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Bitcoin Fundamental and Technical Analysis This is simply an analysis, not an invitation to go short or long, please do your own research Recently we have seen bitcoin drop a tiny amount after the coronavirus fears - We can see on the chart that it dropped along with SPY. It's not just Bitcoin that has dropped since, altcoins have too. This to me indicates that investors are looking for a safe haven and that bitcoin isn't it just yet - it could be because of high volatility or maybe it could be the fact that they don't trust that it will have a value in the future. Gold has obviously been known as a safe haven for a long time. Another reason for this downwards push could the halving - Traders want to get Bitcoin at a low price so they are trying to drive it down before the halving. I think we can forget the cup and handle for now as we have a H&S + Fundamentals indicating that we will see a fall, maybe it could be a small fall before it regains strength, but it is too early to tell. It has failed at top resistance and seems to be weak on the current support, the next candle should be able to tell us if it's going to break it or not. This will clearly tell us a bit more about where Bitcoin is headed. The upwards trendline was broken a couple of days ago as well. Here is the H&S Pattern and a bear signal on Ichimoku I'd love to hear your opinion about this. Follow me for more related content
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by tonite
1
Bullish on MATIC chartWELL WELL WELL, most people would look at a chart like this and run, not me. Let's break this down like always from a TA/FA point of view. Remember my last MATIC call exceeded all my targets. I must explain that even though this looks like a cup and handle it is not based off old school TA, though it may still result and be traded like a C&H if we rally hard. TA: Firstly the 1D chart does not fully show you what is happening on the smaller time frames, and what you see on smaller time frames can easily transition into the medium to larger time frames as long as Bitcoin holds steady. The smaller time frames moving averages are starting to cross up and over each other indicating that there are bullish tremors even after the concentrated leveraged short attack. Also on the 1D chart we see the MACD indicating that selling pressure is subsiding. The Stoch RSI looks to give a definitive buy signal soon, and the RSI is oversold looking as if there is a little more room for downside. The indicators give us an overall bullish sentiment (at least for a relief rally), though caution should be held due to BTC ( my stops are set if trading). Lastly we are sitting upon the 200 D EMA, and sure this is a new chart and the moving average does not have much data but the area is still support. FA: NOTHING has changed in regards to the team and the amazing tech and dedication that is being put forth. They have been cleared of all suspicion and have explained everything in depth via multiple AMAs/ Interviews. They're looking to finish the year completing 50+ hackathons, which is 3 to 4 times as many as most teams do in a year. They are on schedule for staking (soon), and the Main Net should be completed Q1 of next year. Of course there is massive speculation that Coinbase will list MATIC because Coinbase is an initial investor in the project. There are already many top tier projects experimenting and building upon MATIC and this will only increase greatly after the Main Net. Essentially there is plenty of news to keep this project in the spotlight in 2020, being that it is the most widely adopted and successful L2 helping Ethereum with scailability. Many people are fearful and that makes me bullish. Great traders say, " Be fearful when others are greedy, be greedy when others are fearful". i don't like greed but I understand the concept.
MLong
by Tachycardia
5
Bitcoin will catch many off-guard. Don't miss it.As many are anticipating, bitcoin would drop to 8k before starting its bull run... However, what people are forgetting is that bitcoin has always been in a bull run since the start of the year or even its very beginning if you look at its monthly charts. with Bakkt now live and many big names in the crypto space positive of its launched, it is hard to think that BTC would drop any lower, especially when many experienced are pushing and confident that Bitcoin would not drop any lower than 10k as it is the new low. If we take a look at the Ichimoku and the triangle it is quite clear to see that there is a higher chance of BTC to break to the upside than lower. Take your chances and don't loose a generational opportunity. *Not financial advice.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Rubicons201
Technical versus Fundamental Analysis 101SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY Technical versus Fundamental Analysis 101 a) Popularity Fundamental analysis deals with the studies of basic financial information in order to forecast the supply and demand, profit, strength of the industry, the ability of the management and some other intrinsic factors, which influence the value, and the growth potential of the FOREX market. In the fundamental analysis, various economic and global factors are also considered. This analysis is also helpful for the forecasting of financial statements as it provides an insight into the revenues, expenses, assets and liabilities. Technical analysis is a method of forecasting the prices that tend to move in the trend form and can be easily determined by altering the behaviour of the individual investor. It can be further elaborated that this movement in the behaviour can be caused by the variety of factors including the fluctuation in the economic, political as well as the psychological forces. This type of analysis is also referred to as the internal analysis and is regarded as an art, in order to identify the trend changes for maintaining the posture of investment until the weights of the trend are reversed. b) Fundamental Analysis For the purpose of finding the intrinsic value of the currency, economic analysis, country analysis and industry, the analysis is included in the fundamental analysis. The intrinsic value, which is resulted from these three analysed figures, is considered as the true value as it possesses the impact of all the three factors. If the computed intrinsic value is higher than the market price of the shares, it is recommended that the shares should be bought by the investors. There are different forecasting techniques, which are used in each of the above-discussed analysis. In the case of economic analysis, the factors, which can be considered for the forecasting, are National income growth rates, interest rates, inflation, the balance of payment, and budget of the country, infrastructure, monsoon and economic and political stability. The economic forecasting can be done with the help of, 1. Anticipatory surveys 2. Barometric or Economic Indicator Approach 3. Economic Model Building 4. Opportunistic Model Building The forecasting in the industry analysis will be based upon the growth level of the industry, profitability and the cost structure, nature of the product, policies of the government, labour and research and development. Industry analysis can be carried out with the help of porters five forces analysis. Other forecasting tools can include life cycle analysis of the industry, the profit potential of the industry and characteristics prevailing in the industry. The fundamental analysis of the currency will be based upon the macroeconomic arena of the country and the past behaviour of the monetary institutions. The country analysis can be done with the help of marketing success, accounting policies and profitability. Accounting policies include the pricing strategies, depreciation methods, non-operating income and provisions for taxation. Profitability analysis of the currency includes the various elements of financial statements and the technique of ratio analysis also. c) Technical Analysis Technical analysis utilises different forecasting tools for the purpose of valuation of the FOREX prices. These tools are mostly graphical in nature, which makes it easier for the investors to analyse the currencies. The demographic shift will have a relevant effect on the forecasting tools and techniques, which are identified in the technical analysis. For example, if the age of the investor is below 25 years, the technical analysis will be preferred as it is less complicated as compared to the fundamental analysis. The bar chart will be preferred also as it is the easiest amongst all the graphs. However, if the investor is more than 25 years old, then the results will be in the favour of fundamental analysis and if in case technical analysis is adapted, candlestick will be preferred. Occupation and education will also take similar turns in case the investor has a financial background or possesses non-financial background. It means that if an investor knows the trading environment and dealings of the currencies, he can easily perform complicated operations, which can provide effective results. However, the individuals having no or little knowledge regarding the currency valuation will depend upon simple computations and graphs identified in the technical analysis for forecasting purpose. Happy Trading :) "The goal of a successful trader is to make the best trades. Money is secondary" Alexander Elder
TVC:GOLDEducation
by SMPTrader
EURTRY short ideaTurkey and America relations do not seem to be growing much in spite of this crisis. A crisis provoked by Trump as the US senatorial elections approach. The cause of this crisis does not seem to be a question of a pastor detained for acting as an agent for America. The evidence provided to the American state does not seem to please because the truth hurts and does not want to admit that this person is an American agent (no state would agree to confess, it is normal). This crisis seems to be rather blackmail against Turkey because it does not want to apply sanctions against Iran. Plus the economic war launched by Trump. There are several factors. Turkey is questioned about the economy and has announced several changes and economic model. The market does not seem too convinced. However after a few days more than 4000 investors followed closely the conference made by the Minister of Finance. Turkey has decided to give a lot more funds and help for entrepreneurs and investors. The country seems to want to give a lot more importance to high technologies. Imports will be reduced and exports will be increased. A very big investment from Qatar. Make a lot more savings. A very likely interest rate increase in the near future that could give much more value to the Turkish lira. That's why my technical analysis is that way. Money management.
by Ghostdev32
USD/JPY is expected to rise up. Fundemental and Technical Fundementally, there is an increased confidence in the USD and CAD after sealing the NAFTA 2.0 deal. On the other side for the JPY things are not as good. The typhoon Tarmi has caused a lot of damage all over Japan, reducing the JPY stength. Also the CCI report (although low impact) has reported the index to be 7 points below 50. Meaning that the JPY is getting further weak. Technically, There are two major levels in sight. The RSI seems to be overbought. I expect that the price comes down to kiss the trendline and then hit upwards towards the major resistance, which is around 114.3. This will bring RSI out of overbought My suggestions is to set a buy limit around 113.7. SL around 113.4, TP1 around 114 and TP 2 around 114.3. Alternatively, wait for the price to the trendline and then set a buy stop depending on the price action. Speaking of price action, on the trend at the moment there are no candle patterns that are worth attention atm. These are my opinions. Following them or not is up to you. Trade responsibly as your capital is at risk in trading. Your losses are YOUR responsibilty.
Long
by MrSorenzo
Technical and Fundamental analysis for CADJPYOn the daily, It shows the the CADJPY is in a Bullish trend as the 200EMA is below price. On the 4 hour chart, I placed my stop loss below the Kijun Sen. I would be in the trade as soon as price breaks through the resistance line and becomes support at 86.212 and hopefully hit my take profit which is at 89.456.There has already been a TK cross which indicates that the the trend it still in a long term trend. Price is also above the Bullish Kumo which shows that the trend is in a bullish trend. The chikou span gives me conformation to show if i should enter the trade or not. As it is above price, the tells me that the bullish trend is strong enough for me to enter the trade. For the Fundamental analysis, on Thursday 30th August shows the Canada gross domestic product(GDP) which is the annualised change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the Canadian economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health. Canada releases fresh GDP data on a monthly basis. The previous forecast was 0.1% and the predicted forecast is 0.3%. If the reading is stronger than forecast can show that it is bullish for the CAD, while a weaker than forecast reading is bearish for the CAD. To conclude, I would go long on this pair as all my signals from the Ichimoku show me that price can go up, I don't worry to much on the news as my risk management allows me to lose small or win big as my risk to reward ratio is 1:2 or higher.
Long
by LDForex_
Twitter double bottom + fundemetals. Twitter has been getting a lot of firm interest lately. With JP Morgan raising their price target and the CEO of Goldman Sachs tweeting a photo at twitter headquarters, many investors think more institutional money will be funneled into the stock. The rumors of firms acquiring more twitter shares have short sellers scaling back and because of this twitter has begun to rally. On the technical side the stock looks decent with a double bottom in price and exuberant upside during 2017. Investors buying into twitter at the moment are buying off of speculation, as the company only in the last two quarters have achieved profitability. An earnings report beating analysts expectations at the end of 2018 I believe could send the stock into the 40$ range. After 3 straight years of negative earnings reports twitter has finally started making profit in the last two earnings reports. To me this signals a change of direction for the company changing from acquiring more users to acquiring more advertisers. Exuberance will come back into the stock if Twitter can keep up its profitable earnings reports. The company is relying on profitability NOW in 2018 in order to succeed. I can see twitter doing what many other companies have done and "claim blockchain". The CEO of Twitter, Jack Dorsey, tweeted that he is a bitcoin bull. Since the CEO of twitter realizes block-chains potential, twitter integrating a blockchain advertising system eliminating middle men is not impossible and I think would help the company achieve profitability. Investors tend to get exuberant when a company "claims blockchain" so this could be good for twitter's stock as well. Of course this is an unlikely prediction but nothing is impossible. Twitter had a 10% run up on the 17th, a few days before its earnings report, the 25th. The reason the stock is down on earnings day is because Twitter did not beat their earnings last quarter and traders swinging earnings reports sold the stock. Twitter is forming a steady trend line (kudos to DevinBoule55). And i think that even though Twitter did not beat its last earnings report, it is showing profitability and there is many green earnings reports to come. Overall I am Bullish on Twitter. 28$ is not a bad buy. My price target for the end of 2018 is 40$, That could easily be raised depending on future earnings reports.
NYSE:TWTRLong
by CryptoColm
Fundamental analysis for U.S. Crude Oil Inventories One of the economic releases of the day was the U.S. Crude Oil Inventories which helps measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US firms. The way it works is that the amount of inventories helps influence the price petroleum products which can have an encounter with the inflation rates. Traders have got two things which they have to consider and one of them will be to see if increase in crude inventories is more than expected. This will show that the demand is weak which will result in a bearish for crude prices. The other thing that the traders will look will be the opposite which will be to see if a fall in inventories is gonna be less than predicted. So if the if the increase in crude is less than expected this indicates a greater demand which will mean that it will be bullish for crude prices. The economic news about crude oil came out at 15:30 and the previous forecast was -5.117M and the predicted forecast for today was -3.769M. However, as soon as the economic news was reported, it showed that the actual forecast is -6.495M. As it shows on the chart, the candlestick was a bullish candlestick which meant that traders would have gone long on this particular trade.
by LDForex_
Iota Rising - HODL - Buy and HoldFacts: Global M1 money supply is 25 Trillion USD. M1 money supply is defined as Cash and equivalents, i.e. currency which is free and instant to transact. Iota is the only crypto currency which is free and instant to transact. Iota is therefore the only crypto currency eligible to be categorised as M1 money supply and is eligible to compete for a piece of this 25 Trillion USD market. Iota has the advantage over other M1 aggregates in that it is globally portable in an instant, where as physical cash must be transported. It has another advantage of not being subject to central bank intervention or counterfeiting. Market cap of Iota is at approx. 4 Bln Dollars as of writing up this idea on 29 November 2017. Number of Iota coins is fixed, coin supply is permanently stable and pricing is purely demand based. Assumptions: Iota captures 5% of the market for M1 monetary aggregates in the next 5 years. Calculations: 5% of 25 Trillion USD = 1.25 Trillion USD 1.25 trillion / 4 billion = 312 Conclusions: Iota market cap could well reach 1.25 Trillion USD. Thats 312 time todays 0.00% market cap of 4 Billion USD. An investment today has the potential to grow 312 times its size Discussion: In my opinion, the 5% of M1 is conservative, given the advantages that virtual currencies have over fiats. This is a realistic possibility. Buy and Hold!
BITFINEX:IOTUSD
by ryan_leeds
2
USDJPY Technical and fundemental analysisAfter viewing the graph using my technical analysis and fundamental analysis i concluded that the USDJPY is in for a major drop over the next few months since it also reached the monthly resistance that it reaches every 2 months and all of the upcoming news conclude that JPY will increase the currency price making in return to have USD JPY Drop significantly, so for the long term start selling from now at any point between 114.250 and 113.500 , stop loss is at 114.750. This is my first analysis and i hope
Long
by Ahmed112
USOILWTI. Long-term vision. By 2020, the world's economy is in dangerous. The crisis continues for more than ten years, gradually decreasing through the transition to renewable energy sources, the use of electric cars with high efficiency and alternative fuels. However, these changes are requires incredible efforts, making quick and effective decisions at the global scale. The complete collapse of the world's economy is expected if the role of oil in the economy exceeds its share in the price of production.
TVC:USOIL
by PeacefulWarrior
EURCAD - A reversal soon?Will EURCAD repeat what it has done back in early June? We are seeing a similar pattern forming recently - 1) Price has been inching higher with a loss of strength and momentum; 2) We are seeing a divergence in RSI and price; and 3) Price is entering the minimum expected area of wave 5. All these factors gave us the expectation that price has a higher probability of reversing to the downside than going much higher. Whether we are seeing a short term retracement to the downside, or a full reversal lower, our short term interest remains a sell bias. *Disclaimer - this is just a humble perspective of the market. Do not take this as a trade call. Make sure you have your proper trading and risk management plan before engaging on any trade.
Short
by KarYong
Divergence spotted at Palladium..Watching the Palladium's daily chart we can see the weakening of the trend as price can't continue reaching the top line of the up-trend channel. There is also one great resistance at 810 area well respected. We can also see the big red engulfing candle that occurred yesterday. Last but not least we can notice the Macd's divergence with the Palladium's price failing to make new highs. There is a little support at 785 level. FIRST TARGET 775 AREA 20MA-MIDDLE BBAND AND GOOD SUPPORT SECOND TARGET 735 AREA CURRENT BOTTOM TREND-LINE AND BOTTOM BBAND LINE BUY STOP AT 815 AREA
TVC:PALLADIUMShort
by The_Greek_Trader
Historic S&R Indicates long term USDJPY ShortThis time last year, the pair experienced a similar drop in price that went on to consolidate at the SAME S&R level for a while before proceeding to drop to the ~106 mark and then to the ~102 mark. If history is bound to repeat itself, we can expect this pair to cease consolidation towards the end of March. I expect that the trade will not be active for a little while, but I thought I'd add preemptively publish this before the drop. Trade open: 111.89 SL: 112.67 TP1: 106.64 TP2: 102.28
Short
by Cohiba93
2