EUR/USD London Open - May 10th '23Aggressive short setup on EUR/USD, we took out liquidity and reacted on the zone as explained on the previous trade idea. We have confirmation after double hunt of liquidity. Trade is aggressive because m15 structure is still long and we just took out an important H4 low
Fundedtrader
Head and Shoulders Setting Up On GBPUSDAlthough they have very strong correlation, I am now seeing a divergence between both pairs and opposing price action. A strong case for a head and shoulders is setting up as GBPUSD enters an area of supply on the daily and 4 hour chart. Once I see confirmation, I'm going short and targeting sell side liquidity and demand zones.
Happy trading,
The Meditrader
Anticipating a bullish rally this weekend on BTCUSDAfter an aggressive sell-off, finished by what looks to be an exhaustion bar, my ideal trade will be enter long on the 4 hour order block and ride price action up to the daily order block, where I expect lots lots of selling pressure to come through. I think it's very possible that price will surge to the 50% retracement of that OB where it will be the consequent encroachment of the fair value gap.
Orders are set and now I let the trade play out.
All the best,
The Meditader
Nasdaq Intraday Short 3/4/23BOS, LQ taken, 5m Supply, potential sell limit, target set at 50% of the swing (equilibrium). Instead of putting a sell limit you can also decide to wait for confirmation at the zone. Good Luck Traders!
What is really up with the Funded Programs?Before we go any further, I want to state that
1) This post is NOT PROMOTING ANY prop firms/funded trader programs,
2) I do not hate or have anything against any prop firms/funded trader programs, I am just sharing my understanding from what I have read and experienced, and
3) Info here is not complete. If you choose to embark on any programs, please make sure you do your own due diligence.
Traditional Prop Firm
Typically refers to a group of traders that focus on buying and selling financial assets with the firm’s capital. The trader uses that firm's money to trade and in exchange receives a small wage and a large percentage of the profits. In practice, proprietary trading firms provide the capital, proprietary technology, training, coaching, and mentoring for you to become an elite trader.
Funded Programs
There has been an ever-increasing number of funded trader programs, marketing to retail traders about the huge profit-sharing potential (75-90%) when they become "a funded trader." And all that is required is paying for and passing an evaluation/testing period. You would pay anywhere from $84 to $184 for a $10,000 account and it could go as high as you want (almost)
A trader in the evaluation/testing period would have
- Profit target of 8-10% in phase 1 (typically 30 days)
- Profit target of 5% in phase 2 (typically 60 days)
- Daily drawdown of no more than 5%
- Overall drawdown of no more than 10-12%
From my experience coaching retail traders, newbie or average trader has an account size of no more than $10,000. This makes the idea of being funded to trade become really attractive, limiting the downside while almost maximizing the potential. However, there has also been a lot of negativity about these funded programs;
- the evaluation and actual trading accounts are demo accounts
- the company makes more money from traders failing than from profitable traders
- some traders claim to have never received their payouts
Are funded programs scams?
Again, I have not evaluated ALL funded programs to say this, but probably not. (Do your own due diligence!)
Companies running funded programs are likely just deploying a good business model, addressing a pain that most retail traders have (funding their account) and filling that gap.
Should you jump into a funded program?
There is a lot more information (more than discussed above) that needs to be considered before you jump in. A brief checklist:
1) Do you have a profitable trading strategy to deploy? ( if you don't have a profitable strategy, keep reading, learning & testing )
2) Have you used it for at least a year? ( avoid using funded programs as a testing ground, it can get costly! do it on a demo or even a $1,000 account first )
3) Does the strategy meet the max drawdown conditions? ( 5% a day, 10% total? For example, a martingale strategy is not likely to work )
4) How likely are you to bend your trading rules? ( rules set by the programs are set in stone, a breach even by the slightest and you would have failed )
5) Is it the right time to start? ( are markets in consolidation, on a holiday period, or super volatile with no clear trend )
Remember that the average annualized return of the S&P500 is 11.88% (1957 to 2021). Trying to make 8-10% in 30 days and then 5% in 60 days just to pass, tends to put the trader under a lot of stress. How do you perform under significant pressure?
What are your views of the funded programs? Share it with me in the comments
I have never thought much about the funded programs. But recently have been considering giving it a shot and live-streaming the trading process daily. Would you join me on the stream?
Stay tuned, it might just happen.
USDCAD Analysis for the week of Oct. 16In this presentation I highlight my analysis for USDCAD. Currently price is reacting pretty strongly off a long term Weekly Bearish Order Block. Which in my opinion could be the perfect storm for a price reversal. Price has already reacted from a longterm Weekly -FVG, and has since traded back through it seeking higher liquidity. Please check the video out for more detail of how I plan to handle this current market condition. Bless.
EU analysis for the upcoming week of Oct. 9In this video I go over my opinion of were I think price will be heading. EU has reacted off a Daily -OB MT to the pip and has started its decent to the nether parts of the charts. It is my opinion that since the dollar is still buying so strong that EU will continue to sell. I think that EU is setting up to retrace towards premium prices for shorts. There are key levels I highlight where I will be looking to add positions.
Macro View for EU.Overall EU is still very much Bearish, but still hasn't retraced to an optimal premium price level. There are imbalances to the upside noted here as "FVG" where price must be delivered buyside. In my humble opinion, the areas between the FVG, .79FIB and -OB is where I will be looking for entries for the major selloff. This could potentially be a swing/position trade. Lets see how it plays out.
-ChaarateFx
XAUUSD AnalysisToday I will be discussing my idea about Gold for the upcoming week of Oct. 9. In my opinion gold is in a bearish market for the time being. I am looking to take sells from the higher timeframe Weekly point of interest. I detail the level of price action I will be looking for shorts to begin the next leg in this bearish market.
EURUSD Shorts Until Thursday For this week, we're expecting EURUSD to keep its downtrend until Thursday where there is EUR Interest Rate event, which could be a catalyst for a Market Reversal on Thursday.
However, from Monday to Thursday Morning, I'm expecting a continuation of the downtrend to clear last week's lows and potentially clear the low at 0.9860.
Long Opportunity on GBPUSD towards ...In previous post I shared my interest in a long on Euro. However, GBPUSD seems to be the stronger one between the two based on recent price action on EURGBP.
Looking at GBPUSD, It stays in a bullish scenario as long as long as price doesn't fall below 1.2474. However, on an intra-day basis, i'm looking for GBPUSD to stay strong and break above today's daily high at 1.2562 and potentially head towards 1.2600 and then to the old daily high at 1.2650.
Euro Long Continuation Towards...So coming back after a long break from trading. Today i'm interested in longs on euro so far. I'm staying bullish as long as euro stays above 1.06634. However, I'm looking at two levels to go long on euro.
it's either below the 1st intraday low at 1.06951 or below 1.06609.
I prefer the 2nd low to be taken out before going long as it would have a greater potential to continue towards target 1.0760.
[GBPJPY] Buy Limit - 03/09/2022 - London SessionMonthly & Weekly : On the monthly timeframe we don’t really see any clear trend. There was a trendline that was broken, so it’s safe to say that anything over this trendline is bullish, however we are stopped by the monthly resistance zone that has been respect for the past 4 years. I have noticed that the resistance zone also falls in the same place as the monthly key level and has continued to be rejected. It’s safe to say that this market will continue to fall into either the next monthly key level or the weekly support zone. There was also slight divergence which was acted upon as the price fell from the resistance zone. My bias here is bearish .
Daily : This is a little bit more interesting now, because from the last high to the last low before the retracement, we had a 38.2 retracement which means that market would continue to the -27, which it is currently at as we speak. This -27 zone is also a monthly key level. Hmmmm. We don’t have any divergence which would be our indicator that the market is retracing, but we do have a -27 and a monthly key level being rejected off of so some reversal is expected. My bias here is bullish .
4H & Lower : You can’t get too detailed on this timeframe so we will combine the 4H with the lower timeframes as well. Price has been consolidating around this zone for about a week and is showing bullish momentum. On the hour we can see a clear trendline being formed with some support at the .50 zone. So we can expect a target at the -27. There has also been some resistance formed and support formed at the 38.2 zone. We are looking to get the best entry possible so on a smaller timeframe we can notice that within that support and resistance zone there were lower lows formed with a 78.6 zone. We know that the 78.6 means that it will eventually sell to the -61.8 so that is where we have made our entry, which would also be a retest of the trendline. But a 38.2 retracement also means that it should push sharply to the -27 however it has not done that. So either it will come down and retest the trendline or it will break the resistance zone and continue to the -27. My bias here is bearish , until entry where we will finish the bullish momentum.
EURUSD - SHORT OPPORTUNITY Since the big rejection last Thursday, this meant that euro is looking for a bigger retracement before breaking the big daily range that has been in place since December 2021. For now, we are looking for a small short term sell opportunity towards until it runs the liquidity area at the equal lows (red line). Then from there I will be looking for potential buy opportunity.