common question I get is, do I trade fundamentals??
-From my experience it is to hard to trade off the back of data releases as the moves are to quick to happen and usually get very messy...
-Fundamentals I believe just help push a currency in the right direction as technicals give us the entry points to catch these moves
-For me its a rule to always have my stop-loss at breakeven when trading around the times of any news event or data release.
-It is important that we always know when a big event or release is coming out to cover any trades we currently have running or are about to open, price can move so quick and cause slippage on accounts especially if you are over leveraged.
-So the answer is I do and I don't trade fundaments, the aim of the game for me is to already be in a position with stops at breakeven to catch the bigger move but also protecting my account at the same time, at the end of the day we never know what's going to happen and price can do some wild things...
......... fundamentals overall control the market but technicals provide us with the entry points and create market structure.........
NASDAQ OPORTUNITY FOR SHORT SMART MONEY 1:4 RRR US100, we have 2 zones where it is very possible to see a selloff, the shorts will be triggered after confirmation
US30 SMART MONEY CONCEPTOverall market structure is bearish, we need retracament so after the little up movement searching for sells in the POI, like orderblocks, imbalances, fibonacci ote zones ( 70-79 )
BTC Showing Why retail traders are wrong!Good Morning traders!
Sorry I have been absent a few days, its been a long weekend here and I have been enjoying the time away.
This chart is a PRIME example of what I have been showing.
This are obvious places for stops that retail traders would have used.
We also have a completely failed head and shoulders pattern-most retail traders trade these.
To be successful you need to look past what your peers are trading, chances are they are wrong as well.
Remember banks and institutions are SEE where your stops and orders are, you are merely liquidity for there trades.
As always trade safe
EnvisionEJ
BTC This is important and retail traders need to know!Good Morning traders!
Todays update is back to BTC.
Like I always say retail traders are obvious, they have a distinctive footprint.
Mostly because hey don't think ahead in the markets.
I can see a VERY obvious stop filled area, and the longer we build orders the more likely it is that we break through to the downside.
By the time retail traders realise that they could have bought these areas they will be on the wrong side of the trade and they will be swept out as liquidity for a bigger smarter trader.
As always trade safe
EnvisionEJ
ETH Orders continue to buildGood Morning traders,
After the success of yesterdays post (thankyou)
I thought I would give you another quick update.
you can clearly see the say thing it still happening.
We build orders, Whales protect orders.
There will be an impulsive move coming to sweep things out, so be prepared!
As always trade safe.
EnvisionEJ
ETH An example in why retail traders are wrong!Good Morning traders!
Today I have a great example of order protection and liquidity building.
This is something that I have been speaking about for a long time and this current PA shows it well.
The blue boxes show places where large orders have been placed and and initiated moves. See how price returns to retest these areas?! this gives the Banks, Whales and big players a chance to protect orders.
Retail traders place orders outside of these areas "support and resistance areas" These orders can easily be seen, and therefore hunted. The highs and lows create areas for the big players to exit the large volume positions as every buy order needs a seller and vice versa.
I hope this information has been helpful.
As always trade safe.
EnvisionEJ
ETH We need a break here to continueGood Morning traders!
I hope you had a great weekend.
Mine was busy, just like the crypto markets. However the more they change the more they stay the safe. Price continues to be held EXACTLY at the area I highlighted, this is because we the market respects the areas filled with orders.
Currently I can see 2 options for price movement.
Orders are protected and we head lower sweeping the immediate lows before heading higher again.
OR we have a failure of the head and shoulders pattern, I see this as more likely, its a very obvious pattern and retail traders like obvious patterns, whales can see the orders...
As always trade safe
EnvisionEJ
BTC-Buy the dip, but be prepared we may not be done yet!Good Afternoon traders!
BTC is continued to move mostly inline with my expectations, we are having a reasonable rejection of the area I marked out and its a good place for buys. We have got a massive discount, what more are you waiting for?
While I am currently more bullish than bearish, I do still 100% believe that we can head to the 37k area as mentioned earlier today.
Technically we wont be out of the woods until we break back above the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern suggesting it has failed.
Either way cheaper BTC is always a decent buy.
As always trade safe,
EnvisionEJ
BTC- Be greedy when others are fearfulGood morning traders!
BTC continues to follow the forecasts that I provided the past few days.
While I did say I would be looking for buying opportunities around yesterdays lows I also said I would be prepared to buy all the way down to the 37k region.
As the order book get swept on the back of increasing risk from the Evergrande financial fiasco fud continues to move through the markets.
The same people not buying BTC at a 25% discount will be the same people not buying it over 100k...
As always trade safe,
EnvisionEJ
BTC-Predictable as alwaysGood Morning traders!
Yesterdays PA was easy to understand if you new what to look for.
Retail traders are PREDICTABLE and therefore the markets movements are.
The market has moved exactly as anticipated, sweeping out the retail orders stacked at the bottom of the range.
We are now currently sitting on the neckline of a large head and shoulders pattern. These patterns are subjective, and become "valid" once we break and close under the neckline. Again don't you think whales and funds know of these patterns....
From this point onwards I will be looking to enter longs, however I will be prepared that price can easily pull right back to the yellow circle around 37k.
The current market is being influenced by the spx500 and Evergrande, how it will play out is anyone's best guess, but I would suggest the Chinese government will stop a default to stop toxic debt seeping into the greater market.
As always trade safe
EnvisionEJ